𝐀𝐔𝐃/𝐔𝐒𝐃

dollar ka jo current exchange rate hai, wo lagbhag $0.6655 per stable hai, jo foreign exchange market mein aik stabal period ko ظاہر کر رہا hai. Daily charts ka analysis yeh dikhata hai ke AUD/USD pair is waqt rectangular pattern mein move kar raha hai, jo consolidation ke phase ko ظاہر karta hai na ke aik definitive trend ko. Ye pattern yeh suggest karta hai ke market ke participants currency pair ke future direction ke bare mein undecided hain.
Recent trading sessions mein, Australian dollar ne $0.6655 mark ke aas-paas resilience dikhai hai, jahaan na to bulls aur na hi bears ne koi decisive upper hand hasil kiya hai. Ye neutral stance significant price movements ke absence se underline hota hai jo established range se beyond jati hai. Traders aur investors dono hi closely monitoring kar rahay hain key support aur resistance levels ko is consolidation zone ke andar.

Market analysts is neutral trend ko mukhtalif factors se attribute karte hain jo Australian dollar ki performance ko US dollar ke against influence kar rahe hain. Economic indicators, jaise inflation data aur employment figures, crucial role play karte hain market sentiment ko shape karne mein aur currency flows ko influence karne mein. Is ke ilawa, global macroeconomic developments, including trade tensions aur central bank policies, bhi cautious trading environment mein contribute kar rahe hain jo AUD/USD pair mein dekhi ja sakti hai.

Is ke ilawa, technical indicators bhi market dynamics mein additional insights provide karte hain. Oscillators aur moving averages is waqt mixed signals de rahe hain, jo clear directional bias ke lack ko further emphasize karte hain. Traders jo ke technical analysis methods ko employ kar rahe hain, wo apni strategies ko adjust kar rahe hain taake ongoing consolidation phase ke saath adapt kar sakein.

Aage dekhte hue, market participants potential catalysts ko anticipate kar rahe hain jo ke AUD/USD pair ke current deadlock ko break kar sakti hain. Key events jaise central bank announcements, geopolitical developments, ya significant economic releases wo zaroori momentum provide kar sakti hain jiske zariye Australian dollar apne current range-bound pattern se break out kar sakega.

Akhir mein, Australian dollar ka exchange rate jo $0.6655 ke aas-paas hover kar raha hai, wo foreign exchange market mein consolidation period ko reflect karta hai. AUD/USD pair ka movement rectangular pattern mein yeh suggest karta hai ke traders ke darmiyan aik neutral stance hai, jo future price movements ke bare mein indecision ko characterize karta hai. Jaise market participants potential triggers ke liye wait kar rahe hain directional movement ke liye, focus economic indicators aur global developments par remain karta hai jo currency pair ke trajectory ko influence kar sakte hain aane wale sessions mein.

AUD/USD Through Technical Indicators:

Australian dollar (AUD) abhi $0.6655 ke aas paas hover kar raha hai, jise foreign exchange market mein ek neutral trend ka asar hai. Yeh daily charts par saaf dikh raha hai, jahan pe AUD/USD pair ek rectangular pattern ke andar phans gaya hai, jo consolidation ko darshata hai aur kisi clear direction ki bajaye. Analysts 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) par nazar daal rahe hain clues ke liye. Yeh technical indicator abhi 50 par hai, jo ek neutral market ko indicate karta hai. Is level ke upar ya neeche decisive move ek saaf tasveer pesh kar sakta hai ke AUD/USD kis direction mein ja raha hai.

AUD/USD ko do mukhtalif levels par support mil sakta hai. Pehla level hai 50-day exponential moving average (EMA) jo ab $0.6612 par hai. Yeh average floor price ka kaam karta hai, jahan pe pehle dips mein buyers ne aana shuru kiya tha. Dusra support level $0.6585 par hai, jo rectangular formation ke lower boundary ko mark karta hai. Is level ke neeche break ek aur decline signal kar sakta hai AUD ke liye.

Dusri taraf, AUD ko climb karte waqt resistance ka samna bhi karna pad sakta hai. Pehli rukawat hai rectangular pattern ke upper boundary par $0.6700 par. Agar yeh level ke upar sustained move ho jaaye, to yeh ek bullish trend ki shuruaat ho sakti hai. Aur ek resistance level $0.6714 par hai, jo January se highest point hai jo AUD/USD ne touch kiya hai.

Pichle kuch dinon mein trading mein kuch upar neeche dekhne ko mila hai, jahan pe sellers ne price ko successfully Friday ke low ke neeche push kiya. Jab ki buyers ne aaj kuch ground recover karne ki koshish ki, lekin unki koshishen maamooli rahi, kyunki price abhi $0.6645 ke neeche hai. Buyers ke liye important hai ki wo $0.6583 level ko defend karen. Agar yeh level successfully defend ho jaaye, to yeh ek buying opportunity ko signal kar sakta hai, jo ek potential rebound aur upward momentum ki continuation indicate karta hai. Ek false breakout bhi $0.6630 ke upar, uske baad reversal, ek buying chance present kar sakta hai.

AUDUSD Trading Recommendations: Mein market mein sell entry signals ki talaash karne ki advice deta hoon, kyun ke meri raay mein bullish trend se bearish trend ki taraf reversal hone ki sambhavna hai jo meri mapping ke mutabiq hai. Lekin sell entry signal ke liye behtar hai ke hum seller ke situation ka wait karein jab wo AUDUSD price ko neeche push karein aur MA100 indicator ko successfully penetrate karein. Seller ke MA100 indicator ko penetrate karne ki safalta trend reversal ka validation hai. Meri estimate hai ke seller AUDUSD market ko control karte raheinge aur price ko neeche push karenge, jo resistance area tak nahi pahunchega jo MA100 indicator aur support trend line ke neeche hai.

Is waqt AUD/USD currency pair bearish rukh ka muzahira kar rahi hai, jahan bechnay walay clear tor par faida utha rahay hain aur resistance levels par price action ko intercept karke upper momentum ko rok rahay hain. Yeh pattern lagatar downward movements ka sabab bana hai, jo ek mazboot bearish trend ko zahir karta hai. Ahem support level jo dekhne layak hai wo 0.6529 par hai, jahan iske breach hone par mazeed bearish momentum ho sakta hai.

### Ahem Technical aur Market Insights:

1. **Bearish Trend ki Tasdeeq:**
- Sellers ne effectively upward movements ko resistance levels par block kiya hai, jo sustained buying pressure ko rokta hai. Yeh rawayya bearish sentiment ko reinforce karta hai aur yeh zahir karta hai ke sellers market dynamics par qaboo pa rahay hain.

2. **Technical Levels:**
- Price ki upward movements 0.6722 ke aas paas resistance ka samna kar sakti hain, aur subsequent lower highs zahir karte hain ke higher resistance levels ko breach karne ki reluctance hai. Yeh pattern overall bearish outlook ko support karta hai AUD/USD pair ke liye.
Click image for larger version



3. **Market Events Jo Sentiment ko Impact Karte Hain:**
- Aaj ke events, jese ke Jerome Powell ka speech aur JOLTS report ka release, market moves ke liye significant potential rakhte hain. In events ke natayej market expectations ke mutabiq economic weakness ko reinforce kar sakte hain, jo bearish sentiment ko mazid taqat denge, ya unexpected positive data emerge hone par bullish reversal ka catalyst ban sakte hain.

4. **Trading Strategy:**
- Yeh approach AUD/USD ko choti lot sizes ke sath trade karna shamil karti hai, jo ke current consolidation phase se potential breakout ko anticipate karte hain. Long positions ko correction support zone 0.6651/0.6640 ke qarib open karna ek tactical entry strategy zahir karta hai jo potential upward movements par capitalize kar sakta hai agar market sentiment unexpectedly shift ho jaye.

### Conclusion:

AUD/USD currency pair filhal bearish outlook favor kar rahi hai, sellers ke control maintain karne aur resistance levels par sustained upward momentum ko rokne ki wajah se. Key technical levels aur support 0.6529 par critical hain bearish trend ki strength ko confirm karne ke liye. Market participants ko aaj ke economic events ko closely monitor karna chahiye potential sentiment shifts ke liye, jabke choti lot sizes ke sath cautious approach adopt karni chahiye taake current market dynamics ko effectively navigate kiya ja sake.

Australian dollar (AUD) ne chaar din tak musalsal ooper chalte hue achi performance di hai. Iska sabab Australia mein barhtee hui mehngai hai, jo Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ko sood ki sharah kam karne se rok rahi hai. RBA ke June meeting ke minutes se pata chalta hai ke bank ka focus inflation ko control mein rakhna hai, khas taur pe May mein barhtee hui Consumer Prices Index (CPI) data par. AUD ko mazid support mil raha hai kamzor US dollar se. Kamzor US economic data ke wajah se logon ko umeed hai ke Federal Reserve is saal ke aakhir mein sood ki sharah kam karegi, jo dollar ko doosri currencies ke muqable mein kamzor kar raha hai. Friday ke din tak AUD/USD exchange rate kareeban 0.6730 par hai.

Magar AUD ke liye kuch mushkilaat bhi hain. Chart analysis se lagta hai ke shayad ek reversal ho sakta hai, aur ek technical indicator, 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI), 70 ke qareeb hai, jo overbought situation ko signal kar sakta hai. Agar RSI 70 se uper chala gaya to AUD ko short-term correction ka samna karna par sakta hai.



Agar AUD/USD pair ooper chalta raha to 0.6780 ke qareeb resistance ko test kar sakta hai, aur phir psychological level 0.6800 ko. Agar buying pressure barqarar raha aur price 0.6713 ke uper close hui, to bulls December 2023 ka high 0.6870 target kar sakte hain. Agar ye level decisively break hua to pichle summer ka peak 0.6898 ko bhi retest kar sakta hai. Lekin agar AUD in resistance levels ke uper rehne mein nakam raha, to ye wapas 0.6730 area ya phir 50-day moving average (EMA) 0.6635 ko test kar sakta hai. Aakhri do trading sessions mein buying pressure ne price ko recent trading range ke upper end tak push kiya hai, aur agar breakout hua to significant move higher ho sakta hai. Kul mila ke, AUD ka near-term direction is baat par depend karta hai ke ye resistance levels ko overcome karta hai ya profit-taking aur potential reversal ka samna karta hai.

Forex Pair: AUD/USD Prices

Aayiye hum AUD/USD currency pair ki real-time price assessment ka tajziya karte hain. M15 time frame par AUDUSD pair ko analyse karte hain. Hum 9 aur 22 periods ki exponential moving averages ka istemal kar rahe hain jo current situation ko saaf taur par dikhayengi. Ye tools aksar traders ko maloom aur seedhi tarah samajhne wale hote hain. In do moving averages ke intersection par trading signals straightforward hain, aur is waqt price level 0.66185 par hai.

Agle marhale mein, entry point ko identify karte hain. Main do orders initiate karta hoon: aadha position current prices se aur doosra aadha price rollback ke baad M5 time frame par, jahan humare paas market mein sell entry hai. Mera minimum take-profit ratio 1 se 3 hai. Agar trade zyada faida deta hai, to main position ko chalne deta hoon. Jab price ek-third profitable zone mein move karti hai, to main safer stance ke liye breakeven par shift kar deta hoon, jisse zarurat par re-ordering ho sakti hai. Mera stop loss kareeban 21 points par set hai, jo maine trial and error ke zariye derive kiya hai aur jo mere liye optimal hai. Choti choti false movements aksar chote stops ko disrupt karti hain.



Ab hum Australian dollar-US dollar pair ko hourly chart par dekhte hain. Unemployment data ke release ke baad, pair decline karta hai aur 0.65988 support ko break kar deta hai. Unemployment data bohot aham hai, kyun ke job creation forecast values se zyada hai aur salaries expectations se behtar hain, jo potential inflationary pressures ka ishara deti hain. Tarikhi taur par, wage growth ne inflation ko bohot asar dala, magar iski taqat ab kam ho gayi hai. Inflation mukhtalif sectors mein kam ho rahi hai lekin ab bhi zyada hai. 0.1% ka slight decrease inflation mein ek choti si tabdeeli hai. Federal Reserve ke remarks ke baad, pair anticipated taur par drop karta hai, jo mere khayal mein slight inflation decrease kafi nahi hai. Main expect karta hoon ke pair range ke andar move kare aur mazeed decline kare towards 0.65593 support.

Hamari guftagu ka markaz live AUD/USD currency pair ke pricing movements ko decrypt karna hai. AUD/USD pair losses ko recover kar raha hai aur Tuesday ko Asian trading mein 0.6651 mark ko test kar raha hai, RBA ke June policy meeting ke minutes ne yeh dikhaya ke rate hike ab bhi mumkin hai. Magar, pair ka growth shayad US dollar ke mazid strong hone ki wajah se hai, Powell ki speech ke pehle. Daily chart ka tajziya karne se ek neutral trend samne aata hai, jo AUD/USD ko ek rectangular pattern mein consolidate karta hai. 14-day Relative Strength Indicator (RSI) 52 hai, jo is neutral outlook ko mazid reinforce karta hai. Aane wale price movements ziada precise trend direction de sakte hain. AUD/USD pair resistance ka samna kar sakta hai upper boundary of the rectangle 0.6691 ke qareeb, uske baad psychological level 0.6701 par. Mazid resistance 0.6715 par hai, jo January se highest hai. Dosri taraf, support kareeban 50-day exponential moving average (EMA) 0.6623 ke qareeb ho sakta hai.



Main ziada tar AUD/USD currency pair ko 30-minute timeframe mein trade karta hoon, Bollinger bands aur vertical volume bars ka istemal karte hue. Abhi 0.66508 par quoted, price Bollinger envelope ke upper limits par hai, jo possible bullish dynamics ko suggest karta hai. Main current price se ek long position le raha hoon aur aim kar raha hoon 0.66558, jo Bollinger envelope ka upper limit hai. Main qareebi taur par vertical volume formations ko monitor kar raha hoon. Main position ko 0.66558 par close karne ka plan kar raha hoon, lekin agar volumes strong rehte hain to position ko lamba chalane par bhi soch sakta hoon. Meri strategy ka ek crucial aspect market volatility ko consider karna hai. Dusra pivotal level 0.66464 hai, jo Bollinger envelope ka middle hai. Agar AUD/USD price 0.66464 se niche jata hai, to yeh mujhe long position ko loss par close karne ka signal dega aur shorting consider karne ka bhi. Meri strategy flexible rehti hai aur current market dynamics par depend karti hai.

Is waqt AUD/USD pair ko ghor se dekhna zaroori hai kyunki U.S. fiscal department se aanewali important announcements jaise ke ADP Non-Farm Employment aur Unemployment Rate market ko kafi hila sakti hain. Yeh releases AUD/USD exchange rate ko upar ya neeche kar sakti hain data ke outcomes par depend karte hue. Recent trends jo ke upward momentum ke baghair hain aur U.S. data ka anticipation market mein sellers ko favor kar sakti hai jo 0.6645 level ko target kar rahe hain. Abhi buy order dena strategic lag sakta hai, lekin upcoming U.S. economic announcements ko closely monitor karna zaroori hai. Yeh events volatility introduce kar sakti hain, jo buy strategy ko validate ya phir jaldi se selling par shift hone ka signal de sakti hain. Nai data ke mutabiq adapt karna essential hoga taake trading conditions ko sahi se navigate kiya ja sake aane wale dinon mein.

Technical analysis ko dekhte hue, AUD/USD pair ne ek mahine se zyada sideways consolidate kiya hai magar recent buying pressure ne upper boundaries ki taraf push kiya hai. Agar 0.6713 ke upar clear breakout hota hai to significant upward movement trigger ho sakti hai, jo resistance levels 0.6732 ko aim kar sakti hai aur possibly December 2023 ka high 0.6870 tak pahunch sakti hai. Wapas 0.6732 ke upar sustain na hone par pair retreat kar sakta hai support levels 0.6643 aur 0.6618 ki taraf, aur mazeed downside 0.6590 aur 200-day SMA 0.6558 ko test kar sakti hai.



Ab AUD/USD currency pair ko M5 timeframe par focus karte hue, bohot se traders RSI indicator se waqif hain ya uske bare mein suna hua hai. 14 period ke sath, RSI 70 ke upar aur upward trending overbought market condition ko signal karta hai, jo upward trend ke end aur potential reversal ko suggest karta hai. Traders jo short positions enter karne ke mauqe talash rahe hain, unke liye favorable area 0.67237 ke aas paas ho sakta hai. Main aam tor par market mein divided trading volumes ke sath enter karta hoon, ek order current prices par aur doosra thoda price pullback ke baad execute karta hoon. Main kam az kam 1:2 risk-reward ratio ko follow karta hoon, aur stop loss recent peak ke 15 points upar set karta hoon. Agar trade expected se behtar perform kare to trailing stops jaise adjustments karta hoon. Agar yeh insights madadgar hain, to umeed karta hoon ke yeh aapki trading strategies mein positive contribute karein.

AUD/USD H4 chart

Australian dollar ne pichle trading week mein limited volatility experience ki, lekin 0.6635 low ko retest karne ke baad ek uptrend shuru kar diya, jo usay channel upper 0.6701 se ooper le gaya. Magar, is doran price target area tak nahi pohnch saki aur ab bhi koshish mein hai. Is waqt, price chart super-trending green zone mein hai, jo active buyers ko indicate karta hai. Aaj ke technical perspective se dekhein to 240-minute chart par hum dekhte hain ke pair ka 0.6610 level ek strong reversal resistance ban gaya hai jo temporarily uptrend ko limit karega, aur humein pata hai ke Stochastic indicator bhi is mark ke qareeb hai. Yahan se, agar day trading 0.6690 se niche rehti hai to hum ek corrective decline dekh sakte hain jo downside mein initial level 0.6714 ko retest karegi, aur possible upside target 0.6820 tak ho sakta hai, jo uptrend ke sath consistent hai. Yeh uptrend tab shuru hota hai agar aap dekhain ke above corrective low against breakout initially 0.6705 aur 0.6790 ka rasta kholta hai. Neeche chart dekhain.



AUD/USD currency pair par latest analysis ek strong bullish signal dikhata hai. Kal, price ne important resistance 0.66842 level ko break kar liya, jo potential price increases ko indicate karta hai. Breakout ke baad price barh gayi aur 0.67327 high tak pohnch gayi. Magar, is increase ke baad ek short correction aayi jisne ek new support level 0.67014 par banaya. Resistance level 0.66842 ke upar breakout ek strong indication hai ke bullish trend mazid strengthen ho raha hai. Aise breakouts aam tor par dikhate hain ke buying pressure zyada dominant hai, aur price ke mazid barh ne ke chances bohot zyada hain. Technical context mein, new support 0.67014 ek strong foundation provide karta hai price ko choti correction ke baad phir se barhne ke liye. Mazeed, technical indicator EMA bhi additional bullish confirmation provide karta hai. 50 EMA cross karke 100 EMA ke upar hai, jo ek classic signal hai uptrend ka. Yeh position dikhati hai ke short-term momentum long-term momentum se zyada strong hai, jo reinforce karta hai ke bullish trend continue hoga.

Australian dollar versus US dollar

Sab ko shandar mood ki dua karta hoon! Daily chart par linear regression channel ki slope barh gayi hai. Mere liye, yeh is baat ka signal hai ke market mein ek strong buyer hai jo sellers par pressure dal raha hai, aur buying ka mauqa hai. Main galat bhi ho sakta hoon, lekin agar sales dekhein, to wo market ke against hain jo ke significant losses tak le ja sakti hain, is liye trend ke sath buys enter karna behtar hai. Is liye, stop order set karke aap apne loss ko limit kar sakte hain agar market movement trading plan ke against ho jaye, jahan stop order entry point 0.67046 se zyada na ho. Mere case mein, main wait karunga jab tak price channel ke bottom, level 0.67046 tak nahi aati. Is liye, main entry point dekhunga buy ke liye taake upper target 0.67472 ko reach karoon. Selling channel ke upper edge se expect karni chahiye. Purchases ke liye wait karna chahiye jab tak correction form nahi hoti.



Daily chart par linear regression channel north ki taraf hai. D1 channel bhi isi direction mein hai. Dono channels ka ek hi direction mein move karna is instrument ke upside ko highlight karta hai. Mere liye, ab purchases important hain. Channel ke bottom 0.66669 ke qareeb main entry point consider karta hoon. Market 0.67354 tak rise karega - yeh channel ki upper limit hai, jahan market mein slowdown hoga. Agar market upper border ke qareeb lambe arse tak rehta hai, to hum decline expect karenge channel ke lower part tak. Main downward movement ko skip karta hoon bina sales enter kiye. Sales trend ke against hain, aur agar decline nahi hota, to growth continue karega. Is liye, main pullback se market mein entry ka method use karta hoon. Mera khayal hai ke yeh method ek powerful player ke sath implement hoga jo growth le kar aayega aur bears ko break karega. Is case mein, top scroll kayi bar barh jata hai.

AUD/USD pair phir se barh rahi hai, jo trend Asian session ke doran aaj shuru hua. Yeh rise kamzor-than-expected data ki wajah se hui jo kal US labor market ke bare mein release hui thi. Magar, yeh sirf ek preview hai. Asal US labor market statistics Friday ko aayengi. Yeh preliminary data sirf short-term impact rakh sakti hai, jaise main course se pehle appetizer. Dollar ke bare mein optimistic hone ka ek aur reason yeh hai: agar US labor market slowdown bhi dikhata hai, to Federal Reserve apna course change karne ke imkaanat kam hain. Jerome Powell ke comments Tuesday ko is baat ko strongly suggest karte hain. Ab chalte hain technical analysis par.

Kal ke growth ki wajah se, AUD/USD quotes four-hour chart par blue moving average ko surpass kar gayi aur new local high 0.6734 tak pahunch gayi. Main anticipate nahi karta ke upward trend indefinitely continue karega, lekin jab tak quotes blue moving average ke upar hain, chance hai ke trend barh sakti hai. Magar agar quotes is key level ke neeche girti hain, to main southward movement expect karunga. Pehla target support level 0.6670 hoga. Agar yeh support break hoti hai, to quotes mazeed gir sakti hain, support level 0.6631 ko test karne ke liye, jo recent trading range ke lower border ke saath bhi coincide karti hai.



Asal mein, US dollar kuch temporary weakness experience kar raha hai, lekin main samajhta hoon ke yeh short-term reaction hai preliminary data par. Main event, official US labor market report, abhi aana baaki hai. Mazeed, Federal Reserve ka resolute stance yeh suggest karta hai ke wo apne plan par qayam rahenge, jo medium term mein dollar ko mazid strengthen kar sakti hai. Jab ke short-term volatility ho sakti hai, long-term outlook US dollar ke liye positive nazar aati hai.

Technical Analysis of AUD/USD

Australian dollar ne pichle trading week mein limited volatility experience ki, lekin 0.6635 low ko retest karne ke baad ek uptrend shuru kar diya, jo usay channel upper 0.6701 se ooper le gaya. Magar is doran, price target area tak nahi pohnch saki aur ab bhi koshish mein hai. Is waqt, price chart super-trending green zone mein hai, jo active buyers ko indicate karta hai.

Aaj ke technical perspective se dekhein to 240-minute chart par hum dekhte hain ke pair ka 0.6610 level ek strong reversal resistance ban gaya hai jo temporarily uptrend ko limit karega, aur humein pata hai ke Stochastic indicator bhi is mark ke qareeb hai. Yahan se, agar day trading 0.6690 se niche rehti hai to hum ek corrective decline dekh sakte hain jo downside mein initial level 0.6714 ko retest karegi, aur possible upside target 0.6820 tak ho sakta hai, jo uptrend ke sath consistent hai. Yeh uptrend tab shuru hota hai agar aap dekhain ke above corrective low against breakout initially 0.6705 aur 0.6790 ka rasta kholta hai.



Pair is waqt weekly highs se thoda ooper trade kar raha hai. Key support areas test hui hain, aur price successfully stop hui, jiski wajah se rebound hua aur upward vector relevant raha. Apni upward intentions ko confirm karne ke liye, price ko 0.6701 level ke ooper consolidate karna hoga, jo ab successfully key support area ke boundaries ko retest kar chuka hai, jo 0.6804 aur 0.6871 ke darmiyan hai. Is area ko target karna ek aur upward move create karega.

Agar support break hoti hai aur price 0.6635 ke turning level se niche girti hai, to yeh current scenario ko cancel karne ka signal hoga.

Trading week apne aakhri marahil mein hai, aur ab tak ke trading results kafi weak rahe hain. Umeed hai ke aakhri din zyada profitable hoga. Good morning Dim, dua karta hoon ke aapka yeh trading week profitable end ho! AUD/USD pair ki quotes ab bhi four-hour chart par current trading range ke upper end ke qareeb trade kar rahi hain, halaan ke US dollar ki significant strength kal dekhne mein aayi thi US economic data ki wajah se. Aaj ka economic calendar bhara hua hai news se, jo ke din bhar high level of activity expect karne ka matlab hai. Indicators four-hour chart par upside potential dikha rahe hain, lekin current trading range ki upper limit bulls ke rasta roki hui hai. Is marahil par, main wait kar raha hoon ke blue moving average strengthen ho, aur phir dekhenge ke bulls higher break karte hain ya nahi. Agar breakdown hota hai, to prices current local high 0.6714 ki taraf kaam karegi, aur phir rebound hoga jaisa ke blue moving average ka rebound prolonged decline ko 0.6580 level tak le jayega.



Australian dollar (AUD) ne US dollar (USD) ke against struggle ki Friday ki European trading session ke doran. AUD/USD pair ne temporary support 0.6650 ke crucial level par paya, lekin aakhirkar rising USD ke aage succumb kar gaya. USD ki yeh strength market expectations se aayi ke Federal Reserve (Fed) apni current interest rate policy ko zyada dair tak maintain karega mukablay mein doosri central banks ke. Yeh cautious sentiment weak economic data se fuel hua. Global flash PMI numbers June ke liye major economies se jaise ke Eurozone, UK, Japan, aur Australia sab expectations se below aaye. Upcoming US PMI bhi pichle release se weaker anticipate ki ja rahi hai, economists ne manufacturing aur services sectors mein decline predict kiya hai. Central banks jaise ke Bank of Canada (BOC), European Central Bank (ECB), aur Swiss National Bank (SNB) ke recent rate cuts ke bawajood, Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) se aise kisi bhi action ki expectation nahi hai. Australia mein inflation ab bhi RBA ke 2% target se ooper hai, isliye unhone apni policy rate ko is saal 4.35% par steady rakha hai.

AUD/USD Market Forecast

Assalam-o-Alaikum aur Subah Bakhair dosto!

Kal se US dollar ki kamzori nazar aa rahi hai, jo ke AUD/USD ke buyers ke liye ek achi surat-e-haal hai. Australian dollar ne kal lagbhag 0.6714 zone tak pohanch kar ek potential bullish trend ka signal diya hai. Yeh recent movement exchange rate mein un logon ke liye optimistic outlook create kar rahi hai jo AUD/USD hold kar rahe hain ya buy karne ka soch rahe hain. Magar, aaj ka US Non-Farm Unemployment Rate Release ek crucial event hai jo market sentiment ko significantly impact kar sakta hai. Yeh data, Average Hourly Earnings report ke sath mil kar US economy ki health aur labor market ke bare mein critical insights provide karega, jo USD ki strength ko influence karega.

Agar unemployment rate mein kami aur average hourly earnings mein wage growth nazar aati hai, to yeh US dollar ko mazid mazboot bana sakta hai, jo current favorable conditions ko AUD/USD buyers ke liye alter kar sakta hai. Waisa, agar data higher unemployment ya stagnant wage growth show karta hai, to yeh USD ko mazid weak kar sakta hai, jo AUD/USD ke bullish trend ko aur support de sakta hai. Filhaal, buyers stable aur confident nazar aa rahe hain, magar wo bhi cautious hain aur aaj ke US news events ka intezar kar rahe hain. Yeh economic indicators pivotal hain, kyun ke yeh market dynamics ko tezi se change kar sakte hain. Analysts aur traders in developments ko closely monitor kar rahe hain, kyun ke results short term mein market direction ko dictate karenge.

Agar market conditions favorable rehti hain, to strong possibility hai ke AUD/USD 0.6775 zone ko cross kar sakta hai. Yeh potential surge buyers ke liye significant gain represent karega, jo US dollar ki current weakness aur Australian dollar ki positive momentum ka faida utha rahe hain.



Akhir mein, jese ke present scenario AUD/USD buyers ke liye beneficial lag raha hai, aaj ke US economic news ka outcome decisive factor hoga yeh determine karne mein ke yeh trend continue karega ya reverse hoga. Market ka reaction in reports par critical hoga future direction of AUD/USD ko shape karne mein, aur traders ko potential volatility ke liye prepared rehna chahiye.

Stay Blessed aur Stay Safe!

AUD/USD Analysis 10 July 2024

H4 Hour Timeframe

Is hafte ke aghaz mein, kharidaron ke lashkar ne asal mein qeemat ko upar dhakelne ki koshish ki thi jo ke bullish trend ki taraf harakat ki consistency ko qaim rakhte hue ma'yus nahi hue, halaan ke thora sa bearish downward bhi tha. June ke aghaz se trading session mein jo bullish movement hui, us se yeh sabit hota hai ke kharidaron ka lashkar AUDUSD currency pair par ab bhi mazboot qaboo rakhta hai. Bearish pressure ka koshish hui lekin girawat ziada nahi thi. Buyers ne market mein ho rahi izafa ko qaim rakhne mein kamiyab rahe. Filhal, market ke halat ab bhi bullish trend candlestick pattern ke banne par munhasir hain. Market ki mojooda qeemat ko dekhte hue, mumkin hai ke candlestick ab bhi aur upar ja sakti hai, lekin qeemat ke kisi bhi waqt girne ke potential se bhi hoshiyar rehna zaroori hai.

Ab qeemat taqriban 0.6749 tak barh gayi hai. Relative Strength Index indicator par Lime line 50 level se upar uth gayi thi. Candlestick ki position ko dekhen jo ke ab bhi yellow Simple Moving Average 60 indicator ke upar aaram se khel rahi hai, yeh batata hai ke market ab bhi strong bullish hai. Agar yeh izafa doosre buyers se positive response lena shuru kar de, to andaza yeh hai ke izafa dobara 0.6800 ke qeemat level ko target karega. Is hafte ke market ke halat ko dekhte hue jahan qeemat ab bhi upar ja rahi hai, yeh asal mein buyers ke liye faidemand hai kyunke wo ideal level par BUY entry moment hasil kar sakte hain taake potential profit ko maximize kar sakein, kyunke bullish trend ab bhi kaafi potential rakhta hai ke dobara ho sakta hai.

USD/JPY,H1

Is liye, humein zaroor hoshiyaar rehna chahiye, kyunki jab bhi U.S. fiscal department kisi high-impact news event ka izhaar karega, jaise ke ADP Non-Farm Employment aur Unemployment rate, ye announcements significant market oscillations bana sakti hain, jo AUDUSD market ko upar ya neeche dhakel sakti hain, data ke mutabiq. Mere khayal mein, aaj ka market zyada tar sellers ki taraf jhukega, recent lack of upward momentum aur U.S. data ke intizaar ko dekhte hue. Sellers shayad 0.6645 position ko target karen, jo ke ek possible strike aim lagta hai. Is liye, ek buy order dena strategically sound lag sakta hai given ke current position ko dekhte hue, lekin yeh zaroori hai ke forthcoming U.S. economic announcements ko closely monitor kiya jaye. Ye events zaroori volatility provide kar sakti hain market perception ko shift karne ke liye, ya buying strategy ko validate karen ya phir selling approach ki taraf jaldi se pivot karne par majboor karen. Updated rehna aur naye data ke mutabiq adapt karna zaroori hoga aaj ke potentially turbulent trading environment mein navigate karne ke liye. Pichle kuch dino ke data ko dekh kar ye baat samajh aati hai. AUDUSD ne trend line ko last candle mein hit kiya, jo current candle mein price ke rise hone ka sabab bana. Agar AUDUSD moving average lines ko neeche cross kar leta hai aane wale ghanton mein, toh trend direction shift ho sakti hai. Iska natija ye hoga ke price substantial buyer momentum ki wajah se badhegi aane wale ghanton mein. Recommended hai ke AUDUSD ko resistance levels 0.6689 aur 0.6705 tak khareeda jaye agar price moving average lines ke upar close hoti hai.

Technical picture ko dekhte hue, AUD/USD pair ek sideways range mein trade kar raha hai for over a month. Lekin recent buying pressure ne price ko is neutral zone ke upper limits tak push kiya hai. Agar 0.6713 ke upar ek decisive breakout hota hai, toh ek significant upward move trigger ho sakta hai AUD ke liye. Agar upward trend daily close ke saath 0.6713 ke upar continue karta hai, toh pair ko near term mein 0.6732 pe resistance face karna parega. Is hurdle ko overcome karna December 2023 ke high of 0.6870 tak climb ka rasta khol sakta hai. Agar 0.6732 ke upar hold nahi kar pata, toh AUD wapas retreat kar sakta hai resistance-turned-support levels 0.6643 aur 0.6618 tak jo April aur May mein establish hue the. Ek aur decline May support 0.6600 ko test kar sakta hai.

Ab waqt hai AUDUSD currency pair ko M5 timeframe mein analyze karne ka. Mujhe lagta hai ke kai logon ne kabhi na kabhi use kiya hoga, ya kam se kam RSI indicator ke bare mein suna hoga. Period jo use hota hai woh 14 hai. Ye indicator trading mein mera wafadar dost raha hai. Mein din mein choti transactions karna prefer karta hoon. RSI 70 mark ke upar aur upwards move karna ek powerful signal hai ke market overbought zone mein hai. Ye dikha sakta hai ke upward trend end hone wala hai aur reverse hone ko tayar hai. Ye trader ke liye acchi khabar hai jo sell position open karne ka mauka dhoondh raha hai area: 0.67237. Mein market mein kuch orders ke saath enter karta hoon, trading volume do orders mein divide hota hai. Pehla order current prices se, doosra ek choti price rollback ke baad, jahan hum market mein sell karte hain. Main hamesha standard risk aur reward follow karta hoon, jo kam se kam 1 to 2 hota hai. Jab price target zones ke paas aati hai, toh mein entry point pe rehta hoon, aur agar trade 1 to 2 se zyada deti hai, toh trailing stop apply karta hoon. Mera stop loss 15 points hota hai last existing peak se. Ek fixed value jo situation ke mutabiq use hoti hai. Agar mera comment kisi ke liye useful hota hai, toh mujhe khushi hogi! Aapka din acha guzre!

Agar bulls control nahi lete, toh ek deflection 0.6628 tak ho sakti thi. AUD/USD ne support 0.6645 ko break kiya lekin usay maintain nahi kar paya, jise dekhte hue bulls ne pair ko side channel mein wapas push kiya, jo ab strengthen ho gaya hai. Bearish move puri tarah se likely nahi hai; agar bears strength gather karte hain, toh woh price ko 0.6645 ke neeche dhakel sakte hain, ek foothold establish karte hue aur ek sell entry point bana sakte hain. Bulls price ko resistance level 0.6685 tak bullish move karne ki koshish karenge agar aise forces na ho. Side channel mein continue karna realistic hai, lekin changes possible hain. M15 chart mein, linear regression channel bearish trend kar raha hai, jo 0.66306 pe strong seller indicate karta hai. Bear sell zone channel ke upper border 0.66538 ke kareeb hai. Ye mark bulls ke liye crucial hai H1 trend break hone se bachane ke liye. Is liye, 0.66538 pe reversal signals dhoondhe aur sales enter karein.