𝐀𝐔𝐃/𝐔𝐒𝐃

European session mein, AUD/USD 0.6654 par trade kar raha hai, jo ke din ka 0.10% zyada hai. Australian mehengai 4.4% tak barh gayi hai. Mehengai ke indicators is hafte umeed se zyada aaye hain, jo is baat ko zahir karte hain ke mehengai abhi bhi barh rahi hai aur Reserve Bank of Australia ke target group ki mehengai ke rates jo 2% se 3% ke darmiyan hone chahiye un tak pohanchne ka rasta mushkil hai. Budh ko, Melbourne ne mehengai ke expectations ko June mein 4.4% tak barhaya, jo May ke 4.1% se zyada tha aur jo ke 2.5 saal ka sabse kam tha.
Ye report ek din baad aayi hai jab CPI May mein 4.0% tak tez hui, jo ke April ke 3.6% se zyada thi aur market ki estimate 3.8% thi. Ye November 2023 ke baad se sabse zyada mehengai ka rate hai aur isse pehlay do bar ka izafi or tez rakamdaari ka record. Ye RBA ke liye fikar ka baat hai. RBA ko rate cut karne mein 2025 tak dair karna par sakta hai, aur mehengai ke khilaf jang khatam hogi. Mehengai sirf kam nahi hui balki jab barhti hai to mehengai ka khauf haqeeqat ban jata hai.

RBA ne is baat par zor diya hai ke rate hike abhi bhi zaere-ghor hai aur is masle ko pehle do rate meetings mein discuss kiya gaya hai. Aakhirkar, policymakers ne rate ko 4.35% par rakhnay ka fahslakar hai. Australia apna pehla-quarter rate hike 31 July ko report karega, jo ke agle RBA meeting se ek hafta pehle hai. Agar Q1 mehengai barh gayi to central bank August meeting mein rate hike kar sakta hai. U.S. mein humein thodi dair ke baad final GDP ka ikhlaas milayga (teesri figure). Market ka estimate 1.4% hai jo ke dusra estimate hai. U.S. economy ne pehle quarter mein zyada slow down dekha, aur 2023 ke fourth quarter mein 3.4% ki mazboot kami adbari post ki.

AUD/USD Forum (Australian Dollar - US Dollar): Charts, Reviews

M15 chart par linear regression channel ka slope ooper ki taraf hai. Mere liye yeh ek ishara hai ke market mein taqatwar khareedar mojood hain jo ke bechne walon par dabao daal rahe hain, kharidari ke liye jaga hai. Mumkin hai ke main ghalat ho, lekin bechne ke mamlay mein, meri surat-e-haal mein, jo market ke khilaf jaana hai, jo ke bari nuqsanat ka sabab ho sakta hai, kharidari ke trend ke khilaf jaane se. Is liye, ek stop set kar ke hamesha apne nuqsanat ko had mein rakh sakte hain agar bazaar ghalat rukh mein chala gaya to, stop point kharidari ke dakhil hone ka ooper nahi hai 0.67046. Meri surat-e-haal mein, main intezar karunga jab tak ke qeemat channel ke nichle hisse tak neeche na jaye, level 0.67046 tak. Is ke aas paas, main kharidari ke dakhil hone ke liye talaash karunga ta ke 0.67472 ke ooper target par kaam kiya ja sake. Bechne ka intezar channel ke ooper ke kinare se kiya jana chahiye. Kharidari ke sath intezar karna chahiye jab tak ke koi correction bana ho jaye.



On the hourly chart, linear regression channel north ki taraf mukhtasar hai. M15 par bhi channel isi rukh mein hai. Dono channels ke movement ke baghair ikhtilaf ke sath yeh zahir karta hai ke is instrument par urooj ki taraf movement hai. Mere liye ab kharidari ahmiyat rakhti hai. Channel ke neeche, 0.66669 ke qareeb, main dakhil hone ka soch raha hoon. Mutawaqqa hai ke market 0.67354 tak barh raha hai - yeh channel ka ooper boundary hai, jahan market ki rukawat hogi. Agar market lamba samay tak channel ke ooper boundary ke qareeb rahe, to zahir hai ke hume channel ke nichle hisse ki taraf girne ka intezar karna chahiye. Main channel ke nichle hisse ki taraf girne ko bechne ke bina guzar raha hoon. Bechna trend ke khilaf jaana hai, aur agar koi wapas na ho, to izafa jari rahega. Isi liye, main market mein dakhil hone ka tareeqa istemal karta hoon. Mujhe yakeen hai ke yeh tareeqa ek taqatwar khareedar ke sath amal mein aayega jo bearish trend ko tor kar urooj mein shamil ho ga. Is surat mein ooper se guzar jana kayi guna barhata hai.

Mujhe lagta hai ke neeche ka rasta muft hai aur north ki direction se zyada mumkin hai. Magar, zaroori hai ke mukhtalif cheezon ke liye tayar rehna chahiye, aur shuru mein price thoda upar rollback kar sakti hai phir hamari taraf ja sakti hai. Yeh forecast news ke asar ko bhi madde nazar rakhta hai. AUD/USD pair jumay ko Asian session mein 0.6740 ke multi-mahina peak ke qareeb consolidate kar rahi hai jab traders US NFP report ka intezar kar rahe hain. Fed aur RBA ke darmiyan policy ka tafreeq is pair ko support kar raha hai. Australian dollar jumay ko 0.6730 ke qareeb trade ho raha hai. Daily chart analysis rising wedge dikhata hai jo downside potential reversal ki taraf ishara karta hai. Asal mein, jab hum us range se bahar nikal aaye jahan hum ne itni dair trade kiya, hamare liye kuch nahi badla. Aaj bhi unhone apni growth continue ki aur local maximums ko update kiya. Aur of course, humare paas ab bhi bohot initiative hai, magar mere liye koi immediate goals nahi hain Har surat mein, yeh dekhna zaroori hai ke dollar aage kaise trade karega kyunki jald hi knocks milne wale hain. Mere khayal mein, last price moves ne sirf un sellers ko nikaal diya jo AUD/USD ko neeche accumulation area 0.6654 mein bech rahe the aur jo yeh umeed kar rahe the ke is trading instrument ka price har surat neeche jayega aur ek hundred percent guarantee ke saath, aur isi wajah se price neeche nahi gaya, balki wild tareeqe se upar soar kar gaya, aur iss tarah se formed maximum ko update kar diya. Agar meri guesses sahi sabit hui, toh is pair ko yahan is area mein khareedna bilkul mumkin nahi, kyunki yeh ho sakta hai ke top pe AUD/USD ki liquidity puri tarah se khatam ho jaye, aur agar yeh baat hai, toh price ko aage upar drive karne ka koi faida nahi hoga, kyunki aise halat mein puppeteer ke liye kuch bhi interesting nahi hoga, aur agar aisa hai, toh iss scenario ke mutabiq, shayad hum sab ke liye ek unexpected tareeqe se, hum neeche accumulation area 0.6671 ki taraf move karenge
Toh, agar yeh level ke upar consolidate karne mein kamiyab ho jaye, toh buying ke liye ek entry point ban sakta hai, aur horned ones is pair ko aage upar move karte rahenge. Magar agar initiative bears ne le liya, toh, 0.6733 ke level ke neeche ek sale point ban sakta hai, aur phir clubfooted ones south ki taraf press karna shuru kar denge. Is tarah se, ek rollback ya correction kaam kar sakta hai, jiske baad buyers apni forces consolidate karenge. Daily chart dikhata hai ke aaj ek bullish candle form hui hai, magar abhi tak thoroughly strengthen nahi hui, is liye situation clear nahi hai, halanke upward trend ab bhi priority mein hai. Iss situation mein, mere liye ab tak kuch nahi badla kyunki main ab bhi sidelines pe hoon, aur main ab bhi long-term initiative pe focus karunga. Magar yahan bhi, ek acha rollback zaroori hai, aur is liye, agar hum 0.6660 area tak neeche gaye, toh sirf wahan main purchases allow karunga

Jummah ko US stocks lower band par band hue jab subha ke faide arzi sabit hue. Investors ne naye inflation data ka tajziya kiya aur US presidential debate ke baad siyasi beyakini ko tolna shuru kiya.

Nike ke shares 20 saalon mein apni sabse bari ek din ki girawat par slip hue, downbeat outlook ke bawajood.

"Main nahi samajhti ke inflation mein kuch zyada tabdeeli aayegi kyunke Fed 2% target par commit aur bohot disciplined hai," Ann Miletti, head of active capital at Allspring ne kaha.

Data se zahir hota hai ke May mein mahana US inflation flat raha, jo ke aik encouraging sign hai jab ke saal ke aaghaz mein sharp price increases ne Fed ki policies ke effectiveness par shubhaat paida kiye thay.

Commerce Department ke report ne bhi pichle mahine consumer spending mein aik modest increase dikhaya, jo ke optimism barhane ka sabab bana ke Fed economy ke liye aik soft landing achieve kar sakega.

LSEG FedWatch ke mutabiq, personal consumption expenditures price index ke release ke baad September mein rate cut ki probability 66% tak barh gayi.

Fed ke sirf ek rate cut ki forecast ke bawajood, traders do rate cuts ki umeed rakhte hain, inflation relief ke liye bet lagate hue.

Major Australian dollar pair ke current price fluctuations, jo ke pichle saal July se ongoing hain, downward corrective flat ke algorithm mein fit hoti hain. Mid-May mein shuru hone wali bearish wave, horizontal flat ki shakal mein, main wave ke final part ka aghaz bana rahi hai.



Aane wale hafte mein pair ke sideways movement continue rehne ki umeed hai. Aane wale kuch dinon mein resistance levels tak keemat mein arzi izafa ko nazar andaz nahi kiya ja sakta. Hafte ke aakhir tak, reversal aur decline ke start ki probability support zone ke contact tak barh jati hai.


Intraday sessions ke dauran mumkin hain. Potential resistance se limited hai.

Isay trading mein istemal kiya ja sakta hai jab resistance zone mein confirmed reversal signals zahir hon.

US dollar jo pehle kuch kamzori ka shikar tha, FOMC ke elan ke baad apne nuksan se bahal ho gaya. Rates ko barqarar rakhne ke faislay ne global uncertainties ke darmiyan US economy ki resilience par aitmaad zahir kiya. Aage chal kar, market participants mazeed economic indicators aur central bank ke actions par barik nazar rakhenge, jo aane wale hafton mein currency movements par asar daal sakte hain.

Australian dollar ka positive domestic data par unexpected reaction global currency markets ki complexities ko highlight karta hai, jahan economic fundamentals ke ilawa mukhtalif factors exchange rates ko mutasir karte hain. Filhal, trading ke liye technical surat-e-haal ideal nahi hai. Recent FOMC meeting ne US dollar par significant upward pressure daala, jis wajah se AUD/USD pair mein downward movement dekhne ko mila. Aaj ke economic news New York session ke doran naye pressures introduce kar sakti hain jab market activity barhti hai, presenting potential trading opportunities.

Jumeraat ko job statistics ke elan ke bawajood, Australian dollar (AUD) thodi decline kar raha hai. Australia ka Employment Change data dikhata hai ke May mein 39.7K zyada employed individuals thay April (30.0K) se, jo pichle 38.5K gain se zyada hai. Isi doran, unemployment rate 4.0% tha, jo April ke anticipated 4.1% figure se kam tha. US Federal Reserve ke hawkish stance ke baad, US dollar (USD) apne pehle nuksan se rebound kar gaya, jo AUD/USD pair ko nuksan pohnchata hai.

Investors US weekly Producer Prices Index (PPI) aur Initial Jobless Claims data ka intezaar kar rahe hain Thursday ko, taake US economy ki haalat par mazeed insight mil sake. National Australia Bank (NAB) ke Chief Economist Alan Oster ne Tuesday ko kaha, "Unhe umeed hai ke RBA kuch arsa tak rates ko hold rakhega jab ke yeh contrasting risks ko navigate kar raha hai. Growth ke outlook par warning signs hain, lekin saath hi inflation outlook ke bare mein bohot ehtiyaat karne ke reasons hain."

Aaj ka market humare liye short transactions ko close karne ka excellent opportunity faraham karta hai, kyunke is waqt sellers ki taqat buyers ke potential se zyada hai. HamaSystem, RSI Trend aur Magnetic_Levels_Color indicators ko apne kaam mein istemal karte hain. H1 time frame par Ham indicator aur RSI trend ke mutabiq, bearish mode zahir hai - dono indicators blue aur green hain, jo sellers ki dominant strength ko dikhate hain. Hum independently sale transaction open karte hain aur magnetic level indicator ka istemal karte hue position exit karenge. Is waqt, ideal level 1.66081 par kaam karna hai. Aur phir hum chart ko dekh kar aur keemat ke movement ki nature ko dekh kar faisla karenge ke market mein position maintain karni hai ya pehle se liya gaya profit fix karna hai. Maximum possible profit extract karne ke liye, hum is strategy ko follow karte hain.

Ek aur trading week apne anjaam par hai, aur ab tak ke trading results kaafi kamzor rahe hain. Umeed karta hoon ke aaj ka akhri din zyada profitable hoga. Good morning Dim, dua hai ke current trading week ka anjaam aap ke liye profitable ho! AUD/USD pair ke quotes abhi bhi four-hour chart par current trading range ke upper end ke qareeb trade kar rahe hain, kal ke din US economic data ki wajah se US dollar ki significant strength ke bawajood. Aaj ka economic calendar kaafi news se bhara hua hai, jo ke din bhar high level of activity ko expect karne ka sabab hai.

Indicators four-hour chart par upside potential dikhate hain, lekin current trading range ka upper limit bulls ke raaste ko block kar raha hai. Is stage par, main blue moving average ke strengthen hone ka intezar kar raha hoon, aur phir dekhte hain ke bulls higher break kar pate hain ya nahi. Agar breakdown hota hai, to prices current local high 0.6714 ki taraf kam karegi, aur phir rebound hoga jab blue moving average rebound hote hue prolonged decline ko 0.6580 level tak le jayega.

Australian dollar (AUD) ne Friday ki European trading session ke doran US dollar (USD) ke muqablay mein struggle kiya. AUD/USD pair ko temporary support mila crucial level 0.6650 par, lekin aakhir kar rising USD ke samne jhuk gaya. USD ki ye strength market expectations se aayi ke Federal Reserve (Fed) doosre central banks ke muqablay mein apni current interest rate policy ko zyada dair tak maintain rakhega. Ye cautious sentiment weak economic data se fueled tha. Global flash PMI numbers June ke liye major economies jaise ke Eurozone, UK, Japan, aur Australia se expectations se neeche aaye. Aane wala US PMI bhi previous release se weak hone ki umeed hai, economists ne manufacturing aur services sectors dono mein decline predict kiya hai.

Recent rate cuts central banks jaise ke Bank of Canada (BOC), European Central Bank (ECB), aur Swiss National Bank (SNB) ke bawajood, Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) se koi expectation nahi hai ke wo bhi rate cut karega. Australia mein inflation ab bhi RBA ke 2% target se upar hai, isi wajah se unhone apni policy rate ko is saal 4.35% par barqarar rakha hai.

Recent data ne Australian economy ke liye ek tashweeshnaak tasveer pesh ki hai. Judo Bank Australia Manufacturing PMI June mein gir kar 47.2 par aaya, jo May 2020 ke baad sabse bara decline hai. Ye contraction aur investor mood ke sour hone se Australian dollar (AUD) par pressure aaya. Lekin, China se kuch umeed ki kiran nazar aayi. China's Caixin Manufacturing PMI, jo duniya ki doosri badi economy ki health ka ek key indicator hai, analysts ko surprise karte hue June mein 51.8 par barh gaya. Ye unexpected uptick, jo predictions se mukhalif tha, AUD ko kuch relief de sakta hai. Australia aur China trading partners ke taur par gahri taaraf mein bandhe hue hain, isliye Chinese economy ke positive developments ka Australia ke liye faida hota hai.

Is doran, US Dollar (USD) kamzor ho gaya hai, Fed Reserve ke is saal ke baad mein interest rate cut ki umeedon ke barhane ke sabab se. USD ki ye decline AUD ke liye kuch breathing room create kar sakti hai. Monday tak, AUD/USD 0.6670 ke aas-paas tha.

**Technical Analysis**

Daily chart ka technical analysis dekhein to AUD/USD consolidation phase mein phansa hua nazar aata hai, jo ek rectangular pattern ke andar hai, aur neutral overall sentiment ko zahir karta hai. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 ke thoda upar hai, jo slight bullish bias ko suggest karta hai. Kareebi mustaqbil mein, AUD/USD ko resistance ka samna hoga jab ye rectangle ke upper boundary 0.6690 ke qareeb pahunchega. Agar ye level breach ho jata hai to ye psychological barrier 0.6700 tak aur shayad us se bhi upar 0.6714 tak, jo January ke baad nahi dekha gaya, propel ho sakta hai.

Niche ki taraf, 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 0.6621 par abhi AUD/USD ko support de raha hai. Is level ke neeche girne par rectangular pattern ki lower border 0.6585 ka test trigger ho sakta hai. Overall, AUD ka future trajectory abhi bhi uncertain hai. Australia ki manufacturing woes aur negative investor sentiment ki headwinds abhi bhi hain, lekin China's positive PMI aur weakening USD kuch countervailing support offer kar sakte hain. Technical analysis near term mein AUD/USD ke liye consolidation period suggest karta hai, future economic data aur central bank actions par depend karte hue upside aur downside dono pe potential breakout zones ke sath.

Friday (June 28) ko, AUD/USD 0.4% higher close hua 0.6667 par. May mein US PCE price index previous month ke muqablay mein flat tha, aur pehle soft CPI aur PPI data ke sath mil kar, ye dikhata hai ke inflation slow ho rahi hai. Tight supply ne Australian house prices ko barhane mein lagataar madad di hai, jo inflation concerns ko trigger kar raha hai, aur market expect kar raha hai ke August mein interest rate hike ka probability 53% tak jump kar gaya hai. Mukable mein, Australian dollar ko significant boost mila hai.

Isi waqt, Australian dollar ka Japanese yen ke khilaf cross-trading mein obvious advantage hai, jo Australian dollar ko temporarily US dollar ke khilaf direct trading mein gain karne mein madad di hai. Recent fluctuation price 0.66 level ke upar hi rahi hai. Daily chart se dekhne par, AUD/USD poori tarah sideways trend pattern se nahi nikla hai aur range-bound fluctuations mein hi hai. Technical indicators ab bhi neutral hain aur direction ab bhi unclear hai.

Federal Reserve ki monetary policy shift kab hogi, ye ab bhi market ka main focus hai. Isliye, US dollar ka trend ab bhi dominant factor hai. Expected hai ke agar near future mein koi major news nahi aati, to AUD/USD most likely range-bound fluctuation trend maintain karega, aur fluctuation range mainly 0.66-0.6710 ke darmiyan rahegi. Traders currency pair ko sell kar sakte hain agar pair upper line of Bollinger Bands indicator se rebound kare.

Greetings aur subah bakhair sab ko!

AUD/USD ka price abhi 0.6668 zone ke qareeb float kar raha hai, jo ek critical resistance area hai jise traders ghor se dekh rahe hain. Ye level ek springboard ki tarah kaam kar sakta hai, jo traders ko recent dips se recover karne ya ek naye upward journey ke liye 0.6692 mark ki taraf embark karne ka moka de sakta hai. Mere khayal mein, market ko US Final Manufacturing aur ISM Manufacturing PMI data se significantly influence kiya jayega. Ye reports economic health ke crucial indicators hain aur market sentiment ko sway kar sakti hain. Isliye, ye zaroori hai ke apni account ko in data releases ko madde nazar rakhte hue manage karein.

Main recommend karta hoon ke aaj AUD/USD par ek buy order place karein, aur short-term target 0.6682 ka aim karein. Market buyers ke favor mein lean karta nazar aa raha hai, jo ye suggest karta hai ke upward momentum likely continue hoga. Lekin, ehtiyaat ki zaroorat hai, especially US aur Asian trading sessions ke doran, kyun ke volatility achanak spike kar sakti hai.

Incoming news aur economic data ko closely dekhna jo AUD/USD se related ho, poore hafta ke doran crucial hoga taake informed trading decisions liye ja sakein. Vigilant reh kar aur naye information ko adapt kar ke, traders market ko behtar navigate kar sakte hain aur potential opportunities ko seize kar sakte hain. Is tarah ka strategic approach ensure karta hai ke koi sudden market shifts se off guard na ho aur favorable conditions ka faida utha sake.

Summary mein, current price level of AUD/USD buyers ke liye ek compelling opportunity pesh karta hai, provided wo key economic indicators par attentive rahein aur apni accounts ko prudently manage karein. Umeed hai ke agle kuch ghantay AUD/USD ke buyers ke liye behtar sabit honge. Dekhte hain agle kuch ghantay mein kya hota hai aur apni trading mein stop loss ko aqalmandi se istemal karein.

Good day to everyone!

Australian Dollar aur US Dollar ke daily chart par hum dekh sakte hain ke price takreeban do mahine se ek wide range mein move kar raha hai aur koi clear direction nahi dikha raha ke ye range se break out karega. Pehle Australian Dollar ne kuch growth dikhayi thi, isliye ye bilkul logical hai ke agar price is range se break out karta hai to ye zyadatar upside ko hi karega.

Isliye, near future ke liye strategy ye hai ke AUDUSD currency pair ko tab khareedna jab ye range ke lower boundary tak drop ho, jo ke approximately support level 0.6590 ke qareeb hai. Phir positions ko hold kiya ja sakta hai anticipation mein ke upper boundary se breakout hoga. Lekin, ek viable option ye bhi hai ke positions ko tab close karein jab Australian Dollar apni upper boundaries ke qareeb ho, kyunki ye uncertain hai ke kaunsi tactic humein zyada profit degi.

Stay vigilant aur market movements par close nazar rakhein taake best opportunities ko capitalize kar sakein. Happy trading!

Kal AUD/USD ke liye jab previous daily range high update hua, to price peak se reverse hote hue south ki taraf chali gayi, jis se ek uncertain candle emerge hui jo slight bearish advantage ke sath end hui. General note par, main assume karta hoon ke nearby resistance levels kaam kar sakte hain, aur is situation mein main primarily resistance levels 0.66986 aur 0.67141 ko dekh raha hoon.

Do scenarios in resistance levels ke qareeb ho sakte hain. Pehla scenario ye hai ke price level ke upar stabilize ho jaye aur phir north ki taraf move continue kare. Agar ye plan kaam karta hai, to key ye hai ke wait karein ke price 0.68711 ke resistance level ki taraf move kare. Is resistance level ke qareeb, main trade setup ka wait karunga jo trade direction determine karne mein madad karega. Main yeh bhi manta hoon ke jab price fixed northern target ki taraf move karegi, to southern pullbacks ho sakte hain, jinhein main bullish signals ke liye use karna chahunga nearby support levels se price replication ke liye. Aur movement resume ho sakti hai.

Dusra option ye hai ke jab price action resistance level ke qareeb 0.67141 ya 0.66986 pohonchti hai, to wahan ek candlestick reversal point aur price action point ko re-establish kare. Agar ye plan kaam karta hai, to main price ko support level 0.65761 ya 0.65580 ki taraf move karte hue dekhoonga. Key bullish signals ko support level ke qareeb place karna chahiye taake price increase ka resumption expect kiya ja sake. Mukhtar ke mutabiq, aaj woh manta hai ke price resistance level ke qareeb northward move karegi, aur phir central market ke sath line mein move karegi.

AUD/USD currency pair ke live pricing par nazar daali jaaye to D1 chart par, low of 0.6364 se, Australian dollar ka primary momentum upward hi raha hai. Bears ki repeated koshishen AUD/USD ko support line 0.6589 ke neeche push karne ki naakaam rahi hain. Friday ke trading close ke baad, is pair ke liye nearest significant support 0.6653 par hai. Agar bulls is level ke upar Monday ko hold karte hain aur resistance 0.6681 ko break kar lete hain, to wo upward move kar sakte hain pehle impulse zone 0.6728 ki taraf, jahan se new attempts decline ki ho sakti hain.

Lekin agar 0.6653 support likely rahta hai aur bears consolidation karte hain, to price gir kar supports 0.6610 aur 0.6589 par aa sakti hai. Filhal, is scenario ki likelihood kam hai. Weekend ke news ke background par bohot kuch depend karega. Jahan euro dollar France ke first round of elections par react kar sakta hai, Australian dollar ke liye significant driver honay ke chances kam hain, aur specifics trading ke duran hi likely hain.

Aaj ka AUD/USD trading 0.6674 ke price par open hua. Opening ke waqt ek small gap nazar aaya jis ne audusd ko thoda rise kar diya. Pehle bhi audusd ne kaafi increase experience ki thi jab candle demand area par 0.6625 ke price par penetrate karne mein naakaam rahi thi. Abhi audusd ko dobara rise karne mein difficulty ho rahi hai kyunki wo abhi bhi resistance 0.6687 par blocked hai. Ek tarika upar jaane ka ye hai ke pehle isse penetrate kiya jaaye. Problem ye hai ke agar ye na hua to ek retracement ho sakta hai jo price ko dobara girne ka sabab banega. Agar ye hota hai, to targeted area support 0.6681 par hoga. Mera scenario aaj ke liye ye hai ke audusd pehle 0.6645 ke price tak correct karega aur phir audusd dobara strong hoga. Ichimoku indicator se ye idea milta hai ke audusd rise karega kyunki candle position tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines ke upar hai. Kumo cloud ke penetrate hone se ye indicate hota hai ke bullish trend shuru ho gaya hai.

Aaj ka AUD/USD trading 0.6674 ke price par open hua. Opening par ek chhota sa gap nazar aaya jo AUD/USD ko thoda sa upar le gaya. Pehle, AUD/USD ne kaafi high increase experience ki thi jab candle demand area 0.6625 ke price par penetrate karne mein naakaam rahi thi. Abhi bhi AUD/USD ko dobara rise karne mein difficulty ho rahi hai kyunki ye abhi bhi resistance 0.6687 par blocked hai. Upar jaane ka ek tarika ye hai ke pehle isse penetrate kiya jaaye. Masla ye hai ke agar ye na hua to retracement ho sakta hai jo price ko dobara girne ka sabab banega. Agar ye hota hai, to targeted area support 0.6681 par hoga.

Mera scenario aaj ke liye ye hai ke AUD/USD pehle 0.6645 ke price tak correct karega aur phir AUD/USD dobara strong hoga. Ichimoku indicator se ye idea milta hai ke AUD/USD rise karega kyunki candle position tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines ke upar hai. Kumo cloud ke penetrate hone se ye indicate hota hai ke bullish trend shuru ho gaya hai.

Isliye, main recommend karta hoon ke aap sirf buy position par focus karein. Aap target 0.6840 par place kar sakte hain.

Daily timeframe se dekha jaye to ek bullish flag pattern nazar aata hai jo possible breakout upwards ko indicate karta hai. Price 200 EMA line ke upar hai jo long-term bullish trend ko indicate karta hai plus Stochastic oscillator dikhata hai ke bullish momentum strong ho raha hai.

In sab cheezon ko dekh kar ye conclude kiya ja sakta hai ke AUD/USD ke paas short term mein upar move karne ka mauqa hai.

AUD/USD ANALYSIS 04 JULY 2024

AUD/USD currency pair daily chart par significant bullish potential dikhata hai. Iska saboot yeh hai ke ek bullish candle ne important resistance level 0.66954 ko toorna safaltapurvak kiya hai. Is breakout se yeh mazboot confirmation milta hai ke uptrend qareebi mustaqbil mein jaari rahega. Breakout se pehle, AUD/USD ne consolidation phase ka samna kiya jahan price 0.66954 resistance aur 0.65769 support ke darmiyan phansa hua tha. Yeh consolidation dikhata hai ke market direction ke liye talaash mein tha, lekin EMA position se kharidari karne waleon ki dominance saaf nazar aati hai.

Technical indicator EMA 50 jo EMA 100 ke upar hai, yeh saboot deta hai ke bullish trend ab bhi dominate kar raha hai. EMA trend ki direction aur uski taqat ka pata lagane ke liye ek sakht mufeed tool hai. Jab short-term EMA (50) long-term EMA (100) ke upar hota hai, to yeh yeh dikhata hai ke short-term momentum long-term momentum se zyada taqatwar hai, jisse kehna hai ke market mein kharidari dabao ab bhi zyada hai. 0.66954 resistance level ke breakout ki tasdeeq yeh karta hai ke kharidari walon ke pass keemat ko upar le jane ki qudrat hai. Is breakout ke baad, trading volume mein izafa hota hai jo market participants ke zyada shamil hone ki alamat hai aur breakout ki validness ko mazboot karta hai. Is ke ilawa, is breakout ke saath, 0.66954 level jo pehle resistance tha, ab ek naye support ke liye badal sakta hai. Is ko technical analysis mein "role reversal" kehte hain, jahan successfully penetrated resistance level naye support level ban jata hai.



AUD/USD H1 ANALYSIS

AUD/USD currency pair par H1 timeframe ki latest analysis mein taqatwar bullish signal nazar aata hai. Kal, keemat ne 0.66842 level par important resistance ko toorna safaltapurvak kiya, jo keemat mein mazeed izafa ke liye mumkinat ka saboot deta hai. Breakout ke baad, keemat ne izafa karna jari rakha aur 0.67327 tak pohanch gayi. Lekin is izafay ke baad ek chota correction hua jo naye support level ko bana diya 0.67014 ke qeemat par. 0.66842 resistance level ke breakout ka saboot hai ke bullish trend taqat mein izafa kar raha hai.

Aise breakout mein amooman kharidari dabao zyada dominant hota hai aur keemat mein mazeed izafa ke liye kafi mumkinat hoti hai. Technical context mein, naya support 0.67014 keemat par keemat ko chota correction ke baad dubara izafa karne ke liye mazboot bunyadiyat faraham karta hai. Is ke ilawa, technical indicator EMA bhi mazeed bullish tasdeeq faraham karta hai. 50 EMA ne 100 EMA ko cross kar liya hai aur us ke upar hai, jo ke classic uptrend ka signal hai. Yeh position dikhata hai ke short-term momentum long-term momentum se zyada taqatwar hai, jo ke bullish trend ke jaari rehne ki umeedon ko mazboot karta hai.




Mehfooz trading plan yeh hai ke intezaar karen ke keemat 0.67327 par jo high banaya hai, usay dobara test kare. Agar keemat is level ko toor kar izafa kare, to yeh long jane ka mazboot signal hoga, umeed hai ke keemat mazeed izafa karti rahegi. Lekin agar kisi retracement ya mazeed correction ka samna ho, to do ahem levels par tawajjo deni hogi. Pehla level 0.67014 par jo latest correction se shuru hua hai aur support ban gaya hai. Agar keemat is level par laut kar iska phir se izafa dikhaye, to yeh kharidari ka mauqa ho sakta hai. Dusra level 0.66842 par jo pehle se toot gaya resistance tha, agar keemat is level par laut kar isay test kare aur phir izafa dikhaye, to yeh bhi ek achha entry point ho sakta hai.

AUD/USD Analysis

Market Opening and Seller Confidence

- AUD/USD pair aaj significant farq ke saath khula, jo Asian session ke doran bhar gaya aur sellers qeemat ko ooper ki taraf bharne ke liye pur-umeed hain.
- Lekin, ek sideways pattern ke upper boundary ki taraf dobara test hone ki mumkinat hai.
- Resistance level jo dekha jaye ga woh 0.66986 ya 0.67141 ke hisab se hai analysis ke mutabiq.

Mumkin Manazir

- Agar resistance level par reversal candle ban jaye, to qeemat neeche ki taraf murne shuru ho sakti hai.
- Agar yeh plan kamyaab ho jaye, to agle maqam par qeemat ko pohanchne ke liye support levels 0.65761 ya 0.65580 honge.

Factors Affecting AUD/USD

- Australia ke inflation rate ab bhi RBA ke 2% target se ooper hai, jo unhe is saal policy rate ko 4.35% par rakhne par majboor kar raha hai.
- AUD/USD pair ne 0.6650 par temporary support dhoondha lekin aakhir mein barhte hue USD ke dabao se samna karna para.

USD Ki Taqat Aur Ahtyat Ke Jazbaat

- USD ki taqat Federal Reserve ke jariye chalne wali interest rate policy ke lambay waqt tak rakhne ke market expectations se milti hai.
- Kam tar thanay wale global flash PMI numbers jaise kamzor economic data ne USD ke liye ahtiyati jazbaat ko barhaya.
- Aane wale US PMI numbers mein kami ki ummedon se market par mazeed asar hone ki tawakkal hai.

Central Bank Actions Aur RBA Ki Outlook

- BOC, ECB, aur SNB jaise central banks ke hal mein rate cuts ne market mein uncertainty ko barhaya hai.
- Lekin RBA se nazdeek mein koi action ki ummed nahi hai.