𝐀𝐔𝐃/𝐔𝐒𝐃

Mangal ko (21 May) Asian market mein, Westpac Consumer Confidence Index ka izhaar hone ke baad AUD/USD thora sa barh gaya. May mein index ne 0.3% mahinay ke darmiyan giravat ki, April mein 2.4% giravat ke muqablay mein, yeh teesri musalsal giravat ko darust karti hai lekin sab se halki raftar par. Magar jab Amreeki dollar index ne aaram kiya, to Australian dollar ne neeche ki taraf murna shuru kiya aur 0.6646 par chaar dinon ka low touch kiya.

Agar koi Asian mulk apne dabe property markets ko support karne ke liye aik bara package announce karta hai, jismein mortgage rules ko asaan karne aur local hukumaton ko bechay jane wale gharo ko khareedne ka dabao shamil hai, to Australian dollar ko support mil sakta hai. Ye do mulk qareebi trading partners hain, isliye ye Australian markets mein jazbaat ko barha raha hai.

Dollar behtar hota ja raha hai jab ke United States se koi top economic data na aaye. Barhte hue U.S. Treasury yields ne dollar ko support kiya hai. Federal Reserve mehngai aur is saal ke interest rate kaatne ke mumkinah imkaan ke bare mein ehtiyat barqarar rakhti hai.

Reserve Bank of Australia ke May ke meeting ke minutes jo ke Mangal ko jari kiye gaye, dikhate hain ke central bank ne interest rates ko barhane ka tasavur kiya tha. Overall rhetoric sakht hai, jo ke Australian dollar ko support faraham karti hai.

Meeting ke minutes mein, Reserve Bank of Australia ne note kiya ke barhte hue mehngai ke khatre ke bais, interest rates ko barhane ka tasavur kiya gaya tha lekin aakhir mein policy ko "zyada fine-tuning" se bachane ke liye moatalla raha. RBA ne ishara kiya ke agar mehngai ke andazay zyada umeedwar sabit hote hain, to interest rates ko barhane ki zaroorat ho sakti hai.

Technical Tahlil

Australian dollar Mangal ko 0.6660 ke qareeb tha. Dono Australian aur Amreeki rozana ke charts mein ek chadhate hue triangle pattern nazar aata hai. Mazeed is par, 14-din ka RSI bullish jazbat ko darust karta hai, jo 50 mark ke oopar rehta hai.



AUD 0.6714 ke chaar mahinay ke unchiyon ke qareeb chadh sakti hai. Agar yeh level paar ho jata hai, to joda 0.6750 ke aas paas ahem rukawaton ko explore kar sakta hai.

Neeche, mumkinah support 0.6651 par no-dinon ka exponential moving average (EMA) par hai, jo ke 0.6650 ke ahem level ke saath milta hai. Agar yeh support toot jata hai, to AUD neeche ke triangle ke lower border ke qareeb 0.6610 aur psychological level 0.6600 ke taraf ja sakti hai.

Australian Dollar / US Dollar currency pair ki movement ka analysis. Time frame – 4 ghante.

Maujooda statistical data ka istemal karte hue jo Extended Regression StopAndReverse linear regression indicator, aur RSI aur MACD oscillator indicators se hasil hua hai, hum aaj ke profitable trading ke liye sabse accurate recommendations ko select karne ki koshish karenge. Sabse profitable point pe market mein enter karne ke liye, yeh zaroori hai ke teeno indicators ke signals match karen aur ek doosre ke mutabiq hoon. Agar trading plan ke mutabiq chalti hai aur price expected positive area ke kareeb aa jati hai, to hum transaction close karne ke liye optimal point ko determine karna shuru karenge. Iske liye, hum current extremes ko use karte hue ek Fibonacci grid draw karenge aur jab quotes corrective Fibonacci levels ko reach karenge to market se exit karenge.

Linear regression channel ki baat karen, to aap notice kar sakte hain ke selected time frame (time-frame H4) current favorable market situation ko buyers ke liye indicate karta hai kyun ke iska noticeable slope north ki taraf hai. Aur jitna zyada angle of inclination hota hai, utna hi strong upward trend hota hai. Saath hi, nonlinear regression channel (convex lines), jo near future ko predict karne ke liye use hota hai, ne golden channel line ko neeche se cross kiya hai aur upward direction show kar raha hai.

Price ne red resistance line of the linear regression channel 2nd LevelResLine ko cross kiya lekin maximum quote value (HIGH) of 0.67146 tak pahunch kar apni growth ko rok diya aur steadily decline karna shuru kar diya. Instrument is waqt price level of 0.66006 par trade kar raha hai. Sab kuch dekhte hue, main expect karta hoon ke market price quotes return karenge aur 2-nd LevelResLine (0.65387) channel line ke neeche consolidate karenge aur further down move karenge to the golden average line LR of the linear channel 0.63628, jo ke 0% Fibo level se coincide karta hai. Yeh add karna zaroori hai ke is waqt RSI (14) aur MACD oscillators persistently signal kar rahe hain ke instrument overbought hai kyun ke yeh zone mein hain jo profitable selling transaction conclude karne ka invite de raha hai.

AUD/USD/H1/Time Frame

Ek technical hawale se, AUD/USD jora ab 0.6660 ke qareeb trade kar raha hai aur rozana ke chart par chadhate hue channel pattern ke andar milti ja raha hai. Ye pattern ek urooj ki taraf ishara deta hai, jo ke 14-din ka Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 ke oopar reh kar bullish bias ko darust karta hai. Analysts ke mutabiq, AUD/USD ka target 0.6700 ke psychological level par ja sakta hai, jise 0.6714 par May ke unchi ko test karne ke potential ke sath follow kiya ja sakta hai. Agar ye level ka decisive toorna ho gaya, to ye jora chadhate hue channel ke upper boundary ke qareeb, 0.6800 ke qareeb ja sakta hai. Magar agar musbat momentum kam hota hai, to AUD/USD ke liye fori support 21-din ka Exponential Moving Average (EMA) par mojood hai jo ke ab 0.6637 par hai, jo ke channel ke lower trendline ke saath bhi milta hai. Ek aur support layer 0.6600 ke psychological level par mojood hai. Agar ye support levels ke neeche girta hai, to AUD/USD ko aik potential pullback zone tak le ja sakta hai.

Keemat ne aaj ke European session mein channel support ko toor diya. 0.66920 aur 0.67340 ke darmiyan supply zone ahem hai potential selling pressure aur reversals ke liye, jab ke 0.65660 aur 0.66080 ke darmiyan demand zone buying interest ke liye aik ahem ilaqa hai. Ye ishara deta hai ke keemat bara hawale se channel ke upper boundary ki taraf barh sakti hai, jo ke 0.6709 ke qareeb hai. Jab keemat bara hawale se demand zone mein kharidne aur supply zone ke qareeb bechnay ke moqa talash karte hain, to ye harkat ahem hai. In levels ko qareeb se dekhna zaroori hai taake taamul ki ja sake.



Traders ne aglay ahem kadam ka intikhab karte hue, keemat consolidate ho rahi hai, ya ek tang range ke andar harkat kar rahi hai. Abhi ke liye, aisa lagta hai ke keemat bara hawale se oopar ki taraf ka intezar kar rahi hai, jiska qareebi channel boundary, 0.6709 ke qareeb hai. 0.65660 aur 0.66080 ke darmiyan space ahem hai. Is ilaqe ko demand zone kaha jata hai. Kyunki is aset ko guzishta mein kharidne ka bohot shauq hai, bohot se traders ne isay is level par pohnchte hi kharida. Is ilaqe ko mazboot support ke tor par istemal kiya jata hai, jo ke channel ka niche wala had hota hai. Ek qeemat ka level, jahan par demand ka concentration aik downtrend ko rok sakta hai, support kehlaya jata hai. Ye level ahem hai kyun ke ye darust karta hai ke kahan buyers zyada tareeqay se market mein dakhil ho sakte hain aur keemat ko barha sakte hain. Ek supply zone, dosri taraf, 0.66920 aur 0.67340 ke darmiyan ilaqe hai. Ek ilaqe jahan par bohot se bechnay ka pressure hota hai, supply zone kehlaya jata hai. Jab aset ki keemat is level tak pohnchti hai, bohot se traders ise bechne lagte hain, jo ke keemat ko phir se girane ka sabab ban sakta hai. Ye ilaqa mukhtalif reversals ke liye ankhon mein rakhein, jab keemat upar se neeche chali ja sakti hai. In ahem levels ke base par, ye zahir hai.

AUD/USD

AUDUSD pair ka price ab bhi 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) aur pivot point (PP) 0.6621 ke neeche hai, jo bullish trend ko kamzor kar raha hai. Last week ka sharp drop jo NFP data ki wajah se tha, yeh suggest karta hai ke prices aur neeche gir sakti hain. 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 200-day SMA ke qareeb hai, jo jald hi "death cross" ka signal de sakti hai, jis se prices support level (S1) 0.6541 ki taraf ja sakti hain. Agar price dobara pivot point (PP) 0.6621 se upar chali jaye, 50-day EMA ke pass, toh yeh strong resistance level (R1) 0.6662 ko test kar sakti hai.
Oscillators jaise ke Stochastic aur Awesome Oscillator (AO) continued downward trend ko support kar rahe hain. Stochastic indicator overbought zone (80-90) tak pohanchne ke baad cross kar chuka hai, jo peak ka signal de raha hai. AO histogram jo ke red aur zero se neeche hai, downtrend momentum ko indicate kar raha hai, halan ke yeh green hai aur widen nahi ho raha. Iske ilawa, price pattern lower low show kar raha hai, jahan price 0.6594 pe break ho kar new low 0.6578 pe form kar raha hai.
Trading options mein SELL position rakhna shamil hai agar price, jab upar correct ho, 200-day SMA ya pivot point (PP) 0.6621 ke qareeb rejection face kare. Halan ke overall trend ab bhi bullish hai kyun ke death cross signal ab tak appear nahi hua, price movement downward lean kar rahi hai. Confirmation tab ensure ki ja sakti hai jab Stochastic indicator 80 se neeche ho aur 50 ki taraf ja raha ho, aur agar AO histogram red aur negative remain kare. Take profit support (S1) 0.6541 ke aas paas set kiya ja sakta hai, aur stop loss resistance (R1) 0.6662 ke just upar rakha ja sakta hai.

AUD/USD H4

Kal AUD/USD market ne peechay hat kar 0.6600 zone ko guzra. Aur, kharidar Australian bay-rozgari aur rozi data release ke mint se faida utha sakte hain. Overall, main foran farokht ki fursat ka imkaan dekhta hoon jo rozana ki unchi zone se paida hota hai. Ye peshgoi market ko rozana ki kam se kam noktay ki taraf utarte dekhne ke imkaan se peda hoti hai aur jald hee support zone ko tor sakta hai. Market ke trends aur technical indicators ko tajziya karte hue, wazeh ho jata hai ke AUD/USD jora apni halqi ke faide ko barqarar rakhne mein museebat mein hai, jo rozana ki unchi zone ko ek ahem darja ka muzahira level banata hai. Is zone se farokht ki dabao ki umeed hai jo market ko neeche ki taraf dabaega, jo traders ke darmiyan mojood hai abhi qisam ke. Mazeed ye dekha jayega ke AUD/USD ke keemat jald hee minor support zone ko test karegi. Ye minor support zone aik temporary buffer ka kaam karta hai jo currency pair ki faraiz ko dhimi kar sakta hai. Magar zaroori hai ke AUD/USD ke rawayya par chaukanna nigaah rakhi jaye, kyun ke agle dino mein market mein achanak tabdeeliyan aa sakti hain. Ghair mutawaqqa ma'ashiyati data releases, geopolitical events, ya investors ke jazbat mein tabdeeliyan market ko tezi se mutasir kar sakti hain, jo ke foran qeemat ke harkaat ka sabab ban sakti hain. Is liye taaza tareen updates par qayam rahna aur trading strategies ko tabdeel karne ke liye tayyar rehna is volatile conditions mein naviagte karne ke liye ahem hai. AUD/USD ke mamlay mein, mojooda bearish manzar ka tajziya hai ke agle dino mein AUD/USD ke bearish continuation pattern mein tabdeel hone ka imkaan hai. Aise patterns lambi doraan ke niche ki trend ko zahir karte hain, traders ke liye mazeed farokht ke moqa faraham karte hain. Bearish continuation patterns, jaise ke descending triangles ya bearish flags, ishara dete hain ke farokht ki dabao qaim rahegi, jo AUD/USD joray ke overall bearish outlook ko mazboot karta hai. In patterns ko pehchanna traders ke liye ahem entry points faraham kar sakta hai jo neeche ki raftar ka faida uthane ke liye tayar hain. Allah hafiz aur calm rahein. MACD momentum rising wedge pattern ke andar mazboot ho raha hai. Ye aik mumkin short-term uptrend ko darust karta hai, jo ke 0.6700 ke psychological level aur shayad 0.6714 ke chaar mahinay ke unchiyon ki taraf ja sakta hai. Neeche, fori support 0.6600 level par hai, jo ke rising wedge ke neeche ke border ke saath milta hai. Ek aur suraksha jaal 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 0.6588 par mojood hai. Magar agar ye level ke neeche sust giravat hoti hai, to ek bearish tre ko laahir kar sakta hai.

AUDUSD H4

Australian dollar (AUD) Jumeraat ko US dollar (USD) ke muqablay mein rafter mein izafa kar gaya, 0.6660 par band hua, jo ke May ke akhri dinon mein dekhe gaye fluctuating lows se kareeb 0.5% upar tha. Analysts ke mutabiq AUD/USD jora shayad aik side mein trading pattern mein dakhil ho gaya hai, jo ke range-bound market ke naam se bhi jana jata hai. Ye matlab hai ke currency exchange rate kuch waqt ke liye aik khas zone ke andar jhool sakta hai. Mojooda range 0.6680 par seemit nazar aati hai, jo ke 26 May ko pohnchay gaye unchi point tak hai, aur 30 May ko darj kiye gaye low 0.6591 par hai. Haal ki keemat ke action se lagta hai ke is range ke andar aik possible chadhao nazar aa raha hai jo 0.6680 chhat ki taraf ja sakta hai. Magar ye chadhao mukhtalif ho sakta hai, aik ulta-phira aur giravat ke taraf muntazir hai. Is peshgoi ko MACD momentum ke mazboot ho rahay rising wedge pattern ke andar dabaav ka saath milta hai. Ye aik mumkin short-term uptrend ko darust karta hai, jo ke 0.6700 ke psychological level aur shayad 0.6714 ke chaar mahinay ke unchiyon ki taraf ja sakta hai. Neeche, fori support 0.6600 level par hai, jo ke rising wedge ke neeche ke border ke saath milta hai. Ek aur suraksha jaal 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 0.6588 par mojood hai. Magar agar ye level ke neeche sust giravat hoti hai, to aik bearish trend ko laahir kar sakta hai, jo AUD/USD ko 0.6470 support area ki taraf daba sakta hai. Ye area April ke lows se closing support trend line, thori halki ascending trend line aur October 2023 se 20-day EMA se mukhtalif hai. Technical indicators jaise Stochastic aur RSI bhi is imkaan par ishara dete hain, ke agar AUD/USD ahem support levels ke neeche gir gaya to mazeed farokht ki dabao ka imkaan hai.



Akhri mein, AUD ki rah ki misaal bahar se aur andaruni factors ke darmiyan taawun par hai. Jabke China ki ma'ashi sehat ek khatra hai, Australia ki andaruni mehngai aur ummeed war interest rate hikes kuch taavun faraham karte hain. Technical tor par, AUD/USD aik mushkil faqa par hai, jahan pe wazeh ho sakta hai ke ya to oopar tootay ya neeche giray, is par ke konsa dabao zyada qawi hai. Aik ahem ishara ye bhi hai ke Japani candlestick reversal pattern jo ke oopri range hadood ke qareeb ya wahan ban raha hai. Ye aik side mein trend ka jari rehne ka ishara ho sakta hai jis ke saath ek possible giravat ka rukh ho. Forex trading ke dynamic duniya mein, AUDUSD jora dilchasp harkaat dikha raha hai jo investors aur analysts ka dhyan bhi attract karta hai. Jab ke jora aik ahem had tak ja raha hai, market participants umeedwar hain ke uski chadhai ka agla daur shuru ho. Ye pivotal juncture fahmida traders ke liye ek raushan hai, jo aane wale bullish momentum ka faida uthane ke liye moqa faraham karte hain.

AUDUSD pair ki keemat ab bhi 200 din ka aam simple moving average (SMA) aur pivot point (PP) jo 0.6621 hai se neeche hai, jo bullish trend ko kamzor kar deta hai. NFP data ki wajah se pichle haftay mein sharp giravat ne ishara diya hai ke keemat mazeed gir sakti hai. 50 din ka exponential moving average (EMA) 200 din ke SMA ke qareeb aa raha hai, jo jald hi "death cross" ka ishara de sakta hai, jo keemat ko 0.6541 tak ke support level (S1) ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Agar keemat pivot point (PP) jo 0.6621 hai ke upar chali gayi.

50 din ke EMA se guzarti hai, toh yeh mazboot resistance level (R1) jo 0.6662 hai ko test kar sakti hai. Oscillators jaise Stochastic aur Awesome Oscillator (AO) ne bhi continued downward trend ko support kiya hai. Stochastic indicator ne overbought zone (80-90) tak pohanch kar cross kiya hai, jo keemat ke liye ek peak ki taraf ishara deta hai. AO histogram, jo ke red hai aur zero ke neeche hai, yeh bhi downtrend momentum ko darshata hai, waise ke yeh green hai aur wide nahi hai. Is ke ilawa, keemat ke pattern mein ek lower low dikh raha hai, jahan keemat ne 0.6594 par toot kar ek naya low 0.6578 par banaya hai.

Trading options mein shaamil hai ke agar keemat upar ki taraf correction karte hue 200 din ke SMA ya pivot point (PP) jo 0.6621 hai se reject hoti hai, toh SELL position rakh sakte hain. Bilkul ke overall trend abhi bhi bullish hai kyunki "death cross" signal abhi nahi aya hai, lekin keemat ki movement neechay ki taraf mael karta hai. Tasdeeq tab hoti hai agar Stochastic indicator 80 se neeche hai aur 50 ki taraf ja raha hai, aur agar AO histogram red aur negative bana rehta hai. Take profit ko support (S1) jo 0.6541 hai ke qareeb rakh sakte hain, aur stop loss ko resistance (R1) jo 0.6662 hai ke thoda oopar rakh sakte hain.

AUD/USD H1 Analysis

AUD/USD jora, forex market mein sab se zyada trade kiye jane wale currency pairs mein se aik hai, aur aaj ke trading session mein dilchasp qeemat ki harkaat dikha raha hai. Chaliye is joray ke dynamics par gehraai se baat karte hain aur potential trading opportunities ko explore karte hain.

Market Opening aur Price Movement:
Jaise hi trading din shuru hua, AUD/USD joray mein opening mein koi numaya farq nahi tha. Magar, Asian session ke doran, qeemat mein neeche ki taraf numaya correction dekhi gayi hai. Ye correction waqtan-fa-waqt momentum mein temporary tabdeeli ko darust kar sakta hai, jis se traders ko apni positions ko dobara jaanchne ki zaroorat ho sakti hai.

Muntazir Uptrend Ka Dobara Shuru Hona:
Halankay mojooda correction ke bawajood, traders ke darmiyan ek barqi tawaqo hai ke AUD/USD joray ka uptrend chhota pullback ke baad dobara shuru hoga. Ye jazbat mukhtalif factors se barh karwaaye gaye hain, jin mein bunyadi ma'ashi indicators, geopolitical developments, aur technical analysis shaamil hain.

Traders qareebi resistance levels ko apni trades ke potential targets ke tor par dekh rahe hain. In levels mein se, khaas tawajjo resistance 0.66799 par aur resistance 0.66377 par di ja rahi hai. Ye levels ahem nakaam points hain jahan ahem qeemat ki harkaat ho sakti hai.

Resistance Levels Ke Qareebi Manazir:
Qareebi zikar shuda resistance levels ke qareeb, traders do mumkin scenarios par ghoor rahe hain jo qeemat ki harkaat ko shakal de sakte hain. Chaliye har scenario ko tafseel se dekhte hain:



Scenario 1: Resistance 0.66799 Ke Upar Breakout
Is scenario mein, agar qeemat kamiyabi se resistance level 0.66799 ko paar kar leti hai, to ye bullish continuation pattern ka ishara ho sakta hai. Traders jo AUD/USD pair par long hain, apni positions ko barhaane ya naye trades shuru karne ka soch sakte hain, mazeed upside momentum ka intezar karte hue.

AUDUSD pair jo pichle hafte ke aakhir mein hua woh dobara bechnon ke daur mein tha jo keemat ko control karne mein kaamyab rahe jo ke bikul aur rahe the ki kharidari ke dabaav ko rook dete hain jo bechon ko mauqa haasil karne mein nuqsaan pohancha dete hain aur is ke baad istemal kiya jata hai bechnon ke liye kharidari dabaav barhaane ke liye keemat ko kaafi gehre daraaz se niche giraane ka mouqa.

Daily timeframe par Bollinger Bands indicator ke istemal se dekha jaaye to keemat ko dobara bechnon ne mazeed se neeche le jaaya tha bechon ne middle Bollinger Bands area ke neeche 0.6645-0.6640 ke daam tak mukammal karke kaamyabi haasil ki aur saath hi lower Bollinger Bands area ke 0.6585-0.6580 ke daam tak pohanch bhi gaye. Bechnon ne bhi kaamyaab hokar trade ko band kar diya ek bahut taqatwar bearish mumkin banane ke liye aur ishara diya ke bearish dabaav aaj bhi jaari rahega jisme agla maqsad bechon ki maang ke support area ki taraf hai jo ke lower Bollinger Bands area ke neeche 0.6560-0.6550 ke daam hai.

Aaj ke dopahar ki trading mein bhi bechnon ke daur se ghira hua hai jo ke apne bearish momentum ko barqarar rakhne ki koshish kar rahe hain keemat ko neeche dabaane ke liye kharidari support area ki taraf jaa rahe hain jo ke 0.6580-0.6575 ke daam hai taaki keemat ko mazeed gehra neeche le ja saken agle maqsad bechon ki maang ke support area ki taraf jaa rahe hain. agle keemat 0.6555-0.6550 ke daam hai.

RSI indicator bhi yeh dikhata hai ke keemat jo pehle 51 ke darje mein thi ab 45 ke darje mein ja rahi hai, ishara deta hai ke bechnon ke dabaav jo ke trading par sardaar bana hai uski had tak zyada hai aur aaj ke trading mein AUDUSD pair par raj kar sakta hai jo ke keemat ko RSI level 25 ke darje tak aur neeche le ja sakte hain.

Nateeja:

Bechne ki dakhilay ki ja sakti hain agar bechnon ko qareebi kharidari support area jo ke 0.6580-0.6575 ke daam hai usko kamyab kar lete hain jahan tak TP maqsad ke daam 0.6555-0.6550 ke darje tak hain.

Kharidari ki dakhilay ki ja sakti hain agar kharidari ko qareebi bechnon ke dawaami area jo ke 0.6635-0.6640 ke daam hai usko kamyab kar lete hain jahan tak TP maqsad ke daam 0.6665-0.6670 ke darje tak hain.

AUD/USD H4 Technical Analysis:

AUD/USD ne apne pehle se supportive rising channel ke neeche girne ke baad thoda sa hichkichaaya, jo ke uptrend par aik temporary saaya daal gaya. Magar, AUD jaldi se apna rasta wapas bana liya, jis se short term mein kisi mazboot rehnumai ki kami ka izhar hota hai. Ye be-tasubiyat ishara deti hai ke AUD/USD qareebi mustaqbil mein ek trading range mein qaim reh sakta hai. Aik wazeh break zaroori hai key support level 0.6580 ke neeche taake aik mogheera downtrend ko tasdeeq kiya ja sake, jahan agla target 0.6663 ke qareeb ho sakta hai, jahan ahem 100-day aur 50-day SMAs milte hain.

AUD/USD ke bunyadi asool:

April ke US PCE inflation data ne mustaqil buland inflation ki raaz dari ki, jo ke March ke figures ke mutabiq hain, jis se Federal Reserve ke potential interest rate cuts ke waqt par shak paida hua. CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, traders June ya July ke Fed meetings mein rate cuts ka intezar nahi kar rahe thay, September mein cuts ka 50% chance tha. Fed officials ne rate cuts ka intezar karne se pehle easing inflation ke mazeed saboot ki zaroorat ko ahem qarar diya, jis se unka approach sabar ko zahir karta hai. Ye "higher-for-longer" interest rate narrative US dollar ko support kar sakta hai aur qareebi muddat mein AUD/USD ke liye upside ko mehdood kar sakta hai.

Char ghanton ke time frame ka Technical Outlook:

Aik potential 'double bottom' chart pattern nazar aa raha hai, jo ke 0.6755 ko test karne ka ishaara de sakta hai aur aage bhi ja sakta hai. Is pattern ko tasdeeq karne ke liye, kharidar qeemat ko nedami cycle high 0.67142 ke oopar le jana hoga, 0.6750 aur 0.6800 levels ki taraf nishana sazish ki jaye gi. Ulta, agar farokhtkaar qeemat ko 0.6700 ke neeche rakhta hai, to 0.6500 level ka dobara test shuru ho sakta hai. Agar AUD/USD range highs ke qareeb pohanchta hai aur phir Japanese candlestick pattern ke saath uljha, to ye aik lambi mudat tak ki sideways trend aur aik mumkin neeche ki taraf ki harkat ka ishaara ho sakta hai.



Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) momentum indicator apne red signal line ke oopar se guzra hai, aik kharid ka ishaara jaari karte hue aur oonchaai ki taraf move ko support karte hue. Ye technical indicator ka bullish crossover yeh ishaara deta hai ke oopri raftar qareebi muddat mein jari reh sakti hai, kam az kam short term mein.

Australian Dollar / US Dollar currency pair ke market movement ka forecast karte hue, 4 hour time frame ke liye technical analysis ke liye hum Extended Regression StopAndReverse indicator ke signals ka use karte hain. Market mein entry point ke liye additional confirmation ke liye classic oscillator indicators RSI (14) aur MACD standard settings ke sath use kiye jate hain. Trade transaction open karne ka condition yeh hai ke yeh teenon indicators ke signals zaroor match karein. Agar yeh signals match nahi karte, to market mein entry signal ko ignore karte hain. Position se exit hone ke liye, hum Fibonacci grid levels ko dekhte hain jo selected trading period (current ya previous day ya week) ke extreme points par stretched hoti hain.

Selected time frame (H4) par linear regression channel ka direction upward hai, jo yeh emphasize karta hai ke market mein buyers maujood hain aur unka interest upward trend movement ko continue karne mein hai. Aur jitna zyada angle of inclination hoga, utna hi strong current upward trend hoga. Nonlinear regression channel ka graph yeh dikhata hai ke yeh upward turn ho gaya hai, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke buyers actively price increase ko continue karne ki koshish kar rahe hain aur sellers ko apni dominant position nahi dena chahte.

Price ne linear regression channel ke 2nd LevelResLine ki red resistance line ko cross kiya lekin maximum quote value (HIGH) 0.67146 tak pohchne ke baad, uski growth rukh gayi aur woh steadily decline karne lagi. Abhi instrument ka price level 0.66157 par trade kar raha hai. In sab ke madde nazar, main expect karta hoon ke market price quotes wapas aake 2-nd LevelResLine (0.65387) channel line ke neeche consolidate karengi, jo 50% FIBO level se coincide karti hai, aur phir niche golden average line LR of linear channel 0.63628 tak move karegi, jo 0% Fibo level se coincide karti hai. Yeh add karna zaroori hai ke abhi RSI (14) aur MACD oscillators persistently yeh signal kar rahe hain ke instrument overbought hai kyunki yeh zone mein hain jo ek profitable selling transaction conclude karne ka invitation de rahe hain.

As-salamu alaykum forex traders aur tamam duniya ke aane wale. Aaj hum AUD/USD market ke price action ko tafseeli tor par dekhenge, chaliye iski price movement ko study karte hain. AUD/USD 0.6615 par trade ho raha hai is waqt likhne ke samay. Is timeframe ke mutabiq, AUD/USD ke price mein ek downtrend observed ho raha hai. Complex indicator analysis ke mutabiq, technical instrument indicators ek downward trend continuation ko indicate kar rahe hain. Agar hum MACD aur RSI indicators ko dekhein, to dono hi negative readings show kar rahe hain jo sellers ke liye acha sign hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) 49.6170 par hai aur signal line ya slow line moving average convergence divergence (MACD) ke zero line ya midline ke neeche hai.

Agar hum MA indicator ko dekhein, to yeh negative readings show kar raha hai kyun ke AUD/USD 20-day exponential moving average ke neeche trade ho raha hai, aur 50-day exponential moving average bhi current AUD/USD price se oopar hai.

Upar ki taraf key resistance 0.6705 level par hai jo 3rd resistance level hai. Primary resistance level AUD/USD ke liye 0.6634 hai. Secondary resistance level AUD/USD ke liye 0.6667 hai jo 2nd resistance level hai. Jabki neeche ki taraf key support 0.6145 level par hai jo 3rd support level hai. Primary support level AUD/USD ke liye 0.6598 hai aur secondary support level AUD/USD ke liye 0.6575 hai jo 2nd support level hai. Agar hum price chart ko dekhein to overall trend bearish dikhai deta hai.

Chart mein istemal kiye gaye indicators:
MACD indicator:
RSI indicator period 14:
50-day exponential moving average rang Orange:
20-day exponential moving average rang Magenta:

Umeed hai yeh information aapke liye mufeed hogi. Agar kisi aur sawal ya tafseeli malumat ki zaroorat ho to bataye.

AUD/USD Pair Analysis

AUD/USD pair mein sellers ka zor chalta nazar aa raha hai, jis ki wajah se yeh pair das din se neeche ja raha hai. Sellers koshish kar rahe hain ke 0.6675-0.6695 ka green zone, jo ke ek untested support level hai, usay torh dein. December 18, 2021 ko 05:00 InstaForex broker time par, buyers ne pink zone ya untested resistance 0.6130-0.6150 ko torhne ki koshish ki thi, magar woh kamiyab nahi ho sakay. Ab lagta hai ke sellers green zone ya untested support 0.6002-0.6010 ko penetrate karne ki koshish mein hain.

December 23, 2021 ko 16:00 server time tak, umeed hai ke buyers indigo zone ya resistance 0.6180-0.6190 tak pohanch jayenge. Uske baad, sellers ki koshish ho gi ke 0.6110-0.6120 tak, jo ke gray zone ya weak support hai, pohanch kar price ko aur neeche le jaayein. Agar yeh price correct hota hai, to AUD/USD pair aur bhi neeche gir sakta hai. Lekin agar price rejection hota hai, to cost phir se barh sakti hai.

Mere trading plan ke hisaab se Monday ko main closely monitor karunga ke price weak support area mein kaise react karti hai jab yeh usay torhne ki koshish karti hai. Agar price ko sahi tarah se enter kar liya gaya, to ek sell order place kiya ja sakta hai. Profit target 0.6047 par set kiya jayega aur stop loss level 0.6080 par hoga. Agar price 0.6040 se ooper stabilize ho jati hai, to sell zone mein stop-loss orders initiate kar diye jayenge takay profits protect ho sakein.

Is waqt, short positions upper boundary of the channel aur 0.6110 level ke darmiyan open hain. Abhi short positions ko hold karna relevant nahi hai. Ek bullish trip expected hai jo ke 0.6692 positions ko target kar sakti hai, jis se doosre buyers ko mauqa milay ga ke price ko barhane mein madad karen. Mera mashwara yeh hai ke ek comfortable trading position dhoondhne ke liye sirf yeh intezar karein ke price 0.6662 position tak pohanche.





Halanke prices tend kar rahe hain ek upward trend ki taraf, lekin mein yeh yaad dilana chahta hoon ke market habits ka matlab yeh hota hai ke shuruat mein week ke prices downward correction mein bhi ja sakti hain.

AUD/USD pair ke latest trends aur support-resistance levels ko dekhte hue, trading strategies ko update karna zaroori hai. Market ki volatility aur economic indicators ko closely monitor karte hue, ek informed decision lena chahiye. Sellers ka abhi bhi dominate karna is baat ki taraf ishara kar raha hai ke AUD/USD pair mein aur girawat aasakti hai. Lekin agar price key support levels par reject hoti hai, to bullish trend bhi wapas aasakta hai.

Is article ka maksad yeh hai ke traders ko current market situation aur potential future movements ke baare mein insight dena. Yeh analysis is baat par focus kar raha hai ke kaise upcoming economic events aur market dynamics AUD/USD pair ke direction ko influence kar sakte hain. Trading ke liye ek strong plan aur disciplined approach rakhnay se, traders apne profits ko maximize kar sakte hain aur market ke unexpected movements se apne capital ko protect kar sakte hain. Is liye, economic data releases aur technical indicators ko closely monitor karna zaroori hai.

Stay blessed and keep trading wisely!

AUD/USD Pair Analysis

AUD/USD pair filhaal 0.6617 par trade kar raha hai, aur is waqt ka prevailing trend bearish hai. Yeh is baat ki taraf ishara kar raha hai ke Australian dollar, US dollar ke muqable mein kamzor ho raha hai. Market dheere dheere chal rahi hai, magar kuch factors hain jo agle kuch dinon mein significant movement la sakte hain. In factors mein economic data releases, central bank policies, geopolitical events, aur market sentiment shaamil hain.

Economic Data Releases

Currency movements ka primary driver economic data hota hai. AUD/USD pair ke liye, ismein Australia aur United States donon ka economic data shaamil hai. Key Australian economic data jo pair ko impact kar sakta hai, usmein GDP growth rates, employment figures, aur trade balance data shaamil hain. US side par, non-farm payrolls, inflation rates, aur consumer spending figures crucial hain. Agar aane wala data market expectations se significantly diverge karta hai, to yeh AUD/USD pair mein substantial movement trigger kar sakta hai.

Misal ke taur par, agar Australian employment data bohot weak job market show karta hai, to yeh AUD par additional pressure daal sakta hai, jo USD ke muqable mein aur depreciate kar sakta hai. Doosri taraf, agar US strong economic data release karta hai, to yeh USD ko bolster kar sakta hai, jo AUD/USD pair ke bearish trend ko aur exacerbate kar sakta hai.

Central Bank Policies

Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) aur Federal Reserve (Fed) ki monetary policies AUD/USD exchange rate ko influence karne mein crucial role play karti hain. Interest rate decisions, policy statements, aur economic outlooks jo in central banks se aati hain, significant currency movements lead kar sakti hain.

Is waqt, Fed ki hawkish stance, jo ongoing rate hikes ke saath inflation ko combat karne ke liye hai, USD ko strengthen kar rahi hai. Agar RBA ek dovish stance adopt karti hai, aur interest rates ko kam karti hai taake economy ko stimulate kar sake, to yeh dono mulkon ke beech interest rate differential ko widen kar sakta hai, jo USD ko aur attractive bana sakta hai investors ke liye. Aise developments AUD/USD pair mein pronounced moves la sakte hain.





Geopolitical Events

Geopolitical events bhi AUD/USD exchange rate mein volatility create karne ki potential rakhte hain. Aise events jaise ke trade tensions, political instability, ya major policy changes kisi bhi mulk mein, market sentiment aur risk appetite ko affect kar sakte hain. Misal ke taur par, US aur China ke trade relations Australia ke liye particularly relevant hain, given uski economic ties China ke saath. Is area mein koi significant developments AUD ko impact kar sakte hain aur, iske extension mein, AUD/USD pair ko bhi.

Market Sentiment

Market sentiment aur risk appetite currency movements ko influence karne mein critical factors hain. Australian dollar ko aksar ek risk-sensitive currency mana jata hai, jo ke jab global risk sentiment positive hota hai aur investors higher returns ki talash mein hote hain, toh perform karti hai. Wahi, risk aversion ke periods mein, USD, jo ke ek safe-haven currency mana jata hai, tend karta hai strengthen hone.

Filhaal, global economic uncertainties jaise ke potential slowdown in China, ongoing geopolitical tensions, aur fluctuating commodity prices, cautious market sentiment contribute kar rahe hain. Agar yeh uncertainties persist karti hain ya intensify hoti hain, to AUD additional downward pressure face kar sakta hai, leading to significant moves in the AUD/USD pair.

Technical Analysis

Technical analysis ke perspective se, AUD/USD ek bearish trend mein hai, jo is baat ki taraf ishara karta hai ke sellers filhaal control mein hain. Key support aur resistance levels potential price movements ke insights provide kar sakte hain. Agar pair ek critical support level ko break karta hai, to yeh further selling trigger kar sakta hai, leading to a more pronounced decline. Wahi, agar yeh ek support level ke ooper hold karne mein kamiyab hota hai aur rebound karta hai, to yeh potential reversal ya consolidation phase indicate kar sakta hai.

Conclusion

Summary yeh hai ke jab ke AUD/USD filhaal ek bearish trend mein hai, kuch factors suggest karte hain ke pair significant movement experience kar sakta hai agle kuch dinon mein. Economic data releases from both Australia and the US, central bank policies, geopolitical events, aur overall market sentiment key drivers hain jo pair ke direction ko influence kar sakte hain. Traders aur investors ko in factors ko closely monitor karna chahiye takay potential volatility ko anticipate kar sakein aur accordingly apni strategies ko adjust kar sakein. In elements ka interplay determine karega ke AUD/USD ka movement near future mein kis extent aur direction mein hoga.

AUD/USD Pair Analysis

AUD/USD currency pair filhaal taqriban 0.6620 par trade kar raha hai, aur market ka trend bearish hai. Iska matlab hai ke Australian dollar (AUD), US dollar (USD) ke muqable mein kamzor ho raha hai. Halanki market dheere chal rahi hai, magar kuch aise factors hain jo agle dinon mein AUD/USD pair ko significant volatility aur movement experience karwa sakte hain.

Current Market Conditions

AUD/USD pair ka bearish trend kaafi macroeconomic factors ki wajah se hai. Ek key factor US dollar ki relative strength hai, jo Federal Reserve ki monetary policy stance se support pa rahi hai. Fed ki interest rate hikes, jo inflation ko control karne ke liye hain, ne US dollar ko zyada attractive banaya hai investors ke liye jo higher yields talash kar rahe hain. Yeh AUD par downward pressure daal raha hai.

Doosri taraf, Australian economy apni challenges face kar rahi hai. Halanki Australia ne resilience dikhayi hai, khaaskar apne strong commodity exports ki wajah se, magar economic outlook uncertain hai global commodity prices ke fluctuations, geopolitical tensions, aur domestic economic policies ki wajah se. Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) cautious hai apni monetary policy mein, jo Fed ki aggressive stance se contrast karta hai.

Potential Catalysts for Big Movements

Kuch potential catalysts hain jo AUD/USD pair mein significant movement drive kar sakte hain near future mein:

1. Central Bank Policies: RBA ya Fed ki monetary policies mein koi shift volatility lead kar sakti hai. Agar RBA rate hike signal karta hai ya hawkish tone adopt karta hai, to AUD surge dekh sakta hai. Wahi, agar Fed rate hikes ko pause karta hai ya slower pace adopt karta hai, to USD weaken ho sakta hai.





2. Economic Data Releases: Key economic indicators jaise ke GDP growth, employment figures, inflation rates, aur retail sales AUD/USD pair ko influence kar sakti hain. Strong economic data from Australia AUD ko bolster kar sakta hai, jabke strong US data USD ko further support de sakta hai.

3. Commodity Prices: Australia ek major exporter hai commodities ka jaise ke iron ore, coal, aur gold. Commodity prices mein fluctuations AUD ko impact kar sakti hain. Agar commodity prices rise hoti hain, to AUD strong ho sakta hai, jabke decline usse weaken kar sakta hai.

4. Geopolitical Events: Global geopolitical developments, jaise ke trade tensions major economies ke beech, political instability, ya significant policy changes, sudden movements lead kar sakte hain currency pairs mein. AUD particularly sensitive hai developments in China, Australia ke largest trading partner ke.

Technical Analysis

Technical perspective se, AUD/USD pair ka current bearish trend suggest karta hai ke traders aur investors cautious hain. Magar, technical indicators jaise ke moving averages, Relative Strength Index (RSI), aur Fibonacci retracement levels potential reversal points ya continuation patterns ke insights provide kar sakte hain.

- Support and Resistance Levels: Key support aur resistance levels identify karna potential price movements anticipate karne mein help kar sakta hai. Agar AUD/USD significant support level ko break karta hai, to yeh further downside potential indicate kar sakta hai. Wahi, resistance level ko break karna bullish reversal signal kar sakta hai.

- Moving Averages: Short-term aur long-term moving averages ki positioning current trend ki strength indicate kar sakti hai. Agar short-term moving average long-term moving average ke ooper cross karta hai (bullish crossover), to yeh potential uptrend signal kar sakta hai. Wahi, bearish crossover bearish trend ko reinforce kar sakta hai.

- RSI aur Doosre Oscillators: Yeh indicators overbought ya oversold conditions identify karne mein madadgar hain. Ek RSI below 30 typically indicate karta hai ke pair oversold hai, jo ek potential buying opportunity suggest karta hai. RSI above 70 overbought conditions suggest karta hai, jo ek possible selling opportunity signal karta hai.

Conclusion

AUD/USD currency pair ka current bearish trend 0.6620 par market sentiment favor karta hai US dollar ko Australian dollar ke muqable mein. Magar, significant movement ka potential agle dinon mein high hai, jo factors jaise ke central bank policies, economic data releases, commodity prices, aur geopolitical events se driven hai. Traders aur investors ko in factors ko closely monitor karna chahiye, technical indicators ke saath, taake anticipated volatility ko navigate kar sakein aur trading opportunities ko identify kar sakein. In catalysts ka market response determine karega ke AUD/USD pair ki movements ka direction aur magnitude kya hoga near future mein.