AUD/USD Daily Analysis
Thursday's Performance
Thursday ko AUD/USD pair ne US Dollar (USD) ke muqablay mein achi gains dekhi. Yeh strength USD ki kamzori ke wajah se mili, jo pichle haftay ke data ke baad barh gayi thi. Yeh data Federal Reserve (Fed) ke dovish expectations ko fuel kar raha tha, jo pehle se USD ko affect kar raha tha. Is pair ne January ke shuru se sabse zyada level ko reach kiya, jo Australian Dollar ki strength ko reflect karta hai. Magar, Aussie Dollar ke liye aage ke gains ka potential kuch had tak limited hai, kyunki pichle haftay ke mazboot data aur Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ki hawkish stance bhi barqarar hai.
AUD/USD Ke Fundamentals
Australia ki headline inflation rate thodi kam hone ki umeed hai, jo 3.1% year-over-year (YoY) tak aa sakti hai, jabke core inflation rate 3.4% YoY par steady rahne ki ummeed hai. Fed ke easing ke potential ke sath, aur RBA ke extend hone wale restrictive policy ke combined effect se AUD/USD ko aane wale mahino mein support mil sakta hai. Traders in economic indicators par nazar rakhe hue hain, kyunki yeh market trends ko significant tor par influence kar sakte hain.
Is haftay Australia ka economic landscape relatively calm hai aur kisi bade event ke bina hai, jo RBA ki persistent hawkish stance ke sath pair ko apne peers ke muqablay mein strong bana sakta hai. Doosri taraf, Fed ka September rate cut ka 70% probability ke sath lean ho raha hai, jo upcoming economic indicators par depend karega. Market abhi bhi RBA ke rates ko baad mein increase karne ki betting kar raha hai, lekin foran focus dono central banks ke monetary policies ke divergence par hai.
Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook
Friday ko AUD/USD pair mein thoda dip dekha gaya, lekin overall market outlook positive raha. Technical indicators jaise ke Relative Strength Index (RSI) aur Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) positive territory mein hain. AUD/USD pair ne chaar din ki winning streak achieve ki hai, aur January ke baad ke levels tak pohnch gaya hai, jo traders ke beech bullish sentiment ko confirm karta hai.
Vigilance Required
Lekin, traders ko overbought conditions ke signs ke liye vigilant rehna chahiye, jo kisi bhi waqt correction ko signal kar sakta hai. Next bullish targets AUD/USD pair ke liye 0.6650 aur 0.6680 par set hain. Support levels ko watch karna chahiye, jo hain 0.6500, 0.6450, aur 0.6430.
Summary
AUD/USD pair ne Thursday ko USD ke muqablay mein significant gains dekhi, jo USD ki kamzori aur dovish Fed expectations ke wajah se mili. Australian Dollar ki strength abhi bhi barqarar hai, lekin RBA ki hawkish stance aur recent data ke effects ko consider karte hue, gains ka potential kuch limited ho sakta hai. Economic indicators aur monetary policies ka divergence market trends ko influence karega. Daily time frame par, despite a slight dip, technical indicators bullish hain aur chaar din ki winning streak ko reflect karte hain. Traders ko overbought conditions ke signs ke liye vigilant rehna chahiye aur support levels ko monitor karna chahiye.
تبصرہ
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