𝐀𝐔𝐃/𝐔𝐒𝐃

AUD/USD ka trend kai ahem factors se mutasir ho sakta hai, jaise ke maeeshati data ki rihaishat, siyasi hawaale, aur market ki jazbaatiyat. Aaj ke moqaable mein, AUD/USD ka trend maeeshat ke kai imwaazib factors ki misaal hai. Sab se pehle, haal hi mein Australia aur United States se aane wale maeeshati data ne ahem asraat dikhaye hain. Australia mein rozeedar, consumer sentiment, aur retail sales ke haalat aik misaal hai. Jaise ke rozeedar adad mazboot rahe hain, to consumer confidence mein interest rates ke barhne aur mahangai ke shubhat ke baisat se kamzor nishanaat nazar aaye hain. Is se Australian dollar ke liye aik mutasir ho sakti hai. Dusri taraf, US dollar maeeshat mein mazboot raha hai, jis par solid maeeshati indicators jaise ke non-farm payrolls aur retail sales ke numbers ne imdaad ki hai. Is ke ilawa, Federal Reserve ki monetary policy ke taqaze bhi ahem hote hain. Fed ke faislay ne interest rates ko barqarar rakhne ya barhane ka faisla US dollar ke qeemat par asar andaz hota hai. Haal hi mein, Fed ne inflation ke muqablay mein tight monetary policy ko barqarar rakhne ka ishara diya hai, jo US dollar ki mazbooti ko support karta hai. Siyasi aur aitmadiyat ke masail bhi AUD/USD ke trend par asar andaz hote hain. Misal ke taur par, US aur China ke darmiyan tanazaat Australia ke maeeshat par ghair-e-direct asar andaz hote hain, kyun ke Australia ka China ke saath trade ka bohat ahem taluq hai. Agar US-China relations mein koi bhi manfi tabdeeliyan aayen, to market mein risk-off jazbaat uthte hain, jis se investors US jaise safe assets ki taraf ruju karte hain.
AUD/CAD pair ke potential future movements ke liye mazeed insights deta hai. Haal hi mein pair ek critical support level ke qareeb hai. Agar yeh support level break ho jaye, to yeh bearish trend ko continue karne ka ishara hosakta hai, jis se mazeed girawat hosakti hai. Mukhalif taur par, agar pair is support level ke upar rahe aur rebound shuru kare, to yeh ek reversal aur significant upward movement ka ishara ho sakta hai. Traders aksar technical indicators jaise moving averages, RSI (Relative Strength Index), aur MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) ka istemal trend reversals ya continuations ke potential ke liye karte hain. Maslan, agar RSI indicate karta hai ke pair oversold territory mein hai, to yeh ishara ho sakta hai ke ek rebound qareeb hai.



Aakhir mein, jabke AUD/CAD abhi bearish trend aur slow market movements experience kar raha hai, kai factors ishara dete hain ke qareebi tabdeeliyan hosakti hain. Iqtisadi shorat, central bank policies, siyasi events, market sentiment, aur technical analysis sab mazeed volatility ke possibilities ko point karte hain aane wale dinon mein. Yeh depend karega ke yeh pair apni bearish raftar ko continue karega ya bullish reversal ka samna karega. Isi wajah se zaroori hai ke traders aur investors mutasir rahein aur unhein taiyar ho ke naye developments par amal karne ke liye jo AUD/CAD currency pair ko affect kar sakte hain. Ek behtareen maloomat aur strategy se bhara approach is currency pair ke potential shifts mein samajhne aur unse faida uthane mein madadgar sabit hosakta hai.

AUDUSD KI PESHGUFTAGU

Aglay tahqiq H4 pe hoti hai. Wazeh hai ke jo trading session pehle hafte ke mukhalif tha, candlestick ne kamiyabi se Simple Moving Average 60 aur 150 indicators ke neeche gir gaya hai. Is hafte ki trading session mein dakhil hone ke baad jab tak market iss subah band nahi hui, market ke price mein musalsal giraavat ki taraf harkat dekhi gayi.
AUDUSD currency pair ke conditions ka monitoring kiya gaya hai jo ke Relative Strength Index indicator (14) ke mutabiq hai jo ke Lime Line signal ko dikhata hai ke level 30 tak neeche gir gaya hai jo ke is hafte ke market mein tez bearish ka tasveer hai. MACD indicator (12,26,29) ke liye bhi jahan tori si peeli line nakaam hai aur lambi histogram bar zero level ke neeche gira hua hai, iska matlab hai ke market mein giravat waqi ho rahi hai.

Nateeja:

Kai technical data ko monitor karne ke natayej mein jo apne aap ko daily aur H4 timeframe charts ki tajurbaat se le kar sardy ki sharah ke sath samjha gaya, dekha ja sakta hai ke AUDUSD currency pair ab bhi bechne walon ke faujon ke control mein hai. Yeh keh ke giraavat jo aaj tak hoti aayi hai, yeh dikhata hai ke market zyada tar apni bearish harkat jaari rakhega.
Aane waale haftay ke market ke conditions yeh darust hoti hain ke prices agle hafte bhi neeche chal sakti hain, isliye humein trading decision lenay se pehle aglay hafte ke market ki taraqqiyan dekhni chahiye. Halan ke bearish trend agle hafte mein bhi zyada taweel hai, humein trade karne ke liye mouqay ka intezar karte hue zyada sabr aur nizaam ke sath rahna chahiye kyun ke umeed hai ke pehle upar ka correction bhi ho sakta hai.

AUDUSD CURRENCY PAIR ANALYSIS 20 JULY 2024



Aaj, audusd trading 0.6686 ke price par band hui. Is baar closing position market opening se kaafi kam hai kyunki pichle Jumma ko audusd ne apni girawat ko lagatar 20 pips tak barha diya. Us din, movement zyada bari nahi thi. Pichle dino ke muqable mein, yeh abhi bhi peechay hai. Asal mein, audusd ki girawat 12 July, 2024 se shuru hui hai aur ab tak chal rahi hai. Audusd ki girawat jab shuru hui jab candle ka shoulder area 0.6783 ke price par nahi ghussa. Iska matlab hai ke audusd kaafi arse se gir raha hai, aur support 0.6718 ke price par bhi toot gaya hai. Pehle, 2 martaba retracement hua tha kyunki audusd 0.6744 ke price par chala gaya tha, lekin uske baad phir gir gaya.
Agar h1 timeframe se analyze kiya jae, to candle ka position RBS area mein hai, jo ke 0.6689 ke price par hai. Shayad yaha audusd ke liye upar ki taraf ek retracement ho jaye agar yeh area toota nahi. Kyunki agar yeh kamiyaab taur par toota, to pakka hai ke audusd aur bhi gehra gir jaye ga. Pehle aur bhi gehri girawat se pehle, mujhe lagta hai ke pehle upar ka correction hoga. Iss wajah se ke upar ek supply hai jo abhi tak nahi touch hui, aur yeh 0.6679 ke area mein hai. Isliye mera scenario agle hafte ka yeh hai ke audusd pehle 0.6678 ke price tak uth jaye ga, phir wapas gir jaye ga.

Agar Ichimoku indicator ka istemal kiya jae to, candle ka position tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines ke neeche ja raha hai, jo ke yeh matlab hai ke audusd ka trend abhi bhi bearish hai. Girawat ko continue karne ki mauqa abhi tak hai jab tak koi naye intersections na hon. Magar, main yeh dekh raha hoon ke candle RBS zone mein phans gaya hai, to yeh lagta hai ke audusd ke upar uthne ki zyada chances hai girenay ke muqable mein.

Tou ab agar stochastic indicator ki taraf se analyze kiya jaye to, yeh signs de raha hai ke upar jane ka potential hai kyunki divergent pattern banne ki possibility hai jahan market movement aur indicator alag hai. Shayad jo maine upar kaha yeh hoga ke audusd pehle upar jaye ga. Bad mein 0.6686 ke price ke aas paas naye support banega jo audusd ko upar uthane mein madadgar hoga.

Isliye aaj ka nateeja yeh hai ke audusd currency pair kaam kar sakta hai upar jany ka kyunki candle abhi tak RBS area mein phasa hua hai 0.6689 ke price par. Iske ilawa, stochastic indicator se bhi divergent pattern banne ki potential hai. Aam tor par yeh pattern ek taluq ki nishani hai ke reversal hone wala hai. Isliye, main doston ko jo is pair mein trade karte hain unse mashwara dena chahunga ke sirf buy positions par focus rakhen. Aap take profit target ko 0.6735 ke resistance par rakh sakte hain aur stop loss ko najdik ka support 0.6632 ke price par rakh sakte hain.

General Points and Daily Chart Technical Analysis of AUD/USD General Points:

Kal, Australian Employment Rate aur Unemployment Rate data kafi positive raha. Unemployment Rate stable rahi, jabke Employment Rate 19k se 50k tak surge ho gayi. Is data ne AUD/USD buyers ko bohot zyada confidence diya, jisse pair 0.6725 level tak pahunch gaya. Dusri taraf, US Financial Department ne bhi positive data release kiya. Overall, AUD/USD buyers ne significant strength gain ki hai. Aaj bhi, woh upward move ko continue kar sakte hain, aur 0.6765 level ko break karne ki sambhavana hai. Isliye, mera suggestion hai ke aaj bullish concept ko consider karein aur apne target ko higher set karein.

Daily Chart Technical Analysis:

Aaj ki market analysis ke hisaab se, AUD/USD pair support level 0.6680 ko cross kar sakti hai. Australian Employment Rate mein 19k se 50k tak ka remarkable increase labor market ke strengthening ka clear indicator hai. Aise robust employment data aam taur par investor confidence ko boost karta hai, jisse AUD/USD pair mein buying pressure barh jata hai. Yeh upward momentum evident tha jab pair 0.6725 level tak chala gaya.

Saath hi, US Financial Department ke positive economic data ne bhi market ki optimism ko badhaya. Australia aur US dono se favorable economic indicators ka alignment AUD/USD pair ke continued ascent ke liye ek strong foundation create karta hai.

Technical Indicators:

Support Levels: Pair aaj ke din 0.6680 support level ko cross karne ki sambhavana rakhti hai.
Resistance Levels: AUD/USD ke upward move ki potential ko dekhte hue, 0.6765 level ko break karna plausible lag raha hai.
Market sentiment abhi bullish outlook ke taraf skewed hai, jo recent data releases se supported hai. Traders aur investors is positive momentum ko capitalize karne ki koshish karenge, jo pair ko upar ki taraf drive karega. Isliye, current market scenario ko dekhte hue, bullish trading strategy adopt karna advisable hai. Higher targets set karna prevailing market conditions aur underlying economic fundamentals ke saath align karta hai.

Conclusion:

Positive employment data se Australia aur favorable economic indicators se US ne AUD/USD buyers ke confidence ko significant boost diya hai. Yeh combined strength market ko bullish trend ki taraf le ja rahi hai. Traders ko current upward momentum ka fayda uthana chahiye aur apne targets ko higher set karna chahiye, kyunki market conditions aur economic fundamentals yeh trend support kar rahe hain.

Agar aapko is analysis se related naye updates chahiye, to mere trading journal ko follow karein

AUDUSD currency pair ke daily timeframe mein price movement conditions ke hawalay se dekha ja sakta hai ke aakhri kuch dino ke trading sessions mein trend ab bhi seller ki strength se dominated hai. Yeh condition candlestick movement se dekhi ja sakti hai jo ab bhi neeche ki taraf hai aur seller ki troops ka strong pressure hai. Haalanki, pichle hafte ke aakhir mein buyer ki troops ne upar push karne ki koshish ki jo significant nahi thi, magar uske baad market trend bearish ho gaya aur sharp bearish price par close hua jab Monday ko opening price se compare kiya jaye jo yeh dikhata hai ke market ab bhi sellers ke qabze mein hai.

Yeh dekhte hue ke is hafte ki decline bullish trend ke reversal hai jo kuch hafton pehle tha, iska matlab hai ke agle hafte further declines ka potential bohot zyada hai. Main un indicators ke condition ko dekhoon ga jo market analyze karne ke liye use hote hain. Relative Strength Index Indicator (14) par, Lime Line ka direction clearly visible hai, agar pehle line aksar level 70 ke qareeb hoti thi, magar ab yeh level 50 par aa gayi hai. Doosre complementary indicators par, MACD (12,26,29) ke histogram bar ka position visible hai jo short hona shuru ho gaya hai. Jab ke price position bhi yellow Simple Moving Average 60 indicator ke qareeb drop ho gayi hai, yeh condition signal hai ke daily timeframe mein market slowly bearish trend mein move kar raha hai.

Nateeja:
Daily aur H4 timeframe charts ke technical data ki monitoring ke results aur kuch indicators ki madad se dekha ja sakta hai ke AUDUSD currency pair ab bhi seller ki troops ke control mein hai. Haalanki, aaj subah tak jo continuous decline hua, yeh dikhata hai ke market zyada tar bearish movement continue karega.

Agle hafte ke market conditions ko predict kiya gaya hai ke prices ke neeche move karne ka high probability hai, isliye humein agle hafte ke shuruat mein market developments ko dekhna chahiye pehle se pehle SELL trading decision lene se pehle. Haalanki, agle hafte ke bearish potential ab bhi zyada hai, humein trade karne ke liye ideal moment ka intezar karte hue zyada sabr aur discipline rakhna hoga kyunki pehle upward correction ka potential bhi hai.

Analysis AUD/USD (H4 Timeframe)


Jis waqt se trading session shuru hua hai, candlestick ne Simple Moving Average 60 aur 150 indicators ke neeche girna shuru kar diya hai. Iss haftay ke trading session ke dauran market ki price bearish trend ki taraf barh rahi hai.

AUD/USD currency pair ka Relative Strength Index indicator (14) Lime Line signal 30 ke level tak gir gaya hai, jo is haftay ke market mein sharp bearish trend ki nishani hai. MACD indicator (12,26,29) mein broken Yellow Line consistently neeche ki taraf point kar rahi hai aur long histogram bar zero level se neeche gir chuki hai, jo market ke decline ko indicate karta hai.

Nateejay:

Daily aur H4 timeframe charts ka analysis aur kuch indicators ka use karke, yeh saaf hai ke AUD/USD currency pair abhi bhi sellers ke control mein hai. Market ke continued decline se yeh sabit hota hai ke bearish movement continue hone ke chances zyada hain.

Agley haftay ke market conditions ke mutabiq, prices ke neeche girne ke high probability hai, lekin humay early next week tak market developments ka wait karna chahiye SELL trading decision lene se pehle. Halanke bearish trend ke potential zyada hain, lekin hamein ideal trading moment ka intizar karte hue zyada sabr aur discipline dikhana hoga kyun ke ek upward correction ka potential bhi ho sakta hai.

Market Movements Analyze Karna: AUD/USD

Hum real-time AUD/USD currency pair price assessment ko dissect kar rahe hain. AUD/USD pair ek uptrend dikhata hai. Naye trading week ke shuruat mein, main expect karta hoon ke price 0.6761 tak correction degi, uske baad ek naye movement ki ummeed hai jo 90-day local price ko 0.6791 tak update karegi. Price shayad 0.6801 tak bhi pahunch sakti hai aur uspe consolidate kar sakti hai. Agar aisa hota hai, to humein ek deeper correction dekhne ko mil sakti hai, jahan price 0.6701 tak wapas aa sakti hai, jo ke agle mahine ka target hai, na ke is hafte ka. Yeh scenario mumkin lagta hai kyunki ek similar pattern pehle bhi dekha gaya tha. Regular candle ka 0.6761 par close hona reversal ka signal ho sakta hai.



Main doosre graph par signal potentials ko bars mein highlight karta hoon taake clarity mile. Grey bar daily buy signal ke maximum potential ko dikhati hai, jo ke 0.6609 par tha. Orange bar weekly growth signal ka potential dikhati hai jo 0.6597 se hai. Isliye, targets mein farq hai, kyunki weekly signal level thoda lower hai daily signal level ke muqablay mein. Market ab bhi hamare target range se 30 se 50 points door hai. Mera view price action par wahi hai aur bullish hai. Yeh plausible lagta hai kyunki sales promising nahi hain, khaaskar short correction wave ke sath jo pehli wave ke 50% ko exceed nahi karti. Dusri wave pehli wave ka 38.2% thi. Conversely, wave growth ko 138.2% par expect kiya jana chahiye, jo ke 0.6846 level tak pahunch sakta hai. Teesri wave lambi nahi hogi, pehli wave ki length ko dekhte hue.

AUDUSD market ko tezi se bearish turn le ne par majboor kar diya, aur yeh 0.6580 par close hui. Aik potential bearish scenario ab bhi maujood hai. Magar, market unpredictable ho sakti hai aur time le sakti hai develop hone mein. USA se additional news sellers ke confidence ko aur barha sakti hai. Meri analysis ke mutabiq, kal ke liye buy order place karna recommend karta hoon aur New York session ke open hone se pehle close karne ka mashwara deta hoon. Market potentially 0.6562 level tak gir sakti hai. Daily chart par, kal aik bearish engulfing candlestick pattern bana tha, jo sellers ko advantage lene ka signal de raha hai. Yeh pattern suggest karta hai ke AUDUSD ke sellers apne losses cover kar sakte hain ya apne accounts ko grow kar sakte hain. Aaj market 0.6580 par close hui, jo ek possible bearish scenario ko indicate kar rahi hai. Jab ke ma rket fluctuations unpredictable ho sakti hain, USA se additional news sellers ke confidence ko aur solidify kar sakti hai.
Is analysis ke roshni mein, kal ke liye buy order place karna aur New York session open hone se pehle close karna recommend karta hoon. Market potentially 0.6562 level tak gir sakti hai, jo traders ke liye bearish trend se capitalize karne ka mauqa de sakti hai. H4 chart par agar candle 0.6583 threshold se neeche close hoti hai to short-term trend ka reversal signal milega, jo downward trajectory ko favor karega. Magar yeh scenario contingency plan hai, kyun ke medium-term trend H4 aur D1 charts par ab bhi bullish outlook suggest karta hai.
Market higher levels ko surpass karne mein mushkilat mehsoos kar rahi hai, magar renewed upward surge ka possibility ab bhi moujood hai, jo broader market sentiment ke sath align karta hai. AUD/USD pair ke key levels ke qareebi behavior bohot significant hai. Buyers ke inability to establish a firm foothold above 0.6589 current bullish momentum ki fragility ko highlight karta hai. Magar, jab tak pair critical support zone 0.6572-0.6550 ke upar rehti hai, ek substantial opportunity for resurgence moujood hai, jo pair ko naye heights par le ja sakti hai.
Traders ko recommend karta hoon ke dynamic market conditions ke response mein vigilant aur agile rahein, kyun ke sudden shifts in sentiment aur external news price dynamics ko rapidly alter kar sakti hai. In pivotal levels ka continuous monitoring informed trading decisions ko guide karega amidst prevailing volatility. Is liye, AUD/USD pair ke journey ke complexities ko navigate karne ke liye evolving landscape par keen eye rakhna zaroori hai

AUDUSD market ko tezi se bearish turn le ne par majboor kar diya, aur yeh 0.6580 par close hui. Aik potential bearish scenario ab bhi maujood hai. Magar, market unpredictable ho sakti hai aur time le sakti hai develop hone mein. USA se additional news sellers ke confidence ko aur barha sakti hai. Meri analysis ke mutabiq, kal ke liye buy order place karna recommend karta hoon aur New York session ke open hone se pehle close karne ka mashwara deta hoon. Market potentially 0.6562 level tak gir sakti hai. Daily chart par, kal aik bearish engulfing candlestick pattern bana tha, jo sellers ko advantage lene ka signal de raha hai. Yeh pattern suggest karta hai ke AUDUSD ke sellers apne losses cover kar sakte hain ya apne accounts ko grow kar sakte hain. Aaj market 0.6580 par close hui, jo ek possible bearish scenario ko indicate kar rahi hai. Jab ke ma rket fluctuations unpredictable ho sakti hain, USA se additional news sellers ke confidence ko aur solidify kar sakti hai. Is analysis ke roshni mein, kal ke liye buy order place karna aur New York session open hone se pehle close karna recommend karta hoon. Market potentially 0.6562 level tak gir sakti hai, jo traders ke liye bearish trend se capitalize karne ka mauqa de sakti hai. H4 chart par agar candle 0.6583 threshold se neeche close hoti hai to short-term trend ka reversal signal milega, jo downward trajectory ko favor karega. Magar yeh scenario contingency plan hai, kyun ke medium-term trend H4 aur D1 charts par ab bhi bullish outlook suggest karta hai.
Market higher levels ko surpass karne mein mushkilat mehsoos kar rahi hai, magar renewed upward surge ka possibility ab bhi moujood hai, jo broader market sentiment ke sath align karta hai. AUD/USD pair ke key levels ke qareebi behavior bohot significant hai. Buyers ke inability to establish a firm foothold above 0.6589 current bullish momentum ki fragility ko highlight karta hai. Magar, jab tak pair critical support zone 0.6572-0.6550 ke upar rehti hai, ek substantial opportunity for resurgence moujood hai, jo pair ko naye heights par le ja sakti hai.
Traders ko recommend karta hoon ke dynamic market conditions ke response mein vigilant aur agile rahein, kyun ke sudden shifts in sentiment aur external news price dynamics ko rapidly alter kar sakti hai. In pivotal levels ka continuous monitoring informed trading decisions ko guide karega amidst prevailing volatility. Is liye, AUD/USD pair ke journey ke complexities ko navigate karne ke liye evolving landscape par keen eye rakhna zaroori hai

AUD/USD ko Technical Indicators se Navigate karna
Australian dollar (AUD) is waqt $0.6655 ke qareeb hai, jo foreign exchange market mein ek neutral trend ko reflect karta hai. Daily charts pe dekha jaye to, AUD/USD pair aik rectangular pattern mein phansa hua hai, jo consolidation ko indicate karta hai na ke kisi clear direction ko. Analysts 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) pe clues dhoond rahe hain. Yeh technical indicator is waqt 50 pe hai, jo ek neutral market ko signify karta hai. Agar yeh level se upar ya neeche ek decisive move hota hai, to yeh clear picture de sakta hai ke AUD/USD kis taraf ja raha hai.

AUD/USD ko do key levels pe support mil sakta hai. Pehla level hai 50-day exponential moving average (EMA) jo is waqt $0.6612 pe hai. Yeh average aik floor price ka kaam karti hai, jahan pehle dips mein buyers willing the step in karne ke liye. Dusra support level $0.6585 pe hai, jo aforementioned rectangle formation ka lower boundary hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai to yeh AUD ke liye further decline ka signal de sakta hai. Conversely, AUD jab climb karne ki koshish karta hai to resistance ka samna kar sakta hai. Pehla hurdle rectangle ka upper boundary hai $0.6700 pe. Aik sustained move upar yeh level ek potential bullish trend ko indicate kar sakta hai. Iske ilawa, ek resistance level $0.6714 pe hai, jo highest point hai jo AUD/USD ne January se reach kiya hai. Pichle kuch dinon mein back-and-forth trading dekhi gayi hai, jahan sellers ne successfully price ko Friday ke low se neeche push kiya hai. Buyers ne aaj kuch ground regain karne ki koshish ki, magar unki efforts limited thi, kyun ke price is waqt $0.6645 se neeche hai. Key cheez buyers ke liye $0.6583 level ko defend karna hai. Ek successful defense ek buying opportunity ko signal kar sakta hai, jo potential rebound aur upward momentum ke continuation ko suggest karta hai. Even ek false breakout $0.6630 ke upar followed by a reversal, ek buying chance present kar sakta hai.


Trading recommendations in the AUDUSD market: Main recommend karta hoon ke AUDUSD market mein sell entry signals dhoondho, kyun ke mere khayal mein bullish trend se bearish trend mein reversal hoga, jo mapping ke mutabiq hai jo maine banayi hai, magar sell entry signal ke liye, behtar hai ke aisi situation ka intezar karo jahan seller AUDUSD price ko neeche push karta hai aur successfully MA100 indicator ko penetrate karta hai. Seller ki success MA100 indicator ko penetrate karne mein validation hai ke trend reversal ho gaya hai. Meri estimation hai ke seller AUDUSD market ko control karte rahenge aur AUDUSD price ko push karte rahenge, resistance area tak nahi pohnche ga jo ke MA100 indicator aur support trend line ke neeche hai.

AUD/USD currency pair is waqt apni 50-day aur 200-day moving averages ke neeche trade kar raha hai, jo bearish trend ka signal de raha hai. Yeh positioning yeh dikhati hai ke Australian dollar US dollar ke muqable mein short term aur long term dono mein underperform kar raha hai, jo market mein persistent negative sentiment ko suggest karta hai.

Yeh baat ke pair dono moving averages ke neeche hai, significant hai. Moving averages ko traders bohot zyada use karte hain trends aur potential reversal points ko identify karne ke liye. 50-day moving average ko aam tor par short-term trend indicator mana jata hai, jabke 200-day moving average ko long-term trend indicator ke tor par dekha jata hai. Jab ek currency pair dono ke neeche trade kar raha hota hai, yeh typically signal karta hai ke market sentiment bearish hai, aur downward pressure dominate kar raha hai.

Is context mein ek key technical event dekhne layak hota hai moving average crossover. Do types ke crossovers hote hain jo traders aam tor par monitor karte hain: "golden cross" aur "death cross." Ek golden cross tab hota hai jab 50-day moving average 200-day moving average ke ooper cross karta hai, jo generally bullish signal mana jata hai aur ek potential upward reversal ko suggest karta hai. Iske baraks, ek death cross tab hota hai jab 50-day moving average 200-day moving average ke neeche cross karta hai, jo bearish trend ko reinforce karta hai aur further downward momentum ko indicate karta hai.

Ek haftay pehle AUD/USD ka forecast yeh tha ke AUD/USD pair bullish nazar aa raha tha, aur $0.6755 area se bounce hone ki umeed thi, jo ke naya support tha aur conversion figure ke sath consistent tha. Bada one $0.6750 par tha. Yeh prediction bohot achi thi kyunke price us price zone se uthi, halaanke din ke doran apne initial gains ka bohot sara hissa kho diya.

Technical picture is hafte kuch mukhtalif hai, kyunke humne is currency pair mein is hafte ke aghaz mein ek bohot strong sell-off dekha, US dollar ki strength aur stock markets mein sell-off ki wajah se. Magar, price ne na sirf ek double bottom on the uptrend $0.6721 par hit kiya, balki higher support $0.6731 par bhi hit kiya, isliye price short term mein higher move hone ki umeed lagti hai.

Is upside factor ke bawajood, yeh yaad rakhna zaroori hai ke teen nearby levels par strong resistance hai, jisme se sabse qareeb $0.6755 hai, quarter figure $0.6750 par converge hoti hai. Isliye, mujhe lagta hai ke koi bhi long ya short opportunities speculative trades ke tor par treat ki jani chahiye, kyunke price aane wale dinon mein is area mein fluctuate kar sakti hai. Mera koi directional bias nahi hai, aur main aaj kisi bhi direction mein trade kar sakta hoon.

Summary: AUD/USD currency pair abhi 50-day aur 200-day moving averages ke neeche trade kar raha hai, jo ek bearish trend ka signal hai. Traders moving averages ko trends aur potential reversal points ko identify karne ke liye use karte hain, aur jab pair dono moving averages ke neeche hota hai, yeh bearish sentiment ko suggest karta hai. Ek haftay pehle bullish forecast tha lekin is hafte strong sell-off ne technical picture ko badal diya hai. Price ne double bottom aur higher support hit kiya hai, isliye short term mein higher move hone ki umeed hai, lekin strong resistance bhi maujood hai. Traders ko speculative trades ke tor par long ya short opportunities ko treat karna chahiye aur aaj kisi bhi direction mein trade kiya ja sakta hai.

Hodie, negotiatio AUDUSD conclusa est pretio 0.6686. Clausula huius temporis multo inferior est quam apertio mercatus quia Veneris praeterita, AUDUSD adhuc potuit declinare circa 20 puncta. Eo die motus non nimis magnus fuit. Comparatus ad dies priores, longe post est. Revera, deminutio AUDUSD ex die 12 Iulii 2024 continuatur. Deminutio AUDUSD incepit cum candela non potuit perrumpere aream scapulae ad pretium 0.6783. Hoc significat AUDUSD diu cadere, etiam sustentatio ad pretium 0.6718 perrupta est. Ante, bis retractatio facta est quia AUDUSD ascendit ad pretium 0.6744, sed postea iterum cecidit.

Si ex tempore H1 analysatur, candela positio recta est in area RBS, quae circa pretium 0.6689 sita est. Forte erit retractatio pro AUDUSD ut ascendat dummodo area non perrumpitur. Quia, si feliciter perrumpitur, certum est AUDUSD etiam profundius cadere. Antequam ulterius profundius cadat, video correctionem ascendere primum. Ratio est quia supra est copia quae non tacta est in area 0.6679. Ita, meum scenario proxima septimana est ut AUDUSD primum ascendat ad pretium 0.6678, deinde iterum cadat.

Si indicatore Ichimoku utatur ad analysandum, positio candela adhuc movetur infra lineas Tenkan Sen et Kijun Sen, quod significat trend AUDUSD adhuc ursinus est. Opportunitas ad continuandum deminutionem adhuc est dum novas intersecciones non fiunt. Tamen, cum candela adhuc in zona RBS haeret, videtur opportunitas pro AUDUSD ascendendi multo maior est quam AUDUSD cadens.

Interim, indicator stochasticus signa ascendendi ostendit quia potentiale est ut forma divergentiis fiat, quia motus mercatus et indicator diversae sunt. Forsitan quod supra dixi fieri potest ubi AUDUSD primum ascendat. Postea circa pretium 0.6686 nova sustentatio formabitur quae potest esse firmamentum pro AUDUSD ascendendi.

Ergo conclusio hodie est, par monetae AUDUSD adhuc possibilitatem ascendendi habet quia candela adhuc haeret in area RBS ad pretium 0.6689. Praeterea, ex indicatore stochasticus est etiam potentiale formae divergentiis. Plerumque haec forma signum est quod reversio fiet. Ideo commendo amicis qui in hoc pari negotiantur ut focus solum ad aperiendum positiones emptionis. Potestis ponere scopum lucri in resistentia ad pretium 0.6735 et potestis invenire interitum in proxime sustentatione ad pretium 0.6632.

AUD/USD FORECAST

AUD/USD ka agla tajziya choti timeframe par, yani H4 par hai. Yeh bohot wazeh hai ke week ke turn se pehle trading session se, candlestick ne successfully Simple Moving Average 60 aur 150 indicators ke niche gir gaya hai. Is haftay ke trading session mein, market band hone tak price ki situation ne bearish trend ki taraf musalsal movements dekhein.

Relative Strength Index indicator (14) ke basis par AUD/USD currency pair ke monitoring ke natayij Lime Line signal ko level 30 par girte hue dikhate hain jo ke is haftay ke market mein tezi se girawat ko zahir karte hain. MACD indicator (12,26,29) ke liye, jahan Yellow Line consistently neeche point kar raha hai aur long histogram bar zero level ke neeche gir gaya hai, yeh market ke decline ko zahir karta hai.

Natija:

Daily aur H4 timeframe charts ke tajziye se aur kai indicators ke madad se yeh dekha gaya hai ke AUD/USD currency pair abhi tak sellers ke qaboo mein hai. Subah tak jaari rahne wali decline yeh dikhati hai ke market zyada chances hain ke apni bearish movement ko jaari rakhega.

Agley haftay ke market conditions ke liye, umeed hai ke prices neeche ki taraf movement jaari rakhein gi, lekin ek SELL trading decision lene se pehle agle haftay ke shuru mein market developments ko dekhna chahiye. Halankeh agle haftay bearish ka potential bohot zyada hai, humein ideal moment ka intezar karna chahiye trade karne ke liye, kyunke upward correction ka potential bhi ho sakta hai.

**AUD/USD Price Tendency**

Hum is waqt AUD/USD currency pair ke dynamic pricing behavior ka jaiza le rahe hain. Hamare paas ek developing trend hai jo bearish outcome ke favor mein hai. Sellers ko har resistance level par clear advantage mil raha hai, jo buyer trends ko khatam kar rahe hain. Yeh successive downward movements ka nateeja hai, jo ek strong bearish trend ko indicate karta hai. Agar yeh activity barkarar rahi, toh hum ek significant bearish decline dekh sakte hain jo 0.6529 tak ja sakti hai, jo AUD/USD ke liye ek important support hai.

Is dauraan, upward movement lower highs produce karega aur 0.6722 resistance se neechay hi rahega. Aaj, Jerome Powell ka speech aur JOLTS report ka intezar hai, jo significant moves ke liye potential suggest karta hai, aur downward trend ka preference hai. Main AUD/USD ko small lots ke saath trade kar raha hoon. Current flat se upward breakout ka intezar karte hue, main long positions open kar raha hoon. Filhal, hum correction support zone 0.6651/0.6640 ke aas paas trade kar rahe hain.



Agar qeemat control level 0.6624 tak girti hai, toh main wahan se khareedoon ga. Agar qeemat is target level se neeche girti hai aur consolidate hoti hai, toh main apne continued growth ke plan ko reconsider karoon ga. Medium-term buyers ke liye, yeh 0.6636 level par focus karna meaningful hai. Primary trend ko follow karne se achi results milti hain. Ek pullback ke dauraan opportunity miss karna costly ho sakta hai. Given the local dynamics of AUD/USD, buying promising lagti hai. Planned transaction ka size 0.6567 level par ho sakta hai, jo stop loss serve karta hai. Yeh zaroori hai ke hum increased seller activity ke potential ko hamesha consider karein. Main goal yeh hai ke bulk of funds ko preserve karna chahiye, even after realizing losses. Ek additional buy order 0.6613 probability zone separator ke aas paas hai. Is zone ka far edge overall variability ko manage karne mein madad karega. Agar counter-trend traders barkarar rahe, toh higher wave structures se buyers likely intervene karein ge jab qeemat second benchmark ke qareeb pohonchegi. Initially, main trading asset ke quotes ko nearest unloading border of the T2 gradation area ke qareeb dekhna chahta hoon, jo around 0.6712 hai.

AUD/USD ki Technical Analysis

Australian dollar ne pichle trading haftay mein limited volatility dekhi lekin 0.6635 low ko retest karne ke baad ek uptrend shuru hua, jise 0.6701 ke channel upper se upar push mila. Magar, is doran, price target area tak nahi pahunch saki aur ab bhi isse achieve karne ki koshish mein hai. Ittafaq se, price chart abhi super-trending green zone mein hai, jo active buyers ko indicate karta hai.

Aaj ke technical perspective se, agar hum 240-minute chart ko gaur se dekhen, to humein pata chalta hai ke pair ke 0.6610 level ne ek strong reversal resistance form kiya hai jo temporarily uptrend ko limit karega. Hum jante hain ke Stochastic indicator mark ke qareeb hai. Yahan se, agar day trading 0.6690 ke neeche rehti hai, to hum downside mein corrective decline dekh sakte hain, jiska initial target 0.6714 ko retest karna hai, aur baad mein possible upside target 0.6820 tak hai, jo uptrend ke mutabiq hai. Yeh uptrend baad mein shuru hua agar aap corrective low ko dekhen jo initial breakout ke against hai jo pehle 0.6705 aur 0.6790 tak ka raasta kholta hai. Neeche chart dekhen:



Pair abhi weekly highs se thoda upar trade kar raha hai. Key support areas ko test kiya gaya tha, aur price successfully ruk gayi, jisne isse rebound hone diya aur upward vector ko relevant banaye rakha. Apne upward intentions ko confirm karne ke liye, price ko 0.6701 level ke upar consolidate karna hoga, jo ab successfully key support area ke boundaries ko retest kar chuki hai, jo 0.6804 aur 0.6871 ke beech mein hai. Is area ko target karna ek aur upward move create karega.

Agar support break hoti hai aur price 0.6635 ke turning level ke neeche girti hai, to current scenario cancel hone ka signal milega.