𝐀𝐔𝐃/𝐔𝐒𝐃

AUDUSD H1

Daily chart par AUDUSD ko dekhain to maloom hota hai ke ye currency pair is wakat sideways condition mein hai. Buyers resistance level 0.67024 par stuck hain, jabke sellers bhi support level 0.65779 par rukaawat ka samna kar rahe hain. Ye stalemate is baat ki nishani hai ke buyers resistance tor nahi paa rahe hain aur sellers bhi price ko existing support se neeche push karne mein nakam hain. Mazeed technical analysis se bullish movement ka potential nazar aata hai, khaaskar jab hum dekhte hain ke EMA 50 aur EMA 100 dono hi upward trend mein hain. Iske ilawa, EMA 100 ke ird gird price rejection nazar aati hai jo ye zahir karti hai ke ye area ek strong dynamic support ka kaam kar raha hai. Ye rejection is baat ka ishara hai ke jab kabhi price EMA 100 ke qareeb aati hai, buyers foran step in karte hain price ko wapas upar push karne ke liye. Ye phenomenon reinforce karta hai ke buyers ab bhi control mein hain, aur is baat ke chances badh jatay hain ke price kareebi mustaqbil mein resistance level 0.67024 ko retest kare.

Mere anticipated bullish scenario mein, agar price strong volume ke saath 0.67024 resistance ko tor par karti hai aur daily close is level se upar hota hai, to ye is baat ki early confirmation ho sakti hai ke ek uptrend develop ho raha hai. Itni manzil par, agla target agle resistance level ya ek psychologically significant area ho sakta hai. Ye analysis is understanding par mabni hai ke dynamic support aur resistance levels, khaaskar wo jo moving averages jaise ke EMA 100 se bante hain, price movements mein crucial role ada karte hain. EMA 100 par repeated rejections iski significance ko underscore karte hain, yeh suggest karta hai ke market participants is dynamic ko ba-khubi samajhte hain aur accordingly act karte hain.



Federal Reserve ne eventually interest rates cut karne ka socha hai, lekin aise decisions ka waqt abhi tak elusive hai. Magar, weak hoti hui US data ne Fed ko dono mulkon ke lehaz se behtareen position mein daal diya hai. Upcoming US services PMI data US dollar ke liye further weakness dikha sakthi hai, manufacturing sector mein contraction ke baad.

Technical analysis ke lehaz se, ye pair annual high price limit jo ke takreeban 0.6838 hai tak rally karne ka potential rakhta hai, aur hatta ke pichle saal ki high area jo ke takreeban 0.7157 hai tak bhi pahunch sakta hai. Lekin, agar ye bullish rejection conditions ko 0.6700 ke qareeb experience karta hai to ye consolidation phase continue ho sakta hai. Is se selling opportunities open ho sakti hain, jahan decline ka target zero area ke neeche ho sakta hai.

Is hafte AUD/USD trading pair ne aik upward trajectory dikhaayi hai. Substantial selling pressure ka samna karne ke bawajood, jo ke price ko 0.6594 tak le gaya, market ne latest trading session mein bullish momentum show kiya. Yeh suggest karta hai ke price mazeed barh sakti hai, aur 0.6560 level se door ja sakti hai. Candlestick patterns ko dekhte hue, jo ke 100-day Moving Average ke aas paas positioned hain, yeh baat wazeh hoti hai ke market ka potential trend bullish hai. Candlesticks ki 100-day Moving Average ke qareeb position yeh indicate karti hai ke buyers ka market mein strong presence hai, aur overall trend upwards hai. Traders aksar is indicator ko general market direction ko gauge karne ke liye use karte hain, jahan prices Moving Average ke upar typically bullish trend signal karte hain. Corrections aur selling pressure ke bawajood, market narrow range mein sideways movement dikha rahi hai, jo yeh imply karti hai ke kuch price fluctuation to ho rahi hai, magar drastic movements kisi bhi direction mein nahi ho rahe
Recent pattern ko dekhte hue, yeh wazeh hota hai ke buyers upper hand rakhte hain. Inki dominance prices ke consistent rise mein reflect hoti hai, chahe decline periods bhi aaye. Buyers ki resilience yeh indicate karti hai ke Australian Dollar versus US Dollar ke liye strong positive sentiment hai.



Agar buyers apni position maintain karte hain aur price critical levels, jaise ke 0.6560 support aur 100-day Moving Average, ke upar rehti hai, to bullish trend likely hai ke persist kare. Ongoing upward movement bhi current market conditions aur technical indicators ke zariye support hoti hai jo further gains ko favor karte hain. Sellers ki taraf se kuch resistance ke bawajood, AUD/USD currency pair aik robust bullish trend dikha rahi hai, jahan candlestick positions 100-day Moving Average ke aas paas hain aur market ki narrow range mein sideways movement buyer control ko suggest karti hai
Hafte ke trend ko dekhte hue, market sentiment buyers ko favor karti hai, aur hum near future mein additional bullish momentum anticipate kar sakte hain. Traders ko key support aur resistance levels monitor karne chahiye taake informed trading decisions le sakein
Is article ka summary yeh hai ke AUD/USD trading pair ne upward trajectory show ki hai aur bullish momentum ko maintain kiya hai. Selling pressure ke bawajood, market ne resilient buyers ke saath consistent rise show kiya hai. Candlestick patterns aur 100-day Moving Average ke qareeb positions bullish trend ko support karte hain. Corrections aur narrow range mein sideways movement ke bawajood, buyers ki strong presence market mein hai. Agar buyers critical support aur 100-day Moving Average ke upar apni position maintain karte hain, to bullish trend likely hai ke barqaraar rahe. Traders ko key levels ko monitor karte rehna chahiye taake achi trading decisions le sakein aur market sentiment ko samajh sakein

AUD/USD Ki Paishgoi

Assalam-o-Alaikum aur Subah Bakhair Sab Ko!
Abhi AUD/USD ki qeemat 0.6668 zone ke aas-paas hai, jo ke aik zaroori resistance area hai jis par traders ghour kar rahe hain. Yeh level aik springboard ki tarah kaam kar sakta hai, jo traders ko recent dips se recover hone ka moka de sakta hai ya aik nai upward journey shuru karne ka chance de sakta hai towards the 0.6692 mark. Mere khayal mein, market per bohot farq parega US Final Manufacturing aur ISM Manufacturing PMI data ki wajah se. Yeh reports economic health ke muhim nishaan hain aur market sentiment ko bedal sakti hain. Isliye, zaroori hai ke aap apne account ko in data releases ko madde nazar rakh kar manage karein. Main tajwez deta hoon ke aaj AUD/USD per aik buy order place karein, aur short-term target 0.6682 ka rakhein. Market ki rujhan buyers ki taraf nazar aa rahi hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke upward momentum ke barhnewale chances hain. Magar ehtiyaat zaroori hai, khas taur par US aur Asian trading sessions ke dauran, kyun ke volatility achanak se badh sakti hai. Incoming news aur economic data jo AUD/USD se mutaliq ho, us par close eye rakhna is hafte ke doran bohot zaroori hoga, taake informed trading decisions liye ja sakein. Jo traders active rehte hain aur naye maloomat ke mutabiq adjust karte rehte hain, woh market ko achi tarah se navigate kar sakte hain aur potential opportunities ko bhuna sakte hain. Yani, yeh strategic approach ensure karti hai ke koi bhi achanak market shifts se pehle se aware rahe aur favorable conditions ko capitalize kar sake. Mukhtasir mein, AUD/USD ka current price level buyers ke liye aik compelling opportunity pesh karta hai, bass yeh zaroori hai ke wo key economic indicators ko madde nazar rakh kar apne accounts ko soch samajh kar manage karein. Umeed hai ke aane wale ghanton mein AUD/USD ke buyers ke liye behtri hogi.
Dekhain kya hota hai aney wale ghanton mein aur stop loss ko apni trading mein hoshiari se istemal karein.
Stay Blessed aur Stay Safe!

TRADING UPDATES AUD/USD KARENCI PAIR

Market conditions dekhte hue daily chart par buying support ne kafi koshish ki hai ke AUD/USD price ko steadily trendline ke sath upar move karaya jaye, jo ab tak ek strong defense ke tor par sabit hua hai. Mera mutawaqa hai ke buyers dobara price ko upar push karne me kamiyab hongay aur 60 Simple Moving Average indicator ko paar kar lengay. Is haftay ki conditions dekh kar yeh saaf hai ke market ab bhi bullish range me chal raha hai, lekin ziada wide range me nahi, aur buyers ka aamila ab bhi dominant hai. Previous raat ke market ne dobara se energy hasil ki aur price ko upar push kiya. Chaliye 0.6693 level tak wapas aate hain. Agar aik potential bullish move aj raat 0.6720 price level ko break karne me kamiyab hota hai to yeh bohot ziada mumkin hai ke price aur ziada upar jaye.



Ye shart ek guideline banayegi agle trading positions ke liye, jahan market prices phir se bullish trend ke sath move kar sakti hain, chahe AUD/USD currency pair ne kuch arsa ke liye decline experience ki. Jab relative strength index (RSI) indicator se maap kar dekha jaye to woh 50 ke upar chala gaya hai, jo initial warning hai ke market ke conditions ab bhi bullish hain. Analysis ke results ke mutabiq, yeh saaf hai ke price movement ka upward direction hone ka probability ab bhi hai. Low-volatility buying forces ka upar push expect kiya ja raha hai ke price target level tak pohunch sakay, isliye last night ki downside correction ke selling pressure ko consider kiya gaya hai. Yeh most likely ho sakta hai ke yeh bullish trend situation ki taraf wapas lay aaye.

AUDUSD H4

AUD/USD (Australian Dollar/US Dollar) currency pair forex market mein sabse ziyada actively traded pairs mein se ek hai. Iski value Australian dollar aur US dollar ke exchange rate ko reflect karti hai. Aaj ka trend AUD/USD mein kai key factors ne influence kiya hai, jin mein economic data releases, geopolitical events, aur market sentiment shaamil hain. Aaj tak, AUD/USD trend mukhtalif factors ke combination se influenced nazar a raha hai.

Pehla factor, recent economic data jo Australia aur United States se aya hai, unka bhi ek significant impact raha hai. Australia mein, employment, consumer sentiment, aur retail sales paranoom ki data mix results dikhaya hai. Misal ke tor pe, employment ke numbers toh robust rahe hain, lekin consumer confidence kamzor hoti nazar aa rahi hai rising interest rates aur inflation concerns ki wajah se. Yeh cheez Australian dollar ke liye ek bearish outlook create kar rahi hai.

Dusri taraf, US dollar relatively strong raha hai, jo solid economic indicators jaise ke non-farm payrolls aur retail sales figures se support hota hai. Iske elawa, Federal Reserve ki monetary policy par stance bhi ek crucial role play karta hai. Fed ka interest rates ko maintain ya increase karne ka faisla US dollar ki value par asar dalta hai. Haliya tarz pe, Fed ne indication di hai ke woh apni tight monetary policy ko jari rakhega taake inflation se lar sake, jo US dollar ki strength ko support karta hai.

Geopolitical factors bhi AUD/USD trend mein crucial role play karte hain. Misal ke tor pe, US aur China ke darmiyan tensions Australian economy ko indirect tor par affect kar sakti hain kyun ke Australia ka aham trade relationship China ke sath hai. US-China relations mein negative developments risk-off sentiment ko market mein lay sakti hain, jo investors ko safer assets jaise ke US dollar mein flock karne per majboor karti hain.

Aaj ki baat karein toh, growth particularly strong nazar nahi ayi. Aaj ek naya attempt hua upar rise hone ke liye, lekin price ne MA pair aur Bollinger average ko 0.6624/28 area mein surpass karne ki koshish ki, lekin ab tak kamiyab nahi hui. Saath hi, RSI weakly upward nazar aata hai aur stochastic downwards trend kar raha hai. Maine faisla kiya hai ke balance of the day ko filhaal consideration se hata diya jaye, kyun ke yeh aksar break hota hai lekin foran hi resistance ya support milta hai, jo challenges create karta hai.

Pair ne day's balance ko 0.6626 par break kiya lekin foran H4 resistance 0.6646 par mukablay mein aaya, aur break karne mein kamiyab nahi hua aur expected tor par decline kar gaya. Kal, maine anticipit kiya tha ke day's balance 0.6626 se ya H4 breakout hone se drop aayega.

Australian dollar ka jo current exchange rate hai, wo lagbhag $0.6655 per stable hai, jo foreign exchange market mein aik stabal period ko ظاہر کر رہا hai. Daily charts ka analysis yeh dikhata hai ke AUD/USD pair is waqt rectangular pattern mein move kar raha hai, jo consolidation ke phase ko ظاہر karta hai na ke aik definitive trend ko. Ye pattern yeh suggest karta hai ke market ke participants currency pair ke future direction ke bare mein undecided hain.

Recent trading sessions mein, Australian dollar ne $0.6655 mark ke aas-paas resilience dikhai hai, jahaan na to bulls aur na hi bears ne koi decisive upper hand hasil kiya hai. Ye neutral stance significant price movements ke absence se underline hota hai jo established range se beyond jati hai. Traders aur investors dono hi closely monitoring kar rahay hain key support aur resistance levels ko is consolidation zone ke andar.

Market analysts is neutral trend ko mukhtalif factors se attribute karte hain jo Australian dollar ki performance ko US dollar ke against influence kar rahe hain. Economic indicators, jaise inflation data aur employment figures, crucial role play karte hain market sentiment ko shape karne mein aur currency flows ko influence karne mein. Is ke ilawa, global macroeconomic developments, including trade tensions aur central bank policies, bhi cautious trading environment mein contribute kar rahe hain jo AUD/USD pair mein dekhi ja sakti hai.

Is ke ilawa, technical indicators bhi market dynamics mein additional insights provide karte hain. Oscillators aur moving averages is waqt mixed signals de rahe hain, jo clear directional bias ke lack ko further emphasize karte hain. Traders jo ke technical analysis methods ko employ kar rahe hain, wo apni strategies ko adjust kar rahe hain taake ongoing consolidation phase ke saath adapt kar sakein.

Aage dekhte hue, market participants potential catalysts ko anticipate kar rahe hain jo ke AUD/USD pair ke current deadlock ko break kar sakti hain. Key events jaise central bank announcements, geopolitical developments, ya significant economic releases wo zaroori momentum provide kar sakti hain jiske zariye Australian dollar apne current range-bound pattern se break out kar sakega.

Akhir mein, Australian dollar ka exchange rate jo $0.6655 ke aas-paas hover kar raha hai, wo foreign exchange market mein consolidation period ko reflect karta hai. AUD/USD pair ka movement rectangular pattern mein yeh suggest karta hai ke traders ke darmiyan aik neutral stance hai, jo future price movements ke bare mein indecision ko characterize karta hai. Jaise market participants potential triggers ke liye wait kar rahe hain directional movement ke liye, focus economic indicators aur global developments par remain karta hai jo currency pair ke trajectory ko influence kar sakte hain aane wale sessions mein.

Daily Time Frame Chart Outlook: AUDUSD ki qeemat pehlay bullish trend mein thi, magar overbought level ko test karne ki wajah se qeemat ne adjustment ke tor pe girawaat dikhayi. Pichle chand trading dinon se qeemat ek descending channel mein move kar rahi hai, aur yeh channel moving average lines ke saath aligned hai. Kuch dafa AUDUSD ne moving average lines ko cross kiya hai, upar aur neeche, aur is falling channel ke peak aur bottom levels ko touch kiya hai. AUDUSD ne bearish candles banayi hain Thursday aur Friday ko, week ke Wednesday ko ascending channel ke upper limit ko touch karne ke baad. us din ke baad AUDUSD neeche move karne lag gaya. AUDUSD jald is falling channel ke bottom ko test karne ki tayari kar raha hai.

Chart pe prolonged consolidation dikhayi de rahi hai, jo yeh suggest karti hai ke upper threshold 0.67 ko break karne ka challenge foran aanewala hai. H1 resistance 0.6680 se breakout, pair ko medium-term target 0.6835 ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Agar 0.6680 ko breach karne mein kami hui, to retracement hote hue nayi H1 support 0.6620 tak aasakti hai pehle ke upward momentum phir se resume kare, jo shayad 0.6835 ko target kare, 0.6765 se retracement ke sath. Monday ke liye key support levels hain D1 pe 0.6510 aur H4 pe 0.6540. Agar H1 resistance 0.6680 hold karti hai, to mai anticipate karta hoon ke pullback hote hue din ke balance 0.6640 tak ja sakta hai. Agar yeh level breach nahi hota, to decline H4 support 0.6540 tak ho sakti hai, 0.6570 se retracement hoti hui agar H4 support hold karti hai.

Weekly Time Frame Chart Outlook: Chay haftay pehle AUDUSD ne weekly time frame chart pe trend direction change ki moving average lines ko upside cross karte hue. Qeemat briefly jump hui, jaise ke mujhe umeed thi, aur wazeh tor pe barh gayi aur ab moving average lines follow kar rahi hai. Qeemat 50 EMA line ke upar hone ki wajah se, primary trend abhi bhi positive hai, aur RSI indicator value 52 hone ki wajah se price growth ki likelihood barh gayi hai. Main advise karoonga bullish trade ko open karne ka is trading asset pe aur isay extend karne ka price level 0.6872 tak agar next week AUDUSD positive movement dikhata hai.

AUDUSD Market Analysis

Wednesday (26 June) ko, AUD/USD pehlay barha aur phir ghat gaya, session ke dauran 0.6688 ke high ko touch kiya, aur late New York trading mein phir se neeche aa gaya, poore din mein sirf 0.1% barh kar 0.6655 US dollars pe close hua. Australia ki inflation rate May mein, jo Wednesday ko announce hui, woh six-month high 4% par pohonch gayi, jo ke expected growth 3.8% se kafi zyada thi.

Traders ne November mein mazeed interest rate hikes ki expectations ko barhaya. Is hi sabab se, Australian dollar Wednesday ke Asian session mein sabhi currencies ke muqable mein jump karke barha, magar badqismati se closing stage mein yeh gains ko maintain karne mein nakaam raha aur kafi sharp decline dikhaya, poore din ke gains ko shrink karte hue.

Yeh ziada tar US dollar ki continued strength ki wajah se hua, jis ne Australian dollar ke further performance ko limit kiya. Magar, monetary policy expectations ke divergence se umeed hai ke aakhir mein Australian dollar ko behtareen support milegi, khaaskar cross-trading transactions mein, isliye AUD/USD ke liye decline ka room limited hai. Ab, market ka focus Friday ko US personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index ke release par hoga. Data ki strength currency pair ke liye breakthrough direction ka sabab ban sakti hai. Data se pehle, yeh range-bound trend mein rehna expected hai, jiska fluctuation range 0.66-0.67 tak limited rahega.



Technical Analysis

Overall trend bullish lag raha hai, jaisa ke price long-term moving average ke upar hone se zahir hai.

Price ek tight range mein consolidate kar rahi hai, jo potential breakout ki taraf indication hai. Immediate support 0.66590 (mid-term moving average) ke aas-paas hai. Immediate resistance 0.66840 (recent high near upper Bollinger Band) ke aas-paas hai. Agar price 0.66840 se breakout karti hai, to long positions enter karein target next resistance level ke kareeb, aur stop loss 0.66590 ke neeche rakhain. Warna, agar price 0.66590 se neeche break karti hai, to short positions consider karein, targeting next support level 0.66340 ke kareeb with stop loss above 0.66840.

Australian dollar 0.40% ooper gaya jab Australian CPI release hua lekin zyadatar gain ko wapas le aya. European session mein, AUD/USD 0.6663 par trade kar raha hai, jo din ka 0.24% upar hai.

Australian inflation hairaan kun hai, Australia ka CPI May mein 4.0% tak tezi se bada jo April mein 3.6% tha, bazaar ke andaze 3.8% se zyada. Yeh November 2023 se sabse upar ka level tha. Mehngai ka asar poori economy mein mehsoos hua, jaise ke bijli, gari ka fuel, khana aur transport, bas uncheezon ko chod kar jo bohot ziada asar dala jese energy aur khana, core CPI 4.1% se kam ho kar 4.0% ho gaya April mein. Yeh lagataar teesra mahina hai jab headline prices zyada hoi hain aur is se ye chinta barh gayi hai ke Reserve Bank of Australia apni agli meeting 6 August ko rate barhaye gi. Organizers ne pichli do meetings mein fee barhane ki possibility discuss ki thi lekin fee ko same hi rakhne ka faisla kiya. Fourth quarter inflation report meeting se ek hafta pehle release hogi aur yeh RBA ke rate decision mein ek ahem factor hogi.

Central bank ne satt sessions ke liye rates 4.35% par rakhi hain lekin warned kiya ke agar inflation kam na hua to rate barha sakti hai.
Core CPI ka halka se kami achi khabar hai lekin August mein rate hike roknay ke liye kaafi nahi ho sakti. Inflation ke disappointing numbers dikhate hain ke kami door hai, shayed 2025 tak. RBA chahti hai ke inflation 2% se 3% ke target par wapas aaye aur jab tak inflation 3% ke upper limit ke qareeb nahi hota, wo prices nahi ghatna chahti hain.



Ye ek offer ya Investing.com ka recommendation nahi hai.
Dikhaya gaya ad ko yahan dekhein ya remove kar dein. Wednesday ko, Australia Melbourne Institute Inflation Expectations release karega, jo expect kiya ja raha hai ke June mein 4.3% tak barhe ga jo May mein 4.1% gain tha.

AUDUSD currency pair ne bearish engulfing candle banai hai jo SELL AUDUSD ka bohot strong signal hai aur 0.6640 ki price tak bechne ka. Meree observations ke mutabiq relative strength index 14 indicator ke hisaab se, Audusd price 0.66840s already overbought tha ya bohot zyada overbought tha isliye bohot zarur hai ke aaj raat ko Audusd apni decline ko 0.6640s tuk jari rakkhe ga. SELL AUDUSD signal ko SNR aur Fibonacci methods ka use bhi support karta hai kyunki jab Audusd price 0.6670s enter karta hai to wo SBR area mein hota hai isliye yeh bohot zarur hai ke aaj raat ko Audusd phir se correct ho kar 0.6640s ki price tuk jata hai. Aaj ki audusd movement ki meri technical analysis ke nateejey mein, maine faisla kiya ke maine future mein 0.6640 tak SELL AUDUSD karoon ga.

AUD/USD Daily Technical Charts aur Patterns

Australian Dollar (AUD) ne aaj subah US Dollar (USD) ke muqable me upar chadne ki koshish ki, kal ke rollercoaster ride ke baad. Kal ki Asian trading session me, AUD/USD pair ne kuch upward momentum ka maza liya. Magar, American session me strong US dollar ne is positive trend ko rok diya. Iska natija ek "doji" candle ki formation ki surat me hua daily chart par. Doji candles apni uncertainty ke liye mashhoor hain, jinka chhota body aur long shadows hota hai dono upar aur niche. Is case me, lambi upper shadow selling pressure ko suggest karta hai jo price ko intraday high se neeche push karta hai. Aaj ki Asian session me AUD me buying interest wapas aaya. Ye bilkul hairan kun nahi hai jabse ke economic data subah release kiya gaya. Australian inflation figures expected se zyada aayi, jo 4.4% tak pohanch gayi. Ye increase suggest karta hai ke Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) inflation ko combat karne ke liye current interest rates ko maintain kar sakti hai.



US dollar ka unexpected surge kal ke day me aaya jabke United States me new home sales ke weak data ke bawajood. Sales ka ye drop shayad mortgage lending costs ke significant rise se related hai. Ye masla pehle se hi political circles me traction gain kar raha hai, aur banks par pressure daala ja sakta hai ke rates ko jaldi se kam karein jitna anticipate kiya tha. Jab hum four-hour chart par technical picture dekhe, humein kuch positive signs nazar aate hain AUD ke liye. Price ek support level par 0.6639 se bounce hui aur moving average ke upar climb ki, jo average price ko indicate karta hai kuch period ke liye. Ye short term me mazid strengthening ki potential suggest karta hai. Agla target AUD bulls ke liye current trading range ka upper border ho sakta hai, jo ke around 0.6690 par hai. Summary me, AUD/USD pair kal thoda volatility experience kiya, magar aaj ke session ne Aussie dollar ke liye nai optimism le kar aayi hai. Higher-than-expected Australian inflation data suggest karta hai ke RBA rates ko steady rakh sakti hai, jabke US housing market me weakness jaldi interest rate cuts ko lead kar sakta hai US me. Technical tor par, AUD short term me mazid upside potential dikhata hai.

Australian dollar (AUD) ne Thursday ko US dollar (USD) ke muqable mein fluctuation dikhaya, aur pichle ek hafte se 0.6625-0.6690 ke range mein hover karta raha. Yeh stagnation core US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index data ke release hone se pehle aayi hai, jo interest rate expectations ko influence kar sakti hai. Market participants anticipate kar rahe hain ke core inflation slowdown hogi, 2.8% se gir kar 2.6% annually ho jayegi. Monthly growth bhi April ke 0.2% se gir kar 0.1% hone ki umeed hai. Yeh weaker inflation data Federal Reserve (Fed) ke early rate cut ka signal de sakti hai, jo USD ko boost kar sakti hai. US Dollar Index (DXY) filhal around 105.90 par hai, jo slight correction indicate karti hai. Umeed ye hai ke is saal do rate cuts ho sakte hain, September se pehle. Lekin, Fed policymakers ne suggest kiya hai ke sirf ek cut likely hai 2024 mein. Agar AUD mein buying pressure mazid barh jata hai, toh price five-month high 0.6713 ko test kar sakta hai, aur yeh level breach karke December 2023 ke high 0.6870 tak pohanch sakta hai.





Isi tarah, agar reversal hota hai, toh AUD ko April-May resistance level 0.6643 par support mil sakti hai. Agar downside breakout hota hai, toh yeh pair 0.6590 support level tak gir sakta hai, jo 50-day moving average ke sath coincide karta hai. Mazid declines 0.6558 par ruk sakti hain, jo AUD ke recent range ka lower limit hai. Asal mein, AUD/USD pair filhal key inflation data ka intezar kar rahi hai taake apna agla move decide kar sake. Weaker inflation data USD ke favor mein ho sakti hai due to expectations of an early rate cut, jabke stronger data AUD ko mazid traction dilwa sakti hai. MACD middle trend line ke neeche trade kar raha hai jo massive divergence range 0.6389 par additional strength dete hue dekhai deta hai weekend pe.

Joray pair ne aik ulat dekhi, jo Wednesday ko US Dollar ke muqablay mein 0.41% ki kami dikhata hai. Yeh harkat us ke bawajood ho rahi hai ke US data ki roshni mein Federal Reserve ke is saal ke baad rate cuts ki ummedein bar gayi hain. Jab Wednesday ko Asian trading session ka aaghaz hota hai, toh yeh pair takreeban 0.6650 par mustahkam hai.

Afraat-i-zar aur Federal Reserve Rate Ke Tajawez

Is market movement ka aik ahem sabab “Prices Paid” subcomponent mein kami thi, jis ne afraat-i-zar se motaliq umeedon ko kamzor kiya. Is taraqqi ne is baat ke imkanaat mein izafa kiya ke Federal Reserve rate cuts ka silsila shuru kar sakta hai. Mojooda predictions, Jo CME FedWatch tool ke zariye zahir hoti hain, September mein aik rate cut ke imkanaat ko takreeban 67% tak dikha rahi hain.

Reserve Bank of Australia Ki Pozishan

Dooji taraf, Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ummed hai ke apni mojooda interest rates ko 2025 tak barqarar rakhega. Yeh pozishan RBA ko G10 central banks mein sab se aakhri bank bana deta hai jo rate kam karne ke mawaqe par jaye ga, khas tor par Australia mein barhati hui afraat-i-zar ki wajah se.

AUD/USD Pair Ke Potential Targets

Yeh pair 0.6700 ki psychological level ka maqasad hasil kar sakta hai, aur agle moqam pe May ka high 0.6716 tak ja sakta hai. Agar yeh moqam paar ho jaye to yeh pair apni ascending channel ke upper boundary tak ja sakta hai, jo takreeban 0.6800 par hai. Daily chart analysis ek bullish bias dikhaata hai AUD/USD ke liye, jo is pair ke ascending channel pattern mein consolidation se zahir hota hai.



Immediate support ka taayun 21-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) par hota hai jo 0.6659 par hai, jo rising wedge pattern ke lower boundary se mail khata hai. Agar yeh level toot jaaye to yeh AUD/USD par mazeed downward pressure daal sakta hai, jo isay throwback support region tak, jo 0.6471 par hai, drive kar sakta hai.

AUD-USD Pair Analysis

Aaj hum AUD/USD pair ka technical analysis karein ge. Hum daily time frame se shuru karenge taake hamein price movements ki muqammal soorat-e-haal ka pata chal sake. Daily time frame par, kal AUD/USD ki price ne ek ahem resistance level 0.6671x ko tor ker oper chali gayi thi. Magar yeh price wahan zyada dair nahi tik sakki aur niche gir kar support level 0.6639x tak pohnch gayi. Yeh dikhata hai ke resistance level price movement ko mukarrir karne mein ahem kirdar ada karta hai, aur girawati ke saath seller ki qowat ka izhar hota hai.

Support resistance analysis humari trading strategy ke liye aik buniyadi ahmiyat rakhta hai. Abhi ke lehaz se dekhein to price support area 0.6639x par hai, jo ke vihaj 0.6671x resistance se rad hone ke baad aya hai. Agar yeh support level bhi قائم نہ رہ سکا, to price agle support level 0.6606x ki taraf gir sakti hai. Magar humein is baat ka bhi khayaal rakhna chahiye ke agar yeh support level reject hota hai, to price wapas 0.6704x next resistance ki taraf barh sakti hai.





Ek mumkinah strategy yeh hai ke support level ke neeche breakout ka confirmation ka intezar kiya jaye taake sell position consider ki ja sake, jiska target next support area hoga. Kul mila kar is waqt market mood AUD/USD pair ke liye bearish hai, kyun ke price resistance level se reject hue aur support ki taraf ja rahi hai. Ab is waqt sab se mohtaat strategy yeh hai ke price confirmation ka intezar kiya jaye ke support level ke neeche breakout hota hai aur next support 0.6608x ki taraf jata hai, ya phir price wapas upar pichlay resistance level 0.6717x ke uper jata hai.

Ab ke lehaz se current position mein girawat ka rujhan hai jo ke sell mood analysis ki taraf isharah karta hai. Is nazariye ko support karnay wala ahem factor USDX ki mazid qowat hai, jo kal tak barh raha tha.

AUD-USD JORI PAIR FORECAST

Aaj kal, AUD/USD pair mein bearish potential dekha ja sakta hai, khas tor par agar hum M30 time frame ko dekhain. Support resistance analysis mein, humne do aham levels identify kiye hain, aik minor resistance area jo lagbhag 0.6648x par hai aur aik minor support area jo lagbhag 0.6642x par hai. Yeh do levels humein behtareen entry positions dhoondhne ka mauka dete hain. Agar price minor resistance 0.6648x se break out kar jati hai, toh iss surat mein humara strategy buy karna hoga with a target towards daily resistance jo lagbhag 0.6671x ke qarib hai. Lekin, agar price minor support area 0.6642x se break through karti hai, toh yeh sell ka signal ho sakta hai with a target daily support area lagbhag 0.6606x ke aas paas. Filhaal, main entry point ke liye buy position consider kar raha hoon us scenario mein jahan price gire magar qareebi minor support 0.6631x ya phir agle minor support 0.6625x ko break through na kar sake. Iss surat mein, hum buying consider kar sakte hain with a target current resistance area jo lagbhag 0.6678x par hai, yeh strategy pehle bhi yehsi halat mein effective sabit hui hai. Yeh bhi zahir karta hai ke AUD/USD shayad sideways range bana raha hai, jo ke hum clearly defined support levels mein buy strategy ke liye istemaal kar sakte hain. Yehi meri aaj ki AUD/USD pair ke liye analysis hai, umeed hai ke yeh mufeed sabit hogi aur sab ke liye sochnay ka maqool bana sakaygi. Trading ke waqt hamesha acchi money management ka khayal rakhein.

AUD/USD

currency pair is waqt H1 timeframe chart par ek pronounced downward trend experience kar raha hai. Price action strong aur sustained bearish movement dikhata hai, jo Australian dollar ke muqable mein US dollar ke liye potential market sentiment shift ko signal karta hai. Traders aur analysts jo is pair ko monitor kar rahe hain, unhone descending prices ka clear pattern note kiya hai, jo market mein prevailing bearish sentiment ko suggest karta hai. Yeh trend khaaskar tab evident hai jab pair steadily ek crucial support level 0.6432 ki taraf barh raha hai. Yeh level significant importance rakhta hai kyun ke historically isne AUD/USD pair ke price movements ko influence kiya hai, aksar pivot point ya zone of price consolidation ke tor par serve karta hai.

AUD/USD pair ka downward trajectory H1 chart par current market dynamics ko underscore karta hai, jahan sellers dominate karte hue dikhai dete hain, aur Australian dollar ki value par pressure dalte hain US dollar ke muqable mein. Yeh movement successive lower highs aur lower lows se characterized hai, jo ke bearish trend ka classic technical indication hai.

Market participants is critical support level 0.6432 ke ird gird developments ko closely monitor kar rahe hain. Agar pair decisively is level ko breach karta hai, to yeh further downward momentum ko trigger kar sakta hai, aur traders ke consideration ke liye potential targets subsequent support zones par likely honge.



Technical indicators ke ilawa, fundamental factors bhi Australian dollar ke ird gird bearish sentiment ko contribute kar rahe hain. Yeh economic data releases, geopolitical events, ya central bank ke shifts ho sakte hain. April mein employment change 30.0K thi, jo ke prior 38.5K gain se zyada thi. Unemployment rate 4.0% thi, jo ke anticipated 4.1% figure se kam thi April ke liye. US Federal Reserve (Fed) ke hawkish stance ke baad, US dollar (USD) ne apne previous losses ko rebound kiya, jo AUD/USD pair ko hurt kar raha hai. Investors Thursday ko US weekly Producer Prices Index (PPI) aur Initial Jobless Claims data ka wait kar rahe hain taake US economy ki state ke bare mein further insight mil sake.

National Australia Bank (NAB) ke Chief Economist Alan Oster ne Tuesday ko kaha, "Woh expect karte hain ke RBA kuch waqt ke liye rates ko hold par rakhega jab tak yeh contrasting risks se navigate kar raha hai. Growth ke outlook ke bare mein warning signs hain, lekin usi waqt inflation outlook ke bare mein bohot wary hone ki reasons hain."

Current trend ke mutabiq, hum believe karte hain ke aaj ka market humein short transactions close karne ka excellent opportunity provide karta hai, kyun ke sellers ki strength is waqt buyers ki potential ability se clearly zyada hai jo situation ko apne desired direction mein turn karna chahte hain. Hamari work mein hum HamaSystem, RSI Trend aur Magnetic_Levels_Color indicators use karte hain. Hama indicator aur RSI trend ke mutabiq H1 timeframe par bhi bearish mode dikh raha hai - dono indicators blue aur green hain, jo sellers ki dominant strength ko indicate karte hain. Isliye, hum sale transaction independently open karte hain. Hum magnetic level indicator use karke position se exit karenge. Is waqt, ideal level jo work karne ke liye hai wo 1.66081 hai. Aur phir hum chart ko dekh kar decide karenge price movement ke nature ke base par ke market mein position ko maintain karna hai, ya already taken profit ko fix karna hai taake maximum possible profit extract kiya ja sake.