𝐀𝐔𝐃/𝐔𝐒𝐃

AUD/USD currency pair continues to show a steady downward trend. MACD indicator pe bearish divergence aur ek reversal figure, specifically ek ascending wedge, dikhai de raha hai. Haal hi mein, price mein kaafi kami hui, jisme US dollar ki strength nazar aayi. Is girawat ke dauran, pehle ke waves ke bottoms par bana hua ascending support line tod diya gaya, jo 2024 ke liye sabse kam update ke saath coincide karta hai. Magar, market ne jaldi se recovery dikhayi, aur prices ne rebound kiya, pichle din ki girawat ka ek bada hissa wapas le liya. Isse ek false breakout bana aur uske baad growth formation hua. Wave structure lagta hai ke zyada downward hai, MACD indicator lower sales zone mein hai aur apni signal line ke neeche decrease ho raha hai. **Indicators aur Market Sentiment**
Downward indicators ke bawajood, ek bullish divergence signal bhi ek aur indicator, CCI, par nazar aata hai. Yeh puri reversal ki guarantee nahi deta, lekin yeh upward move ki potential suggest karta hai towards resistance level 0.6577, jahan main filhal further downside nahi dekh raha. Kal ki daily candle bhi ek characteristic hammer ya pin bar formation ke saath close hui, jo potential reversal ka indication hai.

Magar, growth thoda questionable hai due to allied pairs jaise EUR/USD aur GBP/USD ke downward pressure ke karan. Agar yeh pairs bhi rise kar rahe hote, to buying mein zyada confidence hota. Filhal, yeh pairs decline kar rahe hain, jo AUD/USD pair mein growth ke liye challenge create kar raha hai. Mere assessment ke mutabiq, sellers aur buyers ke chances balanced hain, aur traders short-term periods mein corresponding formations dekh kar kisi bhi direction mein operate kar sakte hain.

**Economic Calendar aur Market News**

Aaj ke economic calendar mein koi crucial news nahi hai, jo traders ko unki techniques ke mutabiq operate karne ki suvidha deti hai bina kisi unexpected movement ke risk ke. AUD/USD se related news data ka analysis karna zaroori hai. Economic indicators, geopolitical developments, aur other relevant news currency pair ke movement ko significant impact kar sakte hain, bullish trends ko reinforce kar sakte hain ya naye challenges present kar sakte hain. In updates ke saath informed aur responsive rahkar, buyers market shifts ka fayda utha sakte hain aur risks ko minimize kar sakte hain.

**Future Market Outlook**

Mujhe umeed hai ke market agle dino mein buyers ke liye favorable rahegi. Recent uptick aur short-term gains traders ke liye ek solid strategy present karti hai taake pichle mahine ke losses recover kiye ja sakein. Main expect karta hoon ke aane wale data is recovery process mein pivotal role play karega, buyers ko pehle ke setbacks ko overcome karne ke liye zaroori momentum provide karega.

Jaise hamesha, vigilant aur adaptable rehna zaroori hai, strategies ko nayi information ke mutabiq adjust karna chahiye. Overall, current market environment AUD/USD buyers ke liye ek promising opportunity present karta hai, provided careful analysis aur strategic planning approach liya jaye

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Price Action Magic: AUD/USD

Hamari guftagu AUD/USD currency pair ke live evaluation se mutaliq hai. Market mein buyers ki koshishen nazar aati hain, kyunki chaar ghante ke chart par AUD/USD ka uptrend saaf hai, jo 0.6625 ke support level se shuru hota hai. Technical analysis ke mutabiq, kharidne ke liye wazeh ishare hain, jahan do indicators isay confirm kar rahe hain. MACD oscillator histogram ne negative zone se nikal kar zero ko cross kiya hai aur positive territory mein chala gaya hai, jabke moving average bhi upar ki taraf ja raha hai. Sab ishare is baat ki taraf ishara karte hain ke price 0.6824 se aage barhne ki sambhavna hai. Agar price is faaslay ka kam se kam aadha hissa cover kar leti hai aur position munafa dene lagti hai, to stop loss ko breakeven par le jana behtar hoga.

Jab AUD/USD pair 0.6794 ke resistance area ke nazdeek pahunchega, to sirf 0.6767 par choti si rukawat hai, jise candle body ne kuch had tak paar kar diya hai. Is candle ka agle dinon mein close hona bohot ahem hoga.




Agar ye apne maujooda level ke nazdeek band hota hai, to mujhe umeed hai ke price 0.6794 ke resistance tak aur barh jayegi, jahan mein short karne ka soch raha hoon. Filhal, mein sidelines par rahunga. AUD/USD pair ka overall momentum bearish hai, lekin sellers ki positions kuch fragile hain. Agar price 0.6774/0.6799 resistance zone se upar chali jati hai, to ye naya high 0.6823 ko test karne ki sambhavna hai.

Sab se nazdeek ka ahem support 0.6738/0.6721 ke growth zone mein hai. Yahan se price ya to phir se upar ki taraf moord legi ya bearish start line 0.6621 ki taraf niche ja sakti hai. Ye 0.6621 support level bohot zaroori hai—agar ye tut gaya, to downward momentum ki pehli lehar shuru ho jayegi, jo AUD/USD pair ko 0.6496 aur 0.6419 tak le ja sakti hai.

Hamara maqsood ab AUD/USD currency pair ki price action ka jaiza lena hai. Is girawat ka aik ahem sabab CCI indicator hai, jo weekly chart par upper overheating zone se gir raha hai. Is doran, CCI par aik bearish convergence dekhi gayi, jo 0.6753 ke qareeb aik girawat ki nishani hai, jis se price mein girawat aayi. Doosri badi currency pairs bhi U.S. dollar ki taqat mein izafa ka ishara de rahi hain. Fibonacci grid ko pehli leher par lagoo karne se, is girawat ka maqsood saaf hai: Fibonacci grid par 161.8 ka level, jabke aik beech ka maqsood 0.6639 hai. Halaanki, is maqsood tak pohanchne se pehle 0.6689 par kuch dair ka pullback ho sakta hai. Buying positions tabhi lein jab 161.8 Fibonacci level tak pohanch jayein, jahan aik corrective growth wave ban sakti hai.




Dilchasp baat yeh hai ke dollar ki taqat negative khabron ke bawajood barh gayi, jo currency ki taqat ka asal sabab samajhne mein kuch bechaini paida karti hai. Lekin, jab se market 0.6669 se neeche band hui hai, mujhe mazeed girawat ki umeed hai. Agar price 0.659 se neeche girti hai, to mai buying opportunities talash karunga. AUD/USD ka chalta hua zigzag movement aik bade wave (b) ke andar correction hai jo pehli wave (a) ke mukammal hone ke baad aa raha hai. Yeh girawat wave (b) mein rollback ko darshati hai, jisme do ahm levels hain. Pehla control point 0.6614 par hai, agar yeh level barqarar rahe to hum 0.7199 ki taraf reversal dekh sakte hain. Lekin agar pair is level se neeche girta hai, to wave (b) 0.6544 tak phail jayegi; wahan par aik reversal dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Agar 0.6544 se neeche gaya, to upward zigzag pattern tut jayega, jo 0.659 se neeche aik mazboot downward reversal ka ishara dega.

Jumeraat ki subah, AUD/USD pair mein aik aham rebound dekhne ko mila, jo ke early European trading hours ke doran 0.6730 tak pohanch gaya. Yeh izafa RBA ki mazboot monetary policy ki wajah se hai, jis ne AUD ko DXY ke muqablay mein mazboot kar diya. Trading ke khatam hone par spot price 0.6705 ke qareeb thi. Ab market dekhne wale RBA Governor Michele Bullock ki aane wali taqreer ka intezar kar rahe hain, jo currency pair ke mustaqbil ki taraf kuch aham raahnumai faraham kar sakti hai.

AUD/USD ke Fundamentals:

Spot price is waqt kamzor market sentiment ki wajah se kaafi pressure ka samna kar rahi hai. European trading hours mein S&P 500 futures mein shiddat se girawat dekhi gayi, jo investors ke risk appetite mein kami ka darshan karti hai. Is ke sath sath, US Dollar Index (DXY), jo Greenback ki keemat ko chhe badi currencies ke khilaf napta hai, tez girawat se 101.60 ke qareeb aa gaya. DXY ki is girawat ka AUD/USD pair par aane wale sessions mein asar pad sakta hai.

Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Aam tor par pair ka 0.6829 par badi resistance level ko torna mushkil nazar aata hai. Yeh tawaqqo sahi sabit hui jab AUD ne 0.6738 par peak kiya aur phir 0.6710 par band hui. Pullback ne kuch momentum hasil kiya hai, jo darshata hai ke jabke mazeed girawat mumkin hai, lekin yeh 0.6680 ke support level ko khatar mein nahi daal sakti. Choti support 0.6600 par hai, jabke resistance 0.6860 par maujood hai.




Relative Strength Index (RSI) ab neutral zone mein hai, jabke pehle oversold territory mein chala gaya tha. Yeh stabilization market dynamics mein aik potential shift ka ishara de raha hai. Halankeh RSI ki taraf se darshaya gaya general downward trend AUD/USD pair ke liye bearish outlook ki taraf ishara karta hai. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator bhi bearish momentum dikhata hai, jisme girti hui red bars ka silsila hai, jo bearish momentum mein kami ko darshata hai.

AUD/USD Price Movement

Chaliye dekhtay hain ke AUD/USD currency pair ki price kis tarah se beht rahi hai aur is ka kya analysis kiya ja sakta hai. Naye candlesticks ka configuration aur RSI indicators se milne wale signals is currency pair ke liye bullish reversal ki nishani de rahe hain. Heiken Ashi, jo ke traditional Japanese candlesticks se mukhtalif hai, aik smooth aur averaged price provide karta hai, jo technical analysis ko asan banata hai aur trading accuracy ko barhata hai. RPV channel indicator (jis mein red, blue, aur yellow lines hain) do martaba smooth ki gayi moving averages ka istemal karte hue support aur resistance lines banata hai, jo is instrument ki movement ke current boundaries ko wazeh karte hain. RSI indicator ko Heiken Ashi ke sath aik additional filtering oscillator ke tor par istemal kiya gaya hai, jo is combination mein positive results dikhata hai. Main apni position ko 61.8% tak barqarar rakhne ka plan bana raha hoon.

Is hafte ke teesre din ki trading session mein, market ki halaat mein aik baar phir halka sa girawat dekhi gayi, lekin yeh gehri nahi thi. Agar hum is hafte ki shuruat ki trading ka jaiza lein, to kuch ahm baatein samne aati hain, khaaskar kal raat ka bearish attempt jo bohot gehra nazar aaya aur is ne highest price zone ko chhor diya. Price ki girawat ka agle trading decisions par asar hoga, kyun ke price ke bearish hone se pehle, pichle hafte mein market consolidation ka halat tha. Pichle August mein, market ka trend bullish tha aur kaafi active tha, aur mujhe lagta hai ke agla trend phir se bullish ho sakta hai.




Aaj ki trading mein jo movement hui hai, wo pichle mahine ke bullish trend ke kamzor hone ke baad se fluctuate nahi hui. Bechne walon ne market par apni daulat banana ki koshish ki hai. Yeh behtareen hoga agar hum aakhri kuch dinon ki market conditions ko madde nazar rakhein, jahan girawat ka mauqa hai kyun ke pehle bullish trend ko aage barhane mein nakami hui thi. Candlestick ki movement jo abhi bhi 0.6700 ke support level ke qareeb hai, is baat ka ishara deti hai ke agar sellers is support level ko break karne mein kamiyab ho gaye to bearish trend agay barh sakta hai. Is hafte ke liye AUD/USD pair ke liye, main ab bhi bearish market ke mauqe ke liye optimistic hoon kyun ke candlestick ne significant resistance ke bina bearish pattern mein neeche ki taraf movement ki hai.

AUD/USD 4-Hour Chart Analysis

AUD/USD ka 4-ghante ka chart yeh darshata hai ke yeh jor mid-July se bearish structure mein trade kar raha hai, jahan niche ki taraf momentum saaf nazar aata hai. Haal hi mein, price ne 0.64500 ke level par support paaya, jo ek badi liquidity zone ke saath milta hai. Is support level se bounce hone par temporary recovery hui, lekin price ab bhi key resistance zones ke neeche hai aur 0.67000 ke aas-paas bechne ka pressure jhel raha hai.

Iss waqt price 0.66750 par hai, jo ek Fair Value Gap (FVG) ke aas-paas react kar raha hai jo late August mein fill hui thi, aur jo price ke retracement ke doran ek magnet ki tarah kaam karti hai. 0.67500 ke region mein jo FVG hai, ab resistance zone ban chuki hai. 0.68000 ke upar bearish liquidity zone ab bhi ek aham rukawat hai, kyunki market pehle is level ko todne mein nakam raha hai.

September ke shuru mein pehchaanay gaye Displacement Liquidity Zones (DLiq) yeh bhi darshate hain ke market abhi bhi aksar bearish hai. Ye zones bullish attempts ko rok rahe hain, aur jab bhi market in zones ko test karne ki koshish karta hai, price reject ho jata hai, jo bechne ki mazboot dilchaspi ko darshata hai. Niche ki taraf potential targets ki baat karein, to agla support level 0.66000 ke psychological level ke aas-paas hai, jo pehle ke liquidity pool ke saath milta hai. Agar price is level se neeche girti hai, to agla significant liquidity zone 0.64500 ke aas-paas hai, jo pehle ke downtrend mein price ko sambhal raha tha.




Agar buyers 0.67000 ke resistance ko todne mein kamiyab hote hain aur upar ki taraf push karte hain, to agla target 0.67500 FVG zone hoga. Lekin overall trend yeh darshata hai ke market abhi bhi bearish control mein hai, aur jab tak sentiment mein koi bada tabdeeli nahi hoti, lower price levels par test hone ke liye tayar rehna chahiye.

In conclusion, AUD/USD abhi ek bearish trend mein hai, jahan critical resistance 0.67000 aur 0.68000 par hai. Aage chal kar, price 0.66000 ko test kar sakta hai aur eventually 0.64500 support ko dobara check kar sakta hai. 0.67000 ke upar sustain break hona temporarily bias ko badal sakta hai, lekin bechne ka strong pressure ab bhi evident hai.

Profit Potential: AUD/USD Prices

Chaliye AUD/USD currency pair ke price behavior ka tajziya karte hain. AUD/USD pair mein short-term downward momentum nazar aa raha hai, jo H1 chart par dikhai de raha hai. 120-period Moving Average is bearish direction ko confirm karta hai, jo price line ke upar hai. Iske ilawa, zigzag indicator bechon ki dominance ko darshata hai, jo declining peaks se saaf hai. Lagta hai ke hourly candle ka closing price 0.6679 par hone se pehle aur giraawat dekhne ko milegi. Is context mein, bechne ke mauqe kharidne se zyada favorable lag rahe hain. Filhal, main 0.6689 level se bechne ka soch raha hoon, jiska pehla target 0.6649 aur doosra target 0.6609 hai. Agar losses hone ki sambhavna ho, to yeh 0.6719 par honi chahiye. Dusri taraf, kharidari tab mumkin hogi jab pair 0.6749 ke upar break aur consolidate kare. Kharidari ke liye 0.6789 ka level viable hai, jabke losses ke liye 0.6719 sahi rahega.




AUD/USD pair ki downward trajectory abhi tak mazboot hai. Agar current bearish pattern jari raha aur price 0.6730 ke accumulation zone ke upar rehne mein nakam raha, to aage aur giraawat dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Mera tajziya yeh kehta hai ke bearish movement ka target support zone ke upper boundary par 0.6595 hai. Yeh level jaldi se pair ki price ko neeche kheench sakta hai. Agar price 0.6684 ke accumulation zone tak badhti hai aur wahan se upar nahi jati, to hum 0.6684 se 0.6595 tak ke downward shift ki tawaqqo kar sakte hain, jahan pehle se mentioned accumulation hoti hai.

Main aam tor par daily trades ke liye H4 chart par MACD aur Bollinger Band ka istemal karta hoon. Trend assessment lower time frame par entry point dhoondhne mein madadgar hoti hai.

AUD/USD Pair Ki Halat

AUD/USD pair ne Thursday ko ek volatile session ka samna kiya, jab prices haal ke unchaayi se neeche aagayi, khas taur par China ki economic outlook aur mixed US inflation data ki wajah se. Shuru mein bullish momentum ke bawajood, pair aakhir mein 0.6670-0.6665 ke aas-paas settle ho gaya, jo din ke liye zyada tabdeel nahi hua. AUD/USD ki giraawat ka asal sabab China ki economic growth ke baare mein dobara se paida hui uncertainty thi. Reports ne yeh darshaya ke Chinese government mortgage interest rates ko kafi had tak kam karne ka plan bana rahi hai, jisne duniya ki doosri sab se badi economy mein slowdown ki chinta paida kar di. Is negative sentiment ne Australian currencies, jaise ke AUD, ko dabao mein daal diya, jabki USD ki halki mazbooti ne neeche ke pressure ko aur barhaya.

US ki taraf, Consumer Price Index (CPI) report ka release mixed picture de raha tha. Jabke overall CPI cooling trend ko darshata hai, core CPI mazboot raha, jo Federal Reserve ke taraf se zyada aggressive rate cut ki ummeedon ko chura leta hai. Is se US Treasury yields mein izafa hua aur US dollar ko support mila. Lekin investors ko yakin hai ke Fed apne policy easing cycle ko 25-basis point rate cut se shuru karega, jo risk-sensitive Australian dollar ko kuch support de raha hai.




Aage dekhte hue, traders US Producer Price Index (PPI) report par nayi momentum ke liye focus kar rahe hain. AUD/USD pair ka technical outlook neutral se bullish hai. Jabke RSI kamzori ke asar dikhata hai, Stochastic ne haal hi mein upar ki taraf wapas ghooma hai, jo further upside ki sambhavna ko darshata hai. Agar price giraawat jari rakhti hai, to 0.6620 level, jo 200-day moving average ke saath milta hai, kafi significant support de sakta hai. Agar is level se neeche giraawat hoti hai, to deeper correction dekhne ko mil sakti hai, jahan 0.6560 area, jo short-term uptrend line ke paas hai, ek potential target ban sakta hai.

Aakhri mein, AUD/USD pair abhi ek complex landscape se guzar raha hai, jahan US aur China dono ki economic indicators aur rate expectations ka kafi aham kirdar hai. Traders ko ehtiyaat baratni chahiye aur in factors ko investment decisions karte waqt achi tarah se dekhna chahiye.

AUD / USD: Rozana Bazaar ki Salahiyat

Kal, AUDUSD ke bulls ne khaas taqat hasil ki, jabke bears ya bechne walon ki value puri tarah se kam ho gayi. 0.6700 ka price level is surat-e-haal mein ahmiyat rakhta hai aur isay technical analysis mein dhyan se dekhna chahiye. Ye level crucial hai, kyunki ye market ke bullish scenario ki taraf ishaara karta hai. Bulls ka control hasil karne se, agle dinon mein upar ki taraf chalne ki mumkinat barh gayi hain. Agar ye bullish momentum jaari raha, to ye bulls ko 0.6700 ka price level sambhalne aur defend karne mein madad dega.

H4 aur D1 charts ki analysis se yeh pata chalta hai ke bullish pressure zyada hai. Dono timeframes par abhi bulls ka raaj hai, jo upar ki taraf trend ko dikhata hai aur buy opportunities ke liye maamooli hai. In charts se milne wale musalsal bullish signals strong buying pressure ki tasdeeq karte hain, jo traders ke liye potential buy entries par focus karne ka behtareen waqt hai.

Aakhri baat yeh hai ke traders ko agle trading din par AUDUSD mein buy entries lene par ghour karna chahiye, kyunki maujooda market dynamics is baat ki taraf ishaara karte hain ke bulls apni position banaye rakhain ge. 0.6700 ka key support level is bullish sentiment ka ek buniyad hai, aur agar price is threshold se upar rahe, to agle munafa ki zyada mumkinat hain. Is liye, traders ko chust rehna chahiye aur 0.6700 level ke aas-paas price action par nazar rakhni chahiye.



Market ka bullish scenario, jo technical analysis aur H4 aur D1 charts ki taqat se zahir hota hai, AUDUSD mein buy entries ke liye ek mazboot case pesh karta hai. Main AUDUSD par buy entry ka tajweez deta hoon jiska maqsad 0.6745 ka level hai.

AUD / USD: Bazaar ki Updates aur Naya Trading Plan




Meri subah ki analysis ke mutabiq, AUDUSD ka bazaar bilkul bears ko madad de raha hai aur abhi 0.6646 ke level par hai. Agar yahan se rejection hota hai, to ye bulls ko bazaar mein phir se entry ka mauqa dega. Is waqt, bazaar kharidaaron ke haq mein hai, jo is baat ki taraf ishaara karta hai ke momentum upar ki taraf shift ho raha hai. Kharidaar taqat hasil kar rahe hain, jo prices ko upar ki taraf kheench rahe hain aur bullish scenario bana rahe hain. Is ke muqabil, sellers ki bazaar mein influence kam ho raha hai, jo pressure dalne mein mushkilat ka samna kar rahe hain.

Aise surat-e-haal mein, sellers ke liye sell entry lena mushkil hai, kyunki ye maujooda trend ke khilaf hoga. Is waqt sell position lena nuksan ka sabab ban sakta hai, kyunki bazaar ka momentum upar ki taraf hai, jo sellers ke liye downward trends par faida uthane ko mushkil banata hai. Mujhe yaqeen hai ke AUDUSD ka bazaar agle chand ghanton mein bullish khel shuru karega.

Yeh observation daily aur hourly charts par available technical analysis se bhi madad hasil karti hai. Dono timeframes aaj bullish scenario ke nishan dikhate hain, jo ye batata hai ke bazaar upar ki taraf ja raha hai. Daily chart, jo ke lambi muddat ke bazaar movements ka broader perspective deta hai, ek strong upward trend dikhata hai, jahan price levels resistance points ko tod rahe hain. Waqt ke saath, hourly chart bhi is bullish trend ko confirm karta hai, jisme recent trading sessions mein musalsal upward movements dikhai de rahe hain.

Main AUDUSD ke investors ko buy entry lene ki salahiyat deta hoon, jiska short-term goal 0.6665 hai. Daily aur hourly charts ka alignment bullish scenario ke haq mein traders ke liye ek ahm factor hai.

Aapko trading din ki shubhkamnayein!

AUD/USD: Market Update aur Analysis

Jori ne Tuesday ke European trading session mein naya char hafte ka low, lagbhag 0.6643, tak pohanchne ke baad kuch had tak rebound kiya. Is bounce ke bawajood, Australian Dollar (AUD) ab bhi pressure mein hai, jo ke zyada tar AUD ki kamzori ki wajah se hai. Jabke US Dollar (USD) bhi kamzori dikhata hai aur naya chaar mahine ka low tak gir gaya hai, phir bhi Aussie ki recovery dheemi hai.

US PCE Data aur APRA ka Economic Update: Inflation Trends aur Policy Stance

US PCE Price Index ne June ke liye saal dar saal 2.5% ka izafa dikhaya, jo May ke 2.6% se thoda kam hai, lekin ye market ki umeedon ke mutabiq hai. Mahine dar mahine, PCE Price Index ne 0.1% ka izafa kiya, jo May mein kisi tabdeeli nahi hone se behtar hai. Is beech, Core PCE Index, jo volatile khorak aur energy prices ko chhorke dekhata hai, June mein 2.6% tak pahuncha, jo May ke izafe se milta hai aur 2.5% ki tajweez se zyada hai. Har mahine, Core PCE Index ne 0.2% ka izafa kiya, jo May mein 0.1% tha.

Bazaar ki pechida surat-e-haal mein, Australian Prudential Regulation Authority (APRA) ne badhte hue arrears rates ke bare mein warning di hai. Unki aakhri quarterly review ke baad, APRA ne maujooda macroprudential policy settings ko barqarar rakhne ka faisla kiya, jo ke domestik aur global economic conditions ke tabdeelon ke darmiyan unki ehtiyaat bhari stance ko darshata hai.

D1 Chart AUD/USD: Key Support, Resistance, aur RSI Insights

Jori ab 0.6641 level ke aas-paas support hasil kar rahi hai, jo ke throwback support ka darshak hai. Agar jori aur neeche girti hai, to ye descending channel ki lower boundary ko 0.6600 ke aas-paas test kar sakti hai. Pehli rukawat 0.6704 par hai, jo ke nau din ke Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ka level hai, aur iske baad "throwback support turned resistance" 0.6794 par hai. Agar is level se successful breakout hota hai, to AUD/USD jori ko 0.6826 tak le ja sakta hai, jo ke chhe mahine ka high hai.




Spot price filhal 0.6550 ke aas-paas hai. Recent daily chart analysis ye dikhata hai ke jori ne descending channel se chutkara hasil kar liya hai, jo bearish trend ke halke hone ki taraf ishaara karta hai. Is ke ilawa, 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) thoda upar gaya hai, oversold 30 level se, jo aane wali upward correction ki mumkinat ko darshata hai.

AUD/USD Pair Analysis

Is hafte ke teesre din ke trading session mein, bazaar ki halaat mein phir se halka sa girawat dekhi gayi, jo zyada gehri nahi thi. Agar hum shuruati hafte ki trading ka jaiza lein, to ek baat hai jo nazar aati hai, khaaskar kal raat ka bearish koshish jo kaafi gehri lag rahi thi aur sab se unchi price zone ko chhod diya. Price mein kami ne agle trading faisle par asar daala hai, kyunki price ke bearish hone se pehle, pichle hafte bazaar mein consolidation ki surat-e-haal thi. Pichle August mein, market ka trend bullish tha aur kaafi active raha. Mere andazay ke mutabiq, agla trend phir se bullish ho sakta hai.

Aaj ke trading mein jo movement hui hai, wo pichle mahine ke bullish trend ke kamzor hone ke baad zyada fluctuating nahi rahi. Bechne walon ne bazaar par control hasil karne ki koshish ki hai. Ye dekhna achha hai ke aakhri kuch dinon ki market halaat ko madde nazar rakhein, jahan girawat ka mauqa hai kyunki pehle bullish trend ko aage barhane mein nakami mili hai.




Candlestick ki movement ko dekhte hue, jo ab bhi support level 0.6700 ke kareeb aram se chal rahi hai, isse bearish trend ke chalu hone ki mumkinat dikhai deti hain agar seller support level ko todne mein kamiyab hota hai. Is hafte ke liye AUD/USD pair par, main ab bhi bearish market ke mauqe ke liye optimistic hoon, kyunki candlestick bearish pattern mein niche ja rahi hai bina buyers se koi khaas rukawat ke.

Dilchasp baat yeh hai ke dollar ki taqat ke bawajood negative news aayi, jo currency ki taqat ka asal sabab nazar nahi aata. Lekin, jab se bazaar 0.6669 ke niche band hua hai, main mazeed girawat ki umeed kar raha hoon. Agar price 0.659 ke niche girti hai, to main buying opportunities ki talash karunga.

AUD/USD ke liye chalu downward zigzag movement ek badi wave (b) ke andar correction hai, jo pehli wave (a) ke mukammal hone ke baad aa rahi hai. Ab ki girawat wave (b) mein rollback ko darshata hai, jahan do ahm levels hain jin par nazar rakhni hai. Pehla control point 0.6614 par hai, aur agar ye sambhalta hai, to hum 0.7199 ki taraf reversal dekh sakte hain. Lekin agar jori is level ke niche girti hai, to wave (b) 0.6544 tak extend ho jayegi; yahan reversal ho sakta hai. Agar 0.6544 par girawat hoti hai, to upar ki taraf zigzag pattern tooti hai, jo 0.659 ke niche strong downward reversal ka ishaara karega.

H-4 Chart Technical Outlook AUD/USD

H1 - Time frame, AUD/USD instrument. Hamari saari exposure charts yeh dikhati hain ke hum bechne ka soch rahe hain. Aaj, Monday ko, hum H4 period ka price chart dekhain ge. Is chaar ghante ke chart par aik downtrend shuru ho gaya hai, jo ke downward wave structure ke sath hai. MACD indicator lower sales zone mein hai aur apni signal line ke neeche hai. Pehlay, is indicator mein triple bearish divergence dekhi gayi thi, jo ke dusre indicator CCI ki tarah thi.

Is ke ilawa, aik reversal figure - rising wedge - tha jo neeche ki taraf toota. Yeh bearish divergence ka signal kaam kiya. Price achi tarah gir gayi, jo ke 0.6700 ke area mein support dhoond rahi thi. Iske baad aik lambay corrective rise hua, jo ke mirror resistance level 0.6755 tak gaya, jahan yeh support se resistance mein tabdeel ho gaya. Yeh level growth ki edge par hai aur bechne ka aik taqatwar zone tha.

Bearish continuation ka aik key factor yeh tha ke CCI indicator jo ke senior period mein hai, upper overheating zone ke neeche chala gaya. Is period par is indicator par bearish convergence dekhi gayi - jo 0.6754 level par support mein kami ko dikhata hai. Is liye, price wahaan se neeche chali gayi.




Dusray major pairs bhi US dollar ko mazid mazboot karne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Agar aap pehli wave par target Fibonacci grid lagain, toh aap decline target - 161.8 level par dekh sakte hain. Intermediate target 0.6640 ka usual technical level hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke price wahan jaegi. Shayad kuch pehli growth ho, yaani 0.6690 ke nazdeek resistance level tak rollback. Jab tak 161.8 level kaam nahi karta, tab tak buy ki koi soch nahi hai. Aik corrective wave of growth pehle se hi ho sakti hai, jismein chhote targets ke liye intraday kaam kiya ja sakta hai. Yaqeen rakhein, buyer ko price ko trend line - 0.669 par wapas laana hai aur critical level ke upar mazboot karna hai.

AUD/USD Ka Mukhtasir Tajziya:

Australian Dollar ki price movement ka aghaz August ke shuru se ek upward wave ke saath hua. Price ne daily timeframe par ek strong reversal zone ke lower boundary se rebound kiya. Yeh jo current wave segment hai, yeh corrective hai aur iska aghaz 29 August ko hua. Abhi tak iski structure mukammal nahi hui.

Weekly Forecast:

Hafte ke aghaz mein price sideway move karti nazar aati hai. Zyada chances hain ke pair resistance zone ki taraf upar chale. Weekend tak ek reversal ho sakta hai aur downward movement dobara shuru ho sakti hai.

Mumkin Reversal Zones:

- Resistance: 0.6760 / 0.6810
- Support:0.6610 / 0.6560

Rehnumai:

- Selling: Abhi tak market mein selling ke liye conditions nahi hain jab tak reversal signals aapke trading systems mein na aayein.
- Buying: Short-term trades ke liye choti positions ko individual sessions ke duran consider kiya ja sakta hai.

U.S. Stock Market Ka Tajziya:

Pichle Friday ko U.S. stock market ke main indices higher close hue. Investors ne Federal Reserve ke possible interest rate cut par focus kiya, jo agle hafte announce kiya ja sakta hai. Small-cap stocks, jo monetary policy ke changes ke liye zyada sensitive hote hain, unho ne khaas confidence dikhaya.

Big Rate Cut Ke Chances Barh Rahe Hain:

Is hafte ke duran Fed rate cut ke size ke hawale se expectations fluctuate karti rahi. Lekin Friday tak, 50 basis points ke cut ke chances kafi barh gaye: hafte ke aghaz mein is scenario ko 28% mana ja raha tha, lekin Thursday ko ye lagbhag double hokar 49% ho gaya. Sath hi, ek 25 basis points ka rate cut ka chance ab bhi 51% par barqarar hai.

Maahireen Ki Rai: 50 Basis Points Ka Cut Mumkin Hai:

Ek mo'azzaz expert, jo Federal Reserve Bank of New York ke former head reh chuke hain, Bill Dudley, ne kaha ke Fed ki policy mein 50 basis points ka rate cut zaroori hai. Unho ne zor diya ke halaat aise hain ke ye cut real possibility hai, aur unho ne apne Thursday ke bayan mein is baat ka zikar kiya

AUD/USD Pair Technical Analysis

AUD/USD market pair ne Wednesday ko trading ki, jahan buyers ne price ko control karne mein kamiyabi hasil ki. Unhone selling pressure ko kam karke 0.6690-0.6693 ke support area ko maintain kiya, jis se sellers ko price ko aur neeche push karne ka mauqa nahi mila. Is ke baad price bullish tarah se kaafi upar gayi, jahan buyers ne strong buying pressure dikhaya.

Daily timeframe par Bollinger bands indicator ke zariye dekha ja sakta hai ke buyers ne price ko Middle Bollinger bands ke area 0.6705-0.6703 ke upar rakha. Kal ki trading mein buyers ne bullish Doji candle banai, jo yeh dikhati hai ke AUD/USD market pair ke paas phir se bullish hone ka mauqa hai, is hafte Upper Bollinger bands ki taraf upar jane ka target hai.

Thursday ko European market time mein buyers ki koshish dekhne ko mili, jo apne bullish momentum ko barqarar rakhne ki koshish kar rahe the aur bearish sellers ki resistance ko kamzor karne ki koshish kar rahe the. Bullish buyers ka target yeh hai ke wo price ko 0.6752-0.6754 ke seller resistance area tak le jayein. Agar buyers is area ko successfully penetrate karne mein kamiyab hue, toh yeh higher bullish opportunities khol dega, agla target 0.6815-0.6819 ke seller supply resistance area ki taraf hoga.

Mujhe ek naya signal mila hai Forex neural network model ki buniyad par, jo yeh darshata hai ke pair 0.6758 ke strong resistance level ki taraf upar ja sakta hai. Lekin, price pehle bearish ho sakti hai phir bullish push ke liye, is signal ke mutabiq. Primary outlook bullish hai, lekin humein dekhna hoga ke yeh forecast kitna sahi hai. Ek alternative scenario yeh ho sakta hai ke agar bears neeche majbooti se paon jama lein, toh pair ko bearish kar sakte hain agle strong support level ki taraf.




Halankeh dusre scenarios bhi mumkin hain, lekin mujhe abhi upward move ki taraf rujhan hai. Aaj AUD/USD downward trend par hai. Pair pehle se hi 0.6746 support level ke neeche settle ho gaya hai aur apne aam trading range se bahar nikal gaya hai, jo naye level ki taraf ishaara karta hai. Daily chart par aik mazboot bearish candle nazar aati hai, jo upward movement ko challenge karti hai.