𝐄𝐔𝐑/𝐔𝐒𝐃

EUR/USD pair ne range-bound behavior dikhaya hai, ziada tar 1.05 aur 1.10 ke beech trade karte hue early 2024 mein. US Federal Reserve aur European Central Bank (ECB) ki central bank policies iske direction ke liye crucial hain, donon taraf se rate cuts ke expectations market sentiment ko influence kar rahe hain. ECB shayad Fed se zyada aggressively rates cut kare, jo euro par downward pressure dal sakta hai.
Economic indicators ne mixed signals diye hain. Jahan Eurozone PMI improve hua, wahan German retail sales mein sharp decline aur softer Eurozone CPI ne recently euro ko hurt kiya. Doosri taraf, stronger US job data ne dollar ko support kiya. Yeh dynamic Eurozone ke ongoing economic challenges ko highlight karta hai, including weaker growth projections compared to the US.

Volatility EUR/USD pair mein geopolitical tensions aur economic data releases se influenced rehti hai. Upcoming US non-farm payrolls aur inflation data critical honge market expectations ko shape karne mein regarding future rate cuts.

Overall, EUR/USD ko currently stronger US economic data aur future monetary policy moves ke expectations influence kar rahe hain by both the Fed and ECB. Traders ko economic indicators aur central bank communications ko closely monitor karna chahiye to navigate this volatile pair.

Is subah, EUR/USD technical analysis ek mixed picture reveal karti hai with key bearish aur neutral indicators jo potential market movements ko suggest karte hain.

Bearish Head & Shoulders Pattern: Weekly chart ek bearish head and shoulders pattern indicate karta hai. Agar price 1.0723 se neeche break karta hai toh declines 1.0448 ki taraf ho sakte hain aur possibly further down to 0.9680, according to Fibonacci retracement aur extension levels.

Moving Averages: Analysis various moving averages par strong sell signal show karti hai. Yeh include karta hai short-term aur long-term indicators, suggesting ek prevailing downward trend.

Pivots aur Fibonacci Levels: Pivot points aur Fibonacci retracement levels significant support aur resistance zones indicate karte hain. Agar price 1.0500 level se neeche breach karta hai toh further supports 1.0200 aur 0.9900 ko target kar sakti hain, jabke resistance 1.1250 ke aas paas stand karta hai.

Client Sentiment: Sentiment data reveal karti hai ke traders EUR/USD par net-long turn ho gaye hain, jo historically pair ki price mein declines se pehle hota hai.

Ichimoku Cloud: Ichimoku Cloud analysis bearish signals show karti hai, with the price cloud ke neeche indicating potential for further downside.

Trading Plan:
Short Positions: Agar price 1.0723 se neeche break karti hai toh consider karein short positions enter karna, targeting 1.0448 initially, with further targets at 1.0200 aur 0.9900.

Long Positions: Potential long trades consider ki ja sakti hain agar price 1.1250 se upar break karti hai, with targets at 1.1500 aur 1.1750.

Risk Management: Tight stop-loss orders set karein around the 1.0800 level for shorts aur around 1.0700 for longs to manage risk effectively.

In technical indicators aur market sentiments ko closely monitor karke, traders EUR/USD pair ke liye ek strategic plan develop kar sakte hain.

EUR/USD currency pair ne Thursday ko aik aham girawat ka samna kiya, jo ke 1.0800 ke aham level se neechay chali gayi. Ye downward movement ziada ta strong US Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) data ke release ki wajah se hui, jis ne US economy ke hard landing ke concerns ko ignite kiya. European economic indicators baqi hafte ke liye relatively quiet hain, aur investors ka focus Friday ko aane wale US Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) report par hai. Market participants US labor market ke trajectory aur Federal Reserve ki monetary policy stance ke bare mein clues talash kar rahe hain. Agar NFP figure expectations se higher aata hai, to ye interest rate cut ke liye expectations ko temper kar sakta hai, jo US dollar ko bolster karega aur EUR/USD par downward pressure dalega. Conversely, agar reading expectations se weaker hoti hai, to ye recession fears ko fuel kar sakti hai, jo dollar ko decline aur euro ko rebound karne ka potential de sakti hai. Market is waqt conflicting economic signals se grapple kar rahi hai. Aik taraf, economic slowdown ke growing evidence hai, jo interest rate cuts ke case ko support karti hai. Dusri taraf, persistent inflationary pressures policy making landscape ko complicate kar rahi hain. Ye uncertainty currency traders ke liye aik volatile environment create kar rahi hai.
Technical perspective se, EUR/USD ne apni recent rally se retrace kiya hai aur key support levels ke qareeb hai. Agar pair 1.0793 level se neeche breakdown karti hai, to ye 1.0711 support area ki taraf decline ko accelerate kar sakti hai. Magar, agar pair manage karke reverse course kar leti hai aur 1.0874 resistance level ko reclaim karti hai, to ye aik short-term bullish reversal ko signal kar sakta hai. Summary mein, EUR/USD currency pair ko economic uncertainties aur conflicting market signals ki wajah se significant headwinds ka samna hai. Aane wali NFP report pair ke short-term direction ko determine karne ke liye crucial catalyst hogi. Traders ko caution exercise karni chahiye aur key technical levels ko closely monitor karna chahiye.

EUR/USD ne European trading hours mein Friday ko qareeban 1.0800 par mojood hai. Yeh position adjustment ke tor par US dollar ke pullback se support mil rahi hai, kyun ke traders US non-farm payrolls data release se pehle apni positions adjust kar rahe hain. Downside par, EUR/USD ka agla target weekly low 1.0777 (August 1) hai. June low 1.0666 (June 26) hai, aur May low 1.0649 (May 1) hai. Upside par, pehla hurdle July top 1.0948 (July 17) hai, phir March top 1.0981 (March 8) aur key 1.1000 yardstick hai. Badi tasveer dekhen to, agar yeh key 200-day SMA (1.0823) se neechay rehta hai to pair ka bearish bias barqarar rahay ga. Ab tak, four-hour figure nayi weakness dikha rahi hai. Muqabla karen to, pehla support 1.0777 par aata hai aur doosra 1.0709 par. Upside par, 200-SMA 1.0806 par hai aur 55-SMA 1.0842 aur 1.0849 par hain. Relative strength index kareeban 39 par wapas aaya. EUR/USD Thursday ko post-FOMC gains ko reverse karte hue strong US dollar ke pehlu mein tha, jahan risk aversion ka mausam tha. Yeh kaha jaye to, USD index ne balance regain kiya aur 104.40 zone ki taraf barh gaya broad-based risk-adjusted galactic sell-off ki wajah se, jo US slowdown concerns par additional steam add karta hai.
Dollar ka rebound momentum gain karta hai aur post-Fed weakness ko shed karta hai jab central bank ne interest rates ko unchanged rakha aur note kiya ke inflation "somewhat" over the horizon hai. Yeh reiterate kiya ke yeh rates tab tak cut nahi karein gay jab tak inflation 2 percent ke qareeb steadily increase na ho. Iske ilawa, Chief Powell ne mention kiya ke FOMC qareebi potential rate cut ki taraf barh raha hai September mein. Agar inflation decline karta hai, economic growth strong rehta hai, aur labor market stable rehta hai, to rate cut consider kiya ja sakta hai, unhone add kiya. Fed aur ECB ke darmiyan policy divergence barqarar rehne ka imkaan hai, dono expected hain ke jald rates cut karein. Magar, Eurozone recovery mein kuch momentum loss ke sath, US fundamentals mein nayi weakness soft landing risks ko flag karte hue, yeh sab stronger dollar aur EUR/USD mein further pullbacks ka darwaza kholte hain.

tak gir gaya. Yeh downward move US dollar ke broader strengthening ke sath hi hui. US jobless claims data ke release hone par, jo ke unexpected increase dikhata hai, market expectations badh gayi ke Federal Reserve September mein interest rates cut kar sakta hai. Dusri taraf, European Central Bank ka stance September mein interest rates ke hawale se uncertain raha kyunke conflicting economic indicators mil rahe hain
Market participants ab eagerly EU harmonized consumer price index (HICP) inflation data ka intezar kar rahe hain jo agle hafte release hogi. Yeh data ECB ke future monetary policy decisions ko determine karne mein crucial role play karegi, khaaskar June mein initial rate cut ke baad. Pichle teen hafton mein EUR/USD higher highs aur higher lows ka pattern dikhata raha hai, lekin 4-hour chart pe ascending channel ki upper boundary ko break nahi kar saka, jo kuch potential bearish momentum ko suggest kar raha hai. Negative readings on RSI aur Stochastic indicators bhi near-term weakness ki possibility ko reinforce karte hai
Agar nearby support level 1.0928 breach hota hai, to EUR/USD pair ek aur significant decline dekh sakta hai towards the lower channel boundary at 1.0898. Agar yeh level decisively close hota hai, to overall uptrend undermine ho jayega. Iske ilawa, agar price 50-period moving average at 1.0870 se neeche sharply girti hai, to yeh ek more pronounced bearish reversal signal karegi, jo potentially 1.0850 area, jo pehle ek resistance level tha, tak target karegi
Overall, EUR/USD pair ko downward pressure face karna pad raha hai due to multiple factors, including potential for a Fed rate cut, uncertainty around ECB's monetary policy, aur technical indicators jo potential bearish shift ki taraf hint kar rahe hain
EUR/USD currency pair ne Thursday ko ek significant decline dekha, jahan yeh 1.0900 ke critical level tak gir gaya. Yeh downward move US dollar ke strengthening ke sath sath hui. US jobless claims data jo unexpected increase dikhata hai, ne market expectations ko bolster kiya ke Federal Reserve September mein interest rates cut kar sakta hai. Dusri taraf, European Central Bank ka stance September ke interest rates ke hawale se uncertain hai due to conflicting economic indicators
Market participants ab eagerly EU harmonized consumer price index (HICP) inflation data ka intezar kar rahe hain jo agle hafte release hogi. Yeh data ECB ke future monetary policy decisions ko determine karne mein crucial role play karegi, khaaskar unke initial rate cut ke baad jo June mein hua tha. Pichle teen hafton mein EUR/USD higher highs aur higher lows ka pattern dikhata raha hai, lekin 4-hour chart pe ascending channel ki upper boundary ko break nahi kar saka, jo kuch potential bearish momentum ko suggest kar raha hai. Negative readings on RSI aur Stochastic indicators bhi near-term weakness ki possibility ko reinforce karte hai
Agar nearby support level 1.0928 breach hota hai, to EUR/USD pair ek aur significant decline dekh sakta hai towards the lower channel boundary at 1.0898. Agar yeh level decisively close hota hai, to overall uptrend undermine ho jayega. Iske ilawa, agar price 50-period moving average at 1.0870 se neeche sharply girti hai, to yeh ek more pronounced bearish reversal signal karegi, jo potentially 1.0850 area, jo pehle ek resistance level tha, tak target karegi
Overall, EUR/USD pair ko downward pressure face karna pad raha hai due to multiple factors, including potential for a Fed rate cut, uncertainty around ECB's monetary policy, aur technical indicators jo potential bearish shift ki taraf hint kar

EUR/USD ke 4-hour time frame par, jab hum high aur low prices ko dekhte hain, to pata chalta hai ke Euro ne 1.0886 ke 100% level se correction ke baad apna upar ki taraf movement continue kiya hai. Yeh upward movement SR level 1.0921 ko confidently break karte hue chal rahi hai. Aaj, yeh southward correction ke phase mein hai aur abhi 1.0914 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai. Ab agar hum market ke agle movements ko dekhein, to Euro ka northward trend continue karne ki possibility hai. Agar price 1.0921 ke SR level ke upar consolidate karti hai, to Euro apni growth ko extend kar sakta hai. Yeh growth target range tak ja sakti hai jo ke 1.0981 aur 1.0998 ke levels par formed hai, jo chart par orange color mein indicated hai.
Ab market ke behavior ko samajhna zaroori hai. Jab Euro ne 1.0886 se correction li aur SR level 1.0921 ko break kiya, to yeh clear hota hai ke upward momentum strong hai. Lekin aaj ki southward correction market ka ek natural part hai, jo short-term profit-taking aur market adjustments ko reflect karti hai. Aise moments ko trading strategies mein dhyan mein rakhna chahiye.
Agar Euro price 1.0921 ke SR level ke upar stabilize hoti hai, to yeh bullish trend ko extend karne ki indication hogi. Is case mein, 1.0981 aur 1.0998 ke levels tak growth dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Yeh target levels aapke trading plans mein key levels honge, jo aapke decision-making process ko influence karenge.
Aaj ke trading scenario ko dekhte hue, yeh bhi zaroori hai ke aap price action ko closely monitor karein. Market me fluctuations aur short-term corrections common hain, aur inhe consider karte hue trading decisions lene chahiye. Agar price 1.0921 ke SR level ke niche consolidate karti hai, to yeh bearish signal ho sakta hai, jo ke downward pressure ko indicate karega.
In trading scenarios ko analyze karte hue, traders ko long-term trends aur short-term corrections dono ko consider karna chahiye. Agar long-term bullish trend intact rehta hai, to short-term corrections ko ek opportunity ke tor par dekha ja sakta hai. Aapko apne trading strategy ko market ke current conditions ke mutabiq adjust karna hoga.
Toh, aaj ke trading session ko conclude karte hue, yeh zaroori hai ke aap price action ko closely monitor karein aur key levels par focus karein. Agar price 1.0921 ke SR level ke upar consolidate karti hai, to aapko upward trend ki continuation dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Is se aapko trading opportunities milengi jo aapke trading goals ko achieve karne mein madad karengi.
Aap sab ko trading mein success ki dua aur ek successful evening trading session ki wish karta hoon.
EUR/USD higher highs aur higher lows ka pattern dikhata raha hai, lekin 4-hour chart pe ascending channel ki upper boundary ko break nahi kar saka, jo kuch potential bearish momentum ko suggest kar raha hai. Negative readings on RSI aur Stochastic indicators bhi near-term weakness ki possibility ko reinforce karte hai
Agar nearby support level 1.0928 breach hota hai, to EUR/USD pair ek aur significant decline dekh sakta hai towards the lower channel boundary at 1.0898. Agar yeh level decisively close hota hai, to overall uptrend undermine ho jayega. Iske ilawa, agar price 50-period moving average at 1.0870 se neeche sharply girti hai, to yeh ek more pronounced bearish reversal signal karegi, jo potentially 1.0850 area, jo pehle ek resistance level tha, tak target karegi
Overall, EUR/USD pair ko downward pressure face karna pad raha hai due to multiple factors, including potential for a Fed rate cut, uncertainty around ECB's monetary policy, aur technical indicators jo potential bearish shift ki taraf hint kar rahe hain

EUR/USD currency pair ne haftay ka aghaz ek choti si downside gap ke sath kiya, jo jald hi fill hogaya jab price ne upside direction mein move kiya. Is initial upward movement ne bulls ko kuch umeed di, aur aik potential bullish trend ke continuation ka signal diya. Lekin, ye momentum sustain nahi hosaka, aur price ne reverse karte hue din ke opening level se neechay move kiya. Ye reversal indicate karta hai ke upward force itni strong nahi thi ke higher levels ko maintain kar sake, shayad buyer interest ki kami ya strong selling pressure ki wajah se.

Filhal, price 1.3047 ke ird gird hover kar rahi hai, jo ke aik significant daily support level 1.3041 ke kareeb hai. Ye do levels—1.3047 aur 1.3041—aj ke trading ke liye crucial hain kyunki ye market ke potential direction ko dictate karne walay hain. Agar price 1.3041 level ke neechay consolidate karti hai, to ye bearish sentiment ko indicate karega aur nye downside targets khol dega jo ke hain 1.3014, 1.08305, 1.08489, aur 1.0857.

Price action in levels ke ird gird traders ko market sentiment aur potential future movements ke baray mein significant insights dega. Agar price 1.3041 support level ke neechay consolidate karti hai, to ye indicate karega ke sellers control mein hain, aur price ko neechay mentioned targets tak drive kar sakti hai. Ye targets key areas represent karte hain jahan price ko kuch buying interest mil sakta hai, jo potential bounces ya further declines ko lead kar sakta hai depending on overall market sentiment.


Dusri taraf, agar price 1.3041 level ke upar rehti hai, to ek upside movement ka possibility hai hourly resistance levels 1.0863 to 1.0892 ki taraf. Ye resistance zone crucial hoga yeh determine karne ke liye ke bullish momentum sustain hosakta hai ya nahi. Agar ye resistance levels break hotay hain to ye strong buyer presence ko indicate karega aur further upward movements ko lead kar sakta hai.

Lekin, current market conditions aur recent price action ko dekhte hue, mujhe lagta hai ke downside movement ka zyada probability hai aaj ke liye. Initial upward movement ko sustain nahi kar paya aur subsequent reversal suggest karta hai ke bearish sentiment dominate kar sakta hai aaj ke trading session ko. Traders ko closely monitor karna chahiye price action ko in key levels ke ird gird taake informed trading decisions le sakein. Yeh dekhna particularly important hoga ke price 1.3041 support level par kaise react karti hai. Agar price is level ko break karke consolidate karti hai, to bearish outlook confirm hoga. Conversely, agar price support find karke upar move karti hai, to resistance levels ko challenge kar sakti hai aur sentiment ko bullish outlook ki taraf shift kar sakti hai.

Overall, aj ke observation suggest karti hai ek cautious approach, jisme bearish activity dominating EUR/USD currency pair ka zyada likelihood hai. A profitable trading day ahead to us all!

-paas mandila raha, 17 July ko chooey gaye chaar mahinon ke ucchai $1.094 se neeche, jab ke tajiron ne aham maqami data ko hazm kiya aur European Central Bank ki agle qadam ka tajzia kiya. Eurozone ki saalani mehangai July mein heran kun tor par 2.6% tak barh gayi, jo zyada tail ke qeematon se hui, lekin pehli dafa teen mahine mein services inflation ahista hui. Mukhtalif mulkon mein mixed scenario tha, jahan Germany, France aur Italy mein qeematon ki raftaar barhi lekin Spain mein slow hui. Is dauraan, economic calendar ke mutabiq pehli tashkeesat ne dikhaya ke Eurozone economy doosray quarter mein umeed se tez 0.3% barhi, jo ke France, Italy aur Spain mein growth se hui. Germany ne doosri taraf heran kun tor par contraction dikhaya. European Central Bank ne July mein umeed ke mutabiq interest rates ko hold par rakha, aur President Lagarde ne kaha ke September ka faisla "poori tarah khula" hai. Natijan, sarmaiya daar is saal European Central Bank se kam az kam do rate cuts price kar rahe hain, agla cut September mein hai.
EUR/USD pair aur bazaron par dusre note ke tor par, US Federal Reserve ne July 2024 mein federal funds rate ko 23 saal ke ucchai 5.25%-5.50% par rakhha, jo umeed ke mutabiq tha. Policy makers ne note kiya ke 2% inflation target ki taraf kuch aage barhne ka aghaz hai, halan ke yeh ab bhi kuch zyada hai. Haal ke indicators bhi yeh tajzia dete hain ke economic activity mazboot raftaar se barh rahi hai. Job gains ahista hui hain aur unemployment rate barha lekin ab bhi kam hai.

US central bank ka andaza hai ke employment aur inflation goals ko hasil karne ke risks behtareen balance ki taraf barh rahe hain. Magar, Fed yeh umeed nahi karta ke rate cut karna munasib hoga jab tak usay yeh zyada yaqeen na ho ke inflation sustainably 2% ki taraf barh raha hai. Regular press conference ke dauran, Fed Chairman Powell ne kaha ke September rate cut table par ho sakta hai agar inflation umeed ke mutabiq girta hai aur ke woh aise scenarios ka tasavvur kar sakte hain jahan Fed is saal kai baar rates cut kar sakta hai ya bilkul cut na kare.

Daily chart par performance ki buniyad par, EUR/USD price ka general trend ab bhi bearish hai aur jaise ke maine pehle bhi kaha, 1.08 support ka tootna aham rahega taqatwar bears ke liye neeche ki taraf strong move karne ke liye aur accordingly agle taqatwar support levels 1.0720 aur 1.0600 honge aur akhri level se technical indicators strong oversold levels ki taraf move karenge. Dusri taraf, aur wahi time frame ke liye, psychological resistance of 1.1000 sabse aham rahegi bulls ke liye trend ko wapas control karne ke liye. Federal Reserve Bank ke announcement aur Eurozone ke inflation figures se mutasir hone ke baad, agle bade interest US jobs figures ka announcement hoga kal, jo EUR/USD price closing price ke direction mein kirdar ada karega, jo neeche ki

-paas mandila raha, 17 July ko chooey gaye chaar mahinon ke ucchai $1.094 se neeche, jab ke tajiron ne aham maqami data ko hazm kiya aur European Central Bank ki agle qadam ka tajzia kiya. Eurozone ki saalani mehangai July mein heran kun tor par 2.6% tak barh gayi, jo zyada tail ke qeematon se hui, lekin pehli dafa teen mahine mein services inflation ahista hui. Mukhtalif mulkon mein mixed scenario tha, jahan Germany, France aur Italy mein qeematon ki raftaar barhi lekin Spain mein slow hui. Is dauraan, economic calendar ke mutabiq pehli tashkeesat ne dikhaya ke Eurozone economy doosray quarter mein umeed se tez 0.3% barhi, jo ke France, Italy aur Spain mein growth se hui. Germany ne doosri taraf heran kun tor par contraction dikhaya. European Central Bank ne July mein umeed ke mutabiq interest rates ko hold par rakha, aur President Lagarde ne kaha ke September ka faisla "poori tarah khula" hai. Natijan, sarmaiya daar is saal European Central Bank se kam az kam do rate cuts price kar rahe hain, agla cut September mein hai.
EUR/USD pair aur bazaron par dusre note ke tor par, US Federal Reserve ne July 2024 mein federal funds rate ko 23 saal ke ucchai 5.25%-5.50% par rakhha, jo umeed ke mutabiq tha. Policy makers ne note kiya ke 2% inflation target ki taraf kuch aage barhne ka aghaz hai, halan ke yeh ab bhi kuch zyada hai. Haal ke indicators bhi yeh tajzia dete hain ke economic activity mazboot raftaar se barh rahi hai. Job gains ahista hui hain aur unemployment rate barha lekin ab bhi kam hai.


US central bank ka andaza hai ke employment aur inflation goals ko hasil karne ke risks behtareen balance ki taraf barh rahe hain. Magar, Fed yeh umeed nahi karta ke rate cut karna munasib hoga jab tak usay yeh zyada yaqeen na ho ke inflation sustainably 2% ki taraf barh raha hai. Regular press conference ke dauran, Fed Chairman Powell ne kaha ke September rate cut table par ho sakta hai agar inflation umeed ke mutabiq girta hai aur ke woh aise scenarios ka tasavvur kar sakte hain jahan Fed is saal kai baar rates cut kar sakta hai ya bilkul cut na kare.

Daily chart par performance ki buniyad par, EUR/USD price ka general trend ab bhi bearish hai aur jaise ke maine pehle bhi kaha, 1.08 support ka tootna aham rahega taqatwar bears ke liye neeche ki taraf strong move karne ke liye aur accordingly agle taqatwar support levels 1.0720 aur 1.0600 honge aur akhri level se technical indicators strong oversold levels ki taraf move karenge. Dusri taraf, aur wahi time frame ke liye, psychological resistance of 1.1000 sabse aham rahegi bulls ke liye trend ko wapas control karne ke liye. Federal Reserve Bank ke announcement aur Eurozone ke inflation figures se mutasir hone ke baad, agle bade interest US jobs figures ka announcement hoga kal, jo EUR/USD price closing price ke direction mein kirdar ada karega, jo neeche ki

Aaj hum H4 period chart par EUR/USD currency pair ko dekh rahe hain. Kal price mein girawat jari rahi aur filhaal aur bhi girawat ka rujhan hai. Wave structure ne apni downwards movement banayi hui hai, aur MACD indicator apni signal line ke neeche, lower sales zone mein hai.

Hafte ke pehle hisse mein, MACD indicator par bullish divergence ka ishara tha, is wajah se growth develop karne ki koshish hui. Woh horizontal resistance level 1.0833 ko bhi break karne mein kamyab hue, lekin descending resistance line jo waves ke tops par bani thi, woh ek rukaawat bani. Us resistance line se decline fir se shuru hua aur 1.0833 level ka false breakout hua, jo ke ek sell signal tha. Agar aap first wave par Fibonacci target grid impose karein, toh aap dekh sakte hain ke potential decline target level 161.8 hai, aur lagta hai ke price us target ki taraf jaari rahegi, jo current price se lagbhag 45 points door hai.

MACD indicator par bullish divergence ab bhi maujood hai, aur yeh confident selling mein rukawat hai, halan ke girawat ka rujhan zyada lagta hai. CCI indicator ne lower overheating zone ko upwards chhod diya hai aur uspe bhi bullish divergence dikhayi de rahi hai, yeh circumstance abhi sell karne ki permission nahi deta, chahe jitni bhi chahat ho. Kabhi kabhi, extra passengers ko shake off karna zaroori hota hai aur price divergence ko previous growth wave ke maximum tak work out karne jaa sakti hai.

Aaj ka main news package 15:30 Moscow time par:
1. Average hourly earnings in the US
2. Change in the number of employed in the non-agricultural sector of the US
3. The share of the economically active population in the US
4. Change in the number of employed in the private non-agricultural sector of the US
5. The unemployment rate in the US

Yeh sab factors market ke sentiment aur movement ko significant taur par influence kar sakte hain.

Hello. Kal, Euro ke sellers ne 1.08 ke level ko tod diya aur aaj lagta hai ke wo isay barqarar rakhne ki koshish karenge. Agar ye karne mein kamiyab hue, to hum girawat ki tasveer dekh sakte hain, khaaskar jab ke Pound bhi actively gir raha hai. Sab se qareeb girawat ka target 1.07764 hai, agar ye level bhi tod diya aur consolidate kar liya, to hum 1.07354 ki taraf girawat dekh sakte hain. Buyers ko 1.08174 ke level ko todna aur consolidate karna hoga taake upward movement develop ho, agar ye karne mein kamiyab hue, to agla target 1.08345 ka hoga.

Pair EURUSD H4:

1 - Euro ne 4-hour chart par lower band ke baad central area ki taraf wapas aana shuru kar diya. Humain ek achhi signal ke liye price girawat ka intezaar karna hoga, aur dekhna hoga ke kya bands bahar khul rahe hain ya koi react nahi ho raha. Fractals ki baat karein, to ek naya fractal neeche bana hai, iska breakout aur consolidation price ko July 3 ke fractal 1.07354 ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Price growth ke liye target nearest fractal upwards hai, iska breakout aur consolidation price ko July 31 ke fractal 1.08485 tak le ja sakta hai.

2 - AO indicator actively negative zone mein barh raha hai, pehla peak kab banega ye clear nahi hai, jo is baat ki nishani hai ke price girawat aur barh sakti hai. Quotes ke growth ke liye strong signal paane ke liye, zero mark ki taraf active attenuation ka intezaar karna chahiye.

Sham bakhair. Kal, sellers ne aakhirkar Euro ka 1.08 level tod diya, lekin aaj unhe is level ke peeche consolidate karne aur apni positions develop karne mein naakaami mili. Filhal, price 1.08 level ke upar trade kar rahi hai, aur 1.08345 mark ko todna mumkin hua hai. Agar iske peeche consolidate karna possible hota hai, to agla target 1.08485 level hoga, uske baad 1.08689 mark tak movement ki ummeed ki ja sakti hai. Downward movement resume karne ke liye, sellers ko ab 1.07764 level ke peeche todna aur consolidate karna zaroori hai. Agar yeh karne mein kamyab hote hain, to price 1.07354 level tak gir sakti hai. Non-farm data jald release hoga, dekhte hain market ka reaction kaisa hota hai.

**EURUSD M30:**

1 - Kal Euro ke liye 1.07861 level se sales ke entry point ka forecast tha, price is level ke aas paas kafi der tak move karti rahi, lekin aakhir mein consolidate nahi ho paayi.

2 - Bands ke hawale se, price upper band ke saath actively move kar rahi hai, jo ke outward khula hua hai. Yeh possible continuation of quotes growth ka signal de raha hai, aur hum sirf dekh sakte hain ke yeh signal develop hota hai ya nahi.

3 - AO indicator positive area mein actively grow kar raha hai, pehla peak kab banega yeh abhi clear nahi hai, aur yeh suggest karta hai ke price growth aur aage bhi chal sakti hai.

4 - Purchases ke liye entry point 1.08706 level par ho sakta hai, breakout aur consolidation ke baad price growth ke marks 1.08963 aur 1.09306 tak expect kiye ja sakte hain.

5 - Sales ko 1.08052 level se consider kiya ja sakta hai, breakout aur consolidation ke baad price fall ke marks 1.07861 aur 1.07567 tak continue ho sakti hai.

EURUSD Analysis - 02.08.2024

Currency pair ne buyers ko debts distribute karne shuru kar diye hain. Yahan sab kuch buyers ke liye bohot achi aur technical tarah se work out hua, jo grid ke sath buying kar rahe the, matlab unhone pullbacks par positions accumulate kiye.

Yeh kuch is tarah se meri chart par nazar aata hai. Main grid method ke sath trade nahi karta, lekin buyers ki expectations yahan clear thi. Pehli consolidation ke dauran bhi, jab euro ne H4 par sell signal diya, northward retracement follow nahi hua. Phir, dusri consolidation ke dauran, ek upward pattern tha, lekin yeh play out nahi hua. Teesre stage par, ek expansion formation thi, lekin buyers ne bait nahi li, kyunke expansions aam tor par trend ke favor mein work karti hain. Aur aaj, ek news impulse par, buyers ke growth ke sab expectations pure hue. Yahan ek stop loss kaam nahi karta, kyunke market ne aise positions ko constantly throw out kiya. Unemployment data straightforwardly work out hua. Matlab, aise statistics ke sath, dollar ke weakening ki umeed thi, aur yeh hua, jis se EUR rise kar gaya. Grid growth ka idea ab close ho gaya hai. Sab kuch itni jaldi hua ke indicator signal aur confirming breakthrough aur trend reversal ke sath enter karna mushkil tha. Signal hourly timeframe par tha, lekin koi retracement aur structure break us waqt nahi tha.

Euro ki is powerful rise ne mujhe senior maximum ko update karne ka sochne par majboor kar diya, matlab level 1.09472 ko update karne. Yahan technical analysis daily timeframe par bhi visible hai, matlab yeh ek large wedge shape mein pattern form karega. Ya waves mein baat karein, to 1-2-3-4-5. Main abhi tak strong rise ki umeed nahi kar raha, lekin definitely decline ki bhi umeed nahi hai. Abhi inertia hai, jo fundamentals se confirmed hai, to main south ke mid-term plans nahi bana raha. Itni strength ke neeche, even selling within the day bhi risky hoga.

Jab trading Friday ko Asian session ke doran dobara shuru hui, to currency pair ne teen hafte ki girawat ka silsila rokh diya aur 1.0805 ke aas-paas stabilize ho gaya. Is rukawat ke bawajood, daily chart ka technical tajziya bearish jazbaat ko darshata hai, kyunki pair ek girta hua channel ke andar consolidate ho raha hai.

**US Political Uncertainty aur European Economic Signals:**

US mein haal hi ke waqiaat ne markets mein naye risk concerns daal diye hain. Aane wale November presidential election ne ahem maqam hasil kar liya hai, aur recent debates ne frontrunner ke clear hone ki uncertainty ko barhawa diya hai. Iske ilawa, US Supreme Court ka Monday ka faisla ne masla ko aur bhi paicheeda bana diya hai, jahan court ka sitting Presidents ke khilaf criminal charges lagane ki salahiyat ko limit kar diya gaya hai.

Europe mein, preliminary German Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) report for June ne price pressures ke softening ko zahir kiya. Ye development European Central Bank (ECB) ko consecutive rate cuts implement karne ka raasta de sakti hai. Lekin, ECB ke policymakers ehtiyaat se kaam le rahe hain aur kisi specific rate-cut trajectory ka commitment nahi kar rahe, taake zyada easing se inflationary pressures dobara na uth khade hon.

**D1 Chart Key Technical Levels for EUR/USD: Support aur Resistance Insights**

Pair apni current range ke lower end ke qareeb 1.0750 par aa raha hai. Ye level bhi ek significant throwback support ke taur par kaam karta hai. Agar is point ke neeche decisive break hota hai, to bearish outlook ko mazid taqat mil sakti hai, aur pair ko descending channel ke lower boundary ke taraf le ja sakta hai, jo ke 1.0710 ke aas-paas hai.

Dusri taraf, upar ki taraf EUR/USD pair ko 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) par resistance ka samna karna pad raha hai, jo 1.0805 par hai. Agar pair is resistance ko paar karne mein kamiyab hoti hai, to isay kuch aur rukawaton ka samna karna padega: current range ka upper boundary aur descending channel ka top, dono 1.0790 ke aas-paas hain.

EUR/USD pair ne range-bound behavior dikhaya hai, ziada tar 1.05 aur 1.10 ke beech trade karte hue early 2024 mein. US Federal Reserve aur European Central Bank (ECB) ki central bank policies iske direction ke liye crucial hain, donon taraf se rate cuts ke expectations market sentiment ko influence kar rahe hain. ECB shayad Fed se zyada aggressively rates cut kare, jo euro par downward pressure dal sakta hai.
Economic indicators ne mixed signals diye hain. Jahan Eurozone PMI improve hua, wahan German retail sales mein sharp decline aur softer Eurozone CPI ne recently euro ko hurt kiya. Doosri taraf, stronger US job data ne dollar ko support kiya. Yeh dynamic Eurozone ke ongoing economic challenges ko highlight karta hai, including weaker growth projections compared to the US.

Volatility EUR/USD pair mein geopolitical tensions aur economic data releases se influenced rehti hai. Upcoming US non-farm payrolls aur inflation data critical honge market expectations ko shape karne mein regarding future rate cuts.

Overall, EUR/USD ko currently stronger US economic data aur future monetary policy moves ke expectations influence kar rahe hain by both the Fed and ECB. Traders ko economic indicators aur central bank communications ko closely monitor karna chahiye to navigate this volatile pair.

Is subah, EUR/USD technical analysis ek mixed picture reveal karti hai with key bearish aur neutral indicators jo potential market movements ko suggest karte hain.

Bearish Head & Shoulders Pattern: Weekly chart ek bearish head and shoulders pattern indicate karta hai. Agar price 1.0723 se neeche break karta hai toh declines 1.0448 ki taraf ho sakte hain aur possibly further down to 0.9680, according to Fibonacci retracement aur extension levels.

Moving Averages: Analysis various moving averages par strong sell signal show karti hai. Yeh include karta hai short-term aur long-term indicators, suggesting ek prevailing downward trend.

Pivots aur Fibonacci Levels: Pivot points aur Fibonacci retracement levels significant support aur resistance zones indicate karte hain. Agar price 1.0500 level se neeche breach karta hai toh further supports 1.0200 aur 0.9900 ko target kar sakti hain, jabke resistance 1.1250 ke aas paas stand karta hai.

Client Sentiment: Sentiment data reveal karti hai ke traders EUR/USD par net-long turn ho gaye hain, jo historically pair ki price mein declines se pehle hota hai.

Ichimoku Cloud: Ichimoku Cloud analysis bearish signals show karti hai, with the price cloud ke neeche indicating potential for further downside.

Trading Plan:
Short Positions: Agar price 1.0723 se neeche break karti hai toh consider karein short positions enter karna, targeting 1.0448 initially, with further targets at 1.0200 aur 0.9900.

Long Positions: Potential long trades consider ki ja sakti hain agar price 1.1250 se upar break karti hai, with targets at 1.1500 aur 1.1750.

Risk Management: Tight stop-loss orders set karein around the 1.0800 level for shorts aur around 1.0700 for longs to manage risk effectively.

In technical indicators aur market sentiments ko closely monitor karke, traders EUR/USD pair ke liye ek strategic plan develop kar sakte hain.

EUR/USD pair ne range-bound behavior dikhaya hai, ziada tar 1.05 aur 1.10 ke beech trade karte hue early 2024 mein. US Federal Reserve aur European Central Bank (ECB) ki central bank policies iske direction ke liye crucial hain, donon taraf se rate cuts ke expectations market sentiment ko influence kar rahe hain. ECB shayad Fed se zyada aggressively rates cut kare, jo euro par downward pressure dal sakta hai.
Economic indicators ne mixed signals diye hain. Jahan Eurozone PMI improve hua, wahan German retail sales mein sharp decline aur softer Eurozone CPI ne recently euro ko hurt kiya. Doosri taraf, stronger US job data ne dollar ko support kiya. Yeh dynamic Eurozone ke ongoing economic challenges ko highlight karta hai, including weaker growth projections compared to the US.

Volatility EUR/USD pair mein geopolitical tensions aur economic data releases se influenced rehti hai. Upcoming US non-farm payrolls aur inflation data critical honge market expectations ko shape karne mein regarding future rate cuts.

Overall, EUR/USD ko currently stronger US economic data aur future monetary policy moves ke expectations influence kar rahe hain by both the Fed and ECB. Traders ko economic indicators aur central bank communications ko closely monitor karna chahiye to navigate this volatile pair.

Is subah, EUR/USD technical analysis ek mixed picture reveal karti hai with key bearish aur neutral indicators jo potential market movements ko suggest karte hain.

Bearish Head & Shoulders Pattern: Weekly chart ek bearish head and shoulders pattern indicate karta hai. Agar price 1.0723 se neeche break karta hai toh declines 1.0448 ki taraf ho sakte hain aur possibly further down to 0.9680, according to Fibonacci retracement aur extension levels.

Moving Averages: Analysis various moving averages par strong sell signal show karti hai. Yeh include karta hai short-term aur long-term indicators, suggesting ek prevailing downward trend.

Pivots aur Fibonacci Levels: Pivot points aur Fibonacci retracement levels significant support aur resistance zones indicate karte hain. Agar price 1.0500 level se neeche breach karta hai toh further supports 1.0200 aur 0.9900 ko target kar sakti hain, jabke resistance 1.1250 ke aas paas stand karta hai.

Client Sentiment: Sentiment data reveal karti hai ke traders EUR/USD par net-long turn ho gaye hain, jo historically pair ki price mein declines se pehle hota hai.

Ichimoku Cloud: Ichimoku Cloud analysis bearish signals show karti hai, with the price cloud ke neeche indicating potential for further downside.

Trading Plan:
Short Positions: Agar price 1.0723 se neeche break karti hai toh consider karein short positions enter karna, targeting 1.0448 initially, with further targets at 1.0200 aur 0.9900.

Long Positions: Potential long trades consider ki ja sakti hain agar price 1.1250 se upar break karti hai, with targets at 1.1500 aur 1.1750.

Risk Management: Tight stop-loss orders set karein around the 1.0800 level for shorts aur around 1.0700 for longs to manage risk effectively.

In technical indicators aur market sentiments ko closely monitor karke, traders EUR/USD pair ke liye ek strategic plan develop kar sakte hain.