𝐄𝐔𝐑/𝐔𝐒𝐃

Is haftay ke aghaz mein, euro ka exchange rate US dollar (EUR/USD) ke muqablay mein 1.0885 par stable raha, jo ke last week ke 1.094 dollars ke peak ke baad hai, jo char maheenon ka sabse ooncha level tha. President Joe Biden ke 2024 ke liye re-election ka faisla karne ke bawajood, euro/dollar rate neeche hi raha. Ab investors samajhne ki koshish kar rahe hain ke is faislay ka financial markets aur global macroeconomic policies par kya asar hoga.

Dosri taraf, European Central Bank ne apni policies mein koi tabdeeli nahi ki, aur President Christine Lagarde ne yeh zahir kiya ke agla faisla 12 September ko "uncertain" hai. Is haftay, Eurozone, Germany aur France ke liye July ke preliminary PMI data release honge, jo manufacturing mein gradual decline zahir karenge jabke services sector growth dikhata reh sakta hai. Iske ilawa, Eurozone mein consumer confidence bhi February 2022 ke baad apne sabse oonche level par ponchne ki umeed hai. Germany ke GfK Consumer Climate Index aur Ifo Business Climate Index se bhi improved readings ki umeed hai.

Euro is haftay mein barh sakta hai jab US policies, Eurozone PMIs, aur US PCE inflation play mein ayengi. Lekin, ek analyst ne yeh note kiya ke halia decline yeh zahir kar sakta hai ke euro/dollar exchange rate ek classic “bull trap” mein phans gaya hai, jo mazeed kamzori ka risk zahir karta hai. EUR/USD ke technical aspects mein jane se pehle, kuch ahem fundamental developments ko dekhna zaroori hai, khas tor par President Joe Biden ke aanay wale November elections ke elaan ke hawale se.

"Trump trade," jo aam tor par US dollar ke liye beneficial samjha jata hai, Biden ke elaan ke baad kam ho sakta hai. Vice President Kamala Harris unki jagah lene wali hain, jinhain Trump ko potential polls mein harane ke zyada chances hain. Aam tor par, koi bhi positive flows jo US dollar se Trump ke presidency se umeed thi, wo reverse ho sakti hain agar Trump ke jeetne ke chances kam ho jayein.

Investors ab is baat ka intizar kar rahe hain ke 30 se zyada investment banks ke projections kya hain ke euro dollar ke muqablay mein September ke qareeb aur saal ke akhri tak kahan khara ho sakta hai.

EUR/USD ka Technical Analysis

Pichle trading week mein, euro ne apni growth ko continue karne ki koshish ki lekin 1.0926 par resistance ka saamna kiya. Is resistance ko overcome karne mein nakam, price rebound hui aur girne lagi, week ke shuruat ke levels par wapas aayi. Natije mein, expected growth scenario kabhi materialize nahi hua aur abhi bhi realize hone ka muntazir hai. Saath hi, price chart super-trending red zone mein move karne laga, jo zahir karta hai ke sellers pull back karne ki koshish kar rahe hain.

Aaj ke technical analysis ke nazar se, 4-hour chart ka qareebi jaiza liya jaye to pair regularly ek ascending price channel mein trade kar raha hai, jabke simple moving average ka continuation positive stimulus provide kar raha hai. Is tarah, agar intraday trading 1.0900 ke support ke upar stabilize hoti hai aur 1.0870 level ke upar prevail karti hai aur target 1.0950 rakhti hai, to uptrend likely hai ke resume ho jaye, aur is level ko break karna aur EUR/USD pair ke gains ko consolidate karna wo trigger hoga jo rasta kholta hai. Downside par, trading 1.0870 ke neeche stable hai, jo pair ko negative pressure mein daalti hai taake key support 1.0840 ko retest kare, jo ke current trading level hai 23.60% Fibonacci retracement ke zariye. Neeche chart dekhein:




Haal mein, pair mukhtalif directions mein trade kar raha hai aur har week neutral rehta hai. Key support areas ab tak test nahi hue aur intact hain, jo upward vector ki stability zahir karte hain. Lekin, current bearish attempt yeh suggest karta hai ke 1.0837 tak pohanchne ki high probability hai, jo ke main support area ka boundary hai. Agar yeh area retest hota hai, to subsequent bounce ek aur upside opportunity provide karega, jo area 1.1033 aur 1.1121 ke beech target karega.

Agar support break hota hai aur price 1.0763 pivot level ke neeche girti hai, to current scenario cancel ho jayega.

EUR/USD D-1 Analysis

Hello colleagues! Kal main ne umeed ki thi ke pair pehle girega, aur phir 1.0840 se uthega. Asal mein, hum ne Merlin ballet ka pehla hissa mukammal kar liya hai. Ab main intezar kar raha hoon ke doosra hissa bhi mile. Ab tak, hum uthe nahi hain. Lekin sabse zaroori baat yeh hai ke consolidation ke sath, wo 1.0840 se neeche nahi girenge. Baqi, hum market ko jaldi nahi karenge. Isay sans lene, sochne aur adjust hone ki zaroorat hai.
To, aaj ke daily chart par wave technique ke mutabiq kya dekha ja sakta hai?

- December se, main yahan aik inclined development channel draw kar raha hoon. Ab wo iski upper border - level 1.0840 tak gir rahe hain. Tehqiqat ke mutabiq, unhein ya to push out karke north jana chahiye, ya phir channel mein pull hona chahiye. Aur phir - sab kuch normal ho jayega.

- MA100 kareeb kareeb floor ke parallel space mein kaam kar raha hai, jo is haftay ke flat sentiment ka sign hai.

- MA18 bohot bullish act kar raha hai. Trend apni tape ko north ke taraf 30 degrees ke trend angle se khench raha hai - jo ke din ke currency par bullish sentiment ka sign hai.

- Nichimoku Kinko Hyo bhi bulls ke sath nazar aata hai: yeh bullish colors mein paint hua hai, aur forecasting point of view se pehle bears ki taraf mudi thi, phir bulls ki taraf wapas aayi. Yeh north ki taraf move kar raha hai, ek zyada pronounced trend ke sath.

- Lightweight Stochastic bearish divergence se neeche mudi aur oversold area se bahar aayi, jo sabit karta hai ke instrument rise ke liye tayar ho sakta hai.

- Rosa moving averages May se overbought area mein settle ho rahi hain.

- Dono MACDs mukhtalif configurations mein bullish wave par play kar rahe hain.

Ab tak, sab kuch northward rise ke trend mein hai.

EUR/USD Market Analysis (4-Hour Time Frame) Sham bakhair doston aur trading colleagues! Aaj Euro ne ek southward correction scenario ko follow kiya hai. EUR/USD ke 4-hour time frame par, jab hum high aur low prices ko dekhte hain, to pata chalta hai ke Euro ne 1.0886 ke 100% level se correction ke baad apna upar ki taraf movement continue kiya hai. Yeh upward movement SR level 1.0921 ko confidently break karte hue chal rahi hai. Aaj, yeh southward correction ke phase mein hai aur abhi 1.0914 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai.
Ab agar hum market ke agle movements ko dekhein, to Euro ka northward trend continue karne ki possibility hai. Agar price 1.0921 ke SR level ke upar consolidate karti hai, to Euro apni growth ko extend kar sakta hai. Yeh growth target range tak ja sakti hai jo ke 1.0981 aur 1.0998 ke levels par formed hai, jo chart par orange color mein indicated hai.

Ab market ke behavior ko samajhna zaroori hai. Jab Euro ne 1.0886 se correction li aur SR level 1.0921 ko break kiya, to yeh clear hota hai ke upward momentum strong hai. Lekin aaj ki southward correction market ka ek natural part hai, jo short-term profit-taking aur market adjustments ko reflect karti hai. Aise moments ko trading strategies mein dhyan mein rakhna chahiye.

Agar Euro price 1.0921 ke SR level ke upar stabilize hoti hai, to yeh bullish trend ko extend karne ki indication hogi. Is case mein, 1.0981 aur 1.0998 ke levels tak growth dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Yeh target levels aapke trading plans mein key levels honge, jo aapke decision-making process ko influence karenge.

Aaj ke trading scenario ko dekhte hue, yeh bhi zaroori hai ke aap price action ko closely monitor karein. Market me fluctuations aur short-term corrections common hain, aur inhe consider karte hue trading decisions lene chahiye. Agar price 1.0921 ke SR level ke niche consolidate karti hai, to yeh bearish signal ho sakta hai, jo ke downward pressure ko indicate karega.

In trading scenarios ko analyze karte hue, traders ko long-term trends aur short-term corrections dono ko consider karna chahiye. Agar long-term bullish trend intact rehta hai, to short-term corrections ko ek opportunity ke tor par dekha ja sakta hai. Aapko apne trading strategy ko market ke current conditions ke mutabiq adjust karna hoga.

Toh, aaj ke trading session ko conclude karte hue, yeh zaroori hai ke aap price action ko closely monitor karein aur key levels par focus karein. Agar price 1.0921 ke SR level ke upar consolidate karti hai, to aapko upward trend ki continuation dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Is se aapko trading opportunities milengi jo aapke trading goals ko achieve karne mein madad karengi.

EUR/USD H4 Analysis

Hamari is guftagu mein, hum EUR/USD currency pair ke price changes ka tajzia karenge. Powell ECB forum mein bole aur hamesha ki tarah unhone US dollar ko "drop" kar diya, jabke unse pehle Lagarde bole the jo thoda euro ko support de rahe the. Powell ne kuch naya nahi kaha, lekin phir bhi EUR/USD 1.0739 level ko tod kar 1.0749 resistance ke qareeb aa gaya. EMA-200 se mark kiya gaya critical resistance level 1.0759 par hai. Samajh nahi aa raha ke market ne Powell ke remarks par aise kyun react kiya, kyunki unki baatein groundbreaking nahi thi. Unhone kaha ke labor market mazboot hai, inflation 2% ke qareeb nahi hai, aur disinflation ke signs hain. Lagarde ne bhi kaha ke jabke inflation sahi direction mein move kar raha hai, abhi yeh kehna jaldi hoga ke yeh aisa hi rahega. Powell ne zor diya ke Fed apne decisions ko jaldbazi mein nahi lega aur US aur Europe mein inflation alag masail hain jo mukhtalif approaches mangte hain. In comments ke bawajood, market US dollar ko khareedne se hichkichaha raha hai.

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Name: image_5013383.png Views: 538 Size: 17.2 KB ID: 18448108EUR/USD H4

Europe mein siyasi developments ne market sentiment ko significant taur par affect kiya hai, khaaskar European parliamentary elections ne euro mein confidence ko dent kiya hai. France ka faisla apni parliament ko dissolve karne aur snap elections rakhne ka, jo President Emmanuel Macron ne EU parliament elections mein substantial defeat ke baad kiya, ne market uncertainty ko barhawa diya hai. Marine Le Pen, jo National Rally se ek right-leaning conservative politician hain, ke Macron ko replace karne ke prospect ne financial markets ko hilaa diya hai. Le Pen ka platform, jo steep tax cuts, retirement age ko kam karne, aur stringent immigration controls shamil hai, ne France mein kafi popularity haasil ki hai.

Le Pen ki victory ke potential ne European financial markets mein apprehension paida kar di hai. Unki policies significant fiscal challenges impose kar sakti hain jab European economic indicators already underperform kar rahe hain. Iske ilawa, European Central Bank (ECB) persistent inflation issues ki wajah se rate cuts implement karne mein constrained hai Eurozone ke andar.

EUR/USD Market Analysis (4-Hour Time Frame) Sham bakhair doston aur trading colleagues! Aaj Euro ne ek southward correction scenario ko follow kiya hai. EUR/USD ke 4-hour time frame par, jab hum high aur low prices ko dekhte hain, to pata chalta hai ke Euro ne 1.0886 ke 100% level se correction ke baad apna upar ki taraf movement continue kiya hai. Yeh upward movement SR level 1.0921 ko confidently break karte hue chal rahi hai. Aaj, yeh southward correction ke phase mein hai aur abhi 1.0914 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai.
Ab agar hum market ke agle movements ko dekhein, to Euro ka northward trend continue karne ki possibility hai. Agar price 1.0921 ke SR level ke upar consolidate karti hai, to Euro apni growth ko extend kar sakta hai. Yeh growth target range tak ja sakti hai jo ke 1.0981 aur 1.0998 ke levels par formed hai, jo chart par orange color mein indicated hai.

Ab market ke behavior ko samajhna zaroori hai. Jab Euro ne 1.0886 se correction li aur SR level 1.0921 ko break kiya, to yeh clear hota hai ke upward momentum strong hai. Lekin aaj ki southward correction market ka ek natural part hai, jo short-term profit-taking aur market adjustments ko reflect karti hai. Aise moments ko trading strategies mein dhyan mein rakhna chahiye.

Agar Euro price 1.0921 ke SR level ke upar stabilize hoti hai, to yeh bullish trend ko extend karne ki indication hogi. Is case mein, 1.0981 aur 1.0998 ke levels tak growth dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Yeh target levels aapke trading plans mein key levels honge, jo aapke decision-making process ko influence karenge.

Aaj ke trading scenario ko dekhte hue, yeh bhi zaroori hai ke aap price action ko closely monitor karein. Market me fluctuations aur short-term corrections common hain, aur inhe consider karte hue trading decisions lene chahiye. Agar price 1.0921 ke SR level ke niche consolidate karti hai, to yeh bearish signal ho sakta hai, jo ke downward pressure ko indicate karega.

Euro (EUR) ne Friday ko Asian trading session mein US Dollar (USD) ke muqablay apni chaltay hue oonchi trajectory jari rakhi. Currency pair 1.0860 ke aas-paas trade hua, jo ke pichlay din ke faiday par buniyad tha jab yeh do hafton ki kam tareen satah 1.0825 se ubhra. Yeh oonchi movement aksar kamzor US dollar ke sabab hai. Market participants US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index ke release ka intezar karte hue ehtiyat barat rahe hain. Halanki haali economic data, jis mein strong GDP figures aur robust PMI shamil hain, ne Federal Reserve ke zabardast interest rate cuts ke umeedon ko kam kar diya hai, lekin substantial dollar gains ka potential ab bhi mehdood hai. Doosri taraf, Euro ko European Central Bank (ECB) ke mutawaqqa monetary policy raaste ki wajah se rukawat ka samna hai. ECB se umeed ki ja rahi hai ke wo is saal mehtawari rate cuts implement karay ga taake mehngai ke dabao ko samajhne ke liye economic growth ko stimulate kiya ja sake. Is outlook ne Eurozone ke investor sentiment ko mayoos kiya hai. Is ke ilawa, Eurozone se aanay wale economic indicators mixd rahe hain. Halanki region ke composite PMI ne musalsal growth dikhai, Germany, jo ke bloc ki sab se bari economy hai, ne apne composite PMI mein unexpected decline ka samna kiya. Yeh divergence Eurozone economy ko darpaish challenges ko highlight karti hai Technically, EUR/USD ne chaar mahinon ke high ko pohanch kar correction undergo kiya hai. Yeh pair is waqt ahem support aur resistance levels ke qareeb trade kar raha hai. Agar 50- aur 200-day simple moving averages ke neechay ek mutasir tor se break hota hai to yeh further downside potential ka signal de sakta hai, support levels 1.0793 aur 1.0711 par hain. Dosri taraf, agar 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level 1.0874 ke upar ek qatai move hota hai to yeh previous highs aur uske aage ke retest ka rasta khol sakta hai. In nateejon mein, Euro ke haali gains aksar kamzor US dollar ke sabab hain, jab ke Eurozone ke economic outlook aur ECB ke monetary policy stance challenges pesh karte hain. US PCE price index ka aane wala release EUR/USD pair ke short-term trajectory ko tay karne mein ek crucial factor hoga

EUR/USD currency pair, jo abhi 1.0895 par hai, bearish trend kar raha hai. Market ki slow movement ke bawajood, kuch factors aise hain jo near future mein significant changes ka potential dikhate hain. In factors ko samajhna yeh batane mein madadgar ho sakta hai ke EUR/USD mein ek bara movement kyu aa sakta hai.
### Economic Indicators aur Reports

Currency pair movements ke primary drivers mein se ek economic data releases hoti hain. Key indicators jese ke Gross Domestic Product (GDP), employment reports, inflation rates, aur retail sales EUR/USD pair par significant impact dal sakti hain. Recent mein, Eurozone aur United States ke economic data mixed signals dikhate hain.

Eurozone mein economic growth relatively sluggish rahi hai, aur kuch countries ko slower-than-expected GDP growth ka samna karna para hai. European Central Bank (ECB) ne cautious stance rakhi hui hai, growth ko stimulate karne aur inflation ko control karne ke beech balance banaye rakhne ki koshish kar rahi hai. Doosri taraf, U.S. economy ne resilience dikhai hai steady job growth aur consumer spending ke sath. Magar, Federal Reserve ke monetary policy decisions, khaaskar interest rate hikes ke hawale se, EUR/USD pair mein volatility create kar sakti hain.

### Monetary Policy aur Interest Rates

ECB aur Federal Reserve ke darmiyan monetary policy divergence EUR/USD exchange rate mein crucial role play karta hai. ECB ka cautious approach, jo low interest rates maintain karna aur quantitative easing measures ko continue karna include karta hai, Federal Reserve ke zyada aggressive stance ke contrast mein hai jo monetary policy ko tighten karne par zor de raha hai. Fed inflation ko combat karne ke liye interest rates raise kar raha hai, jo U.S. dollar ko un investors ke liye zyada attractive bana raha hai jo higher returns ki talash mein hain.

Magar, in policies mein koi bhi unexpected changes significant movements trigger kar sakti hain. Misal ke taur par, agar ECB apni policy ko anticipate kiye gaye waqt se pehle tighten karne ka signal de, ya agar Fed apni rate hikes ko pause kar de, toh EUR/USD pair mein ek sharp move ho sakta hai.

### Geopolitical Factors

Geopolitical events aur uncertainties bhi EUR/USD exchange rate ko influence karti hain. Trade tensions, political instability, ya conflicts jese issues market volatility ko barhawa de sakte hain. Recent times mein, Eurozone ko Brexit aur Ukraine ke ongoing war ke challenges ka samna karna para hai. Ye events uncertainty create kar sakte hain, investors ko apne funds safer assets jese ke U.S. dollar mein move karne par majboor karte hain, jo EUR/USD exchange rate ko affect karta hai.

### Market Sentiment aur Speculation

Market sentiment aur speculation forex market mein powerful forces hain. Traders ke future events ke hawale se perceptions, risk appetite, aur market trends significant movements ko drive kar sakte hain. Abhi, market sentiment cautious lagta hai bearish bias ke sath EUR/USD pair ke taraf. Magar, koi positive developments jese ke stronger-than-expected economic data from Eurozone ya geopolitical issues ka resolution sentiment ko shift kar sakta hai aur pair mein substantial move ko lead kar sakta hai.

### Technical Analysis
Technical analysis perspective se, EUR/USD pair ka current bearish trend notable hai. Traders aksar technical indicators jese ke moving averages, trend lines, aur support aur resistance levels ko future movements predict karne ke liye use karte hain. Pair ka current level 1.0895 crucial hai, aur significant support levels ke niche koi bhi break further declines ko lead kar sakti hai. Conversely, agar pair key resistance levels ke upar break karne mein kamiyab hota hai, toh yeh bullish reversal ke start ka signal ho sakta hai

Euro (EUR) ne Friday ko Asian trading session mein US Dollar (USD) ke muqablay apni chaltay hue oonchi trajectory jari rakhi. Currency pair 1.0860 ke aas-paas trade hua, jo ke pichlay din ke faiday par buniyad tha jab yeh do hafton ki kam tareen satah 1.0825 se ubhra. Yeh oonchi movement aksar kamzor US dollar ke sabab hai. Market participants US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index ke release ka intezar karte hue ehtiyat barat rahe hain. Halanki haali economic data, jis mein strong GDP figures aur robust PMI shamil hain, ne Federal Reserve ke zabardast interest rate cuts ke umeedon ko kam kar diya hai, lekin substantial dollar gains ka potential ab bhi mehdood hai. Doosri taraf, Euro ko European Central Bank (ECB) ke mutawaqqa monetary policy raaste ki wajah se rukawat ka samna hai. ECB se umeed ki ja rahi hai ke wo is saal mehtawari rate cuts implement karay ga taake mehngai ke dabao ko samajhne ke liye economic growth ko stimulate kiya ja sake. Is outlook ne Eurozone ke investor sentiment ko mayoos kiya hai. Is ke ilawa, Eurozone se aanay wale economic indicators mixd rahe hain. Halanki region ke composite PMI ne musalsal growth dikhai, Germany, jo ke bloc ki sab se bari economy hai, ne apne composite PMI mein unexpected decline ka samna kiya. Yeh divergence Eurozone economy ko darpaish challenges ko highlight karti hai Technically, EUR/USD ne chaar mahinon ke high ko pohanch kar correction undergo kiya hai. Yeh pair is waqt ahem support aur resistance levels ke qareeb trade kar raha hai. Agar 50- aur 200-day simple moving averages ke neechay ek mutasir tor se break hota hai to yeh further downside potential ka signal de sakta hai, support levels 1.0793 aur 1.0711 par hain. Dosri taraf, agar 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level 1.0874 ke upar ek qatai move hota hai to yeh previous highs aur uske aage ke retest ka rasta khol sakta hai. In nateejon mein, Euro ke haali gains aksar kamzor US dollar ke sabab hain, jab ke Eurozone ke economic outlook aur ECB ke monetary policy stance challenges pesh karte hain. US PCE price index ka aane wala release EUR/USD pair ke short-term trajectory ko tay karne mein ek crucial factor hoga

Euro (EUR) ne Friday ko Asian trading session mein US Dollar (USD) ke muqablay apni chaltay hue oonchi trajectory jari rakhi. Currency pair 1.0860 ke aas-paas trade hua, jo ke pichlay din ke faiday par buniyad tha jab yeh do hafton ki kam tareen satah 1.0825 se ubhra. Yeh oonchi movement aksar kamzor US dollar ke sabab hai. Market participants US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index ke release ka intezar karte hue ehtiyat barat rahe hain. Halanki haali economic data, jis mein strong GDP figures aur robust PMI shamil hain, ne Federal Reserve ke zabardast interest rate cuts ke umeedon ko kam kar diya hai, lekin substantial dollar gains ka potential ab bhi mehdood hai. Doosri taraf, Euro ko European Central Bank (ECB) ke mutawaqqa monetary policy raaste ki wajah se rukawat ka samna hai. ECB se umeed ki ja rahi hai ke wo is saal mehtawari rate cuts implement karay ga taake mehngai ke dabao ko samajhne ke liye economic growth ko stimulate kiya ja sake. Is outlook ne Eurozone ke investor sentiment ko mayoos kiya hai. Is ke ilawa, Eurozone se aanay wale economic indicators mixd rahe hain. Halanki region ke composite PMI ne musalsal growth dikhai, Germany, jo ke bloc ki sab se bari economy hai, ne apne composite PMI mein unexpected decline ka samna kiya. Yeh divergence Eurozone economy ko darpaish challenges ko highlight karti hai Technically, EUR/USD ne chaar mahinon ke high ko pohanch kar correction undergo kiya hai. Yeh pair is waqt ahem support aur resistance levels ke qareeb trade kar raha hai. Agar 50- aur 200-day simple moving averages ke neechay ek mutasir tor se break hota hai to yeh further downside potential ka signal de sakta hai, support levels 1.0793 aur 1.0711 par hain. Dosri taraf, agar 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level 1.0874 ke upar ek qatai move hota hai to yeh previous highs aur uske aage ke retest ka rasta khol sakta hai. In nateejon mein, Euro ke haali gains aksar kamzor US dollar ke sabab hain, jab ke Eurozone ke economic outlook aur ECB ke monetary policy stance challenges pesh karte hain. US PCE price index ka aane wala release EUR/USD pair ke short-term trajectory ko tay karne mein ek crucial factor hoga

EUR/USD D1 chart

Is haftay ke trading mein EUR/USD pair ki overall bullish price trajectory 1.0948 tak pohanchi, jo ke char mahino ka aala level hai. Tafsiliat ke mutabiq, likhnay ke waqt yeh 1.0935 ke qareeb tha, jab ke market ECB ki aaj ki announcement ke imtiaz ko hoshyarana intezar kar raha tha. FX currency trading company platform ke mutabiq, UK inflation data ke izhaar ke baad dollar ki sell-off ne EUR/USD exchange rate mein izafa kiya nazar aya hai. Aam tor par dollar FX market mein mid-week mein mazboot dabao ke neeche aaya, jahan GBP/USD ki qadar aur Bank of Japan ki FX market mein taqat dikhane ki mumkinat ne euro ke maqami qeemat ko barhaya. UK services sector mein mazboot inflation ke baad dollar mein bechini aai, jo ke Bank of England ke August 1 ke rate cut ke imkaniyat ko kam kar diya. Aam tor par traders ne kaha ke dollar ke shuruati kamzori ne Bank of England se jawab barat diya lagta hai, jo ke apni currency ki qeemat ko barqarar rakhnay ke liye yen khareeda aur dollar becha. Dollar ki aam bechini ke milte-julte asar ne US dollar index ke technical levels mein dhol chamaanay ke liye munsil kiya, jo ke euro ko US dollar ke khilaf tholay mein daal diya.

Central bank policies bhi is pair ke outlook par bhari asar dalte hain. European Central Bank (ECB) aur US Federal Reserve ki monetary policy, interest rates aur inflation control ke rukh ki imdad se EUR/USD pair ke market sentiment mein tabdeeli a sakti hai. In asasat se jo bhi hawkish ya dovish signals aye, woh market sentiment ko badal sakte hain aur EUR/USD pair mein sakht tabdeeliyan la sakte hain. Traders central bank officials ke istemal hone wali lehje aur zaban ko tawajjo se sunenge, future policy directions ke isharon ke liye.




Mukhtasaran, EUR/USD pair ke 1.0900 ke qareeb rukay huay momentum mein technical resistance aur market ki tashweesh ka izhar hota hai. Is nafiz had tak bar bar yeh psychological threshold ko toornay mein nakami ne mazboot bechini dabao aur traders ki hoshyari ko zahir kiya hai. RSI aur MACD jese technical indicators saaf rukh ki kami ko tasdeeq karte hain, jo ke consolidation ka nazariya mazboot karte hain. Qawi asoolat, jaise ke qareeb anay wale economic data aur central bank announcements, pair ke aglay qadam ko taay karnay mein ahmiyat rakhte hain. Traders ko hoshyari se kaam lena chahiye aur market in zaroori inputs ko hazam karte huee volatility ke liye tayyar rehna chahiye. Technical aur fundamental taraqqiyan muntazir rahen, takay traders EUR/USD pair ke pur-asar manzar mein behtar faisle kar saken.

Bone ki demand Trump ke appeal se mutasir ho sakti hai jo Powell se darkhwast ki hai ke chunotiyon se pehle darajat na kum karain, 4 mahine ke oonchi darajat ne bohat se logon ko mutasir kiya hai. Lekin yeh dekhna ke Powell sunayen ge ya nahi, yeh to maloom nahi hai, after all, Fed USA mein ek mustaqil idara hai aur Trump siyasi halat mein aam taur par pasand nahi aate, unki darkhwast nakam bhi ho sakti hai. Lekin abhi ke liye, euro mein kami hai, aur niche ki movement ko barhane ke liye ahem signal ka intezar karna hoga, humain 1.08609 ke position ke upar rout aur connection dekhne ki zaroorat hai. Phir, humain ek acha breakdown milay ga thrusting structure ka, aur giravat jari rakhne ka maqsad 1.08045 ka mark hoga. EURUSD M30 chart

1- Jumeraat ko, euro ne 1.08963 ke position se khareedne ka ek dakhli nukta parha aur 1.08706 ke position se sauda karna parha, lekin akhir kar, keemat in maqamat tak nahi pohanchi. EUR/USD ke baray mein, mein aik izafa ki umeed rakhta hoon. Keemat neechay lauti aur aik ahem area tak pohanch gayi jahan do daily supports 1.0870 par hain, teen martaba upar chakkar khaa ke, pin bars banai jo is support area se khareedne ka ishara dete hain. Arrow aur basement indicators bhi izafa ka ishara dete hain, is level se khareedne ki dakhli dakhil ho rahi hai. Is liye, upar ki manzil ke liye khareedne sahi lagta hai. Munafa ka maqsad double resistances 1.0865 par set kiya ja sakta hai, jahan rozana ka kursi aik izafa khatam hota hai, jo munafa ko mehfooz karne ke liye aik mukamal point banata hai. Agar tasdeeqi breakout hota hai, to yeh muntazim raftar mein dominant trend ko le kar aa sakta hai. Aapko aik acha hafta guzarna hai.




2- Bands ke sath halaat ki baat karne se, keemat bands ke central area mein rok gayi aur bands khud ko vertical position mein laye. Keemat mein izafa ya giravat ke liye aik aala maqsad hasil karne ke liye, humain upper ya lower band ke bahar ek faal exit ke liye rukna chahiye, aur yeh bhi andaza lagana chahiye ke kya bands bahar ko khulne ke liye taiyar hain.
3- AO index negative zone mein izafa banane ki koshish kar raha hai, agar humain peer ko zyada raftar se aage badhne ka signal mile, to keemat mein giravat ke liye aik ahem ishara mil jaye ga. Zero ko paar karne aur musbat zone mein izafa raftar se milay ga, to keemat mein izafa saabit hoga.
4- Trae ke dakhli nukta ko 1.08706 ke position se shumar kiya ja sakta hai, keemat mein giravat ke liye intezar kiya ja sakta hai rout aur connection ke points 1.08328 aur 1.08052 par.
5 – 1.08963 ke position se khareedna jaye sakti hai, keemat mein izafa ke liye intezar kiya ja sakta hai rout aur connection ke points 1.08306 aur 1.09576 par.

Yeh jora is ilaqe tak pohancha aur rukawat ka samna kiya, jisse keh raha hai ke 1.0865 ki taraf downside movement mumkin hai. Yeh level ab aik support area ban chuka hai. Agar keemat 1.0870 se guzar kar is level ko tasdeeq kare aur yeh sabit ho jaye, to yeh ek upside movement ke liye raste ko khol sakta hai 1.0968 tak. Baqi din ke liye koi ahem khabarain muqarrar nahi hain, is liye hume dekhna pare ga ke Jumeraat kya laata hai.

Chaaron ghanton ke price chart ki jaaizat se mazeed tafseelat milti hai. Haal hi mein giravat ko pura karne ke baad, yeh jora zahir hai ke 1.0970 aur 1.0835 ki taraf aik upward correction ke liye tayyar ho sakta hai. Agar hum halqa e awwal se jari global siyasi factors ko khaarij karain, to hum ne pehle hi aik correction rally shuru kar di hai, jaisa ke neechay tasveer mein ishara ho raha hai. Pehle daur ko tayyar hone ke baad, bullish hone mein koi hairat nahi hai. Hum abhi bhi 1.0825 hadood par mabni hain, jo ke bohat munasib hai. Is soch ke saath, hume us structure ke mutabiq ek bounce dekhna chahiye jo main ne develop kiya hai.




Mujhe ek trader ke baare mein pata hai jo khareedna jaari rakhta tha, lekin jora jari raha aur girne mein jari raha. Main abhi bhi yeh tay kar raha hoon ke ab unke liye kaise niklega. Moazziz haalat aur tanzeem ke baray mein, yeh currency pair sirf aik aam reversal ke saath 250 points tak chalta hai. Lagbag 120 points pehle se guzar gaye hain. Aur dollar ke sath mazeed joray ke liye, technical indicators signal dete hain ke US dollar bohat zyada khareeda gaya hai. Is ne monetary policy ko sakht karna ke imkanat par izafa kiya tha, jo ke pehle se hi price mein shaamil tha. Is liye, mazeed downside movement ke liye kam jagah ho sakti hai. Dusri taraf, joray ko mazeed inkar ke liye koi rukawat nahi hai.

EUR/USD TAJZIYA

Subah UK Office for National Statistics ne riwayati Consumer Price Index (CPI) ke saalana maheena June mein 2% par qaim rehne wali mahangi dar ka izhar kiya. Is doran, core CPI 3.5% aur Retail Price Index 2.9% tak barh gaya. Yeh shumar analysts ke tajziyati ehtimam ke mutabiq hai. GBP/USD thora sa izafa kiya magar pehle reaction ke baad 1.3000 ke neeche hi raha.

Piruz e hafta mein umer daraz dollar index ne thoda sa izafa kiya lakin Mangal ko thanda raha baad mein jo ke 104.50 ke qareeb rukawat tak pohanch gaya. Index ne budh ke subah 104.00 ke neeche thoda sa gir kar wahan se oopar raha. Is doran, benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield 4.2% ke neeche hai, Mangal ko tez giravat ke baad aur US stock index futures negative territory mein trade kar rahay hain.

EUR/USD mein umer daraz izafa jari hai, jo ke rozana ke chart analysis mein dekha gaya bullish trend ki madad se ho raha hai. Jora 1.0922 ke char mahinay ke unchi tak rukawat ka samna kar sakta hai.

Ascend channel ke neeche ki hadood, 1.0870 ke qareeb, fori sahara ka darja ada kar sakti hai.

EUR/USD teesre din jari izafa kar raha hai, jo ke budh ke Asian session mein 1.0900 ke aas paas trade ho raha hai. Daily chart analysis mein ek bullish trend nazar aata hai, jora ascend channel ke andar qaim hai.

Is ke ilawa, 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI), aik momentum indicator, 50 ke level se oopar hai, jo ke EUR/USD pair ke liye bullish jazbat ko tasdeeq karta hai. Jari izafa jo hai woh jora ke bullish bias ko mazboot kar sakta hai.

EUR/USD 1.0922 ke char mahinay ke unchi ke qareeb rukawat ke nazdeek pohanch raha hai, jo ke 15 July ko dekha gaya tha. Mazeed rukawat 1.1000 ke qareeb ki umeed hai, ascend channel ke upper boundary ke qareeb 1.1020 ke aas paas.

Neeche ki taraf, EUR/USD pair ke liye fori sahara ascend channel ke neeche 1.0870 ke qareeb hai, jaisa ke 9-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 1.0864 par hai.



Is level ke neeche girao pressure jora par barh sakta hai, jahan par 1.0670 ke muqarrar level par sahara ki umeed hai, jo ke throwback support level ka kaam kare ga.

EUR/USD M30 TIME FRAME CHART.

Assalam-o-Alaikum, ji, dollar ki darkhwast par asar honay ki sa'at a sakti hai jab Trump ne Powell se guzishta kiya ke chunon se pehle darman na chhoren, 4 mahinay ki unchi ke dar se bht se logon ko hosla afzai hui hai. Magar yeh toh yeh nahi pata ke Powell sunengay ya nahi, keun ke Federal Reserve USA mein aik mustaqil nizam hai, aur siyasi maamlon mein Trump ka mamla am tor par acha nahi hai, unke guzishta guzarne se kamyabi nahi ho sakti. Lekin abhi ke liye, euro mein kami hai, aur neechay ki taraf quwatwar signal ke liye, humein 1.08609 ke level par breakout aur mazbooti ke liye dekhna hoga. Yahan par, humein ascend structure ka acha breakdown milay ga, aur kami jari rakhne ka nishana 1.08045 ka mark ho ga. EURUSD M30 jora:

1 - Jumeraat ko, euro ne khareedne ke liye aik dakhla ka nishan 1.08963 ke level se pehlay aur farokht ke liye 1.08706 ke level se kiya, lekin aakhir mein keemat in levels tak nahi pohanch saki.

2 - Bands ke halat ke baray mein baat karte hue, keemat bands ke markazi hisse mein ruk gayi, aur bands khud aik horizontal position le gaye. Keemat ko izafa ya girao ke liye aik aala darja signal hasil karne ke liye, humein upper ya lower band ke bahar aik faal nikaal ka intezar karna chahiye, aur phir dekhen ke bands kya bahar khulain gay.

3 - AO indicator negative zone mein izafa ke liye koshish kar raha hai, agar humein peer ko zyada tezi se izafa dekha jaye, toh yeh keemat ke liye quwatwar signal ho ga ke neechay girne ka. Zero ko cross karna aur musbat zone mein izafa karne ka matlab hai ke keemat mein izafa ho ga.

4 - Farokht ke liye dakhla nishan 1.08706 ke level se consider kiya ja sakta hai, breakout aur mazbooti par 1.08328 aur 1.08052 ke points par keemat mein girao ki umeed ki ja sakti hai.

5 - Khareedne ke liye 1.08963 ke level se consider kiya ja sakta hai, breakout aur mazbooti par 1.08306 aur 1.09576 ke points par keemat mein izafa ki umeed ki ja sakti hai.