𝐄𝐔𝐑/𝐔𝐒𝐃

EUR/USD Analysis: 19th July 2024 Current Market Conditions

Euro ne apni downward trend US Dollar ke muqable mein barqarar rakhi hui hai, jo ke Asian session mein 1.0890 ke qareeb trade kar raha hai. Ye girawat zyadatar strong US Dollar ki wajah se hai, jo ke market mein barhawa dar aversion ki wajah se support mil raha hai. Rising US Treasury yields ne Dollar ko support diya hai. Magar, Dollar ki upward momentum kamzor US employment data ki wajah se limited ho sakti hai. Recent increase in unemployment claims ne Federal Reserve ke interest rates ko September mein cut karne ki speculation ko barhawa diya hai. Market expectations for a rate cut 93.5% tak barh gayi hain, jo ke aik hafta pehle 85.1% thi. Iske muqable mein, European Central Bank ne apni key refinancing rate ko 4.25% par barqarar rakha apni July monetary policy meeting mein, jaisa ke anticipated tha.

Technical Analysis
Support and Resistance Levels

Immediate Support: 1.0928
Secondary Support: 1.0898
Critical Support: 1.0870 (50-period moving average)
Immediate Resistance: 1.0945
Secondary Resistance: 1.0960-1.0972
Key Resistance: 1.1000
Major Resistance: 1.1045
Current Price Action

Support Levels: EUR/USD pair ko immediate support 1.0928 par hai. Agar ye level break ho jata hai to ye further decline karke 1.0898 tak ja sakta hai. Agar pair decisively 1.0898 se neechay close karta hai, to uptrend risk mein aa jayegi. 50-period moving average ke neeche 1.0870 break ho jata hai to ye bearish reversal ko confirm karega, aur potential targets 1.0850 tak ja sakte hain.

Resistance Levels: Upper side par, 1.0945 level significant resistance hai, jo pehle pair ke upward movement ko cap kar chuka hai. Is level ko break karna, jo 2021-2022 downtrend ka 50% Fibonacci retracement bhi hai, bullish signal hoga. Subsequent resistance 1.0960-1.0972 area ke qareeb hai, followed by 1.1000 level aur potentially 1.1045.

Overall, EUR/USD currently pressure mein hai due to a combination of factors including a stronger US Dollar, rising US Treasury yields, aur market expectations for a Fed rate cut. Jab tak koi significant shift market sentiment ya economic data mein nahi aata, overall trend bearish lag raha hai.

EUR/USD par kal, ek chhoti si upar ki taraf ke pullback ke baad, price dheere dheere neeche ki taraf push hui, jis ka nateeja yeh tha ke ek chhoti bearish candle bani, jo ke pichle daily range ke andar thi. Yeh saaf hai ke is instrument par accumulation ho rahi hai aur filhal mujhe koi khaas cheez nazar nahi aati, magar general taur par, main maan ta hoon ke sellers price ko correction ke dauran neeche ke support level tak le ja sakte hain, jo ke meri markings ke mutabiq 1.07764 par hai. Jaise ke main ne bar-bar kaha hai, is support level ke paas situation ke do scenarios ho sakte hain. Pehla scenario yeh hai ke ek reversal candle ban kar upar ki taraf price movement dobara shuru ho. Agar yeh plan kaam karta hai, to main price ke resistance level par wapas aane ka intezaar karunga, jo ke 1.08522 par hai. Agar price is resistance level ke upar fix hoti hai, to main further northern movement ka intezaar karunga, jo ke 1.09160 tak ja sakti hai. Is resistance level ke paas main ek trading setup ka intezaar karunga, jo further trading direction determine karne mein madad karega.

Haan, ek option yeh bhi hai ke ek zyada door ka northern target bhi work out ho sakta hai, jo ke meri markings ke mutabiq 1.09812 par hai. Lekin agar designated plan implement hota hai, to jaise price door ke northern target ki taraf move karegi, main kuch southern rollbacks ka bhi expect karta hoon, jise main nearest support levels se bullish signals dhoondhne ke liye use karunga, taake global bullish trend ki formation ke liye growth ka intezaar kiya ja sake.

Ek alternative option yeh hai ke agar price 1.07764 ke support level ke paas aati hai, to price ke is level ke neeche fix hone aur further southern movement ka plan ho sakta hai. Agar yeh plan kaam karta hai, to main price ke 1.07099 ya 1.06675 support levels tak move karne ka intezaar karunga.

In support levels ke paas main bullish signals dhoondhne ki koshish karta rahunga, taake upward price movement ka intezaar kiya ja sake. General taur par, agar short mein dekha jaye to aaj local taur par mujhe koi khaas cheez nazar nahi aati, lekin main maan ta hoon ke northern movement dobara shuru ho sakti hai. Lekin purchases ke options ko consider karne ke liye, main nearest support

EUR/USD pair ne is hafte mein bullish trend ko maintain kiya hai, aur significant resistance level 1.0948 tak pohnch gaya, jo ke chaar mahine ka sabse ooncha point hai. Filhal, pair 1.0935 ke qareeb trade kar raha hai, aur market ECB announcement ka intezar kar raha hai. Ye upward movement US dollar ke sell-off ke wajah se hui hai, jo ke UK inflation data ke release ke baad nazar aayi.
EUR/USD ke recent rise ke kuch reasons hain. Pehli baat, UK inflation data ne US dollar par asar dala hai. Data ne inflation ke slow down ko dikhaya, jiski wajah se US dollar ki value kam hui aur investors ne future interest rate hikes ke hawale se apni expectations ko adjust kiya. Is depreciation ne EUR/USD pair ko upward momentum diya.

ECB ki upcoming announcement bhi market sentiment ko drive kar rahi hai. Investors closely dekh rahe hain ke ECB ki monetary policy stance mein koi hints ya changes milte hain ya nahi. Speculation hai ke ECB zyada hawkish approach signal kar sakta hai, jisme bond-buying program ka tapering ya future interest rate hikes ka hint ho sakta hai. Aise signals euro ko strengthen karenge, kyunki tighter monetary policy aksar currency ko support karti hai investment flows ko attract karke jo higher returns dekhte hain.

Technical analysis bhi EUR/USD pair ke bullish outlook ko support kar raha hai. Pair ne key resistance levels ko break kiya hai, jo strong buying pressure ko indicate karte hain. Agla significant resistance level 1.1000 hai, jo ek psychological barrier hai aur agar breach ho gaya toh zyada buying interest attract kar sakta hai. Downside par, pair ka support 1.0880 ke aas paas hai, jo potential pullbacks ke against buffer ka kaam kar sakta hai.

Iske ilawa, geopolitical developments aur market sentiment bhi EUR/USD trajectory ko shape kar rahe hain. Eurozone mein ongoing economic recovery, jo vaccine rollouts aur fiscal support measures se bolstered hai, investor confidence ko enhance kar rahi hai euro mein. Conversely, US mein economic recovery ke pace ke concerns, aur COVID-19 ke Delta variant se related uncertainties US dollar ko weigh kar rahe hain.

In factors ka interplay market participants ke cautious focus ko ECB announcement par underscore karta hai. Koi bhi surprise ya market expectations se deviation EUR/USD pair mein significant volatility trigger kar sakta hai. Agar ECB anticipated se zyada dovish tone adopt karta hai, toh euro mein sharp sell-off ho sakta hai, aur EUR/USD ko lower push kar sakta hai. Conversely, zyada hawkish stance pair ko higher propel kar sakti hai, potentially 1.1000 resistance level ko break karte hue.

Summary mein, EUR/USD pair ki bullish trajectory is hafte mein in factors ka confluence reflect karti hai, jisme UK inflation data ke baad US dollar ka sell-off, ECB announcement ka anticipation, aur supportive technical signals sham
il hain. Market participants ECB ke decision ka intezar karte hue caution exercise kar rahe hain, jo pair ke liye crucial direction provide karega. Traders ko ECB ki communication aur subsequent market reactions ko closely monitor karna chahiye taake EUR/USD exchange rate mein potential volatility ko navigate kar sakein.

Hello dosto, aap kaise hain? EUR/USD neeche jaa raha hai aur Thursday ke tezi se girne ke baad 1.0900 ke neeche trade kar raha hai. European Central Bank ke officials ke dovish comments aur risk-averse market environment ne pair ko Friday ko rebound karne mein mushkil bana diya. EUR/USD ko agle upside resistance ka saamna 1.0948 (17 July) pe hai, uske baad March high 1.0981 (8 March) aur psychological 1.1000 level pe. Agar bears control wapas le lete hain, toh pair 200-day SMA 1.0810 ko target kar sakta hai, phir break down karke low 1.0666 (26 June) pe ja sakta hai. May low 1.0649 (1 May) ke loss se 2024 low 1.0601 (16 April) tak le ja sakta hai. Badi tasveer mein dekh kar, aisa lagta hai ke agar key 200-day SMA ko convincingly breach kar le, toh aage aur gains aane ki ummed hai. Ab tak, 4-hour chart kuch upward momentum loss dikhata hai. Lekin, initial resistance 1.0948 pe hai, uske baad 1.0981 aur 1.1000 pe. Dusri taraf, 55-SMA pehle 1.0872 pe hai, uske baad 200-SMA 1.0793 pe, aur phir 1.0709 pe.
Relative Strength Index kareeb 47 pe gir gaya. US Dollar ne Thursday ko momentum regain kiya, USD Index ko 104.00 barrier ke upar lift kiya, jo ke US yields ke different maturities pe reasonable bounce se supported tha. Mukable mein, EUR/USD ne do consecutive sessions ke gains ko chhod diya aur 1.0900 region ko challenge kiya, ECB ke dovish hold aur German 10-year bond yields ke modest rise ke baad Thursday ke meeting pe. ECB event pe wapas aate hue, President Christine Lagarde ne press conference ke dauran argue kiya ke unhein umeed hai ke recovery consumption se supported rahegi, labor market ke resilience ko highlight kiya. Unho ne yeh bhi note kiya ke domestic inflation high hai aur wages high rate pe grow ho rahi hain. Additionally, unhone project kiya ke harmonized index of consumer prices 2025 ke second half mein bank ke target tak gir jayega. Aur, Lagarde ne wages, profits aur geopolitical factors ko inflation ke potential upside risks ke taur pe identify kiya.

Price 1.0986 aur 1.0806 ke beech hai, jo clear momentum aur direction ki zaroorat ko reflect karta hai. H4 timeframe me, critical support level 1.0986 pe hai aur resistance level 1.0806 pe hai. Traders ko potential breakout ke liye 1.0826 par downward entry ya 1.0856 par upward entry ke liye dekhna chahiye. Jab tak koi decisive move nahi hota, trading is range me prudent approach ho sakti hai. Support level 1.0986 ke paas buying opportunities aur resistance 1.0806 ke paas selling opportunities viable ho sakti hain.

Recent support dollar ke liye, shayad positive ADP data se influenced hai, jo situation ko aur complex banata hai. Technical indicators jaise ke RSI narrow trading range ke wajah se overbought ya neutral conditions dikhate hain, jabke MACD momentum ki kami ko indicate kar sakta hai. Traders ko range trading strategies consider karni chahiye, jaise ke buying opportunities dekhna agar price 1.0826 se upar move kare aur selling consider karna agar ye 1.0986 se neeche drop ho.Fundamentally, upcoming economic data aur key figures jaise Powell ke statements pe dhyan dena crucial hai, kyunki ye pair ke movement ko significantly influence kar sakte hain. Recent data releases current market sentiment ko influence karte hain aur koi bhi nayi information current range se breakout lead kar sakti hai. Overall, EUR/USD pair H4 timeframe me range-bound hai aur clear direction ab tak nahi hai. Market ke clear direction ki kami aur significant economic events ke potential impact ko dekhte hue, patience exercise karna aur over-leveraging se bachna wise hai. Vital economic releases ko monitor karna aur market sentiment ke baare me informed rehna essential hoga.

Successful entry points, jaise ke 1.0880 level break aur retest karne par buy targets tak 1.0825 ya 1.0920 break aur retest karne par selling targets down to support level at 1.0824, profit ke opportunities present karte hain. Overall trend bearish hai, lekin 1.0835 tak correction possible hai. Prevailing trend ke against trading ke inherent risks ko recognize karna important hai, especially recent market volatility aur unpredictable movements ko dekhte hue. Is liye, suitable entry levels ke confirmation ka wait karna taake profit maximize aur risk minimize ho prudent hai. Patience aur market movements aur technical levels par utmost attention dena critical hoga successful trading ke liye current environment me.

EUR/USD ka H4 chart

US Dollar ka dobara ubharna is pair ke downtrend ka aik ahem factor bana hai. Federal Reserve ne interest rates ke hawale se aik hawkish stance barqarar rakha hai, jo keh raha hai ke rate cuts pe ghor karne se pehle inflation ko neeche rakha jaye. Ye soch US Dollar Index (DXY) ko mazbooti di hai, jo recently aik ahem resistance level 104.46 ke qareeb pohanch gaya hai. May ke US inflation figures mein thodi kami dekhi gayi hai, lekin policymakers isay aik temporary phenomenon samajhte hain aur foran rate adjustments ka koi irada nahi rakhte. Ye stance Dollar ki strength ko Euro ke against aur barhata hai. Abhi, is pair ko immediate resistance 1.0905 ke qareeb hai, aur mazeed upar jane ki rukaawat 1.0950 ke qareeb hai aik ascending channel mein. 14-day timeframe pe Relative Strength Index (RSI) kaash momentum 50 level se neeche dikhata hai, jo ke ehtiyaat baratne ka ehsas dilata hai is pair ke liye. Agar ye level cross ho jata hai, to EUR/USD ko psychological barrier 1.1000 ki taraf dhakel sakta hai, jo ke uske descending channel ki upper boundary ke sath align hota hai.


Doosra mumkin scenario ye hai ke price decline ho sakti hai, kyunke price weekly pivot level tak pohanchne aur wahan se dobara upar jaane ki umeed hai. Buying ke liye doosra level aaj upward price action formation ke event mein weekly pivot level ke sath ho sakta hai. Buying ke liye stop loss level weekly pivot level 1.0872 se neeche set kiya ja sakta hai. Economic side pe, jabke US Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell pessimistic lagte hain, euro-dollar ko iska faida nahi mil raha. US Federal Reserve ke head ne apne recent interview mein aik "dovish" note reflect kiya. Lekin euro ki price ko in comments se faida nahi ho raha. Powell ne Economic Club Washington, DC mein aik interview diya jahan unho ne last week ke lower-than-expected US inflation numbers pe ghor kiya. Is par comment karte hue, Lloyds Bank ke head of market insights, Sam Hill, kehte hain: "Powell pessimistic lag rahe thay. Unho ne data trend mein behtari ko reflect kiya jo Fed ko dekhne ko mili."

EUR/USD Buyers Primar y Impulse Zone Say Faida Utha Rahe Hain: H4 Chart Movements Ka Tajziya

H4 chart par, EUR/USD pair ne kafi significant activity dikhayi hai, jahan buyers ne primary impulse ko leverage kiya jo 1.0500-1.0600 range se originate hui thi. Ye initial upward movement market ke liye ek crucial tone set kar rahi hai, jo ek primary resistance level establish kar rahi hai first impulse zone ke upper border par, jo abhi 1.0905 par hai.

Haal hi mein, EUR/USD ne ek bearish pullback dikhaya hai is impulse zone ke lower boundary ki taraf, jo 1.0847 level ke aas paas hai. Ye retracement ek critical phase hai, kyunki ye support level se naye growth attempts ka sabab ban sakti hai. Lower boundary 1.0847 ek key support zone ke tor par kaam karti hai, jahan bullish traders buying opportunities dekh sakte hain taake upward momentum dobara establish kiya ja sake.

Resistance level 1.0903 par EUR/USD pair ke liye ek pivotal point hai. Agar bulls apni position is level se upar firmly establish kar lein, to ye pair ko next impulse zone ki taraf barhne ka potential signal de sakti hai, jo 1.0926 aur 1.0953 ke darmiyan hai. Ye zone current trading range ka upper echelon hai aur bullish momentum ke liye ek significant target hai.

Market participants bariki se price action ko is resistance ke aas paas dekh rahe hain. Market ka reaction 1.0926-1.0953 zone par EUR/USD ke future trajectory ka major determinant ho sakta hai. Agar ye zone successfully breach ho jati hai, to ye further gains ka rasta khol sakti hai, jo pair ko naye highs tak le ja sakti hai. Bar'aks, agar ye resistance break nahi hota, to ye consolidation phase ya reversal ka indication ho sakta hai, jo pair ko lower support levels test karne le jaye ga.

Iske ilawa, 1.0903 resistance level market sentiment ke liye crucial hai. Agar resistance 1.09305 par toot jati hai lekin false breakout sabit hoti hai, aur bears quotes ko 1.09275 se neeche push karne mein kamiyab ho jate hain, to ye ek significant bearish signal hoga. Aisi surat mein bullish attempts kamzor hoti dikhai denge, aur bears control regain karte hue further downside pressure ka sabab ban sakte hain.



Ab ehtiyaat se kaam lena hoga aur significant trading decisions lene se pehle confirmation ka intezar karna hoga. In key levels ke aas paas volume aur doosre technical indicators ko monitor karna better insights provide karega movements ki strength aur potential reversals ko samajhne ke liye. H4 chart par in support aur resistance levels ke darmiyan interplay EUR/USD ke market dynamics ko samajhne ke liye ek detailed roadmap provide karta hai.

EUR/USD pair is waqt H4 chart par crucial levels navigate kar raha hai. Primary impulse zone 1.0500-1.0600 ne 1.0905 par significant resistance set ki hai, aur agle critical zones 1.0847 aur 1.0926-1.0953 identify kiye gaye hain. Traders ko in levels par close eye rakhni chahiye taake pair ke future direction ko gauge kar sakein aur potential trading opportunities ko capitalize kar sakein.

### EUR/USD Currency Pair: Halat-e-Haal

Jaisa ke ab waqt guzar raha hai, EUR/USD jodi taqreeban 1.0883 ke aas paas trade ho rahi hai, jahan market mein ek madam haalat hai jo bearish trend ko zahir karti hai. Is trend ka matlab hai ke jodi ki qeemat mein hafton ke trading session mein dhire dhire girawat aayi hai. Is bearish asar ke peeche kai wajuhat shamil hain jo forex market ko mutasir kar rahi hain, jaise ke maali maahireen, aalmi wakaat aur central banks ke maali policy ke faislay.

### Bearish Trend Ko Mutassir Karne Wale Wajuhat

1. **Maali Maahireen Ki Riwayati Data**: Haal hi mein Eurozone aur United States se aane wale maali data jo EUR/USD jodi par bearish sentiment ka sabab ban sakte hain. Kam GDP growth, zyada berozgari dar ya kam tawaanayi ke maali indicators euro ko dollar ke muqablay kamzor kar sakte hain.

2. **Maali Policy Mein Farq**: Eurozone ki European Central Bank (ECB) aur United States ki Federal Reserve (Fed) ki maali policies EUR/USD exchange rate ko tay karte hain. Agar ECB ne ek naram (dovish) stance adopt kiya ho (jis mein interest rates ko kam rakha jaye) jabke Fed ek sakht (hawkish) stance apna raha ho (jis mein interest rates ko barhaya jaye), to is se dollar euro ke muqablay mazboot hota hai aur EUR/USD mein bearish trend aata hai.

3. **Market Sentiment Aur Risk Se Bachao**: Karobarion ke jazbat aur risk se bachao bhi currency markets par asar andaz hota hai. Jab bhi tahaffuz ke doran ya alami siyasi tension ke daur mein, investors aksar safe-haven assets jaise US dollar ki taraf rujoo karte hain, jo dollar ko mazboot aur euro ko kamzor kar sakta hai.

4. **Technical Factors**: Technical analysis ke nazariye se, traders key support aur resistance levels, moving averages ya doosre technical indicators ko dekhte hain jo EUR/USD mein bearish trend ki jari rakhne ki soorat mein madad dete hain.

### Bari Harkat Ke Liye Mumkin Sabab

Halat-e-haal ke bawajood, kuch potential sabab hain jo EUR/USD jodi mein aane wale dinon mein bari harkat ki taraf le ja sakte hain:

1. **Central Bank Ki Elanat**: ECB ya Fed ki kisi bhi ghair mutawaqqa maali policy decision ya forward guidance, jaise ke ghair mutawaqqa interest rate cut ya hike, asset purchase programs mein tabdeeliyan (quantitative easing), ya mustaqbil ki maali halat ke baray mein guftagu, EUR/USD mein tezi ya mandi paida kar sakti hai.

2. **Maali Data Releases**: Aanay wale maali reports jaise GDP growth figures, rozgar data, inflation reports aur retail sales numbers Eurozone aur US se naye andazat dete hain. Agar in data mein acha ya bura natija aaye, to market sentiment par asar andaz hota hai aur EUR/USD ko kisi bhi rukh mein le ja sakta hai.

3. **Aalmi Siyasi Inqilabat**: Siyasi ya aalmi muamalat jaise ke trade negotiations, siyasi intikhabat ya aalmi siyasi tension bhi currency markets ko mutasir kar sakte hain. Agar kisi tarah ke waqiat investor confidence ya global maali mustaqbil par asar andaz karte hain, to EUR/USD mein tezi ya mandi aasakti hai.

4. **Market Sentiment Ki Badalne Wali Tabaahi**: Karobarion ke jazbat mein tabdeeli, khas tor par risk ko bardasht karne ki ya tahaffuz ki taraf rujoo mein tezi, currency markets ke dynamics ko jhatke se badal sakti hain. Aisi wakiaat jo global growth prospects ya financial market stability ke tasawwur ko badal dete hain, euro ke demand ke muqablay mein dollar ko zyada tarjeeh dete hain.

### Ikhtitami Guftagu

Ikhtitami guftagu mein, jaisa ke ab EUR/USD jodi 1.0883 ke aas paas bearish trend ka shikaar hai, forex market tajarbat ho sakti hai, aur aane wale dinon mein jodi mein bari harkat ho sakti hai. Traders aur investors ko Eurozone aur US ke maali data releases, central bank ki announcements, siyasi o aalmi halat ke tabdeeliyan aur market sentiment ke badalne par nazar rakhni chahiye, taake EUR/USD mein aane wale mawaslat aur khatrat ko samajh sakein.

EUR/USD H4

Aaj hum EUR/USD currency pair ke price changes ka jaiza le rahe hain. Powell ne ECB forum par baat ki aur jaise hamesha hota hai, US dollar ko niche gira diya, halanki Lagarde ne pehle bola tha, jisse euro ko thoda support mila. Powell ne kuch naya nahi kaha, lekin EUR/USD ne 1.0739 level ko tod diya aur ab 1.0749 par resistance ke nazdeek hai. Sabse important resistance level, jo EMA-200 se marked hai, 1.0759 par hai. Yeh samajhna mushkil hai ki market ne Powell ke remarks par aisa kyun react kiya, kyunki unhone kuch groundbreaking nahi bola. Unhone kaha ke labor market strong hai, inflation 2% ke kareeb nahi hai, aur disinflation ke signs hain. Lagarde ne bhi kaha ke inflation sahi direction mein ja rahi hai, lekin abhi yeh kehna jaldi hai ke yeh wahi rahegi. Powell ne yeh bhi kaha ke Fed apne decisions mein jaldi nahi karega aur US aur Europe ke inflation alag issues hain jo different approaches demand karte hain. In comments ke bawajood, market US dollar ko kharidne mein hesitant hai.

Europe ke political developments ne market sentiment ko kaafi affect kiya hai, khaaskar European parliamentary elections ke baad jinhone Euro ke confidence ko nuksan pohnchaya hai. France ka parliament dissolve karna aur snap elections bulana, jaisa ki President Emmanuel Macron ne EU parliament elections mein bade defeat ke baad kiya, market uncertainty ko badha raha hai. Marine Le Pen, jo ek right-leaning conservative politician hain aur National Rally se hain, ke Macron ko replace karne ke prospects ne financial markets ko stir kar diya hai. Le Pen ka platform, jo steep tax cuts, retirement age ko kam karna, aur strict immigration controls ko include karta hai, France mein kaafi popular ho gaya hai.

Le Pen ke victory ka potential European financial markets mein apprehension ka sabab ban raha hai. Unki policies fiscal challenges impose kar sakti hain, jab ke European economic indicators already underperform kar rahe hain. Iske ilawa, European Central Bank (ECB) rate cuts implement karne mein constrained hai kyunki Eurozone mein inflation persistent hai.

EUR/USD,H4

Magar, mein expect karta hoon ke agle kuch dinon mein markets relatively weak rahen gi kai reasons ki wajah se. Chief inme se Independence Day celebrations hain US mein. Thursday ko bhi UK parliamentary elections aur Friday ko aane wala jobs report bhi eik cautious atmosphere create kar rahe hain, jahan traders euro ke next move ko assess karne ki koshish kar rahe hain.

Broader perspective se dekha jaye to, euro majors ke beech oscillate kar raha tha: 1.07, 1.08 aur 1.09. Yeh points recent actions ka bhoot zyada hissa ban chuke hain. Recent swing low ke neeche break ek dafa phir 1.06 level tak wapas aane ka sabab ban sakta hai. Lekin abhi ke liye, traders short-term back-and-forth trading mein engage nazar aa rahe hain.

European Central Bank ke recent rate cuts ne speculation ko already prompt kar diya hai ke Federal Reserve bhi aisa karegi. Upcoming jobs report market ke liye ek key indicator hoga, jo determine karega ke Federal Reserve apni policy ko adjust kar sakti hai ya nahi. Yeh key issues ko dekhna zaroori hai, kyunke inka euro ke travel par significant impact hota hai. Given the current scenario, trading is likely to be limited to short-term options, jo is market mein summer trading plans ke typical hain.

Summary mein, Euro relatively volatile hai, aur important events in the US aur UK market ko calm kar sakte hain aane wale dinon mein. Traders jo key support aur resistance levels se affected hain unhein short-term momentum par focus karna chahiye, aur close eye rakhni chahiye action report par for new guidance as a caution and strategy exploitation.


Maine price action method ka detailed analysis kiya is currency pair ke liye H4 time frame par. Yahan, mein bearish engulfing candle configuration ki formation ko demonstrate karta hoon. Ek provocative move 1.0769 par follow kiya, aur price anticipated algorithm ko follow karne lagi. Aaj, humne 59 points ki decrease ke sath precise development dekhi, jo ke mein ek significant result consider karta hoon. Kuch minutes mein, US dollar par statistical data shayad labour market mein open vacancies ki number ko reveal karega, jiske baad Federal Reserve ke head ka speech hoga. European currency ke liye sirf ek news thi: "German consumer price index," jo ke significant changes nahi dikhata.

EUR/USD pair potential movement ke liye likely hai upcoming labour market statistics aur Federal Reserve commentary se influence ho. Jabke bearish trend possible hai, current signals shift towards less restricted trading level ko suggest karte hain. Traders ko key data releases aur market reactions par nazar rakhni chahiye agle dinon mein, jo likely pair ke direction ko shape karengi.

Euro (EUR) ne US Dollar (USD) ke khilaf do dinon tak tezi dikhayi, lekin ab rukawaton ka samna kar raha hai. Is ka sabab dono currencies par asar dalne wale factors ka hai. US ke hisse mein, risk se bachne ki taraf intehai izafa hua hai, jo investors ko USD ki safe-haven status ki taraf raghib kar raha hai. Ye bhi wala ki kuch pareshan kun maaloomaat ke bawajood. America mein aakhri hafte mein initial jobless claims 243,000 tak pohanch gaye, jo ke analysts ki tawajjo ke mutabiq zyada hai. Is maaloomaat ne aehem soch ki bharti ki hai ke Federal Reserve September mein interest rates ko kam kar sakta hai. Bazaar ab 25 basis points ki kamzori ke 93.5% chance par qeemat lagane laga hai, jo ke sirf ek hafta pehle 85.1% tha.

Ekhtetaam ke tor par, European Central Bank (ECB) ne apne July meeting mein apni mojooda interest rates ko qaim rakhne ka faisla kiya hai. Ye faisla Euro ki uparwali salahiyat ko mehdood kar sakta hai.


Technically, charts suggest a potential reversal for the EUR/USD pair. A resistance trend line and a possible SBR (support-breakout-retest) pattern indicate a potential downside target for the Euro. Additionally, the Fibonacci retracement tool highlights a supply zone where selling pressure might intensify. Looking at lower time frames, the current price action for the Euro appears to be within an ascending channel. This could be interpreted as a short-term counter-trend. However, the resistance line of this channel intersects with key Fibonacci retracement levels, suggesting a potential struggle for the Euro to maintain its upward momentum. In conclusion, the EUR/USD pair faces conflicting forces. The weaker US jobs data points towards a possible Fed rate cut, which could weaken the USD. However, the ECB's decision to hold rates and technical indicators on charts suggest the Euro's gains may be limited. Traders should closely monitor the price action, particularly around the confluence of the resistance trend line, the SBR pattern, and key Fibonacci retracement levels. A breakout below this zone, supported by a trend line break in the ascending channel, could signal a stronger downtrend for the Euro.

EUR/USD Market Analysis (4-Hour Time Frame) Sham bakhair doston aur trading colleagues! Aaj Euro ne ek southward correction scenario ko follow kiya hai. EUR/USD ke 4-hour time frame par, jab hum high aur low prices ko dekhte hain, to pata chalta hai ke Euro ne 1.0886 ke 100% level se correction ke baad apna upar ki taraf movement continue kiya hai. Yeh upward movement SR level 1.0921 ko confidently break karte hue chal rahi hai. Aaj, yeh southward correction ke phase mein hai aur abhi 1.0914 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai.
Ab agar hum market ke agle movements ko dekhein, to Euro ka northward trend continue karne ki possibility hai. Agar price 1.0921 ke SR level ke upar consolidate karti hai, to Euro apni growth ko extend kar sakta hai. Yeh growth target range tak ja sakti hai jo ke 1.0981 aur 1.0998 ke levels par formed hai, jo chart par orange color mein indicated hai.

Ab market ke behavior ko samajhna zaroori hai. Jab Euro ne 1.0886 se correction li aur SR level 1.0921 ko break kiya, to yeh clear hota hai ke upward momentum strong hai. Lekin aaj ki southward correction market ka ek natural part hai, jo short-term profit-taking aur market adjustments ko reflect karti hai. Aise moments ko trading strategies mein dhyan mein rakhna chahiye.

Agar Euro price 1.0921 ke SR level ke upar stabilize hoti hai, to yeh bullish trend ko extend karne ki indication hogi. Is case mein, 1.0981 aur 1.0998 ke levels tak growth dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Yeh target levels aapke trading plans mein key levels honge, jo aapke decision-making process ko influence karenge.

Aaj ke trading scenario ko dekhte hue, yeh bhi zaroori hai ke aap price action ko closely monitor karein. Market me fluctuations aur short-term corrections common hain, aur inhe consider karte hue trading decisions lene chahiye. Agar price 1.0921 ke SR level ke niche consolidate karti hai, to yeh bearish signal ho sakta hai, jo ke downward pressure ko indicate karega.

In trading scenarios ko analyze karte hue, traders ko long-term trends aur short-term corrections dono ko consider karna chahiye. Agar long-term bullish trend intact rehta hai, to short-term corrections ko ek opportunity ke tor par dekha ja sakta hai. Aapko apne trading strategy ko market ke current conditions ke mutabiq adjust karna hoga.

Toh, aaj ke trading session ko conclude karte hue, yeh zaroori hai ke aap price action ko closely monitor karein aur key levels par focus karein. Agar price 1.0921 ke SR level ke upar consolidate karti hai, to aapko upward trend ki continuation dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Is se aapko trading opportunities milengi jo aapke trading goals ko achieve karne mein madad karengi.

Aap sab ko trading mein success ki dua aur ek successful evening trading session ki wish karta hoon

EUR/USD currency pair ne aaj 1.0868 ke opening level se trading shuru ki, jo iske pichle din ke opening ke muqablay mein ek noticeable izafa darshata hai. Is upar ki taraf rawaiya Thursday ke American session mein ek significant surge ke baad aaya hai, jahan pair ne safaltapurvak 1.0845 ke critical resistance level ko paar kiya. Is breakthrough ke natije mein, EUR/USD pair ne 1.0887 tak pahunch kar lagbhag 60 pips ki izafa darj ki. Ye movement yeh bhi darshata hai ki kharidaron ne 1.0884 ke aas-paas maujood supply area ko target karne mein focused koshish ki hai.


Din EUR/USD ki 1.0868 se opening se shuru hua, jo trading activities ke shuru hone se hi ek spasht upar ki taraf raftar dikha raha tha. Ye sakht movement Thursday ke American session mein dekhi gayi mazboot rawaiya ka ek continuation tha, jab pair ne faisla se 1.0845 ke important resistance barrier ko par kiya. Is breakthrough ne EUR/USD ko 1.0887 tak pahunchaya, jo ki ek significant value increase ko darshata hai, lagbhag 60 pips ke hisab se.
EUR/USD pair ki value ka 1.0887 tak surge currency markets mein ek ahem development ko darshata hai, jo kharidaron ke strategic move ko reflect karta hai, jo 1.0884 ke aas-paas maujood supply area ko target karne ki koshish mein lag gaye the. Yeh strategic push resistance levels ko breach karne aur market opportunities ka fayeda uthane ki koshish ko darshata hai. Thursday ke American session mein, EUR/USD pair ne ek remarkable surge dekha, jahan key resistance level 1.0845 ko tod kar apni upward momentum ko aaj ke trading session tak continue kiya.

EUR/USD par kal, ek chhoti si upar ki taraf ke pullback ke baad, price dheere dheere neeche ki taraf push hui, jis ka nateeja yeh tha ke ek chhoti bearish candle bani, jo ke pichle daily range ke andar thi. Yeh saaf hai ke is instrument par accumulation ho rahi hai aur filhal mujhe koi khaas cheez nazar nahi aati, magar general taur par, main maan ta hoon ke sellers price ko correction ke dauran neeche ke support level tak le ja sakte hain, jo ke meri markings ke mutabiq 1.07764 par hai. Jaise ke main ne bar-bar kaha hai, is support level ke paas situation ke do scenarios ho sakte hain.
Pehla scenario yeh hai ke ek reversal candle ban kar upar ki taraf price movement dobara shuru ho. Agar yeh plan kaam karta hai, to main price ke resistance level par wapas aane ka intezaar karunga, jo ke 1.08522 par hai. Agar price is resistance level ke upar fix hoti hai, to main further northern movement ka intezaar karunga, jo ke 1.09160 tak ja sakti hai. Is resistance level ke paas main ek trading setup ka intezaar karunga, jo further trading direction determine karne mein madad karega.

Haan, ek option yeh bhi hai ke ek zyada door ka northern target bhi work out ho sakta hai, jo ke meri markings ke mutabiq 1.09812 par hai. Lekin agar designated plan implement hota hai, to jaise price door ke northern target ki taraf move karegi, main kuch southern rollbacks ka bhi expect karta hoon, jise main nearest support levels se bullish signals dhoondhne ke liye use karunga, taake global bullish trend ki formation ke liye growth ka intezaar kiya ja sake.

Ek alternative option yeh hai ke agar price 1.07764 ke support level ke paas aati hai, to price ke is level ke neeche fix hone aur further southern movement ka plan ho sakta hai. Agar yeh plan kaam karta hai, to main price ke 1.07099 ya 1.06675 support levels tak move karne ka intezaar karunga.

In support levels ke paas main bullish signals dhoondhne ki koshish karta rahunga, taake upward price movement ka intezaar kiya ja sake. General taur par, agar short mein dekha jaye to aaj local taur par mujhe koi khaas cheez nazar nahi aati, lekin main maan ta hoon ke northern movement dobara shuru ho sakti hai. Lekin purchases ke options ko consider karne ke liye, main nearest support levels se ek reversal bullish

EUR/USD pair ne is hafte mein bullish trend ko maintain kiya hai, aur significant resistance level 1.0948 tak pohnch gaya, jo ke chaar mahine ka sabse ooncha point hai. Filhal, pair 1.0935 ke qareeb trade kar raha hai, aur market ECB announcement ka intezar kar raha hai. Ye upward movement US dollar ke sell-off ke wajah se hui hai, jo ke UK inflation data ke release ke baad nazar aayi. EUR/USD ke recent rise ke kuch reasons hain. Pehli baat, UK inflation data ne US dollar par asar dala hai. Data ne inflation ke slow down ko dikhaya, jiski wajah se US dollar ki value kam hui aur investors ne future interest rate hikes ke hawale se apni expectations ko adjust kiya. Is depreciation ne EUR/USD pair ko upward momentum diya.

ECB ki upcoming announcement bhi market sentiment ko drive kar rahi hai. Investors closely dekh rahe hain ke ECB ki monetary policy stance mein koi hints ya changes milte hain ya nahi. Speculation hai ke ECB zyada hawkish approach signal kar sakta hai, jisme bond-buying program ka tapering ya future interest rate hikes ka hint ho sakta hai. Aise signals euro ko strengthen karenge, kyunki tighter monetary policy aksar currency ko support karti hai investment flows ko attract karke jo higher returns dekhte hain.

Technical analysis bhi EUR/USD pair ke bullish outlook ko support kar raha hai. Pair ne key resistance levels ko break kiya hai, jo strong buying pressure ko indicate karte hain. Agla significant resistance level 1.1000 hai, jo ek psychological barrier hai aur agar breach ho gaya toh zyada buying interest attract kar sakta hai. Downside par, pair ka support 1.0880 ke aas paas hai, jo potential pullbacks ke against buffer ka kaam kar sakta hai.

Iske ilawa, geopolitical developments aur market sentiment bhi EUR/USD trajectory ko shape kar rahe hain. Eurozone mein ongoing economic recovery, jo vaccine rollouts aur fiscal support measures se bolstered hai, investor confidence ko enhance kar rahi hai euro mein. Conversely, US mein economic recovery ke pace ke concerns, aur COVID-19 ke Delta variant se related uncertainties US dollar ko weigh kar rahe hain.

In factors ka interplay market participants ke cautious focus ko ECB announcement par underscore karta hai. Koi bhi surprise ya market expectations se deviation EUR/USD pair mein significant volatility trigger kar sakta hai. Agar ECB anticipated se zyada dovish tone adopt karta hai, toh euro mein sharp sell-off ho sakta hai, aur EUR/USD ko lower push kar sakta hai. Conversely, zyada hawkish stance pair ko higher propel kar sakti hai, potentially 1.1000 resistance level ko break karte hue.