𝐄𝐔𝐑/𝐔𝐒𝐃

Barqarar kamzor honay ke doran, US dollar haal hi mein mustafta bari ke baad mazboot hua hai, shukriya US hukoomati bondon par izafay dar darjat ke. Ye ziada uthaane waale qeemat dollar par bunyadi sarmaya daron ko khas kar foreign investors ke liye zyada dilchasp banate hain, jisse currency ki darkhwast barhti hai. Magar, euro dollar ke muqable mein ek darmiyan zone mein atka hua hai, jo 1.0805 exchange rate ke aas paas ghoom raha hai. Ye qeemat ka andaza technical chart pattern bana raha hai, jo kisi bhi raaste mein aik potential breakout ko ishaara karta hai. October ke neeche rukawat hai, jo euro ke qeemat mein izafa hone se rokti hai. Mutabiq, downside movement December ke bulandiyon se mehdood hai. Euro ke ghumraah hone ko mazeed izafa karta hai aik technical indicator jise 200-day exponential moving average (EMA) kaha jata hai, jo mojooda mein 1.0785 par hai. Ye average euro ke liye aik rukawat ka kaam karta hai agar wo qeemat mein izafa chahti hai.






Is ke ilawa, market ke hisse daar tawajjuh mein ghair rahi hain, jaisa ke 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) mein dekha gaya hai jo 40 aur 60 ke darmiyan ghom raha hai. Ye index momentum ko napta hai, aur iska mojooda shumaar ya to taqatwar kharidari ya farokht dabaav ka ishaara karta hai. European Central Bank (ECB) euro par asar dalne wala aik aur factor hai. ECB ke ander policymakers mustaqbil mein interest rates ko izafay par taqseem hain. Jab ke kuch June mein arthmee ke liye dar izafay ka taqub laate hain, to kuch mazeed aasani par ihtiyaat se hain. Investors is behas par qareebi tawajjuh de rahe hain, kyunke ye euro ke qeemat par bohot asar daal sakta hai. Aane wale haftay mein mali market ke liye waaqi events ka waada hai, dono simaon mein ahem arthmee data ke izhaarat ke saath. US mein, mahsul ki keemat par tawajjuh hai, jab 14th May ko Producer Price Index (PPI) jaari hoga aur 15th May ko Consumer Price Index (CPI) aayega. Iske ilawa, 15th May ko karobar ki farokht, karobari inventory aur housing market index ka izhaar hoga. Waqat ke mutabiq, Europe apni arthmee figures aur maashi ehsaasat data jaari karegi. Germany ka final izafa dar aur maashi ehsaasat index 14th May ko shae honge. European Monetary Union (EMU) ko 15th May ko apni growth forecast ko update karne ka imkaan hai, jise 17th May ko final Eurozone inflation rate follow karega. Ye arthmee data aur markazi bank ke iqraron ka dhair aane wale hafton mein market ko kuch zaroori raaste ki raahat faraham karne wala hai aur nazdeek ki muddat mein euro aur dollar ke qareebi harkaat par asar dalne wala hai.

H4 dour ke EURUSD jodi ke chart par nazar daalne par, kal ke mamooli izafi harkaat ke baad qeemat ne qareeban ibtedai darje tak wapas jaana, kam az kam tabdeeli ka ishaara deta hai. May ke shuru se US dollar kamzor hota ja raha hai, jo ke mukhtalif currency pairs par zahir hai. Buland harkaat ke bawajood, qeemat ne Fibonacci grid par 161.8 darje tak pohanchne mein kamiyaab nahi ho saki, pichle haftay ke trading ke ikhtitam tak dollar ki mazbooti ki wajah se. Is ke ilawa, aik technical rukawat aik neechay ki taraf utrte hue line ke shakl mein traders ko kharidariyon ko band karne aur farokht shuru karne ke liye majboor kiya, khaaskar Jumma ko.



Ek musalsal neeche ki taraf mudaawin correction ka intezar karte hue, qeemat 1.0737 ke horizontal support darje tak pohanch sakti hai, ek mumkin farogh ko madde nazar rakhte hue, jo ke 161.8 Fibonacci darje aur 1.0880 ki technical sevi tak rujhan rakh rahi hai. Mubadalat ke tor par, agar 1.0737 support darja tor diya gaya hai, to ye resistance ban sakta hai, ek bechnay ka moqa faraham karte hue, maqsad ek aik behtar had tak uthne wali seedhi line ke saath bani hai jo aakhri do lehar ke neeche chali jati hai.

Haftawar ke chart par, aik taqatwar resistance darja, bund hone wale prices par mabni, abhi tak toota nahi hai, jo ke bearish bias ki ishaaraat deta hai. Aaj ke ahem khabron ki kami ke bawajood, traders market dynamics ko mutasir karne wale kisi bhi taraqqiyati maqam ke liye hoshiyar bane hue hain.

EUR/USD Forecast for Friday

Maujooda market scenario mein sellers buyers ko shikast de rahe hain. Is liye zaroori hai ke market sentiment ko behtar tareeke se pehchane jaye. Mazeed, sellers anay wale ghanton mein support zone ko tor sakte hain. Khas taur par, US trading session ke doran hum apna munafa nisbatan maqbooze tareeke se hasil kar sakte hain. Aam tor par, market sentiment sellers ke favore mein nazar aati hai. Is liye, apna trading plan tayar karne ki koshish karein.

Aur, sellers apni qeemat barqarar ghate rahe hain. Main is pair par ek buy order tajwez karta hoon 20 pips ke chhote target ke sath. Is liye, main aage hokar ek sell position pasand karta hoon, 1.0752 se agay ke target ke sath. Yaad rakhein ke hum EUR/USD par trading karte waqt mukhtalif techniques istemal kar sakte hain jese ke stochasic oscillator traders ke dwara EUR/USD market mein potential overbought aur oversold conditions ko pehchanne ke liye istemal kiya jata hai. Relative strength index (RSI) traders ke dwara potential trend reversals ko pehchane ke liye istemal kiya jane wala ek technical analysis tool hai jise traders EUR/USD market mein use karte hain. Is ke ilawa, moving averages traders ke dwara potential support aur resistance levels ko pehchanne ke liye istemal hone wala ek popular technical analysis tool hai jise traders EUR/USD market mein istemal karte hain. Traders ko EUR/USD market mein kamiyabi haasil karne ke liye risk management principles ka mazboot understanding hona chahiye. Emotional control traders ke liye ek lazmi sifat hai jo EUR/USD market mein tezi se hone wale aur volatile mahol mein kamiyabi haasil karne ke liye zaroori hai. Position sizing, yaani har trade par risk karne ke liye munasib raqam tay karna, EUR/USD market mein risk management ka ek ahem hissa hai. Technical indicators, jese ke moving averages aur oscillators, trends aur potential reversal points ko pehchane mein madadgar ho sakte hain EUR/USD pair mein. News releases, jese ke non-farm payrolls report, EUR/USD pair mein significant volatility paida kar sakti hain. Siyasi events, jese ke elections ya referendums, bhi EUR/USD exchange rate par asar daal sakte hain. Aam tor par, main aaj ke liye EUR/USD par ek sell position pasand karta hoon 1.0762 ke chhote target ke sath.

Aap ki pichli trading tajwez EUR/USD daily chart ke liye bullish tha, jis mein aik 1.0810 ki taraf reversal ka intezar tha jab kharidaron ne is maqam ko nishana banaya tha. Magar, market ki dynamics mein tabdeeli aa gayi, jo kharid o farokht ki signals ko nakam bana diya aur agle kuch dino mein market mein mumkin pasiviti ka sabab ban gayi. Duniya bhar ki kamzorion ke bawajood, aap ne jodi ki performance par bharosa rakha, aur haftay ke aakhri trading din par 1.0752 ya 1.06150 ke neeche ek giravat ka intezar kiya. Agle kuch dino mein market mein kuch pasiviti ho sakti hai. Prices dakhein agar price level 1.0745 ko tor kar neeche jaati hain, to M30 aur H1 timeframes ke mutabiq yeh darshaata hai ke aik correction ki zaroorat hai. Mumkin hai ke 1.0745 ke darja tak shumali taraf ka rujhan ho.

Aap ne 1.0745 jaise qeemat darjon ki ahmiyat ko note kiya, jo agar toot jaye to rukh ki tabdeeli ka ishaara ho sakta hai, jise aik correction ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Duniya bhar ki bond yields mein kami aur barhne wala investor sentiment euro ko US dollar ke mukablay mein pasand kiya, haan ke jobs report ka ikhtitam euro mein ibtedai izafa ko thanda kar diya.



Bonds yields ki kami aur investor sentiment jo euro ko pasand karta hai, is se mumeen hai ke EUR/USD jodi ke liye barqarar upar ka potential rah sakta hai, market sentiment mein kisi bhi ahem tabdeeliyon ke bina. Magar, jobs report ke ikhtitam ke baad shak ki maujudgi yeh dikhata hai ke zyada se zyada ek narm report ki zaroorat ho sakti hai takay investors ko US ki economy ki thanda honay aur interest rate ki mumkin tabdeelion ka yakeen ho sake. Haftawar ke chart par, aik taqatwar resistance darja, bund hone wale prices par mabni, abhi tak toota nahi hai, jo ke bearish bias ki ishaaraat deta hai. Aaj ke ahem khabron ki kami ke bawajood, traders market dynamics ko mutasir karne wale kisi bhi taraqqiyati maqam ke liye hoshiyar bane hue hain.

Is haftay mein euro ne US dollar ke khilaf isay berhava hasil kiya, jab ke amreeki currency ne mukhtalif taur par kamzor hote hote dikhai diya. Ye kami iss baad aai jab US jobless claims mein izafa hua, jo Federal Reserve rate cut ke liye umeedon ko phir se zinda kar diya. US mein naye be-rozgarana dawayon ki tadaad ne aik buland nahi dekha since last August tak pohanch gayi, jo investor risk appetite ko barhane mein wusa'at di ja rahi thi jab ke US ka kaam ka bazaar mein kamzori ke nishan nazar aaye. Rate cut ke liye market ke umeedain ab ab tak qeemat mein shamil hain, CME ke FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, jahan aik 25 basis point reduction ke liye 70% ke chane hain ke Fed ka September ke meeting mein hoga. Saal ke ikhtitam tak doosri kat ka imkaan bhi buland hai, 67% ke sath. Euro khud haftay ke doran keemat mein izafa ki taraf gaya, aur doshamba ke subah tak 1.0790 tak pohanch gaya aur 200 din ke harkat shuda average ko test kiya. Magar, euro ke haal hil ke bawajood, kuch technical indicators aage ke raste mein rukwat ki alaamaat denay ki daleel dete hain. Rozana mombatti ki chhad ka chart 1.0788 resistance level ke qareeb potential struggle ke liye khabardaar hai. Pair ko apne haal ke qareeb 1.0600 ke nazdiki ke faayde par mustaqil banane mein bhi mushkilat hain. Doosri taraf, ek ehsaas hai ke euro filhal kam keemat hai. Pura trend EUR/USD ke dalali 2023 ke waqton mein upar ki taraf raha hai, aik chandni ke qareeb. Pichle maheenay mein hone wali 1.06 ki kami ko ehtiyati kharidaron ko attract karne mein kamyabi nazar aati hai.






Technical tasveer thori si mushkil hai. Jabke euro filhal aham harkat kar rahe hain jo ke neeche ki taraf hoti hain, yeh wujood mein hai ke bailon ne is rukawat ko torne ki koshishen ki hain. Ye naye urooj ki mumkinat ko dikhate hain. Aage dekhte hue, jis tarah se long aur short positions EUR/USD mein hain yeh is signal par nazr rakhti hain ke pair agle kis disha mein jayega. Kisi bhi taraf ka aik ahem harkat (kareeb 1%) ko lambe arse ke trend ka ibtidai daromadan qarar diya ja sakta hai. Agar euro 1.0850 ke oopar pohanchti hai, to ye 1.1050 tak pohunch sakti hai mazeed faiday ke sath. Ulta, 1.0650 ke neeche girna kharidaron ko dobara ikhatta karne par majboor kar sakta hai aur mazeed khatraat ka bais bhi ban sakta hai.

NZD/USD

Is haftay ke trading doraan tak, yeh wazeh tha ke bazaar ka trend bearish rukh par ja raha tha. Mujhe notice hua ke NzdUsd jodi ki qeemat ka 4 ghante ke waqt kai mutalik ghoor talab afzai karne ki koshish kar rahi thi jo ke 0.5935 ke qeemat ke ird gird ahem hadood ko guzarne ki sambhavna thi. Is hafte bazaar par shadeed bearishness hai. Upar di gayi bazaar ki surat haal mein, ye agle qeemat safar ke liye ek rujhan ho sakta hai, jo ke meri raaye ke mutabiq giravat khatam mein guzar sakta hai aur agle kuch dinon mein muqami hadood se guzar sakta hai. Keemat ka tajziya guzarane ke aham waqt tak thori range ke saath muwafiq honay ki sambhavna hai jab tak European session is dophar tak na aaye. Downtrend ka jari rakhne ka moqa kisi doosre qeemat ki taraf se guzar ke mutabaadil 0.5848 ke qeemat ke irtekaab ke zariye ya phir is se pehle ki hui mukammal halat se bhi kam ho sakta hai.







Agla trading plan ke liye, lagta hai ke bazaar ki surat haal ka intizar hai ke European aur American sessions zyada sakriyat aur masroof ho jayein. Agar aap maashriati taqweem ke calendar ke data par nazar daalain, to mumkin hai ki aaj raat tak bazaar mein harakat sirf kam ya darmiyani tanasub ke saath hogi. Behtar hai ki kal tak intezar karen kyun ke wahan unchi tanasub ke saath khabrein hain. Is tarah, hum agle bazaar ka kaisa barhav hota hai dekhte hue azad aur zyada lachila honge. Neeche ke rukh ki taraf harakat ka muzahira aane wale haftay mein dabi rukh ke liye momentum faraham kar sakta hai jo zyada buniyadiyat ko support karta hai. US Dollar currency New Zealand Dollar currency ke muqable mein ab bhi bohot mazboot hai.

New Zealand Dollar (NZD) ne US Dollar (USD) ke muqable mein bharpoor traction haasil kiya, jab Federal Reserve ne, jaisa ke muntazir tha, interest rates ko barqarar rakha. Is faislay ne, jise Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ke ihtiyaati rawaiye ke saath joda gaya, USD mein ek farokht shuru kiya. Karobariyo ne Powell ke data-dependent approach aur ihtiyaati tone ko ek ishara samjha ke Federal Reserve ko ratoobat kam karne ki jaldi nahi hai. Unho ne monetary policy ko asani se shuru karne se pehle mazeed data ki tasdeeq ki zaroorat ko zor diya, ishaara karte hue ke inflasion ne unhe umeed ke mutabiq taraqqi nahi dikhayi. Powell ne mazeed policies ko barqarar rakne ka tajwez bhi diya, jo moassir data ke mutabiq mazeed mazboot ho toh, shayad tighter restrictions ko shaamil karta hai. Market ne ab zyadatar rate cuts ki umeed ko tala diya hai qareebi mustaqbil mein, potential easing ko September ya phir November tak taakhir de diya hai.






Technical indicators ki taraf dekhte hue, daily chart par Relative Strength Index (RSI) ab bhi manfi ilaqa mein hai, halan ke hilne ke baad 44 ka uthna bullish investors ke liye thori umeed faraham karta hai. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) histogram ek flat green bar ke saath thori musbat momentum ki ishaarat deti hai. Ghantay ke chart par jaane par, RSI zyada taraqqi pasand hai, jo 70 par overbought aur 55 ka reading dikhane ke baad, jhool raha hai. Ye taraqqi pasandgi, RSI aur MACD dono ke zariye pesh ki gayi overall downward trend ke saath, 0.5899 area ko dobara dekhne ki sambhavna ka ishaara karta hai. Ye zone ek ahem support level ko darust karta hai, jo 0.5772 aur 0.6380 ke darmiyan ke uptrend ke liye Fibonacci retracement ka 78.6% hai. Is support ke neeche girne se darwaza khul sakta hai ek mazeed giravat ki taraf, 0.5858-0.5851 range ki taraf. Ye zone pichle paanch mahine ka akhri low aur 2023 ke September aur November mein dekhi gayi tareekhi support se makhsoos hai. Agar keemat is area se neeche gir jaati hai, to NZD/USD 2023 ke lows ko 0.5772 par bhi challenge kar sakta hai. Upar ki taraf, koi bhi inhesar ka intezam foran pehle support level par 0.5940 par hoga. Mazeed izafay ki hadd tak 0.5998 level ke aas paas rokawat ho sakti hai, jo 61.8% Fibonacci retracement hai. Is rukawat ko paar karna bullo ke liye February ke support area par 0.6037 ko nishana banana hoga, jo mustaqbil mein rokawat mein tabdeel ho sakta hai.

New Zealand Dollar (NZD) ne United States Dollar (USD) ke muqable mein quwwat dikhayi, jab Federal Reserve ne interest rates barqarar rakhe, jo ke market ke tawaqo ke mutabiq hai. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ke ihtiyaati tajziyati alfaz ne USD ke farokht par asar daala, jab karobariyo ne unke data-dependent approach ko ek ishaara samjha ke Fed rate cuts ko jald se jald laagu karne ki koshish nahi kar raha hai. Powell ne monetary policy ko tarteebiyaat ki darust tasdeeq ke liye mazeed data ki zaroorat ko zor diya, note karte hue ke inflation haal hi mein umeed ke mutabiq se darjano mein nahi aayi hai. Unho ne mazeed policies ko barqarar rakhne ka tajwez bhi diya, jo moassir data ke mutabiq mazeed mazboot ho toh, shayad tighter restrictions ko shaamil karta hai. Is natije mein, market ke ehsaas mein taqseem ho gaya hai ke qareebi mustaqbil mein rate cuts ki umeed se hat kar, potential easing measures ko September ya phir November tak taakhir de diya gaya hai.






Technical analysis ke lehaaz se, rozana ka chart dekhne par maloom hota hai ke Relative Strength Index (RSI) ab bhi manfi ilaqa mein hai, halan ke hilne ke baad 44 ka uthna bullish traders ke liye thori umeed faraham karta hai. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) histogram ek flat green bar ke saath thori musbat momentum ki ishaarat deta hai. Ghantay ke chart par jaane par, RSI zyada taraqqi pasand hai, jo 70 par overbought aur 55 ka reading dikhane ke baad, jhool raha hai. Ye taraqqi pasandgi, RSI aur MACD dono ke zariye pesh ki gayi overall downward trend ke saath, 0.5899 area ko dobara dekhne ki sambhavna ka ishaara karta hai. Ye zone ek ahem support level ko darust karta hai, jo 0.5772 aur 0.6380 ke darmiyan ke uptrend ke liye Fibonacci retracement ka 78.6% hai. Is support ke neeche girne se darwaza khul sakta hai ek mazeed giravat ki taraf, 0.5858-0.5851 range ki taraf. Ye zone pichle paanch mahine ka akhri low aur 2023 ke September aur November mein dekhi gayi tareekhi support levels se makhsoos hai. Agar keemat is area se neeche gir jaati hai, to NZD/USD 2023 ke lows ko 0.5772 par bhi challenge kar sakta hai. Upar ki taraf, koi bhi inhesar ka intezam foran pehle support level par 0.5940 par hoga. Mazeed izafay ki hadd tak 0.5998 level ke aas paas rokawat ho sakti hai, jo 61.8% Fibonacci retracement hai. Is rukawat ko paar karna bullo ke liye February ke support area par 0.6037 ko nishana banana hoga, jo mustaqbil mein rokawat mein tabdeel ho sakta hai.

During the Asian trading session, the EUR/USD currency pair faced some declines, which were close to the recent record lows. This movement aligns with the strength of the US dollar, observed against several different currencies. Investors believe that amid economic troubles in Europe, particularly due to ongoing economic downturns in Germany, the US dollar is being favored as a safe-haven asset.
The indication of bearish sentiment during the declines of the EUR/USD currency pair in the Asian trading session signals the same sentiments seen in previous sessions. These declines could be attributed to various factors strengthening the US dollar, putting pressure on the euro.

One of the reasons for the appreciation of the US dollar on Monday is its increasing value compared to various currencies, including the euro, amidst the current global economic scenario. The US dollar often benefits as a safe-haven currency during market uncertainties or geopolitical tensions, providing investors with a sensible and secure path for their investments.


Aur, bechne walay apni qeemat kam kar rahe hain. Main is pair par ek khareed order sujhaata hoon 20 pips ke chhote nishan ke saath. Isliye, main ek bechnay ki position ko aage badhane ka chunav karta hoon, 1.0752 se aage ke nishan ke saath. Yaad rakhein ke hum EUR/USD par trading karte waqt mukhtalif techniques istemal kar sakte hain jaise ke stochastic oscillator traders ke dwara EUR/USD market mein potential overbought aur oversold conditions ko pehchanne ke liye istemal kiya jata hai. Relative strength index (RSI) traders ke dwara potential trend reversals ko pehchane ke liye istemal kiya jane wala ek technical analysis tool hai jise traders EUR/USD market mein istemal karte hain. Iske ilawa, moving averages traders ke dwara potential support aur resistance levels ko pehchanne ke liye istemal hone wala ek popular technical analysis tool hai jise traders EUR/USD market mein istemal karte hain. Traders ko EUR/USD market mein kamiyabi haasil karne ke liye risk uthana padega.

Your previous trading recommendation for the EUR/USD daily chart was bullish, anticipating a reversal towards 1.0810, where buyers had targeted. However, a shift in market dynamics thwarted buying signals, leading to potential inactivity in the market in the coming days. Despite global weaknesses, you remained confident in the pair's performance, expecting a dip below either 1.0752 or 1.06150 by the end of the week's trading. In the next few days, some activity may pick up in the market. If prices break below the 1.0745 level, according to the M30 and H1 timeframes, it indicates a need for a correction. There could be a northern bias towards the 1.0745 level.
You noted the significance of the 1.0745 level, whose breach could signal a change in direction, possibly towards a correction. Despite a decrease in global bond yields and growing investor sentiment favoring the euro over the US dollar, the conclusion of the jobs report tempered initial euro gains. The decline in bond yields and favorable investor sentiment towards the euro suggest potential upward momentum for the EUR/USD pair, barring any significant shifts in market sentiment. However, post-jobs report skepticism indicates the need for a softer report to reassure investors about potential cooling of the US economy and interest rate changes. On the weekly chart, a strong resistance level, based on closing prices, remains unbroken, signaling a bearish bias. Despite the lack of significant news today, traders remain vigilant for any developments that could influence market dynamics.Aas paas ke taza record lows ke qareeb. Yeh harkat US dollar ki taqat ke saath milti hai, jo mukhtalif currencies ke khilaf dekha gaya hai. Investors ka khayal hai ke Europe mein ma'ashi mushkilat ke darmiyan, khas tor par Jerman mein chalte hue ma'ashi mandi ke doran, US dollar ko aik safe-haven asasaat ke tor par pasand kiya ja raha hai.
EUR/USD currency pair ke girawat ke doran bearish jazbat ki alamat asian trading session mein unhi jazbat ko dikhata hai jo peechle sessions mein dekhe gaye. Yeh girawat mukhtalif factors ko mansoob kiya ja sakta hai jo US dollar ko taqat bakhshtay hain, euro par dabao dalte hue.

US dollar ki qeemat mein izafa ka ek sabab hai ke yeh maand global ma'ashi manzar ke muqable mein mukhtalif currencies, including euro, ke muqable mein barh raha hai. US dollar aksar market ki nisbat ya siyasi tensions ke doran safe-haven currency ke tor par faida uthata hai, investors ko unke sarmayon ke liye samajhdar aur mehfooz raasta faraham karte hue.

Kal ke trading session mein, H4 time frame chart par, market participants ne lambi mehdoodi dekhi, jahan price action ek tang range ke andar harkat kar rahi thi. Iss side mein movement ke bawajood, upar ki taraf ki momentum ka potential mojud hai, jaise ke ascending waves ki possibility aur MACD indicator jo upper buy zone mein hai. Dheyan se dekha jaye toh ek tasalsul pazeer izafa ka target mojud hai, khas tor par level 50 ke ird gird, jab shuruati lehr par Fibonacci grid laya jata hai. Magar yad rahe ke pichle haftay ke trading activities mein, price ne is target tak nahi pohancha. Iss nakami ko dusri mukhtalif currencies ke sath dollar ki mazbooti ki wajah se jora gaya tha jo trading session ke ikhtitam tak hoti rahi, baad mein aik muzid sudhar phase ke sath.
Yeh sudhar phase ne pair ki price ko Fibonacci level 50 tak pohanchne se roka, aham tor par aik descending trend line ke sath takrane ki wajah se, jo aik rebound ka natija tha. Is natije mein, traders ne chalay hain ke is maqam par apne lambay positions ko band karke short positions start ki, jis se unho ne apne faisla mand faislay ki tasdiq di.

Isi tarah, halan ke market ne consolidation aur ruk ruk ke movement dekha, lekin mojudah technical indicators jaise ke MACD aur Fibonacci analysis, mazeed upar ki taraf ki momentum ki sambhavna ko darust karti hain. Magar pichle haftay mein dekhe gaye sudhar phase, jo dollar ki taqat aur agle rebound ki wajah se aaya, dynamic market conditions mein manfi faeslay aur tez tabdeeliyon ke musalsal muntakhib faislo ki ahmiyat ko wazeh karti hai. Traders jo in moqaat ka faida uthaye unho ne apne positions ko nigrani ke liye pehlu bhi rakha aur potential future movements ke liye apne aap ko faida pohanchane ke liye apne aap ko bari tor par position diya.

Amreeki dollar haal he mein mustaqbil mein izaafa kiya hai ek dairay girnay ke baad, Amreeki sarkari bondon par barhtay huye dilchasp darjat ki wajah se. Ye zyada yields dollar par mabni investements ko foreign investors ke liye zyada attractive banati hain, jis se currency ki demand barh jati hai. Magar euro dollar ke khilaaf aik neutral zone mein atka hua hai, 1.0805 exchange rate ke qareeb. Ye qeemat ka inhiraf aik technical chart pattern banati hai, jo kisi bhi rukh mein breakthrough ki suggeset karta hai. October ke lows ke oopar rok hai, jo euro ki qeemat mein izafay ko rok rahi hai. Muhlik taur par, downside movement ko December ke highs se mehdood kiya gaya hai. Euro ki ghairyaqeeni mein ek technical indicator hai jo 200-day exponential moving average (EMA) ke naam se hai, jo mojooda mein 1.0785 par hai. Ye average euro ke liye aik rukawat hai agar woh qeemat mein izafa chahti hai. Is ke ilawa, market ke hissedar madd-eghairat dikhate hain, jaise ke 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 40 aur 60 ke darmiyan oscillate kar raha hai. Ye index momentum ko napta hai, aur uska mojooda range zyada taqatwar kharidari ya farokht ki dabao nahi darshata. Euro par European Central Bank (ECB) bhi aik factor hai. ECB ke andar policymakers mustaqbil mein interest rates ko barhane ke bare mein mukhtalif hain. Jabke kuch log june mein ek rate cut ki tajweez dete hain taake maeeshat ko taraqqi di jaye, doosre aur hosheyar tar hain mazeed asaniyon ke baray mein. Investors is bahas par tawajju de rahe hain, kyunke ye euro ki qeemat ko shadeed asar andaaz kar sakti hai. Aane wale haftay ke liye, maaliyat ke markets ke liye ahem data releases hone wale hain dono janib se. Amreeka mein, inflation data tawajju mein hai, Producer Price Index (PPI) jo ke 14 May ko release hoga aur Consumer Price Index (CPI) jo ke 15 May ko aayega. Is ke ilawa, rozana ka karobar, business inventories, aur housing market index 15 May ko report kiye jayenge. Wahi Europe apne inflation figures aur economic sentiment data jaari karegi. Germany ka final inflation rate aur economic sentiment index 14 May ko shamil hain. European Monetary Union (EMU) 15 May ko apne growth forecast ko update karne wali hai, jo ke final Eurozone inflation rate 17 May ko aayega. Ye mukhtalif economic data aur central bank ki bayaniyat ka toofan markets ko kuch zaroori raahnumai faraham karne wala hai aur qareebi euro aur dollar ki harkat ko asar andaaz karne wala hai.

Haftay ke chart ke mutabiq, hum 4 hafton tak musalsal izafa dekh rahe hain, jaise ke tajziya ka hissa, lekin kharidard na sirf ek haftay ke neeche girne wale mombatti ko bilkul nahi jama kiya. Usi waqt, EURUSD jori ki keemat nichle channels mein rehti hai - mahana aur haftawar, aur nazdeek ki resistance average bollinger line hai jo 1.0823 par hai. Mazeed, agar jori ka rate 1.0742 ke darje ko neeche fix ho jaye to phir se yeh channels mein girawat ki sambhavna ko khol dega - 1.0254 ke support darje aur haftawar ke nichle boundary tak. H4 chart ke mutabiq, keemat ab bhi 1.0742 aur 1.0803 ke darje ke darmiyan uthate hue channel mein hai, sath hi upper aur middle bollinger lines ke darmiyan. To is dauraan, hum intezar karte hain ke keemat in ranges se bahar nikle aur unhe kisi bhi had tak mazboot karein.
EURUSD ke baray mein ab bhi thora sa ghair yaqeeni hai. Hey yaar, acha weekend guzarna. Aur mujhe koi shak nahi tha ke weekend se pehle kuch misunderstanding chor jayenge. Ab aapko sochna padega, agla kya aur kaise karna hai. Behtareen, mujhe dakshini raaste mein pehle haq hai. Haan, darmiyani marhalay mein majboot dollar ki kami nazar aati hai. Magar main chahta hoon ke main ise jitna mumkin ho sasta khareedoon. Shuruat mein, mujhe 1.0600 dekhna hai (main 5 figure mein thoda sa khareedunga). Amm tor par, 3rd figure mein balance sheets par qarza hai, lekin jab se... yeh qarza saal aur aadha se lag raha hai, plus main aise qisam ke qarzon par skeptical hoon (market sab ko maaf kar deta hai), main 1.0400 ke neeche girne par ziada umeed nahi rakhta, aur main dhire dhire khareedna shuru karunga. Sachai ko batane ke liye, mujhe ab parity par bharosa nahi rehta. Chhodo, dekhte hain.

Rozana chart ke liye Ichimoku indicator par kuch ahem pehlu dhyaan aakarshit karte hain, jo is khaas instrument ke liye mojooda jazbat ko shakl dete hain. Abhi focus Dean Cross strategy par hai, jo Ichimoku framework ke andar ek aham hissa hai, jo tajiron ko unke faisla kun process mein rehnumai faraham karta hai.
Halaanki, filhal Tenkan-sen aur Kijun-sen lines dono apne aap ko lokal Ichimoku cloud ke neeche paaye jaate hain. Ye positioning aam tor par bechne ki strategies ke liye ek mufeed ilaqa darust karti hai, jisey tafteesh ke instrument ke liye ek bearish nazar hai. Is tarteeb ko dekh rahe tajiron ko ek ehtiyaat bhari harkat apnaane ki taraf mael ho sakti hai, bullish jazbat se bachte hue jab tak ek zyada faydah mand setup na aaye.

Mehwaar bechne ki opportunities ke liye wazeh ishaara hone ke bawajood, Dean Cross development ke dynamics ek mukhtalif tasweer paish karte hain. Haalaanki mojooda strategy Tenkan-sen aur Kijun-sen lines ke placement ke mawaafiq ek bearish bias ki tajweez karta hai, lekin Dean Cross pattern ke khaas harekat aur tabadlay ka tafteeshi jaiza zaroori hai. Is cross formation ke intricate tafreeqat ko samajhna tajiron ke liye zaroori hai jo bazaar ke trends aur fluctuations ko faida uthane ke liye achi tarah samajhna chahte hain.

Dean Cross, Ichimoku indicator ka aham hissa hai, jab Tenkan-sen line Kijun-sen line ke saath milta hai. Ye waqia aksar ek momentum ki tabdeeli ko ishaara karta hai aur tajiron ke liye ek dakhil ya nikaalne ka potential point ka kaam karta hai. Magar filhaal ki manzar nama Dean Cross ke andar saafiyat aur momentum jo aam tor par is cross formation ke saath juda hoti hai, wo mojood nahi hai.

Is mahaul mein safai aur dynamics ke ghair maujoodgi ki wajah se tajiron ko ahtiyaat aur chaukasi se kaam lena chahiye, Dean Cross ke andar saaf dynamics ke kami faisle ko complicated karte hain. Jab ke bada maahol ek bearish bias ki taraf mael ho sakta hai, magar mukhtalif indicators aur bazaar ke factors ke darmiyan shuraat hai, toh tajiron ko kisi bhi trading strategy ko manzoor karne se pehle ek mukhtasir tafseeli tajziya zaroori hai.

Iske alawa, bazaar ke jumla mahaul ko bhi ghor se dekhna zaroori hai, jismein macroeconomic trends, geopolitical events, aur investor sentiment shaamil hote hain, jo qeemat ki harkat par asar daal sakte hain aur technical indicators ko akele mein kaam karne ki eficacy ko khatam kar sakte hain. Tajiron ko ek mukhtasar tajziya hasil karne ke liye technical aur fundamental analysis ko mila kar istemal karna chahiye.

Halanki Ichimoku indicator ke hourly chart mein Tenkan-sen aur Kijun-sen lines local Ichimoku cloud ke neeche position mein hain, jisse ek bearish nazar aata hai, Dean Cross formation ke dynamics ek complexity aur uncertainty ka ek silsila laata hai. Tajiron ko ehtiyaat aur technical aur fundamental factors ke comprehensive tajziya ka istemal karke is challenging trading mahaul mein mukhlis rehna chahiye.

Ji, mukhtalif tajziyati movement euro/dollar jori ko dabane mein masroof hai, aur asbaab ka daam ya to trading ke ikhtitam par buland ho sakta hai, ya haftay ke ikhtitam par current levels par so ja sakta hai. Chalo dekhte hain ke states aaj kaise trade karte hain, lekin zahir hai ke yeh ghair yaqeeni ab markets par taasir daal rahi hai, aur bohot se aalaat ke liye keemat ek tang mazameen mein gir rahi hai, kyunki ab tak, agar hum Fed par tawajjo den, to yeh bhi nahi hai ke samajh nahi hai, woh agle kya karenge, balki zyada urgent sawal yeh hai ke woh kab kuch karna shuru karenge. Agar aap faisla karte hain ke izafa ke darusteyat aur US ki ma'ashi harkat ko mazeed nigrani mein rakhein, to yeh kai maheenon tak le sakta hai, mutabiqan, mausam ke ikhtitam tak, khizan ke ibteda tak, bohot zyada volatility nahi hogi, agar patli market mein dhaal darwazah phata to, kyunki Powell ke baad, phir se unho ne apni press conference mein ghair wazeh tajziyat di hain, woh jo mulaqat ka muntazir the aur bahar nikalna chahte the, lagta hai, unho ne chutti par nikal liya hai.
Mansubey ke mutabiq mojooda tasveer ke liye EURUSD, yani, 1.0765-70 par qadmi pakarnay ka mahdood koshish, aur phir woh ya to is se dhakka lagayenge aur 1.0820-25 tak pohanchne ki koshish karenge, ya phir yeh darja neeche laut aayenge, aur is surat mein, hum phir se 1.0725-55 ke support par keemat ka palatwark hasil kar sakte hain.

EUR/USD
Aaj Jumma ko jori intehai tarafdaar halat mein hai, agar aap androoni fasla dekhte hain, to yeh sirf taqreeban 15 points ka hai instaforex spread ke size ko shamil na karte hue, to chahe aap is ko kisi bhi tarah dekhen, aap ko is ko hisaab mein lena padega, mere liye yahan kuch dilchaspi wala nahi hai. Rozana ka chart doosri baat hai, yahan sab bohot dilchaspi wala hai, kyunki humein ek kaafi bhara hua bullish candle mila hai ek diagonal red line ke tootne ke saath, jo ab tak lambay arsay tak mazboot resistance ka kirdar ada kar rahi thi, chalo dekhte hain ke woh 17:00 Moscow time ke baad American session mein kaise progress karte hain. Ma'ashi calendar ab bhi khali hai, kisi cheez par tawajjo denay ke liye kuch nahi hai, na US dollar, na European currency - bunyad poori tarah se ghayab hai.