𝐄𝐔𝐑/𝐔𝐒𝐃

eur/usd price overview.
Chalo, hum EURUSD currency pair ke D1 chart par agle trading week ke tajziya ko ghoortay hain. Hal mein band hone par, wave structure neeche ki taraf apni tarteeb jari rakhti hai, jabke MACD indicator ne lower sell zone mein apni jagah banai hui hai. Aik pattern of waves ban chuka hai, khaaskar teenon mein se teesri, jisme teenon mein se chhoti teesri wave bari teesri wave ke andar mojood hai. Senior pehli wave par Fibonacci grid ko lagakar, aik mumkin neeche ke nishana zahir hota hai - is grid par 161.8 level. Magar, ehmiyat hai ke is nishane tak pohanchne se pehle 1.0453 par aik technical low maujood hai; agar keemat is level tak pohanchti hai to behtar hai ke pehle hi sell positions ko band kar lena chahiye.

Hal ke halat mein, halat taabir karti hai ke keemat kisi dabay wale position mein hai, horizontal resistance level 1.0741, jo pehle bhi zikar kiya gaya hai, upar mojood hai, jahan se keemat neeche ki taraf laut gayi. Neeche, 1.0675 support level hai, jo keh lihaaz se bhi mazboot hai kyun ke yeh decline ka kinara hai, jahan resistance support mein tabdeel ho gayi hai.

Jumma ko 1.0741 level se bechne ka faisla munasib tha, din ke andar M5 timeframe par aik tasdeeq shuda neeche ka rukh dekha gaya. Is level ne aik aaina dar level bhi banaya, aur bearish mahol ko aur bhi sabit kiya.Maujooda waqt mein bechna shayad der se ho gaya hai, kyun ke support level bohot qareeb hai.Sochiye hue neeche ke wave scenario ko sirf tab maanein agar 1.0675 support level ka kamyabi se toot jaana ho, kam az kam chaar ghantay ke chart par tasdeeq se. Behtareen manzar yeh hoga agar keemat neeche se is toote hue level par laute, jo ab resistance ke taur par kaam karega.
Aik doosra manzar yeh hai ke maujooda maqam se ooper ki taraf tezi se 1.0741 ka toot jana, phir mazeed izafa hosakta hai, shayad ooper mojood descending trendline ki taraf.1.0752 ke local resistance level ko test karne ke baad, aik rebound ne bullish candle banaya, jiska band hone par haftay ka range kafi bara bullish shadow ke sath bana. Agar haliya maqam jari rahe, to agle hafte mein bearish rawani ka dubara shuru honay ka imkaan hai, khaas taur par nazdeeki support level par 1.0605 par tawajju. Market ke halat aur khabar background ke mutabiq, mazeed door ki bearish target 1.0290 par nishana banane ka bhi imkaan hai. Ya phir, agar 1.0605 ke qareeb support level ke paas aik turning candle nazar aaye, to oopar rawani ka ishara hosakta hai. Agar aisa hota hai, to mein intezaar karunga ke keemat 1.0758 ya 1.0791 ke resistance levels tak laute, aur bearish signals ke liye hoshiyar rahunga. Toh yeh tafseelat mein, agle hafte, mein keemat mein bearish dabaav ka intizaar karta hoon, nazdeeki support levels par tawajju rakhta hoon aur market ke halat ke mutabiq strategies ko adjust karta hoon.

H1 CHARTFRAME


Agar humein thora sa correction milta hai 1.0670 tak, toh wahan se izafa jari rahega. Mumkin hai ke hum local maximum range 1.0750 mein se guzar jayein aur us par mazid wazeh hojaye, yeh rate ke liye ek signal hoga ke wo izafa karega. Asal mein, 1.0675 ke range mein support hai aur wahan se, izafa jari rahega. Jab hum rate ko is surat mein izafa karne ki koshish kar rahe hain, toh yeh mumkin hai ke izafa 1.0755 tak jari rahe. Yeh bhi mumkin hai ke jab tak hum current hadood ke andar trade kar rahe hain, izafa jari rahe. Aam tor par, mein 1.0680 ke range ka jhoota breakout intezar kar raha hoon aur is ke baad, izafa jari rahega. Hum abhi 1.0720 ke range ke neeche trade kar rahe hain, aur main 1.0720 ke range ka breakout ka intezar kar raha hoon.











Hum amriki session ke doran ek correction mil sakta hai aur is ke baad, izafa jari rahega. Hum ne pehle hi 1.0720 par support paya hai aur is se, ab rate ki mazbooti mehsoos ho rahi hai. Yeh mumkin hai ke 1.0755 ke range ko torne ke baad, izafa jari rahe. Yeh bhi mumkin hai ke jab hum 1.0770 ke range ko tor kar us par apna qadam jamate hain, toh yeh ek acha signal ho ke kharidari ke liye. Agar humein 1.0680 ke range ka breakdown milta hai aur aise breakdown ke baad, izafa jari rahega. Mumkin hai ke 1.0750 ke range ko tor kar us par mazid wazeh hojaye, phir yeh ek kharidari ka signal hoga. Thore se correction ke baad, izafa jari rahega.



EUR/USD H1 TA'ARUF:



EURUSD market mein neechay ki taraf lehar a rahi hai Relative Strength Index ke 50 maqam ke neechay. Badal mein do line hain, Span A aur Span B, jo ke 1.0710 aur 1.06720 par set hain, mutaliqan. Badal ke dauran, yeh dono lines resistance ke tor par kaam karti hain. Market price abhi RSI ke upar hai, is liye aapko kharidari ke liye dakhil hone ka maqam dhoondhna chahiye badal ke ilaqay mein jahan price KMO ke upar hai. Ek aur signal hai jo bullish mizaj ko palat raha hai. 1.07011 Kijun-Sen 1.07080 aur Tenkan-Sen 1.07251 ke upar mil kar ek golden cross banata hai. Is mawad ko mil kar taqatwar kharidari ka signal milta hai, aur market badal ke upar hai. Kharidari karte waqt ek urdu trend ka inteqal ehtimam mein lena chahiye. Badal ko tor kar, barqarar hone par aap dead cross-line ka intezar kar ke faida utha sakte hain.

Shab Bakhair aur achi trading!

Toh haan, US ka kaam ka bazaar ka data sab tareef ke laiq nikla, aur bhi yeh ke bawajood, US dollar thoda sa gir gaya, jo ke ajeeb hai. Aaj hum Merlin ballet ka doosra hissa intezar karte hain; dopahar mein shaya hone wale US consumer price data se foreign exchange market mein namiyon mein khalbal ki sambhavna hai. Federal Reserve System ke lagbhag sabhi numaindon ne monetary policy mein tabdeeli ke imkaan ki baat ki, mahangai ka zikr kiya, aur pehle se zyada tanqeedi nahi hain aur ab do percent ke bare mein nahi, lekin mahangai ke dar mein rukawat ke bare mein kehte hain.

Technically, 4-hour chart par halat ka tajziya gadla hai. Kal ke baad, qeematain ne neelee moving average ke neeche wapas aayi, aur tezi se chadhai ke baad, qeematain consolidation mode mein dakhil ho gayi aur ab dono ko ghor karna chahiye. Neeche ki taraf ke rukh ka jaari rehne ka ihtemam, 1.0837 tak support level ka tayun karna aur upar ki taraf rukh lenay ka ihtemam. Intehai halat mein, main sirf uttar ki taraf dekhunga agar 4-hour candle 1.0857 resistance level ke upar band hoti hai. Hum ab tak moving average se door nahi gaye hain, jo ek potential breakout ko darust karta hai, isliye main phir se uttar ki taraf khara ho jaunga, kyunke aap system ke khilaf nahi bol sakte. Kal European Central Bank ki meeting hogi. Interest rates wahi level par rahenge, lekin tafseelat hongi, isliye yeh jodi par asar daal sakta hai, aur shayad isay taqat bhi mil sakti hai, kyunke hamesha hi Lagarde ki baat karne se izafa hota hai.

Euro ab majboor ho raha hai US Dollar ke khilaf (USD) jab fiscal requests dono taraf Atlantic ki central bank policy opinions par bojh dal rahe hain. EUR/USD jodi negative maidaan mein trading kar rahi hai aas paas 1.0728, jo ek mazboot USD ki tarjeeh se neeche ki taraf ja rahi hai. Ye ECB ne interest rates ko thahra kar rakhne ke baad aaya hai jaise ki ummeed thi, lekin June mein rate cut ki sambhavna ko ishara dete hue. Ulta, yeh bhi charcha mein hai ke US Federal Reserve September mein rate cut ka mokha dekh sakti hai filhal ki mazboot mahangi data ke chalte. Yeh financial policy mein ek mukhya udyata hai Euro ki kamzori ke peeche ka. ECB ka pacifist approach, jo aane wale easing ke measures ka ishara deta hai, mukable hai tez ho rahe economic markers ke kisi jazba se ke Fed ab zyada hawkish ho sakta hai. US Consumer Price Index ne March mein ummeed se zyada bad gaya, jisse yeh suchit hota hai ke Fed kisi rate cut ko taal sakti hai. Yeh umeed ka palatvar mahatvpurn hai, kyunke is saal shuru mein bazar se Fed ke kai rate cuts ki ummeed thi.

Shuruaat mein, Euro ne 1.05 ke aas paas support paya, lekin halat yeh dikhate hain ke yeh is star ko tode sakta hai. Agar EUR/USD pair April mein 1.05 ke neeche gir jaye, to ye aur neeche taraf ja sakta hai, shayad 0.95 tak pahunch jaye. Kai factors is kamzori mein yogdan dete hain. USD ko economic markers se taqat milti hai, jabki ECB ka pacifist stance Euro par neeche ki taraf dabao dalta hai. Iske alawa, ek kamzor Euro European exports ko zyada muqabla yukt bana sakta hai, jisse ECB ke future mein rate ko badhane ki koshish kamzor ho sakti hai.

Investors is haftay crucial data releases ko dhyan se dekh rahe hain jo currency pair ko prabhavit kar sakte hain. Jermany ke economic indicators aur US ke consumer confidence data ko Friday ko intezaar hai, jo dono regions ke economic sehat par aur EUR/USD pair ke demand par asar dal sakte hain. Iske alawa, US-China trade negotiations mein kisi bhi taraqqi ka bhi Euro/Dollar ke exchange rate dynamics par asar pad sakta hai.

Maujooda maahaul ke dastoor par dekhte hue, Euro US Dollar ke khilaf challenges ka samna kar raha hai jahan fiscal policy outlooks alag hain aur US se positive economic signals arahi hain. Agar Euro apni girawat jaari rakhta hai, to yeh April mein 1.05 level ko tode sakta hai. Market ke participants ko chaukanna rehne ki zarurat hai, ahem data releases aur trade developments par kaaraye ke saath rehne ke liye taake EUR/USD pair ke muqaddar ka andaza lagaya ja sake. Nazara gadha hai, kai factors neeche wale dharmon par qaim hai nazdeeki main

EUR/USD aaj market bina kisi bara surprise ke khula. Asian session ke doran, keemat khud bewakufi se mashriqi rukh par push ho rahi hai. Magar overall, mujhe umeed hai ke ek ta'leef dene wale pullback ke baad, junubi harkat dobara shuru hogi. Is surat mein, jaise maine pehle zikar kiya hai, main nazar rakhunga 1.06011 par mojood support level par. Iss support level ke qareeb, do manazir hosakte hain. Pehla manzar keemat is level ke neeche mushtamil hokar consolidate ho aur mazeed junubi rukh ikhtiyaar karegi. Agar ye mansoobah kaam aata hai, to main keemat ko 1.05211 ke support level ki taraf jaate dekhunga. Iss support level ke qareeb, main ek trading setup ka intezar karunga, jo mazeed trading rukh ka taayun karne mein madad karega. Beshak, mumkin hai ke keemat mazeed junubi rukh mein push ho 1.04482 ke support level ki taraf, lekin situation ke hawale se nazriyaat ki zaroorat hai, keemat ke movement ke doran khabar flow aur keemat ke neeche mukarar junubi maqamat ka kaise rad-e-amal hota hai. Ek doosra mansoobah keemat ke qareeb pohnchne par keemat ka rukh badalne wala candle banne aur urooj rukh ka dobara shuru hona. Agar ye mansoobah anjam diya jata hai, to main keemat ko 1.07528 ya 1.07913 ke resistance levels par lautne ka intezar karunga. Inn resistance levels ke qareeb, main junubi signals ki talash jari rakhunga keemat ke junubi rukh ko dobara shuru hone ki tawaqqu karte hue. Beshak, door ke shumali maqamat ko hasil karne ka imkaan hai, lekin main is waqt iska tawazon nahi kar raha, kyunke main unke jaldi puri hone ki tawaqqu nahi rakhta. Mukhtasir taur par, aaj ke liye, main umeed karta hoon ke corrective pullback ka mukammal hone ke baad, keemat apni junubi harkat ko dobara shuru karegi aur qareebi support level ko test karne ki taraf jaegi. Wahan se, main market ki situation ko mutabiq dekhunga.

EURUSD pair ke liye, mein yeh tezi ka barhao kaise samjhoon, market ki opening pe, dasveen shumar ke upar, shayad kuch glitch ya exceptional wajah ho, lekin phir bhi, is natije mein, pair M15 ko uttar nahi kar sakta, lekin averages mil gaye hain, is liye mein ise abhi bhi kuch samajh nahi pa raha, lekin uttar ki taraf mudne ke liye nahi, aur is liye abhi mein weekend mein shaya hui plan ko hi apna raha hoon, aaj ki tezi ke sath aham levels ka major violation ke bawajood.

Is raat ki mombati humein jodi mein mojoodah halat ka sahi andaaza lagane nahi deti, is liye mein aaj M15 ko nahi dekh raha, mujhe sirf chaar ghante ka signal dilchaspi hai, M15 pe neutral signal hai, averages ne mil gaye hain, lekin averages ke mutabiq uttar ki taraf koi tafreeq nahi hai aur na hi south ki taraf koi signal hai, is liye mein isay abhi ignore kar raha hoon, ghantawar ke mutabiq halat waisa hi hai jaisa pehle tha, pair signal ke mutabiq uttar ki taraf dekh raha hai, chaar ghante ke signal ke mutabiq south ki taraf aur daily signal ke mutabiq bhi south ki taraf, abhi mein senior charts pe vishwaas karta hoon, junior charts ko madde nazar nahi lete hue, aur is liye mein 1.0760 resistance se pair ka ulta waapas jane ka intizaar kar raha hoon, kyunki pair 1.0720 reference point ke level ke upar hai, jo support ka kaam kar raha hai, woh phir se 1.0760 tak wapas aa sakte hain, agar toot jaaye, toh mein 1.0804 reference point ko allow karta hoon aur us se palat jana, 1.0804 reference point ka toot jaane par, hum chaar ghante ke uttar ka shuru hone wala dekhenge aur wohi raat bhar ki bari mombati ko madde nazar rakhein ge. Agar pair 1.00720 reference point ke neeche qayam pa le, toh mein 1.0670 tak girne ka intizaar karta hoon, jo M15 ka south mein tod hai, aur mazeed giravat 1.0505 tak le jaayegi, haftay ka target, 1.0590 ya 1.0620 se palatne ke zariye.

aur sab colleagues jo EURUSD discussion mein hain: Sab ko hello. Jodi ne haqeeqatan Jumma ko acha fa'al dikhaya, lekin iska sabab wazeh hai. Pehli baat to yeh hai ke foundation, jo economic calendar mein hua, iska sab se bada sabab tha, aur doosri baat, yeh Jumma ke liye bilkul mamooli hai. Magar aaj main kuch aur dekhna chahta hoon, yaani ke kya yeh wajah hai ke mojooda daily EURUSD chart ki aam halat kisi tarah badal gayi hai. Aur yahan lagta hai ke ismein koi tabdeeli nahi aayi hai, aur leading currency pair ke keemat, jo ke general decline corridor ke andar rakhi gayi thi, abhi tak isi tarah hai. Iske ilawa, yeh kisi bhi "internal changes" ko nahi laaya hai jo globally formed trend ke daire mein hoti hain. EURUSD ke keemat, jo ke corresponding long-term trend aur uske framework ke andar internal impulse ke tehat girte ja rahi thi, abhi tak isi tarah hai. Internal impulse khud ek barhta hua internal corridor ka andaza hai, aur keemat abhi tak iske upper limit ki taraf mudawamat hai. Iske ilawa, iske framework ke andar yeh abhi bhi ta'aleem ke liye jagah rakhta hai. Masalan, agar internal correction ke roop mein izaafa jaari rahe, to keemat 1.0800 ke qareebi price levels tak pohanch sakti hai. Main is kaehkarne ko taiyaar hoon ke yeh agle trading week mein zyada tawajjuh milegi. Aur yeh hai ke haqeeqatan abhi ka long-term situation kya hai: Agle maah ke liye target level shayad mukhtasar local minimum hoga jo 1.04500 par hai, jo ke hum shayad maah ke khatam hone se pehle tak pohanch sakte hain. Shayad kharidar 1.07500 ke level se upar jaane aur 1.08500 ke level tak pohanchne ki koshish karenge. Magar main samajhta hoon ke yeh ek mukhtasar phenomenon hoga, aur scenario nahi barhega. Overall, mujhe dollar ka euro ke khilaf mustaqbil mein mazboot hona umeed hai.

EUR/USD currency pair ki mojooda keemat ka rawayya par guftagu ho rahi hai. Jumma ko keemat pehle 1.07 tak barhi, phir 1.06 tak gir gayi, aur mazboot support ko 1.0695 par imtehaan liya. Magar, harkaat mein kisi numaya asar ki kami thi, aur keemat umeede ki 1.0757 nishandahi tak pohanch na saki. Balki, 1.0694 par support toota, jis se 1.0674 ki taraf giravat hui, jo ke market dynamics ke mutabiq hai. Aaj ke haftay ke charts ko dekhte hue EUR/USD ke liye do manazir support level ke aas paas hain. Pehla manzar is keemat ke neeche ke consolidation aur mazeed bearish harkaat ke baray mein hai. Agar yeh hota hai, to main keemat ko 1.0527 tak pohanchne ka muntazir rahunga. Agar keemat is support ke neeche barabar rahegi, to mazeed bearish harkaat ki umeed hai 1.0442 ki taraf, mustaqbil ke tijarat ki hidaayat ke liye.
Local resistance level 1.0752 par imtehaan lene ke baad, ek rebound ne haftay ke range ko band hone par aik buland candle banaya, jismein aik kafi barra bullish shadow tha. Agar mojooda manzar barqarar rahega, to agle haftay ko mazeed bearish harkaat ki mumkinat hai, nazdeeki support level 1.0605 par tawajju ho gi. Market ke halaat aur khabron ke background par, mazeed door ke bearish maqsoodat ko bhi nishandahi kiya ja sakta hai 1.0290 par. Doosri taraf, agar support level 1.0605 ke qareeb koi murnay wala candle bana, to upri harkaat ka ishara ho sakta hai. Agar yeh hota hai, to main keemat ko 1.0758 ya 1.0791 ke resistance levels tak wapas anay ka muntazir rahunga, bearish signals ke liye muhtaat reh kar. Mukhtasar tor par, agle haftay, main keemat mein bearish push ki umeed karta hoon, nazdeeki support levels par tawajju de kar aur market ke halaat ke mutabiq tajweezat ko adjust karta hoon.

Main D1 muddat ke EURUSD currency pair ka chart shamil karne ka tajwez deta hoon. Agla trading week khatam ho gaya hai aur yahan wave structure apni tarteeb ko neeche ki taraf banata ja raha hai, MACD indicator neeche bechne ki zone mein hai. Waves ki ek formation banayi gayi hai, jise third in the third kehte hain, yaani ke teesri wave teesri mein choti hai aur teesri mein bari hai. Agar aap senior pehli wave par target Fibonacci grid lagate hain, to is grid par ek potenti downward target nazar aata hai - 161.8 ke level par. Is se pehle ek regular technical low hai jo 1.0453 par hai, agar keemat wahan jaati hai to behtar hai ke sell positions ko pehle band kar diya jaye. Hal hi mein hone wale correctiive growth ke doran, keemat ne horizontal resistance level 1.0741 tak wapas ja ke, aur isay test kar ke, kamiyabi se neeche gira. Ab yeh sabit hota hai ke keemat ek dabai hui position mein hai, horizontal resistance level 1.0741 oopar hai, jo pehle hi zikar kiya gaya hai, jis se keemat neeche gir gayi. Neeche support level 1.0675 hai, jo ke mazboot hai kyun ke yeh ek mirror level hai girawat ke kinaray par, resistance ne support mein tabdeel ho gaya hai. Jumme ko 1.0741 ke level se bechna normal tha, din ke andar M5 par confirm ho gaya ke neeche ja raha hai, yeh bhi ek mirror level tha aur keemat neeche gayi. Aur ab bechna bohot der ho chuka hai, support bohot qareeb hai. Puri neeche ki wave ka scenario jo pehle bayan kiya gaya tha, sirf tab ghor kiya ja sakta hai agar kam az kam chaar ghanton ke chart par is support level 1.0675 ka kamiyabi se neeche jaane ka hona. Aur behtareen point yeh hoga agar keemat neeche se is tor se toot kar is tor se vapis aaye jaise ke resistance. Ek alternative option yeh hai ke yahan se izaafa aur 1.0741 ka tootna, phir mazeed izaafa shayad niche guzr rahi line tak mukhtasir hota hai.

Euro (EUR) ne American Dollar (USD) ke khilaaf apni chaar dinon tak ke musalsal izafa ko barqarar rakha hai, jise kamzor US economic data ne push kiya hai. Darmiyanay European trading ko Wednesday ko EUR/USD pair ko taqreeban 1.0705 tak chadhate hue dekha gaya, jo ke currency pair ke qeemat mein ahem izafa darust karta hai. Is izafa ki ziada tar wajah US April Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) data ka jaari hona hai, jo ke American manufacturing sector mein rukawat ki alaamat hai. US ki zillati performancene dollar par bohot zyada bojh dala hai, jis ne investors ko euro ki taraf raagib banane ke liye majboor kiya hai. Agay dekhte hue, currency markets mazeed tabdeeliyon ke liye qayam hain kyun ke dono taraf se aane wale ahem data releases trading sentiments par asar daalne ka intezar hai. Germany ka Ifo Business Climate Index, jo ke Wednesday ko baad mein jaari hoga, Eurozone ke bade tareen economy mein business sentiment ke bare mein ahem idaray faraham karega. Is ke ilawa, March ke US durable goods orders American economy ke sehat ke bare mein mazeed isharay faraham karenge.

Haal hi mein EUR/USD pair ke izafon ke bawajood, technical indicators 4 ghanton ke chart par downtrend ka potential continuation dikhate hain. Pair ab tak critical 100-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke neeche hai, jo ke neeche ki taraf dabi bearish dabao ko dikhata hai. Magar, agar is level ko tasleem kar liya jaye, to yeh ek urooj aur uptrend ka dobara shuru hone ka ishara ho sakta hai.

Is ke ilawa, EUR/USD ke Relative Strength Index (RSI) abhi 66 ke qareeb hai, jo bullish territory ko darust karta hai aur yeh kehta hai ke euro dollar ke khilaaf izafa ka mazeed maqaam rakhta hai. Dollar ke haal hi ke girne ka sabab Wednesday ke US inflation report hai, jo ke Federal Reserve ke foran interest rate cut ke umeedon ko tabah kar diya hai. Ulta, European Central Bank (ECB) ne June mein interest rates ko kam karne ka irada zahir kiya hai, jo ke US aur Europe ke monetary policy stances ke darmiyan farq ko mazeed barha deta hai.

Technical analysis ke hawale se, agar EUR/USD pair dono upper Bollinger Band aur 100-period EMA ko tasleem kar leta hai, to umeed hai ke April 11th ke high 1.0756 aur psychological level 1.0800 ki taraf izafa hoga.

Neeche ki taraf, pair ko April 23rd ke low 1.0638 par fori support ka samna hai, aur agar sust girawat ka silsila jaari rahe, to lower Bollinger Band 1.0625 aur November 2nd ke low 1.0565 ki taraf mazeed girne ka imkaan hai.

Akhri taur par, kamzor US economic data aur mukhtalif monetary policy stances ke darmiyan, euro dollar ke khilaaf mazboot hoti ja rahi hai, jise investors currency market dynamics ke mazeed insights ke liye qareebi tor par nigaah rakhte hain.

Hum euro/dollar pair ke liye chaar ghantay ka chart kholte hain aur dekhte hain ke pehle, 1.0980 ke high se jahan major ne rebound kiya tha, wo niche ki taraf chala gaya aur aik confident downward price channel bana, jo ke strong expansion ki taraf gaya. Lekin jab 1.0600 ke level se support line se rebound mila, tab euro/dollar north ki taraf muda aur ek ascending price channel bana, jismein pair is waqt 1.0701 ke level par trade kar raha hai. Iske ilawa, H4 chart par hum dekhte hain ke southern channel ke andar ek ascending price channel bana, jis se 1.0680 ke level se rebound mila aur jab main ye post likh raha hoon, toh technical point of view se sab kuch 1.0760 ke level tak correctional growth ki taraf ishara kar raha hai.
Above, maine euro/dollar ke liye chaar ghantay ka chart dekha tha, aur ab main aadha ghantay ka timeframe kholna chahta hoon. Pehle, humne is par ek ascending price channel draw kiya tha, jismein pair April 19 se trading kar raha tha jab tak ke Jumma ko bear ne northern channel ka lower border push kiya aur pair 1.0675 ke level tak gir gaya, jis se neeche sellers ko manzoor nahi hua. Aglay, humne dekha ke lower border ko top se bottom ke liye test karne ki ek unsuccessful koshish hui, jo essentially doosra signal sell karne ka ban gaya. Iske ilawa, market trading ek strong downward gap ke saath shuru hui, lekin phir girawat ke baad, gap ko growth se cover kiya gaya aur euro/dollar pair phir se north ki taraf gaya. Abhi ke liye, situation bilkul bhi unpredictable hai aur main current prices par kharidna ya bechna bilkul bhi nahi recommend karunga.

Euro (EUR) ab US Dollar (USD) ke khilaf apni char dinon se barhti huee raftaar ko jari rakhti hai, jisay maayos karne wale US maali data ke bais. Jaldi Europi trading Wednesday ko dekha gaya ke EUR/USD pair takreeban 1.0705 tak chadh gaya, currency pair ke qeemat mein izafa karne ka ahem nishan hai. Ye uroojat zyadatar US ki April Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) data ke ikhraj se mansoob kiya ja sakta hai, jo Amreeki manufacturing sector mein rukh par giregi ko dikhata hai. Amreeki maqrooz maaliyat ki niralaep ne dollar par bhari asar dala hai, jisne investors ko euro ki taraf jhukne par majboor kiya hai.
Agay dekhte hain, currency marketsmansoob kiya ja sakta hai, jo Amreeki manufacturing sector mein rukh par giregi ko dikhata hai. Amreeki maqrooz maaliyat ki niralaep ne dollar par bhari asar dala hai, jisne investors ko euro ki taraf jhukne par majboor kiya hai.

Agay dekhte hain, currency markets mazeed tabdiliyon ke liye tayar hain jabke dono simt Atlantic ke ahem data releases trading sentiments par asar dalne ka imkan hai. Germany ka Ifo Business Climate Index, jo Wednesday ko ikhtitam hone wala hai, Eurozone ke sab se bade maqami maeeshat mein business sentiment ke naye andazat faraham karega. Mazeed, March ke US durable goods orders Amreeki sab se bade maqami maeeshat mein business sentiment ke naye andazat faraham karega. Mazeed, March ke US durable goods orders Amreeki maqrooz maaliyat ke sehat ke bare mein mazeed nishanein faraham karenge.

Halankay EUR/USD pair mein halaat bulandi par hain, laikin technical indicators 4-hour chart par downtrend ka jari rakhne ka imkan darust karte hain. Pair abhi tak 100-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke neeche hai, jis se niche ki bearish dabav ka ishara milta hai. Magar, is level ko kamyabi se paar karne ka faisla uptrend aur palatne ka ishara hosakta hai.rukh par izafa karta hai.

Technical analysis ke lehaz se, agar EUR/USD pair ne upar wale Bollinger Band aur 100-period EMA dono ko kamyabi se paar kar liya, toh aghazay April 11th ke 1.0756 aur psychological level 1.0800 tak izafa ki sambhavna hoti hai. Niche ki taraf, pair ko April 23rd ke 1.0638 ke low par foran support milta hai, aur sustain downturn ke douran 1.0625 aur November 2nd ke low 1.0565 ki taraf mazeed downside potential hai.

Ikhtitam mein, kamzor US maali data aur mukhtalif monetary policy rukh ke darmiyan, euro dollar ke khilaf mazidTechnical analysis ke lehaz se, agar EUR/USD pair ne upar wale Bollinger Band aur 100-period EMA dono ko kamyabi se paar kar liya, toh aghazay April 11th ke 1.0756 aur psychological level 1.0800 tak izafa ki sambhavna hoti hai. Niche ki taraf, pair ko April 23rd ke 1.0638 ke low par foran support milta hai, aur sustain downturn ke douran 1.0625 aur November 2nd ke low 1.0565 ki taraf mazeed downside potential hai.

Ikhtitam mein, kamzor US maali data aur mukhtalif monetary policy rukh ke darmiyan, euro dollar ke khilaf mazid mazboot hota hai, jisme investors currency market dynamics ke mazeedlevel 1.0800 tak izafa ki sambhavna hoti hai. Niche ki taraf, pair ko April 23rd ke 1.0638 ke low par foran support milta hai, aur sustain downturn ke douran 1.0625 aur November 2nd ke low 1.0565 ki taraf mazeed downside potential hai.



Ikhtitam mein, kamzor US maali data aur mukhtalif monetary policy rukh ke darmiyan, euro dollar ke khilaf mazid mazboot hota hai, jisme investors currency market dynamics ke mazeed taqreebat ke liye nazdeek nazar rakhte hain.

Update Analysis of EUR/USD
Time frame H4:
Toh haan, haathiyo ko peer par lautna tha; Bhalu US statistics ne ek mustaqil darje ki ameer qeemat ke dikhaye. Jesa ke dekha ja sakta hai, yeh ab bhi US mein ameer qeemat ke baare mein hai, aur agar bunyadi ameer qeemat jaldi neechay nahi aati, to Fed shayad is saal ke ikhtitam tak interest ke shara'it ko behtareen keemat par punar viman karne ke liye interest rates ko khatam tak na katey. Kal koi kam economic khabar nahi hogi, aur market afraad ke is hafte ke maqool shumaraat par kaam karna jari rakhne ki ummeed hai, aur is waqt bunyadi aur takneeki tahlil dikhata hai ke EUR/USD jori ke neeche ki harkat jaari rakhne ki mumkinat ko tasdiq karna. Support level 1.0643 par hai, jo ke 4 ghante ke frame par 23.6% Fibonacci level bhi hai.

EUR/USD Ki taraf se abhi bhi neeche ki harkat ke bare mein guftugu karna mushkil hai, kyun ke EUR/USD jori ka ghanta chart bullish bias dikhata hai. Halan ke Jumeraat ki qeematay is dour ke leye laal moving average ke neeche gir gayi, lekin yeh mumkin hai ke neeche ki harkat 1.07181 level tak pohanchne ka silsila jaari rahe, aur sirf is level ka tor hone par mein lambay arsay ki harkat ko janubi rukh mein tasawwur karunga. Aam tor par, qeematay chheven figure ke upar bani hui hain aur agar woh mukammal 1.06 level ke neeche gir sakti hain, to bhaluon ke paas baraabar jane ke liye lamba rasta ho sakta hai. Phir ek chadhai hui aur 1.07293 ke resistance ka tootna hua aur 1.07585 ke resistance ke liye ek kharidne ka nishan tha. Mujhe lagta hai ke yeh nishan kam karta hai, haalanki qeemat maqsood tak nahi pohanchi, balki is ke nazdeek ghoomti rahi. Phir 1.07293 ka support tor diya gaya, tor ki tasdiq hui, aur support 1.07042 ke liye uthne ka kharidne ka nishan tha. Yeh kharidne ka nishan kaam kiya aur support 1.07042 tor diya gaya. Qeemat 1.06681 ke support tak gayi aur is ke qareeb phir chadh gayi aur phir resistance 1.07402 ko tor diya. Yeh levels ke neeche trade ho rahi hai, aur aaj yeh levels ke neeche bhi band hui hai. Peer ke liye janubi maqsood 1.06681 ke baad jhuti tor ki tasdiq ke baad. Shumeraat ke liye shumeraat ke liye maqsood 1.07293 ke baad jab aur agar resistance 1.07402, 1.07293 ka tor hua.

Rubinovi4, aur sath hi EURUSD discussion ke tamam colleagues: Sab ko salam. Jodi ne Jumma ko acha activity dikhaya, lekin iska sabab saaf hai. Pehle toh, yeh sab se badi wajah thi jo economic calendar mein hua, aur dusra, yeh Jumma ke liye kaafi mamooli hai. Lekin aaj mein kuch aur dekhna chahta hoon, yani ke kya yeh is baat ka natija hua ke mojooda general situation daily EURUSD chart mein kisi tarah badal gaya hai. Aur yahaan lagta hai ke isne koi tabdili nahi laayi, aur leading currency pair ki keemat, jaise ke woh aam decline corridor ke andar rakhi gayi thi, abhi bhi waisi hi hai. Iske alawa, yeh kisi bhi "internal changes" ko nahi laaya hai globally formed trend ke dairechahta hoon, yani ke kya yeh is baat ka natija hua ke mojooda general situation daily EURUSD chart mein kisi tarah badal gaya hai. Aur yahaan lagta hai ke isne koi tabdili nahi laayi, aur leading currency pair ki keemat, jaise ke woh aam decline corridor ke andar rakhi gayi thi, abhi bhi waisi hi hai. Iske alawa, yeh kisi bhi "internal changes" ko nahi laaya hai globally formed trend ke daire mein. EURUSD ki keemat, jaise ke woh corresponding long-term trend aur uske daire mein internal impulse ke andar gir rahi thi, abhi bhi waisi hi hai. Internal impulse khud ek phailta hua internal corridor ka andaruni form rakhta hai, aur keemat abhi bhi iske upper limit ki taraf mudawam hai globally formed trend ke daire mein. EURUSD ki keemat, jaise ke woh corresponding long-term trend aur uske daire mein internal impulse ke andar gir rahi thi, abhi bhi waisi hi hai. Internal impulse khud ek phailta hua internal corridor ka andaruni form rakhta hai, aur keemat abhi bhi iske upper limit ki taraf mudawam hai. Iske alawa, iske andaruni trend ke daire mein iske liye abhi bhi kuch space hai. For example, agar andaruni correction mazeed barhti rahe aur growth ke form mein hoti rahe, toh keemat 1.0800 ke neeche price levels tak pohanch sakti hai. Main itminan se keh sakta hoon ke yeh agle trading week mein ho sakta hai. Aur yeh hai ke mojooda long-termexample, agar andaruni correction mazeed barhti rahe aur growth ke form mein hoti rahe, toh keemat 1.0800 ke neeche price levels tak pohanch sakti hai. Main itminan se keh sakta hoon ke yeh agle trading week mein ho sakta hai. Aur yeh hai ke mojooda long-term situation asal mein kaisa hai: Bhavishya mein, mahine ke target level shayad 1.04500 ka mukhya sthanik minimum hoga, jo hum shayad mahine ke ant tak pohanchenge. Shayed buyers


1.07500 ke level se oopar uthne aur 1.08500 ke level tak pohanchne ki koshish karenge. Lekin main samajhta hoon ke yeh ek short-term phenomenon hoga, aur scenario develop nahi hoga. Aamyeh agle trading week mein ho sakta hai. Aur yeh hai ke mojooda long-term situation asal mein kaisa hai: Bhavishya mein, mahine ke target level shayad 1.04500 ka mukhya sthanik minimum hoga, jo hum shayad mahine ke ant tak pohanchenge. Shayed buyers 1.07500 ke level se oopar uthne aur 1.08500 ke level tak pohanchne ki koshish karenge. Lekin main samajhta hoon ke yeh ek short-term phenomenon hoga, aur scenario develop nahi hoga. Aam tor par, main dollar ko euro ke muqable mein mazboot hone ka intezar kar raha hoon.

The Euro (EUR) ko US Dollar (USD) ke khilaf monday ko sehat mand hone ke nishane nazar aaye, pehle session mein nuqsaan uthane ke baad. Asian trading session mein, EUR/USD jori 1.0720 ke qareeb ghoomti rahi, jo ke bearish jazbat mein tawazun ki mumkin shanakht kar rahi thi. Takneeki tahlil ke mutabiq, EUR/USD ek neechay ki channel mein phans gayi hai lekin aham support level 1.0700 ke upar bani hui hai, jo ke neechay ki harkat mein ummed ka izhar karta hai. 1.0600 ke paanch mahinay ke darja par aram milane ke bawajood, EUR/USD ne ab tak kisi numaya dobalaai ko zahir nahi kiya hai. Musalsal bearish dabao jori ko apne paanch mahinay ke darja par phir se dekha ja sakta hai, jab ke is level ke neechay faisla shairai ke liye ho sakta hai, jo ke October-November ke support zone 1.0516, aur is ke baad, September ke support level 1.0487 ko izhar kar sakta hai.






Mukhalif, kisi bhi uthne wale harkat ka jhatakha 2024 ke liye aham support areas par tawajjo shamil hogi, jo ke 1.0693 aur 1.0722 par mojood hain. In rukawaton ko paar karne se haathiyan 1.0795 ko mushkil kar sakti hain, jo 2024 ke darmiyan support aur resistance ke tor par kaam kiya hai. EUR/USD ke liye foran challenges ka intezar aham level 1.0750 par hai, jo ke niche ki channel ki upri hadd ke saath milta hai. Is level ke upar phir se bharatwara ho sakta hai, jori ko bullish momentum faraham kar sakta hai, jis se woh 1.0800 ke nafsiyati rukawat ki taraf chal sakta hai, jiska intezar 1.0885 ke April high tak ho sakta hai. Dosri taraf, EUR/USD ke liye aham support nafsiyati level 1.0700 ke aas paas intezar kiya ja raha hai, jo ke 1.0695 ke aham support zone ke saath milta hai. Is had tak girawat is satha ko dobara jaga sakti hai, jo ke pair ko 1.0650 ke aham support level ki taraf dhamka sakta hai. Mazeed neeche, support ka izhar April ke kam az kam 1.0601 ke qareeb mumkin hai, jo ke niche ki channel ki nichli hadd ke saath milta hai. Bunyadi tor par, EUR/USD ek charaagah par khara hai, aur agle din wazeh ho jayenge ke haathiyan neechay ki harkat se bachne ke liye kafi quwat ikhate kar sakte hain ya agar bear apni hukoomat barqarar rakhte hain.