𝐄𝐔𝐑/𝐔𝐒𝐃

Kal, USA ka advance GDP report ke baad EUR USD mein bearish movement dekhi gayi, jo maine umeed ki thi aur main yeh bhi umeed kar raha tha ke EUR USD neechay ja kar daily demand zone area ko test karega lekin bullish momentum mazboot hai aur chahe news events bhi hon, EUR USD neechay nahi gaya aur aaj humein kuch ahem news events milenge jo USA session mein release honge aur European Union, United Kingdom, ya Germany mein koi khaas reports nahi honge, isliye currency pairs European trading session ke doran sust movement dikhane ke imkanat hain. US America consumers ke Personal Income aur Spending, PCE index, aur University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index ke baare mein reports release karega. Personal Income aur Spending reports khaas nahi hai. Kuch experts PCE index ko "Federal Reserve's inflation gauge of choice" mante hain, lekin yeh aksar market sentiment par kam asar daalta hai. Consumer Sentiment Index kisi bhi maamooli anumaan se bharat rection paida kar sakta hai, lekin sirf agar haqeeqati qeemat main itlaaf ka mamooli pharak ho.












Meri pichli tafseeli analysis mein maine share kiya tha ke mai EUR USD par short term selling opportunity dekh raha hoon aur maine selling opportunity se acha munafa kamaya, lekin jaldi hi maine mehsoos kiya ke EUR USD ka bullish momentum ab bhi mazboot hai aur farokht karne wale abhi bhi kamzor hain aur isliye maine intezaar kiya ke kal ka daily candle band ho aur ab jaise hi mujhe yeh dekhne ko mila ke kal ka daily candle peechle din ke high ko paar kar gaya aur bhi band hua hai, toh main ummeed karta hoon ke bullish momentum jaari rahega aur aaj Jumeraat hai, haftay ka aakhri din hai, isliye main zyada ghair maayari harkat ki umeed rakhta hoon.

Apni analysis ke mutabiq, main EUR USD ko London ya New York session ke doran retracement par kharidne ke liye pur-uzaar hoon.
Isliye, EUR USD ko 1.0714 ke qeemat par kharidne ka acha idea hoga, manuaali stop loss ke saath aur nishaandahi ke liye main rozana ki resistance level ki taraf nishaandahi kar raha hoon jo 1.0860 par hai.
Mukammal taur par, main London session ya New York session mein EUR USD par kharidne ki mauka talash kar raha hoon, kyunke EUR USD ne apna market structure badal kar bearish momentum se bullish momentum mein tabdeel kar liya hai.

Hum market ki harkat ka mutala karenge aur kai fayde mand indicators ka istemal karke tajurbaati aala ko tayyar karenge - Extended Regression StopAndReverse, RSI, aur MACD. Trading shuru karne ka sakht faisla karne ke liye, tamam indicators ki readings milni chahiye. Hum khareedne ya farokht karne ke liye ideal maqam ka intikhab karenge, sath hi position se bahar nikalne ke liye bhi, Fibonacci grid ka istemal karenge jo chunayi gayi time frame (daily ya weekly) ke extreme points per tana gaya hai.

Chart per aap dekh sakte hain ke pehla darja regression line (sonay ki dotted line), jo ke aala saee instrument ki taraf ka rukh aur chunayi gayi time frame (time-frame H4) per mojooda asli trend ka haal dikhata hai, neeche ki taraf muntaqil hai, jo ke tajurbaati aala ki mojooda downward trend harkat ko zahir karta hai. Barabar hi, nazdeek ke mustaqbil ki taraf ka tajurba karne ke liye istemal kiya gaya ghair-linear channel (convex lines) kaafi noticeable downward slope rakhta hai. Ghair-linear regression channel ne sonay ke linear channel ki line ko ooper se neeche se guzra hai aur quotes mein kami ko zahir karta hai.

Keemat ne ghair-linear regression channel ke neela support line ko cross kiya hai, second Level support lekin quotes ka kam tarin (LOW) darja 1.05971 tak pohuncha, iske baad ye apni kamai ko rok kar dheere dheere barhna shuru kiya. Is waqt, aala ek keemat darje per 1.07052 per trade ho raha hai. In sabhi tajurbaatiyat ke bunyadi buniad par, main ummeed karta hoon ke market price quotes wapas laut kar aur FIBO level ke 50% ke 2-nd LevelSupLine channel line (1.07915) ke ooper aur uske baad uparward rukhne ke liye stable ho jayenge, jismein golden average line LR of the linear channel 1.08320 shamil hai, jo ke Fibo level ke 61.8% ke mutabiq hai. Yaad rakhein ke madadgar indicators RSI (14) aur MACD oversold area mein hain aur bhi aala ke price mein izafa hone ki buland sambhavna zahir karte hain.
Yeh sunai deta hai ke figure 1.08 ke baare mein guftagu zaroor dilchasp hogi, khaaskar jab hafta ka akhri din qareeb aa raha hai aur peechle waqton ka jayeza lena mumkin hoga. Aur jab trading kar rahe hote hain, jo ho sakta hai ke baare mein baat karna waqt ka zaya hota hai. Toh Jumma ko EUR/USD ki taraf se jo hua, woh wohi lag raha tha jo mujhe umeed thi: shuru mein 1.07 figure ke darmiyan buland harkat - yeh hui... 1.06 figure ki taraf ek giravat aur mazboot support 1.0691 ka imtehaan... aur yeh bhi tha, lekin, khatarnak baat yeh hai ke yeh cheezein aksar market mein hoti hain: rukh durust tasveer mein the, hawale ghalat kaha ja sakta hai, lekin isi doran, eurodollar ki tamam harkat guzri, jaise kehte hain, nakadar gayi: keemat 1.0753 per phunchi nahi... 1.0691 ke support ko tor kar chale gaye 1.0670 ki taraf, yeh samajh mein aata hai ke maine Jumma ko bina rukawat ke yaad kiya tha aur isliye, pehli mauqe per, apna khareed ka aaghaaz thoda minus mein band kar diya. Aur bas saans li gayi: kitna acha hai ke Jumma guzar gaya hai..

EUR/USD currency pair

EUR/USD currency pair ne aik ahem support level 1.0769 ko toorna hai, jisse aik potential breakout ka signal milta hai mojooda support zone se, jo ke 1.0432 ke agle support level ki taraf mazeed neeche ki taraf ja sakta hai. Agar yeh manzar pesh aaye, to yeh EUR/USD pair apni girawat ko jari rakhne ka darwaza kholta hai, jis se 1.0121 ke ehem darwazay ke neeche maqamiyat hosakti hai. Jabke EUR/USD charts is girawat ko darust karti hain, to traders aur analysts halat ke tabadlay ko qareeb se dekh rahe hain. Asal support level ke tootne ka matlab hai ke market ka nazriya badal gaya hai, jahan bearish forces ka hosla barh gaya hai. Investors intehai tawajju se dekh rahe hain ke kya yeh jora apni neeche ki manzil tak pohanch jaye ga aur agle support levels ko toor de ga, jo ke bearish trend ka gehra hona darust karta hai. Is taraqqi mein, market participants mukhtalif factors ko dekh rahe hain jo EUR/USD pair ki raftar ko mutasir kar sakte hain. Ma'ashiyat ke indicators, saqafati waqiyat, aur central bank policies, sab currency movements ko shaping karte hain. Traders data releases aur khabron ko tez nazar se dekh rahe hain taakeh currency pair ki movement ko drive karne wale asli factors ke baray mein pata chal sakein.

Halankay mojooda EUR/USD pair par neeche ki dabaav hai, lekin kuch analysts qareebi mustaqbil mein aik uljhan kaar palatna ka izhaar kar rahe hain. Charts jo euro ko US dollar ke muqablay mein mazboot banate hain, un par tawajju milti hai. Yeh mukhtalif nazriyat market mein ek uncertainty ka element lekar aati hai, jab traders mukhtalif signals ko tawazun mein laate hain aur apni strategies ko mutabiq karne ki koshish karte hain. Mazeed, US dollar ke maqoolfiyat ki taraf market ki jazbat bhi EUR/USD pair ki movement ko mutasir karti hai. Khatraat ki shiddat mein tabdiliyan, interest rate ki umeedon mein tabdiliyan, aur saqafati waqiyat, sab dollar ki taqat ya kamzori ke lehaz se investors ke tasawwur ko mutasir kar sakti hain.

Aakhir mein, 1.0769 support level ka tootna EUR/USD pair mein traders aur analysts mein tajziyaon ka sabab ban gaya hai. Halankeh mojooda raftar girawat ke jari rahne ka ishaara deta hai, lekin mukhtalif signals aur qareebi palatnay ki sambhaavnaain market outlook ko mohlik banati hain. Traders naye halat ke mutabiq apni strategies ko adjust kar rahe hain aur market dynamics ka jawab dete hue tajziyat ko qareeb se dekh rahe hain.

EUR/USD currency

Asian trading session mein, EUR/USD currency pair ne ek chhote se ghiraav ka saamna kiya, jo kal record kiye gaye neeche daale gaye the. Yeh harkat Monday ko mukhtalif major currencies ke saath dekhe gaye US dollar ki mazbooti ke saath milta hai. Investors Europe mein mojood haalat-e-ma'ashi ki wajah se US dollar ko ek safe-haven aset ke tor par pasand kar rahe hain, jo khaaskar Germany ke ongoing economic decline se zyada barh gayi hai.

EUR/USD currency pair ka thora sa giravat Asian trading session ke doran nedamni bearish sentiment ka jaari rehne ka izhar karta hai jo haal hi mein sessions mein ubhri thi. Is giravat ko mukhtalif factors ki wajah se mansoob kiya ja sakta hai, jin mein US dollar ki mazbooti shamil hai, jo euro par neeche ki taraf dabaav dalta hai.

Monday ko US dollar ki qadar major currencies ke basket ke muqable mein, jin mein euro shamil hai, investors ke zyada tar pasand ko dikhata hai global economic uncertainty mein. US dollar aksar market turmoil ya geopolitical tension ke doran safe-haven currency ke tor par faida uthata hai, jo stability aur security ki talash mein investors ko apni investments ke liye khichata hai.

Europe mein ma'ashi uljhanat, khaaskar Germany ke ongoing decline, investors ke darmiyan risk-off sentiment mein izafa kar rahi hai. Germany, Europe ka sab se bara mua'ashati markaz hai, jo region ke ma'ashi manzar mein aham kirdar ada karta hai. Is tarah, Germany ke mua'ashati indicators mein kisi bhi kamzori ya giravat ke nishan Eurozone mein ripple effects paida kar sakti hain, investor confidence ko mutasir karke euro par dabaav dalte hue.

Is ke ilawa, Eurozone ki mukhtalif masail, jaise ke mand growth, buland berozgari dar, aur siyasi uljhanat, ne euro ke performance ko US dollar ke muqable mein giravat di hai. Ye masail investors ko US dollar ke mehsoos hone wale safe-haven ki taraf rujoo karne par majboor karte hain, jo is ke hilaf mazbooti mein izafa karta hai.

Aane waale doran, market participants aham hawalat ki nigrani karte hue jari rahenge, jaise ke US aur Eurozone ki mua'ashati shorat, aur kisi bhi geopolitical developments jo currency markets ko mutasir kar sakte hain. Is ke ilawa, aane wale ma'ashi data releases aur central bank announcements ko tawajjo se dekha jayega taake EUR/USD currency pair aur mazeed currency markets ke future direction ka andaza lagaya ja sake.

Ham ab EUR/USD currency pair ki qeemat ka tajziya kar rahe hain. Pichle trading din ka tajziya thora wazeh hai ke qeemat ne dobara rozana level 0.06193 ke neeche giraane ki koshish ki, aur phir is imtehaan ke baad, pehle se hi bullish mombati ne minimum mein thori bandish dikhayi. Ye kya maayne rakhta hai? Zahir hai ke is jagah par aik limit buyer shayad nazar aaye jo qeemat ko exactly is level par rok sakte hain taake qeemat ko lambi position mein tor saken. Iske ilawa, hume yeh assume karna chahiye ke aise lambay girawat ke baad, sellers ko aagay ki girawat ke liye liquidity reserves ko dubara bharne ki zarurat hai. Aur kuch short sellers apne munafe ko band karke, apne transactions ko band karne ke natijay mein khareedne walay ban jayenge. Lekin yeh ke hum 1.0670 level tak pohanch gaye aur oopar nahi ja sakte, yeh beshak utni achi baat nahi hai shumali rukh ke liye kyunke H1 par chart zigzags karta hai. Magar mein yeh manta hoon ke yeh aaj ke liye ek choti si ghalti hai kyunke majmaa pehle se hi khatam ho chuka hai. Poore hafte se mein EUR/USD pair ki barhne ki shuruat ka intezaar kar raha tha, aur khareedne walay ne koshish ki, jiske liye unka shukriya. Lekin waqt guzar gaya hai; envelopes ke mutabiq jin se mein kaam karta hoon, ke levels ko ab intezaam kiya gaya hai, aur ab, naye trading hafte mein, mein EUR/USD pair ke sellers ke saath ho jaunga. Rukawat zone woh zone hai jo 1.0655 aur 1.0698 ke levels se mehdood hai. Aur hum ne $1.0655 par majmaa band kiya.

Is tareeqay se, hum literally 1.0580 ki taraf kam shuru kar sakte hain trading ki shuruat se, aur agar woh qeemat ko 1.0655 ke upar laate hain, to ye sirf shairon ko zigzag karne mein 1.0698 tak der kar dega, aur phir se hume 1.0580 tak jaana hoga, jahan tay kiya jayega ke hum kahan jaenge agle. Agar hum 1.0580 ke neeche nahi ja sakte, to mujhe phir se khareedne wale banana hoga. EUR/USD ko roka gaya, aur din ki bandish par girne ki koshish ka hissa hissa khatam kiya gaya. Be imani aam tor par kisi ke peechay kisi ko chupata hai. Agar pond shaniwar ko jaldi khareeda nahi gaya lekin qeemat ko neeche dabata raha, to mujhe lagta hai ke euro bhi uska raasta ikhtiyar karega. To, charts ke mutabiq, asal neeche ki taraf ka rukh aur mojooda ikhata bhi H4 channel ke liye ek naya uchch ban sakta hai. Nishana zone support 1.0600 se shuru hota hai, aur is zone mein dakhil hone se harkat ke liye potensial khulta hai; nishaan kareeb 1.0520 hai, aur yahan mark 1.0450 ko dabaane ki bhi mumkinat hai. Aam tor par, aapko dekhna hai ke 4 ghante mein mojooda trade ko kahan daba ke nikala jaye. Dekha ja sakta hai ke zone lines mazbooti se qayam hain, aur un ke darmiyan harkat barh rahi hai. Rozana dour ke liye, bunyadiyat wahi hai. Abhi tak samajh nahi aayi ke woh kahan ke nishaan maar denge.

Ham abhi EUR/USD currency pair ki qeemat ka jaiza kar rahe hain. Aakhri trading din kuch ishara hai ke qeemat dobara din ka darja 0.06193 ke neeche girne ki koshish ki, aur phir is imtehan ke baad, pehle se bullish mombati mein minimum ka dabao dikhaya gaya. Ye kya maayna rakhta hai? Zahir hai, ke is jagah ek had buyer nazar aa sakta hai jo ke qeemat ko barabar is darje par rakh sakta hai taake qeemat ko lambi position mein tod sake. Iske ilawa, humein ye maanna chahiye ke itni lambi girawat ke baad, bechnay wale ko agle girawat ke liye liquidity reserves ko bharne ki zaroorat hai. Aur kuch short sellers apne munafe ko band karne ki koshish karte hain aur unke muamlaat band hone ke natije mein, ve kharidne wale ban jaate hain. Lekin ye ke hum 1.0670 darja tak pohanch gaye aur urooj nahi kar sake, to ye behtareen nahi hai uttarward rukh ke liye kyun ke H1 par chart zigzags. Magar, main aaj ke liye ye chhota sa ghalti maanta hoon kyun ke boli band ho chuki hai. Saari hafta main EUR/USD pair ki umeed kar raha tha ke wo barhna shuru karde, aur kharidne wale ne koshish ki, jiska main shukriya adaa karta hoon. Lekin waqt guzar gaya hai; envelope ke mutabiq levels ab tajweez kiye gaye hain, aur ab, naye trading haftay se, main pehle se hi EUR/USD pair ke bechne wale ke saath hoon. Mukhalif zone 1.0655 aur 1.0698 ke darjon se mehdood hai. Aur hum ne $1.0655 ke liye boli band kar di.

Is taur par, hum literally trading ke khulne se 1.0580 tak giravat shuru kar sakte hain, aur agar wo qeemat ko 1.0655 ke upar le jaate hain, to ye sirf 1.0698 tak muddahej karne wale ko dheeraj de ga, aur phir humein abhi bhi 1.0580 par jaana hai, jahan faisla hoga ke hum kahan jayenge agle. Agar hum 1.0580 ke neeche nahi ja sakte, to phir mujhe phir se kharidne wala ban'na padega. EUR/USD ko roka gaya, aur trading din ke ikhtitam par giravat ki koshish ka hissa kuch had tak badha. Ye tasadum aam tor par kisi doosre ki peechay chalne wale ko khatam kar deta hai. Agar sterling aamadah ko peer ko jaldi kharid nahi leta lekin qeemat ko neeche dabaata rahta hai, to main sochta hoon ke euro bhi iska anjaam bakhshay ga. To, charts ke mutabiq, mukhtalif direction aur maujooda ikhata ho sakta hai H4 channel ke musalsal behtari ke liye. Maqsad zone 1.0600 se shuru hota hai, aur is zone ke nichle khat ke taraf movement ke liye mawafiq ehtimam hai; nishan lagbhag 1.0520 ke darje par hai, aur nishan 1.0450 ko dabaane ki bhi mumkinat hai. Amooman, aapko dekhnay ki zaroorat hai ke 4 ghanton mein current trade ko kahan knock out kiya jaye. Dekha gaya hai ke zone lines mazbooti se qayam hain, aur unke andar movement mein raftar barh rahi hai. Din ke doran kiya gaya tajziya bhi wahi hai. Main abhi tak samajh nahi paya ke woh kahan mukhalif honge.

Euro (EUR) US Dollar (USD) ke khilaaf 1.0650 ke aas paas ghum raha hai, bazaar mein pareshani ke doran. Ye Monday ko ahem ma'ashiyati data ke ikhtitam se pehle chand dino ka mustiqil hone ke baad hota hai. Amreki aur Eurozone dono Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) updates ko Tuesday ko dekhein gay, jo karobari fa'alat par roshni daalne mein madad faraham karenge. Haftay ke darmiyan, barhtay hue asar ke saath US ke ahem data jaari kiye jaenge, jo bazaar ko interest rate hikes ka intizaar karte hue bana rakhega. Eurozone PMI data ka tajziya hai ke nuksan mein halki behtari ki ummed hai, jahan pe mukhtalif PMI ka tajziya hai ke 50.3 ke mukabley April mein 50.8 tak ka izafa hone ki tawaqo ki ja rahi hai. Isi tarah, Jerman ke PMI ka tajziya hai ke 47.7 se 48.6 tak barhne ki ummed hai. Magar, Eurozone ke manufacturing PMI mein ab bhi tanazzul ke ilaqe mein rehne ki sambhavna hai, haalaanki 46.1 se 46.5 tak barhne ki tawaqo hai. April mein 2.62% ke izafay ke baad, EUR/USD joda haali mein kami aayi hai. Jabke Euro ne 1.0600 ke qareeb se thodi behtari dekhi hai, lekin yeh 200-hour Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke aas paas larti hai. Japanese candlesticks ka istemal karke technical indicators ke mutabiq Euro mazeed 1.0500 ke qareeb gir sakta hai, ek ahem support level ke liye. Magar, short-term keemaati harkatein 200-day EMA ko 1.0807 par wapas le ja sakti hain.
April ke inflation report ke baad Euro ko mazid farokht ka dabaaw mila, jo joda 2024 ke kamzor 1.0693 ke neeche daba diya. Paanch mahinay ke kamzor 1.0600 par waqtanah sahara dhoondne ke bawajood, Euro abhi tak koi qabiliyat wapas lana nahi banaya. Agar neeche ki manfi trend jaari rahe, to joda phir se paanch mahinay ke kamzor ko dhoond sakta hai. Is se neeche, mumkin sahara zone 1.0516 (October-November) aur mazeed neeche 1.0487 (September) mein maujood hai. Dosri taraf, kisi bhi upar ki harkat pehle 2024 ke ahem support ilaqon par mukhtalif takleefat ka samna kar sakti hai, jaise ke 1.0693 aur 1.0722. In rukawaton ko paar karna Euro ko 1.0795 ki taraf le ja sakta hai, jo pehle 2024 mein support aur resistance ka kaam karta tha.

EUR/USD pair early European session mein 1.0750 ke ooper ek tang range mein trade kar raha hai. US dollar taqat hasil karne ki koshish kar raha hai ahem PCE price index data se pehle, jo Fed ka pasandida inflation gauge hai, aur yeh pair apni positions ko barqarar rakhne mein madad kar raha hai. Magar, pehle zikar kiya gaya hai ke pair ne mid-week move tak pohanch gaya hai aur mazeed upar ki movement sawal mein hai. Yeh tay nahi hai ke keemat apni shumali safar jaari rakh sakegi, magar strategy ke qawaneen mujhe mid-week move ke ooper khareedne ki ijaazat nahi dete. Magar, somwar se shuruat karke, haftay ki control zone 1.0770-1.07868 ki taraf kharidari maqbool hogi, beshak agar maqsad aaj tak nahi pohancha hai. Khareedari wale ke liye, jab mid-week move tak pohancha jata hai, hum hissa karobar band karte hain aur breakeven par jaate hain.

Jora ke keemat mazeed aaj aur is haftay ke ikhtitam tak barhne ka imkan hai, kyunke keemat nayi resistance level ko torh kar, jo 1.0738 ke level hai, aur abhi 1.0785 resistance ki taraf ja rahi hai. Is haftay mein, jora ka trend ooper ki taraf tha, kyunke pehle gir gaya aur haftay ke pivot level se support mila, phir keemat barhi aur kai resistance levels aur price channels bhi torhne ka jari raha. Pichle 4 candles ke doran, keemat ko 1.0738 ke level se resistance mil rahi thi, aur ek saath torhe gaye channel lines se support mil raha tha. Ab keemat ne resistance ko torh kar aur is ke ooper settle hone mein kamyabi haasil ki hai mazeed uthne ke liye. Maeeshat ke lehaaz se, jora US Federal Reserve ki pasandida US inflation reading ke ilaan se pehle barh raha hai. Is numaindagi ke doran, 10 saal ke German bond yield 5 mahinon ki bulandi tak pohanch gayi. German 10 saal ke bond yield ne 2.6% tak barh kar liya, late November ke baad pehli martaba, jab US bond yields recent GDP data ke baad barh gaye aur yeh dikhaya ke US Federal Reserve ko rate cuts ke liye zyada waqt intezar karna padega. Faida. Ek taraf, US ki maeeshat pehle dora mein umeed se kam darje par barhi, magar doosri taraf, mahangi dabaavayein buland rahi. Magar, Europe mein, investors European Central Bank se is saal teen darjaat ke interest rate cuts ki umeed rakhte hain. Isi numaindagi mein, 10 saal ke US Treasury bonds ki yield 4.7% se zyada tak barh gayi, early November se pehli martaba.

Hum euro/dollar ke H4 chart ke liye mahol ka tajziya kar chuke hain aur ab main aadhe ghante ke chart ko kholna chahunga. Is par hum dekhte hain ke 1.0600 par ek mazboot local minimum hai, jise bear kai martaba todne ki koshish ki (kam az kam teen martaba), uske baad jodi uttar ki taraf mudi aur phir ek uttar chadhav keemat ke channel mein bana, jisme euro/dollar 1.0696 par trade kiya jata hai. Mojooda level se, ham zyadatar tajziyati girawat ka silsila jaari rakhein ge aur channel ke neeche ki taraf girawat ka silsila jaari rahe ga, jiski takraav jise qareeb 1.0680 ke darja ke qareeb hoga.

Chart M30: Kal ahem maqoolati khabroon ke liye ek kaafi ameer din hai. Moscow waqt ke mutabiq 15.00 baje, Amreeki GDP jaari kiya jata hai aur is ko 3.4 fee se 2.5 fee tak girne ka imkan hai. Usi waqt, ibtedai aamilon ke liye darkhwastat ki tadad jaari ki jati hai aur is imkan ke sath rehti hai ke 212K se 214K tak izafa ho. Jaise ke hum dekh rahe hain, Amreeki maeeshat ke data ke liye kamzor tawaqo ki jati hai, aur in kamzor data ki tawaqo ke bais hi abhi majors mein izafa ho raha hai.


Upar, mein ne euro/dollar jodi ke H4 chart ke liye haalat ka tajziya kiya, aur ab main aadhe ghante ka chart kholna chahta hoon. Us par hum dekhte hain ke 1.0600 par ek mazboot mahdood kami hai, jise bears ne kai dafa torne ki koshish ki hai (kam se kam teen dafa), uske baad jodi shumal ki taraf mudi aur phir ek oonchaai darja ke qeemat channel ban gaya, jismein euro/dollar 1.0696 par trade ho rahi hai. Moujooda darje se, hum zyada tar taqreeban 1.0680 ke darje tak tehqiqati girawat jari rakhne ka imkan hai, jo ke channel ke nichle kinaray par milti hai.

M30 Chart: Kal aham maali khabrein ke liye aik kaafi dolat mand din hai. Moscow ke waqt 15.00 par US GDP jaari kiya jata hai aur ishaara 3.4 percent se 2.5 percent kam hone ki umeed hai. Isi waqt, berozgaari ke faide ke ibtedai arzooat ki ginti bhi jaari ki jati hai aur ishaara 212K se 214K tak barhne ki umeed hai. Jaise hum dekhte hain, US ki maaliyat ke data ki kamzori ki umeed hai, aur pehle se hee is kamzor data ki umeed par, mukhtalif currencies barh rahi hain.

EUR/USD H4 TIME FRAME:

Hum euro/dollar ke chaar ghante ka chart kholte hain aur dekhte hain ke pehle, 1.0980 ke darje par ek maqami zyada taqatwar local maximum ke banne ke baad, major ne dakshin ki taraf mor diya aur ek pur shandar niche ki taraf price channel bana, jo dakshin ki taraf mazboot tausee kaafi hai. Ek aur support line se 1.0600 ke darje par ek baar phir urdne ke baad (euro/dollar ke liye maqami minimum), jiske baad major correctional growth mein chala gaya aur ab dakshini channel ke andar teesra uttarward wave hai. Iske alawa, tezabiyat ki wave growth ascending channel ke andar ho rahi hai aur ab, 1.0710 ke darje par iske uppari sima se phir se rebound karne ke baad, pair dakshin ki taraf mor gaya hai aur ek correctional decline ka zyada probability hai support line tak - darje 1.0660 ke. Us se, mujhe ummeed hai ke ek rebound hoga aur niche ki taraf ke price channel ke uppari sima tak ka continued growth, jiska takraav lagbhag 1.0750 ke darje par hoga. Is tarah, hum darje 1.0660 se darje 1.0750 tak kharidenge.

EUR/USD M30 TIME FRAME:

Upar, maine euro/dollar pair ke liye H4 chart par maahol ka jaiza diya hai, aur ab main aadhe ghante ka chart kholna chahta hoon. Us par hum dekhte hain ke 1.0600 par ek mazboot maqami minimum hai, jise bears ne kai baar tootne ki koshish ki (kam se kam teen baar), uske baad pair uttar ki taraf mora aur phir ek uparward price channel bana, jisme euro/dollar 1.0696 ke darje par trade ho raha hai. Vartamaan darje se, humein zyada tar correctional decline ka agla bhag dekhne ko mil sakta hai channel ke neeche ki sima tak, jiske takraav lagbhag 1.0680 ke darje par hoga. Chart M30: Kal ek ahem maamla ke liye ek kafi daulatmand din hai. Moscow waqt ke mutabiq 15.00 par US GDP jaari kiya jayega aur iska indicator 3.4 feesad se 2.5 feesad mein ghata diya jaane ki umeed hai. Ussi samay, intial maangon ki ginti jaari ki jayegi aur iska indicator 212K se 214K tak barhne ki umeed hai. Jaise hum dekhte hain, US ki arzi seyasi ke data ki kamzori ki ummeed hai, aur in kamzor dataon ki ummeed par to major abhi se badh rahe hain.

Hum euro/dollar ke char ghantay ke chart ko kholte hain aur dekhte hain ke pehle, 1.0980 ke darje par aik maqami ziyadaat ke baad, major south ki taraf murnay laga aur aik pur sukoon neechayi ke qeemat ka channel ban gaya, jo ke southern ki taraf mazboot phailawar rakhta hai. Ek aur support line se 1.0600 ke darje par rebound ke baad (euro/dollar ke liye maqami kamzori), jiske baad major taqreeban rukhiyat ke uthaane mein chala gaya aur ab southern channel ke andar teesra shumari wave hai. Is ke ilawa, rukhiyat ka taqreeban aur uthne wala wave is ascending channel ke andar ho raha hai aur ab, is ke upper border se rebound ke baad 1.0710 ke darje par, joda south ki taraf murnay laga hai aur yahan ek corrective decline ke buland ihtimal hai - support line tak - 1.0660 ke darje par. Is se, bari umeed hai ke rebound hoga aur mazeed uthaar hoga takreeban 1.0750 ke darje par downward price channel ke upper border tak, jiska takraav taqreeban 1.0750 ke darje par hoga. Is tarah, hum 1.0660 ke darje se 1.0750 ke darje tak khareedte hain.

Oopar, maine euro/dollar ke liye H4 chart par haalat ka tajziya kia, aur ab main naye chart ko kholna chahta hoon. Is par hum dekhte hain ke 1.0600 par aik mazboot maqami kamzori hai, jise bears ne kai baar toorna ki koshish ki (kam az kam teen martaba), is ke baad joda uttar kiya gaya aur phir aik uthne wala price channel ban gaya, jismein euro/dollar 1.0696 par mushtamil hai. Mojooda darje se, hum zyada tar mutawazun girawat ko le kar aik nahi zahir hone ki taraf ja rahe hain, jiska takraav taqreeban 1.0680 ke darje par hoga. Chart M30: Kal ek ahem arziat ke liye kaafi mukhtalif din hai. Moscow ke waqt 15.00 par, America ka GDP jari kiya jata hai aur intihai taqseer 3.4 percent se 2.5 percent tak ka imkan hai. Ussi waqt, ibtidaai arzoon ki tadad jari ki jaati hai aur intehai taqseer 212K se 214K tak ka imkan hai. Jaise ke dekha gaya, America ki ma'ashi shakhsiyat par mazboot data ki umeed hai, aur in kamzor data ki umeedon ke intezar par, mukhtalif tarjuman barh rahe hain.

EUR/USD H1 ANALYSIS:

EURUSD market Ichimoku cloud ke upar trading kar rahi hai. Cloud do lines Span A 1.06912 aur Span B 1.06686 se milta hai. Jab market cloud ke neeche tha, to ye resistance ka kaam karti thi. Abhi, market price 1.07071 Kumo ke upar hai, jo cloud area ko mazboot support mein tabdeel karta hai jahan se aapko khareedne ka entry point dhoondhna chahiye. Bullish mood ko ek aur signal se kharabi ka samna hai. Ye Tenkan-Sen 1.07011 ka intersection hai, jo Kijun-Sen 1.06940 line ke upar hai, ek golden cross bana raha hai. Intersection ke baray mein maloomat aur market cloud ke upar hone ka ye bahut taqatwar khareedne ka signal deta hai. Uptrend ke saath khareedne ka tajurba tasavvur kiya jata hai. Cloud break hone ke baad, growth option asar andaz nahi hoga. Sense-line ke opposite signal par munafa le sakte hain.

EUR/USD H4 ANALYSIS:

Charts par haalat, ghanton ke aur 4 ghanton ke, abhi jo upar ki movement hai woh lambi aur tang ho rahi hai, yaani hum ek ascending wedge jaise model ko milta hai, ya to EUR/USD ke liye ya pound ke liye. Aaj GDP states mein aati hai aur charts ki adjustment jo humare paas ab hai, agar hum ise statistics par laaen to humein in dono currency pairs ke liye ek achhi downward impulse mil sakta hai. Statistics par output neeche jaata hai, euro ke liye minimum target 1.0660-40 hai, aap samajh rahe hain, data aur unke reaction par bahut kuch nirbhar karta hai, movement ki taqat. Agar hum data ke neeche jaate hain, to humein ek level ke roop mein seema milta hai, kuch kaha jaye to 1.0680. Upar 1.0760, plus minus hain abhi ke movement ke hisaab se. Statistics ke saath neeche jaane ka plan kharidne se pehle hai, main neeche ki impulse ko pakarunga, phir statistics ke reaction ke adhaar par kaam karunga aur main statistics field ka student hoon.

EUR/USD ka rukh, jaise aapne kaha, na to neeche ki taraf jaane mein ruka hua tha aur na hi bullish correction shuru ki demand. Volatility bhi kam thi, jaise ke pehle dinon mein bhi tha, maqrooz ma'ashiyati events aur bunyadi tajziyat ke bawajood. Euro zone mein ZEW Institute se tajwezati intizamat ki economic umeed indexes ki report bhi ahmiyat ke lihaaz se doosri darje ki thi aur iska koi asar EUR/USD pair par nahi tha. Iske ilawa, Federal Reserve representative Mary Daly ne bhi kaha ke US interest rates ko kam karne ki "ko jaldi nahi hai", aur ye bataya ke interest rates girne shuru tab honge jab tak mawad takleef ke maqbal pohnche. Ye baat bhi market ke liye ek clarification thi aur isne USD ki stability ko barqarar rakha. Ab baat karte hain US ke mukhtalif economic events ki. Federal Reserve ka monetary policy statement aur press conference ek darust muddat the. Isme kisi bhi naye surprises ka intezar nahi tha, lekin market participants ne closely watch kiya ke kya koi naye insights ya signals hain future monetary policy ke mutaliq. In events ke bad, USD ki halat stable rahi aur market mein khaas farq nahi pada.



Euro zone ki taraf se bhi kuch maqrooz reports aayi hain, jinmein GDP growth aur inflation ke mutaliq naye numbers shamil hain. Euro zone ki economy ko lekar halat mehfooz nazar aayi, lekin kuch investors cautious rahe hain future prospects ke mutaliq. ECB ki monetary policy stance bhi closely monitored ja rahi hai, khaas kar ke inflation ke darust upar chadhne par. Ab jo sawal hai future ki taraf ki aur kya isse expect kiya ja sakta hai. Market participants ka sentiment mixed hai. Kuch log expect kar rahe hain ke EUR/USD pair mein thoda sa tezi aaye, jabke doosri taraf kuch log cautious hain aur wait kar rahe hain ke kisi bade event ya signal ke baad market ki direction clarify ho. Overall, current situation mein market mein stability hai aur koi drastic changes nahi huye hain. Is context mein, traders aur investors ko careful approach apnana chahiye aur closely economic indicators aur central bank statements ko monitor karna chahiye taake wo sahi decisions le sakein apni trades aur investments ke mutali

EUR/USD

Baat karna shayad lazzat afzai hogi figure 1.08 ke bare mein, khas karke jab hafta ka akhri din qareeb aa raha hota hai, aur purane mawad ko dekhne ka mauka mil jata hai. Aur jab trading karte hain, un cheezon ke bare mein baat karna jo mumkin nahi hai, waqt zaya karne ke barabar hai. To Jumma ka din waisa guzra jaisa ke maine EUR/USD se umeed ki thi: aik 1.07 figure ke darmiyan uthna - yeh tha... aik 1.06 figure ki taraf kami aur mazboot sahara 1.0691 ki tajurbat... aur yeh bhi hua, lekin, yaar, yeh market mein aksar hota hai: rukh sahi tay kiya gaya tha, hidayat ko ghalat nahi kaha ja sakta, lekin is doraan, eurodollar ke tamam harkatien, jaise kehte hain, nakad daftar ke baghair guzri: qeemat 1.0753 tak taqseem nahi hui... unhone 1.0691 ke sahara ko tod diya aur 1.0670 ki taraf chale gaye, wazeh hai ke maine Jumma ko be retraction yaad kiya aur is liye, pehli moqa par, apni kharidari ko halki minus ke saath theek kiya. Aur main bas saans bhari: kitna acha hai ke Jumma guzar gaya.










Haqeeqat yeh hai ke forex market mein kabhi bhi umeedon ke mutabiq chalna aksar mushkil hota hai. Market ki ghumaysh aur takhliqat hamesha asani se predict nahi ki ja sakti, aur yehi trading ka junoon hai. Har trader ko in imkaniyat ka ehsas hota hai.
EUR/USD ke mamlay mein, aik chhota giraavat hargiz hairatangez nahi hai. Is currency pair ke darmiyan talukat mein tawazun aur mizaaj ka buhat ahem kirdar hota hai. Is liye, jab bhi trading ke liye tayari karte hain, zaroori hai ke behtar fahm ho ke market ki haqeeqat kya hai.
Friday ki ghariyon mein, EUR/USD mein asal maqsad ki taraf bhaagna zaroori hai. Agar market mein bairauni tor par kuch had tak tezi hai, to iska matlab yeh nahi ke woh apni asli raah par wapas nahi aa sakti.
Is maamle mein, zahiri hai ke aapka tajurba aapko aik naye shawr ke nazdeek la sakta hai. Jaise kehte hain, har kami ko ek sikka kehlaya ja sakta hai - yani har nuqsan ko aik sabaq samjha jasakta hai.
Is liye, jab bhi trading karte hain, himmat aur bardasht ke saath kaam karna zaroori hai. Har nuqsan ko aik nayi tajziya samajhna chahiye aur har moka ka faida uthana chahiye, chahe woh chhota ho ya bara. Aur yad rakhiye, market ki raftar aur mizaaj ko samajhne ke liye waqt aur tajurba ki zaroorat hoti hai.

EURUSD Ki Tafseelat:


Moving Average Indicator Ke Sath Ghoor Kar Dekha Ja Raha Hai:

Dinly Tafseel Se Taaleem Ke Mutabiq Price Ab Bhi Buyers Dwara Qaim Ki Jaa Rahi Hai Takay Woh MA 50 Red Aur MA 200 Yellow Areas Tak Kareeb Le Jaye Jate Hain Jo Ke Prices 1.0800-1.0810 Par Hain. Par Kal Ke Trading Mein Sellers Ka Kamiyabi Ke Sath EurUsd Market Pair Par Control Dobara Hasil Karne Ka Faida Aur Bearish Candlestick Ke Ikhtiyar Ka Matlab Hai Ke Seller Ki Moqaat Price Ko Neche Dhakelne Ke Liye Phir Se Kai Jati Hain Aur Ye Trading Aglay Haftay Mein Jaari Reh Sakti Hai.

Agla Monday Parum Kiye Gaya Hai:

Monday Ko Trading Mein Ek Aur Bearish Movement Ki Tawaqqa Hai Jise Sellers Chahte Hain Ke Unki Bearish Momentum Dobara Barqarar Rahe By Buyer Support Area 1.0680-1.0670 Par Dobara Imtehan Dene Ke Sath Gehri Bearish Moqaayain Khilwade Kholain Jo Ke Nakad Maang Support Area Ki Taraf Jaane Ke Maqam Par Hote Hain. Ye Prices 1.0645-1.0635 Hote Hain. Agar Sellers Is Maqam Ko Ghaat Nahi Kar Sakte Tou Buyers Ko Phir Se Bullishly Price Upar Le Jaane Ka Moqa Hota Hai Red MA 50 Area Par Jo Ke Prices 1.0800-1.0810 Hote Hain.

Taala Martabiq Mein Band Huwa Bullish Channel, EURUSD Ab Bhi Urooj Karne Ki Salahiyat Rakhta Hai:

Technical Reference:
Khareedain Jab Tak 1.06980 Se Uper Hai
Resistance 1: 1.07580
Resistance 2: 1.07685
Support 1: 1.06980
Support 2: 1.06860

European Session Mein Koi Khaas Harkat Nahi Thi, Lekin EURUSD Ne Ab Bhi Naye Daily High Bana Liya 1.07528 Ke Range Mein, US Session Aaj Raat (26/4/24) Currency Pair Phir Se Urooj Kar Sakta Hai Bullish Trend Jari Rakhne Ke Liye Kyunke Price Ab Bhi Bullish Channel Mein Hai.

Ooper Diye Gaye 15 M Chart Mein Dekha Ja Sakta Hai Ke EURUSD Bhi Aghwari Ki Mojoodgi Mein Izafay Ka Mauqa Dene Lagta Hai Kiunke Zigzag Ek Bullish Channel Banane Ka Agaz Kar Raha Hai Aur MA Bhi Urooj Ki Taraf Mana Ja Raha Hai. Agar Uper Di Gayi Misal Sahi Hoti Hai Tou EURUSD Ka Mauqa Hai Ke Resistance Level 1.07580 Tak Pohanch Jaye.