𝐆𝐁𝐏/𝐔𝐒𝐃

GBP/USD
Good morning dosto!

Khushqismati se, GBP/USD market ne ek aur take profit point par pohanch gaya, jahan maine kaha tha ke ye 1.2978 zone ko cross kar sakta hai. Ye level kal successfully cross kar gaya. Is liye, hum ab ek aur sell position khol sakte hain.

Is hafte US dollar par focus karne wale traders ke liye unique mauqe aur challenges hain. Kai ahem economic reports jari hone wali hain, jismein FOMC member Harker ki taqreer, Richmond Manufacturing Index, Existing Home Sales, Crude Oil Inventories, aur Durable Goods Orders shamil hain. Traders ko alert rehna chahiye aur naye data ke mutabiq apni strategies ko adjust karne ke liye tayar rehna chahiye.

Is ke ilawa, agle US Presidential Elections bhi market mein complex dynamics laayenge, isliye traders ke liye ye zaroori hai ke wo maloomat se waqif rahen aur apne trading plans ko uske mutabiq badlein. Technical aur fundamental analysis ko mila kar, realistic take-profit points set karna, aur stop-loss orders ka behtar istemal karke, traders is volatile market ko samajh sakte hain aur aane wale mauqe ka faida utha sakte hain.

GBP/USD ke liye trading ke liye, key reports jaise ke US Unemployment Rate, Flash Manufacturing aur Services PMI, aur New Home Sales ka jari hona US economy ki health par valuable insights dega. Ye reports labor market, business activity, aur housing market ka comprehensive view faraham karegi, jo ke economic growth ke liye ahmiyat rakhti hain.

Traders ke liye, kamiyabi ka raaz hamesha waqif rehna, flexible rehna, aur technical aur fundamental analysis ka combination istemal karke ek well-rounded trading strategy tayyar karna hai. Hafte ke aakhir mein Durable Goods Orders aur Core Durable Goods Orders ka data jari hona bhi ek aur ahem pehlu faraham karega, jo traders ko US economy ki overall taqat ko samajhne mein madad dega aur behtar trading decisions lene mein madad karega.

In dino GBP/USD par trading karte waqt stop loss zaroor istemal karein.

Aapka Wednesday behtareen guzre, aur khush rahen!

Technical Analysis
Pound Sterling ne apne zyada tar peers ke muqable mein izafa kiya hai, jabke BoE ki Megan Greene ne UK inflation ke September mein ghatne ko soft volatile components se jura. Investors BoE ke Governor Andrew Bailey ki taqreer aur October ke flash S&P Global/CIPS PMI data ka intezar kar rahe hain.

IMF ne is saal aur agle saal ke liye US growth projections ko barhaya hai. Pound Sterling (GBP) ne Wednesday ko apne zyada tar peers ke muqable mein behtar perform kiya, sirf US Dollar (USD) aur Canadian Dollar (CAD) ke ilawa. British currency ne Bank of England (BoE) Monetary Policy Committee ki member Megan Greene ke hawkish interest rate guidance ki wajah se izafa kiya, jo International Monetary Fund (IMF) ki meeting ke doran Atlantic Council think-tank ke sath guftagu kar rahi thi.

Greene ne kaha, “Mujhe lagta hai ke monetary policy ko target par inflation le aane ke liye mazid koshish karni hogi.” Jab unse pucha gaya ke kya UK inflation ke recent ghatne ka unki voting par asar hoga, to unhone kaha ke inflation mein sharp girawat volatile components ki wajah se hui hai, isliye wo in par zyada tawajjoh nahi dena chahti.

Investors ko yaad rakhna chahiye ke Greene un chaar Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) members mein se thi jinhone August mein interest rates ko unchanged rakhne ka vote diya, jabke BoE ne inhe 25 basis points (bps) se kam kiya tha, ab ye 5% hai.

Pound Sterling ke liye agla trigger BoE Governor Andrew Bailey ki taqreer hogi, jo 18:45 GMT par scheduled hai. Investors is par nazar rakhain ge taake November aur December mein monetary policy ke mutabiq fresh cues le sakein. Is beech, traders ne November mein ek aur interest rate cut ki ummeed laga rakhi hai.



Economic pehlu par, market ke participants Thursday ko flash S&P Global/CIPS Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) data par tawajjoh denge, jo October ke liye publish hoga. PMI report se umeed hai ke ye dikhayegi ke overall business activity ek modest pace par barh rahi hai.

Market Conditions

Pound Sterling European trading hours mein psychological level 1.3000 ke neeche hai. GBP/USD pair ka outlook bearish hai kyunki ye 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke neeche hai, jo 1.3080 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai.

14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 40.00 ke kareeb hai, jo bearish momentum ki taraf ishara kar raha hai.

Niche dekhne par, upward-sloping trendline jo April 22 ke low 1.2300 se draw ki gayi hai, Pound Sterling bulls ke liye 1.2920 ke aas-paas ek major support zone hogi. Is se neeche jaane se pair 200-day EMA ki taraf ja sakta hai, jo 1.2845 ke aas-paas hai. Upar ki taraf, Cable ko 20-day EMA ke aas-paas 1.3110 par resistance ka samna karna par sakta hai.

GBP/USD Market Pulse – October 23, 2024
Introduction:

Aaj ka focus GBP/USD pair par hai, jo hamesha ke tarah volatile hai. Yahan global forces ka takraav hai, jo trading session ko dilchasp banata hai. Pound abhi bhi kamzor hai, jo ke domestic concerns aur external pressures ka natija hai, jabke US dollar apni taqat dikhata rehta hai. Traders har tick ko dhyan se dekh rahe hain taake ye jaan sakein ke pair ka agla kadam kya hoga.

Fundamental Analysis:

Pound ki kamzori koi hairat ki baat nahi. UK ke latest employment figures itne behtar nahi hain, aur November mein Bank of England ke rate cut ki afwahon ne masla ko aur bhi badha diya hai. Inflation ab bhi uncha hai, lekin economic growth dheemi ho rahi hai, isliye BoE ek mushkil faisle mein hai. Markets ummid karte hain ke wo rate hikes ko kam karenge, jo naturally sterling par pressure daal raha hai.

Dusri taraf, US dollar apni position ko mazboot rakhe hue hai. Federal Reserve apni hawkish stance par hai, jahan inflation dheere dheere kam ho raha hai, lekin ye itna nahi ke kisi immediate policy shift ka signal mile. Ye stark contrast, Fed ki mazbooti aur BoE ki ehtiyaat bhari approach ke beech, GBP/USD ko bearish ki taraf le ja raha hai.

Brexit se mutaliq uncertainties bhi khatam hone ka naam nahi le rahi, jo pound ko shak ki chadar mein dhak rahi hain, jabke dollar global risk-off sentiment par flourish kar raha hai.



Technical Analysis:

Technical tor par, GBP/USD 1.30 ke key psychological level se joojh raha hai. Resistance 1.3165 ke aas-paas mazboot hai, jabke support 1.3051 par hai. Ye pair 50-day aur 100-day moving averages ke neeche phansa hua hai, jo aur girawat ka ishara de raha hai.

Momentum indicators, jaise ke RSI, neutral hain, lekin bearish forces dheere dheere daakhil ho rahi hain. Agar pair 1.3051 ke neeche girta hai, to humein 1.2852 ki taraf jaldi girawat dekhne ko mil sakti hai, jo ek critical support zone hai.

Volatility badhne ke saath, traders ko alert rehna chahiye, kyunki aaj ke developments achanak movements ko janam de sakte hain.

GBP/USD Price Action Ka Asar
Hum GBP/USD currency pair ki maujooda price performance ka jaiza le rahe hain. Dekhein, dollar abhi bhi leading role ada kar raha hai, halanke Federal Reserve Fund ke representatives apni tayyari ka zikr kar rahe hain ke wo refinancing rate mein kami ke liye vote dene ke liye tayar hain. Magar, dollar ko presidential elections ke liye safe haven asset ke tor par kharida ja raha hai. Ab hamare liye thoda aaraam ka waqt hai, aur humein thoda upar uthna chahiye. Aaj hum 1.2979 par din ki shuruaat karte hain, jahan daily range 88 points hai. Aisa lagta hai ke aaj ka din 1.3057 par khatam hoga, itna zyada nahi, aur main is se zyada ki umeed nahi kar raha; north ke sath bohot tight hai. Agar wo daily reversal ki border ko 1.3004 par tor dete hain, to humein north ka confirmation mil jayega, aur hum 1.3057 tak profit le sakte hain aur phir wapas chhup jayenge jab tak humein hamari beparwahi ke liye saza na mile.



Lekin, seriously, Europe aur London ki shuruaat par GBP/USD ne MA50 se rebound kiya, jo 1.2995 par hai, aur ye movement shayad euro ki decline ko repeat kar raha hai, jo minimum update kar raha hai aur descending triangle se kaam kar raha hai. Chart ek downward slope banaye hue hai; bears saaf taur par zyada mazboot hain, jabke four-hour chart par reversal ka koi bhi ishara nahi hai. Is liye, mujhe decline ko jari rakhne mein koi rukawat nazar nahi aati, takay 1.2940 ka support level kaam ho sake, jiske baad main breakout aur rebound dono ka jaiza loonga. Agar breakout hota hai, to main neeche trade karunga, 1.2771 ke support level ka intezar karte hue, aur agar rebound hota hai, to main upar trade karunga, growth ke liye 1.3043 ka resistance level ka intezar karte hue.

GBP/USD Market Update
Yeh pair daswe din ke liye apni niche ki taraf barh raha hai, aur Wednesday ko US hours mein 1.2912 ke aas-paas trade kar raha tha. Halanke yeh thoda fluctuate hua, lekin yeh abhi bhi apne do mahine ke low 1.2903 ke nazdeek hai, jo is hafte pehle record hua tha. Aakhri update ke mutabiq, GBP/USD 1.2914 ke aas-paas ghoom raha hai, jo US Dollar ke muqable mein British Pound par musalsal pressure ko darshata hai.

Agar pair 1.3000 ke upar gains karta hai, to yeh pullback ka ishara de sakta hai. Is psychological threshold ko torne par ek mazboot recovery ka darwaza khul sakta hai. Lekin, 1.3000 ke resistance ko torne ke liye market sentiment mein tabdeeli ki zarurat hogi, jo shayad positive economic data ya monetary policy expectations mein badlav se ho.

GBP/USD ke Fundamentals

Federal Reserve ke Chair Jerome Powell ne inflation par baat karte waqt ehtiyaat bhara approach rakha hai, aur unhone price pressures par puri jeet ka elan nahi kiya. Agle mawaqay par US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index ka release hona hai, jo Fed ka pasandida inflation ka measure hai, aur yeh current inflation ki halat aur US interest rates ke mustaqbil ki direction ke baare mein insights de sakta hai. Is darmiyan, US economic outlook ke baare mein barhte hue uncertainty aur is saal ke aakhir mein Fed ke potential rate cut ki umeed se US Dollar kamzor ho raha hai, jo Pound Sterling ko halka sa support de raha hai.

Pound Sterling ki keemat Bank of England (BoE) ke monetary policy decisions ke baare mein market expectations se gehri taur par judi hui hai. Traders ko umeed hai ke BoE sirf is saal ke baqi do policy meetings mein sirf ek martaba rates kam karega. Pichle Thursday, BoE ne apne key borrowing rates ko 5% par unchanged rakha, jo September mein 25-basis-point ki kami ke baad aaya, is faisle mein policymakers ka 8-1 vote tha.


Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook

1.3000 ka mark pair ke liye ek key resistance level hai, aur is rukawat ko torna kisi bhi sustained upward momentum ke liye bohot zaroori hoga. Niche ki taraf, 1.2900 ka level ek pivotal support zone hai, jise pair ko bachana hoga taake aur losses se bacha ja sake. Technical indicators, jaise ke 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI), 60.00 ke upar shift ho gaye hain, jo bullish momentum ke barhne ka ishara dete hain.

Pair ka agla critical support level 1.2903 par hai, jo ke 1.2900 ke psychological barrier ke nazdeek hai. Agar pair in levels ko sambhalne mein nakam raha, to aage aur girawat ho sakti hai. Agar pair 1.2900 ke neeche girta hai, to traders agle support levels 1.2888, 1.2866, aur 1.2850 par nazar rakhenge.

Aaj ki analysis ma hum GBP/USD pair ka jaiza lete hain jo ke mukhtalif monetary policies ki wajah se ek complex environment ma move kar raha hai, yeh policies Federal Reserve (Fed) aur Bank of England (BoE) se mutaliq hain. Fed ki aggressive easing policies ne USD per kaafi pressure dala hai, jise apne is saal ke lowest levels ke kareeb pohanchaya hai. Market analysts kehtay hain ke 75% chance hai ke November tak 50-basis-point ka rate cut hoga, jo ke Fed ki dovish strategy ko highlight karta hai. Iss anticipation ne USD ko kamzor kiya hai jo GBP/USD pair ke liye support bana hai. Is ke muqable ma BoE ne ziada stable approach apnaayi hai. BoE ke Governor Andrew Bailey ne ishara diya hai ke UK rates dheere dheere niche ja sakte hain, lekin purani ultra-low levels par lautne ke chances kam hain. Ye cautious stance investors ka confidence barhata hai GBP ke liye, kyunke ye Fed ke aggressive cuts se bilkul mukhtalif hai, yani ke GBP/USD pair ko iss divergence se kuch faida mil raha hai. Pichlay hafte GBP/USD ne inverted head and shoulders pattern banane ki koshish ki thi jo ke ek reversal ka ishara hota hai lekin ye pattern EMA-200 level par pohnch kar fail hogaya aur phir EMA-55 tak retreat kar gaya. MACD (12, 26, 6) positive momentum show kar raha hai, lekin kuch bearish action bhi aage dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Pichlay haftay ki retreat ke bawajood pair ne koi naya lower low nahi banaya jo sideways movement ka ishara ho sakta hai. EMA-55 ne teeno martaba support provide kiya hai aur price ne test karne ke baad sideways move shuru kar di. Yeh structure head and shoulders pattern ke shoulders se milta hai jo ke consolidation phase ka ishara hai. Agar bulls EMA-55 level ko defend karne ma kamyab ho jate hain aur price break kar deti hai toh yeh ek bullish trend ka ishara hoga aur EMA-200 tak ka move dekhne ko mil sakta hai. MACD signal line price ke neeche hai jo ke buying opportunity ka ishara hai. 1.2900 level par tweezer candles bani hain jo ke aam tor par reversal pattern hoti hain. Agar GBP/USD is level ke neeche slip ho jata hai toh ek further downward move ki umeed hai jis ka pehla support target 1.2862 par hai aur bearish momentum ke barhne par aur bhi neeche ja sakta hai. Short term ma traders EMA-55 ko H4 chart par support ke liye observe kar sakte hain. Agar yahan se successful rebound hota hai toh bullish sentiment ho sakta hai jise EMA-200 par resistance milegi lekin agar price 1.2900 tweezer support se neeche girta hai toh yeh bearish continuation ka signal hoga aur pehla target 1.2862 hoga. Fed aur BoE policies ka yeh divergence GBP ke liye fundamental tailwind banata hai lekin technical indicators ke mutabiq resistance aur support levels ko dhehan se observe karna zaroori hai is environment mein.

Jumeraat ko GBP/USD market ne 1.30638 aur 1.30893 ke darmiyan trading range ka tajziya kiya, jise kharidari aur bechne walon ke liye aik ahm maidan-e-jang ke tor par dekha ja raha hai. Yeh range ahmiyat rakhti hai, kyunke yeh dono tarafon ke darmiyan control ke liye chal rahi jang ko zahir karti hai. Itihas ke mutabiq, is ilaqe mein bechne walon ka haath zyada raha hai, jo GBP/USD pair par downward pressure daal rahe hain.
Jaise jaise market is range mein fluctuate kar raha hai, traders price movements aur potential breakout points par nazar rakh rahe hain. Resistance level 1.30893 bulls ke liye ek mushkil rukawat sabit hui hai. Jab price is level ke qareeb pohanchti hai, toh bechne walay aam tor par apni activity barhate hain, taake price ko neeche ki taraf dhakel sakein. Yeh aise halat create karta hai jahan market sentiment bearish outlook ki taraf jhuk jata hai, khaaskar agar resistance bullish koshishon ke khilaf mazboot rahe.

Agar maujooda trend barqarar raha, toh hum dekh sakte hain ke GBP/USD price neeche ki taraf drift karegi, khaaskar 1.30684 aur 1.30757 ke qareeb. Yeh levels potential support points hain jo bearish momentum mein aik temporary pause faraham kar sakti hain. Traders in levels par market ka reaction dekhne ke liye bechain hain. Agar price in support points se upar uthti hai, toh yeh kharidari ki nayi dilchaspi ka ishara ho sakta hai, jo resistance level ki taraf rally karne ka mauqa de sakta hai.

Iske baraks, agar price 1.30638 level ke neeche gir jati hai, toh yeh strong bearish sentiment ka ishara dega aur mazeed girawat ka darwaza khol sakta hai. Aisi halat mein bechne walon ka market par control barh jayega, jo bechne ki pressure ko mazeed barha sakta hai. Yeh scenario traders ko apne strategies mein tabdeeli karne par majboor kar sakta hai, jahan short positions par focus kiya ja sakta hai jab market bears ke haq mein shift hoti hai.

Technical indicators bhi GBP/USD pair ki potential direction ke baare mein insights faraham kar sakte hain. Moving averages, Relative Strength Index (RSI), aur doosre oscillators traders ko market momentum ko samajhne aur overbought ya oversold conditions ko identify karne mein madad kar sakte hain. Agar indicators yeh darshate hain ke market oversold hoti ja rahi hai jab price lower range ke qareeb hoti hai, toh yeh kharidari walon ko market mein dakhil hone par majboor kar sakta hai, jo potential reversal ka faida uthane ki koshish karein.

Market sentiment bhi aik ahm pehlu hai jo mad e nazar rakhna zaroori hai. News events, economic data releases, aur geopolitical factors GBP/USD pair par gehra asar daal sakte hain. Misal ke tor par, agar UK economy mein positive developments hoti hain ya Bank of England se interest rate hikes ki umeed hoti hai, toh yeh pound ko dollar ke muqable mein mazid mazboot kar sakta hai, jo price ko upar le ja sakta hai. Iske baraks, negative news ya economic uncertainty currency pair par downward pressure ko mazeed barha sakti ha

USD 2900 ke mark ke upar price action ko barqarar rakhne ki koshish ki. Din ki shuruaat mein, UK Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) ka data thora kamzor tha jo expectations se neeche aaya, lekin services aur manufacturing PMI components dono contraction ke ilzaam se upar rahe, jo 50.0 se kam hota hai. Is ke muqabil, US PMI data ne aam tor par expectations ko beat kiya, jo dollar ke losses ko limit karte hue GBP/USD ko 1.3000 ke thoda neeche rakha. US manufacturing PMI activity data October mein 47.8 par pohanch gaya, jo 47.5 ki umeed se zyada hai aur August ke 47.3 se upar hai. Is dauran, services PMI component ne 55.3 par rebound kiya, jo pichle mahine ke 55.2 se upar hai aur 55.0 ke decline ki umeed ko bhi beat kiya. Aham UK maashi data Friday ko ruk jaega, jabke markets US durable goods orders aur updated University of Michigan (UoM) 5-year consumer inflation forecast ki release ki tayyari kar rahi hain. U.S. durable goods orders ke September mein 1.0% ke girne ki umeed hai, jo August mein 0.0% ki kami ko barhata hai. University of Michigan ke 5-year consumer expectations October mein pehle ke andazay 3.0% ke qareeb hone ki tawaqqo hai. GBP/USD pair filhal correction phase se guzar raha hai, jo October ke shuru mein ek tez upside rally ke baad aaya jo 1.3300 ke aas-paas peak par pohanch gaya tha. Hal hi mein girawat ke baad, price ne 200-day moving average (kala line) par 1.2848 ke aas-paas support dhoondh liya, jo agle sessions mein pair ke liye ek ahem level ban sakta hai. 50-day moving average (neela line) jo 1.3057 par hai, filhal overhead resistance ka kaam kar raha hai, aur short-term trend abhi bhi bearish hai kyunki pair is level ke neeche trade kar raha hai. Lekin, price ka 1.2900 ke psychological level se halka sa bounce yeh darshata hai ke buyers 200-day moving average ko defend karne ke liye aa rahe hain. MACD indicator filhal bearish territory mein hai, jahan MACD line signal line ke neeche hai aur bar chart negative momentum dikhata hai. Yeh is baat ka ishaara hai ke downside pressure ab bhi maujood hai. Lekin, MACD histogram ki recent narrowing yeh darshati hai ke selling momentum shayad kam ho raha hai. Agar pair

Good Morning! Umeed hai ke yahan kaam karne wale mere tamam dost apni zindagi mein khush hain. Aaj main GBP/USD price movement ka technical aur fundamental analysis karna chahta hoon. Waqt likhte hue GBP/USD ka rate 1.2960 hai. Filhal, GBP/USD par US dollar ka pressure hai. Agar US dollar mazid strong hota hai, to GBP/USD mazid kamzor ho sakta hai aur neechay ja sakta hai. Lekin agar US dollar weak rehta hai, to GBP/USD mein ziada strength dekhne ko mil sakti hai.Aaj kal ke price drop ne yeh signal diya hai ke market future mein bearish direction mein ja sakti hai, kyun ke pichle kuch trading days mein sell trend nazar aya hai, aur lagta hai ke yeh continue karega. Relative Strength Index (RSI) 38.0690 par hai, jo ke current market cap ke liye strong supply aur ongoing selling pressure ko show kar raha hai. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator bhi GBP/USD ke liye mazid sell signal de raha hai. 20 aur 50 EMA indicators ke mutabiq correction signal mil raha hai aur price 20 aur 50 EMA line se neechay hai.Pichle kuch dino mein additional study ki hai aur is natije par pohoncha hoon. GBP/USD ke initial aur second resistance levels 1.2972 aur 1.2997 hain. Agar GBP/USD 1.2972 ke baad 1.2997 level ko break karta hai, to yeh 1.3321 ya 1.3767, jo ke 3rd aur 4th resistance levels hain, tak upar ja sakta hai aur ziada bullish movement dekhi ja sakti hai. Dosri taraf, GBP/USD ke initial aur second support levels 1.2955 aur 1.2932 hain. Agar GBP/USD 1.2955 ke baad 1.2932 level ko break karta hai, to yeh 1.2906 ya 1.2733, jo ke 3rd aur 4th support levels hain, tak neechay ja sakta hai aur ziada bearish movement dekhi ja sakti hai.Technical tools ka sahih istemal karte hue aaj hum successful trading karenge. Lekin trading shuru karne se pehle hum achi entry lene ki koshish karenge.

GBP/USD


1.2900 ke mark ke upar price action ko barqarar rakhne ki koshish ki. Din ki shuruaat mein, UK Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) ka data thora kamzor tha jo expectations se neeche aaya, lekin services aur manufacturing PMI components dono contraction ke ilzaam se upar rahe, jo 50.0 se kam hota hai. Is ke muqabil, US PMI data ne aam tor par expectations ko beat kiya, jo dollar ke losses ko limit karte hue GBP/USD ko 1.3000 ke thoda neeche rakha. US manufacturing PMI activity data October mein 47.8 par pohanch gaya, jo 47.5 ki umeed se zyada hai aur August ke 47.3 se upar hai. Is dauran, services PMI component ne 55.3 par rebound kiya, jo pichle mahine ke 55.2 se upar hai aur 55.0 ke decline ki umeed ko bhi beat kiya. Aham UK maashi data Friday ko ruk jaega, jabke markets US durable goods orders aur updated University of Michigan (UoM) 5-year consumer inflation forecast ki release ki tayyari kar rahi hain. U.S. durable goods orders ke September mein 1.0% ke girne ki umeed hai, jo August mein 0.0% ki kami ko barhata hai. University of Michigan ke 5-year consumer expectations October mein pehle ke andazay 3.0% ke qareeb hone ki tawaqqo hai. GBP/USD pair filhal correction phase se guzar raha hai, jo October ke shuru mein ek tez upside rally ke baad aaya jo 1.3300 ke aas-paas peak par pohanch gaya tha. Hal hi mein girawat ke baad, price ne 200-day moving average (kala line) par 1.2848 ke aas-paas support dhoondh liya, jo agle sessions mein pair ke liye ek ahem level ban sakta hai. 50-day moving average (neela line) jo 1.3057 par hai, filhal overhead resistance ka kaam kar raha hai, aur short-term trend abhi bhi bearish hai kyunki pair is level ke neeche trade kar raha hai. Lekin, price ka 1.2900 ke psychological level se halka sa bounce yeh darshata hai ke buyers 200-day moving average ko defend karne ke liye aa rahe hain. MACD indicator filhal bearish territory mein hai, jahan MACD line signal line ke neeche hai aur bar chart negative momentum dikhata hai. Yeh is baat ka ishaara hai ke downside pressure ab bhi maujood hai. Lekin, MACD histogram ki recent narrowing yeh darshati hai ke selling momentum shayad kam ho raha hai. Agar pair 1.2848 ke support ke upar barqarar rahta hai, toh ek potential Siyasi Bechaini aur Maashi Factors UK filhal mukhtalif siyasi aur maashi bechainiyon ka saamna kar raha hai, jo investor confidence ko asar daalti hain aur is se pound ki qeemat par asar padta hai. Brexit se judi masail ab tak trade relations mein tension paida kar rahe hain, jab ke geopolitical

GBP/USD ka currency pair jo ke is waqt 1.2959 ke qareeb hai, ne haal hi mein ek noticeable bearish trend dikhaya hai. Iss dheere se girawat ke bawajood, kai traders aur analysts umeed rakhte hain ke qeemat mein aham tehreek nazar aa sakti hai. Is raye ke peechay kuch ahem wajahain hain, jin mein economic indicators, central bank ki policies, aur broader market ka sentiment shamil hai.
GBP/USD par iss waqt sab se bara asar jo parh raha hai wo UK aur United States ke darmiyan economic outlook aur interest rate policies ka farq hai. Federal Reserve ne relatively ek hawkish stance apnaya hua hai, khas tor par U.S. mein barqarar inflation ke dabao ke chalte. Iss approach ne U.S. dollar ko support diya hai, kyunki investors umeed karte hain ke higher rates kuch arsa barqarar rahenge. Dosri taraf, Bank of England bhi rates barha raha hai lekin usko mukhtalif economic challenges ka samna hai. UK mein inflation to zyada hai lekin ek potential economic slowdown ke khatresh ki wajah se BoE kuch hichkichahat mein hai. Agar Bank of England rate hikes mein pause ya dheemi raftaar ka ishara deta hai, to is se pound par aur zyada downward pressure aa sakta hai jo ke dollar ke muqable mein usay kamzor bana sakta hai.

Political factors bhi ahm hai, khaaskar Brexit se mutaliq issues jo GBP/USD par asar daal rahe hain. Trade agreements aur Brexit ka economic asar ab bhi debates mein hain jisse pound par investor ka confidence fluctuate kar sakta hai aur volatility ke liye usay exposed rakhta hai. Agar trade ya regulatory changes mein koi significant update hota hai, to is se currency pair mein tezi se tehreek aa sakti hai kyunki markets naye risks ya opportunities ko adjust karte hain.

Global risk sentiment bhi badi ahmiyat rakhta hai, kyunki ye aksar investors ki safe haven assets, jaise ke U.S. dollar ki taraf rukne ke rujhan ko dictate karta hai. Agar global financial markets mein zyada volatility ho—shahid geopolitical tensions ya economic slowdown ke sabab— to investors security ke liye dollar ki taraf ja sakte hain jo GBP/USD ko aur zyada neeche le ja sakta hai.

In bearish indicators ke bawajood, market ek breakout ya achanak shift ke liye tayar hai. Technical factors, jaise ke support aur resistance levels bhi jaldi tehreek la sakte hain, khas tor par agar pair kuch key levels ko breach karta hai. Misal ke taur par, agar 1.2900 ke neeche break hota hai to selling pressure badh sakta hai, jab ke agar 1.3000 se upar recovery hoti hai to buying interest bhadne ke chances hain kyunki traders reversals ya corrections ki talash mein rehte hain. Is ke ilawa, agar U.S. ya UK ki economic data mein koi achnak tabdeeli hoti hai to wo bhi GBP/USD mein volatility ko aur barha sakti hai.

Akhir mein, halan ke GBP/USD ek bearish trend dikha raha hai, lekin ek badi tehreek ke chances barqarar hain. Traders ko economic data releases, central bank ke announcements aur political updates par nazar rakhni chahiye. In tamam factors ka mil jul kar aaney wale dino mein GBP/USD ko ek badi aur faisla kun tehreek dene ka imkaan hai jo ke trading mein shamil logon ke liye opportunities aur risks dono paida kar sakti hai.

**Technical Analysis GBP/USD**
Good morning! Umeed hai ke yahan kaam karne wale sab dost apni zindagi mein khush hain. Mein GBP/USD ke price movement ka technical aur fundamental nuqta-e-nazar se analysis karna chahta hoon. Likhnay ke waqt GBP/USD 1.2960 par trade kar raha hai. Is waqt GBP/USD par US dollar ka pressure hai. Agar US dollar mazid mazboot hota hai to GBP/USD kamzor ho sakta hai aur neeche gir sakta hai. Lekin agar US dollar kamzor rehta hai, to GBP/USD mein mazeed mazbooti dekhi ja sakti hai. Aaj kal ke girawat se humein future mein bearish direction ka pata chalta hai, kyunki kuch trading din se sell trend chala aa raha hai. Lagta hai ke yeh silsila jaari rahega.

Relative Strength Index (RSI) is waqt 38.0690 par hai, jo ke current market cap mein strong supply aur ongoing selling pressure ko dikhata hai. Chart mein moving average convergence divergence (MACD) indicator bhi GBP/USD ke liye mazeed sell signal de raha hai. 20 aur 50 EMA indicators ke mutabiq, ek correction signal bhi hai aur price 20 aur 50 EMA line se neeche hai. Chand dino ke doran meine mazeed mutaala kiya hai aur yeh nateeja nikaala hai.

**Initial aur Second Resistance Levels:** GBP/USD ke liye pehla aur doosra resistance level 1.2972 aur 1.2997 hain. Agar GBP/USD pehle 1.2972 aur phir 1.2997 ka level torhta hai, to GBP/USD mazid upar 1.3321 ya 1.3767 tak ja sakta hai, jo ke teesre aur chauthay resistance levels hain, aur humein bullish movement dekhne ko mil sakti hai.

**Initial aur Second Support Levels:** Dusri taraf, GBP/USD ke pehle aur doosre support levels 1.2955 aur 1.2932 hain. Agar GBP/USD pehle 1.2955 aur phir 1.2932 ka level torhta hai, to GBP/USD aur neeche 1.2906 ya 1.2733 tak ja sakta hai, jo ke teesre aur chauthay support levels hain, aur humein bearish movement dekhne ko mil sakti hai.

Technical tools ka istemaal kar ke hum aaj successful trading karenge. Lekin trading se pehle hum is par ek acha entry point lene ki koshish karenge.

Chart mein istemaal hone wale indicators:
- MACD indicator
- RSI indicator (Period 14)
- 50-day exponential moving average (Orange color)
- 20-day exponential moving average (Magenta color)

Ye area ek pivot point raha hai, jo aksar reversal ya consolidation ki taraf lead karta hai. Agar GBP/USD is level ke upar momentum maintain nahi kar pata, toh ye market mein prevailing bearish sentiment ko darshata hai. Agar price is level ko todne mein kaamyab hoti hai, toh ye further upside movement ki taraf le ja sakta hai, jise bullish traders attract ho sakte hain. Ek aur important level 1.30289 hai, jo bhi resistance ka kaam karta hai. Agar pair is level ke qareeb dobara aata hai, toh traders dekh rahe honge ke market kaise react karta hai. Is point par rejection ye signal de sakti hai ke bulls ground khote ja rahe hain, jabke breakout higher targets ki taraf rally ka stage tayyar kar sakta hai.
Niche taraf, 1.3051 wo level hai jahan immediate support dekha gaya hai. Ye area downward movement ke khilaf ek safeguard ke tor par kaam karta hai, jo potential selling pressure ke liye ek foundation banata hai. Is level ke neeche girna bullish positions ke liye chinta ka sabab ban sakta hai aur isse significant decline trigger ho sakta hai. Agar GBP/USD 1.2351 ke neeche girta hai, toh ye further decline ka darwaza kholta hai, jiska target 1.30352 hoga. Aise halat mein long positions rakhne wale traders ke liye ye chinta ka sabab banega, kyunki ye prevailing market sentiment ko khatam karega.

1.3062 aur 1.30739 zones ki importance ko overstate nahi kiya ja sakta. Ye areas currency pair ke overall trend ka tayin karne ke liye crucial hain. Agar price 1.30739 ke upar break hoti hai, toh ye momentum ka shift signal kar sakta hai, nayi buying interest ko attract karta hai aur price ko higher resistance levels ki taraf push kar sakta hai. Lekin agar ye levels par momentum maintain nahi hota, toh ye jaldi se support ki taraf girne ka sabab ban sakta hai.

Technical side par, Bollinger Bands aur moving averages mere analysis mein key tools rahe hain. Bollinger

British Pound ke current market dynamics ek clear bearish sentiment dikhate hain, khaaskar recent price action ke baad jo 1.3430 ke resistance line ke ird gird hua. Is level se notable rebound ke baad pound ne ek barqarar girawat ka samna kiya hai, jo ke descending price channel ki formation ka ishara deta hai. Yeh pattern na sirf selling pressure ko reflect karta hai balke potential trading strategies ke liye ek framework bhi qaim karta hai.
Ab jab pound 1.2961 par trade ho raha hai, to short positions enter karne ka ek mazboot argument ban raha hai. Technical analysis yeh dikhata hai ke sellers ne control wapas hasil kar liya hai, jo ke ye plausible banata hai ke pound neeche ke levels ko test karega. Jo traders short opportunities dhund rahe hain wo iss price point par enter karne ka soch sakte hain, aur apna target channel ke lower boundary ke qareeb, jo ke 1.2600 par converge ho raha hai, rakh sakte hain. Yeh level ek aham psychological aur technical target hai, jo historical support levels ke saath align karta hai aur un logon ke liye clear exit strategy provide karta hai jo bearish stance le rahe hain.

Weekly aur daily timeframes ka jaeza lene se bearish outlook aur mazid mazboot hota hai. Descending channel yeh suggest karta hai ke koi bhi rally agar hoti hai to usay resistance face karna par sakta hai, jo ke continued downtrend ka case aur mazid mazboot karta hai. Higher levels par resistance ki confluence aur mazid girawat ke imkaan se ye current price sellers ke liye ek moqa bana raha hai.

Is ke ilawa, fundamental factors bhi iss downward trajectory par asar dal sakte hain. Economic indicators, geopolitical events, aur central bank policies bhi currency ke value ko asar andaz kar sakte hain. Traders ko kisi bhi aise news ke liye hoshiyar rehna chahiye jo selling pressure ko barha sakti ho ya volatility create kar sakti ho. Jab pound is waqt descending channel mein position mein hai aur 1.2600 ka clear target hai, to traders ke paas prevailing trend ko capitalize karne ka ek strategic moqa hai. Market ko qareebi tor par monitor karna aur risk management strategies ka istemal bohot zaroori hoga jab pound is bearish phase mein navigate kar raha hai. Hamisha ki tarah, macroeconomic developments ke bare mein mutala rakhna crucial hoga taake kisi bhi potential shifts ke liye tayar raha ja sake.

GBP/USD
Mere khayal mein is hafte market ki volatility pichle hafte ke trading volume ke muqable mein kuch kam hoti nazar aa rahi hai. Yeh surat-e-haal Weekly timeframe ke zariye dekhi ja sakti hai, jahan is hafte ka bearish candlestick pichle hafte se chhota hai. Agar hum is se kuch khulasah karein to yeh samajh aata hai ke GBP-USD currency pair abhi bhi sellers ke pressure mein hai, kyunke 1.3400 ke upar bullish rally ko barqarar rakhne mein nakam raha hai. Aisa lagta hai ke buyers 1.3430 ke price zone ko paar karne mein bhi nakam rahe hain.
Is hafte ke prices ke downward trend ka jaiza lene par, yeh trend reversal ki taraf ishara kar raha hai jo uptrend se downtrend mein tabdeel ho sakta hai. Is liye agle hafte behtar mauqa hai ke sell trading moment ka intezar kiya jaye, kyunki price phir se apne sab se neeche point tak gir sakti hai. Halankeh market ne upward correction ke sath band kiya, magar main ne dekha hai ke is hafte market sellers ki taqat ke saath chal raha hai. Buyers ka price ko bearish zone se nikaalne ka jazba abhi tak optimal nahi hai, khaaskar jab price 1.3154 ke level se kaafi door gir chuki hai, is se bearish trend signal ka imkaan hai jo agle hafte phir se dekhne ko mil sakta hai.

Mujhe lagta hai agar bearish trend ka silsila jari raha, to humein 1.3019 level par nazar rakhni hogi jo candlestick ke zariye paar ho sakta hai. Agar yeh scenario market mein hota hai, to technically GBP/USD ki price aur kamzor hoti nazar aayegi, aur yeh sellers ke liye ek mauqa hai ke price par pressure daal kar ise aur neeche gira sakein. Halankeh market ke band hone par MACD indicator thoda upar ki taraf ja raha hai, jaise ke humne dekha, Saturday raat ko upward correction dekhi gayi. Shayad agle hafte ke aghaz par price thoda sideways move kare, lekin kamzor hoti prices ka trend abhi bhi mazboot hai jo bearish signal faraham karega.

British pound sterling (GBP) Thursday ko Asian session mein 1.3075 area ki taraf ehtiyaat se dekh raha hai, jab ke is mein strong bullish conviction ki kami hai aur yeh pichle din ke ek mahine ke low ke nazdeek hai. US dollar (USD) apni recent upward momentum ko jari rakh raha hai, jo 16 August ke baad sab se uncha level par pohanch gaya hai, jo Federal Reserve ke 25 basis point rate cut ke baad hua. Iska asar Wednesday ko Federal Open Market Committee meeting ke minutes se bhi mila, jahan members ne yeh izhar kiya ke tax rate cut central bank ki flexibility ko rokegi nahi. Is jazbe ne benchmark 10-year US government bond ki yield ko 4% se upar le gaya, jo 31 July ke baad sab se uncha hai, jo dollar ko majbooti deta hai aur GBP/USD ke liye mushkilat paida karta hai. Is beech, Bank of England ke Governor Andrew Bailey ke pichle haftay ke bayan ne rate-cutting cycle ke tez hone ka izhar kiya. Yeh outlook British pound (GBP) ko kamzor kar sakta hai aur GBP/USD ke liye kisi bhi significant upside ko rok sakta hai. Traders shayad US consumer inflation data aur Producer Price Index (PPI) release hone ka intezar karein, jo Fed ke rate cuts ke pace par asar daal sakta hai aur is se US dollar ki demand mein izafa ho sakta hai