GBP/USD ka pair abhi zabardast downward pressure ka samna kar raha hai, jiska bara sabab U.S. dollar ki taqat hai. Haal mein aayi U.S. economic data, khaaskar Producer Price Index (PPI), ne Federal Reserve ki aanay walay maheenay mein rate cut ke intezaar ko barhawa diya hai. Is umeed ne U.S. dollar ko mukhtalif currencies, jaise ke British pound, ke muqablay mein mazid taqatwar banaya hai. Is ke ilawa, geo-political waqiyat, jaise ke U.S. ka Israel ko advanced missile systems bhejna, ne dollar ki safe-haven appeal ko mazid barhawa diya, jo ke iski dominance ka sabab bana. Iski wajah se GBP/USD ko kisi bhi aham bullish momentum ko hasil karne mein mushkilat ka samna hai, aur hourly chart par bearish flag pattern ban raha hai, jisme 1.3021 level ke qareeb ek aham resistance hai. Is pattern ke sath sath broader market sentiment bhi yeh ishara deta hai ke aage mazeed downside pressure ke imkanaat hain chart par bhi mazeed resistance levels 1.3105 aur 1.3172 ke qareeb hain, jo ke mazid selling pressure ko zameen dete hain. Asset abhi 55-period moving average ke neeche trade kar raha hai, jab ke MACD indicator bhi selling momentum ko barqarar rakhta hai. 200-day moving average jo ke 1.2862 ke qareeb hai, ek aham support level ho sakta hai agar bearish trend barqarar raha. Agar price ne 1.3000 ke psychological level ko tor diya, to bearish outlook mazid mazboot ho jaye ga, aur price 1.2862 ki taraf ja sakti hai. Agar price niche break karne mein kamiyab nahi hoti aur 1.3171 ki taraf retrace karti hai, to wahan sakht resistance ka samna ho sakta hai jo ke kisi bhi sustained bullish rally ko rok de ga.Haal ke technical aur fundamental factors ko dekhte hue, aisa lagta hai ke bears abhi bhi GBP/USD market par haavi hain, aur mazeed downside risks qareebi muddat mein barqarar hain. Traders ko kisi bhi short-term recoveries se ehtiyat baratni chahiye, kyunki yeh resistance ka samna karengi aur market sentiment mein koi aham tabdeeli nahi la sakengi.Daily chart par dekha jaye, to pound puray session ke doran gira, magar din ke akhri hisse mein kuch recovery hui. Lekin, price 1.30643 mark se upar close karne mein nakam rahi. Agar price zyada close hoti, to mujhe Friday ko growth ki umeed thi. Lekin kyunki price 1.30643 support ke neeche band hui, ab yeh support tooti hui tasveer deta hai, aur price ke neeche band hone ka matlab mazid sales ka imkaan hai. Friday ko mera rujhan sell-off ki taraf tha, jiska target 1.29751 support level tha. Candle pattern bullish lag raha hai, magar price phir bhi 1.30643 ke neeche band hui. Agar Monday ko support ke neeche khulti hai, to mera focus decline ki taraf hoga jo ke 1.29751 tak ja sakta hai. Agar yeh is support ke upar khulti hai, to agla resistance 1.31726 par hoga. Agar yeh is level par hi khulti hai, to situation unclear ho jaye gi, aur main is pair ke liye koi mazboot forecast nahi doon ga. Yeh harkat aanay wali statistics se mutasir ho sakti hai jo ke pair ke activity ko stir kar sakti hain.
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