𝐆𝐁𝐏/𝐔𝐒𝐃

GBP/USD Ka Tajziya

Spot price ne Thursday ko 1.3091 ke level ke aas paas ek temporary support hasil kiya, jo pichle hafte ke high 1.3435 se niche aane ko rok raha tha. Asian session ke doran 1.3100 mark par girne ke bawajood, pair ne mazeed nuqsan se bacha, jo ke US Dollar (USD) ki kharidari ki wajah se tha. Aakhri update ke mutabiq, GBP/USD 1.3126 ke aas paas hai, jo halke intraday nuqsanat ko darust karta hai.

Technical Levels

Technical levels ke hawale se, pair ko foran support 1.3100 ke mark ke aas paas hai, aur agar yeh level toot gaya toh mazeed neeche girne ka khatara hai. Upar ki taraf, resistance 1.3435 ke aas paas hai, jo haal ka high hai, uske baad psychological level 1.3500 aata hai. Traders ko in levels par nazar rakhni chahiye, kyunke kisi bhi taraf ka break ek zyada wazeh trend ka ishara de sakta hai.

GBP/USD Ke Buniyadi Pehlu

Din ka focus Bank of England (BoE) ki policy announcement par tha, jo market ki umeedon ke mutabiq, kisi foran rate cut se mutabiq tha. BoE preview aur post-UK Consumer Price Index (CPI) report mein ye baat samne aayi ke UK mein inflation itni nahi ghut gayi ke easing ki zarurat pesh aaye. Yeh faisla central bank ke ehtiyaat bhare approach ko mazid taqat deta hai, halankeh external pressures barh rahe hain.

BoE ke faisle par market ka ibtedai reaction British Pound (GBP) ke liye kafi positive raha. BoE ka aggressive rate cuts na dena, jabke European Central Bank (ECB) aur Federal Reserve (Fed) ne decisive steps uthane shuru kiye hain, pound ko mazid majboot banata hai. Jabke ECB aur Fed ne pehle hi rate cuts kiye hain, market BoE ko ek zyada measured approach ke tor par dekh raha hai, jo investors ke liye pound ko stable banata hai.

Daily Time Frame Ka Technical Outlook

Volatility ke bawajood, GBP/USD ne haal hi mein 30-mah ke high ko chhu liya, jo 26 September ko 1.3440 ke qareeb tha. Magar markets ne is upward movement ko jald theek kar diya, aur pair ko 1.3400 ke aas paas rakha. Overall trend bullish hai, pair 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo ab 1.3109 ke level ke qareeb hai, jo mazeed izafa ki support de raha hai.




Caution in Upward Trajectory

Jab ke GBP/USD ek mazboot upward trajectory mein hai, technical indicators ehtiyaat ka ishara de rahe hain. Relative Strength Index (RSI) bearish divergence dikhata hai, jahan price ek naya high banata hai, lekin RSI is movement ko confirm nahi kar raha. Yeh non-confirmation trend mein underlying weakness ka darust karta hai aur qareeb ke waqt pullback ka khatara barhata hai.

GBP/USD Ka H4 Trading Chart

GBP-USD ka pair is waqt kafi zyada bearish movement ka samna kar raha hai, yeh bhi Asian trading session ke doran. H4 timeframe ka technical analysis yeh dikhata hai ke bearish trend 200-period moving average ko as last dynamic support level ke tor par dekh raha hai, jo GBP/USD ke liye maujuda trend conditions ko tay karta hai. Kal, maalik ne euro ki sales se chutkara hasil kiya aur 1.33 zone se GBP/USD ki sales shuru ki, lekin target profit level 1.3180 abhi bhi kafi uncha tha. Pair ki girawat ka ek hissa Bank of England ke governor ke subah diye gaye bayan se tha, jisme unhone November mein 25-basis-point rate cut ka ishara diya, jis se pair wedge pattern aur bearish flag formation se baahar nikla.

Technical Outlook

Text se yeh suggest hota hai ke GBP-USD exchange rate 1.3185 tak correction ka samna kar sakta hai, jahan 200-period exponential moving average (EMA200) 4-hour chart par maujood hai. Agar yeh positive direction mein jaata hai, toh yeh mazeed girawat ke saath 1.3020 tak bhi ja sakta hai, jahan daily EMA200 hai. Darmiyani muddat ke liye, umeed hai ke bearish trend jaari rahega, lekin 4-hour candle ki closing aur daily close ahem indicators honge. Pehle, GBP-USD ne MA50 aur MA100 ko break kiya tha, lekin ab yeh MA200 ka samna kar raha hai, jo ek dilchasp directional signal banega.




Agar bearish movement MA200 ko todne mein kamiyab hoti hai, toh yeh mazeed neeche girawat ko trigger kar sakta hai, kyunki yeh bullish se bearish trend ki taraf palatne ka confirmation dega. GBP-USD abhi bhi ek favorable upward trend mein hai, kyunki yeh 200-day moving average ke upar hai. Yeh ek achi buying opportunity ka mauqa pesh kar sakta hai, kyunki currency pair ke paas apni bullish momentum ko jari rakhne aur 50-day moving average ke upar wapas jane ka potential hai, jo ongoing bullish trend ko mazeed confirm karega.

GBP/USD Ka Halat

Hello doston, aap kaise hain? GBP/USD ne Thursday ko European trading hours mein apni girawat ko 1.3100 tak barhaya. Yeh pair Bank of England ke governor Andrew Bailey ke sakht comments ki wajah se gir raha hai, jinhone kaha ke agar inflation kam hota hai, toh central bank rate cuts par "zyada active" ho sakta hai. Middle East ke concerns bhi risk aversion ka sabab ban rahe hain, jo pair ko niche khinch rahe hain. 4-hour chart par Relative Strength Index (RSI) subah ke waqt 20 ke neeche chala gaya, jo GBP/USD ke liye oversold conditions ko darust karta hai. Agar pair mein koi technical correction hota hai, toh 1.3175 (Fibonacci 61.8% retracement of the latest uptrend) pehla resistance hoga, uske baad 1.3200 hai, jahan 200-period simple moving average hai. Neeche ki taraf, 1.3100 (Fibonacci 78.6% retracement) agla support hai, phir 1.3050 (static level) aur 1.3000 (static level) aate hain. GBP/USD par sakht bearish pressure tha, aur yeh Thursday ki subah ko 1.3100 ki taraf gira. Yeh teen hafton mein sabse kam level hai. Qareeb ki muddat ka technical nazariya oversold conditions ki taraf ishara karta hai, lekin pair ko decisive correction karna mushkil ho sakta hai.




US Dollar Ki Taqat

US dollar ne apni taqat barqarar rakhi aur Wednesday ko GBP/USD ko peeche khinch diya jab Automatic Data Processing ne data jari kiya, jisme private sector employment 143,000 tak barh gaya, jo market ki umeed 120,000 se zyada hai. Guardian newspaper ke saath ek interview mein, Bank of England ke governor Andrew Bailey ne kaha ke agar inflation ke baare mein aur achhi khabrein aati hain, toh wo rate cuts mein thoda zyada proactive ho sakte hain. Is bayan ne Thursday ki subah ko pound sterling mein bechne ka silsila shuru kar diya. GBP ki kamzori ko darust karte hue, EUR/GBP pair din mein 1% se zyada barh gaya.

Din ke aakhir mein, US economic calendar par weekly initial jobless claims aur September ISM services PMI data jari honge. Markets ki umeed hai ke jobless benefits ke liye pehli dafa claims 220,000 tak pahunchegi, jo pichle hafte ke 218,000 se thodi zyada hai. Agar yeh 200,000 ya is se neeche aata hai, toh USD ko mazid taqat milegi aur pair par aur pressure padega. Dusri taraf, agar ISM ka headline 50 ke neeche girta hai, toh yeh bhi market par asar daal sakta hai.

GBP/USD Ka Halat

GBP/USD ne chauthe musalsal din tak apne nuqsanat ko barhaya hai, aur yeh ahm 1.3200 level se neeche chala gaya hai. Yeh girawat August mein 400-pip ki significant rally ke baad aayi hai, jab bearish momentum dobara samne aaya, jo mazeed price izafay ki umeed ko kam kar raha hai. UK ke kisi bhi ahm economic data ki kami ke bawajood, pair ko mazboot US economic figures ne asar daala, jisse yeh 1.3160 tak gira, jo 0.69% ki girawat ko darust karta hai.

UK Budget Outlook Ka Pound Sterling Par Asar

UK ke Prime Minister Keir Starmer ke comments agle financial budget par bhi pound ki performance ko asar daal rahe hain. Starmer ne ishara diya hai ke October ka budget short-term dukh ke bawajood long-term faida par focus karega, jisme gharane ke liye khaaskar un logon par zyada taxes lagne ka tajweez hai jo zyada aamdani rakhte hain. Yeh ehtiyaat bhara fiscal nazariya British Pound ki appeal ko barhata hai, halankeh market mazeed developments ke liye dekh raha hai.

US Economic Data Se Greenback Ko Taqat

Taqreeban umeed se zyada mazboot US economic data ne pair ki recent girawat mein aham kirdar ada kiya. Revised report ne dikhaya ke US economy 3% ki growth de rahi hai, jo pehle ke 2.8% ke andaze se zyada hai, aur yeh uski resilience ko darust karta hai. Yeh positive growth figure recession ki chinta ko kam karne mein madadgar raha, jo pehle aik disappointing jobs report ki wajah se uthayi gayi thi, jisne labor demand mein kami aur unemployment rate mein izafa dikhaya.

Job Market Data Aur GBP/USD Par Asar

Aakhri Initial Jobless Claims jo 23 August ko khatam hui, woh 231,000 par aayi, jo 232,000 ke expectations ke kareeb hai aur pichle release 233,000 se thodi behtar hai. Yeh figures US labor market ki taqat ko mazid darust karte hain, jo Greenback ki appeal ko barhata hai aur GBP/USD pair par mazeed pressure dalta hai.

GBP/USD Ka Technical Nazariya: Key Levels

Technically, GBP/USD pair 1.3140 level ko test kar sakta hai, jo support area ban sakta hai. Yeh pair 1.3100 se 1.3222 ke beech ek narrow range mein trade kar raha hai, aur ab tak 1.3120 mark ko nahi tod paya, lekin yeh 1.3110 ko bhi test nahi kar saka. Pichle hafte ke aakhri pehlu se rally ab ruk gayi lagti hai, aur traders qareeb ki muddat mein range-bound movement ka intezar kar rahe hain, jab tak 1.3105 ke neeche koi decisive break nahi aata, jo yeh darust kar sakta hai ke GBP ki recent taqat apne had tak pahunch gayi hai.




Momentum indicators yeh darust karte hain ke market sellers ke haq mein jhuk raha hai. Commodity Channel Index (CCI) overbought territory se peeche hat gaya hai aur 70 ke critical level se neeche chala gaya hai. Yeh tabdeelat pair ke do din ki pullback mein madadgar sabit hui, aur ab GBP/USD current exchange rates ke kareeb trade kar raha hai. Pullback ke bawajood, pair apne 50-week Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke upar hai, jo 1.3110 ke level ke aas paas hai, jo yeh darust karta hai ke overall long-term trend ab bhi bullish ho sakta hai.

GBP/USD Ka Halat

GBP/USD ne apne mawaqif ke mutabiq 377 points ki monthly average range poori kar li hai, isliye yeh month-end se pehle upper boundary ke andar rehne ki umeed hai. Lekin, yeh dobara range mein bhi wapas aa sakta hai. 1.3401 ka price dekhne ko mila hai, iska matlab hai ke humein yahan se kisi significant upward movement ki umeed nahi rakhni chahiye. Is mauqe par, munafa secure karna, chahe partially ya fully, samajhdari hogi. Ek aur target 1.3428 hai, isliye dekhna dilchasp hoga ke sellers is level par kaise react karte hain. Kul mila kar, pound-dollar ka trend upward hai, aur reversal ka koi asar nahi hai. Aaj kuch pullbacks aur corrections dekhi gayi hain, lekin yeh pair ke liye expected se itni significant nahi thi.

Jaise ke plan kiya gaya tha, maine pound ko 1.3385 se becha, aur price baad mein 1.3367 tak gira. Yeh move meri forecast ke sath puri tarah se milta nahi tha, lekin iska thoda sa munafa satisfactory tha, halankeh maine is par itna faida nahi uthaya jitna le sakta tha. Ab, mujhe lagta hai ke hum 1.3400 level ko dobara test karenge. Recent sessions mein, price ne 1.3350 ke ird-gird aik significant liquidity zone ko test kiya hai, aur ongoing uptrend ke bawajood, pair ne kuch hesitation ke asar dikhaye hain. Yeh rally is level par resistance ka samna kar sakti hai, aur traders ko purani support zones ko dobara test karne ke liye pullbacks par nazar rakhni chahiye, khaaskar 1.3200-1.3150 ke ilaqe mein, jahan liquidity pehle sweep hui thi aur buyers market mein enter hue the.

Aage chal kar, pair ke paas 1.3400 aur 1.3450 ke kareeb higher levels ka target ho sakta hai, jab tak bullish momentum barqarar hai. Lekin, agar resistance abhi ke level par barqarar raha, toh price consolidate ya pull back kar sakta hai. 1.3200 ke neeche break hone par gehri correction ka signal mil sakta hai, aur yeh lower support levels ke kareeb 1.3000 ko test karne ki sambhavna hai. Kul mila kar, short term mein bias bullish hai, jab tak key support zones barqarar hain aur price liquidity aur fair value gaps ke sath positive interaction karta hai.

GBP/USD Ki European Session Mein Halat

Hello doston, aap kaise hain? GBP/USD European session mein 1.3400 ke aas paas lad raha hai, jo 30-month highs 1.3430 se wapas aa raha hai. Traders pound sterling ke longs par profits lete hue nazar aaye, halankeh broader US dollar soft ho raha hai aur market risk par qaim hai, jaise FedSpec ne observe kiya. GBP/USD pair ne pichle do hafton mein apni recent gains ko barqarar rakha aur Wednesday ki Asian session mein 1.3430 ke aas paas March 2022 ke baad ka sabse uncha level dekha.

Is darmiyan, fundamental backdrop yeh darust karta hai ke spot prices ke liye least resistance ka rasta upar ki taraf hai, lekin daily chart par thodi overbought conditions bullish traders ke liye kuch ehtiyaat ka sabab banti hain. England mein rate cuts shayad United States se slow honge. Bank of England ke Governor Andrew Bailey ne Tuesday ko kaha ke interest rates ka rukh neeche ki taraf hoga, lekin is taraf ka progress dheere hoga aur bina kisi bade shocks ke ultra-low levels par wapas aana mushkil hai. Iske muqabil, markets Federal Reserve se zyada aggressive policy easing ko price kar rahe hain, jo US Dollar ko YTD neeche rakhta hai aur GBP/USD pair ke liye tailwind ka kaam karta hai.




Markets filhal CME Group ke FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, yeh price kar rahi hain ke Federal Reserve November mein interest rates ko 50 basis points aur kam karne ka 75% se zyada mauqa hai. Iske ilawa, Tuesday ka kamzor US macro data aur maujooda risk-on environment safe havens ko kamzor kar raha hai aur GBP/USD pair ke liye positive near-term outlook ko validate kar raha hai. Yeh kehna zaroori hai ke daily chart par Relative Strength Index (RSI) 70 ke mark ko cross kar chuka hai, jo minor pullback aur near-term consolidation ya kisi aur favorable moves ka ishara deta hai.

GBP/USD: Kamiyab Trading ka Rasta

Hamari guftagu GBP/USD currency pair ki real-time price action ke mubahisa par hai. Margin trading system mein trend abhi bhi buy hai, magar kuch khaas rules aaj GBP/USD trading ko restrict karte hain. Koi bhi qadam uthane se pehle kharidaaron ya bechne walon se wazeh signals ka intezaar karna zaroori hai. Main abhi bhi is system ka jaiza le raha hoon, is liye main iske signals ko nazarandaz kar raha hoon. Mujhe aisa lagta hai ke market mein neeche ki taraf chalne ki sambhavna hai (halankeh mere paas iske liye koi technical ya fundamental saboot nahi hai). Maine fundamental analysis se lagbhag poori tarah se disconnect kar liya hai aur kabhi kabhi hi economic calendars check karta hoon. Lekin mujhe umeed hai ke U.S. dollar jald hi mazboot hoga. Dheeray dheeray, mujhe lagta hai ke U.S. dollar ki ahmiyat mein kafi kami aane wali hai. Main patiently intezaar kar raha hoon ke yeh pair mere target price 1.2779 tak aaye, taake main apne trading goals achieve kar sakoon.



Aaj subah, GBP/USD aur EUR/USD ka nazar naama kaafi milta julta hai, jahan kharidaar kal ke nuksan se ubharne ki koshish kar rahe hain. M15 chart par, GBP ke kharidaar 1.3224 ke low se upar ki taraf push karne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Jab 1.3293 ka critical resistance level dobarah test hua aur tod diya gaya, toh bulls ke paas significant bullish retracement ka behtar mauqa hai. Agar price is line ke upar stabilize hota hai, toh pehle impulse zones 1.3329 aur 1.3352 ki taraf agla growth mumkin hai, lekin yeh levels naye downward corrections ko bhi janam de sakte hain. Ek dusra scenario yeh hai ke GBP/USD 1.3279 RIS support ke neeche wapas chala jaye, jisse kal ke low par wapas jane ki ek aur koshish ho sakti hai, lekin yeh sambhavna zyada tar geopolitical developments par depend karti hai. Kal price 1.3246 par ruka tha, jo daily chart par middle Bollinger Band ke qareeb hai. Jab tak koi wazeh conclusions dena sahi nahi hai, agar aaj ek reversal doji pattern banta hai, toh price 1.3425 par wapas aa sakta hai aur shayad is resistance ko bhi tod sakta hai.

GBP/USD: Halat aur Tajweez

GBP/USD currency pair ne Budhwar ko halka sa girawat ke sath trading jari rakhi. Yeh humein hairan nahi karta, kyunke British pound euro se zyada overbought aur beja tor par mehnga hai. 2024 mein, euro ne kabhi kabhi corrections dekhi hain, lekin aisa lagta hai ke pound ke liye yeh mauqa nahi mila. Is liye, pehle teen hafton mein jo girawat dekhi gayi, yeh sirf wo minimum hai jo ho sakta tha. Hamara khayal hai ke British currency ki girawat aur U.S. dollar ka izafa beech ke doran kisi bhi scenario mein jari rehna chahiye.

Kal ka sirf ek report ahmiyat rakhta tha, jo ke ADP report tha non-farm payrolls mein tabdeeli par, jisne U.S. session ke doran dollar ko thoda aur mazboot kiya. Iske ilawa, is hafte ke shuru mein UK ka GDP report dusri raahein se behtar nikal aaya. Is liye, currency pair ke paas girne ke liye kafi wajahain hain. Halankeh market bechne mein jaldi nahi kar rahi, yeh Non-Farm Payrolls aur unemployment reports ka intezaar kar rahi hai. Dollar ke liye yeh do reports shayad is hafte ki tamam progress ko khatam kar sakti hain.

Budhwar ko kai trading signals ban gaye, lekin sabhi ghalat the. Price baar baar Senkou Span B line ko todti ya is par se bounce karti rahi aur aakhir mein neeche settle ho gayi. Is tarah, traders sirf pehle do signals ke sath kaam kar sakte the. Sell trade thodi si nuqsan par band hui, jabke buy trade thodi si munafa par band ki ja sakti thi. Hourly time frame par GBP/USD pair ne girawat shuru kar di hai. Upar ki taraf ka trend khatam ho gaya hai, aur humein sirf British currency ki mazboot aur lambi girawat ki umeed hai. Market shayad British pound ki beja kharidari ko dobara shuru kare, lekin yeh baat dobara yaad rakhein—is ke liye koi fundamental ya macroeconomic wajah nahi hai. Is liye, hum ab bhi GBP/USD pair ki girawat ka hi pasand karte hain.




3 October ke liye, hum kuch ahem levels highlight karte hain: 1.2796-1.2816, 1.2863, 1.2981-1.2987, 1.3050, 1.3119, 1.3175, 1.3222, 1.3273, 1.3367, 1.3439. Senkou Span B line (1.3288) aur Kijun-sen line (1.3334) bhi signals ke liye kaam kar sakti hain. Price jab 20 pips ke irade ki taraf move kare, toh Stop Loss ko break even par set karna behtar hai. Ichimoku indicator lines din ke doran shift ho sakti hain, is liye trading signals tay karte waqt is par ghor karna chahiye.

Khanwar ko, UK aur U.S. mein service sector business activity indexes ke September ke doosre estimates ka release hone ka plan hai, lekin yeh secondary data hain. Market ka asal dhyan ISM index par hoga jo U.S. services sector ke liye hai aur yeh din ke dusre hissa mein publish hoga.

GBP/USD: Girawat ka Silsila Jari

GBP/USD pair ne teesi consecutive din ke liye girawat ka silsila jari rakha, aur Thursday ko Asian session ke doran 1.3200 ke ird gird trading ki. Yeh risk-sensitive pair Middle East mein barhati hui tensions aur US dollar mein safe-haven flows ke sabab pressure mein tha. US Dollar Index (DXY) ne chouthi consecutive session ke liye apne faide ko barhaya, jo ke US Treasury yields ke izafe se support hua. 2 saal aur 10 saal ke US Treasury yields 3.65% aur 3.79% par pohanch gaye.

Data ki baat karein, to US ADP Employment Change report ne umeed se behtar nateeje diye, jisme September mein 143,000 jobs ka izafa report kiya gaya. Salana wage increases bhi 4.7% ke kaafi unche level par rahe. Halankeh positive employment data ke bawajood, Bank of England (BoE) ne interest rates ko kam karne mein ehtiyaat barqarar rakhi, yeh kehkar ke services sector mein inflation ke baare mein chinta hai aur maqool economic growth dekha gaya. BoE ki Financial Policy Committee (FPC) ne yeh note kiya ke UK mein financial stability risks June se largely unchanged hain. BoE ki policymaker Megan Green ne warn kiya ke UK ka consumer-led recovery nayi inflation ki lehar ka sabab ban sakti hai. Magar unhoon ne yeh bhi maana ke jab prices sahi direction mein chal rahi hain, to mazeed rate cuts ki sambhavna hai.



GBP/USD pair apne do saal aadha ke high 1.3433 se kaafi neeche aaya hai, aur 1.3200 tak pohanch gaya. 20-day simple moving average (SMA) mazboot support level 1.3265 ke upar hai, lekin technical oscillators recent girawat ko darshate hain. Stochastic indicator overbought territory se strong momentum ke sath neeche ja raha hai, jabke RSI 50 level ke upar horizontally move kar raha hai. Agar 1.3433 ka resistance tod diya jata hai, to yeh February 2022 ke high 1.3635 ki taraf le ja sakta hai.

GBP/USD: Market Analysis aur Tajweez

GBP/USD currency pair ke price behavior ka jaiza liya gaya hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke kal ka bullish buy level ka breakout misleading sabit hua. Is breakout ke baad koi khaas upar ki taraf movement nahi dekhi gayi, aur iske bajaye bearish sell level 1.31285 tod diya gaya. Is bearish breakdown ne bullish bias ko khatam kar diya, jis wajah se main selling ki taraf shift ho gaya hoon. Ab mujhe umeed hai ke price kam se kam 1.30859 tak gir sakta hai, lekin yeh isse bhi neeche ja sakta hai, ya to bearish channel ki lower boundary ki taraf ya 1.29384 ke support level ki taraf. Main tab tak kharidari par ghoor nahi karunga jab tak bullish buy level ka breakout nahi hota. Mere liye ab ka alternative bullish buy level 1.31399 hai. Agar bulls is level ko todne mein kaamyab hote hain, to main foran kharidari ki taraf switch karunga aur 1.31849-1.32089 resistance levels ki taraf izafe ki umeed rakhunga. Pehle high tak bhi izafe ki sambhavna hai.

Main ab bhi upward movement ko mumkin samajhta hoon, isliye main apni buy position close karne se hichkichahat kar raha hoon. 1.3049 ke ird gird, ek full-scale upward movement price ko mere profit target 1.3407 ki taraf push kar sakti hai, halankeh main is nateeje ki yaqeen nahi de sakta. Lekin agar bears price ko 1.2919 tak le jaate hain, to main manually apni buy position close kar sakta hoon, kyunke bullish movement ki sambhavnaain kafi kam ho jayengi. Pehle, maine 1.3099-1.3049 range tak girawat ki umeed ki thi, aur main ab bhi is ka intezaar kar raha hoon kyunke yeh pair abhi overbought lagta hai. Jabke euro ne apne gains ko lagbhag mita diya hai, pound ne sirf 29% tak wapas liya hai. Agar EU inflation 2.1% tak gire, to shayad European Central Bank (ECB) bhi Federal Reserve ki tarah rates kam kare, jabke UK inflation data abhi aana baaki hai. Jab yeh release hoga, to market ko yeh samajh aayega ke Bank of England rates ko kam karte rahega. Kul mila kar, meri is hafte ke liye GBP/USD ke liye bearish nazar hai, aur mujhe nahi lagta ke pair 1.3141 ke upar jayegi.




Yeh mumkin nahi lagta ke GBP/USD turant Friday ke close ke baad 1.3199 ya is se upar aaye, kyunke dollar fundamentals ke behtar hone ke wajah se mazboot hua hai. H1 chart par neeche ki taraf pressure barh raha hai, aur momentum kafi strong lag raha hai. Is waqt, selling kharidari se zyada faida mand lagti hai, kyunke jald hi long positions ke liye behtar prices milne ki sambhavna hai. Is liye, 1.3154–1.3174 range mein selling opportunities 1.3074 support level ke neeche break hone ka target rakh sakti hain. Kai buyers ne apne stop-losses is level ke qareeb rakhe hain, aur market is point tak pahunch sakta hai, is wajah se kharidari ke liye yeh abhi jaldi hai. Lekin agar stops 1.3074 support level ke neeche break hote hain, to buying transactions zyada favorable ho sakti hain. Agar corrective move price ko 1.3182 tak push karta hai, to yeh 50-point ka izafa ho sakta hai, jo ke proportionally zyada munafa dega. Local low tak takreeban 101 points ka faasla hai; agar yeh break hota hai aur hold karta hai, to next target 161.8 level ke 1.2992 tak pahunch sakta hai, jo ke 134 points ka faasla cover karega, aur agar bounce hota hai to mazeed izafe ki sambhavna bhi hai.

girawat ko ek kharidne ka mauka samajhte hain. 1.2875 ke qareeb, 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA upar ki taraf slope kar raha hai, jo near-term positive trend ko indicate karta hai. 14-period Relative Strength Index (RSI) strong upward momentum ko dikhata hai, jo bullish region 60.00–80.00 mein oscillate kar raha hai. Lekin, RSI ne overbought levels 70.00 ke aas-paas reach kar liye hain, jo ek corrective retreat ka imkaan barhata hai. Jo log pound sterling ke bullish hain, unke liye 1.3140 ke aas-paas ke do saal ke high ka level ek crucial resistance zone banega. Maqbool lines clear hain: agar 1.3050 ke region mein purane highs ke upar sahi break hota hai, to market 1.3150 ki taraf move kar sakti hai. Lekin agar is point ke paas reversal hota hai, to pair wapas pehle ke resistance zone ki taraf ja sakta hai, jo ab support mein convert ho chuka hai upper 1.28s mein. Pichle do hafton mein, GBP/USD exchange rate mein kafi zyada izafa hua hai. Mahine ke shuru mein, cable 1.2700 ke aas-paas trade kar raha tha. Magar, yeh 9 mein se 8 din barh gaya hai (aur ab tak ke 10 din mein se 9 din barh gaya hai), aur ek 13-month high 1.3050 par pohnch gaya hai. Agar is point ke paas reversal hota hai, to pair wapas upper 1.2800 ke support ke paas ja sakta hai. Lekin agar 1.3050 zone mein recent highs ke upar ek verified break hota hai, to 1.3150 ki taraf continuation ka rasta khul sakta hai. In summary, GBP/USD pair ab ek important level par hai. 1.3050 ke upar agar break hota hai, to next target 1.3150 ho sakta hai. Lekin agar is point ke paas market mein reversal hota hai, to support ke liye 1.2800 ke aas-paas wapas ja sakta hai. Is waqt, pound sterling ki upward movement aur technical indicators ko dekhte hue, aage kya hoga yeh dekhna hoga.**GBPUSD Latest Analysis** Pound Sterling ne is saal US Dollar ke muqablay mein 1.3050 par ek nayi high mark ki hai. GBP/USD pair ek Rising Channel chart pattern mein trade kar raha hai, jahan market players har girawat ko ek kharidne ka mauka samajhte hain. 1.2875 ke qareeb, 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA upar ki taraf slope kar raha hai, jo near-term positive trend ko indicate karta hai. 14-period Relative Strength Index (RSI) strong upward momentum ko dikhata

GBPUSD pair ke price pattern ki structure ko dekhte huye lagta hai ke abhi bhi ye lower low - lower high condition mein hai aur bullish trend ka direction lagbhag bearish trend mein badalne wala hai. EMA 50 aur SMA 200 jo ke ek doosre ke kareeb hain, ek death cross signal ka potential provide kar rahe hain. Lekin, yeh bhi mumkin hai ke price pehle upward correction kare FR 50 - 1.3154 ya FR 61.8 - 1.3164 tak, jo ke in dono Moving Average lines ke sath confluent hain. Kyun ke price jab neeche gaya aur 1.3108 ke low prices tak pohancha, to lower low pattern form kiya hai, to ek upward correction ki zaroorat hai taake lower high pattern form ho sake.
Stochastic indicator ke point of view se dekha jaye to parameters jo cross hone walay hain yeh indicate karte hain ke price phir se neeche move karega. Iska matlab yeh hai ke upward correction phase sirf FR 23.6 - 1.3129 ke range tak limited hoga, phir low prices 1.3108 ko test karega. Misal ke tor par agar parameters cross nahi karte aur overbought zone level 90 - 80 tak pohanchte hain, to upward correction phase continue kar sakta hai jab tak ke woh apne optimal saturation point tak nahi pohanch jata. Dusri taraf, Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ka histogram abhi bhi GBPUSD pair ke price decline rally ko support karta hai kyun ke momentum downtrend mein hai. Lekin green histogram jo negative area ke neeche hai wo level ke kareeb weakness dikhata hai.

**Setup Entry Position:**

Trading options ke liye agar abhi ke price pattern structure ko dekha jaye jo ke lower low - lower high condition mein hai, to aap SELL moment ka intezar kar sakte hain chahe death cross signal abhi tak nazar nahi aya. Entry position placement ko tab karein jab corrected price FR 50 - 1.3154 ya FR 61.8 - 1.3164 tak upar chale jo ke in dono Moving Average lines ke sath confluent hain. Confirmation tab karein jab Stochastic indicator parameters jo overbought zone level 90 - 80 mein enter karein, cross karen. Jab ke AO indicator ka volume histogram consistent tareeke se level 0 ya negative area ke neeche downtrend momentum ko dikhata rahe. Low prices 1.3108 ya psychological level 1.3100 ko take profit targets ke tor par istemal karein aur stop losses FR 78.6 - 1.3180 par place karein

GBP/USD Price Movement

Main GBP/USD currency pair ke ongoing price action ka jaiza le raha hoon. Ek productive trading din ki shuruaat M15 time frame par GBP/USD currency pair ka focused analysis karne se hoti hai. Main chart ko excess indicators se clutter karne se bachta hoon aur simplicity ko tarjeeh deta hoon. Apne trades ke liye, main 9 aur 21 periods par set kiye gaye exponential moving averages (EMA) ka istemal karta hoon. Main in indicators ke signals par trading karta hoon. Jab EMAs cross hoti hain, to main entry point dhoondta hoon. Filhal, ye EMAs price level 1.32779 ke aas paas intersect hui hain. Main market mein do orders ke sath enter karta hoon: pehla half position current price par open karta hoon taake entry secure ho sake, aur doosra half position five-minute time frame par pullback par open karta hoon. Is surat mein, hum market signals ke mutabiq kharidari kar rahe hain. Mere liye minimum risk-to-reward ratio 1:3 hai, aur agar trade mere haq mein move karta hai, to main position ko aur aage badhata hoon. Jab price target zone ka ek-third tak pohanchti hai, to main apna stop breakeven par le aata hoon taake safety ho, aur agar zarurat pade to main dobara entry le sakta hoon.



Ribbon indicator H4 chart par GBP/USD ke liye strong downtrend dikhata hai, jo red mein hai. Isi tarah, M30 chart bhi bearish trend ka signal de raha hai, jo ke ek temporary correction ko darshata hai. Kyunki M30 time frame ka trend H4 time frame ke trend se mukhalif hai, behtar yeh hai ke trade mein entry se bachna chahiye jab tak dono trends align nahi hote. GBP/USD ki surat-e-haal abhi uncertain hai, kyunke price ne briefly 33rd level ko touch kiya lekin apni position mazboot karne mein nakam rahi. Agar price wedge se neeche break hoti hai, to pair decline kar sakti hai, jiska target 1.3219 ho sakta hai. Main ab bhi yeh samajhta hoon ke kal ka GBP/USD mein girawat excessive thi aur fundamental factors se supported nahi thi. Halankeh Powell ne U.S. dollar ko mazboot kiya jab unhone 0.50% rate cut na hone ka zikr kiya, lekin Federal Reserve ke doosre member, Bostic, ne ishaara kiya ke agar labour market kamzor hota hai, to 0.50% ka cut ho sakta hai.

GBP/USD Market Outlook

GBP/USD currency pair ke price behavior ka jaiza liya gaya hai. Market mein notable girawat dekhi gayi hai, aur nishaan yeh darshate hain ke aage bhi girawat ka imkaan hai. 1.3162 ka critical support level tak pohanchne ki sambhavna mazboot nazar aa rahi hai. Agar bears is momentum ka faida uthatay hain, to downtrend jari rehne ki umeed hai. Behtareen scenario yeh hoga ke GBP/USD jaldi se 1.3200 tak gire. Lekin agar girawat rukti hai, to reversal hone par pair 1.3480 ki taraf upar ja sakta hai, phir shayad yeh apni girawat dobara shuru kare.

Yeh kehna mushkil hai ke pair upar ki taraf break karegi ya apni girawat ko jari rakhegi, lekin pressure abhi bhi further GBP/USD decline ki taraf hai. Yeh scenario sabse mumkin lagta hai, aur humein 1.3185–1.3500 range mein volatility dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Ahem sawal yeh hai ke price aakhir kaar kahan break hogi. Mujhe shak hai ke breakdown 1.3217 ko todne ka imkaan hai, khaaskar jab important fundamental data release hota hai, jo price movements ke liye potential ko barhata hai.




GBP/USD par pressure hai, lekin daily time frame par SMA100 ka dynamic support abhi tak isay rok raha hai. Agar yeh break hota hai, to yeh sabse recent mother bar ke support 1.3167 par target kar sakta hai, jo ke isay lagbhag 121 pips ki girawat dene ka mauqa dega. Doosri taraf, agar yeh SMA10 curve ke upar reh gaya, to yeh phir se SMA5 curve ke upar ja sakta hai. Is tarah, 1.3570 par yeh mother bar ke resistance ko challenge kar sakta hai. Lekin agar yeh increase ek baar phir triangle pattern ke projection line par reject hoti hai, to intraday data yeh darshata hai ke H4 time frame par pressure SMA50 ke dynamic support ko pierce kar chuka hai.

Average (EMA upar ki taraf slope kar raha hai, jo near-term positive trend ko indicate karta hai. 14-period Relative Strength Index (RSI) strong upward momentum ko dikhata hai, jo bullish region 60.00–80.00 mein oscillate kar raha hai. Lekin, RSI ne overbought levels 70.00 ke aas-paas reach kar liye hain, jo ek corrective retreat ka imkaan barhata hai. Jo log pound sterling ke bullish hain, unke liye 1.3140 ke aas-paas ke do saal ke high ka level ek crucial resistance zone banega. Maqbool lines clear hain: agar 1.3050 ke region mein purane highs ke upar sahi break hota hai, to market 1.3150 ki taraf move kar sakti hai. Lekin agar is point ke paas reversal hota hai, to pair wapas pehle ke resistance zone ki taraf ja sakta hai, jo ab support mein convert ho chuka hai upper 1.28s mein. Pichle do hafton mein, GBP/USD exchange rate mein kafi zyada izafa hua hai. Mahine ke shuru mein, cable 1.2700 ke aas-paas trade kar raha tha. Magar, yeh 9 mein se 8 din barh gaya hai (aur ab tak ke 10 din mein se 9 din barh gaya hai), aur ek 13-month high 1.3050 par pohnch gaya hai. Agar is point ke paas reversal hota hai, to pair wapas upper 1.2800 ke support ke paas ja sakta hai. Lekin agar 1.3050 zone mein recent highs ke upar ek verified break hota hai, to 1.3150 ki taraf continuation ka rasta khul sakta hai. In summary, GBP/USD pair ab ek important level par hai. 1.3050 ke upar agar break hota hai, to next target 1.3150 ho sakta hai. Lekin agar is point ke paas market mein reversal hota hai, to support ke liye 1.2800 ke aas-paas wapas ja sakta hai. Is waqt, pound sterling ki upward movement aur technical indicators ko dekhte hue, aage kya hoga yeh dekhna hoga.**GBPUSD Latest Analysis** Pound Sterling ne is saal US Dollar ke muqablay mein 1.3050 par ek nayi high mark ki hai. GBP/USD pair ek Rising Channel chart pattern mein trade kar raha hai, jahan market players har girawat ko ek kharidne ka mauka samajhte hain. 1.2875 ke qareeb, 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA upar ki taraf slope kar raha hai, jo near-term positive trend ko

GBP/USD joray ne Tuesday ko Asian session mein apni pichlay paanch dino ki girawat ko roknay mein kamiyabi hasil ki, jo ke pichlay din ke chaar hafton ke neeche ka support area tha. Magar, 1.3100 ke level ko break na kar paanay ki wajah se bullish traders ko ehtiyat baratni chahiye. US dollar ka sust performance, jo ke Friday ke sat hafton ke high se neeche hai, GBP/USD pair ko kuch support de raha hai. Is ke bawajood, US labor market ki mazbooti aur Federal Reserve ke taraf se kisi aur aggressive rate cut ki kam darmi ke andazay dollar ki barhawa ko rok sakte hain.

Is ke ilawa, risk ke hawalay se kamzor tone aur Middle East mein barhtay huay tensions safe-haven currencies ka faida uthane mein madad kar sakti hain, jo ke pair ke faiday ko hadbandi de sakti hai. National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) ke kam upbeat comments ne bhi investor ke riskier assets, jin mein GBP/USD pair bhi shamil hai, ke hawalay se jazbat ko nuksan pohanchaya hai. Wazeh tor par, kamzor equity market ka tone bhi safe-haven flows ko US dollar mein badha raha hai.

Bank of England ke Governor Andrew Bailey ke taja comments, jo ke is baat ka ishara karte hain ke agar inflation behtar hota hai to mazeed aggressive rate cuts ho sakte hain, GBP ke faiday ko rok sakte hain. Yeh dekhata hai ke GBP/USD ka rasta downside ki taraf hai, aur mazeed faiday ek possible selling opportunity ban sakte hain.

Aindah ke liye, US dollar aur GBP/USD ke exchange rates ko Federal Reserve ke Tuesday ke speech aur Wednesday ko release hone wale Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) minutes ke zariye asar ho sakta hai. US Consumer Price Index (CPI) aur Producer Price Index (PPI) bhi US dollar ke demand mein significant kirdar ada karain ge aur pair ko nayi momentum de sakte hain. Agar pair apni upward momentum ko barqarar rakhta hai to 1.2300 se 1.3433 ke 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level, jo 1.3165 par hai, agla resistance point ho sakta hai. Agar pair 1.3433 ka top break kar leta hai to yeh bias ko mazeed bullish bana sakta hai aur February 2022 ka peak, jo 1.3635 par hai, ke liye rasta khul sakta hai. 20-day SMA, jo thoda zyada hai, agla level hai jis ko dekhna chahiye.