𝐆𝐁𝐏/𝐔𝐒𝐃

GBP/USD pair ke liye dekhte hue, mujhe lagta hai ke agle waqt mein iski upar ki movement dekhna mushkil hoga. Halanki recent decline evident hai, lekin yeh impulsive nature ki kami hai jo zyada significant downtrends se hoti hai. Yeh is baat ka ishara ho sakta hai ke shayad hum ek series of minor declines dekh rahe hain, na ke ek decisive drop. Phir bhi, mujhe lagta hai ke pair ko further girawat dekhne ko mil sakti hai, khaaskar 1.30 se 1.3350 ke range tak. Lagbhag 65 points ki aur girawat ki zarurat hai takay yeh 1.3050 level tak pohnche. Yeh tajwez current technical setup aur market sentiment par base hai. Agar GBP/USD pair 1.30 ke niche break nahi karta aur is level par stability establish karta hai, to short-term mein ek rebound dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Yeh rebound shayad bearish trend ke aage badhne se pehle aaye. Upcoming US economic data ko nazar mein rakhna zaroori hai, khaaskar jobless rate jo Friday ko release hoga, aur kisi bhi relevant non-cash data ko bhi dekhein. Agar economic indicators favorable hue, to 1.30 ke niche move hona zyada asaan aur plausible ho sakta hai. In data points ko observe karna zaroori hoga takay yeh samajh sakein ke pair lower trajectory ko sustain karega ya temporary upward correction dekhne ko milegi.
US data ke ilawa, UK inflation figures bhi jaldi available hongi, jo yeh batayengi ke Bank of England kaise respond karega. Agar Bank of England interest rates cut karta hai, to pound ka depreciation dekhne ko mil sakta hai, jo Fed ke recent rate decrease ke contrast mein hai jisne GBP/USD pair ko boost diya. Market ne Bank of England ke rate cut ko consider nahi kiya, aur yeh scenario poori tarah se ignore kiya gaya hai.
Technical perspective se, weekly chart par dekhte hue, highest level jo recently reach hua tha, wo 1.3265 hai. Yeh level northern zigzag pattern ka peak ho sakta hai, jabke lowest recorded point 1.0345 hai. Is context mein, US dollar ko appreciation ke liye poised dekha ja sakta hai, aur minimum target 1.0345 tak pohnchne ki koshish ho sakti hai. Yeh potential movement south ki taraf significant zigzag pattern ko indicate karta hai, jo ek considerable bearish trend ko darshata hai.
GBP/USD ne apni do din ki tezi ko rok liya, aur ab 1.3160 ke qareeb trade ho raha hai. Daily chart yeh dikhata hai ke pair ek descending channel mein consolidate kar raha hai, jo ke bearish bias ka ishara de raha hai. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator bhi is bearish sentiment ke sath align hai, kyun ke MACD line dono signal line aur centerline ke neeche hai. Iske ilawa, 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) bhi 50 level ke neeche hai, jo bearish outlook ko reinforce kar raha hai.
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GBP/USD H1 Market Analysis

Salam dosto, aaj dopehar mein main GBP/USD currency pair ka analysis karne ki koshish karunga. Aaj main H1 time frame par ban rahe pattern par nazar dalunga aur dekhunga ke kya price neeche jaane wali hai ya upar, isliye main technical analysis ka istemal karunga. Main moving average indicator ka istemal karunga, pehli moving average ka period 21 aur doosri ka 34 hai, H1 time frame par. Abhi jo price hai, wo moving average ke upar hai aur ek resistance hai jo hum dekh rahe hain. Iska matlab hai ke GBP/USD H1 time frame par bullish trend mein hai aur agle resistance area ki taraf ja raha hai.




Aaj GBP/USD ka trading price 1.3122 se shuru hua. Asian session mein, GBP/USD ne foran apna izafa shuru kiya. European session tak, GBP/USD ne apne sabse qareeb resistance 1.3512 ko bhi paar kar liya. Market ki shuruat par movement zyada door nahi thi, kyunki ab tak currency pair sirf 40 pips tak move hua hai. Pichle Friday, GBP/USD ne neeche aane ki koshish ki, lekin candle 1.3116 ki support ko nahi tod payi, aur aakhir mein upar ki taraf phir se move kiya. H1 time frame ke mutabiq, candle abhi bhi 1.3101 ki resistance ke upar hai. Jab tak position aise hai, EUR/USD ke liye upar jaane ke mauke hain. Lekin correction ka potential bhi maujood hai, kyunki candle jald hi 1.3186 ki shoulder area ko touch karegi. Lambi muddat mein, mera andaza hai ke GBP/USD girta rahega. Sabse zaroori baat hai ke 1.3130 ki resistance ko na todne diya jaye, warna girne ke mauke aur bhi kam ho sakte hain.

Ichimoku indicator ki madad se agar dekhein, to candle abhi bhi Tenkan Sen aur Kijun Sen lines ke upar hai. Is position ka matlab hai ke trend abhi bhi bullish hai. Is indicator se yeh pata chalta hai ke upar jaane ke mauke abhi bhi hain. Lekin meri raye yeh hai ke sirf kuch pips ki doori hai, kyunki jald hi candle 1.3192 ki resistance ko tod degi. Wahan tak pahunche ke baad, movement shayad zyada neeche ki taraf dominant ho sakti hai.

GBP/USD H1 Analysis

Salam dosto, aaj dopehar mein main GBP/USD currency pair ka H1 time frame par analysis karne ki koshish karunga. Pichle kuch dino se GBP/USD par pressure hai ke wo mazbooti se move kare, aur aaj jab market close ho raha hai, to GBP/USD ab bhi upar ya neeche trade kar raha hai. Is waqt market ki halat aise hai ke yeh badhne ki taraf hai. Jab market khulta hai to badi movement hoti hai, isliye hum technical analysis ka istemal karne ki koshish karenge. Main moving average indicator ka period 21 aur 34 H1 time frame par istemal karunga taake trend direction ko samajh sakun. Abhi jo price hai, wo moving average ke upar hai, isliye GBP/USD bullish trend mein hai, jo agle resistance level 1.3264 tak ja sakta hai.




Risk management ke liye, main 1.3165 level par stop-loss set karne ki salahiyat doonga. Yeh stop-loss level kisi bhi unexpected reversal se bachne ke liye hai, kyunki yeh ek key support area ke thoda neeche hai, jo trade ko thoda space deta hai jabke risk ko effectively manage karte hai. Profit ke liye, main 1.3245 level ko target karne ki salahiyat doonga. Yeh level market ke current bullish structure mein ek reasonable aur achievable target hai. Yeh ek acha exit point provide karta hai, jisse traders upward momentum ka faida utha sakte hain bina zyada aggressive hue. 1.3165 par stop-loss aur 1.3245 par take-profit ka combination ek balanced risk-reward ratio deta hai, jo GBP/USD pair ki ongoing bullish trend ka faida uthane ke liye ek sensible strategy hai.

Mujhe lagta hai ke aaj GBP/USD market buyers ke liye khaas tor par favorable hoga. Is waqt ke bullish trend ki taqat aur recent US news events se selling pressure ki kami, traders ke liye buying positions par ghoor karne ka acha waqt hai. Is strategy ko follow karte hue aur appropriate risk management levels set karte hue, traders GBP/USD pair ke upward movement se faida utha sakte hain. Jaise hamesha, market ko nazar mein rakhna aur strategies ko zaroorat ke mutabiq adjust karna zaroori hai.

GBP/USD Prices Ke Zariye Trading Signals

Yeh maqala GBP/USD currency pair ke price behaviour ka jaiza leta hai. Jab hum daily chart par GBP/USD ka dekhte hain, toh yeh pehle ek range mein trade kar raha tha, jab yeh ashaas kiya gaya ke UK apni monetary policy ko mazid sakht nahi karega. Is khabar ke baad, yeh pair support level 1.23040 tak gira. Iske baad, jab yeh ummeed jagi ke interest rates badh rahe hain, toh yeh pair phir se unhi unchaaiyon par chadh gaya, jo ke waqti tor par ghaflati thi. Jab US ke unemployment data aane shuru hue, toh yeh pair phir se barh gaya, jo ke is baat ki ummeed se tha ke US mein inflation kaafi kam ho jayegi—lekin yeh development nahi hui. Halankeh Federal Reserve ne 51 basis points se rates ko kam kiya, mujhe lagta hai ke yeh pair ka upward movement zyada dair tak nahi chalega. Mujhe lagta hai ke yeh pair overbought hai, aur main expect karta hoon ke yeh support level 1.29651 tak giraega. Main yeh bhi sochta hoon ke yeh tab tak niche trade karega jab tak US inflation data mein ek aham kami nahi dekhi jati.




Pichle Jumme ko is downward trend ko palatne ki koshish ki gayi, lekin ek ghaflati event ke nateeje mein US stock market mein tezi aayi, aur trading 1.329 se upar band hui. Phir bhi, yeh pair ek expanding triangle mein hai jo ascending wedge ki tarah hai. Is wedge se break tab hoga jab price EMA20 se neeche gir jaaye, jo ke filhal 1.3251 par hai. Sabse nazdeek ka support fast EMA8 level par hai, jo ke 1.3294 par hai. Halankeh main transatlantic logistics ke bare mein insight nahi de sakta, lekin yeh saaf hai ke US economy apni energy self-sufficiency se faida utha rahi hai, jo ke UK economy par ek faida hai. Filhal, mujhe lagta hai ke is pair mein kami aayegi, lekin yeh hamesha ho sakta hai ke main ghalat ho jaun. Hamein is hafte GBP/USD ki harkat ko dekhna hoga, kyunki zyada tar aham khabrein already aa chuki hain, jo ke ek potential correction ka ishara deti hain.

H-4 Chart Ka Technical Outlook GBP/USD

Yeh maqala foreign currency pair ke market movements ka forecast karne ke liye trading layout par hai. Humne jo time frame analyze kiya hai woh 4 ghante ka hai. Aayiye, hum is instrument ki halia harkat ka jaiza lete hain aur teen mashhoor technical analysis indicators—Extended Regression Stop and Reverse, RSI, aur MACD—ka istemal karte hain, jo trading ka behtar nateeja hasil karne mein madadgar sabit hote hain. Yeh zaroori hai ke market mein entry karne se pehle sab indicators ek hi signal dein. Munafa maximize karne ke liye, position se exit point Fibonacci grid ke mutabiq correction levels ke hisaab se tay kiya jayega.

Is instrument ka chart, jo H4 time frame par hai, dikhata hai ke pehli darje ki regression line (sunehri dotted line) jo ke current trend ka rukh aur halat dikhati hai, upar ki taraf jhuki hui hai, jo ke upar chalne ki taraf ishara karti hai.




Chart par dikhai gayi nonlinear regression channel ne ek mod liya hai, sunehri line ko cross kiya hai aur ab yeh upar ki taraf hai. Non-Linear Regression Channel, jo chart par nazar aa raha hai, neeche se upar ki taraf gaya hai aur sunehri line ko nahi balki linear channel (laal dotted line) ki resistance line ko cross kiya hai. Ab nonlinear regression channel upar ki taraf hai aur buyers ki taqat ko confirm karta hai. Price ne linear regression Channel 2 aur LevelSupLine ki blue support line ko cross kiya, lekin price ka minimum (LOW) tak pahunchne ke baad iska girna ruk gaya aur phir yeh upar chadh gaya.

In sab ke mad e nazar, mujhe umeed hai ke price recovery hogi aur market price channel line 2 aur LevelSupLine ke upar consolidate hoga, aur iske baad sunehri center line LR 1.33900 tak aur upar jaane ki ummeed hai, jo ke 61.8% Fibonacci level ke mutabiq hai.

Spot Price Ka Halat Aur Aage Ka Nazariya

Spot price ne Jumme ko halki si girawat dekhi, jo ke 1.3150 se thoda upar tak aayi. Yeh harkat Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation data ke kam hone ke baad hui, dono taraf se Atlantic par. Chaar din ki jeet ke baad, ab yeh pair trading week ke aakhri hisson mein aik ehtiyaat bhari soorat-e-haal ka samna kar raha hai. Traders UK ke Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth figures aur US Retail Sales data par nazar rakh rahe hain, jo is pair ki performance ko asar andaz kar sakte hain. Latest update ke mutabiq, GBP/USD 1.3132 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai. Maujooda market halat aur technical indicators ke mad-e-nazar, traders ko ehtiyaat baratne ki salahiyat di ja rahi hai. Agar bechne mein mazbooti aati hai, toh yeh teen hafton purani downtrend ka wapas aane ka ishara de sakta hai, khaaskar agar GBP/USD key support levels se neeche girta hai.

Agar yeh pair in supports ke upar rukne mein kamiyab hota hai, toh yeh short-term trading mauqe de sakta hai. Recent developments in the Middle East ne forex market ko aur bhi pechida bana diya hai. Israeli intelligence reports ke mutabiq, Iran shayad Israel par seedha hamla karne ki tayyari kar raha hai, jo Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh ke qatl ke jawab mein hai. Aise geopolitical tensions global markets par asar andaz kar sakti hain aur USD par bhi. Agar Federal Reserve (Fed) ki taraf se significant interest rate cuts ki umeed barqarar rahti hai, toh yeh aggressive USD bullishness ko kam kar sakta hai aur growth ke liye ek support bana sakta hai.

Daily chart par humne haal mein upar ki taraf harkat dekhi, aur Jumme ko pair mein upar ki taraf movement dekhi gayi. Aayiye dekhte hain ke Monday ko is pair se kya umeed rakhi jaye. Kya upar ki taraf movement jari rahegi, ya kisi mukhtalif manzar ka samna karna padega.

Technical analysis ke mutabiq, moving averages khareedari ka ishaara de rahe hain, technical indicators bhi khareedari ka ishaara de rahe hain, aur natija yeh hai ke khareedari ki salahiyat hai. Isliye, technical analysis kehte hain ke Monday ko is pair par khareedari karni chahiye.




Monday ko pair par aham khabrein bhi aayengi. UK se aham khabrein negative forecast ke saath aayengi, jabke US se neutral forecast ki khabrein aayengi. Mujhe lagta hai ke humein is pair mein sideways movement ki umeed rakhni chahiye. Buy orders resistance level 1.3350 tak ja sakti hain, jabke sell orders support level 1.3260 tak pahunch sakti hain. Matlab, mujhe lagta hai ke movement zyada tar sideways hi rahegi. Yeh hai Monday ka trading plan. Sabko good luck!

Weekend movement ko adjust kar sakta hai, isliye maine kharidari nahi chhodi, halankeh main chahta tha ke zyada dair tak rakhoon. Lekin yahan yeh samajhna mushkil hai ke maximum ka breakout kya hoga. Kya yeh false hoga ya nahi. Agar yeh false hua, toh apni kharidari mein reversal ka samna karna par sakta hai. Isliye, maujooda lamha ko ehtiyaat se trade karna chahiye, kyunki price ko faisla karna hai ke yeh upar jayegi, ya humare ship ko buyers se alvida kehkar south ki taraf jaana hai.

GBP/USD Price Action Ka Jaiza

Mera is waqt ka topic GBP/USD ke price behaviour ka jaiza lena hai. Aisa lagta hai ke GBP/USD ki price halat abhi bhi kaafi stable hai aur upar ki taraf ja rahi hai, jab market pichle Jumme ko band hui. Aane wale trading plan ke liye, main sirf entry buy opportunities dhoondne par tawajjoh dene ki koshish karunga, lekin mujhe positions ka faisla karte waqt jaldi nahi karni chahiye. Halankeh trend abhi kaafi steadily upar ja raha hai, lekin main sirf buy entry opportunities par focus karna chahta hoon.

H4 timeframe ka jaiza lene par pata chalta hai ke current condition kaafi unchi hai, isliye yeh sambhav hai ke price pehle ek downward correction phase se guzregi. Mujhe yeh dekhte hue lagta hai ke support area lagbhag 1.3080 ke aas-paas hai.




Mera plan yeh hai ke main price ka intezar karunga ke yeh support area tak gir jaaye, aur phir main buy entry karne se rukunga jab tak mujhe upar ki taraf bounce hone ke asal nishan nahi milte. Dynamic support level tay karne ke liye, main yahan moving average indicator istemal karne ki koshish kar raha hoon. Ghor se dekhne par lagta hai ke GBP/USD ki price movement moving average line ke upar kaafi stable rahi hai, jo ke trend ke abhi bhi bullish hone ka ishara hai.

Isliye, jin logon ne pehle hi GBP/USD market mein buy position kholi hai, unhe yeh position banaye rakhni chahiye taake wo achhe profit returns hasil kar sakein. Aur hamesha yaad rahe ke stop loss ko optimal distance par lagana na bhoolen taake risk ko samajhdari se limit kiya ja sake. Yeh dekhna dilchasp hoga ke kya ek aham bullish movement hoti hai aur horizontal line resistance level 1.3340 ko todne ka mauqa milta hai.

GBP/USD D1 Chart Ka Jaiza

GBP/USD pair ne Jumme ko teesre musalsal din tak apne upar ki taraf ka rukh jari rakha, Asian session ke doran yeh 1.3300 ke aas-paas tha. Bank of England ka interest rates ko barqarar rakhne aur government debt ka stock kam karne ka faisla British pound ko taqat di. Iske muqabil, US dollar par Federal Reserve se mazeed rate cuts ki umeed ke chalte pressure hai, jo ke GBP/USD pair ko upar le jaane mein madadgar sabit hua.

Technical tor par, short-term downtrend line ke upar sustained break aur positive oscillator readings yeh darshate hain ke GBP/USD apne upward trajectory ko jari rakhega. Lekin, daily chart par RSI thoda overbought signal de raha hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke traders ko naye positions shuru karne se pehle intraday consolidation ya halki girawat ka intezar karna chahiye.

Resistance zone 1.3336 - 1.3367 ab GBP/USD exchange rate ke intraday growth ko limit kar raha hai. Agar 1.3306 ka level todta hai, toh price shayad 1.3245 aur 1.3275 ke supports ko phir se test karegi, uske baad stable level 1.3184 ki taraf badhegi. Lekin, humein yeh sab kuch Monday ya Tuesday tak pata chalega.




Waqai mein, mere dost, khushi har taraf se chamak rahi hai, aur GBP/USD mujhse bina kisi hal ke isay churaane ki koshish kar raha hai taake movement pattern sahi tarah se dikh sake. Jaise ke aap dekh sakte hain, neeche ek bohot bada karz ikattha ho gaya hai. Yeh pehla aur nazdeek hai, jo 1.3270 par hai. Agar Monday subah is par koi adjustment hota hai, toh yeh battlefield par halat ko kaafi badal sakta hai.

Pehla waqia tab hota hai jab rising trend din ke doran toot jaata hai. Iska matlab hai ke aise break ke baad ek significant correction aane ki sambhavna hai. Mera system yeh darshata hai ke agar hum is maslay ko medium term period ke liye dekhein, toh price ko 1.2740 tak recover hona chahiye, kyunki yahan par unhone ek boomerang bana diya hai.

GBP/USD Tajziya

Salam, mujhe GBP/USD ka technical analysis karna pasand hai mukhtalif charts par. Bechne walon ne kuch waqt ke liye market par control hasil kiya hai. Is waqt sirf European currency barhati hui channel mein trade kar rahi hai. 1.3110 se 1.3155 ka area support level hai. Jab price yahan fix hoti hai, to bulls ise upar le ja sakte hain. Lekin bulls ne lower limit se upar nikalne ki koshish jari rakhi hai. EUR/USD pair mein tezi ka bahut zyada imkaan hai.

H4 Time Frame Ka Chart:

H4 time frame chart par GBP/USD ki price upar aur neeche ghoom rahi hai ek ascending channel mein. Market ne lower trend line ko todne se inkar kar diya hai aur buy trend ki taraf badh rahi hai. Ab price range 1.3205 se 1.3245 tak hai. Is hafte ke market mein, buyers ne prices par control hasil kiya aur unhein upar le jane ki koshish ki.

H1 Chart Ka Istemaal:

H1 chart par market ek ascending triangle pattern dikhata hai, jo breakout ki nishani hai. Ab jab market upar ki taraf badh rahi hai, to shopping ka acha mauka hai. Jab market trend line ko todti hai, to price ko dobara dekhna hoga aur bechne ka acha mauka mil sakta hai. Apne paison ka sahi tor par management zaroor karein. Ascending orders ne buyers aur sellers ko kaafi mauke diye hain kyunki hum GBP/USD dono taraf se trade kar sakte hain. Isliye hum short-term trades khol sakte hain. Shukriya isay parhne ka.




Mujhe nahi pata ke GBP/USD currency pair market mein itne bullish mauqe kis ne diye, lekin mere psychological level goals 1.3210 - 1.3250 hain. Shayad kisi ne wahan kharidi ki trades ki, is wajah se stock market mein achanak se rebound dekha gaya.

Agar hum iske upar break karte hain, to yahan retest ki talaash kar rahe hain, jo 170, seven, six, aur four hai, aur phir continuation ho sakti hai. Neeche ki taraf trend line ko todne ke ilawa, upar bhi break hona mumkin hai. Yeh 40/40 call hai. Dusre lafzon mein, yeh sirf break ka intezar kar raha hai taake retest kiya ja sake. Is se aapko behtar samajh aayega ke hum kahan hain. Yeh British pound hai jo aap apni currency ke tor par istemal karte hain.

GBP/USD pair ek Rising Channel chart pattern mein trade kar raha hai, jahan market players har girawat ko ek kharidne ka mauka samajhte hain. 1.2875 ke qareeb, 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA upar ki taraf slope kar raha hai, jo near-term positive trend ko indicate karta hai. 14-period Relative Strength Index (RSI) strong upward momentum ko dikhata hai, jo bullish region 60.00–80.00 mein oscillate kar raha hai. But, RSI ne overbought levels 70.00 ke aas-paas ke do saal ke high ka level ek crucial resistance zone banega. agar 1.3050 ke region mein purane highs ke upar sahi break hota hai, to market 1.3150 ki taraf move kar sakti hai , to pair wapas pehle ke resistance zone ki taraf ja sakta hai, jo ab support mein ho chuka hai upper 1.28s mein. Pichle do hafton mein, GBP/USD exchange rate mein kafi zyada izafa hua hai. Mahine ke shuru mein 1.2700 ke aas-paas trade kar raha tha. Agar is point ke paas reversal hota hai, to pair wapas upper 1.2800 ke support ke paas ja sakta hai. Lekin agar 1.3050 zone mein recent highs ke upar ek verified break hota hai, to 1.3150 ki taraf continuation ka rasta khul sakta hai. In summary, GBP/USD pair ab ek important level par hai. 1.3050 ke upar agar break hota hai, to next target 1.3150 ho sakta hai. Lekin agar is point ke paas market mein reversal hota hai, to support ke liye 1.2800 ke aas-paas wapas ja sakta hai. Is waqt, pound sterling ki upward movement aur technical indicators ko dekhte hue, aage kya hoga yeh dekhna hoga.**GBPUSD Latest Analysis**
Pound Sterling ne is saal US Dollar ke muqablay mein 1.3050 par ek nayi high mark ki hai. GBP/USD pair ek Rising Channel chart pattern mein trade kar raha hai, jahan market players har girawat ko ek kharidne ka mauka samajhte hain. 1.2875 ke qareeb, 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA upar ki taraf slope kar raha hai, jo near-term positive trend ko indicate karta hai. 14-period Relative Strength Index (RSI) strong upward momentum ko dikhata hai, jo bullish region 60.00–80.00 mein oscillate kar raha hai. But, RSI ne overbought levels 70.00 ke aas-paas ke do saal ke high ka level ek crucial resistance zone banega.

Maqbool lines clear hain: agar 1.3050 ke region mein purane highs ke upar sahi break hota hai, to market 1.3150 ki taraf move kar sakti hai. Lekin agar is point ke paas reversal hota hai, to pair wapas pehle ke resistance zone ki taraf ja sakta hai, jo ab support mein convert ho chuka hai upper 1.28s mein. Pichle do hafton mein, GBP/USD exchange rate mein kafi zyada izafa hua hai

British Pound ki Monday ko Halat British Pound (GBP) abhi bhi Monday ko "snooze" mode mein hai. UK Manufacturing PMI August ke liye umeed ke mutabiq 52.5 aaya hai. US Dollar Index (DXY) ne bhi steady shuruaat ki hai kyunki US markets aaj public holidays ki wajah se band hain.

British Pound (GBP) European trading session ke dauran Monday ko thodi si gains par qaim hai, jab ke US markets Labor Day ke moqe par band hain. Iska matlab hai ke trading volumes bahut kam hain, ek aam Monday se bhi kam. Is dauran UK market ko is subah S&P Global/CIPS Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) ko digest karna pada, jo manufacturing sector ke liye expected ke mutabiq 52.5 par aaya.

Doosri taraf, US Dollar Index (DXY) – jo US Dollar ki qeemat ko chhe foreign currencies ke basket ke muqable mein measure karta hai – abhi bhi pichhle haftay ke bharay selloff se recover ho raha hai. Guzishta haftay mein, Greenback kuch mazboot US economic data ki wajah se recover kiya, jiski wajah se US Federal Reserve (Fed) ki initial rate cut ko sirf 25 basis points tak mehdood kiya ja sakta hai September mein. Is hafte ke mazeed PMI data aur Friday ko US Jobs reports ke saath, sab kuch is hafte ke data par depend karega taake aglay hafte interest rate cut ki size ko confirm kiya ja sake.

GBP/USD Technical Analysis: Kaafi Upar hai

British Pound abhi bhi kaafi high trade kar raha hai, July 2023 ke baad se aise levels par nahi dekha gaya against US Dollar. Guzishta haftay ka recent retracement kaafi welcome hai, aur ab woh traders jo GBP/USD mein long jaana chahte hain, unhe support levels identify karne honge jahan se wo at least year-to-date high ke retest ke liye entry le sakte hain, jo ke 1.3237 ke aas paas ya ek naya high banane ke liye 1.33 ke aas paas hai.

Neeche ki taraf, moving averages abhi ke liye kaafi door hain koi support dene ke liye. Behtar hai ke un trend channel ke upper band par bounce ka intezar karein jo pichhle cheh mahine se achi tarah se respected tha, lagbhag 1.3120 par. Agar ye level hold nahi karta, toh 1.3044 ek achha qarib platform lag raha hai jo August mein resistance ke taur par kaam kiya tha. Agar aur girawat hoti hai, toh 55-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at 1.2869 khoobsoorti se June 2023 se ek pivotal level 1.2849 ke saath line mein girta hai, sirf 20 pips ke farq ke saath ek

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GBP/USD pair ke liye dekhte hue, mujhe lagta hai ke agle waqt mein iski upar ki movement dekhna mushkil hoga. Halanki recent decline evident hai, lekin yeh impulsive nature ki kami hai jo zyada significant downtrends se hoti hai. Yeh is baat ka ishara ho sakta hai ke shayad hum ek series of minor declines dekh rahe hain, na ke ek decisive drop. Phir bhi, mujhe lagta hai ke pair ko further girawat dekhne ko mil sakti hai, khaaskar 1.30 se 1.3350 ke range tak. Lagbhag 65 points ki aur girawat ki zarurat hai takay yeh 1.3050 level tak pohnche. Yeh tajwez current technical setup aur market sentiment par base hai. Agar GBP/USD pair 1.30 ke niche break nahi karta aur is level par stability establish karta hai, to short-term mein ek rebound dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Yeh rebound shayad bearish trend ke aage badhne se pehle aaye. Upcoming US economic data ko nazar mein rakhna zaroori hai, khaaskar jobless rate jo Friday ko release hoga, aur kisi bhi relevant non-cash data ko bhi dekhein. Agar economic indicators favorable hue, to 1.30 ke niche move hona zyada asaan aur plausible ho sakta hai. In data points ko observe karna zaroori hoga takay yeh samajh sakein ke pair lower trajectory ko sustain karega ya temporary upward correction dekhne ko milegi. US data ke ilawa, UK inflation figures bhi jaldi available hongi, jo yeh batayengi ke Bank of England kaise respond karega. Agar Bank of England interest rates cut karta hai, to pound ka depreciation dekhne ko mil sakta hai, jo Fed ke recent rate decrease ke contrast mein hai jisne GBP/USD pair ko boost diya. Market ne Bank of England ke rate cut ko consider nahi kiya, aur yeh scenario poori tarah se ignore kiya gaya hai.
Technical perspective se, weekly chart par dekhte hue, highest level jo recently reach hua tha, wo 1.3265 hai. Yeh level northern zigzag pattern ka peak ho sakta hai, jabke lowest recorded point 1.0345 hai. Is context mein, US dollar ko appreciation ke liye poised dekha ja sakta hai, aur minimum target 1.0345 tak pohnchne ki koshish ho sakti hai. Yeh potential movement south ki taraf significant zigzag pattern ko indicate karta hai, jo ek considerable bearish trend ko darshata hai.
GBP/USD ne apni do din ki tezi ko rok liya, aur ab 1.3160 ke qareeb trade ho raha hai. Daily chart yeh dikhata hai ke pair ek descending channel mein consolidate kar raha hai, jo ke bearish bias ka ishara de raha hai. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator bhi is bearish sentiment ke sath align hai, kyun ke MACD line dono signal line aur centerline ke neeche hai. Iske ilawa, 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) bhi 50 level ke neeche hai, jo bearish outlook ko reinforce kar raha hai.
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GBP/USD pair ke liye dekhte hue, mujhe lagta hai ke agle waqt mein iski upar ki movement dekhna mushkil hoga. Halanki recent decline evident hai, lekin yeh impulsive nature ki kami hai jo zyada significant downtrends se hoti hai. Yeh is baat ka ishara ho sakta hai ke shayad hum ek series of minor declines dekh rahe hain, na ke ek decisive drop. Phir bhi, mujhe lagta hai ke pair ko further girawat dekhne ko mil sakti hai, khaaskar 1.30 se 1.3350 ke range tak. Lagbhag 65 points ki aur girawat ki zarurat hai takay yeh 1.3050 level tak pohnche. Yeh tajwez current technical setup aur market sentiment par base hai. Agar GBP/USD pair 1.30 ke niche break nahi karta aur is level par stability establish karta hai, to short-term mein ek rebound dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Yeh rebound shayad bearish trend ke aage badhne se pehle aaye. Upcoming US economic data ko nazar mein rakhna zaroori hai, khaaskar jobless rate jo Friday ko release hoga, aur kisi bhi relevant non-cash data ko bhi dekhein. Agar economic indicators favorable hue, to 1.30 ke niche move hona zyada asaan aur plausible ho sakta hai. In data points ko observe karna zaroori hoga takay yeh samajh sakein ke pair lower trajectory ko sustain karega ya temporary upward correction dekhne ko milegi.
US data ke ilawa, UK inflation figures bhi jaldi available hongi, jo yeh batayengi ke Bank of England kaise respond karega. Agar Bank of England interest rates cut karta hai, to pound ka depreciation dekhne ko mil sakta hai, jo Fed ke recent rate decrease ke contrast mein hai jisne GBP/USD pair ko boost diya. Market ne Bank of England ke rate cut ko consider nahi kiya, aur yeh scenario poori tarah se ignore kiya gaya hai.
Technical perspective se, weekly chart par dekhte hue, highest level jo recently reach hua tha, wo 1.3265 hai. Yeh level northern zigzag pattern ka peak ho sakta hai, jabke lowest recorded point 1.0345 hai. Is context mein, US dollar ko appreciation ke liye poised dekha ja sakta hai, aur minimum target 1.0345 tak pohnchne ki koshish ho sakti hai. Yeh potential movement south ki taraf significant zigzag pattern ko indicate karta hai, jo ek considerable bearish trend ko darshata hai.
GBP/USD ne apni do din ki tezi ko rok liya, aur ab 1.3160 ke qareeb trade ho raha hai. Daily chart yeh dikhata hai ke pair ek descending channel mein consolidate kar raha hai, jo ke bearish bias ka ishara de raha hai. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator bhi is bearish sentiment ke sath align hai, kyun ke MACD line dono signal line aur centerline ke neeche hai. Iske ilawa, 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) bhi 50 level ke neeche hai, jo bearish outlook ko reinforce kar raha hai.
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Friday ko positive territory mein trade kiya, jiska sabab US dollar ki kamzori thi. Market participants ab US non-farm payrolls data ka intezaar kar rahe hain jo ke August ke liye aayega, aur yeh data Federal Reserve ke interest rate decision par gehra asar daal sakta hai. Pehle hafta mein release hone wala Automatic Data Processing (ADP) report ne private sector job growth mein girawat dekha, jo ke is baat ka ishara hai ke Fed rate cut kar sakta hai. Market ab September 17-18 ke meeting ke liye rate cut ko price kar chuki hai. Pound bhi is liye support ho raha hai kyun ke Bank of England (BoE) se bhi rate cut ki umeed hai. BoE Governor Andrew Bailey ne yeh kaha ke inflationary pressures kam ho rahe hain, lekin woh rate cut karne mein jaldbazi se bachne ka mashwara de rahe hain. Investors 25% chance de rahe hain BoE rate cut ka, lekin November tak yeh possibility fully price ho chuki hai.
GBP/USD pair ne Thursday ko low volatility ke sath upward movement kiya. Market ke pass British currency khareedne ki koi khaas wajah nahi thi. Thursday ke quotes ka rise ek correction ke dauran hua tha, lekin abhi tak hum US currency ke liye koi excitement nahi dekh rahe, jo ke 2 saal se gir rahi hai. Yeh movement ek nayi downward trend ka aghaz nahi lagti jo ke ek saal ya zyada tak chal sake. Market ne thodi correction ki hai aur ab shayad ek nayi wave ke liye tayyari kar raha hai. Agar hum fundamentals aur macroeconomics ko dekhein, toh British currency ka yeh growth bilkul illogical lagta hai.

Jab tak price Ichimoku indicator lines aur descending trend line ke neeche hai, downward trend qaim hai. Yeh shayad US dollar ka ab tak ka akhri sahara hai. Jab se yeh maloom hua ke inflation America mein 2.5% tak gir chuki hai, Federal Reserve har meeting mein rate kam kar sakti hai. Agar market ne monetary policy easing ko pehle hi price kar diya hai, toh yeh achi baat hai—dollar ko bacha liya jayega. Agar aisa nahi hai, toh US dollar ko mazeed girawat ka samna ho sakta hai. Thursday ko teen trading signals bane, jahan price 1.3050 level se do martaba bounce hui lekin 20 pips tak neeche nahi ja saki. Phir price ne 1.3050 level ke upar consolidate kiya aur tab thoda movement aaya jahan kuch kamai ki ja sakti thi. Pehla short position loss mein gaya, is liye Thursday ko profit kamane ke chances kaafi kam the. Hourly time frame par, GBP/USD abhi bhi correction kar raha hai, lekin yeh correction kisi bhi waqt khatam ho sakta hai. Market ab tak jaldbazi nahi kar raha ke pair ko sell karein aur US dollar khareedein, is liye British currency ka illogical rise phir se shuru ho sakta hai

Relative Strength Index (RSI) strong upward momentum ko dikhata hai, jo bullish region 60.00–80.00 mein oscillate kar raha hai But, RSI ne overbought levels 70.00 ke aas-paas ke high ka level ek crucial resistance zone banega. pair wapas pehle ja sakta hai, jo ab support mein ho chuka hai upper 1.28s mein. GBP/USD exchange rate mein kafi izafa hua hai. Mahine ke shuru mein 1.2700 ke aas-paas trade kar raha Agar is point ke paas reversal hota hai, to pair wapas upper 1.2800 ke paas ja sakta hai. Lekin agar 1.3050 zone mein recent highs ke upar ek verified break hota hai, to 1.3150 ki taraf continuation ka rasta khul sakta hai. In summary, GBP/USD pair ab ek important level par hai. ke upar agar break hota hai, to next target 1.3150 ho sakta hai. Lekin agar is point ke paas market mein reversal hota hai, to support ke liye 1.2800 ke aas-paas wapas ja sakta hai. Is waqt, pound sterling ki upward movement aur technical indicators ko dekhte hue, aage kya hoga yeh dekhna hoga.**GBPUSD Latest Analysis** Pound Sterling ne is saal US Dollar ke muqablay mein 1.3050 par ek nayi high mark ki hai. GBP/USD pair ek Rising Channel chart pattern mein trade kar raha hai, jahan market players har girawat ko ek kharidne ka mauka samajhte hain. 1.2875 ke qareeb, 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA upar ki taraf slope kar raha hai, jo near-term positive trend ko indicate karta hai. 14-period Relative Strength Index (RSI) strong upward momentum ko dikhata hai, jo bullish region 60.00–80.00 mein oscillate kar raha hai. But, RSI ne overbought levels 70.00 ke saal ke high ka level ek crucial resistance zone banega. Maqbool lines clear hain: agar 1.3050 ke region mein purane highs ke upar sahi hai, to market 1.3150 ki taraf move kar sakti hai. Lekin agar is point ke paas reversal hota hai, to pair wapas pehle ki taraf ja sakta hai, jo ab support mein ho chuka hai upper hafton mein, GBP/USD exchange rate mein kafi zyada izafa hua hai. Mahine ke shuru mein, cable 1.2700 ke aas-paas trade kar raha tha. Magar, yeh 9 mein se 8 din barh gaya hai se 9 din barh gaya hai), aur ek 13-month high 1.3050 par pohnch gaya hai. Agar is point ke paas reversal hota hai, to pair wapas upper 1.2800 ke support ke paas ja sakta hai