𝐆𝐁𝐏/𝐔𝐒𝐃

GBP-USD TAIRIKA MOVEMENT
Assalam-o-Alaikum aur aik acha din guzarain!

Aaj ke liye GBPUSD currency pair ki movement ke hawale se, meri technical analysis ke mutabiq, abhi bhi yeh correction ke liye neechay ja sakta hai, jahan tak ke 1.26400 ke qareeb pohanch sakta hai. Is wajah se ke H1 time frame mein GBPUSD currency pair ki movement ne aik bearish candle engulfing bana hai, jo ke bechne ke liye bohat taqatwar signal hai GBPUSD ko 1.26400 ke qareeb.

Is ke ilawa, meri observation ke mutabiq relative strength index 14 indicator mein yeh pata chalta hai ke GBPUSD ki price 1.26870 par already overbought hai ya phir buying ke liye zyada saturated ho chuki hai, is wajah se ke is dopahar mein GBPUSD ki movement ko kaafi gehrayi se 10-50 pips ke darmiyan neechay correction ka imkan hai. GBPUSD SELL signal ko bhi SNR aur Fibonacci methods ne mazbooti se support kiya hai, kyun ke jab GBPUSD ki price 1.26870 ke qareeb gayi thi, to yeh SBR area mein thi yaani ke support resistance ban gayi thi, is wajah se ke is dopahar mein GBPUSD ki movement ko kaafi gehrayi se 1.26400 ke qareeb neechay correction ka rujhan hai.

Meri technical analysis ke natayej ke mutabiq aaj ke GBPUSD currency pair ki movement ke liye, mein ne faisla kiya hai ke GBPUSD ko 1.26400 ke qareeb bechna behtar hai.

Magar jo keh rahe hain ke increase sirf temporary hai aur price ke most likely bearish trend mein wapis lautna hai. MACD indicator ke histogram bar ke position ab bhi consistently zero level ke neeche hai, jo ke market ko bearish trend mein dikhata hai. Agli dino mein market mein dobara bearish hone ki mumkinat hai.





Jo keh mene market mein dekha hai, seller army ko market trend mein dobara dominate karte hue dekha ja sakta hai. Pichle mahine ke conditions ko refer karte hue, hum dekhte hain ke GBPUSD currency pair ki situation abhi bhi seller ke control mein hai. Is liye behtar hai ke hum woh movements par tawajjo dein jo keh bearish trend ko jari rakhein, waise ke market abhi Asian session mein hai, lekin agle price ke liye yeh estimate kiya ja raha hai ke woh bearish trend mein 1.2600 ke price level ko test karne ki taraf chale ga.

Raat ke trading option se le kar kal raat tak meri rai yeh hai keh SELL trading ko chuna jaye.

Ummeed hai ke yeh maali analysis aap ke liye faida mand sabit hogi. Aap sab ko mufeed aur kamiyab trading ki duaon ke sath.

GBP/USD bhi din ke pehle hisse mein musbat trades dikha raha tha, jo keh France ke election results se mutaliq toh bilkul bhi nahi tha, kyun ke ye UK ya British pound se koi taluq nahi rakhte. Magar GBP/USD pair, bilkul EUR/USD pair ki tarah, peechle do hafton se sideways trade kar raha hai. Is wajah se, flat trend ke andar mazeed izafa ki dusri dar mein kisi khaas wajah ya justification ki zaroorat nahi thi. Din bhar ke dauran, price 1.2633 aur 1.2693 ke darmiyan hi raha. Volatility mamooli se zyada thi. Din bhar ke macroeconomic events toh thay, lekin market ne inhein amuman ignore kar diya.
Macroeconomic events mein se hum US mein ISM Manufacturing Index ko highlight kar sakte hain. Jo keh expected value se bura dikha, lekin dollar sirf din ke doosre hisse mein hi barh gaya. Isi tarah, ek baar phir pair ne be-ittifaq aur be-bunyaad harkatein dikhai. Magar yaad dilate hain ke flat market mein mantiki harkatein bohat kam hoti hain. Pair ne 5-minute timeframe par do trading signals generate kiye. Jumma ko price ne 1.2605-1.2633 ke area se rebound kiya, lekin hum aksar aise signals se trading next week tak avoid karte hain. Peer ko price ne 1.2684-1.2693 ke area se do baar rebound kiya, jis se naye traders ko short position open karne ka mauqa mila. US session ke dauran, price ne 1.2633 ke qareeb target level tak pohancha. Is trade se lagbhag 35 pips ka faida hua. 1.2633 ke level se do rebounds yeh ishara dete hain ke pair aaj upar bhi ja sakta hai.

Trading tips for Tuesday:
Hourly chart par GBP/USD abhi bhi downtrend ke signs dikhata hai, lekin yeh yeh bhi matlab nahi ke pair upar ki taraf nahi ja sakta. Bearish prospects ke hawale se, achchi baat hai ke price ne 1.2693 level ko do baar overcome kiya hai; lekin market aksar technical, fundamental aur macroeconomic factors ke bawajood bhi selling se inkar kar deta hai. Haal hi mein pair mainly sideways move kar raha hai. Price ne descending channel chhod diya hai.

Aaj ke din, British pound mazeed be-ittifaq aur ghair-mantiki harkatein dikha sakta hai. Mushkil se, pair ko is haftay ke economic calendars mein ahem data shamil honay ki wajah se zyada taqatwar harkatein dikhne shuru ho sakti hain, lekin peer ne dikhaya hai ke hum bohat zyada taqatwar harkaton par ummeed nahi kar sakte.

5M chart par key levels hain 1.2457, 1.2502, 1.2541-1.2547, 1.2605-1.2633, 1.2684-1.2693, 1.2748, 1.2791 - 1.2798, 1.2848-1.2860, 1.2913, 1.2980. UK mein koi important events ya reports scheduled nahi hain. Dusri taraf, US mein Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell ka speech aur JOLTs report jis mein May mein open vacancies ki tadad shamil hai, aane wale hain.

Subah Bakhair, Doston!
Aaj GBP/USD mein kuch khareedari ke mauqay hain. Ye is wajah se hai ke US Fed Chair Powell ki taqreer market ke jazbaat ko badal sakti hai. Mujhe yakeen hai ke market sellers ki taraf rujhan dikha sakta hai aur wo 1.2621 zone ko cross kar sakte hain. Aane wale news data market ke jazbaat aur trading ke natayej par sakht asar andaaz ho sakta hai. Traders ko mashwarah diya jata hai ke woh maqamiyat aur chamtaar mein apne rujhan ko adjust karte hue maqamiyat ke mutabiq apni strategies ko mojooda halat ke mutabiq tarmeem karen. Market ke jazbaat mein tabdeeliyon ke intezar mein aur apne aap ko maqamiyat se position karke traders apne gunjaishat ko behtar banate hain taake unhe ajziyat se guzarne aur munasib trading shorat se faida uthane ka moqa mil sake. Ye proactive approach trading ke daanai ko tez karta hai aur maaliyati markets mein tawun ke rishton ko kam karne mein madad deta hai.

Aaj ka market ek badiya khareedari mauqa pesh karta hai jo mazboot buyer sentiment aur upar ki taraf uthne ke potential ke sath darj kiya gaya hai. Maqamiyat ke mutabiq aur mazboot khareedari strategies ke execution se traders apne faidayi natayej ko optimize kar sakte hain. Disciplined trading practices par zor dete hue aur bunyadi idaray se faida uthate hue traders market ke complexities ko khud-bakhud samajhte hain. Market ke tajarbat aur badalte halat ke jawabat mein chusti se react karke traders apne trading rujhan ko durust karte hain aur maaliyati markets ke aasmani manazir mein faida uthate hain. Aaj, mujhe sell-side position pasand hai jis ka short target 1.2600 hai. Market ka mahaul aaj bhi mazboot buyer sentiment aur upar ki taraf chalne ke potential ko darshata hai. Market ke rukh aur maqamiyat ke mutabiq strategic alignment, proactive trade planning aur timely execution traders ke kamyabi ke imkanat ko barhate hain. Disciplined approach par zor dete hue aur bunyadi idaray se faida uthate hue traders market ke complexities ko khud-bakhud samajhte hain aur maaliyati markets mein munasib natayej hasil karte hain. Market ke tajarbat par nazar rakhna aur badalte halat ke jawabat mein chusti se react karte hue traders apne trading rujhan ko durust karte hain aur maaliyati markets ke aasmani manazir mein faida uthate hain.

Aap sab ko ek kamyabi se bhara trading din guzarne ki duaon ke sath!

GBP/USD TAJZIYAH 03 JULY 2024




Aaj hum GBP/USD pair ki analisis par ghaur karenge jo ke 03 July 2024 ko hai. Is tasweer ko barhne ke liye image par click karen:

Trend Direction:
GBP/USD pair ki mukhtasar trend direction jo ab chal rahi hai wo abhi bhi bullish trend condition mein hai. EMA 50 aur SMA 200 ne abhi tak cross nahi kiya hai, jo ke ek "death cross" signal ka paida hone ka sabab hai. Keemat ke rukh bhi abhi tak EMA 50 ke aas paas consolidate ho rahi hai aur SMA 200 ke neechay girne ki koi surat-e-haal nahi hai. Pichli keemat ki harkaton se saabit hota hai ke keemat ne kai martaba SMA 200 ko dynamic support ke taur par paar kar liya hai lekin baad mein keemat consistently EMA 50 ke upar move kar sakti hai. Agar keemat baad mein EMA 50 ya 1.2700 ke level ke upar aa sakti hai, toh keemat 1.2800 ke level ko test karne ki koshish karegi. Yeh bhi dekha jana chahiye ke RSI indicator ke parameter (14) jo ke 50 level ke upar nahi hai. Jahan tak keemat ke momentum ka taaluq hai, abhi bhi uptrend consider kiya ja sakta hai, lekin abhi ke parameters jo ke 50 level ke neeche hain, yeh price increase rally mein kamzor honay ka saboot dete hain. Is ke ilawa, New York session mein US economic data report bhi mukhtasar karne ke liye zaroori hai. Jab tak data report pessimistic hai, yeh 1.2700 level ke taraf keemat ki movement ko support karega.

Medium-term Trading Plan:
Daily time frame analysis se aate huye medium-term trading plan ke mutabiq, BUY entry position placement tab ki jati hai jab is hafte ke close prices EMA 50 ke upar hon. Tasdeeq ke liye intezaar bhi hota hai ke RSI indicator ke parameter (14) 50 level ke upar ho. Take profit wo nearest high prices 1.2739 ke aas paas liya ja sakta hai aur stop loss low prices 1.2610 par rakha jata hai.

Ummeed hai ke yeh analisis aap ke liye faidemand sabit ho. Agar koi aur maloomat chahiye ho, toh zaroor puchain.

GBP/USD currency pair ne haftay ke shuru mein market khulne ke baad numayan bearish correction ka samna kiya. Shuru mein qeemat 1.2689 ke level tak oonchi hui, lekin jald hi girawat shuru hogayi, jo ek neeche ki taraf rawana hone ka aghaz darust kar rahi hai. Halat-e-hazra par bearish movement H4 time frame par wazeh hai. Chart ki tafseeli jaaizish se saaf hota hai ke market ne 50 aur 100 SMA levels se inkaar kiya hai, jo ke bearish trend ke aaghaz ko mazeed tasdeeq karte hain. In ahem moving averages se inkaar, price action mein dekhe jaane wale becharti harkaton ko dosra level-e-tasdeeq farahmi karta hai.
Is ke ilawa, chart par lagaye gaye stochastic indicator ne crossover kar liya hai, jo ke bearish jazbat ko mazbooti deta hai. Ye crossover ek taqatwar ishara hai ke qeemat ki harkatein neechay ki taraf jaari rehne ke imkaanat ko darust karte hain. Agar mojooda neechay ki taraf rawana trend jaari rahe, to GBP/USD jori ka agla maqsad 1.2593 support level hai. Ye level aam tor par mazboot support ke taur par samjha jata hai aur ye mumkin hai ke ye bearish momentum ko rok sakta hai, kam az kam waqti tor par. Magar agar qeemat is level se ooper qayem na reh paye, to mazeed girawat ki tawaqo ki ja sakti hai.

Mukhalif surat-e-hal mein, agar price wapas bounce kare aur phir se 1.2689 level ko cross karay, to ye ek potential reversal ki alamat ho sakti hai aur naye bullish trend ka aghaz bhi ho sakta hai. Karobarion ko in ahem levels par tawajjo di jani chahiye, kyun ke ye future mein GBP/USD currency pair ki manzil ke bare mein ahem malumat faraham karenge.





Istemaal shudah chart aur indicators se pata chalta hai ke GBP/USD pair abhi bearish movements dikha raha hai, jo ke ahem moving averages aur stochastic indicator ke inkaar se tasdeeq ho rahi hai. Agla significant support level 1.2593 par hai aur agar is se neechay giray, to mazeed girawat ka imkaan hai. Mukhalif surat-e-haal mein, agar 1.2689 level ko paar karay, to ye ek bullish trend ki taraf lotne ki alamat ho sakti hai. Karobarion ko hoshyari se kaam leni chahiye aur in ahem levels ko monitir karne chahiye taake aqalmandana trading faislay kiye ja sakein.

GBP/USD currency pair ne modest declines experience kiye, aur Tuesday ki early Asian trading session mein 1.2730 level ke qareeb trade kar rahi thi. Yeh movement is waqt ho rahi hai jab market participants UK's labor market data release hone ka intezar kar rahe hain, jo aaj baad mein scheduled hai.

Traders wait-and-see approach adopt kar rahe hain, aur employment figures publish hone se pehle significant moves se guraiz kar rahe hain. Labor market report se UK economy ki condition ke bare mein crucial insights milne ki umeed hai, khaaskar wage growth, unemployment rates, aur job creation ke hawale se. Yeh data points country ki overall economic health ko gauge karne ke liye zaroori hain aur Bank of England ki future monetary policy stance ke liye significant implications rakhte hain.

GBP/USD pair ki slight misfortunes prevailing uncertainty ki wajah se hain. Investors labor market data ko assess karne wale hain taake Bank of England ke next steps ke bare mein informed expectations bana sakein. Ek robust labor market report jo strong wage growth aur low unemployment indicate kare, central bank ke further monetary tightening ke liye case ko bolster kar sakti hai. Doosri taraf, agar report weaker-than-expected hui to yeh ek more cautious approach ka sabab ban sakti hai, jo additional rate hikes ko delay kar sakti hai.

GBP/USD pair ke exchange rate dynamics broader market sentiments aur global economic developments se bhi influenced hote hain. Current context mein, market participants kuch factors ko closely monitor kar rahe hain, jaise ongoing economic recovery from COVID-19 pandemic, geopolitical tensions, aur fluctuations in commodity prices. Yeh elements overall volatility aur currency pair ki directional bias ko contribute karte hain.

UK jobs report ke lead-up mein, market participants doosray economic indicators aur events ko bhi dekh rahe hain jo currency market ko impact kar sakte hain. Misaal ke tor par, agar major central banks, jaise ke US Federal Reserve, koi statements ya policy announcements karein, to yeh GBP/USD pair ko influence kar sakta hai. Iske ilawa, investors ke risk appetite mein shifts, jo global financial markets mein changes ki wajah se hoti hain, exchange rate ko bhi affect kar sakti hain.

Early Asian trading session aksar poore trading day ke tone ko set karti hai, aur market activity typically increase hoti hai jab European aur North American markets open hoti hain. Is period mein, traders overnight news ko digest karte hain aur upcoming economic releases ke liye prepare hote hain. UK labor market data ke intezar ke hawale se, GBP/USD pair heightened volatility experience kar sakti hai jab report publish hogi.

Summary mein, GBP/USD currency pair early Asian session mein Tuesday ko slight losses ke sath 1.2730 level ke qareeb trade kar rahi thi. Traders UK's labor market report release hone ke intezar mein caution exercise kar rahe hain, jo country's economic condition ke bare mein significant insights provide karne ki umeed hai. Data closely scrutinized kiya jayega indications ke liye wage growth, unemployment rates, aur overall job market health ke hawale se, jo future monetary policy decisions by the Bank of England ko influence kar sakta hai. Broader market sentiments aur global economic factors bhi GBP/USD pair ke exchange rate dynamics ko shape karte hain

Moving Averages and Market Analysis
Moving averages, specifically around the 1.2570 mark, are currently pivotal in analyzing the GBP/USD pair's recent price movements. This positioning suggests a robust uptrend, as maintaining levels above critical moving averages typically indicates bullish sentiment among traders and investors. However, the forex market is highly dynamic, and trends can change rapidly. If the GBP/USD pair undergoes a downward correction, it is crucial to identify potential support levels where the price may stabilize or reverse its direction.

At present, analysts are closely monitoring the 1.2570 level, which has served as a significant point of support and resistance in recent trading sessions. If the downward trend intensifies, the next notable support level to observe would be around 1.2460. Support levels are essential in technical analysis because they represent price points where a currency pair historically finds buying interest, thereby preventing further declines.




The 1.2460 level could serve as a critical threshold for traders seeking to capitalize on potential rebounds or aiming to limit losses. Additionally, market participants should consider broader economic factors influencing the GBP/USD pair's movements. These factors include economic data releases from the UK and US, such as GDP growth rates, employment figures, and decisions on monetary policies by central banks. Geopolitical developments and market sentiment also significantly impact the trajectory of currency pairs.

In summary, while the GBP/USD pair has shown strength by maintaining levels above its key moving averages at 1.2570, traders should remain vigilant. If the pair experiences a downward trend, the 1.2460 support level could become critical. Staying informed about economic indicators and market conditions will be crucial for making well-informed trading decisions.

GBP/USD Tashreeh 02 July 2024
Daily timeframe par Bollinger bands indicator istemaal kar ke dekha gaya hai ke kal ke karobar mein trading ke dauran keemat ne Lower Bollinger bands area ko 1.2600 ke qareeb barqarar rakha hai, ek mazboot bullish candlestick ne GBPUSD market pair ki trading ko dominion mein le liya hai jo ke bullish trend ko mazbooti se mazbooti de raha hai. Bullish target Middle Bollinger bands area ke qareeb 1.2705-1.2707 par hai jo ke agle arse mein kamyabi ke saath, ek ooncha bullish raasta khol sakta hai, agle kharidar target Upper Bollinger bands area ke qareeb 1.280-1.2806 par hai.

Asian market session mein Somwar ke karobar mein dubara khareedaroon ne raqam barhane ka amal kar liya hai jo ke bade tadaad mein shamil hue aur ye dabaav daalne mein qabil rahe ke daamon ko neeche ghaseetne se bacha saken. Europe market session ke samne, khareedaroon ko dekha gaya hai ke wo bechne wale resistance area ko target karne ka irada kar rahe hain jo ke 1.2660-1.2665 ke qareeb hai, agar is ko toor diya gaya to ye ek oonchi bullish mauqa khol sakta hai agle target ke liye seller supply resistance area jo ke 1.2680-1.2690 ke qareeb hai.

RSI indicator bhi dikhata hai ke keemat jo pehle level 44 ke qareeb thi ab level 47 ke qareeb pohanch gayi hai jo ke khareedaroon ke dwara kiye gaye kharidar dabao ko market ki support milti hai aur aaj RSI level 50 ke area ki taraf barhne ka imkaan hai.




Nateeja:

Sell entry ki amal ki ja sakti hai agar seller ko nakat khareedar support area ko 1.2640-1.2635 ke qareeb se guzar jaye jahan TP target area 1.2600-1.2595 par hai.

Buy entry ki amal ki ja sakti hai agar kharidar ko nakat bechne wale resistance area ko 1.2660-1.2665 ke qareeb se guzar jaye jahan TP target area 1.2680-1.2690 par hai.

Hello. Foreign Goods and Market Dynamics
Tashreeh ke liye, nazariya ke mutabiq, agar aap bahar ki cheezon par manai tax lagana chahte hain, to pehle ghar mein unhi tarah ke maal ki production shuru karni hogi. Lekin Trump ek din mein puri country mein sau factories nahi banayega aur logon ko kuch khareedna bhi hoga. Mumkin hai ke grey imports aayen ya phir yeh Trump ke chuninda nare hain America ki tajdeedi hawaaon ke bare mein. Aur China ke liye sales market ke hawale se, mujhe lagta hai ke unke paas pehle toh bohot bada domestic market hai, 1.4 billion log - yani ki lagbhag chaar America. Is ke alawa aur bhi bohot saare Asian countries hain jahan aap apne maal bech sakte hain, plus Russia, jaise aapne note kiya hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke China bilkul bhi gayab nahi hoga. Jeet hamesha uski hoti hai jo puri tarah se apna khud kaafi ho, jo kuch produce karta ho, aur China mein yeh cheezen generally behtar tareeqe se ho rahi hain, dusre countries ke mukable mein.

GBPUSD H4:

1 - 4 ghantay ke chart par pound ne upper band ke sath chalne ka naakaam ho gaya tha kal, jab is ne usay paar kar ke central band ke area mein lauta. Yahan se manzil ki taraf chalna kisi bhi taraf jaari ho sakta hai, aur keemat ke barhne ya girne ke liye ek naya signal hasil karne ke liye upper ya lower band se baahar nikalne ka intezar karna zaroori hai, phir yeh dekhna ke bands kholte hain ya koi reaction nahi hota. Agar hum fractals ke zariye halaat ka jayeza len, to keemat girne ki taraf target nazdeek tareen fractal hai, uska toorna aur mazbooti se jo bandon mein June 27 ke fractal tak keemat ko pohanchne ki ijazat dega 1.26120 par. Nazdeek tareen fractal upper taraf se bohot door hai mojooda keemat ke values se, aur keemat ke barhne ki taraf kuch hone ke liye, ek naya, nazdeek tareen fractal ka banne ka intezar karna zaroori hai.

2 - AO indicator ab bhi zero mark ke aas paas latak raha hai, aur is se abhi koi signal nahi mil sakta. Is surat e haal mein behtareen yeh hai ke hum active izafa hone ke liye intezar karen ya toh musbat ya manfi area mein, jo ke humein is izafa ki taraf keemat ke movement ke bare mein baat karne ki ijazat dega.

raat 1.2802 ke darjay par muqabla shuru hua aur channel ke ooperi had se neeche jhoolna shuru hogaya, 1.2786 ke darjay tak aur channel ke niche had tak. Pehle se ek junubi islaah hai aur iske baad, ab bull ek rally kar sakte hain. 1.2810 ke range ko torne aur us ke upar mazbooti se jamane ka amal mumkin hai, phir yeh ek kharidne ka ishaara hoga. Zahir hai, ke hum 1.2810 ke range ko tor sakte hain aur agar hum iske upar jam jaate hain, to yeh ek kharidne ka ishaara hoga. 1.2755 ke range ko tor dena aur iske neeche mazbooti se jamane ka amal dar ko girne ka ishaara hoga. Ek chhoti si junubi islaah range 1.2700 tak pehle se ho chuki hai aur iske baad, izaafa jaari rahega. Mukhtalif hai ke aaj hum 1.2816 ke range ko tor sakte hain aur uske upar mazbooti se jamane ka amal mumkin hai, yeh rate ke barhne ka ishaara hoga. Izaafi izaafa ke liye maqsood 1.2900 par hoga, jahan hamare pas Rukawat se rokne ki wajah se thori dair ki tez raftar ke baad, agar tabadla dar jari rahe to ye kharidne ka ishaara hoga. Mumkin hai ke hum 1.2800 ke range ke tor par aur uske upar jamane ka intezaar kar sakte hain, jo kharidne ka ishaara hoga. Tayyar hain 1.2755 se 1.2815 ke range se kharidne ke liye. Asal trend asal mein kharidaron dawam kar rahe hain magar side mein milaawat ke marhale ki wajah se thori dair se rukawat ka samna kar rahe hain. Lagta hai ke naye market rat mein America ki session mein mozi hone wala hai, special America ke NFP data ke bare mein unch-neech tajziyati news ke nateejay ka intezaar kiya ja raha hai. Agar aap kharidne walon ke koshishon par tawajju dete hain ke wo trend ko jaari rakhne ki koshish kar rahe hain, to lagta hai ke unka kafi achha moqaa nahi hai aur unhe mazeed bearish islaah ke encouragement ki zaroorat hai, utasalar neeche istifadah mein aik test 1.2729 ke kareeb. Chhoti dor mein ye dilchasp lag raha hai ke dobara farokht ke moqay dhoondhne ki koshish ki ja sakti hai aur istifadah ke area mein bearish inkar shara'it ka intezar kiya ja sakta hai taake kharidari positions ko mazeed buland taraf jaari rakhne ke liye. Dakhil hone ka mansooba, pehle dikh raha hai ke aap ek behtar nishandehi ke saath aik behtar farokht ki position mein dakhil ho sakte hain. Farokht dakhil hone ka area jo is waqt ghor kiya ja sakta hai wo range 1.2780-1.2800 mein hai. Is qeemat ke darajat ke liye niche neeche target ko plan kiya ja sakta hai tp1 level 1.2750 tak pohanchne ka aur tp2 level 1.2730 tak pohanchne ka. Ye farokht dakhil hone ka mansooba is haftay ke ooperi area mein nuqsan ka khatra dene ka moqaa de sakta hai jo ke 1.2815 ke kareeb hai. Kharidne ka mansooba socha ja sakta hai ek pending Buy ko jagah

GBPUSD Achcha din guzarain! M15 chart ke mutabiq, linear regression channel oopar ki taraf muddat hai, jo keh raha hai keh kharidar apne daway mein barhna chahte hain takay 1.26796 ke level tak pahunchein. Yahan mauqa hai khareednay ka. Behtar hai keh hum H1 linear regression channel ka intezar karein jo bhi uttar ki taraf nazar aanay lagay. Is liye, main ehtiyat ke saath khareedaari karunga. Main channel ke neechay se 1.26384 ke edge se khareedta hoon. Main sales ko control mein rakhta hoon, jo keh 1.26384 ke neechay ja sakta hai jama ho kar; agar aisa ho toh khareedna band kar doon ga. H1 trend ke mutabiq jari sales ka ziada imkaan hai. Kharidar sirf 1.26796 ke level ko pura karne ki koshish nahi karega, balkay is ke upar qadim ho kar trend ko apni taraf murnay ki koshish karega. Agar usay yeh kamyaabi hasil ho jaye toh woh khareedari jari rakh sakta hai.
Ghanton ke chart ko dekhte hue, mujhe yeh dekhne ko milta hai keh linear regression channel neeche ki taraf muddat hai, aur mere liye M15 se ziada ehmiyat rakhta hai. Iska matlab hai keh bhalu mazboot hain, aur M15 chart par khareednay ka signal aana, yeh batata hai keh market mein mazboot kharidar maujood hai. Aapko price ke sahi jagah par intezaar karna hoga aur wahan se sale ki talaash karni hogi. Jahan se main sale ki talaash karunga, woh hai channel ke upper border 1.26796 se jahan se main channel ke lower border tak 1.26002 par bechunga. Agar target level toot jaye, toh aur girawat ki umeed ki ja sakti hai, lekin zyada tar sudhar ke baad upside ki umeed hai, kyun keh ek bhalu movement taraqqi kar raha hai aur bhallay apni raftar ko bahal karne ki koshish karenge. Agar 1.26796 ke level ko bhaluon ne paar kar liya, yeh bullish interest ka nishan hai, jismein sales munafa ke liye ghair munasib ho jate hain, is liye unko market ki situation ki dobara tehqiq ke sath mansookh kar diya jata hai.

GBP/USD Wednesday ko European session mein 1.2650 ki taraf gir raha hai. Divergent Fed-BoE policy approaches aur UK election se pehle ki jitters pair ko vulnerable rakh rahe hain despite risk appetite. Attention mid-range US data par turn ho gayi hai, kyunke UK calendar data dry hai. 4-hour chart par Relative Strength Index indicator thoda 50 ke neeche hai, jo buyer interest ki kami indicate karta hai. Downside par, 100-day aur 50-day simple moving averages strong support 1.2640 par form kar rahe hain. Yeh level latest uptrend ke Fibonacci 38.2% retracement se bhi supported hai. Agar GBP/USD is level ke neeche break karta hai aur isse resistance ke tor par use karna shuru karta hai, to 1.2600 (psychological level, static level) aur 1.2580 (Fibonacci 50% retracement) next bearish targets ho sakte hain. 1.2700 (200-period SMA on 4-hour chart) immediate resistance set karta hai, uske baad 1.2730 (100-period SMA, Fibonacci 23.6% retracement) aur 1.2800 (psychological level, static level) ke tor par act karte hain. Tuesday ko lekin surface clear nahi hui. Pair Wednesday ko minor bearish pressure mein hai aur agar 1.2640 support break hota hai to extended slide dekhne ko mil sakti hai.
Advanced data ke absence mein cautious market stance ne US dollar ko rivals ke mukable mein resilient banaye rakha. Iske ilawa, dovish comments Federal Reserve officials se USD ko mazeed support kar rahe hain. Fed Governor Michelle Bauman ne Tuesday ko kaha ke wo abhi tak is point par nahi pohanchi jahan interest rates cut karna appropriate ho, aur unhone add kiya ke agar inflation stall ya reverse hota hai to wo rate hikes target karne ke liye tayar hain. US stock index futures marginally higher trade kar rahe hain. Wall Street par bullish start USD ke gains ko limit kar sakta hai aur GBP/USD ko apna footing dhoondne mein madad kar sakta hai, lekin pair ko bullish momentum ikatha karna mushkil lagta hai, kyunke investors large positions lene se pehle next week ki UK elections ka wait kar rahe hain. US economic docket mein sirf new home sales for May included hain. April mein dekhay gaye 4.7% decline ke baad, is data mein mazeed significant drop Fed ki tightening policy ka housing market par negative impact highlight kar sakta hai aur USD ko hurt kar sakta hai.

Technical analysis initial support ko 21-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke qareeb 1.2600 par point karti hai, aur further support approximately 1.2500 par ek ascending channel ke lower boundary ke qareeb anticipated hai. In levels ka breach selling pressure ko intensify kar sakta hai, potentially key support 1.2451 ko test kar sakta hai. Is level ke upar ka breakthrough further upward movement ka rasta bana sakta hai, potentially GBP/USD pair ko ascending channel ke upper boundary ke qareeb 1.3000 ko test karne ki taraf push kar sakta hai.

bullish outlook ko reinforce karta hai. Aise strong domestic fundamentals typically currency appreciation lead karte hain, favoring the GBP/USD pair. Bank of England ki central bank policies, especially agar hawkish stance adopt karein jo inflation control par emphasize karta hai through tighter monetary policy, GBP ko aur bolster kar sakti hai, supporting a bullish movement in GBP/USD. ada karte hain. Maslan, Eurozone mein ma'eeshati developments indirectly GBP/USD pair ko asar andaz kar sakte hain global economies ke interconnected hone ki wajah se. Haal hi mein euro ki qeemat mein kami, jo ke Eurozone mein slow ma'eeshati growth aur European Central Bank (ECB) aur doosray central banks ke darmiyan mukhtalif monetary policies ki wajah se aayi hai, ne GBP/USD ke maqool giravat ko madde nazar rakha hai. Jab euro kamzor hota hai, to US dollar ki relative taqat barh jati hai, jis se GBP/USD exchange rate par niche ki pressure dalta hai.Is ke ilawa, siyasi waqiyat aur trade relations currency markets ko bhi asar andaz karte hain. Maslan, Brexit negotiations, major economies ke darmiyan trade tensions, aur global political uncertainties GBP/USD pair mein fluctuations ka sabab bante hain. Maslan, koi bhi negative news Brexit ke mutalliq pound ki qeemat ko kami kar sakti hai jabke investors economic disruptions ger potential se wabasta hote hain.Market sentiment aur investor behavior bhi GBP/USD exchange rate par asar dalta hai. Jab uncertainty ya risk se bachne ki zyada zarurat hoti hai, to investors aam tor par US dollar jaise safe-haven assets ki taraf rahe hote hain, jo ke uski qeemat ko buland karta hai. Bar'aks, optimism aur risk-taking ke doran, zyada yielding currencies jaise ke British pound zyada invest kiye jate hain, jis se uski qeemat ko support milta hai.Maujooda manzar mein, Asian session mein GBP/USD ke maqool giravat ka yeh reflection hai ke ye gath jhooti ka asar hai, jo ke Eurozone mein economic challenges aur monetary policy ke mukhtalif hone ki wajah se aaya hai. Isi waqt, UK ke gharail factors, jaise ke haal hi mein economic data releases ya siyasi taraqqiyat, pound ki kamzori mein kuch kirdar ada kar sakte hain.Jab traders aur investors in dynamics ko samajhte hain, to woh hoshyar aur mubaddal rehna zaroori hai. Currency market both expected aur unexpected events ke liye bohot hi sensitive hoti hai, jis ki wajah se ma'eeshati indicators, markazi bank communications, aur siyasi waqiyat ko constant monitor karna zaroori hota hai. Technical aur fundamental analysis ka combination istemal karne se informed decisions liye ja sakte hain, sath hi sentiment indicators aur market trends par nazar rakhna bhi faida mand hai.Ikhtitam mein, gharail factors aur broader global economic trends ke darmiyan ke talluqat GBP/USD currency pair ke liye ek complex aur hamesha changing manzar ko paida karte hain. Asian session mein GBP/USD ke maqool giravat ka asal wajah euro ki qeemat girne aur US dollar ki taqat hai, jo ke mukhtalif economic, siyasi, aur market sentiment factors se mutasir hoti hai. Traders aur investors ko

gaya, to qeemat ne palat kar strong bullish impulse se upar jaane ki taraf dabaav dala, jis se ek full bullish candle bani. Ye candle sirf mujhe neeche darj ki gayi resistance level, jo maine 1.25180 par mark ki thi, ke neeche bandhne ka maqsad rakhti thi, balkay pichle din ke range ke high ke ooper bhi bandh gayi. Mojooda manzar par ghor kiya jaaye to aaj hum next shumali nishana ki taraf aik harkat dekh sakte hain, jis ka target resistance level 1.25785 par mark hai. Is resistance level ke qareeb, do manazir pesh aa sakte hain. Pehli priority scenario mein, aik reversal candle banne aur keemat ka dobara neeche jaane ka maqsad banna. Agar ye mansuba kaamyaab hota hai, to main support level 1.24487 par palatne ki talaash karunga. Agar keemat is support level ke neeche mushtamil hoti hai, to main mazeed dakhil karne ki umeed rakhoonga, jo keemat ko support level 1.22992 par le jaaye gi. Is support level ke qareeb, main aik trading setup ke shikar banunga, jo agle trading raah ko tay karnay mein madad karega. Beshak, keemat ko mazeed janoobi rukh mein dabaaya ja sakta hai, lekin main is waqt is option ko ghor nahi kar raha, kyun ke main is ki jald raftar ko dekhta nahi. Price ka doosra raasta resistance level 1.25785 ko test karne par ek plan hai jahan keemat is level ke ooper mushtamil hoti hai aur shumali rukh par jaari rehti hai. Agar ye plan safar hota hai, to main keemat ko mazeed agay barhte hue ummed rakhoonga, jis ka target resistance level 1.27094 ya resistance level 1.28032 par hoga. In resistance levels ke qareeb, main jari rahunga janoobi signals ki talash mein, neeche rukh ki dobara jaari hone ki umeed rakhta. Aam tor par, aaj ke din mujhe kisi khaas cheez ko mahir nahi nazar aati. Aam tor par, main global janoobi trend ki dobara jaari hone ki taraf munhasir hoon, is liye main nazdeeki resistance levels se bearish signals ki talash mein hoon. Jab Hama aur RSI indicators neela aur hara rang dikhaen, to yeh bullish dilchaspi aur yeh haqeeqat ke baare mein glat ka saboot hoga ke market mein kharidne wale hukoomat mein hain. Jaise he indicators rang badalte hain, hum market mein dakhil ho jate hain aur aik lamba position kholte hain. Position ka exit point magnetic levels indicator readings ke mawaafiq tay kiya jata hai. Mojooda waqt mein, signal execution ke liye sab se zyada wabastagi wale levels ye hain - 1.26554. Zaroori targets ko hasil karne ke baad, zaroori hai ke chart par keemat ka amal dekha jaye, aur agle kadam ka faisla kiya jaye - kya position ko market mein rakhna hai agle magnetic level tak, ya phir pehle hasil ki gayi munafa ko band karne ka faisla kiya jaye. Agar mazeed munafa barhane ki koshish ki jaye, to trailing stop ka istemal kiya ja sakta hai. Kisi bhi level ko zyada aam tor par dekho to dekho, toh agar woh ooper se resistance zone ko todena shuru karte hain, toh main samajhta hoon ke woh sirf tab karenge jab keemat neeche chali jaye aur signals ko process kiya jaye. 1.2460 ke neeche, matlab spike ke neeche jo wahaan par baki hai, hum bahar jaayenge, phir shayad wahaan par umeed hai ke barhav dobara shuru hoga, agar kuch aisa wahin ke liye bana hota hai, neeche palatne ka level. Intehai halat mein, main ek neeche ki taraf dobara palatne ka tasawwur karta hoon; ek mushkil ki misaal factors ki combination ki baat karta hai, kam az kam, pehle se pehle ek barhav.

**GBP/USD Pair Analysis in the H-4 Time Frame**

Chart se dekhne par yeh samajh mein aata hai ke GBP/USD currency pair ka condition ab bhi bearish trend mein wapas aane ki koshish kar raha hai, lekin is hafte ke shuru hone se pehle downward movement continue nahi kar paayi. Pichle hafte ke aakhir mein, buying forces ka resistance aaya jo bearish trend ko continue karne se roka—aur upward correction karke level 1.0725 tak pahunch gaya. Pichle hafte ke trading session mein, yeh pair bullish direction mein move karke market trend ko reverse karne ki koshish kar raha tha. Lekin kyunki daily timeframe par market situation ab bhi sellers' control mein thi, pichle hafte ki increase sirf ek correction consider ki gayi.


Pichle hafte ke shuru mein Monday ko bhi upward correction hui thi jo ke price level 1.0747 tak pahunch gayi, lekin Saturday morning ko price phir se gir gaya. In conditions se yeh conclude kiya ja sakta hai ke GBP/USD currency pair ka market trend conditions expect kiya ja raha hai ke bearish direction mein continue karega aur most likely price niche move karte hue level 1.2595 ko test karega. Relative Strength Index indicator par Lime Line position jo phir se level 50 ke neeche gir gayi hai, yeh indication hai ke trend ab bhi bearish hai.

Agle hafte ke trading session ke liye, maine decide kiya hai ke main ek acchi area dhundhne par concentrate karunga jahan par Sell trade enter kiya ja sake, kyunki price movements jo is hafte sideways rahe hain wo ab bhi consistently Simple Moving Average indicator ke neeche hain, iska matlab hai ke bearish trend ke continuation ka ab bhi zyada opportunity hai. Agar pichle teen hafton ke market conditions dekha jaye, toh main estimate karta hoon ke bearish trend agle mahine tak continue rahega.