𝐆𝐁𝐏/𝐔𝐒𝐃

GBP/USD currency pair abhi ek neeche jaane wale channel mein trade kar rahi hai, hourly chart ke mutabiq. Aaj subah se hi price girawat ki taraf chal padi hai, jisne yeh anticipate kiya hai ke yeh downward movement aage bhi jaari rahegi. Iss halat mein, traders lower boundary ko target kar rahe hain taake price ke aur bhi neeche jaane ka andaza lagaya ja sake. Subah ke price action ne yeh reinforce kiya ke selling pressure abhi bhi mazboot hai.
Yeh aik trading chart hai jo kay foreign exchange market mein currency ki price action ko dikhata hai. Is chart mein price levels aur trends nazar aa rahe hain jo traders ke liye analysis ka zaroori hissa hain. Chart par vertical aur horizontal lines bani hui hain jo time aur price levels ko represent karti hain.
Is chart par jo sab se pehle cheez dekhne ko milti hai woh hai aik significant price drop. Pehle price relatively stable thi, lekin phir aik sharp decline dekha ja sakta hai. Yeh indicate karta hai ke market mein koi significant event hua hoga jiski wajah se yeh price movement hui. Aik high peak bhi nazar aata hai jo ke sharp drop se pehle tha, yeh show karta hai ke kuch traders ne shayad profit taking ki ho ya phir koi economic news ki wajah se yeh spike aaya ho.
Chart ke bottom mein price recovery ka aik attempt nazar aata hai. Lekin yeh recovery sustainable nahi lagti kyun ke price phir se niche gir gayi. Yeh suggest karta hai ke market mein abhi bhi bearish sentiment zyada hai. Yani traders ka confidence abhi bhi weak hai aur selling pressure zyada hai.
Agar hum thoda aur detail mein dekhein to yeh chart kisi short to medium term trading ka lagta hai. Ismein different levels par resistance aur support levels clearly identify kiye ja sakte hain. Jo horizontal lines draw ki gayi hain woh different price points ko show karti hain jahan par price ne kuch time ke liye stability dikhayi.
Is chart ko dekh kar yeh bhi kaha ja sakta hai ke trading ke doran bohot saari volatility thi. Aise charts usually active trading periods mein dekhe jaate hain jahan par market news ya events ki wajah se price movements significant hote hain.
Traders ke liye yeh chart aik valuable tool hai. Iske zariye woh apni trading strategies ko adjust kar sakte hain. Jaisay ke agar kisi ne support level identify kiya hai to woh us level par buy positions open kar sakte hain aur resistance level par sell positions. Yani is chart ko dekh kar, traders market ke trend aur price action ko samajh kar apni trading decisions ko plan karte hain.
Akhir mein, yeh chart foreign exchange market ki aik realistic picture dikhata hai jahan par price movements, trends aur market sentiment ko observe karke traders profit kamaane ki koshish karte hain.

H-4 waqt frame mein GBPUSD jodi ka tajziya.

Chart se observations ke aadhar par pata chalta hai ke GBPUSD currency pair ka haal abhi bhi ek bearish trend mein lautne ki koshish kar raha hai, jisme is hafte niche ki movement abhi tak aage badh nahi payi hai trading session shuru hone se pehle. Pichle hafte ke ant mein, kharidne wale taqat se rukavat aayi jisse bearish trend continue na ho sake aur ek upward correction hua jiske price level 1.0725 tak pahunch gaya. Pichle hafte ke trading session mein ye pair market trend ko reverse karne ki koshish kar raha tha bullish direction mein move karke. Magar kyunki daily timeframe par market ka situation bhi yeh dikh raha tha ke yeh sellers ke control mein hai, isliye pichle hafte ke increase ko sirf ek correction hi samjha gaya.

Pichle hafte ke shuruaat mein, ek upward correction dekha gaya jisme price level 1.0747 tak pahunch gaya, magar Saturday ki subah fir price gir gaya. In conditions se yeh nishkarsh nikala ja sakta hai ke GBPUSD currency pair mein market trend conditions ka anuman hai ke bearish direction mein aage badhne ki sambhavna hai aur zyadatar price niche ki taraf move karne ki sambhavna hai level 1.2595 ko test karne ke liye. Relative Strength Index indicator par Lime Line ki position ka mukammal halka phir se 50 ke niche gir gaya hai, iska matlab hai ke trend abhi bhi bearish hai.

Agla hafte ke trading session ke liye, maine faisla kiya hai ke main ek Sell trade ke liye ek achha area dhundhne par concentrate karunga, kyunki is hafte ke market conditions jo ki sideways movement ki taraf ja rahe hain, woh abhi tak consistently Simple Moving Average indicator ke neeche hain, iska matlab hai ke bearish trend ki movement ke liye aur bhi mauka hai. Agar last teen hafte ke market conditions dekhe jaye, toh main yeh estimate karta hoon ke bearish trend agle mahine tak continue hoga.

Haqiqat mein, humne dekha ke guzishta hafte ke aghaz mein kharidaaron ki koshish thi ke price ko upar push karein, lekin price zyada upar move nahi kar saki. Pichle hafte ke darmiyan GBP/USD currency pair ka trend abhi bhi bearish tha yaani ke downtrend ka silsila jari raha. Market jo ke kuch hafton se bearish trend ki taraf dominate kar rahi thi, abhi bhi lagta hai ke yeh khatam nahi hui hai. Graph se observation ke mutabiq, GBP/USD currency pair ka condition abhi bhi bearish trend ki taraf wapas move karne ki koshish kar rahi hai, aur iss hafte downward movement jari nahi reh sakti thi kyun ke guzishta hafte ke end pe trading session ke aghaz se pehle kharidaaron ki taraf se resistance thi jisne bearish trend ko upward correction ki taraf le aaya aur level 1.0725 ko touch karwaya. Guzishta hafte ke trading session mein yeh pair market mein trend ko reverse karne ki koshish kar rahi thi bullish direction mein move karte hue, lekin kyun ke market ka daily timeframe yeh indicate kar raha tha ke sellers ka control abhi bhi hai, pichle hafte ka increase sirf ek correction hi lagta hai.

GBP/USD pair abhi consolidation phase mein hai, significant resistance level ko break karne ki koshish kar rahi hai. Weak US dollar, jo ke weak CPI figures ki wajah se hai, recent price movements mein crucial role play kar raha hai. Short-term outlook abhi bhi uncertain hai, lekin greenback ki depreciation jari rehne se pair ka upward movement support ho sakta hai, jo ke potentially 1.2700+ ke local high ko target kar sakti hai. Traders ko vigilant rehna chahiye aur trading decisions karte waqt technical aur fundamental factors dono ko madde nazar rakhna chahiye. European currency ne market khulne ke baad kaafi actively move kiya, jab ke British pound ne American dollar ke against sirf chhoti si step forward ki. Is tarah, GBP/USD chart pe situation Asian session ke dauran bilkul nahi badli; quotes abhi bhi yellow moving average ke niche trade ho rahi hain false puncture ke bawajood, jo ke south direction mein rollback ke prospects ko indicate kar rahi hai taake current trading range ki lower limit, jo ke 1.2610 level area hai, ko workout kiya ja sake. Aaj kaafi strong fluctuations ho sakti hain, given the expected publication of the index of business activity in the manufacturing sector of the United States for June, aur index, economists ki expectations ke mutabiq, increase ke sath publish hoga, jo ke US dollar ki strengthening ka aur ek reason hai American session ke khulne se pehle, jaise ke growth on expectations. As an alternative scenario, main yellow moving average ka breakdown ka possibility consider kar raha hoon further growth ke prospect ke sath trading range ke upper limit tak, jo ke 1.2700 level hai, madde nazar rakhte hue medium-term strengthening of the US dollar, agar yeh level reach hoti hai, main actively sell karunga.

GBP/USD bhi Jumeraat ko kam volatility ka samna kar raha tha aur yeh pair mushkil se hil raha tha. Yeh kehne ke bawajood ke Jumeraat ko UK ke liye hafte ke practically ek hi report jari hua tha, aur kuch reports bhi US mein jari hue thay, market ne in reports ko nazar andaz kar diya. UK ki arzi halaat pehle quarter mein ummeed se zyada mazboot thi, lekin is report ka pair ke movement par koi asar nahi tha. US mein ahmiyat rakhte PCE indices aur consumer sentiment bhi jari hue, jo din ke doosre hisse mein dollar ko kuch support pohnchaye. Magar kya hum asal mein aise macro data ke market reaction se dilchaspi rakhte hain jab overall volatility sirf 45 pips thi? Pair ke value flat reh gayi.

Pair ne formal tor par 5-minute timeframe par ek BUY signal generate kiya. European trading session ke doran, pair ne 1.2605-1.2633 ke area se bounce karne ki koshish ki magar yeh signal itna kamzor aur ghalt tha ke isko execute karna koi maqsad nahi tha. Har halat mein, US data ke release se pehle, traders ko pair ke direction mein tabdeeli ka intezar tha.

Monday ke trading tips:
Hourly chart par dekhte hue, GBP/USD ko downtrend ke banane ke ummeedwar signs nazar aa rahe hain, lekin yeh yeh matlab nahi ke pair upward trend nahi bana sakta. Bearish prospects ke hawale se, achi baat hai ke price ne 1.2693 level ko do baar overcome kiya hai; magar market aksar refuse karta hai ke bechay, hatta ke technical, fundamental aur macroeconomic factors us direction ko favor karte hain. Ab bhi saaf hai ke har naya low sirf thora sa pichle se kam hai, aur corrections kaafi frequent hain. Yeh downward trend ki kamzori ko darshaata hai.

Monday ko British pound erratic aur ghair mantqeedi harkaton ka samna kar sakta hai. Khushkismat taur par, pair aane wale haftay mein ahmiyat rakhte ahem data ke saath mazboot harkatein dikhane shuru kar sakta hai.

5-minute chart par key levels 1.2457, 1.2502, 1.2541-1.2547, 1.2605-1.2633, 1.2684-1.2693, 1.2748, 1.2791-1.2798, 1.2848-1.2860, 1.2913, aur 1.2980 hain. Monday ko UK Manufacturing PMI June ke liye jari kiya jayega, aur US mein bhi isi tarah ke indices shamil honge, jismein ISM bhi shaamil hai.

Nazdeeki maqsad yeh hai ke 1.2650-1.2745 ke resistance zone ko test kiya jaye jaisa ke pehla ooncha target hai. Is level ke ooper jam hone se mazeed izafa 1.2665-1.2758 ke ooper volume zone ki taraf ko sakht karega. Lekin, jab channel ke ooper boundary se palat kar ek phela hone ke qareeb aaya, to yeh expanding triangular model ke ooper edge ke qareeb tha. Agar yeh ooper se neeche jaaye, to pehla nichla target 1.2600-1.2670 ke support zone ko nishana banayega. Abhi hum channel ke ooper boundary ke qareeb trade kar rahe hain, jo ek mumkin girawat ki nishani hai. Lekin phir bhi, girawat ki bajaye hum channel ke ooper boundary ke breakout ka mushahida kar sakte hain. Behtar izaafay aur bechne waleyon ke asar kam hone ke darmiyan, khareedai ke moqaat par ghor karne ka acha waqt hai. Market abhi bhi upar ki taraf ja rahi hai aur thamne ki koi alamat nazar nahi aati.

GBP/USD market abhi resistance aur support ke darmiyan mojood hai, aur dono taraf breakout naye trends sthapit kar sakte hain. Market apne ban rahe aur barhte hue trends ka istemal karne ki consistent respect trader ke liye ek aitmaad afzai nishani hai. Agar market 1.2585 ke ooper break karta hai, to yeh 1.2570 par support aur resistance sthapit karega. Yeh tajziya H4 time frame ke liye tayyar kiya gaya hai.

H4 chart ke technicals ke mutabiq, GBP/USD pair bearish trend mein hai lekin 1.2748 ke resistance ko todkar guzarne ki koshish kar raha hai. Har koshish nakam ho gayi hai, jis se market support level par palat gaya hai. Market trend ka intezaar hai ke jab tak 1.2668 ke support level par inkaar na mile, bearish rehne ka intezaar hai. Is natije mein market trend side mein rehne ki umeed hai, jo technical ilm rakne walo ke liye faidemand aur munafa bakhsh ho sakta hai.

GBP/USD Analysis: Strongest Bearish Advantage

Dollar ke gains is haftay ke start mein thode si slow hue, aur GBP/USD exchange rate 1.2685 ke aas paas hover kar raha tha jab yeh likha gaya, jo pichle haftay ke close 1.2644 se recover ho raha hai, yeh price apne 6 haftay ke lowest level se door nahi hai jab investors naye economic data aur UK ke political future ko assess kar rahe hain. Economic calendar ne dikhaya ke UK economy pehle quarter mein 0.7% grow hui, jo initial expectation 0.6% se thoda zyada hai aur do saal se zyada mein sabse strong growth hai. Price side par, headline inflation Bank of England ke 2% target par aa gayi. Bank of England ne interest rates unchanged rakhi, jis se August mein rate cut ki umeed barhi based on policymakers ke comments.

Politically, UK ek major shake-up ka samna kar raha hai July 4 general election ke pehle. Polls predict kar rahe hain ke Keir Starmer ki Labour Party landslide victory hasil karegi aur Rishi Sunak ki Conservatives ko 14 saal ke power ke baad heavy defeat milegi.
Market trading ne dikhaya ke UK 10-year government bond yield 4.14% par aa gayi strong GDP data ki wajah se, jo rate cut expectations ko weaken karta hai. UK economy 2024 ke pehle quarter mein 0.7% grow hui, jo initial expectation 0.6% se zyada hai aur do saal se zyada mein sabse strong growth hai. Price side par, overall inflation rate Bank of England ke 2% target par aa gayi. Iske bawajood, Bank of England ne interest rates steady rakhi, jis se August mein rate cut ki speculation hui.
July 4 election ke liye, polls dikhate hain ke Keir Starmer ki Labour Party landslide victory hasil karegi aur Rishi Sunak ki Conservatives ko heavy defeat milegi, jo UK mein ek major political realignment ko signal karta hai.
US inflation data rate cut supporters ke liye support karta hai September mein. Analysts keh rahe hain ke Fed September mein rate cut consider kar sakta hai inflation data ko response mein jo teen saal ke lowest level par hai. Official data ne dikhaya ke US core consumer spending index sirf 0.083% month-on-month May mein bada, jo revised 0.3% April se kam hai, Bureau of Labor Statistics ne report kiya. Yeh figure market consensus (0.1%) ke saath thi aur annual interest rate ko teen saal ke lowest 2.8% se 2.6% kam karne mein madad ki.

GBP/USD Forecast for Today:

Recovery aaj: Daily chart ke developments ke mutabiq, GBP/USD ka price ab tak overall downtrend se bahar nahi aaya, support level 1.2600 ke kareeb hai. Jaisa maine pehle mention kiya, GBP/USD overall downtrend se bahar nahi aayega jab tak resistance levels 1.2775 aur 1.2830 ko break nahi karta. Trend narrow range mein rahega jab tak UK election aur US employment data ka reaction nahi aata.

Hello doston, kaise hain aap, GBP/USD Europe session ke dauran narrow channel mein 1.2750 ke aas paas fluctuate kar raha hai. US Dollar ko risk mode mein negative shift se faida hua hai aur isne is pair ko traction gain karne nahi diya. Federal Reserve seed book aaj din mein release hogi. Agar GBP/USD 1.2760-1.2750 (latest downtrend ka Fibonacci 78.6% retracement, ascending regression channel ka midpoint) ke neeche break hota hai aur yeh area resistance ke taur par istemal shuru karta hai, toh iska slide 1.2700 (psychological level, static level) aur 1.2675 (ascending channel ka lower limit) ki taraf extend ho sakta hai. Upar ki taraf, resistances 1.2800 (psychological level, static level) aur 1.2850 (ascending regression channel ka upper limit) par maujood hain.

Is dauran, 4-hour chart par Relative Strength Index Wednesday ko 50 ke qareeb se neeche jhuk gaya, jo bullish momentum ki kami ko highlight karta hai. GBP/USD ne Tuesday ke Europe trading hours mein upar ki taraf jaari rahi aur 1.2800 ke ooper chadh gaya, do mahine ke baad pehli dafa. Lekin pair ne apne daily gains ko mita diya, jab US session mein upbeat data se US dollar ko faida hua. Wednesday ke shuru mein, GBP/USD bohat hi narrow channel mein sideways movement kar raha hai jo sirf 1.2750 ke ooper hai.

Conference Board ke consumer confidence index ne May mein 102.00 par improve kiya April ke 97.5 se, jabke expectations index 74.6 se 68.8 par barh gaya. "Mazboot labor market ne consumers ke overall current situation assessment ko taqwiyat di," yeh Dana M. Patterson, Conference Board ke chief economist, ne U.S. Consumer Sentiment Survey ke natayej ka tajzia karte hue kaha. Benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yields report ke baad lagbhag 2 percent tak barh gaye aur USD index din ke akhri mein marginally higher close hua. US economic calendar mein koi high-impact data release nahi hoga. Session ke akhri mein, Federal Reserve apna seed book release karegi. Investors US trading hours mein risk perception par qareebi tawajjo denge. Press time par, U.S. stock index futures din ke 0.5% ke neeche thay. Agar Wall Street ke main indexes red mein open hote hain aur recover karne mein mushkil ho rahi hai, to USD safe-haven flows ka faida utha sakta hai aur GBP/USD ko lower correction mein majboor kar sakta hai.

Analyzing ke potential price action ko dekhte hue, mujhe do possible target levels nazar aa rahe hain: 1.2760 aur 1.2840. Magar, mehsoos karne ke baad, mujhe lagta hai ke actual target 1.2850 hoga. Yeh nateeja chand factors par mabni hai jo suggest karte hain ke yeh level current market conditions ke madde nazar zyada achievable hai. Pehle, historical price patterns yeh indicate karte hain ke 1.2850 mark ke aas paas zyada strong resistance hai. Pehle bhi is level ko breach karne ki koshish ki gayi thi lekin significant pushback mila tha, jo indicate karta hai ke bahut se traders isse critical point for selling ya taking profits samajhte hain. Yeh psychological barrier aksar ek self-fulfilling prophecy ban jata hai kyunke traders apne targets major round numbers ke just neeche set karte hain, yeh expect karte hue ke doosre bhi aisa hi karenge.

Doosre, technical indicators jaise ke moving averages aur Fibonacci retracement levels 1.2850 level ke qareeb align hote hain. Jab multiple indicators ek single price point ke aas paas converge karte hain, toh yeh strengthen karte hain ke yeh level near-term trading scenario mein significant hoga. In indicators ki confluence additional support deti hai is hypothesis ko ke 1.2850 ek pivotal level hoga.

Aur, recent market sentiment aur fundamental analysis bullish momentum suggest karte hain, jo higher target ko support karta hai. Economic data releases aur central bank announcements aam tor par favorable rahe hain, jo currency pair ki strength ko bolster karte hain. Agar yeh trend continue karta hai, toh yeh surprising nahi hoga ke price action 1.2850 ki taraf push kare.

Akhir mein, current volatility aur trading volumes ko dekhte hue, 1.2850 tak pohanchna 1.2760 ya 1.2840 ke thoda neeche targets se zyada plausible lagta hai. Market dynamics yeh suggest karte hain ke traders shayad higher aim kar rahe hain taake substantial resistance se pehle zyada significant gains capture kar sakein.

Summary mein, jab ke 1.2760 aur 1.2840 valid target levels hain mukhtalif analyses ki base par, meri rai yeh hai ke actual target 1.2850 hoga. Yeh level historical price action, technical indicators, market sentiment, aur current trading dynamics se supported hai, jo ise upcoming trades ke liye ek compelling target banata

GBP/USD Analysis: Strongest Bearish Advantage Yet

As the dollar’s gains stalled slightly earlier this week, the GBP/USD exchange rate was hovering around 1.2685 at the time of writing, recovering from last week’s close around 1.2644, a price not far from its lowest level in six weeks as investors look to assess new economic data and the UK’s political future. The economic calendar showed that the UK economy grew by 0.7% in the first quarter, slightly higher than the initial expectation of 0.6% and the strongest growth in more than two years. On the price side, headline inflation fell in the Bank of England’s 2% target. The Bank of England kept interest rates unchanged, raising hopes of a rate cut in August based on comments from policymakers.

Politically, the UK faces a major shake-up ahead of the July 4 general election. Polls predict a landslide victory for Keir Starmer's Labour Party and a heavy defeat for Rishi Sunak's Conservatives after 14 years in power.



Market trading showed that the UK 10-year government bond yield rose to 4.14% due to strong GDP data, which weakened expectations of a rate cut. The UK economy grew 0.7% in the first quarter of 2024, exceeding the initial expectation of 0.6% and marking the strongest growth in more than two years. On the price side, the overall inflation rate fell to the Bank of England's 2% target. Despite this, the Bank of England kept interest rates steady, sparking speculation that a rate cut could be in August.

Looking ahead to the July 4 election, polls point to a landslide victory for Keir Starmer's Labour Party and a crushing defeat for Rishi Sunak's Conservatives after 14 years in power, signaling a major political realignment in the UK.

Therefore. US inflation data supports supporters of a September rate cut. Analysts say the Fed may consider a rate cut in September in response to inflation data that fell to a three-year low. Official data showed that the US core consumer spending index rose just 0.083% month-on-month in May, down from a revised 0.3% in April, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported. The figure was in line with the market consensus (0.1%) and helped to reduce the annual interest rate from a three-year low of 2.8% to 2.6%.



GBP/USD forecast for today:

Recovery today: According to the developments on the daily chart below, the price of GBP/USD has not yet stepped out of the overall downtrend, supported by the approaching support level of 1.2600. As I mentioned before, the GBP/USD will not exit the overall downtrend without breaking out of the resistance levels of 1.2775 and 1.2830 respectively. The trend will remain in a narrow range until the reaction to the UK election and the release of US employment data..RE write in roman urdu
every word ko re write krain

GBP/USD bhi kam volatility ka samna kar raha tha aur Jodi Juma ko kisi bhi tarah se move nahi hui. Jumay ko UK ke liye practically sirf ek report ki release hui thi, sath hi sath US ke kuch reports bhi the, lekin market ne in reports ko ignore kar diya. UK ki economy ne pehle quarter mein mazid se strong growth ki thi, lekin ye report pair ke movements par koi asar nahi dala. US mein, kuch ahem PCE indices aur consumer sentiment release hue the, jo din ke doosre half mein dollar ko thoda sa support diya. Lekin agar overall volatility sirf 45 pips thi, to kya hum such mein is tarah ke macro data ke market reaction se interested hain? Pair ka value flat hi rahi.

Pair ne formal taur par 5-minute timeframe par ek buy signal generate kiya. European trading session mein, pair ne 1.2605-1.2633 area se bounce karne ki koshish kai ghanton tak ki. Ye signal itna kamzor aur inaccurate tha ki usse execute karne ka koi matlab nahi tha. Har hal mein, US data release hone se pehle traders ko pair ke direction mein badlaao ka ummeed kar sakte the.

Monday ke trading tips:
Hourly chart par, GBP/USD abhi bhi downtrend banane ke ummeedwar signs dikhata hai, lekin ye ye kahta nahi ke pair upward trend nahi bana sakta. Bearish prospects ke liye, acha hai ke price ne 1.2693 level ko do baar cross kar liya; lekin market adhikaar se selling karne se vaqif hoti hai, jahan technical, fundamental aur macroeconomic factors ek aise direction ke liye hote hain. Abhi bhi, har naya low sirf pichle se thoda sa low hai, aur corrections kaafi frequent hain. Ye downtrend ki kamzori ko darshata hai.

Monday ko British pound erratic aur illogical movements dikhane ke liye jari rah sakta hai. Khushi ki baat hai ke upcoming week mein aham data ki significant quantity shamil hai.

5M chart par key levels 1.2457, 1.2502, 1.2541-1.2547, 1.2605-1.2633, 1.2684-1.2693, 1.2748, 1.2791-1.2798, 1.2848-1.2860, 1.2913, 1.2980 hain. Monday ko UK June ke Manufacturing PMI release karegi, aur US mein bhi is tarah ke ahem indices publish honge, including the important ISM.

THE CURRENCY PAIR GBP-USD

Alex, subah bakhair aur naye trading haftay mubarak ho. Chalain dekhtay hain ke is haftay GBPUSD currency pair ke quotes kis tarah move karte hain, lekin abhi humare paas 1.2610-1.2670 ke kuch price corridor mein ek fixed range hai, jisme British pound abhi tak se bahar nahi nikla aur kuch waqt tak trade kiya jayega, isliye humein kisi ek level ka breakout ka intezar karna padega phir entry karne ke liye faisla karna hoga. Is tarah agar prices 1.2670 ke upar breakout karte hain aur strengthen karte hain, to pound ke pass agay barhne ki har koshish hogi aur ek naye growth wave ko form karega, jo aage badh kar 1.2740 tak jaa sakta hai aur baad mein 1.2900 ya usse bhi oopar ja sakta hai. Uski uttar ki movement dikhne ke imkan hain; agar prices 1.2610 ke level ke neeche breakout aur consolidation karte hain, to girawat jaari rahegi aur 1.2580 level ki taraf mukhtalif hogi, jiske baad 50% zyada tawajo se majmoo purchases ko dekha ja sakta hai jiska nishana 1.2900 ya usse bhi oopar fix kiya ja sake.

Humne ek bearish Dodge ke saath haftay ko band kiya aur din ek uncertainty candle ke sath form mein aaya, jise ek bullish Spinning Top ke roop mein dekha gaya. Jaise hi south chalta hai, main ab bhi fibo levels 50 aur 61.8% ka kaam hone ka intezar kar raha hoon, jinhe hum itni mehnat se move kar rahe hain. Do qadmoon ke saath aage baraabar. Lekin ek achhi trend ke liye, aapko majboot statistics ki zaroorat hoti hai, lekin ab tak woh mojood nahi hain. Neeche basement ke hisaab se, jahan hum almost monthly cycle ke neeche pen zone tak kaam kar rahe hain, hum agle haftay mein shayad do mukamal muddein shumal ke taraf dekh sakte hain. Lekin yeh sirf mera khayal hai...

raat 1.2802 ke darjay par muqabla shuru hua aur channel ke ooperi had se neeche jhoolna shuru hogaya, 1.2786 ke darjay tak aur channel ke niche had tak. Pehle se ek junubi islaah hai aur iske baad, ab bull ek rally kar sakte hain. 1.2810 ke range ko torne aur us ke upar mazbooti se jamane ka amal mumkin hai, phir yeh ek kharidne ka ishaara hoga. Zahir hai, ke hum 1.2810 ke range ko tor sakte hain aur agar hum iske upar jam jaate hain, to yeh ek kharidne ka ishaara hoga. 1.2755 ke range ko tor dena aur iske neeche mazbooti se jamane ka amal dar ko girne ka ishaara hoga. Ek chhoti si junubi islaah range 1.2700 tak pehle se ho chuki hai aur iske baad, izaafa jaari rahega. Mukhtalif hai ke aaj hum 1.2816 ke range ko tor sakte hain aur uske upar mazbooti se jamane ka amal mumkin hai, yeh rate ke barhne ka ishaara hoga. Izaafi izaafa ke liye maqsood 1.2900 par hoga, jahan hamare pas Rukawat se rokne ki wajah se thori dair ki tez raftar ke baad, agar tabadla dar jari rahe to ye kharidne ka ishaara hoga. Mumkin hai ke hum 1.2800 ke range ke tor par aur uske upar jamane ka intezaar kar sakte hain, jo kharidne ka ishaara hoga. Tayyar hain 1.2755 se 1.2815 ke range se kharidne ke liye. Asal trend asal mein kharidaron dawam kar rahe hain magar side mein milaawat ke marhale ki wajah se thori dair se rukawat ka samna kar rahe hain. Lagta hai ke naye market rat mein America ki session mein mozi hone wala hai, special America ke NFP data ke bare mein unch-neech tajziyati news ke nateejay ka intezaar kiya ja raha hai. Agar aap kharidne walon ke koshishon par tawajju dete hain ke wo trend ko jaari rakhne ki koshish kar rahe hain, to lagta hai ke unka kafi achha moqaa nahi hai aur unhe mazeed bearish islaah ke encouragement ki zaroorat hai, utasalar neeche istifadah mein aik test 1.2729 ke kareeb. Chhoti dor mein ye dilchasp lag raha hai ke dobara farokht ke moqay dhoondhne ki koshish ki ja sakti hai aur istifadah ke area mein bearish inkar shara'it ka intezar kiya ja sakta hai taake kharidari positions ko mazeed buland taraf jaari rakhne ke liye. Dakhil hone ka mansooba, pehle dikh raha hai ke aap ek behtar nishandehi ke saath aik behtar farokht ki position mein dakhil ho sakte hain. Farokht dakhil hone ka area jo is waqt ghor kiya ja sakta hai wo range 1.2780-1.2800 mein hai. Is qeemat ke darajat ke liye niche neeche target ko plan kiya ja sakta hai tp1 level 1.2750 tak pohanchne ka aur tp2 level 1.2730 tak pohanchne ka. Ye farokht dakhil hone ka mansooba is haftay ke ooperi area mein nuqsan ka khatra dene ka moqaa de sakta hai jo ke 1.2815 ke kareeb hai. Kharidne ka mansooba socha ja sakta hai ek pending Buy ko jagah

Iss haftay mein British Pound (GBP) US Dollar (USD) ke khilaaf rollercoaster safar raha. Early Monday ko, GBP/USD pair ne umeedon ko nakar ke key level 1.2700 ke upar tezi se izafa kiya. Lekin yeh optimism mukhtasir muddat ke liye tha. Jab US market khula, investor sentiment safe-haven assets ki taraf shift hui, jo ke upcoming US presidential election ke aas paas renewed concerns ki wajah se trigger hui. Yeh sudden risk aversion USD ke liye demand mein izafa laayi aur GBP ko apne opening price 1.2650 ke qareeb laa diya. Dilchasp baat yeh hai ke yeh tab bhi hua jab ke disappointing US economic data jaari hua. US ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) June mein expectations se neeche gir kar contractionary level 48.5 tak pohanch gaya. Is decline ke saath hi US manufacturing prices mein bhi significant decrease hua, jo ke economic optimism ko aur bhi kamzor kar diya.

US ki siyasi manzar nama bhi uncertainty mein izafa kar rahi hai. Hal ki public debates ne front-runner candidate ki viablity par sawalat uthaye, jabke ek Supreme Court ruling ne is hafte sitting president ko prosecute karne ki limitation ko highlight kiya. Yeh developments investors ko rattled kar ke US Dollar ki perceived safety ki taraf bhaga diya.

GBP/USD pair abhi 1.2859 tak pohanch kar thori selling pressure ka saamna kar raha hai, jo ke ek three-month high hai. Is decline ne ek key short-term uptrend line ko toor diya hai aur pair ko apne one-month low ki taraf kheench diya hai. Lekin 50-day simple moving average (SMA) ne abhi tak kuch support provide kiya hai, jo ek zyada gehri girawat ko rok raha hai. Aage dekhte hue, GBP/USD pair ki near-term direction is par munhasir hai ke yeh current pullback jaari rahega ya nahi. Agar selling pressure jaari rahe toh, June ki support level 1.2655 pehla line of defense ban sakta hai. Agar yeh level breach ho jaye toh, ek aur slide possible hai recent one-month low 1.2620 ki taraf. Agar GBP mazeed kamzor hota hai toh, woh January aur March 2024 mein firm raha 1.2598 support zone ko bhi challenge kar sakta hai.

Dusri taraf, agar bulls control mein aayein toh, GBP/USD pair January-February resistance area 1.2771 ko dobara capture karne ki koshish kar sakta hai. Ek successful breakout is level ke upar se 1.2816-1.2859 range ko dubara test karne ka raasta kholega, jo last three-month highs aur December 2023 high ke dwara defined hai. Agar pair is range se breakout kar le toh, woh apne 2024 peak 1.2892 ko bhi revisit kar sakta hai.

Hello dost, kaise ho? GBP/USD European session mein 1.2750 ke aas-pass ek narrow channel mein fluctuate kar raha hai. US Dollar ko risk mode mein negative shift se fayda mila hai aur isne pair ko traction lena nahi diya. Fed din ke baad seed book release karegi. Agar GBP/USD 1.2760-1.2750 (latest downtrend ka Fibonacci 78.6% retracement, ascending regression channel ka midpoint) ke neeche jaata hai aur yeh area resistance ke roop mein istemal karta hai, to iska slide 1.2700 (psychological level, static level) aur 1.2675 (ascending channel ka lower limit) tak extend ho sakta hai. Upar ki taraf, resistance 1.2800 (psychological level, static level) aur 1.2850 (ascending regression channel ka upper limit) par hai.

Meanwhile, 4-hour chart par Relative Strength Index (RSI) Wednesday ko 50 ke aas-pass se nichhe gira, jisse bullish momentum ki kami ka sanket mila. GBP/USD European trading hours mein Tuesday ko upar gaya aur 1.2800 ke upar chadh gaya, do mahine ke baad pehli baar. Lekin pair ne apne daily gains ko mita diya, jab US session mein US dollar ko upbeat data se fayda hua. Wednesday ke early hours mein GBP/USD bahut narrow channel mein sideways movement kar raha tha, jiska level 1.2750 ke just upar tha.

Conference Board ke consumer confidence index ne May mein 102.00 se April ki 97.5 se sudhar kiya, jabki expectations index 74.6 se 68.8 tak badh gaya. "Mazboot labour market ne consumers ke current situation ke overall assessment ko majboot kiya," Conference Board ke chief economist Dana M. Patterson ne US Consumer Sentiment Survey ke natije ko assess karte hue kaha. Benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yields report ke baad lagbhag 2 percent badhe aur USD index din ke ant mein marginally higher raha. US economic calendar mein koi bada impact wala data release nahi hone wala hai. Session ke aakhri mein, Federal Reserve apni seed book release karegi. Investors US trading hours mein risk perception par dhyaan denge. Press time par, US stock index futures din ke 0.5% ke neeche the. Agar Wall Street ke mukhya indexes red mein open hote hain aur punha utaar-chadhao mein lage hain, to USD safe-haven flows ka fayda utha sakta hai aur GBP/USD ko neeche correct kar sakta hai.

GBP/USD bhi din ke pehle half main behtar trades dikhaya, jo ke France ke election ke natije se na kisi taluq se the, kyunke ye UK ya British pound se koi lena dena nahi rakhte. Magar, GBP/USD pair, jese EUR/USD pair, pichle do hafto se aik dosre ke sath side pe trade kar raha hai. Isliye, flat trend ke andar ek aur round of growth ke liye kisi khas wajah ya saboot ki zarurat nahi thi. Pooray din, keemat 1.2633 aur 1.2693 ke darmiyan rahi. Volatility thori zyada normal thi. Din bhar macroeconomic events tohue, lekin market ne unhe practically ignore kiya.

Mehazke macroeconomic events main, hum US main ISM Manufacturing Index ko highlight kar sakte hain. Jese ke expected value se kharab value dikhate hue bhi, dollar din ke doosre hisse main hi badha. Isliye, ek baar phir pair inconsistent aur baseless movements dikhaya. Magar, hum aapko yaad dilana chahte hain ke flat market main logical movements bohot kam milte hain. Pair ne 5-minute timeframe par do trading signals generate kiye. Jumma ko, keemat ne 1.2605-1.2633 wale area se rebound kiya, lekin hum amuman signals jo agle hafte tak chalte hain se parhez karte hain. Somwaar ko, price ne 1.2684-1.2693 wale area se do baar rebound kiya, toh newbie traders ne short position open kar sakti thi. US session main, price ne 1.2633 wale nearest target level tak pohancha. Trade se profit lagbhag 35 pips ka tha. 1.2633 level se keemat ki do rebounds ye suggest karte hain ke pair aaj upar ja sakta hai.

Trading tips for Tuesday:
Hourly chart par, GBP/USD abhi bhi aik downtrend ka shakhs bana raha hai, lekin ye ye nahi ke pair upar jane ki koshish nahi kar sakta. Bearish prospects ke liye, acha hai ke price ne 1.2693 level do baar overcome kiya; Magar, market often sell karne se inkar karta hai, agar technical, fundamental, aur macroeconomic factors us raste ko support kar rahe hain. Halhi mein pair mainly sideways move kar raha hai. Price ne descending channel ko chod diya hai.

Aaj, British pound erratic aur illogical movements dikhana jaari rakhsakta hai. Bhagwan se, pair ko zyada strong movements dikhane shuru hone ke chances hain kyunke is haftay ke economic calendars mai kafi important data shaamil hain, magar Somwaar ne dikhaya hai ke hum abhi bhi zyada strong movements par depend nahi kar sakte.

5M chart par key levels 1.2457, 1.2502, 1.2541-1.2547, 1.2605-1.2633, 1.2684-1.2693, 1.2748, 1.2791-1.2798, 1.2848-1.2860, 1.2913, 1.2980 hain. UK main koi important events ya reports schedule nahi hain. Dosri taraf, US docket main Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell ka khitaab aur JOLTs report shamil hain jo May main khuli vacancies ki shumar ko dekhaega.