𝐆𝐁𝐏/𝐔𝐒𝐃

GBP/USD CURRENCY PAIR ANALYSIS

Friday ka GBP/USD trading apni opening se neeche close hua kyunki us waqt currency pair apni decline ko continue kar raha tha, lekin utna zyada nahi. Mere calculations ke mutabiq, GBP/USD sirf 38 pips area mein move kiya. Range choti hone ke bawajood, candle ne lowest H1 support ko 1.2658 pe penetrate karne mein kamiyabi hasil ki. Breakthrough ke baad, GBP/USD foran 1.2640 tak gir gaya. Yeh decline asal mein 19 June 2024 se ho rahi thi. GBP/USD girna shuru hua jab candle SBR zone ko penetrate nahi kar paayi. Isi liye, GBP/USD 1.2740 pe pohchne ke baad bhi upar nahi jaa saka.

Agar H1 timeframe se analyze kiya jaye, toh jabke candle support ko penetrate kar chuki hai, mujhe lagta hai ke Monday ko GBP/USD ke rise hone ka chance abhi bhi hai kyunki current candle abhi bhi RBS area 1.2629 ke price pe trapped hai. Jab tak yeh area neeche se penetrate nahi hota, upar jane ka mauka abhi bhi bohot zyada hai. Ho sakta hai ke jo decline pichle kuch dino se ho rahi hai wo sirf ek correction ho, baqi upar jayega. Lekin aapko yeh bhi dhyan rakhna padega ke jab candle position support ke neeche ho to GBP/USD aur bhi zyada gir sakta hai. Bulish engulfing candle pattern ka support pe aana bhi yeh confirm karta hai ke market jaldi reverse karegi. GBP/USD ka agla target 1.2736 hai.

Agar Ichimoku indicator se analyze kiya jaye, candle position abhi bhi tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines ke neeche hai. Abhi ke liye, yeh indicator bearish signal nahi de raha. Ho sakta hai ke candle RBS zone mein trap hone ki wajah se GBP/USD upar jaaye aur wahan se ek naya intersection bane jo candle position ko H1 Support line ke upar le aaye jo ke 1.2620 pe hai, iski strength test hogi.

Stochastic indicator ke mutabiq, condition oversold hai. Yeh line ne level 20 ko touch karne se dekha ja sakta hai. Lekin, aaj line middle mein hai. Maine dekha ke wahan ek divergent pattern bana hai jo yeh sign hai ke near future mein ek reversal movement hogi. Iska matlab hai ke jo maine explain kiya usme ek correlation hai ke GBP/USD ke direction reverse hone ka potential hai continuous decline ke baad.

Aaj ke analysis ka conclusion yeh hai ke Monday ko, GBP/USD ke higher level tak rise hone ka mauka abhi bhi hai kyunki candle abhi tak RBS zone 1.2620 pe penetrate nahi kar paayi. Iske ilawa, stochastic indicator mein divergent pattern dekha. Isi liye, main recommend karta hoon ke jo log is pair mein trading kar rahe hain, wo sirf buy positions open karen. Target closest resistance 1.2725 pe rakha ja sakta hai aur stop loss closest support 1.2615 pe.

GBP/USD pair, jo ke Cable ke naam se bhi jana jata hai, forex market mein sab se zyada trade hone wale currency pairs mein se ek hai, jo British Pound aur US Dollar ke darmiyan tabadla darshata hai. Isay 4-hour time frame par tajziya karna chhota muddati qeemat ke harkaton mein dakhil hone ke sath sath ahem market trends ko bhi pakad leta hai. Pichle kuch hafton se, GBP/USD pair ek broad range ke andar trade kar raha hai, jo ek sideways trend ko darshata hai. Yeh range-bound movement market mein saaf rahnumai ki kami ko zahir karta hai. Traders aam tor par jab qeemat range ke hadood ko pahunchti hai, to breakout mauqe ki talaash karte hain.

Support aur Resistance levels trading faislon ko rehnumai dene mein ahem kirdar ada karte hain. 4-hour chart par, yeh levels peechle swing highs aur lows ke dabeeron par pehchaanay ja sakte hain. Traders aksar dekhte hain ke qeemat in levels ke aas paas kis tarah react karti hai, kyun ke breakouts ya bounces potenti trading opportunities ki isharaat ho sakti hain.

Moving averages, jaise ke 50-period aur 200-period SMAs (Simple Moving Averages), asal trend aur potential reversal points ke baray mein insights faraham karte hain. Traders aksar in moving averages ke crossover ko trend changes ya continuation ka signal samajhte hain.

Volatility Analysis
Volatility forex trading ka aik ahem pehlu hai, jo risk management aur trade selection ko asar dalta hai. Traders Bollinger Bands jaise indicators ka istemal karke volatility levels aur potential price breakouts ka andaza laga sakte hain. Narrowing bands ghatey huay volatility ko darust karte hain, jab ke widening bands barhne wale volatility aur potential trading opportunities ko zahir karte hain.

Market Sentiment
Market sentiment ko tools jaise ke Commitment of Traders (COT) report ke zariye dekhna, institutional traders ki positioning ke baray mein qeemti insights faraham kar sakta hai. Sentiment mein tabdiliyan aksar ahem price movements se pehle hoti hain, jo traders ko potential trend reversals ya continuations ko ane se pehle samajhne mein madad karta hai.

Factors
Economic indicators, central bank announcements, aur geopolitical events GBP/USD pair par kafi asar dal sakte hain. Traders ko GDP growth, inflation data, aur interest rate decisions jaise ahem economic releases ke baray mein mutalla rahna chahiye, kyun ke yeh muddati qeemat mein short-term harkaton aur volatility ko chala sakte hain.

Risk Management
Kamyabi ke liye sahi risk management zaroori hai. Traders ko apni risk tolerance mukarrar karni chahiye, technical analysis ke mutabiq stop-loss levels set karna chahiye, aur apne capital ko hifazati hawalay ke qawaid ko mazbooti se mantaqib karna chahiye.

Friday ko GBP/USD trading apni opening se neeche close hui kyun ke us waqt currency pair apni decline continue karne mein kamyab thi, halan ke yeh utna bara nahi tha. Maine calculate kiya ke GBP/USD sirf 38 pips area ke ird gird move hui. Range chhoti hone ke bawajood, candle ne lowest H1 support 1.2658 par successfully penetrate kar liya. Breakthrough ke baad, GBP/USD foran 1.2640 tak gir gayi. Yeh decline asal mein 19 June 2024 se ho raha hai. GBP/USD tab girna shuru hui jab candle SBR zone ko penetrate nahi kar saki. Isi liye GBP/USD candle ke 1.2740 tak pohonchne ke baad barh nahi saki.

Agar H1 timeframe se analyze kiya jaye, halan ke candle ne support penetrate kar liya, mera andaza hai ke Monday ko GBP/USD ko barhne ka mauka mil sakta hai kyun ke current candle abhi tak RBS area 1.2629 ke bahar nahi nikal saki. Jab tak yeh area neeche se penetrate nahi hota, iska matlab hai ke dobara barhne ka mauka ab bhi bahut zyada hai. Ho sakta hai ke jo decline pichle kuch dinon mein hua hai woh sirf ek correction ho, baqi barh jaye. Lekin, aapko ehtiyat baratni hogi jab candle position ab bhi support ke neeche hai kyun ke GBP/USD aur bhi gehra gir sakta hai. Iske ilawa, support par bullish engulfing candle pattern ka nazar aana bhi yeh confirm karta hai ke market jaldi reverse hone wali hai. Agla target area jo GBP/USD hit karegi woh 1.2736 hai.

Agar Ichimoku indicator se analyze kiya jaye, candle position abhi tak tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines ke neeche hai. Filhal, yeh indicator bearish signal nahi de raha. Shayad candle ke ab bhi RBS zone mein trap hone se GBP/USD barh jaye aur baad mein ek naye intersection se candle position H1 Support line jo 1.2620 par hai ke upar ho jaye, uski strength test hogi.

Stochastic indicator khud yeh batata hai ke condition ab oversold hai. Yeh dekhne ko milta hai line se jo level 20 ko touch kar chuki hai. Magar, aaj line middle mein hai. Wahan maine dekha ke ek divergent pattern form ho chuki hai jo yeh sign hai ke kareebi future mein reversal movement hone wali hai. Iska matlab hai ke jo maine explain kiya usmein correlation hai ke GBP/USD ko continuous decline ke baad reverse direction ka potential hai.

Aaj ke analysis ka natija yeh hai ke Monday ko GBP/USD ko barhne ka mauka hai higher level tak is reason se ke candle RBS zone ko 1.2620 par penetrate nahi kar saki. Iske ilawa, stochastic indicator mein divergent pattern mil gaya. Isliye, mein apne doston ko recommend karta hoon jo is pair mein trading kar rahe hain ke sirf buy positions open karen. Jaise ke usual, target closest resistance 1.2725 par rakh sakte hain aur stop loss closest support 1.2615 par place kar sakte hain.

Friday ke GBP/USD trading session mein, pair ka close opening se neeche tha kyunke us waqt currency pair apni decline ko continue kar rahi thi, lekin utni badi nahi thi. Maine calculate kiya ke GBP/USD sirf 38 pips ke area mein move hui. Range chhoti hone ke bawajood, candle ne lowest H1 support jo ke 1.2658 pe tha, ko penetrate kar diya. Successful breakthrough ke baad, GBP/USD foran 1.2640 ke price tak gir gayi. Yeh decline asal mein 19 June 2024 se ho rahi thi. GBP/USD girna shuru hui jab candle SBR zone ko penetrate karne mein nakam rahi. Isi liye GBP/USD price 1.2740 pe pohanchne ke baad bhi upar nahi ja sakti thi.

Agar h1 timeframe se analyze kiya jaye, toh candle ne support ko penetrate karne ke bawajood, mujhe lagta hai ke GBP/USD Monday ko upar jaane ka chance rakhti hai kyunke current candle abhi tak RBS area 1.2629 se bahar nahi nikal saki. Jab tak yeh area neeche se penetrate nahi hota, iska matlab hai ke upar jaane ka mauqa abhi bhi bohot zyada hai. Yeh ho sakta hai ke jo decline pichle kuch dino se ho raha tha, wo sirf ek correction thi, aur baqi ka rise ab hoga. Lekin, hamesha ehtiyat baratni chahiye jab candle ka position support ke neeche ho kyunke GBP/USD aur bhi neeche gir sakti hai. Iske ilawa, support pe bullish engulfing candle pattern ka nazar aana bhi yeh confirm karta hai ke market jaldi hi reverse hone wali hai. Agla target jo GBP/USD set karegi wo 1.2736 hai.

Agar Ichimoku indicator se analyze kiya jaye, toh candle ka position abhi bhi tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines ke neeche hai. Filhal, yeh indicator bearish signal nahi de raha. Shayad candle ke RBS zone mein trap hone se GBP/USD rise karegi aur baad mein ek naya intersection hoga jo candle ka position change kar ke H1 Support line jo ke 1.2620 pe hai, ke upar le aayega, jahan uski strength test hogi.

Dusri taraf, stochastic indicator hume batata hai ke condition already oversold hai. Yeh line jo level 20 ko touch kar chuki hai, se dekha ja sakta hai. Lekin, aaj line middle mein hai. Wahan mujhe ek divergent pattern bana hua nazar aaya jo ke ye signal hai ke near future mein reversal movement hoga. Iska matlab yeh hai ke jo kuch maine explain kiya, usse correlation hai ke GBP/USD waqai direction reverse karne ka potential rakhti hai continuous decline ke baad.

Toh aaj ke analysis ka nateeja yeh hai ke Monday ko, GBP/USD ab bhi higher level pe rise karne ka mauka rakhti hai, is wajah se ke candle abhi tak RBS zone jo ke 1.2620 pe hai, ko penetrate nahi kar saki. Iske ilawa, stochastic indicator mein mujhe divergent pattern mila. Isliye, main apne doston ko recommend karta hoon jo is pair mein trading kar rahe hain ke sirf buy positions open karne pe focus karein. Jaise ke usual, target ko closest resistance 1.2725 pe place kar sakte hain aur stop loss ko closest support jo ke 1.2615 pe hai, pe place kar sakte hain.

British pound Jumma ko aik dilchasp maqam mein paya. Beshak keh retail sales data aur PMI report ne maeeshat mein jari rahne wale izafa ka ishara kiya, lekin pound amooman US currency ke khilaf kamzor raha, euro ke istisna ke sath. Yeh baat Office for National Statistics (ONS) ne May ke liye hairat angez retail sales figures jaari karne ke baad samne aayi. Farokht mein taizi se 2.9% izafa hua, jo ke 1.5% ke mazeed izafa ke tawaqqaat se zyada tha. Saalana bunyadiyati tor par bhi, retail sales ne tawaqqaat ko nakar ke 1.3% izafa kiya jab ke analysts 0.9% girawat ka tawaqqa rakhte thay. Consumer spending mein yeh barhao, jo ke maeeshat ke izafay ka aik numayan juz hai, amooman musbat khabrain tasleem ki jaati hain. Lekin yeh bhi Bank of England (BOE) ke liye aik potensial mushkil ka sabab ho sakta hai, jo ke primarily qeemat ki mustahkam rakhne par tawajjo kendah hai. Consumer spending mein izafa aksar maliyat ko barhane ka sabab banta hai, jise BOE interest rates ke zariye control karne ki koshish karta hai. Is ke ilawa, aik alag report ne overall maeeshati fa'aliyat mein aik halka sa kami darj kiya. Jab ke composite Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) 51.7 tak gir gaya, lekin yeh key 50.0 threshold se ooper raha jo ke expansion aur contraction ko alag karta hai. Muasharti moqarar karne wale ne asal mein 53.1 tak mazeed izafa ki umeed rakhi thi.

US weekly Jobless Claims aur Building Permits release hone wale hain. Jumma ko UK Retail Deals information aayegi, jo ke UK aur US se S&P Worldwide Fundamental Manufacturing aur Services PMI reports ke baad hai. Fed policymakers ke talks is hafte mein naye insights ke liye muntazir honge Federal Reserve ke interest rate rukh par. Daily chart par dekha gaya ke GBP/USD ne 1.2800 limit ke ooper rejection jari rakha. Isi wajah se buyers is haftay ke candle close ke liye umeed karte hain jo ke Pound ko upturn mein speed de sakta hai. Is se ooper guzar jaane se darwaza khul jayega March 8 ke high 1.2894 ko test karne ke liye. Agla bara resistance 1.2950 mental level par nazar aata hai. Pehli dafa se May ke shuru se, 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) ne 50 ke neeche girna shuru kiya hai, jo ke bearish pressure mein izafa ki nishani hai. Is ke ilawa, GBP/USD ne 21-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) ke daily close ke neeche kiya hai, jo ke abhi 1.2744 par hai, April 30 ke baad pehli dafa aur 1.2725 ke rising trendline support ke neeche gaya hai. Agar GBP/USD pehle zikar ki gayi levels ko recover nahi kar paata, to auction 100-day SMA aur 50-day SMA ke conjunction zone tak barha sakti hai jo ke kareeb 1.2630 par hai. Pound Sterling ke buyers ke paas akhri tah-e-difa sirf 200-day SMA 1.2551 par hai.

GBP/USD CURRENCY PAIR ANALYSIS


Jumeraat ke gbpusd trading session ne apne opening se kam band hone ka samna kiya kyunki us waqt currency pair abhi bhi apni giravat jaari rakh sakta tha, bhalay hi woh itni bari na thi. Mujhe hisaab se gbpusd sirf 38 pips ke aspas movement kiya. Jabke range mamooli si hai, lekin candle ne kam se kam H1 support ko penetrate kar liya jo ke 1.2658 ke price par tha. Is support ko torne ke baad, gbpusd foran 1.2640 ke price par gir gaya. Asal mein, yeh giravat June 19, 2024 se shuru hui hai. Gbpusd girne laga jab candle SBR zone ko paar karne mein na kaamyaab ho saka. Isi wajah se gbpusd 1.2740 ke price tak pohanch kar bhi nahi saka.

Agar h1 timeframe se tafseeli nazar daalain, toh bhi jabke candle ne support ko tor liya hai, mein yeh prediction karta hoon ke gbpusd peer ko umeed hai ke barhne ka mauqa ho sakta hai kyunki current candle abhi tak 1.2629 ke price par RBS area se bahar nahi nikal saka hai. Jab tak yeh area neeche nahi gaya, is ka matlab hai ke agle barhne ke liye mukaam abhi bhi khuli hai. Ho sakta hai ke jo giravat last kuch dino mein hui hai woh sirf ek correction ho, baqi mein barhne ka chance hai. Lekin jab candle support ke neeche position mein rahe toh ehtiyaat zaroori hai kyunki gbpusd mazeed gir sakta hai. Is ke ilawa, support par bullish engulfing candle pattern ka nazr aana bhi yeh confirm karta hai ke market jald hi palatne wala hai. Gbpusd ka agla target area 1.2736 hoga.

Agar Ichimoku indicator se tafseeli jaaizah liya jaaye, toh candle abhi bhi tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines ke neeche position mein hai. Is waqt yeh indicator bearish signal nahi de raha hai. Shayad candle jo ke abhi tak RBS zone mein phansa hua hai, is se gbpusd barh sakta hai aur baad mein ek aur nayi intersection ho sakta hai jo candle ke position ko change kar de H1 support line ke neeche jo ke 1.2620 ke price par hai, us ki taaqat ko imtihan kiya jaye.

Is doran, stochastic indicator khud batata hai ke condition abhi oversold hai. Is baat ko line se dekha ja sakta hai jo ke level 20 ko chhu chuki hai. Lekin aaj yeh line darmiyan mein hai. Yahan maine dekha hai ke divergent pattern ban gaya hai jo ke nazr aane wala hai jo ke nazr aane wala hai jo ke aane wala hai jo ke aane wala hai jo ke aane

Yahan aapke liye Roman Urdu mein tashreef la raha hoon:

GBP/USD Currency Pair Ka Tashreefi Jaiza

Jumeraat ke GBP/USD ke trading session mein kuch dilchasp manazir nazar aaye: US dollar ko dabaav mein dekha gaya jabke US Dollar Index (DXY) ki taqat badh rahi thi. Is mukhalif halat ki wajah do mukhalif quwat hain. Ek taraf, US dollar temporary taur par pasandeeda nazar aa raha tha, jo DXY mein izafa keh raha tha. Is ko investors ki taraf se ek safe haven ki talaash mein dekha ja sakta hai, jawaab mein Federal Reserve ke faislay ne jo ke apne 2024 ke liye interest rate cut ko rokne ka elaan kiya. Fed policymakers ne data-dependent approach par zor diya, ishara dete hue ke unhon ne interest rates ko adjust karne se pehle mazeed maaloomat ka intezar karna chahte hain. Is cautious stance se Fed ki taraf se aane wali economic uncertainty ka ishara ho sakta hai, jo investors ko US dollar ke traditional safe haven ki taraf dhaawat dene ke liye majboor kar raha hai.

Lekin, is potential USD ki taqat ko Canadian dollar (CAD), yaani ke Loonie, ne bhi mazbooti se jawab diya. CAD ki taqat ke peechay ki wajah crude oil market ke positive performance mein hai. Canada ka position US ke liye ek major oil exporter hone ki wajah se, jab oil prices barhte hain to Canadian oil exports ki value bhi barhti hai, jis se Canadian economy mein aur US dollars aate hain aur CAD ki qeemat ko mazbooti milti hai.

Aage dekhte hue, technical indicators yeh ishara dete hain ke USD/CAD pair mazeed girawat ki taraf ja sakta hai. Haal hi ki price movements ne ek short-term downtrend ki taraf ishara di hai, jis mein pair ne Thursday ko key moving averages ke nichay band kiya tha. Agar yeh bearish scenario pesh aata hai, to USD/CAD 1.3622 ke aas paas initial support payega, jo ke October-December 2023 ke downtrend ke 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level se mutabiq hai. Lekin, ek mustaqil downtrend ke natijay mein pair 1.3500-1.3525 tak gir sakta hai.

Akhri conclusion yeh hai ke USD/CAD currency pair abhi ek tug-of-war mein phansa hua hai USD ki potential strengthening aur Canadian dollar ki inherent strength ke darmiyan, jo ke oil prices ke barhne se aata hai. Jabke qareebi mustaqbil mein USD/CAD pair ke liye girawat ki sambhavnaat hain technical indicators ke mutabiq, lekin overall currency market dynamics fluid aur data-dependent rehte hain, jahan Fed ke agle qadam ko dekhna ek ahem factor hoga.

Agar aapko aur kisi pair ya analysis ke baare mein jaanna ho toh bataye, mein madad karne ke liye yahan hoon!

Bhai, scene yeh hai ke pound sterling (GBP) US dollar (USD) ke khilaaf apni haalat behtar nae rakh pa raha hai, khaas tor pe 1.2700 ke ahem resistance level ko paar karne mein mushkil ho rahi hai. Yeh resistance level bohot zor ka hai, jo bullish traders ke darmiyan ahtiyaat bhari sentiment ka izhar karta hai, khaas tor pe jab July mein UK ke national elections nazdeek aa rahe hain, jo uncertainty mein izafa kar rahay hain.

Technically, GBP/USD pair resistance se guzar raha hai, aur 1.28 mark ko paar karne ki koshishen nakam sabit ho rahi hain. Yeh upper breakout na hone ki nishani hai ke market mein hosla aur ahtiyaat hai. Haalankay abhi tak koi baray nuksaan ka sabab nahi hua hai, lekin analysts yeh mashwara de rahe hain ke action lene se pehle confirmation ka intezar na kiya jaye, jo current upward trend mein mukhtalif mor par numayan ho sakta hai.

Agay dekhtay hain, agar neechay ki dabao jari rahay to kuch support levels pound ke liye thora sa aaram faraham kar saktay hain. Pehlay, support 1.2755-1.2750 ke aas paas hai, phir 1.2715-1.2710 range temporary stability de sakti hai agar keemat mazeed giray. Gehri giravat 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) support zone tak le ja sakti hai, jo abhi 1.2640-1.2635 ke darmiyan hai. Agar yeh level decisively breach ho jaye to bearish sentiment ko mazeed taqat mil sakti hai aur mazeed nuksan ki taraf le ja sakta hai.

Lambi giravat ki surat mein, 1.2669 ke aas paas area pound ke liye pehla line of defense ho sakta hai, aur mazeed support 1.2598 ke aas paas ho sakta hai, jo pehle mahinon mein qaim raha hai. Agar yeh manzil kaamyaab na ho to keemat February ke low 1.2517 ki taraf gir sakti hai.

Yun samajh lo ke haalat yeh hain ke pound ki taqat US dollar ke tazad mein kamzor ho rahi hai, jab ke Federal Reserve ke cautious stance aur UK ke economic indicators bhi yeh indicate kar rahe hain. Anay wale elections bhi uncertainty ko barha rahe hain, jo traders ki sentiment aur GBP/USD pair ke market dynamics par asar andaaz hongay. Traders ko mukhtalif technical levels ko qareeb se nazar andaaz karna chahiye aur current economic environment mein bearish signals ka jayeza lena chahiye.

Yeh dekha gaya hai ke aaj GbpUsd market mein halaat aur price movements bearish journey ki taraf ja rahi hain. Yeh dekha ja sakta hai ke bara trend abhi bhi niche ki taraf ja raha hai, isliye pehle jo bullish movement hui thi, usko market reversal ke mauqe ke tor pe nahi dekha ja sakta. Pichle kuch hafton mein, candlestick ne niche ki taraf movement dikhai hai kyunke pichle hafte ke weekly market opening position abhi bhi current price se zyada thi. Market ko buyers ne 1.2859 position tak upar le jane ki koshish ki thi lekin uske baad candlestick ne niche girna shuru kar diya
Aaj dopahar ke trading period mein, aisa lagta hai ke sellers ka abhi bhi asar hai jo simple moving average zone ke neeche stable prices ko maintain kar pa rahe hain. Agar main weekly aur monthly time frames pe price journey ko dekhoon, to aisa lagta hai ke market bearish hi rehne wala hai. Ho sakta hai ke price 1.2602 zone ko test karne niche ja sakta hai kyunke technically price journey Downtrend side pe continue kar sakti hai, aisa lagta hai ke kal ka trend abhi bhi continue rehna chahta hai. Ab kuch arse se yeh possibility hai ke prices bearish conditions ko continue kar sakti hain aur yeh niche ki journey ka basis ban sakti hain
Yeh ek situation hai jo hum use karenge sell position open karne ke liye. Is dafa hum market mein latest trend situation ke mutabiq existing opportunities pe bharosa kar rahe hain. Candlestick position 100 period simple moving average zone ke neeche chal rahi hai, isliye decline ka mauqa kaafi khula hai. Agar agle trade mein candlestick continue kar ke niche ja sakti hai, to iska matlab hai ke sellers apne target position tak pahunch sakte hain jaise ke analysis mein kaha gaya hai. Aao weekend market mein profit opportunities ke liye tayar ho jayein

GBP/USD jodi 1.2550 par ahem 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) ko tor kar musbat trend dikha rahi hai. Ye breakout bullish outlook ka ishara deta hai. Jodi ka agla target 1.3000 ka nafsiyati level hai, jo 1.2893 ka peak tha jo 8 March, 2024 ko tha. Magar, ihtiyaat ki wajahain bhi hain. Takniki indicators se mix signals aur 1.2800 ke darjoo darjoo levelon ko barqarar rakhne mein nakami ka baar baar saboot ye dikhate hain ke jodi ko mazeed mustehkam honay se pehle mazeed mustehkam hona parega. Ye khaas taur par sach hai UK ke qoumi intekhabat 4 July ko qareeb hain, jo market ki bechaini ko barha sakti hain. Agar keemat 1.2690-1.2685 zone se neeche gir jati hai, to ye tajziya khatam hone ka ishara ho sakta hai jo April mein dekha gaya tha. Is surat mein, 100-day moving average, karib 1.2640-1.2635, waqtan fawat madad faraham kar sakta hai. Agar ye level tor diya jata hai, to GBP/USD mazeed gir sakti hai aur mukhya 200-day moving average ki taraf barh sakti hai, jo abhi 1.2560-1.2555 par mojood hai. Agar ye level tor diya jata hai, to jodi ka nafsiyati ahem level 1.2630 ka shikaar ho sakta hai.

GBP/USD jodi ahem 200-day SMA ko tor kar musbat trend dikha rahi hai. Agla target 1.3000 ka nafsiyati level hai, jo 1.2893 ka peak tha jo 8 March, 2024 ko tha. Magar, behtari ke pehle muddat ke liye kuch sawalat hain. Takniki indicators se mix signals aur 1.2800 ke darjoo darjoo levelon ko barqarar rakhne mein nakami ka baar baar saboot ye dikhate hain ke jodi ko mazeed mustehkam honay se pehle mazeed mustehkam hona parega. Ye khaas taur par sach hai UK ke qoumi intekhabat 4 July ko qareeb hain, jo market ki bechaini ko barha sakti hain. Agar keemat 1.2690-1.2685 zone se neeche gir jati hai, to ye tajziya khatam hone ka ishara ho sakta hai jo April mein dekha gaya tha. Is surat mein, 100-day moving average, karib 1.2640-1.2635, waqtan fawat madad faraham kar sakta hai. Agar ye level tor diya jata hai, to GBP/USD mazeed gir sakti hai aur mukhya 200-day moving average ki taraf barh sakti hai, jo abhi 1.2560-1.2555 par mojood hai. Agar ye level tor diya jata hai, to jodi ka nafsiyati ahem level 1.2630 ka shikaar ho sakta hai.

GBP/USD jodi musbat trend dikhane ke liye ahem 200-day SMA ko tor rahi hai. Agla target 1.3000 ka nafsiyati level hai, jo 1.2893 ka peak tha jo 8 March, 2024 ko tha. Magar, ihtiyaat ki wajahain bhi hain. Takniki indicators se mix signals aur 1.2800 ke darjoo darjoo levelon ko barqarar rakhne mein nakami ka baar baar saboot ye dikhate hain ke jodi ko mazeed mustehkam honay se pehle mazeed mustehkam hona parega. Ye khaas taur par sach hai UK ke qoumi intekhabat 4 July ko qareeb hain, jo market ki bechaini ko barha sakti hain. Agar keemat 1.2690-1.2685 zone se neeche gir jati hai, to ye tajziya khatam hone ka ishara ho sakta hai jo April mein dekha gaya tha. Is surat mein, 100-day moving average, karib 1.2640-1.2635, waqtan fawat madad faraham kar sakta hai. Agar ye level tor diya jata hai, to GBP/USD mazeed gir sakti hai aur mukhya 200-day moving average ki taraf barh sakti hai, jo abhi 1.2560-1.2555 par mojood hai. Agar ye level tor diya jata hai, to jodi ka nafsiyati ahem level 1.2630 ka shikaar ho sakta hai.

Dollar Index (DXY) ke kamzor hone ke peeche kai wajoohat hain. Aam tor par, Dollar Index, jo USD ki qeemat ko mukhtalif currencies ke muqablay mein naapta hai, jab kamzor hota hai to iska matlab hota hai ke USD ki qeemat gir rahi hai. Iski buniyadi wajoohat mein se ek, pehla quarter (Q1) mein US ma'ashi izafay ka slow hona hai. Jab ma'ashi izafa slow hota hai, to investoron ka aitmaad bhi kam ho jata hai, jo ke dollar ki demand par bhi asar andaz hota hai.

Doosri wajah be-rozgari ke da'away hain. Jab mulk mein be-rozgari barh rahi hoti hai, to iska nateeja ma'ashi be-chaini aur ghatay hue aitmaad mein hota hai. Ye be-rozgar hone ke da'away investors ko darpaish karte hain, aur wo apne paisay doosri currencies mein invest karna behtar samajhte hain. Ye bhi USD ki qeemat par asar andaz hota hai aur Dollar Index ko kamzor karta hai.

Ek aur wajah jo Dollar Index ko kamzor karti hai wo Federal Reserve ki monetary policy hai. Agar Federal Reserve apni interest rates ko kam karti hai, to investors ko USD mein kam fayda nazar aata hai, aur wo doosri currencies mein invest karna shuru kar dete hain jahan unhein zyada return mil sakta hai. Iski wajah se bhi Dollar Index girta hai.

Aalami tor par bhi kai factors hain jo USD ko kamzor karte hain. Europe aur Asia mein ma'ashi stability aur izafa agar zyada hota hai, to investors ka rujhan wahan shift ho jata hai. Euro, Yen, aur baqi Asian currencies mein izafa hota hai, jo Dollar Index ko neeche le jata hai.

Political factors bhi Dollar Index ko asar andaz karte hain. Agar US mein siyasi instability hoti hai, to investors ka aitmaad hila jata hai. Political uncertainty, khas tor par elections ya kisi bhi qism ki radd-o-badal jo policy ya leadership mein hoti hai, investors ko darpaish karti hai aur wo apne paisay USD se nikaal kar doosri safe havens mein invest karte hain, jaise ke gold ya stable currencies.

Is sab ke ilawa, trading balances aur international relations bhi Dollar Index par asar dalte hain. Agar US ka trade deficit barhta hai, to is se USD ki demand ghat jaati hai. Saath hi, agar US aur doosri countries ke darmiyan trade wars ya tensions hoti hain, to iska bhi asar Dollar Index par hota hai.

In sab factors ko milakar dekha jaye to ye samajhna mushkil nahi ke Dollar Index kyun kamzor ho raha hai. Ma'ashi, siyasi, aur trading conditions ka mixture Dollar Index ko neeche le jata hai. Investors in tamam wajoohat ko madde nazar rakhte hue apne investment decisions karte hain, jo akhirat mein USD ki qeemat par asar andaz hota hai.

jab gap band ho gaya, to qeemat ne palat kar strong bullish impulse se upar jaane ki taraf dabaav dala, jis se ek full bullish candle bani. Ye candle sirf mujhe neeche darj ki gayi resistance level, jo maine 1.25180 par mark ki thi, ke neeche bandhne ka maqsad rakhti thi, balkay pichle din ke range ke high ke ooper bhi bandh gayi. Mojooda manzar par ghor kiya jaaye to aaj hum next shumali nishana ki taraf aik harkat dekh sakte hain, jis ka target resistance level 1.25785 par mark hai. Is resistance level ke qareeb, do manazir pesh aa sakte hain. Pehli priority scenario mein, aik reversal candle banne aur keemat ka dobara neeche jaane ka maqsad banna. Agar ye mansuba kaamyaab hota hai, to main support level 1.24487 par palatne ki talaash karunga. Agar keemat is support level ke neeche mushtamil hoti hai, to main mazeed dakhil karne ki umeed rakhoonga, jo keemat ko support level 1.22992 par le jaaye gi. Is support level ke qareeb, main aik trading setup ke shikar banunga, jo agle trading raah ko tay karnay mein madad karega. Beshak, keemat ko mazeed janoobi rukh mein dabaaya ja sakta hai, lekin main is waqt is option ko ghor nahi kar raha, kyun ke main is ki jald raftar ko dekhta nahi. Price ka doosra raasta resistance level 1.25785 ko test karne par ek plan hai jahan keemat is level ke ooper mushtamil hoti hai aur shumali rukh par jaari rehti hai. Agar ye plan safar hota hai, to main keemat ko mazeed agay barhte hue ummed rakhoonga, jis ka target resistance level 1.27094 ya resistance level 1.28032 par hoga. In resistance levels ke qareeb, main jari rahunga janoobi signals ki talash mein, neeche rukh ki dobara jaari hone ki umeed rakhta. Aam tor par, aaj ke din mujhe kisi khaas cheez ko mahir nahi nazar aati. Aam tor par, main global janoobi trend ki dobara jaari hone ki taraf munhasir hoon, is liye main nazdeeki resistance levels se bearish signals ki talash mein hoon. Jab Hama aur RSI indicators neela aur hara rang dikhaen, to yeh bullish dilchaspi aur yeh haqeeqat ke baare mein glat ka saboot hoga ke market mein kharidne wale hukoomat mein hain. Jaise he indicators rang badalte hain, hum market mein dakhil ho jate hain aur aik lamba position kholte hain. Position ka exit point magnetic levels indicator readings ke mawaafiq tay kiya jata hai. Mojooda waqt mein, signal execution ke liye sab se zyada wabastagi wale levels ye hain - 1.26554. Zaroori targets ko hasil karne ke baad, zaroori hai ke chart par keemat ka amal dekha jaye, aur agle kadam ka faisla kiya jaye - kya position ko market mein rakhna hai agle magnetic level tak, ya phir pehle hasil ki gayi munafa ko band karne ka faisla kiya jaye. Agar mazeed munafa barhane ki koshish ki jaye, to trailing stop ka istemal kiya ja sakta hai. Kisi bhi level ko zyada aam tor par dekho to dekho, toh agar woh ooper se resistance zone ko todena shuru karte hain, toh main samajhta hoon ke woh sirf tab karenge jab keemat neeche chali jaye aur signals ko process kiya jaye. 1.2460 ke neeche, matlab spike ke neeche jo w ahaan par baki hai, hum bahar jaayenge, phir shayad wahaan par umeed hai ke barhav dobara shuru hoga, agar kuch aisa wahin ke liye bana hota hai, neeche palatne ka level. Intehai halat mein, main ek neeche ki taraf dobara palatne ka tasawwur karta hoon; ek mushkil ki misaal factors ki combination ki baat karta

USD) ke khilaf Budh ke din kamzor ho gaya, iske baad jab pehle se ek nayi 10-haftay ki unchi tak pohanch gaya tha. GBP/USD ke faida mein yeh rukawat UK mein inflation ki umeedein kam hone aur US dollar ki mazbooti kedarmiyan aaya. British Retail Consortium (BRC) ke data se pata chala ke UK ki dukanein keemat mein May mein naram hogayi, jahan khana aur ghair-khana dono keemat gir gayi. Bade UK retailers par dukan keemat mein saalana izafa sirf 0.6% tak barha, jo ke . ke akhri mahine se sab se slow pace hai. Ye April mein 0.8% ke izafe se nichle aya hai. Khana keemat ka inflation khas taur par teesri musalsal mahine gir gaya, May mein 3.2% ke muqable mein April mein 3.4%. BRC ke mutabiq dukaan-dar dastiyab cost reduction ko customers ko transfer kar rahay hain. GBP 1.2800 ke resistance level ke qareeb ja raha hai, isliye is par selling pressure hai. GBP/USD jodi Federal Reserve ke pasandida inflation gauge ke izhaar tak muhtaj rehne wali hai.qareeb band hui. Yeh khas pechidgi wala support level abhi tak GBP/USD ke liye test nahi hua hai. Is liye, aaj ke liye mazeed kami ka intezam hai.Main yeh manta hoon ke kam az kam qeemat support level 1.27315 ko test karegi. Behtar halat mein, qeemat is level ke neeche band ho sakti hai, jo mujhe kam karne ke taraf rujhan dilata hai 1.27273kesupporttak.Magar,yehanbears(farokhtkarnew ale)aurbulls(khareednewale) ke darmiyan mukhya jung hogi. Is ke bawajood, abhi bhi ek upar ki rukh hai. Agar qeemat marginal north ke neeche chalti hai aur jam jati hai, toh yeh rukh tor jayega.GBP/USD pair ke chart pehle rukhne aur phir wapas aane ka pattern dikhata hai. Mangal ko, qeemat 1.27241 tak pohanchi magar is ke upar nahi tik payi. Is se ek wapas aane ka silsila shuru hua, aur qeemat 1.2737 ke qareeb band hui. Is qeemat ke amal ke bawajood, maine Budh ke liye ek kami ki taraf girawat ka intezar kiya jo ke 1.26815 tak girne ki umeed thi. Yeh tajwez theek sabit hua jab qeemat din bhar mein girti rahi aur 1.26815 ke qareeb band hui.Aaj, meri umeed hai ke qeemat kam az kam support level 1.27315 ko test karegi. Agar yeh is level ke neeche gir jaye, toh qeemat girte hue band ho sakti hai aur 1.27273 ke neeche band ho sakti hai. Yeh bear aur bull ke darmiyan mukhya jung ke maqame ka masla hai. Is ke bawajood, mojooda kami ke bawajood, mukhtalif rukh abhi bhi upar ki taraf hai. Magar, agar qeemat marginal north ke neeche chalti hai aur jam jati hai, toh yeh upar ki rukh ko tor degi Caption

GBP/USD ki Price Move ka Tajzia:

Hamara mojooda focus GBP/USD currency pair ke price action ka tajzia karna hai. Market girawat ki taraf barh rahi hai, lekin mazeed girawat se pehle ek correction ka imkaan hai. 4-hour chart par, price thodi si 1/8 angle aur 50% support level 1.2588 ke upar hai, jahan bears ko bulls se mukablay ka samna ho sakta hai. Is liye, mujhe umeed hai ke pehle bearish approach hogi aur phir bullish rebound. Medium term mein mazeed girawat ke liye, sabar zaroori hoga. Hourly GBP/USD time frame par, darmiyani support level 1.2602 hai, jo ke 1.2572 tak hai. 1.2602 se rebound growth ko 1.2663 resistance tak push kar sakta hai (3/8 channel ka bottom). Dosri surat mein, 1.2572 se rebound growth ko 1.2633 tak le ja sakta hai. Hum dekhenge ke konsi option, reduction ya correction, unfold hogi.

Agar hum current levels se foran growth reversal nahi dekhenge, to buyers ko 1.2633 ke kareeb resistance mil sakta hai, jo 1.2663 aur 1.2694 ka rasta khol sakta hai. Weekend par, movement picture ziada wazeh hui hai steady price ke sath. Daily time frame mein, price decline Fed meeting 12/05/2024 ke doran shuru hui thi. Dollar CPI data ke waja se weak hua, lekin Powell ke press conference remarks ne dollar ko phir se strengthen kar diya. Pound, dollar ke sath paired, downward corrections face kar raha hai, stuck buyers ke liye occasional consoling corrections ke sath. Is dafa, mujhe umeed hai ke correction last week's high 1.2738 se ziada nahi hogi, jahan se sales dobara shuru ho sakti hain. GBP/USD pair gir rahi hai, mazeed girawat se pehle potential corrections ke sath. Key levels mein 1.2588, 1.2602, 1.2633, aur 1.2663 shamil hain. In levels ko monitor karna aur market news ke sath updated rehna asar daar trading decisions ke liye bohat zaroori hoga.

GBP/USD ka jo pair hai woh H4 chart par 1.2778 par trade ho raha hai. Akhri market conditions ko dekhte hue, hum yeh andaza lagate hain ke kal ke FOMC news ke baad koi significant movement nahi hogi. Prices ne recent me kuch notable fluctuations dikhaye hain. Pehle, price ne ek strong buy level 1.2812 ko break kiya, jo ek potential upward move ki nishani thi. Lekin, price is level ko maintain nahi kar saki aur reverse kar gayi, wapas isi level ko todte hue, jo ek bearish movement ki taraf ishara hai. Is halat ko dekhte hue, price ab recent low support level 1.2686 ko test karegi. Yeh potential test 1.2686 support level ka traders ke liye bohot ahmiyat rakhta hai. Agar price is level tak pohanchti hai aur isay maintain karti hai, to yeh un logon ke liye buying ka mauka ho

sakta hai jo market me lower price point par enter karna chahte hain. Ulta, agar price is support level se neeche break karti hai, to yeh further downward movement ka ishara ho sakta hai, jo bearish trend ke continuation ki nishani hai. GBP/USD pair ek bullish surge ke liye tayar nazar aata hai, magar yeh abhi apni maximum potential tak nahi pohanch sakta. Currency pair ko elevated levels par strong foothold secure karne ki koshish kar raha hai. Magar agar yeh 1.2899 se upar ek steady upward trajectory maintain karne me nakam rehta hai, to yeh bearish outlook ki taraf shift ko indicate kar sakta hai. Yeh adjustments ko lead karega 1.271 tak aur shayad 1.2667 tak, jahan support level 1.2627 kaam kar sakta hai. Yeh alternative scenario bhi ek viable possibility hai.

Abhi jo current price hai 1.2738, us se umeed hai ke price thoda aur rise karegi aur supply area se reverse hogi. Agar price eventually 1.2800 resistance level ke neeche prolonged consolidation ko sustain karti hai, to price neeche move karegi jo ke 1.2500 level ko target karegi. Iske ilawa, agar 1.2500 support level se neeche breakout hota hai, to yeh market me sellers ki strength ko confirm karega, jo potential bearish rally ka ishara hai aur agla target 1.2300 support level hoga. Aur agar support 1.2300 se bhi breach hota hai, to pair apni potential decline ko next support level 1.2100 tak extend kar sakta hai.