𝐆𝐁𝐏/𝐔𝐒𝐃

T E C H N I C A L _ A N A L Y S I S# G B P / U S D

Assalam-o-Alaikum, sab saathiyon ko mera salam, aap sab kaise hain aaj? Aaj mai GBP/USD market ke mojooda price movement ke baare mein ek maqala likhne ja raha hoon. Is waqt GBP/USD 1.2682 par trade kar raha hai. GBP/USD ka chart is waqt kuch na samajh ata hai kyunki momentum indicators abhi bearish power ko kamzor dikha rahe hain magar ab bhi maujood hain. Agar hum technical indicators ko dekhen, toh Relative Strength Index (RSI) aur Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is waqt negative levels ke ird-gird trade kar rahe hain, magar inka rukh upar hai, jo is baat ki taraf ishara karta hai ke price 1.2774 level ki taraf barh sakti hai. Kyunki is waqt price moving average line ke neechay trade kar rahi hai aur indicator bearish trend ki support dikha raha hai, is liye price ke negative activity ko nazarandaz karna namumkin hai. GBP/USD 1.2697 level ko test kar sakta hai jo pehla resistance level hai. Neeche diye gaye chart mein, maine possible price movements dikhaye hain ke agar supply 1.2697 par break out hoti hai toh yeh tay hai ke price naye supply 1.2774 ki taraf mazid mazbooti dikhaegi jo doosra resistance level hai.

Uske baad, mujhe lagta hai ke GBP/USD price barhegi aur 1.2858 ke resistance ko test karegi, jo maine attached diagram mein indicate kiya hai. Dosri taraf, GBP/USD price girne ki umeed hai aur $1.2656 support level ke kareeb pohanch sakti hai jo pehla support level hai. Yeh yad rakhna zaroori hai, ke agar GBP/USD ka price $1.2656 ke neeche aur zyada gira toh isse $1.2321 ka barrier break hoga jo doosra support level hai, aur monthly low $1.1543 tak pohanchna next target hoga jo teesra support level hai. Is liye, lower support par khareedna aur upper resistance par bechna achi soch hai. Aam tor par, hum umeed karte hain ke price range ke andar move karega.

Chart mein use kiye gaye indicators:
- MACD indicator
- RSI indicator period 14
- 50-day exponential moving average (color: Orange)
- 20-day exponential moving average (color: Magenta)

GBP/USD/D1
GBP/USD ka jo pair hai woh H4 chart par 1.2778 par trade ho raha hai. Akhri market conditions ko dekhte hue, hum yeh andaza lagate hain ke kal ke FOMC news ke baad koi significant movement nahi hogi. Prices ne recent me kuch notable fluctuations dikhaye hain. Pehle, price ne ek strong buy level 1.2812 ko break kiya, jo ek potential upward move ki nishani thi. Lekin, price is level ko maintain nahi kar saki aur reverse kar gayi, wapas isi level ko todte hue, jo ek bearish movement ki taraf ishara hai. Is halat ko dekhte hue, price ab recent low support level 1.2686 ko test karegi. Yeh potential test 1.2686 support level ka traders ke liye bohot ahmiyat rakhta hai. Agar price is level tak pohanchti hai aur isay maintain karti hai, to yeh un logon ke liye buying ka mauka ho sakta hai jo market me lower price point par enter karna chahte hain. Ulta, agar price is support level se neeche break karti hai, to yeh further downward movement ka ishara ho sakta hai, jo bearish trend ke continuation ki nishani hai.

GBP/USD pair ek bullish surge ke liye tayar nazar aata hai, magar yeh abhi apni maximum potential tak nahi pohanch sakta. Currency pair ko elevated levels par strong foothold secure karne ki koshish kar raha hai. Magar agar yeh 1.2899 se upar ek steady upward trajectory maintain karne me nakam rehta hai, to yeh bearish outlook ki taraf shift ko indicate kar sakta hai. Yeh adjustments ko lead karega 1.271 tak aur shayad 1.2667 tak, jahan support level 1.2627 kaam kar sakta hai. Yeh alternative scenario bhi ek viable possibility hai.

Abhi jo current price hai 1.2738, us se umeed hai ke price thoda aur rise karegi aur supply area se reverse hogi. Agar price eventually 1.2800 resistance level ke neeche prolonged consolidation ko sustain karti hai, to price neeche move karegi jo ke 1.2500 level ko target karegi. Iske ilawa, agar 1.2500 support level se neeche breakout hota hai, to yeh market me sellers ki strength ko confirm karega, jo potential bearish rally ka ishara hai aur agla target 1.2300 support level hoga. Aur agar support 1.2300 se bhi breach hota hai, to pair apni potential decline ko next support level 1.2100 tak extend kar sakta hai.

British pound (GBP) ne US dollar (USD) ke muqable mein jumeraat ki subah ko girawat dekhi, jab ke pehle woh teen maheenon ke high ke qareeb tha. Yeh girawat dollar ki kamzori ke bawajood hui. Dollar ki mushkilat US inflation data ke mayuskun nateejon ki wajah se hain. US Bureau of Labor Statistics ne report kiya ke May mein inflation thandi hui, jo ke annually 3.3% pe aagayi jab ke April mein 3.4% thi. Yeh market ki ummeed se kam thi jo ke 3.4% thi aur isne dollar pe neeche ka dabao dala. Hatta ke core inflation, jo volatile food aur energy prices ko exclude karti hai, bhi kam se kam izafa dikhayi. Magar, Federal Reserve ka hawkish stance dollar ki girawat ko limit karne mein kamyaab raha. Jab ke inflation report ne blow ko soften kiya, Fed ki commitment interest rates ko barhane par dollar ke value ko bade girawat se bachaya. Haal ke futures traders ab September mein Fed ke rate cut ke zyada confident hain, jiska probability 53% se badh ke 73% ho gayi hai. Dusri taraf, pound ke haal ke gains ko UK ki sluggish economic growth ne tempered kar diya. Office for National Statistics ne report kiya ke UK GDP April mein stagnate hui, jo ke market expectations ke mutabiq thi. Yeh lackluster performance ne investors ko yeh believe karwaya ke Bank of England ka June mein rate cut karna unlikely hai, unki forecasts ko August ya September tak push kar diya.
Un traders ke liye jo is trend ko capitalize karna chahte hain, lower boundary of the ascending channel ko target karte hue sell position lena ek prudent strategy ho sakti hai. Entry points 1.2763-1.2781 range mein favorable risk-reward ratio offer karte hain, khaaskar jab stop loss recent highs ke just above ho taake potential losses ko mitigate kiya ja sake. Is trade ka initial target 1.2750-1.2774 range mein hona chahiye, jo ke D1 chart pe lower boundary of the channel ke sath align karta hai. Key support levels ko monitor karna crucial hai, kyunki agar 1.2750 mark ke neeche break hoti hai to yeh further downside potential ko signify kar sakti hai. Bar’aks, koi bhi reversal signals, jaise ke strong bullish candlestick pattern ya UK se positive economic news, bearish outlook ko re-evaluate karne par majboor kar sakti hai.

GBP/USD pair filhal ek corrective decline mein hai ascending channel pe D1 chart par. Technically, indicators suggest karte hain ke downward trend ka continuation hoga, aur sellers ka target channel ki lower boundary ke aas paas hoga, yani 1.2750-1.2774. Market sentiment, economic aur political factors ke sath, aur US dollar ki strength, is bearish scenario ko support karte hain. Traders ko yeh factors consider karte hue apni strategies plan karni chahiye, focus karte hue current trading range ke entry points par aur appropriate targets aur stop losses set karni chahiye.

GBP/USD H-4 Analysis


Aao aaj ke din ke liye sab teen gestures ke mutabiq ek lucrative trade ka possibility consider karen. Kaam karne ke baad, transactions ko shut down karna sab se profitable point of view hoga. Hum ye karenge, hum ye karenge. Chart par, tum First Degree Regulation Line (Golden Dotline) create kar sakte ho, jo device ko 30 angle se zyada pe direct karte hue dikhata hai selected timeframe (timeframe H4) par. Yeh line 50% FIBO level (1.24981) aur 0% FIBO level (1.22983) par golden average line ke taraf mark karte hue dominant trend ko north mein emphasize karta hai.

Chart par Noon Liner Regulation Channel ko dekhte hue, usne ek turn complete kiya, trend ki golden line ko niche se upar cross kiya, aur ab yeh diarrhea mein hai. Price ne Linear Regulation Channel ki red resistance line (2nd Level Res Line) ko cross kiya, lekin apni splendor ko stop karne ke baad, maximum price 1.2780 (high) par pohonchi aur phir decline ho gayi. Device ab 1.26815 ke price par trade kar raha hai.

In sab baaton ko madde nazar rakhte hue, main expect karta hoon ke markets golden average line of 50% FIBO level aur Linear 1.22983, jo ke 0% FIBO level se coincide karta hai, ko consider karenge. RSI (14) aur MACD indicators bhi brick accuracy ki confirmation dete hain ENTO sale mein, kyunke yeh overboard zone mein located hain.

Mujhe nahi pata yeh kaise end hoga, shayad yeh ek hint hai ke yeh time hai correction ka EUR/USD par, aur bahut log neeche ja chuke hain. Maine GBP/USD ko Friday ko khareeda tha, lekin agar orders breakeven par aa jate hain, toh main buying mein persist nahi karunga.

Stay vigilant aur in levels ko monitor karte raho. Agar price dominant trend ke against move karta hai, toh trade ko review karna zaroori hoga. In indicators ko consider karke informed decisions lo aur market volatility ko navigate karte raho.

mein kal, jab gap band ho gaya, to qeemat ne palat kar strong bullish impulse se upar jaane ki taraf dabaav dala, jis se ek full bullish candle bani. Ye candle sirf mujhe neeche darj ki gayi resistance level, jo maine 1.25180 par mark ki thi, ke neeche bandhne ka maqsad rakhti thi, balkay pichle din ke range ke high ke ooper bhi bandh gayi. Mojooda manzar par ghor kiya jaaye to aaj hum next shumali nishana ki taraf aik harkat dekh sakte hain, jis ka target resistance level 1.25785 par mark hai. Is resistance level ke qareeb, do manazir pesh aa sakte hain. Pehli priority scenario mein, aik reversal candle banne aur keemat ka dobara neeche jaane ka maqsad banna. Agar ye mansuba kaamyaab hota hai, to main support level 1.24487 par palatne ki talaash karunga. Agar keemat is support level ke neeche mushtamil hoti hai, to main mazeed dakhil karne ki umeed rakhoonga, jo keemat ko support level 1.22992 par le jaaye gi. Is support level ke qareeb, main aik trading setup ke shikar banunga, jo agle trading raah ko tay karnay mein madad karega. Beshak, keemat ko mazeed janoobi rukh mein dabaaya ja sakta hai, lekin main is waqt is option ko ghor nahi kar raha, kyun ke main is ki jald raftar ko dekhta nahi. Price ka doosra raasta resistance level 1.25785 ko test karne par ek plan hai jahan keemat is level ke ooper mushtamil hoti hai aur shumali rukh par jaari rehti hai. Agar ye plan safar hota hai, to main keemat ko mazeed agay barhte hue ummed rakhoonga, jis ka target resistance level 1.27094 ya resistance level 1.28032 par hoga. In resistance levels ke qareeb, main jari

rahunga janoobi signals ki talash mein, neeche rukh ki dobara jaari hone ki umeed rakhta. Aam tor par, aaj ke din mujhe kisi khaas cheez ko mahir nahi nazar aati. Aam tor par, main global janoobi trend ki dobara jaari hone ki taraf munhasir hoon, is liye main nazdeeki resistance levels se bearish signals ki talash mein hoon. Jab Hama aur RSI indicators neela aur hara rang dikhaen, to yeh bullish dilchaspi aur yeh haqeeqat ke baare mein glat ka saboot hoga ke market mein kharidne wale hukoomat mein hain. Jaise he indicators rang badalte hain, hum market mein dakhil ho jate hain aur aik lamba position kholte hain. Position ka exit point magnetic levels indicator readings ke mawaafiq tay kiya jata hai. Mojooda waqt mein, signal execution ke liye sab se zyada wabastagi wale levels ye hain - 1.26554. Zaroori targets ko hasil karne ke baad, zManufacturing PMI figures ka release anticipate kiya ja raha hai. Agar yeh values investors ke expectations se zyada hoti hain, to yeh pound ke rise par betting ko justify karega, kyunki week's outset me short-term selling ke liye koi evident reasons nazar nahi aate. Mera strategy yeh hai ke jab GBP/USD 1.2755 ke entry point (chart par green line se marked) ko reach kare, pound ko buy karun, aur target 1.2805 (thicker green line se indicated) ko achieve karun. Jab 1.2805 ko reach karega, to main long positions ko close karunga aur short ones ko initiate

GBP/USD
Your detailed analysis of the GBP/USD pair outlines a comprehensive strategy based on various technical levels and potential scenarios. Here's a summarized version to help you manage your positions effectively:

### Key Levels and Scenarios:

1. **Balance of the Day (1.2720):**
- **Break Above 1.2720:** Potential for growth towards 1.2750 (H1 resistance).
- **Scenario A:** If 1.2750 is broken, expect a rise to H4 resistance at 1.2865, with potential pullbacks at 1.2780 and 1.2810.
- **Scenario B:** If 1.2750 holds, look for a move south towards support at 1.2450 (D1).

2. **No Break Above 1.2720:**
- **Scenario C:** Expect a downward move without a rollback to 1.2750. Monitor for potential declines towards the next significant support levels.

### Trading Strategy:

- **Long Position:**
- **Entry:** Above 1.2720
- **Target 1:** 1.2750
- **Target 2:** (if 1.2750 breaks) 1.2865 with intermediate targets at 1.2780 and 1.2810.
- **Stop Loss:** Close to 1.2720 to minimize losses if the balance fails to hold.


- **Short Position:**
- **Entry:** Near 1.2740 if 1.2750 holds.
- **Target:** Down towards 1.2450 (D1 support).
- **Stop Loss:** Around 1.2756 to protect against a breakout above 1.2750.

### Additional Considerations:

- **Hourly Trend:** Indicates a downward momentum with resistance at 1.26907 and further support at 1.26000. If the pair breaks below 1.26000, expect continued downward pressure.
- **Market Sentiment:** Keep an eye on news and macroeconomic indicators that might affect GBP/USD movement.

Your approach of setting clear entry, target, and stop-loss levels, combined with an analysis of potential price movements and technical resistance/support levels, provides a robust trading framework. Be prepared for market volatility and adjust your positions accordingly.

mein kal, jab gap band ho gaya, to qeemat ne palat kar strong bullish impulse se upar jaane ki taraf dabaav dala, jis se ek full bullish candle bani. Ye candle sirf mujhe neeche darj ki gayi resistance level, jo maine 1.25180 par mark ki thi, ke neeche bandhne ka maqsad rakhti thi, balkay pichle din ke range ke high ke ooper bhi bandh gayi. Mojooda manzar par ghor kiya jaaye to aaj hum next shumali nishana ki taraf aik harkat dekh sakte hain, jis ka target resistance level 1.25785 par mark hai. Is resistance level ke qareeb, do manazir pesh aa sakte hain. Pehli priority scenario mein, aik reversal candle banne aur keemat ka dobara neeche jaane ka maqsad banna. Agar ye mansuba kaamyaab hota hai, to main support level 1.24487 par palatne ki talaash karunga. Agar keemat is support level ke neeche mushtamil hoti hai, to main mazeed dakhil karne ki umeed rakhoonga, jo keemat ko support level 1.22992 par le jaaye gi. Is support level ke qareeb, main aik trading setup ke shikar banunga, jo agle trading raah ko tay karnay mein madad karega. Beshak, keemat ko mazeed janoobi rukh mein dabaaya ja sakta hai, lekin main is waqt is option ko ghor nahi kar raha, kyun ke main is ki jald raftar ko dekhta nahi. Price ka doosra raasta resistance level 1.25785 ko test karne par ek plan hai jahan keemat is level ke ooper mushtamil hoti hai aur shumali rukh par jaari rehti hai. Agar ye plan safar hota hai, to main keemat ko mazeed agay barhte hue ummed rakhoonga, jis ka target resistance level 1.27094 ya resistance level 1.28032 par hoga. In resistance levels ke qareeb, main jari rahunga janoobi signals ki talash mein, neeche rukh ki dobara jaari hone ki umeed rakhta. Aam tor par, aaj ke din mujhe kisi khaas cheez ko mahir nahi nazar aati. Aam tor par, main global janoobi trend ki dobara jaari hone ki taraf munhasir hoon, is liye main nazdeeki resistance levels se bearish signals ki talash mein hoon. Jab Hama aur RSI indicators neela aur hara rang dikhaen, to yeh bullish dilchaspi aur yeh haqeeqat ke baare mein glat ka saboot hoga ke market mein kharidne wale hukoomat mein hain. Jaise he indicators rang badalte hain, hum market mein dakhil ho jate hain aur aik lamba position kholte hain. Position ka exit point magnetic levels indicator readings ke mawaafiq tay kiya jata hai. Mojooda waqt mein, signal execution ke liye sab se zyada wabastagi wale levels ye hain - 1.26554. Zaroori targets ko hasil karne ke baad, zaroori hai ke chart par keemat ka amal dekha jaye, aur agle kadam ka faisla kiya jaye - kya position ko market mein rakhna hai agle magnetic level tak, ya phir pehle hasil ki gayi munafa ko band karne ka faisla kiya jaye. Agar mazeed munafa barhane ki koshish ki jaye, to trailing stop ka istemal kiya ja sakta hai. Kisi bhi level ko zyada aam tor par dekho to dekho, toh agar woh ooper se resistance zone ko todena shuru karte hain, toh main samajhta hoon ke woh sirf tab karenge jab keemat neeche chali jaye aur signals ko process kiya jaye. 1.2460 ke neeche, matlab spike ke neeche jo wahaan par baki hai, hum bahar jaayenge, phir shayad wahaan par umeed hai ke barhav dobara shuru hoga, agar kuch aisa wahin ke liye bana hota hai, neeche palatne ka level. Intehai halat mein, main ek neeche ki taraf dobara palatne ka tasawwur karta hoon; ek mushkil ki misaal factors ki combination ki baat karta hai, kam az kam, pehle se pehle ek barhav ke liye.

GBP/USD currency pair narrow corridor mein fluctuate kar rahi hai, jahan dono sides ko 1.268 pe test kar rahi hai. Support level 1.2682 par hai jabke resistance level 1.2810 par hai. Yeh narrow range ka movement rare hai, jo current market conditions ko aur bhi intriguing banata hai. Repeated attempts ke bawajood, prices is range se bahar nahi nikli, jo buyers aur sellers ke darmiyan strong equilibrium ko indicate karta hai. Initially, pair downward move karte hue support level 1.2690 tak pohanchi, jo potential bearish trend ko hint karta hai. Yeh southern movement dikhati hai ke sellers pressure daal rahe hain, taake price ko support level ke neeche le jaya ja sake. Magar, yeh downward momentum strong buying interest se mila 1.2690 level par, jo price ko aur decline hone se rok raha tha. Yeh support level firm rahi, jo iski significance aur market participants ka confidence dikhata hai.Support test karne ke baad, price rebound hui aur upward move karne lagi. Yeh upward movement resistance level 1.2820 ko test karne ke liye thi. Support se resistance level tak ka journey market sentiment mein shift ko indicate karta hai, jahan buyers ne upper hand gain kar liya. Lekin, jab price resistance level ke qareeb aayi, to significant selling pressure encounter hua. Resistance level 1.2820 ek formidable barrier sabit hua, jo price ko upar break hone se rok raha tha.Yeh back-and-forth movement defined range mein bulls aur bears ke darmiyan ongoing battle ko highlight karti hai. Koi bhi side decisive advantage gain nahi kar saki, jo consolidation period ko lead karti hai. Aisi consolidation phases aksar significant price movements ke precursors hote hain, kyunke yeh indicate karte hain ke market breakout ke liye momentum gather kar raha hai. Traders closely monitoring kar rahe hain is range-bound activity ko, kyunke breakout kisi bhi direction mein next major trend ko signal kar sakti hai GBP/USD pair ke liye. Agar price 1.2820 resistance level ke upar breakout karti hai, to yeh suggest karta hai ke buyers ne sufficient strength gain kar liya hai price ko upar push karne ke liye, jo potentially bullish trend ko lead kar sakta hai. Doosri taraf, agar price 1.2690 support level ke neeche breakdown karti hai, to yeh indicate karta hai ke sellers ne buyers ko overpower kar liya hai, jo bearish trend ka stage set kar sakta hai. Technical indicators jese ke Relative Strength Index (RSI) aur moving averages aise scenarios mein essential tools hote hain. Agar RSI bullish territory mein rehta hai, to yeh potential breakout ko support kar sakta hai resistance level ke upar. Conversely, agar RSI bearish territory mein dip karta hai, to yeh impending breakdown ko indicate kar sakta hai support level ke neeche. Fundamental factors bhi crucial role play karte hain GBP/USD pair ke direction ko determine karne mein. Economic data releases, central bank policies, aur geopolitical events sab market sentiment ko influence kar sakte hain aur significant price movements ko lead kar sakte hain. Traders ko informed rehna chahiye in factors ke baare mein taake well-rounded trading decisions le sakein

Hourly timeframe mein, price flat range 1.0785 - 1.0860 ke andar hi reh gayi hai. Is liye, main expect karta hoon ke Friday se upper boundary tak rise ho ga, phir channel ke andar decline ho ga. Main further downward movement expect karta hoon towards support level 1.0700. Lekin agar price resistance level 1.0800 ke upar establish ho jati hai, to main expect karta hoon ke local resistance level 1.0870 tak advance ho ga. H4 timeframe mein, ek notable upward trend hai. Overall sentiment bullish hai, aur support line achi tarah se hold ki hai. Is liye, main expect karta hoon ke rise continue ho kar level 1.0865 tak pohonchay ga Friday se. Agar bulls apna dominance maintain karne mein fail ho jate hain, to next move likely down ho kar 1.0745 tak jaye ga. Buyers shayad strong upward trend initiate karne ki koshish karen, lekin unke resources kaafi nahin lagte. Is ke ilawa, do closely spaced resistances current price ke upar hain jo 1.0735 tak pohonchne ko mushkil bana deti hain. Lekin agar EUR/USD 70-period smoothed moving average aur 100-period exponential moving average ke niche break karta hai, to EUR/USD ke agle kuch ghanton mein decline hone ka chance hai. Agar aisa hota hai, to aap scalping sell trade consider kar sakte hain EUR/USD par, aur apna target profit last Friday ke low par set kar sakte hain.

Daily graph par, main expect karta hoon ke currency pair ke liye ek longer northward movement ho, jo ke 1.0768 tak pohonch kar resistance line ko touch karega phir south reverse ho ga. Lekin bullish candles choti thi aur target nahi pohoncha. Wednesday se, ek move possible hai 1.0690 tak previous low ko renew karne ke liye. Alligator indicator initially buy signal de raha tha, lekin session ke end tak iski lines entangled ho gayi, jo iski testimony ko inconclusive banati hain.aur support line achi tarah se hold ki hai. Is liye, main expect karta hoon ke rise continue ho kar level 1.0865 tak pohonchay ga Friday se. Agar bulls apna dominance maintain karne mein fail ho jate hain, to next move likely down ho kar 1.0745 tak jaye ga. Buyers shayad strong upward trend initiate karne ki koshish karen, lekin unke resources kaafi nahin lagte. Is ke ilawa, do closely spaced resistances current price ke upar hain jo 1.0735 tak pohonchne ko mushkil bana deti hain. Lekin agar EUR/USD 70-period smoothed moving

US dollar (USD) ke khilaf Budh ke din kamzor ho gaya, iske baad jab pehle se ek nayi 10-haftay ki unchi tak pohanch gaya tha. GBP/USD ke faida mein yeh rukawat UK mein inflation ki umeedein kam hone aur US dollar ki mazbooti kedarmiyan aaya. British Retail Consortium (BRC) ke data se pata chala ke UK ki dukanein keemat mein May mein naram hogayi, jahan khana aur ghair-khana dono keemat gir gayi. Bade UK retailers par dukan keemat mein saalana izafa sirf 0.6% tak barha, jo ke . ke akhri mahine se sab se slow pace hai. Ye April mein 0.8% ke izafe se nichle aya hai. Khana keemat ka inflation khas taur par teesri musalsal mahine gir gaya, May mein 3.2% ke muqable mein April mein 3.4%. BRC ke mutabiq dukaan-dar dastiyab cost reduction ko customers ko transfer kar rahay hain. GBP 1.2800 ke resistance level ke qareeb ja raha hai, isliye is par selling pressure hai. GBP/USD jodi Federal Reserve ke pasandida inflation gauge ke izhaar tak muhtaj rehne wali hai.qareeb band hui. Yeh khas pechidgi wala support level abhi tak GBP/USD ke liye test nahi hua hai. Is liye, aaj ke liye mazeed kami ka intezam hai.Main yeh manta hoon ke kam az kam qeemat support level 1.27315 ko test karegi. Behtar halat mein, qeemat is level ke neeche band ho sakti hai, jo mujhe kam karne ke taraf rujhan dilata hai 1.27273kesupporttak.Magar,yehanbears(farokhtkarnew ale)aurbulls(khareednewale) ke darmiyan mukhya jung hogi. Is ke bawajood, abhi bhi ek upar ki rukh hai. Agar qeemat marginal north ke neeche chalti hai aur jam jati hai, toh yeh rukh tor jayega.GBP/USD pair ke chart pehle rukhne aur phir wapas aane ka pattern dikhata hai. Mangal ko, qeemat 1.27241 tak pohanchi magar is ke upar nahi tik payi. Is se ek wapas aane ka silsila shuru hua, aur qeemat 1.2737 ke qareeb band hui. Is qeemat ke amal ke bawajood, maine Budh ke liye ek kami ki taraf girawat ka intezar kiya jo ke 1.26815 tak girne ki umeed thi. Yeh tajwez theek sabit hua jab qeemat din bhar mein girti rahi aur 1.26815 ke qareeb band hui.Aaj, meri umeed hai ke qeemat kam az kam support level 1.27315 ko test karegi. Agar yeh is level ke neeche gir jaye, toh qeemat girte hue band ho sakti hai aur 1.27273 ke neeche band ho sakti hai. Yeh bear aur bull ke darmiyan mukhya jung ke maqame ka masla hai. Is ke bawajood, mojooda kami ke bawajood, mukhtalif rukh abhi bhi upar ki taraf hai. Magar, agar qeemat marginal north ke neeche chalti hai aur jam jati hai, toh yeh upar ki rukh ko tor degi

GBP/USD



British pound (GBP) ko U.S. dollar (USD) ke khilaf ek setback ka samna karna pada teen din ke winning streak ke baad. Early Asian trading mein Friday ko GBP/USD lagbhag 1.2760 tak gir gaya, pehle ke haftay ki strong performance ke baad reversal dekhte hue. Ye girawat resurgent U.S. dollar ki wajah se hui. U.S. dollar index (DXY), jo major currencies ke against dollar ki strength ko measure karta hai, wapas 105.00 ke upar chala gaya. DXY ki is rise ne sab major currency pairs, including GBP/USD, ko impact kiya.

Kai factors ne U.S. dollar ke rally ko fuel kiya. Pehle, Federal Reserve ke revised economic projections ne hint diya ke 2024 ke akhir mein potential interest rate cut ho sakta hai. Kamzor-than-expected U.S. economic data ke bawajood jo Thursday ko release hui, is khabar ne dollar ko har taraf boost kiya. Is data mein higher-than-anticipated initial jobless claims ka number bhi shamil tha for the week ending June 6th, jo U.S. labor market mein potential slowdown ka izhar kar raha tha. Magar, traders ne zyada tawajju Federal Reserve ke signal par di jo possible rate cut ka tha, isse U.S. economy ke long-term prospects par confidence ka izhar samjha gaya.

Doosri taraf, pound sterling ko apne khud ke challenges ka samna tha. Speculation barh gayi ke Bank of England agle meeting mein August ya September mein interest rates cut kar sakti hai potential recession se ladne ke liye. Ye speculation us waqt zyada traction hasil kar gayi jab disappointing UK GDP data April ke liye release hui, jo stagnant economy ki taraf ishara kar rahi thi. Jabke kuch analysts ka maanna hai ke Bank of England zyada data ka intezar karegi action lene se pehle, current market sentiment pound par downward pressure daal raha hai.



Aage ka dekhte hue, GBP/USD aur gir sakta hai. Halanki pair ne recent mein two-month high of 1.2782 touch kiya, ye abhi bhi apne key moving averages (SMAs) at 1.2575 aur shayad us se bhi neechay 1.2537 par hai. Agar downward trend continue karti hai, toh GBP/USD ke liye agla potential support level 1.2465 ho sakta hai, followed by a five-month low of 1.2300. Ye scenario pound sterling ke liye ek significant drop represent karega.

Mukhtasir mein, currency market ne Friday ko fortunes ka reversal dekha. U.S. dollar strengthened revised Federal Reserve expectations ki wajah se, jabke pound ko pressure ka samna tha UK economy ke concerns ki wajah se. Ye dynamic GBP/USD mein aane wale hafton mein aur weakness ka sabab ban sakti hai, aur potential support levels play mein aa sakte hain agar downtrend persists karti hai.

GBP/USD: H4 chart par dekhtay hue GBP/USD ke liye, hum dekh sakte hain ke qeemat 1.2763-1.2815 psychological resistance level ke qareeb aur is ke upar mustahkam ho rahi hai. Ye mustahkam hona bullish trend ki taqat ko support karta hai. Yen ki musalsal kamzori bhi GBP/USD ke mazeed buland hone aur haal ki unchiyon 1.2737, 1.2749 aur 1.2754 ke qareeb pohanchne ke imkanat ko barha sakta hai. Iss bullish trend ke bawajood, main ab bhi GBP/USD ko kisi bhi bullish level par bechnay ki taraf afzal samjhta hoon. Mujhe yakeen hai ke is doran overall trend ko torne ke liye 1.2740-1.2753 support level ki taraf aik harkat zaroori hai. Ye harkat aik mumkin ulte ki isharaat ya kam az kam mojooda bullish trend mein sudhaar ka signal dena hoga.

GBP/USD ke qeemat ka mustahkam hona 1.2763-1.2815 resistance level ke qareeb suggess karta hai ke is ilaqe mein mazboot kharidari ki dilchaspi hai. Magar, ye bhi darust karta hai ke ye level mazid taur par torne mein mushkil ho sakta hai. Agar qeemat is range ke upar reh sakti hai, to ye mumkin hai ke ye bullish trend ko mazeed support karega. Traders ko is level ko qareeb se dekhna chahiye, kyun ke ye mustaqbil ki qeemat ke harkat ke liye ahem signals faraham kar sakta hai. Yen ki kamzori ek aur factor hai jo ghor karna zaroori hai. Jab yen kamzor hoti hai, to ye USD ko digar currencies ke muqable mein mazboot banata hai, shamil hai GBP. Ye taluqat GBP/USD mein mazeed bullish trend ko support kar sakta hai. Magar, yen ki taqat mein kisi tabdeeli par nazar rakhna ahem hai, kyun ke achanak ulat pher GBP/USD par manfi asar daal sakti hai.





H4 chart par GBP/USD ka mustahkam hona 1.2763-1.2815 resistance level ke qareeb aur is ke upar, bullish trend ko support karta hai. Magar, bullish levels par bechnay ki pasandeedgi aik ihtiyaat bhari approach ko dikhata hai, trend ka ulte ki isharaat ya sudhaar ka intezar karta hai. British taqat aur 1.2740-1.2753 ke ahem support levels ko nazar andaaz karna traders ke liye ahem hai taa ke wo mutaadil trading faislay kar sakein. Ye approach mojooda trend ka faida uthane ka mouqa deti hai jabke market dynamics mein kisi bhi tabdeeli ka intezar hota hai. Un logon ke liye jo GBP/USD bechna chahte hain, qeemat ko bullish levels tak pohanchne ka intezar karna ahem hai trade mein dakhil hone se pehle. In buland levels par bechna agar qeemat baad mein neeche ki taraf jaati hai to munafa ke imkanat ko barha sakta hai. Khaaskar, 1.2740-1.2753 support level ki taraf harkat overall trend mein kamzori ka aham peshgoi hai.

GBP/USD TRADING DISCUSSION
Outlook on Daily Timeframe:

GBP/USD kal, ek aur neeche se upar ki taraf tesing ke baad sthaaniya resistance level par, jo ke meri marking ke mutabiq 1.28000 par waqai hai, qeemat ko palat diya gaya aur bharosemandi se dakhil hone ke natayej mein aik puri bearish candle bani, jo ek andar ki mombatti ke shakal mein candle combination band hui. Main poori tarah se tasleem karta hoon ke bechne wale aaj dikhai gayi kamzori ka faida utha sakte hain, aur is surat mein woh support level par bandooq rakhne ka iraada karte hain, jo ke meri marking ke mutabiq 1.26878 par ya support level par hai, jo ke 1.26340 par waqai hai. In support levels ke qareeb halat ke husool ke do mansoobay ho sakte hain. Pehla intehai mansooba, aik murnay wale mombatti ka banne se jura hai aur upar ki taraf qeemat ki dobara shuru hone ka aghaz. Agar ye mansooba kaam karti hai, to main qeemat ka intezar karonga ke woh resistance level tak wapas jaaye, jo ke 1.28000 par waqai hai. Agar qeemat is resistance level ke ooper fix hoti hai, to main mazeed shumali raftar ki taraf ka intezar karonga, takreeban resistance level tak, jo ke 1.28938 par waqai hai. Is resistance level ke qareeb main trading setup ka intezar karonga, jo trading ke mazeed rukh ka taein karnay mein madad karega. Beshak, main tasleem karta hoon ke jab qeemat nirdhaarit door ke shumali maqasid ki taraf jaati hai, to janubi wapas chakratain bhi ban sakti hain, jo ke wo istemal karne ka mansooba karte hain najdiki support levels se bullish signals ki talaash mein, mazeed izaafa ki tawaqo ke sath, global bullish trend ke shakal mein dobara uthaar ke liye.

Qeemat ke harakat ka doosra rasta jab support level 1.26878 ya support level 1.26340 ko test karna ho, to qeemat ka niche yeh plan ban sakta hai ke qeemat in levels ke neeche jam jaye aur mazeed janubi raftar se chale. Agar ye mansooba kaam karta hai, to main qeemat ka intezar karonga ke woh support level tak pohanchti hai, jo ke 1.25694 par waqai hai. Main is support level ke qareeb bullish signals ki talaash jari rakhoonga, mazeed upar ki taraf qeemat ke husool ke intezar mein. Amooman, chand lafzon mein kahen to aaj main maqami tor par tasleem karta hoon ke qeemat najdiki support level ki taraf janib tajwez ki ja sakti hai, aur phir, mojooda shumali trend ko madde nazar rakhtay hue, wo bullish signals ki talaash mein honge, qeemat ke upar ki taraf dobara raftar ki tawaqo ke sath.

GBP/USD D-1 Timeframe Tafteesh:
Koshish taqat ka izafa karna pehle se dekhi ja rahi hai. Main iraada karta hoon ke 1.2760 ke darja ko toorna intezar karunga, uske baad izafa jaari reh sakta hai. America ke session mein, 1.2810 ke darja ko toorna aur is ke ooper mazbooti se jamana mumkin hai, jo lambi positions kholne ka ishaara hoga. Agar 1.2815 ke darja ko toorna aur qeemat is ke neeche jam jaaye, to yeh mazeed farokht ke liye tasdeeqi ishaara hoga. 1.2685 ke darja ko toorna aur is ke neeche jamana qeemat ke girne ka ishaara hoga. Magar, 1.2685 ke darja tak halki tanseekh ke baad, mustaqil izafa ki umeed hai. 1.2815 ke darja ko toorna aur is ke ooper jamana qeemat ke mazeed izafe ka ishaara dega. Izafay ke liye maqsad darja 1.2815 hoga, jahan resistance mojood hai. Agar mojooda qeematien mazeed barh rahi hain, to yeh kharidne ka ishaara hoga. Yeh mumkin hai ke 1.2820 ke darja ko toorna aur is ke ooper jamana, jo mazeed lambi positions kholne ka ishaara hoga. Halankeh, pehle se kaafi tanseekh ki kami nazar aayi hai, jo kharidari kholne ke liye ache sharaait peda karta hai. Magar agar hum 1.2899 ke darja tak pohanchne ke baad upar ka koi taraqqi nahi dekhte, to aise scenario mein harkat ka ulta hone ki mumkinat ke sath bearish trend ke liye tayyari karna maqsad bana sakta hai. 1.271 ke darja tak girne par trend tanseekh karega, aur aise scenario mein chhoti muddat ke liye tayyari karna wajib hai, shayad 1.2667 ke darja ke neeche bhi, phir support level par 1.2627 tak. Yeh waqiyat ke taraqqi ke liye aik mumkin manzar hai.

H4 Hour Time Frame Tafteesh:
Meri tajziya ke mutabiq is haftay ke darmiyan GbpUsd market mein jo surat-e-haal dekhi gayi, woh darasl ab bhi ek neechay ki tanseekh ka ishaara lagta hai, kal raat qeemat mein shandar izafa hua aur qareeb qeemat ke had tak pohanch gaya, jaisa ke ab nazar aa raha hai candlestick neeche chali gayi hai. Yeh bhi bearish candlestick ke banne se dekha ja sakta hai. Market ki surat-e-haal ke mutabiq, yeh ab bhi Uptrend ki taraf jaari hai, main dekh raha hoon ke candlestick ab kharidaron ke control mein chal rahi hai ya phir market ki surat-e-haal pichle maheenay jaisi hai. Haftawar aur mahinay ke time frame par bullish candlestick bani hai, jo ke meri raay mein qeematen oopar ki taraf ja rahi hain. Abhi tak bullishness jaari rakhne ke liye kaafi jagah hai, raat tak izafa ka imkaan hai.

Haftay ke shuru mein market ne apna qeemat ka safar 1.2716 darje se shuru kiya, qeemat ab 1.2859 ke darje tak Uptrend mein chal rahi hai. Agar hum 4 ghanton ka time frame dekhein, to abhi qeemat 100 simple moving average zone ke oopar chal rahi hai. Darasl, agar hum 4 ghanton ke time frame par market ki harkat ki tareekh dekhein, to lagta hai ke kharidaron ka ab bhi control hai. Aaj kharidaron se kharidne ke liye tawaqo ki ja rahi hai taake qeemat ko oopar le jaayein.

Haftay ke shuru se lagta hai ke kharidaroun ka support hai jo qeemat ko Uptrend zone ke zariye aage badhne mein madad kar sakta hai taake 1.2858 ke darje tak pohanchne ka imkaan ho. Agar kharidar qeemat ko 1.2872 ke zone se guzarwa sakein, to is se technical tor par trend ke jaari rehne ke imkaanat barh jayenge. Ek trading plan ke liye, mujhe lagta hai ke Kharidari ka option ab bhi bohot ahem hai. Raat ko America ke session shuru hone se pehle Uptrend ka imkaan hai, lekin meri raay mein bearish market ka intizaar karne ke liye backup plan zaroori hai.