GBP USD Analysis
Is hafte, America mein kafi ahem maloomat jaari ki jayegi. Isi wajah se dollar ko girne ka ziada mauqa milega. Afsoos ke sath, haal hi mein America ki data consistent tor par mayoos kun rahe hain. Ye mayoosi itni hai ke moolati bunyadi se pehlu dollar ko mazeed farokht se bacha nahi sakta. Ye qabil e zikar hai ke Federal Reserve ne pehli monetary policy easing ka waqt baar baar taal diya hai. Zayada durust honay ke liye, bazaar hamesha umeedwar hai ke Federal Reserve rate-cutting cycle ko bohot jaldi shuru kar de. Isliye, kehna ke bazaar hi apni faislon aur umeedon ka ilzam hai, jo baar baar ghalat sabit hotay hain.
Magar, jahan zaroorat hai wahan sha'oor dena bhi zaroori hai. Jabke bazaar ke hissadwar baar baar ghaltiyaan karte hain, unho ne bas apni ghaltiyon ko nazar andaz kar dena faisla kiya hai. Dosri baat, dollar abhi uthna chahiye kyunke March aur June mein Federal Reserve ke rate cuts ki umeedain puri nahi hui hain. Magar, bazaar bas is haqiqat par dawat nahi deta aur dollar ko is bunyad par nahi khareed raha hai. Is tarah, aik lambe arse tak dollar gir raha hai kyunke har koi March mein rate cut ka intezar kar raha tha, aur ab ye nahi uth raha hai kyunke bazaar lagta hai ke is factor ko andha kar raha hai.
Isliye, America ke data is hafte ka main tawajjo ka markaz honge. Agar ye mayoos kun sabit hote hain, jaise pehla report is hafte thi, to dollar se mazeed girawat ke siwa aur kuch umeed nahi rah jayegi.
Ek takneeki lehaz se, sab kuch 4 ghantay ke waqt frame mein zyada se zyada qabil-e-paish hai. 4 ghantay ke chart par, oopri rukh jaari hai, aur moving average ke neeche band hone par zyada kuch nahi keh sakta. Rukh kisi dharayi jaati nahi hai, agar bechne ke signals bante hain bhi. Isliye, traders jo sirf takneeki bunyad par trade karte hain, wo British pound ko khareedna jari rakh sakte hain. GBP/USD ki aam darusti guftagu pichle paanch trading dino mein 69 pips hai. Ye jori ke liye aam qeemat hai. Aaj, hum umeed karte hain ke GBP/USD 1.2719 aur 1.2857 ke darajon ke darmiyan maeeshat karega. Zyada linear regression channel neeche ki taraf ishaarah kar raha hai, jo ke ek neeche ki rukh ki taraf ishaarah hai. CCI indicator ne May mein teen dafa oversold area mein dakhil hua, aur British currency ne naye fasl ki shuruwat ki. Magar, ye durust karna pehle hi khatam ho gaya tha. GBP/USD jori oopar hi trading jaari hai. Pound uthne ka zariya bana bhi jab koi wajah na ho. Aur jab hoti bhi hai, to umeed se zyada izaafi uthao nikalta hai. Magar, hum ab bhi neeche ki harekaton ka intezar karte hain, lekin British currency ke maujooda behuda uthaane ke saath, humay shayad lambi muddat tak intezaar karna padega. Chhoti positions zyada ahmiyat rakhti hain, kyunke zyadatar factors neeche ki taraf ishaarah kar rahe hain. Isliye, agar qeemat moving average ke neeche jama hoti hai to aap jodi ko bechne ka intezar kar sakte hain, nishanaat 1.2665 aur 1.2604 par, lekin sirf agar qeemat takneeki tajziya par mabni hoti hai ya agar is haftay ke America ke reports kamzor sabit hotay hain. Aur agar aap sirf takneeki tajziya par trade karte hain ya agar is haftay ke America ke reports kamzor sabit hotay hain.
Is hafte, America mein kafi ahem maloomat jaari ki jayegi. Isi wajah se dollar ko girne ka ziada mauqa milega. Afsoos ke sath, haal hi mein America ki data consistent tor par mayoos kun rahe hain. Ye mayoosi itni hai ke moolati bunyadi se pehlu dollar ko mazeed farokht se bacha nahi sakta. Ye qabil e zikar hai ke Federal Reserve ne pehli monetary policy easing ka waqt baar baar taal diya hai. Zayada durust honay ke liye, bazaar hamesha umeedwar hai ke Federal Reserve rate-cutting cycle ko bohot jaldi shuru kar de. Isliye, kehna ke bazaar hi apni faislon aur umeedon ka ilzam hai, jo baar baar ghalat sabit hotay hain.
Magar, jahan zaroorat hai wahan sha'oor dena bhi zaroori hai. Jabke bazaar ke hissadwar baar baar ghaltiyaan karte hain, unho ne bas apni ghaltiyon ko nazar andaz kar dena faisla kiya hai. Dosri baat, dollar abhi uthna chahiye kyunke March aur June mein Federal Reserve ke rate cuts ki umeedain puri nahi hui hain. Magar, bazaar bas is haqiqat par dawat nahi deta aur dollar ko is bunyad par nahi khareed raha hai. Is tarah, aik lambe arse tak dollar gir raha hai kyunke har koi March mein rate cut ka intezar kar raha tha, aur ab ye nahi uth raha hai kyunke bazaar lagta hai ke is factor ko andha kar raha hai.
Isliye, America ke data is hafte ka main tawajjo ka markaz honge. Agar ye mayoos kun sabit hote hain, jaise pehla report is hafte thi, to dollar se mazeed girawat ke siwa aur kuch umeed nahi rah jayegi.
Ek takneeki lehaz se, sab kuch 4 ghantay ke waqt frame mein zyada se zyada qabil-e-paish hai. 4 ghantay ke chart par, oopri rukh jaari hai, aur moving average ke neeche band hone par zyada kuch nahi keh sakta. Rukh kisi dharayi jaati nahi hai, agar bechne ke signals bante hain bhi. Isliye, traders jo sirf takneeki bunyad par trade karte hain, wo British pound ko khareedna jari rakh sakte hain. GBP/USD ki aam darusti guftagu pichle paanch trading dino mein 69 pips hai. Ye jori ke liye aam qeemat hai. Aaj, hum umeed karte hain ke GBP/USD 1.2719 aur 1.2857 ke darajon ke darmiyan maeeshat karega. Zyada linear regression channel neeche ki taraf ishaarah kar raha hai, jo ke ek neeche ki rukh ki taraf ishaarah hai. CCI indicator ne May mein teen dafa oversold area mein dakhil hua, aur British currency ne naye fasl ki shuruwat ki. Magar, ye durust karna pehle hi khatam ho gaya tha. GBP/USD jori oopar hi trading jaari hai. Pound uthne ka zariya bana bhi jab koi wajah na ho. Aur jab hoti bhi hai, to umeed se zyada izaafi uthao nikalta hai. Magar, hum ab bhi neeche ki harekaton ka intezar karte hain, lekin British currency ke maujooda behuda uthaane ke saath, humay shayad lambi muddat tak intezaar karna padega. Chhoti positions zyada ahmiyat rakhti hain, kyunke zyadatar factors neeche ki taraf ishaarah kar rahe hain. Isliye, agar qeemat moving average ke neeche jama hoti hai to aap jodi ko bechne ka intezar kar sakte hain, nishanaat 1.2665 aur 1.2604 par, lekin sirf agar qeemat takneeki tajziya par mabni hoti hai ya agar is haftay ke America ke reports kamzor sabit hotay hain. Aur agar aap sirf takneeki tajziya par trade karte hain ya agar is haftay ke America ke reports kamzor sabit hotay hain.
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