Pichli Jumeraat ko British pound (GBP) aur US dollar (USD) ke darmiyan ek rollercoaster safar ka samna hua. Early Asian trading mein GBP/USD pair lagbhag 1.2525 tak chadha, jo ke ek paanch mahine ke record niche (1.2445) se wapas aya tha. Yeh chadhao Bank of England (BoE) ki policy meeting mein ek dovish stance ke baad aya, jis ne market ko hairat mein daal diya. BoE ne 5.25% interest rates ko barqarar rakha, jo unka chhatta musalsal hold tha.
Lekin, unhon ne agle mahine interest rates mein kami ki sambhavna par ishara kiya, agar inflation apni neeche ki rah par chalti rahe. Governor Bailey ne June mein interest rate kam karne ki sambhavna ko tasleem kiya lekin yeh bhi kaha ke yeh sab kuch inflation, ma'ashi fa'alat, aur rozgar market ke data par depend karega. BoE ka yeh dovish shift shuru mein pound ko izafa kar raha tha, lekin mustaqbil ke liye dabao dal diya. UK mein interest rates kam hone ki sambhavna dollar ke muqable mein pound ko kamzor kar sakti hai, jo ke GBP/USD pair ke faide ko mehdood kar sakta hai. Is peshgoi mein aur complexity ko jodte hue, San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly ke comments ne US Federal Reserve ke plans par shak ka saya dala. Daly ne buland inflation uncertainty aur is ke muqable mein mustaqbil ke current interest rates ke lambay dor ki zaroorat ke bare mein pareshani zahir ki. BoE aur Fed ke darmiyan policy stance mein mukhtalifiat ka yeh tanaza pound par aur dabao dal sakta hai.
Pehle ke faide ke bawajood, GBP/USD pair ne ahem technical resistance levels ko paar karne mein mushkilat ka samna kiya. Pair ne pehle 200-day moving average ko guzara lekin 50-day moving average aur March se qaim ki gayi downtrend line ko torne mein nakam raha. Yeh technical weakness April ke support level 1.2405 ki taraf ek potential pullback ka ishara karta hai. Mazeed girawat ke doran pair apni paanch mahine ki kamzor support 1.2298 ko dobara test kar sakta hai, jabke is area ke neeche girne se November 2023 ka support level 1.2186 khul sakta hai.
Lekin, pound ke liye abhi bhi umeed hai. Dobara kharidari ka dabao pair ko downtrend line ke upar le ja sakta hai, jo April-May resistance zone 1.2564 ki taraf nishana ban sakta hai. Is area ke ahmiyat se guzar jaane se 1.2632 ke qareeb potential turning point ka rasta khul sakta hai. Is hurdle ko paar karne se April ki buland taqat 1.2708 ko bhi challenge kar sakti hai.
Kul mila kar, GBP/USD pair mukhtalif raftarat ka samna kar raha hai. BoE ka dovish stance aur Fed ke sath policy mein mukhtalifiat pound ke liye mushkilat paida karte hain. Lekin, technical indicators ahem resistance levels ko paar karne ki umeed ko ishara dete hain. Aane wale dinon mein GBP/USD ka qareebi rukh tay karna ahem hoga.
Lekin, unhon ne agle mahine interest rates mein kami ki sambhavna par ishara kiya, agar inflation apni neeche ki rah par chalti rahe. Governor Bailey ne June mein interest rate kam karne ki sambhavna ko tasleem kiya lekin yeh bhi kaha ke yeh sab kuch inflation, ma'ashi fa'alat, aur rozgar market ke data par depend karega. BoE ka yeh dovish shift shuru mein pound ko izafa kar raha tha, lekin mustaqbil ke liye dabao dal diya. UK mein interest rates kam hone ki sambhavna dollar ke muqable mein pound ko kamzor kar sakti hai, jo ke GBP/USD pair ke faide ko mehdood kar sakta hai. Is peshgoi mein aur complexity ko jodte hue, San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly ke comments ne US Federal Reserve ke plans par shak ka saya dala. Daly ne buland inflation uncertainty aur is ke muqable mein mustaqbil ke current interest rates ke lambay dor ki zaroorat ke bare mein pareshani zahir ki. BoE aur Fed ke darmiyan policy stance mein mukhtalifiat ka yeh tanaza pound par aur dabao dal sakta hai.
Pehle ke faide ke bawajood, GBP/USD pair ne ahem technical resistance levels ko paar karne mein mushkilat ka samna kiya. Pair ne pehle 200-day moving average ko guzara lekin 50-day moving average aur March se qaim ki gayi downtrend line ko torne mein nakam raha. Yeh technical weakness April ke support level 1.2405 ki taraf ek potential pullback ka ishara karta hai. Mazeed girawat ke doran pair apni paanch mahine ki kamzor support 1.2298 ko dobara test kar sakta hai, jabke is area ke neeche girne se November 2023 ka support level 1.2186 khul sakta hai.
Lekin, pound ke liye abhi bhi umeed hai. Dobara kharidari ka dabao pair ko downtrend line ke upar le ja sakta hai, jo April-May resistance zone 1.2564 ki taraf nishana ban sakta hai. Is area ke ahmiyat se guzar jaane se 1.2632 ke qareeb potential turning point ka rasta khul sakta hai. Is hurdle ko paar karne se April ki buland taqat 1.2708 ko bhi challenge kar sakti hai.
Kul mila kar, GBP/USD pair mukhtalif raftarat ka samna kar raha hai. BoE ka dovish stance aur Fed ke sath policy mein mukhtalifiat pound ke liye mushkilat paida karte hain. Lekin, technical indicators ahem resistance levels ko paar karne ki umeed ko ishara dete hain. Aane wale dinon mein GBP/USD ka qareebi rukh tay karna ahem hoga.
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