𝐆𝐁𝐏/𝐔𝐒𝐃

British Pound (GBP) ab aakhri teen dinon se American Dollar (USD) ke khilaaf gira hua hai. Thursday ke Asian session ke mutabiq, GBP/USD pair ne 1.2490 ka aham level chhoo liya hai. Ye giravat Bank of England (BoE) ke interest rate faislay ke agle pehlu se aati hai, jo ke 5.25% par ghair tabdeeli ke taur par muntakhib hone ka tajzia hai. Pehle to, investors ne September mein BoE ke interest rate mein kami ki mumkinah guftagu ki thi. Magar, UK mein izaafay dar maahiyat ki wajah se ye guftagu taakhir se guzar gayi hai. Mazboot urooj ki braber saalana tanazur dar to maahiyat ko barhata hai, jo BoE ka ahem inflation nazar andaz hai, magar ye bhi interest rate mein kami ki taizi ko kam kar deta hai. Halankeh, saalana inflation ki sharah ne March mein 3.2% se 3.4% tak kami darj ki, lekin ye 3.1% ke market ke expectations ko barh gayi. Ye September 2021 se kam tar inflation ki sharah hai. Samundari saahil se, US Federal Reserve bhi seemit hai. Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari ne haal hi mein ishara kiya ke interest rate mukhtalif muddaton tak barqarar rehne ki sambhavna hai. GBP/USD familiar range 1.2488-1.2892 ke andar apni jagah hasil karne ke liye larh raha hai. 1.2500 ka nafsiyati rukh nebar kiya gaya hai. Asal mein, pair ne Tuesday ko 1.2405 par naye low par gira, jo November 2023 se sabse kamzor nukta tha.
GBP/USD ka chand taqazay ke mutabiq short-term outlook udaas hai, jab tak ye ahem technical level - descending channel - aur 50-day moving average jo ke 1.2655 par hai, ko paar nahi kar leta. Technical indicators bhi zyada umeed nahi dete. Simple moving average ki kamzori aur 20-day aur 200-day averages ke darmiyan ghata hua farq aik umeed afroz tasveer ko paint karte hain ke aik uptrend reversal mumkin nahi hai. Magar, agar 1.2655 ke upar tezi aai to, to focus 1.2700-1.2740 ke taraf badal sakta hai. Agar bulls apni momentum ko barqarar rakhte hain to, woh shayad support trend line ke qareeb paimaish ke record daromadain ke daromadain se larte hain jo 1.2820 ke aas paas bana hai. Ye GBP/USD ke liye aik ahem fatah ho gi.

Market dynamics mein ek numaya tabdeeli dekhi gayi hai, jahan keematain peechlay resistance level se neeche gir gayi hain. Lekin, yeh maqam itna hai ke yeh movement aik u-turn ka ishaara ho sakta hai, peechlay resistance ab mukhtalif halat mein madad kar sakta hai. Aane waala Fed meeting, jo 1.2645 ke qareeb hone wala hai, ahem ahmiyat rakhta hai aur bohot zyada market sentiment ko asar andaaz ho sakta hai. Yeh waqia DCT (Direct Cash Transfer) ko mazid tight karne ka sabab ban sakta hai, jis se GBP currency ki qeemat mein kamStable Reverse Trade 1.2500 ke upar: Agar keemat 1.2500 ke upar ek stable reverse trade banati hai, to yeh bearish scenari to traders at which price the asset tends to encounter selling interest. A move above 1.25390 for the GBP/USD pair signifies a bullish momentum, which could potentially lead traders towards further



upward movement. A successful breach of the resistance level may prompt traders to reevaluate their positions and await opportunities for higher o ko rok sakta hai aur currency pair ki recovery ka raasta kholai ho sakti hai. Aise tajurbaat area ka kaam karta hai, aur isay pur sukoon tor par paar karna potential bearish momentum ka ishaara hoga. Magar, mazeed girne se pehle, humein 1.2493 se lekar 1.25kamzori aur 20-day aur 200-day averages ke darmiyan ghata hua farq aik umeed afroz tasveer ko paint karte hain ke aik uptrend reversal mumkin nahi hai. Magar, agar 1.2655 ke upar tezi aai to, to focus 1.2700-1.2740 ke taraf badal sakta hai. Agar bulls apni momentum ko barqarar rakhte hain to, woh shayad support trend line ke qareeb paimaish ke record daromadain ke63 tak range mein consolidationdoosre maali instruments par bhi asar andaaz ho sakte hain.

trading ki duniya mein, GBP/USD pair haal hi mein bullish note par khatam hua, jahan keematain 1.26222 mark ki mazboot resistance level ki taraf istiqamat se chadh rahi thin. Ye upward trajectory mera tajziya ka markazi nuqta tha, jisme bazaar ki harkaton ka andaza lagane mein bohot ahmiyat thi. Magar, Tuesday ke unfold hone wale waqiyat meri pehle ki tajziyat se sakht mukhtalif the, jab ke bazaar ne ek ghayr muta kiya, jis ne 1.24661 ke muqami supp Abhi hum GBP/USD currency pair ki pricing movements ka tajziya kar rahe hain. Hamara tawajjo haftawar ki chart par hai, jis mein kali trend lines se darust ki gayi tangi ka formation hai. GBP/USD ne 1.2576 aur 1.2747 ke darmiyan ek tight price range ke




andar tabdeel hote hue dekha gaya hai, jisme koi wazeh rukh nahi hai. Dono bullish aur bearish koshishen muntazirort ko test kiya. Ek bounce ke baad, din ke ikhtitaam tak ek bearish candle ban gaya, jismein ek numaya janoobi saaya tha. Jab ke najar andaz karte hue ke nazdeek ki resistance ki taraf ek correctional price rollback ki sambhavna hai, main khareedne ki position ka tajziya karne se pehle ek zyada wazeh bullish signal ka intezar kar raha hoon. Aaj, mera tawajjo crucial support level par hai jo 1.24661 ke aas paas hai, jis ke atraaf do mumkinah scenarios samne aa sakte hain. Pehla scenario ek reversal candle pattern ke hawale se hai jo upward momentum ki dobala jari hone ki alamat deta hai. Agar yeh scenario haqeeqat mein banta hai, toh main intezar karonga ke keemat ko 1.25694 ya 1.26340 resistance levels ko dobara test karnewaqqi toor par mod liya. GBP/USD pair ka bullish closure traders ke liye umeedon bhara ishara tha, jo ke upward trend ka potential jaari rehne ki alamat thi. Keematain mazbooti se 1.26222 ke mukhya resistance level ki taraf istiqamat se buland hoti gayin, jisse bazaar ke shirkat daron ne mazeed faiday ke liye intizaar kiya. Ye upward movement na sirf khud mein ahmiyat rakhta tha balkay mustaqbil ke trading strategies ko tay karte waqt ek ehmiyat hai data point bhi tha.

GBP/USD Pair: Unexpected Resurgence Sparks Market Volatility


Introduction

Hal halat ki trading session mein, GBP/USD pair ne aik ghair mutawaqa tor par phir se numaya tor par barhao dekha, jis ka kal ka performance ek ahem izaafa darust karta hai. Jese daily H1 timeframe chart par dikhaya gaya hai, yeh pair aik ahem resistance level tak pohanch gaya jo ke 1.2548 par mojood hai. Yeh izaafa Fibonacci retracement level ke saath milta hai, jo ke price movement ko mazeed ahmiyat deta hai.

Barhne Wala Momentum

Is barhne wale momentum ke natije mein, market ki tawajju pair ke neeche ki raah mein barhne ki mumkin raah par mabni hai. Agar aisa ho to, to yeh barhne wala scenario ka ishaara hai ke GBP/USD pair ko ahem resistance mark ke neeche consolidation ka dor dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Yeh na sirf haal ki gains ko majmooa karay ga balkay mojooda bearish sentiment ko mazeed mazboot karay ga.

Market Monitoring

Traders aur analysts barabar ke monitor kar rahe hain, aur support zone ke breach ka intezar kar rahe hain. Agar yeh breach hota hai, to yeh ek ahem tabdili market dynamics mein la sakta hai, aur mazeed downside movement ke raste ko khol sakta hai. Khaas taur par, support zone ka nazar rakhha ja raha hai, kyun ke iska breach barhne wale selling pressure ka ishaara hoga aur ek mustaqil downtrend ka rasta kholega.

Caution Amidst Uncertainty

Hal ke barhne wale momentum ke bawajood, market ki raay ehtiyaat bhari rehti hai, aur bohot se investors mazeed downside risks ke ehtiyaat mand hain. GBP/USD pair ke mojooda momentum ko barqarar rakhna aur ahem resistance levels ko paar karne ki iski salahiyat iska future rukh tay karne mein khaas ahmiyat rakhti hai. Duniya bhar ke maqami ma'ashi shorishat aur siyasi halat ke mutaliq naqabil-e-tasalsul halat mein, market shiraaqat ke mawqay par ehtiyaat aur tawajju ke sath trading strategies ko apnane ki salahiyat rakhti hai.

Conclusion

Kul mila kar, kal ke ghair mutawaqa barhne wale momentum ne GBP/USD pair mein taza shorishat paida ki hain. Halanki pair ne aik ahem resistance level tak pohanch gaya, lekin mazeed downtrend ki taraf wapas jaane ki bohot si tayyariyan ki ja rahi hain. Traders ko price movements aur ahem support levels ko barqarar rakhne ki salahiyat rakhi jaati hai, jab ke woh mojooda trading mahol ke complexities ka saamna karte hain.

GBP USD Ka Nazriya Takneeki Tajziya:
(CCI) Dainik timeframe par 100 ke neeche seedha chal raha hai, jo ek mazboot chhad ke baad qeemat ki jamawar harkat ka aitmaad karata hai. H4 mein, CCI bhi ek mushaba pattern dikhata hai. Ye dikhata hai keh halaankay umeedwar tehreek abhi bhi mojood hai, lekin qareeb aane wale mustaqbil mein qeemat ki jamawar ho sakti hai. Moving Average Oscillator (OsMA) abhi bhi dainik timeframe par 0 ke oopar hai, lekin girne ki nishandahi karta hai, jabke H4 par yeh 0 ke oopar hai aur abhi tak mazboot nazar aata hai. Ye dikhata hai keh chand signs ka hona moh lik hai lekin bull trend abhi bhi kaafi mazboot hai. Inn tamam factors ko mad-e-nazar rakhte hue, lagta hai keh qeemat mein izafa ke liye abhi bhi maumalat hain. Umeed hai keh is peer ki qeemat ki harkat mazeed barh sakti hai. Magar qareeb aane wale mustaqbil mein qeemat ki islah ya jamawar hone ki mumkinat par mutaasir rahein. Is ke ilawa, maaliyat policy, aalam-e-maeeshat aur market ka jazba bhi ghor se sochna zaroori hai. Iske alawa, kamyabi ke liye achi khatra nigrani bhi ahem hai. Hamesha yaad rakhein keh apne trading plan ke mutabiq stop-loss aur take-profit darj karen, aur transaction karte waqt jazbaat mein na aayein. Aghlabzari maeeshati sharaa'it mein, lachaktay pan aur tabdeeliyon ke liye tayyar rehna ahem hai.







Aakhri doran par Dainik time frame par Simple Moving Average (SMA) 20 ke oopar hai, aur H4 mein bhi qeemat SMA 20 ke oopar hai. Ye dikhata hai keh bull trend ka jari rakhne ke liye kafi taaqat hai. Iske alawa, Stochastic indicator Dainik timeframe par upar ki taraf ek cross ki potential dikhata hai, aur H4 par bhi upar ki taraf cross hone ki mumkinat hai, jis se dikhaya jata hai keh upar ki taraf kaafi mazboot tehreek hai.

Agar aglay trading haftay mein GBPUSD currency pair ke liye dekhein toh dekhein kya dekha jata hai aur kis had tak ghotao ho sakta hai, sab se ahem baat yeh hai ke koi flat na ho aur quotes price chart par active tarah se move karein, aur sach kehne ka maqsad hai, mujhe kis raaste mein enter karna hai aur kahan bechna hai, British currency ke mutabiq, apke "Barber" trading method ke mutabiq. Yeh acha hai jab aap exact taur par jante hain ke kahan enter karna hai aur kahan exit karna hai, aur is situation mein aap kitna faida aur kitna nuksan kar sakte hain.
Aam tor par, agar hum koi qayaas lagayein, toh main mazeed downward movement ka intezar kar raha hoon price chart par, kyun ke downward trend mein koi rukawat nahi hai, dollar saaf tor par pound se zyada taqatwar hai, isliye jab tak downward trend mein koi rukawat nahi hoti, pullback se sales kaam mein rehte hain, jo ke south ki taraf teen-wave structure kaam kar sakte hain aur level 1.2375 aur 1.2330 tak pohanch sakte hain, lekin yeh sirf meri guftagu hai.

Ab tak, price ne aakhri hafte ke price range ke darmiyan qareeban band kiya hai, isliye agle raaste ka tay karna mushkil hai, aur shayad zaroori bhi nahi hai. Agar woh price tag girate hain aur trend bears se ladte hain, jahan price bilkul ab hai, toh phir H4 par chhota HyP ka shak ho sakta hai. Is surat mein, price support zone 1.2448 - 1.2471 tak giray gi, agar bears is zone ko paar karte hain aur iske andar jam jate hain, toh giravat bohot zyada mumkin hai. Halankeh woh price tag shayad dobara upward se is zone se 1.2448 - 1.2471 se utha dein.Aam tor par, agar hum koi qayaas lagayein, toh main mazeed downward movement ka intezar kar raha hoon price chart par, kyun ke downward trend mein koi rukawat nahi hai, dollar saaf tor par pound se zyada taqatwar hai, isliye jab tak downward trend mein koi rukawat nahi hoti, pullback se sales kaam mein rehte hain, jo ke south ki taraf teen-wave structure kaam kar sakte hain aur level 1.2375 aur 1.2330 tak pohanch sakte hain, lekin yeh sirf meri guftagu hai.

Forex Dynamics ke Zariye GBP/USD Ke Prices

Abhi, hum GBP/USD currency pair ke qeemat ke harkat ko tajziya karne par tawajjo derahe hain. Humara tawajjo haftawar ki chart par hai, jisme siyah trend lines se mark ki gayi ek tangai shakal hai. GBP/USD ne 1.2576 aur 1.2747 ke darmiyan tang qeemat ke range ke andar exchange ki hai, jisme koi wazeh rukh nahi hai. Dono taraf ki koshishain hosakti hain, lekin jodi ne phir se is range mein wapas aana hai. Hum ek had mein moving average ko torne mein kuch rukawat ka intezar karte hain, lekin hum ek doorbeen aur upri had tak 1.2800 ke qareeb ke test ki tawaqo karte hain, jo pound khareedne ka foran mashwara deta hai. Maaliyat se mutaliq achi khabrein hone ke bawajood, humein aashcharya hua ke GBP/USD jhoom nahi saka, jo ke ek chhoti si tezi se pehle izafa tha, phir US trading ke waqt girawat ke doran gir gaya. Hum haftay ke doran unchi time frames par tawajjo dete hain, jin mein 1.2600 ke level par zyada tawajjo hai, jo sale ke liye zaroori hai.







Kharidar ye level torne ki koshish karne ki koshish karenge, jabke farokht karne wale mukhafeefi karenge. Haalankay pehle toh ek rukawat thi, jab 1.2600 se farokht ke volume se ek tezi aai, lekin mazeed khareedari humein hairan kiya, jo farokht ko band karna aur foran khareedari ke darwaze kholne ko zaroori banaya. Magar humein abhi bhi apni khareedari ko amal mein lana hai, jo 1.26 ke qareeb tay hai.
Isi tarah, hamari farokhtain mukammal tor par nahi hue hain, jis se ek ahem flat trend ka nateeja nikla hai. Hamari farokhtain abhi bhi 1.26 ke neeche hain, aur is waqt ke liye 1.2370 ka nishana hai, jisme mazeed tajziya ka intezar hai, mukhtalif 1.2200 ke taraf tawajjo di ja sakti hai. Agar 1.2600 ke oopar ek breakthrough aur mohuwat hone ke sath ek farokht hone lage, toh hum apni farokhtain mansookh kardenge, jisme tasleeh ke nishane 1.2370 aur 1.2200 ke liye set kiye jayenge.

GBPUSD: Bullish 1.2500 ke nafsiyati level ke oopar, 1.2570, 1.2600 aur 1.2660 ke hadafat ki taraf
1.2500 ke neeche giraavat ki surat mein, hadafat 1.2430 aur 1.2360 par

Pound dollar jodi ne trading week ko 1.2521 ke darje par band kiya tha baad mein 1.2501 ke darje par ek bottom set kiya. Jodi ne kal giraavati keemati dynamics ikhtiyaar kiye the. Is waqt, hum dekh sakte hain ke Relative Strength Index 50.00 ke darje ke neeche hai, jo dawat de raha hai ke keematen giraavat ki taraf muddi hain. Hum dekh sakte hain ke Relative Strength Index ne neeche muddi hai, jo ke achchi nishanein de raha hai ke pound dollar bears aane waale doron mein keemat par qabza kar lenge. Agar keemate is tarah se giren, toh main 1.2500 ke gird se giravat ka intezar karta hoon. Aise manzar par keemate 1.2430 ke darje tak gir sakti hain. Is level ke upar se guzar jane se jodi nuksan ko lamba kar degi jahan mumkin hadafat 1.2400 ke nafsiyati darja ke qareeb hongi. Dosri taraf, keemat 1.2570 ke darje se oopar uth sakti hai, jo ke saflta se guzarta hai toh 1.2600 ke nafsiyati darja ko nazar andaz karega. Is level ke neeche, keematen 1.2630 ka hadaf banayengi, jo ke 1.2630 ki dar se age chal kar 1.2630 tak ja sakti hain.






4 ghante ki trading diagram par, hum dekhte hain ke Relative Strength Index rozana 1.2506 ke darje par nichle hote hue uth raha hai. Relative Strength Index ne neeche muddi hai, jo ke giraavat ki surat mein achchi alamaat hai. Agar keemat 1.2500 ke darje ke neeche gir jaye, toh giraavati keemat ki harkat zyadatar nafsiyati darje 1.2400 ya 1.2380 ki taraf gir sakti hai. Is level ke neeche, dilchaspi ke agle darje 1.2350 hain, jo ke 1.2330 ke darje ke saath hain. Magar agar keemat phir se 1.2500 ke nafsiyati darja ke oopar uth jaye, toh jodi nuksan ko lamba kar degi, shayad 1.2660 ke darje ko hadaf banayegi. Mazeed agay barhne se bulls 1.2700 ke nafsiyati darja ko talashenge, aur shayad 1.2750. Chalo dekhte hain ke aane wale trading dinon mein kya hota hai.

British Pound (GBP) ne Jumeraat ko Asian trading session mein aik rollercoaster safar ka samna kiya. Shuru mein, UK ke pehle mahine ka GDP data se mutaliq musbat khabrein Pound ko taqwiyat di. GDP mein taqreeban 0.6% ke izafa ka achaanak izhar 0.4% ke izafe ki tawakalat ko peechay chor diya aur pichle quarter ke 0.3% girawat se numaya taraqqi ki alamat thi. Ye musbat iqtisadi maalumaat ne GBP/USD jori ko kareeb 1.2540 tak buland kiya. Magar, Bank of England (BOE) ka faisla ke interest rates ko 5.25% par qaim rakhne ka shandaar pehlu tha. Jab Governor Andrew Bailey ne "aglay mahine" mein darj karne ki mumkinat ko tasleem kiya, to unki hifazati dabao par inflasion, iqtisadi faaliat aur karobar ke maamlat ka ghor karne se pehle faisla karne ka zikr mushtaqi paida kiya. Future mein interest rates ke kat'o ki sambhawna Pound ko maalis tarjeeh se behtar roi talab karne walay investors ke liye kamzor banati hai, jo USD ke mutabiq currency par neeche ki dabaav daalti hai. Intehai Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) ka shuruati reading May ke liye University of Michigan se aik thori si kami ka imkan hai. Ye index US mein consumer opinion ko jaanchne ke liye personal finance, employment conditions aur kharidari ki umeedon par surveyon ke zariye pesh karta hai. Jab ke ek kam CCI reading ehtiyaati dharakta hai, wahan USD ke technical indicators thori mukhtalif tasveer paint karte hain.

Stochastic oscillator, aik technical analysis ka tool, ek pehle ke support level ko nazdeek pahunch sakta hai, jo USD ke upar kiya gaya raftar mein rukawat ka sabab ban sakta hai. Isi tarah, relative strength index (RSI) jo ke 30 ke qareeb hai, ishara deta hai ke USD zyada bech diya ja sakta hai, jise chand lamha karidar khareed sakte hain. Magar, ek mazboot USD ke liye, analysts ka kehna hai ke keemat ko neeche aate hue trend channel aur 50-day moving average jo ke mojooda 1.2655 par hai ko toorna hoga. Technical front par, Pound ko mushkilat ka saamna hai. Iske simple moving average ki kamzori aur 20-day aur 200-day moving averages ke darmiyan tang doori ek agle trend ke liye momentum ki kami ka ishara deti hai. Magar, agar GBP/USD jori 1.2655 ke darja ko paar kar sake, toh woh 1.2700-1.2740 zone ki taraf manzil ko rukh kar sakti hai. Aage nikalne par, shayad hi ek aur surge pandemic lows ke qareeb 1.2820 darje ke aspaas aik support line ke liye challenge kar sake. Ikhtataam mein, Pound ki nazar mein aik na-qabil-e-taayun rehti hai. Jabke musbat GDP data ne aik waqtanawi taraqqi di, toh BOE ke interest rates par intezar-o-araazi ka mizaj aur US consumer confidence mein mumkin kamzori aik paicheeda manzar banate hain. Technical indicators USD ke dominance mein rukawat ka ishara dete hain, magar aik mustaqil GBP ki izaafaat par asar daalne ke liye khas resistance levels ko paar karna aur uparward momentum ko wapas hasil karna zaroori hai.

GBPUSD Jori ki Takniki Tahlil
4 ghanton ka chart

Keemat ab haftawar ki satah par 1.2460 ke support level ke ooper trading kar rahi hai, jis par pehle bhi keemat ne rebound kiya tha.

Isi waqt, keemat ne 4 ghanton ke chart par price channels ko tor diya hai
Isliye, humein jori ka girawat ke liye aik signal hai, jo ke price channels ke torne se numaya hai.


Humare paas yeh bhi hai ke keemat uparward trend mein lautne ki koshish kar rahi hai, jab keemat ko 1.2460 satah se support mil raha hai.

Isliye, jori par trader ko apne trades mein dakhli tasdeeq ki zaroorat hoti hai, kyun ke mujhe yakeen hai ke jo bhi jori kharidna chahta hai woh jori ko kharidne ke liye dakhli kar sakta hai jab keemat pehle mombatti ki highest keemat ko tor de.

Jo bhi jori ko bechna chahta hai woh keemat ko 1.2460 ke support level ko torne ka intezar kar sakta hai aur iske neeche ek ghante tak trade kar sakta hai.

Iqtisadi tor par, jori ki keemat ka girawat Bank of England ke sub se ahem event se pehle aata hai, jo ke Bank of England ki anounecment hai. Bank of England is mulaaqat mein interest rates ko cut karne ka ihtimal kam hai, lekin tawajjo hai ke June mein interest rates ko cut karne ka ishara hoga.
Yeh mumkin hai ke kam tanqeedi hosla faisla ke baad afakaar phir se sehat yaab karein.

Credit Agricole ke mutabiq: "Pound ke keemat ne peechle hafte kuch farokht ke dilchaspi ke saamne aai, jis mein forex technical signals par mushtamil algorithmic trading flows ke zariye chalne wale flows ka sab se zyada hissa tha. Humari FX flow data companies aur asli maal investors se aane wale inflows aur banks aur hedge funds se aane wale outflows ko dekhta hai. "Aam tor par, pound sterling ki keemat oversold zone mein rehti hai."


Doosre darje par. Mangal ke din taqreer mein, Minneapolis Federal Reserve Bank ke President Kashkari ne kaha ke inflation ko kam karne mein kiye gaye progress ko rukawat dekhne ke liye abhi waqt hai. US interest rate ko barhane ki mumkinat ke baray mein unki guftagu ke doraan, unho ne tajwez diya. "Mujhe ye sab se zyada mumkin manzar nahi hai, lekin mein isko bhi nahi rad kar sakta," unho ne kaha, "Mujhe lagta hai ke humein uncha karne ke liye jo bar hai woh bohot zyada hai, lekin iska koi inteha nahi hai." "Hum ko kehne par had hoti hai: Theek hai." "Hum ko zyada koshish karne ki zaroorat hai."

GBP/USD currency pair ab aik uroojati sudhar ka samna kar raha hai. Main umeed karta hoon ke yeh sudhar izafa ke rukh ki taraf le jayega jo ke 1.2561 aur 1.2589 ke resistance levels ki taraf ja raha hai. Jab keemat is ilaqe tak pohanch jaye gi, to main ek ulta palat, yaani ke neechay ki raah ka ishara expect karta hoon, jo ke neechay ke harkat ka jari rehna dikhata hai. Is surat mein, mera target support level 1.2394 hai, jahan ek mukhtalif naqshay ke neechay aur neeche ke tawazun ki surat mein, 1.2329 kee tarf lamba ho sakta hai agar yeh support ke dabaav mein rahay. Meri strategy selling positions ko pehle deta hai jab tak keemat MA 46 moving average ke neeche rahe. Magar agar is moving average level par koi wapas ho, to ye selling positions ka ahmiyat ko waqai mein kam kar sakta hai.






Taraqqi pasand traders ke liye jo zyada ehtiyaat pasand tareeqay se kaam karna pasand karte hain, main 1.2490 ke neeche farokht ka tawassut denay ka sujhav deta hoon.

Ek mukhalif surat mein, agar keemat 1.2632 ke level ke ooper mazboot ho jati hai, to yeh thahrav market dynamics mein tabdeeli ka ishara ho sakta hai, mojooda neechay ka rukh badal sakta hai.

Mukhtasir taur par, meri tajziya sirf GBP/USD jori mein farokht ke mojooda imkaanat par mabni hai, jahan ahem resistance aur support levels meri trading decisions ko rahnumai karte hain. Main mojooda market ki jazbaat aur keemat ke amal mein kisi bhi tabdeeli ka khayal rakhta hoon jo mojooda trend mein tabdeeli ka ishara kar sakta hai. Is liye, mojooda keemat ke ilaqe mein, farokht transactions ko karna mumkin hoga aur 3rd impulse downward wave ko istemal karke kam karne ka koshish karna hoga, jo ke dakshin ki taraf mukhrooj hoga, jahan takhfeef ke targets ko kam kiya jayega 1.2375 aur 1.2330 ke darje pe, jahan yeh jodi keemat chart par acha munafa hasil karne ke liye koshish karenge.

British pound ne positive ma'ashiyati data ke bais US dollar ke khilaf apni position ko mazboot kiya. UK ke Daftar e Qaumi Shumaray ne 2024 ke pehle saal ke darmiyan GDP mein mazid izafa darust kiya jo ke 0.6% tha, jo ke pehle saal ke tanazzuli ko muthalik palat ke badla. Ye musbat khabrein GBP/USD jodi ko 1.2298 ke paanch mah ke kamzor tareen ko shara'f kara diya. Magar, pound ke faide muaqay the. Aham 200 din ke mutaqqi aur neeche ke 50 din ke mooving average ko paar karne ke bawajood, jodi ko 50 din ke average ke upar uthane mein nakami ka samna karna para aur jiski wajah se March se moqoof ek ahem downtrend line ke neeche gir gaya. Ye technical kamzori ne nichle janib ke khatrey ki isharaat dikhayi. Agar farokht ka dabaav jaari rahe to qeemat April ke 1.2405 ke support level ko dobara taqseem kar sakti hai, aur mazeed girawat pehle saal ke 1.2298 ke kamzor tareen ko choo sakti hai. Is ahem ilaake ke neeche se guzarna is ahem shanaakht e November 2023 ke 1.2186 ko bhi khol sakta hai.

Dusri taraf, agar kharidari ki taraf aane wale aur keemat ko neeche ki downtrend line ke upar dhakelne wale, to shuruati rukawat April-May ki 1.2564 ke rukhane dar hawala se hogi. Is rukawat ko paar karne se ek mumkin waqti moad ki taraf rukh kiya ja sakta hai jo ke 1.2632 ke aas paas ho sakti hai. Mazeed izafa karne ki koshishain us waqt bhi samne mushkilat ka saamna kar sakti hai jab April ki uchti ko 1.2708 pe pohanchti hai. Baray paimane par ghoor karne par, rozana ka chart ek pareshani anghoti shakl ko zaahir karta hai. GBP/USD ek H&S (Head and Shoulders) chart shakal ke gardish mein rehta hai, jo aam tor par ek bearish palat ko ishara karta hai. Ye naqsh mid-April mein numaya hua jab pound neckline ko neeche gira aur jahan 14 maheenay ka Relative Strength Index (RSI) 40 aur 60 ke darmiyan hai, jo ke bazaar ke shirakat daron ke darmiyan beikhtiyarai ko zahir karta hai, jo GBP/USD ki qareebi rukh ke beghair tay hai. Aam tor par, GBPUSD ke doraan kuch akhri sessions mein zameen khoo raha hai is wajah se keh is ne 50 din ka SMA waapas nahi le sakta. Is liye, mukhtasir taur par tasveer ko behtar banane ke liye, jodi ko is wakt se pehle jo ke March se neeche ke un ke pechay se milte hain, unke darmiyan jo ke ek tang trendline se guzarna hoga, tootna hoga.

GBP/USD Pair Ki Takneeki Tafteesh
GBP/USD pair ki asli trend taqreeban bullish hai, halankeh mojooda keemat ke movement dono Moving Average lines ke neeche hai. Ye is liye hai ke 50 EMA abhi tak 200 SMA ke neeche nahi gira hai, jo ke aik bearish trend ki nishandahi karta hai. Khaas tor par haal hil ke upward correction, jo ke FR 50 at 1.2595 ko paar kar chuka hai, ab FR 61.8 at 1.2665 ke qareeb hai, jo ke aik supply area ke saath milta hai. Magar, ye correction, jo ke FR 50 se FR 61.8 tak hai, aik mukammal retracement ko dikhata hai, jo ke neechay ki rally ki dobara shuruat ki nishandahi kar sakta hai. Jab tak keemat FR 32.8 at 1.2521 aur Moving Average lines ke ooper nahi chadhti, tab tak FR 61.8 at 1.2665 aur 1.2706 se 1.2648 ke darmiyan ek supply area ki taraf correction ka imkaan hai.

RSI Indicator (14) Se Hal Ka Mulyaankan

Maujooda momentum ko RSI indicator (14) se mulyaankan karte hue, lagta hai ke downtrend ka momentum kam hota ja raha hai, 50 level ki taraf qareeb hota ja raha hai aur oversold zone (30-20) mein wapas nahi ja raha hai. Agar RSI 50 level ko paar kar bhi lekin overbought zone (70-80) tak nahi pohanchta, to uptrend ka momentum tasdeeq nahi kiya ja sakta, khaaskar jab ke keemat ke volume ka izafa 1.2298 se 1.2633 tak RSI ko 50 level se khaas tor par guzar nahi gaya hai. Is tarah, mojooda momentum bearish rehta hai, jo darmiyan term mein keemat mein girawat ka imkaan dikhata hai.

Aane wale haftay ke trading plans mein, maqsoodah keemat ke movement ko FR 32.8 at 1.2521 aur FR 23.6 at 1.2438 ke aas paas dekhna munasib hai. Misal ke taur par, agar keemat FR 23.6 at 1.2438 ke neeche rehti hai, to SELL position shuru karne ka ghor karna chahiye, jis ka maqsad 1.2298 hai. Mutasir tor par, agar keemat FR 32.8 at 1.2521 aur Moving Average lines ko paar karti hai, to BUY position shuru karne ka ghor karna munasib ho sakta hai, jis ka maqsad FR 61.8 at 1.2665 aur supply area 1.2706 se 1.2648 ke darmiyan rakha ja sakta hai. RSI indicator (14) ko abhi ke halat mein 50 level ke ird gird ki bandishon ke sabab temporarily ignore kiya ja raha hai, kyunke ye momentum ki taraf wazeh nahi kar raha.

chand se kam hai, wo silsila girne ka imkaan hai. Is haftay mein, pair ki qeemat chart par dikhaye gaye qeemat channels ke andar trade hui, jisme se ek laal rang mein bullish hai aur pichle haftay ke dauran qeemat ka bewaqoof liya gaya, aur doosra neela hai jo ke ek taraf dekhta hai.Qeemat ko haftay ke shuru mein support mila aur haftay ki resistence tak pahunch gayi 1.2586, aur aap ki line ke qareeb upar wala blue channel hai. Is se qeemat mein girawat aayi, jab red channel toota aur girne ka silsila jaari raha haftay ki pivot level tak 1.2442, jo ke qeemat ko buland hone ka sahara diya. Jaise hi qeemat pichle chand ki qeemat ke darjah tak pahunchti hai, phir se neeche girti hai, haftay ki pivot level ke qareeb pahunch kar, jo ke qeemat ko torhne mein kamyabi hasil karne ka imkaan hai aur haftay ki support level tak girne ka jari raha hai 1.2345.



GBPUSD currency pair US dollar ka signal ka intizar kar raha hai. Mujhe yaqeen hai ke signal neechay ki taraf ka hoga. Forum ne pehle hi mulaaqat ka agenda mukammal taur par mubahisa kiya hai, ab sirf thori dair intezaar karna hai. Technical tor par, trading daily pivot level - 1.2512 ke neeche shuru hui aur din bhar usay test karne ki koshish nahi ki gayi. Daily ATR mein abhi bhi hareef hai, aur neeche 1.2465; 1.2436; 1.2407 par support levels hain. Ahem baat hai ke hum naye mahine ki shuruat mein hain. Maheenay ke timeframe par trend ke koi wazeh nishan nahi hain. Is liye, bina bunyadi tahlil ke koi durust mansooba nahi banaya ja sakta. Nagmaani tor par, mein girawat ka intezar kar raha hoon.GBPUSD ke daily chart par, sachai ko batate hue, mein samjha tha ke dollar FOMC ki mulaqat ke baad barh jayega, lekin lagta hai trend line se bounce ka signal ab bhi qaim hai. Magar ab iske izafi taraqqi mein thora sa shak hai. Powell ne kal inflaishan aur mazdoori market data ki ahmiyat ko rate faislo ke liye buland daba karaya. Ab, Jumeraat ke statistics US mazdoori market par bazaar ke liye ziada ehamiat hasil kar rahe hain. Dollar ka muqaddar aur hamara girne wala signal wahan tay hoga.

GBPUSD pair ki mukhya trend abhi bhi bullish hai, haalanki mojooda keemat 50 EMA aur 200 SMA dono ke nichay hai. Ye isliye hai kyun ke 50 EMA abhi tak 200 SMA ke neeche cross nahi hua hai, jo ke ek bearish trend ki nishaandahi dete hain. Khaas tor par, haal hi mein upward correction, jo 1.2595 par FR 50 ko guzar gaya, ab FR 61.8 ke qareeb 1.2665 par hai, jo ke ek supply area ke saath milta hai. Magar, ye correction, jo FR 50 se FR 61.8 tak phaila hai, aik mukammal retracement ki nishani hai, jis se neeche ki rally ko dobara shuru hone ki alaamat ho sakti hai. Jab tak keemat FR 32.8 par 1.2521 aur Moving Average lines ke ooper nahi chadhti, tab tak abhi bhi correction ke liye maqboliyat hai FR 61.8 par 1.2665 aur supply area ke darmiyan 1.2706 aur 1.2648.

Maujooda momentum ko RSI indicator (14) se tajziye se zahir hota hai ke downtrend ki tezi kamzor hoti ja rahi hai, 50 level ke qareeb ja rahi hai aur oversold zone (30-20) mein wapas jaane ke bina mazid consolidate ho rahi hai. Agar RSI 50 level ko paar kar bhi leta hai magar overbought zone (70-80) tak nahi pohanchta hai, to uptrend ki tezi ko tasdeeq nahi kiya ja sakta, kyun ke 1.2298 se 1.2633 tak keemat mein volume ka izafa RSI ko 50 level ke ooper khas nahi kar paya hai. Is tarah, maujooda momentum bearish hai, jo medium term mein keemat mein mukammal giravat ki sambhavna ko darust karta hai.

Agley haftay ke trading plans mein, maqboliyat hai ke FR 32.8 par 1.2521 aur FR 23.6 par 1.2438 ke qareeb keemat ke harkaton ka nazar rakha jaaye. Misal ke taur par, agar keemat FR 23.6 par 1.2438 ke neeche rehti hai, to SELL position ka aghaz karne ke sath nishana 1.2298 ka tasavur kiya ja sakta hai. Ulta, agar keemat FR 32.8 par 1.2521 aur Moving Average lines ke ooper chadhti hai, to BUY position ka aghaz karne ke sath nishana FR 61.8 par 1.2665 aur supply area ke darmiyan 1.2706 aur 1.2648 ka tasavur kiya ja sakta hai. RSI indicator (14) ko mojooda consolidation ke aas paas temporarily bahaal rakha jaaye, kyun ke ye momentum ke rukh ke mutalliq wazeh nahi karta.