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  • #196 Collapse

    GBP/USD 1.2400 ke qareeb kamzor rehta hai, early Friday ko, paanch mahinay ke nichey mojood. UK ki rozana dukandari farokht ke data mixed thay aur is joray ki kamzori mein izafa hua. Middle East mein khatraat ke barhne se rukhsat pair pe asar dikhaya.
    GBP/USD daily chart bearish hogaya jab pair 22 November 2023 ke swing low se neeche gira, 1.2448 tak, jo 1.2400 ki nishaan dahi karta hai. Darust ke zahir hone ke baad bhi kharid'dar thoda sa zameen hasil karne mein kamyab rahe, lekin daily chart ke taaza chaar mombatiyan dikhate hain ke kharid'dari dabao 1.2480/90 area ke qareeb barh raha hai. Agar pair 1.2400 ke neeche girta hai to mazeed nuqsaan baaqi rehta hai. Agla ahem support level November 17 daily low 1.2374 hoga, phir November 10 low 1.2187 ke baad.

    Dosri taraf, agar kharid'dar 1.2500 ko wapas lete hain, to sudhaar ke liye dekhein, lekin unhein 200-day moving average (DMA) 1.2575 par barhna hoga, jab ke pound sterling practically US dollar ke saath darmiyanawi North American session mein flat hai. Lekin koi tabdeeli nahi ki gayi hai. United Kingdom (UK) mein ek qadeemi economic docket agar Bank of England (BoE) ke ahem rukh ki intikhaab na ho. Kayi Federal Reserve officials ghatein dar rate par sabar ki mantra goonde ja rahe hain. GBP/USD 1.2456 par trade ho raha hai, lagbhag flat.

    Aham data mein Philadelphia Fed manufacturing index shamil hai, jo intehai izafa kiya, 15.5 par barh kar, modest tawaqo 1.5 se bohot zyada. Housing market mein, U.S. existing home sales mahiney bhar mein 4.3% gir gayi, 4.19 million se 4.38 million tak, 4.2 million ke tawaqo se bohot kam.

    Buniyadi peymane par nazar dalte hue, traders tawaqo rakhte hain ke Fed early 2024 mein sirf do rate ghata sake, mutawaqqa chhe mahine ke bajaaye. To agar BoE Fed ke agay rate ghata de to, GBP/USD pair neeche ja sakta hai..


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    • <a href="https://www.instaforex.org/ru/?x=ruforum">InstaForex</a>
    • #197 Collapse

      Haal hi mein United States ki saalana tanzeemati data riport ne ek numaya izafa zahir kiya, lekin EURUSD jodi ko critical 1.0800 ke oopar wapas dair nahi ho saka. Balki, isne 1.0700 tak giravat dekhi. Abhi, muqabla 1.0727 ke qareeb support ke qarib jaama hai, jahan keemaat mein kisi khas tabdeeli ki kami hai. Mojudah bearish trend mazid zor rakhta hai, khaaskar EMA 50 ne SMA 200 ke neeche chala gaya hai, jise ek death cross kehte hain, jo market mein bechne walon ki dominance ko izhar karta hai.

      Mustamil downtrend EURUSD jodi ke trading dynamics mein bikri ki dominance ka wazeh hona dikhata hai. Magar, Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ko qareeb se dekha gaya to ek halke se tabadla zahir hota hai. Histogram volume gir raha hai aur zero ke ahem darje tak pohanch raha hai. Ye ishara deta hai ke downtrend ke momentum mein dhirey dhirey kami ho rahi hai. Ye manzar khareedarin ke liye ek mumkin mauqa pesh karta hai ke wo control le sakte hain aur keemat ko oopar le jaane ka intehai irada kar sakte hain, 1.0756 ya EMA 50 jaise levalon ko nishana banate hue. Magar, is koshish ka kamyabi pe kai factors par mabni hai.

      Pehli baat to market ke jazbat ka khayal rakhna zaroori hai. Traders aham tanzeemi data jaise ke muddai afreedi ke sharah aur maaliyat ke faislon ki nigehbani kar rahe hain, jo ke jazbati lehje ko kisi taraf le jane ki sakti rakhte hain. In ilaqon mein kisi bhi ghair mutawaqqa tabdeeliyon ke asar mein market dynamics mein sakht shifts ho sakti hain.

      Dusri baat, geopolitical factors ka khayal rakhna zaroori hai. Eurozone ya United States ke darmiyan chal rahe tanaza ya taraqqiyan khudara kisi invester ki yakin ko mutasir kar sakti hain aur baad mein EURUSD jodi ke rukh par asar dal sakti hain. Iske alawa, takneeki tahlil market trends aur umooman ruko ke zahir hone ki mazeed maloomat hasil karne mein eham hai. Traders ta’alluqat ke ilawa, muamlaat ke any indicators jese ke Relative Strength Index (RSI) ya Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) ka bhi tehqiq kar sakte hain.

      Aakhir mein, jab EURUSD jodi aaj bhi nichley dabao ka samna kar rahi hai, to kamzor hotay hue momentum ki nishaniyan ek mumkin mauqa bata rahi hain ke khareedarin ko aik comeback karne ka irada kar sakte hain. Magar, is ka natija mukhtalif ma’asharti, geopolitical, aur takneeki factors pe mabni hai jo market dynamics ko barqarar rakhne hain. Traders ko ehtiyaat aur hoshyari kaar amal karte hue is ghair yaqeeni mauqe par safar karna chahiye. Click image for larger version

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      • #198 Collapse

        EUR/USD kal market mein aik ulta waqea dekha gaya, jab keemat pehle zara neeche mur kar piche hui phir taqatwar bullish momentum ke zor se oopar ko dhaaka mila. Is ne complete bullish correction candle ki shakal banai jo 1.06561 ke resistance level ke upar band hui. Taqreeban keemat ke upward movement ka jari rehne ka imkaan hai aaj, jahan keemat mukhtalif resistance level par test karne ke liye tayar ho sakti hai. Is resistance level ke qareeb do mukhtalif scenarios ho sakte hain.

        Pehla scenario ye hai ke reversal candle ki shakal ban sakti hai, jo neeche ki taraf bearish trend ki phir se shuru hone ki ishaarat deti hai. Is surat mein keemat wapas support level 1.06011 ki taraf laut sakti hai. Agar keemat is support level ke neeche consolidate hoti hai, to mazeed neeche ki taraf ki movement ke liye tayyar rehna chahiye, jo shayad support level 1.05211 ki taraf muntazim ho sakti hai. Is level par, traders ek trading setup ke banne ka intezaar kar sakte hain, jo agle trading direction ko maloom karne mein madad karega. Magar, is ke ilawa ek lambi neeche ki taraf ki movement ka bhi imkaan hai jo 1.04482 ke door southern target par muntazim hai, is par keemat ke targets aur as paas ke market conditions ke reaction par munhasir hai.

        Doosri taraf, aik mukhtalif scenario dekhne ko mil sakti hai ke keemat 1.07246 ke resistance level ke upar consolidate hoti hai aur apna upward trend jaari rakhti hai. Is surat mein, keemat resistance levels 1.07913 ya 1.08643 ki taraf chal sakti hai. In resistance levels ke qareeb, traders ko aik mukhtalif reversal candle formation ka intezar karna chahiye jo market direction mein mukhtalif lehron ki taraf ishaarat karta hai.


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        Aam tor par, haalat ke tajziya neki ke mutabiq EUR/USD pair mein aik correctiv rise dekha gaya hai, jise shayad qareeb wale resistance level tak pohonchnay se pehle neeche ki taraf ikhtiyari mor aana ki umeed hai, mojooda bearish trend ko mad e nazar rakhtay hue.

        Market dynamics ko ab tak Federal Reserve Chief Jerome Powell ke taqreerun ne mutasir kiya hai, jinhon ne June mein interest rates kam karne se inkar ka izhar kiya hai Amerika mein inflation ke lehaz se pareshani hone ki wajah se. Ye ba European Central Bank ke rukh ke mutabiq hai, jo shayad June mein interest rates kam karne ka faisla karega, doonon ilaqon ke darmiyan maliyat ke policies mein ikhtilaf peda karte hue. Ye buniyadi pehlu EUR/USD pair mein neeche ki taraf ek movement ko support karta hai, jabke haal ki upar ki raftar ko ek temporary correction ke tor par dekha jata hai.

        Trading signals ke lehaz se, aham mouka pechlay European session ke doran 5-minute timeframe par paaya gaya tha. Keemat ne 1.0611-1.0618 ke range se phir se chalang lagayi, jise 1.0668 ke level ko guzar kar kaamyabi hasil hui. Ye qadam naye traders ke liye long positions khulne ka aik acha moqa tha, jo lagbhag 40 pips ka munafa laya. 1.0668 ke level ke upar rakhna mazeed long positions ke liye consider kiya ja sakta hai, lekin ye ahem hai ke mojooda uthao sirf correctiv hai.

        Akhri wada, EUR/USD market mein ek reverse pattern dekha gaya, jisme ya to bearish continuity ya phir chand der ka bullish correction nazar aata hai. Traders ko numaya resistance aur support levels ke nigrani mein rakhna chahiye, sath hi market ko asar andaz hone wale buniyadi factors ko bhi mad e nazar rakhte hue informed trading decisions leni chahiye foreign exchange market mein.
           
        • #199 Collapse

          Sab logon! EURUSD currency pair ka chart ka tajziya. Kal, jab ke ek halki kami ke baad, prices ne palat kar uttar ki taraf badhne wale mazboot impulse se upar ki taraf badha aur ek mukammal bullish correction candle ban gaya jo mere nishan ke mutabiq 1.0656 ke resistance level ke upar band hua. Moujooda halat mein, mein ye samajhta hoon ke aaj ke din price mazeed badhne wala hai aur 1.0725 ke mirror resistance level ki taraf jaega. Is resistance level ke baare mein do mumkin scenarios hain. Pehla scenario ye hai ke ek reversal candle banega aur ek downtrend jaari rahega. Agar ye scenario hota hai, to hum prices ko dobara 1.0601 ke support level ki taraf lautte dekh sakte hain. Agar price is support level ke neeche jaata hai, to mein ek move south ki taraf ki umeed rakhta hoon 1.0521 ke support level tak. Is support level ke aas paas, mein ek trading setup ki formation ka aane waala hai jo trading direction ka taayun karne mein madad karega. Zaroor, mere nishan ke mutabiq mein ek move ki taraf dekh raha hoon 1.0448 ke door south target ki taraf, lekin yahan mujhe situation ka moolyaankan karna hoga aur price action ka reaction noted distant southern target ke direction mein dekhna hoga.


          Dusri taraf, jab hum 1.0725 ke resistance level ke qareeb pahunchenge, to ek alternative price action scenario ye ho sakta hai ke price is level ke upar consolidate ho aur aage badhe. Humein umeed hai ke price 1.0791 ya 1.0864 ke resistance level ki taraf badhne wala hai. Is situation mein, recovery ke signs ke liye tayyar rehna zaroori hai. Amooman aur mukhtasaran, aaj ke din mein ye assumption rakhta hoon ke corrective rise jaari rahega aur price nearest resistance level ki taraf badhne wala hai, jahan se mein southern signal ki talash karunga jo overall downward trend ko madde nazar rakhte hue.


          Mukhtasaran, aaj ke trading session ke liye, mein yeh umeed rakhta hoon ke corrective rise jaari rahega, jise karake price nearest resistance level ki taraf jaega. Mein market ke evolve hone wale conditions ke maddhe pesh laaye jaane par trading strategy ko adjust karne ka raaye rakhunga. Ikhtitam mein, traders ko flexibility banaye rakhne aur market dynamics ke badalte hue marahil par tawajjo deni chahiye takay trading opportunities ko maximize kiya ja sake. Agahi rakhne aur takneeki tajziya istemal karne se, traders maqool faislay kar sakte hain jo unke trading objectvies ke mutabiq hote hain. Trading mein khush rahiye aur aaj ke trading session mein shamil hone wale sabhi shakhsiyaton ko behtari ki umeed hai.

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          • #200 Collapse

            EUR/USD pair ne apna aizafa jari rakhte hue Thursday ko starting mein 1.0685 ke qareeb rehna jari rakha. Yeh pair ke bounce ko US Dollar Index ke 105.80 ke qareeb girne se support mila. Is lekin ke bawajood, EUR/USD pair ka aage ka potential mehdood ho sakta hai kyun ke market Euro ke khilaf US dollar ke muqablay mein interest rates kam karne ka ECB ka faisla anjaam dene ki umeed rakhti hai.

            Takneekan, EUR/USD pair technical tor par apne bearish nazariye ko barqarar rakhta hai chunancha yeh main pair kisi bhi taqatwar 100-period exponential moving average ke neeche hai. Magar, relative strength index (RSI) 55 ke qareeb bullish territory mein hai, jo zahir karta hai ke mazeed aizafa mumkin hai.

            Aage dekhte hue, pair ke liye pehli rokawat shayad 50-period moving average aur 1.0700 ke aas paas ka psychological level hoga. Ek aur ahem rokawat level 100-period moving average 1.0760 par hai. Uske aage, agli mushkil 1.0800 ke psychological level par hai. Yaad rakha jana chahiye ke pichhle haftay ka candle bearish engulfing pattern banaya tha, jisse yeh samjha jata hai ke nazdeek wale muddo mein bearish ragbat hosakti hai.

            Jab ke EUR/USD pair apna aizafa 1.0700 ke neeche jari rakhta hai, US Dollar apne correction phase mein jari rakhta hai, jise behtar market sentiment ke bawajood Middle East mein mojooda geopolitical risks ke liye tawazun karta hai. ECB aur Fed ke representatives ke comments bhi market dynamics par asar andaz rehte hain.

            Kal, daily candle ne aik bullish engulfing pattern banaya, jise kehte hain ke bullish momentum jari hogi. Magar jab pair 1/2 zone 1.0686-1.06944 ke qareeb puhnchega, to ek selling pattern a sakta hai. Risk ki tadbir ke liye, munasib hoga ke thori hissa farokht 1.06445 par band kiya jaye aur break-even point par le jaya jaye. Aage ki upward raah ka aik mumkinah hai aur traders is zone par kharidne ke liye ghor kar sakte hain. 1/2 zone ke oopar band hone se mazeed munafa 1.07 aur phir haftay ke control zone tak 1.0770-1.07868 tak ka rasta kholega.

            Zawal ki taraf dekhte hue, sarfeen ke liye pehla support level 1.0650 par dekha jaye ga, uske baad ahem psychological level 1.0600 hai. 1.0600 ke neeche ghiraav USD index pe mazeed pressure dal sakta hai.

            Ikhtisar mein, EUR/USD pair rokti mehdood upri potential ke sath aab einaf jari rakhta hai ECB ke interest rate cut ki umeed ki waja se. Trader iske technical levels ko nazdeek se dekhte rahein aur dono raaston mein paltion ke liye taiyar rahein. Market mein barhti hui ghair yakeeni ek aur sanjeeda paisa dalta hai, jo risk management strategies ki zarurat ko numayan karta hai. Click image for larger version

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            • #201 Collapse

              Trading week ke ikhtitam tak, bears ne GBP/USD currency pair par significant pressure dala, jis se situation aur bhi bigar gayi aur pair ki quotes ko 1.2420 ke darje tak neeche le gaya. Ye aik ahem girawat thi, jo market mein bearish sentiment ka dominancy darust karti thi. Magar, is neeche ki harkat ke darmiyan, bulls ne aakhir mein 1.2420 ke darje par kuch resistance paya, jis se farokht ka dabao thori der ke liye ruka.
              GBP/USD pair ka safar 1.2420 ke darje tak be inteha mushkilat ke sath tha. Poori hafte ke doran, bearish momentum taraqqi kar raha tha, jise arzi tor par economic data releases, geopolitical tensions, aur market sentiment ke tabadlaat ne bhara tha. Ye factors British pound ko US dollar ke khilaf kamzor kar rahe the, jabke traders apni positions ko dobara dekh rahe the aur apne strategies ko mutabiq kar rahe the.

              Nafsiyati level 1.2420 par, bulls ne aik stand liya, be reham neeche ki momentum ko rokne ki koshish ki. Ye level pehle bhi support ka kaam karta tha, aur bulls isay mazeed girawat ke khilaf bachane ke liye tayar the. Magar, bearish pressure ke zor ka saboot mil gaya, jabke pair is point se mazeed koi ma'niati upper movement ko barqarar rakhne mein na kaamyaab raha.

              Halat ke mutabiq, GBP/USD pair aik correction ki koshish kar raha hai. Magar, yeh ahem hai ke agar aik bullish char darwaze ka candlestick na ho, to isay apni trading system ke mutabiq asal correction qarar dena pehle se zyada jaldi ho sakta hai. Candlestick patterns technical analysis mein ahem kirdar ada karte hain, market sentiment aur potential trend reversals ke bare mein qeemati insights faraham karte hain. Is liye, aik meaningful correction ke imkan ko tasdiq karne ke liye aik bullish candlestick pattern ka intezar karna mufeed ho sakta hai.

              Candlestick patterns ke ilawa, doosre technical indicators bhi market ke rukh aur momentum ke bare mein qeemati maloomat faraham kar sakte hain. Moving averages, oscillators jese ke Relative Strength Index (RSI), aur trendlines tamam traders ko trend ki taqat ka andaza karne aur potential reversal points ka pata lagane mein madad faraham kar sakte hain. Apni analysis mein mukhtalif indicators ko shamil karke, aap market dynamics ka zyada comprehensive understanding hasil kar sakte hain aur zyada mutawaazan trading decisions le sakte hain.

              Is ke ilawa, GBP/USD pair ke correction ke imkan ko tajziya karte waqt bara market context ko bhi ghor karna ahem hai. Central bank policies, macroeconomic data releases, aur geopolitical developments jese factors currency movements ko asar andaaz karte hain aur sentiment mein tabadlaat ka baais bante hain. Is liye, in factors ke mutalik maloomat hasil karna aur un ke currency pair par k asarat ke bare mein hoshyar rehna traders ke liye nihayat zaroori hai.

              Risk management bhi volatile markets jese ke GBP/USD pair mein trading karte waqt ahem hai. Potential nuqsanat ko had mein rakhne ke liye stop-loss orders lagana aur apni position sizes ko apni risk tolerance ke mutabiq manage karna aap ke capital ko mehfooz rakhne ke liye lazmi amal hain. Is ke ilawa, discipline ka qaim rehna aur apni trading plan par mustaqil rehna aap ko turbulent market conditions mein zyada kamyabi hasil karne mein madad faraham kar sakta hai.

              Ikhtitam mein, trading week ke ikhtitam tak, GBP/USD pair ko khaas taqatwar pressure ka samna tha, jisme bears ne qeemat ko 1.2420 ke darje tak neeche daba diya. Halankeh bulls ne is darje par kuch resistance diya, lekin caution aur tasdiq ka intezar karna ahem hai pehle ke isay asal correction qaraar dena se pehle. Technical indicators ka istemal karke, market dynamics ka tajziya karte hue, aur effective risk management ka amal karke, traders GBP/USD pair jese volatile markets mein zyada itminan aur kamyabi ke sath safar kar sakte hain.
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              • #202 Collapse

                GBP/USD Jodi Mein Girawat: GBP/USD jodi, jisse British pound aur US dollar ke darmiyan mudra vinimay dar ko darshane ka pramukh suchak maana jata hai, ek mahatvapurn patan ka saamna karta raha. Is girawat ka karan ek mishran tha kai factors ka. Sabse pehle, Israel aur Iran ke beech chal rahe tanaav ne badhne par market mein anishchitata aur risk se ladne ka mahol paida kiya. Ek Iranian sheher mein hone wale dhamake mein, jo ek Israeli hamle ke roop mein samjha gaya, ne vittiy vyavastha mein gudgudi bhar di. Jabki Iran ke adhikariyon ne ghatna ko kamzor karne ki koshish ki, lekin GBP/USD jodi ne $1.2388 ke naye panch mahine ka neeche ka joordar low dekha. Dusra, central bank ke adhikariyon ke tarko ne bazaar ki bhavna ko prabhavit kiya. Bank of England aur Federal Reserve, pramukh central banks, apni mudra neetiyon ke madhyam se vittiy bazaaron ko nirdeshit karne wale rahe. Chicago Fed President Goolsbee ke madhyasth stand par mahatvakaanksha, jo inflasi par ek wait-and-see approach ki sujhav di, ne US dollar ko kuch sahayata pradan ki. Is se, yah British pound ko dollar ke mukable kamzor kar diya. Teesra, UK se arthik data ne chinta janak tasveer banai. March mein ritel bikri February ke mukaable sthir rahi, ankaer ki ummeedon ko pura nahi kiya. Isne arthik swasth ke liye mahatvapurn bhatakti khapat mein kami ki suchna di. Ye khabar aur bhi GBP/USD jodi ko kamjor bana diya. In vikason ke madhyam se, videshparagamiyon ko is baat ka anuman hai ki GBP/USD ke lie pidhi jaari rahegi jab tak kharidar 1.2400 star ko fir se apne adhikar mein nahi le lete. Agar yah mahatva poorna star punarprapat nahi hota hai, to bikri niyantrit rakhne ke liye bikriyon ka vashipt rahega. Pound ka pehla suraksha rekha November 17 ki kam se kam Rs 1.2373 par hai, jiska prasar November 10 ki aur niche boolgayi 1.2187 Rs par chal raha hai.
                Dusri or, agar kharidar mandit price ko 1.2400 ke upar le jane mein safal hote hain, to ek potential uthopan maujood hai. Is sthiti mein, pehli resistance-level April 18 ki 1.2484 Rs ki unchai ho sakti hai, jo 1.2500 chintanrasha se anuvartin hai. Halaanki, ek lagatar utaar-chaad trend palatna abhee bhi asambhav hai jab tak price neechaye ke channel aur 1.2655 ki 50-deen ke chal rahi madhya meen satah ko paar nahi kar leti. Takaneeki sujaav abhi yah darshate hain ki taar ki kamjori aur 20-deen aur 200-deen chalne wale avarage ke beech ghate hue antar mein aage badhne ki maang ki kami hai. In takaneeki rukavat ko paar karana kisi bhi trend palatne ke ummid ka pramukh hota hai. Agar bhalle 1.2655 ke upar jane ki takat jama kar saken, to dhyan ko unchaiyo par 1.2750-1.2740 tak shift hoga. Ek aur unchai ki vijay sanketan rekha ko punah parikshan ki sambhavna hai jo 1.2820 ke adhikari mokadmo ke paas stansth kiya gaya tha. Halaanki, GBP/USD ke liye kaif naamni drishti sankuchit hai jab tak saaf paas ka todne ke baad utaalna aur mukhya chalne wale avarage ke stansth mein sthayitva nahi hota hota hai.

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                The heart has reasons that reason does not understand."
                • #203 Collapse

                  Mawad meekuon mein, EURUSD mein ahem durusti dekhi ja rahi hai, aik aham girawat ke baad pichle haftay. Joda ne aik teesra hissa se laykar aham giravat ka 250 pips tak girna dekha. Ye ubhair chuka hai jab ke mahi aik bedar hone ki taraf nahin le ja raha. Yeh muqam hai ke kal ke local resistance qareeb 1.0700 par ponchne ki sambhavna hai. Main sochta hoon ke aaj tak hum us manzil tak ponch sakte hain. Is se phir ultay rukh ka imkan hai. Magar pesh hai ke imranawan movement ka jaari rehna munkir hai. Main aglay objective ke rukh par fir aur us tak ponchne ka aham ho sakta hai. Bhaluus shayad us samait zyada agressive ban jayen. Agar hum us resistance ko torne mein kamyab hote hain, to rasta 1.0800 ki taraf nazr aata hai. Hamare pas trading week ke kuch din baqi hain. Trading pace kafi zyada nahi hai, is wajah se bhaluus ka kam az kam maqsad 7
                  figure mark ke oopar se rahn a aur agle haftay main aur urooj mein izafa karne ka hai.


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ID:	12916869 Mawad meekuon mein, EURUSD mein ahem durusti dekhi ja rahi hai, aik aham girawat ke baad pichle haftay. Joda ne aik teesra hissa se laykar aham giravat ka 250 pips tak girna dekha. Ye ubhair chuka hai jab ke mahi aik bedar hone ki taraf nahin le ja raha. Yeh muqam hai ke kal ke local resistance qareeb 1.0700 par ponchne ki sambhavna hai. Main sochta hoon ke aaj tak hum us manzil tak ponch sakte hain. Is se phir ultay rukh ka imkan hai. Magar pesh hai ke imranawan movement ka jaari rehna munkir hai. Main aglay objective ke rukh par fir aur us tak ponchne ka aham ho sakta hai. Bhaluus shayad us samait zyada agressive ban jayen. Agar hum us resistance ko torne mein kamyab hote hain, to rasta 1.0800 ki taraf nazr aata hai. Hamare pas trading week ke kuch din baqi hain. Trading pace kafi zyada nahi hai, is wajah se bhaluus ka kam az kam maqsad 7 figure mark ke oopar se rahn a aur agle haftay main aur urooj mein izafa karne ka hai.
                     
                  • #204 Collapse

                    Mujhe hamari baatcheet ka jaiza EUR/USD currency pair ke pricing movement ka tajziyah yaad dilane dijiye. EUR/USD "bull flag" pattern bana raha hai, jo isay 1.07 ke target level ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Lekin, yeh tay nahi hai ke pair yeh level tak pohanchega. Pair 1.0717 tak barh sakta hai, jahan triangle border ko test karega phir bearish trend-based targets ki taraf mudahana ho sakta hai. European Central Bank (ECB) ki agli meeting mein Lagarde ki european maeeshat ki hairat angez tareef ke baad potential rate kami ka samna ho sakta hai, lekin waqt abhi tuk tay nahi hai. Agar ongoing correction jari rahe, to EUR/USD mein 1.07 ya 1.0718 se bechnay ke mauqe samne aayenge. Humien ek ahem upar ka tehqiqi dor dekhne ko mil raha hai, jahan 1.0683 ke upar breakthrough hone ka ishara hai haftay ke ikhtitam tak. Euro aaj mazboot hoti ja rahi hai, shayad ECB ke afisaal ke bayanat ki wajah se. Pair ka izafa american session ke doran shuru hua, jiska shayad asiai aur european markets se support mil raha hai. Kal ke rupai mein economic news United States mein pair par asar dal sakti hai, shayad ise 1.0734 ke level tak pohnchne ka dabav banaye. Lekin, agar 1.0670 ke nichla giravat ka jhoota faa Click image for larger version

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                    ​​​​​​sh ho, to EUR/USD ke girne ka amal dubara shuru ho sakta hai, lekin yeh manzar ek mukhtara samjha jata hai. Bechne ke mauqe andeshan karne se pehle, main abhi tak 1.07 ke imtehan ka muntazir hoon, halki si tezi ke sath. Zaroori hai ke sab se pehle bullish-based targets poore hon, khaaskar 1.07-1.07140 ke darmiyan, phir hi giravat ka amal mutawajjah ho. Maqamat poore hone ke baad, main irada karti hoon pair ko 1.07 level se bechna. Lagarde ke aaj ki tone ka market par koi khas asar nahi hua, lekin main abhi tak kal ke target level ki taraf tawaju ka markaz bana raha hoon.

                    Mujhe hamari baatcheet ka jaiza EUR/USD currency pair ke pricing movement ka tajziyah yaad dilane dijiye. EUR/USD "bull flag" pattern bana raha hai, jo isay 1.07 ke target level ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Lekin, yeh tay nahi hai ke pair yeh level tak pohanchega. Pair 1.0717 tak barh sakta hai, jahan triangle border ko test karega phir bearish trend-based targets ki taraf mudahana ho sakta hai. European Central Bank (ECB) ki agli meeting mein Lagarde ki european maeeshat ki hairat angez tareef ke baad potential rate kami ka samna ho sakta hai, lekin waqt abhi tuk tay nahi hai. Agar ongoing correction jari rahe, to EUR/USD mein 1.07 ya 1.0718 se bechnay ke mauqe samne aayenge. Humien ek ahem upar ka tehqiqi dor dekhne ko mil raha hai, jahan 1.0683 ke upar breakthrough hone ka ishara hai haftay ke ikhtitam tak. Euro aaj mazboot hoti ja rahi hai, shayad ECB ke afisaal ke bayanat ki wajah se. Pair ka izafa american session ke doran shuru hua, jiska shayad asiai aur european markets se support mil raha hai. Kal ke rupai mein economic news United States mein pair par asar dal sakti hai, shayad ise 1.0734 ke level tak pohnchne ka dabav banaye. Lekin, agar 1.0670 ke nichla giravat ka jhoota faash ho, to EUR/USD ke girne ka amal dubara shuru ho sakta hai, lekin yeh manzar ek mukhtara samjha jata hai. Bechne ke mauqe andeshan karne se pehle, main abhi tak 1.07 ke imtehan ka muntazir hoon, halki si tezi ke sath. Zaroori hai ke sab se pehle bullish-based targets poore hon, khaaskar 1.07-1.07140 ke darmiyan, phir hi giravat ka amal mutawajjah ho. Maqamat poore hone ke baad, main irada karti hoon pair ko 1.07 level se bechna. Lagarde ke aaj ki tone ka market par koi khas asar nahi hua, lekin main abhi tak kal ke target level ki taraf tawaju ka markaz bana raha hoon.
                       
                    • #205 Collapse

                      GBP/USD

                      GBP/USD pair, jo British pound aur American dollar ke darmiyan currency exchange rates ka aham nishaan hai, ek ahem kami dekha. Is kami ko mukhtalif factors ki milaap se shumar kiya gaya. Pehle toh, Israel aur Iran ke darmiyan jari jangat ne barhtay hue guman aur khatra se market mein uncertainty aur risk aversion paida kiya. Ek Iranian sheher mein ek dhamaka, jo ke ek Israeli hamla maana jata hai, ne maali nizaam mein jhatke bheje. Jabke Iranian authorities ne waqiya ko kamzor karne ki koshish ki, GBP/USD pair ne naye paanch mahinay ke low level par gir kar $1.2388 tak pohanch gaya. Dusra, central bank officials ki tajaweezat ne market sentiment par asar dala. Bank of England aur Federal Reserve, leading central banks, apni monetary policies ke zariye financial markets ko guide karte hain. Chicago Fed President Goolsbee ke inflation par neutral stand ne, ek wait-and-see approach ka sujhav dete hue, kuch support dollar ko diya. Yehi wajah thi ke British pound ke muqablay mein dollar kamzor ho gaya. Teesra, UK se economic data ne fikar anghaiz tasveer pesh ki. March mein retail sales February ke muqable mein stagnant rahe aur analysts ki umeedon se kam rahe. Ye dikhata hai ke consumer spending mein izafa ki kami, jo ke ma'ashi sehat ke liye zaroori hai. Ye khabar GBP/USD pair ko mazeed kamzor kar di.

                      In tamaam haalaat ke baad, analysts ke mutabiq GBP/USD ka downtrend jari rahega agar kharidaron ko 1.2400 level vapas hasil nahi hota. Agar ye ahem level dobara hasil nahi hota, toh bechnay walay apni control ko barqarar rakhne ke liye tayyar hain. Pound ka pehla line of defense November 17 ke low level par hai, jo 1.2373 hai, phir is ke neeche November 10 ke low level par jo 1.2187 hai.

                      Doosri taraf, agar kharidaron ko qeemat ko 1.2400 ke upar le jana kaamyaab hota hai, toh is manzar par pehla resistance level April 18 ke high level par 1.2484 hoga, phir psychological barrier 1.2500. Magar, aik barqarar uptrend reversal mumkin nahi hai jab tak qeemat descending channel aur 50-day moving average jo 1.2655 hai ko paar na karle. Technical indicators abhi ek mayoos manzar pesh kar rahe hain. Simple moving average ki kamzori aur 20-day aur 200-day moving averages ke darmiyan tangi ka gap, kisi nami ko barhne ke liye momentum ki kami ka ishara hai. In technical rukawaton ko paar karna kisi bhi trend reversal ke umeedon ke liye lazmi hai. Agar bullish taaqat ko taqat milti hai ke 1.2655 ko paar karein, toh focus barhne wale levels par 1.2700-1.2740 par shift ho jayega. Mazeed upside ki kamyabi nek taur par pandemic lows ke qareeb 1.2820 ke asar trend line ko dobara test kar sakti hai. Magar, short-term outlook for GBP/USD tab tak negative rahega jab tak clear break above resistance aur key moving averages ke stabilisation na ho.
                       
                      • #206 Collapse




                        GBP/USD ki takhliqi tajziya:

                        Maweshi karobaar ke asar mein har tabdeeli ka imkan hota hai aur aaj GBP/USD jodi ki mutaharrik harkatain shaoor traders ke liye aik waaqia imtezaar hai. Markazi rang 1.2652 mein woh had hai jiska tor phir aur mutawazan honay ke baad, aham afzaish ki nishani hai. Halat mein 1.2625 ke asaasi imkan par humari position mustaqil hai, jo ke ek qadam ke baad izafa ke liye tayar hai. Is had ko paar karne ke khatir hum intizar mein hain, jo ke behtareen trading ke fauri barhao ko pesh karega. Magar maujooda manzar mein, neechay ki manipulation ka imkan dour hai khas tor par jab jodi 1.2612 ke sath apni mazbooti ka samna karti hai. Market ke tafsilat mein gahra hona, taza sudharati giravat ka aghaz chhodta hai jo ek afzayesh ke liye pakiza manzar ke bawajood raah mein ata hai. Aham nukta 1.2605 ke had par zahir hota hai, jahan ek tafseelati jaiza hai, jo humare yakeen ki mazbooti ka ek moaqqah hai.

                        Is jarah mein paida hoti hai afzaish ke beej, maqbooliyat aur wada ke manzar ke darmiyan bhi, jab market ke asar aur phir se bhahao ke darmiyan allowance milta hai, chhoti chhoti bagawat ke liye. Ek halki harkat shayad 1.2585 ke mark ke sath humari iradon ko rokne ka faisla nahi karna chahiye. Balki, yeh humare strategy ki mazbooti ka saboot hai, humari bebas wafa ke liye ek saboot hai, jo ke bazar ke toofani tufano ke darmiyan is raaste ko samajhne ke doran, zaroori hai. Phir bhi, data aur tajziya ke shor mein, aik bunyadi qanoon sab se barh kar hai: 1.26172 ke had ko paar nahi karna chahiye. Yeh hamara qila hai, yaqeen ke toofano ke khilaf ek bunyadi dhamaka, trading ke toofani daryaon mein humari positionon ko bachane ke liye.





                           
                        • #207 Collapse

                          Chaliye aaj humare chune hue sadhan ke market ke harkaat par aaj ke sahi daakhil hone ki practical salahiyaton ko dekhte hain, jo Extended Regression StopAndReverse, RSI, aur MACD ke mashhoor technical analysis ke indicators hain, jin se hum aaj sahi position mein dakhil ho sakte hain aur ek behtareen munafa hasil kar sakte hain. Jab mila hua signal mukammal tor par daryaft kiya jata hai, to hum market position se nikalne ka ek barabar munafa bhi chunte hain, jismein humein chune hue doraan ke extreme qeemat ke sath Fibonacci grid correction darje bhi madad milta hai.

                          Main GBP/USD currency pair ki qeemat ka andaza laga raha hoon. Pound mein koi numaya upar ya niche ki taraf ka koi bada harkat nahi hui hai. Haal hi mein H-4 bechne ki alamat hai ke yeh abhi tak apne mukammal imkaniyat tak nahi pohancha hai, jise main 1.2370 ke qareeb anuman lagata hoon. Halankeh yeh ek upar ki rukh ko koshish kar raha hai, lekin yeh abhi tak apne mukammal imkaniyat tak nahi pohancha hai. Halanki, abhi hum extreme qeemat se 60 points door hain, ek ahem farq hai. H-4 waqt frame ke moving average signals ke buniyad par, yeh dar asal karta hai ke pehli chart ka bar moving average signals ke buniyad par ek potenshial girawat ko darust karta hai. Is mamle mein, daily chart ke Fibonacci correction grid ke mutabiq qeemat 50% darje ke qareeb hai, jo correction grid ke girawat potenshial ke 61.8% ke mutabiq hai. Halankeh, qeemat seedhe mojooda qeemat se gir sakti hai ya waqtan-farosh taur par barh sakti hai pehle ke ek bearish trend 1.2500 ke aas paas dobara shuru hota hai, dono girawat ke do mumkin raste mein se ek.
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                          Ek girawat ke inertia mein phansne se bachne ke liye, abhi khareedari se bachi rahi hona munasib hoga. Market dynamics ek maqami choti peak update ka ishara deti hain, lekin 1-2-3 pattern ka hona zaroori hai ek minimum update ke hone ke bawajood. Aise ek industry mein lambi douran ghar barhane ke imkaaniyat chamakdaar nahi hoti agar is tarah ke fasle jari rahein. Is wajah se, mazeed wazehi ke liye intezaar karna ya bechna ka intezar karna munasib hoga, kyunke niche ki sambhavna abhi tak mukammal tor par haasil nahi hui hai. Relative strength index ghante ke waqt frame mein ek khareedari zone ko dikhata hai; lekin kuch waqt ke baad yeh manfi ho jaega. Jaise hi H-1 waqt frame par ek bechna signal dikhayi deta hai, market par ek niche ki harkat lena zyada faisla mand hoga.

                          Hamari daryaft ki gayi chart one hour time frame par hum dekhte hain ke, is waqt, pehle darja ka regression line (soni dotted line), jo sadhan ki raah dikhata hai aur mojooda trend ka haal bayan karta hai, sakht taur par niche ki taraf mukhtalif hai, jo ek kaafi mazboot trend movement ko dakhil karta hai junubi rukh. Ghair lineari regression channel (hamrah ya muwajah rangon ke line) seedha ho gaya hai aur golden upar ki taraf ki trend line ko top se bottom tak cross kar chuka hai aur ab ek junubi rukh ko dikhata hai.

                          Qeemat ne neela support line ko lineari regression channel 2-nd LevelSupLine paar kiya lekin quote ki minimum qeemat (LOW) 1.24101 tak pohanchi, uske baad is neeche girna ruk gaya aur dheere dheere barhna shuru hua. Haal hi mein, sadhan ek qeemat ke darje par 1.24495 ke daraje par trade ho raha hai. Sab se upar zikr kiye gaye sab ke sab, mujhe umeed hai ke market qeemat ke hawale se laut kar aur 2-nd LevelSupLine channel line (1.26409) ke FIBO darje ka 50% ke oopar band ho jaega aur mazeed uparward rukh hone ka, LR linear channel ki sone darja line (1.26918) tak, jo Fibo darje ka 61.8% ke sath milta hai. Ek aur argument jo dakhil hone ke liye ek tehqiq hai, woh yeh hai ke RSI (14) aur MACD indicators ke bhi yeh yah sahi hone ka tasdeeq karte hain, kyunke woh oversold zone mein hain.
                             
                          • #208 Collapse


                            GBP/USD jodi, British pound aur American dollar ke darmiyan currency exchange rates ka ahem nishan, maine giravat dekha Is giravat ka sabab ek saath ke kai factors the Pehle to, Israel aur Iran ke darmiyan chal rahi jang tez hoti gayi, jo ke market mein uncertainty aur risk se bhari hui. Ek Iranian shehar mein hone wale dhamake ko, jo ke ek Israeli hamla maana gaya, ne maali nizaam par ghabrahat ka dard paida kiya Jabke Iranian authorities ne waqiyat ko kamzor karne ki koshish ki, GBP/USD jodi ne ek naye paanch mahine ke darje $1.2388 tak gir gaya Dusra, central bank afasiron ke comments ne market sentiment par asar dala Bank of England aur Federal Reserve, aham central banks, apni maali policies ke zariye market ko rehnumai dete hain Chicago Fed President Goolsbee ka mustaqil stance inflation par, jo ke ek intezaar-o-taamul ka tajziya hai, ne kuch support faraham kiya US dollar ko Is se, British pound ko dollar ke muqable mein kamzor kar diya gaya Teesra, UK se aaye economic data ne pareshani ka manzar pesh kiya March mein retail sales February ke muqable mein thahar gaye, jo ke analyston ki tawaqqaat ko pura nahi kar sake Ye wazahat ki ek kami ko darust karta hai, jo ke maali sehat ke liye ahem hai Ye khabar aur bhi zyada GBP/USD jodi ko kamzor kar diya In taraqqiyo ke baad, analysts ke mutabiq GBP/USD ke liye giravat ka silsila jari rahega agar kharidaron ko 1.2400 darja wapas nahi lenay ka mauqa mila Agar ye aham darja phir se qaim nahi kiya gaya, to farokht karnewalon ko kaboo mein rakhne ka iraada hai Pound ka pehla idara November 17 ke darja 1.2373 par hai, jiska agla darja nichla hai November 10 ke darja 1.2187 par

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                            Dusri taraf, ek mumkin upside hai agar kharidaron ko keemat ko 1.2400 ke upar dhakelne mein kamyabi milti hai Is surat mein, pehla rukawat darja hoga April 18 ke darja 1.2484 ka, jiska agla hai 1.2500 ka nafsiyati rukawat Magar, ek mustaqil uptrend reversal aham hai jab tak ke keemat dono niche aate hue channel aur 50-day moving average 1.2655 par paar nahi karta Technical indicators filhal mayoos manzar pesh karte hain Simple moving average ki kamzori aur 20-day aur 200-day moving averages ke darmiyan tang rasta ek numaya upper movement ke liye koi taqat nahi hai Ye technical rukawaton ko paar karna kisi bhi trend reversal ki umeed ke liye ahem hai Agar bailon ko taqat dikhani ho 1.2655 ke upar ja kar, to focus buland darje 1.2700-1.2740 ke aas paas jaayega Ek aur upar ka fatah shayad pandemic lows ke qareeb qaim ki gayi support trend line ko dobara test karega jo 1.2820 ke aas paas hai Magar, GBP/USD ke short-term outlook tab tak manfi hai jab tak ke kisi saaf raste ko paar kar ke aur aham moving averages ke upar isteqraar nahi hota
                               
                            • #209 Collapse

                              EUR/USD ne tisri dafa 1.0618 ke level ko paar karne mein nakami ka samna kiya aur pichhle hafte ki giravat ke baad ek bullish correction shuru kiya. Yeh theherav anchahe tha kyunki kal koi bhi ahem macroeconomic ya bunyadi waaqiya nahi tha. Magar sirf ek din pehle Federal Reserve Chief Jerome Powell ne ishaara diya tha ke central bank June mein interest rates kam nahi karega. Unhone kaha ke US mein mahangai se niptne mein "aur bhi taraqqi ki kami" ho rahi hai. Isliye, mahangai ko kam karne ke liye interest rates ko high rakha jayega takay Fed ka 2% maqool maqasid tak wapas a sake.

                              Wahi European Central Bank almost tay hai ke June mein interest rates kam karega, jisse US currency ko aane waale kai mahino tak apni upar ki manzil mein madad mil sakti hai. Isliye, bunyadi background neeche ki taraf ki movement ki taraf ishara deti hai, aur jo hum ab dekh rahe hain sirf ek routine correction hai. 5-minute timeframe par ek trading signal tha jise highlight karna laayak hai. European session ke shuruaat mein, price ne 1.0611-1.0618 ke range se uthkar 1.0668 level tak pahuncha, uske baad usne ise paar bhi kiya. Isliye, naye traders subah mein long positions open kar sakte the, jise unhone karib 40 pips ka munafa kamaya. 1.0668 ke level ke upar rahne ko naye long positions ke liye istemal kiya ja sakta hai, lekin mojooda chadhav sudhaarwadi hai.

                              Thursday par trading tips:
                              Ghanta chart par downtrend jaari hai. Hum maante hain ke euro aur gir sakta hai, kyunki woh abhi bhi zyada upar hai, aur amm tor par trend neeche ki taraf ja raha hai. Haal hi mein aaye hue macro data ne US dollar ko poori suport di hai. Global bunyadi background yeh hai ke European Central Bank agale meeting mein interest rates kam karne wala hai, jabki Fed apne rate cut cycle ko peeche baandh raha hai.

                              Thursday ko, euro 1.0668 ke paar hone ke baad apni correction ko jaari rakh sakti hai. Aap chhote purchases ko madde nazar rakhte hue consider kar sakte hain. Ussi samay, bechne ke signals zyada interesting honge kyonki jodi ne neeche ki taraf ja raha hai.

                              5M chart par mukhya levels 1.0483, 1.0526, 1.0568, 1.0611-1.0618, 1.0668, 1.0725, 1.0785-1.0797, 1.0838-1.0856, 1.0888-1.0896, 1.0940, 1.0971-1.0981 hain. European Union mein aaj koi bhi ahem waaqiya tay nahi hai, jabki US sirf jobless claims aur naye ghar ki farokht ke mutale'on par faidi reports jaari karega. Zyada tar, hum aanuman laga sakte hain ke aaj phir kam volatility hogi aur natija tor par majboot movement hongi.

                              Mehsoos karne walon ko Thursday ke liye trading par pichhla trend ko madde nazar rakhte hue savdhani bartavar rakhni chahiye. Click image for larger version

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                              • <a href="https://www.instaforex.org/ru/?x=ruforum">InstaForex</a>
                              • #210 Collapse

                                GBP/USD D1

                                Neche se ooper resistance level, jo k meri marking k mutabiq 1.24052 par hai, wahan price ne ghum kar ruk gayi aur khudbewakoofi sey dakshin ki taraf jaari rahi, jis ki wajah se ek bearish trend bana. Ek candle ne support level ke neeche solidify kiya, jo k meri marking k mutabiq 1.23738 par hai. Moujooda halaat mein, mujhe shak hai k agle haftay tak southern movement jaari rahegi aur is halat mein main support level par nazar rakhoonga, jo 1.21870 par waqai hai. Beshak, southern movement ka hissa hone ke doran, uttari pullbacks ho sakte hain, jin ko main nazdeeki resistance levels se bearish signals dhoondhne ke liye istemal karunga. Agar price muqarar support level 1.21870 tak pohanchti hai, to is ke qareeb hone wale maamlay ka do tajurbaon ke liye do mansubahs honge. Pehla mansubah is ke sath wabasta hai ke price is level ke neeche solidify hogi aur mazeed dakshinward movement hoga. Agar yeh plan kaam karta hai, to main price se support level 1.20956 ya support level 1.20371 par jayga, jahan trading setup ke shakl mein ek trading setup ka intezar karonga, jo trading ke mazeed raah ka tayyun karne mein madad karega. Beshak, main tasleem karta hoon k price mazeed southward push ki ja sakti hai support level 1.18410 tak, lekin yahan par halat ko dekha



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                                jayga aur sab kuch us par depend karega ke price kaise move karta hai aur designated door dar southern targets ke qareeb kaisi reaction dikhata hai. Agar support level 1.21870 ke qareeb price movement ke ek alternative option ki surat mein, to ek plan ke sath associated hai jahan turning candle ka formation aur upward price movement ka dobara aghaz. Agar yeh plan kaam karta hai, to main price se resistance level 1.23738 ya resistance level 1.24052 par lautne ka intezar karonga. In resistance levels ke qareeb, main dakshin ki taraf signals dhoondhta rahunga, mazeed price movement ke doran. Aam tor par, ise mukhtasir taur par kehne ke liye, agle haftay mein main mukhtalif taqreer se tasleem karta hoon k price southern movement jari rahegi aur agle southern target ko istemal karne ki taraf jaaygi, lekin phir bazar ki surat ke mutabiq chalein ge.
                                   

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