𝐆𝐁𝐏/𝐔𝐒𝐃

GBP/USD H1 Time frame:

GBP/USD mein Ichimoku indicator ka istemal karte hue haal hi mein aik ahem tabdeeli ka pata chala hai. Kal raat ko, pair mein ek giravat ka samna hua, jis se Ichimoku chart par do ahem rekhtiyan - Tenkan Sen aur Kijun Sen - mil gayi. Is intersection ko traders aksar ahem signal samajhte hain kyun ke yeh maujooda trend mein mukhtalifiat ka pehlu darust kar sakta hai.

Pehle is intersection se, mumkin hai ke candle dono Tenkan Sen aur Kijun Sen lines ke oopar maujood tha, jo aik mazboot bullish trend ko zahir karta tha. Magar haal hi ki giravat ke baad, candle ab inn rekhtiyon ke neeche chala gaya hai, jo ek bullish direction mein momentum ka ta'alluq dikhata hai.

Tenkan Sen, jo ke conversion line ke tor par jaani jaati hai, pichle nau periods ki highest high aur lowest low ka average hota hai. Yeh short-term price momentum ke baray mein insight faraham karta hai. Jabke, Kijun Sen, ya baseline, pichle chhabbis periods ki highest high aur lowest low ka average hota hai, jo medium-term momentum ka measure hai.

Jab Tenkan Sen Kijun Sen ke neeche chala jata hai, jaise is scenario mein dekha gaya hai, to yeh yeh samjha jata hai ke short-term momentum medium-term momentum ke mukable mein kamzor ho raha hai. Magar is signal ki ahmiyat aur bhi zyada hoti hai jab price candle inn dono rekhtiyon ke neeche bhi chali jati hai.

Is tabdeeli mein market ka sentiment bearish se bullish ki taraf mutaghayyar ho raha hai. Traders aksar isey long positions mein dakhil honay ka mauqa samajhte hain ya short positions ko band karne ka tajziya karte hain. Magar, yeh zaroori hai ke sambhal ke kaam liya jaye aur is signal ko mazeed technical analysis ya fundamental factors ke saath tasdeeq kiya jaye.

Yeh yaad rakhna ahem hai ke jabke Ichimoku indicator market trends aur potential reversals ke baray mein qeemati insights faraham kar sakta hai, lekin yeh puri tarah se kaamil nahi hai. Traders ko hamesha apne faislon mein doosri forms of analysis aur risk management strategies ko shamil karna chahiye.

In intihaai, haal hi mein Tenkan Sen aur Kijun Sen lines ka intersection, sath hi candle ka position inn dono lines ke neeche, GBP/USD pair mein bullish trend ki taraf mutaghayyar hone ki isharaat ko dikhata hai. Magar traders ko chaukanna rehna chahiye aur aise signals ko samajhne ke liye sahi risk management techniques istemal karna chahiye.

GBP/USD H4 Time frame:

America se aamriyat se mutaliq ahem maaloomat ke izharat, jese ke non-farm payrolls figures, bayrozgaar ke sharahat, aur Federal Reserve ke afkar, duniya ke sab se bara maeeshat par bazi dene walay muqam par market ki sencyat ko wazeh karte hain. Yeh data points ahem barometers ke tor par kaam karte hain, jo investor sentiment, monetary policy decisions, aur global financial markets par asar dalte hain.

Non-farm payrolls figures khaas tor par ahem hote hain kyun ke yeh kisanat ko chhod kar sector mein rozgar ke miqdaar ka snapshot faraham karte hain. Yeh data nazdeek se nigraani karte hain kyun ke mazboot naukriyon ka izafa aamriyat ki taqwiyat aur mukhtalif pressures par dalil hai, jabke kamzor rozgar figures maeeshat mein kami ke baare mein shadeed tawajo paida kar sakte hain.

Isi tarah, bayrozgaar ke sharahat aamriyat ki sehat ke baray mein qeemati insights faraham karte hain. Ghata hua bayrozgaar dar aamriyat ke kul halat par izharat karta hai. Ek ghatein bayrozgaar dar barhaye hue rozgar ke moqay faraham karte hain aur maeeshat mein taraqqi ko darust karte hain, jo ke consumer spending aur karobari sarmayadari mein izafa ke moqay faraham kar sakte hain. Mukhalif, barhti hui bayrozgaar dar bayrozgaari ke baray mein kashish hai, jo consumer confidence aur maeeshat ki taraqqi ke imkanat ko kam kar sakte hain.

In izharat ke ilawa, market participants Federal Reserve afkar se bachon ke milte julte hain, jo central bank ki monetary policy stance aur mustaqbil ke interest rate faislay ke baray mein raay faraham karte hain. Fed afkaar se faraham comments maeeshat ke mustaqbil, rozgar, aur inflation ke baray mein qeemati hidayat faraham kar sakte hain, jo ke interest rate hikes, cuts, ya monetary stimulus measures ke expectations ko tarteeb dete hain.

Pichle haftay ke America ke bayrozgaar data ne aik mukhtalif tasveer ka pesh kia, jahan shuruati jobless claims do saal ke unchaayi tak pohanch gaye. Jabke shuruati jobless claims mein kami rozgar market mein mukhtalif sarfroshiyo ke amal ko dikhata hai aur shayad mazboot hiring activity ko bhi dikhata hai, to continuing claims mein izafa kuch kaam karne walay logon ke liye masael ko dikhata hai rozgar dhoondhne ya workforce mein wapas anay mein. Yeh mukhtalif signal rozgar market ki tabdili ka complex tasawur hai jisme COVID-19 pandemic, supply chain disruptions, aur inflationary pressures ke mutalliq ongoing uncertainties hain.

Jab market participants in economic indicators aur Federal Reserve communications ko digest karte hain, to unhon apne investment strategies aur risk capacities ko mutabiq tarteeb dete hain. Economic data releases, central bank policies, aur market dynamics ke darmiyan ka taluqat global financial markets ke ever-changing landscape mein maloomat hasil karna aur adaptable

GBP/USD Technical Analysis Chart


GBP/USD ko apni ijlaas ko aglay haftay ki unchi ke upar phelane ka faisla kiya gaya tha, jo 1.2660 ke ooper tha. GBP/USD ne mazbooti se perform kia jab taaza ma'ashiyati saboot UK mein dikhaye gaye ke UK ki maeeshat ka dobara izafa hona mutawaqqa hai, jis mein yeh technical depression mein chala gaya tha 2023 ke doosray haftay mein. Intehai kaamzor U.S. dollar ke darmiyan kaafi chhota saar hai March ki khidmaton PMI data Institute for Supply Management (ISM) se. Mulk bhar ke mazboot ghareebi ke zor par pehke, UK ki manufacturing PMI March mein achanak se barh gaya tha jab ke 20 maaheenon se kam hote rahe the. Mazboot UK factory data ne business optimism ko uss waqt ke unchi tak pahuncha diya tha, jab 58% karobaron ko tawaan chah raha tha ke aane wale 12 maheenon mein utpaadan darojat barh jaayein ge. Mazeed iske, UK ke makaan ke prices ne March mein 1.6% tak barh jaaye, December 2022 se sab se zyada izafa dikhate hue, yeh zahir karta hai ke real estate industry ab bhi mazboot hai, haalaanki qist daro mein taareekhi unchi darojat par hain.

Europe ki session mein, Bank of England (BOE) ki taraf se jaari February Policymakers (DMP) survey ne dikhaya ke zyadatar companies yeh maante hain ke sales prices aur wage inflation agle saal mein thanda pad jayega. Sales price expectations 4.1% se gir gaye 4.3% se, do saal ke upar se kam. Tino maheenon ka moovinf average basis par, wage growth ko February mein 5.2% se kam karke 4.9% tak ghata diya jaana hai. Rozana market ka jayeza: Sterling ne apni ooper ki taraf ki raftar ko teesre trading din ke liye barha diya. GBP/USD 1.2660 tak barh gaya phir aahista aahista ruka. Market sentiment bullish hai aur US ISM Services Purchasing Managers Index kamzor hai, jo ke US dollar ko dabata hai, is liye pound ki ooper ki raftar jari rahne ki tawaqqa hai. S&P 500 futures ne Asian session mein tezi se barha.

Budh ke din, U.S. services purchasing managers' index March mein 51.4 se gir kar 52.7 se aur pehle ke qeemat 52.6 se gir gaya. Services PMI services sector mein business activity ko napta hai, jo ke U.S. maeeshat ka doosra hissa hai. Is liye, ek bura service PMI ne US dollar par buhat gehra asar dala, US dollar index (DXY) ko 0.5% se zyada 104.15 tak le gaya. ISM report mein yeh bhi dikhaya gaya ke naye orders aur paid price sub-indexes buhat zyada gir gaye hain. Is haftay, U.S. dollar ka barah-e-Rast non-farm payrolls (NFP) report March ka muntazir hai jo ke Jumma ko jaari kiya jayega. Ye ma'ashi data market ki tawaqqaat par buhat gehra asar daal sakta hai ke Federal Reserve kya June ki meeting se shuru hone wale interest rates ko khatam karega ya nahi. Non-farm report mein maqrooz ki 200,000 tak ki izafa ki umeed hai mahine mein, jo February mein 275,000 se gir gaya. UK ki taraf se, sterling ko Bank of England ki darajat kam karne ki umeedon aur S&P Global/CIPS Services PMI ke mutabiq guide kiya jayega, jo ke 08:30 GMT (Beijing) Time 16:30 par jaari kiya jayega. British inflation ke tezi se kam hone ke doraan, investors ko umeed hai ke Bank of England June mein interest rate cut cycle shuru karega. Saal bhar ke liye, Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey ne kaha ke unka yeh ma'looq hai ke do ya teen darajat ke expectations "maqbool" hain.





Services purchasing managers index se taaza parhaayi 53.4 se badalne ki umeed hai. Behtareen PMI data UK ki ma'ashi surat-e-haal ko mazboot karega. March ke liye jari final manufacturing PMI ke value ne Tuesday ko 20 maaheenon ke musalsal contraction ke baad izafa kar liya. Sterling ne 1.2660 ke qareeb ek haftay ki unchi tak barhne ka faisla kiya. Pound ne 1.2540 ke chhah hafton ke record se utha kar 1.2660 ke qareeb ek haftay ki unchi tak barh gaya. GBP/USD currency pair ne apne teesre trading session mein barhne ki mazbooti jari rakhi. GBP/USD bulls 200-day exponential moving average (EMA) ke ooper hain jo ke 1.2566 par hai. 20-day EMA 1.2660 ke qareeb mein mustaqbil mein ek mazboot rukh ban sakta hai. Bara time frame dekhte hue, horizontal support December 8 ke low par 1.2500 GBP ko mazeed cushion faraham karega. Intehai, 1.2900 ke qareeb aath maheenon ke unchiyo tak ki umeed hai. 14-maheenay ka relative strength index (RSI) 40.00 ke neeche girne ke baad 40.00 ke ooper dobara barh gaya hai. Ye "bullish reversal" tab samjha jana chahiye jab index 60.00 ke decisively ooper se guzar jaye.

GBP/USD Jodi Ki Takneekati aur Bunyadi Tahlil

GBP/USD Jodi Jumeraat ke dopehar mein mazid izafa kar rahi hai jo ke Budh ke strong izafon ke baad hai Euro peher ke doran jodi ne 1.2650 ke oopar musbat satah mein qaim rehna jari rakha, jabke takneekati nazar ye dikhata hai ke qareebi muddat mein ek bullish trend hai Ameriki dollar (USD) par zyada farokht dabao ne GBP/USD ko week ke darmiyan mein uthaya Jaise he jodi ne 1.2590 par 200 dinon ka aasan moving average (SMA) par chadhai ki, takneekati kharidari amal mein aayi, jo jodi ko izafay mein izafay ke liye izazat di Ussi waqt, United States ke data ne dikhaya ke March mein khidmati sarmaaya ke fa'aliyat ka phelao dheema ho gaya, jabke ISM khidmati kharidaran index February mein 52.6 se 51.4 tak gir gaya Iske ilawa, qeemat adaigi index February mein 58.6 se 53.4 tak gir gaya, ishara dete hue ke sanati mein imports ke inflation mein kami aayi hai Is waqt, U.S stock index futures ne uss din 0.3% se 0.45% ke darmiyan izafa kiya tha Agar dosri shifarish fund bazaar ko ghalib karain to dollar ko darkhawast dhoondne mein mushkil ho sakti hai

Ameriki maali calendar haftawar ke jobless dawayon ka data faraham karega Magar Jumma ke March non-farm payrolls (NFP) report ke agle paishgi mein, sarmayakar logon ko uss data par mabni bari positions lene se bachna chahiye 4 ghantay ke chart par 50 dinon ka moving average, taqreeban hilne wale nakami ka Fibonacci 38.2% retracement aur 200 maqami moving average, 1.2670-1.2680 par chhoti muddat ke resistance ke tor par hain Agar GBP/USD is satah ko toor kar isey sahara dene lagta hai, to 1.2710 (Fibonacci 50% retracement level) aur 1.2750 (Fibonacci 61.8% retracement level) agle resistance levels ban sakte hain Neche, 100 dinon ka moving average pehla support level hai 1.2660 par Agar GBP/USD is satah se neeche gir jata hai, to takneekati farokht dabaon ka amal ho sakta hai Is surat mein, agla support 1.2620 par hai (23.6% Fibonacci retracement), phir 1.2590 (200 dinon ka EMA)

GBP/USD, jo ki British pound aur US dollar ke beech ka currency pair hai, ek important technical analysis tool, yaani ke 200 dinon ka aasan moving average (SMA), par 1.2596 par uthaya gaya. Yeh uthao darasal ek key resistance level ko cross karne ka sanket hai. Moving averages, yaani ke aasan moving average, trading mein mahatvapurna hai kyun ki yeh past price action ko analyze karta hai aur current trend ko identify karta hai. Jab GBP/USD ki jodi 1.2596 par chadh gayi, toh yeh ek indication thi ki market sentiment change ho sakta hai. Yeh upar ki chadhai ek bullish signal bhi ho sakti hai, jisse traders aur investors ko buying opportunity mil sakti hai. Lekin, yeh sirf ek piece of information hai aur dusri factors bhi consider ki jaani chahiye, jaise ki market volume, economic indicators, aur geopolitical events. Is uthao ke baad, traders aur investors ko market ki movement ko closely monitor karna chahiye. Agar jodi 1.2596 ke upar sustain karti hai, toh yeh ek further bullish movement ki indication ho sakti hai. Is scenario mein, traders apne positions ko increase kar sakte hain ya naye long positions le sakte hain. Lekin, market mein hamesha volatility hoti hai aur kisi bhi samay trend reverse ho sakti hai. Isliye, risk management ka dhyan rakhna zaroori hai. Stop loss orders ka istemal karke traders apne positions ko protect kar sakte hain. Stop loss orders un levels par lagaye jaate hain jahan trader apne loss ko limit karna chahta hai agar market opposite direction mein chali jaaye. Iske alawa, 400 words mein ek aur important aspect discuss kiya jaa sakta hai - fundamental analysis. Fundamental analysis mein, traders economic indicators, monetary policies, aur geopolitical events ka bhi dhyan rakhte hain. Isse market ke long-term trends ko samajhne mein madad milti hai. For example, Brexit negotiations, US Federal Reserve meetings, aur economic data releases, jaise ki GDP growth, employment reports, aur inflation data, sabhi market sentiment ko influence karte hain. In events ka impact currency pairs par hota hai, jaise ki GBP/USD. Isliye, traders ko market ki technicals ke saath-saath fundamentals ko bhi monitor karna important hai. In conclusion, GBP/USD ne 200 dinon ke moving average par uthaya gaya aur yeh ek important technical signal hai. Traders ko market ki movement ko closely monitor karna chahiye aur risk management ka dhyan rakhna zaroori hai. Iske alawa, fundamental analysis bhi consider karna important hai market trends ko samajhne ke liye.

British Pound (GBP) ab mojooda doran mein Thori si kami ke sath US Dollar (USD) ke khilaf karobari hoti hai, lagbhag 1.2640 ke aspas early Asian trading mein Jumeraat ko Ye thori si girawat ek maqool phir chadhne ke baad aai hai USD ko 104.20 tak, jo ek ihtiyaat bhara market jazbaat ka natija hai Investors aham iqtisadi data releases aur siyasi tensions ko nazdeek se dekh rahe hain jo currency qeemat ko asar daal sakte hain Market ko mutasir karne wale ahem factors mein se ek US Non-farm Payrolls data, berozgari dar aur Federal Reserve officials ke taqreerat shamil hain Ye data US ka kaam karobaar aur Fed ke monetary policy stance ke baray mein maloomat faraham karega, dono cheezain jo USD ki qeemat ko numaya tor par mutasir kar sakti hain Dosra dilchaspi ka point US mein halqi mein berozgari faida daawaat ki taraqi hai American benefits ke liye dawaat karne walon ki tadad guzishta haftay mein do mah ki bulandi tak pohanch gayi, jo shayad kaam karobaar mein dhimayi ki alaamat ho sakti hai Ye data, pehle ke USD ke girne ke saath jor, pehle dollar par neeche dabaav daalne ka pehle kadam tha Magar, siyasi fikron, khas tor par Israel par ek mumkin Iranian hamle ke ird gird, ne market mein thori ehtiyaat wapas daali hai USD, aksar uncertainty ke doran aik safe haven ke tor par dekha jata hai, jab ke investors mustaqilata ki talash mein qaaim bhi ground haasil kar rahe hain



Technically, GBP/USD jora mojooda doran mein aik neutral zone mein phansa hua hai Jab ke ye apne 200-day moving average aur uptrend line se bounce hua hai, to usay 50-day aur 20-day moving averages par foran rokha hai In levels ke upar breakout aik taza bullish trend ki alamat ho sakti hai, jis se jora upper channel boundary tak pohanch sakta hai jo 1.2820 par hai Mukhalif tor par, uptrend line aur 200-day moving average ke neeche girne ka toran aik bearish move ko trigger kar sakta hai jo 1.2495-1.2520 support area ki taraf jaa sakti hai, jahan 1.2370 ke aas paas aur bhi kam levels tak pohanchne ki mumkinat hai Ikhtitam mein, GBP/USD jora mojooda doran mein tawajju ki ek muddat se guzar raha hai Pehle 6 mah se unchaai tak pohanchne ke baad, ab woh peechay ho gaya hai aur ab ek neutral range mein phansa hai Anay wale data releases aur siyasi surat-e-haal jora ki manzil ka faisla karne mein ahem honge Traders ke liye, mukhtalif support aur resistance levels ke upar ya neeche breakout unka signal hoga jise woh market mein agle harkat ko tasdeeq karne ke liye intezaar kar rahe hain

GBP/USD


GBP/USD currency pair ki H1 ghanto ki chart ka jaiza lene se keemat ki harkaton aur takneeki patterns ka gehra interplay zahir hota hai, jo chalti hui market dynamics ke liye qeemti insights faraham karta hai. Haal ki sessions mein, jodi ne ek qabil-e-qadm momentum ka daramad kiya hai, jo ek pehle se bana hua nichla price channel tor karne aur ek naya barhta hua price channel zahir karne ke zariye paish aya hai. In taraqqi ko samajhna un traders ke liye ahem hai jo forex market ke complexities ko samajhna aur potential trading opportunities ka faida uthana chahte hain.

Kahani uth kar ek nichle price channel ke tor par shuru hoti hai, jo ek ahem waqia hai jo jodi ke raaste mein ek rukh ki nishandahi karti hai. Channel ka ooperi border, jo ke 1.2600 ke qabil-e-ehteraaz level par mojud hai, jodi ke nichle rukh ki momentum ke liye ek mazboot rukawat ka kaam karta hai. Magar, buyers ne is rukawat ko paar kar liya, jodi ko ooper le jate hue aur ek naye phase ka aghaz karne ka ishara dete hue.

Nichle price channel se tor karne ke baad, ek barhta hua price channel shakal lena shuru ho gaya, jo market mein naye bullish bias ka zahir kar raha tha. Is channel ke andar, British currency apne aap ko trading karte hue payi gayi, jabke buyers ne control ko apne bas mein liya aur jodi ko ooper le gaye. Ascending price channel ka zahir hona traders ko price harkat ko tajziya karne aur potential trading opportunities ko pehchanne ke liye ek wazeh framework faraham karta hai.

Magar, bullish momentum ke darmiyan, ek mukhtasir daura-e-lauqat ki wajah se uncertainty ka ek lamha zahir hua jab jodi ne ek unsuccessful top-down breakdown ke liye imtehan ka samna kiya. Ye imtehan, jo ke southern channel mein wapas lotne ki koshish ko shamil karta tha, forex market ki mojooda volatility aur ghaer tasalli ko yaad dila deta hai. Pound/dollar pair ne level 1.2670 se level 1.2550 tak tazaa girawat ka samna kiya, jabke sellers ne control ko dubara hasil karne aur jodi ko neeche le jane ki koshish ki.

Mukhtalif haalat ke bawajood, buyers ne key level 1.2550 ko bacha liya, jodi ko aur neeche girne se bacha kar. Ye level ek ahem maidaan tha, jahan buyers aur sellers ne dominance ke liye ek jaddojahad shuru ki. Is level par buyers ki mazbooti ne unka irada darust kiya ke wo control ko barkarar rakhein aur jo momentum jo haal hi mein pair ko ooper le gaya tha usko barqarar rakhein.

Jab jodi ascending price channel ke hadood mein trading karta hai, to traders key levels aur technical indicators ko nazar andaaz karte hain taake mustaqbil ki keemat ki harkaton ke baray mein pata chal sake. Channel ke ooperi aur neeche ke borders ahem hawala points ke tor par kaam karte hain, jo potential support aur resistance ke ilmi wazaahat faraham karte hain. Is ke ilawa, technical indicators jaise ke moving averages aur oscillators traders ko mojooda trend ki taqat aur rukh ka andaza lagane mein madad kar sakte hain.

Agay ki taraf dekhte hue, GBP/USD pair ka rukh mukhtalif factors par asar andaz hoga, jo ke shamil hain arzi data releases, central bank policies, aur geopolitical developments. Traders ko chaunkana aur mutghir rehna chahiye, tayyar hona chahiye apni strategies ko badalne ke liye changing market conditions ke jawab mein. Maloomat hasil karte hue aur kameyabi se mukabla karke, traders forex market ke ups aur downs ke saath bharosa se navigational kar sakte hain.

Bilkul, GBP/USD ka trend abhi buy ki taraf ja raha hai aur 126.80 ke level ko cross kar sakta hai. Iska matalab hai ke British pound ab American dollar ke mukabley mein taqat mein barh rahi hai. Yeh aksar hota hai jab market sentiment change hota hai aur traders currency pairs ko analyze karte hue buy ya sell decisions lete hain.

GBP/USD ka trend analysis karne ke liye traders economic indicators, geopolitical events, aur monetary policy changes ko dekhte hain. In tamam factors ka combined effect hota hai jis se market mein movement hoti hai. Agar kisi currency ka trend buy ki taraf ja raha hai to iska matalab hai ke log us currency ko le rahe hain aur uski demand barh rahi hai. Is waqt, jab pound sterling (GBP) ki value US dollar (USD) ke mukabley mein barh rahi hai, iska kuch reasons ho sakte hain. Jaise ke economic data jo ke strong ho aur investors ko confidence de raha ho. Yeh ho sakta hai ke UK ki economy mein growth ho rahi ho ya kisi specific sector mein achha performance ho. Monetary policy decisions bhi is par asar daal sakte hain, jaise central bank ki interest rates ki changes.



GBP/USD ka level 126.80 ek important level hai jo ke cross ho sakta hai. Agar yeh level cross hota hai to iska matalab hai ke bullish momentum jari hai aur pound ki value mazeed barh sakti hai. Lekin yeh bhi yaad rakhna zaroori hai ke market mein uncertainty hoti hai aur koi bhi prediction 100% sahi nahi hoti. Isliye traders risk management ko bhi consider karte hain apni trades mein. Agar aap trading mein naye hain to sabse zaroori baat hai ke apni research acche se karein aur market ko samajhne ki koshish karein. Technical analysis aur fundamental analysis dono ka istemal karke aap apne trading decisions ko improve kar sakte hain. Aur hamesha apne risk ko manage karte hue trading karein taake losses ko minimize kiya ja sake.

GBP/USD

GBP/USD ka exchange rate Thursday ke doran Asian session mein 1.2650 range ke qareeb trading kar raha tha. United States (US) ne pichle din mukhtalif aham ma'loomat jaari ki, jismein behtar ADP employment change shamil hai lekin kam ISM Services PMI readings hain. Is se US dollar (USD) ke liye mushkilat paida hui. US ADP employment change ne March mein 184,000 tak izafa kiya, jo ke February mein 155,000 aur market ke 148,000 ke tajziya se zyada hai. Is dauran, US ISM Services PMI ne March mein pehle se mutawaqqa 52.7 se kum hokar 51.4 par gir gya, February mein 52.6 se. Is waqt, US Dollar Index (DXY) kareeb 104.20 par trading kar raha hai, haal hi ke nuqsanat se bahar nahi aa sakta hai. Federal Reserve ke faiz daroon ki policy ke rukh ke hawale se, kai Fed ke wakil ne apna rukh naram kiya hai.

Fed Chair Jerome Powell ne aik data pe dependent strategy ko zikar kiya jabke central bank ki raazdari ko darja bandi kam karne ki isteedad ko dohraya. Mazeed tawajju hasil ki gayi hain Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic ke irshadat par, jo 2024 ke aakhri quarter mein ek darja bandi ka samarthan karte hain. Fed Board of Governors ke rukn Adriana Kugler ne disinflation ka jaari rahne wala trend highlight kiya aur iska natija ke tor par darje kam ki zaroorat ho sakti hai. 2024 ke aakhri quarter tak kam az kam teen darje ka intezar kiya jata hai. GBP/USD ka qeemat pichle session ke tezi se izafa ke baad 1.2650$ par stable ho gya hai. Aane wale sessions mein bullish bias tajwez diya jayega agar 1.2580$ ko paar kiya jaye. 1.2700$ par next station ko test karne ke liye nigaah rakhte hue aur yeh yaad rakhte hue ke agar yeh level toot jaye, to qeemat aur bhi zyada barh sakti hai, seedha 1.2800$ tak. Is natije mein, hum nazdeeki aur fori muddat mein mazeed izafa ka intezar karte hain. Maqbool halaat agar qeemat 1.2580$ ko todti hai, jo ke isay tehleel karnay wale bearish rukh mein wapas le jaye ga.

𝐆𝐁𝐏/𝐔𝐒𝐃

Hum pound/dollar pair ke liye market ki surat-e-haal ka tajziya jaari rakhte hain. Is tajziye mein, haftawarana timeframe ko ghoora ja raha hai. Is par pehle se aik inclined line khinchi gayi thi, jis par qeemat musalsal takra kar aur janoobi simt mein chalti thi. Haal hi mein hum ne dekha hai ke kuch koshishat ki gai hain inclined line ko todne ki aur in mein se aik koshish ka kamyabi se natija nikla, inclined line ko tor diya gaya, pound/dollar level 1.2880 tak pohanch gaya, jis se oopar jana asaan nahi tha aur British ne dobara resistance line ke neeche wapis aagaye, juma ke trading ko level 1.2634 par band kiya gaya. Agla qadam qeemat ke liye mushkil hai ke woh kahan jaye ga, magar is bat ka dyan rakhte hue ke inclined line pehle se tor di gayi thi, haftawar ki candle ek pin bar ke tor par guzri aur band hui hai, is bat se zyada imkan hai ke British dobara resistance line ko torne ki koshish karein ge, use tor kar super aggressive izafa ki taraf mudein ge.



Rozana Timeframe ka Manzar:

1. Upar, maine pound/dollar pair ke liye haftawarana chart ki surat-e-haal dekhi, aur ab main rozana trading session ko shuru karna chahata hoon. Is par maine ek sidha price channel ke sath ek upward slope ke sath dikhaya, jismein British currency trading ho rahi hai. Is ke ilawa, channel ke neeche ki seema se ek naya izafa shuru hua aur juma ke trading level 1.2634 par band hui. Hum dekhte hain ke is side channel ke andar do mukammal izafay ki do mukammal girawatain aur do mukammal izafay ki do mukammal girawatain ban gayi hain. Ab, wave analysis ke nazriye se dekha jaye to sab kuch teesri shimali lehar ka aur resistance line ki shakl mein jaari rehne ka ishara hai, jiska intersection main kareeb 1.2920 ya 1.2930 par dekhta hoon. Yeh hai hamara manzil, jo kehta hai ke hum mojooda levels se asani se kharid sakte hain.

The British pound - US dollar currency pair ka tajziati jaiza Heikin Ashi candles, TMA aur RSI indicators ke istemal se kiya gaya hai. Is tajziyat ke buniyad par, aik trading plan tayar kiya ja sakta hai jo currency pair ko khareedne ki sifarish karta hai. Heikin Ashi candles, jo ke daam ke maane ko saaf aur average karte hain, traders ko mojooda nukta-e-nazr, sudharati wapas chaspank aur daam ki harkat ko riyaayatani Japanese candles ke mukable mein asani se pehchanne mein madad karte hain. TMA indicator, jo ke moving averages par mabni support aur resistance lines ko dikhaata hai, traders ke liye currency pair ki harkat ke hudood tay karna ke liye bhi ek kaaragar tool hai. Is ke ilawa, RSI oscillator indicator traders ko transaction mein dakhil hone ka aakhir karar karne mein madad karta hai, kyunke ye overbought aur oversold zones ko zahir karta hai. In trading aalaat ka istemal karke, traders apne tajziati analysis ka amal asaan kar sakte hain aur market mein jhooti dakhil hone se bach sakte hain. Ehmiyat hai ke British pound - US dollar pair ka mojooda chart neela candles ko dikhata hai, jo ke yeh zahir karta hai ke bulls mazboot hain aur daam ko oopar ki taraf dhakka de rahe hain. Yeh achi moqa hai ke mojooda daam ko muneef daam par lambi positions khulayen. Halankeh daam ke quotes lamha e wakfa mein linear channel ke neeche ki hadd se nichle gaye, unhon ne jaldi se minimum point se rebound kiya aur channel ke markazi line ki taraf chale gaye. RSI indicator (14) bhi khareedne ka signal ko support karta hai, kyunke iski curve abhi upar ki taraf hai aur overbought level se door hai. In sab factors ko mad nazar rakhte hue, yeh kaha ja sakta hai ke mojooda trend currency pair ke liye upar ki taraf ki harkat hai.

GBP/USD H1 time frame

Ham H1 samay frame par currency pair ko nazar andaaz karte hain. Pichle haftay humein 1.2680 ke darje se ek punhaav mila. Instrument ka band hone wala moolya sthiti 1.2633 par hai. Envelopes trend indicator bearish gatividhi dikhata hai. Momentum indicator standard setting mein 14 ki avdhi mein 100.11 dikhata hai. MACD takneekiy indicator negetive zone mein hai aur vikreta ke liye vyaapaar pratibadh ke liye sujhav deta hai. Stochastic indicator dikhata hai ki vyaapaar upar se khareeda gaya hai. Takneekiy vishleshan mujhe dakshin dhruv dikhata hai. Shayad agle hafte humein 1.2680 ke darje ka punha parikshan mila. Mujhe lagta hai ki aise parikshan ke baad vyaapaar ka moolya dhaal jaega aur 1.2500 ke darje tak gir jaega. Khush vyaapaar.


GBP/USD H4 time frame

Mujhe lagta hai ki vyaapaarik saptah ka band hone ka natija sabhi parinamon aur aane wale gatiyon ka prakat karta hai. Pura saptah sabhi log USA mein berozgaari ke data ka intezaar kar rahe the, data sirf aankhon ke liye ek bhoj tha aur US Dollar aise data par 1.2500 ke gol darje tak paar kar sakta tha, aur bas 1.2600 hi nahi. Lekin ant mein, ve moolya ko 1.2600 ke neeche bhi nahi rakh sakte the, balki mere liye Envelopes envelopes ke nazdeeki darje 1.2615 ke upar bhi gaye. Aam taur par, mujhe lagta hai ki humein un khareedaron ki taraf khareedon par khada hona chahiye jo shukravaar ko GBPUSD pair ko bechne ki ichha rakh rahe the. Main yah manta hoon, shreshth sthiti mein, hum shukravaar ko 1.2615 par lautenge aur phir vridhi jaari rahegi, aakhiri roop mein mujhe lagta hai ki hafte ke ant tak hum lagbhag 1.2800 ke aaspaas honge.

GBP/USD

GBP/USD jori ke liye trend continuation mein, ek important level hai jo historically support aur resistance dono ka kaam karta hai, jo traders ke liye ek crucial point of interest hai. GBP/USD exchange rate ki dynamics ko influence karte hain ek multitude of factors, jaise ki economic indicators, geopolitical events, aur central bank policies. In dynamics ko samajhna traders ke liye essential hai jo forex market mein potential opportunities ko capitalize karne ke liye dekhte hain

Economic indicators jaise ki GDP growth, inflation rates, aur employment data UK aur US economies ki health ke insights provide kar sakte hain, jo ki inki respective currencies ke value ko impact karte hain. For example, UK se strong economic data agar aata hai toh GBP ke liye increased demand ho sakti hai, jisse USD ke muqable mein appreciation ho sakti hai



Geopolitical events, jaise ki Brexit negotiations ya US aur China ke darmiyan trade tensions, bhi GBP/USD exchange rate ko affect kar sakte hain. In uncertainties ke surrounding, forex market mein volatility ho sakti hai jaise traders apni positions ko latest developments ke basis par adjust karte hain

Central bank policies, particularly Bank of England (BoE) aur Federal Reserve (Fed) ke policies, exchange rate ko shape karne mein significant role play karte hain. Interest rate decisions, monetary policy statements, aur quantitative easing measures currency valuations ko impact kar sakte hain. For example, agar BoE interest rates ko raise karke hawkish stance signal karta hai, toh GBP ko relative to USD boost mil sakta hai

Technical analysis bhi ek crucial tool hai market dynamics ko analyze karne aur potential trading opportunities ko identify karne ke liye. Traders often charts, indicators, aur patterns ka use karte hain key levels of support and resistance, trend directions, aur potential entry aur exit points ko identify karne ke liye

GBP/USD pair ke case mein, 1.26337 level significant hai due to its historical relevance. Traders ek decisive breakout above this level ko dekh sakte hain, followed by a period of consolidation, jisse bullish continuation ka confirmation mil sakta hai. Oppositely, agar gains 1.26310 ke above sustain nahi hote, toh yeh lack of buying interest aur potential reversal lower ko signal kar sakta hai

Risk management forex trading mein paramount hai, kyunki market dynamics rapidly change ho sakte hain, jisse unexpected losses ho sakte hain. Traders ko hamesha stop-loss orders ka use karna chahiye apne downside risk ko limit karne ke liye aur strict risk-reward ratios ko follow karna chahiye profitable trading ke liye long term mein

Conclusion mein, GBP/USD exchange rate ke market dynamics ko analyze karna requires comprehensive understanding of economic indicators, geopolitical events, central bank policies, aur technical analysis. Informed rehna aur effective risk management strategies ka use karke, traders potential opportunities ko capitalize kar sakte hain forex market mein.

GBP/USD

Aslam o Alaikum, dost! Aapka zikar karne mein beshak Semaphore hamesha sahi hota hai. Lekin hum uske signals ka interpretation mein ghaltiyaan kar sakte hain. Main khush hua jab maine dekha ke aapne apne pasandida film Nameless Star ki ek still ka istemal illustration ke liye kiya. Aaj ke GBPUSD ke mamle mein, main ek baar phir fence par rehne ka rujhan rakh raha hoon. Is tool ka anay wala nateeja kaafi unclear hai. Halanki, mujhe lagta hai ke aaj ek relatively narrow sideways trend ki formation ho rahi hai jiska border 1.2755 se lekar 1.2525 tak hai. Is trend ki lambi dair tak chalne wali duration November se shuru hui hai pichle saal. March ke shurwat mein, humare sideways movement ke upper limit ke upar breach hua, jo ek false breakout ke tor par consider kiya ja sakta hai. Ab yeh expectation hai ke ek significant decline follow karega. Lekin jaise niche screenshot mein dikhaya gaya hai, price do consecutive days se lower boundary ke nazdeek ghoom raha hai bina kisi clear breakthrough ke. Theory ke mutabiq, false breakout ke baad, price ab lows ko breach karna chahiye aur south ki taraf jaana chahiye. Indicators ke mutalliq: - MA100 ek halki inclination ke saath upward trend mein hai, approximately ten degrees ka angle banate hue. Dusri taraf, MA18 ek steeper angle (thirty degrees) ke saath downward trajectory mein hai, jo near future mein potential dead cross ko point karta hai. - Ichimoku cloud bullish signals ko display kar raha hai, jo ek bullish trend ko forecast karta hai, lekin thoda ambiguous taur par. Indicator positive dikh raha hai, lekin ye ek downward movement ko favour karta hai. - Lightweight MASD ek sell wave ko indicate kar raha hai. Halanki lightweight stochastic ne teen bearish waves complete kiye hain, lekin abhi tak koi buy signal nahi hai. - Strengthened oscillator ek bullish wave mein hai ek downward slope ke saath, lekin kisi bearish territory ki taraf koi shift nahi hui hai. Moving averages RSai pair downward trend mein hai aur oversold zone ke nazdeek pahunch raha hai. Ek range ke andar ek upward movement ki possibility hai. Agar humein 1.2525 ke nichle support ko establish karne mein kaamyaabi milti hai, toh yeh decline ko signal kar sakta hai.

Abhi hum GBP/USD currency pair ki keemat ke behavaiour ki tafseel ke bare mein guftagu kar rahe hain. Jab pound-dollar pair 1.2679 resistance ke upar trade kar raha tha toh 15-minute chart par bechne ki volume nazar aayi. Main ne 1.2646 support ki taraf girne ka andaza lagaya tha, jo baad mein saaf ho gaya. Support ke neeche ek range bani, jisse pair ke agle move ko peshgoi karne mein mushkil hui kyun ke kisi bhi ahem kharidar ya bechne wale ki volume ki kami thi. Zyada kharidaron ki mojudgi ke bawajood, pair ne neeche ki taraf jaari raha aur ek aur range banai. Thori si wapas chalne ke baad, pair 1.2588 support tak gira unemployment data ke baad. Kuch unnati ho rahi thi, magar kam kharidar volume ne agle girawat ka ishara diya jab tak behtar unemployment data ne zyada kharidar sarasar kiya.
The pound-dollar pair ke technically sound tasweer ko zahir karta hai, jismein ek wide sideways price channel flat trading ko darust kar raha hai. Is channel ke andar do growth aur decline ke jhoole hue hain, jismein pair ne lower channel border se bounce kiya aur doosre decline wave ke baad upar ki taraf move kiya. Jumeraat ke trading EMA50 par 1.2628 pe band hui, jahan resistance EMA-200 pe thi aur trading range 1.2663 aur 1.2629 ke beech ban rahi thi Monday ke opening me. Main filhal pair ko 27 figure tak ponchnay ka andaza nahi laga raha hoon, lekin Jumeraat ki harkat 1.2664 ke upar potential izafa ki nishani deti hai, haalanki tajziati dilchaspi aur US stock market ka buy-off is par asar daal sakti hai. Tawaun ke bawajood, main rozana "Rising Wedge" pattern ke sath kaam karne ke liye mael hoon, 23 figure ke aas paas aur neeche movement par tawajjo dene ka faisla kiya hai.




Haalanki maujooda trading range-bound hai, ek range pehle girawat ke levels ke kareeb bani hai, jahan majooda kharidar volume ne 1.2655 resistance ki taraf umeedvar upar jaane ka ishara diya. Todhi behtar inflation data ke ane ki umeed se, main agle beech mein mazeed izafa dekh raha hoon.

maira tajziya GBP/USD currency pair ki keematon ka ravaiya hai. Haal hi mein, GBP/USD ki movement technical thi, zaroori leval tak pohonchti hai aur phir un mein se turant mukhalti hai. Kabhi kabar, keemat kisi leval ko paar karne mein ya us se guzarne mein nakami ka samna karti hai, khas tor par Fibonacci retracement leval mein. GBP/USD ek upper correction ka samna kar raha hai, 38.2% leval tak chadhne ke baad aur 14.6% par pullback ka samna kar raha hai, ek andarooni pattern banati hai jo vridhhi ki disha ki or ishara karte hue 61.8% nishit leval ki taraf badh rahi hai. Khareedne wale ka zehen vridhi ki taraf hai, jisey samjhaya ja raha hai ki pullback ke baad khareedne ka mauka ban sakta hai. Magar 61.8% ke agay vridhi ke jahaz 1.2757 par seemit hai, ek 50 point ka test daily resistance leval ki taraf, magar 1.28 ek chath bana rahi hai. Daily chart mein 350-400 point ka vichar hai. Bearish bechne wale leval ko toorna ek kam ho jaane ka signal deta hai, jo neeche ki aur 1.2238-1.2159 tak girne ki or le ja sakta hai. Ummeedwar leval ko par karne se uppar ki taraf mod mil sakta hai 350-400 point range ke andar. Daily chart ki dynamics ko kharidne wale rukh mein badalne ke liye, kharidne wale level 1.2856 par paar karke aur jaam karne ki zarurat hai, jo raste ko kholti hai resistance leval ki taraf 1.3323, 1.3463-1.3494, aur 1.36130-1.36553. Kam hona ka intezar rukta hai jab tak GBP/USD 1.2892 leval ko par na kar le. Magar, wave analysis ke mutabiq, 1.2892 leval ko par karne se takneekan sudhar ho jaata hai, neeche ke leval mumkin hai sudhaar ke liye mazid. Bechne wale ka shuru karna behtar hai ek saaf downward signal par ek surge ke baad, phir baad mein sudhaar ka faida uthaate hue. Ek girne wale channel ke toor ko sudhaar kehte hai aur sudhaar aur kam vridhi ki lend hone ke lehaaz se kam hona mumkin hai, bina 1.2681 ke upar uthne ke, Jumeraat ko spike dekhte hue.