𝐆𝐁𝐏/𝐔𝐒𝐃

GBP/USD karansi pair ne is trading week mein kaafi zyada growth dekhi hai. Aaj buyers ne successfully apni positions ko July 16 ko record ki gayi pehli high 1.30428 ke upar maintain kiya. Traders ne session ke dauran agle level 1.310 GBP/USD par bhi test kiya. Recent upward trend ye suggest karta hai ke sellers ek bearish correction shuru kar sakte hain, magar ab tak chart par koi clear bearish signals nazar nahi aa rahe. Pair apni growth ko continue karte hue resistance level 1.3049 ko break kar chuka hai aur ab 1.3085 par trade ho raha hai.

CPI indicator downward point kar raha hai, jab ke Awesome Oscillator buy signal de raha hai, aur pair pehle din ke trading range ke upar trade kar raha hai. Agar hum current situation ko dekhein, to weekly hourly chart par instrument resistance zone 1.3124 ke qareeb hai, jahan ek potential double-top pattern ban sakta hai jo ek bearish correction ka sabab ban sakta hai. Bollinger band's average line ye indicate kar rahi hai ke price 1.2632 tak pohanch sakta hai, jo ke price ko upward trend channel ki lower boundary ke qareeb le ja sakta hai, jis se trend ki thorough aur balanced correction ho sakegi.

Pichle do hafton mein asset ne upward surge kiya hai, aur ab overbought territory mein hai, jo trend mein ek pause aur potential reversal towards a bearish correction ki taraf isharah karta hai. Lekin overall outlook buyers ke haq mein hai. Unhone na sirf pehle breached resistance level 1.3008 ke upar positions secure ki hain, jo ab support ke tor par kaam kar raha hai, balki price ko further upward push bhi kiya hai.

Hourly chart par price ne pehle broken resistance level 1.3008 ko successfully retest kiya, jo ke likely bullish trend ki nishani hai. Lekin agar price horizontal line 1.3008 ke neeche gir jata hai, to ek downward correction ho sakta hai, jo support level 1.2939 tak extend ho sakta hai, jo ke buy positions ke liye ek potential entry point ho sakta hai.

Is waqt daily candle abhi bhi form ho rahi hai, aur bulls koshish kar rahe hain ke ise ek bullish candle mein tabdeel kar sakein. Ab tak unhone price ko opening level 1.3029 tak push kiya hai, magar bears abhi further upward movement rok rahe hain. Ye tug-of-war bulls aur bears ke darmiyan agle direction ka taayun karega.

British pound ki recent surge jo U.S. dollar ke muqable mein 13-mahinon ki bulandi tak pohanchi thi, U.S. Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) ke release ke baad market sentiment mein tabdeeli ki wajah se achanak rukh gai. Ye achanak reversal Federal Reserve ke Chair Jerome Powell ki Jackson Hole Economic Symposium mein takreer ke liye intezar mein izafa kar raha hai. Market ke hissa lene wale Powell ke insights ke intezar mein hain ke kya Fed rate cut ke liye September mein kitna imkaan hai aur kitna bada cut ho sakta hai. Market pehle se hi rate cut ki taraf jhuka hua tha, lekin mixed PMI data ne is spekulasyon ko barhawa diya hai ke ek ziada aggressive 50-basis-point reduction ho sakti hai. Fed ka pechla rate cut 25 basis points ka tha jo September mein hua tha, aur is mahine ke liye bhi lagbhag 75% imkaan hai ke waisa hi cut ho. Doosri taraf, UK ka August ka PMI data kuch umeedon ka izhar kar raha hai. Sabhi components—composite, manufacturing, aur services—ne expectations ko exceed kiya aur pichle levels se behtar huye. Khaaskar services sector mein ek notable uptick dekha gaya jo April ke baad se apni sabse buland point par hai. Is ke muqable mein, U.S. manufacturing PMI data disappoint kar gaya, jo ke forecast se neeche raha aur sector mein kamzori ka izhar karta hai. Haan, services PMI ne achanak barhawa zaroor diya, magar underlying employment data ye suggest karta hai ke U.S. labor market mein contraction ho raha hai. Ye conflicting economic picture ne market mein uncertainty ko aur barhawa diya hai, khaaskar Bureau of Labor Statistics ke taraf se March ke nonfarm payrolls report se 800,000 se zyada jobs ko retroactively hatane ke baad.

Recent setback ke bawajood, pound dollar ke muqable mein mazeed gains ke liye tayyar lag raha hai. Pichle das trading dino ke dauran pair ka positive performance bullish bias suggest karta hai. Magar, technical indicators, jaise ke Stochastic aur RSI, kamzori ke asar dikha rahe hain, jo ke short-term downside pressure ko indicate karte hain. Agar GBP/USD July 2023 ka peak 1.3142 ke upar break kar le, to ye ek ziada significant uptrend trigger kar sakta hai. Potential upside targets mein ek saal ki bulandi 1.3145 aur 1.3140 level shamil hain. Downside par, support levels 23.6% Fibonacci level 1.2870 par, 20-aur 50-day simple moving averages 1.2825 aur 1.2800 par, aur ascending trend line aur 38.2% Fibonacci level 1.2760 par ho sakte hain. Akhir mein, GBP/USD abhi bhi flux ki state mein hai, bullish momentum aur Fed ki monetary policy aur economic indicators ke hawalay se uncertainty ke darmiyan balance bana raha hai. Aane wala Jackson Hole Symposium pair ke future direction ka taayun mein ahem kirdar ada karega.

GBP/USD pair ke hawale se, qeemat mein girawat ke liye jo sab se important kaam tha, wo ye tha ke M15 chart, jo hafte ke aaghaz mein congested tha, usay unload karna zaroori tha, aur usi ke sath hourly chart par averages ko bhi unload karna tha. Yeh dono kaam kal subah mukammal hue, is wajah se yeh andaza lagaya gaya ke agar pair resistance support point 1.2917 ko torh kar consolidate kare, toh yeh reversal ka ishara ho sakta hai. Sab se pehle, M15 ka reversal northern signal ki taraf hota, aur phir qeemat mein izafa hota, jisse hourly chart par bhi reversal hota aur qeemat 1.2965 ko torh deti. Magar, qeemat support 1.2840 tak nahi pohonchi aur kal upar ki taraf mod gayi, 1.2917 ko torh diya, lekin uss ke upar qaim rehne mein kamiyab nahi ho saki, kyun ke M15 ko reversal ke liye waqt nahi mila. Agar qeemat 1.2965 tak pohonchti, toh M15 ka northern signal taraf reversal hota, lekin aisa nahi hua, aur phir qeemat 1.2917 ke neeche chali gayi, jahan se support aur 1.2840 ki taraf wapas gai, jo abhi tak M15 par averages ko overload kar rahi hai.

M15 chart aaj bhi critically overloaded hai aur averages ko unload karna zaroori hai. Is ke liye, pair ko resistance support point 1.2917 ko torhna hoga aur is point ke upar 4 ghante se zyada qaim rehna hoga, warna agar yeh izafa 1.2965 tak hota hai, toh yeh reversal ke liye waqt kum kar dega. Agar qeemat 1.2917 ko torh kar 1.2965 tak barh gayi, toh M15 par averages ka reversal ho jaye ga, aur 1.2965 se resistance milne ke baad hum 1.2917 tak ek rollback ki umeed karte hain, jahan se phir se growth hogi 1.3053 tak. Agar qeemat 1.2965 ko torh deti hai, toh hourly chart par bhi northern signal ka reversal ho jaye ga, aur naye hafte mein growth sab timeframes par dekhi jayegi, M15 se le kar daily chart tak.

Yeh mumkin hai ke pair aaj 1.2840 tak pohonchne ki koshish kare, lekin iss congestion ke sath support point ko torhna mushkil hoga. Four-hour chart par fresh northern signal hai, lekin southern clock par bhi fresh signal hai; agar M15 par unload karte waqt 1.2965 ka resistance torhne mein kamiyabi nahi milti, toh clock phir se situation ko critical point par le aaye ga. M15 south ki taraf mod sakta hai aur phir girawat 1.2780 tak jaari rehegi, yeh wo maximum support level hai jahan four-hour clock rollback kar sakti hai baghair reversal ke khatrey ke. Agar pair 1.2780 ko torhta hai toh yeh southern four-hour signal ki taraf modna shuru kar dega, lekin yeh tab hoga jab M15 averages ko unload kar le. Jab tak M15 ka unloading nahi hoti, mein yeh andaza lagaunga ke qeemat 1.0840 tak rollback karegi reference point se, aur wahan se phir se growth hogi 1.2917 tak, break down aur growth 1.2965 tak hogi, phir dekhna hoga ke kya yeh resistance torh payegi, aur agar rollback par phir se support nahi milta 1.2917 ka, toh decline ki umeed ki ja sakti hai 1.2780 tak; agar rollback mein 1.2917 ka torhna nakam hota hai, ya 1.2965 ka resistance torh diya jata hai, toh growth hogi 1.3053 tak.

GBP/USD Currency Pair Analysis: Aaj Ki Situation Aur Future Predictions GBP/USD currency pair ne recently kuch noteworthy behavior dikhaya hai, khaaskar hourly chart par, jahan isne ek important technical landscape ko navigate kiya hai. Pair ne 50-day moving average (MA50) ke downward pressure ko break karna ek significant achievement thi, jo market mein kuch bullish momentum ka indication deti hai. Lekin, ab pair ko ek naya challenge face karna hai: 100-day moving average (MA100) se potential resistance, jo short-term mein further upward movement ke liye ek critical barrier ban sakta hai.
Technical Analysis


MA50 ke upar breakout GBP/USD bulls ke liye ek positive sign tha, jo yeh darshata hai ke pair mein itni strength hai ke wo higher resistance levels ko challenge kar sakti hai. Stochastic oscillator, jo ek momentum indicator hai, ab upar ki taraf trend kar raha hai, jo bullish sentiment ko reinforce karta hai aur suggest karta hai ke pair short-term mein upar push kar sakti hai. Yeh upward momentum buying interest ko reflect karta hai, kam se kam tab tak ke pair significant resistance se takraati hai.

Lekin, MA100 jo ke current trading levels ke upar hai, ek formidable resistance point banne ke liye tayar hai. Historically, MA100 ek critical level raha hai medium-term trends determine karne ke liye, aksar bullish aur bearish sentiment ke beech mein ek pivot ki tarah kaam karta hai. Agar GBP/USD MA100 ko sustain kar ke break kar leti hai, to yeh further gains ke liye raasta khol sakta hai, jo ke 1.2850 aur 1.2900 levels tak extend ho sakti hai. Wahi, agar pair is resistance ko break nahi karti, to yeh MA50 ki taraf reversal ko lead kar sakta hai ya phir niche ja sakta hai, jab traders apne positions ko reassess karenge.

Potential Scenarios

Agar GBP/USD MA100 ko successfully breach kar leti hai, to agle resistance levels 1.2850 aur 1.2900 ke aas-paas honge. Yeh levels previous highs ke sath coincide karte hain aur buyers aur sellers dono ka significant attention attract karenge. In levels ke upar sustained move ek prolonged bullish phase ko signal kar sakta hai, jo shayad 1.3000 psychological barrier ki taraf extend ho sakta hai.

Flip side par, agar pair MA100 par reject ho jati hai, to hume MA50 ki taraf ek pullback dekhne ko mil sakta hai, jo ke 1.2700 ke aas-paas hoga. Is scenario mein pair consolidation phase mein enter kar sakti hai, traders naye positions lene se pehle economic data ya geopolitical developments se further cues ka wait karenge.
Market Sentiment Aur Strategy

GBP/USD currency pair ne apni bullish momentum ko jaari rakha hai aur naya chart high 1.3100 tak pahuncha hai. Is surge ke piche kai factors ka combination hai, jinmein British pound ki mazbooti aur US dollar ki kamzori shamil hai. Ab yeh pair April 2022 ke baad se apni sabse unchi price ko achieve karne ki raah par hai, kyunki markets Federal Reserve se interest rates mein mazeed izafa ki umeed kar rahi hain. NFP data ki recent revision ne job growth mein significant izafe ko dikhaya hai, jo September mein zyada aggressive rate hike ke expectations ko barhawa de rahi hai. Iske ilawa, Federal Reserve ki latest meeting ke minutes se yeh pata chala hai ke policymakers July tak rate cuts par discuss kar rahe hain, jo GBP/USD ki upward trend ko aur tez kar raha hai.

UK ke August PMI data se thodi behtari ki ummeed hai, lekin US PMI business activity survey aur Jackson Hole symposium bhi nazar mein rakhe jayenge. Fed ki last policy meeting ke minutes, jo Wednesday ko release honge, central bank ke potential actions ke rationale ke bare mein insights denge. US ka S&P Global Manufacturing PMI stable rahne ka expectation hai, lekin services PMI component thoda kam hone ki umeed hai. Jackson Hole symposium ka opening Thursday ko hoga, aur Fed Chairman Jerome Powell ki Friday ko hone wali appearance market sentiment ke liye tone set kar sakti hai aane wale hafte ke liye.

GBP/USD pair ne strong upward trend dikhaya hai, key support levels se recovery ki hai aur resilience bhi demonstrate ki hai. Lekin, Stochastics aur RSI indicators se short-term weakness ke asaar nazar aa rahe hain. Agar yeh pair is resistance ko paar karne mein kamyab hota hai, toh yeh apni upward trajectory ko continue kar sakta hai aur one-year high 1.3045 tak pahuncha ja sakta hai. Downside par, support levels 23.6% Fibonacci level, 20- aur 50-day simple moving averages, aur ascending trend line ke aas-paas maujood hain.

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GBP/USD currency pair ne apni bullish momentum ko jaari rakha hai aur naya chart high 1.3100 tak pahuncha hai. Is surge ke piche kai factors ka combination hai, jinmein British pound ki mazbooti aur US dollar ki kamzori shamil hai. Ab yeh pair April 2022 ke baad se apni sabse unchi price ko achieve karne ki raah par hai, kyunki markets Federal Reserve se interest rates mein mazeed izafa ki umeed kar rahi hain. NFP data ki recent revision ne job growth mein significant izafe ko dikhaya hai, jo September mein zyada aggressive rate hike ke expectations ko barhawa de rahi hai. Iske ilawa, Federal Reserve ki latest meeting ke minutes se yeh pata chala hai ke policymakers July tak rate cuts par discuss kar rahe hain, jo GBP/USD ki upward trend ko aur tez kar raha hai.

UK ke August PMI data se thodi behtari ki ummeed hai, lekin US PMI business activity survey aur Jackson Hole symposium bhi nazar mein rakhe jayenge. Fed ki last policy meeting ke minutes, jo Wednesday ko release honge, central bank ke potential actions ke rationale ke bare mein insights denge. US ka S&P Global Manufacturing PMI stable rahne ka expectation hai, lekin services PMI component thoda kam hone ki umeed hai. Jackson Hole symposium ka opening Thursday ko hoga, aur Fed Chairman Jerome Powell ki Friday ko hone wali appearance market sentiment ke liye tone set kar sakti hai aane wale hafte ke liye.

GBP/USD pair ne strong upward trend dikhaya hai, key support levels se recovery ki hai aur resilience bhi demonstrate ki hai. Lekin, Stochastics aur RSI indicators se short-term weakness ke asaar nazar aa rahe hain. Agar yeh pair is resistance ko paar karne mein kamyab hota hai, toh yeh apni upward trajectory ko continue kar sakta hai aur one-year high 1.3045 tak pahuncha ja sakta hai. Downside par, support levels 23.6% Fibonacci level, 20- aur 50-day simple moving averages, aur ascending trend line ke aas-paas maujood hain.

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Assalamu Alaikum Dosto!

GBP/USD Friday ke European session mein 1.3100 se upar barqarar hai

Behtar hoti hui risk mood se USD ke liye apni position barqarar rakhna mushkil hota ja raha hai. Fed Chairman Powell ka Jackson Hole mein speech market mein volatility ko barha sakta hai. 4-hour chart par Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator 80 ke qareeb hai, jo ke GBP/USD ke near term mein overbought conditions ko reflect karta hai. Upside par, ascending channel ki upper limit agle resistance ke tor par 1.3160 par align hoti hai, phir 1.3200 (psychological level, static level) par. Pehla support 1.3100 (psychological level, static level) par dekha ja sakta hai, phir 1.3070 (ascending channel ki lower limit) aur 1.3030 (static level) par.

GBP/USD Thursday ko US Dollar (USD) ki nayi mazbooti ke bawajood flat raha aur Friday ke subah tak barh kar ek saal se zyada ke sab se unche level par 1.3130 ke upar trade kar raha tha. Jab investors Federal Reserve ke Chairman Jerome Powell ke Jackson Hole Symposium mein keynote speech ke intezar mein hain, toh yeh pair apne aik saal se zyada ke sab se unche level par hai.

US Dollar (USD) ne Thursday ko risk mood mein negative shift ka faida uthaya aur USD Index ne apne char din ki girawat ka silsila tod diya. Lekin, Pound Sterling apni position barqarar rakha, UK ke upbeat PMI data ke support se, jo dikhata hai ke August mein private sector mein business activity mazbooti se expand karti rahi.

Friday ke subah, US stock index futures mein 0.3% se 0.6% tak ka izafa hua, jo ke market sentiment mein behtari ko reflect karta hai aur USD Index ke Thursday ke rebound par barqarar rehne ko mushkil bana deta hai.

American session ke early hours mein, Powell ke policy outlook par comments USD ki valuation par asar dal sakte hain aur weekend ke qareeb GBP/USD ke action ko impact kar sakte hain.

Markets filhal September mein 25 basis points rate cut ko poori tarah price kar rahi hain, CME FedWatch Tool ke mutabiq, aur 25% chance dekhti hain ke 50 basis points ka reduction ho. Market positioning se yeh suggest hota hai ke agar Powell aglay meeting mein 25 bps rate cut ko confirm kar de toh bhi USD ke downside ke liye zyada room nahi bacha. Agar woh ye bayan karein ke policy easing mein gradual approach liya jayega aur bare rate cuts ko consider nahi kiya jayega, toh USD weekend ke qareeb mazbooti ikattha kar sakta hai aur GBP/USD ko neeche le ja sakta hai.

GBP/USD Technical Analysis

Pair ne July resistance 1.3044 ko break karne ke baad 2024 ke highs ko hit kiya, aur ab 2023 ke resistance 1.3142 ko cross karte hue 1.3159 (ek macro sell zone jo December 2021 ka broken support tha aur April 2022 mein resistance tha) aur mumkinan 1.32 tak pohanchne ka aim rakhta hai.

In levels tak gain extend karne ke liye, pair ko aaj ke Asian POC 1.3102 aur kal ke volume concentration ke qareeb, aaj ke opening 1.3089 ke beech mein, last intraday demand zone ke upar rehna hoga.

Agar subsequent rise 80% aur 100% Fibonacci extensions tak pahunchta hai aur exceed karta hai, toh 1.3076 level ko uptrend ke last significant intraday point ke tor par validate kar diya jayega.

Lekin, current scenario mein, agar price Thursday ke resistance 1.3129 ko break karne mein nakam rehta hai aur sellers nearest demand zone (Asian POC 1.3102 aur kal ke volume concentration ke qareeb 1.3090) ke neeche push karte hain, toh broader correction confirm ho jayega, aglay targets 1.3056, 1.3044, aur mumkinan uncovered POC* 1.3026 par.



Bullish bias intact rahega jab tak uptrend ka last significant support 1.3011 par barqarar hai. Is level ka decisive break, dosri lower low ke sath confirm hota hai, toh intraday bearish reversal trigger ho jayega.

• Bearish Corrective Scenario: Sell positions 1.3130 ke neeche TP1 par 1.3103 ke sath rakhain. Consider karain TP2: 1.3090, TP3: 1.3076, aur TP4: 1.3057 sirf ek decisive break ke baad. Stop-loss (S.L.) 1.3160 ke upar ya intraday trades ke liye kam az kam 1% account equity par rakhein.
• Bullish Scenario: Buy positions ek pullback ke baad (pehle PAR* formation ke sath) 1.3103 ke upar TP1: 1.3142, TP2: 1.3160, aur TP3: 1.3172 par extension ke sath rakhein. Stop-loss 1.3088 ke neeche ya kam az kam 1% account equity par rakhein. Trailing stop apply karain.

Fundamental Analysis

British Pound (GBP) 1.3130 ke yearly high ke qareeb dollar (USD) ke muqable mein barqarar hai, UK consumer confidence mein izafa ke hosla afza natayij se support hasil karta hua, GfK index ke mutabiq. Iske ilawa, Bank of England ki expectations agle rate adjustments ke bare mein, Andrew Bailey ke speech ke baad, further support deti hain bullish trend ko.

Lekin, recent dollar ki mazbooti, jo bond yields ke rebound aur Jerome Powell ke Jackson Hole address ke anticipation se driven hai, Pound ke aagay barhne ko limited karti hai. Central bank remarks par depend karta context is volatility ko barha sakta hai aur short-term pullbacks ko trigger kar sakta hai.

*GBPUSD Latest Analysis

Pound Sterling ne is saal US Dollar ke muqablay mein 1.3050 par ek nayi high mark ki hai. GBP/USD pair ek Rising Channel chart pattern mein trade kar raha hai, jahan market players har girawat ko ek kharidne ka mauka samajhte hain. 1.2875 ke qareeb, 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA upar ki taraf slope kar raha hai, jo near-term positive trend ko indicate karta hai. 14-period Relative Strength Index (RSI) strong upward momentum ko dikhata hai, jo bullish region 60.00–80.00 mein oscillate kar raha hai. Lekin, RSI ne overbought levels 70.00 ke aas-paas reach kar liye hain, jo ek corrective retreat ka imkaan barhata hai. Jo log pound sterling ke bullish hain, unke liye 1.3140 ke aas-paas ke do saal ke high ka level ek crucial resistance zone banega.

Maqbool lines clear hain: agar 1.3050 ke region mein purane highs ke upar sahi break hota hai, to market 1.3150 ki taraf move kar sakti hai. Lekin agar is point ke paas reversal hota hai, to pair wapas pehle ke resistance zone ki taraf ja sakta hai, jo ab support mein convert ho chuka hai upper 1.28s mein. Pichle do hafton mein, GBP/USD exchange rate mein kafi zyada izafa hua hai. Mahine ke shuru mein, cable 1.2700 ke aas-paas trade kar raha tha. Magar, yeh 9 mein se 8 din barh gaya hai (aur ab tak ke 10 din mein se 9 din barh gaya hai), aur ek 13-month high 1.3050 par pohnch gaya hai. Agar is point ke paas reversal hota hai, to pair wapas upper 1.2800 ke support ke paas ja sakta hai. Lekin agar 1.3050 zone mein recent highs ke upar ek verified break hota hai, to 1.3150 ki taraf continuation ka rasta khul sakta hai.

In summary, GBP/USD pair ab ek important level par hai. 1.3050 ke upar agar break hota hai, to next target 1.3150 ho sakta hai. Lekin agar is point ke paas market mein reversal hota hai, to support ke liye 1.2800 ke aas-paas wapas ja sakta hai. Is waqt, pound sterling ki upward movement aur technical indicators ko dekhte hue, aage kya hoga yeh dekhna hoga.**GBPUSD Latest Analysis**

Pound Sterling ne is saal US Dollar ke muqablay mein 1.3050 par ek nayi high mark ki hai. GBP/USD pair ek Rising Channel chart pattern mein trade kar raha hai, jahan market players har girawat ko ek kharidne ka mauka samajhte hain. 1.2875 ke qareeb, 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA upar ki taraf slope kar raha hai, jo near-term positive trend ko indicate karta hai. 14-period Relative Strength Index (RSI) strong upward momentum ko dikhata hai, jo bullish region 60.00–80.00 mein oscillate kar raha hai. Lekin, RSI ne overbought levels 70.00 ke aas-paas reach kar liye hain, jo ek corrective retreat ka imkaan barhata hai. Jo log pound sterling ke bullish hain, unke liye 1.3140 ke aas-paas ke do saal ke high ka level ek crucial resistance zone banega.

Maqbool lines clear hain: agar 1.3050 ke region mein purane highs ke upar sahi break hota hai, to market 1.3150 ki taraf move kar sakti hai. Lekin agar is point ke paas reversal hota hai, to pair wapas pehle ke resistance zone ki taraf ja sakta hai, jo ab support mein convert ho chuka hai upper 1.28s mein. Pichle do hafton mein, GBP/USD exchange rate mein kafi zyada izafa hua hai. Mahine ke shuru mein, cable 1.2700 ke aas-paas trade kar raha tha. Magar, yeh 9 mein se 8 din barh gaya hai (aur ab tak ke 10 din mein se 9 din barh gaya hai), aur ek 13-month high 1.3050 par pohnch gaya hai. Agar is point ke paas reversal hota hai, to pair wapas upper 1.2800 ke support ke paas ja sakta hai. Lekin agar 1.3050 zone mein recent highs ke upar ek verified break hota hai, to 1.3150 ki taraf continuation ka rasta khul sakta hai.

In summary, GBP/USD pair ab ek important level par hai. 1.3050 ke upar agar break hota hai, to next target 1.3150 ho sakta hai. Lekin agar is point ke paas market mein reversal hota hai, to support ke liye 1.2800 ke aas-paas wapas ja sakta hai. Is waqt, pound sterling ki upward movement aur technical indicators ko dekhte hue, aage kya hoga yeh dekhna hoga

Subha ke apne forecast mein, maine 1.2775 level par focus kiya tha aur trading faislay us par bananay ka plan kiya tha. Ab 5-minute chart dekhtay hain aur dekhte hain kya hua. 1.2775 par izafa aur us ke baad ek jhooti breakout ne pound ke liye selling ka mauqa faraham kiya, jis se pair mein 30-point ka girawat hui. Kyun ke 1.2735 ka target abhi tak nahi pohcha, technical outlook ko din ke dosray hisay ke liye revise nahi kiya gaya hai GBP/USD par long positions kholnay ke liye UK se kisi aham statistics keaghair, 1.2775 ke ird gird bulls ki sakht koshishon ne heran Nahi kiya, lekin humein baray players ki taraf se support nahi mili. Yeh mumkin hai ke pair din ke dosray hisay mein sideways channel ke andar trading karta rahay, jab tak US data ya Federal Reserve ke speeches nahi aati. Jis tarah se hum buyers ke attempts dekh chukay hain, yeh mumkin nahi lagta ke koi phir se din ka high torhnay ki koshish karega. Iss context mein, main yeh behtar samajhta hoon ke najdeeki support 1.2735 ke aas paas decline par amal karoon, jo ke last week ke akhir mein form hui thi. Sirf ek jhooti breakout 1.2735 level par long positions kholnay ka acha mouqa de sakti hai, jiska target 1.2775 resistance tak ka izafa hoga, jise aaj pehle hi test kiya ja chuka hai. Aik breakout aur is range ka top-to-bottom retest pound ke izafa ke chances barha dega, jo ke long position entry point hoga aur 1.2807 level tak pohchnay ke imkaanat barh jayeinge. Final target 1.2836 level hoga, jahan main profits lene ka plan kar raha hoon. Agar GBP/USD mein girawat aati hai aur din ke dosray hisay mein 1.2735 ke aas paas bull activity nahi hoti, jo ke mujhe shak hai, to pound zyada significant girawat dekh sakta hai. Is se decline hoga aur aglay support 1.2700 ka test hoga, jisse pair mein zyada significant drop ke imkaanat barh jayeinge. Is liye sirf ek jhooti breakout hi long positions kholnay ke liye munasib shart hogi. Main GBP/USD ko foran khareedne ka plan karoon ga jab 1.2667 low se rebound hoga, jiska target 30-35 point ka din mein correction hog

British pound ki recent surge jo U.S. dollar ke muqable mein 13-mahinon ki bulandi tak pohanchi thi, U.S. Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) ke release ke baad market sentiment mein tabdeeli ki wajah se achanak rukh gai. Ye achanak reversal Federal Reserve ke Chair Jerome Powell ki Jackson Hole Economic Symposium mein takreer ke liye intezar mein izafa kar raha hai. Market ke hissa lene wale Powell ke insights ke intezar mein hain ke kya Fed rate cut ke liye September mein kitna imkaan hai aur kitna bada cut ho sakta hai. Market pehle se hi rate cut ki taraf jhuka hua tha, lekin mixed PMI data ne is spekulasyon ko barhawa diya hai ke ek ziada aggressive 50-basis-point reduction ho sakti hai. Fed ka pechla rate cut 25 basis points ka tha jo September mein hua tha, aur is mahine ke liye bhi lagbhag 75% imkaan hai ke waisa hi cut ho. Doosri taraf, UK ka August ka PMI data kuch umeedon ka izhar kar raha hai. Sabhi components—composite, manufacturing, aur services—ne expectations ko exceed kiya aur pichle levels se behtar huye. Khaaskar services sector mein ek notable uptick dekha gaya jo April ke baad se apni sabse buland point par hai. Is ke muqable mein, U.S. manufacturing PMI data disappoint kar gaya, jo ke forecast se neeche raha aur sector mein kamzori ka izhar karta hai. Haan, services PMI ne achanak barhawa zaroor diya, magar underlying employment data ye suggest karta hai ke U.S. labor market mein contraction ho raha hai. Ye conflicting economic picture ne market mein uncertainty ko aur barhawa diya hai, khaaskar Bureau of Labor Statistics ke taraf se March ke nonfarm payrolls report se 800,000 se zyada jobs ko retroactively hatane ke baad.

Recent setback ke bawajood, pound dollar ke muqable mein mazeed gains ke liye tayyar lag raha hai. Pichle das trading dino ke dauran pair ka positive performance bullish bias suggest karta hai. Magar, technical indicators, jaise ke Stochastic aur RSI, kamzori ke asar dikha rahe hain, jo ke short-term downside pressure ko indicate karte hain. Agar GBP/USD July 2023 ka peak 1.3142 ke upar break kar le, to ye ek ziada significant uptrend trigger kar sakta hai. Potential upside targets mein ek saal ki bulandi 1.3145 aur 1.3140 level shamil hain. Downside par, support levels 23.6% Fibonacci level 1.2870 par, 20-aur 50-day simple moving averages 1.2825 aur 1.2800 par, aur ascending trend line aur 38.2% Fibonacci level 1.2760 par ho sakte hain. Akhir mein, GBP/USD abhi bhi flux ki state mein hai, bullish momentum aur Fed ki monetary policy aur economic indicators ke hawalay se uncertainty ke darmiyan balance bana raha hai. Aane wala Jackson Hole Symposium pair ke future direction ka taayun mein ahem kirdar ada karega.

GBPUSD Forum Analysis,Forecast

Aaj ke trading sessions ke aakhri ghanton mein, maine dekha ke GBPUSD ki price position ab bhi Buyers ke asar mein hai, khaaskar kal raat ke trading session mein, jab price ne kaafi ucha move kiya aur ek lambi bullish candlestick banayi, jo yeh darshata hai ke market conditions ek majboot buyer force ke control mein thi. Ab tak, market mein upar ki taraf movement chal rahi hai jo ke 1.3102 ke level tak pohnch gayi hai. Iske ilawa, pichle Monday se price phir se upar ki taraf movement kar rahi hai aur ab tak consistently bullish path par hai.

Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator par Lime Line ki position bhi dikhti hai jo level 70 tak chuki hai, jo ke market trend ke bullish phase ka indication hai. Aaj ke session mein buyers ka force shayad zyada strong ho kar price ko aur upar push kare. BUY trading option ab bhi main priority hai kyunki buyers ka target lagbhag 1.3165 ke price level tak ho sakta hai. Market mein aaj subah se halka sa downward correction dekhne ko mila hai, shayad bullish situation European aur American market sessions ke shuru hone tak jari rahe.

Temporary monitoring ke hisaab se, main abhi market conditions ko monitor kar raha hoon kyunki market mein volatility nahi badhi hai, lekin yeh bhi nahi ke aaj GBPUSD currency pair ka movement bullish phase ko continue nahi kar sakta. Simple Moving Average indicator ke upar candlestick ka position yeh darshata hai ke market ab bhi bullish path par hai. MACD Indicator par histogram bar ki position bhi zero level ke upar extend hoti nazar aati hai, jo bullish trend signal hai. Aise conditions ke saath, market ke upar jane ki umeed hai.

**Conclusion:**
Aaj raat ke trading session mein buying transactions ke barhne ke ahem chances hain, isliye candlestick ke upar move karne ki umeed hai aur short-term market situation jo bullish trend mein hai. Simple Moving Average indicator ke upar candlestick ki position yeh darshati hai ke market ke bullish hone ki potential hai. Mere khayal se, agar price movements ki tendency ab bhi upar ki taraf hai to BUY transaction opportunities ko dekhna ek achi reference ho sakti hai.

BUY trading level ko 1.3115 ke price range se wait karna chahiye, khaaskar agar increase ka target 1.3170 ke nazdeek ho. Risk of loss limit ko 1.3080 ke price par rakhna chahiye. Agar buyer bullish target level tak pohnch jata hai, to next week ke trading session tak further increases ke potential bhi zyada ho sakte hain.

Shaam bakhair. Pound ke kharidaar pichle hafte apni taqat ikattha karne mein kamyaab rahe aur resistance zone ko paar kar diya. Hum haftay ke aakhir ko piche chorh dein ge. Aaj bhi yeh apni positions ko mazid mazboot kar rahe hain aur aisa lagta hai ke wo 1.30436 tak pahunchne ki koshish karenge. Is ke liye pehle unhein 1.30123 ke level ko todna aur uspe stable hona hoga. Agar hum yeh sochte hain ke price niche ki taraf modti hai, to sabse nazdeek strong level kaafi door hai, 1.28808 par. Aur sellers ko kam se kam ek reversal model banana hoga, us par bharosa karna hoga taake ek zyada significant downward movement develop ho sake.

GBPUSD M30 Pair:

1- Weekend par Pound ke liye 1.29872 ke level se purchases ka entry point forecast kiya gaya tha, magar price market ke khulne se is level tak nahi pohnchi.

2- Tape ke situation ke hawale se, price upper tape ke along movement form karne ki koshish kar rahi hai. Growth aur prices ke liye behtar signal dekhne ke liye, upper band ke baahar active exit dekhna zaroori hai, aur phir dekhna hoga ke bands outward khulte hain ya koi reaction nahi hoti.

3- AO indicator positive area mein damping form karna shuru ho gaya hai. Agar hum zero mark ki taraf zyada active movement dekhte hain, to price girne ka zyada strong signal milega. Positive zone mein nai barhavat quotes ke barhne ka signal degi.

4- Purchases ke liye entry point 1.29872 se chorh sakte hain. Breakout aur consolidation ke baad price growth ki umeed 1.30306 aur 1.30652 tak ki ja sakti hai.





5- Sales 1.29387 ke level par ki ja sakti hain. Price girne ki umeed 1.29132 aur 1.28799 tak ja sakti hai.

GBP/USD Analysis

Price ne 1.2940 par lower RSI position mein dakhil hua hai. Lekin, ab yeh 1.2960 par ek resistance level ban gaya hai aur sab se qareeb support level ke aas paas ruk gaya hai. Agar yeh support level toot jata hai, toh cup pattern ke andar cheek signal ki theek tasdeeq mumkin hai. Is liye, GBP/USD ki rate ke mazeed girne ke imkaanaat hain. Sab se qareeb target yeh hoga ke andar bullish pattern ko resistance aur support ke areas ki taraf 1.2880 par girna hoga.

Dusri taraf, agar aap GBP/USD pair ko daily time frame se dekhein, toh aap dekhain ge ke iska maqaam iski daily price ke qareeb hai, jo ke 1.2860 par hai, jo iska resistance aur support zone hai. Yeh is liye lag raha hai ke ek fast wrap pattern ban raha hai. Price das moving averages ke niche hone ki wajah se, RSI range mein wapas jaana ab bhi mushkil lagta hai, jisse mumkin hai ke false signals milen. Iske ilawa, 1.2975 ke resistance aur support area ke niche mazeed girne ke liye ek bara catalyst bhi zaroori hai. Is resistance zone ke niche, wahid cheez jo scenario ko manfi tor par mutasir kar sakti hai, woh dollar index ka rebound hai, kyun ke currency daily resistance se upar hai.




Is beech, agar dollar index sab se qareeb support area 1.2855 par resistance area mein wapas aata hai, toh GBP/USD par dabao padne ke imkaanaat hain, jis ki wajah se inner bar pattern symmetrical shape ke niche ki taraf girne lagega. 1.2810 par ek triangle pattern hai. Is tarah, agar price pressure flip-flopping zone 1.2845 aur 1.2885 ke darmiyan se guzar jata hai, toh price mazeed girne ke imkaanaat 1.2790 aur 1.2835 ke darmiyan ho sakte hain, agar price pressure is zone se guzar jata hai.

GBP/USD Forecast: Psychological Resistance Torne ki Koshish

GBP/USD ki exchange rate jumay ke din aik naye maqaam par pohnchi, kuch ahm levels ko tor kar long-term recovery trend ko dobara chart par markaz mein le aayi. GBP/USD ne rebound karte hue apne gains ko 1.2945 resistance tak barhaya, jo is maheene ki sabse buland satah hai aur psychological resistance 1.3000 ke sabse qareeb hai, jo bulls ke control ko support karta hai.

Ek reliable trading platform ke mutabiq, US dollar ki wasee girawat ne British pound ko European subah mein jari UK ke mixed July retail sales data ke asar se niklne mein madad di, aur GBP/USD ne chart par ahm levels ko wapas hasil kiya. Technical tor par, GBP/USD 1.2845 ke 200-week moving average ke upar barh gaya, aur phir July ke low 1.2901 se 61.8% upar gaya jab US dollar tamam badi currencies ke muqable mein gira.

Dollar Asia, Europe, aur North America mein kamzor hua, jis se GBP/USD ko apne pehlay rebound ko mazeed barhane ka mauqa mila, jo August ke shuruat ke lows se barh raha tha aur aane wale waqt mein mazeed gains ki gunjaish mohaya kar raha tha.

GBP/USD mein tezi se izafa Tuesday se hua, jab se trade report aayi thi, kyun ke UK ke employment data aur US producer price data ke intezar se behtar nateeje aaye, jo ke mazid deflation ke imkaan ko zahir karta hai. Is ne pound ko mazboot kiya aur dollar par dabao dala. Britain mein huqqalat mehngayi ne budh ko pound ke liye radd-e-amal paida kiya, jab ke dollar kamzor ho gaya jab US inflation mazeed gira, jis ne bazaar ko September mein US ke tez dar-o-mudaat mein kami ke liye zyada yaqeen de diya.




Is ke bawajood, UK ke second quarter ke mazeed mazboot data ne guzishtha jumerat ko GBP/USD ko nuqsan se bahar nikaalne mein madad ki, chaahe US July retail sales report ke jaari hone ke baad dollar mazboot ho gaya tha. Kul mila kar, GBP/USD ke jumay ke gains ab tawajjo mein hain, jab ke exchange rate apne July ke aakhir ke low 1.2965 se 78.6% retrace kar gaya, aur yeh saal ke taaza peak 1.3047 ke aqrab-e-hal ke dafa ke tour par hai, Bank of England ke Governor aur Fed ke Chairman Jerome Powell ke Jackson Hole Symposium mein iss hafta aam bayanat se pehle.

British pound ne apni upward trajectory ko jaari rakhte hue Tuesday ko US dollar ke muqable mein teesre musalsal din gains hasil kiye. Is surge ne sterling ko 13 maheenon ki bulandi tak pohanchaya, jo 1.3050 ke level se zara zyada tha. Dollar ki wasee kamzori ne pound ke izafa mein aham kirdar ada kiya. Market sentiment mein wuzuud rahi kyun ke aham maeeshat se mutaliq data releases aur Jackson Hole economic symposium ke aaghaz ka intezar hai. Halanke, budh ka din high-impact events se araam ka aik moqa faraham karta hai, lekin hafta ke doosre hissay mein aham market movement ke liye ek catalyst hone ki umeed hai. UK ki taraf se Wednesday ko August ke liye Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) zahir kiya jayega. Umeed hai ke overall index mein halka sa izafa hoga, jis ki waja se khaas tor par services sector mein izafa hona hai. Manufacturing component ke stable rehnay ki tawaqo hai. Doosri taraf, Atlantic ke us par, US apna PMI data Thursday ko release karega, jo Jackson Hole symposium se pehle hoga. Federal Reserve ki sab se taaza policy meeting ke minutes bhi budh ko jari honge, lekin market ke shirkat karne walay ziada tawajjo un minutes par denge jo Thursday ko release hone wale hain. Tawako ki ja rahi hai ke US manufacturing PMI ki reading flat rahegi aur services PMI ke liye ek downward revision hogi. Jackson Hole symposium, jo is hafta ke aakhir mein shuru ho raha hai, sarmaiya kardon ke liye ek aham nuqta-e-tawajjo hone ki umeed hai. Lekin, asle market par asar daalne wala event Federal Reserve ke Chairman Jerome Powell ki speech hone ki umeed hai jo ke jumay ko hoga. Un ke remarks aane wale hafta ke liye market sentiment ko tay karne mein kirdar ada karenge.




**Technically**, pound ka 13 maheenon ki bulandi tak barhna usay ek nazuk surat-e-haal mein rakh raha hai. Agar ye ab ke resistance levels ko paar karne mein nakaam hota hai, toh mumkin hai ke aik short-term girawat aaye, jo ke daily chart par double top pattern banayega. Dusri taraf, ek had se zyada tezi se barhna aik temporary pullback ka sabab ban sakta hai jab tak ke usay koi mazboot technical resistance ka saamna na ho. 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), jo ke is waqt takreeban 1.2806 ke qareeb hai, ek aham technical indicator hai jis par nazar rakhni chahiye. Kul mila kar, pound ki haaliya mazbooti dollar ki kamzori aur positive market sentiment ki wajah se hai. Jis tarah aanay wala maeeshat se mutaliq data aur central bank ke commentary short-term trends ko mutasir karegi, overarching kahani mumkin hai ke Federal Reserve ke policy outlook se murtab ho jo Chairman Powell ne Jackson Hole mein wazeh ki hai.