𝐔𝐒𝐃/𝐉𝐏𝐘

Mazboot bechnay ke dabao ke darmiyan, is haftay ke tajarat mein American dollar ne Japanese yen ke khilaf raftar barhai, jo ke tashkeel-e-152.14 ke samay likhai gayi tashrih mein yeh currency pair ke liye tees mahinon ke andar sab se kam level hai. Yeh woh waqt hai jab tajarbat se bahar aane ki umeed hai ke Bank of Japan agli haftay dobarey aksaar dar ko barha sakti hai, jis se chhote bechnay walay apni jayez jagah se bahar hona majboor ho jayenge. Is silsile mein, ruling party ke senior afraad Toshimitsu Motegi ne Bank of Japan ko arz kiya ke woh apni maali siyasat ko normal karne ke iraday ko wazeh karay, darjat e faiz ko mustaqil taur par barhate hue, aur unhone kaha ke yen ke beshumar girawat mulk ki maliyat par bura asar dal rahi hai.

Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida ne bhi is maamle mein kaha ke central bank ki maali siyasat ka mustaqil hona Japan ke liye ek mustahkam maeeshat ki taraf israr hai. Maaliyati bazarat abhi 10 basis points ke dar barhane ke Bank of Japan ke agle haftay ke qareeb 44% imkan ko dekh rahe hain. Yen ke is mahine ki izafa pehle sarkari interfaal se mutasir tha, Bank of Japan ke data ke mutabiq aitrazat ke doraan sarkari mohtasibat ne 11 se 12 July ke darmiyan tak qareeban 6 trillion yen khareeda ho sakta hai.

Economic calendar ke natayej ke mutabiq... Ameriki maeeshat ke taraqqi ka andaza hai ke 2024 ke doosre quarter mein 2% barh sakta hai, jo ke 2024 ke pehle teen mahinon mein 1.4% se afzal hai. Is mein maeeshat ki rok thi, jo 2022 se pehlay se aam taur pe 3.1% se thi, darjat e faiz mein izafa ke darmiyan maeeshat mein slack.

Rozana ke chart ke natayej ke mutabiq, USD/JPY currency pair ke liye umoomi bearish trend mazboot ho raha hai aur rasta 150.00 ke manshoor tak barh raha hai, jo taza harkat ko tasdeeq karta hai aur aik sath hi technical nishanaat ko mazboot bechnay ki saturation darjat tak le jaayega. Yeh currency pair Bank of Japan ki agli haftay ki ilanat tak is dabao ke neeche rahay ga. Aaj, US dollar Ameriki GDP taraqqi, haftawarana be-rozgarana dawaat aur mazboot samaan ke order ka ilanat ke jawab mein barqi hai.

USD/JPY Sir, hello. Well, Victor, yahan hum hain) Kal hamara sukoon aur uttar chadhaav karne wala USDJPY dakshin ki taraf urh gaya, to... Shayad is se bohat se log, jo keh bech rahe thay, khushi se hairan ho gaye) Chaar so points praktikal taur par ek hi jatke mein - wow! Ab humare paas is aalaat ke liye rozana chart par kya hai:
MA100 - itna shandar giravat ke bawajood - asteen ke pandrah darjay ki charahi par jagah ka amal jari hai. Aur jab tak keh tamam mombatein is se ooper hain, to ye samajhna hai keh market baevo se bhar gaya hai.
MA18 waqt ke sath sath zameen ke barabar jagah par amal kar raha hai. Matlab ke aaj ke din ke liye ek flat mood pehle se hi qayam ho chuka hai. Keemat ney local MA18 ke neechey mazboot ho gayi hai. Matlab, do moving averages ke pattern ney vikaas mein shamil ho gaya hai: jahan MA18 ab humein 160.35 ke level par resistance de raha hai, aur hum MA100 - level 155.50 par kaam karne ke liye majboor hain.
in moving averages ke darmiyan ab humare paas Ichimoku Cloud hai, jo ek mazeed resistance zone bana raha hai. Is waqt ke liye, by the way, iska koi jism bhi nahi hai, ye zero level par majmooa hai. Isi liye mujhe lagta hai keh giravat jaari rahegi. Aur taqdeer ke nazar mein, ye phir se baelav ki taraf chala jata hai aur baevo mahaul ko bahut taqatwar tarah se phela raha hai.
Lesha! Bear ne kal daily candle par bohat achi dakshini harkat dikhai, jis mein wo chaar so points ke kareeb gir gaya. Amuman, maine apne liye ye faisla kiya keh keemat abhi bhi upar chadhne wale channel ke andar trade kar rahi hai, agar bull price ko 160.20 ke resistance level tak correct karne jaaye, to main bechnay mein dakhil ho jaunga. Is halat mein, ahtiyat ke taur par, main bechnay ke waqt maximum ke thora ooper stop lagaaunga, jo keh price mark 161.96 par mojood hai. Agar hum takreeban baat karenge, to mujhe lagta hai keh aise bechnay ke saath 250 points ke stop-loss level rakhna mumkin ho ga aur 750 points ke faide ka intezar karna hoga. Yahan soch raha tha, keh is waqt 152.00 se neeche kuch bhi plan na kiya jaaye, kyunki is round support level se aglay sudhaar mein ek bohat acha izafa ho sakta hai.

USD/JPY currency pair ne haal hi mein ek wazeh bullish trend dikhaya hai, jo ke technical indicators jaise Heiken Ashi candlesticks, Triangular Moving Average (TMA) linear channel, aur Relative Strength Index (RSI) se support hasil kar raha hai. Yeh indicators mil kar is pair mein long positions lene ke liye ek favorable mahol ko signal karte hain.

Heiken Ashi candlesticks, jo ke price action ka smooth representation dene ke liye mashhoor hain, filhal chart par neela candles dikhate hain, jo ke upward price movement ko indicate karte hain. Yeh market mein bullish sentiment se align karta hai. Iske ilawa, TMA linear channel, jo ke moving averages ke zariye support aur resistance levels ko outline karta hai, dikhata hai ke jab ke prices thodi dair ke liye lower limit (lal dotted line) ke neeche gaye, unhone middle line (peeli dotted line) ki taraf wapas rebound kiya. Yeh bounce resilience aur aage ki taraf upward movement ke potential ki taraf ishara karta hai.

RSI oscillator (14) trading signals ke liye ek filter ka kaam karta hai, jo overbought aur oversold conditions ko indicate karta hai. Filhal, RSI curve upar ki taraf trend kar raha hai aur overbought threshold ke upar hai, jo strong bullish momentum ko signal karta hai. Yeh confirmation RSI se long positions lene ke liye case ko majboot karta hai.

Haal ke developments mein dekha gaya hai ke US dollar ne disappointing economic data ki wajah se bechne ka pressure face kiya, jo ke yeh major currencies, including Japanese yen ke muqablay mein kafi decline kiya. Magar is downturn ke darmiyan, USD/JPY pair ne ek ascending trendline se support hasil kiya, jo ke iske liye ek crucial support level ka darja rakhti hai. Yeh trendline ne haal ki declines ke doran baar baar prices ko upar uthaya, jo ke iski ahmiyat ko current market structure mein dikhata hai.

Ane wale waqt mein, bullish consolidation jo wave structure se dikh rahi hai, USD/JPY ke liye potential upside momentum ka ishaara karti hai. Traders ko TMA channel ke upper limit (neela dotted line) ki taraf movement ko monitor karna chahiye, jo ke filhal 159.181 ke aas paas projected hai. Is level ki taraf sustained move ek mauqa pesh kar sakta hai long positions lene ke liye, jo ke pair mein mazeed fayde ko target karega.

Aakhri mein, di gayi supportive technical indicators aur key support levels se rebound ko dekhtay hue, USD/JPY pair ke liye nazar aane wale waqt mein bullish bias ki zaroorat hai. Traders ko resistance levels ke breakout ke liye vigilant rehna chahiye, jo ke TMA channel ke zariye outline kiye gaye hain, jab ke broader market sentiment ko strategic entry aur exit points ke liye dekhne ka khayal rakhte hue.USD/JPY currency pair ne haal hi mein ek wazeh bullish trend dikhaya hai, jo ke technical indicators jaise Heiken Ashi candlesticks, Triangular Moving Average (TMA) linear channel, aur Relative Strength Index (RSI) se support hasil kar raha hai. Yeh indicators mil kar is pair mein long positions lene ke liye ek favorable mahol ko signal karte hain.

Heiken Ashi candlesticks, jo ke price action ka smooth representation dene ke liye mashhoor hain, filhal chart par neela candles dikhate hain, jo ke upward price movement ko indicate karte hain. Yeh market mein bullish sentiment se align karta hai. Iske ilawa, TMA linear channel, jo ke moving averages ke zariye support aur resistance levels ko outline karta hai, dikhata hai ke jab ke prices thodi dair ke liye lower limit (lal dotted line) ke neeche gaye, unhone middle line (peeli dotted line) ki taraf wapas rebound kiya. Yeh bounce resilience aur aage ki taraf upward movement ke potential ki taraf ishara karta hai.

RSI oscillator (14) trading signals ke liye ek filter ka kaam karta hai, jo overbought aur oversold conditions ko indicate karta hai. Filhal, RSI curve upar ki taraf trend kar raha hai aur overbought threshold ke upar hai, jo strong bullish momentum ko signal karta hai. Yeh confirmation RSI se long positions lene ke liye case ko majboot karta hai.

Haal ke developments mein dekha gaya hai ke US dollar ne disappointing economic data ki wajah se bechne ka pressure face kiya, jo ke yeh major currencies, including Japanese yen ke muqablay mein kafi decline kiya. Magar is downturn ke darmiyan, USD/JPY pair ne ek ascending trendline se support hasil kiya, jo ke iske liye ek crucial support level ka darja rakhti hai. Yeh trendline ne haal ki declines ke doran baar baar prices ko upar uthaya, jo ke iski ahmiyat ko current market structure mein dikhata hai.

Ane wale waqt mein, bullish consolidation jo wave structure se dikh rahi hai, USD/JPY ke liye potential upside momentum ka ishaara karti hai. Traders ko TMA channel ke upper limit (neela dotted line) ki taraf movement ko monitor karna chahiye, jo ke filhal 159.181 ke aas paas projected hai. Is level ki taraf sustained move ek mauqa pesh kar sakta hai long positions lene ke liye, jo ke pair mein mazeed fayde ko target karega.

Aakhri mein, di gayi supportive technical indicators aur key support levels se rebound ko dekhtay hue, USD/JPY pair ke liye nazar aane wale waqt mein bullish bias ki zaroorat hai. Traders ko resistance levels ke breakout ke liye vigilant rehna chahiye, jo ke TMA channel ke zariye outline kiye gaye hain, jab ke broader market sentiment ko strategic entry aur exit points ke liye dekhne ka khayal rakhte hue.

Duniya ki mazboot bechne ki dabao ke beech, Amreekee dollar ki qeemat Japani yen ke khilaf (USD/JPY) is hafte trading ke doran gir gayi hai, jahan ke nuksan ne 152.14 ke support level tak rang laga diya hai, jo ke currency joray ke liye teen mahinon se zyada ka sab se neecha point hai. Yeh is liye hua hai ke traders yeh daawa kar rahe hain ke Bank of Japan agle hafte interest rates dobara barhaegi, jis ne short sellers ko apni positions khatam karne par majboor kar diya. Is hawale se, Toshimitsu Motegi, ruling party ka aik senior afsaar, Bank of Japan se guzarish ki ke woh apne monetary policy ko normal karne ka plan wazeh karein aur dheere dheere interest rates barhain, yeh kehte hue ke yen mein barh kar talak mein izafa ma'ashiyat par manfi asar dalta hai.

Japanese Wazeer-e-Azam Fumio Kishida ne bhi kaha ke central bank ki monetary policy ka normal hona Japan ki growth-based economy ki taraf jangahat mein madad karega. Mali markets abhi dekhti hain ke Bank of Japan ke agle hafte 10 basis point ka rate hike karne ka lagbhag 44% mauqa hai. Is mahine ke dauran Japani yen ka izafa shuru mein sarkari mudakhalat se hua, jab Bank of Japan ke data ne zahir kiya ke authorities ne 11 se 12 July ke doran takreeban 6 trillion yen kharida ho sakta hai.

Ma'ashiyat ke calendar ke natayej ke mutabiq... Amreekee ma'ashiyat 2024 ke doosray ruba mein 2% ki growth karne ka imkana hai, jo ke pehle teen mahinon mein 1.4% tha. Halankeh yeh izafa ab bhi aakhri do rubaon ka sab se slow quarter darust karega, jo ke 2022 se hai, kyunki yeh bhut kam average quarterly growth hai. 2021 se 2023 tak yeh rate 3.1% raha, jo ke izafi darjaat ke beech ma'ashiyat mein kami zaahir kar raha hai. Doosray ruba mein, consumer spending ka doobara izafa hona 2.2% ke aas paas ho sakta hai, jo pehle ruba ke 1.5% se zyada hai, aur inventories takreeban 1% ki growth ko account karegi, jo ke Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta ke GDP andaze ke mutabiq hai. Halankeh residential investment pehle ruba mein do digits mein izafa karne ke baad kami hoga, aur net trade bhi growth par manfi asar daal sakta hai jo ke kam exports ki wajah se hai.

Aam chart ke performance ke mutabiq, USD/JPY currency joray ka aam bearish trend mazid mazboot ho raha hai aur yeh 150.00 ke psychological support ki taraf aghe barhne ka raasta khaul raha hai, jo ke haal ki lehr ko tasdeeq karega aur saath hi technical indicators ko mazboot selling saturation levels ki taraf push karega. Yeh currency jora is dabao mein tab tak rahega jab tak Bank of Japan agle hafte apna elan karega. Aaj, Amreekee dollar US GDP growth reading, weekly unemployment claims, aur durable goods orders ki elan par react karega.

Japanese yen ne aajkal US dollar ke muqablay mein kafi mazbooti dikhayi hai, bawajood iske ke Treasury yields ke general uptrend ne greenback ko mazid mazbooti di hai. Yeh unexpected harkat ziyada tar bazar ki umeedon ke wajah se hai ke Japanese authorities shayad yen ki tezi se girawat ko rokne ke liye madakhlat karein. Surat-e-haal aur bhi pechida hai kyun ke US se milne wale mixed economic indicators hain. Jabke kamzor-than-expected US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data ne dollar ki mazbooti ko pehle thanda kar diya tha, baad ke reports, jaise ke Michigan Consumer Confidence Index aur US Producer Price Index (PPI), mazeed roshni dalenge US economy ke trajectory par. Yeh note karne laayak hai ke Japan pehle hi yen ko stabilize karne ke liye kadam utha chuka hai, 11 July ko karodon kharch kar ke currency khareedi thi. Hukoomati afsaraan ne bhi yeh ishara diya hai ke zarurat parne par mazeed ikdamat liye ja sakte hain. Lekin, aakhri faisla monetary policy ka Bank of Japan (BoJ) ka hoga, jo ke expected hai ke July ki aane wali meeting mein interest rates ko barhaye ga inflationary pressures ko address karne ke liye. Daily chart par, Japanese yen mein correction ke signs dikh rahe hain. Local seven-day low 160 yen per dollar tak girawat mumkin hai. Agar yeh level barqarar rehta hai, toh price wapas annual high 161.951 tak ja sakti hai, jo ke raasta kholti hai 165 yen per dollar tak. Lekin, itni mazboot harkat bina deep correction ke risky hai. Yeh yaqini nahi ke is scenario mein kaun se correction levels aayenge. Kam se kam, 151.001 ke neeche ek corrective movement mumkin hai, jo ke nayi bearish trend ka ishara de sakti hai. Jitna aage yeh pair continue karte hue trend mein move karega, utna hi correction levels darawne lagte hain, jo ke lambay arse tak reh sakte hain. USD/JPY pair par Japanese yen ke saath surat-e-haal ab tak clear nahi hai, aur humein dekhna hoga ke aane wale trading week mein bazar kaise develop hota hai

H-4 time frame mein USDJPY pair ki tashreeh:

Is hafte ke hawaale se dekhte hue, wazeh hai ke market ab bhi farokht karne wale ki kontrol ke saath chal raha hai, jis se keh 152.66 ke qeemat ilaqa mein gir sakti hai, umeed hai ke candlestick neechay ki taraf chalne ki jari rakh sakay. Sab se pichle dino ke tamam market trend tasawwurat se wazeh hai ke yeh bechani se neechay ki taraf ja raha hai takay mazeed gehra gir sakay. Market mein hafte ke darmiyan yeh zahir ho raha hai ke qeemat ka halaat zyada tabdeel nahi hue hain kyun ke qeemat ki sair abi tak gir rahi hai aur hafte ki ibtedai qeemat se aur door ho rahi hai. Shaam ya raat ke baad shuru hone wala bhi mazeed mushkil safar ho sakta hai.

Meri tashreeh ke mutabiq, jo bade time frame mein dekha gaya hai, qeemat pehle din ke trend ke mutabiq girne ki salahiyat rakhti hai. USDJPY pair ke halat bade time frame mein bearish nazar aa rahi hai, mein is sharait ko 4 ghanton ke time frame chart ke zariye monitor karta hoon. Kharidar ke taraf se qeemat ko ooncha karne ki koi koshish nahi hui hai, jo ke bearish trend ko ab tak jari rakh rahi hai. Market mein lambi muddat ke jazbat ke liye mauqa aam tor par neeche ki taraf hota hai, is liye market par bearish hone ki mumkinat par tawajjo dena behtar hai. Shayad farokht karne wale candlestick ko 152.51 ilaqa ke aas paas pohanchane ke liye neeche le jana chahte hain.

Samajhna chahiye ke qeemat mazeed kamzor safar ke saath mazboot neeche ki taraf jari trend bana sakti hai jo ke zyada tabdeel ki hawas ke saath ek ziada munafa ke mauqe faraham kar sakta hai. Is ke ilawa, humein yeh bhi ghor karna hoga ke market ghaibi taur par pehle haftay ki tarah bullish trend mein lot sakta hai. Is liye behtar hai ke halqay ke mutabiq amal kiya jaye keun ke farokht karne wale abhi bhi bohat taqatwar hain. Meri agla USDJPY pair ke liye paishan goi yeh hai ke market ke halat apne safar ko Downtrend taraf jari rakh sakte hain.

USD/JPY Price Breakdowns


Hamari mojooda tawajjoh USD/JPY currency pair ki price action ki jaiza lene par hai. Haal ki harkatain yeh darust karti hain ke is pair ki trajectory par aksar aisa asar hai. Jabke khaas tor par kuch kam hone ki sambhavanayein hain, lekin yeh aik local dip hone ki ummeed hai, jo ke naye low tak nahi pahunchegi. Wasee nazar bullish hai, jis mein ummeed ki ja rahi hai ke yeh pair is uthaan mein jamay hue oonchae ko cross karega.
Recent Price Action


USD/JPY pair aik bullish trend mein nazar aa raha hai, jo ke higher highs aur higher lows ka silsila dikhata hai. Yeh upar ki taraf ka jahaaz kai aise asbaab se chalay raha hai, jo Federal Reserve aur Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke darmiyan mukhtalif monetary policies ki wajah se hain. Federal Reserve ki relative hawkish soorat-e-haal, jismein inflation se nipatne ke liye awaami marahil ki umeed ki ja rahi hai, BoJ ke dovish policies se bilkul mukhtalif hai, jo ke nihayat low interest rates aur ma’ashi taraqqi ko support karne ki koshish kar rahe hain.
Support and Resistance Levels


Key Support Levels:

• Short-Term Support: 140.00 - Yeh level haal ke aisay sessions mein aik zabardast base bana hai, jo pair ko chhoti corrections se wapas aane ka mauqa deta hai.
• Intermediate Support: 138.50 - Is level ke neeche jaane par gehri correction ka signal mil sakta hai, lekin ye ab bhi broader bullish trend ke context mein samjha jayega.

Key Resistance Levels:

• Immediate Resistance: 142.00 - Pair ko is level ke upar nikalna hoga taake bullish trend ki tasdeeq ho sake.
• Long-Term Resistance: 145.00 - Yeh level aik aham psychological barrier hai aur is current bullish trajectory ka aik potential target hai.

Technical Indicators


Moving Averages:

• USD/JPY pair apni 50-day aur 200-day moving averages se upar trade kar raha hai, jo ke aik mazboot bullish trend ko darust karta hai.
• Short-term moving averages lambi muddat wale moving averages ke upar cross kar rahe hain, jo aksar aik bullish signal samjha jata hai.

Relative Strength Index (RSI):

• RSI is waqt 60 ke aas-pas hai, jo is baat ki nishani hai ke pair ab tak overbought nahi hua aur aage badhne ke liye jagah hai.

Fundamental Influences


U.S. Economic Data:

• Mazboot U.S. ma’ashi indicators, jese ke strong job growth aur rising inflation, USD ki tareef karte hain.
• Federal Reserve ki tightening monetary policy USD ki strength ko JPY ke muqablay mein barhati hai.

Japanese Economic Data:

• BoJ ki low interest rates ko barqarar rakhne ki commitment aur economic stimulus measures par focused rehne wale policies JPY ko USD ke muqablay mein kamzor rakhte hain.

Conclusion


Jabke USD/JPY pair short-term local dips ka samna kar sakta hai, lekin overall trend bullish hai. Traders ko chahiye ke immediate resistance level 142.00 ke upar breakouts ka intezar karein, jo ke 145.00 ki taraf mazeed faida uthaanay ki rahdari ban sakti hai. Key support levels, ke saath U.S. aur Japanese ma’ashi data ka taluq dekhna bhi aik ahem hoga bhehtar trading faislay karne ke liye.

Sales ko barhane ke dabo ke beech, is hafta American dollar ne Japanese yen ke muqable mein tez raftar hasil ki, aur exchange rate 152.14 tak pahunch gaya, jo ke teen mahine ka sab se kam level hai. Ye taraqqi is baat ke intezar mein aayi ke Bank of Japan agle hafta apna benchmark interest rate barha sakti hai, jo ke short sellers ko apni positions cover karne par majboor kar sakti hai. Is silsile mein, hakoomat ke senior officials, jin mein Toshimitsu Motegi bhi shamil hain, ne Bank of Japan se apni monetary policy ko normalize karne ka plan wazeh karne ka mutalba kiya, aur azadana rate hikes ka taluq dia, aur is baat par zor dia ke yen ki lagatar girawat mulk ki economy ko nuqsan pohncha rahi hai Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida ne bhi kaha ke central bank ki azadana monetary policy Japan ke mazboot economic recovery ke liye zaroori hai. Financial markets filhal Bank of Japan se agle hafta 10 basis points ke interest rate barhane ke 44% chance ko anticipate kar rahi hain. Pehle is mahine yen ki girawat hukoomati mudakhlat ki wajah se hui, aur Bank of Japan ke data ke mutabiq, central bank ne 11 aur 12 July ke darmiyan kareeban 6 trillion yen khareed liye thay in mudakhlaton ke dauran
Economic calendar ke mutabiq, US economy ka 2024 ke doosre quarter mein 2% barhne ka imkaan hai, jo ke 2024 ke pehle teen mahine ke 1.4% se behtar hai. Ye growth un economic constraints ke darmiyan aayi hai jo ke 2022 se pehle aam tor par 3.1% rahe thay, jab se interest rate hikes ki wajah se slack barqarar hai
Daily chart ke natayej yeh dikhate hain ke USD/JPY currency pair strongly bearish trend mein hai, aur price 150.00 mark ki taraf barh rahi hai, jo ke recent movements ko confirm karti hai aur technical signals ko intensify kar rahi hai jo ke selling pressure ke saturation point tak le ja sakti hai. Ye currency pair is pressure ke neechay barqarar rahne ka imkaan hai jab tak Bank of Japan ke agle hafta ke announcements na aa jayein. Aaj, US dollar GDP growth, weekly jobless claims, aur strong durable goods orders ki reports par react kar raha hai

Hum USD/JPY currency pair ki qeemat ki harkat ki tafseeli jayeza kar rahe hain. Lag bhag ek haftay se, USD/JPY pair 155.348 level ko paar karne mein qamyab nahi ho saka hai, jo ke trading range ki lower boundary ki tarah kaam karta hai. Yeh level nihayat hi mustahkam raha hai aur mazeed girawat ko rok raha hai, lekin aaj mujhe tabdeeli ka imkaan lagta hai. Abhi current mein pair 155.998 par trade ho raha hai aur mujhe ummeed hai ke jald hi 155.348 ke support ke tootne ka manzar dekhne ko milega. Yeh aik qawi neeche ki taraf ki harkat ko shuru kar sakta hai, is liye mein halat ko nazdeek se nigrani mein rakhta hoon. Agar qeemat 155.348 ke neeche gir jaye, to hum shayad is trading week ke andar 153.606 level ko bhi dekh sakte hain, agar bechne walay apni market ki taasir ko barqarar rakhte hain. Is currency pair ki tashkeel karna mushkil hai, lekin dynamics yeh ishara dete hain ke khaas tor par aik makhsoos simt par tawajjo di jaye.

Main 157.67 resistance level ko aik intehai maqsad samajhta hoon, lekin 157.03 tak pohnchne ke liye pehle 156.42 level ko paar karna zaroori hai. In harkaton ke baad, hum aakhir mein ek upward momentum dekhte hain. Is simt mein fori qadam uthana zaroori hai, kyun ke haftawar ki cycle khatam hone wali hai, jis se jald amal ki zaroorat hai. 155.74 par support aik entry point ke tor par kaam aega, jo khareedne ki trend mein murnay ka rasta dikhayega. Lekin mein uzr karta hoon ke growth scenario par mabni rehta hoon, jis mein moving averages (MA) ke halat ke baad bullish push ka intezar hai. Daily candle ne ek girawat ko ishara diya, aur aaj ke current candle ne bhi girawat ki. Masla mukhalif lagta hai—jabke USD mehnga ho raha hai, currency pair ki keemat thori si kam hoti hai. Bank of Japan ne market intervention ke dhamkiyan naye ki hain, jis ne technical tasawwur ko currency pair ki keemat kam karne ki taraf muratab kiya hai. Is ghair-wazeh halat ke dawey mein, is pair ke saath trading ko rokna hoshiyarana ho sakta hai.

Guzishta haftay ke trade ke dauran, USDJPY currency pair ne khaas miyaar mein izafa dekha, jis ki bunyad mukhtalif news aur market ke reaction par tha. Amooman, US dollar ki kamzori ne market ke sentiment ko sakht negatif kar diya, jab ke United States se aane wali maaliyat se ummeed se zyada nakami ki khabar aai. Yeh dollar ki kami US dollar ke maamle mein khaas tor par yens ke sath hi nahin, balkay is ne mukhtalif currencies par bhi asar dala, jahan Canadian dollar jaise aik currency ne apni mustehkam exchange rate ko puri period ke dauran qaim rakha.

USDJPY pair tezi se takreeban 400 points kam hua, jabke market ke bhaari lehaz se yeh kami dekhi gayi. Is girawat ke dauran, qeemat ki harkat ne market ke waves ke neechay ek uth'ti trendline se sahara liya. Bar bar, qeemat ne is trendline ko azmaaya, is se takra kar neeche ki aur chali gayi.

In challenges ke bawajood, overall wave structure ne aage ke liye aik bulandi ki mumkin tashkeel ko ishara diya. Is tasawwur ko support mila, jab MACD indicator ne aik khareedne ki mauqa ki nishandahi ki, jo ke upper buy zone mein reh kar, apni signal line ke neeche thora sa raha.

Aage dekhte hue, USDJPY pair ke liye do mumkin scenarios hain. Aik mumkinat hai ke upar ki taraf tezi se movement jaari rahe, jis mein 160.30 ke aas paas horizontal resistance level tak pohancha jaye. Yeh manzur is bullish convergence ke sath jo CCI indicator par dekha gaya, jo ke lower overheating zone mein reh kar, growth ke liye potential dikha raha tha.

Dosri taraf, pair ascending support line ko toor kar neeche ki taraf bhi ja sakta hai, jis se ek potential downtrend ka ishara milay. Is manzur mein market sentiment ya maali indicators ke tabdeel hone ke liye nazar rakhi jani chahiye, jo ke US dollar ko Japanese yen ke khilaf aur kamzor kar sakte hain.




Technical analysis yeh ishara deta hai ke current conditions mein bullish outlook faida mand hai, khaas tor par jab indicators jaise MACD aur CCI potential upward momentum dikhate hain.

USD/JPY currency pair aaj trading ki shuruaat ek minor gap ke saath ki, jo Asian trading session ke dauran puri tarah fill ho gaya hai. Haal hi mein, qeemat Friday ke trading activities ke dauran establish ki gayi range ke andar mazbooti se jama ho rahi hai. Jaise ke maine pehle bhi zikr kiya tha, meri aaj ki bunyadi tawajjo 155.50 par mojood ahem support level ke aas paas hai.

Is pivotal support level ke aas paas, aaj ki trading session ke dauran do mumkin scenarios samne aa sakte hain. Pehla scenario yeh hai ke aik reversal candlestick pattern ban sakta hai, jo ke potential upward price movement ki taraf ishara karne wala signal hoga.

Aisi soorat mein, main umeed karta hoon ke aik bullish reversal pattern jaise hammer ya bullish engulfing pattern numaya hoga. Aise patterns aam taur par ishara karte hain ke sellers ki pressure ke baad buyers control mein wapas aa gaye hain. Is crucial support juncture par reversal candlestick formation ka hona sakht downward momentum ki kami ko zahir karay ga aur bullish trend ke jari rahne ka aghaz bhi mumkin hai. Agar yeh scenario waqai mein hota hai, to meri tawajjo qeemat ki harkat par hogi jab woh pehchani gayi resistance zone ke qareeb pohanchti hai, jo 155.22 aur 155.84 ke darmiyan hai.




Mukhtalif taur par, doosra mumkin scenario 155.50 ke upar se breach shamil hai jo ke pehle zikr kiye gaye support level ko nuqsan pohancha dega. Aisi harkat market mein aam tor par bearish sentiment ki wajah se hoti hai. Is maqam mein, main qeemat ki harkat mein mazeed neeche ki taraf momentum ka intezar karta hoon. Is support level ke tootne se pehle discus kiye gaye bullish reversal scenario ko naqis qarar dena parega, jo ke ishara karta hai ke sellers ne control ikhtiyar kar liya hai aur qeemat ko mazeed neeche le jane ke liye tayyar hain.

Aaj ki trading activities ke liye tayyar hone ke liye, yeh zaroori hai ke in ahem levels ko nazar andaaz kiya jaye aur dekha jaye ke qeemat ki harkat in ke aas paas kaise unfold hoti hai.

USD-JPY D1 ANALYSIS CHART

Toh yeh nikla ke USD/JPY ka trend bilkul narrow sideways nahin hai. Main ne ab isay nap liya hai—kareeb 150 points. Trade jitna chaho, waisa kar sakte ho, asal mein. Toh, is instrument par daily chart ki unchiyon se istemal hone wale indicator technique ke istemal se kya dekha ja sakta hai?

MA100 ab bhi panch degree ke modest trend angle ke saath uttar ki taraf khinch raha hai. Yani ke yeh samajh mein aata hai ke instrument par mahaul ab bhi bullish rehta hai, haan magar currency ab mushkil se bullish ke jeevit hone ki sawaaliat karta hai. Ab hum doosri baar apne mukhtasar key moving average ko test kar rahe hain.

Hamara market Semafor se global sell signal ke flags ke neeche ban raha hai. Aur yahan se sab masail shuru hote hain. Kyunki us waqt qeemat ne candle ko upper Bollinger band ke bahar dhakka nahi de saka, yani ke sale ke entry pattern kaam nahi kiya. Magar jaise ke hum dekh sakte hain, girawat toh hui hai. Aur woh bhi kafi achi tarah se.

Teen Bollinger bands, haal hi mein, local MA100 ke upar ke space mein thay, jo ke saaf ishara tha ke bull market mein hukmaran the. Jo ab ho gaya hai woh yeh ke edge bands ek doosre se palat gaye hain aur alag alag dishaon mein khinch rahe hain. Yeh saboot hai ke currency ke mood mein tezi se tabdeeli aanay wali hai. Isay reversal kehte hain. Lekin yahan par humein yeh bhi dekhna hoga ke upper Bollinger band ne chart cut ke bahar ja chuka hai. Aur yeh saaf dikhata hai ke is market mein bulls mojood hain. Woh shayad qeemat ko uttar na le jaen, lekin unhone bilkul bhi allow nahi karenge ke bears beqarar ho jayen.




Abhi mujhe Semafor se pullback buy signal mil raha hai; umeed hai ke qeemat mein izafa hoga.

Mubadala Raqam Ka Jaiza: USD/JPY

Hum mojooda USD/JPY currency pair ke qeemat ki jaiza lene mein masroof hain. USD/JPY pair ne char ghanton ke chart par ahem giravat ka samna kiya hai, jis ka sabab US dollar ke baray mein khabron ka izhar hai. Qeemat ne mudakhalat kiya magar 23.5 Fibonacci retracement level tak bhi nahi pohancha, aur 38.1 level ke liye toh aur door ki baat hai. 153.64 ke darje par ruk gayi hai. Mujhe is par hairat hai. Mujhe cross-pairs ke liye bhi orders open kiye thay. 153.69 ke level ki taraf jaari bearish movement mukhtasir hai. Is par mujhe umeed hai, lekin mujhe yeh bhi sawal hai ke kya hum mazeed taraqqi dekhein ge. Humain umeed hai ke 157.59 ke level ke aas paas mazboot sahara bana lenge. Is se humain mumkin hai ke global price high ko 161.949 par update karen aur 162 yen per dollar tak pohanchne ki koshish karenge. Agar yeh mumkin ho toh, hum 165.009 ke level tak bhi pohanch sakte hain.




Guzishta ghante ke chart par qeemat aik descending channel ke andar hai. Kal neeche ki taraf harkat karte hue, qeemat is channel ke neeche ke sire par pohanch gayi, jo 157.57 ke darje hai. Is ke baad, aik reversal hua aur pair ooper ki taraf harkat karne laga. Haftay ke shuru mein, qeemat barqarar rahay gi aur pair ooper ki taraf ja sakta hai descending channel ke upper border tak, jo 159.01 par hai. Is level tak pohanchne ke baad, pair ki growth ruk sakti hai aur qeemat neeche ki taraf harkat karne laga sakti hai, jo ke descending channel ke lower border tak pohanch sakti hai, jis ke darje 157.16 hain. USD/JPY currency pair ke haftay ke time frame ki tashreeh karne par saaf hai ke lambay arsay ke baad jari qabzay ke baad, buyers ne trading ke panch dinon mein apni aala sooratiyon ko kho diya hai. Aisi bearish movement instruments par pehle bhi aayi hain. Unhain kai hafton tak rehne diya gaya, lekin lambi positions ke maliken akhir kar jeet gaye aur naye unchaaiyon tak pohanch gaye.

USD/JPY guzishta haftay mein bechani ka samna karta raha, jabke ek aur chand ghanton mein 155.37 ke support level tak pohanch gaya, jo ke yen ki 38 saal ki taqatwar tarazu tha. Haftay ke akhri hisse mein ek rebound dekha gaya, jo USD/JPY ko 157.86 ke resistance level tak buland kiya, aur haftay ki shuruat mein 157.35 ke qareeb band hua. Aage chal kar, mubadala rukh parne wali central bank policies aur Japan ke forex market mein shamil hone par asar daalega.

Pichle haftay ne US dollar ko mix shuru kiya, jabke presidential candidate Donald Trump ke qatal ki koshish ne asharat ko halchalaya. Federal Reserve ka September mein rate cut bhi market ke adjust hone ka kirdar ada kiya. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell ke cautious remarks ne haftay ke pehle din dollar ko peeche hata diya, jabke robust US retail sales data ne Tuesday ko isay boost diya. June mein ruki hui growth ke bawajood, May ke revise hone wale figures ne thora sa sahara diya.

Wednesday ke darmiyan dollar ko aur giravat ka samna parha, Federal Reserve ka ek aur rate cut hone ki afsosnaak khabrein ke dauran, lekin din ke akhri hisse mein favorable US industrial production data ke baad isay recover hua, jo ke June ke production ko ummeedon se zyada bataya, May ke liye upward revisions ke saath. Thursday ko US initial jobless claims ki release ne zyada claims batlaya, jo ke mandarja zail ummeedon se, ek sust labor market ki taraf ishara kiya, lekin premature rate cut ki ummeedon ke zor se dollar ko over-sold levels se uthaya.




Abhi halat mein, USD/JPY 100-hour moving average ke qareeb tair raha hai, jo ke 14-hour chart par overbought conditions ko zahir karta hai. Short term mein, pair aik ascending channel ke andar trading kar raha hai, jo ke hourly chart ke tajarbat se mutasir hai. 14-hour RSI ooper ki taraf ja raha hai, overbought territory ke qareeb, bullish momentum 158.00 ya mazeed 158.60 ke qareeb levels ki taraf nishana bana raha hai. Mutasir traders aik dip ke qareeb mauqa talash kar sakte hain, jo ke 156.80 ya 156.00 ke neeche ho sakta hai.

USD/JPY
Hello, saathi! Mujhe lagta hai ke USD/JPY ne do moving averages ke darmiyan tashkeel hone wale space mein garam ho gaya hai. Neeche di gayi screenshot mein dikhaya gaya hai ke qeemat ne local MA18 ke neeche ja kar space tashkeel kiya hai. Aur yahan tak laga hai ke yahan pe atka hua hai. Main ne lower zigzags ke peaks ke saath aik inclined guide bana liya hai. Yeh saabit ho gaya hai ke qeemat ne is ke neeche ja kar chali gayi hai - ab yeh level 157.60 hai, aur yahan pe hum ek kamzor flat observe kar rahe hain. In levels ke darmiyan, mujhe kahna chahiye, jo ke aise hain... Inka kam karna na chahiye. Kyunki main practically ek amateur tha - main ne guide khud hi banayi thi, aur ab lower limit hamein MA100 se nahi, balki Ichimoku Cloud ke upper band se diya gaya hai, jo ke moving averages ke darmiyan yahan pe leta hai - level 156.60. Nazariya ke mutabiq - mujhe ummeed hai ke jab se girna shuru kiya hai, yeh movement khatam ho gaya hoga.

Jo ab visible hai according to the Ichimoku indicator:
- MA100 uttar ki taraf 10 degree ke trend angle ke saath khinch raha hai. Angle bada nahi hai. Lekin mustaqil hai. Is liye koi shak nahi ke bullish mood din bhar qaim hai. Tamam candles abhi current moving averages, guides, aur local Ichimoku Cloud ke upar zone mein waqif hain. Yani ke jab tak humare paas seeney walay hain, woh kaafi taqatwar hain.
- Ichimoku Cloud abhi bullish rangon mein paint kiya gaya hai, body bohat kam zahir hai, lekin tashkeel ke nazariye se yeh kaafi acha hai ke umeed hai ke tezi jari rakhi jaye gi.
- Lightweight MACD abhi bearish wave par kaam kar raha hai. Yeh bilkul shuru ki stage hai, is liye abhi tak sell signal ka koi izhar nahi.
- Enhanced oscillator aik solid bullish wave par kaam kar raha hai. Yahan par mukhtalif hai ke sell signal ki shuru ki stage hai.
- Enhanced stochastic ne sell signal diya hai, aur abhi sell signal par kaam kar raha hai. Aur weakened stochastic ne giravat mein achi entry di hai. Lekin yahan par jaise ke keh sakte hain: gaya aur gaya, pohancha nahi))



Mujhe lagta hai - humein giravat par lagana chahiye.