𝐔𝐒𝐃/𝐉𝐏𝐘

Pichle hafte, USD/JPY pair ne notable selling activity dikhayi, magar yeh zyada tar ek corrective decline ke tor par dekhi gayi, na ke ek lambey downtrend ke aghaz ke tor par. Yeh corrective phase liquidity ikhatti karne ke liye tha, jisse ek nayi upward movement aur naye highs ka stage set ho sakta hai. Maujooda market dynamics ko dekhte hue, main expect karta hoon ke pair rebound karega aur higher levels, khaaskar 162 aur 163 ko target karega.

Recent corrective decline ko ek healthy retracement samjha ja sakta hai overarching bullish trend ke andar. Aise pullbacks financial markets mein aam hain kyunki yeh profit-taking aur un traders ke liye positions re-establish karne ka mauka dete hain jo initial move ko miss kar gaye the. Yeh consolidation phase aksar next leg up ke liye zaroori momentum provide kar sakta hai, jo is case mein, main expect karta hoon ke ek strong upward impulse ke tor par manifest hoga.

Meri bullish outlook ka daromadar USD/JPY pair ke 161.81 ke key resistance level ko break karne par hai. Is level ke upar ek decisive move anticipated upward retracement ka aghaz signal karega. Aise breakthrough se additional buying interest attract hone ki sambhavana hai, jo upward momentum ko reinforce karega aur pair ko targeted levels 162 aur 163 tak drive karega.

Yeh hai trading strategy ka breakdown is analysis ke basis par:

1. 161.81 Level ko Monitor karein: Yeh level crucial hai. 161.81 ke upar ek breakthrough upward retracement aur bullish momentum ke renewal ko confirm karega. Traders ko strong volume aur bullish candlestick patterns ko confirmation signals ke tor par dekhna chahiye.




2. Target Levels: 161.81 ko break karne par, initial target 162 hoga, followed by 163. Yeh levels significant psychological barriers aur potential areas of resistance ko represent karte hain jahan traders profits lena chahenge.

3. Risk Management: Recent lows ke neeche stop-loss orders implement karna unexpected downward moves se bachne mein madadgar hoga. Given recent decline ka corrective nature, stop-losses ko 160.50 ke aaspaas rakhna prudent hoga.

4. Fundamental Factors: Economic data releases aur central bank communications, khaaskar Federal Reserve aur Bank of Japan se nazar mein rakhein. Yeh USD/JPY dynamics par significant impact daal sakte hain aur upward ya downward movements ke liye additional catalysts provide kar sakte hain.

5. Technical Indicators: Moving averages, RSI, aur MACD jaise technical indicators ka istemal karein taake bullish momentum ki strength gauge kar sakein. In indicators se bullish signals ka convergence upward move mein added confidence de sakta hai.

In conclusion, jabke pichle hafte USD/JPY pair ne selling activity experience ki, yeh corrective decline ke tor par lagti hai jo liquidity ikhatti karne ke liye tha for renewed upward movement. 161.81 level ke breakthrough ke saath, main expect karta hoon ke pair 162 aur 163 levels tak rise karega. Traders ko breakout ko confirm karne par focus karna chahiye, effective risk management strategies employ karni chahiye, aur fundamental developments se informed rehna chahiye taake is anticipated upward retracement ko successfully navigate kar sakein.

USD/JPY pair ka H1 timeframe par analysis ek sell position ka mauka dikhata hai. 157.77 ka price level is trade ke liye entry point identify kiya gaya hai. Ek strategic approach implement karke, hum gains ko maximize karna aur risk ko effectively manage karna aim karte hain.

Trading Strategy:

1. Entry Point: 157.77 par sell position initiate karein.
2. Stop Order: 158.16 ke level se thoda aage stop order place karein. Yeh ensure karta hai ke agar trade hamare khilaf jaye, to losses limited rahein.
3. Position Division aur Exit Strategy:
- First Target: 39 pips ka gain hone par, jo ke 157.38 ka price level banega, pehli part of position close karein.
- Second Target: Agle 39 pips ka gain hone par, jo ke 156.99 ka price level hoga, bachi hui position ka doosra part close karein.
- Final Target: Akhri 39 pips ka gain hone par, jo ke 156.60 ka price level hoga, baki position close karein.

Position ko teen parts mein divide karke, hum systematically profits secure karte hain aur jaise jaise trade progress karta hai, risk exposure ko reduce karte hain. Yeh phased approach humein multiple levels par gains lock karne deti hai jabke potential downward movement mein bhi participate karte hain.

Rationale:




- Entry at 157.77: Yeh level sell position enter karne ka strategic point provide karta hai, jo shayad prior support/resistance levels ya technical setup par based hai jo potential reversal indicate karta hai.
- Stop Order at 158.16: Recent high ya resistance level ke thoda aage stop order place karke sudden market reversals ke against protect karta hai, ensure karta hai ke losses predefined limit ke andar rahen.
- 39 Pips Increment: Har target ke liye consistent 39 pips ka increment use karke structured aur systematic approach provide karta hai profits secure karne ka. Yeh incremental strategy expected move se gains capture karne mein madad karti hai bina poori position ko ek single target tak wait karne, jo market fluctuations ke liye zyada susceptible ho sakti hai.

Execution aur Management:

- Market Monitoring: Market ko continuously monitor karein kisi bhi reversal ya significant news ke signs ke liye jo USD/JPY pair ko impact kar sakte hain.
- Adjustments: Jaise hi price first ya second target reach kare, stop loss ko breakeven ya even higher adjust karne ke liye prepared rahein. Yeh ensure karta hai ke profits protected hain aur gains wapas dene ka risk minimized hai.
- Review: Sabhi parts of position close hone ke baad, break le kar trade review karein. Analyze karein kya acha gaya aur improvement ke areas kya hain taake future trading strategies refine ho sakein.

In conclusion, 157.77 par USD/JPY ko sell karna, stop order 158.16 par rakhna aur 39 pips intervals par parts of position close karna ek structured approach provide karta hai trading ka. Yeh method risk aur reward ko balance karta hai, incrementally gains secure karta hai aur adverse movements ke against protect karta hai. Effective monitoring aur adjustments trade ko successfully manage karne mein crucial hain.

Aaj kal Japanese Yen ne US Dollar ke muqable mein apni taqat ka izhar kiya hai, halaan ke Treasury yields mein izafa hone ke bawajood, jo aam tor par Dollar ko mazid mazboot karta hai. Yeh ulta movement ziada tar market ki umeedon par mabni hai ke Japanese authorities Yen ke tezi se girne ko rokne ke liye mudakhlat kar sakti hain. Yeh surat-e-haal mazeed mushkil isliye ho gayi hai kyunke US se milne wale economic indicators mix hain. Kamzor-than-expected US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data ne shuru mein Dollar ki taqat ko kamzor kiya, lekin baad mein Michigan Consumer Confidence Index aur US Producer Price Index (PPI) ke reports se mazeed insights milne ki umeed hai US economic trajectory ke baray mein.




Yeh yaad rakhne wali baat hai ke Japan ne pehle hi Yen ko stabilize karne ke liye qadam uthaye hain, aur 11 July ko is currency ko kharidne ke liye billionon kharch kiye hain. Hakoomati afsaraan ne mazeed zaroori qadam uthana ka ishara bhi diya hai. Lekin, nihayat faisla Bank of Japan (BoJ) ka hoga, jo inflationary pressures ko address karne ke liye apni aane wali July meeting mein interest rates badhane ka plan kar raha hai.

Daily Chart Analysis:
Daily chart par, Japanese Yen correction ke asar dikhane laga hai. Price gir kar local seven-day low of 160 yen per dollar tak ja sakti hai. Agar yeh level hold kar jata hai, to price dobara annual high of 161.951 tak wapas ja sakti hai, aur 165 yen per dollar tak ka rasta khul sakta hai. Lekin, is tarah ke strong movements bina deep corrections ke risky ho sakte hain. Yeh maloom nahi ke is scenario mein kaun se correction levels hamain dekhne ko milenge. Kam se kam, ek corrective movement below 151,001 ho sakti hai, jo ek naye bearish trend ka ishara degi. Jitni door yeh pair continuous trend mein move karega, utne hi daunting correction levels honge, jo mazeed arsa chal sakte hain. USD/JPY pair ke sath, surat-e-haal abhi clear nahi hai, aur dekhna hoga ke aane wale trading week mein market kaise unfold hoti hai.

USD/JPY Price Studies

Humari mojudah tawajju USD/JPY currency pair ke price action par hai. Bank of Japan, jo ke primary regulator hai, ne kal bulls ko USD/JPY pair ko upar push karne se roka. H4 chart par dekha gaya ke price ko heavy EMA tak le jane ki koshishen nakam rahi. Trading day ke akhir tak, price pehle din ke minimum se neeche chali gayi, jo buyers ko yeh signal de rahi thi ke aggressive intervention jari rahegi aur upward movement ko roka jayega. Regulator ke mustaqbil ke qadam us waqt zahir honge jab agle trading day ka aghaz hoga. Lekin umeed hai ke woh USD/JPY pair ke price ko mazeed neeche laayenge, mumkin hai ke yeh 151.862 tak pohonch jaye, ya aksar daily chart par heavy EMA 120 tak. Filhal, price ne EMA 55 ko test kiya hai. Yeh hai USD/JPY pair ka outlook.

Broader Picture Analysis

Agar hum USD/JPY pair ka broader picture dekhein, to thoda waqt guzra hai jab buyers ne pehli baar profit record kiya. Pair ne highs ko thoda update kiya, aur 160.267 mark se bounce off kiya, jahan naye highs sirf 160 points upar the pehle peak se.






Buyer ne profit record kiya, jo shayad yen ke haal hi mein significant devaluation ki wajah se hua. Pullbacks ka na hona robust aur uninterrupted growth ko zahir karta hai. Japanese government ko steep yen devaluation se koi faida nahi hai, is liye woh verbally market mein intervene kar rahe hain aur buyers ko profit fix karne par majboor kar rahe hain. Agar growth hoti, to profit-taking kam hoti. Pullbacks ka na hona, buyers ko profit fix karne par majboor karta hai. Pair likely neeche move karega, aur support 154.671 par milegi. Ek uptrend channel four-hour chart par bana hai, jo pair ko is trend ko follow karne ka ishara de raha hai, jiska base support 156.820 hai, aur mumkin hai ke 155.029 tak gir jaye. 157.926 support ke qareeb significant buying volumes dekhi gayi hain. Buyers ke limits set karne ke bawajood, pair ne phir bhi retrace kiya.

USD/JPY H-4 Analysis at 163.00

Aaj hum USD/JPY currency pair ke price behaviour ka jaiza le rahe hain. Main dollar-yen pair ko hourly chart par analyze kar raha hoon. Yeh pair upward trend channel ke andar trade kar rahi thi, lekin is channel ki lower boundaries likely thi. Iske bawajood, wahan significant seller volume nahi thi, sirf buyer volume tha. Yeh buyer volume customer limits ko trigger kar raha tha, jo suggest karta tha ke pair upar move karegi, magar uske bajaye yeh gir gayi. Isne 160.966 ke support level ko break kiya, lekin buyer volume barqarar rahi. Customer limits likely thi, jo potential further growth ko zahir kar rahi thi. Pair previous buy trade-based limits se dur chali gayi, aur 160.966 ke resistance ko likely banaya. Mujhe lagta hai ke ab yeh pair 162.941 ke resistance ki taraf move karegi.




Japanese Market Context

Japanese stocks bhi Wall Street ke gains ko follow kar rahe hain jabke Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell ne warning di hai ke restrictive policies ko lambe arse tak maintain karna economic growth ko hinder kar sakta hai. Iske ilawa, economic data ne yeh show kiya ke Japan ka corporate goods price index June mein 2.9% year-on-year rise hua, jo August last year se sabse zyada hai.

USD/JPY Future Expectations

Jab tak Japan foreign exchange market mein intervene nahi karta aur yen ko girne se nahi rokta, USD/JPY exchange rate ka overall trend upward hi rahega. Warna, Fed ki policy aur Bank of Japan ki policy ke divergence ki wajah se, jo ke aaj ke US inflation announcement ke bawajood hai, overall trend upward rahega aur record levels ko break karega. Filhal, pair ke next resistance levels 161.85, 162.30, aur 163.00 hain. In support levels ke qareeb, main bullish signals ko search karta rahunga, upward price movement ke resumption ki umeed karte hue. Mukhtasir yeh ke aaj, main yeh fully consider karta hoon ke price northern direction mein push hoti rahegi towards nearest resistance level, aur agar buyers is level ke upar establish ho jate hain, toh main apna target door ke northern objectives ko adjust karunga.

USD/JPY PAIR REVIEW Aaj, Japanese yen ki qeemat 1.5% barh kar 155.5 per US dollar se zyada hogayi, jo ke aik mah se zyada ka sabse uncha darja hai. Yeh izafa market ke Bank of Japan aur US Federal Reserve ki monetary policy ke hawalon se mutawaqqa taluq aur Japan ke apne currency ko bachane ke azm ko dekhte hue hua. Yeh izafa guzishta haftay ke rally se jari hai jo yen ko 38 saal ke sabse kam darja 162 se utha kar laya, jab Japan ne currency ko support karne ke liye muhtamim tor par $20 billion se zyada beche
Aam tor par, Japanese Ministry of Finance ke mutawaqqa currency market intervention aur US dollar ki kamzori ke nateeja mein market ne yen ke khilaaf betting ko dobara sochna shuru kiya, jo ke currency par short squeezes ka sabab bana. Wahan... Japanese yen ki momentum se economic growth sust rahi. Yeh recovery kuch investors ko Tokyo ke taraf se aik aur round of intervention ko nazarandaz na karne ka mohalat de rahi hai
Monetary policy ke hawalay se, Bank of Japan apne agle policy meeting mein bond purchases ko kam karne aur shayad dobara se interest rates barhane ka plan announce karne wala hai
Stock trading companies ke hawalay se... Japan ka Nikkei index technology stocks mein selling ke sabab se gir gaya. Trading platforms ke mutabiq, Nikkei 225 index 0.43% gir kar 41,098 pe band hua, pehle session mein hasil ki gayi kamiyabi se peeche hat gaya, jab major American technology companies ke names mein selling operations ke baad Japanese technology stocks mein nuqsan dekhne ko mila. Investors ab un dosray sectors ki taraf shift ho rahe hain jo US interest rate cuts se faida uthane ki umeed kar rahe hain, jahan Dow Jones aur Russell 2000 is waqt S&P 500 aur Nasdaq Composite se behtar perform kar rahe hain. Wahan, broader Topix index doosray din bhi 0.37% barh kar 2,915 points pe pahunch gaya
Domestic tor par, Reuters Tankan survey ne dikhaya ke Japan ke major manufacturers ke business sentiment July mein saat mah ke sabse unche darja par pohanch gaya, halan ke non-manufacturers mein confidence mein kami dekhne ko mili amid aik volatile economic outlook. Technology sector mein nuqsan Tokyo Electron (-7.5%), Disco Corp (-4.5%), Lasertech (-5%), Advantest (-2.6%), aur Rorzi Corp (-6.1%) ke shares ne lead kiya
Dollar ke mukablay mein Japanese yen ke price ke technical expectations:
Bank of Japan ke recent intervention ke baad USD/JPY selling mode mein hai, lekin pair ko daily chart pe dikhne wale key support area pe buyers mil sakte hain. Price ne March 2023 se chalti hui rising trend line ke sath higher lows banaye hain. Is support area pe aik pullback underway hai, aur Fibonacci retracement tool additional levels dikhata hai jo buyers intezar kar rahe hain
Wahan, 38.2% Fib level 156.00 ke key psychological level ke ird gird support ke tor pe dikh rahi hai, lekin 50% Fib level pe 154.00 tak ka aik bara pullback mumkin hai. Existing line jo uptrend ko correct kar rahi hai woh 61.8% Fib level hai jo 200 SMA aur trend line 152.05 pe ke sath hai. Moving averages ke hawalay se, 100 SMA 200 SMA ke upar hai jo confirm karta hai ke stronger path upside ki taraf hai ya rise zyada likely hai ke momentum gain karey bajaye pull back ke. Is surat mein, USDJPY ab bhi swing high 162.00 ya kam az kam 160.00 ke interest area ko revisit kar sakta hai

USD JPY is waqt mazbooti ke ilaqay mein hai aur yeh dekha ja sakta hai ke daily candle ke upper side par usne pehle ke high candle area ko tor diya hai, phir neeche ki taraf correction dekho aur buy entry karo jab yeh daily candle area ke pehle din ke 38% weakening se neeche ho, is waqt buy entry karna theek nahi hai kyun ke price abhi tak kal ke close candle ke ilaqay mein hai, to aaj European session ya US session mein intezar karo ke price phir se kamzor ho aur technical analysis ke liye aam tor par pehle ka history side liya jata hai jo aaj ke price movement ke liye reference banega aur analysis ke mutabiq, mein buy entry tab consider karunga jab price aaj ke movement se thora kamzor ho jo ke weekly resistance point 2 tak mazid mazboot hone ki umeed hai jaise ke neechay diye gaye tasveer mein dikhaya gaya hai. USDJPY ab trend line ke upper side par trading kar raha hai, jo humein buyers ki taqat dikhata hai, aur trend line Support hai. Bullish rally ko continue karne ke liye, mujhe lagta hai ke buyers ko Resistance - 162.15 torna padega, jahan se trading channel khulega, bulls ki movement ko continue karne ke liye. Target jo achieve karna hai wo pehla level Supply Zone - 160.47 hai, yeh wo jaga hai jahan se, jaise humne history mein dekha, sellers ne price ko tez kiya. Mein reverse movement ki possibility ko bhi exclude nahi karta Short ki taraf, lekin pehle bears ko support - 160.24 torni padegi, jahan se price bohot baar bounce ho chuki hai. Bears ki taqat ka confirmation price ke broken level - 160.31 ke neeche fix hone se hoga. Jo humein market ki weakening dikhayega.
USDJPY, downtrend ab bhi mojood hai. Price ne 155.48 ke level par support payi, jahan se bounce hua. Technical analysis dikhata hai ke price, four-hour time frame par, cloud ke neeche trading kar rahi hai, Kijun-sen aur Tenkan-sen signal lines ke neeche hai, Chikou span line price chart ke neeche hai, aur ek "dead cross" active hai. Relative strength index 50 ke value se neeche hai, aur "trend filter" oscillator red color mein hai, jo bearish market sentiment ka signal de raha hai. Mazeed decline ka potential mojood hai. Agar price 155.48 ke level se neeche breakthrough aur successful consolidation karti hai, to nayi sales consider karna munasib hoga. Is scenario mein, agla potential target jo mein consider karta hoon wo support level 154.70 hai. Ek alternative scenario tayar karne ke liye yeh hoga jab price cloud ke upper side par trading kar rahi ho, aur signal lines ke "golden cross" formation ki shart puri ho

USD/JPY Trading Overview aur Tips

USD/JPY ke price test 157.70 par us waqt hua jab MACD indicator zero mark se niche girna shuru ho raha tha, jo dollar bechne ka acha entry point tha. Natija yeh raha ke losses record huye kyunki USD/JPY ne actively fall nahi kiya. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell ki speech par zyada rely karna ghalat sabit hua kyunki unhone zyada kuch nahi kaha. Isne sell signal ko realize hone nahi diya, jo sahi tarike se open hua tha aur downward trend ke continuation mein tha. Natija yeh raha ke sab dollar khareedne bhaag gaye aur pair Asian session ke doran mazboot hua. Japani services activity index ke weak data ne bhi yen par pressure dala. Main personally expect karta hoon ke pair uthega, magar market mein entry karne ki koshish karunga jab price kam se kam ho aur growth ke liye suitable ho. Intraday strategy ke liye, main scenarios No. 1 aur 2 par zyada rely karunga.

Buy Signals

**Scenario No. 1:** Aaj main USD/JPY khareedne ka plan bana raha hoon jab price entry point 158.88 (green line) par pohanchti hai, aur growth ka target 159.39 (thicker green line) tak hai. 159.39 par main long positions exit karunga aur opposite direction mein short ones open karunga, expecting 30-35 pips ka movement opposite direction mein. Aap pair ko aaj upar uthne ki umeed rakh sakte hain taake bullish correction continue ho. Khareedne se pehle, ensure karen ke MACD indicator zero mark ke upar hai aur wahan se upar uthna shuru kar raha hai.

Scenario No. 2: Main aaj USD/JPY ko tab bhi khareedne ka plan kar raha hoon agar do consecutive tests 158.47 par hotay hain jab MACD indicator oversold area mein ho. Yeh pair ke downward potential ko limit karega aur market ka reverse upturn hoga. Growth ko expect kar sakte hain opposite levels 158.88 aur 159.39 tak.





Sell Signals

Scenario No. 1: Main aaj USD/JPY ko tab bechne ka plan bana raha hoon agar level 158.47 (red line) test hota hai, jo price mein rapid decline ka lead karega. Sellers ke liye key target 158.02 hoga, jahan main short positions exit karunga aur immediately long ones opposite direction mein open karunga, expecting 20-25 pips ka movement opposite direction mein. Pressure USD/JPY par kisi bhi waqt wapas aasakta hai, khaaskar agar price intraday high ke qareeb consolidate karne mein fail hota hai. Bechne se pehle, ensure karen ke MACD indicator zero mark ke niche hai aur wahan se niche girna shuru kar raha hai.

Scenario No. 2: Main aaj USD/JPY ko tab bhi bechne ka plan kar raha hoon agar do consecutive price tests 158.88 par hotay hain jab MACD indicator overbought area mein ho. Yeh pair ke upward potential ko limit karega aur market ka reverse downturn hoga. Decline ko expect kar sakte hain opposite levels 157.47 aur 158.02 tak.

USD/JPY Price Analysis: Selling Pressure Continues

USD/JPY ke exchange rate is trading week ke aghaz mein 158.00 ke aas-paas stable raha aur pichle hafte se mazid selling pressure ke bawajood stable raha. Price collapse hui jab resistance level 161.90 par pohanchi, jo yen ka 38 saalon mein sabse kam price tha, aur decline support level 157.37 tak barh gaya. USD/JPY exchange rate ke current price hit hone ki umeed hai aur downward trend abhi bhi US inflation data ke release hone ka muntazir hai.

Reliable trading company platform ke mutabiq, yen 158 yen per dollar ke muqablay mein kamzor trade kar raha tha, jabke traders alert par thay jab yen pichle hafte mashkook Japanese authorities ke intervention par kareeb 2% barh gaya tha. Yen pichle hafte 157.36 yen per dollar tak barh gaya jab US inflation data expectations se kam aaye aur Bank of Japan ke data se yeh pata chala ke hukoomat ne Thursday ko yen ko mazboot karne ke liye 3.57 trillion yen tak kharch kiye ho sakte hain. Analysts ne warning di ke Monday ke chhutti ke din ek aur round yen khareedne ka trigger ho sakta hai, jab Japanese authorities kam liquidity ka faida uthate hue late April jaisi halat bana sakti hain.







Monetary Policy aur External Factors

Monetary policy ke perspective se, investors Bank of Japan ke meeting ka intezar kar rahe hain jo July ke aakhir mein hogi, jahan central bank apne bond-buying program ko kam karne aur shayad ek aur rate hike announce karne ka elaan karega. Bahar se, yen ek mazboot dollar ke pressure mein hai, jo safe-haven asset provide karne ke wajah se faida uthata hai, former US President Donald Trump ke qatal ke baad.

Technical Analysis

Daily chart ke developments se yeh pata chalta hai ke USD/JPY pair bearish trajectory par hai aur agar 158.00 support level breakout hota hai, toh yeh bears ke trend par control ko mazboot karega. Agar yeh hota hai, toh yeh period mein downtrend confirm hoga aur pair 155.70 aur 153.00 ke support levels tak move karega. Iske liye Japanese intervention foreign exchange market mein darkaar hogi, saath hi US dollar ki kamzori US retail sales ke expectations se kam release hone ke baad. Dosri taraf, isi period mein psychological resistance level 160.00 bulls ke liye trend par control wapas hasil karne ka sabse important resistance hoga.

USD/JPY Pair Analysis

Aaj, USD/JPY pair ne kafi significant activity dikhayi, high levels par trade karte hue aur kareeb 168.39-168.69 par close hua. Filhal, pair ne thodi si girawat dekhi hai aur ab 168.93-168.40 ke darmiyan hover kar raha hai. Agar hum daily (D1) chart ka analysis karein, toh hum dekhte hain ke USD/JPY D1 moving average line par 168.47 support level ki strength ko test kar raha hai.

Key Observations:

1. Current Trading Range:
- USD/JPY pair 168.39 aur 168.69 ke darmiyan trade kar raha tha, lekin ab thoda gir kar 168.93-168.40 range mein aa gaya hai.

2. Daily Chart Analysis:
- Pair D1 moving average line par 168.47 support level ki strength ko test kar raha hai.
- Yeh support level pair ki agle movement ko determine karne ke liye crucial hai.





Technical Levels:

- Resistance:
- Immediate resistance levels pichle high 168.69 aur round number 169.00 par hain.

- Support:
- Key support level 168.47 (daily moving average line) par hai.
- Agar yeh level breach hota hai, toh mazid support 168.00 aur 167.50 par mil sakti hai.

Strategy:

Short-Term Strategy:

- Monitoring Support Level:
- 168.47 support level ko closely watch karein. Agar yeh sustained break hota hai, toh further downside movement ka signal mil sakta hai.

- Buying Opportunities:
- Agar support 168.47 hold karta hai, toh buying opportunities consider karein jo resistance levels 168.69 aur 169.00 ko target karein.

- Selling Opportunities:
- Agar support 168.47 fail hota hai, toh selling opportunities dekhein jo lower support levels 168.00 aur 167.50 ko target karein.

Conclusion:

USD/JPY pair ki current activity critical support 168.47 par daily chart par test kar rahi hai. Is level ko closely monitor karna short-term trading strategies ko determine karne ke liye crucial hoga. Agar support hold karta hai, toh buying opportunities arise ho sakti hain; agar fail hota hai, toh potential selling opportunities ke liye prepare karna hoga.

USD/JPY H-1 Analysis

Aadab, USD/JPY pair ne upar jane ki koshish ki, lekin 158.78 ke level par ruk gaya, jahan se ek chhota sa rollback shuru hua. Yeh rollback chhoti TFs par 158.47 ke level par ruk gaya. Agar yahan se rebound hota hai, toh pair mein growth hogi. Agar 158.87 ka level breakout hota hai, toh bearish TF M5 bullish mein badal jayega, aur isay bullish TF M15 bhi support karega. Agar pair 158.20 ka level breakout karta hai, toh decline hoga. TF H1 bearish hai. Iska breakdown pair ke growth ke sath H1 pivot (159.37) ka breakout aur consolidation ke sath hoga. TF H4 bhi bearish hai. Iska breakdown H1 pivot 5/8 (160.16), 6/8 (160.94), 7/8 (161.72) ka breakout aur 161.97 ke maximum ke upar consolidation ke sath hoga. Daily TF bullish hai. Yeh pair ke decline aur 154.70 ke level ke niche consolidation se breakdown hoga.





USD/JPY M-15 Analysis

Global perspective mein USD/JPY pair buyers ke pressure mein hai. Reference price range M15 chart ka lower impulse level hai. Long trend ko continue karne ke liye, price ko Maximum - 158.72 par wapas aane aur uske upar consolidation ke baad market mein buy karne ka sochna chahiye. Is case mein, critical range Minimum - 157.37 hogi, jahan protective order ke liye place automatically determined hoga. Abhi jahan price hai - 158.62, wahan se opposite direction mein development, yani Short ke liye bhi consider kar raha hoon. Currency ka reference range - 158.45 tak girne aur uske niche consolidation ka signal, Moving Average Indicator dega. Yeh confirmation hoga ke buyers ne market ko move karne ki ability kho di hai aur medium-term sales ke liye prepare hona zaruri hai.

USD/JPY H-1 Analysis

Hello. Yeh kya matlab hai badhna, phir se badhna? Kya yeh kisi ladki ka impulse hai? Jaise, mujhe jaana hai, mujhe jaana hai, mujhe south jaana hai! Wahan garmi hai aur wahan apples bhi hain. Jab yeh likha gaya tha, USD/JPY pair chart ke upper half par northern correction dikha raha tha, jo 158.642 par tha. Instaforex company ka indicator is forum par pehle hissa mein thodi si advantage buyers ke liye dikhata hai, jo 53.75% ka range hai. Dusre hissa mein, indicator short-term upward trend dikhata hai. Aaj yeh pair humein kya surprises dega? Japan se koi important aur interesting news expected nahi hai. United States: Basic retail index aur retail sales. Halanki kam news hai, hum sab pairs mein kaam karte hain: fundamental analysis aur technical analysis. Short mein, kya ho raha hai? Main expect karta hoon ke pehle pair north ki taraf 159.05 tak correct karega aur phir south ko reverse karega 158.10 tak. Sab ko hunting mein good luck.





USD/JPY H-4 Analysis

USD/JPY. Ab H4 par dobara dekh rahe hain jahan main kaam kar raha hoon (main H1 par switch karne ki koi reason nahi dekh raha), main keh sakta hoon ke yeh situation bilkul trading ke liye attractive nahi lag rahi. Haan, main aap se agree karta hoon, call options somehow apne aap gaayab ho gaye hain aur USD/JPY local bottom area se nikal gaya, iska matlab bulls ko 158 figure ke middle mein thodi si reliability mil rahi hai (yaad dilata hoon, kal humne 157 figure ke bottom ko test kiya tha), lekin yeh attractive heights tak nahi pahunch rahe, aur reliable levels aur reference points ko test nahi kar rahe - mere liye reliability kam se kam 159 figure ke middle se shuru hoti hai, yaad hai, main 160 number ko test hone ka wait kar raha hoon. Jab tak USD/JPY trade nahi ho raha, main kuch nahi karunga lekin zyada reliable news ka wait karunga.

USD/JPY H-1 Analysis

Shab bakhair. USD/JPY pair ne badhne ki koshish ki, lekin 158.78 ke level par ruk gaya, jahan se thoda sa pullback shuru hua. Chote timeframes par yeh pullback 158.47 ke level par ruk gaya aur yeh expect kiya ja raha hai ke is level se rebound hone par pair ka growth hoga. Agar 158.87 ka level break hota hai, toh yeh bearish 5-minute timeframe (TF M5) ko bullish mein badal dega, jo bullish 15-minute timeframe (TF M15) se support milega. Agar pair ka decline continue hota hai aur 158.20 ka level breakdown hota hai, toh yeh M15 timeframe par bullish signal ko negate kar dega.

1-hour (TF H1) timeframe bearish hai, aur yeh breakdown tab hoga agar pair ka growth continue hota hai aur 159.37 pivot level ke upar break karke consolidate hota hai. 4-hour (TF H4) timeframe bhi bearish hai, aur isko negate karne ke liye pair ko 160.16, 160.94, aur 161.72 pivot levels ke upar break karke 161.97 high ke upar consolidate karna hoga.




Daily timeframe bullish hai, aur yeh tab breakdown hoga agar pair decline hota hai aur 154.70 level ke niche consolidate karta hai.

Bari tasveer mein dekhen toh, USD/JPY pair buying pressure ke neeche hai, aur reference price range lower impulse level hai 15-minute chart par. Market mein buying ke liye entry consider ki jayegi taake long-term trend continue ho, jab price 158.72 high par wapas aake upar consolidate ho jaye. Is case mein, critical range 157.37 low hoga, jo protective order ka level hoga. Lekin current local levels ke around 158.62, opposite direction mein move, yani sell, bhi consider kiya ja raha hai. Pair ke 158.45 reference range tak decline hone ki probability aur uske niche consolidation, moving average indicator se signal degi, jo yeh confirm karegi ke buyers market ko move karne ki ability kho chuke hain aur ek medium-term sell trade ke liye tayyari karni chahiye.

USD/JPY Analysis

Hamara mukalma USD/JPY currency pair ki current price action ko evaluate karne par focused hai. Aam tor par, market Monday ko decline karte hue lower Bollinger band tak pohnch sakti hai, aur dekhna hoga ke price aur girti hai ya nahi. Agar yahan se upar ki taraf turn hota hai, toh growth wapas MA pair aur middle Bollinger band ke aas-paas, 158.67/161.02 area tak aa sakti hai. Is point par dekhna hoga ke price upar break karti hai ya in averages se wapas niche aati hai. Agar price increase hoti hai, toh upper Bollinger band, jo filhal 161.58 par hai, ke kareeb pahunch sakti hai. Halanki, USD/JPY pair ek upward trajectory par hai, lekin Friday ko decline par khatam hui. Weekend ke dauran, mein daily timeframe ko dekhoon ga, jahan price ne lower Bollinger band ko 156.32 par touch kiya aur thoda rebound hua.





Ek taraf, USD/JPY pair dollar ki overall downward trend ke sath align karti hai, jo US inflation data se driven hai. Dosri taraf, aur yeh meri subjective rai hai, yen kisi bhi waqt apni persistent decline ko khatam kar sakta hai. Agar aisa hota hai, toh discussed pair ka girna continue ho sakta hai, chahe doosre US dollar pairs apni rates change karen. Japan gradually positive market data show kar raha hai. Friday ko, industrial production mein 3.5% ka increase report kiya, jo forecast 1.7% se zyada hai, aur yeh notable hai compared to pehle ka 0.8% decline. Hum confirm kar sakte hain ke pair 156.79 (Murray 4.7) par hold karti hai. Agar yeh support likely hai, toh bears 155.23 level (Murray 3.7) ko target kar sakte hain. Halanki, sirf likelihood ke basis par short positions ko resume karna enough nahi hoga, chahe yeh barrier likely ho. Resistance, jo Kijun H4 line se strengthen hai, ab 158.35 (Murray 5.7) par hai.

USD/JPY Trading Ka Jaiza Aur Tips

157.70 ka price test tab hua jab MACD indicator zero mark se girna shuru hua tha, jo ke dollar bechne ka acha entry point tha. Is ka natija nuksaan ki surat mein nikla kyunke USD/JPY ne actively decline nahi kiya. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell ki speech par zyada bharosa karna galat sabit hua kyunke unhone kuch khaas nahi kaha. Is wajah se sell signal realize nahi ho saka jo ke sahi tor par khola gaya tha aur downward trend ke continuation mein tha. Iska natija yeh nikla ke sab log dollar kharidne bhag gaye aur pair Asian session mein strong ho gaya. Japanese services activity index ke kamzor data ne bhi yen par pressure dala. Personal tor par, mujhe umeed hai ke pair rise karega, magar mein market mein enter karke lowest possible prices par kharidna chahoon ga jo growth ke liye zyada suitable ho. Intraday strategy ke liye, mein scenario No. 1 aur 2 par zyada bharosa karoon ga.

Buy Signals

Scenario No. 1:Aaj, mein USD/JPY kharidne ka plan bana raha hoon jab price entry point 158.88 ke qareeb pohanchay jo chart par green line se dikhaya gaya hai, aur growth ka target 159.39 hai jo ke chart par thicker green line se dikhaya gaya hai. 159.39 ke qareeb, mein long positions exit karke short ones opposite direction mein kholoon ga, aur expect karoon ga ke price 30-35 pips opposite direction mein move karegi. Aap pair ko aaj rise karte dekh sakte hain bullish correction continue karne ke liye. Kharidne se pehle, make sure ke MACD indicator zero mark ke upar hai aur wahan se rise shuru kar raha hai.

Scenario No. 2:Mein aaj USD/JPY kharidne ka plan bhi bana raha hoon agar 158.47 ke do consecutive tests hoon jab MACD indicator oversold area mein ho. Yeh pair ke downward potential ko limit kar dega aur market ka reverse upturn lead karega. Growth ko opposite levels 158.88 aur 159.39 tak expect kiya ja sakta hai.





Sell Signals

Scenario No. 1: Mein aaj USD/JPY bechne ka plan sirf tab bana raha hoon agar 158.47 ka level test ho jaye jo ke chart par red line se dikhaya gaya hai, jo ke price mein rapid decline lead karega. Sellers ke liye key target 158.02 ho ga, jahan mein short positions exit karke immediately long ones opposite direction mein kholoon ga, aur expect karoon ga ke price 20-25 pips opposite direction mein move karegi. USD/JPY par pressure kisi bhi waqt wapas aa sakta hai, khaaskar agar price intraday high ke ird gird consolidate nahi karti. Bechne se pehle, make sure ke MACD indicator zero mark ke niche hai aur wahan se decline shuru kar raha hai.

Scenario No. 2: Mein aaj USD/JPY bechne ka plan bhi bana raha hoon agar 158.88 ke do consecutive price tests hoon jab MACD indicator overbought area mein ho. Yeh pair ke upward potential ko limit kar dega aur market ka reverse downturn lead karega. Decline ko opposite levels 157.47 aur 158.02 tak expect kiya ja sakta hai.