New Zealand Dollar (NZD) ne US Dollar (USD) ke khilaf Asia mein trading ke doran ek zordar zakhmi khaya, takreeban 0.60 cents (0.5980) gir gaya. Ye kami China ke inflation data ke ikhtitam ke sath milti hai, jo March ke Consumer Price Index (CPI) ke liye tawana kardiya, jo ke tawaqo se kam Consumer Price Index (CPI) ko dikhata hai. March mein CPI sirf 0.1% barha, jo tawaqo se kam tha, aur February ke 0.7% izafa se bhi kam tha. Ye China ki economy mein ek mumkin slowdown ko darust karta hai, jo ke New Zealand ka aik bara trading partner hai. Jabke Producer Price Index (PPI) tawana ko pura kiya, investor focus jald hi aanay wale US March Producer Price Index data par shift hua, jo ke usi din baad mein release hua. Ye duniya bhar ke markets ke mutasire honay ka izhar karta hai aur ek mulk se economic data ki currency valuation par dusre jagaon par asar daal sakta hai. Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) ne New Zealand Dollar (NZD) ka momentum mazeed km kiya jab usne 5.5% ke liye official cash rate (OCR) ko 6 meetings tak stable rakha. Ye kadam, jise aksar sab se zyada economists tawaqo karte hain, RBNZ ke inflation ko tight monetary policy ke zariye rokne ki commitment ko dikhata hai. Magar, kuch ise zyada ehtiyaat se dekhte hain, khaaskar New Zealand ke haal hi ki technical recession aur girti hui consumer confidence ko mad-e-nazar rakhte hue.
NZD/USD pair ne early March se ek niche ki taraf giraavat ka samna karte hue 0.6217 resistance level par double rejection ka samna kiya hai. Is haftay, pair ne naye chaar mahine ke naye lows tak giravat ki, lekin yeh temporary support ko 0.5952 ke aaspaas dhoond raha hai. Ye level 23.6% Fibonacci retracement point ke saath milta hai jo 0.6536 aur 0.5772 ke darmiyan dekhi gayi downtrend ki taraf ishara karta hai. Technical indicators jaise RSI aur MACD bhi 0.5952 support level ki taraf dobara daikh rahe hain. Agar yeh area stable na rahe, to NZD/USD aur bhi zyada ghir sakta hai, shayad September 2023 ke 0.5858 ke lows ko dobara test karne ke liye, jo November mein bhi mazboot tha. Is crucial support zone ke puri breakdown ne pair ko 0.5772 par absolute 2023 low ko challenge karne ki imkaan hai. Dusri taraf, agar NZD/USD ka koi aizafa ka koshish ho, to usay foran resistance ka samna hoga February support level 0.6037 par. Mazeed faida uthaya ja sakta hai 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level (0.6064) ke aaspaas, jo 200-day simple moving average (SMA) ke saath overlap karta hai. In hurdles ko paar karna 0.6154 par 50% Fibonacci retracement level ki taraf potenti...
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