**Fundamental Analysis**
Friday ko saat maheenay ki bulandi se 0.6236 tak pohnchne ke baad NZD/USD ne 0.6210 par trade karna shuru kar diya hai. Phir bhi, US Federal Reserve (Fed) ke dovish nazariyat aur policy outlook ke wajah se NZD/USD pair ka downside limit ho sakta hai.
Bazaar ne bilkul 25 basis points ke zyada ke cuts ko Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) ke liye October aur November ke liye price in kar diya hai, isliye New Zealand Dollar (NZD) par downward pressure dekhne ko mil sakta hai. RBNZ ne August mein Official Cash Rate (OCR) ko 5.25% tak kam kar diya, jo ke easing cycle ka aaghaz tha.
Agle hafte traders shayad seasonally adjusted Building Permits (MoM) data for July aur ANZ—Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence for August ko dekhenge kyunki ye numbers New Zealand economy ke halat ke baare mein nayi raaye faraham kar sakte hain.
**1H Chart**
August 20 ko, pair ne apne range ki upper limit ko tor diya jab isne 0.6248 ki high tak pohncha. Lekin, jaldi hi neeche gir gaya aur ek bearish Gravestone Doji candlestick bana. Iske baad sirf ek chhoti si kamzori dekhi gayi, jo 0.6109 ki swing low tak gayi 22 August ko, lekin 23 August ko pair wapas bounce back hua aur phir se range se bahar nikal gaya.
Uske baad se, NZD/USD pair ne thoda decline dekha hai August 20 ki high 0.6248 ke upar break karne ke baad; ek higher high ka hona significant breakout ka indication hai. Aise breakout se ek upward target set hota hai jo range ki height ko upar extrapolate karke nikala jata hai (0.618 ratio). Iska upside target (bold rectangle) 0.6448 hai. Ek doosra, zyada ehtiyaat se rakha gaya target 0.6409 hai (December 2023 ki high).
Aise move se short-term trend bearish se positive ho sakta hai. Lekin, agar 0.6109 ki swing low ke neeche break ho jata hai to sideways trend abhi bhi active hai aur low range 0.5850s ke neeche decline ka chance hai.
Friday ko saat maheenay ki bulandi se 0.6236 tak pohnchne ke baad NZD/USD ne 0.6210 par trade karna shuru kar diya hai. Phir bhi, US Federal Reserve (Fed) ke dovish nazariyat aur policy outlook ke wajah se NZD/USD pair ka downside limit ho sakta hai.
Bazaar ne bilkul 25 basis points ke zyada ke cuts ko Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) ke liye October aur November ke liye price in kar diya hai, isliye New Zealand Dollar (NZD) par downward pressure dekhne ko mil sakta hai. RBNZ ne August mein Official Cash Rate (OCR) ko 5.25% tak kam kar diya, jo ke easing cycle ka aaghaz tha.
Agle hafte traders shayad seasonally adjusted Building Permits (MoM) data for July aur ANZ—Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence for August ko dekhenge kyunki ye numbers New Zealand economy ke halat ke baare mein nayi raaye faraham kar sakte hain.
**1H Chart**
August 20 ko, pair ne apne range ki upper limit ko tor diya jab isne 0.6248 ki high tak pohncha. Lekin, jaldi hi neeche gir gaya aur ek bearish Gravestone Doji candlestick bana. Iske baad sirf ek chhoti si kamzori dekhi gayi, jo 0.6109 ki swing low tak gayi 22 August ko, lekin 23 August ko pair wapas bounce back hua aur phir se range se bahar nikal gaya.
Uske baad se, NZD/USD pair ne thoda decline dekha hai August 20 ki high 0.6248 ke upar break karne ke baad; ek higher high ka hona significant breakout ka indication hai. Aise breakout se ek upward target set hota hai jo range ki height ko upar extrapolate karke nikala jata hai (0.618 ratio). Iska upside target (bold rectangle) 0.6448 hai. Ek doosra, zyada ehtiyaat se rakha gaya target 0.6409 hai (December 2023 ki high).
Aise move se short-term trend bearish se positive ho sakta hai. Lekin, agar 0.6109 ki swing low ke neeche break ho jata hai to sideways trend abhi bhi active hai aur low range 0.5850s ke neeche decline ka chance hai.
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