𝐔𝐒𝐃/𝐂𝐀𝐃

USD/CAD ne local support level ko top se bottom tak test kiya, jo mere analysis ke mutabiq 1.36050 par mojood hai. Is ke baad price ne reversal ki aur din ke akhir tak ek bullish candle form hui, jo pehle din ke range ke andar close hui. Yeh wazeh hai ke is instrument par accumulation jari hai, lekin main yeh bhi samajhta hoon ke yeh accumulation bullish breakout aur nearest resistance level ko test karne par khatam ho sakti hai.
General tor par, main resistance level jo 1.36897 par hai, us par nazar rakhne ka plan bana raha hoon. Is resistance level ke kareeb do scenarios ho sakte hain. Pehla scenario yeh hai ke price is level ke ooper consolidate kar le aur phir ooper ki taraf move kare. Agar yeh plan play out hota hai, toh main expect karunga ke price resistance level 1.37626 ya resistance level 1.37845 ki taraf move kare. In resistance levels ke kareeb, main ek trading setup ka intizar karunga, jo agle trading direction ko determine karne mein madadgar hoga. Yeh bhi mumkin hai ke aur ziada door ke north targets jo 1.38461 ya 1.38989 par hain, un tak bhi pohcha ja sakta hai, lekin yeh situation aur news flow par depend karta hai jo price ki movement ko asar andaz karegi.
Main current price movement ko predict karne ka irada rakhta hoon, jo ke moving average analysis par mabni indicator se hai. Channel iss waqt neeche ki taraf dhal raha hai, jo ke sellers ki buyers par barhteri ko zahir karta hai. Kabhi kabar bullish pullbacks ke bawajood, bearish momentum ab bhi mazboot hai, aur lagta nahi ke sellers jaldi bulls ko control dene ke liye tayar hain. Zigzag indicator yeh mashwara deta hai ke iss waqt short positions kholi jayein. RSI indicators, jo signals ko filter karne mein madad karte hain, bhi short-sale zone mein hain. Main 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level ke paas pohanchne par open order ko close karne ka plan kar raha hoon, jo ke kareeb 1.3395 price mark par hai. Iss waqt frame mein, instrument lagataar girawat dikhata hai. Yeh mumkin hai ke price ko mazeed girne par rebound ke liye support mil jaye, lekin iss stage par reversal ya chhoti si rebound ki koi wazeh nishaniyan nahi hain.
Niche ke taraf, ek key support zone 1.35000 ke aas-paas maujood hai, jo pehle ke liquidity areas ke sath align karta hai. Agar sellers control regain karte hain aur price ko neeche push karte hain, to yeh level phir se test ho sakta hai. Iske neeche, agla significant liquidity target 1.34500 level ke aas-paas hai, jo pehle strong support provide kar chuka hai.
Upar ke taraf, agar buyers momentum ko sustain kar sakte hain aur 1.36500 par immediate resistance ko break kar dete hain, to price agle key liquidity zone 1.37000 ke nazdeek target kar sakti hai. Agar is level ke upar successful break hota hai to bias phir se bullish shift ho jayega, jahan 1.37500 tak ka potential target ho sakta hai, jahan major liquidity concentrate hai.
Summary mein, USD/CAD recovery ke nishan dikhata hai, lekin key resistance zones 1.36500 aur 1.37000 further upside potential ko limit kar sakte hain. 1.35000 ke neeche break hone se bearish trend ka wapas aana signal milega, jabke 1.36500 ke upar break hone se price 1.37500 ki taraf move kar sakti hai.

stronger Canadian dollar ke wajah se hai. Agar pair July 2 ke high 1.3751 ke neeche clearly chala jata hai, toh isay aur downward pressure ka saamna karna pad sakta hai. Potential support levels 1.3700 aur July 17 ke low 1.3658 ke aas-paas hain. Canadian dollar ne recently significant weakness dikhayi hai, jo spot price ko late 2023 ke high 1.3900 ke kareeb le aayi hai. Jab ke pair is level ke neeche consolidate ho raha hai, intraday charts par Canadian dollar ke liye kuch positive developments ke signs kam hain. Iske bajaye, US dollar consolidate hota hua nazar aa raha hai, shayad ek aur push ke liye prepare ho raha hai. Current technical levels support ko 1.3450 aur resistance ko 1.3550 aur 1.3700 par dikhate hain. Main current price movement ko predict karne ka irada rakhta hoon, jo ke moving average analysis par mabni indicator se hai. Channel iss waqt neeche ki taraf dhal raha hai, jo ke sellers ki buyers par barhteri ko zahir karta hai. Kabhi kabar bullish pullbacks ke bawajood, bearish momentum ab bhi mazboot hai, aur lagta nahi ke sellers jaldi bulls ko control dene ke liye tayar hain. Zigzag indicator yeh mashwara deta hai ke iss waqt short positions kholi jayein. RSI indicators, jo signals ko filter karne mein madad karte hain, bhi short-sale zone mein hain. Main 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level ke paas pohanchne par open order ko close karne ka plan kar raha hoon, jo ke kareeb 1.3395 price mark par hai. Iss waqt frame mein, instrument lagataar girawat dikhata hai. Yeh mumkin hai ke price ko mazeed girne par rebound ke liye support mil jaye, lekin iss stage par reversal ya chhoti si rebound ki koi wazeh nishaniyan nahi hain.
Niche ke taraf, ek key support zone 1.35000 ke aas-paas maujood hai, jo pehle ke liquidity areas ke sath align karta hai. Agar sellers control regain karte hain aur price ko neeche push karte hain, to yeh level phir se test ho sakta hai. Iske neeche, agla significant liquidity target 1.34500 level ke aas-paas hai, jo pehle strong support provide kar chuka hai.
Upar ke taraf, agar buyers momentum ko sustain kar sakte hain aur 1.36500 par immediate resistance ko break kar dete hain, to price agle key liquidity zone 1.37000 ke nazdeek target kar sakti hai. Agar is level ke upar successful break hota hai to bias phir se bullish shift ho jayega, jahan 1.37500 tak ka potential target ho sakta hai, jahan major liquidity concentrate hai.
Summary mein, USD/CAD recovery ke nishan dikhata hai, lekin key resistance zones 1.36500 aur 1.37000 further upside potential ko limit kar sakte hain. 1.35000 ke neeche break hone se bearish trend ka wapas aana signal milega, jabke 1.36500 ke upar break hone se price 1.37500 ki taraf move

USD/CAD ke H1 time frame par, hum us trading plan ka dobara jaiza le rahe hain jo maine pehle din ke liye banaya tha. Mera initial strategy price action ke clear analysis par mabni tha, jahan maine yeh anticipate kiya tha ke ek behtareen moqa mil sakta hai ek buy position open karne ka jab price ek key demand zone mein dakhil ho. Yeh demand zone history mein ek strong support area ka kaam karta raha tha, aur meri umeed yeh thi ke price is level se bounce karega, jo ek solid entry point dega long trade ke liye. Magar, market meri umeed ke mutabiq move nahi hui. Price ne demand zone ko respect karne aur upar jaane ke bajaaye support level ko break kiya, jisse bearish continuation shuru hui. Is break ne stop-loss ko trigger kiya jo maine apni position bachane ke liye rakha tha. Halaanke stop-loss hit hona hamesha nafrat angez hota hai, lekin yeh trading mein risk management ka ek aham hissa hota hai, jo significant losses ko rokta hai jab market aapki expectations ke khilaf move kare.
Hindsight mein dekha jaye toh, kai factors ho sakte hain jo price ke demand zone se neeche break karne ka sabab banay. Ek possibility yeh hai ke U.S. dollar ke liye overall market sentiment meri umeed se kamzor tha, jo ke economic data releases ya external geopolitical factors ki wajah se ho sakta hai jo currency ko neeche le aaye. Doosri taraf, Canadian dollar ko rising oil prices ya positive domestic economic reports se support mila ho sakta hai, jo price ko demand zone se neeche break karne mein madadgar sabit hua.

Result ke bawajood, yeh yaad rakhna zaroori hai ke har trade plan ke mutabiq nahi chalta. Bunyadi baat yeh hai ke hamesha risk ko theek tareeke se manage karna chahiye, stop-losses ka istemal karte hue aur apni strategy ko market ke behavior ke mutabiq adjust karna chahiye. Iss case mein, stop-loss ne downside ko limit kiya, jis se mujhe market ko dobara evaluate karne ka moqa mila aur naye opportunities ki talaash ki bina kisi bara loss face kiye. Aage dekhte hue, main closely price action ko monitor karunga USD/CAD market mein yeh dekhne ke liye ke bearish momentum continue karta hai ya price neeche kisi lower level par support dhoondta hai. Agar market stabilize hoti hai aur recovery ke asaar dikhaye deti hai, toh main dobara buy position consider kar sakta hoon, lekin is dafa zyada conservative approach ke sath, aur potential trend reversals ya momentum shifts par nazar rakhta hoon.

Demand zone ke break ne unexpected development ka roop liya jis se stop-loss trigger hua, magar yeh ek aham yaad-dihani hai risk management ki zaroorat aur market ke evolving conditions ke mutabiq adapt karne ki. USD/CAD market dynamic rehti hai, aur flexible aur informed reh kar hum profitable opportunities ki talaash jaari rakh sakte hain.

آج, 05:45 PM
#1502 Collapse
Azan01
Senior Member
Azan01
تاریخِ شمولیت: Aug 2024
پوسٹس: 142
موصول شدہ کو پسند کریں 2
stronger Canadian dollar ke wajah se hai. Agar pair July 2 ke high 1.3751 ke neeche clearly chala jata hai, toh isay aur downward pressure ka saamna karna pad sakta hai. Potential support levels 1.3700 aur July 17 ke low 1.3658 ke aas-paas hain. Canadian dollar ne recently significant weakness dikhayi hai, jo spot price ko late 2023 ke high 1.3900 ke kareeb le aayi hai. Jab ke pair is level ke neeche consolidate ho raha hai, intraday charts par Canadian dollar ke liye kuch positive developments ke signs kam hain. Iske bajaye, US dollar consolidate hota hua nazar aa raha hai, shayad ek aur push ke liye prepare ho raha hai. Current technical levels support ko 1.3450 aur resistance ko 1.3550 aur 1.3700 par dikhate hain. Main current price movement ko predict karne ka irada rakhta hoon, jo ke moving average analysis par mabni indicator se hai. Channel iss waqt neeche ki taraf dhal raha hai, jo ke sellers ki buyers par barhteri ko zahir karta hai. Kabhi kabar bullish pullbacks ke bawajood, bearish momentum ab bhi mazboot hai, aur lagta nahi ke sellers jaldi bulls ko control dene ke liye tayar hain. Zigzag indicator yeh mashwara deta hai ke iss waqt short positions kholi jayein. RSI indicators, jo signals ko filter karne mein madad karte hain, bhi short-sale zone mein hain. Main 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level ke paas pohanchne par open order ko close karne ka plan kar raha hoon, jo ke kareeb 1.3395 price mark par hai. Iss waqt frame mein, instrument lagataar girawat dikhata hai. Yeh mumkin hai ke price ko mazeed girne par rebound ke liye support mil jaye, lekin iss stage par reversal ya chhoti si rebound ki koi wazeh nishaniyan nahi hain.
Niche ke taraf, ek key support zone 1.35000 ke aas-paas maujood hai, jo pehle ke liquidity areas ke sath align karta hai. Agar sellers control regain karte hain aur price ko neeche push karte hain, to yeh level phir se test ho sakta hai. Iske neeche, agla significant liquidity target 1.34500 level ke aas-paas hai, jo pehle strong support provide kar chuka hai.
Upar ke taraf, agar buyers momentum ko sustain kar sakte hain aur 1.36500 par immediate resistance ko break kar dete hain, to price agle key liquidity zone 1.37000 ke nazdeek target kar sakti hai. Agar is level ke upar successful break hota hai to bias phir se bullish shift ho jayega, jahan 1.37500 tak ka potential target ho sakta hai, jahan major liquidity concentrate hai.
Summary mein, USD/CAD recovery ke nishan dikhata hai, lekin key resistance zones 1.36500 aur 1.37000 further upside potential ko limit kar sakte hain. 1.35000 ke neeche break hone se bearish trend ka wapas aana signal milega, jabke 1.36500 ke upar break hone se price 1.37500 ki taraf move

stronger Canadian dollar ke wajah se hai. Agar pair July 2 ke high 1.3751 ke neeche clearly chala jata hai, toh isay aur downward pressure ka saamna karna pad sakta hai. Potential support levels 1.3700 aur July 17 ke low 1.3658 ke aas-paas hain. Canadian dollar ne recently significant weakness dikhayi hai, jo spot price ko late 2023 ke high 1.3900 ke kareeb le aayi hai. Jab ke pair is level ke neeche consolidate ho raha hai, intraday charts par Canadian dollar ke liye kuch positive developments ke signs kam hain. Iske bajaye, US dollar consolidate hota hua nazar aa raha hai, shayad ek aur push ke liye prepare ho raha hai. Current technical levels support ko 1.3450 aur resistance ko 1.3550 aur 1.3700 par dikhate hain. Main current price movement ko predict karne ka irada rakhta hoon, jo ke moving average analysis par mabni indicator se hai. Channel iss waqt neeche ki taraf dhal raha hai, jo ke sellers ki buyers par barhteri ko zahir karta hai. Kabhi kabar bullish pullbacks ke bawajood, bearish momentum ab bhi mazboot hai, aur lagta nahi ke sellers jaldi bulls ko control dene ke liye tayar hain. Zigzag indicator yeh mashwara deta hai ke iss waqt short positions kholi jayein. RSI indicators, jo signals ko filter karne mein madad karte hain, bhi short-sale zone mein hain. Main 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level ke paas pohanchne par open order ko close karne ka plan kar raha hoon, jo ke kareeb 1.3395 price mark par hai. Iss waqt frame mein, instrument lagataar girawat dikhata hai. Yeh mumkin hai ke price ko mazeed girne par rebound ke liye support mil jaye, lekin iss stage par reversal ya chhoti si rebound ki koi wazeh nishaniyan nahi hain. Niche ke taraf, ek key support zone 1.35000 ke aas-paas maujood hai, jo pehle ke liquidity areas ke sath align karta hai. Agar sellers control regain karte hain aur price ko neeche push karte hain, to yeh level phir se test ho sakta hai. Iske neeche, agla significant liquidity target 1.34500 level ke aas-paas hai, jo pehle strong support provide kar chuka hai.
Upar ke taraf, agar buyers momentum ko sustain kar sakte hain aur 1.36500 par immediate resistance ko break kar dete hain, to price agle key liquidity zone 1.37000 ke nazdeek target kar sakti hai. Agar is level ke upar successful break hota hai to bias phir se bullish shift ho jayega, jahan 1.37500 tak ka potential target ho sakta hai, jahan major liquidity concentrate hai.
Summary mein, USD/CAD recovery ke nishan dikhata hai, lekin key resistance zones 1.36500 aur 1.37000 further upside potential ko limit kar sakte hain. 1.35000 ke neeche break hone se bearish trend ka wapas aana signal milega, jabke 1.36500 ke upar break hone se price 1.37500 ki taraf move

USD/CAD mein ek buying opportunity mojood hai. Yeh pair mazboot momentum dikhata hai, jo ke positive market sentiment se driven hai, aur 1.3731 zone ke qareeb band hua hai. Yeh performance ek bullish trend ka ishara deti hai jo aane wale dinon mein jaari reh sakti hai. Is analysis ke madde nazar, yeh qeemat jaldi agle range 1.3765 ko cross kar sakti hai. In insights ko dekhte hue, kal ke liye 1.3762 ke short target ke sath buy order open karna ek strategic move lagta hai. Yeh target ehtiyaat se chuna gaya hai jo ke current market sentiment ke sath aligned hai, aur traders ko chalti hui upward movement se fayda uthate hue apne risk ko zyada na barhane ka moka deta hai. Lekin, ehtiyat aur hoshiar rehna zaroori hai, kyun ke agar 1.3710 level par breakthrough hota hai, to yeh momentum mein shift ka signal de sakta hai. Agar yeh level breached hota hai, to yeh USD/CAD market ko 1.3680 zone se neeche dhakel sakta hai, jo ke trend mein reversal ya correction ka ishara ho sakta hai. Iss mumkinah volatility ko navigate karne ke liye, market sentiment ko effectively samajhna aur naye developments se updated rehna intehai aham hai. Economic data releases, geopolitical events, aur central bank communications ko monitor karna market ko drive karne wale factors ke hawale se qeemti insights de sakta hai. Informed reh kar, traders apni strategies ko evolving sentiment ke sath adjust kar sakte hain, USD/CAD pair ne Friday ko Asian trading session ke doran 1.3480 ke aas-paas ek brief rally ke baad pull back kiya hai. Decline mainly US dollar ke intraday gains ka reversal aur stronger Canadian dollar ke wajah se hai. Agar pair July 2 ke high 1.3751 ke neeche clearly chala jata hai, toh isay aur downward pressure ka saamna karna pad sakta hai. Potential support levels 1.3700 aur July 17 ke low 1.3658 ke aas-paas hain. Canadian dollar ne recently significant weakness dikhayi hai, jo spot price ko late 2023 ke high 1.3900 ke kareeb le aayi hai. Jab ke pair is level ke neeche consolidate ho raha hai, intraday charts par Canadian dollar ke liye kuch positive developments ke signs kam hain. Iske bajaye, US dollar consolidate hota hua nazar aa raha hai, shayad ek aur push ke liye prepare ho raha hai. Current technical levels support ko 1.3450 aur resistance ko 1.3550 aur 1.3700 par dikhate hain.
USDCAD pair filhal support zone test kar raha hai jo ke 1.3559 ke aas-paas hai, jo ke recent low 1.35874 ke qareeb hai. Agar yeh support break hoti hai, to price further gir sakti hai, agla support level lagbhag 1.3476 ke aas-paas hoga. Aisa decline ek shift signal karega uptrend se downtrend ki taraf. Lekin, growth is level se likely resume hogi. Dollar mein correction comprehensive hai, aur H1 timeframe ke hisab se agla minimum hum neeche move kar rahe hain. Decline gradual raha hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke koi sudden dropsClick image for large versions

USD/CAD mein ek buying opportunity mojood hai. Yeh pair mazboot momentum dikhata hai, jo ke positive market sentiment se driven hai, aur 1.3731 zone ke qareeb band hua hai. Yeh performance ek bullish trend ka ishara deti hai jo aane wale dinon mein jaari reh sakti hai. Is analysis ke madde nazar, yeh qeemat jaldi agle range 1.3765 ko cross kar sakti hai. In insights ko dekhte hue, kal ke liye 1.3762 ke short target ke sath buy order open karna ek strategic move lagta hai. Yeh target ehtiyaat se chuna gaya hai jo ke current market sentiment ke sath aligned hai, aur traders ko chalti hui upward movement se fayda uthate hue apne risk ko zyada na barhane ka moka deta hai. Lekin, ehtiyat aur hoshiar rehna zaroori hai, kyun ke agar 1.3710 level par breakthrough hota hai, to yeh momentum mein shift ka signal de sakta hai. Agar yeh level breached hota hai, to yeh USD/CAD market ko 1.3680 zone se neeche dhakel sakta hai, jo ke trend mein reversal ya correction ka ishara ho sakta hai. Iss mumkinah volatility ko navigate karne ke liye, market sentiment ko effectively samajhna aur naye developments se updated rehna intehai aham hai. Economic data releases, geopolitical events, aur central bank communications ko monitor karna market ko drive karne wale factors ke hawale se qeemti insights de sakta hai. Informed reh kar, traders apni strategies ko evolving sentiment ke sath adjust kar sakte hain, USD/CAD pair ne Friday ko Asian trading session ke doran 1.3480 ke aas-paas ek brief rally ke baad pull back kiya hai. Decline mainly US dollar ke intraday gains ka reversal aur stronger Canadian dollar ke wajah se hai. Agar pair July 2 ke high 1.3751 ke neeche clearly chala jata hai, toh isay aur downward pressure ka saamna karna pad sakta hai. Potential support levels 1.3700 aur July 17 ke low 1.3658 ke aas-paas hain. Canadian dollar ne recently significant weakness dikhayi hai, jo spot price ko late 2023 ke high 1.3900 ke kareeb le aayi hai. Jab ke pair is level ke neeche consolidate ho raha hai, intraday charts par Canadian dollar ke liye kuch positive developments ke signs kam hain. Iske bajaye, US dollar consolidate hota hua nazar aa raha hai, shayad ek aur push ke liye prepare ho raha hai. Current technical levels support ko 1.3450 aur resistance ko 1.3550 aur 1.3700 par dikhate hain. USDCAD pair filhal support zone test kar raha hai jo ke 1.3559 ke aas-paas hai, jo ke recent low 1.35874 ke qareeb hai. Agar yeh support break hoti hai, to price further gir sakti hai, agla support level lagbhag 1.3476 ke aas-paas hoga. Aisa decline ek shift signal karega uptrend se downtrend ki taraf. Lekin, growth is level se likely resume hogi. Dollar mein correction comprehensive hai, aur H1 timeframe ke hisab se agla minimum hum neeche move kar rahe hain. Decline gradual raha hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke koi sudden dropsClick image for large versions

Federal Reserve ke officials ke dovish statements ne September mein interest rate cut ka imkan barha diya hai. Is mumkinah policy shift ki wajah se USD/CAD pair par downward pressure dekha ja raha hai, kyunke market ke participants monetary conditions mein tabdeelion ki umeed laga rahe hain.

**Bank of Canada ke Hawalay Se Speculation Ka Asar:**

Economic data ki kami ke bawajood, Canadian Dollar (CAD) ko ab bhi market speculation ka samna hai jo Bank of Canada (BoC) ke rate cuts ke hawalay se hai. Investors ab yeh bet kar rahe hain ke BoC apne policy easing cycle ko September tak extend kar sakta hai, taake Canadian labor market ke mazeed bigarne ko roka ja sake. CAD mein kuch recovery hui hai, magar iski performance ab bhi uneven hai. Is dauran, US Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation report ne umeedon par poora nahi utarna ka sabab bana, jis se Greenback mein thodi si recovery dekhne ko mili.

**Fed Rate-Cut Speculation Ne USD Ko Dabao Mein Rakha:**

Federal Reserve ke expected rate-cutting cycle, jo inflationary pressures ke thande parhne ke asar mein hai, ne USD ko pressure mein rakha hai. Equity markets ke general positive tone ne bhi US Dollar ki safe-haven appeal ko kamzor kiya hai. Iske ilawa, crude oil prices mein izafa ne bhi commodity-linked CAD ko support diya, jo USD/CAD pair par additional downward pressure dal raha hai.

**USD/CAD Ki Technical Analysis:**

Pair ka retracement 50-day moving average (MA) ki taraf, jo ke 1.3601 ke aas paas hai, aur mazid girawat ke hawalay se lead karta hai, spot losses 1.3555 ke critical support level tak extend ho chuki hain. Agar yeh level break hota hai, to 1.3500 tak ki girawat bhi mumkin hai. CAD ne raat ke kuch gains wapas kar diye hain, lekin 1.3500 ke level ka support khatam hone ka matlab hai ke CAD mazid taqat dikhane ke liye ready hai. Resistance levels jo dekhe ja rahe hain unmein 1.3631 shamil hai, jo kisi bhi significant recovery ke liye ek rukawat ka kaam karega.

**Alternative Scenario:**

Agar USD/CAD pair recovery karta hai aur August 12 ke high 1.3751 ke upar jata hai, to yeh asset 1.3800 ke round-level resistance ko target kar sakta hai, jo ke April 17 ke high ke qareeb 1.3841 hai. Halaanki intraday oscillators kaafi stretched lag rahe hain, daily Directional Movement Index (DMI) yeh suggest karta hai ke USD ki girawat abhi mazeed chal sakti hai. Intraday resistance 1.3635 par hai, aur mazeed mazboot resistance iske upar dekha ja sakta hai.

positive market sentiment se driven hai, aur 1.3731 zone ke qareeb band hua hai. Yeh performance ek bullish trend ka ishara deti hai jo aane wale dinon mein jaari reh sakti hai. Is analysis ke madde nazar, yeh qeemat jaldi agle range 1.3765 ko cross kar sakti hai. In insights ko dekhte hue, kal ke liye 1.3762 ke short target ke sath buy order open karna ek strategic move lagta hai. Yeh target ehtiyaat se chuna gaya hai jo ke current market sentiment ke sath aligned hai, aur traders ko chalti hui upward movement se fayda uthate hue apne risk ko zyada na barhane ka moka deta hai. Lekin, ehtiyat aur hoshiar rehna zaroori hai, kyun ke agar 1.3710 level par breakthrough hota hai, to yeh momentum mein shift ka signal de sakta hai. Agar yeh level breached hota hai, to yeh USD/CAD market ko 1.3680 zone se neeche dhakel sakta hai, jo ke trend mein reversal ya correction ka ishara ho sakta hai. Iss mumkinah volatility ko navigate karne ke liye, market sentiment ko effectively samajhna aur naye developments se updated rehna intehai aham hai. Economic data releases, geopolitical events, aur central bank communications ko monitor karna market ko drive karne wale factors ke hawale se qeemti insights de sakta hai. Informed reh kar, traders apni strategies ko evolving sentiment ke sath adjust kar sakte hain, USD/CAD pair ne Friday ko Asian trading session ke doran 1.3480 ke aas-paas ek brief rally ke baad pull back kiya hai. Decline mainly US dollar ke intraday gains ka reversal aur stronger Canadian dollar ke wajah se hai. Agar pair July 2 ke high 1.3751 ke neeche clearly chala jata hai, toh isay aur downward pressure ka saamna karna pad sakta hai. Potential support levels 1.3700 aur July 17 ke low 1.3658 ke aas-paas hain. Canadian dollar ne recently significant weakness dikhayi hai, jo spot price ko late 2023 ke high 1.3900 ke kareeb le aayi hai. Jab ke pair is level ke neeche consolidate ho raha hai, intraday charts par Canadian dollar ke liye kuch positive developments ke signs kam hain. Iske bajaye, US dollar consolidate hota hua nazar aa raha hai, shayad ek aur push ke liye prepare ho raha hai. Current technical levels support ko 1.3450 aur resistance ko 1.3550 aur 1.3700 par dikhate hain. USDCAD pair filhal support zone test kar raha hai jo ke 1.3559 ke aas-paas hai, jo ke recent low 1.35874 ke qareeb hai. Agar yeh support break hoti hai, to price further gir sakti hai, agla support level lagbhag 1.3476 ke aas-paas hoga. Aisa decline ek shift signal karega uptrend se downtrend ki taraf. Lekin, growth is level se likely resume hogi. Dollar mein correction comprehensive hai, aur H1 timeframe ke hisab se agla minimum hum neeche move kar rahe hain. Decline gradual raha

Hello doston, aap kaise hain? Friday ke New York session mein, USD/CAD pair 1.3600 ke round resistance level ke qareeb barh gaya. Canadian dollar ko yani loonie ko taqat mili jab United States ka Non-Farm Payrolls report ye dikhaya ke labor demand mazboot rahi aur September mein wages barhti rahi, jis se US dollar mein bohot zyada volatility dekhi gayi. Economy ne 254K jobs add kiye, jo ke estimate 140K se kaafi zyada tha aur pichle release 159K se bhi zyada tha, jo ke 142K se upward revise kiya gaya tha. Unemployment rate gir kar 4.1% par aa gaya, jo ke expectations aur August ki print 4.2% se kam tha. Annual average hourly earnings, jo ke wages ke growth ka ek ahem measure hai, wo bhi 4.0% ki rate se barhe, jo ke expectations se tez tha. Month-on-month wage growth rate 0.4% par barha.

US NFP report ne dikhaya ke economy ne 254K jobs add kiye, jo ke estimate 140K se zyada the aur pichle release 159K se bhi zyada tha, jo ke 142K se revise kiya gaya tha. Unemployment rate gir ke 4.1% par aa gaya, jo ke expectations aur August ki 4.2% se kam tha. Labor market ki sehat mein achanak behtari ke nishanat ne market expectations ko kam kar diya ke Federal Reserve November mein 50 basis points ka bada rate cut karega.

CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, Fed ke November mein aadha percentage point ka rate cut karne ka imkaan takriban khatam ho gaya hai. Fed ne policy easing ka aghaaz September mein 50 bps ka interest rate cut karke kiya tha. Badi Fed rate cut ki expectations ne US dollar mein tezi se rally karwai, jahan US Dollar Index apne haftay ke high 102.50 ke ooper chala gaya. 10 saal ke US Treasury ke yield bhi lagbhag 3.96% tak barh gayi. Dusri taraf, Canadian dollar bhi apne peers ke muqablay mein outperform kar raha hai kyun ke oil ke price mein tezi se izafa hua. Iran aur Israel ke darmiyan ek all-out jang ke khauf ne oil supply disruptions ke dar ko mazid gehra kar diya hai. Yeh baat qabil e ghour hai ke Canada US ka sab se bara oil exporter hai, is liye oil ke barhte daamon se CAD ko taqat milti hai.

**USD/CAD Ka Jaiza:**

Paar ne Monday ke European trading mein apne pehle ke faide ko ulat diya, aur yeh 1.3587 ke aas-paas settle hua. US dollar ki kami, Federal Reserve ke officials ke dovish bayanat ki wajah se jo interest rate policy ke bare mein the, ne September mein rate cut ki sambhavna ko barhaya hai. Yeh mumkinah policy tabdeeli USD/CAD pair par neeche ki taraf pressure daal rahi hai kyunki market ke hissedaar monetary conditions mein tabdeeli ki umeed kar rahe hain.

### Bank of Canada Ki Speculation Ka Asar:

Bari economic data ki kami ke bawajood, Canadian Dollar (CAD) Bank of Canada (BoC) ke potential rate cuts ki market speculation ke liye vulnerable hai. Investors yeh bet laga rahe hain ke BoC shayad September mein apne policy easing cycle ko extend kare, taake Canadian labor market ki halat aur kharab na ho. Halankeh CAD ne kuch recovery ki hai, lekin iska performance abhi bhi uneven hai, jabke US Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation report ne expectations ko poora kiya, lekin investors ko disappoint kiya.

### Fed Rate-Cut Speculation Ka USD Par Asar:

Fed ke expected rate-cutting cycle, jo inflationary pressures ke kam hone ke nishan par mabni hai, ne USD par pressure bana rakha hai. Iske ilawa, equity markets mein aam tor par positive tone ne US Dollar ki safe-haven appeal ko aur bhi kamzor kiya hai. Crude oil prices mein izafa ne bhi commodity-linked CAD ko support diya hai, jo USD/CAD pair par neeche ki taraf pressure daal raha hai.

### USD/CAD Ka Technical Analysis:

Paar ka 50-day moving average (MA) ki taraf 1.3601 ke aas-paas retracement ne mazeed kami ko janam diya, jisme spot losses 1.3555 tak pahunch gayi, jo ke ek ahm support level hai pehle ke potential drop ke liye 1.3500 par. Jabke CAD ne apne overnight gains ka kuch hissa kho diya hai, 1.3500 level ke aas-paas support khone se yeh darshata hai ke additional CAD strength ke liye risks barh rahe hain. Resistance levels jo dekhne hain wo hain 1.3631, jo kisi bhi significant recovery ke liye ek rukawat ban sakta hai.