𝐔𝐒𝐃/𝐂𝐀𝐃

USD/CAD currency pair ke qeemat ke utaar chadhaav mukhtalif technical indicators aur chart patterns se mutasir hote hain. Weekly chart ko dekhne par, upper channel limit aik ahem reference point ban jati hai. Long-term margin target 1.3880 pe pehchana gaya hai, jo yeh darshaata hai ke pair mazeed upar ja sakta hai. Magar, yeh target upper channel limit pe rukawat ka samna kar sakta hai jo ke upar jaane mein rukawat ban sakta hai.
H4 chart pe, indicators neechay ki janib ka rujhaan dikha rahe hain, jo ke short term mein bearish sentiment ka izhar karta hai. Phir bhi, Bollinger Bands yeh darshaati hain ke bearish retracement ke baad, pair naye upward impulse ke liye tayar ho sakta hai. Yeh upward movement tabhi ho sakti hai jab keemat key support levels ke upar rehti hai, khaaskar 1.3695-87 aur 1.3678 ke darmiyan. Agar yeh levels toot jaate hain, to dual margin aur technical support loss ho sakta hai, jo ke bearish outlook ko mazeed mazboot karega.
Jab hum Monday ke trading session ke qareeb pohanch rahe hain, toh kuch corrections ki umeed hai. Magar, yeh bohot zaroori hai ke USD/CAD pair 1/2 zone ko din ke ikhtitaam tak barqarar rakhe. Ideally, din ke candle mein lower tail hona chahiye, jo Friday ke candle mein dekha gaya pattern ko replicate kare. Yeh lower tail buying pressure ka izhar karti hai aur bulls ke liye aik positive signal ho sakta hai.
USD/CAD pair triangle pattern ke andar trading kar rahi hai, jo stability ko darshaata hai, magar haal hi ke signals ek significant downturn ke imkaan ko darsha rahe hain, khaaskar persist daily candlestick patterns ke saath. Immediate price targets abhi bhi uncertain hain, jo agle hafte USD ke performance par mabni hain.
Iske ilawa, doosri aham currencies ke muqable mein CAD ki zyada strength underlying confidence ko darshaata hai. Magar, USD/CAD pair ka 200-hour EMA ke upar rehna buyers aur sellers ke darmiyan complex interplay ko darshaata hai. Agar sellers pair ko 1.3716 ke neechay le jaane mein kamiyab hote hain, toh yeh pronounced bearish trend ko trigger kar sakta hai, jo 1.3533 support ko target karega. Dosri taraf, agar sustained buying pressure pair ko 1.3736 ke upar le jata hai, toh yeh 1.3809 resistance ko challenge kar sakta hai, halan ke overall bearish sentiment 1.3533 support ki taraf rahta hai. USD/CAD pair ka triangle pattern ke andar current position aur daily candlesticks mein consolidation pressure highlights kehte hain ke vigilance aur strategic positioning zaroori hai taake agle significant movement ka faida uthaya ja sake.
USD/CAD ke analysis mein key levels aur zones ko identify karte hue, strategic planning aur disciplined trading practices ko adopt karna zaroori hai. Crude oil ki price movements ko closely monitor karna bhi important hai, kyunki yeh CAD index pe asar dalti hai. Accurate analysis aur nimble trading ke sath, market opportunities ko optimize kiya ja sakta hai.

USD/CAD ka exchange rate, jo ab 1.3740 par hai, bearish trend ka samna kar raha hai. Iska matlab hai ke US dollar ki value Canadian dollar ke muqablay mein kam ho rahi hai. Is currency pair ka downward trajectory yeh suggest karta hai ke market sentiment filhal Canadian dollar ko US dollar par tarjeeh de raha hai.

Ek aur factor jo USD/CAD ke bearish trend mein contribute kar sakta hai, woh hai interest rate differential do countries ke darmiyan. Agar Bank of Canada ka interest rate Federal Reserve se zyada hai, ya agar yeh perceive kiya jaye ke Bank of Canada future mein rates zyada karega, toh yeh investors ko higher returns ki talash mein attract kar sakta hai. Canada mein higher interest rates Canadian dollar ko zyada attractive banate hain, kyunki investors ko CAD denominated investments par better returns milte hain.

Geopolitical events aur trade relations bhi exchange rate ko impact kar sakte hain. For example, agar trade policies ya agreements mein koi uncertainty ya tension ho, toh yeh investor sentiment ko affect kar sakta hai. Trade negotiations mein positive developments ya Canada mein stable political conditions Canadian dollar ko US dollar ke muqablay mein safer bet bana sakti hain, jiski wajah se exchange rate niche ja sakta hai.

Market sentiment bhi currency movements mein crucial role play karta hai. Agar traders aur investors perceive karte hain ke US dollar likely aur weaken hoga, toh woh USD ko sell karna shuru kar sakte hain aur dusri currencies, including CAD, ko prefer kar sakte hain. Market perception ko bohot se factors influence kar sakte hain, including political stability, fiscal policies, aur overall economic outlook.

Technical analysis bhi bearish trend ko samajhne mein madad kar sakta hai. Agar key support levels break ho gaye hain aur technical indicators further downside potential signal kar rahe hain, toh traders USD/CAD pair ko sell karna jaari rakh sakte hain. Moving averages, relative strength index (RSI), aur dusre technical tools current trend aur potential future movements ke bare mein insights provide kar sakte hain.

Conclusion mein, current bearish trend USD/CAD exchange rate mein, jo 1.3740 par trade kar raha hai, yeh reflect karta hai ke US dollar ki value Canadian dollar ke muqablay mein decline ho rahi hai. Yeh trend market sentiment ko Canadian dollar favor karte hue dikhata hai, jo economic performance, interest rate differentials, geopolitical events, aur technical indicators jaise factors se driven hai. Jese jese yeh elements evolve hote rahenge, yeh USD/CAD exchange rate ke future direction ko shape karne mein critical role play karenge.

USD/CAD

Pair aaj ke European session mein 1.3630 ke aas paas consolidate kar rahi thi, marking its first session of gains. Four-hour chart pe dekha jaye toh bearish bias descending channel mein nazar aa rahi hai. Iske bawajood, 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 level ke upar nikal gaya hai, jo bearish sentiment ke potential weakening ka ishara kar raha hai.

USD/CAD ke Fundamentals:

Bank of Canada (BoC) ne apni key interest rate 25 basis points se kam karke 4.75% kar di hai, jo market ka dhyan apni taraf khinch rahi hai. Yeh faisla 11-mahinon ke rate hikes ke streak ko todta hai, aur zyada accommodative monetary policy stance ki taraf pivot ko reflect karta hai. BoC ka yeh shift sustained disinflation trends ke response mein hai, jo central bank ke target range 1%-3% ke sath align karta hai. Aage dekhte hue, traders Friday ke Canadian labor figures ka intezar kar rahe hain, jo market sentiment ko aur influence kar sakti hain.

BoC Governor Tiff Macklem ne yeh underscore kiya hai ke future rate cuts inflation trends aur economic indicators pe depend karenge, jo forecasts ke sath align karte hain. Agar inflation moderate hoti hai aur economic conditions expectations ko meet karte hain, toh aur rate cuts warranted ho sakte hain, jo future trading dynamics ko shape karenge USD/CAD pair ke liye.

Four-hour Time Frame Technical Outlook:

April 30 high 1.3787 ke upar breakout ek fresh buying opportunity ka signal de sakta hai. Yeh move pair ko April 17 high 1.3839 aur shayad psychological resistance level 1.3900 ki taraf le ja sakti hai. Conversely, agar pair May 3 low ke aas paas 1.3600 ke neeche breakdown hoti hai, toh yeh lower support levels ko expose kar sakti hai, jaise April 9 low 1.3548 aur psychological barrier 1.3500.



Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator bhi bearish outlook ko reinforce karta hai, jahan MACD line persistently signal line aur centerline ke neeche hai. Lekin, ek potential crossover signal line ke upar momentum shift ka signal de sakta hai, jo current bearish trend ko weaken kar sakti hai. Traders in technical signals ko economic developments aur central bank policies ke sath closely monitor karenge potential trading opportunities ke liye.

USDCAD


Mai ne message kayi baar parha hai aur samajh nahi pa raha ke opinions kyun alag hain. Asal mein, global scale par dono taraf ki raaye ek direction mein mil rahi hai. Mujhe USDCAD pair par long jaana hai, upar ki taraf. Lekin is ke liye daily chart se neeche ki correction ka intezaar karna hoga. Aur jaise aapne sahi note kiya hai, kam se kam 35th figure se ek sau points upar hona chahiye. Iske alawa, yahan tak pahunchne ke liye kharidaroon ke efforts ko bhi dabana hoga. Aur price reaction ke aadhar par dekhte huye 1.3600 ke powerful level par, woh market mein baithe huye hain aur price ko is marker ke neeche nahi giraana chahte. Iske alawa, unhone 1.3600 - 1.3618 area se bhi ek upward movement arrange kiya hai. Yeh toh shayad ek downward correction hai, lekin yeh maujood hai... Aur achha hoga agar correction kahin 1.3654 - 1.3664 area mein khatam ho jaye, varna woh phir se 1.3700 mark ko test kar sakte hain. Aur yeh sab ek correction ke roop mein hai. Isliye 1.3500 ya kahin aur se buying ke waqt, aap ek sau se ek sau pachaas points ya aur bhi zyada neeche move kar sakte hain, correction ko complete kar ke, jahan hum ab ek growing pair se milenge. Abhi current levels se upar jaane ke liye aap lower timeframes par situation ko constant monitoring ke saath scalp kar sakte hain. Aur aaj nahi... Yaani ke aaj mein is direction mein thoda "misbehave" kiya. Mujhe lagaa ke price zyada jaldi wapas aa jayega. Lekin phir bhi maine slight profit ke saath band kar diya aur ab bhi waiting mode mein hoon.



Price action theory ke mutabiq, USDCAD bullish outlook dikhata hai, jo ke ek possible upward trajectory ko suggest karta hai jo 1.3676 resistance level ke upar breakthrough kar sakta hai. Is analysis ke roshni mein, ek buy order consider karna chahiye jiska target 1.3700 ke aas paas set kiya gaya hai, haftawar chart ke insights ke saath jo upward movement ke liye favorable conditions dikhate hain. Iske alawa, USDCAD ke upcoming news events ko lekar vigilant rehna crucial hai, kyun ke yeh market dynamics ko significant tareekon se prabhavit kar sakte hain. Economic releases, geopolitical developments, aur central bank announcements is tarah ke factors hain jo currency pair ki direction aur volatility par asar daal sakte hain. Isliye mujhe ummeed hai ke USDCAD market apne upward trend ko continue karega, jaldi 1.3732 level ki taraf aiming karne ki possibility hai.

USD/CAD currency pair ke qeemat ke utaar chadhaav mukhtalif technical indicators aur chart patterns se mutasir hote hain. Weekly chart ko dekhne par, upper channel limit aik ahem reference point ban jati hai. Long-term margin target 1.3880 pe pehchana gaya hai, jo yeh darshaata hai ke pair mazeed upar ja sakta hai. Magar, yeh target upper channel limit pe rukawat ka samna kar sakta hai jo ke upar jaane mein rukawat ban sakta hai.
H4 chart pe, indicators neechay ki janib ka rujhaan dikha rahe hain, jo ke short term mein bearish sentiment ka izhar karta hai. Phir bhi, Bollinger Bands yeh darshaati hain ke bearish retracement ke baad, pair naye upward impulse ke liye tayar ho sakta hai. Yeh upward movement tabhi ho sakti hai jab keemat key support levels ke upar rehti hai, khaaskar 1.3695-87 aur 1.3678 ke darmiyan. Agar yeh levels toot jaate hain, to dual margin aur technical support loss ho sakta hai, jo ke bearish outlook ko mazeed mazboot karega.
Jab hum Monday ke trading session ke qareeb pohanch rahe hain, toh kuch corrections ki umeed hai. Magar, yeh bohot zaroori hai ke USD/CAD pair 1/2 zone ko din ke ikhtitaam tak barqarar rakhe. Ideally, din ke candle mein lower tail hona chahiye, jo Friday ke candle mein dekha gaya pattern ko replicate kare. Yeh lower tail buying pressure ka izhar karti hai aur bulls ke liye aik positive signal ho sakta hai.
USD/CAD pair triangle pattern ke andar trading kar rahi hai, jo stability ko darshaata hai, magar haal hi ke signals ek significant downturn ke imkaan ko darsha rahe hain, khaaskar persist daily candlestick patterns ke saath. Immediate price targets abhi bhi uncertain hain, jo agle hafte USD ke performance par mabni hain.
Iske ilawa, doosri aham currencies ke muqable mein CAD ki zyada strength underlying confidence ko darshaata hai. Magar, USD/CAD pair ka 200-hour EMA ke upar rehna buyers aur sellers ke darmiyan complex interplay ko darshaata hai. Agar sellers pair ko 1.3716 ke neechay le jaane mein kamiyab hote hain, toh yeh pronounced bearish trend ko trigger kar sakta hai, jo 1.3533 support ko target karega. Dosri taraf, agar sustained buying pressure pair ko 1.3736 ke upar le jata hai, toh yeh 1.3809 resistance ko challenge kar sakta hai, halan ke overall bearish sentiment 1.3533 support ki taraf rahta hai. USD/CAD pair ka triangle pattern ke andar current position aur daily candlesticks mein consolidation pressure highlights kehte hain ke vigilance aur strategic positioning zaroori hai taake agle significant movement ka faida uthaya ja sake.
USD/CAD ke analysis mein key levels aur zones ko identify karte hue, strategic planning aur disciplined trading practices ko adopt karna zaroori hai. Crude oil ki price movements ko closely monitor karna bhi important hai, kyunki yeh CAD index pe asar dalti hai. Accurate analysis aur nimble trading ke sath, market opportunities ko optimize kiya ja sakta hai.

chart patterns se mutasir hote hain. Weekly chart ko dekhne par, upper channel limit aik ahem reference point ban jati hai. Long-term margin target 1.3880 pe pehchana gaya hai, jo yeh darshaata hai ke pair mazeed upar ja sakta hai. Magar, yeh target upper channel limit pe rukawat ka samna kar sakta hai jo ke upar jaane mein rukawat ban sakta hai.
H4 chart pe, indicators neechay ki janib ka rujhaan dikha rahe hain, jo ke short term mein bearish sentiment ka izhar karta hai. Phir bhi, Bollinger Bands yeh darshaati hain ke bearish retracement ke baad, pair naye upward impulse ke liye tayar ho sakta hai. Yeh upward movement tabhi ho sakti hai jab keemat key support levels ke upar rehti hai, khaaskar 1.3695-87 aur 1.3678 ke darmiyan. Agar yeh levels toot jaate hain, to dual margin aur technical support loss ho sakta hai, jo ke bearish outlook ko mazeed mazboot karega.
Jab hum Monday ke trading session ke qareeb pohanch rahe hain, toh kuch corrections ki umeed hai. Magar, yeh bohot zaroori hai ke USD/CAD pair 1/2 zone ko din ke ikhtitaam tak barqarar rakhe. Ideally, din ke candle mein lower tail hona chahiye, jo Friday ke candle mein dekha gaya pattern ko replicate kare. Yeh lower tail buying pressure ka izhar karti hai aur bulls ke liye aik positive signal ho sakta hai.
USD/CAD pair triangle pattern ke andar trading kar rahi hai, jo stability ko darshaata hai, magar haal hi ke signals ek significant downturn ke imkaan ko darsha rahe hain, khaaskar persist daily candlestick patterns ke saath. Immediate price targets abhi bhi uncertain hain, jo agle hafte USD ke performance par mabni hain.
Iske ilawa, doosri aham currencies ke muqable mein CAD ki zyada strength underlying confidence ko darshaata hai. Magar, USD/CAD pair ka 200-hour EMA ke upar rehna buyers aur sellers ke darmiyan complex interplay ko darshaata hai. Agar sellers pair ko 1.3716 ke neechay le jaane mein kamiyab hote hain, toh yeh pronounced bearish trend ko trigger kar sakta hai, jo 1.3533 support ko target karega. Dosri taraf, agar sustained buying pressure pair ko 1.3736 ke upar le jata hai, toh yeh 1.3809 resistance ko challenge kar sakta hai, halan ke overall bearish sentiment 1.3533 support ki taraf rahta hai. USD/CAD pair ka triangle pattern ke andar current position aur daily candlesticks mein consolidation pressure highlights kehte hain ke vigilance aur strategic positioning zaroori hai taake agle significant movement ka faida uthaya ja sake.
USD/CAD ke analysis mein key levels aur zones ko identify karte hue, strategic planning aur disciplined trading practices ko adopt karna zaroori hai. Crude oil ki price movements ko closely monitor karna bhi important hai, kyunki yeh CAD index pe asar dalti hai. Accurate analysis aur nimble trading ke sath, market opportunities ko optimize kiya ja sakta hai.

US aur Canada ke darmiyan widening interest rate gap ke chalte, agle chand dinon mein USD/CAD pair ko support mil sakti hai. Magar, technical indicators abhi tak clear nahi hain, jahan Relative Strength Index (RSI) neutral 50 ke aas-paas hover kar raha hai aur Stochastic indicator flat trajectory dikha raha hai.

Agar pair 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) 1.3668 par close karne mein kamiyab ho jata hai, to yeh potential climb kar sakta hai upper range limit 1.3740 tak aur major resistance 1.3775 tak. Yeh resistance 78.6% Fibonacci retracement of the November-December 2023 downtrend ke sath coincide karta hai. Agar yeh point break ho jata hai, to yeh 2022 peak 1.3976 ko test karne ka rasta khol sakta hai.

Doosri taraf, agar pair 50-day SMA ko clear karne mein nakam rehta hai, to yeh lower Bollinger Band 1.3374 ko target kar sakta hai. Tareekhi taur par, USD/CAD economic indicators, geopolitical events, aur central bank policies se dono mulkon mein influenced hota hai.



Latest spike ne resistance level 1.35789 ko surpass kiya hai, aur yeh indicate karta hai potential shift in economic conditions ya market sentiment. Analysts closely dekhenge ke yeh breakout ek new support level ko sustain karta hai ya phir is key threshold ke neeche retreat karta hai.

US aur Canada ke darmiyan economic performance ka divergence, aur Federal Reserve aur Bank of Canada ke policy stances, currency pair ke movements ko drive karne wale hain. US economy ki resilience Canada ki commodity-dependent economy ke volatility se contrast karti hai, jo ke USD/CAD ki upward trajectory mein contribute karti hai.

Agle dinon mein, 1.3582 MA support ke neeche break hona likely hai, jo lower levels ko target kar sakta hai. Traders ko channel ki steepness ka khayal rakhna chahiye, kyunki stronger sell-side momentum further losses ki taraf le ja sakti hai. Overall, technical aur fundamental outlook mixed hai, jo ke is pair ko trade karne ke liye cautious approach ko warrant karta hai.

Jumay ko Canadian dollar (CAD) ne thoda comeback kiya, apni major currency peers mein se ziada recover karte hue sirf ek daswaan hissay ke barabar US dollar (USD) ke against recover kiya. Market cautious tha University of Michigan's (UoM) Consumer Sentiment mein unexpected decline ke wajah se, jo ke zyadatar dismiss kar di gayi thi, sath hi Canadian Manufacturing Sales ke failed projection ke sath.

Jab ke Canada ki manufacturing aur wholesale sales anticipate ki gayi recovery se dheemi tarah se recover hui, UoM Consumer Sentiment Index ne chay maheenay ke low tak drop kiya aur 5 saal ke consumer inflation expectations June mein thodi si increase hui. Iske natijay mein, market sentiment in do areas se hat gaya hai.



Yeh potential shift ko suggest karta hai market sentiment ya underlying economic conditions mein. Analysts ab keenly dekh rahe hain ke yeh breakout sustain karta hai ya nahi, aur ek naya support level 1.35789 ya usse upar set karta hai, ya phir is key threshold ke neeche retreat karta hai. Recent upward movement ka primary driver do mulkon ke economic performance ke differential ko attribute kiya ja sakta hai. United States economy ne kai sectors mein resilience show ki hai, jaise ke positive employment data, consumer spending, aur industrial production reports. Doosri taraf, Canadian economy, jo commodities par zyada reliant hai, khaaskar oil, global oil prices ke fluctuation ke wajah se volatility experience kar rahi hai. Aise economic dynamics aksar USD/CAD pair ki currency valuation mein critical role play karte hain.

Iske ilawa, central bank policies from the Federal Reserve aur Bank of Canada bhi is currency pair par significant impact dalti hain. Federal Reserve ki monetary policy, including interest rate decisions aur quantitative easing measures, U.S. dollar ko Canadian dollar ke relative strengthen ya weaken kar sakti hain. Conversely, Bank of Canada ki policy responses to domestic economic conditions, inflation, aur growth forecasts similarly CAD ki value ko influence karti hain. In do central banks ke policy stances mein kisi bhi divergence se substantial movements USD/CAD exchange mein ho sakti hain.

Agar 1.36533 level buyers ko stop nahi karta, to bulls shayad price ko 1.36720 tak push kar sakte hain, jahan se selling opportunities consider karni chahiye. Is level se selling beneficial ho sakti hai, kyunki hourly channel ke lower part 1.35762 tak pullback expected hai. H1 chart par linear regression channel bhi down ki taraf point kar raha hai, jo market mein sellers ki predominance ko emphasize karta hai. Market 1.36079 level ki taraf south move kar raha hai. Is level par pohanchne ke baad, channel ki volatility ke sabab upward correction possible hai. Lower border ke paas sell karna advisable nahi hai, balkay upper part of the channel 1.36533 par pullback ka wait karna chahiye taake potential losses reduce kiye ja sakein. Channel ka angle jitna steep hoga, market mein seller's movement utni hi strong hogi. MA support 1.3582 ke neeche break hona likely hai, targeting lower levels.

Good autumn, forum musketeers probing the forum, I hope everyone is in good health. H1 timeframe map par lagta hai ke USDCAD currency pair ne 1.3712 ke first resistance position aur 50-period MA se reject kiya hai. Overall, is USDCAD pair par jo signals form huay hain, woh bearish movement suggest karte hain. Mere estimation ke mutabiq, price agle target ke tor par 1.3668 ke first support position ko target kar sakti hai. Agar price is position ke neeche close karti hai, to doosre support par 1.3649 tak aur decline ho sakti hai. Ye sab kuch, umeed hai sab ke liye madadgar hoga.


Pichle jumay ko, market 1.3684 par open hui aur 1.3688 par close hui. So, market sentiment bullish tha. Isne 1.3717 ka high aur 1.3673 ka low touch kiya. To, Friday ka trading range kareeban 44 pips tha. Filhal, yeh 1.3700 ke daily pivot position ke upar move kar raha hai. Aane wale trading days mein yeh daily resistance positions R1 aur R2 ko hit kar sakta hai.


Daily time frame ke mutabiq, USD/CAD advanced peaks aur valleys ka series bana raha hai. Meri strategy indicators bhi market ke bullish strength ko favor karte hain. Market ne pichle jumay ko 1.3678 ke daily support position ko hit kiya. RSI14 is position par oversold hai. Ek engulfing candlestick pattern daily support level par nazar aayi. Bullish candlestick patterns is engulfing candle ke baad appear hui jo ke market ke bullish strength ko confirm karte hain. Market MA 200 ke upar move kar rahi hai.



Aane wale dinon mein market upward direction mein move karegi. Neeche kuch price actions likhe hain:
- Pair ne downside par ek falling trendline ko break kiya.
- Yeh EMA-30 ke upar move kar rahi hai.
- Yeh daily pivot position ke upar open hui.

Canada aur US ke darmiyan widening interest rate gap USD/CAD pair ko qareebi mustaqbil mein mazboot karne ka imkaan hai. Magar, technical indicators abhi tak wazeh nahi hain, aur koi definite signals nazar nahi aa rahe. Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 ke neutral level par hai, aur Stochastic indicator bhi flat trajectory dikha raha hai. Agar yeh pair 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) jo ke abhi 1.3668 par hai, ke upar close kar leta hai, to yeh upper range limit 1.3740 tak pohanch sakta hai aur shayad 1.3775 ke major resistance line tak bhi.

Yeh resistance level November-December 2023 ke downtrend ka 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke saath coincide karta hai. Agar further upswing hota hai, to pair ko 1.3844 par resistance mil sakti hai pehle ke psychological level 1.3900 ko target kare. Agar yeh point break hota hai, to 2022 ke peak 1.3976 ko test karne ka raasta khul sakta hai.



Historically, USD/CAD pair ko mukhtalif factors influence karte hain, jin mein economic indicators, geopolitical events, aur central bank policies United States aur Canada se shaamil hain. Is context mein, recent surge 1.35789 ke resistance level ko paar karna khaas tor par intriguing hai kyun ke yeh potential shift in market sentiment ya underlying economic conditions ko suggest karta hai.

Analysts ab keenly dekh rahe hain ke yeh breakout sustain karta hai aur naya support level 1.35789 ya is se upar set karta hai, ya phir yeh key threshold ke neeche wapas retreat karta hai. Primary driver behind recent upward movement dono mulkon ke economic performance ke differential ko mana ja raha hai. United States economy ne kaafi resilience dikhai hai kai sectors mein, jismein positive employment data, consumer spending, aur industrial production reports shaamil hain. Dusri taraf, Canadian economy jo ke commodities, khaaskar oil par heavily reliant hai, global oil prices ke fluctuating hone se volatility ka shikar ho sakti hai.

Central bank policies Federal Reserve aur Bank of Canada se bhi iss currency pair par aham asar daalti hain. Federal Reserve ki monetary policy, including interest rate decisions aur quantitative easing measures, U.S. dollar ko Canadian dollar ke muqable mein strengthen ya weaken kar sakti hain. Bank of Canada ki policy responses bhi domestic economic conditions, inflation, aur growth forecasts ko madde nazar rakhti hain aur CAD ki value ko influence karti hain. In dono central banks ke policy stances mein koi bhi divergence USD/CAD exchange mein substantial movements ko lead kar sakti hai.

1.36533 ke level par buyers ko rok nahi paati, to bulls price ko 1.36720 tak push kar sakte hain, jahan se selling opportunities consider ki ja sakti hain. Is level se sell karna beneficial ho sakta hai, kyun ke pullback hourly channel ke lower part 1.35762 tak expected hai. Linear regression channel M15 chart par bhi neeche point kar raha hai, jo market mein sellers ki predominance ko emphasize karta hai.

Market 1.36079 level ki taraf south move kar raha hai. Jab yeh level reach hota hai, channel ki volatility ke wajah se upward correction possible hai. Channel ke lower border ke kareeb sell karna advisable nahi hai, balke channel ke upper part 1.36533 tak pullback ka intezar karna chahiye potential losses ko reduce karne ke liye. Channel ka angle jitna steep hoga, market mein sellers ki movement utni strong hogi. MA support 1.3582 ke neeche break hone par neeche target hone ka imkaan hai.

USD/CAD: Zinda tehlil ke mutabiq USD/CAD currency pair ke qeemat ke utaar chadhaav mukhtalif technical indicators aur chart patterns se mutasir hote hain. Weekly chart ko dekhne par, upper channel limit aik ahem reference point ban jati hai. Long-term margin target 1.3880 pe pehchana gaya hai, jo yeh darshaata hai ke pair mazeed upar ja sakta hai. Magar, yeh target upper channel limit pe rukawat ka samna kar sakta hai jo ke upar jaane mein rukawat ban sakta hai.
H4 chart pe, indicators neechay ki janib ka rujhaan dikha rahe hain, jo ke short term mein bearish sentiment ka izhar karta hai. Phir bhi, Bollinger Bands yeh darshaati hain ke bearish retracement ke baad, pair naye upward impulse ke liye tayar ho sakta hai. Yeh upward movement tabhi ho sakti hai jab keemat key support levels ke upar rehti hai, khaaskar 1.3695-87 aur 1.3678 ke darmiyan. Agar yeh levels toot jaate hain, to dual margin aur technical support loss ho sakta hai, jo ke bearish outlook ko mazeed mazboot karega.

Jab hum Monday ke trading session ke qareeb pohanch rahe hain, toh kuch corrections ki umeed hai. Magar, yeh bohot zaroori hai ke USD/CAD pair 1/2 zone ko din ke ikhtitaam tak barqarar rakhe. Ideally, din ke candle mein lower tail hona chahiye, jo Friday ke candle mein dekha gaya pattern ko replicate kare. Yeh lower tail buying pressure ka izhar karti hai aur bulls ke liye aik positive signal ho sakta hai.

USD/CAD pair triangle pattern ke andar trading kar rahi hai, jo stability ko darshaata hai, magar haal hi ke signals ek significant downturn ke imkaan ko darsha rahe hain, khaaskar persist daily candlestick patterns ke saath. Immediate price targets abhi bhi uncertain hain, jo agle hafte USD ke performance par mabni hain.

Iske ilawa, doosri aham currencies ke muqable mein CAD ki zyada strength underlying confidence ko darshaata hai. Magar, USD/CAD pair ka 200-hour EMA ke upar rehna buyers aur sellers ke darmiyan complex interplay ko darshaata hai. Agar sellers pair ko 1.3716 ke neechay le jaane mein kamiyab hote hain, toh yeh pronounced bearish trend ko trigger kar sakta hai, jo 1.3533 support ko target karega. Dosri taraf, agar sustained buying pressure pair ko 1.3736 ke upar le jata hai, toh yeh 1.3809 resistance ko challenge kar sakta hai, halan ke overall bearish sentiment 1.3533 support ki taraf rahta hai. USD/CAD pair ka triangle pattern ke andar current position aur daily candlesticks mein consolidation pressure highlights kehte hain ke vigilance aur strategic positioning zaroori hai taake agle significant movement ka faida uthaya ja sake.

Ab tak sab kuch, aam tor par, janubi direction mein achha chal raha hai, lekin sab se zaroori baat yeh hai ke bear support zone se guzarte hue aur neeche jaye ga, jo ke 1.3679–1.3616 ke price levels par located hai. Meri raaye mein, is zone ke area mein do options hain: ya to bear is zone ko break karega aur price gradually mere profit 1.2997 tak neeche jaye gi, ya phir isi area mein humein ek full-scale, strong upward movement milega. Pichle hafte USD/CAD pair ka downward drift hua. Main ise flat southern bias ke sath bhi keh sakta hoon; weekly range sirf 90 points thi. Yeh pair apne current range ko bhi theek se workout nahi kar saka. Mujhe nahi pata ke kaun se drivers chahiye (ya kya hum unhe dekhenge) is pair ko hilane ke liye. To filhal, scenario wahi hai: northern slope range mein hai. Magar, wahan se ek chhota pullback north ki taraf required ho ga, kyun ke us waqt stochastic H4 yeh indicate karega ke yeh currency pair oversold hai.

Phir se, broken support 1.3670 rollback ke raste mein khadi ho gi, jo growth ke liye resistance banegi, aur mujhe umeed hai ke is test se baad, USD/CAD ki price neeche move karna shuru karegi aur autumn mein additional acceleration milegi, pehle upward trend ko descending trend mein tabdeel karte hue four-hour movement mein. Magar, wo janubi movement ke continuation par count kar sakte hain breakdown aur consolidation ke baad quotes par USD/CAD ke southern start line 1.3678 ke neeche. Agar yeh kaam solve hota hai, to primary downward impulse 1.3790 ke high se activate hoga, aur Canadian dollar apna southern pullback level of the first impulse zone 1.3609 tak continue kar sakta hai. Yeh zaroori nahi ke yeh level accurately workout ho, aur sellers ki correctional possibilities dynamic support ke saath last corner of the ascending fan aur zone 1.3660–1.3640 par limited ho sakti hain, jahan se USD/CAD ki price phir se north turn kar sakti hai. Is waqt, main zyada inclined hoon yeh maan ne par ke loonie ne abhi tak apni southern correction complete nahi ki, magar din abhi shuru hua hai aur sab kuch badal sakta hai.

USDCAD jodi ka bullish rehna, USD exchange rate ka phir se mazboot honay ka saboot hai aur duniya ke international trade mein abhi bhi bohot zyada darkhwast hai. To agar koi kehta hai ke BRICS USD ke hegemony ko dhamkayega, to main phir bhi is par shak karta hoon. Masla yeh hai ke agar BRICS ka saboot mil jaye ke wo USD ke hegemony ko dhaal sakte hain, to USD exchange rate kamzor hona chahiye. Magar jab is pair mein trading ki baat aati hai, to yeh phir mukhtalif hai. To pichle Jumma ko yeh sabit hua ke price, jo ke bullish hone ki koshish kar rahi thi, naqami se kamyab rahi, jo ke 1.3791 ke level par Tuesday ke resistance se bahir nahi nikal saki. Meri raay mein, yeh ek kaafi mukhfiq ibtidaai signal hai USDCAD ko reversal shuru karne ke liye ya kam az kam had se zyada bearish correction shuru karne ke liye. To, Jumma ko, price sirf 1.3779 ke level tak resistance bana saki, is liye Monday ke liye, agar price us resistance se bahir nahi nikalti to main kafi itminan se SELL position kholunga. Is ke ilawa, H1 time frame ke mutabiq, price ab bhi lower Bollinger band area mein hai, aur stochastic oscillator indicator oversold area ko chhod chuka hai. Is par fundamental hawale se bhi, Federal Reserve qareebi mustaqbil mein dobara interest rates ko buland nahi karegi, jo ke matlab hai ke USD exchange rate ko madum had tak mazboot hone ka trend banane ke liye kaafi nahi mazboot hoga, chahay wo darmiyani muddat mein ho ya lambi muddat mein. Technical analysis ke nazariye se, kai indicators bearish jazbaat ki taraf ishara karte hain. Momentum indicator, jis ab 99.90 par hai, is tasavvur ko support karta hai, aur bechnay ki moqayat ka ishara deta hai. Is ke ilawa, MACD abhi bhi manfi maidan mein hai, jo ke bearish outlook ko mazbooti deta hai. Stochastic indicators bhi market

Ab tak sab kuch, aam tor par, janubi direction mein achha chal raha hai, lekin sab se zaroori baat yeh hai ke bear support zone se guzarte hue aur neeche jaye ga, jo ke 1.3679–1.3616 ke price levels par located hai. Meri raaye mein, is zone ke area mein do options hain: ya to bear is zone ko break karega aur price gradually mere profit 1.2997 tak neeche jaye gi, ya phir isi area mein humein ek full-scale, strong upward movement milega. Pichle hafte USD/CAD pair ka downward drift hua. Main ise flat southern bias ke sath bhi keh sakta hoon; weekly range sirf 90 points thi. Yeh pair apne current range ko bhi theek se workout nahi kar saka. Mujhe nahi pata ke kaun se drivers chahiye (ya kya hum unhe dekhenge) is pair ko hilane ke liye. To filhal, scenario wahi hai: northern slope range mein hai. Magar, wahan se ek chhota pullback north ki taraf required ho ga, kyun ke us waqt stochastic H4 yeh indicate karega ke yeh currency pair oversold hai.
Phir se, broken support 1.3670 rollback ke raste mein khadi ho gi, jo growth ke liye resistance banegi, aur mujhe umeed hai ke is test se baad, USD/CAD ki price neeche move karna shuru karegi aur autumn mein additional acceleration milegi, pehle upward trend ko descending trend mein tabdeel karte hue four-hour movement mein. Magar, wo janubi movement ke continuation par count kar sakte hain breakdown aur consolidation ke baad quotes par USD/CAD ke southern start line 1.3678 ke neeche. Agar yeh kaam solve hota hai, to primary downward impulse 1.3790 ke high se activate hoga, aur Canadian dollar apna southern pullback level of the first impulse zone 1.3609 tak continue kar sakta hai. Yeh zaroori nahi ke yeh level accurately workout ho, aur sellers ki correctional possibilities dynamic support ke saath last corner of the ascending fan aur zone 1.3660–1.3640 par limited ho sakti hain, jahan se USD/CAD ki price phir se north turn kar sakti hai. Is waqt, main zyada inclined hoon yeh maan ne par ke loonie ne abhi tak apni southern correction complete nahi ki, magar din abhi shuru hua hai aur sab kuch badal sakta hai.

USD/CAD Forum Analysis, Forecast

M15 Minutes

Sab ko great mood mubarak ho! Seller apni taraf se active hai, jo linear regression channel se south ki taraf dekhne se nazar aata hai. Instrument 1.36399 ke level ke neeche trade kar raha hai. Main 1.36238 ke level tak sales consider kar raha hoon, jahan se ek correction expect ki ja sakti hai, isliye main neeche shorts consider karna band kar raha hoon. Main ek rollback ka intezar kar raha hoon aur phir sales ka soch sakta hoon. Sales 1.36399 ke level se zyada achi lagti hain, kyun ke is limit se bahar jane se bullish interest ka khatra hota hai. Isliye, 1.36399 se selling kar ke mujhe purchases aur sales ke darmiyan ek place milti hai. Jahan aap clearly do players ka reaction dekh sakte hain, jis ke mutabiq aap apni trading ko adjust kar sakte hain, apne losses ko cut karte hue aur day trading mein quick profit ka mauka bana sakte hain.



H1 Hour

Hourly chart ko dekhte hue, mujhe bhi linear regression channel niche ki taraf directed nazar aata hai. Dono channels ek hi direction mein ja rahe hain, jo strong buyer ki absence ko indicate karte hain. Is case mein H1 channel ke direction mein change hone ki probability bohot kam hai. Isliye, mere liye sales consider karna zyada interesting hai bajaye purchases mein jane ke, jab do channels sales ko signal kar rahe hain. Bullish obstacle level 1.36399 hai, jisko pass karne se growth ka khatra hota hai upper edge of the channel 1.36560 tak. Is level se main sell karunga aur target 1.36238 aur 1.35800 ko lene ki umeed rakhta hoon. Targets ko visit karna channel volatility ko select karta hai, jo bullish rollback ko contribute karega. Rollback par growth mere liye zyada interesting nahi hai, trend par kaam karna priority hai.