𝐔𝐒𝐃/𝐂𝐀𝐃

USD/CAD pair mein, aaj market ne choti si gap ke sath khula, jo ke Asian session ke doran fill ho chuka hai, aur abhi price pechle Friday ke daily range ke andar hi hai. Mujhe is waqt is instrument mein kuch khaas dilchasp cheez nazar nahi aa rahi, is liye aaj ka din mein support level ke qareeb sidelines par observe karne ka irada rakhta hoon, jo ke meri analysis ke mutabiq 1.35882 par hai, aur ek aur support level 1.35407 par hai. In support levels ke qareeb do scenarios ban sakte hain. Pehla scenario ek reversal candle aur upward price movement ka hai. Agar yeh plan work out hota hai, to mein wait karunga ke price resistance level jo ke 1.37553 par hai ya resistance level 1.37917 tak wapas aaye. Agar price in resistance levels ke upar consolidate hoti hai, to mein further northward movement expect karunga, takreeban resistance level 1.38461 tak. Yaqeenan, aur bhi zyada northern targets achieve hone ki possibility hai, jo ke meri analysis ke mutabiq 1.38989 par hain, lekin yeh depend karega situation par aur price designated northern targets par kaise react karti hai aur news flow ke doran price movement par. Ek alternative scenario yeh ho sakta hai ke price jab support level 1.35882 ya support level 1.35407 ke qareeb aaye to consolidate ho kar south ki taraf move kare. Agar yeh plan unfold hota hai, to mein price ko support level 1.34778 ya support level 1.34557 ki taraf move karne ki umeed rakhunga. In support levels ke qareeb, mein bullish signals dhundne ka silsila jaari rakhunga, upward price movement ke resumption ki umeed ke sath. Mukhtasir yeh ke, aaj ke liye mujhe locally kuch khaas dilchasp nazar nahi aa raha. Overall, mujhe lagta hai ke price nearest support levels ko test karegi, aur phir mein bullish signals ke intezar mein rahunga, expecting a resumption of the uptrend within the formation of a global sideways trend

USD/CAD Prices ka Gehra Jaiza
Hamara mukalma USD/CAD currency pair ki real-time evaluation ke gird ghoomta hai. Agar hum USD/CAD currency pair ki maujooda surat-e-haal ka tajziya karain, toh yeh wazeh hai ke 9 June se bears ne kabza jamaya hua hai. Haal hi ke harkat se yeh maloom hota hai ke corrective growth ke dauran, USD/CAD pair resistance level 1.3654 ko nahin pohanch saka, khaaskar jab pichle haftay US dollar ke liye nuqsan deh data aya tha. Trading ke akhar par, USD/CAD pair ne thoda decline dikhaya, aur 1.3639 ke qareeb aur thoda neeche close hua. Magar, H4 stochastic aur relative strength index ke madad se bulls ko abhi bhi support mil raha hai bawajood iske ke zigzag indicator kuch aur keh raha hai, isliye USD/CAD ke prices barh sakte hain aur Monday ko resistance 1.3654 ko test kar sakte hain. Magar, mujhe is level se aage growth ki umeed nahin hai, aur uske baad, USD/CAD pair shayad gir kar support level 1.3587 ko pohanch jaye, jo ke iss saal mid-May ke lows ke barabar hai.




Daily analysis chart ke zariye mujhe Monday ko koi significant harkat nazar nahin aa rahi. Magar, aglay haftay bears prevail kar sakte hain, aur price ko support level 1.3615 se neeche fix karenge, ya phir bulls apna rasta continue karenge. Hum kafi arsay se consolidation mein trading kar rahe hain, resistance level 1.3799 aur support level 1.3615 ke darmiyan. USD/CAD pair ke liye ek directional change likely hai, magar abhi tak yeh decide nahin hua. Har dafa jab pair pullback karta hai, toh neeche chala jata hai. Monday ko, ek aur koshish ki ja sakti hai ke pullback se rise ho, jo ke 1.36049 ya 1.35899, tak ja sakti hai, aur phir 1.36649, aur uske baad 1.37019-1.37333 tak. Magar signals se yeh maloom hota hai ke pair shayad is dafa pullback se 1.36649 tak na barh sake. Yeh relatively safe level is niyat ko confirm karta hai ke bullish direction mein pivot karne ka irada hai. USD/CAD pair ek bearish trend ko reflect karta hai, aur corrective upward movements key resistance levels ko break karne mein nakam hain.

Monday ke subh session mein pair ko 1.3700 level ke qareeb temporary resistance ka samna karna para. Magar, investors ke expectations ke mutabiq Bank of Canada (BoC) ki aanewali monetary policy meeting mein interest rate cut hone ke imkaan se Loonie ke mazeed barhne ki umeed hai. Yeh expectation aur crude oil prices ki lehraen mil kar pair ke performance par khaasa asar daal sakti hain.
Interest Rate Expectations

Aik haaliya Reuters poll jo 31 May se 5 June tak hui thi, usne yeh zahir kiya ke lagbhag do-tehai economists ab BoC se September mein interest rate cut ki umeed karte hain. Iske ilawa, CME FedWatch Tool yeh dikhata hai ke September mein Fed rate cut ka imkaan 47.5% se barh kar taqreeban 70% tak pohanch gaya hai. Yeh predictions market expectations ko shape karte hain aur trading behavior ko influence karte hain.

Crude Oil Prices ka Asar

Crude oil prices ka upward trend Canadian Dollar (CAD) ki demand ko mazid barhata hai, considering ke Canada America ka sabse bara oil exporter hai. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil prices ne apne gains ko dusre musalsal session ke liye barhaya hai, aur likhne ke waqt tak yeh $74.30 per barrel ke aas-paas trade kar rahi hain. Oil prices ka yeh izafa CAD ko support deta hai aur doosre economic factors ka counterbalance karta hai.



Resistance Levels aur Potential Upside

USD/CAD pair ko psychological level 1.3600 aur throwback support 1.3591 ke qareeb key support milne ki umeed hai. Agar pair in levels se neeche break kar jaye, toh yeh downward pressure face kar sakta hai, aur shayad psychological level 1.3500 aur descending channel ke lower boundary ko test kare. Upward-sloping 20-day aur 50-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMA), jo ke 1.3633 aur 1.3621 ke qareeb trade kar rahi hain, ek bullish near-term trend ko indicate karti hain.

On the upside, pair descending channel ke upper boundary se break kar sakta hai, aur agla target psychological level 1.3700 aur pullback resistance 1.3741 ho sakta hai. Agar yeh resistance decisively breakthrough ho jaye, toh pair 1.3800 ke key level ke qareeb area ko explore kar sakta hai, jo ke April ke high 1.3847 se pehle hai. Yeh levels pair ke future trajectory ko determine karne mein crucial honge.

USD/CAD currency pair abhi 1.3531 level par trade kar raha hai, jo market mein tight karne ki koshishon se support mil raha hai. Is support ke bawajood, selling pressure itna hai ke girawat barqarar hai. Phir bhi, kareebi waqt mein kuch recovery ki umeed hai. Yeh recovery 1.3520 level par rok sakti hai, jo main resistance area ban sakta hai.
1.3542 aur 1.3526 ke darmiyan ka area is context mein bohot important hai. Agar is area mein price phir se test aur rebound hota hai, toh nayi decline wave shuru hone ka chance hai. Iska matlab hai traders ko in levels ke aas-paas price action ko qareebi se dekhna chahiye, kyun ke yeh currency pair ke movement ka critical juncture hai.

Agar hum tafseel se dekhein, 1.3542-1.3526 area buyers aur sellers ke darmiyan aik jang ka maidan hai. Agar price is zone tak barhta hai lekin isay convincingly tor nahi paata, toh yeh bearish trend ke continuation ka signal ho ga. Aise mein, traders aur decline ki umeed kar sakte hain, jo shayad lower lows tak le jaaye. Is resistance area se rebound selling pressure ke dominance ko confirm karega bullish attempts ke upar.




Doosri taraf, agar reversal level, jo 1.3527 aur 1.3503 ke darmiyan hai, ko convincingly tor diya jaye, toh current bearish scenario invalid ho jayega. Agar price is range se ooper barhta aur sustain karta hai, toh yeh momentum ke bearish se bullish shift ka signal ho ga. Yeh breakthrough yeh suggest karega ke buyers ne control hasil kar liya hai, aur market aage upward movement dekh sakta hai.

USD/CAD currency pair aik crucial juncture par hai, 1.3531 level ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai. Partial recovery ki umeed hai lekin yeh 1.3520 resistance area par capped ho sakti hai. 1.3542-1.3526 resistance zone ke aas-paas price action ko monitor karna bohot zaroori hai, kyun ke is area se rebound nayi decline wave ko trigger kar sakta hai.

In key levels aur unki implications ko samajhna traders ke liye zaroori hai. 1.3531 current trading level pivotal hai kyun ke yeh significant support aur resistance zone ke andar hai. Market participants ko vigilant rehna chahiye, kyun ke in levels ke aas-paas price action future direction ke baray mein critical clues provide karega.

Agar reversal level 1.3527-1.3503 ko break kiya jaye, toh bearish scenario invalidate ho jayega, aur bullish trend ka potential shift signal milega. Traders ko in levels ko, doosray technical indicators ke sath combine kar ke, apni trading strategies ko guide karna chahiye.

USD-CAD PAIR ANALYSIS
Subah bakhair, kal raat ki FOMC meeting se koi nai baat samne nahi aayi kyunki yeh sirf wahi dohraya gaya jo pehle hi kaha gaya tha, jaise ke US economic growth ka gradual slowdown aur unexpected economic weakness ko respond karne ki tayyari. Aaj US market band hai isliye market volatility kam hogi aur phir se NFP data report ke samnay aane par lively hogi, jo ke Friday raat ko main driver ban sakta hai. Aise mein, USDCAD market mein jo bearish trend chal raha hai, uske continued rehne ke asar lagte hain.

Technically, kal se price daily chart par EMA50 ke neeche move kar rahi hai aur aaj ke Asian session tak us level ke neeche hi rahi. Dekha jaye toh price lower Bollinger bands line par hai, toh pullback ka potential bohot zyada hai towards MA5/MA10 High 1.3643 - 1.3658. Lekin agar yeh pullback impulsive movement mein convert nahi hota toh yeh ek strong selling momentum hoga, kyunki pehle 4-hour chart par ek sell momentum candle nazar aayi thi. Interesting baat yeh hai ke downward crossing hui hai MA5/MA10 aur mid BB ke darmiyan main trend line EMA50 blue ke sath, isse weekly trend bearish confirm hota hai. Agar magenta uptrend line ka upside breakout hota hai toh situation bullish ho sakti hai.




Stochastic momentum indicator oversold level par hai aur neutral zone ki taraf rebound ka potential hai, lekin yeh condition ongoing bearish trend ka direction change nahi karegi, kyunki Awesome Oscillator histogram bar downward aur red hai, jo current trend conditions ko explain karta hai. Interesting baat yeh hai ke RSI 14 position abhi bhi 35 par hai aur oversold phase mein nahi ghusi, toh decline ka bohot bara opportunity abhi bhi hai. Agar aap in teenon ko upwards movement karte dekhte hain, toh pullback ka potential towards re-entry sell zone at MA5/MA10 High 1.3643 - 1.3658 wide open hai. Isliye do potential trading plans samne aate hain:

Trading Setup:
- SELL LIMIT main option hai price area of 1.3643 - 1.3658 ke sath, SL 1.3700 aur TP 1.3550.
- INSTANT BUY bhi ho sakta hai agar 1.3625 support se bounce hota hai, SL 1.3600 aur TP 1.3660 ke sath.

USD-CAD Pair Forecast
FOMC ka hamesha kuch naya nahi hota. Yeh Federal Reserve ke high-ranking officials ki sirf ek meeting hoti hai. Jab tak latest interest rate ka announcement schedule par nahi hota, tab tak kuch naya nahi hota. Aur agar Fed governor ka scheduled speech nahi hai, tab bhi kuch naya nahi hota. Lekin FOMC ke hone se pehle US economy mein market ne kuch naya dekha, jab United States ne apna ISM Services data release kiya jo significant tor par 50 points se neeche gir gaya. Isi wajah se USDCAD afternoon se evening tak kaafi bearish raha. Main bhi mayoos hua, kyunki din ke doran USDCAD pair mein hedging position thi, jisme BUY aur SELL positions dono ek saath thi, aur maine SELL position exit kar di. Natija yeh hua ke mujhe loss uthana pada jab price kaafi deeply bearish thi. Khush kismati se, BUY position sirf choti lot use karke ki thi, isliye accumulated floating loss bhi relatively chota tha.

Aaj ke liye, mujhe lagta hai ke USDCAD pair mein price movement sluggish rahega kyunki US financial market band hone ki report hai. Lekin maine Friday ke economic calendar ko dekha, jisme dikhaya gaya ke important economic data releases Canada aur United States se aayengi. Forecast ke mutabiq Canadian economic data worse honi ka andaza hai. Isliye mujhe lagta hai ke aaj se hi choti lot ke sath BUY position lena galat nahi hoga, yeh umeed karte hue ke Friday ko price phir se bullish hogi, chahe Bollinger Band indicator H4 time frame mein lower band area mein price dikhata ho.

Aaj kal ki developments ko dekhte hue, mujhe lagta hai ke market thoda cautious approach le rahi hai. USDCAD pair mein slow movement ka asar dekhne ko mil raha hai, jo US market ke band hone se expect kiya gaya tha. Lekin jaisa ke Friday ko significant economic data release hone wale hain, traders ko price action par nazar rakhni hogi. Canadian economic data agar worse hoti hai, toh yeh USDCAD ke bullish trend ko support kar sakti hai.

Ek aur cheez jo traders ko dhyan mein rakhni chahiye, woh hai ke previous ISM Services data ki decline ka impact ab tak market mein nazar aata hai. Yeh economic indicator ke sudden drop ne US dollar ko weaken kiya aur USDCAD pair ko bearish territory mein push kiya. Lekin agar upcoming economic data US dollar ko support karti hai, toh recovery dekhne ko mil sakti hai.

Technical analysis bhi yeh dikhata hai ke price ab tak lower Bollinger Bands line ke saath hai. Yeh ek potential pullback ka signal ho sakta hai, especially agar price H4 time frame mein lower band area mein rehti hai.

Aise situations mein, hedging strategies zaroori hoti hain, jisme traders simultaneously BUY aur SELL positions lete hain. Yeh strategy risk manage karne mein madadgar hoti hai. Lekin timing critical hoti hai, aur galat decision loss lead kar sakta hai, jaisa ke maine SELL position exit karte waqt face kiya.

Aaj ke liye, choti lot ke sath BUY position lena wise decision lagta hai, considering ke upcoming economic data bullish movement ko support kar sakti hai. Lekin, traders ko cautious rehna chahiye aur price movements ko closely monitor karna chahiye.

In sab factors ko dekhte hue, USDCAD pair mein trading karte waqt ek balanced approach rakhni zaroori hai, technical aur fundamental indicators ko use karte hue informed decisions lena chahiye.

USD/CAD Analysis 02 July 2024
Jo main graph se dekh raha hoon, uske mutabiq yeh saaf hai ke USDCAD currency pair abhi bhi bullish trend ki taraf move karne ki koshish kar raha hai, halan ke aaj dopahar se yeh 1.3731 level tak neeche correct kar raha hai. Pehle week mein, yeh pair bearish trend mein move karne ki koshish kar raha tha lekin 1.3623 price level ko break karne mein naakam raha. Abhi ke liye, weekly timeframe par market conditions buyers ke control mein nazar aa rahi hain.

In conditions se yeh natija nikalta hai ke market ka estimated trend most likely bullish hi rahega aur price upar ki taraf move karegi, 1.3775 level range ko test karne ke liye. Agle trading session mein, hum buyers ki further action ka intezar kar rahe hain jo most likely price ko upar push karne ki koshish karenge. Agar successful hue, toh price higher level ki taraf move karegi, lekin agar fail hue, toh price wapas 1.3700 level ke aas-paas girne ki umeed hai.

Agar current trend ko dekha jaye jo abhi bhi bullish condition mein hai, toh buyers ka potential lagta hai ke woh prices ko phir se upar le jayein. Daily aur weekly timeframes ke basis par upward trend par rely karte hue, lagta hai ke prices ke upar jane ka bohot bara chance abhi bhi hai kyunki buyers ki army prices ko upar push kar rahi hai aur Simple Moving Average indicator ko penetrate kar rahi hai.




Market conditions ke basis par opportunities ka jawab dete hue, current price position abhi bhi bullish condition ko strengthen kar rahi hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator ki Lime line 70 level se thoda neeche hai price corrections ki wajah se. Toh agle week ke liye, price movement ka intezar karein ke woh phir se rise kare taake increase ka continuation dekhna zyada valid ho sake. Apne transactions mein risk of loss ko limit karne ke liye, aapko har transaction ke liye stop loss set karte hue disciplined rehna chahiye.

In sab factors ko dekhte hue, yeh zaroori hai ke market movements ko closely monitor kiya jaye aur informed decisions liye jaye. Buyers ka potential strong nazar aata hai, aur yeh expect kiya jata hai ke woh price ko bullish trend mein maintain karenge. Trading karte waqt, technical indicators jaise ke RSI aur Simple Moving Average ko use karte hue strategies banani chahiye taake market conditions ko achi tarah samajh kar trade kiya ja sake. Apni trading strategies mein risk management ko include karna zaroori hai taake possible losses se bacha ja sake.

Ahemiyat Ke Nuqaat
Abhi, traders New York session ke khulne ka intezar kar rahe hain kyunke aaj Federal Chairman Powell ek speech denge aur FOMC meeting bhi hogi. Iss waja se, aaj ka market significant movements dekhne ki umeed hai. Saath hi, aaj ISM aur Final Service PMI bhi release hongay. Agle din ke liye, ADP Non-Farm Employment aur Unemployment rate release hongay. Ye sab high-impact news events hain jo market ko kaafi hila sakte hain. Iss liye, traders ko tayar rehna chahiye in news events aur unke possible asraat handle karne ke liye. Aaj ke liye, meri salah hai ke hum buy trading mein involve hon aur apna target 1.3765 ke upar set karein. Lekin, trading activity ko nayi data release hone se pehle adjust karna zaroori hoga.




H4 Chart Pattern ke saath Technical Analysis:

USDCAD market organically act karega jab Non-Farm Employment aur Unemployment news data release mints mein aaj ayega. Aam tor par kal ADP Non-Farm Employment aur Unemployment rate release hoga. Ye indicators crucial hain kyunke ye labor market aur broader economic conditions ke health ka pata dete hain. Aise high-impact news events market ko kaafi hila sakte hain, jis se volatility aur rapid price changes ho sakte hain. Iss liye, traders ko tayar rehna chahiye in news events aur unke possible asraat handle karne ke liye. Ready rehne ka matlab hai in events ke potential implications ko samajhna aur strategies tayar rakhna taake kisi bhi market shifts ko jaldi se respond kiya ja sake. Aaj ke liye, meri salah hai ke hum buy trading mein involve hon aur apna target 1.3765 ke upar set karein. Ye target current expectations par mabni positive outlook ko reflect karta hai. Aaj, ye buyers ke haq mein reh sakta hai, aur daily low create karne ke baad, Washington session ke doran bullish journey shuru karega.

Technical Analysis of USD/CAD
Pichlay trading week mein, Canadian dollar ne ek dafa phir range se bahar nikalne ki koshish ki, magar 1.3616 ke neeche successful nahi ho saka. Price foran recover hui, ek important support mila, aur 1.3735 ke upper border ki taraf move karne lagi, almost signal zone ko cross karti hui. Is tarah, jo expected fall thi wo nahi hui. Saath hi, price chart ne green supertrend zone mein entry ki, jo buyers ki activity ko show karta hai.

Technically, 4-H chart dekhte hue, hum chart par ek bearish technical structure aur simple moving average par negative pressure dekh rahe hain, 14-day momentum indicator par clear negative signals ke sath. Is tarah, hum negative hain magar cautious bhi, jabke day trading 1.3970 ke resistance ke neeche stabilize ho rahi hai. Yahan tak ke 1.3995 ke neeche break hone se pehla target 1.3995 tak pohanchne mein madad milegi. Hum yaad dilate hain ke hourly candle 1.3970 ke minimum ke upar close hone se proposed scenario activate nahi hoga, aur hum 1.3830 tak rebound ki koshish dekh sakte hain. Chart neechay dekhein:



Prices iss waqt weekly highs se moderate rising show kar rahi hain. Saath hi, key resistance area strong pressure mein hai aur break hone wala hai, jo downward se upward vector change karne ki zaroorat ko indicate karta hai. Ye tab confirm hoga jab price 1.3664 ke level ke upar consolidate karne mein kamiyab hogi, jo ke abhi main support zone ko border karta hai. Repeated testing aur subsequent rebound ek naye upward movement ka mauqa faraham karega jiska target 1.3793 aur 1.3862 ke area mein hoga.

Agar support break hota hai aur price 1.3616 ke reversal level ke neeche girti hai, to ek signal milega ke current scenario cancel ho gaya.

Maujooda USD/CAD currency pair ke dynamics ka jayeza lenay par wazeh hota hai ke rozana ke chart par 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) mukhya 50 mark ke oopar hai, jo market mein bullish jazbaat ko darust karta hai. Canadian dollar ke liye foran ka rukawat 1.3700 resistance level par hai, jo agar paar ho jaye to ye pair ko 1.4000 ki nafsiyati rukawat ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) lines ko signal line ke oopar hone se mojooda barhne wale umeedon ko mazeed mazbooti milti hai. Kal Asian trading hours mein USD/CAD ne 1.3668 tak giraavat dekhi thi, jo US dollar ki kamzori ki wajah se thi. Ye neeche ki taraf ka movement Federal Reserve ke faisle par aaya tha ke woh interest rates ko barqarar rakhegi, jab Chairman Jerome Powell ne pehle aggressive stance ki bajaye kam aggressive stance apnaya. Is ke bawajood, pair ne hissa 1.3687 tak taqreeban perfect recovery kiya. Ye sahih karne wala qadam initial news-driven decline ke baad aaya, jab pair D1 timeframe par mojooda trend triangle mein wapas chala gaya, uptrend line ko paar karte hue. Magar mazeed price action ne uptrend se intiqal dekha, jab pair triangle ke trend line ke neeche se paar ho gaya, 1.3609 par bearish momentum ki taraf ishaara karke.
Qareebi muddat mein aage dekhte hue, ek mazeed girawat ka intezar hai Monday se, hal hi mein dekhi gayi waqtan-fareezi sahih tezi ke bawajood. 1.3765 resistance level bechne ke mauqay pesh karta hai, kisi bhi galat breakout ki soorat mein nichlay dabao ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Ek faislaak karne wala paar aur 1.3788 ke oopar mazboot trading sustain ho sakti hai, halankeh ye ek dusri surat hai. 1.3788 par rukawat jari hai, jo girawat ki manzil ko mazeed barha sakta hai. Hal hi mein galat breakout ke baad, 1.3629 ke paar honay par sustained trading nichle dabao ki aur bechnay ka mauqa de sakti hai, girawat ko lamba karne ke liye.

Mazeed neeche ki taraf ka movement munkin hai, 1.3785 ke upar ek thos neeche ki taraf ki isharaat se kharidne ka mauqa aya hai, jabke 1.3743 ki taraf utarta rehna munkin hai. Kisi bhi choti oopar ki raftar ko sahih tor par sahih karte hue dekha jana chahiye, 1.3546 ke nichle trading ke baad baad mein kharidne ke mauqay aate hain. Ikhtitam mein, USD/CAD pair bullish momentum ke key resistance levels se guzarta hai. Takneeki indicators aur hali waqiyaat ke darmiyan kehlao potential trading opportunities set karte hain, jahan tajziya ko tawajjo Click image for larger version

USD/CAD Price Overview
Main iss waqt USD/CAD currency pair ke dynamic pricing behaviour ka tajziya kar raha hoon. USD/CAD ka overall movement upward hai. Yeh channel formation se wazeh hai jisme price move karti hai aur moving averages ke positioning se bhi, jo ke lagbhag horizontal hain magar unki relative positions ke wajah se increase ko indicate karti hain. Iske ilawa, last do lower extreme points bhi rise huye hain, jo humein ek upward trend line establish karne ka moqa dete hain. Supplementary window mein oscillators bhi upward trend ko support kar rahe hain. Senior oscillator dobara upwards turn hua hai, aur histogram zero line ke upar hai.

Isi tarah, junior linear CCI apni window ke top par positioned hai, jo correction line ke mushaba ek line bana raha hai. Isliye, mujhe umeed hai ke price aur bhi upar jaye gi, resistance zone 1.3751-1.3774 ko reach karte hue. Wahan se, main events ko dekhunga ke wo kis tarah unfold hote hain, kyunke mujhe early aur mid-June mein players ke movement aur activity se excitement mil raha hai.




Aaj, Canadian dollar pair ko significant pressure ka samna hai. Market ka intention wazeh nahi lagta. Aisa lagta hai ke traders pair ko upar push kar rahe hain, 1.3739 mark ke resistance top ko puncture karte hue, magar phir neeche aa rahe hain. Yeh shayad States se aane wali negative news ko anticipate kar raha hai, jo shayad aaj baad mein aaye. Yeh log price ko neeche drive kar sakte hain jab tak news release na ho, aur phir sharply upar push kar sakte hain, flying saucer ki tarah. Main news-driven rally ki wajah se market se bahar rehne ka plan kar raha hoon. Main rarely is pair ko trade karta hoon kyunke oil prices mein uncertainties hain, jo rise ho rahi hain aur Canadian dollar ke exchange rate ko affect kar rahi hain. Pair oil prices mein changes ko respond karta hai, isliye main isko poore din monitor kar raha hoon. Growth likely continue karegi agar daily candle 1.3739 ke upar close kar sake. Us point par, short-stop loss place karna aur buy karna feasible ho sakta hai. Filhal, price long positions ke liye favourable nahi hai.

Comprehensive USD/CAD Chart Review
Kal USD/CAD ke liye ek busy din tha. Price pehle upar push hui, pichle din ke high ko bhi exceed karte hue. Magar bullish momentum zyada dair nahi raha. Ek strong southward push ne gains reverse kar diye, jisse ek full-bodied bearish candlestick bana. Yeh move lagbhag sabhi sellers ke pehle ke losses ko erase kar gaya. Filhal mujhe koi clear trading opportunities nazar nahi aa rahi hain, lekin main northward price swing ke possibility ko acknowledge karta hoon. Agar aisa hota hai, to main resistance level 1.3784 par nazar rakhunga.

Jaise maine pehle bhi mention kiya tha, jab price is resistance ke qareeb hoti hai to do potential scenarios hain. Ek scenario mein, price successfully 1.3784 resistance ko break kar leti hai aur north ki taraf apna climb continue rakhti hai. Agar yeh plan unfold hota hai, to main wait karunga ke price 1.3846 ya 1.3898 resistance levels tak pohanch jaye. Wahan pohanch kar, main trading setup dekhunga jo price ke next move ko indicate karega. Price aur bhi surge kar sakti hai, aur 1.3977 resistance level tak ja sakti hai.

Magar, us point par mujhe kisi bhi naye developments aur in distant targets par price ke reaction ke base par situation ko re-evaluate karna padega. Dusre scenario mein, price 1.3784 resistance ke qareeb pohanchti hai magar uspe break nahi kar paati. Yahan hum reversal candlestick pattern ya aise patterns ke combination dekh sakte hain, jo renewed southward movement ko lead kar sakte hain. Agar yeh plan materialize hota hai, to main wait karunga ke price current sideways trend ke lower boundary tak retreat kar jaye, jo maine around 1.3617 identify kiya hai.




Alternative taur par, price support level 1.3588 ko target kar sakti hai. Is zone mein, main bullish signals dekhunga, umeed karte hue ke price apna upward trajectory resume kar le. Jabke aaj mujhe USD/CAD trade karne ka zyada excitement nahi hai, main recognize karta hoon ke price increase ke possibility hai nearest resistance tak. Magar, us point ke beyond koi bhi decisions prevailing market conditions aur in key levels par price ke reaction par depend karenge.

USD/CAD ANALYSIS
Rozana chart par dekha jaye to halat ab bhi bullish hain aur ab bearish correction phase chal raha hai ma50 (red) ke movement limit aur demand area ke aas paas 1.3689 ko test karne ke liye. Nazar aa raha hai ke buyers ki taraf se resistance hai jo bullish trend ki direction jaari rakhne ki koshish kar rahe hain, jaise ke is hafte ke market session ke end par daily close candle ki taraf se rise ki taraf tend kar raha hai. Yeh mauqa deti hai ke 1.3730 ke aas paas nearest supply area ka possible test ho sakta hai. Agar ma50 (red) ke upar bullish daily close candle ban jaaye, to iska matlab hai ke upward trend ko jaari rakhne ki possibility hai aur base up rally ke liye attempt kiya ja sakta hai takreeban is saal ke highest price limit tak jo ke 1.3843 ke aas paas hai. Agar sellers apne bearish correction phase ko aur extend karne ki koshish karte hain, to iska confirmation hoga agar price 1.3660 ke support area tak gir jaye. Is price level ke neeche movement se ma200 (blue) ke crucial support area ka test karne ka mauqa milta hai jo ke 1.3588 ke aas paas hai. Daily chart par bearish trend tabhi valid hoga agar ma200 movement limit (blue) ke support area ke neeche decline hota hai takreeban 1.3546 ke aas paas.

Daily timeframe par Bollinger Bands indicator ka istemal kar ke dekha gaya hai ke price abhi tak Middle Bollinger Bands area ke upar penetrate nahi kar paaya hai jo ke 1.3692-1.3690 ke price par hai, halaanki isko test kiya gaya tha, lekin sellers ne strong resistance dikhai hai. Is ke bawajood, buyers ne bullish candle form kar ke trade ko close kiya hai, is tarah price ko bullish move karne ka mauqa abhi bhi khula hai jab tak ke buyers pehle ke support area ko dominate karne aur maintain karne mein kamyab hain. Aane wale Monday ke trading ke liye, behtar hoga ke price ko confirm hone ka intezaar kiya jaaye jo ke risk ko floating ya loss ko minimize karne mein madad karega.




Crude oil prices bhi USD/CAD ke movement ko prabhavit karte hain. Haal hi mein oil market mein flat movement ne USD/CAD pair mein sideways movement ko contribute kiya hai. Halaanki, hum aane wale hafte mein significant volatility ka intezaar kar rahe hain, jo market ko ek definitive direction mein drive kar sakta hai. Is tarah ke market conditions mein, mukhya focus market direction ko assess karne aur uske mutabiq trading karna chahiye. 1.375 ke critical resistance level aur 1.3627 ke accumulation zone ko monitor karna crucial hoga. Traders ko potential volatility ke liye tayar rehna chahiye, khaas karke oil market ke movements ke baare mein, aur unke strategies ko evolve hone wale market dynamics ke mutabiq adapt karne ke liye tayar rehna chahiye. Confirm movements ke base par positions establish karna USD/CAD pair mein agle significant trend ko capitalize karne ke liye zaroori hoga.

USD-CAD Pair Forecast
FOMC ka hamesha kuch naya nahi hota. Yeh Federal Reserve ke high-ranking officials ki sirf ek meeting hoti hai. Jab tak latest interest rate ka announcement schedule par nahi hota, tab tak kuch naya nahi hota. Aur agar Fed governor ka scheduled speech nahi hai, tab bhi kuch naya nahi hota. Lekin FOMC ke hone se pehle US economy mein market ne kuch naya dekha, jab United States ne apna ISM Services data release kiya jo significant tor par 50 points se neeche gir gaya. Isi wajah se USDCAD afternoon se evening tak kaafi bearish raha. Main bhi mayoos hua, kyunki din ke doran USDCAD pair mein hedging position thi, jisme BUY aur SELL positions dono ek saath thi, aur maine SELL position exit kar di. Natija yeh hua ke mujhe loss uthana pada jab price kaafi deeply bearish thi. Khush kismati se, BUY position sirf choti lot use karke ki thi, isliye accumulated floating loss bhi relatively chota tha.

Aaj ke liye, mujhe lagta hai ke USDCAD pair mein price movement sluggish rahega kyunki US financial market band hone ki report hai. Lekin maine Friday ke economic calendar ko dekha, jisme dikhaya gaya ke important economic data releases Canada aur United States se aayengi. Forecast ke mutabiq Canadian economic data worse honi ka andaza hai. Isliye mujhe lagta hai ke aaj se hi choti lot ke sath BUY position lena galat nahi hoga, yeh umeed karte hue ke Friday ko price phir se bullish hogi, chahe Bollinger Band indicator H4 time frame mein lower band area mein price dikhata ho.

Aaj kal ki developments ko dekhte hue, mujhe lagta hai ke market thoda cautious approach le rahi hai. USDCAD pair mein slow movement ka asar dekhne ko mil raha hai, jo US market ke band hone se expect kiya gaya tha. Lekin jaisa ke Friday ko significant economic data release hone wale hain, traders ko price action par nazar rakhni hogi. Canadian economic data agar worse hoti hai, toh yeh USDCAD ke bullish trend ko support kar sakti hai.

Ek aur cheez jo traders ko dhyan mein rakhni chahiye, woh hai ke previous ISM Services data ki decline ka impact ab tak market mein nazar aata hai. Yeh economic indicator ke sudden drop ne US dollar ko weaken kiya aur USDCAD pair ko bearish territory mein push kiya. Lekin agar upcoming economic data US dollar ko support karti hai, toh recovery dekhne ko mil sakti hai.

Technical analysis bhi yeh dikhata hai ke price ab tak lower Bollinger Bands line ke saath hai. Yeh ek potential pullback ka signal ho sakta hai, especially agar price H4 time frame mein lower band area mein rehti hai.

Aise situations mein, hedging strategies zaroori hoti hain, jisme traders simultaneously BUY aur SELL positions lete hain. Yeh strategy risk manage karne mein madadgar hoti hai. Lekin timing critical hoti hai, aur galat decision loss lead kar sakta hai, jaisa ke maine SELL position exit karte waqt face kiya.

Aaj ke liye, choti lot ke sath BUY position lena wise decision lagta hai, considering ke upcoming economic data bullish movement ko support kar sakti hai. Lekin, traders ko cautious rehna chahiye aur price movements ko closely monitor karna chahiye.

In sab factors ko dekhte hue, USDCAD pair mein trading karte waqt ek balanced approach rakhni zaroori hai, technical aur fundamental indicators ko use karte

USD-CAD Pair Forecast
FOMC ka hamesha kuch naya nahi hota. Yeh Federal Reserve ke high-ranking officials ki sirf ek meeting hoti hai. Jab tak latest interest rate ka announcement schedule par nahi hota, tab tak kuch naya nahi hota. Aur agar Fed governor ka scheduled speech nahi hai, tab bhi kuch naya nahi hota. Lekin FOMC ke hone se pehle US economy mein market ne kuch naya dekha, jab United States ne apna ISM Services data release kiya jo significant tor par 50 points se neeche gir gaya. Isi wajah se USDCAD afternoon se evening tak kaafi bearish raha. Main bhi mayoos hua, kyunki din ke doran USDCAD pair mein hedging position thi, jisme BUY aur SELL positions dono ek saath thi, aur maine SELL position exit kar di. Natija yeh hua ke mujhe loss uthana pada jab price kaafi deeply bearish thi. Khush kismati se, BUY position sirf choti lot use karke ki thi, isliye accumulated floating loss bhi relatively chota tha.

Aaj ke liye, mujhe lagta hai ke USDCAD pair mein price movement sluggish rahega kyunki US financial market band hone ki report hai. Lekin maine Friday ke economic calendar ko dekha, jisme dikhaya gaya ke important economic data releases Canada aur United States se aayengi. Forecast ke mutabiq Canadian economic data worse honi ka andaza hai. Isliye mujhe lagta hai ke aaj se hi choti lot ke sath BUY position lena galat nahi hoga, yeh umeed karte hue ke Friday ko price phir se bullish hogi, chahe Bollinger Band indicator H4 time frame mein lower band area mein price dikhata ho.



Aaj kal ki developments ko dekhte hue, mujhe lagta hai ke market thoda cautious approach le rahi hai. USDCAD pair mein slow movement ka asar dekhne ko mil raha hai, jo US market ke band hone se expect kiya gaya tha. Lekin jaisa ke Friday ko significant economic data release hone wale hain, traders ko price action par nazar rakhni hogi. Canadian economic data agar worse hoti hai, toh yeh USDCAD ke bullish trend ko support kar sakti hai.

Ek aur cheez jo traders ko dhyan mein rakhni chahiye, woh hai ke previous ISM Services data ki decline ka impact ab tak market mein nazar aata hai. Yeh economic indicator ke sudden drop ne US dollar ko weaken kiya aur USDCAD pair ko bearish territory mein push kiya. Lekin agar upcoming economic data US dollar ko support karti hai, toh recovery dekhne ko mil sakti hai.

Technical analysis bhi yeh dikhata hai ke price ab tak lower Bollinger Bands line ke saath hai. Yeh ek potential pullback ka signal ho sakta hai, especially agar price H4 time frame mein lower band area mein rehti hai.

Aise situations mein, hedging strategies zaroori hoti hain, jisme traders simultaneously BUY aur SELL positions lete hain. Yeh strategy risk manage karne mein madadgar hoti hai. Lekin timing critical hoti hai, aur galat decision loss lead kar sakta hai, jaisa ke maine SELL position exit karte waqt face kiya.

Aaj ke liye, choti lot ke sath BUY position lena wise decision lagta hai, considering ke upcoming economic data bullish movement ko support kar sakti hai. Lekin, traders ko cautious rehna chahiye aur price movements ko closely monitor karna chahiye.

In sab factors ko dekhte hue, USDCAD pair mein trading karte waqt ek balanced approach rakhni zaroori hai, technical aur fundamental indicators ko use karte