𝐔𝐒𝐃/𝐂𝐇𝐅

H4 timeframe par sellers ke pressure se dominate hoti nazar aati hai. 0.87460 - 0.87743 ki base area mein significant rejection ke baad, sellers ne dobara market mein kaafi zyada intensity ke saath entry ki. Is wajah se price consistent tor par neeche ki taraf move karti rahi, jo ke ek continuous bearish pattern ko show kar rahi hai. Yeh price action indicate karta hai ke sellers abhi bhi price movement par control mein hain, utsalar jab resistance area ko maintain karne mein nakami ka samna karna pada jo ke base ke aas paas form hui thi. Agar hum H4 timeframe par technical analysis dekhen, to 0.87460 - 0.87743 ki base level ek strong supply area lagti hai, jahan price isay upar ki taraf penetrate nahi kar paayi aur aakhirkar wapas neeche aa gayi. Yeh condition kaafi zyada bearish pressure ko indicate karti hai, aur price ab pehli low level ke aas paas 0.84400 ke qareeb pohanch rahi hai. 0.84400 ki low level pehle significant support ka kaam kar chuki hai, aur yeh ek important area hai jis par traders ko diyan dena chahiye, utasalar un logon ke liye jo yeh dekhna chahte hain ke kya yeh level rejection ya breakout dekhne ko milega.
Bohat zyada mumkin hai ke 0.84400 level ko near future mein dobara test kiya jaye, kyunke market mein sellers ki strong dominance hai. Asal sawal yeh hai ke kya yeh level sellers ke pressure ko withstand kar payega aur ek valid support banega ya phir isay tod diya jayega. Agar is level par rejection hoti hai, to chance hai ke yeh support barqarar rahegi, aur price ya to reversal ka samna karegi ya kam az kam bearish trend continue karne se pehle ek correction karegi.

Doosri taraf, agar 0.84400 support level bearish pressure ko withstand karne mein nakam hoti hai, to price zaiya mumkin hai ke apni decline ko continue karegi aur is level ko tod degi. 0.84400 ke neeche breakout hona ek strong signal hoga ke sellers abhi bhi market par dominate kar rahe hain, aur ek aur deeper bearish trend dekha ja sakta hai. Naye support levels jo 0.84400 ke neeche honge, unko dekhna zaroori hoga taake next target ko identify kiya ja sake agar breakout hota hai

USD/CHF currency pair ne aakhri dino mein achi khaasi bullish movement dekhi hai, halan ke broader market ka trend abhi bhi bearish hai. Ye recent bullish pressure zyada tar ek upward correction hai jo ke ek larger downtrend ke dauran ho raha hai. Aise corrections aksar trending markets mein dekhe jate hain, jahan temporary price reversals hoti hain aur phir dominant trend wapas shuru ho jata hai. Abhi ka jo correction hai, wo price ko ek critical supply area tak le aya hai jo ke 0.86948 se 0.87141 levels ke darmiyan hai. Ye woh zone hai jahan traders closely monitor kar rahe hain, kyun ke yeh zone price direction ko reverse karne ki potential rakhta hai. Ye supply area 0.86948 aur 0.87141 ke darmiyan is liye significant hai, kyun ke yeh woh jagah hai jahan selling pressure barh sakta hai. Technical analysis ke context mein, supply area wo jagah hoti hai jahan pehle bhi asset ko selling pressure ka samna karna para ho, aksar is wajah se ke wahan pe sell orders ka concentration hota hai ya koi pehla high level hota hai jahan se price ne reversal liya ho. Jab price dobara is area mein aata hai, traders expect karte hain ke market ek baar phir selling reaction dikha sakti hai, jo ke current upward correction ko rok sakti hai ya reverse kar sakti hai. Is case mein, supply area resistance zone ke tor par kaam karega, jahan sellers ki strength buyers se barh sakti hai, jis se price decline ho sakta hai.

Is situation ko aur mushkil banata hai yeh ke overall trend USD/CHF mein ab bhi bearish hai. Recent bullish correction ke bawajood, larger downtrend US dollar ke Swiss franc ke muqable mein kamzori ko reflect karta hai. Yeh bearish trend kai factors ki wajah se ho sakta hai, jaise ke Federal Reserve ka dovish stance, US mein economic uncertainty, ya Swiss franc ka stronger hona jo ke global instability ke dauran ek safe-haven ke tor par dekha jata hai. Swiss franc ki strength, jo ke aksar economic ya geopolitical stress ke dauran ek refuge ke tor par hoti hai, USD/CHF par downward pressure dal rahi hai. Is context ko dekhte hue, recent bullish move ko ek temporary retracement samjha ja sakta hai na ke ek trend reversal. Traders ko 0.86948 se 0.87141 ke supply area ke aas paas sakke baratni chahiye, aur reversal ke signs ko dekhna chahiye jo broader bearish trend ke resumption ka indication de sakte hain

#1103 Collapse
Adeel3
Senior Member
Adeel3

تاریخِ شمولیت: Jan 2024
پوسٹس: 740
پسندیدہ پوسٹس 109
موصول شدہ کو پسند کریں 696
ادائیگی شدہ 585 USD
Kal ke trading results ke baad, Swiss franc ke buyers ne pehla upward impulse form kiya aur H1 timeframe par, jo ke northern starting line 0.8660 se shuru hua, USD/CHF price ne south ki taraf correction ki. Swiss dollar ke liye nazdeek ka significant support 0.8551 par hai, aur agar bears is level se niche le jaane mein successful ho gaye, to pair ki situation phir se change ho sakti hai. Agar ye support hold hota hai aur price wapas northern starting line ke upar aati hai, to bulls most likely upward impulse realize karenge jiske targets pehle impulse zone 0.8802 aur 0.8890 par honge. Filhal, mujhe lagta hai ke USD/CHF just next northern correction shuru kar raha hai aur zyada kuch market ki reaction par depend karega jo resistance 0.8660 par hai.
Market movement ko is area tak identify kiya gaya hai jahan impulse sellers ne bearish energy add ki. Is area mein chart ne 200-day moving average ko cross kiya, jo ke "death cross" ke intersection par 50MA ke sath hai, aur isse reinforce kiya gaya hai do oscillators ke bearish signals se. Isliye, bears ne yahan ek strong defense banaya hai jo bullish correction ke aage development ko rok raha hai. Main is zone mein pair ko sell karne ka plan kar raha hoon, bullish pullback ko complete karne ki soch ke saath. Agar bulls price ko channel mein wapas laane aur uske structure ko hold karne mein successful ho gaye, to deep correction ka scenario develop ho sakta hai, jisme channel ke resistance line tak movement aur phir wahan se niche jana shamil hoga.

Price ne channel ke upper border (blue dotted line) ko cross kiya, maximum se bounce kiya, aur phir middle line (yellow dotted line) ki taraf wapas aayi. Saath hi, buy signal RSI oscillator se fully validated hai, kyunki iski upward curve filhal overbought level ke nazdeek nahi hai. Iska matlab hai ke ek profitable long-term buy transaction complete karne aur channel ke lower border (red dotted line) par price point 0.85602 tak pohnchne ka achha chance hai. Minimum 0.85430 indicate kiya gaya hai. Agar price upar jaati hai aur market structure change hota hai, to mujhe losses recover karne padege

USD/CHF Ka Price Behavior Ka Tajziya
Support aur Resistance Levels

Kal ke natijay ke mutabiq, buyers ne kamiyabi se USD/CHF quotes ko support level 0.8945 par barqarar rakha hai. Is pair ke liye qareebi aham resistance pichlay bullish start point 0.8985 par hai. Market ka is level par reaction Swiss franc ke short-term prospects ka taayun karega.

Agar yeh resistance mazboot rahti hai aur sellers (bears) control hasil karte hain, to neeche ki taraf movement dobara shuru ho sakti hai, aur support level 0.8945 ko dobara test kiya ja sakta hai. Doosri taraf, agar resistance 0.8985 par barqarar rehti hai aur buyers kamiyabi se apni positions is level ke upar establish kar lete hain, to bearish pullback khatam ho sakta hai, jis se USD/CHF aglay resistance level 0.9039 ki taraf barh sakta hai.

Powell Ke Speech Ka Asar

Aaj ke baad, Fed Chairman Powell ke speech par market ka reaction dollar-franc outlook ko gehra asar dalne wala hai. Powell ke monetary policy aur interest rates par comments market mein volatility badha sakte hain aur USD ke liye overall sentiment ko asar dal sakte hain.

Technical Indicators Aur Moving Averages

Technical perspective se dekha jaye to USD/CHF pair mein kai bullish signals nazar aate hain. Yeh key moving averages (20-day, 100-day, aur 200-day) ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo yeh darshaata hai ke ek slight upward trend underway ho sakta hai. Aglay chand dinon mein, yeh pair consistent performance dikhata raha hai, aur pichlay hafta mein lagbhag 1.5% ka izafa dekha gaya.

Bullish investors ke liye, 100-day moving average ke upar prices ko barqarar rakhna, jo ke qareeban 0.8980 par hai, positive momentum ko sustain karne ke liye nihayat ahem hai. Magar ehtiyat baratni chahiye kyunki jab tak 200-day moving average ek pivotal point bana rahta hai support aur resistance ke beech, yeh ek potential tradable market correction ki nishani ho sakti hai.

Fibonacci Levels Aur Channel Lines

Agar upward momentum ko barqarar rakhna hai, to resistance levels ko torna zaroori hoga, jaise ke 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level qareeban 0.9012 par aur upper channel line qareeban 0.9065 par, taake pair apnay higher targets tak pahunch sake. In levels ke baad, pehlay se established downtrend line jo November 2022 se chali aa rahi hai, jo qareeban 0.9135 par located hai, agla resistance level ban sakta hai.

Nateejay Ka Khulasa

Majmooi tor par, USD/CHF pair "intezar aur dekhne" ke mode mein hai jab tak ke significant U.S. economic data aur Fed interest rates ke hawalay se insights saamne nahi aati. Halanke technical indicators buyers ke liye kuch hopeful signs dikha rahe hain, magar Fed ke position ke hawalay se uncertainty investors ko ehtiyaat baratne par majboor kar sakti hai

Buyer ki tawajjo wazeh hai, aur raat ke qareeb market ne kafi strong push banaya jiski wajah se price phir se barh ke level 1.2776 tak chali gayi. Market ke graph mein candlesticks dheere dheere rally ke raste par chal rahi hain, Moving Average indicator se door hoti ja rahi hain, jo yeh darsha rahi hain ke upar ki taraf ka trend abhi tak seller ke pressure se mehfooz hai. Agar is hafte ke end tak bullish movement 1.2850 ke price level ke upar break karke jaaye, to price ke aur bhi upar jane ka imkaan hai aur trend ka bullish hona bhi mumkin hai. Ye zaroor angle trading position ko tay karne ka aik reference hoga jahan market mein price ka bullish trend dobara hona ka imkaan hai, halan ke GBPUSD karansi jor ne chhoti timeframe mein thoda bearish correction bhi dekha hai. Agar Lime Line Relative Strength Index indicator pe dekhi jaye, to yeh level 70 tak barh gayi hai jo ke yeh signal hai ke market conditions abhi tak bullish continuation ka samna kar rahi hain. Analysis ke natayej se yeh pata chalta hai ke price upar ki taraf hi move karegi, aur buyer ki weak volatility ke saath upward push se price target level tak pohonchne ki umeed hai. Isliye, kal ke weak seller pressure ke bawajood bullish trend situation phir se aane ka imkaan hai, aur target increase most probably level 1.2810 ke range tak bullish movement karega. Daily chart ke performance ke mutabiq, 1.2860 ke major resistance ko toh shayad khatra nahi hai. Yaad rahe ke 1.2840 par ek aur resistance level hai. Support 1.2785 par hai, aur 1.2770 ke tor par breach iska matlab hoga ke pound mazeed aage nahi barh sakta. Is resistance ke mojudgi ke bais, GBP/USD 1.28 ke aas paas ek tang range mein trading kar sakta hai, jab tak ke Thursday ko America se manhanghai ki ahmiyat mand report na aaye. GBP/USD pair ka 1.28747 ka level ek strong support point hai jahan se price ka upar uthna expected hai. Yeh level historically buyers ke liye ek attractive point raha hai jahan se buying pressure barhta hai aur price ko upward push milta hai. Entry point ko carefully choose karna trading success ke liye zaroori hai, aur is scenario mein, 1.28747 ek favorable level hai. Stop loss order ko 1.2937 par place karna ek effective risk management strategy hai

Ek nakam koshish ke bawajood, USD/CHF currency pair abhi ek choti si kami ka samna kar rahi hai, jo ke hourly chart par wazeh hai. Subah se, yeh pair 0.8640 ke qareeb trade kar rahi hai, aur ab shaam ko Consumer Price Index (CPI) data ke release ka intezar kar rahi hai. Is iqtisadi report ka intezar karne se pair ki price mein koi khaas upar ki taraf harkat nahi hui. CPI data ek ahem iqtisadi indicator hai jo ke consumer goods aur services ki price level mein tabdeeli ko napta hai. Yeh report traders ke liye nihayat ahmiyat rakhti hai kyunki yeh inflation trends aur mulk ki majmooi iqtisadi sehat ke baray mein insight deti hai. Agar aaj ka CPI data U.S. dollar ko support nahi karta—jaise ke kal ki report mein hua—tu USD/CHF pair mein kami ka silsila barqarar reh sakta hai. Market ka jazba filhal bearish nazar aa raha hai, aur agar CPI report manfi hui tu yeh trend mazid mazboot ho sakta hai.

Iss waqt, 0.8635 ka level USD/CHF pair ke liye ek ahm support hai. Yeh support level is liye bhi zaroori hai kyunki yeh price ko mazeed girne se roknay mein madad kar raha hai. Magar agar CPI data unfavorable hua aur U.S. dollar ko mazid support nahi mila, tu yeh pair is support level se neechay gir sakti hai. Aisa hone par yeh is baat ki nishani hogi ke downward momentum mazid mazboot ho raha hai aur pair mazeed gir sakti hai.

H4 (four-hour) timeframe par, is support level ke qareeb ek imbalance zone hai. Yeh zone wo area hai jahan par buying aur selling pressures mein khaas tafreeq hoti hai, jo ke zyada volatility aur price movement ka sabab ban sakti hai. USD/CHF pair ko neeche girnay ke liye, is imbalance zone ko break karna hoga. Iska matlab yeh hai ke sellers ko dominate karna hoga aur price ko 0.8635 support level se neeche push karna hoga, is area mein kisi bhi buying pressure ko shikast deni hogi.

Traders ko chahiye ke CPI data ke release hote hi situation ko ghour se monitor karein. Agar data market ke bearish expectations ke mutabiq hua, tu USD/CHF pair mazeed girawat ka shikar ho sakti hai, aur shayad neeche support levels ki taraf move kare. Aks-ul-maamool, agar CPI data unexpectedly positive hua aur U.S. dollar ko support mila, tu yeh pair kuch upar ki taraf harkat dekh sakti hai ya kam az kam apne mojooda level par stabilize ho sakti hai.

Maujooda market conditions ko dekhte hue, ehtiyaat se trade karne ki strategy behtareen hogi. Traders ko chahiye ke stop-loss orders set karein taake agar price unexpectedly move kare tu potential losses ko manage kar sakein. Jo log potential decline se faida uthana chahte hain, unko is baat ka intezar karna chahiye ke 0.8635 ka support level decisively breach ho jaye

Agar yeh pair 0.8600 level ke upar rehne mein kamyab hota hai, toh yeh ek potential rebound ya consolidation ka ishara de sakta hai. Traders isay ek buying opportunity ke tor par dekh sakte hain, jisse yeh pair higher resistance levels ki taraf recover kar sakta hai, jaise ke 0.8650 ya 0.8700, jahan phir se selling pressure ka saamna ho sakta hai. Lekin agar yeh pair is level ko maintain karne mein nakam rehta hai aur decisively iske neeche break karta hai, toh iska nateeja kafi zyada bearish ho sakta hai.
0.8600 level ke neeche break hone se deeper decline ka darwaza khul sakta hai, jahan agla significant support zone 0.8550 par ho sakta hai. Yeh area ahem hai kyunke yeh na sirf ek aur psychological threshold hai balki yeh long-term support zones ke saath align karta hai jo kai saalon se test nahi hua. Agar yeh level breach hota hai, toh yeh downtrend ke continuation ki nishani ho sakti hai, jisse pair apne losses ko aur bhi lower levels ki taraf extend kar sakta hai, jaise ke 0.8500 ya us se neeche. Technical outlook ko aur bhi complicated banate hain wo indicators jo yeh suggest karte hain ke pair considerable selling pressure mein hai. Misal ke tor par, daily chart par Relative Strength Index (RSI) oversold conditions ko indicate kar sakta hai, lekin yeh zaroori nahi ke immediate reversal ka guarantee de. Balki, yeh strong bearish momentum ko reflect kar sakta hai jo market ko abhi drive kar raha hai. Isi tarah, moving averages aise align ho rahe hain jo bearish narrative ko support karte hain, jab ke short-term averages long-term ones ke neeche cross kar rahe hain, jo downtrend ko reinforce karte hain. Lekin, un external factors ko bhi consider karna zaroori hai jo pair ki movement ko influence kar sakte hain, jaise ke upcoming economic data releases from United States ya Switzerland, central bank decisions, aur geopolitical developments. Yeh events volatility ko trigger kar sakte hain aur technical patterns ko disrupt kar sakte hain. Akhir mein, jab ke USD/CHF pair critical support levels ke qareeb hai jo iske agle move ka faisla kar sakte hain, overall technical picture bearish continuation ki taraf lean karti hai agar 0.8600 level breach hota hai. Traders ko is key level ke qareeb price action ko closely monitor karna chahiye aur aglay sessions mein

USD/CAD Par Badhte Huye WTI Crude Oil Prices Ka Dabaav
Introduction

USD/CAD currency pair ko haal hi mein downward pressure ka samna karna pada hai, jo West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil prices ke badhne ki wajah se hai. Is context mein, is rishtay ko samajhna aur Canadian aur U.S. dollars ko asar andaz karne wale factors ko samajhna zaroori hai.

Crude Oil Prices Ka Canadian Dollar Par Asar

Jab oil prices barhti hain, Canada, jo ke ek major oil exporter hai, ko significant faida hota hai. Is wajah se Canadian dollar mazboot hota hai kyunki higher oil prices se country ka trade balance aur economic outlook behtar hota hai. Is tarah se, crude oil prices aur USD/CAD exchange rate ke darmiyan ek inverse relationship hota hai—oil prices ke barhne se aam tor par USD ka CAD ke muqablay mein girawat hoti hai.

Current Oil Price Situation

WTI crude oil ab $90 per barrel ke upar trading kar raha hai, jo ke pichle kuch mahino se dekha gaya highest price level hai. Yeh surge kai factors ki wajah se hai, jinmein geopolitical tensions aur key oil-producing regions mein supply disruptions shamil hain. In developments ke natije mein, Canadian dollar mazboot hua hai, jo ke USD/CAD exchange rate mein girawat ka sabab bana hai.

U.S. Dollar Ka Mixed Economic Context

Doosri taraf, U.S. dollar ne mixed economic data aur Federal Reserve (U.S. ke central banking system) ke future policies ke hawale se speculation ke bawajood resilience dikhayi hai. Jabke interest rate hikes ya cuts ke hawale se debates chal rahi hain, U.S. dollar ko Federal Reserve ke hawkish stance ke expectations ke bawajood kuch support mil raha hai.

Canadian Dollar Ka Outlook

Oil ke strong performance aur potential supply constraints ko dekhte hue, Canadian dollar near term mein strong rehne ki ummeed hai. Traders ko dono countries ke upcoming economic data ko closely monitor karna chahiye, kyunki yeh future price movements ko influence karenge USD/CAD pair ke liye.

Current Pricing Par Technical Analysis

Filhal, USD/CAD pair upar se aate huye oil prices ke bawajood pressure ka samna kar raha hai. Hourly chart par, price selling pressure ka samna kar rahi hai aur 50-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) ke zariye niche push ki gayi hai. Iske ilawa, Relative Strength Index (RSI) bhi bearish outlook ko support kar raha hai.

Agar lambi muddat ke liye dekha jaye, to 100-period aur 50-period SMAs sellers ki strength ko reinforce karte hain, jo suggest karta hai ke traders ko buy position lene se pehle rukne ka faida ho sakta hai.

Conclusion

Summarize karte hue, USD/CAD pair filhal rising oil prices ki wajah se downward pressure ka samna kar raha hai, jo Canadian dollar ko mazboot bana raha hai. Future directions pair ke liye oil markets aur dono countries ke central banks ke monetary policies par depend karenge. Investors ko in factors par nazar rakhni chahiye, kyunki ye currency pair ke trajectory ko dictate karenge

Ek nakam koshish ke bawajood, USD/CHF currency pair abhi ek choti si kami ka samna kar rahi hai, jo ke hourly chart par wazeh hai. Subah se, yeh pair 0.8640 ke qareeb trade kar rahi hai, aur ab shaam ko Consumer Price Index (CPI) data ke release ka intezar kar rahi hai. Is iqtisadi report ka intezar karne se pair ki price mein koi khaas upar ki taraf harkat nahi hui. CPI data ek ahem iqtisadi indicator hai jo ke consumer goods aur services ki price level mein tabdeeli ko napta hai. Yeh report traders ke liye nihayat ahmiyat rakhti hai kyunki yeh inflation trends aur mulk ki majmooi iqtisadi sehat ke baray mein insight deti hai. Agar aaj ka CPI data U.S. dollar ko support nahi karta—jaise ke kal ki report mein hua—tu USD/CHF pair mein kami ka silsila barqarar reh sakta hai. Market ka jazba filhal bearish nazar aa raha hai, aur agar CPI report manfi hui tu yeh trend mazid mazboot ho sakta hai.
Iss waqt, 0.8635 ka level USD/CHF pair ke liye ek ahm support hai. Yeh support level is liye bhi zaroori hai kyunki yeh price ko mazeed girne se roknay mein madad kar raha hai. Magar agar CPI data unfavorable hua aur U.S. dollar ko mazid support nahi mila, tu yeh pair is support level se neechay gir sakti hai. Aisa hone par yeh is baat ki nishani hogi ke downward momentum mazid mazboot ho raha hai aur pair mazeed gir sakti hai.

H4 (four-hour) timeframe par, is support level ke qareeb ek imbalance zone hai. Yeh zone wo area hai jahan par buying aur selling pressures mein khaas tafreeq hoti hai, jo ke zyada volatility aur price movement ka sabab ban sakti hai. USD/CHF pair ko neeche girnay ke liye, is imbalance zone ko break karna hoga. Iska matlab yeh hai ke sellers ko dominate karna hoga aur price ko 0.8635 support level se neeche push karna hoga, is area mein kisi bhi buying pressure ko shikast deni hogi.

Traders ko chahiye ke CPI data ke release hote hi situation ko ghour se monitor karein. Agar data market ke bearish expectations ke mutabiq hua, tu USD/CHF pair mazeed girawat ka shikar ho sakti hai, aur shayad neeche support levels ki taraf move kare. Aks-ul-maamool, agar CPI data unexpectedly positive hua aur U.S. dollar ko support mila, tu yeh pair kuch upar ki taraf harkat dekh sakti hai ya kam az kam apne mojooda level par stabilize ho sakti hai.

Maujooda market conditions ko dekhte hue, ehtiyaat se trade karne ki strategy behtareen hogi. Traders ko chahiye ke stop-loss orders set karein taake agar price unexpectedly move kare tu potential losses ko manage kar sakein. Jo log potential decline se faida uthana chahte hain, unko is baat ka intezar karna chahiye ke 0.8635 ka support level decisively breach ho jaye

koshish ke bawajood, USD/CHF currency pair abhi ek choti si kami ka samna kar rahi hai, jo ke hourly chart par wazeh hai. Subah se, yeh pair 0.8640 ke qareeb trade kar rahi hai, aur ab shaam ko Consumer Price Index (CPI) data ke release ka intezar kar rahi hai. Is iqtisadi report ka intezar karne se pair ki price mein koi khaas upar ki taraf harkat nahi hui. CPI data ek ahem iqtisadi indicator hai jo ke consumer goods aur services ki price level mein tabdeeli ko napta hai. Yeh report traders ke liye nihayat ahmiyat rakhti hai kyunki yeh inflation trends aur mulk ki majmooi iqtisadi sehat ke baray mein insight deti hai. Agar aaj ka CPI data U.S. dollar ko support nahi karta—jaise ke kal ki report mein hua—tu USD/CHF pair mein kami ka silsila barqarar reh sakta hai. Market ka jazba filhal bearish nazar aa raha hai, aur agar CPI report manfi hui tu yeh trend mazid mazboot ho sakta hai.
Iss waqt, 0.8635 ka level USD/CHF pair ke liye ek ahm support hai. Yeh support level is liye bhi zaroori hai kyunki yeh price ko mazeed girne se roknay mein madad kar raha hai. Magar agar CPI data unfavorable hua aur U.S. dollar ko mazid support nahi mila, tu yeh pair is support level se neechay gir sakti hai. Aisa hone par yeh is baat ki nishani hogi ke downward momentum mazid mazboot ho raha hai aur pair mazeed gir sakti hai.

H4 (four-hour) timeframe par, is support level ke qareeb ek imbalance zone hai. Yeh zone wo area hai jahan par buying aur selling pressures mein khaas tafreeq hoti hai, jo ke zyada volatility aur price movement ka sabab ban sakti hai. USD/CHF pair ko neeche girnay ke liye, is imbalance zone ko break karna hoga. Iska matlab yeh hai ke sellers ko dominate karna hoga aur price ko 0.8635 support level se neeche push karna hoga, is area mein kisi bhi buying pressure ko shikast deni hogi.

Traders ko chahiye ke CPI data ke release hote hi situation ko ghour se monitor karein. Agar data market ke bearish expectations ke mutabiq hua, tu USD/CHF pair mazeed girawat ka shikar ho sakti hai, aur shayad neeche support levels ki taraf move kare. Aks-ul-maamool, agar CPI data unexpectedly positive hua aur U.S. dollar ko support mila, tu yeh pair kuch upar ki taraf harkat dekh sakti hai ya kam az kam apne mojooda level par stabilize ho sakti hai.

Maujooda market conditions ko dekhte hue, ehtiyaat se trade karne ki strategy behtareen hogi. Traders ko chahiye ke stop-loss orders set karein taake agar price unexpectedly move kare tu potential losses ko manage kar sakein. Jo log potential decline se faida uthana chahte hain, unko is baat ka intezar karna chahiye ke 0.8635 ka support level decisively

Jab se candle demand area ko 0.8402 price par penetrate nahi kar saki, USDCHF ka pehla downward movement ab upward ho gaya. Yeh increase Thursday se shuru hui aur Friday tak jari rahi. Is increase ke natije mein, 0.8474 price par resistance ab successfully break ho chuki hai. Lagta hai ke agla area jo USDCHF target karega, woh 0.8531 par resistance hoga. Agar yeh resistance bhi break ho gaya, toh mumkin hai ke USDCHF ko aur bhi zyada upar janay ka moka milay. Tumhare analysis se lagta hai ke aglay hafte bhi USDCHF ka chance hai ke woh barh jaye kyun ke candle ne white MA line ko break kar diya hai aur ab dono red aur white lines intersect ho rahi hain. Main jo Ichimoku indicator use karta hoon, woh bhi yeh hi kehta hai ke USDCHF barh raha hai kyun ke candle ki position Tenkan Sen aur Kijun Sen lines ke upar hai. Isi liye, main yeh recommend karta hoon ke jo log is pair mein trade karte hain, unhe sirf buy positions open karni chahiye. Tum apna take profit target 0.8562 ke qareeb rakh sakte ho aur stop loss ko 0.8448 ke qareeb place kar sakte ho.

Mujhe lagta hai ke yeh buy trade plan 0.8490 price level ke qareeb liya ja sakta hai, yeh area is hafte ka close body area hai, ya hum trading option use kar sakte hain agar price dynamic support area tak neeche jaye jo EMA se form hua hai, price red EMA area ko touch kare to buy kar sakte hain, ya phir baad mein green EMA ko touch kare to buy karna hai. Aur yahan main price increase ka target 0.8540 price level range tak rakh raha hoon, jo ke abhi ke liye sabse qareeb resistance area hai, aur agar yeh area successfully break ho gaya toh buy trade option ko zyada lamba target rakha ja sakta hai, yahan 0.8700 price level range tak.

Phir is trade ke liye main cut loss action loonga agar price baad mein reversal pattern form kar leta hai, dynamic support area jo ke correction limit hai uspar rely kar ke, agar price EMA area ko break kar ke neeche jata hai toh yahan sell reversal ho sakta hai aur cut loss position li ja sakti hai, ya hum stop loss position ko 0.8440 price level area mein apply kar sakte hain. Toh yeh tha aaj subah ka temporary trade option.

Aaj raat ke analysis ka khulasa:

Open position: 0.8490
Take profit: 0.8540 - 0.8700
Stop loss: cut loss at support / 0.8440

USD/CHF ke currency pair ki price movement ka tajziya abhi kiya ja raha hai. Agar hum weekly time frame ko dekhein, toh USD/CHF currency pair ke liye aasan analysis yeh darshata hai ke buyers apne positions ko mazid majboot karne ke liye purjosh hain lekin unhe substantial growth ke liye zyada momentum ki zaroorat hai. Pichle hafte ke bullish push ke natije mein ek candle bani jismein lambi upper shadow aur chhoti bullish body thi. Aam taur par aise formations ke baad bearish retracement ka hona mumkin hai, jo mujhe agle trading week ke shuruat mein nazar aane ki umeed hai. USD/CHF pair abhi bhi downtrend mein hai aur hal hi mein 0.874 level ko test kiya hai. Is test ke natije mein ek puri body wali bearish candle bani, jo bears ki response ko reflect karti hai. Is reaction ke base par, mujhe lagta hai ke pair apne downward trajectory ko continue karega aur nearest support level 0.854 ki taraf barhega. Lekin, agar pair channel ke andar consolidate karne mein kamiyab hoti hai, toh kuch unexpected upward movement bhi dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Jab tak bears isse rok rahe hain, 0.874 level trend determine karne mein ek pivotal point ban sakta hai, isliye market khulte hi iski close monitoring zaroori hai taake bullish breakout se bacha ja sake. Main Friday ke trading session ke baad cautious optimism rakhta hoon. Halankeh bullish correction ne channel mein aage nahi barha jaise mujhe darr tha, lekin price ne support line ko bhi break nahi kiya. Market channel ke support area ke paas positional struggle ka samna kar rahi hai, jahan price tennis ball ki tarah net ke upar se bounce ho rahi hai. Channel ke support ka lower retest hone ki sambhavana hai, jiske baad outer boundary ke along consolidation, local bullish pullback ka formation, aur ek naye decline wave ki shuruat ho sakti hai, jo support level 0.83305 ko target kar sakti hai

Humara markaz USD/CHF currency pair ki price fluctuations ka jaiza lena hai. Main is currency pair ka tajziya karunga aur iske future movement ke liye apni projections pesh karunga. Halan ke mujhe is pair mein growth ki umeed hai, magar yeh behtar hoga ke lower levels par buying par ghor kiya jaye. Aaj ke liye, behtareen entry points 0.85335 aur 0.85338 hain. Yeh levels is currency pair mein buy trades initiate karne ke liye ek acha moka faraham karte hain. Maine target 0.85861 par set kiya hai, jo ke price expected tor par move karne par ek mazboot investment ka natija ho sakta hai. Maine optimal stop-loss level bhi 0.85313 par rakha hai taake mumkinah nuqsan ko minimum rakha ja sake. Agar stop-loss trigger ho jata hai, to yeh is baat ka ishara hoga ke opposite position lene par ghor karna chahiye. Ek favorable profit-to-loss ratio ke sath, mujhe umeed hai ke yeh strategy kamiyab hogi. Agar price current support aur pehle ka minimum level 0.83289 ko todti hai, to ek Wolfe wave ban sakti hai, jo potential upward movement ka sabab ban sakti hai. Selling ke liye recommended entry point 0.8544 hai, aur protective stop order 0.8554 par set kiya gaya hai. Aakhri 10-point shift ke baad, mera plan aaj sirf ek trade karne ka hai. Price shayad foran 0.83289 ke minimum level tak na gire, magar 0.8557 ke aas-paas ruk sakti hai, jisse ek head and shoulders pattern ban sakta hai, phir price upar ja sakti hai. 0.84433 par reversal notice karne ke baad, maine upward-sloping forks aur ek channel banaya hai jo price ko guide kar sakta hai agar yeh current level se upar jaye. Is surat mein, price sloping support ya fork ke lower edge se move karte hue descending channel ke upper boundary ko todne ki koshish kar sakti hai, aur phir channel ke middle line, jo ke qareebi upper extreme 0.9229 ya thoda upar ho sakti hai, ko aim karegi

guzishta kuch dino mein candlestick movement kehte hain ke yeh bearish trend ki taraf ja rahi hai. Pichle hafte, yeh kaafi zor se niche girti rahi, aur 0.9510 ke level tak pahunch gayi. Guzishta maheenay ke shuruati trading session mein, market 0.8777 ke level se khuli thi aur bearish movement is hafte dobara dekhi gayi. Kal raat tak, girawat ab bhi dikhai de rahi thi aur iski range kaafi significant thi. Abhi tak bearish price movement 0.8537 ke level par hai, jo yeh batata hai ke ab bhi kaafi imkaan hai ke price dobara se downward trend ki taraf ja sakti hai.
Agle qadam mein, mein market ki harkat ka mushahida karunga jo ke kai indicators ke zariye analysis ke liye istemal hoti hai. Relative Strength Index indicator (14) par, Lime Line level 30 ke qareeb gir chuki hai aur yeh surat-e-haal market mein abhi tak dekhi gayi bearish prices se milti julti hai. MACD indicator par, histogram bar ab bhi zero level se neeche move kar rahi hai aur iska size kaafi bara hai, aur yellow dotted signal line ka rukh bhi neeche hai jo histogram ko follow kar rahi hai, jo ke bearish market situation ko darshata hai. Saath hi, yellow Simple Moving Average 60 indicator bhi neeche ki taraf ja rahi hai.

Chart patterns, support aur resistance levels, aur mukhtalif technical indicators ka istemal kar ke, market behavior ka tajziya aur potential price targets ka andaza lagaya ja sakta hai. Traders in tools ka istemal kar ke un key levels ko identify karte hain jahan buying ya selling pressure barh sakti hai. Agar koi significant technical threshold ko break karte hain, to uska nateeja kafi bara price movement ho sakta hai, jab traders uske mutabiq react karte hain. Mojooda market dynamics ko dekhte hue, ehtiyaat baratna zaroori hai. Jabke buyers ke liye growth ka imkaan hai, lekin sellers ke strength ko nazarandaz nahi kiya ja sakta, khas tor par jab downward momentum descending channel ke andar ab bhi qaim hai. 0.59138 level ka test karna intehai ahem hoga taake agle market move ka pata chal sake

Aaj subah hum aik bohat hi naazuk surat-e-haal mein hain, jahan ye samajhna mushkil hai ke kya karna chahiye aur kis direction mein jaana chahiye. Agar hum indicators ko dekhen to yeh hai jo nazar aa raha hai. MA100 abhi bhi halkay se trend angle (paanch degrees) ke sath decline ki taraf ja raha hai. Is waqt humari sari trading is moving average ke neeche ho rahi hai, jo yeh batata hai ke market ab bhi zyada tar bearish hai. MA18 aur bhi zyada bearish lag raha hai; Yeh chaalees degrees ke trend angle ke sath neeche ki taraf ja raha hai. April se maine zigzag peaks ke sath inclined guides draw kiye the aur is se aik achi tarah se kaam karne wala inclined channel bana. Guzishta hafte hum is channel ke limit se neeche gir gaye, aur ab lagta hai ke hum wapas channel ke andar aane ki koshish kar rahe hain. Hum teesra daily candle channel ke lower border par hi bana rahe hain. Yeh achi baat hai ke USD/CHF ke price ko ab tak zyada neeche nahi dhakela gaya. Shayad aaj zyada volatility nahi hogi, aur daily timeframe par humay aik chhota black candle dekhne ko milay jo ke kal ke price range ke andar hoga. Technical Analysis Technical indicators USD/CHF ke liye strong buy ka signal de rahe hain. Relative Strength Index (RSI) abhi 53.52 par hai, jo ke buying sentiment ko darshata hai, magar yeh abhi overbought territory mein nahi hai. Yeh suggest karta hai ke abhi upward movement ke liye space hai pehle ke koi significant pullback ho. Iske ilawa, Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator bhi bullish signals show kar raha hai. Price abhi MACD ki middle line ke upar hai, jo aksar yeh darshata hai ke upward momentum jaari rehne ka imkaan hai. Yeh aur bhi zyada support karta hai ke USD/CHF ko is waqt buy karna behtar ho sakta hai. Iske ilawa, price abhi 20-day aur 50-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) ke upar position hai, jo bullish outlook ko reinforce kar raha hai. Yeh ke price ne in key moving averages ke upar rehne mein kamiyabi hasil ki hai, yeh batata hai ke buyers abhi upper hand mein hain, aur trend kam az kam short term mein upward rehne ka imkaan hai. Magar, overall sentiment aur indicators bullish hain, phir bhi ehtiyaat zaroori hai. Agar price ko 0.8728 ke level par significant resistance face karna para, to USD/CHF ka agla move uncertain ho sakta hai. Agar buyers is resistance ko paar kar lete hain, to aur zyada gains dekhne ko mil sakte hain. Magar agar price is level ko break karne mein nakam rehti hai, to consolidation ya phir thoda bohot pullback ho sakta hai