𝐔𝐒𝐃/𝐂𝐇𝐅

USD/CHF ke price ka muqadima:

Hum ab USD/CHF currency pair ke price ka haal jaanch rahe hain. Haal ke bullish price movement ke baad, USD/CHF ne 0.8743 level ko todne mein nakami ka samna kiya, jis se price niche gir gayi. Ye girawat pehle ke upar chadhai ka retracement hai. Jab market dobara khulegi, to khas taur par 0.8648 level par nazar rakhni chahiye, jahan price shayad pehle niche gir sakti hai. Agar yahan se bullish signal milta hai, jo volume data se confirm hota hai, to pair 0.8857 zone ki taraf upar ja sakta hai, jahan pehle se kafi volume ho sakti hai. Hourly chart dekhne par, selling ka faisla sahi lagta hai.

Price MA 200 moving average ke neeche trade kar rahi hai, jo bearish trend ko darshata hai. Pichle din ke aakhri hisson mein, pair ne apne opening price se niche gir gaya aur session ke end tak wahan raha. Intraday price movements ne lower Bollinger band ke qareeb approach kiya, jo strong bearish momentum ko darshata hai aur downtrend ke jaari rehne ka imkaan hai. Main apne trading mein RSI indicator par bharosa karta hoon aur overbought (70 se upar) ya oversold (30 se niche) conditions ke waqt trades enter nahi karta. RSI abhi selling ko support kar raha hai, kyun ke iska value normal range mein hai. Mera take-profit target 211% Fibonacci level par hai, jo 0.85881 ke price ke barabar hai. Position ka ek hissa break even par le kar, main trailing stop activate karne ka plan kar raha hoon taake expected downward correction ke dauran additional gains capture kiya ja sake.

CHF H1 ka analysis dekhte hue, kal ke trading results ke baad, Swiss franc ke buyers ne pehla upward impulse form kiya, jiska asar H1 timeframe par dekha gaya. Northern starting line 0.8660 se price ne south ki taraf correction ke liye turn kiya. Swiss dollar ke liye nearest significant support SOP 0.8551 par hai, aur agar bears is level se neeche pair ko le jaane mein kamiyab ho jaate hain, toh pair ki situation phir se change ho sakti hai. Agar yeh support hold karta hai aur price wapas northern starting line se upar aati hai, toh bulls most likely upward impulse ko realize karne lagenge, jinka target impulse zone 0.8802 aur 0.8890 par hoga. Iss waqt mujhe lagta hai ke USD/CHF abhi next northern correction start kar raha hai aur bohot kuch market ki reaction par depend karega jo ke resistance par northern starting line 0.8660 ke paas hoga.
Market ki movement ko dekhte hue, maine is area ko bearish energy ke addition ke tor par identify kiya hai through impulse sellers ke breakout ke. Is area mein chart ne 200-day moving average ko cross kiya H1 timeframe par, jo ke "death cross" ke saath 50MA par intersect hota hai aur isse do oscillators se bearish signals reinforce karte hain. Is area mein bears ne ek strong defense build kiya hai jo bullish correction ke further development ko rokti hai. Mein iss zone mein pair ko sell karne ki koshish karunga, bullish pullback ko complete karne ka idea lekar. Agar bulls price ko wapas channel mein le aate hain aur uski structure ko hold karte hain, toh deep correction ka scenario develop ho sakta hai, jisme movement channel ki resistance line tak ja sakti hai, aur phir wahan se neeche.

Price ne channel ke upper border (blue dotted line) ko cross kiya, maximum se bounce hua, aur phir middle line (yellow dotted line) ki taraf wapas aaya. Saath hi buy signal RSI oscillator se fully validate ho raha hai, kyunki uski upward curve abhi overbought level ke paas nahi hai. Yeh conclusion nikalta hai ke ek profitable long-term buy transaction complete karne ka acha chance hai aur channel ke lower border (red dotted line) par price point 0.85602 tak pohanchne ka bhi. Minimum 0.85430 indicate hua hai. Agar price upar ki taraf move karti hai aur market structure change hota hai, toh losses ko recoup karna padega.

USD/CHF currency pair me kuch interesting trading opportunities nazar aa rahi hain, jisme target price 0.8868 hai, jo buy trades initiate karne ke liye support kar raha hai. Pehla target 0.8901 par set kiya gaya hai, aur agar market aur zyada strong hota hai, toh agla target 0.8945 ho sakta hai. Agar price 0.8945 tak pohanchti hai aur volatility barh jati hai, toh traders ko apne sabhi long positions close kar deni chahiye aur selling opportunities explore karni chahiye. Agar aap long position 0.8868 par enter karte hain, toh risk ko effectively manage karne ke liye stop loss 0.8857 par set karna behtreen hoga. Agar price is level se niche girti hai, toh phir focus selling par hona chahiye, jiska pehla target 0.8813 ke aas-paas ho sakta hai.
Entry aur exit points ko optimize karne ke liye, 0.8820 par buy karna consider karein, aur nazar rakhain previous high 0.8871 par. Agar price structure break hoti hai, toh losses 0.8791 tak barh sakti hain, jahan ye broken level resistance ka kaam kar sakta hai. Sales ko bhi 0.8820 par consider karna chahiye, lekin market dynamics par barabar nazar rakhna zaroori hai, khas tor par kisi bhi shifts par jo price action ko influence kar sakti hain.

### Anticipated Market Impact aur Technical Indicators

Aaj ka market kuch important economic data ka intizaar kar raha hai, jisme July ka US Consumer Confidence Index aur June ke job vacancies shamil hain. Ye data US dollar ko support kar sakta hai aur current downtrend ko uptrend mein tabdeel kar sakta hai. Market sentiment filhal bullish lag raha hai, lekin technical analysis suggest karti hai ke USD/CHF pair ek corrective pullback ke phase mein hai 4-hour chart par. Buyers 0.8881 ke aas-paas resistance ko approach kar rahe hain, lekin zigzag indicator ek bearish trend ka ishara de raha hai, aur stochastic indicator show karta hai ke pair overbought hai, jo ek possible decline ka signal de raha hai. Agar downtrend barqaraar rehti hai, toh pair current lows ke aas-paas 0.8781 target kar sakta hai aur mid-0.87s ki taraf move kar sakta hai.

### Recent Market Activity aur Outlook

Pair ne aaj apne lows update kiye hain, support level 0.8820 ko break karte hue aur filhal 0.8784 par trade kar raha hai. RSI oversold zone ki taraf move kar raha hai aur downward point kar raha hai, jabke Awesome Oscillator (AO) buy signal indicate kar raha hai. Ittila’ dene wali baat yeh hai ke pair ki price kal ke trading range se niche hai. Signals mix hain, lekin yeh downtrend ke continuation ka ishara karte hain. Isliye, support level 0.8730 ki taraf movement likely lag rahi hai.

### Conclusion

Current market dynamics ko dekhte hue, filhal ke prices se cautiously selling recommend ki jati hai, jiska target 0.8735 hai. Lekin traders ko market ke sudden changes ke liye tayar rehna chahiye, aur trade execute karne se pehle risk ko ache se assess karna zaroori hai. Recent activity USD/CHF currency pair me key support levels ke aas-paas ek strong contest dikhati hai buyers aur sellers ke darmiyan. Yeh mixed sentiment dono buying aur selling opportunities ko represent kar raha hai, lekin success ka daromadar hoga ke aap technical indicators, market sentiment, aur volume analysis ko closely monitor karte hue sabse strategic

USD/CHF Price Movement
USD/CHF currency pair ke price behavior ki analysis abhi discussion mein hai. Weekly time frame ka seedha sa analysis yeh suggest karta hai ke buyers apni position ko mazid mazboot karne ke liye bechain hain, lekin unhein barhawa dene ke liye zyada momentum ki zaroorat hai. Pichle hafte ke bullish push ka nateeja ek candle tha, jisme lambi upper shadow aur choti si bullish body thi. Aam tor par, aise formations ke baad bearish retracement hota hai, jo ke main agle trading week ke aaghaz mein dekhne ki tawaqo kar raha hoon. USD/CHF pair ab bhi downtrend mein hai, aur abhi haal hi mein 0.874 ke broken level ko test kiya. Is test ne ek full-bodied bearish candle ko trigger kiya, jo ke bears ke response ko reflect karta hai. Is reaction ke madde nazar, main expect karta hoon ke pair apni downward trajectory ko qareebi support level 0.854 tak continue karega. Agar pair ne channel ke andar consolidate karna shuru kar diya, toh unexpected upward movement bhi ho sakti hai. Jab tak bears isse rokne mein kamyab rehte hain, 0.874 ka level ek pivotal point ke tor par kaam kar sakta hai trend ko determine karne ke liye, jo ke market khulne par closely monitor karna zaroori hoga, taake kisi bullish breakout se bacha ja sake. Main Friday ke trading session ke baad bhi ehtiyaat se optimistic hoon. Halaanke bullish correction channel ke andar mazid progress nahi kar saka, lekin price ne support line ko bhi breach nahi kiya. Market mein abhi bhi channel ke support area ke qareeb ek positional struggle hai, aur price tennis ball ki tarah net ke upar uchhal raha hai. Ho sakta hai ke channel ke support ka aik lower retest ho, jiske baad consolidation ho sakti hai outer boundary ke sath, local bullish pullback ka formation ho sakta hai, aur ek nai wave of decline shuru ho sakti hai, jo support 0.83305 ko target kar sakti hai

Ek nakam koshish ke bawajood, USD/CHF currency pair abhi ek choti si kami ka samna kar rahi hai, jo ke hourly chart par wazeh hai. Subah se, yeh pair 0.8640 ke qareeb trade kar rahi hai, aur ab shaam ko Consumer Price Index (CPI) data ke release ka intezar kar rahi hai. Is iqtisadi report ka intezar karne se pair ki price mein koi khaas upar ki taraf harkat nahi hui.
CPI data ek ahem iqtisadi indicator hai jo ke consumer goods aur services ki price level mein tabdeeli ko napta hai. Yeh report traders ke liye nihayat ahmiyat rakhti hai kyunki yeh inflation trends aur mulk ki majmooi iqtisadi sehat ke baray mein insight deti hai. Agar aaj ka CPI data U.S. dollar ko support nahi karta—jaise ke kal ki report mein hua—tu USD/CHF pair mein kami ka silsila barqarar reh sakta hai. Market ka jazba filhal bearish nazar aa raha hai, aur agar CPI report manfi hui tu yeh trend mazid mazboot ho sakta hai.

Iss waqt, 0.8635 ka level USD/CHF pair ke liye ek ahm support hai. Yeh support level is liye bhi zaroori hai kyunki yeh price ko mazeed girne se roknay mein madad kar raha hai. Magar agar CPI data unfavorable hua aur U.S. dollar ko mazid support nahi mila, tu yeh pair is support level se neechay gir sakti hai. Aisa hone par yeh is baat ki nishani hogi ke downward momentum mazid mazboot ho raha hai aur pair mazeed gir sakti hai.

H4 (four-hour) timeframe par, is support level ke qareeb ek imbalance zone hai. Yeh zone wo area hai jahan par buying aur selling pressures mein khaas tafreeq hoti hai, jo ke zyada volatility aur price movement ka sabab ban sakti hai. USD/CHF pair ko neeche girnay ke liye, is imbalance zone ko break karna hoga. Iska matlab yeh hai ke sellers ko dominate karna hoga aur price ko 0.8635 support level se neeche push karna hoga, is area mein kisi bhi buying pressure ko shikast deni hogi.

Traders ko chahiye ke CPI data ke release hote hi situation ko ghour se monitor karein. Agar data market ke bearish expectations ke mutabiq hua, tu USD/CHF pair mazeed girawat ka shikar ho sakti hai, aur shayad neeche support levels ki taraf move kare. Aks-ul-maamool, agar CPI data unexpectedly positive hua aur U.S. dollar ko support mila, tu yeh pair kuch upar ki taraf harkat dekh sakti hai ya kam az kam apne mojooda level par stabilize ho sakti hai.

Maujooda market conditions ko dekhte hue, ehtiyaat se trade karne ki strategy behtareen hogi. Traders ko chahiye ke stop-loss orders set karein taake agar price unexpectedly move kare tu potential losses ko manage kar sakein. Jo log potential decline se faida uthana chahte hain, unko is baat ka intezar karna chahiye ke 0.8635 ka support level decisively breach ho jaye pehle, phir koi bara trading decision lein

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USD-CHF ke currency pair ka tajziya karte hue, Heiken Ashi candles aur TMA (Triangular Moving Average) aur RSI indicators ki madad se dekha gaya hai ke filhal bazaar mein buyers ki taqat kam hoti nazar aa rahi hai aur sellers ko zyada mukhiyata mil rahi hai. Heiken Ashi candles, aam candles ke mukable mein, ek narm aur average price value dikhati hain, jo technical analysis ko asaan banaati hai aur trading decisions ki accuracy ko barhati hai.

TMA channel indicator (red, blue, aur yellow rang ke lines) support aur resistance lines ko do martaba smoothed moving averages ki madad se banata hai aur clearly instrument ke movement ki current boundaries ko dikhata hai. Heiken Ashi ke sath positive results dene wale additional filtering oscillator ke taur par hum RSI basement indicator ka istemal karenge. Currency pair ka chart ye dikhata hai ke candles ka rang laal ho gaya hai, jo bearish interest ki zyada priority ko darshata hai.

Price ne channel ki upper boundary (blue dotted line) ko cross kiya aur maximum point se bounce hote hue, phir se apne middle line (yellow dotted line) ki taraf rukh kar liya. Saath hi, RSI oscillator bhi sell signal ko confirm karta hai kyunke iski curve neeche ki taraf hai aur oversold level ke paas nahi hai. Is wajah se, ye logical conclusion nikalta hai ke ek profitable short-sell transaction ka achha waqt hai jiska aim market quotes ke lower boundary (red dotted line) tak pahunchna hai, jo ke 0.84642 ke price mark par hai.

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USD/CHF ke currency pair ki price movement ka tajziya abhi kiya ja raha hai. Agar hum weekly time frame ko dekhein, toh USD/CHF currency pair ke liye aasan analysis yeh darshata hai ke buyers apne positions ko mazid majboot karne ke liye purjosh hain lekin unhe substantial growth ke liye zyada momentum ki zaroorat hai. Pichle hafte ke bullish push ke natije mein ek candle bani jismein lambi upper shadow aur chhoti bullish body thi. Aam taur par aise formations ke baad bearish retracement ka hona mumkin hai, jo mujhe agle trading week ke shuruat mein nazar aane ki umeed hai. USD/CHF pair abhi bhi downtrend mein hai aur hal hi mein 0.874 level ko test kiya hai. Is test ke natije mein ek puri body wali bearish candle bani, jo bears ki response ko reflect karti hai. Is reaction ke base par, mujhe lagta hai ke pair apne downward trajectory ko continue karega aur nearest support level 0.854 ki taraf barhega. Lekin, agar pair channel ke andar consolidate karne mein kamiyab hoti hai, toh kuch unexpected upward movement bhi dekhne ko mil sakti hai.

Jab tak bears isse rok rahe hain, 0.874 level trend determine karne mein ek pivotal point ban sakta hai, isliye market khulte hi iski close monitoring zaroori hai taake bullish breakout se bacha ja sake. Main Friday ke trading session ke baad cautious optimism rakhta hoon. Halankeh bullish correction ne channel mein aage nahi barha jaise mujhe darr tha, lekin price ne support line ko bhi break nahi kiya. Market channel ke support area ke paas positional struggle ka samna kar rahi hai, jahan price tennis ball ki tarah net ke upar se bounce ho rahi hai. Channel ke support ka lower retest hone ki sambhavana hai, jiske baad outer boundary ke along consolidation, local bullish pullback ka formation, aur ek naye decline wave ki shuruat ho sakti hai, jo support level 0.83305 ko target kar sakti hai.

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USD/CHF ke currency pair ke price ka tajziya karte hain. Hal hi mein bullish price movement ke bawajood, USD/CHF 0.8743 level ko break nahi kar paya, jisse downward slide shuru hui. Yeh decline pehle ke upward push ka retracement lagta hai. Jab market dobara khulega, toh 0.8648 level par khas tawajjo deni chahiye, jahan price pehle gir sakti hai. Price 0.8648 ke aas-paas ke accumulation zone ko test karti hai. Agar is level se bullish signal milta hai aur volume data se confirm hota hai, toh pair reverse ho sakta hai aur 0.8857 zone ki taraf barh sakta hai, jahan pehle substantial volume dekhne ko mila hai. Hourly chart ke tajziye ke baad, selling ka decision seem logical lagta hai.

Price MA 200 moving average ke neeche trade kar rahi hai, jo bearish trend ko indicate karta hai. Pichle din ke aakhri hisson mein, pair apne opening price ke neeche gir gaya aur session ke end tak wahi ruk gaya. Intraday price movements lower Bollinger band ke kareeb aa gayi hain, jo strong bearish momentum ka signal hai aur yeh suggest karta hai ke downtrend continue ho sakta hai. Main trading mein RSI indicator par rely karta hoon aur tab tak trades enter nahi karta jab tak RSI overbought (70 se upar) ya oversold (30 se neeche) conditions show na kare. Abhi RSI selling ko support karta hai kyunki iski value normal range mein hai. Mera take-profit target 211% Fibonacci level par hai, jo price 0.85881 ke aas-paas align karta hai. Position ka ek hissa break even par le jaane ke baad, main trailing stop activate karne ka plan bana raha hoon taake expected downward correction ke dauran additional gains capture kiye ja sakein Fibonacci grid ke along.

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Aaj hum USD/CHF currency pair ke D1 period chart ka tajziya karenge. Pichle hafte mein, pair zyada active nahi raha; thoda sa utha aur thoda sa gira. Yeh gains daily cycle ke hisaab se chhoti si hain. Kehne ka matlab hai ke pair accumulation area mein hi raha, lekin ab hibernation khatam ho gayi hai. Pichle hafte ke darmiyan mein kaafi naye news aaye, aur price apni neend se jagne wali hai. United States se positive news mili, indicators expectations se behtar the, jis wajah se dollar ki strength barh gayi. Lekin growth slip ho gayi aur hafte ka end opening price ke kareeb ho gaya.

Wave structure ab bhi downward trend ko maintain kar raha hai. MACD indicator lower area mein hai, lekin signal line ke upar. Is cycle ke corrective growth path par koi obvious technical levels nahi hain, sirf pehla level 0.8816 kaafi door hai. Isliye, corrective Fibonacci grid ko last long wave of decline par apply karna zaroori hai. Is grid par 38.2 corrective level ke area tak pohnch chuke hain. Is position ke paas ek pause hai aur price 50 level tak upar ja rahi hai. Filhal, yeh kaha ja sakta hai ke growth ke prospects ab bhi hain, kam se kam jab tak price horizontal support 0.8634 ke upar hai.

EUR/USD currency pair, jo ke direct rival hai, kaafi upar surge kar chuka hai, aur wahan girawat ki probability bhi zyada hai, jo ke USD/CHF ke growth ko impact kar raha hai. Agar price 0.8634 ke neeche consolidate kar jati hai, toh decline expected hai ke previous wave of decline ke lowest point tak pohnchegi. Agar is level ka breakout hota hai, toh entry point downward test ke liye hoga.

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Aaj, Monday ko, mein USDCHF currency pair ka D1 timeframe chart analyze karne ka tajwez deta hoon. Guzishta hafta is pair ke liye zyada active nahi raha, sirf halka sa upar aur neeche ka movement dekha gaya. Yeh daily timeframe ke hisaab se kafi minor tha. Is tarah se, consolidation hua, aur yeh period khatam ho gaya kyunke guziste hafta ke darmiyan mukhtalif khabrein aayi thi, jo yeh darshati thi ke price zaroor is range se break out karegi. US ki khabrein mostly positive thi, indicators bhi behtareen the, jisse US dollar ko momentary taqat mili. Magar yeh growth jaldi reverse ho gayi, aur hafta lagbhag wahan band hua jahan se shuru hua tha. Yahaan wave structure apni downward pattern ko barqarar rakhta hai, MACD indicator lower zone mein hai magar signal line se upar. Is timeframe par kisi bhi significant technical level ka correction nahi hai, pehla level kaafi door hai 0.8816 par. Isliye, last long downward wave par Fibonacci retracement grid apply ki gayi hai. Yeh dekha ja sakta hai ke price 38.2% retracement level tak pohnchi, jahan ek pause hua aur phir price 50% level tak push hui. Filhal, yeh kaha ja sakta hai ke growth ka potential hai, kam se kam jab tak price horizontal support level 0.8634 ke upar hai. Iske ilawa, EURUSD pair, jo iska seedha opponent hai, kaafi high rise hua hai, jo wahan decline ke chances ko barhata hai, jo is pair ke rise ko bhi impact kar sakta hai. Agar price successfully 0.8634 ke neeche consolidate kar leti hai, to decline ka continuation expect kiya ja sakta hai jab tak previous wave ka low dobara test nahi hota, aur entry point is level ka neeche se test hone par hoga agar breakout hota hai. Aaj ke economic calendar mein kisi bhi significant news events ka zikar nahi hai.

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USD/CHF currency pair ne apni 6 hafton ki gain ka kuch hissa khoya hai, aur do hafton ke girawat ka percentage 51% se zyada tak pohnch gaya hai. Kal ke tight trading ke bawajood, hafta USDCHF pair ke strong hone ke sath khatam hua. Recent price fluctuations is pair mein risk-off aur risk-on mood ko dikhati hain. Dollar index pichle mahine mein 20 saalon ki highest point se 4% se zyada gir chuka hai, aur late March ke baad se apni gains ka lagbhag aadha kho chuka hai. Weekly time frame ke mutabiq, USD/CHF currency pair ki girawat jo 0.8610 ke peak level se shuru hui thi, 0.8770 ke price level tak pohnchni chahiye. Is waqt, USDCHF pair ko is weekly time frame mein koi clear trend nahi dikhayi de rahi, aur price abhi bhi 0.8645 ke price level ke neeche phansi hui hai.

Pichle hafte, halanke 4-hour time frame mein momentum thoda kam hua, girawat 0.8610 se niche extend hoti gayi. Agle hafte bhi USDCHF pair ke liye girawat ki sambhavnayein barqarar hain, lekin yeh 0.8625 ke price level se limit ho sakti hai. Resistance shayad 0.8665 ke price level par support mein tabdeel ho jaye aur ek rebound ko laa sake. USDCHF price ko recover karne ke liye, isay minor resistance level 0.8630 ke upar move karna hoga. Agar upar zikr kiye gaye support levels break ho jate hain, toh pair 0.8570 ke support level ko test kar sakta hai. Halanke intraday indicators downside movement ko support kar rahe hain, lekin oscillations ye dikhati hain ke trend ulta ho sakta hai.

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Naye hafte ka pehla trading din kaafi kamzor raha. Mein tajwez deta hoon ke USDCHF pair ka D1 period chart dekha jaye. Guzishta hafte is pair ka zyada activity nahi thi; price thodi upar gayi aur thodi neeche aayi. Yeh daily period ke hisaab se thoda sa decline tha. Mukhtasir mein, yeh pair accumulation area mein ghoom raha tha, lekin yeh mauniyat khatam ho gayi hai kyunke guziste hafta ke darmiyan kai naye updates aaye, jisse lag raha tha ke price apne slumber se jag jayegi.

United States ke baare mein khabrein positive thi, aur indicators bhi ummeed se behtareen rahe, jiski wajah se dollar ki taqat mein izafa hua. Magar yeh growth itni der tak barqarar nahi rahi aur hafta lagbhag wahan band hua jahan se shuru hua tha. Yahaan ki wave structure downward trend ko dikhati hai. MACD indicator lower area mein hai lekin apni signal line se upar hai. Is corrective growth path par koi obvious common technical levels nahi hain, sirf pehla significant level 0.8816 kaafi door hai. Isliye, humein previous falling long wave par corrective Fibonacci grid apply karni zaroori hai.

Is grid par, humne 38.2 corrective level tak pohnchaya hai. Is level ke aas-paas ek pause dekhne ko mili, aur surge ne price ko 50 level tak push kar diya. Filhal, yeh kaha ja sakta hai ke growth ke prospects abhi bhi hain, kam se kam jab tak price horizontal support level 0.8634 ke upar hai.

Iske ilawa, EUR/USD pair jo iska direct opponent hai, kaafi high soar kar chuka hai aur wahan girawat ki sambhavnayein zyada hain. Yeh EUR/USD ki girawat is currency pair ke growth ko bhi impact kar sakti hai. Agar price 0.8634 ke neeche break hoti hai, toh decline expect kiya ja sakta hai jo previous wave ke lowest point tak pohnch sakti hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai, toh entry point yeh level ke neeche se test karna hoga.

Aaj ke economic calendar mein koi bhi aisi significant news nahi hai jo aapki trading decisions ko impact kar sake.

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Naye hafte ka pehla trading din kaafi dheere se chal raha hai, toh chaliye USDCHF currency pair ka D1 timeframe chart dekhte hain. Guzishta hafta is pair ke liye kuch khaas active nahi raha; thodi si upar movement aur phir ek chhoti si girawat dekhi gayi. Yeh daily timeframe ke hisaab se kafi chhoti si thi. Mukhtasir mein, kuch range trading aur accumulation zone raha, aur finally consolidation khatam hui kyunki guziste hafta ke darmiyan kai naye updates aaye, jo yeh darshati thi ke price zaroor consolidation se break out karegi.

US ki news mostly positive thi, aur indicators bhi expected se behtareen perform kar rahe the, jiski wajah se US dollar ko temporary taqat mili. Magar yeh growth jald reverse ho gayi aur hafta lagbhag wahi band hua jahan se shuru hua tha. Yahaan ki wave structure downward pattern ko dikhati hai, aur MACD indicator lower zone mein hai lekin apni signal line ke upar hai. Is waqt, corrective growth ke path par koi significant technical levels nahi hain, aur pehla major level 0.8816 kaafi door hai. Isliye, humne last long downward wave par Fibonacci retracement grid apply ki hai.

Is grid ke mutabiq, price 38.2% correction level tak pohnch gayi hai, jahan ek pause dekha gaya, aur phir ek spike ne price ko 50% level tak push kar diya. Filhal, yeh kaha ja sakta hai ke growth ka potential abhi bhi barqarar hai, kam se kam jab tak price horizontal support level 0.8634 ke upar hai.

Iske ilawa, EURUSD pair, jo iska direct opponent hai, kaafi high rise kar chuka hai, aur wahan girawat ki high probability hai jo is pair ke rise ko bhi impact kar sakti hai. Agar price 0.8634 ke neeche successfully consolidate karti hai, toh decline ka continuation expect kiya ja sakta hai jab tak previous wave ke low ko dobara test nahi kar liya jata. Agar yeh level break hota hai, toh entry point is level ke neeche se test karna hoga.

Aaj ke economic calendar mein koi bhi significant news events nahi hain jo trading decisions ko impact kar sakein

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USD/CHF: Mazboot Trading Foundation Banana

Aaiye baat karte hain USD/CHF currency pair ke current pricing behaviour ki, jo hamari analysis ka focus hai. USD/CHF pair is waqt short-term downtrend dikha raha hai, jo mainly last week ke U.S. inflation data release ke asar se hai. Hourly chart par, price regression channel ke lower limit ke paas ghoom rahi hai, jo 0.8619 aur 0.8739 ke darmiyan hai. Yeh upward correction ke liye strong potential ko darshata hai. In signals ko dekhte hue, mujhe selling unsuitable lagti hai; main buy karne ka plan bana raha hoon jab tak price range ke beech, yani 0.8679 ke aas-paas nahi pohnchti. Recent dip ke baad, jab price channel se bahar nahi gayi, ek corrective movement ya nayi local wave formation ki ummeed hai. Expected pullback structure zyada precise insights provide karega, aur return wave do se teen martaba zyada strong hone ki ummeed hai.

Mainne ek intersection dhoondha aur 0.86405 par mila. Is hisaab se, main apna buy order current price par execute kar raha hoon. Agar pullback hota hai, toh main ek doosra order place karunga, apne trade volume ko do positions mein divide karunga. Agar pullback nahi hota, toh doosra order market trend ke sath move karega. Main hamesha risk ko dhyan se manage karta hoon, har trade mein 1:3 risk-to-reward ratio maintain karta hoon, aur meri stop orders kam se kam 19 points door hoti hain taake false stop-loss triggers se bacha ja sake.

Jab hum accumulation phase ke kareeb pohnch rahe hain, USD/CHF pair apni built-up potential ko utilise karne ke liye tayar hai, khaaskar jab market makers ki taraf se provided liquidity further price manipulation ka sabab ban sakti hai. Recent developments ko dekhte hue, 0.8669 se 0.8695 range mein retracement hone ki sambhavnayein kafi badh gayi hain. Jab yeh zone clear ho jata hai, toh injected liquidity kaafi barh jati hai. Main foresee karta hoon ke seller activity mein izafa hoga, khaaskar jab buyers apni positions se exit karenge, jo aksar significant market reaction ko janam deta hai.

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Pichle hafte, USD/CHF currency pair ne ek strong bullish trend ka tajurba kiya, jo market mein buyers ki dominance ko darshata hai. Yeh upward momentum hafte ke shuruat mein hi establish ho gaya tha, aur pair lagataar upar chadh rahi thi, jo ke strong buying interest ko signal kar raha tha. Bullish sentiment ka sabab kuch factors ka combination tha, jismein positive economic data from the United States, strong US dollar, aur US economy ke resilience ke bare mein overall market optimism shamil hain.
Market Overview


Technical perspective se dekha jaye toh USD/CHF pair ka bullish trend saaf nazar aa raha tha kyunki yeh key resistance levels ko break kar rahi thi, jo buyers ki control ko mazid barhawa de raha tha. Price action ne pure hafte higher highs aur higher lows dikhaye, jo classic indicators hain ongoing bullish trend ke. Is movement ki strength yeh darshati hai ke traders pair ke further gains ke potential mein confident the, jo ke broader market mein favorable conditions se driven tha.
Factors Behind the Bullish Sentiment


Yeh bullish momentum kuch important factors ki wajah se tha:

1. US Economic Data: US ke positive economic indicators, jaise ke strong employment numbers aur higher-than-expected GDP growth, ne US dollar ko majboot kiya. Dollar ki strength ke sabab USD/CHF prices upar gayi, kyunki investors greenback ki taraf flock kar rahe the.
2. Safe-Haven Demand: Swiss franc, jo traditionally safe-haven currency ke tor par dekha jata hai, ki demand global market conditions ke improve hone se kam ho gayi. Investors ki safety ki zarurat kam hone ki wajah se US dollar ne franc ke muqablay mein ground gain kiya, jo bullish trend ko support kar raha tha.
3. Technical Breakout: Pair ka significant resistance levels ko break karne ki ability ne buyers ko additional confidence diya, jo ke shayad in technical breakouts ko pair ke upward potential ke confirmation ke tor par dekh rahe the.

Signs of a Downward Correction


Magar, hafte ke akhir mein, market ne downward correction ke signs dikhane shuru kar diye. Kal raat tak, bullish momentum dheere-dheere kam hota gaya, aur price action ne yeh indicate kiya ke pair shayad pullback ke liye ready hai. Yeh correction market cycle ka natural part hai, jo aksar sustained gains ke baad hoti hai jab traders profits lete hain aur apni positions dobara evaluate karte hain.

Downward correction kuch waqt tak chal sakti hai, khaaskar agar pair higher levels par resistance encounter karti hai ya agar naye economic data se yeh suggest hota hai ke jo factors initially bullish trend ko drive kar rahe the woh kamzor ho rahe hain. Traders ko is correction phase ke doran key support levels ko monitor karna chahiye, kyunki yeh re-entry ke opportunities provide kar sakte hain agar overall bullish trend barqarar rehta hai.
Conclusion


Jahan pichle hafte ka bullish trend USD/CHF pair mein strong buying interest ko darshata hai, recent downward correction ke signs yeh suggest karte hain ke market shayad consolidation phase mein enter kar raha hai. Traders ko alert rehna chahiye aur further corrections ke potential ko consider karna chahiye, jabke key technical levels par bhi nazar rakhni chahiye jo bullish trend ke resumption ko indicate kar sakte hain.