𝐔𝐒𝐃/𝐂𝐇𝐅

Ameriki Dollar (USD) guzishta teen din se Swiss Franc (CHF) ke muqablay mein dabaav mein hai, jo is saal ke uptrend mein mumkinah ult pher ki tashweesh ko barhata hai. Satt mahine ki buland tareen satah ke qareeb 0.9224 tak pohunchne ke baad, USD/CHF jori 0.9095 tak giri hai, jo ke dollar ki wasee kamzori ki bina par hai. Investors ab ehtiyat se Amerika ke ahem non-farm payrolls data ke ijra ka intezar kar rahe hain, jo ke April mein 243,000 jobs ka izafa dikhane ki tawqo rakhti hai. Ye data point USD/CHF exchange rate par nami tor par asar andaz ho sakta hai. Ek mazboot jobs report Ameriki ma'eeshat ki mazbooti ka ishara de sakti hai, jo mustaqbil mein shayad unchi sood ki sharahon ki guftagu ko janam de. Is se dollar mazboot ho sakta hai aur USD/CHF jori ke mojooda downtrend ko mehdood kar sakta hai. Taa-hum, haal hi mein Federal Reserve ki meeting ne is manzar ko kuch shubhaat mein daal diya hai. Fed ne apni mojooda monetary policy barqarar rakhne ka faisla kiya, lekin Chairman Powell ne haal hi mein inflation par taraqqi mein susti ka aitraaf kiya. Is ka matlb hai ke Fed ke 2% inflation ka hadaf hasil karne mein zyada waqt lag sakta hai. Ye taraqqi ki kami, Fed ka balance sheet reduction (quantitative tightening) ka sust raftar elaan karne ke sath mil kar, dollar ke liye josh kam kar sakti hai.



Technically, USD/CHF jori mein kuch tashweeshnak alamat nazar aayi hain. Is ne do martaba February ki buland tareen resistance levels (0.8884) aur 200-day exponential moving average (EMA) se ooper break kiya hai. Is se darr paida hua hai ke uptrend apne aakhri marahil mein ho sakta hai, khaas kar ke jab haal hi mein 0.8780 ke qareeb support se neeche break hua. Taa-hum, abhi bhi kuch unsar hain jo mukammal ult pher ko rok saktay hain. December ke kam se qaim shuda uptrend line abhi bhi barqarar hai, jo filhal 0.8765 par test ho rahi hai. Is ke ilawa, January ki buland tareen satah 0.8727 kuch support faraham kar sakti hai aur neeche ki taraf dabao ko kam kar sakti hai. Agar ye support levels tham nahi paate hain, to downtrend namayan tor par raftaar pakar sakta hai. January ki buland tareen satah se neeche ka break qeemat ko 0.8680 zone ki taraf le ja sakta hai, jo October-December downtrend ka 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level hai. Mazeed steep decline 23.6% Fibonacci level 0.8545 tak pohanch sakta hai. Technical indicators bhi is bearish outlook ke saath mil rahe hain. Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 se neeche girne ki tawqo hai, jo momentum mein tabdeel ka ishara de raha hai. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) apni signal line se neeche trade kar raha hai, jo mumkinah downtrend ko mazeed support karta hai. Is ke ilawa, Stochastic oscillator, jo filhal oversold territory mein hai, apni neeche ki taraf ki trajectory ko jari rakhne ka ishara de raha hai. Ikhtitam mein, USD/CHF jori ek dorahay par khadi hai. Aane wala US jobs data aur Fed ke haal hi ke moqif ki tashreeh USD/CHF exchange rate ke mustaqbil ke rukh ko ta'ayun karne mein ahem kirdar ada karegi. Jabke technical indicators kisi ult pher ke imkaanat ko zahir karte hain, kuch support levels abhi bhi barqarar hain, jo investors ke liye ek kashmakash ka intezar banaye rakhti hai.

Ameriki Dollar (USD) ke Swiss Franc (CHF) ke saath tisre din bhi musalsal neechay ki taraf rujhan jaari hai, jahan ye early European trading ke doran jumma ke roz negative territory mein trade kar raha tha. Ye kamzori tab aayi jab USD ne saat mahine ki buland tareen satah 0.9224 ke qareeb chhoo li thi. Ye decline currency market mein dollar ki wasee kamzori ko zahir karta hai. Investors besabri se April ke liye highly anticipated non-farm payroll data ka intezar kar rahe hain, jo jumma ko expected hai. Ye data Ameriki ma'eeshat ki sehat ka ek ahem indicator hai aur is se 243,000 jobs ka izafa dikhane ki tawqo hai. Sirf do din pehle, Federal Reserve (Fed) ne apni mojooda monetary policy ko barqarar rakha aur sood ki sharah mein koi tabdeeli nahi ki. Taa-hum, Fed Chair Jerome Powell ne ek press conference mein izhar kiya ke inflation ko control karna ka amal ruka hua hai. Unka kehna tha ke yeh dekhne mein aur waqt lagega ke inflation Fed ki target level tak wapas aayegi. Halankeh is se lambay arsay mein Ameriki sood ki sharahen barh sakti hain, jo aam tor par dollar ko mazboot karta hai, magar mukhtasir muddat ka outlook abhi tak uncertain hai. USD par dabao barhane mein izafa, Swiss Federal Statistics Office ne jumeraat ko ye report kiya ke April mein Swiss inflation ki tawqat se tez raftaar se barh rahi hai. Swiss Consumer Price Index (CPI) April mein 1.4% tak pohanch gaya, jo ke market ki tawqo 1.1% se zyada aur March ke 1.0% se upar hai. Ye mazboot inflation figure ne Swiss Franc ko mazeed purkashish banaya, jo investors ke liye zyada dilchaspi ka bais bana aur USD/CHF jori par mazeed dabao dala.



Pichle haftay, Swiss National Bank (SNB) ke President Thomas Jordan ke comments ne bhi dollar par wazan dala. Jordan ne confidence ka izhar kiya ke SNB ke paas inflation control mein hai aur unki tawqo hai ke aane wale barson mein price increases unke target range mein rahe gi. Halanki mojooda downtrend ke bawajood, kuch technical indicators USD/CHF jori ke liye potential support ko zahir karte hain. December ke low point se qaim shuda bullish trend line abhi tak barqarar hai, jiska mojooda support 0.8765 par hai. Is ke ilava, January ke low 0.8727 tak ka drop ek khareedari ka moqa bhi ban sakta hai, jo mazeed decline ko mehdood kar sakta hai. Taa-hum, agar ye support level toot jata hai, to USD/CHF mein zyada significant drop dekha ja sakta hai. Ye scenario technical indicators jaise ke Relative Strength Index (RSI), jo ke 50 se neeche girne ki tawqo rakhta hai, aur Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator, jo currently apni signal line se neeche trade kar raha hai, ke zariye support milta hai. Stochastic Index bhi neeche ki taraf rujhan ko zahir karta hai jiska value oversold threshold 20 se ooper hai. Is surat mein, USD/CHF 0.8680 zone ki taraf gir sakta hai, jo ke October aur December ke beech dekhe gaye downtrend ka 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level hai. Mazeed gehri decline pair ko 23.6% Fibonacci level 0.8545 tak le ja sakta hai. Is liye, USD/CHF ka qareebi simt ka ta'ayun US jobs data, Fed ke mustaqbil ke monetary policy decisions, aur US aur Switzerland mein inflation ka unfold hone par mabni hoga. Jabke technical indicators USD ke liye mumkinah rebound ka ishara dete hain, overall sentiment mojooda downtrend ke silsile ko jari rakhne ki taraf jhuka hai.

USD/CHF Ki Qeemati Harkaat Ka Kirdar

Aaiye baat karte hain USD/CHF ki mojooda qeemati harkaat aur is se hum kya samajh sakte hain. Guzishta roz, ye currency jori aakhirkaar ek correction mein chali gai, jiska mujhe doosre haftay se intezar tha, aur ye trading is aala par tajweel ko delay kar rahi hai. Is ke baghair, trade ke liye koi sharaait maujood nahi thi. Darmiyani satah 0.9080 ka kehna hai ke shayad isay pehle hi dekha ja chuka hai, aur yahan halki upar ki taraf zigzag ho sakti hai, magar yeh zaroori nahi. Us ke baad, asal correction ka target 0.9000 ko nishana banaya ja sakta hai. Abhi main neeche ki taraf dekh nahi raha, kyun ke nishan kaafi mazboot hai aur yeh humein kick kar ke dobara north bhej sakta hai. Rozana ke chart par, qeemat aik barhti hui channel ke andar thi. Pehle is channel ke neeche ki sarhad ko chhoo kar, jori ne isay neeche ki taraf tor diya, aur qeemat girti rahi. Ab mujhe tawqo hai ke jori shayad mazeed giregi. Agar aap 4-ghante ke chart ko dekhein, to qeemat barhti hui channel ke andar hai, aur ab mujhe tawqo hai ke qeemat is channel ke neeche ki sarhad tak, jo ke 0.9047 ke level par hai, girti rahegi. Is level tak pohnchne ke baad, aik palat sakta hai, aur qeemat dobara is channel ke ooper ki sarhad tak barhne lag sakti hai. Jori channel ko neeche ki taraf tor sakti hai, aur phir qeemat 0.8925 ke level tak gir sakti hai.



Lagta hai ke hum us channel ke support point par aa chuke hain jo qeemat ko acha pakad raha hai, aur bunyadi tor par, ab hum khareedari shuru kar sakte hain. Sirf ab, usi channel ka dobara dhang se tarteeb dena mumkin hai jo resistance ko bhi support ki apni darja tak dobara tarteeb de sakta hai, aur yeh neeche hoga. Magar filhal, mujhe umeed hai ke mojooda version ka support barqarar rahega. Mujhe yaqeen hai ke manfi forecast ghalat hai. Bulls ke paas shayad bara potential hai. Halanki mojooda surat se nikalna unke liye mushkil lag raha hai, lekin woh apni koshishein jari rakhte hain. Agar yeh rujhan jari raha, to hum jald hi aik upar ki taraf harkat dekhein ge. Yaqeenan, bears abhi bhi asar rakhte hain, lekin jab tak unhein dhakka nahi diya jata, woh pehalkadam nahi chhorenge. Dekhte hain ke calendar par kya statistics aate hain: USD/CHF ma'eeshi data ke ijraat par rad-e-amal zahir karta hai. Jab qeemat namayan tor par barhti hai, to neeche ki taraf corrective move ka imkaan dekhna zaroori ho jata hai. Mazboot data ki tawqo qeemat mein izafa karne wale asar ko nihayat zyada mumkin bana sakti hai. Filhal, surat-e-haal itni wazeh nahi hai jitni mujhe pasand aye. Magar filhal, maine faisla kiya hai ke sirf shumali simt pehli resistance level 0.9208 tak tawajju dena ahem hai. Main qareebi kamzor support level tak correction ko rad nahi karunga, aur us ke baad hum shumal ki taraf barhenge. Agar bears aaj zyada fa'al hote hain, to kisi bhi shumali harkat ki baat nahi hogi, aur humein mojooda surat ke mutabiq dhallna hoga.

USD/CHF ke bullish trend ke tanazur mein, yeh zaroori hai ke pichle haftay ki harkaat ko dekha jaye aur yeh samjha jaye ke yeh market ko aage kis tarah mutasir karegi. Haftay ke ibtida mein, yeh currency jori bearish momentum mein thi, jahan farokht kuninda apni koshishon mein masroof the ke candlestick ki position ko neeche dhakelain. Bearish trend kafi mazboot tha aur market mein tezi se farokht hui. Magar, jab qeemat 0.9016 tak pohanchi, mamooli tabdeeli dekhi gayi. Yeh qeemat market ke liye aik ahem nuqta thi, jahan mukhtalif traders ne apni positions adjust ki aur us position ke gird apni trading strategies ko tabdeel kiya. Iss nuqtay par market ke khareedaron aur farokht kuninda ke darmiyan jazbati muqabla hua, jahan ek taraf apne aglay qadam ke liye kafi ehtiyat barat rahi hai. Is ke baad, aik halki bullish movement dekhi gayi, jo ke qeemat ko cover karte hue bearish momentum ko rok diya.



Is musbat price action ne market mein aik naya bayan shuru kiya, jo ke khareedaron ki taqat aur aitmaad ko zahir karta hai. Filhal, chand mukhtalif asbaat bhi is uptrend ko support kar rahe hain. Ma'ashi isharay, geo-political halat, aur monetary policies market ke jazbaat ko mutasir kar rahi hain. Masalan, agar US dollar mazboot hai aur Swiss franc kamzor hai, to USD/CHF mein izafa dekha ja sakta hai. Magar, yeh yaad rakhna zaroori hai ke market ki harkaat kabhi bhi peeshgoi ke qabil nahi hoti. Kisi bhi waqt, naye asbaat aur waqiat market ko mutasir kar saktay hain. Is liye, traders ko chahiye ke wo har marhale ka tajziya ahtiyaat se karein aur apni strategy ko mutabiq banayein. Kul mila kar, USD/CHF filhal aik uptrend mein mehdood hai, magar is ki istehkaam aur mustaqbil ki simt ko monitor karna zaroori hai taake traders apne iqdaam sahi waqt par kar sakein aur tayyar rahain.

US Dollar Swiss Franc ke Khilaf Kamzor Ho Gaya Economic Fikaron Ki Wajah Se

Mangal ke roz US dollar ne Swiss franc ke khilaf numayan tor par kamzori ka muzahira kiya, jo b primarily Amreeki manufacturing aur services data ke mayoosi kun natayej se chal raha tha. April ke liye S&P Global Purchasing Manager Index (PMI) tawqat se neeche raha, jis mein manufacturing PMI ahem 50-mark se neeche gir kar contraction ko zahir karta hai. Ye data US ma'ashi sust ro ki imkanat ko ujagar karta hai, jis se US dollar par neeche ki taraf dabao banta hai. Filhal, US dollar/Swiss franc currency jori 0.9000 se 0.9150 ki range mein chal rahi hai. Analyst is range ko ghor se dekh rahe hain, kyun ke agar ye 0.9000 se neeche toot jata hai to dollar ko 22 March ke baad ka sab se kam level tak le ja sakta hai, jab ke 0.9150 se ooper tootne par is saal ka buland tareen level hasil kar sakta hai.

Aagay dekhtay hue, US dollar ka mustaqbil abhi tak yakeeni nahi hai. Federal Reserve ka inflation ko control karne ke liye sood ki shir'aat barhane ka azm bhi surat-e-haal ko pechida banata hai. Halan ke shir'aat barhana inflation ke dabao ko kam karta hai, magar ye ma'ashi taraqqi ko bhi rok sakta hai. Agar ma'ashi haalat zyada kamzor ho jati hai to Fed ko shir'aat barhane ko rokna ya usay ulta karna par sakta hai, jo dollar par mazeed bojh ban sakta hai.

Technical indicators bhi milay jultay isharay de rahe hain, jo US dollar ki simt ke baray mein asmanjasi ko barha rahe hain. Filhal, Relative Strength Index (RSI) neutral territory mein hai, jab ke Stochastic oscillator oversold conditions ko zahir kar raha hai. Ye dollar ke liye muddati correction ka imkaan zahir karta hai, magar is correction ki simt abhi tak wazeh nahi hai.



Wider context mein, US dollar global economy aur domestic monetary policy dono se headwinds ka samna kar raha hai. Traders ko mashwara diya jata hai ke dollar mein long ya short positions lene se pehle ehtiyat baratien, kyun ke mojooda uncertainties hain. Mazeed, agar kafi khareedari ka josh 0.8880 ki barrier ko torne mein kamyab ho jata hai, to ye upswing ko mazboot kar sakta hai, jis ka target 2024 ke liye 0.8950 resistance line tak pohanch sakta hai. Agar ye scenario materialize hota hai, to bullish jazbaat barh sakta hai, jis ke liye 0.9020 mark ko paar karne ki koshish ki jayegi.

Ikhtitam mein, US dollar ka Swiss franc ke khilaf haal hi mein dekha gaya kamzor hona US economy ki taraqqi ki rah aur monetary policy ke faislay ki wajah se fikarmandi ko zahir karta hai. Traders ko chahiye ke ahem levels aur technical indicators ko closely monitor karein taakeh qareebi mustaqbil mein market movements ka andaza laga sakein.

USD/CHF ke liye technical analysis aur mustaqbil ki peshgoi. Muddat - 4 ghante ka time frame.

Hum is aala ko, linear regression indicator Extended Regression StopAndReverse ke indicators ke sath mila ke popular technical analysis indicators RSI aur MACD ko istemal karte hue, ek mufeed trading plan tayyar karenge. Ye indicators market mein daakhil hone ka behtareen moqa muhaiya karte hain aur, achi darjay ki probability ke sath, moosool hui signal ko kaam karte hain. Peshgoi ko kamyaab banane ke baad, hum position se nikalne ka sab se mufeed nuqta chunenge taakeh muamla ko sab se zyada faida mand tareeqay se band karen. Is ke liye, hum Fibonacci grid ko chart ke mojooda intihaai nuqtaat par phailaenge aur qareebi Fibonacci correction levels par tawajju markooz karenge.

Jo sab se pehle nazar aata hai wo ye hai ke munsalik chart par pehli darajay ka regression line (sunehri dotted line), jo muntakhib time frame (time-frame H4) par mojooda haqiqi trend ki simt aur halat dikhata hai, oopar ki taraf slope ke sath waqe hai, jo ke aala ki harkaat ke barhne ke dor aur khareedaron ki bala daasti ko zahir karta hai. Non-linear regression channel, jaisa ke pesh kiya gaya chart mein nazar aata hai, ooper ki taraf muda hai aur na sirf sunehri uptrend line LP ko, balkay linear channel ki resistance line (lal dotted line) ko bhi neeche se ooper tak cross kar gaya hai. Ab nonlinear regression channel shumal ki taraf rukh kiya hua hai aur khareedaron ki taqat ko tasdeeq karta hai.



Qeemat ne linear regression channel ki lal resistance line 2nd LevelResLine ko cross kiya lekin zyada tareen quote value (HIGH) 0.91475 tak pohanchi, us ke baad is ne apni barhna band kar di aur mustaqil tor par girna shuru kar diya. Aala filhal 0.91326 ke price level par trade kar raha hai. Sab kuch madde nazar rakhte hue, main tawaqo karta hoon ke market price quotes wapas aayenge aur 2-nd LevelResLine (0.86777) channel line ke FIBO level 38.2% ke neeche consolidate honge aur mazid neeche ki taraf harkat karenge, linear channel ka golden average line LR 0.86288 ke sath jo FIBO level 23.6% se milta hai. Ye kehna baqi hai ke filhal RSI (14) aur MACD oscillators musalsal ishara de rahe hain ke aala overbought hai, kyun ke wo aik faida mand selling transaction ko anjaam dene ke liye dawat dete hue zone mein hain.

Mushtari par trading chart mein H4 time frame mein, USDCHF currency pair kaafi had tak ab bhi farokhtgar ke control mein lagta hai, jahan par USDCHF currency pair par bearish trend ki candlestick pattern banayi gayi hai, khaaskar trading chart mein H4 time frame par, yeh saboot hai ke trading instrument abhi tak downtrend ya bearish trend ki surat mein hai.

USDCHF currency pair ne 0.9220 ke qeemat par resistance area level ke baad apni uroojati trend jaari rakhne mein na kaamyaabi haasil ki, jab tak 0.9230 ke qeemat par resistance area level par ek doji candlestick pattern (ya'ni, bearish reversal trend ki candlestick pattern) bani, jo ke bazaar ne banaya, is liye yeh mauqa ek signal hai jise hum USDCHF currency pair par ek farokht ka order rakhne ke liye istemal kar sakte hain.

Maujooda waqt par, USDCHF currency pair par bana hua daam, khaaskar trading chart mein H4 time frame par, abhi tak 50-period moving average indicator ke neeche trade kar raha hai, mukammal kar close method ka uyg karte hue. Jab qeemat 0.9000 ke qareeb support area level se 0.9010 ke qareeb support area level par kamiyaab ho jaati hai, to hum farokht ka intekhab kar sakte hain. Yeh raha USDCHF pair ka H4 time frame par trading chart ka mukhtasir jayeza







Teen musalsal dino se, USD-CHF pair ke hawale se farokhtgaron ka dominion jaari hai. Yeh is wajah se hua hai ke dollar ki kamzori ne iske saath saath data ka chhod dena bhi support kiya tha, jo ke pichle budhvar ko jaari kiya gaya tha. Takneekan, yeh halat is wajah se hoti hai ke 0.9179 ke rozana resistance area mein rad-e-amal hua, jahan par kharidaron ki koshish thi ke qeemat ko ek rally mein le jaaya jaaye. Is ilaqe mein bullish qeemat ka na-kaamyaabi yeh mouqa faraham karti hai ke farokhtgaron ko qeemat ko mazeed dabane ka mauqa milta hai. Asal rukh badalne wali qeemat asal mein 0.9138 par resistance ko torhne mein kamyabi haasil ki, is tarah daily mein ek bearish rasta ko kholte hue jo ke abhi tak bullish trend mein tha

USD-CHF market pair daily timeframe par
USD-CHF market pair ko phir se mauqa hai ke guzishta Jumma ke trading ke baad neeche bearish tarz mein jaari rakhay, farokht karne walay phir se trading ko qaboo mein rakhtay rahe, jis se kharidari ka dabao jo kharidar daba rahay thay, unka dabaav kam ho gaya aur woh farokht karne walay resistance area mein reh gaya jo ke 0.9095-0.9100 ke qeemat par hai. Jis se qeemat phir se farokht karne walay ka control par wapas aya, bohot taqatwar farokht karne walay dabaav laga kar, jis se qeemat ne bearish tarz mein neeche chalna shuru kar diya.

Rozana ka Bollinger Bands indicator ke istemal ke doran, dekha ja sakta hai ke qeemat ko phir se bechne walay ne beech ke Bollinger Bands area ke neeche rakhne ka intezam kiya gaya hai, jo ke bechne walay dwara jo trading par hukumat jaari hai, usse dikhaya gaya hai. Market ki madad bhi ek bearish candlestick ke dobaara se shakal mein dikhai de rahi hai jo farokht karne walay ka position ko mazeed mazboot kar rahi hai qeemat ko neeche dabaane ke liye target ke taraf badhne ke liye aur Lower Bollinger bands area ko test karne ke liye jiska keemat 0.9038-0.9035 hai, agar ye tor diya ja sakta hai, to UsdChf pair ki qeemat mazeed kamzor ho jayegi.

Peer ke dopahar mein trading karne ka tajziya dikhata hai ke UsdChf market pair phir se kharidar ke dabaav mein tha jo ab mauqa haasil karne ke qabil hain baad farokht karne walay ka dabaav ke kamyaabi se neeche jana. Kharidar qeemat ko upar uthane ki koshish karenge takay farokht karne walay ka resistance area ko 0.9095-0.9100 ke qeemat par test kar sakein aur agar ye kamyaabi se todi gayi to qeemat aur bhi mazeed mazboot ho jayegi. Lekin agar ye nakam rahe to qeemat apni bearish rah par jaari rahegi farokht karne walay ke control mein.

RSI indicator bhi dikhata hai ke qeemat jo pehle level 50 ke area mein thi ab level 48 ke area ki taraf ja chuki hai, jis se farokht karne walon ki dabaav jari hai jo ke kaafi taqatwar hai aur ho sakta hai ke farokht karne walay UsdChf pair ki qeemat ko RSI level 25 ke area tak neeche dhakelain. Aaj ke trading mein.

Nateeja:

Farokht dakhil kar sakte hain agar farokht karne walay kaamyab ho gaye hain aur support area ko tor dete hain jiska ke qeemat 0.9030-0.9025 hai TP area ke saath 0.8960-0.8950 ke qeemat par.

Ek khareedari dakhil ki ja sakti hai agar kharidar kaamyab hota hai aur resistance area ko tor deta hai jiske ke 0.9085-0.9100 ke qeemat par pending buy stop order rakha gaya hai TP maqsad ke saath 0.9130-0.9135 ke qeemat par.

USD-CHF market pair Daily Timeframe par dobara bearish movement ka mauka hai peechle Jumma ke trading ke baad, sellers ne trading ko dominate karte hue buyers ke dabaav ko kam kar diya hai aur unhe seller resistance area mein qayam kar diya hai jiska daam 0.9095-0.9100 hai. Is se price control phir se seller ki hawa mein chali gayi hai aur seller ne bohot zyada bechne ki pressure daali hai, jis se keemat bearishly nichay chali gayi hai.

Bollinger Bands indicator ko Daily timeframe par dekhte hue, dekha ja sakta hai ke price ko phir se seller ke dwara Middle Bollinger Bands area ke neeche rakha gaya hai, jo ke seller dwaara guard kiya gaya hai jo ke trading par hawi hai. Market support ko bhi dekha ja sakta hai ek bearish candlestick ke dobara se banna, jo seller ki position ko aur mazboot banata hai ke price ko aur neeche le jane ka target Lower Bollinger bands area ko test karne ka, jiska daam hai 0.9038-0.9035. Agar ye chhed sakta hai, to UsdChf pair ka price aur bhi zyada kamzor hoga.

Somwar ke dopahar ke doran trading ne dikhaya ke UsdChf market pair ek baar phir buyers ke control mein tha jo ab mouqa utha rahe the jab ke sellers ne buyers support area ko 0.9030-0.9035 ke daam tak chedne mein nakami ka samna kiya. Buyers price ko upar le jane ki koshish karenge takay seller ka resistance area 0.9095-0.9100 ko test kiya ja sake aur agar ye kamiyab ho gaya to price aur bhi mazboot ho jayegi. Magar agar ye nakam hota hai, to price apni bearish journey jari rakhegi seller ke control mein.

RSI indicator bhi dikhata hai ke price jo pehle level 50 area mein tha ab level 48 area ki taraf ja chuka hai, iska matlab hai ke jo selling pressure sellers ne daali hai woh kaafi mazboot hai aur yeh mumkin hai ke sellers price ko UsdChf pair ke RSI level 25 area tak niche gira sakein aaj ki trading mein.

Conclusion:

Sell entries ki mukhya rukawat tab ho sakti hai agar sellers ko support area ko 0.9030-0.9025 ke daam tak chhedna kamiyab ho gaya to TP area 0.8960-0.8950 ke daam par hogi.

Ek buy entry ki mukhya rukawat tab ho sakti hai agar buyer ko resistance area ko todna kamiyab ho gaya to jahan pe ek pending buy stop order place kiya gaya hai 0.9085-0.9100 ke daam par TP target 0.9130-0.9135 ke daam par hoga.

USDCHF

Sab ko aik acha din mubarak ho!!! Toh, thori soch USDCHF currency pair ke baray mein peechle trading haftay ke doraan. Pehle toh, yeh meri choti-term UUU trading strategy hai sell rukh mein, jo mein ne take profit pura hone ka intezaar kiye baghair bandh di. Yeh sell-side position US Federal Reserve ke ek aham meeting ke baad khola gaya tha, jo ke dollar ke liye nakaam sabit hui. Ji haan, sab kuch sahi tha. Nazriyaati tajziya ke mutabiq, unhein south ki taraf 0.9100 support level tak girne ka intezar tha, lekin kuch cheezein mujhe Thursday ke subah confuse kar di aur mein ne us khuli position ko bandh di. Aisa lag raha hai ke mujhe koi junoon sa chadh gaya hai. Achha, mein ab bhi is trading tool ke saath thodi kam trading karta hoon kyunki mujhe isko samajh nahi aata hai. Jab 0.9100 support level toota, girawat 0.9002 support level ki taraf barhti rahi. Ab USDCHF ke daam ki future tajaweez kya hain? Is liye, fundamental data ke mutabiq, hum umeed karte hain ke 0.9002 support level ke upar girane ke baad 0.8894 support level ki taraf mazeed girawat hogi. 0.9002 support level ke upar se ek recovery mumkin nahi hai. USD/CHF currency pair ne is harkat mein barh-chadh ko misaal banaya hai, khareedariyon mein kamzori ke zahir signs ke saath. Unke koshishon ke bawajood, unhein apni position barqarar rakhne mein mushkilat ka samna hai, aur aakhirkaar resistance zone ki dabao se daba diye gaye hain. Is natija ke tor par, yeh trend shift ne bechnay walon ko market dynamics ka faida uthane ka mauqa diya hai. In shifts ko pehchan kar aur mutabiq tadaruk karke, traders market mein ziada sahih tareeqay se safar kar sakte hain aur naye mauqe par faida utha sakte hain. Is silsile mein, apni sell stance ke liye tasdeeq mil rahi hai. Mazeed aage chal kar, kisi bhi potential false signals ya mukhalif market reactions ke liye hamesha mutaqqi rahain. Markets aitrazat ke liye jhoot ho sakti hain, aur sab se mazboot technical analyses bhi anjaan disruptions ke liye aarzi hain. Mustaqil tor par market ka manzar nigrani mein rakhein aur apni strategy ko mutabiq tadaruk karne ke liye tayyar rahain. Aakhir mein, ye yaqeeni banayein ke apki position sizing aur stop-loss levels potential nuqsanat ko kam karne ke liye theek taraqqi ki gayi hain. Mufeed risk management lambay arse tak trading ke kamyabi ke liye intehai ahem hai aur volatile market conditions mein apki capital ko mehfooz rakhne mein madadgar sabit ho sakti hai. Toh, jab ke trend ke khilaf bechna ghair maamooli lag sakta hai, lekin apka detailed analysis aur key signals ka pehchan karne ka tareeqa soch samajh kar aur strategy ko adjust karne ka saboot deta hai. Phir bhi, mutaqqi rahain, mutaadil rahain, aur apni trading execution mein khalis rahein takay contrarian trading ke mawaqay se sahi tareeqay se guzar saken.

USD/CHF ki outlook analysis

Hourly time frame:

Mere trading strategies ke mutabiq, aise horizontal channel ko kharidne se pehle dobara jaanch leni chahiye. Jumma ko 13:40 Moscow waqt par, muqami tajziya ko dekhte hue jis ne majmooi calendar ke zariye izhar kiya gaya tha, aik local reaction jaari karna bhi mumkin hai. "US non-agricultural sector mein mojood logon ki tadad mein tabdili" aur "be-rozgaari dar" ke ilawa inke ilawa Swiss franc ke liye teen-star statistics koi nahi hain. Roz ke sabse active session ke tor par 16:00 Moscow waqt ke baad America ke trading session mein bohot zyada sargarmi hoti hai.





Four-hour time frame technical analysis:

Jumma ke mazboot pullback ke natije mein dollar/Swiss pair ne 0.9190 base tak pohancha, jiska asar par jora apna uttar ki taraf raah jari rakhta hai. Tehreek abhi bhi oopar ki taraf hai, is liye jora apna uttar ki taraf raah jari rakhta hai. Jab 0.9100 ke target level ko touch hua, traders ke zehan mein ek sawal uth gaya tha. Aane wale dino aur hafton mein kaise tawanaien badalengi? Kya hum mazeed izafa kar sakte hain, ya phir neeche bounce aur izafa mein rollback hoga? Hum mazeed izafa karna chahte hain, level 1.0 tak pohanchna, lekin wo humein itni oonchi izafa karne nahi denge, aur mojooda level se hum uska intezar kar sakte hain agar hum unke sath qayam rakhte hain. Agar yeh mamla aisa hai, to mera target level pehle se hi 0.91 hai, jo main aik acha indicator samajhta hoon. Property purchase is a priority, magar main uttar ki taraf mazeed moqlaat se bachna chahta hoon, aur bechna ka waqt bohot jaldi hai.

USDJPY H4 Time Frame

Acha, franc bhi aik safe haven currency hai, aur humne ye Jumma ko dekha jab franc bohot zyada mazbooti se izafa kiya Iran ke jawab ke sath, ya jo kuch asal mein wahan hua. Magar CHF/USD mein aik short-term giravat dekhi gayi, aur isay aik correction aur thori giravat ko bullish pressure mein aik halki kami keh sakte hain. Aaj jora zyadatar 0.9115 aur 0.91 ke darmiyan ek tang range mein trade kiya gaya. Main CHF/USD ke aur zyada janubi janib jaane ka koi intezar nahi karta; kuch correction ka aur mazeed izafa ka intezar hai, kyunki 92ve figure par target ab tak kaam nahi kiya gaya hai. Kal khabrein kuch khaas nahi hongi, aur Switzerland ke liye maali umeedein hongi, aur America mein sirf crude oil reserves ke data honge. Hum range dekhte hain aur is se nikalne par neeche diye gaye targets milenge, yaani 0.9145 shumali taraf aik update ke sath is maximum, aur 0.9070 janubi taraf.

USDJPY H1 Time Frame

Heiken Ashi candles ke readings ka tajziya karte hue TMA (Triangular Moving Average) aur RSI indicators ke signals ke sath mila kar, aap dekh sakte hain ke abhi market mein bechne walon ki taqat kamzor honay ki umeed hai aur rahnumai kharid-daron ki taraf shift hone ki hai. Heiken Ashi candles, aam candles ke mukable mein kuch smoothened ya average ki gayi qeemat ko dikhate hain, jo ke technical analysis ko asan banata hai aur trading decisions ke darust hone ki aik ziada hoti hai. TMA channel indicator (laal, neela aur peelay rang ke lines) double-smoothed moving averages ke basis par support aur resistance lines banata hai aur instrument ke movement ke mojooda hudood ko wazeh tor par dikhata hai. Hum basement RSI indicator ko aik mazeed transaction-filtering oscillator ke tor par istemal karenge jo Heiken Ashi ke saath mila kar musbat nateejay dikhata hai.

USD/CHF

Pehla din jab yeh kal khula, toh mujhe nazar aya ke USDCHF ka movement zyada nahi tha. Mumkin hai ke 0.9113 area ke as paas sirf candle hi hil rahi thi. Upar di gayi tasveer ko dekhte hue, aap yeh keh sakte hain ke USDCHF abhi bhi ek candle mein buland hogi jo ke Middle Bollinger Band aur EMA 50 ke upar hai. Main bhi is se mutafiq hoon kyunki USDCHF ka trend abhi bhi bullish hai. Aur support area mein candle ka dhuein ka jhalak bhi yeh zahir karta hai ke bullish dabao abhi bhi bohot zyada hai. Halankeh aaj ka masla yeh hai ke candle abhi tak price 0.9126 par resistance area mein phans gayi hai. Agar baad mein yeh paar nahi ho sakti, toh aik halka giravat ho sakti hai. Magar, mujhe lagta hai ke yeh zyada lamba nahi chalega. Zada tar, giravat 0.9040 ke price tak nahi jayegi. Aaj main USDCHF ki bulandi ka andaza lagata hoon, main dosto ko yeh salahi deta hoon ke aap sirf buy position kholne ki koshish karein jab resistance paar ho chuki ho. Main darta hoon ke agar ab hum ise zor se koshish karein, toh rishta bohot zyada hoga. Take profit target 0.9200 area mein rakha ja sakta hai.

Aaj ka trading plan.
Upar di gayi bunyadi technical analysis ka istemal karte hue, USDCHF currency trading plan ko buy option ke liye ghor kiya jata hai. Aur buy entry ke liye market mein dakhil hone ka aghaz karne ke liye, hum intezar kar sakte hain ke correction price sab se qareebi support level ko test kare, taake hum ideal reentry setup hasil kar sakein. Pin bar candlestick pattern, bullish engulfing candlestick pattern ko USDCHF currency ke mazboot hone ka tasdeeqi saboot ke tor par istemal kiya ja sakta hai, taake hum khatron ko control kar sakein.

Market mein pehli dafa dakhil hone ka aghaz support level 0.9100 par kiya ja sakta hai, agar yeh support level kamyabi se guzra, toh hum doosre support level 0.9050 par intezar kar sakte hain. Aur hum kam az kam 1:1 ka stop loss, aik nafaish target 100 points ke hisaab se execution price se set kar sakte hain, ya haalat market ke mutabiq. Technical analysis ke mukammal ikhtitami natije se, kyunki USDCHF currency ka kharidne ka trend abhi bhi qanooni hai, interesting trading buying actions ka ghor kiya jana chahiye. Aur jo khas tawajjo dena zaroori hai, aaj ke trading ke liye sab se qareebi resistance level ka hasool.

US Dollar Kee Kamzori Swiss Franc Ke Khilaf Imarati Fikron Ke Darmiyan US dollar ne Swiss franc ke khilaf aik ahem kamzori mehsoos ki jis ka sab se bada reason kamyaab US se aayi manufacturing aur services data tha. S&P Global Purchasing Manager Index (PMI) ke mutabiq April mein production PMI expectations se nicha gir gaya, manufacturing PMI ne crucial 50-mark ke neeche gir kar contraction ka nishaan diya. Ye data US economy mein potential slowdown ke bare mein concerns ko highlight karta hai, jis se US dollar par downward pressure dala. Abhi, US dollar/Swiss franc currency pair 0.9000 se 0.9150 ke darmiyan sail ho raha hai. Analysts is range ko tafteesh kar rahe hain, kyunke 0.9000 ke neeche girna dollar ko March 22nd se pehle ke lowest level tak le ja sakta hai, jabke 0.9150 ke upar chadhna ise is saal ke highest level tak le ja sakta hai.

Mustaqbil ke liye, US dollar ka tasawwur uncertain hai. Federal Reserve ke commitment ke lye interest rates ko barhane ka inflation ke khilaf adds a complexity layer ko situation mein. Jabke rate hikes inflationary pressures ko control karne ke liye hoti hain, ye economy ki growth ko rukawat bhi daal sakti hain. Agar economy kafi weak hojay, to Fed ko rate hikes ko pause ya reverse karne ki majboori ho sakti hai, jo dollar par mazeed dabaw dal sakti hai. Technical indicators bhi mixed signals bhej rahe hain, jo US dollar ke trajectory ke gird ghumao ko aur bhi gole kar raha hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) abhi neutral territory mein hai, jabke Stochastic oscillator oversold conditions ko signal kar raha hai. Ye kehta hai ke dollar ka short-term correction ka tasawwur hai, halankeh is correction ka direction uncertain hai.

Zyada context mein, US dollar global economy aur domestic monetary policy se dono se opposition ka samna kar raha hai. Traders ko chahiye ke savdhani se kaam lein jab woh dollar mein long ya short positions consider kar rahe hote hain, kyunke prevailing uncertainties hain. Mazeed, agar kafi buying momentum ho jay tak 0.8880 barrier ko breach kar sakay, to ye upswing ko taqwiyat de sakta hai, with a target of reaching the 0.8950 resistance line for 2024. Agar ye scenario haqiqat hojaye, bullish sentiment barh sakta hai, efforts ke saath focused ho towards surpassing the 0.9020 mark. Akhiri tor par, US dollar ki hal he ki kamzori Swiss franc ke khilaf US economy ke growth trajectory aur monetary policy decisions ke ird gird imarati fikron ko reflect karta hai. Traders ko chahiye ke key levels aur technical indicators ko closely monitor karein potential market movements

Mehngai ki derbari USD/CHF ki akhri market sentiment ke mutabiq, keemat abhi bhi sellers ke faavor mein hai. Unka maqsad aane waale ghanton mein 0.9032 ke support area ko paar karna hai. Un ke saath, humein fundamental pehlu se bhi analysis leni chahiye. Ye mushahida karenge jo ke traders ko USD/CHF ke market sentiment ko behtar taur par pehchanne mein madad karega. Mojooda market ke manzar mein, sellers ko oopri haath milti ja rahi hai, jo ke buyers ko dabane ki koshish mein hain. Is maqsadi tabdeeli ne market ke daamoo mein asar andazi ko waziha tor par darust kiya hai, jo ke haal hi mein dinon mein sellers ke faavor mein tarzu kar raha hai. Is dharavi maqam mein, mojooda market ke shiraza ko shikam ki soorat mein chandna beshak traders ke liye zaroori hai jo maqami market ke halaat se faida uthana chahte hain. Aaj, main ek sell-side position ko aham samjhunga jis ka chhota target point 0.9032 hai. USD/CHF se mutaliq incoming news data par nazar rakhein. Aakhir mein, USD/CHF ke mojooda market ka mahol sellers ke faavor mein hai, jo ke tajziya aur murabbi karay ka ek maqami or dandanatee approach trading ke liye zaroori hai. Sell-side orders ko maqami approach ke saath shuru karke, sath hi hoshiyar risk management tadabeer istemal karke, traders ko mojooda market ke haalat se faida uthane ki salahiyat faraham ki ja sakti hai. Mazeed, support aur resistance ke staron ki waziha samajh, sath hi technical analysis tools ke maharatmand istemal se market ke manzar ke pesharaf ko samajhna, market ke zariye muskilat ko rahna ki roohaniyat hai. In strategies aur tajziyaat ko shamil karke, traders apni trading koshishat ko optimize kar sakte hain aur maali market ke kabhi na khatam hone wale chakkar mein mustaqil kami haasil kar sakte hain. Aam tor par, main ek sell-side position ko taraqqi de sakte hain aur USD/CHF ke market mein shadeed harkat aur ghaflat le karne walay US news data par nazar rakhni chahiye jo baad mein market mein shadeed izafiyat aur ghaflat le sakta hai. Umeed hai, is haftay sellers ko sab nuksanat ko efektive aur hushar tareeqay se cover karne mein madad milegi. Khush rahein aur ek kamiyabi bhari trading hafta guzarein!