EUR/USD H4
EUR/USD currency pair ne Jumeraat ko aik numaya izafa dekha aur naye haftay ki unchiyaan chhoo gaya. Ye musbat tehreek us waqt aayi jab US jobs aur non-farm payrolls ke data aane ke baad aasraat kamzor aaye. Data ne umeedon ko phir se jala diya ke Federal Reserve jaldi se interest rate cuts ko amal mein laega. US Payrolls report ne dikhaya ke interest rate cuts ke umeedain mukhtalif hain. Data ne bataya ke April mein net naye US payrolls 175,000 thay, jis se 243,000 ke tajaweez ko peechay chor gaya magar pehle mahine ke 315,000 (jo ke 303,000 par azafa hua) ke figure ko haasil nahi kiya. Iske ilawa, April mein average hourly earnings mein 0.2% izafa hua as compared to pehle ke quarter ke, jo 0.3% ke izafe ke tajaweez se peechay reh gaya. EUR/USD ke liye musbat jazbaat ko mazeed barhawa mila jab US ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) ka data bhi tajaweez se kam aaya. Ye surprise hua un marketon ke liye jo karobari afraad se zyada behtareen nazariya ka tajaweez rakhte the. April mein ISM services PMI 49.4 tha, jo ke 16 mahinon mein sab se kam level par tha. Ye figure 50.0 ke tahqiqati level se kam tha aur 52.0 ke tajaweez se peechay reh gaya, jo 51.4 ke mukhtalif tha. Aane waale haftay ki taraf dekhte hue, European retail sales data ko mausool hone ka imkan hai jis ki tajaweez Tuesday ko jaari ki jayegi. Muasir tajaweez umeed hai ke March mein euro zone sales quarter-on-quarter basis par 0.6% izafa hoga, peechle mahine ke 0.5% girawat ke baad. United States mein, Michigan Consumer Confidence Index, agle Jumeraat ko jaari kiya jayega, jo ke bharosemand indicator hoga ke log kitna US ki economy mein kami ki umeed rakhte hain. Michigan Consumer Confidence Index mein May mein thori izafat ka imkan hai 77.0 par, peechle mahine ke 77.2 se upar.
EUR/USD pair ne apne halqi mawad mein shandar se bahar nikal gaya Jumeraat ko, naye haftay ki unchiyaan chhoo gayi 1.0813 tak. Ye taraqqi ek mazboot resistance zone ko paar kiya jo 1.0740 aur 1.0720 ke darmiyan tha. Is haftay ka pair ka sab se nichla point 1.0650 par tha, jab ke kharidari karne wale ne pair ko wapas apni haal ki unchiyon ki taraf le jane ki koshish ki. Jumeraat ko bullish pressure ne EUR/USD ko 1.0800 level ki taraf le gaya, jahan 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) mojood hai. Magar, mazeed munafa lenay ne haftay ke ant mein qareeb pohnchne par EUR/USD ko 200-day EMA par wapas la kar 1.0760 par daba diya. Agar tehreek dobara shuru ho jaati hai, to qareebi resistance 1.0752 par pehla rukawat ho sakti hai jo ke qeemat ko paar karne ke liye parwaaz mein zaroorat hai. Is rukawat ko paar karne ke liye, bull 1.0795 ilaqa par nigaah daal sakte hain, jo ke support aur resistance dono ka kaam karta hai aur 200-day simple moving average ke sath milta hai. Is zone ke paar se bahar nikalne se September ki unchi 1.0884 ke liye raasta ban sakta hai. Mutasir ke tajaweez ke saath saath, girawat foran February ki kam se kam level 1.0694 par mumkin hai. Agar qeemat is level se neeche gir gayi, to phir wo qareebi support level 1.0673 par imtehaan le sakti hai. Aur neeche, panch mahinay ki kam se kam qeemat 1.0600 ko qareeb se dekha jayega.
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