Eur/usd

Euro Dollar H1 Analysis:
Aaj EUR/USD pair ne minor gap ke saath din ki shuruwat ki, jo ke baad mein bhara gaya, jisse trading session ka neutral aghaz saabit hua. Magar Asian session ke doran, kharid-dar ne 1.07970 ke local resistance level ko test kiya, jo market mein kuch bullish dilchaspi ka izhar karta hai. Is ke bawajood, meri tajziya ye darust karti hai ke neeche ki taraf harkat ka jari rukh jaari rakhne ki koi tawajjo nahin. Mujhe mazboot bearish breakout ki umeed hai.

Jab hum EUR/USD pair ke technical pehluon mein gehraai se jate hain, to ahem support levels ki ahmiyat ko highlight karna zaroori hai, khaaskar 1.06960 aur 1.06530 ke asal hawaleh jo ke market dynamics ko tabdeel kar sakte hain, mukhtalif keemat ikhtiyar karne par.

In support levels ke qareeb, do manazir samne aa sakte hain, har ek traders ke liye mukhtalif trading opportunities aur challenges pesh karte hain.

Is manzar mein, agar EUR/USD pair 1.06960 ke support level ke neeche toot jata hai, to ye market mein mazboot bearish momentum ka izhar karega. Is level ke neeche qareeb-e-qareeb toot jana ye darust karega ke sellers ne control haasil kiya hai aur wo price ko neeche daba rahe hain.

Is manzar par faida uthane wale traders short positions mein dakhil ho sakte hain, mazeed downside potential ko nishaan dastiyab karne ke liye. Wo risk ko muwafiq tareeqay se manage karne ke liye tootey support level ke oopar stop-loss orders set kar sakte hain. Mazeed, wo bearish candlestick patterns ya momentum indicators jaise tasdeeqi signals ki talash kar sakte hain, bearish bias ko tasdeeq dene ke liye.

Agle ahem support level 1.06530 short-term traders ke liye ek potential target ke tor par kaam kar sakta hai. Agar price is level ke neeche aur girne jaari rahe, to ye aur neeche ke support levels ke taraf mazeed downside potential ko khul sakte hain.

Ya to, agar EUR/USD pair 1.06960 aur 1.06530 ke asal levels ke qareeb support paata hai, to ye market mein bullish reversal ka mazboot haasil hone ka aghaz kar sakta hai. Is manzar par faida uthane wale traders support levels ke qareeb dakhil ho sakte hain, prices mein rebound ki umeed rakhte hue. Wo support levels ke neeche stop-loss orders set kar sakte hain taake wo risk ko manage aur apni positions ko hifazat mein rakh sakein agar breakdown ho.

Agar H1 timeframe se tajziya kiya jaye, to kal ka Eurusd mein gehra giravat ne sabse nazdeek H1 support ko 1.0767 par dakhil karne ki ijaazat di. Ye darust karta hai ke trend abhi bhi ek bearish phase mein hai. Aur mazeed giravat ki mumkinat abhi bhi mojud hai. Magar ab mumkin hai ke candle sirf thori dair door hai demand area 1.0702 ke price se touch hone ke liye. Shayad yahan se eurusd apni chadhayi shuru karega. Magar agar ye toot jaye, to lagta hai ke upar jane ke imkanat chote ho jaenge aur ulta, neeche jane ke imkanat bade ho jaenge. Mujhe lagta hai ke qareebi mustaqbil mein naye support banenge.
Ichimoku indicator ka istemal karke agar tajziya kiya jaye, to H1 timeframe mein candle ka moqam abhi tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines ke ooper hai. Ye darust karta hai ke girne ka mauqa abhi bhi hai. Is waqt, ichimoku indicator ne bullish signal nahi diya hai. Candle ko demand area mein pakar kar, mujhe lagta hai ke ye eurusd ki harkat ko badal dega, jo pehle niche thi, chadhayi mein badal jayega. Intersection bhi qareebi mustaqbil mein hone wala hai.

Abhi bhi bechnay ke dabao ke neeche, EURUSD ke neeche jane ke imkanat hain jari rahe hain.

Technical Reference: 1.07675 ke neeche jab tak hai, sell karein
Resistance 1: 1.07675
Resistance 2: 1.07860
Support 1: 1.06965
Support 2: 1.06785

EURUSD abhi bhi bechnay ke dabao ke neeche hai kyunki ye ek bearish structure mein move kar raha hai ( bearish channel ) takreeban European trading session tak (2/4/24), yeh haalat aam tor par ye dikhata hai ke market ko previous highest level ko bearish channel area se bahar nikalne mein asamar hai, tab tak ye mauqay pe giravat ka silsila jaari rahega.

Waise, upar diye gaye one hour chart ke harkat ke tajziye ke saath 15 M chart par, EURUSD mein giravat ke liye mauqa dikh raha hai kyunki price bearish channel area mein jari hai, jo ke downtrend ka mauqa jaari rakhta hai. Iske alawa, Stochastic bhi bearish signals ko barhata ja raha hai laal aur neela lines oversold area mein. Iska eurasd ko 1.06785 ke support level ki taraf dabaav daalne ka mauqa hai.

Aaj ke eurusd tajziya se mujhe lagta hai ke bearish trend jaari hai, jo mazboot bechnay walay dabao ke natayej mein wazeh ho raha hai, jab key support level 1.07672 ko kal toorna gaya. Ye breakout market mein bechnay walon ki ahamiyat ko zahir karta hai aur ishaara deta hai ke price giravat qareebi mustaqbil mein jaari rahega. Is halaat mein, mujhe samajhna zaroori hai ke market dynamics ko mutasir karne wale factors ko aur unka asar technical analysis mein kaise numaya hota hai.
Mujhe lagta hai ke 50 EMA 100 EMA ke neeche hai. Ye bechnay walon ka mazboot dabao market mein numaya karta hai aur mera yeh khayal hai ke price giravat qareebi mustaqbil mein jaari rahegi. Haalanki, prices abhi tak gir rahe hain aur koi ahem trend reversal ke signs nazar nahi aaye hain. Isse mujhe lagta hai ke market mein abhi bhi bechnay walay dominate karte hain aur prices qareebi mustaqbil mein girte rahein ge.

Is halaat mein, mujhe giravat ka faida uthane ke mauqay dhundhne ki tendency hoti hai. Aik strategy jo mein aise haalaat mein lagataar hone wale giravat ka faida uthane ke liye istemal kar sakta hoon, woh hai ke main ek umeedwar correction ka intezar kar sakta hoon taake mujhe behtareen entry point mil sake. Ek mumkinat hai ke price pehle toote hue support level ko dobara test kare, yani 1.07672 par. Ye dobara test support level ka tasdeeqi process ka hissa ho sakta hai ke support level ne naye resistance mein tabdeel ho gaya hai. Agar price is support level ko phir se toorna nahi sakta aur neeche mur jata hai, to ye ongoing bearish trend ki taqat ko tasdeeq karega.

To aaj ki tajziya ki aik nateeja ye hai ke eurusd ka haalat oversold hai aur candle abhi tak 1.0734 ke demand area mein dakhil nahi ho saka, to maujooda surat e haal mein eurusd dobara chadhne ka ihtimal hai. Isliye, main doston ko mashwara deta hoon ke sirf 1.0735 ke ilaake mein ek buy position kholne ki koshish karein. Take profit target 1.0806 ke nazdeek resistance par rakh sakte hain aur stop loss ko 1.0691 ke qareeb support par rakh sakte hain.

EURUSD ka daily chart maazi mein barhte hue market dynamics ka parda faraham karta hai. Haalat ka muntazim jaiza deta hai ke halqiyaati taur par bearish continuation ki taraf saaf mabini hai. Jab ke American news events jaise dakhil factors market sentiment mein hissa daal chuke hain, lekin zaroori hai ke asal technical factors ko tasleem kiya jaye jo is nichlay raftar ka bunyadi mawad faraham karte hain. Haalat ki tafseel se pehle, rozana ki cloud chart pattern ki ahmiyat ko samajhna zaroori hai jismein market trends ka jaiza lagana shamil hai. Is pivotal indicator ke neeche se breach bearish momentum ko barhne ka ahem signal hai. Mazeed ahem support levels ke breach ne bearish outlook ko mazeed tasdeeq di hai, EURUSD pair mein mohtayat nichli raftar ki mumkin dairaft ko ahmiyat di gayi hai. Technical pehluon ke siwa, fundamental developments bhi market sentiment ko shakl dene mein kirdar ada karte hain. Jabke American news events ka asar note kiya gaya hai, lekin ye factors market direction ke chalane walay aham drivers hain. Balki, yeh technical indicators aur fundamental developments ke aik ittehad hai jo EURUSD pair mein bearish continuation ke liye case ko mazbooti deta hai.



Bazari manzar ke badi tafsilati tehqiq se, wazeh hota hai ke haal hi mein bearish sentiment ki taraf ka rujhan bari trend ka hissa hai. Market participants ne mustaqbil ke market direction ke liye ma'amoolat, central bank policies, aur geopolitical developments ko tawajju se dekha hai. Is manzar ke saath, mojooda nazar mein bearish continuation ka markazi ham aahangi traders aur investors ke darmiyan ek sakht ittefaq ko darust karta hai. In developments ke potenital asraat ko andaza lagane ke liye, mukhtalif scenarios aur unke mutabiq outcomes ko mad e nazar rakhna zaroori hai. Jabke bearish bias abhi dominent hai, market dynamics tabdeel hone par mabni hain mukhtalif fundamentals aur dakhil events ke mutabiq. Is liye, traders ko agah rehna chahiye aur apne strategies ko mutabiq karne ke liye tayyar rehna chahiye taake changing market conditions ko behtar tareeqay se sahara de sakein. EURUSD pair mein haal hi mein bearish continuation ki taraf rujhan ko technical indicators aur fundamental developments ka ek ittehad mazbooti deta hai. Jabke dakhil factors jaise American news events, market sentiment mein hissa daal chuke hain, lekin in factors ka ittehad unhein barqarar nichli raftar mein mazbooti deta hai. Traders ko agah rehna chahiye aur evolving market dynamics ke mutabiq apni strategies ko mutabiq karne ke liye tayyar rehna chahiye.

EUR/USD H1 time frame:

EUR/USD mein halaat aise hain ke price ne pehli pullback ki pehli wave bana li hai. Ab sawaal khula hai ke kya doosri aur agle wave bhi honge. Aaj, EUR/USD ne 23.6% Fibonacci retracement ke resistance level tak pahuncha hai, jo maine decline ke liye plot kiya tha key level aur internal patterns ka location determine karne ke liye. Pehli wave ke formation ka shart pehle se hi mojood hai, yani 23.6% tak pahunchna. 9% tak rollback hone par doosra wave nazar aayega, lekin sawaal yeh hai ke price reverse kar payega aur kya minimum break hoga. Yeh option exclude nahi kiya ja sakta, isliye MA200 ko signal ke roop mein istemal karna chahiye, jab tak yeh break na ho jaye tab tak yeh clear nahi hoga ke EUR/USD aur upar ja raha hai. Main 61.8% tak growth expect karta hoon, lekin main purchases tabhi open karna pasand karunga jab moving average ko break kiya jaye, lekin overall, situation par depend karega.




EUR/USD daily time frame:

Yeh sahi ho raha hai, aur GBP/USD EUR/USD ke peeche rehne wala hai giravat mein, kyunki wahaan growth ki taiyaari hai. Maine pehle iske baare mein likha tha, lekin yeh ab ke liye. Aur EUR/USD mein giravat ka continued decline pata chal raha hai. Iss waqt, mujhe lagta hai ke market correction ne neeche ki taraf ek directional movement shuru kiya hai, jo dikhata hai ke players rate ko neeche le jane ki tayyari kar rahe hain. Agar aane wale waqt mein giravat phir se mazboot hoti hai, toh long positions ko anjaani mehnat se bandh diya jaana chahiye, jo badhne wale nuksan ko darust kar sakta hai. Current market environment mein EUR/USD sales ko lambe samay tak sustain nahi karne ka koi bhi encouragement nahi lagta hai, aur is scenario mein giravat ke aur gehri hone ki sambhavna bahut zyada hai. 1.0605 level most likely short covering ke liye key hoga, kyunki is level se strong direction change hona zyada mumkin lagta hai.

Iss hafte Euro ne ek chhote se sudhaar kiya, jisme wo briefly 1.08 resistance level ko touch kiya US Dollar ke khilaaf. Yeh ek samay ka jari giraawat ke baad aaya tha jo ke mukhtalif cheeni data releases se pehle investors ki cautiousiyat ki wajah se thi. Market sentiment mein risk se bachne ki paas bhaavna thi, jisme risk-sensitive currencies jaise ke Euro nuksan utha rahe the. Aane waala US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report jo ke Jumeraat ko aaraha hai, ek bara uncertainty ka zariya hai, aur investors bhi March American Manufacturing PMI data jo ke Budh ke din aaraha hai, ko closely dekh rahe hain. Jab ke thori si factory activity mein izafa ki umeed hai, lekin agar reading 50 se kam hai to yeh contraction ki taraf ishaara karegi. Jab ke June mein Federal Reserve ke interest rates ko ghataane ki umeed hai, US Dollar abhi bhi mazboot hai. Market ke expectations ke mutabiq rate cut ka 65% hai. Mukhaalif, Eurozone ko girne wale inflation data ka intezaar hai, jo ke European Central Bank (ECB) ko June se apne khud ke rate cuts ko shuru karne ke liye encourage kar sakta hai.

Hafte Europe ke ek holiday ke chalte dhimi shuru hui. Yeh ek period tha jab Euro ki qeemat US Dollar ke khilaaf kai ahem Simple Moving Averages (50, 100, aur 200) ke neeche giri thi. Technical indicators ke mutabiq Euro ab ek low point ke nazdeek aa sakta hai, jahan par RSI aur Stochastic oscillators par oversold signals hain. Yeh short-term bounce tak pahunch sakti hai phir Euro apna downtrend dubara shuru karegi. Magar, overall outlook aane waale economic data aur central bank policy decisions ke ird gird uncertainty se dhundla hai. Aane waale din Euro aur US Dollar ka future direction tay karne mein nihayat ahem honge. September 28, 2022 se July 18, 2023 tak ke uptrend aur December 15, 2022 ke high ka 23.6% Fibonacci retracement 1.0727–1.0735 area mein sthit hai, jahan par agar bears confident feel karte hain to wo EURUSD ko majbooti se neeche drive karne ki koshish kar sakte hain. Agla potential support area 1.0635 par unka nishana ho sakta hai, aur agar unka kaamyaab raha to wo shayad 2024 ke liye ek naya low set kar sakte hain.

EUR/USD ka technical jaaiza:

Euro ne pehle trading week mein, jab keemat 1.08 ke aas paas thi, ek hissi correction kiya. Keemat 1.0837 tak barh gayi lekin yahan mazboot resistance mili, jo keemat ko mazeed barhne nahi di. Is natije mein, ye wapas gaya aur agle level, kareeb 1.0763, tak gir gaya, jahan ye level ke qareeb ruk gaya. Darmiyan mein, keemat ka chart supertrend red zone mein hai, jo mazeed farokht dabao ko darust karti hai.

Aaj ka technical jaaiza 1 ghantay ka chart dekhne se maloom hota hai ke simple moving averages ke zarieye keemat par upar ki taraf dabao jari hai jama ke bearish negativity jaari hai. Technical saakht figure mein dikhayi gayi hai. Is tarah, muddati downtrend ko ziada ahmiyat di jati hai, jis ka nishana 1.0765 hai, maloom hota hai ke is ke neeche chhup jana currency pair ke nuqsaan ko barha dega, jis se seedha rasta 1.0730 aur 1.0700 ki taraf khulta hai, jahan nuqsaan 1. 0665 tak phail sakta hai.

Trading ke mustaqil wapas panahiyat ek dafa phir se ek resistance level ban gayi hai pehle tor par tor di gayi support level 1.0800 aur, sab se ahem, 1.0810 ke darjaat par, tabadla exchange ke tasavvur ke mutabiq, girawat ke imkan ke sath. Lekin hum ziada tar 1.0860 ko dobara test karne ki koshish kar sakte hain phir mazeed tabdeeli ki koshish kar sakte hain.

Jodi waqt ko haftay ke naye lows ke qareeb thoda neeche trade kar rahi hai. Markazi resistance zone ko test kiya gaya aur keemat ko us ke hadood ke andar rakhne mein kamyab raha, is tarah pasandida upri raah ko barqarar rakhne. Is harkat ko tasdiq karne ke liye, quotes ko 1.0837 ke darja ke neeche jam karne ki zarurat hai, jo abhi badi resistance zone ke qareeb hai. Is ilaake se dobara test aur is ke baad bounce hone se mazeed neeche ki taraf chalne ki mumkinat milti hai, jahan nishana 1.0694 aur 1.0627 ke darmiyan mein hai.

Maujooda halaat se palatne ka amal ek resistance level aur 1.0926 ke reversal level ke bahar nikal kar hoga. Chart neeche dekhein:

Eurusd H1 Time Frame:

EUR/USD ke liye, halat aise hain ke qeemat ne pehli wave of a pullback ko banaya hai. Sawal yeh hai ke kya doosra aur agle aayenge ya nahi. Aaj, EUR/USD ne 23.6% Fibonacci retracement ke resistance level tak barhav kiya hai, jo maine giraavat ke liye plot kiya tha taake main key level aur internal patterns ka pata laga sakoon. Pehli wave ke banne ka shart reh gaya hai, yeh hai 23.6% tak pohanch. 9% tak rollback hone par woh aayega, lekin sawal yeh hai ke qeemat palat sakegi aur kya minimum ko todegi. Ye option bahar nahi kiya ja sakta, is liye aapko MA200 ka istemal karna chahiye ek signal ke taur par, jab woh usse break karega toh samajh mein aayega ke EUR/USD aur upar jaane wali hai. Main 61.8% tak barhne ki umeed rakhta hoon, lekin main khareedari sirf moving average ko break karne ke baad hi karna chahta hoon, lekin amm tor par, mauqay ke mutabiq.





Eurusd Daily Time Frame:

Yeh wahi hoga aur GBP/USD EUR/USD ke peechay reh jayega girawat mein, kyunke wahan barhav ban raha hai. Main is baare mein pehle bhi likh chuka hoon, lekin yeh toh aise hi baat thi. Aur EUR/USD mein ek jari girawat horahi hai pehle se. Abhi ke doran, mujhe mehsoos ho raha hai ke market correction neechay ki taraf ja rahi hai, jo ke yeh dikhata hai ke players mukhtalif rate ke liye nichay ko nishana banaye hue hain. Qareebi mustaqbil mein, agar hum dubara downtrend mein mazbooti dekhte hain, toh lambi positions ko ghaflat se band karna padh sakta hai, jo ke zyada nuksan ka baais ban sakta hai. Mojooda market mahol mein EUR/USD ki bechne ke liye barqarar girawat ko barqarar rakhne ki koi encouragement nazar nahi aati hai, aur is scenario mein girawat ka mazeed gehra hone ka imkan bohot zyada hai. 1.0605 level ko short covering ke liye key mana jayega kyunke is level se ek strong direction ka tabdeeli nazar aata hai jo ke zyada mutawaqqa hai.

Subah ke taqreeban 1.0744 ke darje par tawajjo dene ke baad, Eurozone ke data ke baad nakaarate aur jhooti breakout ke formation ne Euro ko bechne ka signal diya, lekin jaise aap chart par dekh sakte hain, jodi ne neeche nahi badha, is liye maine market se bahar nikalne ka faisla kiya aur din ke doosre hisse ke liye takneeki tasveer ko dobara tajziya kiya.
EUR/USD par lambi positions ke khulwane ke liye: Eurozone ke imal ki gatividhiyon ke data thode behtar nikle, jo subah ke doosre hisse mein Euro mein chhoti si izafa ki wajah bana, lekin yeh haqeeqat ke gatividhi girte jaari hain, khaaskar Jerman mein, jodi mein bade izafa ko rokta. Din ke doosre hisse mein, hum Imarati Shariyat aur Mazdoori Ki Tejaron Mein Tabdeeliyon Ke Data, Bureau of Labor Statistics se, aur FOMC ke afraad Michelle Bowman, John Williams, aur Loretta Mester ke taqreerain, jo munsifana aur mehdood policy ka dafa karte hain, ka intizaar karte hain, jo dollar ko apni position mazid mazboot karnay mein madadgar sabit ho sakta hai. Mehfooz AMRICI data, jo ma'aashiyat ke nafsane se zyada hain, bhi jodi par dabav dalay ga, is liye main giravat aur naye support darje 1.0710 ke aas paas jhooti breakout ke formation par amal karoonga. Sirf yeh hi lambi positions ke liye mozu hai intezar ke doraan izafa ke liye taqreeban 1.0752 tak, jahan moving averages, bechnay walo ko pasand karte hain, mojood hain. Is darje ko tor kar aur is range ke upar dobarah tajdeed karne se jodi mazboot hogi, jisme 1.0783 ki ek izafa ke imkaanat hain. Aakhri maqsood 1.0826 ke maximum honge, jahan main faida utha loonga. EUR/USD ke mazeed giravat aur din ke doosre hisse mein 1.0710 ke aas paas kisi aur darje ki kami mein, Euro par dabav mazid barhega, jo mazeed giravat ka imkaan hai 1.0668 tak taza karnay ka. Main market mein shamil hoga wahan sirf jhooti breakout ke formation ke baad 1.0642 se peechay wapis karnay ka irada kar raha hoon, ek din mein 30-35 point ke izafa ka maqsad se.

EUR/USD par short positions ke khulwane ke liye: Euro kharidne wale subah ke pehle hisse mein kuch bhi nahi dikhaye aur ab tak kisi bhi maamooli koshish nahi kar rahe hain ki control ko dobara hasil karain. Kamzor AMRICI data ke baad barhne ki koshish mein, 1.0752 ke ird gird jhooti breakout ke formation par bade bechne walon ki mojoodgi sabit karegi aur doosra short positions ke liye dakhil karne ka ek aur maqam faraham karegi, naye support darje 1.0710 ko taza karna ka imkaan. Is range ke neeche tor kar aur is range ke neeche mojoodgi ki tajdeed, sath hi sath seedha test, doosra bechnay ka point mojoodga, jodi ka giravat taqreeban 1.0668 tak, jahan khareedne wale zyada karne lagenge. Aakhri maqsood ek minimum 1.0642 hoga, jahan main faida utha loonga. EUR/USD ka giravat ke hawale se badhne ki soorat mein, jodi ka din ke doosre hisse mein, aur 1.0752 par bear ki koi mojoodgi na ho, khareedne walo ko chhoti izafa ka ek moqa mil sakta hai. Is halat mein, main farokht ko aglay rukawat par rakhoonga 1.0783 par imtihan karne tak. Main wahan bhi bechunga, lekin sirf be-kaami tajdeed ke baad. Main seedha 1.0826 se peechay wapis karnay ke irade ke sath faujion ke khulwane ke liye tayyar hoon, ek din mein 30-35 point ke niche giravat ka maqsad se.

Subah ke taqreeban 1.0744 ke darje par tawajjo dene ke baad, Eurozone ke data ke baad nakaarate aur jhooti breakout ke formation ne Euro ko bechne ka signal diya, lekin jaise aap chart par dekh sakte hain, jodi ne neeche nahi badha, is liye maine market se bahar nikalne ka faisla kiya aur din ke doosre hisse ke liye takneeki tasveer ko dobara tajziya kiya.

EUR/USD par lambi positions ke khulwane ke liye: Eurozone ke imal ki gatividhiyon ke data thode behtar nikle, jo subah ke doosre hisse mein Euro mein chhoti si izafa ki wajah bana, lekin yeh haqeeqat ke gatividhi girte jaari hain, khaaskar Jerman mein, jodi mein bade izafa ko rokta. Din ke doosre hisse mein, hum Imarati Shariyat aur Mazdoori Ki Tejaron Mein Tabdeeliyon Ke Data, Bureau of Labor Statistics se, aur FOMC ke afraad Michelle Bowman, John Williams, aur Loretta Mester ke taqreerain, jo munsifana aur mehdood policy ka dafa karte hain, ka intizaar karte hain, jo dollar ko apni position mazid mazboot karnay mein madadgar sabit ho sakta hai. Mehfooz AMRICI data, jo ma'aashiyat ke nafsane se zyada hain, bhi jodi par dabav dalay ga, is liye main giravat aur naye support darje 1.0710 ke aas paas jhooti breakout ke formation par amal karoonga. Sirf yeh hi lambi positions ke liye mozu hai intezar ke doraan izafa ke liye taqreeban 1.0752 tak, jahan moving averages, bechnay walo ko pasand karte hain, mojood hain. Is darje ko tor kar aur is range ke upar dobarah tajdeed karne se jodi mazboot hogi, jisme 1.0783 ki ek izafa ke imkaanat hain. Aakhri maqsood 1.0826 ke maximum honge, jahan main faida utha loonga. EUR/USD ke mazeed giravat aur din ke doosre hisse mein 1.0710 ke aas paas kisi aur darje ki kami mein, Euro par dabav mazid barhega, jo mazeed giravat ka imkaan hai 1.0668 tak taza karnay ka. Main market mein shamil hoga wahan sirf jhooti breakout ke formation ke baad 1.0642 se peechay wapis karnay ka irada kar raha hoon, ek din mein 30-35 point ke izafa ka maqsad se.

EUR/USD par short positions ke khulwane ke liye: Euro kharidne wale subah ke pehle hisse mein kuch bhi nahi dikhaye aur ab tak kisi bhi maamooli koshish nahi kar rahe hain ki control ko dobara hasil karain. Kamzor AMRICI data ke baad barhne ki koshish mein, 1.0752 ke ird gird jhooti breakout ke formation par bade bechne walon ki mojoodgi sabit karegi aur doosra short positions ke liye dakhil karne ka ek aur maqam faraham karegi, naye support darje 1.0710 ko taza karna ka imkaan. Is range ke neeche tor kar aur is range ke neeche mojoodgi ki tajdeed, sath hi sath seedha test, doosra bechnay ka point mojoodga, jodi ka giravat taqreeban 1.0668 tak, jahan khareedne wale zyada karne lagenge. Aakhri maqsood ek minimum 1.0642 hoga, jahan main faida utha loonga. EUR/USD ka giravat ke hawale se badhne ki soorat mein, jodi ka din ke doosre hisse mein, aur 1.0752 par bear ki koi mojoodgi na ho, khareedne walo ko chhoti izafa ka ek moqa mil sakta hai. Is halat mein, main farokht ko aglay rukawat par rakhoonga 1.0783 par imtihan karne tak. Main wahan bhi bechunga, lekin sirf be-kaami tajdeed ke baad. Main seedha 1.0826 se peechay wapis karnay ke irade ke sath faujion ke khulwane ke liye tayyar hoon, ek din mein 30-35 point ke niche giravat ka maqsad se.

EUR/USD outlook analysis:
Agar H1 timeframe se tajziya kiya jaye, to kal ka bohot gehra giravat Eurusd mein nazdeek tar H1 support ko 1.0767 tak ghusne ki salahiyat ko darust kiya. Yeh darust karta hai ke trend ab bhi ek bearish phase mein hai. Mazeed giravat ki mumkinat ab bhi hai. Magar ab candle sirf aik chhote se faslay par hai jahan demand area ko chhoo sakti hai jis ka price 1.0702 hai. Shayad wahan se eurusd apna ubhaar shuru karegi. Magar agar yeh tor di jaye, to lagta hai ke upar jane ki imkanat chhoti hoti ja rahi hain aur ulte, neeche jane ki imkanat barh rahi hain. Main samajhta hoon ke qareeb mustaqbil mein naye support bane ge. Agar indicator ka istemal kiya jaye, to H1 timeframe mein candle ka position abhi bhi and lines keooper hai. Yeh darust karta hai ke giravat ke mauqe ab bhi maujood hain. Is waqt, indicator ne abhi tak bullish signal nahi diya hai. Candle ko demand area mein pakad kar, main samajhta hoon ke eurusd ki harkat, jo pehle neeche thi, ko ubhaar mein tabdeel karegi. Intersection bhi qareeb mustaqbil mein ho jaye gi. Is doran, stochastic indicator ne eurusd ke liye ubhaar hone ka signal diya hai kyun ke line ne level 20 ko tor diya hai, jo ke yeh darust karta hai ke haalat oversold hain. Line ko oopar ki taraf rukh karne se yeh darust hota hai ke upar jane ki imkanat kaafi zyada hai. Mustaqbil mein, Stochatic level 80 par unchaee ki taraf jaega. Agar yeh mansooba amal mein laaya jaye, to main umeed karta hoon ke price ko wapas resistance level par 1.07965 tak laute ga. Agar price is resistance level ke ooper jaari rehta hai, to main mazeed shumara ko uttar ki taraf movement ke liye umeed karta hoon takay resistance level 1.09425 ya resistance level 1.09812 tak pohanch jaye. Main in resistance levels ke qareeb ek trading system ka intezar karunga, jo mazeed raaste ko pehchanne mein madad karega. Beshak, ek aur shumara tay karna bhi ek shumara hain.

Main EUR/USD pair ko 15-minute chart par tajziya kar raha hoon. Pair ek range mein trade kar raha tha, phir is range ke neeche gir gaya. Support 1.07585 ko bechne ke volume mein izafa hote hue tor diya gaya. Yeh signal deta hai ke sellers ka control barh gaya hai aur market mein bearish sentiment hai. Isi doran pair ne apna neeche ka rasta tay kiya aur support level 1.07241 tak pahunch gaya. Yahan, ek range banti hai jab tak koi further selling nazar nahi aati, kyunke volume kafi kam hota hai. Kisi bhi tarah ki kharidari ya bechnay ka volume nahi hota, isliye market ka trend samajhna mushkil ho jata hai.
Phir, pair thoda sa upar chala gaya aur range ke upar ke border tak pahunch gaya. Yahan par kharidne ka volume aaya, jo indicate karta hai ke buyers ka interest wapas aaya hai aur market mein tezi aane ki sambhavna hai. Pair ne resistance level 1.07795 tak pahuncha, lekin phir se bechnay ka volume barh gaya. Yeh signal hai ke sellers abhi bhi market par control rakhte hain aur pair neeche ki taraf ja sakta hai. Main is samay pair ko levels 1.07375 tak jaane ka intezaar kar raha hoon.

Lekin, mujhe lagta hai ke phir se upar ki raftar ka aghaaz hoga, kyunke maine higher timeframes par bhi uptrend ka mudda dekha hai. Main mazeed izafa ka intezar kar raha hoon jab tak pair thoda sa neeche nahi ata.

Lekin, hamein hamesha savdhani bartni chahiye kyunke market mein fluctuations hamesha hoti hain aur har mudda ki khud alag tassurat hoti hai. Main is mauqe par indicators aur market ki movements ko qareebi tor par nazar andaz kar raha hoon taki main sahi samay par trade kar sakoon aur nuqsan se bach sakoon.

Yeh samay trading ke liye thoda challenging hai kyunke market mein bahut si uncertainties hain. Lekin, ek cautious approach aur sahi analysis ke saath, traders achhi trading opportunities nikal sakte hain. Main yeh mudda hal karne ke liye puri tarah tayyar hoon aur jald hi trade karne ka faisla karunga.

In conclusion, EUR/USD pair ne recent movement mein neeche ki raftar ko dekha hai aur abhi bhi bearish trend mein hai. Lekin, 15-minute chart par thoda sa upar ki raftar ka mudda nazar a raha hai, jo mujhe lagta hai ke kuch waqt ke baad aur upar ja sakta hai. Main ye samjhta hoon ke pair phir se upar ki taraf jaega, lekin ek sahi samay aur entry point ka intezar karna hoga.

EUR/USD ki Takniki Tahlil:
EUR/USD jodi ne naye uchaiyon ko chhua, 1.0729 ke darja ko par kar ke, lekin iska momentum kamzor hai. Takniki isharay uljhe hue hain. 1.0729 par samarthan hai.

EUR/USD ne euro sarkar ki bazaar mein hastakshar mein tanzeem ke khatre se bachne ka khatra bawajood doosre din 1.0789 ke darja ke upar bandh hone ke liye aur saal ki uchchai tak pahunchne ka naya record banaya 1.0820. Mudra jodi lagta hai ki vridhhi ki sambhavnaon mein umeed ki ja sakti hai, vishesh roop se US mein mukhya PCE mulyankan ke prakashan ke intezar mein. Halaanki, jaise hi uptrend ke shikhar par shukravar ko ek chhote se candlestick banawat dikhai di gayi, saath hi vipreet takniki soochak, bazar mein saavdhaani ki bhavna ko darshate hue. Agar yeh sakaratmak trend jari rahega, to jodi 1.0804 aur 1.0939 kshetra ki taraf badh sakti hai, jo 2024 ki uchchai ki upper seema aur vishal chadhta hua channel ko jodti hai. Kharidar iske baad 1.0929 kshetra ka nishana bana sakte hain, jo pichle saptaah ek rok tha, aur phir saal bhar mein ek aur mahatvapurn badhaak tha. Neeche chart hai:

4 ghante ki trading diagram par, samarthan 1.0729 ke darje par hai, jo ki eur / usd ki takniki tahlil mein mahatvapurn hai. Agar yeh samarthan tod diya jata hai, to yah ek bearish sanket ho sakta hai, jisse jodi 1.0700 aur 1.0680 ki taraf gir sakti hai. Wahi, agar jodi 1.0780 ke darje par upar uthati hai, to yah ek bullish sanket ho sakta hai aur 1.0800 ke aas-paas ki taraf badh sakti hai. Agar yah darja toot jaata hai, to uske baad ke muqam 1.0840 aur 1.0870 ho sakte hain. Main is samay EUR/USD ke chart par vishesh dhyaan de raha hoon aur agle kuch dinon mein yeh dekhunga ki kis disha mein yeh jati hai. Aap sabhi ko achhe pips ki shubh kaamnaayein aur dhanyawaad.

Subah ke tajziye mein, maine 1.0744 ke daraje par tawajju dilaayi aur is par market entry ke faislay ke liye tayyari ki. Chaliye 5-minute chart dekhte hain aur samajhte hain ke wahan kya hua. Eurozone data ke baad izafa aur ek ghalat breakout ke shakl mein wakalat ne euro ko bechnay ka signal diya, lekin aap chart par dekh sakte hain ke jodi ne neeche nahin gaya, is liye maine market se nikalne ka faisla kiya aur doosre half ke liye technical tasveer ko dobara dekha. EUR/USD par long positions kholne ke liye: Eurozone manufacturing activity data nashriyat se kuch behtar sabit hua, jo din ke pehle hisse mein euro mein thora sa izafa le kar aaya. Lekin faqaat ye ke activity ghataai ja rahi hai, khaaskar Germany mein, neeche par rukawat paida ki jisse jodi mein badi had tak is upar ki durusti ho gayi. Din ke doosre hisse mein, hum changes in manufacturing orders, vacancies level, aur labor turnover ke data ka intezar karte hain, Bureau of Labor Statistics se, sath hi FOMC ke afraad Michelle Bowman, John Williams, aur Loretta Mester ke taqreerat bhi, jo rokaan aur mehdood policy ki taaleem ko support karte hain, jo dollar ko apni position ko mazboot karne mein madad kar sakti hai. Taqatwar US data, jo maqroozan ke tajwezon ko paar karne ki salahiyat rakhta hai, bhi jodi par dabaw dal sakta hai, is liye main giravat aur ek ghalat breakout ke takreeb ke action par hoon jo naye support level 1.0710 ke aas paas hoga. Sirf yeh hi sahi option hoga long positions ke liye umeed hai ke correction tak aas paas 1.0752, jahan moving averages, sellers ke liye behtar hain, pohanchega. Ek breakthrough aur is range ke upar se nayi aas aur majoodgi jodi ko mazboot kar degi, jisme ek surge ka mauqa 1.0783 tak ho sakta hai. Aakhri hadaf 1.0826 ka maximum hoga, jahan main faida uthaunga. Agar EUR/USD aur girne aur din ke doosre hisse mein 1.0710 ke aas paas koi khaas harakat na ho, to euro par dabaw sirf barhta jayega, jo aur neeche ki taraf update hone ki sambhavna ke saath 1.0668 tak pohanchega. Main wahan market mein dakhil ho ga jo ek ghalat breakout ka shakl banane ke baad hoga. Main 1.0642 se rokawat se long positions kholonga, jahan ek din ke andar 30-35 point ki oopri durusti ka nishana rakha jaega.

EUR/USD par short positions kholne ke liye:
Euro kharidare pehle half mein kuch dikha nahi rahe hain aur ab tak kisi bhi numaya koshish mein nahi hain takabbur ko phir se hasil karne ki. Kamzor US data ki nashriyat ke baad uchalne ki koshish mein, 1.0752 ke aas paas ghalat breakout ka shakl dikhayega ke bazaar mein bade sellers maujood hain aur short positions ke liye ek aur daakhilat ka mauqa denge, jo naye support par 1.0710 tak ki update hone ki umeed hai. Is range ke neeche breakthrough aur mazid kami ka mukhaalif test, sath hi aik aur selling point jodi ke collapse ko takreeban 1.0668 tak le jayega, jahan khareedare zyada sakht ho jayenge. Aakhri hadaf 1.0642 ka minimum hoga, jahan main faida uthaunga. EUR/USD ke uparward move ke surat mein, sath hi 1.0752 par bear ke absence ke maamool hai, khareedare ko thoda sa oopri durusti ka mauqa milega. Is surat mein, main tab bechungga jab agle rukawat ka test hoga 1.0783 par. Main wahan bechunga, magar sirf ek nakami consolidation ke baad. Main 1.0826 se turant short positions kholne ka iraada karta hoon, jahan ek din ke andar 30-35 points ki neeche ki durusti ka nishana rakha jaega.

Technical aur fundamental tajziya EUR/USD jodi ka

EUR/USD ne tezi se aage badha aur 1.0800 ke upar chadh gaya ISM service PMI data ke baad jo ke United States ne jaari kiya aur jo ki ummeed se kam tha Ye data mukhtalif maamlon mein dilchaspi barhata hai ke Federal Reserve June tak interest rates ko khatam kar dega, ye ECB ke zyada wazeh tawaqo'at ke mutabiq hoga jab woh interest rates ko kam karne ka aghaaz karegi United States dollar (USD) post-release nuksan uthaya kyun ke nisbatan kam interest rates ya unki ummeedain aam tor par currency ke liye manfi asraat rakhti hain kyun ke yeh foreign capital inflows ko kam karti hain

EUR/USD ne tez se ishte'alat kiya ravivar ko jab ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index March ke liye ummeed se kam tha Lekin ye zyadatar dollar ki kamzori ka sabab tha jo ISM ki service price payments component mein sharp decline tha, jo ke sector mein inflaashan ko napta hai EUR/USD ka tajziya hai ke wo chhoti muddat ke neeche ki taraf ki trend ko badal dega EUR/USD ne chhoti muddat ke saath sat hafton ke kamzor low 1.0720 se bahal kiya hai peer ko Ab isne pehle ABC pattern ke B-wave level par key resistance level ko toor diya hai, jo ke yeh ishara karta hai ke intehai doran shor mehwar ka jhatka ho sakta hai Qaim shor muddat ki trend par sawal uthaya gaya jab qeemat ke chotay chotay uchhal aur nichaav 4 ghante ke chart par barhne lage, jo ke aam tor par trend ka nigrani karne ke liye istemal kiya jata hai Agar qeemat 4 ghante ke waqt frame par ek aur zyada uncha low aur uncha high banaye, to ye naye trend ke shuruaat ke khitab ko mil jayega aur is se oonchi qeematain faida uthayengi Lekin, qeemat ab mukhtalif time frames par kuch bara aahista harkati asraat se aagahi hasil kar rahi hai, jo ke mazeed izafa mushkil bana sakti hai Jaise ke aap upar diye gaye chart se dekh sakte hain, wahan daili chart par 4 ghante 100 aur 200 simple moving averages (SMAs) hain, sath hi 50 din aur 200 din SMAs bhi hain (jo ke dikhaya nahi gaya hai) Is liye, agar bear qeemat ko is SMA confluence se neeche kheench paayein to abhi kuch kamzori ka khatra hai