eur/jpy

Good morning, everyone! Aaj hum EUR/JPY ke liye ek selling scenario observe karte hain. Halaanke koi specific news event EUR/JPY market ko influence nahi kar rahi, hum phir bhi technical analysis par mabni informed decisions le sakte hain. Mojooda technical indicators aur chart patterns dikhate hain ke market sentiment sellers ke haq mein hai. Main expect karta hoon ke EUR/JPY market sellers ke haq mein rahega, aur agle kuch ghanton mein 168.65 zone cross kar sakta hai.

Is bearish outlook ko dekhte hue, apne trading accounts ko accordingly manage karna zaroori hai. Ek well-thought-out strategy implement karna jo current market trend ke sath aligned ho, profits maximize karne aur risks minimize karne ke liye crucial hai. Key support aur resistance levels, trend lines, aur moving averages ko monitor karna valuable insights provide karega potential entry aur exit points ke liye trades mein. Umeed hai ke EUR/JPY market sellers ke haq mein rahega, aur accordingly position le kar hum successful trading outcomes hasil kar sakte hain.

Yeh zaroori hai ke disciplined rahein aur risk management principles adhere karein, jaise ke stop-loss orders set karna aur positions ko overlever na karna. Aisa karke hum apne capital ko protect kar sakte hain aur market ke fluctuations ko zyada effectively navigate kar sakte hain. In conclusion, significant news events ke bagair bhi, EUR/JPY market technical analysis ke basis par ek clear selling scenario present karta hai. Market ke 168.65 zone cross karne ki expectation strong bearish trend indicate karti hai, aur traders ko apni strategies ko is sentiment ke sath align karna chahiye. Technical indicators par focus karne aur disciplined risk management practices maintain karne se, hum apne trading accounts ko effectively manage kar sakte hain aur current market conditions ka faida utha sakte hain.

Yehan tak ke vigilant aur market movements ke liye responsive rehna humari trading decisions ko sound aur profitable banane mein madad karega. Shorter-term picture ko dekhte hue, kuch mixed signals hain. Hourly RSI moderate upward momentum dikhata hai 51 par, jo current trading session mein Euro ke liye ek possible positive turn indicate karta hai. Hourly chart par MACD bhi bullish hai, jo kuch short-term buying interest suggest karta hai. Lekin, yeh yaad rakhna zaroori hai ke pair hourly chart par overbought territory mein hover kar raha hai, to yeh gains short-lived ho sakte hain.

Overall, EUR/JPY ke liye technical outlook thoda cloudy hai. Halaanke kuch underlying bullish sentiment hai, kuch signs bhi hain ke recent rally apna steam lose kar rahi hai. Traders ke liye key question yeh hai ke pair crucial 169.00 level ke upar hold karega ya nahi.

EUR/JPY Currency Pair ka Maujooda Hal

EUR/JPY currency pair is waqt ek stagnation ke period se guzar raha hai, aur lagataar 168.00 level ke aas paas hover kar raha hai. Yeh trend zyadatar sideways trading pattern se mark hua hai, jismein halka sa downward drift bhi dekha ja sakta hai. Pair ka yeh behavior market mein clear direction ki kami ko suggest karta hai, kyunke traders ko upar ya neeche significant moves karne mein hich-kichahat ho rahi hai.

Is sideways trading behavior mein kai factors contribute karte hain. Pehle, European Central Bank (ECB) aur Bank of Japan (BOJ) ne relatively stable monetary policies maintain rakhi hain, jo currency pair mein directional move ke liye koi impetus nahi de rahein. ECB ne apne approach mein ehtiyaat brati hai, inflation control aur economic growth support ke darmiyan balance banaye rakhte hue. Isi tarah, BOJ ne apne ultra-loose monetary policy ko continue rakha hai, jo deflation ka muqabla aur Japanese economy ko stimulate karne ke liye aimed hai. Dono taraf policy stability ne euro aur yen ke darmiyan strong divergence ko kaafi limit kar diya hai, jo stagnation mein contribute kar raha hai.

Iske ilawa, global economic uncertainties ne bhi EUR/JPY ki lackluster performance mein apna role ada kiya hai. Trade tensions, fluctuating commodity prices, aur varying economic data releases ne ek unpredictability ka environment create kiya hai. Is wajah se traders wait-and-see approach prefer karte hain, aur jab tak koi clearer economic outlook saamne nahi aata, large positions lene se guftu-gu karti hain. Is sideways pattern mein dekhe gaye slight downward drift se yeh reflect hota hai ke traders cautious sentiment mein hain, jo shaayad yen ko current global uncertainties ke madde nazar mein safety ke liye prefer kar rahein hain.



EUR/JPY chart ki technical analysis bhi stagnant market ki tasveer ko reinforce karti hai. Key technical indicators, jese ke moving averages aur Relative Strength Index (RSI), momentum ki kami ko dikhate hain. Pair keh relatively narrow range mein trade kar raha hai, jahan support aur resistance levels closely align hain 168.00 mark ke aas paas. Yeh technical setup suggest karta hai ke na bulls aur na hi bears ne control hasil kiya hai, jiski wajah se sideways movement nazar aa rahi hai.

Summary mein, EUR/JPY currency pair is waqt ek stagnation ke phase mein hai, jahan trading behavior slight downward drift ke sath sideways pattern mein 168.00 level ke aas paas dekha ja sakta hai. ECB aur BOJ ki policy stability, global economic uncertainties ke sath milke, is lack of clear direction mein contribute kar rahi hain. Jab tak traders ko definitive economic signals ya geopolitical developments ka intezar hai, EUR/JPY ke range-bound behavior ko near term mein continue karne ki umeed hai. Yeh consolidation ka period eventually ek significant breakout lead karne ka potential rakhta hai, lekin filhal, market cautious anticipation mein hai.

EUR/JPY Price Analysis: Strongly Overbought Levels

Siyasi khichri ke bawajood, Europe mein, Japanese Yen ki dosri bari currencies ke mukable mein kamzori ne bulls ko EUR/JPY pair par zyada control diya hai. Control mein isi izafay ne EUR/JPY pair ko doh maheenon mein resistance level 171.44 tak push kar diya hai. Is waqt, value karoebin 171.14 ke aas paas hai. EUR/JPY ke recent rise ne tamam technical indicators ko bohot hi overbought levels tak la diya hai aur kisi bhi waqt profit lene ke liye becha ja sakta hai, khaaskar jabke ummeed hai ke Japan foreign exchange market mein intervene karega. Isliye, main ab bhi EUR/JPY pair ko har bullish level par sell karna prefer karta hoon.

Investors abb France ke aane wale pehle round ke election, jo 30 June ko hain, ke hawale se pareshan hain. President Emmanuel Macron ke snap election ne bohot ziada uncertainty create kar di hai, aur barhtay hua borrowing ke concerns ne French bonds par risk premium ko 2012 ke baad se apni highest level tak push kar diya hai. Chahe Marine Le Pen ki far-right party support hasil kare ya left-wing coalition, yeh financial markets par bara asar daal sakta hai, khaaskar agar yeh bara siyasi tabdeeli ka sabab banta hai.



Company ke stock trading platform level par, Germany ka DAX apne gains ko extend karte hue, June ke last week ke aghaz mein 0.6% barh kar 18,280 points tak pohanch gaya hai, jab traders bade events ki tayyari kar rahe hain, jo is week ke aakhir mein hain, jin mein US personal consumption expenditure inflation aur France ke election ke pehle round ka inflation data shamil hain. Is doran, Germany ka IFO business climate index unexpected tareeqe se gir gaya, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke Europe ki sabse badi economy ab bhi mushkilat face kar rahi hai.

Economic calendar ke data ke hawale se, German IFO business climate index majaazi tareeqe se May ke 89.3 se gir kar June 2024 mein 88.6 ho gaya, jo expect kiye gaye 89.7 se kaafi neeche hai. Forecast scale 90.4 se gir kar 89 ho gaya, aur current forecast 88.3 hai. Data yeh show karta hai ke business confidence deteriorate ho gaya hai, aur German economy aik recession se guzar rahi hai.

German manufacturing sector mein business confidence teen paiham izafon ke baad gir gaya - retail sector mein business confidence deteriorate ho gaya, jabke service providers ne apni situation ko zyada positivity ke sath assess kiya aur construction sector ka outlook kam pessimistic tha.

EUR/JPY Paar ki Technical Analysis

4-Hour Chart

Abhi ke time mein price aik resistance area mein trade kar rahi hai jo ke aik downward correction ka sabab ban sakti hai pehle ke phir se upar jaaye. Is haftay, price ne wo price triangle ke andar trade karna shuru kiya hai jo chart par specify kiya gaya hai. Yeh triangle, un do channels ka natija hai jo pichlay doh hafton ke doran price movement ke direction ko represent kartay hain, jo ke upward direction mein thay.

Daily chart par, EUR/JPY pair ki price aik buying zone mein trade ho rahi hai, isliye mein yeh mashwara doonga ke 4-hour chart par ab ki selling opportunity ko nazarandaz karke buying levels par focus karein.
Aap tab buy kar sakte hain jab price lower triangle line tak drop ho aur phir wapas upar bounce kare.
Yeh bhi mumkin hai ke us triangle ke upward break ke baad buy kiya ja sake.

Economic side par dekha jaye to, Japanese yen ki dosri badi currencies ke mukable continued weakness ne bulls ko yeh mokka diya hai ke EUR/JPY pair ke direction par zyada control hasil ho, bawajood iske ke Europe mein siyasi tensions hain.

Har rising level par profit lene ke liye sell karna mumkin hai, khaaskar jab Japan ke currency markets mein intervene karne ki umeed ho. Isliye, mein ab bhi euro pair ko Japanese yen ke muqablay mein har rising level par sell karna pasand karta hoon.





Mukhtalif Pehlu

Germany ke 10-year bond yield 2.4% ke qareeb pohanch gaya jab German Ifo business survey ne June ke liye business sentiment mein unexpected decline ko zahir kiya. Economic calendar ke results ke mutabiq, German Ifo business climate index 88.6 tak gir gaya 89.3 se, jo ke expect kiye gaye 89.7 ke maqabil tha, aur expectations measure bhi 89 se gir kar 90.4 ho gaya. Pichlay haftay, borrowing costs Germany mein gir gayi thein jabke weak PMI data aur Swiss aur British central banks ke dovish signals aa gaye thein.

Investors abb France ke aane wale pehle round ke legislative elections ki voting se pareshan hain, jo 30 June ko hain. President Emmanuel Macron ki early election ne zabardast uncertainty paida kar di hai, aur barhtay huay borrowing ke concerns ne French bond ke risk premium ko 2012 ke baad se apni highest levels tak push kar diya hai. Yeh financial markets par barra asar daal sakta hai.

Euro aur Yen ke Darmiyan Tug of War

Euro ne yen ke muqable mein zabardast performance dikhayi hai, chhey consecutive din ke gains achieve karte hue. Phir bhi, yeh ab tak apne saal bhar ke peak ko nahi pohanch paya jo April mein 171.58 tha. Filhal, euro 171.29 par trade kar raha hai, jo ke 171.00 ke key technical level se kaafi upar hai. Analysts ka kehna hai ke euro ke upar jane ka silsila jari reh sakta hai, magar kuch aane wali problems bhi hain. Bank of Japan aur Finance Minister ke currency market mein intervening ka khatya hai, jo investors ko thoda cautious bana raha hai. Phir bhi, momentum positive hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) upar ki taraf jaa raha hai, jo euro ki strength ko dikhata hai.

Agar euro current resistance ko break kar paya, to iske agay clear skies hain. Pehla hurdle year-to-date high of 171.58 hai. Agar yeh level conquer ho gaya, to 172.00 aur uske baad 172.50 ka rasta clear ho jayega. Aur agar yeh levels bhi break ho jayein, to psychological barrier of 173.00 bhi aage aa jata hai.

Agar cheezain kharab hoti hain, to euro wapas 171.00 par retreat kar sakta hai. Agar yeh level break hua, to agla support cluster of technical indicators at 169.48 par hoga. Mazeed decline par euro apne 50-day moving average at 168.40 ko test karega. Peechlay waqt mein, euro 170.80 resistance level par thoda weak hua tha, aur itnay buyers attract nahi kar paya ke aur upar ja sake. Phir bhi, aik positive sign yeh hai ke euro December se chal rahi long-term uptrend se kafi upar hai.

Technically, mix signals hain. RSI neutral level of 50 se neeche hai, aur MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) ne bhi thodi strength lose ki hai, trigger line ke neeche aa gaya hai magar phir bhi positive territory mein hai. Agar euro decisively 170.00 ko break kar paya, to yeh surge ko trigger kar sakta hai towards a 40-year high of 171.56 ya phir 172.25-172.70 zone mein nayi high bana sakta hai. Iske baad, sky's the limit, aur potential gains 175.00 round number ya phir 176.23 level tak ja sakte hain, jo ke previous downtrend ka 161.8% Fibonacci extension represent karta hai.

Price ka Current Resistance Area Mein Trade Karna

Abhi price ek resistance area mein trade kar rahi hai, jo downwards correction ki taraf le ja sakta hai phir wapas upar jane se pehle. Is hafte, price ne chart par ek price triangle ke andar trade karna shuru kiya, jo pichle do hafton ke upward channels ka natija hai.

Daily chart par, price buying zone mein trade kar rahi hai, isliye mein 4-hour chart par current selling opportunity ko ignore karne aur buying levels par focus karne ka mashwara deta hoon. Aap tab khareed-sakte hain jab price lower triangle line tak drop ho aur phir bounce back kare, ya phir jab triangle upar ki taraf break ho jaye.



Japanese yen ki dosri major currencies ke muqable mein kamzori ne bulls ko EUR/JPY pair ki direction par zyada control diya hai, yeh baat Europe mein political anxiety ke bawajood hai. Magar, profit banane ke liye kabhi bhi sell kiya ja sakta hai, khaaskar jab Japan ke currency markets mein expected intervention ko dekha jaye. Isliye, mein ab bhi har upar jaane wale level se euro aur Japanese yen ke pair ko sell karna pasand karta hoon.



German 10-saal ki bond yield 2.4% ke qareeb aa gayi hai jab German Ifo business survey ne June ke liye business sentiment mein unexpected decline dekhlaya. German Ifo business climate index 89.3 se ghatt kar 88.6 ho gaya, jab ke expectations 89.7 thi, aur expectations measure bhi 90.4 se ghatt kar 89 ho gaya. Pichle hafte, Germany mein borrowing costs PMI data ke weak aane aur Swiss aur British central banks ke dovish signals ke bawajood kam ho gaye.

Investors ab France ke legislative elections ke pehle round ke vote par June 30 ko mutma'in hain. President Emmanuel Macron ke early election ne bohat zyada uncertainty paida ki hai, aur increased borrowing ka dar French bond risk premium ko 2012 ke baad sabse unchi levels par le aaya hai. Yeh financial markets par significant asar daal sakta hai.

EUR/JPY Currency Pair Mein Zahir Hote Huye Bearish Trend

EUR/JPY currency pair ek thehri hui bearish trend darsha rahi hai, jo market mein potential downturn ka ishara de rahi hai. H4 (4-hour) timeframe chart ka jaiza lene par yeh wazeh hota hai ke price abhi ek significant support level ke aas-paas hover kar rahi hai. Yeh observation un traders aur investors ke liye nihayat ahem hai jo is currency pair ko keenly monitor kar rahe hain trading opportunities ke liye.


Broader bearish trend ke context mein, support level ke ird-gird price action corrective lag raha hai. Yeh corrective movement yeh suggest karta hai ke jab ke overall market sentiment negative hai, price ek temporary phase of consolidation ya ek minor pullback se guzar rahi hai. Aisi behavior financial markets mein aam hai, jahan downtrend mein bhi prices kabhi kabhi upar revert ho jati hain phir apni downward trajectory resume karne se pehle. H4 timeframe chart ek detailed nazar deta hai market dynamics par chhote periods mein, jo technical analysis ke liye ek essential tool banata hai. Is timeframe par focus karke, traders key levels of support aur resistance, trend lines, aur potential reversal patterns identify kar sakte hain. EUR/JPY currency pair ke case mein, support level ke qareeb current price action nazar rakhne ke laayak hai.





Support levels technical analysis mein critical hote hain kyunke yeh wo points darshate hain jahaan historically price ko niche girne mein mushkil hoti rahi hai. Yeh levels ek floor ka kaam kar sakte hain, jo temporary price dip ka faida uthate hue buyers ke liye ek potential entry point pesh karte hain. Magar, ek strong bearish trend mein support levels aakhir kar toot sakte hain, jisse mazeed declines dekhne ko mil sakti hain.

EUR/JPY pair mein support level ke qareeb observed corrective movement yeh suggest karta hai ke market ek temporary pause mein hai downtrend mein.

EUR/JPY/H1

Haal hi mein EUR/JPY pair ki price action ne ek strong bearish trend darsha di hai. Yeh likhawa hai ke price mazeed 140 points girayegi, jo H1 daily timeframe chart par support level 168.720 ko chhooegi. Jab yeh level hit hoga, market ka agla move is baat par depend karega ke bears iss support ko todne mein kamiyab hote hain ya nahi. Maujooda movement ke base par, ek strong possibility hai ke price iss level ke neeche settle karegi. Magar, yeh speculative hai aur humein market ka behavior dekhna hoga ke yeh prediction such sabit hoti hai ya nahi.

Ek sell signal tab aayega jab price support level ke neeche girti hai. Buying ka confirmation tab mil sakta hai agar price resistance ko breach karti hai. Maujooda upward trend ko dekhte hue, buying opportunities zyada behtar hai. Magar, agar price gir kar support level ke neeche consolidate hoti hai, yeh ek sell signal ho sakta hai. Correction ka silsila jari reh sakta hai, jisse humein baad mein selling opportunities assess karne ka mauka milega. Ho sakta hai ke hum ek slight correction dekhein followed by further strengthening, aur support level potential rebound point ke taur par act karta dikhe, jo continued strengthening ki taraf le jaaye.



Main 169.80 area mein ek buy limit karunga. Agar buyers higher increase create karne mein kamiyab ho jaate hain, toh EURJPY 170.80 ki taraf strengthen karegi aur hum is area ko TP1 ke taur par designate kar sakte hain. Agar increase continue hoti hai, EURJPY 172.40 resistance zone tak barh sakti hai jo technically H1 timeframe par main stopping point hai. Sabse badtar scenario ko anticipate karne ke liye, agar price white box area ke neeche girti hai, toh seller bearish confirmation de sakte hain price movement par aur humein buy position close karni hogi jab ke sell position open karni hogi taake recovery kar sakein. Ideal decline target level 167.40 par hai. Aap sab ka dhanyavaad, jo mere explanation ko sun rahe hain. Umeed hai hum next week EURJPY movement mein profit opportunities ko optimize kar payenge.

EUR/JPY Analysis:

Jab EUR/JPY 171.30 ke level ke qareeb pohanchti hai, yeh traders ke liye ek moka hota hai ke wo market ke mazeed movements ka andaza laga sakein. Khaaskar agar pair is level ko cross karne mein kamiyab ho jati hai, toh yeh ek significant decline trigger kar sakta hai. Agar 171.20 level par ek false breakout hota hai, jahan price thodi dair ke liye is threshold ko paar karne ke baad wapas retreat karti hai, toh downward trend jari reh sakta hai. Yeh false breakout is baat ka signal deta hai ke higher prices ko sustain karne ke liye kaafi buying pressure nahi hai, aur is tarah selling ke chances barh jate hain.

171.25 level ka bhi ghor se observation zaroori hai. Agar decline is point par pohanch kar bhi jari rehta hai, toh yeh ek strong sell signal ho sakta hai. Is se yeh maloom hota hai ke bearish momentum itna strong hai ke price ko aur neeche dhakel sakta hai, jo ke short positions mein enter karne ka ek acha moka hai.

Attention 171.48 level par bhi honi chahiye. Agar EUR/JPY is level tak girti hai aur phir consolidate hoti hai, toh yeh buy signal ke tor par interpret hoga. Is level par consolidation yeh indicate karta hai ke market ko support mil raha hai, aur buying pressure selling pressure ko outweigh kar sakta hai, jo ek mumkin price increase ka stage set karta hai. Agar growth is point se continue hoti hai, toh buying preferred strategy rahegi. Traders higher lows aur higher highs jaise confirmations dhundhenge taake is upward trend ko validate kar sakein.



171.50 ka level bhi crucial hai. Agar EUR/JPY is level tak girti hai aur uske neeche consolidate karti hai, toh isay bhi buy signal ki tarah dekha jayega. Is level ke neeche consolidation yeh signify karti hai ke market ne ek naya floor dhundh liya hai, aur upward movement ka potential strong hai. Traders ko market ko stabilization aur subsequent rally ke signs ke liye monitor karna chahiye taake buy positions initiate kar sakein.

Key levels EUR/JPY ke liye 171.20, 171.25, 171.30, 171.48, aur 171.50 hain. 171.20 par false breakout further decline ka indication deta hai, jab ke 171.25 ke past jari rehne waali decline sell signal hoti hai. Dusri taraf, 171.48 aur 171.50 par breakdowns aur consolidations buying opportunities ko interpret karti hain. In levels ke qareeb price action critical hogi informed trading decisions lene ke liye. Traders ko in market cues ke liye vigilant aur responsive rehna chahiye taake apne entry aur exit points ko optimize kar sakein aur potential profit ko maximize kar sakein.

EUR/JPY Analysis:

EUR/JPY pair ke trends dekhen toh lagta hai ke yeh neeche hi ja rahi hai. Recent mein, yeh consistently 171.20 level ke neeche close ho rahi hai, aur yeh 170.90 tak bhi gira chuki hai. Yeh is baat ka ishara hai ke market abhi bhi bearish pressure mein hai. Candlestick patterns bhi oversold levels ke qareeb hain, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke aur zyada declines ho sakte hain. Traders is pair ke in levels par behavior ko ghor se dekh rahe hain, kyunki technical indicators downward trend ke continuation ko point kar rahe hain.

Key levels jo traders ko dekhne chahiyein wo hain: 171.20, 171.10, aur 170.60. Pair ka 171.20 aur 171.10 ke neeche recent behavior bearish outlook ko support karta hai, aur yeh further declines ka ishara hai. 170.60 level critical hai kisi bhi potential bullish reversal ke liye. Agar pair is level ko break karke hold kar leti hai, toh yeh ek minor upward correction ka indication ho sakta hai. Lekin agar yeh 170.60 ke upar sustain nahi kar pati, toh downward trend jari rehne ke chances hain. Traders ko vigilant aur responsive rehna chahiye taake informed trading decisions le sakein.

Pair ka inability to stay above 171.10 negative outlook ko aur strengthen karta hai. Yeh failure to hold above 171.10 yeh suggests karta hai ke EUR/JPY mein aur zyada downside movement ho sakti hai. Important levels jo dekhne chahiyein wo hain 170.60, jo critical hai kisi bhi potential bullish reversal ke liye. Agar EUR/JPY is level ko break karke hold kar leti hai, toh yeh ek corrective phase ya minor upward correction ka signal ho sakta hai.



For now, overall sentiment bearish lagta hai. Pair ne clear inability dikhaayi hai higher levels ko sustain karne mein, jo is baat ko reinforce karta hai ke downward trend jari rehega. Traders ko price action ko 170.90 aur 171.10 levels ke qareeb monitor karna chahiye. Consistent closes in levels ke neeche yeh suggest karte hain ke bearish momentum abhi bhi strong hai.

Agar EUR/JPY aur girti hai aur 170.60 ko approach karti hai, toh traders ko closely dekhna chahiye kisi bhi signs of reversal ke liye. Agar pair is level ke upar break karke hold karti hai, toh yeh momentum shift ka indication ho sakta hai, potentially corrective phase ka signal dikhata hai. Lekin agar pair 170.60 ke upar sustain nahi kar pati, toh bearish trend possibly jari rehega.

EUR/JPY Pair Ki Analysis

EUR/JPY currency pair ne recently 170.30 ka level touch kiya hai, lekin abhi bhi yeh 20-day moving average ke key support level 169.22 ke upar trade kar rahi hai. Lekin kuch signs hain jo yeh indicate karte hain ke aage ki upward movement limited ho sakti hai. Agar overall picture dekhein, toh EUR/JPY ka sentiment cautiously optimistic lag raha hai, haalanki recent declines hue hain. Pair abhi bhi 20-day moving average ke comfortably upar trade kar rahi hai, aur yeh kai traders ke liye ek technical indicator hai. Iska matlab yeh hai ke euro ke liye abhi bhi kuch underlying buying pressure mojood hai.

Agar price current support level ke neeche break karti hai, toh aur bhi potential support levels 100-day aur 200-day moving averages ke aas paas 164.00 aur 161.00 pe hain. Yeh additional support levels kuch cushion provide karte hain aur sharp drops ko prevent karte hain.

Dusri taraf, kuch technical indicators yeh point kar rahe hain ke EUR/JPY ki upward momentum mein possible slowdown aa raha hai. Daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) 61 tak dip ho gayi hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke pair overbought territory mein enter kar sakti hai. Iska matlab yeh hai ke euro ko apne recent gains ko correct karne ke liye thoda pullback face karna pad sakta hai. Isi tarah, daily MACD indicator bhi weakening momentum ko show kar raha hai.



Agar short-term picture dekhein, toh kuch mixed signals nazar aa rahe hain. Hourly RSI moderate upward momentum ko 51 pe indicate kar raha hai, jo current trading session mein euro ke liye possible positive turn ka indication hai. Hourly chart pe MACD bhi bullish hai, jo kuch short-term buying interest ko dikhata hai. Lekin yeh yaad rakhna zaroori hai ke pair hourly chart pe overbought territory mein hover kar rahi hai, toh yeh gains short-lived ho sakte hain.

Overall, EUR/JPY ka technical outlook thoda cloudy lag raha hai. Haalaan ke underlying bullish sentiment abhi bhi hain, kuch signs dikh rahe hain ke recent rally ka momentum khatam ho raha hai. Traders ke liye key question yeh hai ke kya pair 169.00 level ke upar hold kar paayegi ya nahi.

Aaj Ka EUR/JPY Ka Outlook Aur Market Movements

EUR/JPY currency pair ne aaj traders ko surprise kar diya jab yeh four-hour chart pe gap downwards ke sath open hui. Iska matlab hai ke price previous close ke compared jump hui lekin southward direction me. Surprising baat yeh hai ke yeh initial trades already close ho gaye hain, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke kuch quick buying hui hai taake larger drop prevent ho sakay. Opening dip ke bawajood, bulls (wo merchants jo yeh believe karte hain ke price upar jayegi) abhi bhi control mein hain.

EUR/JPY price firmly blue moving average ke upar hai four-hour chart pe, jo ek technical indicator hai jo aksar support ki tarah act karta hai. Yeh continued dominance by bulls yeh suggest karta hai ke woh price ko aur bhi upar push karna chahte hain. Aage dekhte hue, do main scenarios likely nazar aa rahe hain. Analysts ke mutabiq sabse probable scenario yeh hai ke current upward trend continue hoga. Iska matlab yeh hai ke price iss period ke current local high tak pohanch sakti hai, jo 171.57 pe hai.



Lekin possibilities hain ke cheezein different turn le sakti hain. Agar price aforementioned blue moving average ke neeche girti hai, toh yeh short-term downward correction trigger kar sakti hai. Yeh likely price ko dip hote dekh sakti hai aur support level 169.37 ke aas paas retest kar sakti hai, jo recent average price range hai jisme pair trade kar raha tha.

Key takeaway yeh hai ke analysts believe karte hain ke agar yeh correction hoti bhi hai, toh yeh temporary hogi. Expectation yeh hai ke price quickly rebound karegi aur apni upward climb resume karegi. Iska reason yeh hai ke overall trend EUR/JPY pair ka bullish hai, aur ab tak koi clear signs nahi hain trend reversal ke. Simple terms mein, aaj ki price action thodi unexpected thi, lekin long-term outlook for EUR/JPY positive nazar aa raha hai. Bulls abhi bhi charge mein hain, aur 171.57 tak rise hone ka scenario sabse likely hai. Yeh kehne ke bawajood, short-term dip 169.37 tak possible hai, lekin yeh sell karne ka reason nahi maana jaa raha. Overall trend suggest karta hai ke yeh ek buying opportunity hogi rather than a sign of a major reversal.

Aaj foreign exchange market ka intezar aur umeed se abuzz hai jab traders aur investors do ahem central bank events ke aghaz ka intezaar kar rahe hain. Yeh events EUR/JPY currency pair mein kafi fluctuations paida karne ki salahiyat rakhte hain. Market participants khaas tor par European Central Bank (ECB) ke President ki ek taqreer par tawajjo de rahe hain. Is taqreer ka wide taur par impact hone ka intezaar hai euro (EUR) aur Japanese yen (JPY) ke darmiyan.

Market analysts aur investors ECB President ki har baat ko samajhne ki koshish kar rahe hain, future monetary policy ke isharon ke liye. Unhe ECB President ki tone aur language par khaas tawajjo deni hogi, kyunki yeh Eurozone ki economic recovery ke hawale se ECB ki confidence ko signal kar sakti hain. Agar tone confident aur optimistic hai, to yeh indicate kar sakta hai ke ECB monetary policy ko pehle se bhi jaldi tight karne ki soch rahi hai, jo ki euro ko majboot karne ka intezaar hai. Dusri taraf, cautious ya pessimistic tone ECB ke accommodative stance ko lambi muddat tak maintain karne ki taraf ishara kar sakta hai, jisse euro ko kamzor kar sakta hai.

In do central bank events ke beech ke is tarah ka khel forex market mein umeed se bhara mahaul bana raha hai. Traders potential volatility ke liye taiyar ho rahe hain aur EUR/JPY pair mein kisi bhi significant movement ka faida uthane ke liye apne positions bana rahe hain. Yeh currency pair Eurozone aur Japan ke monetary policy aur economic outlook ke farq par khaas taur par sensitive hai.

Iske alawa central bank events ke sath sath, broader market sentiment aur geopolitical developments bhi EUR/JPY pair par asar daal sakte hain. Maslan, trade tensions, economic data releases ya Eurozone ya Japan mein siyasi events se judi koi bhi khabar additional volatility create kar sakti hai. Traders ko in factors ke baare mein informed rehna zaroori hai aur unhe kisi bhi unexpected development ka jaldi jawab dene ke liye taiyar rehna chahiye.

Akhri mein, aaj ke events jo European Central Bank aur Bank of Japan ke hain, woh EUR/JPY currency pair ke key drivers hone ki ummid se set hain. ECB President ki speech khaas tor par crucial hai, kyunki yeh Eurozone ki monetary policy ke future direction ke baare mein important signals provide kar sakti hai. Traders aur investors in events ko closely monitor kar rahe hain, euro ko yen ke muqablay mein relative strength par koi bhi asar hone ki um

EUR/JPY abhi 165.33 se consolidation mein hai aur intraday bias neutral hai. Current retreat ka downside 55 4H EMA (ab 163.41 par) se contain hona chahiye taake rebound aa sake. Agar upar ki taraf 165.33 break hota hai, to larger uptrend resume hote hue 61.8% projection 153.15 se 163.70 tak, 160.20 se 166.71 tak pahunch sakta hai. Lekin agar 55 4H EMA sustain break hota hai, to bias downside ki taraf shift hote hue deeper fall 160.20 support tak ho sakta hai.
Current rally uptrend ka part hai jo 114.42 (2020 low) se hai, aur yeh abhi bhi progress mein hai. Next target 169.96 (2008 high) hai. 160.20 support ka break hona medium term topping ka pehla sign hoga. Warna, outlook bullish hi rahega agar retreat hota hai. EUR/JPY ek strong bullish trend ka hissa hai. Traders ko sirf long positions consider karni chahiye jab tak price 162.69 JPY se well above rahe. Next resistance 164.13 JPY par hai jo next bullish objective hai.

Agar yeh resistance bullish break hota hai, to bullish momentum boost hoga. Phir bullish movement next resistance 165.24 JPY tak continue kar sakta hai. Is resistance ke baad, buyers 169.54 JPY ko target kar sakte hain. Current pattern ke saath, possible bullish excesses ko monitor karna hoga jo short term mein small corrections la sakti hain. Yeh possible corrections traders ko bullish trend ke direction mein position enter karne ka mauka deti hain. In corrections ka advantage sales ke saath lene ki koshish risky lag sakti hai.

Jaise Euro/Japanese Yen pair ke liye mention kiya, ek key level 136.80 hai jo recently break hua. Daily aur weekly close above this level key hai aur near term mein potential bounce higher ke liye support dega (halan ke current volatility ka dhyan rakhna zaroori hai uncertain macroeconomic environment ki wajah se). Agar positive sentiment persist karta hai, to hum expect kar sakte hain ke Euro/Japanese Yen pair current upwards trend mein continue karega with key levels 138.00, 138.30, 139.05, aur 140.00. Potential downside move par focus karte hue, levels 135.30, 134.00, aur 132.65 ko watch karna hoga

EUR/JPY abhi 165.33 se consolidation mein hai aur intraday bias neutral hai. Current retreat ka downside 55 4H EMA (ab 163.41 par) se contain hona chahiye taake rebound aa sake. Agar upar ki taraf 165.33 break hota hai, to larger uptrend resume hote hue 61.8% projection 153.15 se 163.70 tak, 160.20 se 166.71 tak pahunch sakta hai. Lekin agar 55 4H EMA ka sustained break hota hai, to bias downside ki taraf shift hote hue deeper fall 160.20 support tak ho sakta hai

EUR/JPY Pair Review

Kal euro ke Japanese yen ke against (EUR/JPY) upward movement ziada strong ho gayi, jo ke 171.80 ke resistance level ki taraf barh gayi thi aur phir wapas 171.50 ke qareeb stable ho gayi. Euro ke gains thore ruk gaye jab European Central Bank Governing Council ke member Olli Rehn ne is year do aur interest rate cuts ka signal diya. Naye data ne bhi Germany aur France mein consumer aur business sentiment ki decline dikhai.

Inflation ke hawale se, mukhtalif bara economies jaise ke France, Spain aur Italy ka preliminary data Friday ko publish hoga. Spain mein annual inflation June mein 3.3% girne ki umeed hai jo ke May mein 3.6% thi, jab ke Italy mein consumer prices previous month se 0.2% barhne ki umeed hai, jo ke May mein bhi itni hi thi.

Political level par, investors French legislative elections ko le kar pareshaan hain, kyun ke French President Emmanuel Macron ke snap elections ne uncertainty barha di hai. Election results, chahe Marine Le Pen ki far-right party ke haq mein ho ya left-wing coalition ke, financial markets par significant asar dal sakte hain, khaaskar agar ye major political shifts le aate hain.

Dusri taraf, German 10-year bond yield 2.4% se barh gaya hai jab consumer aur business sentiment ne surprising drop dikhai. Economic calendar ke mutabiq, GfK German Consumer Climate Index July ke liye -21.8 par aa gaya jo ke market expectations -18.9 se miss kar gaya. Saath hi, Ifo business climate index 88.6 par aa gaya jo ke 89.3 se gir gaya aur expectations bhi 89 se 90.4 tak gir gayi.

Meanwhile, ECB Governing Council member Olli Rehn ne do aur interest rate cuts ka signal diya is saal.

Political front par, investors French legislative elections ke pehle round ke vote ko le kar concerned hain jo 30 June ko hain. President Emmanuel Macron ke snap elections ne kaafi uncertainty create kar di hai, jisse French bond risk premiums apne sabse upar ke level par pohonch gaye hain since 2012. Yeh financial markets par significant asar daal sakta hai, chahe Marine Le Pen ki far-right party ko support mile ya left-wing alliance ko.

Stock trading platforms par, European stocks ne apni declines maintain karte hue Wednesday ko strong lower close kiya, US technology companies ke shares ke volatility aur French parliamentary elections ke concerns ke wajah se financial situation par asar pada. Performance ke mutabiq, Stoxx 50 index euro area mein 0.4% gir kar 4,918 par close hua, jab ke European Stoxx 600 index 0.6% gir kar 515 par close hua. Chemicals aur chemical inputs sectors ke companies ke shares sharply gir gaye, jisme BASF aur Air Liquide ke shares 2.6% aur 1.5% gir gaye. Automobile companies ke shares bhi sharply gir gaye, jisme BMW, Volkswagen aur Mercedes ke shares 2.5% se 1% tak gir gaye.

Airbus ke shares bhi 2.8% gir gaye, jo ke pichle session mein 10% badh gaye the, markets ke aircraft deliveries mein sharp cut ki anticipation ke bawajood.

Data front par, GfK consumer index aur business sentiment Germany mein expectations ko disappoint kiya.

Forecast for the euro against the Japanese yen today:

Recent gains ke bawajood, EUR/JPY ke technical indicators strong overbought levels par pohonch gaye hain. Markets Japanese intervention ka intezar kar rahi hain forex currency markets mein yen exchange rate ke bleeding ko rokne ke liye, jo ke strong selling operations aur current upward direction ko change kar sakti hain. Currency pair ke closest resistance levels 172.00, 172.70, aur 173.20 hain. Live trading recommendations ke mutabiq, mein har level par currency pair ko sell karna prefer karta hoon.
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