eur/jpy

EUR/JPY Market Analysis.

Jumay ko hum ne EUR/JPY mein ek upward trend dekha, jo kareeban 169.25 zone tak pohancha. Hum keh sakte hain ke buyers ne ek overbought zone ko pohanch gaya. Woh wapas aakar correction process ko cover kar rahe hain. EUR/JPY ke case mein, sellers aaj support zone ko cross karne ka aim rakha hai, aur market ne ek critical juncture present kiya hai jo ke aane walay dino ke liye trading opportunities ko shape kar sakta hai. Jab ke buying opportunities baad mein bhi create ho sakti hain, lekin bohot se traders ka immediate focus short positions par hai, jahan 30 pips ke targets ek tangible goal offer karte hain. Stop-loss tools ka effective use ensure karta hai ke risk wisely manage ho, aur traders market mein confidence ke saath engage ho sakein. Saath hi saath, US dollar se related news events par nazar rakhna bohot zaroori hai, kyun ke ye market dynamics ko jaldi se alter kar sakti hain. Aakhir mein, umeed hai ke price sellers ke favor mein rahegi aaj aur kal, jo ke successful trades aur strategic gains ke rastey khol sakti hai ek challenging lekin rewarding market environment mein. Aaj, US trading zone EUR/JPY ke market mein volatility la sakti hai. Aur, EUR ke kuch news events, jaise ke Flash aur ECB's President conference is hafte hain. Toh, EUR/JPY ke market sentiment ko effectively samajhne ki koshish karein. EUR/JPY ke case mein, ye comprehensive analysis given keywords ko forex trading strategies mein integrate karta hai, emphasizing technical aur fundamental factors, risk management, aur economic news ke bare mein informed rehne ki importance ko. Mujhe umeed hai ke EUR/JPY market wapas aayegi aur jald hi 169.00 zone ko cross karegi. Kyun ke EUR/JPY ke sellers aaj support zone ko cross karne ka aim rakha hai. However, buying opportunities baad mein bhi create ho sakti hain. Main trading ke liye 30 pips target tak sell position prefer karta hoon. Hopefully, EUR/JPY ka market price aaj aur French aur German Flash news releases ke doran sellers ke favor mein rahegi.

EURJPY currency pair ke liye technical analysis par mabni tajziya aur peshangoi
Sab ko salam! Guzishta hafta ke jhooti girawat ke baad, euro ne Japanese yen ke khilaf apni position aasani se wapas hasil ki aur is haftay ke aghaz mein 169.36 par ek naya high bhi set kiya. Filhal, daam barh raha hai, magar yeh behtar hoga agar ismein thoda pullback aaye taake bulls ko long positions kholne ka mauka mile, kyunki ab tak achay entry points nahi milay hain aur movement qareebi lagti hai.

Chaar ghantay ke chart par hum dekh sakte hain ke teoreeti taur par EURJPY pair 168.60 ke support level tak wapas ja sakti hai, jo ke mukammal tor par uptrend ko zyada mutasir nahi karega, kyunki yeh level takreeban ascending channel ki lower line ke saath mutabiq hai. Agar daam is channel ko torne mein kamiyab hoti hai, to phir ek reversal zaroori ho sakta hai, lekin filhal, is trading instrument par khareedari behtareen option lag rahi hai.

Chaar ghantay ke chart par kuch important technical indicators bhi use kiye gaye hain. Moving Averages yeh show kar rahi hain ke trend abhi tak bullish hai. 50-period Moving Average aur 200-period Moving Average dono hi upward direction mein hain, jo long-term bullish trend ko confirm karti hain. RSI (Relative Strength Index) bhi mid-levels ke qareeb hai, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke market abhi overbought ya oversold nahi hai. Is se yeh bhi pata chalta hai ke potential pullback ke bawajood, buying interest barqarar rahega.

Agar hum stochastic oscillator ko dekhein, toh yeh bhi buying signal de raha hai. Stochastic lines agar oversold territory se upward cross karengi, toh yeh ek bullish signal hoga aur traders ko long positions kholne ka ishara milega. Iske alawa, MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) bhi positive territory mein hai, jo ke uptrend continuation ko support karta hai.

Important support aur resistance levels ko bhi nazar mein rakhna zaroori hai. Current support level 168.60 hai, jo ascending channel ki lower boundary ke saath aligned hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai, toh market mein selling pressure barh sakta hai aur price 167.80 tak bhi ja sakti hai, jo agla major support level hai. On the upside, agar price 169.36 ke current high ko break kar leti hai, toh agla target 170.50 tak ho sakta hai, jo significant resistance level hai.

Is waqt ke market conditions ke madde nazar, EURJPY pair ke liye overall sentiment bullish hai. Lekin, traders ko support aur resistance levels ko closely monitor karna chahiye aur fundamental factors ko bhi nazar mein rakhna chahiye. Eurozone aur Japan ke economic indicators aur central bank policies ko closely dekhna chahiye, kyunki yeh factors currency movements ko significantly affect karte hain.

Summary mein, EURJPY pair ke liye filhal khareedari behtareen option lag rahi hai, lekin risk management strategies ko implement karna zaroori hai. Important technical levels aur indicators ko nazar mein rakhte huye, informed trading decisions liye ja sakte hain.

vBulletin [video]

EUR/JPY H-4 Timeframe Analysis:

Jab hum 168.75 ki range ko torh kar neeche mustahkam ho jate hain, to yeh bechne ka signal hoga. Aisa lagta hai ke correction jari rahegi, aur jab yeh khatam hogi, to hum bech sakte hain. Ek choti si correction ke baad, mazid mazbooti ka silsila jari rahega. Shaayad 169.30 ki range tak corrective growth ke baad girawat mazid barh jaaye, aur phir yeh bechne ka signal hoga. Agar hum 169.80 ki range ko torh lete hain, to yeh rate ke barhne ka signal hoga. 167.25 ki range mein support hai, aur wahan se rate ki mazbooti mil sakti hai. Growth jari hai, phir ek choti si neeche ki correction ke baad, growth ka silsila jari rahega, aur is surat mein hum 170.10 ki range tak barhne ka rujhan dekh sakte hain. Mojooda levels se girawat correction ke tor par jari reh sakti hai, magar aise correction ke baad growth mazid barhegi. Shaayad mojooda levels se hum 169.03 ki range tak gir jaayein, aur phir aise breakdown ke baad girawat jari rahegi. Agar bears is mark ko push karne mein kamiyab ho jate hain, to hum shaayad 159.33 ke support ki taraf quotes mein girawat dekhain. Jab tak qeemat moving average MA 46 ke neeche trade ho rahi hai, sales ko tarjeeh di jayegi. Agar qeemat is level tak wapas aati hai, to sales ki ahmiyat kam ho jayegi. Conservative trading pasand karne walon ke liye, main mashwara dunga ke 165.76 ke level ke neeche bechne par ghoor karein. Ek alternative yeh hai ke qeemat ko 171.55 ke level ke upar fix kar lein.

EUR/JPY ka yeh tajziya H-4 timeframe par hai jo ke trading ke liye ehmiyat rakhta hai. Market ki jhalak aur trends ko madde nazar rakhte hue, critical support aur resistance zones ka tajziya karna zaroori hai. Corrective movements aur breakouts ko dekhte hue, traders ko inhi points par tawajjo deni chahiye. Support aur resistance ke levels ko samajh kar, trading decisions lena aur moving averages ko dekhte hue conservative trading karna munasib hoga. Agar bechnay ka rujhan qaim hai, to lower levels ke bechne par ghoor karein aur agar barhane ka rujhan nazar aaye, to higher levels par fix hone par nazar rakhein.

Aslaam-o-Alaikum. Japanese yen ke khilaaf currency pair ne koi masail ke baghair apni positions ko baaham kia hai aur is haftay ke aaghaz mein, isne apne mojooda EUR/JPY daily M15 timeframe chart mein maximum ko bhi 169.702 tak update kia hai. Ab tak, daam barhta ja raha hai. Magar agar daam ek chhota sa pullback de, to yeh bull ko khareedari ke mouko par moqa dene mein faida pahunchega, kyun ke abhi tak achay dakhil points nahi hain, halankeh movement imkanat ko dikhata hai. M15 chart par, hum dekh sakte hain ke, nazarana ke mutabiq, EUR/JPY currency pair support level tak wapas ho sakta hai. Aisa pullback upward trend ko kharab nahi karega, kyun ke yeh level lagbag buland channel ke neeche ki line ke saath milta hai. Agar daam is channel ko tor sakta hai, to shayad rukh badalna parega. Abhi ke liye, tajruba yeh hai ke is trading instrument ko kharidne ke mauqe talash karna hai.

EUR/JPY daily M5 timeframe chart ki tafseeli tehqiq karne par lagta hai ke bechne walon ka nazariya kharidne walon ke muqable mein zyada faida mand hai. Is par, aik strategy kaafi maqbool hai ke do had se zyada bechne ke orders rakhein. Pehla order EUR/JPY daily M5 timeframe chart ke resistance level par lagaya jaaye jo ke 169.766 hai, jabke doosra thoda ooper 169.875 par rakhna chahiye. Ye strategy ek chhoti si daam izafe ki tawaqo ko samjhti hai jo ke tezi se harkat karne waale average ke ooper ek chhoti si increase ke baad neeche ki taraf rukhne ki taraf se chal raha hai. Is price point ko dono orders ke liye take profit level ke tor par istemal kia jaye ga. Khatra nigrani ke liye, dono dakhil orders ke liye ek stop loss rakha jaaye ga. Behtareen halat mein, maqsad ye hai ke yeh transactions jald se jald ek point par shift kiye jaayein jahan shirayatain ijazat deti hain.

EUR/JPY daily M5 timeframe chart

EUR JPY

Market Reviews:

Aaj ke market ko dekhte hue, hum ye nikal sakte hain ke khareed-dar abhi bhi faalid hain. Unhone moolya ko lagatar barhaate hue 169.72 ke star tak pahuncha diya hai. Ye factors EUR/JPY market ko samajhne aur traders ki madad karne ke liye bahut mahatvapurn hain. Aaj ke trading ke liye, main muddai taraf ki trading ka sujhav deta hoon. Is market ke nazariye ke adhar par, main manta hoon ke EUR/JPY market phir se 170.00 ke star ko todega. Market kaafi tezi se badh sakti hai, khaaskar French aur German Flash Manufacturing Index ke prakashan ke dauraan.



D1 Chart Reviews:

Flash Manufacturing Index ke prakashan ke din EURJPY par ek muddai nazariya bana rahe sakta hai. Yeh market ko kisi bhi disha mein drastik roop se badal sakta hai. Vyapak roop se, khareed-dar ki lagatar gatividhi, ek majboot muddai bhavana ko darshata hai, jiska matlab hai ke market age badhne ke liye taiyaar hai. Aaj ke trading ke liye, main muddai taraf ki trading ka sujhav deta hoon. Vartaman market ke dynamics, jo ki sakriy khareed-dar dvara nirdharit hain, is vichar ko samarthan dete hain. Is market ke vicharon ke adhar par, main manta hoon ke EUR/JPY market phir se 170.00 ke star ko todega. Ye manasik taakat ki diwar pehle bhi parikshan ki gayi hai, aur chal rahe muddai trend ke madhyam se, iska paar kiya jaana sambhav hai. Aur yahan tak ki market kaafi tezi se badh sakti hai, khaaskar French aur German Flash Manufacturing Index ke prakashan ke dauraan. Ye arthik soochak market ki gatividhi par prabhav daal sakte hain aur mahatvapurn keemat ki gati ko trigger kar sakte hain. Traders ko in prakashanon par gahri dhyan dena chahiye, kyun ki ye mahatvapurn insights aur trading avasar pradan kar sakte hain. Sankshipt roop mein, khareed-dar ki sakriy bhaagidaari, sath hi aane waale arthik data prakashanon ke saath, aaj ke EUR/JPY market ke liye ek muddai trading strategy ko anukool banate hain. Khareed-dar aaj ek uchit trading yojana ke saath ek uthaan trend ko anusaar kar sakte hain.

EUR/JPY


Aaj ke market ko observe karne ke baad hum yeh nateeja nikal sakte hain ke buyers ab bhi active hain. Woh lagataar value increase kar rahe hain, aur 169.72 level tak pohnch gaye hain. Yeh factors EUR/JPY market ko samajhne ke liye bohot important hain aur traders ki madad kar sakte hain. Aaj ke trading ke liye, main suggest karta hoon ke bullish side par trade karein. Is market concept ke mutabiq, mujhe lagta hai ke EUR/JPY market 170.00 level ko phir se break karega. Market bohot rapidly move kar sakta hai, khas tor par jab French aur German Flash Manufacturing Index release honge.

D1 Chart Reviews:

Flash Manufacturing release ke din EUR/JPY par ek bullish concept barqarar reh sakta hai. Yeh market ko dramatically change kar sakta hai. Aam tor par, buyers ki persistent activity ek strong bullish sentiment ko dikhati hai, jo suggest karti hai ke market mazeed upward movement ke liye tayar hai. Aaj ke trading ke liye, main suggest karta hoon ke bullish side par trade karein. Current market dynamics, jo active buyers se driven hain, is strategy ko support karte hain. Is market concept ke mutabiq, mujhe lagta hai ke EUR/JPY market 170.00 level ko phir se break karega. Yeh psychological barrier pehle bhi test ho chuka hai, aur ongoing bullish trend ko dekhte hue, iske surpass hone ki umeed hai.

Furthermore, market rapidly move kar sakta hai, khas tor par jab French aur German Flash Manufacturing Index release honge. Yeh economic indicators market volatility ko influence karte hain aur significant price movements ko trigger kar sakte hain. Traders ko in releases par close attention deni chahiye, kyunki yeh valuable insights aur trading opportunities provide kar sakte hain. Mukhtasir yeh ke, buyers ki active participation, coupled with upcoming economic data releases, EUR/JPY market ke liye bullish trading strategy ko favorable banati hai. Buyers aaj ke din ek upward trend follow kar sakte hain ek professional trading plan ke sath.

Jab yeh khatam ho jaye, to hum bechnay ka tajurba kar sakte hain. Ek choti si correction ke baad, mazid mazbooti ka silsila jari rahega. Shayad 169.30 ki range tak corrective growth ke baad girawat mazid barh jaaye, aur phir yeh bechne ka signal hoga. Agar hum 169.80 ki range ko torh lete hain, to yeh rate ke barhne ka signal hoga. 167.25 ki range mein support hai, aur wahan se rate ki mazbooti mil sakti hai. Growth jari hai, phir ek choti si neeche ki correction ke baad, growth ka silsila jari rahega, aur is surat mein hum 170.10 ki range tak barhne ka rujhan dekh sakte hain. Mojooda levels se girawat correction ke tor par jari reh sakti hai, magar aise correction ke baad growth mazid barhegi. Shayad mojooda levels se hum 169.03 ki range tak gir jaayein, aur phir aise breakdown ke baad girawat jari rahegi. Agar bears is mark ko push karne mein kamiyab ho jate hain, to hum shayad 159.33 ke support ki taraf quotes mein girawat dekhain. Jab tak qeemat moving average MA 46 ke neeche trade ho rahi hai, sales ko tarjeeh di jayegi. Agar qeemat is level tak wapas aati hai, to sales ki ahmiyat kam ho jayegi. Conservative trading pasand karne walon ke liye, main mashwara dunga ke 165.76 ke level ke neeche bechne par ghoor karein. Ek alternative yeh hai ke qeemat ko 171.55 ke level ke upar fix kar lein.


Yeh H-4 timeframe par EUR/JPY ka jaaiza hai, jo trading ke liye ahmiyat rakhta hai. Market ki observation aur trends ke samajhne ke saath-saath, critical support aur resistance zones ka tajziya karna zaroori hai. Jab bhi corrective movements ya breakouts hoti hain, traders ko in points par tawajjo deni chahiye. Support aur resistance ke levels ko samajh kar, trading decisions lena aur moving averages ke istemal se conservative trading karna munasib hoga. Agar bechne ka trend hai, to lower levels ke bechne par focus karna chahiye, aur agar barhne ka trend nazar aata hai, to higher levels par focus karna chahiye.

Bunyadi Tehqiqi Tajziya


Teesre din ke liye musalsal, EUR/JPY cross ne European session ke aghaz mein higher trade kiya, aur 164.50 ke aas-paas hover kar raha hai. Bank of Japan (BoJ) abhi tak apni agle policy moves ko wazeh nahi kar saka, jiski wajah se Japanese yen (JPY) par kuch selling pressure dekha gaya. Japanese authorities ke potential action jo yen ki devaluation ko rok sake, woh EUR/JPY cross ki upward movement ko limit kar sakta hai.

Jab ke Japanese interest rates doosre mumalik ke rates se bohot kam hain, BoJ ke 17 saal mein pehle interest rate rise ne Japanese yen ko strengthen nahi kiya. Iske ilawa, euro ke muqable mein yen ki safe-haven value kamzor hui hai, jo EUR/JPY cross ko support karta hai. Yeh predictions ke mutabiq ke Japanese central bank agle kuch waqt mein interest rates ko dheere dheere raise karega, aur policy normalization ki raftar ke mutabiq koi indication na hone ki wajah se yeh support milta hai.
1H Chart



Tekniki Tajziya


Tekniki Indicators:

• Exponential Moving Averages (EMA): EUR/JPY pair 50-period aur 100-period EMA ke upar hai, jo ek bullish trend ko suggest karta hai.
• Relative Strength Index (RSI): RSI 70 ke upar hai, jo overbought condition ko indicate karta hai. Yeh suggest karta hai ke consolidation ke chances hain short-term upward moves se pehle.

Key Levels:

• Resistance Levels:
  • 164.70: Upper Bollinger Band ke aas-paas pehla upward obstacle.
  • 165.35: March 20 ka high.
  • 166.00: Psychological resistance level.
• Support Levels:
  • 164.00: Pehla round number jo downside support ka kam karega.
  • 163.56: 50-period EMA, ek critical support level.
  • 163.30: 100-period EMA, dusra key support level.
  • 162.30: Lower boundary of the Bollinger Band, jo significant support mark karta hai.

4H Chart Analysis


4-hour chart par, EUR/JPY cross apni upward momentum ko maintain kiye hue hai, 50-aur 100-period EMAs ke upar rehne se. RSI ka positive zone mein rehna bullish sentiment ko mazid wazeh karta hai, halanke iska overbought state suggest karta hai ke consolidation ke chances hain.

Scenarios:

1. Bullish Scenario:
   • Agar 164.70 ke upar move sustain karta hai, toh 165.35 ko test kar sakta hai aur 166.00 ke psychological level ko reach kar sakta hai.
2. Bearish Scenario:
   • Agar 164.00 support ko breach karta hai, toh pair 50-period EMA 163.56 aur 100-period EMA 163.30 ko test kar sakta hai.
   • Significant breach 163.30 ka decline towards 162.30 ki taraf le ja sakta hai.

Natija


EUR/JPY pair strong bullish trend dikhata hai, technical indicators aur broader market sentiment se supported, jo BoJ ki unclear policy direction se affected hai. Halanke potential interventions yen ko support karne ke liye aur overbought technical conditions short-term consolidation le sakti hain. Traders ko mentioned key levels par nazar rakhni chahiye for potential entry aur exit points, dono fundamental aur technical indicators ko dekhte hue taake yeh dynamic currency pair effectively navigate kar sake.

EUR/JPY H4 Analysis

Hello guys, As Salam O Alaikum. I hope you are doing great. This message is for all forum administrators, moderators, and InstaForex broker admins. Today, I will discuss the EUR/JPY market. My analysis of EUR/JPY is helpful for all forum friends and InstaForex traders.

The EUR/JPY pair continued to trade upward on Wednesday. Yesterday, volatility was a bit higher, as we had anticipated. The inflation report is a very important event for the forex market, so a reaction had to follow. However, take note that we both anticipated and did not expect such a market reaction. On one hand, we warned you that the pair could rise or fall if the actual value matched the forecast. And this is exactly what happened. However, after the pair moved equally in both directions, the market resumed buying. On what basis? The same U.S. inflation report did not justify new dollar sales.





Let's break it down. U.S. inflation slowed to 3.4%. What does this mean? In terms of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy outlook, absolutely nothing. The slowdown in inflation in April is so minor that it's impossible to conclude that within a few months, it will reach a level where the Fed can start discussing monetary easing again. Impossible unless there is a strong desire for it. And the market is quite eager to buy the euro and sell the dollar. So, once again, we have a situation where a report triggered the dollar's decline that technically, shouldn't have even happened.

From a technical perspective, there were two buy signals on Wednesday. First, the pair broke above the 167.40 level, but this signal was very difficult to execute on time as it formed exactly during the release of the U.S. inflation data. Traders could open long positions using the second buy signal – a rebound from the same level. These could be manually closed by the end of the day. The profit was around 220-250 pips.

Since yesterday's session, EUR/JPY has maintained steady bullish momentum despite facing selling pressure and retreated to 168.63. Despite reaching highs around the 170.00 mark, investors are temporarily pausing, potentially indicating short-term consolidation, and this pause could pave the way for further moves higher. On the daily chart, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is in positive territory, reflecting upward momentum from the bulls, but points down, indicating the aforementioned stop in the bullish trend. The 4-hour chart, on the other hand, shows a weaker picture. The RSI is still in positive territory, having last reached 57. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator remains bullish. However, indicators appear to be recovering within this range ahead of the Asian session. Now the pair is growing and I am planning purchases. Profits to everyone.

USD/CAD: Price Activity Review
Aaj main USD/CAD currency pair ke current price behaviour ka analysis karunga. Hafte ke beech mein, chalo D1 chart par USD/CAD pair ka dobara jaiza lete hain. Haal ke dinon mein price ke girne ke bawajood, wave structure ab bhi upward hai aur MACD indicator ab bhi upper buying zone mein hai. Ek martaba phir se, price apni critical horizontal support ke qareeb hai jo ke 1.3628 ke aas-paas hai, aur ek descending triangle pattern bana raha hai. Agar price is level ke neeche break kare, to ye pattern confirm hoga, jo ke downward trend ka ishara de sakta hai.

Aaj ke major news package mein kuch critical indicators shamil hain, jaise ke USA ka Consumer Price Index, Retail Sales Volume, aur US crude oil reserves. News ke baad deceptive moves aasakti hain, jisme pehle breakdown ka simulation hoga aur phir price descending triangle ki upper line tak rally kar sakta hai. Jo log abhi positions hold nahi kar rahe, unke liye ye behtar hoga ke news release hone tak wait karein aur phir decisions lein. Ek ascending support line bhi hai, jise break karna mushkil ho sakta hai. Halankeh CCI indicator potential overheating ka ishara de raha hai, lower time frames mein rebounds ke chances hain.





USD/CAD pair abhi 1.3625 support level ke qareeb hover kar raha hai, jahan lower Bollinger indicator line is zone ko reinforce kar rahi hai as the lower price range. Agar US dollar apni strength lose karta hai aur Canadian dollar momentum gain karta hai, to downward movement jaari reh sakta hai, khaaskar upward channel ke lower boundary ki taraf. Price agar psychological level 1.3600 ko reach karta hai, to established ascending channel pattern ke andar buy orders attract ho sakti hain. Ye level significant hai kyunki yahan increased buying interest trigger ho sakti hai, jo ke price mein potential upward movement la sakti hai. Ane wale waqt mein, buying signals evident hain, khaaskar agar 1.3605 ke neeche breakout aur consolidation hota hai, jo ke downtrend continuation ka signal ho sakta hai.

Euro aur Japanese yen ke darmiyan euro ne zyada momentum hasil kiya hai. Positive market sentiment ki wajah se EUR/JPY late North American trading mein 0.44% barh kar 169.27 tak pohanch gaya. Yeh iska saatwaan lagataar winning day hai, lekin kuch concerns hain ke Japanese authorities yen ko weak karne ke liye intervention kar sakti hain, jo euro ke gains ko cap kar sakta hai.

Technically, momentum euro ke haq mein hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) comfortably bullish territory mein hai, aur overbought levels ke qareeb hai. Halanke, current uptrend ki strength ko dekhte hue, kuch analysts 70 ke usual threshold ke bajaye 80 ko overbought consider kar rahe hain. Agar yeh level break ho jata hai, toh agla hurdle 170.00 par ho sakta hai, uske baad saal ka high 171.58 par. Dusri taraf, agar price 169.00 se neeche girta hai, toh EUR/JPY decline kar sakta hai. Initial support zone Kijun-Sen aur Senkou Span A indicators ke confluence par hai, jo ke 166.93/81 ke qareeb hai. Agar yeh breach hota hai, toh next line of defense Tenkan-Sen par 166.68 hoga, aur phir Senkou Span B par 165.90 hoga.


Euro ka dominance pichle hafta se evident hai, aur abhi iska target April high 169.27 hai. 40 saal ke peak 171.56 tak pohanchna mushkil ho sakta hai, lekin recent surge January ke uptrend channel se upar hai, jo ke aane wale sessions mein sustained buying interest ko suggest karta hai. Technical indicators bhi is baat ki tajeed karte hain. RSI ka continuous ascent abhi bhi overbought zone 70 se kaafi neeche hai, jo euro ke further gains ke potential ko signify karta hai. Agar euro 170.00 ko decisively break karta hai, toh yeh 40 saal ke high ko retest kar sakta hai ya 172.25 trendline par naya peak establish kar sakta hai, jo 172.70 tak bhi pohanch sakta hai. Is point ke baad, euro ka ascent psychological 175.00 level ya 176.23 mark tak barh sakta hai, jo previous downtrend ka 161.8% Fibonacci extension represent karta hai.

EUR/JPY:
EUR/JPY currency pair apni bullish momentum ko is Budhvar ko barqarar rakhta hai, jis mein wo 168.00 ke ek bulandiyon tak pohanchta hai. Rozana trading chart ka tajziya mazboot bullish fa'aliyat ko darust karta hai, jo ke 169.00 ke mark tak rukh kar sakta hai. Mazeed taraqqi 168.30 ki taraf le ja sakti hai. Shakhsan, agar zikar ki gayi satah paar ki jati hai, to main tasawwur rakhta hoon ke agar 167.58, 167.84, aur 167.93 ke mumkin targets hain to agle badalte samay mein mazeed urooj ki taraf ja sakte hain. Ulta, agar 167.59 ke neeche gira hai, to yeh bearish dabao ko 167.83 ki taraf pehla sakta hai, jise 166.00 ki aham support level ke baad aane wala hai, naye farokhtkar ko kheenchne ke liye aur mumkin tor par keemat ko 167.39 aur 167.50 tak le jane ke liye:

Lekin agar EUR/JPY ke price ko upper level par kamyabi nahi milti aur iski bajaye neeche ki taraf chalti hai, to iska nishana 168.30 ke level par hoga, phir 167.500 par super support level. 4 ghantay ki trading chart par technical analysis ke mutabiq, keemat ke barhne ki shayadat Bollinger Bands ki line tak 167.800 tak. Kal, keemat mein thori si kami ke baad, EUR/JPY mazbooti se wapas aaya, ek mazboot bullish mombati banate hue. Isne asani se tod diya aur 169.00-170.00 ke resistance level ke oopar settle ho gaya. Aaj, main umeed karta hoon ke upar ka trend jari rahega, kharidaron ka qareebi resistance levels ke nishane mein. Khas tor par, main 167.500 aur 167.74 ke resistance levels par nigaah rakhunga. Lekin 167.466 ke resistance ko paar karne mein bailon ke liye ek challenge hai. Is satah par kamyabi is keemat ko 167.84 range ki taraf le ja sakti hai, jise 168.30 aur 167.93 ke muntaqil targets ke sath follow kia ja sakta hai. Ulta, agar iske upar na ja sake to yeh ek downswing ko 167.59 ki taraf le ja sakta hai, jo ke mazboot support ke saath 167.963 ko follow kar sakta hai. Mazeed girao 167.83 zone par nishana bana sakta hai. Anay wale trading sessions rukh ko zahir karenge. Aap ki tawajju ke liye shukriya!

Agar woh bullish hain, to woh shayad khareedenge agar keemat resistance ko todne mein kamiyab nahi hoti aur neeche jaane lagti hai. Kuch traders dekhna intezaar karte hain ke kya hota hai, jabke doosre chhoti price tabdeeliyon ka faida uthane ke liye jaldi trades karte hain. Mukhtasar mein, EURJPY ko kamiyabi se trade karna ye samajhna hai ke technical analysis ko samajhna aur global events par nazar rakhna. Traders ko lachar hona chahiye aur farqay walay tools ka istemal karna chahiye taake sahi waqt par khareed o farokht ke bare mein aqalmand faisley kiye jayein. Abhi, EURJPY currency pair ko 133.50 ke paar jane mein mushkil ho rahi hai, jahan bechnay walay keemat ko mazeed barhne se rok rahay hain. Lekin woh 132.00 ke qareeb support dhoond rahe hain, jis ka matlab hai ke kharidaron ne keemat ko zyada girne se rok liya hai. Ye dikhata hai ke currency pair chhoti range mein trade ho rahi hai, jo kehta hai ke traders shayad yeh nahi samajh paa rahe hain ke kya karna hai. Mumkin hai ke mumalikah patterns ko dekhte hue, kuch candles dikhate hain ke log kharid rahe hain (bullish), jabke doosre log bech rahe hain (bearish). Ye resistance, support aur candlestick patterns ka mishran dikhata hai ke forex market hamesha badal raha hai, economic news aur siyasat ke jaise asrat se mutasir hota hai. Traders is maaloomat ka istemal karte hain ke kab khareedna hai aur kab bechna hai, market mein ho rahe tabdeelion ko adapt karke aqalmand faisley lene ke liye.

EURJPY ne pichli bearish movement mein chhupi support area tak pahunchne ke baad phir se badh gaya. Moolya bhavna ke mutaabik, EURJPY ka phir se badhna market ki mazbooti ko dikha raha hai kyonki Japan ki arthvyavastha ki sthiti abhi bhi giravat mein hai, isliye yah kaafi sensitive hai aur yen kamzor ho jayega agar Europe aur US mein sakaratmak arthik data ke release ho. Moolya ek baar phir se upar utha hai taaki supply/order block area tak phir se pahunch sake. Agla EURJPY ka movement ki bhavishyaana, yadi ham ise block order area se bahar nikalne mein asafal dekhte hain, to EURJPY ke liye agle movement mein abhi tak bearish hone ka sambhavna hai. Haa, yadi abhi supply/order block area ko tod diya gaya hai to EURJPY ke liye agle movement mein bullish hone ka sambhavna hai.

Moolya ke paas phir se bullish sambhavna hai ki pichhle samapatti pratyaksh tak pahunchne ka, jinhen pichhle maujooda mombatti asweekar ke doara banaya gaya. Yadi aap 1 ghante ka chart dekhte hain, to aap dekh sakte hain ki lines 170.59 - 170.95 par supply/order block area hai. Isliye moolya ke paas agle movement mein bullish hone ka sambhavna hai ki asweekar ko dobara parikshan karne ke liye block order area par jakar 1 ghante ka chart par bhi yatayat karenge. Haa, yadi aap 4-ghante ka chart dekhte hain jiske baad 168.82 - 169.43 tak pahunchne ke baad candle structure kam hoti hai, to is baat ka sambhavna hai ki moolya wapas kheench jaye aur EURJPY phir se block order area mein gir sakta hai.

EUR/JPY Analysis: Kya 170.00 Resistance Hit Ho Sakti Hai? Kal ke trading session ke doran, bulls ne EUR/JPY ko 170.00 ke psychological resistance level ko todne ki koshish ki, magar gains 169.93 ke resistance level par ruk gaye. Aaj ke trading mein, Wednesday ko, currency pair 169.32 tak wapas gir gaya. Jaisa ke maine pehle kaha tha, EUR/JPY exchange rate ka overall trend bullish hai aur yeh psychological resistance level 170.00 ko tod sakta hai, jab tak Japan FX market mein intervene nahi karta yen exchange rate ko further girne se rokne ke liye, taki yen ki economy ko nuksan na ho.

EUR/JPY ke gains ne technical indicators ko severely overbought levels tak pohcha diya, jaise ke neeche daily chart mein dekha ja sakta hai.

Technical Indicators Aur Economic Data:

Yeh performance aur economic calendar ke results ke mutabiq hai. EU economic data 2024 mein thodi behtari dikhayega, lekin recovery weak hogi. Financial markets ne European Central Bank ke teeno interest rate cuts ka asar fully price in kar liya hai, jo euro par pressure daal raha hai. Agar economy sufficiently recover karti hai, market phir se euro ko appreciate kar sakti hai.

PMI Data Aur Future Predictions:

Thursday ko UK, EU aur US ke PMI data release honge. Yeh euro ke liye bohot important hai kyunki acha data yeh suggest karega ke EU economy 2024 mein grow karegi. Germany ka data focus mein hoga kyunki EU ki sabse bari economy mein se ek kamzor hai. Agar yeh turnaround signal dete hain, to euro ka outlook behtar ho jayega.

European Central Bank Ki Policy:

European Central Bank ne clear kar diya hai ke June mein interest rates cut honge. Yeh clear hai ke 2024 mein aur bhi cuts honge. Magar yeh do, teen ya char rate cuts honge yeh data aur June ke pehle step ke reaction par depend karta hai. Jabke central bank almost entirely inflation data par focus kar raha hai rate cut justify karne ke liye, economic weakness ka bhi kuch asar zarur hoga, especially Germany jaise countries mein jo 2023 mein recession ki taraf ja rahi hain. Akhir mein, inflation expectations significantly improve nahi hui hain, aur United States aur European Union ke disinflation trajectories consistently United States se peeche hain.

United States ki tarah, doubts reh sakte hain ke inflation sufficiently contained hui hai ya nahi. Agar economy slow down nahi karti, to European Central Bank apna pehla rate cut Federal Reserve ke decision tak delay kar sakta hai. Yeh sab sawal uthata hai ke kya European Central Bank apni interest rates expected se kam cut karega jab economic data is saal ke baad improve hoti hai.

Conclusion:

EUR/JPY ka trend abhi bhi bullish hai aur 170.00 ke resistance level ko hit karne ki potential rakhta hai. Magar economic data aur central bank policies market ki direction ko significant tarike se influence karengi. Investors aur traders ko yeh sab factors consider karne chahiye apni trading strategies mein.

Aap sab ko trading mein achi kamiyabi ki duaa.

Jab yeh khatam ho jaye, to hum bechnay ka tajurba kar sakte hain. Ek choti si correction ke baad, mazid mazbooti ka silsila jari rahega. Shayad 169.30 ki range tak corrective growth ke baad girawat mazid barh jaaye, aur phir yeh bechne ka signal hoga. Agar hum 169.80 ki range ko torh lete hain, to yeh rate ke barhne ka signal hoga. 167.25 ki range mein support hai, aur wahan se rate ki mazbooti mil sakti hai. Growth jari hai, phir ek choti si neeche ki correction ke baad, growth ka silsila jari rahega, aur is surat mein hum 170.10 ki range tak barhne ka rujhan dekh sakte hain. Mojooda levels se girawat correction ke tor par jari reh sakti hai, magar aise correction ke baad growth mazid barhegi. Shayad mojooda levels se hum 169.03 ki range tak gir jaayein, aur phir aise breakdown ke baad girawat jari rahegi. Agar bears is mark ko push karne mein kamiyab ho jate hain, to hum shayad 159.33 ke support ki taraf quotes mein girawat dekhain. Jab tak qeemat moving average MA 46 ke neeche trade ho rahi hai, sales ko tarjeeh di jayegi. Agar qeemat is level tak wapas aati hai, to sales ki ahmiyat kam ho jayegi. Conservative trading pasand karne walon ke liye, main mashwara dunga ke 165.76 ke level ke neeche bechne par ghoor karein. Ek alternative yeh hai ke qeemat ko 171.55 ke level ke upar fix kar lein.


Yeh H-4 timeframe par EUR/JPY ka jaaiza hai, jo trading ke liye ahmiyat rakhta hai. Market ki observation aur trends ke samajhne ke saath-saath, critical support aur resistance zones ka tajziya karna zaroori hai. Jab bhi corrective movements ya breakouts hoti hain, traders ko in points par tawajjo deni chahiye. Support aur resistance ke levels ko samajh kar, trading decisions lena aur moving averages ke istemal se conservative trading karna munasib hoga. Agar bechne ka trend hai, to lower levels ke bechne par focus karna chahiye, aur agar barhne ka trend nazar aata hai, to higher levels par focus karna chahiye.