eur/jpy

EUR/JPY Market Analysis
28 August, 2024

Iss waqt EUR/JPY market mein buyers ka pressure kaafi strong lag raha hai, jise H1 timeframe mein ek lambi bullish candle ke zariye zahir kiya gaya hai. Lekin agar main overall EUR/JPY market situation ka jaiza loon, to yeh lagta hai ke market ab bhi bearish trend mein chal rahi hai. H1 timeframe ke mapping se yeh maloom hota hai ke resistance trend line yeh signal de rahi hai ke market ab bhi bearish trend situation mein hai.

Main yeh andaza lagata hoon ke buyers itni taqatwar nahi honge ke MA100 indicator ko tor saken, jo ke bearish trend ki ek strong defense hai. Main is intezar mein hoon ke sellers dobara EUR/JPY market mein enter karen aur EUR/JPY price ko neeche push karen. Yeh situation ek acha sell entry signal ban sakti hai, aur sellers ke paas yeh bohat bari opportunity hai ke woh EUR/JPY market par dobara control hasil kar saken aur bearish trend situation ko maintain karen.






Meri Trading Recommendations EUR/JPY Market Mein

Main yeh recommend karta hoon ke H1 timeframe se zahir hone wale bearish trend situation ko follow kiya jaye. Bhalay hi buyers ka pressure price ko upar le jane ki koshish kar raha hai, lekin main andaza lagata hoon ke yeh buyers zyada dair tak nahi tik payenge. Main is intezar mein hoon ke sellers dobara power ke sath market mein wapas ayen aur sell entry ka signal banayen. Mera andaza hai ke sellers EUR/JPY market ka control dobara hasil karenge aur price ko neeche push karenge, jab tak ke support 1 defense area ko tor kar bearish trend situation ko ensure kar sakein.

EURJPY D1 Analysis

Market Overview
EURJPY pair abhi daily timeframe par mazboot bullish trend dekh raha hai. Price action ne higher highs aur higher lows banaye hain, jo ke sustainable upward momentum ko zahir karte hain.

Key Levels

- Immediate Support: 160.37 - Ye level pehle bhi strong support ka kaam kar chuka hai aur agar temporary pullback hota hai to ye ek potential entry point ho sakta hai long positions ke liye.
- Strong Support:158.10 - Ye level deeper support zone ko represent karta hai aur ye ek significant level ho sakta hai potential bullish reversals ke liye.
- Immediate Resistance: 164.20 - Ye level resistance ka kaam kar raha hai, lekin current bullish momentum ko dekhte hue ye jaldi break ho sakta hai.
- Strong Resistance: 166.50 - Ye level pehle kaafi significant high tha aur ek strong resistance barrier ban sakta hai.

Indicators

- RSI (14): Abhi RSI 36.21 par hai, jo ke neutral territory mein hai aur ye indecision ko zahir karta hai. Lekin overall upward trend ye suggest karta hai ke agar RSI 50 level ke upar chala jata hai to ye further bullish momentum ka signal de sakta hai.
- **MACD (12,26,9):** MACD line abhi signal line ke upar cross kar rahi hai aur histogram positive turn ho raha hai, jo ke bullish trend ko confirm karta hai. Ye increasing bullish momentum ko zahir karta hai.

Order Blocks

- Potential Order Block: 160.37 - Ye level long positions ke liye potential order block ban sakta hai agar price is level par retrace hoti hai aur bullish reversal ke signs zahir kar rahi ho. Lekin given the current bullish momentum, ye kam mumkin lagta hai.
- Potential Order Block: 164.20 - Ye level short positions ke liye potential order block ban sakta hai agar price is level par retrace hoti hai aur bearish reversal ke signs zahir kar rahi ho. Lekin overall bullish trend ko dekhte hue, ye bhi kam mumkin lagta hai.

Best Areas for Buying and Selling

- Buy: Ek potential buy entry consider ki ja sakti hai agar price 160.37 support level tak pull back hoti hai aur bullish reversal ke signs zahir karti hai, jaise ke ek bullish engulfing candle ya higher low.
- Sell: Selling opportunities limited hain due to strong bullish trend. Lekin ek potential sell entry consider ki ja sakti hai agar price 164.20 resistance level par ek bearish engulfing pattern banata hai, lekin ye current bullish outlook ko invalidate kar sakta hai.

Additional Considerations
EURJPY pair ek strong uptrend mein hai, aur traders ko long positions par focus karna chahiye sath hi proper risk management ke sath. Zaroori hai ke RSI ko divergence ke signs ke liye monitor karein aur MACD ko kisi bhi potential bearish signals ke liye. Order blocks par bhi nazar rakhna zaroori hai potential trading opportunities ke liye.

EUR/JPY D1 Chart Analysis

Monday ki subah European trading mein euro Japanese yen ke muqable mein kamzor hua, jahan EUR/JPY pair 160.70 ke aas paas trade kar raha tha. Ye downward movement zyada tar Bank of Japan ke Governor Kazuo Ueda ke dovish comments ki wajah se hui, jo yen ko support karte hue uske counterparts par pressure dal rahe the. Ueda ne apni commitment ko dobara se zahir kiya ke agar inflation 2% ke target se upar rehta hai to wo interest rates ko badhane ke liye tayar hain. Economists expect karte hain ke rate hike is saal hoga, lekin zyada logon ka ye maanna hai ke ye December mein hoga na ke October mein. BOJ ke further monetary tightening ki speculation ne yen ki value ko euro ke muqable mein badhawa diya hai.






Eurozone mein, investors harmonized consumer price index (HICP) data ka intezar kar rahe the jo August ke liye release hona tha. Ye inflation report European Central Bank (ECB) ke September mein interest rate decision ke baare mein insights de sakti hai. Jab ke inflation August mein 2.3% year-on-year tak slow hone ka andaza lagaya gaya tha, ECB ke baare mein ab bhi ye expectation hai ke wo is saal ke baqi hisse mein rate cuts continue karega. Is expectation ne euro par kuch selling pressure daala. ECB Governing Council ke member Olli Rehn ne is sentiment ko echo kiya, ke eurozone ki kamzor hoti economy aur slow hoti inflation borrowing costs ko kam karne ke case ko mazid strong banati hai aane wale mahine mein.

Abhi tak, price apne upward trajectory mein hai aur koi significant downward correction ke signs nazar nahi aa rahe. Ye sustained movement ye suggest karta hai ke bullish momentum abhi tak strong hai, aur buyers ke agle levels par aim karne ki umeed hai. Jab tak price recently broken resistance ke upar rehti hai, jo ke ab support ka kaam kar rahi hai, bullish trend continue hone ki umeed hai. Traders ko kisi bhi reversal ya correction ke signals ko nazar mein rakhna chahiye, lekin filhaal downward pressure ki kami ye zahir karti hai ke market abhi bhi bulls ke favor mein hai. 162.444 level ke aas paas price behavior ko monitor karna, EMA 50 aur EMA 100 ke sath, crucial hoga is trend ki strength ko assess karne ke liye aur informed trading decisions lene ke liye. Summary mein, EUR/JPY pair abhi H1 timeframe par ek strong bullish phase mein hai, jahan key technical indicators aur price action mazid upward movement ko support kar rahe hain. 162.444 resistance level ke upar breakout, jo sustained buyer pressure ki wajah se hua, gains ke mazid chances ko reinforce karta hai, agar unexpected market shifts na hon. 156.530 ka support level jo ke recent past mein considerable strength dikhaya hai, ye wo jagah hai jahan price ruk jati hai aur aksar direction change karti hai.

EUR/JPY D1 Chart Analysis

Euro Japanese yen ke muqable mein kamzor hua jab Monday ko European trading shuru hui, jahan EUR/JPY pair 160.70 ke level ke qareeb trade kar raha tha. Is downward movement ka sabse bara sabab Bank of Japan ke Governor Kazuo Ueda ke dovish comments the, jin se yen ko support mila aur uske mukable mein euro pe pressure aaya. Ueda ne apni commitment ka izhar kiya ke agar inflation 2% ke target se zyada rehti hai to wo interest rates ko barhane ke liye tayar hain. Halankeh economists ka ye andaza hai ke rate hike is saal hoga, lekin unka ye bhi maanna hai ke ye December mein zyada mumkin hai na ke October mein. BOJ ke taraf se monetary tightening ke hawaley se barhtay hue andazay ne yen ki qeemat ko euro ke muqable mein mazid mazboot kar diya hai.

Eurozone mein, investors harmonized consumer price index (HICP) data ka intezar kar rahe hain jo August ke liye release hona tha. Ye inflation report European Central Bank (ECB) ke September mein interest rate decision ke hawaley se insights de sakti hai. Jab ke inflation ka andaza lagaya gaya hai ke August mein 2.3% year-on-year tak slow ho sakti hai, ECB ab bhi ye expect kar raha hai ke wo is saal ke baqi hisse mein rate cuts ka silsila jari rakhega. Is expectation ne euro par selling pressure dala hai. ECB Governing Council ke member Olli Rehn ne is baat ko dobara se highlight kiya ke eurozone ki kamzor hoti hui economy aur slow hoti hui inflation, borrowing costs ko kam karne ka case mazid mazboot banati hai aane wale mahine mein.





Dusri taraf, Tuesday ko early European trading mein Euro (EUR) ne Japanese Yen (JPY) ke muqable mein apni position barqarar rakhi, aur yeh 161.60 level ke qareeb trade ho raha tha. Yen ki kamzori ka sabab Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke future monetary policy par be-yakeeni thi, kyun ke Governor Kazuo Ueda ke dovish comments ne interest rate adjustments par wazeh rehnumai nahi di. Japan ke Tokyo Consumer Price Index (CPI) ke upcoming release aur Middle East mein ongoing geopolitical tensions bhi EUR/JPY pair par asar andaz ho rahe hain. CPI data se BoJ ke future monetary policy ke hawalay se kuch andazay lagaye ja sakte hain, lekin Middle East mein badhne wali tensions safe-haven flows ko barha sakti hain aur Yen ko mazboot kar sakti hain.

Iske ilawa, European Central Bank (ECB) ne apni interest rate hike cycle mein potential pause ka signal diya hai. ECB Chief Economist Philip Lane ne price pressures ko control karne mein progress ka zikar kiya lekin ye bhi acknowledge kiya ke 2% inflation target abhi bhi uncertain hai. Ye suggest karta hai ke ECB kuch arsay ke liye apni current interest rate levels ko barqarar rakh sakta hai. Germany ke Q2 GDP data aur Eurozone inflation figures ke aane wale releases bhi market participants ke liye qabil-e-deed honge. Agar GDP reading weak nikli to is se euro par pressure par sakta hai, jab ke zyada inflation expectations ko mazid ECB rate hikes ki ummed mazboot kar sakti hai.

EUR/JPY Currency Pair Analysis:
EUR/JPY currency pair ne kal ek significant decline experience kiya, jisse pair 174.20 mark ke neeche gir gaya. Yeh movement corrective phase ki taraf iski capitulation ko signal karti hai, jo iske recent trading pattern mein ek notable shift hai. Pair ne substantial losses suffer kiye, approximately 170.383 tak plunge karte hue. Yeh drop currency pair ke liye ek critical juncture represent karta hai, kyun ke yeh ek pivotal support level ke qareeb approach kar raha hai jo currently 173.90-173.73 ke around stable hai.
Yeh support zone EUR/JPY pair ki future direction ko determine karne ke liye crucial hai. Traders aur analysts pair ke behavior ko closely monitor karenge jab yeh is barrier ke sath interact karega. Is support level ki importance ko overstate nahi kiya ja sakta, kyun ke yeh market mein overall trend ke liye ek critical indicator serve karta hai. Agar pair successfully test karke is support ke upar hold karta hai, to yeh iski value mein ek potential rebound ya stabilization ko suggest kar sakta hai. Conversely, agar yeh level breach hota hai to further declines aur corrective trend ki continuation ko signal kar sakta hai.
Recent decline in EUR/JPY pair ko kai factors se attribute kiya ja sakta hai. Market sentiment ko economic data, geopolitical events, aur monetary policy expectations mein changes ke combination ne influence kiya hai. Euro aur yen, as major currencies, aise developments ke liye sensitive hain, aur unki exchange rate broader economic landscape ko reflect karti hai.
Pichle hafton mein, forex market mein increased volatility dekhi gayi hai, jo varying expectations regarding interest rates, inflation, aur economic growth in both the Eurozone aur Japan se driven hai. European Central Bank (ECB) aur Bank of Japan (BoJ) ne different monetary policy stances adopt kiye hain, jahan ECB rising inflation ke response mein gradually tightening policy ko follow kar raha hai, wahin BoJ ek more accommodative approach ko maintain karta hai taake economic growth ko stimulate kiya ja sake. Yeh divergent policies EUR/JPY pair mein fluctuations create kar rahi hain, jo recent downward movement mein contribute kar rahi hain.
Jaise traders agle steps assess karte hain, EUR/JPY pair ka behavior around the 173.90-173.73 support level critical hoga. Ek successful test aur is level se rebound yeh indicate kar sakta hai ke pair ek floor find kar raha hai, jo ek potential recovery ki taraf lead kar sakta hai. Yeh scenario yeh suggest karega ke corrective phase apne end ke qareeb hai, aur pair apni upward trajectory ko resume kar sakta hai.
Doosri taraf, agar pair is support ke upar hold karne mein fail hota hai, to yeh further declines ko lead kar sakta hai, jo market mein bearish sentiment ko reinforce karega. Aise case mein, traders additional support levels ko dekh sakte hain aur accordingly apni strategies ko adjust kar sakte hain.
EUR/JPY currency pair key support levels ki importance ko forex trading mein highlight karta hai. Pair ka behavior around the 173.90-173.73 support zone uski future direction ke bare mein valuable insights provide karega. Traders ko vigilant rehna chahiye, technical indicators aur broader economic factors dono ko consider karte hue, taake is dynamic market environment mein informed decisions le sakein

Exchange Rate Forecast for EUR/JPY

Yeh chart EUR/JPY ki price action analysis ko dikhata hai. Aaj America mein chutti hai, isliye market mein activity hona zyada mumkin nahi lagta. Lekin phir bhi, yeh pair dilchaspi ka sabab ban sakta hai. Moujooda surat-e-haal kuch asaan nahi hai, lekin agar hum global direction ko madde nazar rakhen, to ab tak mein sirf northern movement ko hi consider kar raha hoon. Mera ahem target 167.38 ka resistance level hai; agar buyers ne initiative apne haath mein le liya, to hum waqai mein ek mazboot northern movement dekh sakte hain.

Kayi hafton se, zyada tar market participants ne US dollar wale pairs par ghari band rakhi hai, aur EUR/JPY aise lagta hai jaise woh sidelines par hai, apni sideways movement ko barqarar rakhta hai, jo ke current horizontal channel ke daira mein hai, jahan levels 159.35 aur 162.42 ke darmiyan movement ho rahi hai.






Is sideways movement ke saath market mein entry lena kaafi mushkil hai, halaan ke aap chhote segments mein trading karne ki koshish kar sakte hain. Purchases ko confirm karne ke liye, mein MACD oscillator ka istemal karta hoon. Chart se zahir hota hai ke oscillator histogram 0 se upar hai, isliye mein purchases par munafa kamane ki umeed rakhta hoon. Mein 160.68 ke level se rise consider kar raha hoon. Filhal bulls ne initiative apne haath mein rakha hai aur quotes ko yellow moving average se upar le aaye hain, jo ke ek signal hai ke growth ka silsila barqarar reh sakta hai, aur horizontal channel ke upper border par 162.42 ke level tak kaam kiya ja sakta hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai, to mein purchases consider karunga, ek lambi upward movement ki umeed mein, jisme targets 167.38 ke area mein honge aur beech ka resistance level 164.90 hoga. Filhal sales consider nahi ki ja rahin, kyun ke Japanese currency ka mazid mazboot hona kaafi na-mumkin lagta hai.

Is waqt, price apni upward trajectory continue kar rahi hai, aur koi significant downward correction ka sign nahi hai. Ye sustained movement ye suggest karti hai ke bullish momentum abhi bhi strong hai, aur buyers zyada higher levels ki taraf target kar rahe hain. Jab tak price recently broken resistance ke upar rahegi, jo ke ab support ke taur par kaam kar rahi hai, bullish trend continue rehne ki umeed hai. Traders ko kisi bhi potential signals ka dhyan rakhna chahiye jo ke reversal ya correction ke liye ho, lekin ab tak downward pressure ka koi sign nahi hai jo ye darshata ho ke market abhi bhi bulls ko favor kar rahi hai. Price behavior ko 162.444 level, EMA 50, aur EMA 100 ke aas paas monitor karna bohot zaroori hoga taake trend ki strength ko assess kiya ja sake aur informed trading decisions liye ja sake. Summary mein, EUR/JPY pair is waqt H1 timeframe par strong bullish phase mein hai, jahan key technical indicators aur price action further upward movement ko support kar rahe hain. 162.444 resistance level ke upar breakout, jo ke sustained buyer pressure ke zariye hua, continued gains ki possibility ko reinforce karta hai, jab tak koi unexpected market shifts na ho. 156.530 par jo support level hai usne recent past mein considerable strength dikhayi hai. Ek support level wo hota hai jahan price girna band karti hai aur aksar apni direction change karti hai. Iss case mein, price pehle is level se bounce back hui thi, jo ke indicate karta hai ke yeh phir se hold kar sakta hai. Iss historical performance ko dekhte hue, mein plan kar raha hoon ke iss level par buy position enter karoon. Is faislay ka rationale yeh hai ke price 156.530 se rebound karegi aur phir se upar jayegi. Meri strategy yeh hai ke mein iss buy position ko hold karoon jab tak ke price pehle ke high 164.730 ko touch nahi karti. Yeh high ek significant resistance point represent karta hai jahan price ko pehle move karne mein struggle hui thi. Agar price is level ko hit karti hai, toh mein yeh samjhoonga ke yeh profits lock in karne ka acha mauqa haha

Euro ki qeemat Monday ke soba European trading ke doran Japanese yen ke muqablay mein kamzor hui, aur EUR/JPY pair takreeban 160.70 level par trade kar rahi thi. Yeh neeche ki janib harakat zyada tar Bank of Japan ke Governor Kazuo Ueda ke dovish comments ki wajah se hui, jis ne yen ko support diya aur is ke muqablay mein doosri currencies par bojh dala. Ueda ne apni commitment ko dohraya ke agar inflation 2% target se upar rehta hai to woh interest rates barhane ke liye taiyyar hain. Economists ki raaye mein iss saal rate hike hone ke imkaanaat hain, lekin ziada logon ka khayal hai ke yeh hike December mein hoga, October mein nahi. BOJ ke mazeed monetary tightening ke imkaanaat ne yen ki qeemat euro ke muqablay mein barhadi hai.

Eurozone mein, investors August ke harmonized consumer price index (HICP) data ke intizar mein thay. Yeh inflation report European Central Bank (ECB) ke September mein hone wale interest rate faislay par asar dal sakti hai. Tawakoat hain ke August mein inflation 2.3% year-on-year ke hisaab se kam hui hai, lekin ECB se is baat ka umeed hai ke woh baaqi saal ke dauran rates ko kam karte rahengay. Is umeed ne euro par kuch selling pressure dala hai. ECB Governing Council ke member Olli Rehn ne is baat ka izhar kiya ke kamzor hoti hui eurozone economy aur kam hota inflation ussoorat ko mazid mazbooti deta hai ke borrowing costs aane walay maheeno mein kam kiya jayega.






EUR/JPY Chart Analysis

July mein EUR/JPY pair ne ek tezi se neeche ka rukh ikhtiyar kiya, jisme 32 saalon ke buland point 175.41 se gir kar 6 August ko 154.34 ka lowest point dekha gaya. Uske baad se, pair dobara upar jane ki koshish kar rahi hai, lekin uski upward momentum 200-day simple moving average (SMA) ke qareeb ruk gayi hai. Agar bearish sentiment barqarar rehti hai, to 160.40 ka qareebi support level ek rukawat ke tor par kaam kar sakta hai. Mazeed girawat ka imkaan 158.06 ke February ke low par roka ja sakta hai. Agar pair 158.06 ke upar rehne mein nakam hota hai, to yeh 155.05 ke January low ko challenge kar sakta hai, aur 2024 ke 6 August ko banne wale 154.34 ke low ko dobara test kar sakta hai.

Doosri taraf, agar pair 200-day SMA ke upar break kar leta hai, to ek potential recovery ke liye rasta khul sakta hai. March ka resistance level 165.34 ek aham rukawat ban sakta hai. Is resistance ko paar karne ke liye, bulls ko pair ko June ke support level 167.50 ke upar push karna hoga, jo ke mustaqbil mein ek resistance barrier ke tor par kaam kar sakta hai.

EUR/JPY Currency Pair Analysis: EUR/JPY currency pair ne kal ek significant decline experience kiya, jisse pair 174.20 mark ke neeche gir gaya. Yeh movement corrective phase ki taraf iski capitulation ko signal karti hai, jo iske recent trading pattern mein ek notable shift hai. Pair ne substantial losses suffer kiye, approximately 170.383 tak plunge karte hue. Yeh drop currency pair ke liye ek critical juncture represent karta hai, kyun ke yeh ek pivotal support level ke qareeb approach kar raha hai jo currently 173.90-173.73 ke around stable hai.
Yeh support zone EUR/JPY pair ki future direction ko determine karne ke liye crucial hai. Traders aur analysts pair ke behavior ko closely monitor karenge jab yeh is barrier ke sath interact karega. Is support level ki importance ko overstate nahi kiya ja sakta, kyun ke yeh market mein overall trend ke liye ek critical indicator serve karta hai. Agar pair successfully test karke is support ke upar hold karta hai, to yeh iski value mein ek potential rebound ya stabilization ko suggest kar sakta hai. Conversely, agar yeh level breach hota hai to further declines aur corrective trend ki continuation ko signal kar sakta hai.
Recent decline in EUR/JPY pair ko kai factors se attribute kiya ja sakta hai. Market sentiment ko economic data, geopolitical events, aur monetary policy expectations mein changes ke combination ne influence kiya hai. Euro aur yen, as major currencies, aise developments ke liye sensitive hain, aur unki exchange rate broader economic landscape ko reflect karti hai.
Pichle hafton mein, forex market mein increased volatility dekhi gayi hai, jo varying expectations regarding interest rates, inflation, aur economic growth in both the Eurozone aur Japan se driven hai. European Central Bank (ECB) aur Bank of Japan (BoJ) ne different monetary policy stances adopt kiye hain, jahan ECB rising inflation ke response mein gradually tightening policy ko follow kar raha hai, wahin BoJ ek more accommodative approach ko maintain karta hai taake economic growth ko stimulate kiya ja sake. Yeh divergent policies EUR/JPY pair mein fluctuations create kar rahi hain, jo recent downward movement mein contribute kar rahi hain.
Jaise traders agle steps assess karte hain, EUR/JPY pair ka behavior around the 173.90-173.73 support level critical hoga. Ek successful test aur is level se rebound yeh indicate kar sakta hai ke pair ek floor find kar raha hai, jo ek potential recovery ki taraf lead kar sakta hai. Yeh scenario yeh suggest karega ke corrective phase apne end ke qareeb hai, aur pair apni upward trajectory ko resume kar sakta hai.
Doosri taraf, agar pair is support ke upar hold karne mein fail hota hai, to yeh further declines ko lead kar sakta hai, jo market mein bearish sentiment ko reinforce karega. Aise case mein, traders additional support levels ko dekh sakte hain aur accordingly apni strategies ko adjust kar sakte hain.
EUR/JPY currency pair key support levels ki importance ko forex trading mein highlight karta hai. Pair ka behavior around the 173.90-173.73 support zone uski future direction ke bare mein valuable insights provide karega. Traders ko vigilant rehna chahiye, technical indicators aur broader economic factors dono ko consider karte hue, taake is dynamic market environment mein informed decisions le sakein

BoJ ka Moqaf: Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke Governor Kazuo Ueda ne dobarah se yeh wazeh kiya ke agar mehengai musalsal 2% ke hadf ko chhu legi, toh BoJ sudi sharah ko barhane ke liye tayar hai. Yeh moqaf BoJ ki ihtiyaati rawayya ko dikhata hai jo ke iktisadi mustahkammiat aur mehengai ke maqasid ke darmiyan tawazun barqarar rakhta hai. Halankeh Japan ki maeeshat ne kaafi arse se kam mehengai ka samna kiya hai, magar haaliya data yeh isharah de raha hai ke mehengai barh sakti hai, jo ke BoJ ko karwai karne par majboor kar sakti hai. Ueda ke bayanat yeh zahir karte hain ke BoJ mehengai ke rujhanat par nazar rakhe hue hai. Agar mehengai hadf ki janib barhti rahi, toh yeh iktisadi rawayya mein sakhti la sakti hai, jo ke Japanese Yen ko support karaygi. Lekin Japan ke lambi muddat se kam mehengai ke dor ko dekhte hue, BoJ dheere se agay badhne ka imkaan hai, taake kisi bhi rate hike se iktisadi bahali ko nuqsan na ho.
ECB ka Moqaf: Europe ke silsile mein, ECB ke policymaker Martins Kazaks ne September ke meeting mein aik aur sudi sharah barhane ke irade ka izhar kiya. ECB Eurozone mein zyada mehengai se larna raha hai, aur pehle bhi sudi sharah mein izafa kiya gaya tha taake price pressures ko kam kiya ja sake. Kazaks ke bayanat yeh darshate hain ke ECB ab bhi mehengai ke khatrat par fikarmand hai aur zaroorat parne par mazeed karwai ke liye tayar hai. ECB ka yeh sakht rawayya BoJ ke ziyada ihtiyaat se kaam lene ke rawayya ke baraks hai, jo ke aisi surat hal paida kar sakta hai jahan Euro, Yen ke muqable mein mazid taqatwar ho sakta hai agar ECB sudi sharah barhata raha aur BoJ apni rawayya mein narmi rakhe.

Bazaar ka Rad-e-Amal aur Aindah Ka Manzar Nama: BoJ aur ECB ke darmiyan iktisadi rawayyon ke tajziyaati tafreeq ne EUR/JPY pair mein utar chadhav paida kiya hai. Jahan yeh pair 161.95 ke qareeb momentum kho raha hai, yeh dono central banks ke updates ke liye hassas hai. Agar BoJ tightening ki taraf ishara karta hai, toh yeh mazid mazboot Yen ko paida kar sakta hai, jo ke pair ko neeche dhakel sakta hai. Iske baraks, agar ECB apne sakht rawayya par qayam rehta hai, toh Euro, Yen ke muqable mein mazid faida utha sakta hai. Traders ko aanewale iktisadi data aur central bank ke meetings par nazar rakhni chahiye taake EUR/JPY pair ke aindah rujhan ke bare mein andaaza lagaya ja sake.

Ikhtisaar mein, EUR/JPY ka haali performance BoJ ke ihtiyaati rawayya aur ECB ke proactive interest rates ke darmiyan ke is jhapat jhapat ko zahir karta hai. Is pair ka aindah rujhan Japan aur Eurozone ke iktisadi manzar name mein honay wale tabadlat par mabni hoga.

ka Moqaf: Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke Governor Kazuo Ueda ne dobarah se yeh wazeh kiya ke agar mehengai musalsal 2% ke hadf ko chhu legi, toh BoJ sudi sharah ko barhane ke liye tayar hai. Yeh moqaf BoJ ki ihtiyaati rawayya ko dikhata hai jo ke iktisadi zasemmiat aur mehengai ke maqasid ke darmiyan tawazun barqarar rakhta hai. Halankeh Japan ki maeeshat ne kaafi arse se kam mehengai ka samna kiya hai, magar haaliya data yeh isharah de raha hai ke mehengai barh sakti hai, jo ke BoJ ko karwai karne par majboor kar sakti hai. Ueda ke bayanat yeh zahir karte hain ke BoJ mehengai ke rujhanat par nazar rakhe hue hai. Agar mehengai hadf ki janib barhti rahi, toh yeh iktisadi rawayya mein sakhti la sakti hai, jo ke Japanese Yen ko support karaygi. Lekin Japan ke lambi muddat se kam mehengai ke dor ko dekhte hue, BoJ dheere se agay badhne ka imkaan hai, taake kisi bhi rate hike se iktisadi bahali ko nuqsan na ho. ECB ka Moqaf: Europe ke silsile mein, ECB ke policymaker Martins Kazaks ne September ke meeting mein aik aur sudi sharah barhane ke irade ka izhar kiya. ECB Eurozone mein zyada mehengai se larna raha hai, aur pehle bhi sudi sharah mein izafa kiya gaya tha taake price pressures ko kam kiya ja sake. Kazaks ke bayanat yeh darshate hain ke ECB ab bhi mehengai ke khatrat par fikarmand hai aur zaroorat parne par mazeed karwai ke liye tayar hai. ECB ka yeh sakht rawayya BoJ ke ziyada ihtiyaat se kaam lene ke rawayya ke baraks hai, jo ke aisi surat hal paida kar sakta hai jahan Euro, Yen ke muqable mein mazid taqatwar ho sakta hai agar ECB sudi sharah barhata raha aur BoJ apni rawayya mein narmi rakhe.

Bazaar ka Rad-e-Amal aur Aindah Ka Manzar Nama: BoJ aur ECB ke darmiyan iktisadi rawayyon ke tajziyaati tafreeq ne EUR/JPY pair mein utar chadhav paida kiya hai. Jahan yeh pair 161.95 ke qareeb momentum kho raha hai, yeh dono central banks ke updates ke liye hassa hai. Agar BoJ tightening ki taraf ishara karta hai, toh yeh mazid mazboot Yen ko paida kar sakta hai, jo ke pair ko neeche dhakel sakta hai. Iske baraks, agar ECB apne sakht rawayya par qayam rehta hai, toh Euro, Yen ke muqable mein mazid faida utha sakta hai. Traders ko aanewale iktisadi data aur central bank ke meetings par nazar rakhni chahiye taake EUR/JPY pair ke aindah rujhan ke bare mein andaaza lagaya ja sake

Euro (EUR) ne Japanese Yen (JPY) ke muqablay mein khasi qeemat mein izafa dekha jab ke eurozone ke July ke inflation data release hua. Yeh data economists ki umeed ke mutabiq tha, jis ne euro ki qeemat ko mazid barhawa diya. German aur Spanish inflation rates tawako se neeche aye, lekin kul milakar eurozone ka inflation figure market expectations ke mutabiq raha. Eurozone ka annual consumer price index (CPI) August mein 2.2% tak barh gaya, jo ke July ke 2.6% se neeche tha. Yeh July 2021 ke baad se sabse kam inflation rate hai, aur yeh euro aur EUR/JPY pair ke liye ek positive development hai. Is behtri ke bawajood, European Central Bank (ECB) se yehi umeed hai ke woh interest rates cut karne mein dheere aur ehtiyaat se kaam legi. Eurozone mein longer-term interest rates ke zyada hone se foreign capital inflows ko attract karne mein madad mil sakti hai, jo ke euro ki qeemat ko mazeed support dega. Halankeh inflation mein kami aayi hai, lekin khatrey ab bhi mojood hain, khaaskar services inflation aur wage growth ke hawale se. ECB ka "cautious and gradual" approach elevated services inflation rate aur 2024 ke doosray hissa mein projected high wage growth ki wajah se hai.





EUR/JPY Chart Analysis

EUR/JPY ab bhi dabao mein hai, aur neeche ki janib harakat ka imkaan barqarar hai. Pair ne jo 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) par 164.00 ke upar break karne ki koshish ki thi, woh nakam rahi, jo ke sustainable upward momentum ki kami ko zahir karti hai. Aik broader perspective se dekha jaye to EUR/JPY ne multi-year high 157.37 se gir kar seven-month low 154.40 tak pohanch gaya, jo ke takreeban 12% ki kami hai. Halankeh pair ne 160.35 ke support level se rebound kiya hai, lekin technical oscillators yeh batate hain ke momentum ab bhi kamzor hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) abhi neutral threshold 50 ke thoda upar hai, aur Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) apni trigger line ke upar hai lekin negative territory mein. Upward movement 162.30 par, jo ke downward wave 175.37 se 154.40 tak ke 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level hai, ke upar immediate resistance ka samna kar sakti hai. Aik zyada significant resistance zone 164.00 aur 164.80 (50.0% Fibonacci level) ke darmiyan hai. Agar yeh area break hota hai to focus 50-day moving average par shift ho jaye ga, jo ke 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level 167.20 ke sath coincide karta hai.

EUR/JPY Currency Pair Mein Dobara Izafa

Euro aur Japanese Yen (EUR/JPY) ke darmiyan aik bar phir izafa dekha gaya hai, jo ke budh ke din Asian trading session mein teen din ke nuqsan ke silsile ko tor kar aya hai. Yeh izafa zyada tor par Japanese Yen ki kamzori ki wajah se hai, jo ke Japan ke trade balance data se mutasir hua.

EUR/JPY Currency Pair Ko Samajhna
EUR/JPY:Yeh Euro (EUR) jo ke Eurozone ki currency hai, aur Japanese Yen (JPY) jo ke Japan ki currency hai, ke darmiyan exchange rate hai. Is pair mein herakat in do regions ke economic outlooks ko zahir karti hai.

Yen Ki Kamzori Ke Asbaab
Trade Balance: Japan ke merchandise trade balance ne July ke liye 621.84 billion yen ka deficit report kiya, jo ke June mein record hue surplus ka ulat hai. Trade balance se murad kisi mulk ke exports aur imports ke darmiyan farq hota hai.

Deficit Ki Ahmiyat: Yeh deficit, halankeh market ki tawako se kam hai, magar is saal ka paanchwaan musalsal deficit hai.

Exports Aur Imports Mein Tafreeq: Imports aur exports ke darmiyan yeh imbalance, jisme imports zyada hain, Yen ki qeemat mein kami ka sabab ban raha hai. Yani, Japan zyada maal import kar raha hai banisbat ke export karne ke, jo ke Yen ko kamzor kar raha hai.

Yen Par Asar Daalne Wale Interest Rate Expectations
Bank of Japan (BoJ):Yen ki depreciation ko Bank of Japan ke potential interest rate hikes ke barhne wale expectations ne kuch had tak rok rakha hai.

Economic Poll: Aik halya Reuters poll ke mutabiq, adha se zyada economists ka khayal hai ke saal ke akhir tak rate increase ho sakta hai.

Governor Ka Elan:BoJ ke governor, Kazuo Ueda, jumma ke din parliament mein halya rate hike decision par guftagu karne wale hain.







Eurozone Ki Economic Insights
Eurozone mein market participants European Central Bank (ECB) ke interest rates mein ahista ahista kami ka intezar kar rahe hain. Magar, ECB ke officials inflationary pressures ki wajah se kisi khaas timeline ka elan karne mein ehtiyaat barat rahe hain.

Consumer Price Index (CPI) Ka Tajziya
HICP Data: Harmonized Consumer Price Index (HICP) ke July ke liye data ne kisi maheene mein tabdeeli nahi dikhai, jo ke tawako ke mutabiq tha. HICP Eurozone mein inflation ko map karta hai.

EUR/JPY Pair Ko Asar Daalne Wale Ahm Asbaab
Diverging Economic Outlooks:
Eurozone Ke Challenges: Eurozone musalsal challenges ka samna kar raha hai, jisme sust growth aur high inflation shamil hain, magar ECB ke tightening ke expectations ki wajah se Euro mein kuch resilience dekha gaya hai.

Haly Economic Data: Industrial production aur trade balances mein behter figures ne Euro ko kuch support diya hai, halankeh economic slowdown ke hawale se concerns ne gains ko mitigate kiya hai.

Japan Ka Economic Mahol:
BoJ Ki Monetary Policy: Japan ki economy par BoJ ki ultra-loose monetary policy ka asar hai, jo ke low-interest rates ko barqarar rakhti hai aur bond-buying program jari rakhti hai, jiski wajah se Yen par dabao hai.

Yield Curve Control Policy: Haly speculation jo ke BoJ ki yield curve control policy mein tabdeeli par ki gayi hai, ne Yen ke performance mein kuch volatility ka sabab bana hai, jab ke traders kisi bhi tabdeeli ke imkaan aur uske asar ka tajziya kar rahe hain.

Nateeja
Akhir mein, EUR/JPY currency pair dono Eurozone aur Japan ki economic conditions se mutasir hota hai, jisme key factors har region ki monetary policy, trade balance, aur inflation data hain. Haly developments ek complex interplay ka izhar karte hain jo ke in respective currencies ki strength ya weakness par asar dalte hain.

**EUR/JPY Ka Exchange Rate Forecast**

Yeh chart EUR/JPY ka price action analysis dikhata hai. Aaj, America mein chhutti hone ki wajah se, market mein activity hona shayad mushkil hai. Dusri taraf, yeh pair interesting ho sakta hai. Maujooda surat-e-haal itni aasan nahi hai, lekin agar hum global direction ko madde nazar rakhein, to filhaal sirf northern movement ko consider kar raha hoon. Main target ek important resistance level 167.38 hai; agar buyers apni initiative le lete hain, to hum dekh sakte hain ke north ki taraf kaafi strong movement ho sakti hai. Kuch hafton se, zyada tar market participants US dollar wale pairs ko closely monitor kar rahe hain, aur EUR/JPY side mein chala gaya hai, apni sideways movement ko 159.35 aur 162.42 ke horizontal channel ke boundaries ke andar continue kar raha hai.

**Sideways Movement aur Entry**

Is sideways movement ke sath, market mein entry paana kaafi mushkil hai, lekin aap short segments par trade karne ki koshish kar sakte hain. Purchases ko confirm karne ke liye, main MACD oscillator use karta hoon. Chart se pata chalta hai ke oscillator histogram 0 ke upar hai, isliye main purchases se profit ki umeed rakhta hoon. Main 160.68 ke level se upar uthane ko consider kar raha hoon. Filhaal, bulls initiative pakad ke quotes ko yellow moving average ke upar le aaye hain, jo ke signal ho sakta hai ke growth continue ho sakti hai, aur upper border of the horizontal channel at level 162.42 ko test karne ka signal hai. Agar yeh level breakout hota hai, to main purchases consider karunga, long upward movement ke liye, jiska target 167.38 ke area mein aur intermediate resistance level 164.90 par hoga. Is stage par sales consider nahi ki ja rahi hain kyunke Japanese currency ka further strengthening bahut unlikely lagta hai.

Euro (EUR) ne Japanese Yen (JPY) ke muqablay mein kaafi zyada izafa dekha, jab eurozone ka inflation data July ke liye release hua. Yeh data economists ke expectations ke sath milta hai, jisne euro ki value ko barhawa diya. Jabke German aur Spanish inflation rates umeed se kam rahi, eurozone ka overall inflation figure market ke expectations ke sath mil gaya. Eurozone ka annual consumer price index (CPI) August mein 2.2% barh gaya, jo July mein 2.6% se kam hai. Yeh July 2021 ke baad ka sabse kam inflation rate hai aur euro aur EUR/JPY pair ke liye positive development hai. Is behtari ke bawajood, European Central Bank (ECB) ki umeed hai ke wo dheere dheere aur ehtiyaat se interest rate cuts ka amal karegi. Eurozone mein lambay arse ke liye zyada interest rates foreign capital inflows ko attract kar sakti hain, jo euro ki value ko mazeed barhawa de sakti hai. Halankeh inflation kam hui hai, kuch risks ab bhi hain, khaaskar services inflation aur wage growth ke hawale se. ECB ki "ehtiyaat aur dheere dheere" approach elevated services inflation rate aur 2024 ke doosray half mein high wage growth ke expected hone ki wajah se hai.

EUR/JPY abhi bhi dabao mein hai, aur iske niche jani ke khatarat hain. Pair ka 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) 164.00 ke upar break karne ka recent koshish nakam rahi, jo sustained upward momentum ki kami ko darshata hai. Barray nazariye se, EUR/JPY ne ek multi-year high 157.37 se lekar ek saat mahine ke low 154.40 tak ka significant decline dekha, jo lagbhag 12% ka girawat hai. Jabke pair ne 160.35 ke support level se rebound kiya, technical oscillators yeh suggest karte hain ke momentum ab bhi kamzor hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) neutral threshold 50 ke upar hai, aur Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) apne trigger line ke upar hai lekin negative territory mein hai. Upar ki movement ko foran resistance ka samna karna par sakta hai at 162.30, jo 175.37 se 154.40 tak ke downward wave ka 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level hai. Zyada significant resistance zone 164.00 aur 164.80 (50.0% Fibonacci level) ke beech hai. Agar is area ke upar break hota hai to focus 50-day moving average par shift ho sakta hai, jo 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level at 167.20 ke sath milta hai.