gold

Main apni tajziati rujhanat mein sab se qeemti items ka ghor se jaiza leta hoon. Pehlay, mein bazar ke goomgoi ka intezar karta tha pehlay ke decision lun. Abhi, 4 ghantay ke chart par, currency ka qeemat RSI 70 level aur uptrend line ke ooper trade kar rahi hai, jo ke qeemat ke trajectory ko tasdeeq karti hai. Bazar ki rates mazeed ooper jane ke liye taiyar hain, ek breakdown ke baad H4 time frame par niche jati line nazar aati hai, jo regional highs ke post-examination ko zahir karti hai. Is test ke baad, ek subsequent growth surge dekhne ko mili. Yeh bohot zaroori hai ke strong resistance level 2365 ke ird gird harakat ko ghor se dekha jaye.
Gold ke qeemat ne apni recovery momentum ko Monday ke Asian session ke doran kho diya. Federal Reserve ke hawkish remarks aur speculation ke wajah se ke Fed apne easing plans ko delay kar sakta hai, greenback ko boost mila aur US dollar-denominated gold neeche gir gaya. Halaanke, gold ke qeemat us din positive trade hui, bullishness ko barqarar rakha kyun ke woh daily time frame par key 100-day exponential moving average ke ooper rahi. Qareebi muddat mein, gold ne mid-April mein banay downtrend channel ko tor diya, aur 14-day Relative Strength Index bullish territory mein 67.50 par tha, jo ke abhi bullihai

Agar gold bulls psychological $2,400 mark ko breach karte hain, to yellow metal aik all-time high near $2,432 tak pohanch sakta hai, $2,500 figure ke raaste mein. Dusri taraf, pehla downside target resistance support level $2,340 par ubharta hai. Gold ke qeemat mein extended losses ke potential support level $2,300 aur May 2 ka low $2,281 par dekha jata hai. Gold ne Friday ko momentum gain kiya bawajood ke US dollar mein modest recovery dekhne ko mili

Gold technically apna upar ka rujhan barqaraar rakha hue. Filhal, qeemat zyada tar barhne ki taraf hai. Hum dekh sakte hain ke qeemat 2372.74 ke level par wapas aayi hai, jahan se indicator signal ke mutabiq girawat ka idea bana kar bechne ka amal hua tha H4 timeframe par. Indicator signal aur iske potential ko blue bar ke sath mark kiya gaya hai April se, jisme targets 2256.64 par hain
Is haftay, gold market khulne se girne laga, lekin uptrend ka support ab bhi mazboot hai. Yahan, mirror level aur triangle ki upper boundary ka combination test hua hai. Iska matlab yeh nahi ke humare yahan sales ghalat hain. Darasal, yeh bilkul theek hain, aur agar market zyada qeemat offer karti hai to bechna aur bhi faidemand ho sakta hai. Jab mein faidemand ki baat karta hoon to mera matlab yeh nahi hota ke 100% ya 80-90% decline plan ka anjaam hoga. Mera matlab yeh hai ke hamara stop-loss size reward size se kai bar chhota hoga. Yeh ek mathematical potential advantage hai jo lambi muddat mein hamen edge deta hai. Bechne ka idea fail ho sakta hai, jaise ke kisi bhi aur idea ke sath ho sakta hai, lekin yeh valid hai aur filhal mein isay pursue kar raha hoon. Decline plan tabhi cancel hoga jab gold apne maximum extremes update karega, yani apne level 2431.42 ko choo le. Jab tak yeh nahi hota, yeh safe hai un logon ke liye jo girawat dekh rahe hain aur entry point talash kar rahe hain

Jabke mujhe future mein gold ki kuch girawat ki umeed hai, overall trend upar ki taraf lagta hai. Key support level jo dekhne wala hai wo 2345.00 per ounce hai. Agar qeemat is level ke upar rehti hai, to mein kharidari ka sochunga target price range 2405.00 se 2435.00 tak. Dosri taraf, agar qeemat 2345.00 se neeche chali jaati hai aur consolidate karti hai, to yeh mazeed girawat ka rasta khol sakti hai 2315.00 aur hatta ke 2305.00 per ounce tak. Seedhi baat mein, gold filhal chadhi par hai, kamzor dollar aur investor ki bechaini se faida utha raha hai. Aaj ke US inflation data kuch price swings ka sabab ban sakte hain, lekin lambi muddat ka outlook positive lagta hai. Agar qeemat 2345.00 ke upar rehti hai, to mazeed gains ka potential hai. Magar, is level se neeche girna aane wale correction ki nishani ho sakta hai

2332 par pehle se hi ek breakout hai aur iske baad, istiwaar jaari hai. Hum ne 2332 ke range ko test karne mein kamiyabi haasil ki hai. Maazi se, chhote se neeche ki rukavat aayegi aur iske baad, istiwaar jaari rahega. Shayad hum 2377 ko paar karke us par qabza kar lein, phir yeh ek kharidne ka ishara hoga. Jab tak humein ek bada neeche ki taraf tezi ka impaalt na mile, tab tak istiwaar ho sakta hai. Jab istiwaar maazi se jaari ho, tab istiwaar ka nishaan 2379 par hoga. 2330 ke range mein support hai aur wahan se, istiwaar aur aage jaari rahega. Shayad hum 2377 ke range ke upar istiwaar haasil karenge, phir humein zyada kharidna padega. Mumkin hai ki America ki session mein hui halki correction ke baad, istiwaar aur bhi jaari rahe. Mumkin hai ki maazi ke daam se, mazbooti takat 2415 ke resistance range tak jaari rahe. Agar humein 2378 ke resistance range ka tootna milta hai, to yeh ek rate ki mazbooti ko jaari rakhne ka nishaan hoga. Haal hi mein giravat ke baad, istiwaar dobara shuru ho sakta hai. Haal ke daam range mein support hai aur isse, istiwaar jaari rahega aur kharidna bhi behtar hai. Lekin haqeeqat mein, iska mazboot banne ka thoda sa mauka hai. Keemat ne Masha ke upar mazbooti se qaim ho gayi hai, jis par lagbhag 6-7 mombattiyan pehle se band ho chuki hain, jinmein kafi hai, behad. Abhi 2380 tak istiwaar ke baare mein baat karna
Sone ka daam yooropee session ke shuru mein $2370 ke qareeb qaaim hai, jo ke maqrooz 1% ke qareeb izafa karne ke baad haasil hua tha. 10 saal ke amreeki Treasury bond ki hoshiyari 4.5% ke neeche hai, amreeki infilaishan data ke ikhtitam se pehle, jo XAU/USD ko apni positions ko barqarar rakhne mein madad kar rahi hai

XAU/USD jodi ka chart dikhata hai ke kharidar sharmeela taur par lambi positionen khol rahe hain. Jodi $2325 ke upar qaaim hai, jo ke ek ahem support level hai. Iske ilawa, takneeky daleelat musbat darjaton ke andar barh gayi hai, jahan tak Relative Strength Index (RSI) 66.88 hai

XAU/USD jodi ko $2380 ke nishaan ko tootna zaroori hai aur phir bullish trend mazboot hoga. Sone ka daam bullish range mein idhar udhar ho raha hai, $2900-$3370 ke darmiyan. MACD takneeky daleelat apne signal line ke upar hai, jo ke zyada pur-asar istiwaar ka ailaan karta hai. Main kharidne ka iraada kar raha hoon. Sabko munafa bhara trade ki tamanna

Sona ke qeematain somwar ko tezi se barh gayi, jo sarmaya daar ke jazbat mein tabdili ka aks dikhane lagi. Jabke khatra pasandeedgi thori si behtar hui, mukhya driver Federal Reserve ke ek mumkin siyasi tabdili ke tajarbe the. Sab se akhri Amreeki naukriyon ka report nukta e nazar mein kamzori ki alamat thi, jo is saal ke akhri mein ek Fed dar mein kami ki umeedon ko buland kar gaya. Ye tajziya ne sonay ki keemat ko buland kar diya, jis ka XAU/USD joda filhal $2,320 ke qareeb ghom raha hai pehle ke low $2,291 ke baad. Umeed hai ke agle mahine September mein Fed dar mein kami hogi. Agar anay wala mahina ki inflation riport is tasawwur ko mazid mazbooti de, to investors ke liye is saal dar mein kami ka haqeeqat ban sakta hai. Ye sonay ki keemato ko mazeed izafa ke liye moheet kar chuka hai, lekin abhi tak yeh hasool nahi kiya gaya ke mehboob $2,400 ke daraj tak pohancha hai. Agar buls $2,400 ke oopar mazbooti se qadam uthatay hain, to Aprail 26 ki bulandai $2,352 ko dubara hasil karna zaroori hai. Ye harkat $2,400 ke ek mumkin dohrao ke darwazay ko khol degi, jo ke April 19 ki bulandai $2,417 aur sab se ziada $2,431 ki record ke liye mumkin hai. Halqi raftar ab buls ki taraf rujhan dikhata hai, jabke Relative Strength Index (RSI) mid-50 line se araam se oopar hai, jo ke mazeed izafa ke liye sargarm hai.

Magar agar bhaloo XAU/USD ke qeemat ko $2,300 ke neeche daba dete hain, to ek rukawat mumkin hai. Ye keemat ko nichay le ja sakti hai Aprail 23 ki kamzorai $2,291 ke baad, jo ke mukhtalif March 21 ki rozanaai bulandai $2,223 ke qurbani ke baad aur aage $2,200 ki taraf kami ho sakti hai. Takneeki indicators ko dekhte hue, RSI ka bounce rozanaai time frame par 50 ke kareeb key support level ke oopar se ek mustaqbil mein mazbooti ka saboot hai. Mazeed, keemat ka amal mustaqil taur par 50 din ke moving average ke oopar rehta hai, jo February 2024 se ek musbat taqwiyat ka aks hai. Kul mila kar, jo up trend March 14 se shuru hua hai, woh darmiani taqat mein mazboot hai

Gold apni gains ko dene ke liye tayyar nahi lag raha, umeed hai ke February ka core Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index (PCE) figure, jo do saal mein sabse kam hai, Fed ko is saal multiple times interest rates cut karne ke track par rakhega. Aage chal kar, Gold price ko pressure ka samna ho sakta hai taake woh higher levels ko maintain kar sake kyunki US bond yields ne apne upside ko extend kar diya hai, 10-year US Treasury yields 4.34% tak barh gayi hain. Yields mein yeh rise investors ke apni expectations ko downsize karne par aayi hai ke Federal Reserve (Fed) June mein rate cuts par switch karega. Interest-bearing assets par better returns, non-yielding assets jaise ke Gold mein investment ko kam appealing banati hain.



Market dynamics ko mazeed explore karte hue, gold ki qeemat mein yeh barhawa sirf Federal Reserve ke interest rate decisions ke hawale se nahi, balki broader economic concerns aur geopolitical tensions ke hawale se bhi hai. Investors gold ko safe-haven asset ke tor par dekh rahe hain amidst unpredictable market conditions aur inflationary pressures. Iske ilawa, US Dollar ke weakening se gold ki appeal aur barh rahi hai as an alternative store of value. Aane wale waqt mein, market participants ko monetary policy decisions, economic indicators, aur geopolitical events ko closely monitor karna hoga, kyunki yeh factors future mein gold ki prices ko influence karte rahenge. Technical analysis ke sath thorough understanding of market fundamentals market ke dynamic landscape mein navigate karne ke liye

Jab humein 2287 par ek ghalat breakout mila, to uske baad, izafa ab mazeed jaari hai. Shayad yeh 2277 ke neeche mushtamil ho jaye, phir yeh bechnay ka signal hoga. 2320 ke shumooliyat ko tor kar is par qabza karna mumkin hai, phir yeh kharidnay ka signal hoga. Jab humein 2328 ke shumooliyat ka breakdown milay aur is par mazboot ho jaye, to yeh darja barhne ka signal hoga. Shayad 2285 ke shumooliyat mein pehle se hi ek ghalat breakout ho gaya hai aur uske baad, izafa mazeed jaari ho sakta hai. Ek ahem tanazzul ke baad, izafa ab bhi jaari rahega. Mumkin hai ke chhota tanazzul ho sakta hai, lekin iske baad, izafa jaari rahega. Agar aap 2300 ke shumooliyat ko test kar paayein, to wahan se izafa jaari rahega. Ek correctiv kami ab bhi ho sakti hai, kyun ke is darje par kayi chhote speculators khareed rahe honge. Mumkin hai ke izafa mojooda se jaari rahega aur agar humein 2300 ke shumooliyat ka breakdown mil jaye, to izafa jaari rahega. 2280 ke shumooliyat ka ghalat breakout manzoor hai aur aise ghalat breakout ke baad, mazbooti jaari ho sakti hai. Jab humein 2320 ke shumooliyat ka breakout milay aur is par mazboot ho jaye, to yeh kharidnay ka signal hogaMain abhi bhi ek neeche ki harkat ka intezar kar raha hoon, aur yeh level jis ke baare mein aapne likha, main uske breakdown ka intezar karunga. Magar, sirf ek tanazzul ke tor par, aur jab yeh khatam ho jaye, tab sona izafa karna shuru karega. Ek aur mansuba, jismein humein 2201.70 ka support level qaim rakhna hai aur bila shuba is se neeche na girna hai. Agar yeh support ek upar ki rebound ke liye buniyad ban jata hai, to is waqiye ke taraqqi ke saath, 2377.00 par rukawat aik ahem point saabit hoga, jahan se hum upar ki taraf safar shuru kar sakte hain. Agar yeh mansuba uparward hota hai, to nirdharit darja sirf pehla rukawat hoga, aur yeh point uttar ki taraf rastay mein aakhri nahi ban sakta. Ek bar humen izafa shuru hota hai, hum khud ba khud uparward safar par laut aayenge, aur is ke saath ek naye suratgar shakal ke saath ek naya formation aayega. Yeh ahem hai ke 2201.70 ka darja sonay ke neeche ki taraf jaari movement ke liye aik rukawat ban jata hai, warna neeche ki trend mazeed taiz ho jayegi, jo humein bazar par mojood mojooda haalaat mein lauta degi

Gold technically apna upar ka rujhan barqaraar rakha hue. Filhal, qeemat zyada tar barhne ki taraf hai. Hum dekh sakte hain ke qeemat 2372.74 ke level par wapas aayi hai, jahan se indicator signal ke mutabiq girawat ka idea bana kar bechne ka amal hua tha H4 timeframe par. Indicator signal aur iske potential ko blue bar ke sath mark kiya gaya hai April se, jisme targets 2256.64 par hain



Magar agar bhaloo XAU/USD ke qeemat ko $2,300 ke neeche daba dete hain, to ek rukawat mumkin hai. Ye keemat ko nichay le ja sakti hai Aprail 23 ki kamzorai $2,291 ke baad, jo ke mukhtalif March 21 ki rozanaai bulandai $2,223 ke qurbani ke baad aur aage $2,200 ki taraf kami ho sakti hai. Takneeki indicators ko dekhte hue, RSI ka bounce rozanaai time frame par 50 ke kareeb key support level ke oopar se ek mustaqbil mein mazbooti ka saboot hai. Mazeed, keemat ka amal mustaqil taur par 50 din ke moving average ke oopar rehta hai, jo February 2024 se ek musbat taqwiyat ka aks hai. Kul mila kar, jo up trend March 14 se shuru hua hai, woh darmiani taqat mein mazboot hai

Imaan se keh raha hoon, is waqt yeh saz instrument mein kuch dilchaspi ka nahi nazar aa raha aur poori tasdeeq karta hoon ke jald shumali movement dobara shuru hogi aur ek rukawat ka darja dobara imtehan kiya jayega, jo ke meri tajziya ke mutabiq 2378.560 par hai. Is rukawat darja ke qareeb, do suratein ho sakti hain. Pehli priority surat yeh hai ke keemat is darja ke oopar band ho aur mazeed shumali movement. Agar yeh mansoobah anjam dia gaya, toh mein keemat ke aage barhne ka muntazir rahunga jo ke 2417.920 ya phir 2431.590 par ek rukawat darja mein hai. In rukawat darjaon ke qareeb, mein trading setup banane ka intezar karunga, jo mazeed trading ke rukh ko tay karega. Zaroor, mein tasleem karta hoon ke keemat ko mazeed shumali rukh ki taraf kheencha ja sakta hai ek rukawat darja par 2500 ke qareeb, lekin halat ko dekha jayega, keemat ke harkat ke doran khabron ka beh chalne aur keemat ke tay shumali maqasid par kaisa react karta hai. Ek alternative surat ke tor par keemat ki harkat ke doran agle imtehan mein 2378.560 rukawat darja ka aik mansoobah shamil hai jo ke ek ulta candle ki formation aur keemat ke dobara neeche rukh ki dobara shuruat ko shamil karta hai. Agar yeh



mansoobah anjam dia gaya, toh mein keemat ka muntazir rahunga ke woh ek support darja par wapas aaye jo ke 2277.345 par hai ya phir 2222.915 par ek support darja mein hai. In support darjaon ke qareeb, mein mazeed bullish signals dhoondne ka silsila jari rakhoonga, ummeed hai ke keemat ke oopri rukh ki dobara shuruat hogi. Aam tor par, chand alfaazon mein kahoon toh, mujhe is saz mein mojooda waqt mein kuch dilchaspi ka nahi nazar aa raha. Aam tor par, main shumali rukh ki jaari rahungi, isliye mein nazdeeki support darjaon se bullish signals ki talash mein hoon. Likha ja raha waqt mein, XAU/USD ke qeemat 2338.24 aur 2338.74 ke darmiyan harkat karti hai. Jab ke USD index aaj urooj par hai, to XAU/USD urooj ke taraf guzregi. Is waqt, bailain XAU/USD market mein apna dominence qaim rakhti hain. Agar hum XAU/USD ki tasveer dekhte hain toh, is waqt XAU/USD ek bullish candle bana raha hai. Mojudah momentum indicators kehte hain ke bullish forces qaboo mein hain. Khas tor par, Relative Strength Index RSI(14) up ki taraf point karta hai aur 40 ke level ke oopar mazbooti se qaim hai. Isi doran, jab ke USD mein deri mein behtari aayi, toh XAU/USD ke liye moving average convergence divergence MACD(12,26,9) ne bhi aik badi farq ki formation ki hai XAU/USD ke prices mein izafa ke natije mein. Mere tajziya ke saboot ke tor par, keemat ka asal trend up hai, aur woh 28 aur 44 moving averages ke oopar bhi trade ho raha hai. Yeh resistance zones ko test kar sakta hai. XAU/USD ka ibtedai rukawat darja 2374.50 ke level par mil sakta hai. Agar aap ibtedai rukawat darja ko torne mein kaamyaab rahe toh, agla bullish maqsad 2400.00 ke level par hoga. 2400.00 ke qareeb band ho jaye ga toh market keemaat 2414.08 ke qareeb ja sake gi jo ke teesra resistance level hai. Dosri taraf, XAU/USD ka ibtedai support darja 2297.40 ke level par mil sakta hai. Agar aap ibtedai support darja ko torne mein kaamyaab rahe toh, agla bearish maqsad 2274.23 ke level par hoga. 2274.23 ke neeche band ho jaye ga toh market keemaat 2264.80 ke qareeb ja sake gi jo ke teesra support level hai. Trading ke doran ihtiyaat se kaam len aur support aur resistance areas par tawajjo den jahan se market apna rukh badal sakta hai.

Gold technically apna upar ka rujhan barqaraar rakha hue. Filhal, qeemat zyada tar barhne ki taraf hai. Hum dekh sakte hain ke qeemat 2372.74 ke level par wapas aayi hai, jahan se indicator signal ke mutabiq girawat ka idea bana kar bechne ka amal hua tha H4 timeframe par. Indicator signal aur iske potential ko blue bar ke sath mark kiya gaya hai April se, jisme targets 2256.64 par hain Is haftay, gold market khulne se girne laga, lekin uptrend ka support ab bhi mazboot hai. Yahan, mirror level aur triangle ki upper boundary ka combination test hua hai. Iska matlab yeh nahi ke humare yahan sales ghalat hain. Darasal, yeh bilkul theek hain, aur agar market zyada qeemat offer karti hai to bechna aur bhi faidemand ho sakta hai. Jab mein faidemand ki baat karta hoon to mera matlab yeh nahi hota ke 100% ya 80-90%


decline plan ka anjaam hoga. Mera matlab yeh hai ke hamara stop-loss size reward size se kai bar chhota hoga. Yeh ek mathematical potential advantage hai jo lambi muddat mein hamen edge deta hai. Bechne ka idea fail ho sakta hai, jaise ke kisi bhi aur idea ke sath ho sakta hai, lekin yeh valid hai aur filhal mein isay pursue kar raha hoon. Decline plan tabhi cancel hoga jab gold apne maximum extremes update karega, yani apne level 2431.42 ko choo le. Jab tak yeh nahi hota, yeh safe hai un logon ke liye jo girawat dekh rahe hain aur entry point talash kar rahe hain

**Daily Time Frame Chart Outlook:** Daily chart par dekhne par pata chala ke Tuesday aur Wednesday ko Gold ne strong upward movement dikhayi, lekin kal price 2397.28 resistance level ko touch karke gir gayi. Is resistance level ki wajah se aaj bhi price gir rahi hai, lekin jaldi hi Gold apna price adjustment khatam kar le ga. RSI indicator jo ke 60 par hai, abhi overbought level ko test karna baqi hai, is liye price correction complete hone ke baad price phir se barhe gi. Buyers ki majority Gold khareedne ke haq mein hai, is liye mein bhi khareedne ka mashwara deta hoon; resistance ka top price level 2431.81 hai aur Gold wahan tak zarur pohanchay ga.

**Weekly Time Frame Chart Outlook:**
Weekly chart par dekhne par pata chala ke kuch haftay pehle Gold ne apna highest point 2431.53 par pohanch kar history banayi. Is peak price point par RSI indicator overbought level par tha, is liye mein price mein significant decline ka intezar kar raha tha. Market decline ke doran Gold ne sirf 2276.29 price ko test kiya, aur phir wahan se bullish activity shuru hui. Pichle hafte Gold ne ek strong bullish candle banayi, jo dikhati hai ke buyers ka control tha. Is hafte Gold ek bullish Doji candle bana raha hai. Gold apne peak price ko kam az kam ek martaba phir test kare ga pehle ke nayi bullish ya bearish wave shuru ho jo ke kaafi dair tak chal sakti hai.

Gold technically apna upar ka rujhan barqaraar rakha hue. Filhal, qeemat zyada tar barhne ki taraf hai. Hum dekh sakte hain ke qeemat 2372.74 ke level par wapas aayi hai, jahan se indicator signal ke mutabiq girawat ka idea bana kar bechne ka amal hua tha H4 timeframe par. Indicator signal aur iske potential ko blue bar ke sath mark kiya gaya hai April se, jisme




XAU/USD ke qeemat ko $2,300 ke neeche daba dete hain, to ek rukawat mumkin hai. Ye keemat ko nichay le ja sakti hai Aprail 23 ki kamzorai $2,291 ke baad, jo ke mukhtalif March 21 ki rozanaai bulandai $2,223 ke qurbani ke baad aur aage $2,200 ki taraf kami ho sakti hai. Takneeki indicators ko dekhte hue, RSI ka bounce rozanaai time frame par 50 ke kareeb key support level ke oopar se ek mustaqbil mein mazbooti ka saboot hai. Mazeed, keemat ka amal mustaqil taur par 50 din ke moving average ke oopar rehta hai, jo February 2024 se ek musbat taqwiyat ka aks hai. Kul mila kar, jo up trend March 14 se shuru hua hai, woh darmiani taqat mein mazboot hai

2332 par pehle se hi ek breakout hai aur iske baad, istiwaar jaari hai. Hum ne 2332 ke range ko test karne mein kamiyabi haasil ki hai. Maazi se, chhote se neeche ki rukavat aayegi aur iske baad, istiwaar jaari rahega. Shayad hum 2377 ko paar karke us par qabza kar lein, phir yeh ek kharidne ka ishara hoga. Jab tak humein ek bada neeche ki taraf tezi ka impaalt na mile, tab tak istiwaar ho sakta hai. Jab istiwaar maazi se jaari ho, tab istiwaar ka nishaan 2379 par hoga. 2330 ke range mein support hai aur wahan se, istiwaar aur aage jaari rahega. Shayad hum 2377 ke range ke upar istiwaar haasil karenge, phir humein zyada kharidna padega. Mumkin hai ki America ki session mein hui halki correction ke baad, istiwaar aur bhi jaari rahe. Mumkin hai ki maazi ke daam se, mazbooti takat 2415 ke resistance range tak jaari rahe. Agar humein 2378 ke resistance range ka tootna milta hai, to yeh ek rate ki mazbooti ko jaari rakhne ka nishaan hoga. Haal hi mein giravat ke baad, istiwaar dobara shuru ho sakta hai. Haal ke daam range mein support hai aur isse, istiwaar jaari rahega aur kharidna bhi behtar hai. Lekin haqeeqat mein, iska mazboot banne ka thoda sa mauka hai. Keemat ne Masha ke upar mazbooti se qaim ho gayi hai, jis par lagbhag 6-7 mombattiyan pehle se band ho chuki hain, jinmein kafi hai, behad. Abhi 2380 tak istiwaar ke baare mein baat karna Sone ka daam yooropee session ke shuru mein $2370 ke qareeb qaaim hai, jo ke maqrooz 1% ke qareeb izafa karne ke baad haasil hua tha. 10 saal ke amreeki Treasury bond ki hoshiyari 4.5% ke neeche hai, amreeki infilaishan data ke ikhtitam se pehle, jo XAU/USD ko apni positions ko barqarar rakhne mein madad kar rahi hai


XAU/USD jodi ka chart dikhata hai ke kharidar sharmeela taur par lambi positionen khol rahe hain. Jodi $2325 ke upar qaaim hai, jo ke ek ahem support level hai. Iske ilawa, takneeky daleelat musbat darjaton ke andar barh gayi hai, jahan tak Relative Strength Index (RSI) 66.88 hai

XAU/USD jodi ko $2380 ke nishaan ko tootna zaroori hai aur phir bullish trend mazboot hoga. Sone ka daam bullish range mein idhar udhar ho raha hai, $2900-$3370 ke darmiyan. MACD takneeky daleelat apne signal line ke upar hai, jo ke zyada pur-asar istiwaar ka ailaan karta hai. Main kharidne ka iraada kar raha hoon. Sabko munafa bhara trade ki tamanna.

Mein tajwez karta hoon keh XAUUSD pair ka chaar ghantay wala chart dekhain. Wave structure aik upar ki taraf pattern bana rahi hai, MACD indicator dobara overbought zone mein opar ja raha hai aur apni signal line ke opar hai. Aaj intraday, aik koshish hui thi keh horizontal resistance level 2379 se bounce lete hue decline develop kiya jaye, magar US dollar market mein kamzor hona shuru ho gaya, khaaskar major currencies ke muqable mein. Iska nateeja yeh nikla keh upar ki taraf movement shuru hui, jo 2379 ke dusre resistance level ko torne par khatam hui. Price ne is level ke opar kamiyabi se hold kiya, aur mazid barhne ka imkaan hai, jo April mein bane maximum tak yani 2430 aur shayad isse bhi ooper ja sakti hai. MACD aur CCI indicators par bearish divergence ki mojoodgi kuch pareshan kun hai, aur CCI indicator overbought zone se neeche nikalne ke liye tayar hai, jo mazid barhane ke imkaan ko thora kam kar raha hai. Iss waqt growth ka imkaan pehlay se kaafi kam hai jab price ne horizontal support level 2332 ko ooper se neeche test kiya tha, ab surat-e-haal mukhtalif hai. Iske ilawa, bohot zyada kamzor US dollar aik correction ko trigger kar sakta hai, kyunki currency pairs yeh zahir kar rahe hain keh aik correction aney wali hai. Agar correction shuru hoti hai, toh yeh divergence signal ko work out karte hue niche laa sakti hai. Main yahan khareedna nahi chahunga kyunki sab kuch contradictory lagta hai. Magar, main bechne ke liye tayar hoon agar current support level 2379 ke neeche successful consolidation hota hai, kam az kam hourly basis par. Phir yeh level mirror ban jayega, apni support se resistance mein status tabdeel kar lega, aur is surat mein 2332 level ka retest expected hai. Mere khayal mein, ab khareedne ka waqt guzr chuka hai, halankeh price maximum tak pahunchti nazar aa rahi hai. News mein do sabse aham events hain, dono 15:30 Moscow time par release honge: Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index (USA) aur Initial Jobless Claims (USA).

Sonay Ka Outlook Technical Tahlil:

Maujooda market ki qeemat $2,270.80 hai, jo ke ek halat-e-mowazan ko darust karti hai jahan na to kharidar aur na hi farokht karne wale ko kisi khaas dominancy ka samna hai. Is mowazan ke bawajood, is range ke andar fluctuations jaari rahay hain, jahan qeemat ko kai martaba $50 se zyada ka jhatka laga hai. Is tarah ki zyadati ke peeche wajahen bohot si hain, jin mein mukhtalif qisam ke maqoolat se lekar markazi bankon ki policies ya geopolitical shifts shamil hain. Yeh ahem hai ke yeh tabdiliyan mehdood muddat mein hoti hain aur mukhtalif hawaleon ke liye mustaqbil ki tajwez kar sakti hain.

Is guftagu ko mazeed barhaate hue, kayi aur zaroori ghor se ubhar aate hain:

Maeeshati Namoonaat: Maeeshati data ke ijlaas market ke harkaat par wazeh asar daal sakta hai. Aham indicators jaise ke rozgar ki shumar, GDP ki barhti ya ghatne wali dar ya inflation darayein, asaas ke maamlaat ke liye market ke shariqaen tajziya karte hain.

Markazi Bankon Ki Policies: Markazi bankon ke elaanat aur iqdamat market ka jazbatik mahool par bohot asar daalte hain. Markazi bankon ke faislay hawalaat ki taraf se, sarmaya se ghate aur front guidance se mutaliq feslaat investors mein khaas reaction peeda kar sakti hain, jo unko khaas qeemat ke jhatkon mein mubtila kar sakti hain.

Geopolitical Waqeiat: Geopolitical taraqqiyan, jin mein siyasi tanazur, tajrabati ikhtilaafat, ya siyasi ittehadat shamil hain, market mein uncertainty ka markaz ban sakti hain. Geopolitical conflicts, dawati mua'ahidaat, ya leadership mein tabdiliyan jaise waqeiat tamam investoron ki itminaan par asar andaaz ho sakti hain aur asaas qeemat par asar daal sakti hain.

Market Jazbat: Market ke shariqaen ka jamaa mood aur jazba market ki qeemat ke harkaat mein khaas kirdaar ada karte hain. Jazbatik indicators, jaise ke investors ke itminaan ka surway ya khauf aur hirs ka paaima, mustaqbil ke market jazbaat aur unka asar asset prices par provide karte hain.

Gold ne phir se apne maujooda price point se bullish activity start kar di hai, jo kharidaroon mein naye se dilchaspi aur aitmaad ka izhaar hai. Pichle haftay, gold ne aik mazboot bullish candle banayi thi, jo clear indication thi ke buyers control mein thay aur prices ko ooper dhakel rahe thay. Is haftay bhi yeh trend jaari hai, aur gold ne ek aur bullish candle banayi hai, jo pehle se bana hua momentum mazid mazboot kar rahi hai. Haal hi ki price action yeh suggest karti hai ke gold kam az kam ek dafa phir se apni peak price ko test karne wala hai. Yeh critical test market ke direction ko kuch arsa ke liye tay karega. Agar gold apne pehle ke highs ko successfully breach kar leta hai, toh yeh ek naye aur mustaqil bullish wave ka aaghaz ho sakta hai. Ulta, agar peak ko paar karne mein nakam hota hai, toh yeh ek lambi bearish phase ke aaghaz ka ishara de sakta hai.

Pichle haftay ki bullish candle ki strength ko nazarandaz nahi kiya ja sakta. Yeh significant buying pressure ko reflect karti hai, jahan market participants ne prices ko decisively ooper dhakela. Yeh bullish behavior yeh indicate karta hai ke investors ka gold par positive outlook hai, shayad macroeconomic factors jaise ke inflation fears, geopolitical tensions, ya currency fluctuations ki wajah se. Yeh elements aksar investors ko gold ki taraf kheenchte hain ek safe-haven asset ke tor par, jis se iski demand aur consequently, price badh jati hai. Is haftay ki bullish activity ka continuation suggest karta hai ke positive sentiment abhi bhi intact hai. Ek aur bullish candle ka formation market ke gold ki upward trajectory par confidence ko mazid solidify karta hai. Traders aur investors dono hi in developments ko closely monitor kar rahe hain, kyun ke is bullish phase ka outcome agle kuch mahino mein gold ke performance ka tone set kar sakta hai.

Lekin, agar gold apne peak ko torhne mein nakam rehta hai aur instead direction reverse kar leta hai, toh yeh selling ki wave ko trigger kar sakta hai. Yeh scenario bearish phase ke aaghaz ko mark kar sakta hai, jahan disappointed buyers apni positions exit karenge aur sellers upper hand le lenge. Is potential bearish wave ki duration aur intensity mukhtalif factors par depend karegi, jese ke broader economic environment aur investor sentiment.