Gold forum

Gold ki qeematon mein Jumay ko kami dekhi gayi jab US dollar phir se barh gaya, jo ke qeemati dhaat par neeche ki taraf dabao dal raha tha. Federal Reserve ki ehtiyaati rawaiya bhi gold ki qeematon mein girawat ka sabab bana. Pure haftay ke doran, gold ko mushkilat ka samna raha kyunki US dollar mazbooti dikhata raha. Sarmaayakaar aksar ghair yaqeeni halaat mein dollar ki taraf rujhan karte hain, jo gold ki qeematon par bura asar dal sakta hai. Federal Reserve ka ehtiyaat se kaam lena bhi gold bazaar ko mutasir karne mein ahmiyat rakhta hai. Markazi bank ki mawaznaati policy, jo iqtisadi bahali aur mehengai ko sambhalne ke darmiyan tawazun qaim karne ke liye banai gayi hai, ne sarmaayakaron ka aitmaad kamzor kiya. Gold ke tajir Jumay ko Federal Reserve ke ahem ahdydar, Neel Kashkari, Christopher Waller, aur Mary Daly ke khitaabon ko qareebi tor par dekhte rahe. In taqreeron ne sood ki sharah, mehengai, aur iqtisadi mustaqbil par Fed ka moqaf wazeh kiya, jo ke gold bazaar mein trading ke faislay ko mutasir kar raha tha. Jabke gold ki qeematon mein US dollar ki bahali aur Federal Reserve ke ehtiyaat bhare rawaiye ke darmiyan kami dekhi gayi, to qeemati dhaat ka lambay arsay ka manzar mukhtalif asbaab par mabni hai, jin mein mehengai ka dabao, geopolitical tensions, aur global economic recovery efforts shamil hain. Sarmaayakaar in pehluon ko qareebi tor par dekhenge taake gold ki qeematon ka rukh aglay hafton mein andaza lagaya ja sake

Gold ne ek waseehi correction period guzari hai, aur haal hi mein 50.00 aur 61.8% Fibonacci levels ko paar kar gaya hai. Yeh is baat ki nishandahi karta hai ke iska buniyadi maqsad recent peak price 2431.00 tak pohanchna hai. 61.8% level ke interaction ko dekhte hue, asset neeche ki taraf pullback dekhi gayi. Magar, jab yeh 50.00% level ke neechay ki taraf retrace hua, to asset ne apni direction ko upar ki taraf reverse kar liya.

Gold ne aik dafa phir se bullish activity shuru ki hai apni mojooda price point se, jo buyers mein naye se dilchaspi aur confidence ko dikhata hai. Pichlay haftay, gold ne aik mazboot bullish candle banayi thi, jo ye clear indication tha ke buyers control mein thay aur prices ko upar push kar rahay thay. Is haftay bhi yeh trend jari hai, gold aik aur bullish candle bana raha hai, jo pehle se established momentum ko reinforce kar raha hai. Haali price action suggest karta hai ke gold apni peak price ko kam az kam aik dafa phir test karne ke liye tayar hai. Yeh critical test market ke direction ko aneda waqt ke liye tay karega. Agar gold apni previous highs ko successfully breach kar leta hai, to yeh aik naye aur sustained bullish wave ka signal de sakta hai. Dosri taraf, agar yeh apni peak ko surpass karne mein kamiyab nahi hota, to yeh aik prolonged bearish phase ke shuru hone ka ishara ho sakta hai

Pichlay haftay ki bullish candle ki strength ko kam nahi samjha ja sakta. Yeh significant buying pressure ko reflect karti hai, jahan market participants ne prices ko decisively upar drive kiya. Yeh bullish behavior indicate karta hai ke investors ka outlook gold ke bare mein positive hai, jo shayad macroeconomic factors jaise ke inflation fears, geopolitical tensions, ya currency fluctuations se driven hai. Yeh elements aksar investors ko gold ki taraf ek safe-haven asset ke tor par le jate hain, jo iski demand aur consequently price ko boost karta hai. Is haftay ki bullish activity ka continuation suggest karta hai ke positive sentiment abhi bhi intact hai. Aik aur bullish candle ka formation market ka confidence gold ki upward trajectory mein mazid solidify karta hai. Traders aur investors dono is developments ko closely monitor kar rahe hain, kyun ke is bullish phase ka outcome gold ke performance ka tone aanay walay mahino mein set kar sakta hai

Aaj subah, dhaatu 2355 ke aham had se neeche gir gayi hai, jo ke iske 2400 ke support level tak pahunchne ke imkaan par tawajju dilata hai. Khaas taur par, moving EMA100 ka formation se door hona is neeche ki taraf jaane ki raah ko mazid barha deta hai. Stock ko 2305 ke upar mustahkam rehna chahiye taake ek bullish reversal ban sake aur buy signal ko mazid taqat mil sake. Magar, formation abhi bhi is signal ke saath active hai, khaaskar aaj ka aham mark 2315 par set hai. Tawajju 2360 ko update karne ya phir minimum received ko revise karne par honi chahiye, jo abhi bhi outstanding hain. Yeh option market mein apni apni khaas kasrat aur viability ki wajah se numaya hai. Mazid, 2340 ke support ki taqat ko mukammal tor par samajhna zaroori hai taake poori surat-e-haal ka idraak ho sake. Maine yeh tajziya apne doston ko email ke zariye bhej diya hai, aur sab ko in taraqqi-o par barabar nazar rakhne ki hidaayat karta hoon. Aaj ka sone ka outlook bullish hai, jaise ke schedule H4 mein zahir hai. Moving average line neechay ki taraf jaa rahi hai, jo ke stochastic indicator ke movement ke sath mutabiq hai. Trend centerline ke neeche hai, jo ke prevailing market sentiment ko zahir karta hai


ke time frame mein, chart ne northern channel ka break dikhaya hai, lower zone ka breakout. Is liye, mazeed gold ki growth ki tawakku nahi ki ja sakti, kyun ke mujhe lagta hai ke yeh ek correction nahi, balki ek trend reversal hai, kyun ke gold lag bhag teen mahine se long position mein hai, is liye ab iska thoda girna zaroori hai. Main tawakku karta hoon ke yeh 2250 ke range tak giray ga, shayad thoda upar, magar hum isi range mein giray ge. Dobara, news background par zor dena chahiye, kyun ke June mein Fed ka meeting hoga, aur meri raaye mein woh most likely rate ko kam karenge, jo ke gold aur overall dollar currency ko bara asar dalega. Asal mein, mujhe lagta hai ke nateeja wazeh hai.

Jab humein 2287 par ek ghalat breakout mila, to uske baad, izafa ab mazeed jaari hai. Shayad yeh 2277 ke neeche mushtamil ho jaye, phir yeh bechnay ka signal hoga. 2320 ke shumooliyat ko tor kar is par qabza karna mumkin hai, phir yeh kharidnay ka signal hoga. Jab humein 2328 ke shumooliyat ka breakdown milay aur is par mazboot ho jaye, to yeh darja barhne ka signal hoga. Shayad 2285 ke shumooliyat mein pehle se hi ek ghalat breakout ho gaya hai aur uske baad, izafa mazeed jaari ho sakta hai. Ek ahem tanazzul ke baad, izafa ab bhi jaari rahega. Mumkin hai ke chhota tanazzul ho sakta hai, lekin iske baad, izafa jaari rahega. Agar aap 2300 ke shumooliyat ko test kar paayein, to wahan se izafa jaari rahega. Ek correctiv


kami ab bhi ho sakti hai, kyun ke is darje par kayi chhote speculators khareed rahe honge. Mumkin hai ke izafa mojooda se jaari rahega aur agar humein 2300 ke shumooliyat ka breakdown mil jaye, to izafa jaari rahega. 2280 ke shumooliyat ka ghalat breakout manzoor hai aur aise ghalat breakout ke baad, mazbooti jaari ho sakti hai. Jab humein 2320 ke shumooliyat ka breakout milay aur is par mazboot ho jaye, to yeh kharidnay ka signal hogaMain abhi bhi ek neeche ki harkat ka intezar kar raha hoon, aur yeh level jis ke baare mein aapne likha, main uske breakdown ka intezar karunga. Magar, sirf ek tanazzul ke tor par, aur jab yeh khatam ho jaye, tab sona izafa karna shuru karega. Ek aur mansuba, jismein humein 2201.70 ka support level qaim rakhna hai aur bila shuba is se neeche na girna hai. Agar yeh support ek upar ki rebound ke liye buniyad ban jata hai, to is waqiye ke taraqqi ke saath, 2377.00 par rukawat aik ahem point saabit hoga, jahan se hum upar ki taraf safar shuru kar sakte hain. Agar yeh mansuba uparward hota hai, to nirdharit darja sirf pehla rukawat hoga, aur yeh point uttar ki taraf rastay mein aakhri nahi ban sakta. Ek bar humen izafa shuru hota hai, hum khud ba khud uparward safar par laut aayenge, aur is ke saath ek naye suratgar shakal ke saath ek naya formation aayega. Yeh ahem hai ke 2201.70 ka darja sonay ke neeche ki taraf jaari movement ke liye aik rukawat ban jata hai, warna neeche ki trend mazeed taiz ho jayegi, jo humein bazar par

Gold ki current trading chart, jo ke 4-hour timeframe par hai, usme ek bullish trend dekhne ko mil raha hai. Candlestick pattern aur technical indicators yeh signal dete hain ke gold ka price barh raha hai. Chart par, hum dekh sakte hain ke Bollinger Bands ne recent price movements ko tightly envelop kiya hai, aur price ne upper Bollinger Band ko touch kiya hai, jo ek strong bullish signal hota hai.

Price 2380 aur 2385 ke beech trade kar raha hai, jo ke ek important resistance level hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai, to agla target 2390 se 2400 ke beech ho sakta hai. Bollinger Bands ke alawa, moving average bhi upward direction mein hai, jo ke trend ki confirmation hai.

RSI (Relative Strength Index) bhi 61.27 par hai, jo ke neutral se thoda bullish zone mein hai. Yeh dikhata hai ke price abhi overbought nahi hai aur aur bhi upside potential rakhta hai. RSI agar 70 ke upar jata hai, to overbought condition signal karta hai, jo ke potential pullback ka indication ho sakta hai. Lekin abhi ke liye, RSI ka level indicate karta hai ke market mein buying pressure hai.

Agar support levels ki baat ki jaye, to 2370 aur 2360 strong support levels hain. Agar price yeh levels ke neeche jata hai, to downward correction dekhne ko mil sakti hai, lekin overall trend abhi bhi bullish hi rahega jab tak major support levels break nahi hote.

Forecast ke mutabiq, agar current bullish momentum continue karta hai, to gold ka price 2400 ke upar bhi ja sakta hai. Market sentiment aur external factors jaise ke global economic conditions aur USD ki strength bhi price movement ko affect kar sakti hain.

In conclusion, gold ka trend bullish hai aur forecast bhi positive hai. Technical indicators aur chart patterns strong bullish sentiment ko support karte hain, lekin traderon ko support aur resistance levels ko closely monitor karna chahiye.

Main sab contributors ko subah bakhair kehta hoon, aur aap sab ke liye achi sehat aur aapke tamaam kaamon mein safai aur raahat ki dua karta hoon. Aaj ke meri tehqeeq ka mawzu XAU/USD market ki mojooda charge behavior hai. XAU/USD ka market charge abhi 2378.13 ke area mein chal raha hai. Aam tor par, is hafte XAU/USD ka market sluggish aur sideways reh sakta hai. Is ke ilawa, mazboot hoti hui USD bhi XAU/USD ko ainda aagay barhane ki wajah ban sakti hai. Iss doran, relative energy index RSI(14) bullish range 49.0820 mein hai jo bullish momentum ko darshaata hai. To aaj, buyers ab bhi apni hukoomat qaim rakhtay huay prices ko ooper dhakel sakte hain. Sath hi, Moving average convergence divergence MACD(12,26,9) indicator bhi XAU/USD market position ke mutaliq maloomat faraham karta hai. Sign line yaani sluggish line zero line ya midline ke ooper hai. Abhi, 40 EMA aur 28 EMA dynamic support ke tor par kaam kar rahe hain, jo 2340.78 - 2345.65 par mojood hai. EMA 40 period dynamic support ke tor par kaafi accurate hai. XAU/USD ke liye clients resistance level 2395.63 hai jabke center level 2308.60 par hai

Market rate mazeed barh kar 2418.84 resistance area ki taraf ja sakta hai defined situation mein. Doosri taraf, XAU/USD ke liye upper support level 2364.14 hai aur center level 2344.02 par hai. Yeh zaroori hoga ke technical analysis ke zariye yeh faisla kiya jaye ke kya price iss support level ko todegi aur mazeed neeche jari rahegi, jo ek buy entry point ban sakti hai. Market rate mazeed gir kar 2324.48 support area ki taraf ja sakta hai defined situation mein. Agar aap XAU/USD ke mutaliq apne khayalat is thread ke comments section mein share karna chahein, to barah-e-karam zaroor kijiye ga

Gold ne ek martaba phir se apni mojooda qeemat se bullish activity ka aaghaz kiya hai, jo kharidaron ke darmiyan nai dilchaspi aur aitmaad ko zahir karta hai. Pichle hafte, gold ne ek mazboot bullish candle banayi thi, jo ke yeh saaf indication tha ke kharidaron ka qabza tha aur qeemat ko ooper dhakel rahe the. Iss hafte yeh trend jaari hai, aur gold ek aur bullish candle bana raha hai, jo pehle se qaim momentum ko mazid mazboot bana raha hai. Haal ki price action se lagta hai ke gold kam az kam aik martaba phir apni peak price ko test karne ke liye tayar hai. Yeh ahem test market ke direction ka taayun karega agle kuch arse ke liye. Agar gold apni pichli highs ko successfully breach kar leta hai, toh yeh ek nai aur mustaqil bullish wave ka aaghaz ho sakta hai. Warna, agar yeh apni peak ko surpass karne mein nakam rehta hai, toh yeh ek taweel bearish phase ka aaghaz zahir kar sakta hai.
Pichle hafte ki bullish candle ki taqat ko nazar andaz nahi kiya ja sakta. Yeh kafi buying pressure ko zahir karta hai, jahan market participants ne qeemat ko barhaya hai faislay se. Yeh bullish behavior is baat ki nishani hai ke investors ka outlook gold par positive hai, mumkin hai ke macroeconomic factors, jese ke inflation fears, geopolitical tensions, ya currency fluctuations ki wajah se. Yeh elements aksar investors ko gold ki taraf safe-haven asset ke tor par kheenchte hain, jo ke uski demand aur natijan uski qeemat ko barhata hai. Iss hafte ka bullish activity ka jaari rehna yeh zahir karta hai ke positive sentiment ab bhi qaim hai. Ek aur bullish candle ka ban-na market ka gold ki upward trajectory par aitmaad ko mazid mazboot banata hai. Traders aur investors yeh developments ko barabar dekh rahe hain, kyunki iss bullish phase ka nateeja gold ki performance ka rukh agle chand mahino ke liye tay karega

GOLD ka technical jayeza chaar ghanton ke time frame par:

Mozuati haalat is waqt khaas tor par behtareen hain, aur is tajurbay ke mutaliq saavdhaani barqarar rakhne ki aham wajah hai. Iska buniyadi sabab rozana ya haftawaarana time frames par mazboot kharidari ke signals hain jo mumkin hain mombatiyon ke patterns ke surat mein zahir hotay hain. Ye haalaat hamain jari mukaam ka istemal karne ka mawqa dete hain, halankeh ehmiyat hai ke chand ghanton ke silsile mein hum mawqay ko 5 se 10 kam taiz miyan ke bandon ke andar darust karte hain, jo ke qeemat ke daira mein 1920.61 se 1902.66 tak hain. Hamara maqsad nataij ko intehaai bhetar banane aur hamari ibtidaai tawaqoat ko pura karne mein hai. Ye wazeh hai ke market ke taraqqi kar rahe hain, aur hum mustaqil ghaflat se bachte hue mazeed mukhtalif qeemat ke hukumaton ka intezar karte hain.

Hamara qeemti dhaat XAUUSD ab ek aur moaziz manzil dikhane laga hai, jo ke asal time frames par hai, wazehi aur tasweeri shaoor ke liye maine ise "Picasso" ki tarah draw kiya (aik mazaqi hawala), main is sab ko tafsiliyat se tazkara karne ki koshish karunga, pehle to ek asli karobar ke "dhoka" "neechay ho gaya, jahan raat ko trading shuru hone se gap chhod gaya, yeh kaafi ahem hai, is liye mujhe lagta hai ke bohot saare karobarion ne is par bikri mein shamil ho gaye, lekin tasveer ulta palat gayi, mazeed mamooli musafiron ko bulakar, hum ne impulse mukammal kiya, aur qeemat ko pehle ki unchi tak pahunchaya, foran, is ke ilawa, is par ek bullish do-fractal mombati par zor diya, jise indicator ne abhi neela dikhaya, iske baad hum ne average ke roop mein minimum ada kiya - tawajju de, main literal tor par arrows ke sath dikhata hoon ke sab kuch kaise hua, aur ab mujhe lagta hai ke waqt aya hai mukhtasir tafseel se kaam karna, Fibonacci grid par nazar hai, kyunke ab sau ko torne aur is per thamne ki koshish ki ja rahi hai, agar aisi ek bunyadi shakal tayyar hai to hamara agla maqsad 138.2 aur 161.8 hoga, aur yeh kam az kam 2032 hai, khud hi samajhdaar hain ke sonay ke liye humare paas abhi kya kya maqami potential hai; yeh bekaar nahi hai ke chinees amriki securities ko bech rahe hain aur apni tamam assest ko is dhaat mein daal rahe hain.

Gold market ka analysis karne se yeh samajh aata hai ke 2388 ka level ek bohot important point hai. Yeh level ek resistance point ke tor par kaam karta hai, jahan selling pressure barh jata hai aur price ko aage badhne se roknay lagta hai. Gold ka 2388 ke level ko maintain na kar pana ek ahem technical indicator hai jo bearish outlook ko support karta hai.

Is level par gold ka sustain na kar pana market mein kamzori ka ishara hai aur yeh suggest karta hai ke buying momentum kam ho raha hai. Is baat ko samajhna trading ke liye bohot zaroori hai, kyun ke yeh market ke potential direction ke baray mein valuable information provide karta hai.

Gold ka 2388 ke level ko break aur sustain na kar pana dikhata hai ke market mein sellers ka pressure zyada hai. Jab bhi price is level par aati hai, sellers active ho jate hain aur selling shuru ho jati hai, jis se price phir se niche girne lagti hai. Yeh cycle bar bar dekhne ko milti hai aur yeh batata hai ke market abhi tak ek stable aur sustainable uptrend mein nahi aayi hai.

Technical analysis ke ilawa, kuch aur indicators bhi hain jo is bearish trend ko support karte hain. Relative Strength Index (RSI) bhi overbought levels ko touch kar raha hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke recent buying pressure shayad sustainable nahi hai. Jab RSI overbought zone mein hota hai, yeh often ek signal hota hai ke market mein correction aane wali hai.

Agar price 100 Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke pass aati hai aur usko bhi sustain nahi kar pati, toh yeh bhi ek bearish signal hota hai. Moving averages traders ke liye ek bohot important tool hain, kyun ke yeh long-term trend ke direction ko identify karne mein madadgar hote hain. Agar price 100 EMA ko break karke niche gir jaye, toh yeh ek strong confirmation hoti hai ke bearish trend shuru ho gaya hai.

Fundamental factors bhi gold market ko influence karte hain. Economic data releases, interest rates, aur investor sentiment, sab ka asar gold prices par hota hai. Agar US dollar strong hota hai, toh yeh gold ke prices ko niche le jata hai, kyun ke gold ko dollars mein price kiya jata hai aur jab dollar strong hota hai, toh gold doosri currencies ke holders ke liye mehnga ho jata hai.

Geopolitical factors bhi gold prices ko impact karte hain. Agar geopolitical tensions kam hoti hain ya stability barh jati hai, toh gold ki safe-haven appeal kam ho jati hai, jis se prices niche gir sakti hain. Lekin agar unexpected geopolitical developments hoti hain, toh yeh outlook ko disrupt kar sakti hain, magar filhal ke analysis yeh suggest karte hain ke environment stable hai aur yeh rally ko support nahi kar raha.

In conclusion, gold ka 2388 ke level ko maintain na kar pana aur multiple technical indicators ka bearish signals dena, yeh dikhata hai ke market mein downward correction continue ho sakti hai. 2388 ka level ek significant resistance point hai aur gold ka is level ko break na kar pana market mein kamzori ka ishara hai. Is liye traders ko technical aur fundamental factors dono ko madde nazar rakhte hue apni strategies ko adapt karna chahiye taake market ke dynamics ko effectively navigate kar sakein.

Hello doston kaise hain aap, gold ne Friday ko bearish bias ke sath trade kiya jab $2,400 barrier se pull back kiya. Pehle ke sessions mein precious metals ki bullish momentum ko expected US inflation data ne fuel kiya tha April mein, jo US Federal Reserve ke rate cut ki umeed ko barhawa de rahi thi. XAU/USD pair rozana ki buniyad par thodi neeche hai, lekin overall stance bullish hai. Daily chart dikhata hai ke technical indicators positive levels par hain, kuchh apni upside kho rahe hain lekin abhi bhi further declines ki taraf ishara nahi kar rahe. Saath hi, pair flat 20 Simple Moving Average ke kaafi upar hai jabke 100 aur 200 SMAs apni bullish slopes ko maintain kar rahe hain jo bullish strength ka nishan hota hai. 4 hours ke technical readings suggest karte hain ke recent slide corrective thi, aur XAU/USD apni advance ko resume karne ke liye tayyar hai

Pair bullish moving averages ke upar trade kar raha hai jabke technical indicators positive levels par strong hain, overbought readings se door. 2,390 ke beyond renewed buying pressure $2,400 mark ke upar move ka natija hosakti hai. Gold Thursday ko softer note par trade kar raha tha, filhal $2,380 level ke ird gird hover kar raha hai jabke pehle din mein $2,397.34 ka peak touch kiya tha. US dollar ne din ke pehle hisse mein kuch ground recover kiya jabke major rivals ke khilaf fresh multi-week lows par gir gaya tha Wednesday ke discouraging United States data release ke baad. Mulk ne confirm kiya ke Consumer Price Index April mein 3.4% YoY tha, jo March ki reading ke barabar tha aur abhi bhi Federal Reserve ke 2% target se door hai. A mostly quiet European session ne temporarily USD ko madad di, lekin US currency ne disappointing US data release ke baad apni slide ko resume kiya. Ek taraf, initial jobless claims 222K tak barh gayi for the week ending May 3, jo expected se zyada tha. Iske ilawa, last week ki figure ko upwards revise kiya gaya tha to 232K. Iske ilawa, mulk ne May Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Survey publish kiya, jo 4.5 par aya, jo expectations se kam tha. Aakhri, April industrial production unchanged thi, jabke capacity utilization 78.4 percent tak gir gayi March ke 78.5 percent se

Gold ki chamak Thursday ko European trading session ke dauran kafi kamzor ho gayi, aur yeh $2,370 ke qareeb multi-day low tak pohanch gayi. Is girawat ki wajah kaafi cheezon ka mila jula asar tha: US Treasury bonds ki yields ka barhna, jo bina sood wali gold ke muqable mein zyada purkashish thay, aur Middle East mein geopolitical tensions ka kam hona, jis se traditional safe-haven asset ka demand bhi kam ho gaya.
XAU/USD ke fundamentals:

US Treasury bond yields mein notable izafa gold ki halia girawat ka bais bana. US 10-year Treasury bond ki yield paanch basis points (bps) barh kar 4.665% ho gayi, jo gold ke liye ek bara rukawat hai. Sath hi, US Dollar bhi mazboot hua, aur US Dollar Index (DXY) 104.20 tak barh gaya, jo 0.52% ka izafa hai, aur abhi 104.00 pe trade ho raha hai. Yeh developments gold ke liye kam favourable mahol bana rahe hain, jo aam tor pe economic uncertainty aur inflation ke against hedge ke taur par dekha jata hai.

US se milay mixed economic signals ke bawajood, overall sentiment ehtiyaat bhara hai. Pichle haftay ka Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data expectations se kam raha, jab ke pehle quarter 2024 ke inflation indicators ne prices ke barhne ki potential taraf ishara kiya. Yeh inflationary trend Federal Reserve ko apni current policy stance ko anticipated se zyada dair tak barqarar rakhne pe majboor kar sakta hai, jo ke gold prices pe mazeed pressure daal sakta hai

Technically, gold ne daily chart pe Bearish Flag formation se breakdown kar diya, jo halia downward trend ke continuation ko indicate kar raha hai. Bearish Flag aam tor pe sharp price correction ke baad ek consolidation phase ko represent karta hai, jo mazeed girawat ko suggest karta hai. Near-term outlook bearish hi hai kyun ke gold 20-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke neeche trade kar raha hai, jo ke abhi $2,382 pe hai

Is haftay ke aakhir mein kuch risk events aik ke baad aik nazar aayenge. Ye events mein (Federal Reserve Chairman) Powell ka speech, Producer Price Index (PPI) aur Consumer Price Index (CPI) jese inflation data ki release, aur retail sales bhi shamil hain. New York ke aik azad metal trader ne kaha: "Gold bulls ko chinta karni chahiye ke Fed ko interest rates kam karne ke liye sirf kam employment data nahi, balke kam inflation data bhi chahiye." New York Fed ke aik survey ne dikhaya ke consumers ko umeed hai ke prices agle saal 3.3% ki annual rate se barhengi, jo ke pichle char mahine se 3% par theek rahi thi, aur yeh November ke baad se sabse zyada level hai. House prices bhi is hi raftar se barhne ki umeed hai, jo ke July 2022 se sabse tezi se barhna hai. Consumers ko umeed hai ke gasoline, food, health care, college education aur rent ke prices bhi tez raftari se barhenge.
Isi waqt, labor market ke hawale se nazariyat bigar gaye hain, income growth expectations kam ho gayi hain aur unemployment barhne ke chances barh gaye hain. Respondents kam confident hain ke agar apni current job kho dete hain to nai job mil jaye gi, aur yeh level pichle teen saal mein sabse kam hai. Yeh sab cheezain family finances par asar dal rahi hain. Wo consumers jo agle teen mahine mein apni minimum debt payments nahi kar payenge, unka share pandemic ke shuru se sabse zyada hai. Bank of America ke CEO ke jawab mein, U.S. economic growth kam hone ki umeed hai, magar spending phir bhi positive rahegi. Log gradually higher interest rate environment ko adjust kar rahe hain. America ka credit delinquency problem kuch had tak kam hua hai. Fed ko zarurat hai ke interest rates ko ziyada adjust na kare. Federal Reserve Governor Thomas Jefferson ne kaha ke economy solid position mein hai aur inflation ka downward trend kamzor ho gaya hai

Policy rates ko tight range mein maintain karna theek hai. Unka nazariya zahir tor par current high interest rates ko barqarar rakhne ke haq mein hai. Isi wajah se, investors is haftay ke U.S. inflation data se Federal Reserve ke future interest rate path ka deeda chahtay hain, taake gold ke liye next investment direction ka ta'ayun kar sakein

Gold (XAU/USD) abhi intraday charts par mazboot bearish trend dikha raha hai, aaj ki trading session mein noticeable downward momentum ke sath. Baghair kisi significant market-moving news ke, prevailing forecast aur zyada bearishness ki taraf ishara kar raha hai, jismein key weekly milestones ke potential targets 2330 aur 2295 ke qareeb hain. Ye levels critical support zones aur potential bearish targets ke tor par serve karte hain agar ongoing downtrend continue rahe. Technical perspective se dekha jaye, 2360 level ka breach current bearish trend ko invalidate karega baghair kisi reversal ya significant pause ke. Dusri taraf, 2340 level se niche decisively break karna bearish trajectory ki continuation ko confirm karega aur trend ke existing momentum ke sath align karega New York ke aik azad metal trader ne kaha: "Gold bulls ko chinta karni chahiye ke Fed ko interest rates kam karne ke liye sirf kam employment data nahi, balke kam inflation data bhi chahiye." New York Fed ke aik survey ne dikhaya ke consumers ko umeed hai ke prices agle saal 3.3% ki annual rate se barhengi, jo ke pichle char mahine se 3% par theek rahi thi, aur yeh November ke baad se sabse zyada level hai. House prices bhi is hi raftar se barhne ki umeed hai,

15-minute aur hourly charts ek clear southward momentum dikhate hain, jo prevalent intraday bearish pressure ko underscore karta hai. Koi bhi potential bullish reversal important news catalysts ke upar depend karta hai jo current bearish outlook ke sath align kare. Market ki inherent volatility ke madde nazar, caution zaroori hai pehle ke kisi bhi news ko bearish trend ke sath short continue karne ka definitive signal interpret karein. Traders ko market developments, khas tor par Paul's upcoming speech par critical watch maintain karne ka mashwara diya jata hai, jo market par significant influence dal sakta hai. Gold ki sensitivity macroeconomic factors aur market sentiment ke sath mil ke speech se unexpected revelations ke potential impact ko trend par emphasize karti hai

Thursday ki Aussie session mein, gold ne resilience dikhayi, aur $2,390 ke threshold ke thoda upar hi tha. Ye tabdeeli market sentiment mein change ki wajah se thi, jahan optimism ne gold ki typical safe-haven appeal ko peeche chorh diya. Iske ilawa, US ke data ne employment costs mein spike dikhaya jo inflation aur future mein interest rates ke shifts ke hawale se concerns ko janam de raha hai.


Market ke participants China aur Taiwan ke darmiyan barhtay huay tensions ko closely monitor kar rahe hain. Ek potential conflict ka khauf bara hota ja raha hai, jo Asia-Pacific region mein geopolitical uncertainties ko amplify kar raha hai. Iske ilawa, Middle East mein geopolitical hotspots bhi equation ko complex bana rahe hain. Aise environment mein, agar tensions escalate hoti hain, toh yeh gold prices ko bolster karte huay ek flight to safety trigger kar sakti hain.

A predominantly positive sentiment prevailing tha, jahan indices jaise Nikkei, ASX200, aur Hang Seng ne gains register kiye. Yeh upbeat mood encouraging economic indicators se complement ho raha tha, including Caixin Chinese Manufacturing PMI jo April mein 14-mahine ke high pe tha. Isi tarah, France aur Spain ke robust GDP growth figures Eurozone ke Q1 GDP performance ke liye zyada optimistic outlook ko foreshadow kar rahe the.




Gold price ek crucial phase ka saamna kar raha hai, jahan 100-hour SMA ek pivotal support level ke tor par serve kar raha hai. Agar yeh threshold breach hoti hai, toh recent lows ke retest hone ke chances hain jo $2,290 ke area ke ird gird hain, jabke interim support $2,321 ke aas paas nazar aa raha hai. Phir bhi, agar ek sustained downtrend persist karta hai, toh XAU/USD agle significant support level ke qareeb $2,269 tak drift kar sakta hai

Agar aaj ka closing price 2322.50 threshold se zyada ho jata hai, to hum mazeed upar ki taraf movement ki umeed kar sakte hain jo ke 2383.45 resistance level tak ja sakta hai, jo ke ek bullish signal ko zahir karta hai. Kai asbaab, jaise ke barhta hua investor risk aversion ya kamzor dollar, is scenario mein hissa le sakte hain. Ye note karna bohot zaroori hai ke 2316.50 threshold ko paar karna, short-term trend mein shift ko zahir kar sakta hai. Agar price 2337.10 level ke upar close hota hai, to gold pricing mein upward trend ki mazid imkaanat hain, jo traders ke liye strategic adjustment ke moqay paida karte hain.
Magar, H1 chart par XAUUSD pair ke conflicting signals bhi nazar aa rahe hain, jo ke mehsoosiyat se bharpur analysis ko darkaar karte hain. Financial markets ki pechidaah nature ko dekhte hue, bareeq analysis zaroori hai. Market sentiment mein tabdeeliyan ya unexpected news events is discrepancy ko explain kar sakte hain. Gold pricing ke hawalay se mojooda ghair yaqeeni surat-e-haal mein, market developments ka barabar jaiza lena intehai ahem hai taake future market direction ko samjha ja sake

Price itminaan se upward trend mein hai aur sabhi moving averages ke upar hai. Gold prices barh rahe hain Federal Reserve interest rate cut ke speculation ki wajah se jo pichle hafte ke weak US employment report ke baad aayi hai. Jabke 20-day moving average 2334 par support faraham kar raha hai, price is level se neeche bhi ja sakta hai. Iske bawajood, pechlay weekly candle ka bullish engulfing buying ka rujhan zahir karta hai. Agle buying targets 2391 aur 2431 ka historical high hain