AUD/USD
Pair ab selling pressure face kar raha hai, aur 0.6710 ke aas paas early Asian session mein Thursday ko hover kar raha hai. Yeh decline zyada tar US Dollar (USD) ke renewed demand ki wajah se ho raha hai, jo ke stronger-than-expected US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data ke baad aaya hai. Is hafte market ka focus US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for June aur Federal Reserve (Fed) Interest Rate Decision par hoga, jo ke significant volatility introduce kar sakti hain.
**AUD/USD ke Fundamentals:**
Australian Dollar apni position maintain kar raha hai, Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ke stance ki wajah se. Dusre central banks ke mukable, jo rate cuts ki umeed rakhte hain, RBA ne signal diya hai ke wo is saal koi rate cuts plan nahi kar raha. RBA Governor Michele Bullock ki recent hawkish guidance interest rate outlook par yeh indicate karti hai ke central bank tayar hai rates ko aur bhi increase karne ke liye agar inflation target range 1%-3% mein wapas nahi aata. Is se RBA rate cuts ki expectations kam ho gayi hain aur Australian Dollar ko support mila hai.
Isi tarah, Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) bhi agle saal apne tight interest-rate stance ko reconsider kar sakta hai. Dono RBA aur RBNZ ki monetary policies AUD/USD pair ke liye crucial hain, kyun ke kisi bhi change se market sentiment aur currency movements par significant asar ho sakta hai.
**Four-hour Time Frame Technical Outlook:**
Ek steep decline ke baad, pair ne apni range ke bottom ko pierce kiya hai, jo ke further weakness ko vulnerable banata hai. Agar June 7 ka low 0.6578 ke neeche break hota hai, toh yeh bearish outlook confirm hoga, aur initial target 0.6533 ka ho sakta hai. Yeh target technical analysis method ka istemal kar ke range ke height ko Fibonacci 0.618 ratio se extrapolate kar ke nikala gaya hai.
Dusri taraf, agar 200 Simple Moving Average (SMA) 0.6641 ke upar break hoti hai, toh yeh potential bullish reversal suggest karegi. Yeh move tab aur confirm hoga jab Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator red signal line ke upar cross karega, jo ke ek naya upward trend signal karega.
Pair ab selling pressure face kar raha hai, aur 0.6710 ke aas paas early Asian session mein Thursday ko hover kar raha hai. Yeh decline zyada tar US Dollar (USD) ke renewed demand ki wajah se ho raha hai, jo ke stronger-than-expected US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data ke baad aaya hai. Is hafte market ka focus US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for June aur Federal Reserve (Fed) Interest Rate Decision par hoga, jo ke significant volatility introduce kar sakti hain.
**AUD/USD ke Fundamentals:**
Australian Dollar apni position maintain kar raha hai, Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ke stance ki wajah se. Dusre central banks ke mukable, jo rate cuts ki umeed rakhte hain, RBA ne signal diya hai ke wo is saal koi rate cuts plan nahi kar raha. RBA Governor Michele Bullock ki recent hawkish guidance interest rate outlook par yeh indicate karti hai ke central bank tayar hai rates ko aur bhi increase karne ke liye agar inflation target range 1%-3% mein wapas nahi aata. Is se RBA rate cuts ki expectations kam ho gayi hain aur Australian Dollar ko support mila hai.
Isi tarah, Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) bhi agle saal apne tight interest-rate stance ko reconsider kar sakta hai. Dono RBA aur RBNZ ki monetary policies AUD/USD pair ke liye crucial hain, kyun ke kisi bhi change se market sentiment aur currency movements par significant asar ho sakta hai.
**Four-hour Time Frame Technical Outlook:**
Ek steep decline ke baad, pair ne apni range ke bottom ko pierce kiya hai, jo ke further weakness ko vulnerable banata hai. Agar June 7 ka low 0.6578 ke neeche break hota hai, toh yeh bearish outlook confirm hoga, aur initial target 0.6533 ka ho sakta hai. Yeh target technical analysis method ka istemal kar ke range ke height ko Fibonacci 0.618 ratio se extrapolate kar ke nikala gaya hai.
Dusri taraf, agar 200 Simple Moving Average (SMA) 0.6641 ke upar break hoti hai, toh yeh potential bullish reversal suggest karegi. Yeh move tab aur confirm hoga jab Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator red signal line ke upar cross karega, jo ke ek naya upward trend signal karega.
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