Aud usd

Australian Dollar ne US Dollar

Australian Dollar ne US Dollar ke khilaf taraqqi ki, bazaar ki achi halat se mutasir hote hue, jabke Dollar ne Wall Street par mukhtalif nateejayon ke darmiyan thori giravat ka samna kiya. Investors badi ehmiyat ke tajziyati aghazat ko nazdeek se nazar andaaz kar rahe hain, jin mein stable US inflation figures aur Federal Reserve ki pur umeed economic outlook shaamil hain, jo dono hi currency dynamics ko asar andaaz hote hain. Mustaqil US inflation daro ne ek mustqil bunyad faraham ki hai, jab Federal Reserve ki mutasir economic outlook currency markets ko mazeed shakal de rahi hai.

Fed ki musbat manzar e aam ne high-risk assets ke liye aik faida mand mahol ko faraham kiya hai, jis se mukhtalif currency pairs ki performance ko mutasir kiya gaya hai. Aglay hafte US inflation data aur Australian consumer confidence indicators ka anjaam dena aham hoga mulk ki tashkheesat ko shakal dena ke liye. Yeh data release US mein inflation trends aur Australian consumers ke darmiyan maujooda nafsiati halat ke baray mein qeemati wazahat faraham karega, sath hi sarmaya danon aur analysts ke liye ek leading indicator ka kaam karega.

Asal mein, AUD/USD exchange rate bazaar ki jazbaat mein tabdeeliyon, maali dastawezon ke izharat aur bade scale ke maqrooza manzar ke zariye guzar raha hai. Jab traders in tajziyati aghazat ke darmiyan agah rehte hain, to currency pair ki harkat ko woh domestic aur international bazaar ki mustaqil tabdeeliyon ka asar dikhata hai. AUD/USD ne 0.6607 liquidity zone tak pohanch gaya hai, jahan bechnay walay apni taqat dikhate hain, mukhtalif chotiyon ka natija hai. Bullish convergence signal nazar ata hai jab OSM aur mukhtalif market charts mein pichle dino mein izafa hota hai.

34 aur 50 muddat Exponential Moving Averages ab keemat ke liye support faraham kar rahe hain. Pichle daily mombati ne neeche ki oonchi phaṛak ki, aur mojooda mombati ek bullish shakal dikhata hai, ishara hai ke agle keemat ka maqam 0.6668 hai. Magar agar keemat wapas ata hai aur 0.6548 level se neeche gir jata hai, to hum khareedari position se bahar nikal jaenge aur mukhtalif trading moaamlaat ke liye dekheinge.

AUDUSD OUTLOOK ANALYSIS:

AUDUSD ke H4 time frame chart par, AUDUSD pair ka price pattern structure ab bhi ek lower low dikhata hai kyun ke naye, lower low prices ban rahe hain. Iske ilawa, kareeb 0.6486 par naya support hai aur 0.6515 par RSI area resistance ke tor par hai. Trend condition ek bearish trend condition mein bani hui hai kyun ke EMA 50 aur SMA 200 ka koi crossing nahi hua hai, jo golden cross signal ko janm deta hai. Halanki, price movements ko kal ek impulsive decline ke baad upar ki taraf correct kiya ja raha hai. Uthne ki koshish mein prices RSI ya resistance area ko test kar rahe hain taake woh consistent tarah se 0.6500 level ke upar rahein. Maslan, agar price ab bhi 50 EMA ke aas paas rejection ka samna kar raha hai, to yeh yeh matlab hai ke agla movement support ko test karne aur lower low structure ko jaari rakhne ki taraf tend karega. Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ke dwaara dikhaya gaya downtrend momentum kamzor hone lagta hai. Kyunki green histogram volume level 0 ki taraf nazdik aa raha hai aur sambhavatah positive area ko cross karne wala hai. Magar, Stochastic indicator abhi bhi ek price decline ko darshata hai kyun ke parameters jo overbought zone tak pahunch gaye hain woh jald hi cross karne wale hain.

AUDUSD ke H1 time frame chart par, AUDUSD market khud ko 0.6517 ka crucial support level ke aas paas dekhta hai. Is level ki ahmiyat ko kam na samjha jaa sake, kyun ke yeh market dynamics ke liye ek ahem juncture ko darshata hai. Is juncture par, kharidne wale aur bechne wale ke darmiyan taqat ka balance hota hai. Agar kharidne wale is range ke andar control ko maintain nahi kar paate, to raasta khul jayega bechne wale ke liye 0.6480 level ko breach karne ke liye US trading session ke doran. Yeh scenario bechna dabaav ko trigger kar sakta hai, jisse market mein aur neeche ki taraf movement ho sakti hai. Magar, market participants ke liye zaroori hai ke woh samjhein 0.6500 ke psychological level ki ahmiyat ko. Yeh level ek ahem threshold ka kaam karta hai, neeche ki momentum ke khilaaf ek buffer pesh karta hai aur bullish sentiment ko jari rakhne ke liye ek bunyadi base faraham karta hai. Saaransh mein, market ke vartman environment mein market participants ki survival unki yeh koshish par nirbhar karta hai ke woh 0.6500 range ke integrity ko banaye rakhein. Is tarah, woh vartman market conditions ke challenges ko effectively navigate kar sakte hain aur unhein potential opportunities ke liye position kar sakte hain jo upasthit ho sakti hain.

Agar aap H4 timeframe ki fashion dekhein, to lagta hai ke woh phir se bearish hone ki koshish kar rahe hain, jo peechle haftay mein hua, jo ke zyada tar buland bullish harkaat par focused tha. Aur yahan farq yeh ho sakta hai ke AUDUSD ne peechle haftay ke akhri mein EMA50 ko upar se neeche tak guzar jaane mein kamiyabi haasil ki, jo ke asal mein is pair ke liye ek gehri nichli harkat karne ka ek acha moqa kholta hai, CSM bechnay ka banne ke saath jaise ke AUDUSD ko naye taaqat milti hai. AUDUSD girne ka silsila jaari rahe, chahe USDX apne aap mein laut jaaye ya na.

AUDUSD Trading Plan: Mere liye is AUDUSD pair ka mukhya intezami karna ke dobara bechnay ka mauqa ho, aur jab humein CSM bechnay ka ban jaaye to agla kadam yeh hai ke is AUDUSD ko pehle dobara dakhil hone ke liye intezaar karna hai, jahan is AUDUSD ke liye pehle ek chhoti si retrace hone ki mumkinat hai. Sabse pehle, mein 0.677 par bechnay ka had tak try karna chahta hoon aur TP ke liye main lambe arse ka had set karna chahta hoon, khaaskar 0.6600 par, haalaanki mein khud achchi tarah jaanta hoon ke AUDUSD ko itna neeche laya jana waqai mushkil hai, na?

Aur chunanche, kisi doosri CSAk kharid dakhil banane ki mauqa sirf tabhi ho sakta hai agar AUDUSD dobara mid BB ko neeche se upar tak guzar jaaye, aur yeh mumkin hai, oscillator ke haalaat dekhte hue, zaroor.

Australia ki currency, Australian dollar (AUD), Jumeraat ko shuru mein izafa karne ke baad farokht dabao ka samna kar rahi hai, ab 0.6530 ke aas paas musalsal mojood hai. Ye walaar taaza taraqqiyan ke bawajood hai, jaise ke Chinese Prime Minister ka Australia ki ziyarat ka mansooba, jo AUD ko mazbooti de sakta hai. Magar, mukhtalif currencyon ke muqable mein ab mukhalif rujhan ka mahol US dollar (USD) ke taraf mael hai, Federal Reserve ka sakht rukh ki wajah se. Monday ko US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) ki taraf se jari data ke mutabiq, core Consumer Price Index (CPI) musalsal 0.4% aur saalana 3.8% izafa hua, jisse ke ab rate khatm ka koi zarurat nahi hai. CPI mein energy aur khana ki keemat shamil nahi hoti. Consumer inflation expectations mein izafay ki wajah se, ab kam umeed hai ke Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) jaldi interest rates ko kam nahi karega. Aane wale 12 mahinon ke liye inflation ki umeedain pichli figure 4.3% se 4.6% tak barh gayi hain, Melbourne Institute ke mutabiq.



AUD/USD ne aik bearish chart pattern se bahar nikalne mein kamiyab nahi hui, jo aik sell-off ko trigger kiya. Currency 0.6477 ke qareeb support levels tak pohanch gayi hai aur apne 20-day average ke neeche gir gayi hai, jo kamzor demand ko darust karta hai. Momentum indicators bhi nazdeek ki mudarabah farahmi ki kami ko dikhate hain qareebi muddat mein. Agar AUD mazeed kamzor hoti hai aur 0.6485 ke neeche gir jati hai, to traders short positions khol sakte hain, 0.6440 ya 0.6400 ke qareeb faida uthane ke liye. Magar, agar 0.6635 ke upar nikal jati hai, to yeh trend ka ulta ishara de sakta hai, jis se pair 0.6667 ya 0.6700 ke qareeb ja sakta hai. Technical indicators dekhte hue, MACD kamzor momentum ka ishara de raha hai, jabke RSI kuch signs dikhata hai ke kuch umeed ki baat hai aane wale chand dinon mein. Pair agar musbat momentum banata hai to 0.6666 ke qareeb resistance tak pohanch sakta hai. Overall, AUD/USD China-Australia taaluqat mein behtar hone ki mumkin taraqqi aur mazboot US dollar ke darmiyan ek jang mein phansa hai. Pair ka rukh aane wale dinon mein kaunsa force zyada dominant sabit hota hai, is par mabni ho sakta hai.

AU/USD Trade Setup:


AUDUSD ke H4 time frame chart par, AUDUSD pair ka price pattern structure ab bhi ek lower low dikhata hai kyun ke naye, lower low prices ban rahe hain. Iske ilawa, kareeb 0.6486 par naya support hai aur 0.6515 par RSI area resistance ke tor par hai. Trend condition ek bearish trend condition mein bani hui hai kyun ke EMA 50 aur SMA 200 ka koi crossing nahi hua hai, jo golden cross signal ko janm deta hai. Halanki, price movements ko kal ek impulsive decline ke baad upar ki taraf correct kiya ja raha hai. Uthne ki koshish mein prices RSI ya resistance area ko test kar rahe hain taake woh consistent tarah se 0.6500 level ke upar rahein. Maslan, agar price ab bhi 50 EMA ke aas paas rejection ka samna kar raha hai, to yeh yeh matlab hai ke agla movement support ko test karne aur lower low structure ko jaari rakhne ki taraf tend karega. Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ke dwaara dikhaya gaya downtrend momentum kamzor hone lagta hai. Kyunki green histogram volume level 0 ki taraf nazdik aa raha hai aur sambhavatah positive area ko cross karne wala hai. Magar, Stochastic indicator abhi bhi ek price decline ko darshata hai kyun ke parameters jo overbought zone tak pahunch gaye hain woh jald hi cross karne wale hain.


AUDUSD ke H1 time frame chart par, AUDUSD market khud ko 0.6517 ka crucial support level ke aas paas dekhta hai. Is level ki ahmiyat ko kam na samjha jaa sake, kyun ke yeh market dynamics ke liye ek ahem juncture ko darshata hai. Is juncture par, kharidne wale aur bechne wale ke darmiyan taqat ka balance hota hai. Agar kharidne wale is range ke andar control ko maintain nahi kar paate, to raasta khul jayega bechne wale ke liye 0.6480 level ko breach karne ke liye US trading session ke doran. Yeh scenario bechna dabaav ko trigger kar sakta hai, jisse market mein aur neeche ki taraf movement ho sakti hai. Magar, market participants ke liye zaroori hai ke woh samjhein 0.6500 ke psychological level ki ahmiyat ko. Yeh level ek ahem threshold ka kaam karta hai, neeche ki momentum ke khilaaf ek buffer pesh karta hai aur bullish sentiment ko jari rakhne ke liye ek bunyadi base faraham karta hai. Saaransh mein, market ke vartman environment mein market participants ki survival unki yeh koshish par nirbhar karta hai ke woh 0.6500 range ke integrity ko banaye rakhein. Is tarah, woh vartman market conditions ke challenges ko effectively navigate kar sakte hain aur unhein potential opportunities ke liye position kar sakte hain jo upasthit ho sakti hain.

Reading AUD/USD Chart:


Australia ki currency, Australian dollar (AUD), Jumeraat ko shuru mein izafa karne ke baad farokht dabao ka samna kar rahi hai, ab 0.6530 ke aas paas musalsal mojood hai. Ye walaar taaza taraqqiyan ke bawajood hai, jaise ke Chinese Prime Minister ka Australia ki ziyarat ka mansooba, jo AUD ko mazbooti de sakta hai. Magar, mukhtalif currencyon ke muqable mein ab mukhalif rujhan ka mahol US dollar (USD) ke taraf mael hai, Federal Reserve ka sakht rukh ki wajah se. Monday ko US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) ki taraf se jari data ke mutabiq, core Consumer Price Index (CPI) musalsal 0.4% aur saalana 3.8% izafa hua, jisse ke ab rate khatm ka koi zarurat nahi hai. CPI mein energy aur khana ki keemat shamil nahi hoti. Consumer inflation expectations mein izafay ki wajah se, ab kam umeed hai ke Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) jaldi interest rates ko kam nahi karega. Aane wale 12 mahinon ke liye inflation ki umeedain pichli figure 4.3% se 4.6% tak barh gayi hain, Melbourne Institute ke mutabiq.


AUD/USD ne aik bearish chart pattern se bahar nikalne mein kamiyab nahi hui, jo aik sell-off ko trigger kiya. Currency 0.6477 ke qareeb support levels tak pohanch gayi hai aur apne 20-day average ke neeche gir gayi hai, jo kamzor demand ko darust karta hai. Momentum indicators bhi nazdeek ki mudarabah farahmi ki kami ko dikhate hain qareebi muddat mein. Agar AUD mazeed kamzor hoti hai aur 0.6485 ke neeche gir jati hai, to traders short positions khol sakte hain, 0.6440 ya 0.6400 ke qareeb faida uthane ke liye. Magar, agar 0.6635 ke upar nikal jati hai, to yeh trend ka ulta ishara de sakta hai, jis se pair 0.6667 ya 0.6700 ke qareeb ja sakta hai. Technical indicators dekhte hue, MACD kamzor momentum ka ishara de raha hai, jabke RSI kuch signs dikhata hai ke kuch umeed ki baat hai aane wale chand dinon mein. Pair agar musbat momentum banata hai to 0.6666 ke qareeb resistance tak pohanch sakta hai. Overall, AUD/USD China-Australia taaluqat mein behtar hone ki mumkin taraqqi aur mazboot US dollar ke darmiyan ek jang mein phansa hai. Pair ka rukh aane wale dinon mein kaunsa force zyada dominant sabit hota hai, is par mabni ho sakta hai.

AUD/USD


Abhi, AUD/USD exchange rate 0.6483 ke support zone ke andar ghum rahi hai. Magar, mojooda market sentiment aur trajectory ka tajziya karne se kharidar ke darmiyan aik mustaqil aur umeed afzana manzar zahir hota hai, jabke farokht dabaav qaaim rehta hai, jis se unki qeemat mein musalsal kami hoti hai. Yeh kharidar ke liye ek moassar market mahol qaim karta hai, jis mein unhe nuqsaan ko kam karne aur munafa ko barhane ka mauqa milta hai. Mojooda sentiment kharidar ke rukh par hai, khas taur par agar 0.6665 range ko paar kiya jaye aur us par mabni rahe, jo exchange rate mein aik mumkin uptick ko darust karta hai. 0.6670 ke level se mazeed mazbooti se guzarne se yeh growth trajectory qaim reh sakti hai. America session ke doran aik choti ulte seedhi hone ke bawajood, market mazeed barhne ke liye qaim hai, jis mein 0.6668 ka darwaza paar kiya ja sakta hai, jo mazeed khareedari ke liye aik goya signal hai.
Chirrte hue movements ke darmiyan bhi, 0.6555 ke support level ne oopar ki taraf rukh ko tasdeeq kiya hai, jaise ke Awesome Oscillator (AO) ne musalsal uptrend momentum ko darust kiya hai, halankeh Stochastic indicator overbought conditions aur ek mazeed price decrease ke imkan ko zahir karta hai. Traders ke liye is market mein chalaki se kaam lena ahem hai, ye indicators aur AUD/USD pair mein potential fluctuations ko madah par lete hue. Ye zaroori hai ke aik doosra manzar bhi qubool kiya jaye, jahan 0.6615 ke oopar ek breakout mazeed uparward movement ko darust karta hai, ek naye local maximum qaim karne ki koshish mein. Aaj, na European session mein, na hi American trading sessions mein koi ahem khabarat ki umeed hai. Traders ka tawajjo kal dopahar hone wale US consumer price data ke nazdeek hone par hai. Abhi, AUD/USD pair 0.6615 ke ahem darje ke neeche trade kar raha hai, jo 23.6% Fibonacci resistance level se milta hai. Bulls ke yeh nakami ke bawajood, jab tak ek close is darwaze ke oopar nahi ho pata, ek price ka downside ka imkan qaaim rehta hai.

AUD/USD Keemat Ka Bartao Ka Tajziya
AUD/USD ke tabadlay ki halat is waqt 0.6483 par mojood ek support zone mein dekha gaya hai. Magar, maujooda market ki jazbat aur rah ka mukammal jaiza lene par kharidar mein mustaqil aur pur umeed nazar aati hai. Is umeedi ke bawajood, bechne walon ka dabao barqarar hai, jo currency pair ki qeemat par dhire dhire neechay ki taraf dabao dal raha hai. Phir bhi, yeh manzar kharidaron ke liye ek moawin market mahol paida karta hai, jise unhe nuksanat ko kam karne aur faida barhane ka mauqa deta hai. Mukhdom jazbat kharidar ke liye faidemand hai, khas tor par jab market zaroori 0.6665 range ke aas paas mandra raha hai. Agar is level ko paar kiya jaye aur is ke baad is par jamav hota hai, to ye ek qareebi izafa ki nishani ho sakta hai.




Halankay American trading session ke doran ek minor u-turn hua, lekin amomi market ki jazbat sug-gest karte hain ke mazeed qadar afzai ki taraf ragbat hai, shayad 0.6668 ke mark ko paar kar jaaye. Ye taraqqi kharidoron ke liye ek green signal ka kaam karega, mazeed khareedari activities ke liye ek dilchasp mahol ka ishara dene wala. Khulasa mein, jabke AUD/USD exchange rate abhi 0.6483 par support pa raha hai, maujooda market ki jazbat kharidaron ki taraf mael hai. Kharidar ke darmiyan mustaqil aur pur umeed nazar aati hai aur bechne walon ka dabao barqarar hai, is se kharidar ko potential faiday hasil karne ka faida ho sakta hai. 0.6665 range ko paar karne aur is par jamav hone se mustaqil izafa ki stage tay ho sakti hai, 0.6670 ke paar hone se ye musbat rukh ko mazid mazboot kar sakta hai. Chhoti u-turns ke bawajood, amomi market ka rukh ek qareebi uptrend ki taraf ishara karta hai, jo qareebi waqt mein kharidoron ke liye ek pur umeed manzar pesh karta hai.

AUD/USD Trade Setup:

AUD/USD currency pair ne apni neechay ki taraf rukh ko barqarar rakha, jo peechle haftay ke ikhtitami doran 0.6456 tak gira. Yeh giravat pehlay set ki gayi support level 0.6480 ko tor diya, jo market ke jazbaat mein tabdeeli ka ishaara hai. Daam 0.6443 ke naye kamzor level ke qareeb ja raha hai, jo investors ko ek bearish trend ka ubhar de raha hai, jo sakti se bearish candle ke sath saptah ke trading ko band kar diya gaya. Aage dekhte hue, mojooda bias is neechay ki harkat ka jari rakhne ki sath, aane wale haftay mein kaam anay wale kisi bhi upri wapas ka mouka ho sakta hai. Mazeed, anavaran ki jagah ko mukhtasar paimano par palatne ke zones ke roop mein dekhna aqalmandana hai. Aik time frame ki lambai is tarah ke zones ki ehmiyat ko barha deta hai, in areas ke andar mazid mukablay aur mojooda trend ka rukh badhata hai. Is tarah, jis ziada time frame ho, in palatne wale zones ko mazboot banata hai, jo samjhaata hai ke daam ka amal in areas mein karkardagi se mukablay ka samna kar sakta hai, jo mojooda trend ko mazeed lamba bana sakta hai.

Ikhtisar mein, AUD/USD currency pair ne aik izhar e khaas bearish jazbat ke dor mein dakhil kiya hai, jaisa ke key support levels ke tor par aur saptah ke band hone ke liye mazboot bearish candle ke ikhraj se saboot hota hai. Yeh aglay trading sessions mein neechay ki momentum ka jari rakhne ke stage ko set karta hai. Investors ko mukhtalif palatne wale zones ko mukammal tawajjo se dekhnay ki hidayat di gayi hai, khaaskar lambi timeframes par, kyunke yeh mojooda downtrend ko mazboot karne wale ahem resistance points ke tor par kaam kar sakti hain. Isi tarah, kisi bhi temporary upri harkat ko ehtiyaat se dekha jana chahiye, kyunke yeh amooman overarching bearish bias ke sath milta hai aur yeh mouke mojooda bearish bias ke mutabiq short positions mein dakhil hone ka mouqa de sakta hai.

AUD/USD Trade Setup:

AUD/USD currency pair ne apna neechay ki taraf rukh barqarar rakha hai, jis ka natija peechle haftay ke ikhtitami doran 0.6456 tak girna raha. Yeh giravat pehlay set ki gayi support level 0.6480 ko tor diya, jo market ke jazbat mein potenti ka tabdeel hone ka ishaara hai. Daam 0.6443 ke numaya kamzor level ke qareeb ja raha hai, jo ke investors ko ek bearish trend ka ubhar de raha hai, jo saptah ke trading ko band karne wali mazboot bearish candle mein zahir hai. Aage dekhte hue, mojooda bias ka ishaara hai ke anay wale haftay mein is neechay ki harkat ka jari rakhne ka irada hai, jahan bhi upar ki wapas ke mouke numaya honge, wahan potential farokht ke mouke pesh aa sakte hain. Mazeed, anavaran ki jagah ko potential palatne wale zones ke tor par samajhna aqalmandi hai. Aik time frame ki lambai is tarah ke zones ki ahmiyat ko barha deti hai, in areas ke andar mukablay aur mojooda trend ka rukh barha deti hai. Isi tarah, jitna zyada time frame purana hoga, utni zyada mazboot yeh palatne wale zones ban jayenge, jo daam ke amal ko in areas mein mukablay ka samna karne ke liye mukhfi banate hain, jo mojooda trend ko mazeed lamba kar sakte hain.

Ikhtisar mein, AUD/USD currency pair ne izhar e khaas bearish jazbat ke dor mein dakhil kiya hai, jaisa ke key support levels ke tor par aur saptah ke band hone wali mazboot bearish candle ke ikhraj se saboot hota hai. Yeh aglay trading sessions mein neechay ki momentum ka jari rakhne ke stage ko set karta hai. Investors ko mukhtalif palatne wale zones ko mukammal tawajjo se dekhnay ki hidayat di gayi hai, khaaskar lambi timeframes par, kyunke yeh mojooda downtrend ko mazboot karne wale ahem resistance points ke tor par kaam kar sakti hain. Isi tarah, kisi bhi temporary upar ki harkat ko ehtiyaat se dekha jana chahiye, kyunke yeh amooman overarching bearish bias ke sath milta hai aur yeh mouke mojooda bearish bias ke mutabiq short positions mein dakhil hone ka mouqa de sakta hai.

AUDUSD

Australian dollar (AUD) ne mukhtalif hafton mein US dollar (USD) ke khilaaf aik rollercoaster safar kiya hai. Aik mustaqil charhao ke baad jo ke teesre ko 0.6643 par aik maah ke buland nakaar pe pohncha, AUD ne aik shadeed taiz US inflation report ke baad ek giravat li. Yeh sab pehle ke tamam faiday ko mita diya aur AUD ke qeemat mein giravat ke baray mein afsoos ka izhar kia. Analysts ne tawajjo ke saath AUD/USD jodi ko dekha hai ke agar woh apna muqabla kar sake. Dekhne ke liye ahem support level 0.6479 hai, jo February aur March mein buffer zone ke tor par kaam kia hai. Agar AUD is level ke neechay gir jata hai, to yeh 2024 ka low point 0.6441 ki taraf tezi se gir sakta hai, ya phir August 2023 ke low point 0.6363 ko dobara dekh sakta hai. Lekin, AUD ke bullish logon ke liye abhi bhi umeed hai. Agar daam phir se tezi se chadh jata hai aur 50-day aur 200-day moving averages ko paar kar jata hai, to yeh ek musbat jazbat ka wapas signal ho sakta hai. Bullish logon ke liye ibtedai nishana February ke resistance level 0.6594 hoga, jahan se potential ke sath recent maah ka buland nakaar 0.6643 ke taraf dabaav ban sakta hai. Agar AUD is point ko paar kar leta hai, to yeh shayad March ka buland nakaar 0.6666 ka muqabla kar sakta hai.

Budh ke shadeed giravat ke baad, aik hissi behtar hone ki khabar aai, jo bullish aur bearish ke darmiyan jaari tug-of-war ko highlight karti hai. 50-day aur 200-day moving averages ke aas paas hone wale zone ka agla imtehan AUD ke mustaqbil ke raaste ko tay karnay mein ahem ho ga. Agar ek mustaqil kharidari jhalkar de jo AUD ko 0.6643 ka shadeed resistance level paar kar de, to yeh rasta ban sakta hai March ka buland nakaar 0.6666 tak chadhne ke liye aur shayad 0.6730 tak bhi. Aksar, moving averages ke neechay gir chuki ho, to AUD ko hilkaat ka sath nazar aata hai, 0.6475 ke kamzor support level par, aur phir 0.6440 par mazeed support ho sakta hai. Ek gehri giravat ke baad lambe arse ke bearish nazariye ko tasdeeq kar sakti hai, jisse AUD ko 0.6340 tak niche drag kar sakta hai.

AUD/USD OUTLOOK ANALYSIS


AUD/USD nay naye haftay ke pehle din kuch khareedari ko aakarshit kiya aur Jumma ke nuqsaan ko kuch wapas liya, jo ke 0.6455 ilaqa tak gir gaya, jo ke February 14 se uska sab se kam level tha. Dusray janib, spot ke qeemat mein taza siyasati halaat ka koi zyada asar nahi dekha gaya, Asian session ke doran 0.6470-0.6475 ilaqa ke aas paas trade hoti rahi, halankeh koi maqsad afza lihaaz nahi mila. Iran ne shumali Mizil aur missiles ko Israel par shani raat ko laaunched kiya inki tasleem ke liye ke Israel ne is ke consulate ko Syria mein is maheenay ke shuraw mein hamla kia, jis se Mashriq ke jang ke barhne ka khatra barh gaya. Magar, market nisbatan pur sukoon hai, jaise ke U.S. equities futures mein aam tor par musbat andaz mein, jo ke ek ahem fard hai jo kuch sahara faraham karta hai risk-sensitive Australian dollar (AUD) ko. Dusri taraf, US dollar (USD) apne sab se unchi satah par hai early November se, Federal Reserve (Fed) ki hawkish umeedon ke darmiyan, aur is ko rokna hai AUD/USD jori ke liye umeedon ke buland hone ki taraf. Pichle haftay U.S. data ne kam kia ke mahangai laparwah hai aur ye umeedon ko mazid paish kiya ke Federal Reserve is saal interest rates ko taal degi. Is ke ilawa, aik silsila ke ahem Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) ke afkar ke mutalliq rukhshanion ne investors ko umeedon ko June se September tak taalnay par majboor kia. U.S. Treasury yields aaj kal umeedon ke liye qadmiati hain near year-to-date peak jo pichle haftay tha, jo ke mawjooda siyasati halaat ke saath, safe-haven dollar ko sahara faraham karna chahiye. Is ke natijay mein, thaira jaanay se pehle is ko yaqeeni banane ke liye ahtiyaat ke liye bulawa hai ke AUD/USD jori chhota arsa ke liye neeche aa gaya hai.





Aage dekhtay hue, market ka tawajju U.S. maeeshati docket par muntaqil ho raha hai - jisme monthly retail sales data aur Empire State Manufacturing Index shamil hain. Ye, sath hee Fed ke taqreer aur siyasi halaat, USD ki darkhwast ko hidaayat karega aur kuch momentum faraham karega AUD/USD jori ke liye Chinese macro data ke liye Tuesday ke Asian session mein. Investors is haftay bhi Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell ke zahir hone aur Australian rozgar ke tafseelat ke izhaar par qail honge. Daily chart ke oscillators sirf negative traction hasil karne lage hain, agar is level ke neeche mazboot tor par toot gaya to ye naye trigger banay ga AUD bearish traders ke liye aur mazi ke qareeb 0.6645 se izaafi rukh ki ja sakti hai. 0.6480 ilaqa ke neeche kisi bhi koshish shani, yani monthly lows, AUD ka negative rukh tasdeeq kare gi aur AUD/USD ko wapas February mein pohancha sakti hai 0.6445-0.6440 ilaqa, saal ke kam values ke mukhabil. Nechay ki manzil mazeed 0.6400 mark tak barh sakti hai, aglay lajawab support ke saath 0.6355-0.6350 ilaqa ke aas paas. Dusri taraf, kisi bhi koshish ki taraqqi ke liye mukhalif tawanai mazboot resistance ke qareeb mumkin hai 0.6545-0.6555 ilaqa, jo ke sab se ahem 200-day simple moving average (SMA) ke saath milta hai. Is ke baad, 100-day moving average, ab 0.6600 ke aas paas, jis ke upar short covering shayad AUD/USD jori ko wapas le ja sakti hai 0.6640-0.6645 ilaqa, ya monthly swing high.

AUDUSD


Is haftay ke market session ke shuru mein AUDUSD ka market movement barhne ki taraf dekha gaya, taake peechle Sunday ke market session ke bearish pressure se bullish correction phase ko shuru kiya ja sake. Yeh dilchaspi wala hoga ke mojooda bullish movement ka jari rehna, kya bearish trend ke jari rahne ke baad bhi bearish correction phase ke baad jari rahay ga ya phir yeh koshish karega ke trend ki taraf laut jaye. Mein mazeed tafseelati jaiza niche paish karonga.

H4 TF ki reference ke mutabiq, dekha gaya hai ke barhawa 0.6498 ke qareeb SBR area ki taraf barh raha hai. Is haftay ke market session ke shuruat mein barhawa lagbhag 30 pips ke roop mein upar ki taraf tha, kam se kam keemat ki had se 0.6460 se mojooda buland keemat tak. Bullish correction movement ke baad keemat ne oversold area tak pohanch kar barhawa shuru kiya tha jo RSI ke level 30 par tha. Bullish correction ke movement ko jaari rakha ja sakta hai takay upar ke supply area tak pohanch saken jo ke 0.6535 ke qareeb hai.

Bechnay ki soch wahiyaat hai kyunki yeh mumkin hai ke keemat bullish correction phase khatam hone ke baad girne ka amal jaari rahe. Bech re-entry area ko shumar karna aasan hai taake SBR level range se shuru hokar 0.6500-0.6535 ke qareeb supply area tak dakhil ho sake. Is keemat ke range se farokht ke maqsad ko dobara demand area ko dobara test karne ke liye tayyar kiya ja sakta hai jo ke 0.6460 ke qareeb hai aur aik naye kam se kam ka shakal banane ke liye koshish kare taake 0.6400 ke darja tak pohanch sake. Yeh farokht ke plan ke risk ko nuqsaan par laga sakta hai jo ke Ma 50 (red) movement area ke upar 0.6565 par hai. Choti taur par khareedari ke considerations ko mad-e-nazar le sakte hain jab keemat 0.6565 ke level se oopar jaaye taake maqsad upar ke supply area ko pohanchne ki koshish kare jo ke 0.6620 ke qareeb hai.

Rozana chart ki reference par dekha gaya hai ke keemat abhi tak apne bearish trend ke ibtidaai marhale mein hai jahan candle movement Ma 200 area (blue) ke neeche trade kar rahi hai. Mojudah upar ki condition ko ek correction phase ke tor par samjha ja sakta hai, khaaskar ke qareeb supply area ko 0.6510 ke qareeb test karte hue. Misal ke taur par, agar keemat supply area ke range mein phir se bullish rejection ka samna kare, toh girne ka moqa dobara dekha ja sakta hai, khaaskar ke neeche aik naye kam se kam ko shakal dene ke liye, khaaskar ke 0.6443 ke qareeb crucial support area ko test karne ke liye. 0.6443 ke darja ke neeche ek tor par guzar jaane par keemat ko phir se rally base drop karne ke liye encourage kiya ja sakta hai jo ke peechle saal ke kam se kam keemat ki had tak pohanchne ka moqa de sakta hai. Trend direction mein tabdeeli ka saboot ke tor par upper side limit 0.6644 aur 0.6666 ke range mein resistant levels ko guzarne ka barhawa hai.

market mein bulls ko yeh khaas darja as aham rukawat samajhna chahiye agar reechh trend ko ghate mein rokna chahte hain ghantay ki chart par. Is liye, karobariyon ke liye aham hai ke wo potensial ulta signalon ke liye muntazir rahen jo bechnay ki positions mein dakhil hone ka waqt dikhate hain. Channel ke andar dekhi jane wali tezi mazeed wazirin ke dawam ko numainda karte hai. Bunyadi tor par, channel ke andar tez rukh qowat ko aur zyada barhata hai aur reechh ki control ko barqarar rakhta hai. Market ke trends aur ahem darjat ko samajhna karobaron ke liye faisla karne mein ahem hai. Jab market kisi ahem darje se milti hai, jaise ke yeh jo zikar kiya gaya hai, to yeh amuman bull aur bear forces ke darmiyan ek jung ka medan ban jata hai. Is halat mein, agar reechhain is rukawat ko todne ke liye kafi dabao daal sakti hain, to yeh market ke jazbat ka ek tabadla ko dikhata hai bullish se bearish ki taraf. Umgeer agar bail is darje ko kamyabi se bacha sakte hain, to yeh mojooda ko mazid barqarar kar sakta hai.
Uptrend. Ghantay ki chart karobaron ko short-term keemaat ki harkaton ka qareebi jaeza deta hai, jo unhein barh karar ke sath dakhil aur nikalne ke points ko zyada durusti se pehchane mein madad karta hai. Ahem darajat ke ird gird keemat ka action nazar andaz karke, karobaron ko mojooda trend ki quwwat ka andaza lagaya ja sakta hai aur unke tadaad ko mutabiq kar sakte hain. Is mamle mein, zikar ki gayi rukawat ke ird gird ulta signalon ka zahir hona karobaron ke liye ek pasandeeda moqa dikhata hai jo ek mumkin downtrend ka faida uthane wale karobaron ke liye hai. Channel ki tezi, jaise ke zahir hai, bechnay ke dabao ki shiddat mein qeemti insights faraham karta hai. Ek tez rukh yeh ishara deta hai ke bechnay walay zyada aggressive hain aur market par zyada control rakhte hain, jo trend ki ulta chalne ki imkaniyat ko barhata hai. Karobaron ko channel ke rukh mein kisi bhi tabdeeli par qareebi tawajju deni chahiye, kyun ke yeh market dynamics mein tabdiliyon ke pehle isharay faraham kar sakta hai.

Akhri tor par, karobaron ko ghantay ki chart par mukarar darja ko ulta signalon ke liye qareebi nazar rakhna chahiye, khaaskar channel ki tezi ko mad e nazar rakhte hue. Muntazir aur markazi halat ki badalti shartein ko mad e nazar rakh kar, karobaron ko maazi ki anokhi market environments mein taameer kar sakte hain aur trading ke mouqon se faida utha sakte hain.

Karobaron ke liye, yeh tasdeeq muntazir rally ka strategic mouqa faraham karta hai. Ahem daraje se bounce hone par lambi positions mein dakhil hone se, karobaron ko mojooda market momentum ke sath mila sakte hain aur maamooli keemat barhne ke baad sefaidi se faida utha sakte hain. Is ke ilawa, bullish bias ki tasdeeq mazeed kharidari ke interest ko attract kar sakti hai, jis se mazeed upside potential paida ho sakti hai.

Investors bhi is tasdeeq se faida utha sakte hain. Ahem daraje ke market ke reaction ko mad e nazar rakhte hue, investors apne investment thesis ko dobara tajziya kar sakte hain aur apni position mein ya to yaqeen hasil kar sakte hain ya asset ke exposure ko barha sakte hain.

AUDUSD

Market mein bailon ko ye khaas level ek ahem rukawat ke tor par samajhna chahiye agar bhale hi bhalu halaat par rok lagane ki koshish karte hain. Is liye, karobarion ke liye zaroori hai ke woh potenti ulte isharaat ke liye hoshyaar rahein jo moqa dete hain ke farokht ke mansubon mein dakhil ho. Channel mein dekhi gayi tezi ne bechne waleon ki taqat ko zyada wazeh kiya hai. Asal mein, channel mein tez ungli ki mojoodgi bechne waleon ki quwat ko mazboot karti hai. Channel ke andar tez ungli ka hona bechne waleon ke qabze ko barhata hai.

Market ke trends aur ahem levels ki dynamics samajhna karobarion ke liye zaroori hai taake woh ma'loomati faislay kar sakein. Jab market ko kisi ahem level se guzarna padta hai, jaise yeh jo zikar kiya gaya hai, toh yeh aksar bailon aur bhaluon ke darmiyan larai ka medan ban jata hai. Is surat mein, agar bhalu is rukawat ko torne mein kafi dabav daltay hain, toh yeh market ke jazbat ka ek badalav kehne ka ishaara ho sakta hai, bullish se bearish ki taraf. Ulta agar bail is level ko kamyaab taur par bacha lete hain, toh yeh mojooda uptrend ko mazbooti dene ka zariya ban sakta hai.

Ghanto ke chart traders ko short-term price movements ka qareebi jhalk aurate hain, jisse unhein potential dakhil aur nikalne ke points ko zyada durusti se pehchanna mumkin ho. Ahem levels ke ird gird qeemat ke amal ko nazdeek se nigrani mein rakh kar, traders mojooda trend ki quwat ko jaan sakte hain aur apni strategies ko mutabiq kar sakte hain. Is mamle mein, zikar ki gayi rukawat ke ird gird ulte isharay ka zahir hona traders ke liye ek acha mauqa ho sakta hai jo ek potential downtrend ka faida uthane ke liye dekhte hain.

Channel ki tezi, jaise bataya gaya hai, bechne waleon ke dabav ki shadeed mehsoosat ka qeematdar zariya hai. Ek zyada tez ungli yeh dikhata hai ke farokht karne wale zyada aggressive hain aur bazaar par zyada qabza rakhte hain, jo trend ka ulta hone ke imkanat ko barha deta hai. Karobarion ko channel ke ungli mein kisi bhi tabdeeli ka khaas tawajju deni chahiye, kyunke yeh market dynamics mein tabdiliyon ke pehle isharaat faraham kar sakta hai.

Aakhir mein, traders ko ghanto ke chart par mukarrar level ke liye potential reversal signals ke nazdeek nigrani rakhni chahiye, khaaskar channel ki tezi ko mad e nazar rakhte hue. Tabdeeli hone wale market halat ke muqabil hoshyaar aur mustaqil reh kar, traders aseer bazaar mahaul mein asar karte hain aur trading mein nafay hasil kar sakte hain. Aur jo investors hain, woh bhi is tasdeeq ka faida utha sakte hain. Market ke is level ki tawajju ke ishaaron ke jawab mein apni sarmaya ki dafa mein bharosa paa sakte hain ya phir apne assets ki exposure ko barha sakte hain.