Usd cad

USD/CAD taraqqi par tabdeel hui hai aur iski harkat ko mukhtalif factors ne mutasir kiya hai, jo arzi bunyadiyat, siyasi tensions, aur market ki jazbat par asar daal raha hai. Jab ke USD CAD ke muqable mein kamzor hota gaya aur Asian session ke doran 1.3640 ke qareeb trading kar raha tha, to kai ahem asraar zahir hue, jo currency pair ke rukh ko musar kar rahe hain.USD ke kamzori ke ek bari sabaq oil ke daam mein izafa raha hai. Crude oil ke daamon, khaaskar West Texas Intermediate (WTI) ke, takreeban $83.80 per barrel tak pohanch gaye hain, jinhe Israel ke aham invasion ke mumkinat ki wajah se barhaya gaya hai, to Canadian dollar, jise ek bada oil niryatkar ke tor par samjha jata hai, ne ek mazbooti ka asar mehsoos kiya. Is oil ke daamon ke izafa ne na sirf Canadian ma'ashi hawale se madad ki hai, balki CAD mein investoron ki itminan ko bhi barhaya hai, jo USD ke muqable mein is ki qadar ko barhane mein madad faraham kar raha hai.

Is ke ilawa, Canada ki ma'ashi data ne bhi USD/CAD ki harkat ko tasvir daali hai. Retail sales mein rukawat ke bawajood, March mein saalana taizrafaat 2.9% tak kaum umeed ki tasalut ke sath aayi hai, jo mustaqbil ke izafi inflationary pressures ko kam karne ki mumkinah sambhavnaat ki daleel hai. Ye manzar mutasir ho sakta hai ke Canada ke Bank of Canada ko interest rates ko kam karne ka ghoor karne ka mauqa mil sakta hai, jo aksar ek currency ko kamzor karta hai foreign investors ke liye returnon ko kam karne ke zariye. Is tarah, Canada mein interest rates mein kami ka manzar USD ke muqable mein CAD ki unchi hawai charon ko mazeed barha raha hai.

Mukhalif, America ki ma'ashi tajziya ek kam khushgawar tasweer pesh karti hai. Pehle sooba ka GDP growth 1.6% par dhaalka, jo market ki umeedon se kam tha, America mukhtalif industries mein challenges ka samna kar raha hai, jo USD ko kamzor kar raha hai. Lekin, kuch factors ne America ki dollar ko support bhi faraham kiya hai. Haal hi mein ghair muntazam Americanon ki tadad mein kami ne ek mazboot kaam ka bazar ki daleel di hai, jo muntazam laayeoffs aur barhne wali hiring activity ko zahir kar sakta hai, jo USD mein itminan ko barha sakta hai.

Technically, USD/CAD chart ek mix landscape ko dikhata hai. Jabke USD apne 20-day moving average ke neeche chala gaya hai, to bade trend ne hosla afzai ke sath higher lows aur highs ko 200-day moving average ke upar support kiya hai. MACD aur RSI jese indicators ma'afi market sentiment ko zahir karte hain, jahan 50-day aur 200-day moving averages par muntazam turning points ki mumkinah daleel hoti hai.

Aagay dekhte hue, market participants US Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) data aur labor market ke aghazat ka tawajjuh se nazar rakhein ge, jo USD/CAD exchange rate ke mustaqbil ke rukh par roshni daal sakte hain. Mutghir ma'ashi suraate halat aur siyasi dynamics ke darmiyan, in factors ke aghazat ka silsila jari rahega jo currency markets ko shakhsiyat de raha hai aur investor sentiment ko USD aur CAD ke liye mutasir kar raha hai.

In kal ke Asian se European sessions mein, USDCAD ka movement pehle gir gaya, phir jab market American session mein dakhil hua, wahan ek numaya spike aya jo USDCAD ko kareeban 57 pips uchhalne par majboor kiya. US dollar ki mazbooti ko raat ko jaari khabron se jorna ja sakta hai. Kyunki candle ne qareebi rukawat ko 1.3720 ke qeemat par nahi chhua, bechne wale ne dobara dabaya, jo movement ko neeche le gaya aur USDCAD phir se barhne ka silsila nahi jari rakh saka. Ab USDCAD khud apni position ko 1.3656 ke qeemat par trade kiya ja raha hai.


USD-CAD PAIR ANALYSIS


Agar h1 time frame se tajziya kiya jaye, to abhi tak candle dekha ja raha hai ke wo support area mein phas gaya hai. Iske ilawa, haqeeqi candle ne 1.3656 ke qeemat par RBS area se guzarna nahi tha. Jab tak ye pattern nahi toot jaata, main yeh manta hoon ke upar ki moujoodgi ka mauka abhi tak kaafi bara hai, khaaskar aise ilaqon mein jahan koi supply abhi tak puri tarah se nahi chooi gayi hai. Maslan, qeemat 1.3840 hai. Qeemat 1.3826 par rukawat ke maqam ko mustaqbil mein nishana banaya jayega.

Agar Ichimoku indicator ka istemal kiya jaye to dekha ja sakta hai ke candle ka maqam tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines ke neeche hai. Halankeh pehle uska maqam line ke ooper tha. Ek flat kumo maqam ke saath, ye intersection ho sakta hai. Aur ab candle support ke ooper phansa hua hai. Yeh gbpusd ko phir se barhne mein madad kar sakta hai aur candle ka maqam tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines ke ooper phir se badal sakta hai.

Darmiyan mein, stochastic indicator khud lagta hai ke neeche level ko choo chuka hai, ya'ni 20, jo keh raha hai ke halat pehle se hee over sold hain. Shayad qareebi mustaqbil mein movement phir se tezi se barh jaye. Magar, humein pehle lines ke mulaqat ka intezar karna hoga aur sab se zaroori baat yeh hai keh raah oopar ki taraf mukhtasir hai kyunki abhi ke liye raah neeche ki taraf hai.

Is liye aaj ke tajziya ka ikhtitam yeh hai ke USDCAD ko abhi bhi barhne ka mauka hai kyunki 1.3647 ke qeemat par RBS pattern ko abhi tak toorna nahi hai aur candle ab bhi support area mein phans gaya hai. Isliye, main aapko mashwara deta hoon ke jo bhi is pair mein trade karte hain, unhe over sold halat ke dauran ek kharidari position kholne ka koshish karna chahiye. Hum jaante hain ke pichle dino mein movement hamesha neeche hee gayi hai. Aapka nishana qareebi rukawat 1.3826 ke qeemat par rakha ja sakta hai aur stop loss support par 1.3638 ke qeemat par rakha ja sakta hai.

H4 Chart Frame. USD/CAD

Aaj acha din. Jabkay cheezein taraqqi karti hain, ham bilkul neechay gir jayenge, aur shayad seedha yahan se, kyunke mojooda waqt mein USD/CAD chart ne 1.3613 par wazeh rukawat banai hai, jo khaas tor par keemat ko upar jane nahi di aur jiske wajah se is trading instrument ki keemat neyathantar south ki taraf tezi se girne ka rukh ikhtiyar kiya. Ye waqia ye ishara de sakta hai ke ho sakta hai ke peechle waqt ke dauran keemat upar jaate hue, mukarrar resistance 1.3613 ke ilaqe mein, wazeh tor par bazaar ke zyadatar hissedar ne khareedne ke liye trading positions khol liye, yakeenan samajhte hue ke keemat har surat mein aur ek sau percent guarantee ke sath upar jane ko jari rakhega, aur isiliye keemat mazeed upar nahi gayi, balki keema ghairatumaad bazaar ke khilaf neeche gaya. Agar ab USD/CAD pair 1.3537 ki ikhataar area tak neeche jaata hai, aur is halat mein keemat upar jaati hai aur aise mahol mein 1.3577 ke level par keemat ko upar jane ki koshish nahi hoti, to is tasawwur ke mutabiq, 1.3577 ke level se hi shayad hum beshumar neeche gir jayenge paise ki jamaat wale level mein, jo takreeban 1.3495 ke aspas hai.

Daily Chart Frame. USD/CAD

1.3615 ke range ko toorna mumkin nahi tha, yani wahan rukawat hai. Shayad jab hum 1.3615 ke range ko toorna hasil karte hain aur ise jhooti tor par toorna mumkin hota hai, to iske baad aise jhooti tor par toorne ke baad girawat jari rahegi. 1.3615 ke range mein ek trade hai aur wahan se, girawat jari rahegi. Humne pehle se hi ek chhota upar ka jhatka mila hai USD/CAD mein aur iske baad, girawat mazeed jaari rahegi. Mumkin hai ke 1.3560 range ko toorna ke baad, girawat jaari rahegi aur girane ka behtareen mauqa hoga. 1.3610 ke range mein ek trade hai aur wahan se, girawat jaari rahegi. 1.3565 par trading ka tootne ka intezar hai aur is halat mein, hum mazeed girawat jaari rakh sakte hain. 1.3615 ke maximum range ka jhoota toorna ho sakta hai, aur aise jhooti tor par tootne ke baad, girawat jaari rahegi. Hum abhi tak 1.3535 ke range ke qareeb pohanch sakte hain aur iske neeche girawat mazeed jaari rahegi. Ek chhota upar ka jhatka manzoor hai aur iske baad, girawat mazeed jaari rahegi. Jab hum 1.3613 range ko toorna hasil karte hain, jahan trading hoti hai, to is halat mein, girawat jaari rahegi. Agar hum 1.3615 ko toorna aur iske upar se marammat kar lein, to ye keemat ko barhne ka signal hoga.

USD/CAD


Main USD/CAD currency pair ki qeemat ka rawaya tehqeeq kar raha hoon. Ham apko American aur Canadian dollar ka currency pair rozana ghantawar tor par dikhate hain taake mojooda market ki surat-e-haal aur mazeed qeemat ki taraqqi ke mumkin mawaqe ko mustahiq-e-tawajju farmayein taake mustaqil munafa hasil kiya ja sake. Currency pair humein neechay jhukta hua trend dikha raha hai jo ke chhote timeframes par bara candles ke andar mohtalif fluctuations aur correction ke sath hai. Jumeraat ko, market ne 1.3745 par ruk gaya, aur meri raaye ke mutabiq, southern correction abhi khatam nahi hua hai. Hum mazeed neechay jaayenge aur agle support zone tak, jo ke Bollinger indicators ki average moving line se bataya gaya hai, zone 1.3643; ye agle kaam karne wale haftay mein kamyaab ho sakta hai, tareekh-e-harakat aur trend ke khudgarzi par munhasir hai. Southern mining ke imkanat kaafi zyada hain, lekin abhi tak humne global resistance ko hasil nahi kiya hai. Guzishta trading din mein quote 1.3803 aur 1.3722 ke darmiyan fluctuate hui.
Currency pair ne European trading session mein technical taraqqi dikhai, lekin ek shumali qeemat ki dum ki shakal mein, jiske baad ek southern price reversal ke roop mein din ke doran neeche daud gaya, lekin zyada nahi; trading din ka ikhtitaam aakhir mein ek munasib kam hui dikhata hai. Quote consolidation zone ke andar bani hui hai, jiski southern border 1.3700 par hai. Amooman, isne halqayedar dinon mein ek nizaam saazi girebaan mein kamar par khaichi hai jaise ke ek neeche ki qeemat ka nizaam. Is hi support par yeh hafta khatam hua, aur agar yeh neeche gir jata hai to is ka matlab hai ke aur neeche girna daily ascending channel ke lower line tak area mein 1.3590. Ek lafz mein, ab humein haftay ki support at 1.3721 ka breakout ka intezaar karna chahiye aur bechna shuru karna chahiye, lekin USD/CAD ke itne dheere movement ke saath, agar kuch nahi badalta to yeh agle haftay ke darmiyan ho sakta hai. Talaash ka tajzia kiya gaya, ke Jumeraat ka minimum 1.3722 tha. Qeemat 1.3723 tak neeche gir gayi, aur ek point ko update karne ke baad upar uth gayi, H4 timeframe se liquidity aur imbalanced ke rad-e-amal ka jawab dete hue. Agar hum haftawar ke timeframe ko dekhte hain, to ek laal pin bar is se ban gaya tha level 1.3840 se, jo ke neeche ke trend ki koshish ke taur par mazeed asarat ho sakti hai. Halankeh yeh itni tezi se nahi hoga, haftawar ke timeframe apne hudood thop deta hai, lekin is lamha mein agli hafta par tawajjo dena wajib hai.

H4 Chart Frame. USD/CAD

Aaj acha din. Jabkay cheezein taraqqi karti hain, ham bilkul neechay gir jayenge, aur shayad seedha yahan se, kyunke mojooda waqt mein USD/CAD chart ne 1.3613 par wazeh rukawat banai hai, jo khaas tor par keemat ko upar jane nahi di aur jiske wajah se is trading instrument ki keemat neyathantar south ki taraf tezi se girne ka rukh ikhtiyar kiya. Ye waqia ye ishara de sakta hai ke ho sakta hai ke peechle waqt ke dauran keemat upar jaate hue, mukarrar resistance 1.3613 ke ilaqe mein, wazeh tor par bazaar ke zyadatar hissedar ne khareedne ke liye trading positions khol liye, yakeenan samajhte hue ke keemat har surat mein aur ek sau percent guarantee ke sath upar jane ko jari rakhega, aur isiliye keemat mazeed upar nahi gayi, balki keema ghairatumaad bazaar ke khilaf neeche gaya. Agar ab USD/CAD pair 1.3537 ki ikhataar area tak neeche jaata hai, aur is halat mein keemat upar jaati hai aur aise mahol mein 1.3577 ke level par keemat ko upar jane ki koshish nahi hoti, to is tasawwur ke mutabiq, 1.3577 ke level se hi shayad hum beshumar neeche gir jayenge paise ki jamaat wale level mein, jo takreeban 1.3495 ke aspas hai.

Daily Chart Frame. USD/CAD

1.3615 ke range ko toorna mumkin nahi tha, yani wahan rukawat hai. Shayad jab hum 1.3615 ke range ko toorna hasil karte hain aur ise jhooti tor par toorna mumkin hota hai, to iske baad aise jhooti tor par toorne ke baad girawat jari rahegi. 1.3615 ke range mein ek trade hai aur wahan se, girawat jari rahegi. Humne pehle se hi ek chhota upar ka jhatka mila hai USD/CAD mein aur iske baad, girawat mazeed jaari rahegi. Mumkin hai ke 1.3560 range ko toorna ke baad, girawat jaari rahegi aur girane ka behtareen mauqa hoga. 1.3610 ke range mein ek trade hai aur wahan se, girawat jaari rahegi. 1.3565 par trading ka tootne ka intezar hai aur is halat mein, hum mazeed girawat jaari rakh sakte hain. 1.3615 ke maximum range ka jhoota toorna ho sakta hai, aur aise jhooti tor par tootne ke baad, girawat jaari rahegi. Hum abhi tak 1.3535 ke range ke qareeb pohanch sakte hain aur iske neeche girawat mazeed jaari rahegi. Ek chhota upar ka jhatka manzoor hai aur iske baad, girawat mazeed jaari rahegi. Jab hum 1.3613 range ko toorna hasil karte hain, jahan trading hoti hai, to is halat mein, girawat jaari rahegi. Agar hum 1.3615 ko toorna aur iske upar se marammat kar lein, to ye keemat ko barhne ka signal hoga.

USD/CAD currency

Aaj hamari guftagu mojooda USD/CAD currency pair ki qeemat ki rawish ka jaiza hai. Qeemat ne rozaana Fibonacci retracement ke 61.8% resistance ke qareeb palat gaya, 50 points kam kar diye gaye. Farokht karne walon ne ahem taraqqi ki, lekin qeemat ek pullback ke doran dobara 61.8% ke leval ko imtehan kar rahi hai. Ek khatra hai ke yeh us se guzar jaye, jo bullish trend ka jari rehne ka ishara de ga, khaaskar agar khabre kharidne walon ko favor karti hain. Main USD/CAD ki giravat ka intezar karte waqt jodta hun jab pair pullback ke baad farokht kar raha hai. Daily chart par upar ki sari tajziya khatam ho chuki hai, lekin ek potential reversal ke lehaz se abhi bhi ghata hai. Is liye retracement levels ko monitor karna potential growth ke baad-reversal ke liye ahem hai. Mujhe khaaskar H4 time frame mein dilchaspi hai, jahan pe waziha technical events huwe hain, jese ke "bearish absorption" pattern formation aur us se mutabiq indicator signals.

Jisey bechna ko mazeed taqat milti hai, lekin qeemat ab iska mukabla kar rahi hai. Tuesday ko 1.3558 par qeemat ka andaza hai, 1.36 ki taraf 50 points ka upar waapas karne ka imkan hai. Magar, tawajjo US Federal Reserve ki sood ki faisla ka faisla par tawajjo ko ulajhne ka silsila banati hai. Technical harkaat ke liye neechay ki taraf ek muddat darust rehti hai, lekin Federal Reserve ka faisla yeh waqai mein temporarily bigad sakta hai. Pair ek chadhte hue channel ke andar rehta hai, jo ke EMA ke periods 50, 100, aur 200 ke saath support kiya gaya hai, sath hi sath pivot level ke saath, mazeed barhne ka ishara dete hue. Bulls aaj pivot level ko bacha kar bullish momentum ko barhate hain. Magar, chart par ek bearish "Bartley Butterfly" pattern saamne aata hai, jo ek potential downward correction ka ishara deta hai. Agar mojooda levalon se giravat hoti hai, to pivot level se rebound par kharidai ko shamil kiya ja sakta hai, jo ke EMA-50 (red) ke support ke saath ho. Umumankar, EMA-50 ke neeche barqarar chalne par farokht karne ka irada ban sakta hai, jahan pe plate numbers 1 ya 2 se rebound ke imkan hain.

Research and up-to-date trading recommendations for trading the US Dollar/Canadian Dollar currency pair. 4 hour time frame.




Majmooi Tajarbaat aur Fawaid: Tijarti Tajziya currency pair/instrument ki harkat ke liye Extended Regression StopAndReverse indicator ke signals, sath hi classic RSI (14) aur standard settings ke MACD indicators par mabni hai. Tijarti fawaid hasil karne ke liye, aapko intizaar karna chahiye jab tak teeno kaam karne wale indicators ek doosre se tasleef nahi karte aur ek hi raaste mein muntakhib nahi hote. Tijarti lehar se bahar aap ko acha aur zyada mumkin Fibonacci correction levels ke mutabiq karwaya jata hai, jabke Fibo grid pechle tijarti doron (din ya hafton) ke maqami aakhri points ke mutabiq barha di jati hai.

Jab hum linear regression channel ki taraf dekhte hain, to aap notice karte hain ke chunayi hui waqt frame (time-frame H4) mein woh saaf taur par khareedaron ke liye faida mand market situation ko darust karta hai kyunki yeh uttar ki taraf noticeable slope rakhta hai. Mazeed, jis zyada angle ka inclination hoga, woh uttar ki taraf zyada mazbooti ka ishara hoga. Non-linear regression channel, jo ke diye gaye chart mein dekha ja sakta hai, uttar ki taraf fold hua aur neeche se upar se guzra nahi sirf golden uptrend line LP balkay linear channel ka resistance line (surkhi mein dotted line) bhi. Ab non-linear regression channel uttar ki taraf rukh kar chuka hai aur khareedaron ki taqat ko tasdeeq karta hai.

Keemat ne surkhi ke resistance line of the linear regression channel 2nd LevelResLine ko guzara lekin 1.38449 ki maximum qeemat tak pohanchi, jis ke baad us ne apni izaafi uthaal ko rok diya aur mustaqil tor par girne laga. Halankeh, ab aalaat ek ke baad ek girte ja rahe hain aur ab wasooli aik se doosri taraf ja rahi hai, ab currency pair ki keemat 1.36607 par hai. Sab se upar diye gaye sab kuch dekhte hue, mujhe tawaqqa hai ke market price quotes wapis laut kar channel line 2nd LevelResLine (1.36201) ke nichle FIBO level 50% ke neechay wapas aur mustaqil hojayegi aur phir neechay golden average line LR of the linear channel 1.35811 tak chale jayegi, jo ke Fibo level 38.2% ke mutabiq milta hai. Ek mazeed argument ek fard transaction ke liye yeh bhi hai ke RSI (14) aur MACD indicators ke indicators bhi entry into sales ki sahiyat ko tasleem karte hain, kyunki woh overbought zone mein hain.

USDCAD KI NAZARIAH TAJZIYA

USDCAD D1 waqt frame chart par. Takneeki lehaz se, rozana waqt frame ka jaeza lena bazaar ke paicheedgi ke complex amal ko zahir karta hai. December 2023 se mustaqil tor par barhne wala bullish trend dekhne se saaf hai ke is ne bikne walon se mazboot muqabla ka samna kiya. Is tabdeeli ne bazaar mein bikne walon ka dabao ki sakhti ko numaya kiya hai. Mazeed neechay ki harkat ka imkaan waziha hai, khaaskar agar keemat darmiyanay line ko torne mein kamyab hojaye. Aise halaat mein, USDCAD pair mein mazeed izafi giravat ka imkaan hai, jis se darmiyanah muddat mein ek bearish trend ka banne ka moqa peda hota hai. Yeh manzar markazi takneeki ishaarat ko tafseel se mutala karna ki ahmiyat ko wazeh karta hai, taake bazaar ke taghayyur ko behtar tor par samajh saken.




USDCAD KI NAZARIAH TAJZIYA

USDCAD D1 waqt frame chart par. Takneeki lehaz se, rozana waqt frame ka jaeza lena bazaar ke paicheedgi ke complex amal ko zahir karta hai. December 2023 se mustaqil tor par barhne wala bullish trend dekhne se saaf hai ke is ne bikne walon se mazboot muqabla ka samna kiya. Is tabdeeli ne bazaar mein bikne walon ka dabao ki sakhti ko numaya kiya hai. Mazeed neechay ki harkat ka imkaan waziha hai, khaaskar agar keemat darmiyanay line ko torne mein kamyab hojaye. Aise halaat mein, USDCAD pair mein mazeed izafi giravat ka imkaan hai, jis se darmiyanah muddat mein ek bearish trend ka banne ka moqa peda hota hai. Yeh manzar markazi takneeki ishaarat ko tafseel se mutala karna ki ahmiyat ko wazeh karta hai, taake bazaar ke taghayyur ko behtar tor par samajh saken.

USDCAD H4 waqt frame chart par, sharaet kuch had tak mukhtalif nazar aati hain. Masla yeh hai ke subah bazaar band hone se pehle, yeh maloom hua ke kharidaron ne rukawat dal di thi, jis ki wajah se bearish ke qeemat sirf 1.3663 par sath lai gayi aur naye kam keemat 1.3643 ke neeche nahi gayi. Meri guftagu yeh hai ke yeh pehla ishara hai ke qeemat phir se bullish hawale lai sakti hai. Isliye, unn logon ke liye jo USDCAD pair mein BUY position par nazar daal rahe hain, shayad unhe isko peer ko amal mein la sakte hain. Magar agar akhir mein qeemat bearish hoti hai aur 1.3643 ke darja ko tor deti hai, to meri tajwez yeh hai ke nuqsaan ko kam karne ya hedge karne ke saath tasfiyah karen. Kyunke wahan se yeh qeemat bearish trend ko jari rakhne ke saath chalti rahegi jo pichle kuch dino se jaari hai.

USDCAD H4 waqt frame chart par, sharaet kuch had tak mukhtalif nazar aati hain. Masla yeh hai ke subah bazaar band hone se pehle, yeh maloom hua ke kharidaron ne rukawat dal di thi, jis ki wajah se bearish ke qeemat sirf 1.3663 par sath lai gayi aur naye kam keemat 1.3643 ke neeche nahi gayi. Meri guftagu yeh hai ke yeh pehla ishara hai ke qeemat phir se bullish hawale lai sakti hai. Isliye, unn logon ke liye jo USDCAD pair mein BUY position par nazar daal rahe hain, shayad unhe isko peer ko amal mein la sakte hain. Magar agar akhir mein qeemat bearish hoti hai aur 1.3643 ke darja ko tor deti hai, to meri tajwez yeh hai ke nuqsaan ko kam karne ya hedge karne ke saath tasfiyah karen. Kyunke wahan se yeh qeemat bearish trend ko jari rakhne ke saath chalti rahegi jo pichle kuch dino se jaari hai.

USD/CAD

Pichle haftay ke aakhir mein, Canadian dollar ka US currency ke muqablay mein qeemat mein kami hui. Pichle haftay ke doran, Canadian dollar major currencies ke khilaaf izafa ke liye koshish kar raha tha, jo ke musalsal buland hydrocarbon prices aur Canada se favorable economic data ki wajah se mazboot tha. Magar, haftay ke ikhtitam tak, Canadian dollar ne sab izafa shudah rukh ko chor diya, jab ke US dollar major currencies ke basket ke muqablay mein numayan taaqat mand hone se dabne par gaya, sath hi Canada mein trucker protests se barhti hui pareshaniyon ki wajah se bhi. In taraqqiyat ke roshan ma'aroof mein, CAD ke liye aik mutadayin niche ki taraf sudhaar mumkin hai aane waale haftay ki ibteda mein. Magar, mein is currency ke upward trend ka jaari rehne ka intezar karta hoon. Tajwez shuda pivot point 1.3715 par hai, jo ke is darwaze ke oopar khareedari ke positions ke liye ghor karne ke liye madad dene wala hai, jahan target levels 1.3680 aur 1.3580 par set kiye gaye hain. Doosri taraf, USD/CAD pair mein reversal ka bhi mumkinah pechida rehta hai, jo ke aik niche ki taraf rukh ki shuruaat kar sakta hai.

USD/CAD pair ab ek triangle ke daire mein hai jo trend lines se bana hai, jahan recent movement ne is formation se aik shumali rukh ki taraf raftar ka rasta ikhtiyar kiya hai. Ye H1 time frame par downtrend channel ke upper boundary ke qareeb aaya hai, jo ke aik descending trend line ki taraf rebound ko encourage karta hai. Iske ilawa, isne pehle se aik ascending oblique level ko breach kiya tha, jo ke is triangular pattern mein dakhil hone ka darust kiya. Ye setup trading opportunities pesh karta hai jin ke nazdeeki maqsood in breakout ki taraf mutasir hoti hai. Agar northward breakout hota hai to ye 1.3645 par resistance level ko test kar sakta hai, jabke southward breakout ne 1.3720-1.3790 tak span karte huye lower volume zone ko test karne ka natija ho sakta hai. Is ke ilawa, agar pair momentum line se oopar rebound karta hai, to ye apni upward momentum ko barqarar rakh sakta hai, local highs ko refresh karne aur 1.3650 aur 1.3670 ke darmiyan resistance zone ko test karne ki taraf mutawajjah ho sakta hai.

Mojooda halat ke mutabiq, guzishta haftay ke natayej ke buniyad par, humein kam karnay ki afadiyat ki tasdeeq mili. Chart par hum doosri bearish mombatti dekhte hain aur isay dekh kar yeh pata chalta hai ke pair poora hafta ke almost zor se dabao mein tha. Beshak, maine isay pichle haftay ke akhri din ke hawalay se kaha tha (main is nukat ka tawajjo dena bardasht nahi kar sakta tha), main ab isay awaz dena chahta hoon - ek neeche ki raah ka imtihan bohot logic aur technique ke mutabiq lagta hai, beshak, hamein zaroori nahi ke is ka imtihan dekhne ko mile, lekin hum keh sakte hain ke yeh bohot pasandida hoga - yeh imtihan lagbhag 1.3870 ke ilaqe mein hai, yahan ek mazboot horizontal resistance bhi hai - level 1.3766 aur in benchmarks ke darmiyan wala ilaqa main ek forokht zone keh loonga, aur maqsad kaafi wada-farosh hai - moving average ka imtihan, aur yeh figure 1.35 ki bunyad hai. Yeh sab sahi hai, lekin yeh meray mansubay hain, aap keh sakte hain ke yeh meray arzoo hain, lekin main ye nahi kahunga ke yeh ho ga, aur main 1.35 ki kami ki tawaqo mein mojood hain to filhal bikri nahi karonga. To, mojooda halat ke saath, urooj ki zarurat hai - lekin main khareedne ka irada nahi rakhta.





USDCAD, H4 ke mutabiq, ek neeche ki shakl mein ghum raha hai, haalaanki, ek neeche ki had se ek lauta hua mila aur bullish tezi ke liye quotes ko bayqabu ooper le jane lage aur resistance level 1.3702 tak, taake ise zaroor toorna aur neeche ka raasta chalna, lambi raftar mein aagey badhne ke liye 38 figure tak 1.3845 aur shayad 1.3900 tak. Aur is currency pair ke liye, main ek neeche ki raah ke imtihan ko durust karne ke liye formation ko dekhta hoon, isliye main yeh maan raha hoon ke sab kuch dakshin mein khatam hua hai aur quotes zyada mutasir hone ke liye shumara ko shumara kar rahe hain, kyun ke 1.3646 kaam kar chuka hai aur neeche jaane ka koi sabab nahi hai. Sach, agar 1.3702 ka nakami retest ho aur bear phir se shorts ke liye signal de, to currency pair dobara ek neeche ki raah mein trade karega aur pullback se aap ko shorts mein zyada munafa bakhsh tor par dakhil hona chahiye.

USDCAD OUTLOOK ANALYSIS:

USDCAD D1 Time Frame:

USDCAD ke D1 time frame chart par, technical nazar se, Rozana ke time frame ki tafteesh se market ke pechidah dynamics saamne aate hain. December 2023 se barhti hui bullish trend ko dekhte hue, wazeh ho jata hai ke woh mukhlis bechne walon se takkar ka saamna kiya. Ye tabdeeli bechne walon ki dabao ki samarata ko zahir karti hai. Iske ilawa, mazeed neechay ki taraf ka safaar mumkin hai, khaaskar agar keemat darmiyani line ko todne mein kamyab hoti hai. Aise surat e haal mein, USDCAD jodi mein mazeed zyada girawat ka imkan zahir hai, aur daira e waqt mein ek bearish trend ka banna mumkin hai. Ye manzar wazeh karta hai ke market ki tabdeeliyon ko behtareen tareeqay se samajhne ke liye ahem technical indicators ko nazdeek se nigaah daalna kitna zaroori hai.

USDCAD H4 Time Frame:

USDCAD ke H4 time frame chart par, shirayat kuch alag hain. Masla ye hai ke jab market subah band hui; pata chala ke kharidne walon ne rukawat di thi, taake ke qeemat jo bearish ho gayi thi, sirf 1.3663 par support bana sakein aur naye 1.3643 ke neeche low na bana sakein. Mera guman hai ke ye pehla ishaara hai ke qeemat phir se bullish hone ja rahi hai. Is liye, jin logon ne USDCAD jodi mein BUY position ka nigaahdaasht kiya hai, shayad wo ise shanivaar ko aazma sakein. Magar, agar intehai mein qeemat bearish hai aur 1.3643 level ko tor deta hai, toh meri tajweez hai ke nuqsaan kaatne ya hedging ke saath tawajo di jaaye. Kyunki wahaan se aage chal kar qeemat chalti rahegi aur pichle dino se chal rahi bearish trend ko jaari rakh sakti hai


.

H4 Hour Timeframe Outlook:

Jab humein 1.3800 ke range se ek wapas milta hai, to wahaan se girawat jaari rahegi. Asal mein, 1.3805 ka jhoota breakout pehle hi ho chuka hai aur is ke baad girawat jaari rahegi. Agar hum 1.3802 ke range ko todte hain aur is ke upar se mazbooti se consolidate ho jaate hain, to yeh ek aur taqwiyat ka peghaam hoga, lekin abhi yeh peechay hai. Jab tak 1.3810 ke range mein rukawat hai aur is se, girawat jaari rahegi. Jabki yeh mumkin hai ke isay dor karna mumkin ho aur yeh ek bechnay ka peghaam hoga. Haal hi mein hua jhoota breakout sirf bechnay ka ek peghaam tha. Maazi ke rukawat range se, girawat mazeed jaari rahegi. Jab yeh 1.3810 ke upar se consolidate kar leta hai, to yeh khareedne ka peghaam hoga. 1.3810 ka jhoota breakout ijazat hai aur aise jhootay breakout ke baad, girawat jaari rahegi. Yeh mumkin hai ke girawat mazeed chalay, phir is halat mein hum 1.3805 ke resistance range ki taraf aa sakte hain aur is se humein girawat milegi. Shayad maujooda girawat ek badaa upward impulse nahi banayega, lekin yeh phir bhi correct ho ga aur is ke baad, behtar hai ke neeche 1.3660 ke targets ke saath bechna.

M30 Minutes Timeframe Outlook:

USD/CAD currency pair mein se ek hai jo mein gehri nigaah se nigrani karta hoon, tajziya karta hoon aur trade karta hoon. Meri trading strategy intraday trading par tawajjo rakhti hai aur Bollinger indicator ke muqablay mein price position par mabni hai. Filhal, indicator teen ahem values faraham karta hai: upper - 1.3711, average - 1.3701 aur lower - 1.3690. USD/CAD jodi 1.3706 par trade ho rahi hai, jo ke 1.3701 ke level se oopar hai. Yeh khareedariyon ke taraf trading ko faydah pahuncha sakta hai aur 1.3711 ke upper level tak pahunchne ka imkan paida karta hai. Magar, agar khareedne walon aur bechnay walon ke darmiyan mumaaslat ka moqa ho, sath hi agar keemat 1.3701 ke level ke neeche gir jaaye, to mujhe strategy ko dobara ghor se dekhna padega aur neeche 1.3690 ke lower limit tak trading ke liye mudawamat karna padega. Na-pasandeeda situations se bachne ke liye, main wazan volume ki tameer ko bhi mad e nazar rakhta hoon. Volume mein spikes, izafa aur giravat bhi trading ke dauraan zyada maloomati peghaam faraham karte hain jo aapko zyada soch samajh kar trading faislo par madad faraham karte hain.

USD/CAD Technical Analysis:

Currency pair ke exchange rate mein anay wali taqreeb, khas tor par 1.3800 ke qareeb, forex market mein amal ki talab ko jaari rakhta hai. Mushahid karne walay is range ke andar wapas hone ke baad aik mazeed girawat ka intezar kar rahe hain. Khaas tor par, 1.3805 par aik fareb ka pata chala, jo fori mustaqbil mein girawat ke dabaav ka zahir kar raha hai. Magar, manzar tabdeel ho sakta hai agar jodi 1.3802 ka darja paar kare aur is ke upar se mojooda ho jaye. Aisi surat mein, yeh taraqqi ki dobara qeemat ban sakti hai, halankeh yeh mumkinat abhi mukhtasar hain jabkeh tawajjo mazboot rahi hai 1.3810 ke mazboot rukawat par, jo ab tak kisi bhi significant oopri hamle ko rokta raha hai. Ye rukawat zone aik strategyati mawqa pesh karta hai jahan market shirakat daron ko farokht ka mawqe uthane ka faisla karne ke liye ikhtiyar kar saktay hain, agar isay tore jane mein nakam rahay. Haal hi mein aik fareb ka haqeeqat mein asliyat ko dobaara sabit karte hue, jo farokht ke tareeqon ko prefer karta hai, yeh ek tanbeeh hai.







Muntazir hai aik mukhtalif girawat ka mustaqbil ke rukawat range se shuru hone wala. Agar 1.3810 ke upar mojooda jaamaat ka faisla ho gaya, to market dynamics ko fauran bullish bias ki taraf mod sakta hai, kharidari walon ke liye barah-e-karam waqt ko darust kar ke nishaan dikhata hai. Magar, is ahem moqe par dobara fareb ka imkaan khatray mein hai, maqami market halat ke nazar andaz karne par, shareekon ko hushyar rehne ki salaah di jaati hai jab currency pair apna raasta saaf karta hai. Neeche ki girawat ke mukablay mein aane wale mouqon ka faida uthane ki mumkinat ka tajziya karne wale investors ko apni jaga tay karna chahiye. 1.3805 ke qareebi rukawat range ke qareebi hone se short positions shuru karne ka aik mumkinah manzar, neeche ke targets ko 1.3660 ke neeche barhate hue. Jabkeh bade uptrend ka imkaan ghum hai, kisi bhi sudharat harkat ko ek dubara farokht ke dabaav ka pesh-nazar samjha jata hai, jo tajziya-gar traders ko ihtiyaat se kaam lena ka hukum deta hai. Ikhtitami tor par, haal ki jhooti tor-phor ne mojooda bearish nazar ko yaad dilaya hai, jiski wazahat forex market ke phurti wale manzar ko sahih taur par guzarnama karne ki ahmiyat ko aur zyada buland karta hai.

USD/CAD currency pair, jo amooman "loonie" kehlaya jata hai Canada ke one-dollar coin par common loon ki tasveer ki wajah se, haal hi ke trading sessions mein numaya harkaton ka shikar raha hai. Ghareebi jaise ke girte hue tail ke daam aur zara sa mazboot hui hui US dollar ke bawajood, Canadian dollar ne apni mazbooti ka izhar kiya hai aur apne American mawaqif ke muqable mein wazeh faiyde haasil kiye hain. Sirf teesre teen trading dino mein hi, Canadian dollar ne qareeb aik point ke qareeb izafa kiya hai, jo ke isay aik ahem juncture par la raha hai jab yeh [hazri exchange rate yahan dakhil karen] ke qareeb latke hue hai. Canadian dollar ke performance in challenges ke muqable mein iska tasavvur hai ke yeh mukhtalif factors ke interplay ka natija hai jo currency markets ko mutasir karte hain. Loonie ki taqat ka aik barah-e-karam wajah tail ke daam ke saath hai, Canada ka aik bara tail ka niryat karne wala hone ki bina par. Magar, halat mein oil ke daamo ka girna, Canadian dollar ne apne urooj ko barqarar rakha hai, jis se asal bullish sentiments aur shayad Canada ki arzi nafsiyat ki diversification ki tajveziyat zahir hoti hai. Is ke ilawa, Canadian maeeshat ki US mukhalifat ke nisbatati taaqat ne shayad loonie ki mazbooti mein madad ki hai. Canada ne haal hi mein mazidar maeeshati izafa dekha hai, mazboot consumer kharch, manufakturing fa'aliyat mein dobarah, aur mazboot makanati marketon ke saath. Ye musbat maeeshati manzar, Bank of Canada ke monetary policy par hawkish stance, ne investors mein Canadian dollar ke aitmaad ko barha diya hai. Doosri taraf, US dollar ne ishi doran mukhtalif kism ke fa'aliyat dekhi hain, apne khud ke challenges aur uncertainties ke saath larh raha hai. Jab Federal Reserve ne ziada hawkish monetary policy stance ka ishara diya, jisme interest rate hikes aur asset purchases ke tapering shamil hain, to imtiaz ke bawajood, inflationary pressures aur geopolitical tensions ke shakook ne dollar ki mazbooti ko kam kar diya. Is ke ilawa, Federal Reserve aur doosri central banks ke darmiyan monetary policy mein farq, jo ke Bank of Canada bhi shamil hai, ne USD/CAD dynamics mein aur ek tabaqati lachak di hai.






Aage dekhte hue, Canadian dollar ke liye nazar ka tajwez darust hai, US dollar ke muqable mein mazeed qadarti ahmiyat. Kai factors is oopri raftaar ko support kar sakte hain. Pehle to, pandemic ke related restrictions ke narm hote hi global maeeshati fa'aliyat mein mutasir hone ka intezar hai, jo commodities, jese ke tail, ki demand ko barhata hai, jo ke Canadian maeeshat ko faida pohanchaye ga aur iska tajwaz, loonie ko bhi faida pohanchaye ga. Dusra, Bank of Canada ki monetary policy stance, Canadian dollar ko support karne ka imkaan hai, jab policymakers inflationary pressures ko rokne ki zaroorat ke sath maeeshati nafsiyat ko support kar rahe hain. Bank of Canada ke ziada tightening cycle ke kisi ishara ki surat mein, loonie mein aitmaad ko aur bhi barha diya ja sakta hai aur inflows Canadian assets mein barh sakte hain. Is ke ilawa, geopolitical developments, khaas kar ke tail markets ko mutasir karne wale, USD/CAD pair ke raaste par asar daal sakte hain. Mukhtalif oil producing areas mein jari tensions ya anwaqtan supply disruptions, oil ke daamo mein halchal, jo ke Canadian dollar ki performace par asar daalenge. Magar, zaroori hai ke currency markets ke inherent uncertainties aur risks ka aitiraf kiya jaye







. Ghair mutawaqqa waqeyat, jese ke geopolitical shocks, maeeshati data surprises, ya market sentiment mein tabdiliyan, jaldi se USD/CAD pair ke dynamics ko badal sakti hain. Is liye, investors aur traders ko hushyar rehna chahiye aur apni strategies ko mutabiq tajwezat ko guzarnama karne ke liye adap karna chahiye. Ikhtitami tor par, haal hi ke Canadian dollar ki mazbooti girte hue oil prices aur mazeed mazboot US dollar ke background mein currency markets ke complexity ko aur currency rate movements ko asar daalne wale mukhtalif factors ko samajhne ka ahamiyat ko numayan karti hai. Halankeh teesre teen trading dino mein loonie ke izafe se asal bullish sentiments ka izhar hota hai, lekin USD/CAD pair ke liye nazar-e-aam mukhtalif gharzain aur global factors par mabni hai. Is tarah, market participants ko Canadian maeeshat, tail markets, monetary policy, aur geopolitics mein hone wale imtiazat ko nazar andaz karne aur apne aap ko darust karne ke liye tayyar rehna chahiye.

Canadian dollar Jumma ko apna niche ka trend jari rakhta raha, shant Asian session ke doran 1.3660 ke qareeb trading karte hue. Ye giravat iske baad aai jab US dollar kamzor hua Federal Reserve ne Budh ko interest rates ko mustaqil rakhne ka faisla kiya. Federal Reserve Chair, Jerome Powell, ne intezar se zyada dovish stance ikhtiyar kiya, jis se US dollar zameen par aya. Ab market ka tawajjo markazi tor par April ke mahine ke ahem US jobs report ki taraf mojood hai, jo ke Jumma ke baad baad mein jari kiya jayega. Jab Federal Reserve ne apni mojooda monetary policy ko barqarar rakha, to is ne mustaqbil ke rate adjustments ke lehaz se zyada ehtiyaat bhari tor ikhtiyar kiya. Powell ne ishara kiya ke agla qadam qareeban rate hike nahi hoga, aur Federal Reserve ko kisi potential rate cut par faisla karne se pehle mazeed data ki zarurat hogi. Is ke ilawa, markazi bank ne apne quantitative tightening program ko tezi se kam karne ka elaan kiya. Budh ko, US Department of Labor ke data ne dikhaya ke bayrozgar claims 27 April ko khatam hone wale haftay mein 208,000 par barqarar rahe. Ye shumaar muntaziroon ke mutabiq behtar tha aur ye US labor market mein jari quwwat ko zahir karta hai.





USD/CAD jora pehle ke faide ko mita diya aur 20 dinon ke moving average ke neeche chala gaya, jis ke waqt mojooda 1.3845 ke darje ke south mein trading hoti hai. Magar, lambi lehaz se dekhte hue manzar thora sa musbat hai. Keematain markazi 200 dinon ke moving average ke oopar trading jaari rakhti hain, jo ek potential upar ki taraf bias ki alamat hai. Takneeki indicators ek mukhtalif tasveer faraham karte hain. MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) zero line ke neeche hai magar musbat territory mein hai, jis se upar ki taraf momentum ka nuqsan mumkin hai. Intehai, RSI (Relative Strength Index) 50 ke qareeb ghoom raha hai, jo neitrality ki ishara karta hai. 50 dinon ka moving average 1.3585 par hai, jabke zyada ahem 200 dinon ka moving average 1.3550 par support faraham karta hai. Nazdeek ke muddat mein, 1.3630 support level se bounce upar ki taraf jaa sakti hai aur jora dobara 1.3730 resistance ki taraf ja sakti hai. Agar ye upar ki taraf ka harkat mojood hoti hai, to mazeed faide mein jora pehle ke high 1.3845 ko dobara test kar sakta hai, agle nishana 1.3900 tak pohanch sakti hai. Aam tor par, USD/CAD jora das dinon ke rally ke baad ek islaahi giravat ka samna kar raha hai. Markazi 200 dinon ke moving average ke neeche barqarar giravat ek lambi lehaz se musbat manzar ko neutral par shift kar sakta hai.