Usd jpy

USD JPY H4 TIME FRAME KA ANALYSIS

tamam forum ke doston ko shab bakhair. aaj mein ne usdjpy market jori ki taraqqi ka tajzia aur andaza karne ki koshish ki. kal ke tijarti session mein farokht ka bohat mazboot dabao tha, jis ke nateejay mein rozana ki had taqreeban 110 points thi. yeh wazeh tor par zahir karta hai ke kharidaron ne 148. 50 qeemat ki satah ko jhanchne ki koshish ki aur usay ghusnay mein nakaam rehne ke baad, farokht knndgan ne market par dobarah control haasil kar liya. ho sakta hai ke agar khredar qeemat ki is satah ko ghusnay mein kamyaab ho jayen, to kharidari ki mazbooti se supply ki mazboot tareen satah ko jhanchne ke liye qeemat ko mazeed oopar le jaya jaye ga . aur hamein yeh jan-nay ki zaroorat hai ke kal farokht knndgan ki janib se farokht ke dabao ne 147. 55 ki nafsiati himayat ko tornay ke baad aik nai kam peda ki. aur is se zahir hota hai ke farokht ki kamzoree ab bhi mazboot hai, kyunkay baichnay walon ne market par dobarah control haasil kar liya hai .

is ke baad, hum 4 ghantay ki market ki numoo ka tajzia karte hain, jahan kharidaron ne 148. 50 ke qareeb tareen supply price level ko jhanchne ki koshish ki, khredar is mein daakhil honay mein nakaam rahay, ab market ke halaat baichnay walay ke qabzay mein hain. aur hum is ka tajzia kar satke hain, mojooda qeemat middle bindz, ema50 aur ema200 se neechay hai, aur aglay haftay trading ke liye, farokht ke option par ghhor karen, aik danish mandana intikhab. biyrz candle stick ki farokht ki simt / csa ki mazbooti ke sath, farokht knndgan ki taraf se 146. 00 par qareeb tareen demand level ko dobarah jhanchne ke zariye farokht ke kamzor honay ki paish goi ki gayi hai. aur agar baichnay walay qareeb tareen demand level mein daakhil hotay hain, to qeemat ko aur bhi geherai mein dhakel diya jaye ga, taakay maang ki agli satah ko jancha ja sakay .

is takneeki tajzia ki bunyaad par, aglay haftay ki trading ke liye, sale set up ki talaash par ziyada tawajah den. aur market mein daakhil hona shuru karne ke liye, pehlay qeemat ke bherne ka intzaar karen, aik misali dakhla set up tayyar karen, taakay nuqsaan ke khatray ko kam kya ja sakay. aur pan baar candle stuck patteren, bear ko market mein daakhil honay ki tasdeeq ke tor par istemaal kya ja sakta hai, agar har cheez aik simt ki himayat karti hai, to hum ziyada se ziyada munafe haasil kar satke hain, hum mumkina had tak chhootey nuqsaan ke khatray ko kam kar satke hain .

market mein dakhlay ke ilaqay ke liye, agar mein qeemat ki satah 146. 50 par set karta hon, agar is qeemat ki satah kharidaron ke zariye daakhil ki jati hai, to agla option qeemat ki satah par 146. 80 par hoga. aur market mein dakhlay ki qeemat se 100 points ke munafe ke hadaf ke liye, 50 points ke stap nuqsaan ke liye. munafe ka hadaf kisi bhi waqt tabdeel ho sakta hai, yaqeenan, hamein usay condition karne ke qabil hona parre ga, agar market aisa karti hai, to qeemat ke ulat jane ke isharay, munafe mein kami, danish mandana intikhab mojood hain. takneeki tajzia ke nataij se, kyunkay usdjy jore ki farokht ka rujhan ab bhi durust hai, is liye farokht ke danish mandana mawaqay talaash karen, aur qareeb tareen maang ki satah ko haasil karne ke liye kin cheezon par khusoosi tawajah dainay ki zaroorat hai .

Technical analysis of the USDJPY pair

Rozana chart

Ek naya up day aur pair ke upward trend mein naye levels

Is mahine mein, qeemat ne woh ascendind price channels mein trade karna shuru kiya jo pichle do mahino mein price movement ko darshaate hain Pichle mahine mein kuch dinon tak narrow range mein sideways trading se khatam hui

Phir, abhi ke mahine bhi yehi price behavior ke saath shuru hua, narrow range mein sideways movement ke saath Yeh ek buying zone mein tha, kyunke price ko monthly pivot level aur channel lines ne support kiya

Price upar ki taraf gaya aur ek naye resistance area tak pohancha, jo monthly level 153.40 hai, jisne ek baar phir yehi price behavior ko repeat kiya, narrow range mein sideways movement ke saath Aaj, price ne us resistance ko upar ki taraf tod diya, aur price ab apne direction mein upar ki taraf move kar raha hai, resistance level 155.43 tak, jo price ko neeche le aayega taake ek correction ho sake Yehi price behavior ko narrow range mein sideways movement ke saath aur phir ek aur upar ki taraf trend ko lead karta hai Is liye, hum yehi naseehat dete hain ke selling opportunities ko nazar andaaz karen aur sirf buying opportunities par tawajjo den

Maeeshat ke pehlu par, Japanese yen ki keemat ne taqreeban mazboot American economic data ke baad giraavat jaari rakhi BLS ne pichle Jumma ko jaari ek report mein bataya ke US economy ne March mein hazaron jobs jodhe March mein 303,000 se zyada jobs jodi, aur berozgaari dar 3.8% tak gir gaya Mukhtasar US consumer price index March mein 3.2% se 3.5% tak jump kiya, mahino ka highest level Core inflation 3.8% tak barh gayi, Federal Reserve ke 2.0% target ke qareeb

Maeeshat ka calendar data ke natayej ke mutabiq, ek alag report ne bataya ke core producer price index February mein 2.1% se March mein 2.4% tak barh gaya Headline producer price index 2.1% tak barh gaya

Is liye, US dollar index DXY 2024 ke trading ke dauraan US dollar ki price ke upper resistance 106.00 tak jump kiya, kyunke investors umeed karte hain ke Federal Reserve is saal ke aakhri mein US interest rates ko barhaane shuru karega. Balki, bank interest rates ko expected se zyada waqt tak stable rakhne ka khauf hai Aam raay hai ke United States of America aur Japan ke interest rates ke beech farq ko barqarar rehne ki umeed hai United States of America mein interest rates 5.25% se 5.50% ke darmiyaan hain, jabke Japan mein interest rates 0.0% hain

Is mamle mein, Japanese Yen ke liye sirf umeed yeh hai ke Japanese government Forex currency market mein dakhal dalegi

HAPPY KILLER USD/JPY TRADING DISCUSSION

Daily Timeframe Outlook

Hum apni tawaqo ke mutabiq acha kaam kar rahe hain Sirf yeh baat hai ke unhone south mein correction nahi kiya, lekin teen trading dinon ka ek corridor tha, jisne yeh growth ki movement ko mumkin bana diya Aaj, rasta uttar ki taraf sab kuch nahi liya gaya hai aur ek izafa hoga, yeh mainly American session mein hoga, aur humein is lamha ka intezar karna chahiye, shayad main 154 figures ke darmiyan se bhi bech doon Har surat mein,



trading logic yehi suggest karta hai Aam taur par hum Europa mein acha nahi chal paate, lekin yahaan se hi opening day se hum uttar ki taraf chal pade hain aur ab achhi nayi unchaiyan paa rahe hain Beshak, mumkinat giravat ka ek aham sabab hai, aur yeh wazeh hai ke bull ke liye mushkil halaat mein 152.43 level tak pohanchne ki taqat hogi





Yeh aasan hai ke dekha ja sakta hai ke yen neeche ja sakta hai, aur yeh visual taur par bhi dekha ja sakta hai - neeche ki taraf ka trend mustaqbil mein jaari hai Is ke bawajood, mujhe yakeen hai ke bullish trend abhi waqt ka maqsad hai, is direction ke predominance ki wajah se downward trend par Daily timeframe ke mutabiq, yeh aasan hai ke dekha ja sakta hai ke yenn ko uthne ki raah jaari rakhni hai, aur yeh direction bullish trend range ko chhodte hue viksit hoga Is liye,


main har giravat ki har lehar par support level par khareedne ki taqreeb karta hoon jab tak pair 152.43 level ko paar na kar le

Japanese Yen ab US Dollar ke khilaf larti ja rahi hai, jis ki haalat ab tak ke aik kamzor point ke qareeb hai (kareeb 154.00 yen har dollar ke liye) Yeh kamzori mukhtalif wajohat se hai Pehli baat to yeh hai ke Bank of Japan (BoJ) apni ultra-loose monetary policy ko barqarar rakhne ke liye wafir hai, jis ki wajah se interest rates kam hain Yeh dovish stance Yen ko investors ke liye kam attract karta hai jo zyada return chahte hain Dusri baat, Japanese authorities ki taraf se Yen ko support karne ke liye intervene karne ki warnings ka koi asar nahi hua Investors Middle East mein gehri crisis par zyada focus kar rahe hain, jo ke aam tor par Yen jese safe-haven currencies ke liye faida mand hoti hai Lekin, mojooda market sentiment kamzor hai, jis ki wajah se yeh safe-haven quality kaam nahi kar rahi hai Doosri taraf, US Dollar acha perform kar raha hai Federal Reserve se umeed hai ke woh interest rate cuts par rukawat daalega, jis se Dollar ki position mazboot hoti hai US aur Japan ke darmiyan yeh interest rate ka furq mazeed Yen ko kamzor karta hai aur USD/JPY pair ko mazboot karta hai

Technically, USD/JPY pair ne haal hi mein aik ahem resistance level (152.00) ko paar kiya hai, aur mazeed izafay ne bullish trend ko tasdiq kiya hai Lekin, buying pressure (RSI) ko nazar andaz karte hue aik temporary consolidation ki potential signal hai pehle se zyada izafay ke liye Is short-term consolidation ke bawajood, overall trend USD/JPY ke liye bullish hai jahan 154.00 ke round number agla target hai 153.00 ke neeche hone wali kisi bhi giravat ko temporary samjha jata hai, jahan naye buyers Friday ke lows (kareeb 152.60) ke aas paas interfere karenge Lekin, is support level ke neeche ek decisive break USD/JPY pair ko 152.00 aur shayad 151.40 aur 151.00 ke levels tak le ja sakta hai Is critical support zone ke breach hone par near term ke liye USD/JPY ka potential peak signal ho jayega jo ke momentum ko bears (price girne par bet karne wale traders) ke favor mein badal dega

US Dollar ne ab market ke optimism se azaadi paai hai Federal Reserve ki monetary easing ke liye Pichle do hafton mein yeh wazeh ho chuka hai ke rate cuts tab shuru honge jab inflation kam se kam 2.5% y/y par ho Jaise ke taaza inflation report ne 3.5% tak izafah kiya hai, isliye mein qareebi mustaqbil mein America mein rate cuts ka intezar nahi karta

Market ab bhi Fed ke rates ke liye optimistic hai, lekin ab yeh zyada moderate hai CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, market pehle rate cut ko July mein expect kar rahi hai Meri raay mein, yeh forecast haqeeqat se kuch lena dena nahi rakhta Main aapko yaad dilata hoon ke bohot se bare banks aur holdings ne apni forecasts ko is saal do rounds of easing tak kam kar diya hai Kuch analysts kehte hain ke pehla easing December mein ya phir 2025 mein bhi ho sakta hai Isliye meri raay mein, dollar ka safar izafay ki taraf hai

USD/JPY trading ke liye transactions ka analysis aur tips

153.19 ka imtehan, zero se MACD line ke girne ke sath, ek sell signal paida hua jo ke 40 pips ke price girne ka sabab bana

Bartanveer inflation ke umeedon ne dollar ki taraf se demand ko dobara bhara, jo ke buyers ko mazeed attractive prices par market mein dakhil hone ki izazat di Aaj ke Asian session mein pair ke shandar izafay ko dekhte hue, lagta hai ke Bank of Japan intervene nahi karegi Japan mein machinery aur equipment ke orders ke strong data bhi yen ko uthane mein madad nahi kar saka, jo ke upward trend ka jari rahne ka ishara hai

Lambi positions ke liye

Buy karein jab price 153.94 (chart par hari line) ko touch kare aur take profit 154.29 par lein Izafah daily high ke breakdown ke baad ho sakta hai

Buy karte waqt, yaqeeni banayen ke MACD line zero ke upar ho ya isse izafah kar rahi ho USD/JPY ko 153.73 ke do consecutive price tests ke baad khareedne ka bhi ghor karen, lekin MACD line oversold area mein honi chahiye, kyun ke sirf isse hi market 153.94 aur 154.29 par reverse hoga

Chhoti positions ke liye

Sell karein jab price 153.73 (chart par laal line) ko touch kare aur take profit 153.37 par lein Dabao daily high ko break karne ke baad aur central bank ki active actions ke baad wapas aayega

Sell karte waqt, yaqeeni banayen ke MACD line zero ke neeche ho ya isse gira ho USD/JPY ko 153.94 ke do consecutive price tests ke baad bechne ka bhi ghor karen, lekin MACD line overbought area mein honi chahiye, kyun ke sirf isse hi market 153.73 aur 153.37 par reverse hoga

Technical analysis of the USDJPY pair

Daily chart
Nai up day aur naye levels pair ki uparward trend mein. Is maheenay mein qeemat ne 2 peechlay maheenon ke doran qeemat ka andaruni taqseem dikhaya. Pichlay maheenay kai dino tak qeemat ki chand tasveerat mein rukawat thi ek tang range mein. Phir, halqay mein price ka rawaiya shuru hua, jaisa ke pehlay maheenay mein tha, ek tang range mein tarafdar rawaiya. Yeh ek kharidari zone mein tha, qeemat ko maheenay ke pivot level aur channel lines se support mil raha tha. Qeemat uparward gayi aur ek naye resistance area tak pohnchi, jo mahana level 153.40 hai, jo ek aur dafa price ke rawaiya mein rukawat ke sath le gaya. Aaj, qeemat ne us resistance ko uparward tor diya, aur ab qeemat us ki taraf ja rahi hai resistance level 155.43 tak, jo qeemat ko wapas neeche la sakta hai taake ek correction hasil kiya ja sake. Yehi ek rawaiya ke sath, rukawat aur phir mazeed uparward trend ka nataija hai. Is liye, hum saling opportunities ko nazar andaz karne ki salahiyat dete hain aur sirf kharidari opportunities par tawajjuh deni chahiye.

Maeeshat ke pehlu par, Japani yen ki qeemat ne mazeed ghatna dar ghatne ke baad mazeed girawat dikhayi. BLS ne pichle Jumma ko ek report jaari ki ke mutabiq, US ki maeeshat ne March mein hazaron jobs shamil kiye. March mein 303,000 se zyada jobs shamil ki gayin, jabke be-rozgar ki sharah 3.8% tak gir gayi. Sarasar US consumer price index March mein 3.2% se 3.5% tak barh gaya, jo ke mahino ki unchi satah thi. Core inflation 3.8% tak pohanch gayi, jo Federal Reserve ke 2.0% ka maqsood ki takriban dugna hai.

Maeeshat ka calendar data ke natayej ke mutabiq, aik alag report ne bataya ke core producer price index February mein 2.1% se March mein 2.4% tak barh gaya. Sarasar producer price index 2.1% tak pohanch gaya.

Is liye, US dollar index DXY 2024 ke trading ke doran dollar ki qeemat ka 106.00 ke upper resistance tak chala gaya, kyun ke investors ummid rakhte hain ke Federal Reserve is saal ke akhri mein US interest rates ko barhaega. Balkay, bank ko raatein barqarar rakhne ka imkan hai zyada muddat tak. Aam raye yeh hai ke America aur Japan ke darmiyan interest rates ka farq mazeed barhta rahega. America ke interest rates 5.25% se 5.50% tak hain, jabke Japan ke interest rates 0.0% hain.

Is mamlay mein, sirf Japani yen ke liye umeed hai ke Japani sarkar Forex currency market mein dakhal karegi.

GBPJPY

Sab ko Jumma Mubarak! USD/JPY currency pair un mein se ek hai jin par main apni tawajju diya karta hoon, tajziya karta hoon aur waqtan-fa-waqt trading amal karta hoon. Meri trading strategy rozana ki trading par mabni hai aur Bollinger indicator ke levelon ke nisbat qeemat ki tajziya par mabni hai. Is waqt, indicator teen ahem qeemat faraham karta hai: oopri - 153.35, darmiyan - 153.20 aur neechi - 153.04. Mojudah qeemat USD/JPY pair ke liye 153.33 hai, jo ke 153.20 mark ke oopar hai. Ye kharidari ki taraf trading par faida mand asar daal sakta hai aur 153.35 ke oopri level tak pohonchnay ke liye mukhtalif nikaat kholtay hain. Magar, agar kharidaron aur farokhton ke darmiyan mukhtalif raye hain, ya agar qeemat 153.20 ke darja se nichay chali jati hai, to main long positions ki priority ko dobara tajziya karna par majboor ho jaunga aur neechay ki taraf trading karne ko tariq karunga takay 153.04 ke neechay ki had tak pohnch saku. Bechani se bachne ke liye, main seedhi volume ke tameer ko bhi madde nazar rakhta hoon. Volume ke izafay aur kamay mujhe trading process mein ziada maloomati faislay karne mein madad faraham karte hain.

USD/JPY ke price movement ke hawale se, yeh kehna zaroori hai ke bull apni positions ko pur-sukooni se sambhal rahe hain, taqreeban 153.30 ke qareeb naye global urooj tak, lekin ab tak woh upar jane ka faisla nahi kiya hai, woh abhi aram kar rahe hain. Magar, yeh kaafi hai USD/JPY pair ke liye ke woh sirf upar ki taraf nahi jaari hai sirf aik char ghante ke trend mein, balkay active kharidari ke area mein bhi hai, kyunke tamam takneeki indicators peechay chhut gaye hain. Isliye, bilkul sahih nahi hai ke hum dono taraf ke baray mein baat karen, kyunke iske koi buniyadi asbaab nahi hain. Sirf umeedein ke mutabiq: "yeh nahi hosakta...", magar jaise ke hum dekh rahe hain, Japan Bank ab tak faisla karne mein hichkichata hai, halankeh main umeed karta tha ke aaj halat badal jayein ge aur woh currency interventions bhi karain ge, jaise ke unho ne wada kiya tha, magar, jaise ke kehte hain, logon aur afsoon aur mukarrar mein sab se pehle, is ka bharosa bhi hota hai. Aam tor par, asal mein, USD/JPY kisi bhi waqt phir se upar ja sakta hai aur isko rokne wale koi bhi cheez nahi hogi, magar main, bilkul, aik tabdeeli ke liye umeed karta hoon takay, kam az kam, 152.20 ke darmiyan mein kareeb pohnch sakun. Magar, main phir se dabaan dohna chahunga ke ye sirf khayalat hain aur kuch nahi, aur aaj American dollar bas Japanese yen ko kanoon ke mutabiq kar raha hai aur sab se ahem baat yeh hai ke is masochist ko yeh bhi pasand hai.

USD/JPY D1



Money market dynamics ko samajhne ke liye, analysis ko wasi'e iqtisadi factors tak phehlana zaroori hai. Dunya ki siyasat mein tabadlaat ke wajah se market mein volatile honay ki soorat paida ho sakti hai. Bara-e-a'lam currencies ke exchange rates badal sakte hain, ya investor sentiment central banking systems ke asrat se money market instruments par asar andaz ho sakta hai. Central bank ke monetary policies interest rate ke decisions aur quantitative easing measures par seedha asar daalti hain. Ye policies, borrowing costs aur liquidity conditions market participants ke rawaiyon ko mutasir karti hain. Iqtisadi rawaj, inflation, aur financial stability ko central bank ke amal se dekha ja sakta hai, jo ke market expectations aur investment strategies ko mutasir karta hai. Macroeconomic indicators mulk ki iqtisadi sehat ke ahm indicators faraham karte hain aur money market dynamics par khaas asar daal sakte hain. Consumer kharch, GDP ka rawaj, inflation, aur rozgaar ke numbers ahm iqtisadi insights faraham karte hain. In indicators mein tabdeeli market sentiment aur investment decisions par asar daalti hai, is liye market participants ko in factors ke bare mein maloomat rakni chahiye taake wo behtareen decisions le sakain. Analysts, investors, aur policymakers market sentiment aur future trends ko dekhte hain, jo ke geopolitical developments, central bank communications,





aur macroeconomic data releases par mabni hoti hain. Iske ilawa, duniya ke iqtasadi ma'mlaat investment strategies ko adjust karte waqt, risk management aur naye opportunities dhoondte waqt international factors ko zaroor mad-e-nazar rakhti hai. Iqtisadi waqiyat aur policy decisions kisi mulk mein international money market conditions par asar andaz ho sakte hain. Money market ko mukammal tor par samajhne ke liye, cross-border capital flows, currency movements, aur global policy developments ko dekhna zaroori hai. Jab money market ka analysis kiya jata hai, toh zaroori hai ke market conditions ke ilawa wasi'e iqtisadi factors ko bhi mad-e-nazar rakha jaye. Geopolitical dynamics, central bank policies, aur macroeconomic indicators money market ke manzar-e-aam ko mutasir karte hain. Market participants jo waqif aur wasi'e tor par analysis karte hain, wo money market ke complexities ko behtar tor par navigate kar sakte hain aur mauqay ko zyada se zyada hasil karne aur risks ko kam karne mein kamyab ho sakte hain.

USDCAD

Market hal hi main taaza resistance zone ki taraf tezi se barh gaya, maheenay ka level 153.40 ko chhoo gaya. Ye ek purani pattern ki taraf ishara karta hai jahan price chhote range ke andar chalti hai. Lekin aaj isme breakthrough hua, jab price ne ye resistance paar kiya aur ab 155.43 ke mark ki taraf rukh kar gaya hai. Ye oonchi raftar shayad jald hi resistance se mukabla karegi, jo ke ek correctiv phase ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Tareekhi tor par, aise corrections ke baad aage ke rukh ki taraf chalne ka trend raha hai. Isliye, hamara mashwara hai ke bechnay ke mauqay ko nazara andaaz karain aur istead me kharidnay ke mouqe par tawajjo dein. Focus ko arthik manzar par rakhain, Japanese yen ne mazid kamzori mehsoos ki hai ek musalsal silsile ke baad mazboot American arzi indicators ke. Khaaskar, Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) ke hal hi mein ek report ne Ameriki arzi moaashi karobaar ki mazbooti ko dikhaya. Ameriki arzi performance ke yeh mustaqil josh Japanese yen ke qeemat par neeche dabaav dal raha hai. Prices ke oopar ki taraf tezi se barhne ka aik nisaar marhala hai haal hi mein bazaar mein khaas tor par jab wo ahem resistance levels ke qareeb jaate hain. Traders ne dekha hai ke jab ye levels pohanchte hain to prices ruk jaati hain, phir ek breakout hota hai aur agle harkat oopar ki taraf hoti hai. Mojooda nishaan 155.43 par hai, lekin ehtiyaat zaroori hai kyun ke yeh level ek correctiv phase ko trigger kar sakta hai pehle se phir apne oopar ki taraf rukh leta hai. Chhoti-moti karobaar ke liye raqsan mauqe hone ke bawajood, tareekhi data yeh dikhata hai ke aise manazir mein kharidne ke mouqe aam ho jaate hain, jisse bullish stance ki ahmiyat par zor diya jata hai. Arzoo ke samne, Japanese yen ki kami ko mukhtalif factors ki safaai ki ja sakti hai, zyadatar Ameriki arzi moaashi karobaar ki mazboot performance ke. BLS ki taraf se musbat arzi moaashi data ka ijaad is trend ko mazid mazbooti deta hai, jo dollar ke favor mein market sentiment ko barhata hai. Jab tak Ameriki moaashi nizaam mazbooti se apna dam dikhaata rahega, investors dollar par bullish rahenge, is ke natayaj me Japanese yen par neeche dabaav bana rahega. Ikhtisar mein, bazaar ka haal ye dikhata hai ke ahem resistance levels aur agle harkat ke mauqe ke ahemiyat par zor diya ja sakta hai. Halat ke qareeban ke correction hona mumkin hai, lekin overall trend ek bullish nazar se mutallaq hai, khaaskar Ameriki moaashi dynamics ko samajh kar Japanese yen ke favor mein dollar ki ahamiyat ko barhate hue. Is tarah, traders ko market ke current fluctuations mein kharidne ke mouqe ke liye mutaayin rehne ki salahiyat hai.

USD/JPY H1

Market trends aur potential reversals ka tajziya karna takneeki indicators aur price action dynamics ka gehra samajh talab karta hai. Agar haal ki harkat ek niche ki rukh ki jari hai ya ek mukhtalif rukh ka ishara hai, is par tajziya karte waqt traders ko mukhtalif factors ka andaaza lagana zaroori hai.

Sab se pehle, mojooda market ka context ghor se dekhna zaroori hai. Economic indicators, geopolitical events, aur central bank policies jaise factors market sentiment aur direction ko asar andaaz karte hain. Agar haal ki niche ki harkat mojooda bearish sentiment ke sath milti hai, to yeh haqeeqat mein rukh jari hone ka ishara ho sakta hai.

Dusra, price action aur volume patterns ka tajziya dena ahem insights faraham kar sakta hai. Ek barqarar niche ki rukh aam tor par kam highs aur kam lows ke sath hoti hai, jo ke zyada trading volumes ke sath badhte hue selling pressure ko dikhata hai. Mukhtalif, ek potential reversal ko ek break mein zahir ho sakta hai jo establish pattern ko toorna, jaise ke price aur momentum indicators ke darmiyan bullish divergence ya kharidari volume mein izafa.

Teesra, ahem support aur resistance levels ka andaaza lagana zaroori hai. Agar price ek ahem support level ke qareeb aata hai aur is par kai koshishon ke bawajood neeche nahin girta, to yeh darust ho sakta hai ke selling pressure kamzor ho rahi hai, jo ke ek reversal ka rasta khole sakta hai. Mukhtalif, agar ek ahem support level ko qabil-e-tasleem taur par toorna jaye, to yeh niche ki rukh ko mazboot kar sakta hai.

Is ke ilawa, technical indicators jaise ke moving averages, trend lines, aur oscillators ka istemal izafa ya imtizaat ke signals faraham kar sakta hai. Masalan, agar choti muddat ke moving averages lambi muddat walon ke upar se guzarte hain ya ek ahem support level par ek reversal candlestick pattern nazar aata hai, to yeh ek potential reversal ke liye mamooli saboot faraham kar sakta hai.

Traders ke liye ahem hai ke wo hoshmandi se kaam karen aur sirf ek indicator ya signal par pura bharosa na karen. Market conditions tezi se tabdeel ho sakti hain, aur ghalat signals aam hain. Is liye, mukhtalif tajziyaat ke zariye trading decisions ko tasdiq karna aur ghalat fehmi ka khatra kam karna ke liye madadgar hota hai.

Ikhtitaam mein, tajziya karna ke haal ki market ki harkat kya ek niche ki rukh ka jari hona hai ya ek potential reversal ka ishara hai, is mein mojooda factors ka comprehensive tajziya shamil hai jin mein market ka context, price action, volume patterns, support aur resistance levels, aur technical indicators shamil hain. In factors ko mehnat se nazar andaaz karte hue, traders informed decisions le sakte hain aur apni strategies ko market mein mojood potential opportunities ka faida uthane ke liye mutabiq banaye rakhte hain.

USD/JPY



Market nediyon ne haal hi mein taza rukh par chala gaya, mahinay ke level 153.40 tak pahunch gaya. Isne ek maqbool pattern ko ubhara, jismein chakkar daar taur par harkat hoti hai ek tang range ke andar. Lekin, aaj ko breakthrough mili, jab keemaayat kamiyabi se is resistance ko tod gaya, ab 155.43 ke nishan ki taraf rawana hai. Ye oopar ki raahat jald hi ek resistance se mukhaatib ho sakti hai, jisse ki ek tajweez gardeshi daur shuru ho sakta hai. Tareekhi tor par, aise corrections ke baad aagey ki oopari rukh shuru hoti hai. Isliye, hamari tajweez hai ke bechne ki mauqaat ko nazar andaz karen aur istead mein potentiial kharidari ke mauqe ko pehchanein. Maamlaat ki taraf dhyaan shift karte hue, Japanese yen ne ek barqi silsilay ke baad mushtari mein kami mehsoos ki hai, khaaskar ek musstaqil amriki maeeshati indicators ke silsile ko dekhte hue. Khaas tor par, Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) ki ek haali halaat ki riport ne amriki maeeshati mustaqil quwaton ko dikhaaya. Is mustaqil tej raftar mein amriki maeeshat ke mukhwaasayi qadmi ne Japanese yen ke qeemat par nichle dabaav dala hai. Keemat ki oopari rukh ki harkat ko haal hi ke market mein ek ahem khasiyat bana di gayi hai, khaaskar jab woh aham resistance levels tak pahunchte hain. Tradeers ne dekha hai ke jab yeh levels mukhtalif maamlat mein pahunche hain, phir unki harkat ruk jaati hai, uske baad aik breakout hota hai aur aage ki raahat ki harkat hoti hai. Halqumati nishan 155.43 par set hai, lekin ehtiyaat zaroori hai kyun ke yeh level ek gardeshi daur ko trigger kar sakta hai, phir is ki oopari raahat ki harkat ko shuru karne se pehle. Chhoti muddat mein fluctuations hone ke bawajood, tareekhi data yeh dikhata hai ke aise manazir mein kharidari ke mouqaat ziada hote hain, jiska matlab yeh hai ke ek bullish rukh ka mukhtasir kiya jana hai. Maeeshati samundar mein, Japanese yen ki kami ko kai imtiazat ki milawat mein dala ja sakta hai, sab se zyada amriki maeeshati mustaqil quwat. BLS ke musstaqil maeeshati data ka intezaar aur ye trend mukhtalif market sentiment ko barha dete hain amriki dollar ke favor mein. Jab tak amriki maeeshat mustaqil qawwati dikhaye, investors dollar par bullish rahein ge, jisse ke Japanese yen par dabaav barqarar rahega.
Mukhtasar tor par, market ka haal hi ka rawaya ahem resistance levels ki ahmiyat ko zahir karta hai aur mazeed oopar ki harkat ki sambhavnaon ko. Halqumati taur par corrections ho sakte hain, lekin overall trend ek bullish nazriya dikhata hai, khaaskar maeeshati dynamics ko mad-e-nazar rakhte hue jo amriki dollar ko Japanese yen se zyada pasand karte hain. Is tarah, traders ko maamlat ke fluctuations ke darmiyan kharidari ke mouqe par nigaah rakhne ki salahiyat rakhi jaati hai.

USD/JPY

Sab ko Good Friday! USD/JPY currency pair wo ek hai jis par main apna tawajjo lagata hoon, tajziya karta hoon, aur waqtan-fa-waqtan trading operations karta hoon. Mera trading strategy intraday trading par mabni hai aur ye Bollinger indicator ke levels ke hawale se tajziya par mabni hai. Abhi indicator teen ahem values faraham kar raha hai: upper - 153.35, average - 153.20 aur lower - 153.04. Mojooda USD/JPY pair ki quote 153.33 hai, jo 153.20 mark ke ooper hai. Ye kharidari ki taraf trading mein faida mand asar daal sakta hai aur 153.35 ke upper level ko potential nafa point ke tor par khol sakta hai. Lekin, kharidari karne walon aur bechne walon ke darmiyan mumkin ikhtilafat aur agar keemat 153.20 ke level se nichay gir jaye, to main majboor ho jaunga ke long positions ki priority ko dobara ghoor loon aur neeche 153.04 ke lower limit tak ki taraf trading mein shamil ho jaoon. Be-daghal hawalaat se bachne ke liye, main aam toor par vertical volume ka tasawwur bhi leta hoon. Volume ka izafah aur kami aham tajziyat faraham karte hain, jo mujhe trading process ke doran zyada agah faislon par amal karne mein madad faraham karte hain.

USD/JPY H4 time frame

Amreeki dollar/Japanese yen currency pair ki keemat ke hawale se, yeh kaha jana chahiye ke bullish log apne positions ko pur sukooni se qaim kar rahe hain, naye global unchi takreeban 153.30 par pohanch gaye hain, lekin abhi tak woh oonchi jaane ke liye faisla nahi kiya hai, woh abhi araam kar rahe hain. Lekin yeh kaafi hai ke USD/JPY pair sirf ek uchit chaar ghanton ke trend mein nahi hai, balki active kharidariyon ke ilaqe mein bhi hai, kyunki tamam technical indicators pichle hai. Is liye, zaroori nahi ke dakhil ke mawad par baat ki jaye, kyunke iske koi buniyadi asool nahi hain. Sirf umeedain hain ke "aisa nahi ho sakta...", lekin jaise hum dekhte hain, Japan Bank abhi tak jawab denay mein hichkichahat mehsoos kar raha hai, halankeh maine umeed ki thi ke aaj ke din halat badal jayenge aur wo currency interventions karain ge, jaise ke unho ne wada kiya tha, lekin, jaise ke kehte hain, pehli baat to logon aur afsaron ko bharosa karna chahiye. Amooman, haqeeqat mein, USD/JPY kabhi bhi phir se ooper ja sakta hai aur isay rokne wala kuch nahi hoga, lekin main, of course, tajziya ke liye umeed rakhta hoon ke taqreeban 152.20 ke area tak aik correction milay. Lekin, main ek martaba phir yeh dawat dena chahunga ke ye sirf tanqeed hain aur kuch nahi, aur aaj Amreeki dollar bas Japanese yen ko kanon-fareb kar raha hai zulm ke zariye aur sab se important baat yeh hai ke ye masochist ko yeh pasand bhi hai.

Usd jpy

USD/JPY ka bazaar phir se 154.27 ke darje tak pahunch gaya hai. Yeh dikhata hai ke ab price technical analysis ko nahi follow kar raha hai. Is tarah, jab hum aaj ke bazaar ke dynamics ki gehraaiyon mein dakhil hote hain, to bechne walon mein josh aur umeed nazar aati hai jo halqe hali trends ke mukhtalif driver ban jaati hai. Bechne walon ki tasali aur yakeen jo zahir hota hai, ishara karta hai towards potential breakthroughs, including the breach of crucial support levels. Is tarah, yeh himmat-e-mardaan madad ke sath ek pivotal shift in sentiment ko zahir karta hai, jo bechne walon ke domain mein faida banata hai. USD/JPY par trading ke liye, is haftay ke fundamental effects behtar hain. Kyunki bazaar ab technical track par nahi hai. Is tarah, market sentiment ka ek comprehensive jayeza bechne walon ke faavor mein ek buland aawaz ko nazar andaz karta hai, jahan ke indicators munafa mand prospects ki taraf ishara karte hain. 20 pips tak ke faiday ko harness karne ka zahiri mauqa chalaq traders ke liye moujood hai is shifting landscape mein. USD/JPY ki trading mein nuqsan ko kam karne ki capacity aur evolve hone wale market conditions ke jawab mein apni strategies ko dubara tarteeb dene ki zaroorat bhi ehmiyat rakhti hai.

Is ke ilawa, mustaqbil ke news events ke asar ka ehem khatra bhi maujood hai. Global economic dynamics ka taluq, khaaskar US dollar se jude hain, bazaar ke rukh ki karkardagi par gehra asar daal sakta hai. Mustaqbil ke news cycles ke teht ki zyada tawajjo aur hoshyari, khaaskar US trading session ke doraan, maqool faisla bazi aur risk management ke liye zaroori hai. Kul mila kar, USD/JPY ka bazaar ab kharidaron ke faavor mein nazar aa raha hai. Aur, is trend ko behtar tareeqe se follow karna aqalmandi hai. Is tarah, market aane wale kuch ghanton mein 154.42 ke darje ko test kar sakta hai. Khush rahein aur muskurahatein banaaye rakhein.

Bailon ne kamyaabi se kaam kiya hai aur agle rukh ke liye maahaul tayar kiya hai. Abhi ke liye, uttar ki taraf ka tajwez instrument ke move ke liye mujhe zyada faa'ida mand hai girne wale rukh se. Ab main sirf 156.13 tak uttar ki taraf ka rukh dekh raha hoon. Main ye bhi nahi nikal raha hoon ke is se pehle koi correction ho sakti hai aur pair pehle se hi dakshin ki taraf move kar sakta hai, lekin ab mere liye pehli taraf uttar ki taraf hai. Magar agar sellers ne neeche se mazbooti se qabza kar liya, toh dakshin ki taraf ka rukh mumkin hai. Ye tajwez kuch khabron ke asar ko mad e nazar rakhta hai, is liye maine ye sujhav diya hai ke aaj koi aisi khabar hai jo hamare pair pe asar daal sakti hai: Aaj dollar ke liye calendar mein kai mukhtalif events hain: Core Retail Sales Index (m/m) (Mar), Williams Speech, Control for retail sales (MoM) (Mar), Retail sales volume. Japan ke liye calendar mein sirf ek khabar hai: Basic orders in mechanical engineering. Abhi ke waqt pe, hum chart pe achi volatility ki umeed kar sakte hain. Is liye ke calendar upar se tijarat dar events ko 3 stars se mark kiya gaya hai, jo ke ye batata hai ke aap ko mutawajjah rehna chahiye aur har cheez ke liye tayar rehna chahiye.



Aaj main 154.10 se dobara 153.50 ke balance ki taraf se palatne ko na ikhtiyaar nahi karta, agar koi breakout na ho, toh ye phir se 155.10 ki taraf barhna shuru kar dega, agar woh din ka balance 153.50 tod sakte hain, toh pair H1 ki support ki taraf ek octate bana dega, jo ke thodi unchi ho gayi hai aur 152.90 par maujood hai. 153.50 ke din ke balance ko todne ke baad, pehle se 153.40 se, pair ek naye din ka balance phir se 154.10 par barh sakta hai aur phir se wahan se H1 ki support 152.90 ki taraf barhega, agar H1 ki support 152.90 nahi tooti, toh woh is se uthega medium-term target ki taraf 156.25, raste mein 155.10 aur shayad 155.70 se rollback ke saath. Agar H1 ki support 152.90 tooti, toh pair H4 ki support ki taraf mud jaega jo ke 151.70 par maujood hai. H1 ki support 152.90 ko todne ke baad.

USD/JPY M30 time frame:

Sabko Jumma Mubarak! USD/JPY currency pair mein mein apni tawajjo deta hoon, analysis karta hoon aur waqtan-fa-waqtan trading operations bhi karta hoon. Meri trading strategy intraday trading par mabni hai aur Bollinger indicator ke levels ke hawale se keemat ka tajziya par mushtamil hai. Abhi indicator teen ahem values faraham kar raha hai: upper - 153.35, average - 153.20 aur lower - 153.04. Mojudah USD/JPY pair ki keemat 153.33 hai, jo ke 153.20 mark se oopar hai. Ye kharidari ki taraf trading mein faida mand asar daal sakta hai aur 153.35 ke upper level tak pohonchne ke liye aik mumkinah munafa point ko khol sakta hai. Magar agar kharid-darid ke darmiyan mukhalifat aur keemat ke level 153.20 ke neeche girne ki soorat mein, mujhe lambi positions ki priority ko dobara dekhnay aur neechay ke had 153.04 tak pohonchnay ke liye trading ko modhna parega. Be-muawin situations se bachne ke liye, mein vertical volume ka construction bhi madde nazar rakhta hoon. Volume ki ups aur downs mujhe behtareen faislay karne mein madad faraham karte hain trading process ke doran.

US dollar/Japanese yen currency pair ki keemat ke hawale se, yeh kehna zaroori hai ke bulls apni positions ko pur sukooni se qaim kar rahe hain, aik naye global unchaai tak qareeb 153.30 ke aas paas, lekin abhi tak unhone isse zyada oopar jaane ka faisla nahi kiya, woh abhi araam kar rahe hain. Magar, yeh kaafi hai USD/JPY pair ke liye ke wo sirf ek upar ki char ghantay ki trend mein nahi bane rahen, balkay active kharidariyon ke area mein bhi bane rahen, kyunke sab technical indicators peechay chhut gaye hain. Isliye, bilkul bhi beharhaal, south ke baray mein baat karna mumkin nahi hai, kyunke iske koi buniyadi buniyadi buniyadi hain. Sirf umeedein ussool ke mutabiq: "yeh ho nahi sakta...", magar jaise hum dekhte hain, Bank of Japan abhi tak kisi karwai par hatapai nahi kar raha, halankeh maine yeh ummeed ki thi ke aaj situations badal jayengi aur wo currency interventions ko zaroor karenge, jaise unhone waday kiye the, magar, jaise kehte hain, insaanon aur afraad par sabse pehle bharosa karna chahiye. Aam tor par, haqeeqat mein, USD/JPY kabhi bhi phir se oopar ja sakta hai aur isko karne mein kuch nahi rok sakta, lekin, mujhe beshak koreksion ka ummeed hai, kam az kam, pehle global maximum ke area tak 152.20 ke qareeb. Magar, mein ek baar phir yeh nukta-e-nazar dena chahunga ke yeh sirf tajziyat hain aur kuch nahi, aur aaj American dollar Japani yen ko bas qanoon ki baghawat aur sab se ahem cheez yeh hai ke is masochist ko yeh pasand hai.