gbp usd

Tawaja se last do mahino ke price trend ki tafseel se nazar andaz kiya jaye to maaloom hota hai ke price is haftay ko mukhtasir karnay ke liye majmooi koshish kar raha hai ke daily chart par mojood bearish price channels ko toorna, mojooda trend ko disturb karne keliye ek strategy move. Jab price is mahine ki shuruaat mein barh rahi thi, to usne apni barhane ke liye support mili lekin jab wo maheenaik pivot level 1.2760 tak puhancha to neeche ki taraf reesha lekar tutti, jo ek niche ki trend ki ibtida batati hai. Jab price maheenai support level 1.2670 tak pohanchane laga, jo usay barhane ke liye support deta tha, tab yeh barhna ek taraf move krne laga. Price ne is haftay channels ko upar toorna ki koshish ki, lekin jab usay maheenai chart ki pivot level aur channel line se resistance mili, to ek pin candle mukammal thi, lekin price ne waapis hatna ki koshish ki. Lekin ab tak channels ko todna mein nakam r l
Price halaanki ab haftai level 1.2710 ke upar mazbooti se stabilize ho rahi hai aur laal channel line se support milti hai, to bohot ziada chances hain ke price daily chart par channels ko kamyabi se toor sake. Is haftay, price ka trading pattern zyadatar side mein tha, pivot level se numaya barhne ke sath. 1.2660 par barhna hua, phir wahi opening level par wapis aana, jis se ek aur barhne ka trigger hua. Price ab ek naye buying zone mein set ho gayi hai, jo potential hai ke ise haftay ki sab se zyada trading price tak le ja sake. Jaise ke 4 ghantay ka chart dikhata hai, yahaan ek mouqa hai ke abhi ke level se khareed kar munafa hasil kiya ja sakt ahi, ek stop loss level set kar ke jis se current candle ki sab se kam price ke neeche raka jaye, aur ek take profit level set kar ke neeche resistance level 0.5966 ke neeche, jaisa ke pehle bhi zikar kiya gaya tha.





Haal hi ke hafton mein, price ne multiple attempts kiye bearish price channels ko daily chart pe break karne ke liye. Is hafta mein khaas tor pe, price ne channels ko upward breach karne ki concerted effort ki. Price ki koshish pivot level pe H1 chart se resistance ka samna kar rahi thi, aur channel line khud bhi ek resistance thi. Ye confluence of resistance levels ne price ke upward momentum ko sustain karne ke liye challenging environment bana diya.

Is dauran, ek notable technical pattern jo observe hui thi wo pin candle ka formation tha, jo ek potential breakout ka perfect setup lag raha tha. Pin candle aam tor pe ek reversal ya significant level of support ya resistance ko indicate karti hai. Is case mein, pin candle ka formation suggest kar raha tha ke price ke paas momentum ho sakta hai ke channels ko break kar sake. Magar, is promising setup ke bawajood, price aakhir kar retreat kar gayi aur breakout ko sustain nahi kar payi.

GBP/USD ka yeh 1-hour chart recent price action ko dikhata hai. Chart pe dekha ja sakta hai ke price 1.2647 aur 1.2691 ke beech trade kar rahi hai, indicating a consolidation phase after a sharp decline.

Chart ke initial portion mein, 20 June se 21 June tak ek consistent downtrend dekhne ko milta hai, jahan price lagatar lower lows aur lower highs bana rahi thi. Yeh decline 1.2710 se start hua aur 1.2647 tak gaya, jo ke ab ek support level ke tarah act kar raha hai.

21 June ke around, price ne kuch consolidation dikhayi aur 1.2647 se bounce back kiya. Is bounce ke baad, price ne 1.2691 ke resistance level ko test kiya lekin usko convincingly break nahi kar payi. Yeh resistance level ab significant hai kyunki price ne multiple times isko test kiya hai lekin cross nahi kar payi.

Ab price fir se 1.2647 aur 1.2691 ke beech consolidate kar rahi hai, indicating a range-bound market. Price action suggest karta hai ke market participants abhi direction ko lekar unsure hain, aur koi major move tabhi expect kiya ja sakta hai jab yeh range break hoti hai.

Agar price 1.2691 ke resistance ko convincingly break karti hai, toh ek bullish move expect kiya ja sakta hai jo price ko higher levels pe le ja sakta hai. Dusri taraf, agar price 1.2647 ke support ko break karti hai, toh ek bearish continuation ho sakta hai jo price ko lower levels pe le ja sakta hai.

Market mein current sentiment mixed hai, aur traders ko cautious approach rakhni chahiye until ek clear breakout ya breakdown dekha jaye. High impact news ya economic data releases market ko is range se bahar nikal sakti hain aur ek directional move provide kar sakti hain.

Summary mein, GBP/USD ka 1-hour chart ek range-bound market ko dikhata hai between 1.2647 aur 1.2691. Price action ko dekhte hue, major support aur resistance levels intact hain, aur koi significant move tabhi anticipate kiya ja sakta hai jab yeh levels break hotay hain. Current sentiment mixed lagta hai, aur traders ko is range-bound phase mein cautious approach apnani chahiye.

**GBP/USD H-1 Analysis**

Hello. GBP/USD trading concept ke mutabiq, market transaction price 1.25503 hai, jo ke Ichimoku Cloud ke upar hai, aur Cloud ko firm support banata hai. Ek sell signal hai Tenkan-Sen line 1.25462 se jo Kijun-Sen line 1.25807 se neeche gir gayi hai, Death Cross se. Iska matlab hai ke aap buy aur sell dono kar sakte hain, halan ke main cross ke bajaye cloud ko prefer karta hoon kyun ke cloud mein 52 hai Senkou Span B 1.25068 line ke liye. Combination par. Main Tenkan aur Kijun lines se buy signal ka intezar kar raha hoon, jo ek mirror image lag rahi hai sell ki. Ya phir Cloud Senkou Span Line A 1.25148 ko break kare, jo ke cloud banane mein dusra component tha aur baad mein available ho sakta hai sale ke liye. Iss tarah, movement mein ambiguity se bacha ja sakta hai.

**GBP/USD H-4 Analysis**

Hello forum ke dost aur industry colleagues!

Hum four-hour chart kholte hain aur dekhte hain ke GBP/USD pair ne ek confident downward price channel form kiya hai, local highs 1.2890 se bounce karne ke baad jahan GBP trade karta tha. Iske ilawa, southern channel ne strongly southward expand kiya, do waves of decline aur do waves of rise (hum comprehensive waves ki baat kar rahe hain) downward price channel ke andar form kiye hain. Doosri growth wave finally complete ho gayi; Friday ko, South Channel ke upper boundary ko mistakenly penetrate kiya, 1.2645 level ko hit kiya. Pound tab se sharply gira, aur weekly trading bhi South Channel ke upper boundary ke neeche close hui. Is waqt, GBP/USD 1.2544 par trade kar raha hai.

Technical perspective se, sab kuch rebound ki taraf point kar raha hai resistance line se, 1.2300 level ka breakout aur is level ka retest.

Assalam-o-Alaikum dosto, kaise hain aap? GBP/USD European session ke dauran 1.2750 ke aas paas ek tang channel mein tezi se aas paas badlaav kar raha hai. US Dollar ko risk mode mein darar ka ehsaas hone se faida hua hai aur isne is pair ko traction hasil karne se rok diya hai. Federal Reserve din ke baad mein seed book jaari karega. Agar GBP/USD 1.2760-1.2750 ke neeche gir jaye (jo ke latest downtrend ka Fibonacci 78.6% retracement hai aur ascending regression channel ke midpoint hai) aur is area ko resistance ke taur par istemal shuru kar de, to is ki slide 1.2700 (psychological level, static level) aur 1.2675 (ascending channel ke lower limit) ki taraf extend ho sakti hai. Upar ki taraf, resistances 1.2800 (psychological level, static level) aur 1.2850 (ascending regression channel ke upper limit) par maujood hain.

4-hour chart par Relative Strength Index (RSI) ne Wednesday ko 50 ki taraf neeche ki taraf rukh kiya hai, jo ke bullish momentum ki kami ko darshaata hai. GBP/USD European trading hours ke dauran Tuesday ko tezi se badh gaya aur 1.2800 ke upar chadh gaya, do mahine baad pehli baar. Lekin pair ne apne daily gains ko mita diya, jab US dollar ko US session mein upbeat data se faida hua. Wednesday ke early hours mein GBP/USD bohat hee tang channel mein aas paas side mein move kar raha hai, jis ke aas paas 1.2750 ke upar.

Conference Board ke consumer confidence index ne May mein 102.00 par sudhar kiya, April ke 97.5 se, jabke expectations index 74.6 se 68.8 par barh gaya. "Mazboot labour market ne consumers ki overall situation ko mazboot kiya," Conference Board ke chief economist Dana M. Patterson ne US Consumer Sentiment Survey ke natije ko tashkeel dete hue kaha. Benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yields report ke baad lagbhag 2 percent se badh gaye aur USD index din ke akhri hisse mein halka sa izafa kiya. US economic calendar mein koi high-impact data releases nahi honge. Session ke baad mein, Federal Reserve apni seed book jaari karega. Investors US trading hours mein risk perception par tawajjo denge. Press time par, US stock index futures din ke lagbhag 0.5% neeche the. Agar Wall Street ke main indexes neeche khulte hain aur unhe dobara uchalne mein mushkil hoti hai, to USD safe-haven flows ka faida utha sakta hai aur GBP/USD ko neeche correction karne par majboor kar sakta hai.

Yeh chart GBP/USD ka hai jo ke current price action aur technical indicators ko highlight kar raha hai. Chart pe multiple candlesticks dikhayi de rahi hain jo different time periods ko represent karti hain.
Upar ka portion price action ko show kar raha hai aur candlesticks different colors mein hain; blue bullish candles ko indicate karti hain (price upar gayi) aur red bearish candles ko indicate karti hain (price neeche gayi). Moving averages bhi chart pe dikhayi de rahi hain jo trend direction ko confirm karne mein madadgar hoti hain. Orange aur blue lines moving averages hain; jab price in lines ke neeche hoti hai to yeh ek bearish signal hota hai aur jab price in lines ke upar hoti hai to yeh ek bullish signal hota hai.

Chart ke neeche MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) indicator dikhayi de raha hai. Yeh indicator trend strength aur direction ko measure karta hai. Red line MACD line hai aur gray bars histogram hain. Jab MACD line signal line (orange line) ke neeche hoti hai aur histogram negative values show karta hai, to yeh bearish trend ko indicate karta hai. Abhi MACD bearish signal de raha hai, jo ke further downward movement ki possibility ko show karta hai.

Sabse neeche RSI (Relative Strength Index) indicator hai. Yeh indicator price momentum ko measure karta hai aur overbought (70 se upar) aur oversold (30 se neeche) conditions ko identify karta hai. Current RSI value 30 ke kareeb hai, jo ke oversold condition ko indicate karti hai. Yeh possible price reversal ko indicate kar sakti hai lekin RSI ko confirm karne ke liye aur bhi factors ko dekhna zaroori hota hai.

Chart dekh kar lagta hai ke GBP/USD ek bearish trend mein hai. Price ne moving averages ke neeche trade karna shuru kiya hai, MACD bearish signal de raha hai aur RSI oversold condition ko show kar raha hai. Yeh sab indicators further downward movement ko indicate kar rahe hain.

Traders ke liye important hoga ke yeh technical indicators aur key levels pe nazar rakhein. Agar price neeche jati hai to support levels ko monitor karna zaroori hai. Agar price reversal hota hai to upper resistance levels pe nazar rakhein. Yeh chart dekh kar lagta hai ke bearish pressure dominate kar raha hai lekin kisi bhi reversal signal ko miss nahi karna chahiye.

In summary, GBP/USD ka yeh chart bearish trend ko indicate kar raha hai with MACD aur RSI bearish signals show kar rahe hain. Traders ko in indicators pe close eye rakhni chahiye aur price action ko monitor karte hue informed trading decisions lene chahiye.

GBP/USD Ke Rejection Trend 1.2717 Ke Qareeb, Mazboot Hoti Hui US Dollar Ke Sath:
GBP/USD pair is waqt halka nicha jhuki hui harkat dikha rahi hai, 1.2717 ke qareeb, mazboot hoti hui US Dollar ki wajah se aaj ke trading session mein. Sarifain US Federal Reserve ke June monetary policy meeting ko ghor se dekh rahe hain, jahan central bank se umiid hai ke wo apne maujooda satah par hi interest rates ko barqarar rakhega. Fed ke faisle ke intezar ne US Dollar ko mazbooti di hai, jis se GBP/USD exchange rate par nichla dabao pada hai. Market sentiment US Dollar ke haq mein hai, Fed ke stable monetary policy stance ki umeed ke madde nazar. Issi dauran, United Kingdom se aaney wale employment data ne British Pound par negative sentiment ko barhawa diya hai. Umeedon se kam employment figures ne Bank of England (BoE) ke interest rates ke raste par bhi sawaal uthaye hain. Mayoos kun employment data ne BoE ke monetary policy direction par zyada nazar daali hai, aur investors qiyaas laga rahe hain ke kisi bhi qareebi badlaav ke imkaan par. Fed ke faisle ka intezar aur UK employment data ke asraat ne GBP/USD pair ke trading dynamics ko asar-andaz kiya hai. Traders in factors ko ghor se dekh rahe hain ke currency pair ka short-term direction kya hoga.

Technical Outlook & Trading Strategy:
Jis tarah market Fed ke meeting ka intezar kar rahi hai aur dono US aur UK ke economic indicators ko ghor se dekh rahi hai, GBP/USD exchange rate ke fluctuations ka silsila jari rehne ka imkaan hai, jo ke shifting market sentiment aur central bank policies se asar-andaz honge. Sarifain ghor se dekh rahe hain ke koi bhi development jo ke currency pair ki trajectory par asar dal sakti hai, agle trading sessions mein. Niche ke taraf, bulls ko 1.2687 se acha support mila aur wapas upside ki taraf chale gaye kyun ke wahan ek order block aur fear value gap tha. Level 1.2740 ke qareeb market ne kuch lows ko resistence ke tor par paya, isliye humein buy karne se pehle intezar karna chahiye lekin ek poori H4 candle 1.2717 ke niche selling pressure ko test karne ke liye niche le ja sakti hai

In the realm of trading, analyzing price movements over different time frames is crucial for making informed decisions. When examining the H4 (four-hour) time frame chart for the GBP/USD currency pair, it becomes evident that recent weeks have been characterized by a dominant bullish trend. This trend has been manifested through the formation of multiple bullish candlesticks, indicating a consistent upward movement in the price of GBP/USD.

Bullish candlesticks are a key indicator in technical analysis, signaling that buyers are in control and pushing prices higher. Over the past few weeks, the H4 chart has shown a significant prevalence of these bullish candlesticks. This dominance suggests that market sentiment has been largely positive towards the British pound relative to the US dollar. Traders and analysts often look for patterns and formations in candlestick charts to gauge market sentiment and potential future price movements. The consistent appearance of bullish candlesticks in the H4 time frame suggests that the underlying strength of the GBP/USD pair has been robust, driven by various economic factors and market dynamics.

As we move into the current week, the bullish trend appears to be maintaining its momentum. The latest price action continues to show a tendency towards an upward trajectory, reinforcing the bullish outlook. Several factors could be contributing to this sustained bullish trend. Economic indicators such as GDP growth, employment data, and inflation rates in both the UK and the US play a significant role in influencing currency movements. Additionally, geopolitical events, central bank policies, and market sentiment towards risk can also impact the GBP/USD exchange rate.

The persistence of the bullish trend in the H4 time frame is particularly noteworthy for traders. It suggests that there is a continued buying interest and confidence in the British pound. For traders, this could present potential opportunities for long positions, betting on the further appreciation of GBP/USD. However, it is important to approach trading with caution and consider potential risks. Market conditions can change rapidly, and various external factors could influence the trend. Traders should remain vigilant and incorporate risk management strategies to protect their investments.

In conclusion, the H4 time frame chart for GBP/USD has demonstrated a clear bullish trend over the past few weeks, characterized by the dominance of bullish candlesticks. This trend seems to be continuing into the current week, with price movements still favoring the bulls. While this presents potential opportunities for traders, it is essential to stay informed about the broader economic context and be prepared for any shifts in market dynamics. By closely monitoring the H4 chart and other relevant indicators, traders can make more informed decisions and potentially capitalize on the ongoing bullish trend in the GBP/USD pair

GBP/USD H4

Maliyat ke dynamic dunya mein aage rehne ke liye chaukanna rehna aur adaptability zaroori hai. Abhi, bulls market ki direction par qabza jamane lagte hain, jahan bullish sentiment prevail kar rahi hai. Lekin yeh manzar ek pal ke notice par tabdeel ho sakta hai, jis se continuous monitoring zaroori hai. Market sentiment, traders aur investors ki collective mood aur outlook jo ke price movements ko shape karne mein pivotal role ada karta hai. Abhi current sentiment bullish hai, jo market ke upward trajectory mein optimism aur confidence ko indicate karta hai. Yeh sentiment various factors jaise ke positive economic indicators, corporate earnings reports, ya geopolitical developments jo risk assets ko favor karte hain, se fuel ho sakta hai.

Lekin market sentiment inherently fickle hai, jise sudden shifts se affect kiya ja sakta hai jo ke myriad factors se trigger ho sakte hain. Economic data releases, central bank announcements, geopolitical tensions, aur unforeseen events sentiment ko swiftly alter kar sakte hain, jahan bulls ya bears ko favor kar sakte hain. Isi tarah, traders aur investors ko vigilant rehna zaroori hai, continuously market dynamics aur sentiment indicators ko assess karte hue.

Technical analysis, jo ke price charts aur patterns ko analyze karna include karta hai, market sentiment aur potential trend reversals ke valuable insights provide kar sakta hai. Is ke ilawa, news headlines aur market commentary ke saath updated rehna valuable context aur perspective offer kar sakta hai.

Aur is ke ilawa, zaroori hai ke changing market conditions ko anticipate aur adapt kiya jaye. Jab ke current sentiment bullish tendencies ko favor kar sakta hai, flexibility maintain karna zaroori hai aur potential shifts ke liye prepared rehna bhi. Risk management strategies establish karna, jaise ke stop-loss orders set karna aur portfolios ko diversify karna, adverse market movements ke event mein potential losses ko mitigate karne mein help kar sakta hai.

Is ke alawa, trader behavior ko influence karne wale psychological factors ko samajhna bhi paramount hai. Market psychology, jaise ke fear, greed, aur herd mentality, sentiment ko significantly impact kar sakte hain aur price movements ko exacerbate kar sakte hain. In dynamics ko samajhna volatile market conditions mein navigate karne aur informed trading decisions lene mein madad kar sakta hai.

Aakhir mein, jabke abhi bulls market par qabza hai, sentiment aur market developments par vigilant rehna zaroori hai. Vigilance, adaptability, aur risk management successful trading ke key pillars hain financial markets ke ever-changing landscape mein. Informed aur proactive rehne se traders opportunities ko better capitalize kar sakte hain aur apne investment objectives ko pursue karne mein challenges ko navigate karne mein asani ho sakti hai.

GBP/USD Forum Analysis,Forecast

Gbpsd market pair ki jo trading aakhri Budh ko hui, woh buyers ke zor se dobara safalta se dominate hui jab unhone bearish pace ko rok kar 1.2730 ke support area ko mazboot kiya, jis se price ko dobara bullish banaya gaya ek wide range ke saath. Agar hum moving average indicator ke direction se benchmark lete hain, to market ka trend ab bhi bullish trend ke saath chal raha hai, lekin buyers ki taqat abhi tak optimal nahi hai, is liye raat bhar se neeche ki taraf correction hui hai.

Kal raat ki trading mein candlestick ne 1.2859 tak bulandiyon ko chu liya tha, lekin phir girawat ka samna kiya. Aap ko maloom hona chahiye ke sellers ki taqat ab bhi market ko dominate karna chahti hai, jari rakhne wali bechnayi dabao se price ko mazeed neeche girne ka samna karwa sakti hai. Stochastic indicator 5,3,3 zone 20 ko chhu gaya hai, jo keh downward correction ko indicate karta hai, is liye aap ko buy signal ka intezaar karne mein zyada sabar se kaam lena hoga. Agar hum last kuch dinon ke trend structure ko dekhte hain, to GbpUsd market ka trend ab bhi bullish dikhai deta hai, is liye main umeed karta hoon ke upar ki taraf focus karne mein kamiyab hoonga.

Agar ab dekhein, to price increase ne moving average indicator ko paar kar liya hai, is liye candlestick ki upar jaane ki koi mumkinat ho sakti hai. Agar buyers ka asar jari rahe toh prices ka uptrend jaari rakhna mumkin hai, jis se bullish trend jaari rakhne ki mumkinat ho sakti hai. Aage ke liye, market ko apni journey ko uptrend ki taraf jaari rakhne ka mauqa ho sakta hai. Is liye is hafte ke darmiyan, main yeh sujhav deta hoon ke bullish trend par zyada focus kiya jaaye, aur buyers ko price ko 1.2838 area tak ooper le jane mein kamiyab ho sakte hain.

GBP/USD

GBP/USD phir se gira jab buyers ne price ko upar lane aur MA 50 line ko breakout karne mein nakam rahe. Dollar, jo phir se strong ho gaya economic data release ke baad pichle weekend par, ne GBP/USD ko dobara pressure mein daal diya. Price gir gayi aur najdi ki support line ko breakout karne mein kamyab rahi, aur market ne last Friday ko interest close kiya. Price ab bhi 1.2633 ke support area mein hai.

GBP/USD ki agle movement ki prediction, agar price ko dekha jaye jo phir se gir gayi aur najdi ki support line ko breakout karne mein kamyab rahi, to GBP/USD ke next movement ke liye bearish hone ki potential hai. Pichle Friday ko economic data release ne GBP/USD ko pressure mein daala aur ye Monday tak continue rehne ki umeed hai, kyunki Monday ko market mein high impact data release nahi hoga, isliye Friday ke data release Monday ke market ka driving force banenge. Yeh bhi support karta hai ke GBP/USD phir se agle movement mein gir jayega.

Lekin, current price position support area mein hai aur agar history ko dekha jaye, to support line 1.2633 aksar support aur resistance line rahi hai pichle movements mein, isliye next GBP/USD movement mein 1.2633 line par pullback hone ke potential ko dekhna zaroori hai. Lekin, agar candle structure ko dekha jaye, to sellers abhi bhi dominate kar rahe hain aur price najdi ki support line ko breakout karne mein kamyab rahi hai, to support line 1.2633 ko breakout kar payegi aur GBP/USD phir se agle support ki taraf gir jayegi, aur agar koi increase hoti hai, to yeh sirf ek correction hogi aur phir se price gir jayegi. GBP/USD tabhi upar jayegi agar price rise kare aur resistance line ya MA 50 ko breakout kare 1.2738 par.

Predictions ke mutabiq, GBP/USD ka next movement/Monday ko bhi bearish rehne ki potential hai, to further trading ke liye GBP/USD pe sell opportunities dhoondhna sahi rahega. Price ko support line 1.2633 breakout karne ka intezar karna best sell setup hoga further trading ke liye GBP/USD par. Yeh hai complete trading setup GBP/USD ke liye predictions ke mutabiq:

Sell Setup:

• Sell Breakout: Price ko girne aur support line 1.2633 ko breakout karne ka intezar karein. Profit target support line 1.2506 par. Stop loss 20-30 pips upar line 1.2633 ke.
• Sell Pullback: Price ko rise hone aur price rejection ke MA 50 line 1.2738 par banne ka intezar karein. Profit targets support lines 1.2633 aur 1.2506 par. Stop loss 20-30 pips upar MA 50 line ke.

Buy Setup:

• Buy Pullback: Price rejection ko support line 1.2633 par banne ka intezar karein. Profit targets lines 1.2738 aur 1.2880 par. Stop loss 20-30 pips neeche line 1.2633 ke.
• Buy Breakout: Price ko rise hone aur MA 50 line ya resistance line 1.2738 ko breakout karne ka intezar karein. Profit target resistance line 1.2880 par. Stop loss 20-30 pips neeche line 1.2738 ke.

Pair Friday ke early session mein bearish zone ki taraf ja raha tha, khaas kar 1.2680 k qareeb. Ye movement United Kingdom (UK) se mukhtalif data releases ke agaz se pesh aayi. Pair daily chart par ek rising channel pattern ke andar consolidate ho raha hai, jahan 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 level se oopar hai, jo ek bullish bias ki alamat hai.
GBP/USD ke bunyadi asool:

British Pound US Dollar ke khilaf dabaav mein raha hai aur is ne pehle trading session se nuqsan jaari rakha hai. Ye trend US se taqatwar jobs report ke baad aya hai, jo Federal Reserve ki kam dovish stance ki ummeedon ko barha di hai. Anay wale Federal Reserve meeting ki tawaqo bhi uncertainty ko barhata hai, jo GBP/USD pair par asar andaz hota hai.

UK mein mustaqil tanazaat ke doraan mazboot mazdor demand ke kam asar par Bank of England (BoE) ki restrict monetary policy framework ko halka sa relief mila hai. February se April tak, Average Earnings Excluding Bonuses jo wage inflation ka ek measure hai, estimates ke mutabiq 6.0% tak barh gaya. Is ke ilawa, Average Earnings Including Bonuses jo steady tareeqe se barh raha hai, 5.7% se upward revised hokar 5.9% tak pohancha, aur 5.7% ki estimates ko par kar gaya. Zyada wage growth BoE ke interest rates ko kam karne ke plans ko mushkil kar sakta hai.

Char ghantay ka time frame technical outlook:

Technical taur par, pair ko psychological level 1.2700 ke aas paas key resistance ka samna hai. Fori support 21-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) par dekha ja raha hai jo 1.2677 par hai, uske baad rising channel ke lower boundary 1.2600 par hai. Is level ke neeche break pair ko 1.2451 ki taraf push kar sakta hai.

Umeed hai ke ye madadgar ho, agli baar tak ke liye bas itna ho.

GBP/USD CURRENCY PAIR ANALYSIS

Jumma ke GBP/USD ke trading band hone ke baad uska opening se neeche band hone ka sabab yeh tha ke us waqt currency pair apne girawat jaari rakhne mein qabile istemal tha, halaanki yeh bari nahi thi. Main ne hisaab se kiya ke GBP/USD sirf 38 pips ke aspaas hi hila tha. Range chhoti hone ke bawajood, candle ne H1 support jo ke 1.2658 ke qeemat par hai, usko guzar gaya. Isko tor kar, GBP/USD foran 1.2640 ke qeemat par gir gaya. Haqeeqatan, yeh girawat June 19, 2024 se ho rahi hai. GBP/USD girne laga jab candle SBR zone ko na tor saka. Is wajah se GBP/USD candle jab 1.2740 ke qeemat tak pohanchi to woh barhne mein na kaamyaab rahi.

Agar H1 timeframe se tajzia kiya jaye to, jabke candle ne support ko tor diya hai, to maine bashaoor kiya ke GBP/USD peer ko barhne ka mouqa rakhay ga kyun ke abhi tak current candle RBS area se bahir na nikla hai jo ke 1.2629 ke qeemat par hai. Jab tak yeh area neeche ki taraf se na tora jaye, iska matlab hai ke barhne ki mumkinat abhi bhi kafi khuli hui hai. Ho sakta hai ke jo girawat kuch dinon se ho rahi hai, woh sirf correction ho aur phir se barhne ka amal shuru ho. Lekin, candle support ke neeche jab tak rahe, tab tak GBP/USD aur zyada gir sakta hai. Iske alawa, support par bullish engulfing candle pattern ka numayan hona bhi ye sabit karta hai ke market jald hi mukhalif raftar ikhtiyar karay ga. Agla maqsad jo ke GBP/USD ko nishana banay ga woh 1.2736 hai.

Agar Ichimoku indicator se tajzia kiya jaye, to candle ka moqa abhi bhi tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines ke neeche hai. Abhi tak yeh indicator bearish signal nahi diya hai. Shayad candle jo ke abhi RBS zone mein phansa hua hai, is se GBP/USD barhay ga aur baad mein ek aur naya intersection hoga jo ke candle ki position ko H1 support line ke oopar laa dega jo ke 1.2620 ke qeemat par hai, aur uski taqat ko imtehan diya jayega.

Isi doran, stochastic indicator humein batata hai ke haalat oversold ho chuki hai. Isko 20 ke level ko chhoo jane se dekha ja sakta hai. Lekin aaj yeh line darmiyan mein hai. Yahan maine dekha ke divergent pattern bhi ban gaya hai jo ke ishara hai ke qareebi mustaqbil mein mukhalif raftar aane wali hai. Iska matlab yeh hai ke mere bayan ke mutabiq GBP/USD ko chand dinon ke mustaqbil mein raftar badalne ka imkan hai.

Is tajzia ka nateeja yeh hai ke aane wale peer ko, GBP/USD ke liye abhi bhi barhne ka mauqa hai kyunkay candle ne abhi tak 1.2620 ke RBS zone ko na tora hai. Iske alawa, stochastic indicator mein divergent pattern milti hai. Is liye main doston ko jinhein is pair mein trade karna hai, mashwara doonga ke woh sirf buy positions par focus rakhein. Mamoolan, nishana sabse qareebi resistance par rakh sakte hain jo ke 1.2725 ke qeemat par hai aur stop loss sabse qareebi support par rakh sakte hain jo ke 1.2615 ke qeemat par hai.

GBPUSD 23.06.2024

Aaj Itwaar hai, agle trading hafte ke liye tayyari ka behtareen din. Market ke surprises se bachne ke liye, analysis aur template banana zaroori hai.

Maine kal se chart mark up kiya hai. Pound ache se sell signal ki taraf ja raha hai, lekin aisa lagta hai ke wo akela hi chal raha hai, shayad usay akele chalna zyada pasand hai. Sell signal moving averages se generate hua tha. Ab tak, Pound ne sellers ko sirf 1:1 ratio diya hai, matlab sell signal level se selling. Ye ratio un logon ke liye theek hai jinka trading system ka success rate high hota hai, maslan 70-80%. Lekin hum zyada attractive ratio dhoondh rahe hain, jaise ke 1:2, jo hum 1.27688 ke level se selling karke hasil karenge. Downside targets 1.25856 par hain aur Pound wahan qareeb hai. Halanki main ab bhi kam az kam ek minor pullback ki umeed kar raha hoon, taki hum M15 timeframe par entry le saken agar H4 par nahi. Aur 1:3 ratio 1.27947 ke level se selling karke hasil hoga. Ye poora decline ka idea imply karta hai ek stop-loss jo ke 1.28597 ke level se beyond ho.

Agar hum poori rise par Fibonacci retracement tool apply karein, to hum dekhenge ke hamare targets takreeban 50% retracement level ke sath milte hain. To, yahan bhi, hamara decline ka plan ek mukhtalif angle se align hota hai. Filhal, Pound ne retracement grid par 38.2% level ko chhoda hai aur shayad 23.6% level, jo ke 1.27271 ke qareeb hai, wahan wapas aasakta hai. Overall, is level 1.27271 se, hum M15 timeframe par entry point dhoondh sakte hain, kyunke mujhe lagta hai humein upar enter karne ki ijazat nahi milegi, ye technically sound nahi lagega Pound ke liye. Pound is regard mein kaafi technical instrument hai, support aur resistance levels ko respect karne ke liye.

GBP/USD/D1
Jab tak demand area barqarar rehta hai, GBP/USD ke upar jaane ka moqa kaafi zyada hai. Yeh demand area ek ahm support zone ka kirdar ada kar raha hai, aur iski tahafuz bullish outlook ko qaim rakhti hai. Agar yeh area toota, to phir aage barhney ke imkanaat kam ho jaate hain aur ek gehri giraawat ho sakti hai. Haali mein support area mein morning star candle pattern ka nazar aana ek mazboot indication hai ke market reversal ho sakta hai. Yeh bullish reversal pattern teen candles par mushtamil hai: ek lambi bearish candle, uske baad ek choti-bodied candle (jo bullish ya bearish ho sakti hai), aur akhir mein ek lambi bullish candle. Morning star pattern yeh darshaata hai ke selling pressure kam ho gaya hai aur buying interest barh raha hai.

Support area mein morning star pattern ka tasdeeq ho gaya hai jab ke price movement pattern ke aane ke baad dheere dheere barhna shuru ho gaya hai. Yeh dheere dheere barhtee hui price yeh darshaati hai ke buyers market mein aa rahe hain aur control hasil kar rahe hain, jo ke aage barhte hue upward move ke imkanaat ko mazid mazboot karti hai. Aage dekha jaye to GBP/USD ka agla ahm target resistance level 1.2850 par hai. Yeh resistance level ek potential rukawat hai jahan selling pressure phir se saamne aa sakta hai. Magar agar bullish momentum jaari rehta hai aur yeh resistance tootta hai, to mazeed faiday ke raaste khul sakte hain.

Upar, maine daily chart par surat-e-haal ka jaiza liya, aur ab main market sentiment chart kholna chahta hoon. Buy aur sell transactions ke ratio ke graph par hum dekhte hain ke 64 percent traders ne purchase ki hui hai jab ke 36 percent traders ne sale ki hui hai. Hum dekhte hain ke buyers ka faida zyada hai, jo yeh matlab hai ke ek bara player sales position mein hai aur price ko south ki taraf dhakel raha hai aur buyers ko stop loss par nikaal raha hai. Iske ilawa, jab maine British currency ke doosray timeframes ko analyse kiya, to technically sab kuch giraawat ke jaari rehne par dalalat karta hai. Fundamental factors bhi apni jagah par strong signals de rahe hain.

GBP/USD jori ka weekly timeframe par tajziya yeh zahir karta hai ke bearish trend jari hai, jo yeh darshaata hai ke qeemat mazeed gir sakti hai. Yeh neechey ki taraf ka rujhaan pehle se hi tawakku tha, jo ke pichlay hafton mein dheere dheere shakl le raha tha. Price action ne downward correction mein dakhal de diya hai, jo ke yeh saabit karta hai ke sellers ko control mil raha hai aur market ko neeche le ja rahe hain. Is waqt, GBP/USD jori neechey ki taraf ja rahi hai, jo market ke jazbaat ko mazboot US dollar ke haq mein aur British pound ke khilaf zahir karta hai. Mukhtalif technical indicators is bearish outlook ko support karte hain. Maslan, weekly chart par moving averages neechey ki taraf jhukti hui hain, jo momentum ke shift ko zahir karti hain. Iske ilawa, Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 mark ke neechey trend kar raha hai, jo barhati hui selling pressure ko darshaata hai. Mazeed, recent price movements ne lower highs aur lower lows banaaye hain, jo ke ek classical sign hai bearish trend ka. Key support levels test ho rahe hain, aur agar yeh levels breach ho jaate hain, toh yeh further declines ko trigger kar sakta hai. Critical support zones ke neeche break hone se downward correction ki strength confirm hoti hai aur yeh suggest karta hai ke market near term mein mazeed losses dekh sakti hai.
Bunyadi asraat bhi is bearish scenario mein aik aham kirdar ada karte hain. Jari iqtisadi uncertainties, US aur UK ke darmiyan interest rate ke tafreeq, aur geopolitical tensions pound ki kamzori mein shamil hain. US dollar, jo ke aik safe-haven currency samjhi jaati hai, mazboot iqtisadi data aur Federal Reserve ki monetary policy stance ke zariye barhawa mili hai, jo ke GBP/USD jori par mazeed pressure dal rahi hai. Nateeja tan, weekly timeframe par tajziya yeh zahir karta hai ke GBP/USD jori ek clear downtrend mein hai, aur price ek wussi bearish correction ka hissa ban kar neechey move kar rahi hai. Traders aur investors ko ehtiyat baratni chahiye, key support levels aur iqtisadi indicators ko monitor karte hue jo ke future price movements ko asar انداز کر سکتے ہیں. Bearish trend mazbooti se apni jagah bana chuka hai, aur market dynamics ke evolve hone ke sath further declines ka potential hai.