gbp usd

Good morning. Great Britain mein parties shayad akhri roles play karti hain, aur Central Bank ke ilawa ab tak yeh clear nahi hai ke royal family aur doosre rich clans decision-making par kya real influence rakhte hain. Most likely, jese doosri jagah, yeh sab parties bas appearances aur democracy ka natak hain; real decisions wahan nahi bante. Pound ke hawale se, kal US ke inflation data par based, Dollar actively drawdown mein gaya, lagta hai inflation ka slight decrease kisi ko impress nahi kar saka. Sirf Fed rate aur Powell ke speech par kuch recover karne mein kamyabi mili, lekin hamari upward movement ab bhi baki hai. Powell ne kaha ke Fed ke paas itna data nahi hai ke near future mein rate cut ke bare mein baat kar sake. Most likely, agle meeting mein bhi rate cut nahi hoga. Plus, Fed ko umeed hai ke economy slow down hogi, aur unke nazar mein, inflation year end tak 2% tak nahi giregi.

Pair GBPUSD H4:

1- 4-hour chart par pound upper band ke saath active movement form nahi kar saka jab band ke limits se bahar gaya aur bands ke central area par wapas aagaya. Naya signal price growth ke liye tab milega jab naya active approach upper band ki taraf hoga, aur phir evaluate karna hoga ke bands outward open hoti hain ya koi reaction nahi hoti. Agar hum situation ko fractals se evaluate karein, toh price growth ka target nearest upward fractal hai; uska breakdown aur consolidation price ko March 8 wale fractal ki taraf level 1.28932 tak move karne dega. Nearest downward fractal kaafi door hai, aur falling prices ke direction mein kuch rely karne ke liye, ek naya, closer fractal ka emergence dekhna zaroori hai.

2- AO indicator actively positive area mein grow kar raha hai zero mark cross karne ke baad; ab tak clear nahi hai ke pehla peak kab form hoga, aur yeh suggest karta hai ke price growth resume ho sakti hai.

GBP/USD currency pair ne Jumeraat ko girawat dekhi. Din ke trading mein qeemat mein khaas farq hua, jahan ziyada se ziyada point 1.2745 tak pohancha aur kam se kam point 1.2648 tak gir gaya. Is range se pata chalta hai ke trading session mein tezi se tabdeeli ayi, jo forex market ki jazbatiyat ko darust karta hai. Khaas tor par, market ke khulne ke baad se GBP/USD pair ne daily pivot point ke neechay rehne ka andaza deta hai, jo ek bearish trend ko zahir karta hai.

Market ke tahqiq karne ke liye, GBP/USD pair ko mutasir karne wale factors par gaur karna zaroori hai. British Pound (GBP) aur US Dollar (USD) duniya ke sab se zyada trade hone wali currencies mein se hain. Inka exchange rate economic data releases, siyasi aur maali hawalat, aur central bank policies jaise amooron se mutasir hota hai.

Jumeraat ko GBP/USD pair ki kami ko kai maali indicators ne mutasir kiya ho sakta hai. Masalan, UK se koi bhi naqis maali data jaise GDP growth ki kami, retail sales mein girawat, ya phir berozgari mein izafa, pound ki kamzori ka sabab ban sakta hai. Mukhtalif tarah ke mazboot maali data US se jaise mazboot rozgar ki shiddat, barhata hua GDP ya barhata hua consumer spending, dollar ko mazboot kar sakte hain, jis se GBP/USD pair ko mazeed nichayi ki taraf dabaav mil sakta hai.

Is ke ilawa, central bank policies forex market mein aham kirdar ada karte hain. Bank of England (BoE) aur Federal Reserve (Fed) UK aur US ke central banks hain. In hukumaton ki interest rate mein tabdeeli ke isharon ya announcements se GBP/USD pair mein mazeed tajarbat ho sakti hain. Jaise ke agar BoE taizi se interest rate ko kam karne ki isharaat de, to pound ki qeemat mein kami ho sakti hai, jabke Fed se aisi announcement dollar ko mazboot kar sakti hai.

Is tarah se, GBP/USD pair ke girne ke piche kai mukhtalif factors hote hain jo market ke dynamics ko darust karte hain aur traders ke liye samajhna zaroori hai.

**GBP/USD Daily H1 Timeframe Chart**
Greetings. A confident southern impulse pushed down, resulting in another bearish candle formation directed southward, consolidating below the GBP/USD daily H1 timeframe chart support level at 1.2689. Given the current situation, I believe the southern movement will continue into next week. In this case, I am watching the support levels at and near these support levels, two scenarios could unfold. The first scenario involves the formation of a turning candle, leading to the resumption of upward price movement. If this plan works out, the price could bounce back, indicating a potential reversal.


This scenario hinges on the price reacting positively to these support levels, suggesting a possible upward trend. Alternatively, if the price fails to form a turning candle and continues to fall, it could break through these support levels, leading to further bearish movement. This second scenario would confirm a stronger southern trend, indicating sustained downward pressure. In summary, the market's next move will be crucial in determining the direction. I will be closely monitoring the support levels to see which scenario plays out, guiding my trading decisions accordingly. The upcoming trading week is anticipated to be relatively calm. There is a considerable likelihood of price consolidation within the horizontal channel's boundaries, specifically between the resistance level of and the yellow moving average situated around. It's important to recognize the significant speculative sentiment prevalent in the market.

From my perspective, it appears that speculators were responsible for driving down quotes following the release of American inflation statistics. Generally, there was no substantial reason for the American dollar to strengthen at that time. Some analysts, however, suggest that the renewed demand for the American dollar can be attributed to the recent speech by the head of the Federal Reserve System, where certain statements were made that influenced market perceptions. In the context of market behavior, it’s crucial to understand the dynamics between various factors influencing currency movements.

The GBP/USD daily M30 timeframe chart resistance level of 1.2682 serves as a critical benchmark for traders, marking a price point where upward momentum typically encounters selling pressure. Conversely, the yellow moving average provides a significant support level, often acting as a buffer against further downward movement. The role of speculators in the market cannot be understated. Speculators often engage in trading strategies based on anticipated price movements rather than underlying economic fundamentals. This can lead to increased volatility, especially in response to major economic reports such as inflation statistics.

In the recent scenario, the publication of American inflation data appeared to trigger a sell-off, driven primarily by speculative actions rather than a fundamental shift in economic conditions. Analyzing the speech by the head of the Federal Reserve System reveals another layer of complexity in currency trading. Central bank communications are closely monitored by market participants as they provide insights into future monetary policy directions. In this instance, the head of the Federal Reserve may have conveyed messages that reinforced the strength of the American dollar, contributing to its resurgence in demand. Such speeches can sway market sentiment significantly, even in the absence of concrete policy changes.

Market consolidation within the specified range suggests a period of equilibrium where buying and selling pressures are relatively balanced. Traders often look for signals indicating potential breakouts from such consolidation phases. A breakout above the resistance level could signal a bullish trend, while a breakdown below the support level might indicate a bearish trend. In summary, the upcoming trading week is expected to see consolidation within the horizontal channel defined by the resistance and the yellow moving average around. Speculative activities, coupled with market reactions to economic reports and central bank communications, will continue to play a significant role in shaping currency movements. Understanding these dynamics is essential for navigating the complex landscape of currency trading effectively.

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**GBP/USD Daily H1 Timeframe Chart**

Salaam sab ko. Umeed hai sab trading mein achha kar rahe hain. Aaj trading week ka 6th din hai, aur is mauqe par main USD/CAD market ka analysis karne ki koshish karunga. USD/CAD abhi 1.3731 par trade kar raha hai jab yeh likha ja raha hai. Agar aap is neeche diye gaye chart ko dekhein toh USD/CAD is waqt frame par bearish lag raha hai. Agar aap time frame dekhein toh USD/CAD pair ki price bearish trend dikha rahi hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) abhi bhi 50 level se neeche trade kar raha hai jo yeh suggest karta hai ke sellers achhi position mein hain aur RSI 38.7401 par hai. Doosri taraf, moving average convergence divergence (MACD) indicator negative trading aur zero line ya midline se neeche trade kar raha hai jo sellers ke liye achhi baat hai. USD/CAD sirf 20-day exponential moving average se neeche trade kar raha hai. Saath hi, 50-day exponential moving average bhi current USD/CAD price se upar hai.


USD/CAD price par 1.3751 par minor resistance hai. Magar, mujhe lagta hai ke yeh apni bullish movement ko pehle resistance level par nahi rokega, aur iska price mazeed barhega aur ek naya upper resistance level banayega 1.3789 par. Uske baad, USD/CAD mazeed 1.4232 resistance level ki taraf barhega jo 3rd resistance level hai. Doosri taraf, USD/CAD price par 1.3721 par minor support hai. Magar, mujhe lagta hai ke yeh apni bearish movement ko pehle support level par nahi rokega, aur iska price mazeed girega aur ek naya lower support level banayega 1.3691 par. Uske baad, USD/CAD mazeed 1.3661 support level ki taraf decline karega jo 3rd support level hai. USD/CAD par bear pressure mazboot lag raha hai. Aap sab ko best wishes.

**Chart mein istimaal kiye gaye indicators:**
- **MACD indicator**
- **RSI indicator period 14**
- **50-day exponential moving average rang Orange**
- **20-day exponential moving average rang Magenta**

Linear Regression Stop And Reverse (LR SAR) indicator, along with confirmatory readings from RSI (14) and MACD oscillators, will assist us in analyzing the market more effectively and making the most accurate decisions for trading. The criterion for opening a trading position is having a positive decision when the signals of all three indicators align with each other. If there is a discrepancy between at least one of these indicators during these days, the deal becomes uncertain and may lead to losses. When the process of entering the market is complete and quotes approach profitable territory, we establish a point to close the transaction in terms of profit. For this purpose, we identify key points on the working chart and establish a Fibonacci grid on them. We exit the market when the price approaches correction Fibonacci levels. At the chosen time frame (H4), the linear regression channel is tilted downwards, indicating the presence of sellers in the market and showing their dominance towards the downside. Additionally, the more tilted the channel, the stronger the downside pressure at this time. Concurrently, the non-linear channel, used to estimate the near future, is in green color, indicating the possibility of further increase in quotes in the area, as it is directed northwards. The price has touched the blue support line of the linear regression channel, 2nd LevelSupLine, but the minimum price (LOW) reached 1.23054, after which it halted its decline and started to rise steadily. Now, the instrument is priced at 1.25423. Considering all these factors, I expect that the market price quotes will rebound above the 2nd Level SupLine channel line (1.26809) with strength and then continue upward to the golden average line LR of linear channel (1.26918), which coincides with the Fibonacci level of 61.8%. Note that auxiliary indicators RSI (14) and MACD are in the oversold area, indicating the potential for further price increases in the instrument.

**GBP/USD H4 Time Frame Analysis**

GBP/USD currency pair saw a decline on Friday. During the day's trading, the price fluctuated significantly, with the highest point reaching 1.2745 and the lowest point dipping to 1.2648. This range indicates a volatile trading session, reflective of the dynamic nature of the forex market. Notably, since the market opened on the previous day, the GBP/USD pair has remained below the daily pivot point, suggesting a bearish trend.

To understand the market movements, it is essential to delve into the factors influencing the GBP/USD pair. The British Pound (GBP) and the US Dollar (USD) are two of the most traded currencies in the world. Their exchange rate is influenced by a myriad of factors, including economic data releases, geopolitical events, and central bank policies.


On Friday, the decline in the GBP/USD pair could have been influenced by several economic indicators. For instance, any negative economic data from the UK, such as lower-than-expected GDP growth, declining retail sales, or rising unemployment rates, could have contributed to the weakening of the pound. Conversely, strong economic data from the US, such as robust job growth, higher GDP figures, or increased consumer spending, could have strengthened the dollar, further pushing the GBP/USD pair down. Moreover, central bank policies play a crucial role in the forex market. The Bank of England (BoE) and the Federal Reserve (Fed) are the central banks for the UK and the US, respectively. Any hints or announcements regarding interest rate changes from these institutions can cause significant movements in the GBP/USD pair. For instance, if the BoE signals a potential rate cut, it could lead to a depreciation of the pound, while a similar announcement from the Fed could strengthen the dollar.

**Roman Urdu Translation**

**GBP/USD H4 Time Frame Analysis**

GBP/USD currency pair ne Friday ko decline dekha. Din ke trading ke doran, price mein significant fluctuation hui, jisme highest point 1.2745 tak gaya aur lowest point 1.2648 tak dip hua. Yeh range ek volatile trading session ko indicate karti hai, jo forex market ki dynamic nature ko reflect karti hai. Notably, jabse market pichle din open hui, GBP/USD pair daily pivot point se neeche hi rahi, jo bearish trend suggest karta hai.

Market movements ko samajhne ke liye, un factors ko dekhna zaroori hai jo GBP/USD pair ko influence karte hain. British Pound (GBP) aur US Dollar (USD) duniya ke do sabse zyada traded currencies hain. Unka exchange rate bohot se factors se influence hota hai, jese economic data releases, geopolitical events, aur central bank policies.

Friday ko, GBP/USD pair ke decline ka influence kai economic indicators se ho sakta hai. Misal ke tor par, UK se aane wale koi negative economic data, jese lower-than-expected GDP growth, declining retail sales, ya rising unemployment rates, pound ke weakening ka sabab ban sakte hain. Dusri taraf, US se aane wale strong economic data, jese robust job growth, higher GDP figures, ya increased consumer spending, dollar ko strengthen kar sakte hain, aur GBP/USD pair ko aur neeche push kar sakte hain.

Moreover, central bank policies forex market mein crucial role play karti hain. Bank of England (BoE) aur Federal Reserve (Fed) UK aur US ke central banks hain. In institutions se aane wale koi hints ya announcements regarding interest rate changes significant movements GBP/USD pair mein cause kar sakte hain. Misal ke tor par, agar BoE potential rate cut ka signal deti hai, toh yeh pound ki depreciation ka sabab ban sakta hai, jabke Fed se aane wali similar announcement dollar ko strengthen kar sakti hai.

Friday ko GBP/USD pair ke movement ne decline experience kiya. Prices ka highest range 1.2762 aur lowest 1.2656 tak raha. Jab se market kal khuli, GBP/USD pair ab tak daily pivot point ke neeche hai. 4 hour time frame ka use karke dekhain to yeh 50 MA ke neeche nazar aata hai. Ye koi hairat ki baat nahi ke kal ke movement ne ek deep decline ka samna kiya aur 200 MA ko bhi penetrate kar liya. Zyada over, 50 MA neeche ki taraf move kar raha hai aur 200 MA upar ki taraf. Agle dino mein, yeh mumkin hai ke GBP/USD pair girawat ko jaari rakhe, lekin pehle thoda upar jaane ki koshish kare, kam az kam 50 MA ke kareeb, taake agar 1.2700 tak upar ja sakta hai to phir decline continue ho sake. Agar yeh nahi ho sakta, to yeh agle Monday tak 1.2620 ke kareeb girawat ko jaari rakhega.

Is hafte GBP/USD pair mein jo potential increase dekhne ko mila, us par dhyan dena chahiye, jahan buyers ki ek army ne price ko 1.2859 level tak push karne ki koshish ki. Magar, doosre buyers ki support ki kami ke vajah se prices wapas neeche gir gaye. To, weekly trend market ka zyada change nahi hua kyunke dominant price bearish trend mein move kar raha hai. Is hafte, jo price 1.2728 level se apna safar shuru kiya, woh bearish direction mein trend ko continue karte hue market ko neeche close karne mein kaamyaab raha. Major timeframe charts par trend ab bhi bearish phase mein hai, to is hafte ka bearish movement indicate karta hai ke market pehle ke trend ka continuation experience kar raha hai. Agle hafte, ye andaza lagaya ja sakta hai ke sellers ki army ab bhi downwards movement ke liye ek foothold dhundhne ki koshish karegi.
GBPUSD ab tak selling pressure mein hai jab tak yeh do hafton ke low level se break out nahi karta, yeh condition further selling potential ko indicate kar rahi hai. Do main indicators jaise ke Moving Average (MA) neeche ki taraf point kar rahe hain, jo indicate karta hai ke moving average ab bhi weaken hota rahega. Iske ilawa, MACD jo ke negative area mein pressure mein hai, yeh bhi bearish opportunity ko add karta hai.
One hour chart movement ke analysis ke mutabiq, 15 M chart par GBPUSD ke decline ka chance dikhayi de raha hai kyun ke price ek bearish channel mein hai. Iske ilawa, MACD indicator jo ke negative area mein hai, bearish signal ko strengthen kar raha hai. Iska chance hai ke GBPUSD support level 1.26550 ki taraf push ho.

GBP/USD Ka Price Behavior




Pichle hafta GBP/USD market conditions marginally bullish rahi, jo pehle ke uptrend se carry over ho sakti hai. Mid-March se market trend generally optimistic raha hai, jo prices ko 1.2693 tak push karta hai. Lekin, pichle hafta ke darmiyan selling pressure ne negative correction ko lead kiya. Aaj dopahar, price bullish zone mein rehne ki koshish kar rahi hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke rise continue ho sakta hai bawajood pichle hafta ke sharp correction ke. Din ke aghaz par, GBP/USD currency pair marginally lower trade kar raha hai, kal ke strong increase ke baad aur ab correction karne ki koshish kar raha hai.

GBP Ka Euro Ke Maqable Mein Increase

Pound ne significantly increase kiya euro ke muqable mein Monday ko US dollar ke decline ke bawajood, jo disappointing economic data se driven tha. Tuesday ko Britain se koi significant news nahi thi, focus USA aur Europe par raha. Traders ko cautious rehna chahiye potentially overbought conditions ke bare mein, jaisa ke Stochastic Oscillator ke value 70 se indicate hota hai, jo ek resistance barrier ke arrival ko suggest karta hai. Jab oscillator upper range ko hit karta hai, yeh possible slowdown ko signal karta hai recent rising momentum mein by comparing the closing price of a security with its price range over a given period.

Technical Indicators Ka Role

Technical analysis mein, bohot se indicators important role play karte hain. Stochastic Oscillator ka upper range ko hit karna yeh suggest karta hai ke market overbought condition mein hai, aur yahan se price ko resistance face karna par sakta hai. Yeh traders ko caution ke saath trade karne ki importance ko highlight karta hai.

Market Volatility aur Risk Management

Market volatility moderate hai, jo ke Average True Range (ATR) 0.0100 se indicate hota hai. Yeh potential large price fluctuations ko suggest karta hai. Is wajah se, traders ko cautious aur well-adjusted approach ko adopt karna chahiye risk management ke liye. Risk ko manage karne ke liye, stop-loss orders ko strategically place karna chahiye taake unexpected market movements se protection mil sake.











GBP/USD Ki Current Market Dynamics

Is waqt GBP/USD pair ek aise phase mein hai jahan pe bullish momentum aur potential resistance levels dono ki presence hai. Mid-March se le kar ab tak ka uptrend overall market sentiment ko bullish banata hai, lekin recent correction aur overbought conditions yeh signal karte hain ke price short-term mein kuch resistance face kar sakti hai.

Price Levels aur Trading Strategies

Key price levels ko monitor karna zaroori hai. 1.2693 ke level ko cross karna bullish trend ko continue karne ke liye important hai. Agar price is level ke upar sustain karti hai, toh further upward movement ka imkaan barh jata hai. Dusri taraf, agar price 1.2693 ke level ke niche rehti hai aur downward correction hoti hai, toh lower support levels ko watch karna hoga.

Technical Indicators Ka Synthesis

Moving Averages, RSI (Relative Strength Index), aur MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) jaise indicators ko bhi dekhna chahiye. Moving Averages ka crossover aur RSI ka overbought zone mein rehna yeh suggest karta hai ke price upward trend ko continue kar sakti hai. MACD ka bullish crossover bhi positive signal deta hai.

Risk Management aur Trading Decisions

Risk management ko prioritize karna trading ka essential hissa hai. Stop-loss orders ko strategically place karna aur profit targets ko realistic rakhna zaroori hai. Market dynamics ko closely monitor karna aur trading strategies ko accordingly adjust karna, informed trading decisions lene mein madadgar hoga.

Khulasa

GBP/USD ka current technical analysis yeh dikhata hai ke market generally bullish hai, lekin short-term resistance aur potential corrections ko consider karna chahiye. Key technical indicators aur price levels ko monitor karte hue, traders informed decisions le sakte hain. Proper risk management aur dynamic trading strategies se market opportunities ko effectively capitalize kiya ja sakta hai. Is analysis se traders ko market dynamics ko samajhne aur successful trading outcomes achieve karne mein madad milti hai.

Maine apne GBPUSD ke liye jo bearish scenario banaya tha, uspar abhi tak yaqeen rakha hai aur use chhodne ka koi irada nahi hai. Mere khayal se, market abhi bhi bearish trend mein hai aur main sales opportunities ka intezar kar raha hoon. Yeh decision kuch specific levels aur indicators par depend karta hai jinki main monitoring kar raha hoon.

Pehle, hume yeh samajhna hoga ke bearish scenario ka matlab kya hota hai. Jab hum bearish hain, toh hum expect karte hain ke price girne wali hai. Is case mein, hum sell positions lena pasand karte hain kyunki hume lagta hai ke price girne se hume profit milega. Is strategy ko follow karne ke liye, hume kuch key resistance aur support levels ko identify karna padta hai.

Mera analysis kehta hai ke agar GBPUSD kuch specific resistance levels ko touch kare, toh wahan se price niche aane ka chance zyada hai. Yeh levels maine technical analysis ke through identify kiye hain, jaise ke moving averages, Fibonacci retracement levels, aur historical price action. Agar price in levels tak pohonch jati hai aur wahan se rejection dikhta hai, toh main sales mein interest loonga.

Lekin yeh sab kuch market conditions par bhi depend karta hai. Agar koi unexpected news ya event aajata hai, toh market direction quickly change ho sakti hai. Isliye, yeh zaroori hai ke hum apni positions ko regularly review karte rahen aur apne risk management ko follow karein. Stop-loss aur take-profit levels set karna bhi important hai, taake humara loss control mein rahe aur profit ko maximize kar sakein.

Aaj ki trading session ke liye, main closely monitor karunga ke GBPUSD ka price kaise behave karta hai. Agar price identified resistance levels tak pohonchti hai aur wahan se bearish signals milte hain, toh main sales mein enter karne ka sochunga. Agar price wahan tak nahi pohonchti, toh main sidelines par rahunga aur agle opportunity ka intezar karunga.

In sab cheezon ko madde nazar rakhte hue, trading ek calculated risk hoti hai. Hum kabhi 100% sure nahi ho sakte ke market kaise react karega, lekin hum apne analysis aur strategy ke through best possible decisions le sakte hain. Mere bearish scenario ko dekhte hue, mujhe lagta hai ke market mein aaj sell opportunities ho sakti hain, lekin yeh sab kuch is baat par depend karega ke hum identified levels tak pohonchte hain ya nahi. Trading discipline aur patience ka khel hai, aur hume apne plan ko follow karte rehna chahiye.

Friday ko GBP/USD pair ke movement ne decline experience kiya. Prices ka highest range 1.2762 aur lowest 1.2656 tak raha. Jab se market kal khuli, GBP/USD pair ab tak daily pivot point ke neeche hai. 4 hour time frame ka use karke dekhain to yeh 50 MA ke neeche nazar aata hai. Ye koi hairat ki baat nahi ke kal ke movement ne ek deep decline ka samna kiya aur 200 MA ko bhi penetrate kar liya. Zyada over, 50 MA neeche ki taraf move kar raha hai aur 200 MA upar ki taraf. Agle dino mein, yeh mumkin hai ke GBP/USD pair girawat ko jaari rakhe, lekin pehle thoda upar jaane ki koshish kare, kam az kam 50 MA ke kareeb, taake agar 1.2700 tak upar ja sakta hai to phir decline continue ho sake. Agar yeh nahi ho sakta, to yeh agle Monday tak 1.2620 ke kareeb girawat ko jaari rakhega.

Is hafte GBP/USD pair mein jo potential increase dekhne ko mila, us par dhyan dena chahiye, jahan buyers ki ek army ne price ko 1.2859 level tak push karne ki koshish ki. Magar, doosre buyers ki support ki kami ke vajah se prices wapas neeche gir gaye. To, weekly trend market ka zyada change nahi hua kyunke dominant price bearish trend mein move kar raha hai. Is hafte, jo price 1.2728 level se apna safar shuru kiya, woh bearish direction mein trend ko continue karte hue market ko neeche close karne mein kaamyaab raha. Major timeframe charts par trend ab bhi bearish phase mein hai, to is hafte ka bearish movement indicate karta hai ke market pehle ke trend ka continuation experience kar raha hai. Agle hafte, ye andaza lagaya ja sakta hai ke sellers ki army ab bhi downwards movement ke liye ek foothold dhundhne ki koshish karegi.
GBPUSD ab tak selling pressure mein hai jab tak yeh do hafton ke low level se break out nahi karta, yeh condition further selling potential ko indicate kar rahi hai. Do main indicators jaise ke Moving Average (MA) neeche ki taraf point kar rahe hain, jo indicate karta hai ke moving average ab bhi weaken hota rahega. Iske ilawa, MACD jo ke negative area mein pressure mein hai, yeh bhi bearish opportunity ko add karta hai.
One hour chart movement ke analysis ke mutabiq, 15 M chart par GBPUSD ke decline ka chance dikhayi de raha hai kyun ke price ek bearish channel mein hai. Iske ilawa, MACD indicator jo ke negative area mein hai, bearish signal ko strengthen kar raha hai. Iska chance hai ke GBPUSD support level 1.26550 k

Friday ko GBP/USD pair ke movement ne decline experience kiya. Prices ka highest range 1.2762 aur lowest 1.2656 tak raha. Jab se market kal khuli, GBP/USD pair ab tak daily pivot point ke neeche hai. 4 hour time frame ka use karke dekhain to yeh 50 MA ke neeche nazar aata hai. Ye koi hairat ki baat nahi ke kal ke movement ne ek deep decline ka samna kiya aur 200 MA ko bhi penetrate kar liya. Zyada over, 50 MA neeche ki taraf move kar raha hai aur 200 MA upar ki taraf. Agle dino mein, yeh mumkin hai ke GBP/USD pair girawat ko jaari rakhe, lekin pehle thoda upar jaane ki koshish kare, kam az kam 50 MA ke kareeb, taake agar 1.2700 tak upar ja sakta hai to phir decline continue ho sake. Agar yeh nahi ho sakta, to yeh agle Monday tak 1.2620 ke kareeb girawat ko jaari rakhega.

Is hafte GBP/USD pair mein jo potential increase dekhne ko mila, us par dhyan dena chahiye, jahan buyers ki ek army ne price ko 1.2859 level tak push karne ki koshish ki. Magar, doosre buyers ki support ki kami ke vajah se prices wapas neeche gir gaye. To, weekly trend market ka zyada change nahi hua kyunke dominant price bearish trend mein move kar raha hai. Is hafte, jo price 1.2728 level se apna safar shuru kiya, woh bearish direction mein trend ko continue karte hue market ko neeche close karne mein kaamyaab raha. Major timeframe charts par trend ab bhi bearish phase mein hai, to is hafte ka bearish movement indicate karta hai ke market pehle ke trend ka continuation experience kar raha hai. Agle hafte, ye andaza lagaya ja sakta hai ke sellers ki army ab bhi downwards movement ke liye ek foothold dhundhne ki koshish karegi.
GBPUSD ab tak selling pressure mein hai jab tak yeh do hafton ke low level se break out nahi karta, yeh condition further selling potential ko indicate kar rahi hai. Do main indicators jaise ke Moving Average (MA) neeche ki taraf point kar rahe hain, jo indicate karta hai ke moving average ab bhi weaken hota rahega. Iske ilawa, MACD jo ke negative area mein pressure mein hai, yeh bhi bearish opportunity ko add karta hai.
One hour chart movement ke analysis ke mutabiq, 15 M chart par GBPUSD ke decline ka chance dikhayi de raha hai kyun ke price ek bearish channel mein hai. Iske ilawa, MACD indicator jo ke negative area mein hai, bearish signal ko strengthen kar raha hai. Iska chance hai ke GBPUSD support level 1.26550 ki taraf push ho.

Abhi ke liye, maine apne bearish scenario ko nahi chhodne ka faisla kiya hai jo maine GBPUSD ke liye banaya tha aur uspar yaqeen rakha tha. Aaj mujhe sales mein dilchaspi hai, lekin yeh is baat par depend karega ke hum un levels tak pohonchte hain ya nahi. 1.2760 - 1.2775 ek sell zone hai, iska matlab yahan currency pair ki purchases nahi ho sakti. Saath hi, humein 1.2720 ke area mein support hai, to humein price reaction dekhna hoga. General mein, main sales ke baare mein aapse agree karta hoon, magar samajhne ke sath ke trading narrow range mein ho rahi hai. Ek quick shot is range se bahar aane wala hai, lekin kis direction mein hoga, sirf guess kar sakte hain.Pichle trading week ke end par, GBPUSD pair ke buyers ne initiative apne haath mein le liya tha, aur growth ke natije mein humne resistance level 1.2709 ko break karke upar consolidate kar liya, aur growth aur breakdown ke dauran volumes kaafi high aur steadily increasing the , jo yeh indicate karta hai ke large buyers aur positions mein entry kar rahe hain. Aur 1.2709 ke level ke upar consolidation ka fact British pound ke further strengthening ke liye bohot achi prospects open karta hai. General mein, meri priority buying mein rahti hai, isliye aaj main expect karunga ke GBP/USD pair pichle Friday ko shuru hui growth ko continue karegi, nearest resistance level 1.2799 tak pohonchne ke targets ke saath, jahan main phir se carefully sales enter karne ki koshish karunga. Historical price behavior ko dekhte hue, current market conditions ko dekh kar lagta hai ke 1.2784 ke beyond move daily range limitations se constrained ho sakti hai. Isliye, yeh level immediate bearish move ke liye floor ke tor pe dekha jaa raha hai.bhi bullish lagta hai, jo ke price ko upar kheenchne aur bear-stop losses ko trigger karne ka irada rakhta hai. Sunday ke technical analysis me hourly chart par, price ne ascending channel ke peak se retreat kiya aur aik significant red zone me dakhil hui. Ek retest moving average (MA) support ke around 1.2674 ki umeed hai, jahan se break niche hota hai toh mid-trend level ke near black line 1.2585 par test ho sakta hai. Oscillator overbought conditions ko indicat

The British Pound (GBP) ko Friday ko teen din ki rally ke baad kuch rukawat ka samna karna para, jab US Dollar (USD) mazboot hua. GBP/USD pair 1.2760 ke aas paas gir gaya jab US Dollar Index (DXY) 105.00 se upar chala gaya. Yeh USD ka upar jaana Thursday ke kamzor US economic data ke bawajood hua. Bureau of Labor Statistics ne data release kiya tha jo dikhata hai ke US inflation neeche raha. Producer Price Index (PPI) May mein saal dar saal 2.2% bara, jo market expectations aur pehle readings se kam tha. Magar, Federal Reserve (Fed) ne apna revised economic outlook diya, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke 2024 ke akhir tak interest rate cut ho sakta hai, jisne USD ko support diya.
Yeh shift Fed ke stance mein weaker inflation data se milne wale positive sentiment ko counter kar diya. GBP ko bhi pressure ka samna tha Bank of England (BoE) ke interest rate cut karne ki speculation ke wajah se jo agle kuch mahino mein ho sakta hai. Is prospect ne Pound mein investor confidence ko dampen kar diya. Reserve ne hint diya ke anticipated interest rate cuts kam honge. Yeh aur UK ki sluggish economic growth ne GBP par neechey ka pressure dala.

Technically, GBP/USD currency pair resistance face kar raha hai, jab price bar bar 1.28 mark ko cross nahi kar paa raha, jo bullish traders mein caution signal kar raha hai, khaaskar UK ke national elections July mein hone wale hain. Jab tak significant sell-off nahi hua, analysts caution kar rahe hain confirmation ka wait karne se pehle action lene ke liye. GBP/USD mein notable decline recent upward trend ke end ko signify kar sakta hai. Aage dekhte hue, kuch support levels Pound ko relief de sakte hain. Initial potential stopping point 1.2755-1.2750 ke aas paas hai, aur agar price aur neeche girta hai to 1.2715-1.2710 range temporary stability offer kar sakta hai. Deeper decline GBP/USD ko critical 100-day SMA support ki taraf le ja sakta hai, jo filhal 1.2640-1.2635 ke near position mein hai. Is level ke neeche convincing breach bearish sentiment ko strengthen kar sakta hai aur additional losses ko prompt kar sakta hai.

GBP/USD H4 Timeframe Analysis


GBP/USD ke H4 timeframe chart ko dekhte hue, current price action aur technical levels ko assess kiya gaya hai. Chart pe ek ascending channel ka structure ban raha hai jo ke bullish trend ko indicate karta hai.
Key Observations:

1. Trend Lines: Price consistently upper trend line ko touch karke wapas lower trend line ki taraf aati hai, jo ascending channel ke boundaries ko confirm karti hain.
2. Support and Resistance Levels:
   • Resistance Levels:
     • 1.2645
     • 1.2657
   • Support Levels:
     • 1.2524
     • 1.2489

Moving Averages:

• Chart pe multiple moving averages draw ki gayi hain. 50 EMA, 100 EMA aur 200 EMA price ke neeche support levels ki tarah act kar rahi hain.
• Recent price action ne 50 EMA ko neeche break kiya jo thodi bearish sentiment indicate kar rahi hai.

Trading Plan:

• Buy Scenario:
  • Agar price lower trend line ya 200 EMA ke aas-paas support le aur bullish confirmation candle form ho, toh buy ka option consider karunga. Target levels upper trend line aur 1.2657 ke resistance ke aas-paas set karunga.
• Sell Scenario:
  • Agar price channel ko neeche break kare aur 200 EMA se neeche close ho, toh sell ka option consider kar sakta hoon. Target levels 1.2524 aur 1.2489 ke aas-paas set karunga.

Stochastic Indicator:

• Stochastic indicator ko dekhte hue oversold ya overbought conditions ko evaluate karunga. Agar oversold condition mein hai aur bullish crossover form hota hai, toh buying ka signal hai.

Conclusion:


GBP/USD ka overall trend bullish hai, lekin short-term mein kuch corrections expected hain. Ascending channel ke boundaries aur key support/resistance levels ko monitor karke, trading decisions ko manage karna zaroori hai. Larger time frame pe analysis aur proper risk management strategies ko use karke trading plan ko execute karunga.

GBPUSD D1
Jumeraat ko Amreeki Dollar (USD) ka mustehkam hona se British Pound (GBP) ko mushkilat ka samna hua, jab ek teen dinay ka rally khatam hua. GBP/USD jora lag-bhag 1.2760 ke qareeb gir gaya jab Amreeki Dollar Index (DXY) 105.00 ke oopar chadha. Ye USD mein izafa US ke ma'ashiyati data ke bawajood aya, jo ke Thursday ko kamzor nikla. Ye data, Bureau of Labor Statistics ne jaari kiya, dikhaya ke US mein mahangai nisbatan kam hai. Producer Price Index (PPI) May mein saal bhar mein 2.2% barha, jo ke market ki umeedon aur pehlay readings se kam tha. Magar, Federal Reserve (Fed) ne apni tajziya shuda ma'ashiyati tajweez ko le kar, jo ke 2024 ke end tak ek interest dar girah hone ki ishaarat thi, USD ko mustehkam kiya.

Fed ki stance mein yeh tabdeeli, mahangai ke kam hone ke musbat jazbat ko khilaf kar diya. GBP ko bhi dabaav ka samna karna para kyun ke khayal tha ke Bank of England (BoE) agle maheenon mein interest dar kam kar sakta hai. Ye soorat-e-haal Pound mein sarmaya daarun itminan ko kamzor kar gayi. Reserve ne kamzor hone wale interest rate cuts ki kuch khatron ko ishaara diya. Ye, UK mein sust ma'ashiyati nigrani ke saath mil kar, GBP par neeche ki taraf dabaav daala. Takniki tor par, GBP/USD currency pair rukawat ka samna kar raha hai, jahan qeemat 1.28 ke mark ko bar bar paar nahi kar pa rahi, jo ke bullish traders ke darmiyan ehtiyaat ki alaamat hai, khaaskar UK ke qoumi intekhabat jo July mein qareeb hain.




Halankay ab tak koi nihayat bari farokht nahi hui hai, lekin analysts amal se pehle tasdeeq ka intezar karne ki himayat karte hain. GBP/USD mein numaya girawat haal ki mazeed upri rukh ka ikhtitaam ho sakta hai. Agay dekhtay hain, kuch support levels Pound ke liye kuch araam faraham kar sakte hain. Shuruati mumkin rukawat nukta lag-bhag 1.2755-1.2750 hai, jabke 1.2715-1.2710 range agar qeemat mazeed giray to waqtan-fa-waqt istiqamat faraham kar sakti hai. Ek gehri girawat GBP/USD ko 100-day SMA critical support ki taraf le ja sakta hai, jo ke filhal 1.2640-1.2635 ke qareeb hai. Is level ke neeche ikhtitaam sakhti se bearish jazbat ko mazid taqwiyat de sakta hai aur mazeed nuqsaanat ko janib kheench sakta hai.

GBP/USD: H4 chart par, MACD indicator normal khareed ka ishara de raha hai. Ye ishaara deta hai ke market mein kuch khareedari ki dilchaspi hai, lekin qareebi doran qeemat ko buland karnay ke liye ye kafi mazboot nahi ho sakta. Traders ko MACD indicator ko taqreeban har tabdeeli ke liye qareebi se nigrani jari rakhni chahiye, kyun ke zyada taqatwar khareed ka ishara ek mojooda bearish trend ka ulta ishara de sakta hai. In factors ko madde nazar rakhte hue, main chart ko muntazir rehonga ke kya qeemat 1.2686 ke support level ko test karti hai. Ye level ahem hai kyun ke ye GBP/USD joray ke mazeed rukh ka intekhab karega.

Agar qeemat is support level ke oopar rehti hai, to ye acha buying mauqa paish kar sakti hai. 1.2686 ke oopar barqarar darja yeh ishara dega ke market ne ek mazboot support base dhoond liya hai, jis mein mazeed upri rukh ho sakta hai. Magar, traders ihtiyaat se kaam len aur khareed ki position ko istiqraar ke liye doosray indicators aur market signals ki tasdeeq ka intezar karen. Mukhtalif, agar qeemat is support level ke neeche gir jati hai, to hum GBP/USD ke qeemat mein mazeed kami dekh sakte hain. 1.2686 ka tor dena yeh ishara dega ke farokht ki dabao ne khareedari ki dilchaspi ko shikast di hai, jo qeemat ko naye adnaon ki taraf le ja sakta hai.





Maujooda market ka jazbat GBP/USD ke liye ehtiyaat ki taraf ishara karta hai, jahan traders mazeed ahem qadam uthanay se pehle wazeh isharon ka intezar kar rahe hain. MACD ka normal khareed ka ishara kuch dilchaspi ko darust karta hai lekin abhi tak kafi mazboot bullish stance ke liye kafi nahi hai. Dekhnay wala ahem level 1.2686 hai, kyun ke ye traders ke agle qadam ko rehnumai karega. Is support ke oopar rehna ek potential buying mauqe ki taraf le ja sakta hai, jabke is ke neeche girna mazeed bearish fa'aliyat ka ishara de sakta hai. Is liye, market ke tabdiliyon par hoshyar rehna aur un par jawabdeh tareeqon se kaam karna GBP/USD joray mein maloomati faislay karne ke liye ahem hai.